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Статті в журналах з теми "Scenario politique"
Pereira, Carla Galvão. "O JOGO ENTRE ELITES E INSTITUIÇÕES: as estratégias políticas de ACM Neto e a tradição carlista." Caderno CRH 30, no. 80 (December 5, 2017): 237–55. http://dx.doi.org/10.9771/ccrh.v30i80.21770.
Повний текст джерелаRibeiro, Ednaldo, and Julian Borba. "TOLERÂNCIA POLÍTICA NO BRASIL RECENTE: evolução de indicadores e condicionantes." Caderno CRH 32, no. 87 (December 31, 2019): 641. http://dx.doi.org/10.9771/ccrh.v32i87.23749.
Повний текст джерелаGignac, Alain. "Lorsque le katechon permet de repenser le politique. Discussion critique d'une thèse de Georgio Agamben en regard de la discursivité de 2 Th 2.1–17." New Testament Studies 66, no. 3 (June 5, 2020): 406–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0028688519000493.
Повний текст джерелаTolentino Rodarte, Manuel. "Lo político para las políticas públicas. Dispositivos y tensiones en el combate a la pobreza." Clivajes. Revista de Ciencias Sociales, no. 14 (April 3, 2021): 89. http://dx.doi.org/10.25009/clivajes-rcs.v0i14.2665.
Повний текст джерелаErrigo, Antonello, and Umberto Triulzi. "The Unbearable Weight of Italy’s Public Debt: what Fiscal and Budgetary Policy to Stay in Europe?*." Journal of Public Finance and Public Choice 12, no. 2 (October 1, 1994): 133–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.1332/251569298x15668907539932.
Повний текст джерелаRamaekers, Eveline. "The Development of EU Property Law." European Review of Private Law 23, Issue 3 (May 1, 2015): 437–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.54648/erpl2015030.
Повний текст джерелаMassarutto, Antonio. "Les politiques de l'eau : scenarii pour le XXIe siècle." Pôle Sud 6, no. 1 (1997): 47–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.3406/pole.1997.964.
Повний текст джерелаMalcevschi, Sergio. "Reti ecologiche polivalenti ed alcune considerazioni sui sistemi eco-territoriali." TERRITORIO, no. 58 (September 2011): 54–60. http://dx.doi.org/10.3280/tr2011-058008.
Повний текст джерелаBakker, Wieger. "Scenario's tussen rationaliteit, systeemdwang en politieke rede." B en M - Beleid en Maatschappij 30, no. 4 (December 2003): 219–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1347/benm.30.4.219.25078.
Повний текст джерелаOrioli, Valentina, Andrea Ugolini, and Chiara Mariotti. "Patrimonio mondiale UNESCO: brandizzazione o cultura della gestione? Lo scenario dei siti emiliano-romagnoli." ARCHIVIO DI STUDI URBANI E REGIONALI, no. 133 (March 2022): 56–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.3280/asur2022-133003.
Повний текст джерелаДисертації з теми "Scenario politique"
Kongmanee, Chaiya. "Dépendance au sentier et changement agraire : une analyse institutionnelle de l’économie hévéicole au sud de la Thaïlande." Electronic Thesis or Diss., Montpellier, SupAgro, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015NSAM0041.
Повний текст джерелаThis Ph.D. work aims at exposing, and giving sense to the dynamics of agrarian change in Southern Thailand where rubber is a major crop. It intends to provide elements for decision makers to reflect on the future directions of the Thai rubber economy. I applied a sequence of multivariate analysis and systematic clustering to characterize the trajectories of 220 rubber farms. I also analyzed the evolution of share-tapping arrangements though personal interviews, survey and literature review. A path dependence analytical framework was then applied to identify and characterize how institutional settings and institutional reproduction shaped the observed trajectories and share-tapping arrangements. I identify six significant farm transformation trajectories between 1990 and 2010. Two trajectories show a decline in landholding and/or hired labor related to medium farms (10.5%) and small farms (25%). Three trajectories show growing landholding size and/or use of hired labor. They concern growing medium family farm enterprise (14.5%), large family farm enterprise (4.1%) and farms moving towards patronal enterprise (7.7%). These opposing trajectories witness a continuing polarization of rubber farms. 38.2% of farms follow a trajectory of stability with no change in farm size and labor structure. However, these are small farms and present a risk to follow the trajectories of farm decline. Labor availability and share-tapping arrangements evolved over time but share-tapping remains the main, almost unique, labor contract for harvesting since the beginning of rubber cultivation in Thailand. Labor contracting arrangements are in an institutional lock-in situation under the current form of share-tapping through three self-reinforcing economic, functional and legitimating mechanisms. I identified a set of rules that could explain the prevalence of the share-tapping arrangement in pursuing the exploitation of available labor force and ensuring high resilience to variations and uncertainty in social and economic conditions. Path dependence explains farm polarization and the institutional lock-in of share-tapping as the results of self-reinforcement mechanisms leading to institutional reproduction. The thesis shows that the period of rubber control during 1934-1946 was a critical juncture resulting in large expansion of new plantings and an institutional setting favoring polarization that has reproduced itself through self-reinforcing mechanisms until now. Land polarization had a positive effect on the stability of share-tapping contracts. Due to polarization, farms with growing landholding employ more hired labor, inducing an increasing demand while an increasing supply of skilled tappers is provided by declining small farms. The current share-tapping arrangements ensure the availability of paid labor and simultaneously reinforce land concentration. Based on the results of this analysis of agrarian change, three alternative policy scenarios are: continuation of present policies, reverting polarization and coping with global constraints. The policy scenario of reverting polarization is suggested as an option considering its consequences on economic growth, social welfare and sustainable agricultural development in the rubber sector
Guillemot, Marc <1981>. "Le Politiche Pubbliche Brasiliane nello Scenario Internazionale: Nuove Rappresentazioni." Master's Degree Thesis, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10579/2512.
Повний текст джерелаVELASQUEZ, MONSALVE ELKIN. "Contribution méthodologique à la prise en compte du milieu physique dans la planification environnementale du territoire en zone montagneuse de Colombie." Université Joseph Fourier (Grenoble), 1999. http://www.theses.fr/1999GRE10077.
Повний текст джерелаBentaibi, Faïçal. "Approche prospective du système agro-alimentaire marocain : quelques scenarios pour l'an 2005." Nice, 1988. http://www.theses.fr/1988NICE0021.
Повний текст джерелаThe analysis of the alimentary situation in morocco shows a certain weakness in the formulation of alimentary and nutritional policies, as well as an evident discordance between the production and consumption policies. During the last 2 decades the need for food has strongly raised under the effects of diverses factors, such as population growth, rapid urbanisation and, in a smaller mesure, the raise of income. Parallely, the agricultural and alimentary sector has been incapable of facing the growth and transformation of the demand, and this for reasons mainly geo-ecological, socio-structurel and of organisation. The recourse to importation of alimentary products to level between offer and demand often represented a solution of facility. An eventual reproduction in the long run of this tendency shows the necessity of finding a new dynamic of offer and demand, which should repose on a better utilization of the producing potential and a new orientation of consumption, so that the spectres of malnutrition and alimentary dependancy could be defied. It is certain that the main compulsions are to be found in the spheres of finance, but it is primarily a question of forcing socio-cultural blockades, which could open the way to desirables scenarios
Elessa, Etuman Dipita Arthur. "Analyse des impacts des politiques énergétiques et de déplacements urbains sur la pollution de l’air : modélisation intégrée pour un espace urbain soutenable." Thesis, Paris Est, 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017PESC1248/document.
Повний текст джерелаAir pollution is a major environmental and social problem and, at the same time, it is a complex problem that poses multiple challenges in terms of management and mitigation of air pollutants. Air pollutants are emitted by anthropogenic and natural sources. They can be either emitted directly (primary pollutants) or formed in the atmosphere (secondary pollutants). Their impacts on health, ecosystems, the urban texture and the climate are proven. Effective action to reduce the impacts of air pollution requires a good understanding of its causes, how pollutants are transported and transformed in the atmosphere and their impact on humans, ecosystems, climate, society, the economy and buildings. Today, policies and development plans aim to make cities sustainable which involves taking into account the internal interactions that make the city a complex system. It is necessary to consider the determinants of air quality. Modeling is one of the most important tools for decision support. There is currently little modeling work integrating several disciplinary fields in terms of air quality. This research aims to develop an innovative approach to the modeling of air quality by integrating social, economic and transportation logistics
Lancesseur, Nicolas. "Macroeconomic scenarios for employment in the socio-ecological transition." Thesis, Paris 1, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015PA010043.
Повний текст джерелаThe general objective of this dissertation is the ex ante assessment of the economic policy response needed in the European Union to take up the climate change issue. Moreover, we tried to maximise the employment results of these policies. The results of the scenarios designed in this framework, lead us to the following beliefs: (i) to respect the recommendations of the IPCC, which is an absolute necessity, the political reaction needs to be rapid and strong from now. (ii) Despite the intensity of the policy response, the scale of the endeavours is not so exceptional in a historical perspective, while global warming is definitely a historical challenge. (iii) The economic instruments aiming at reducing GHG emissions will result, if they are well calibrated, in a significant better situation of the European labour market. (iv) However it would be very dangerous to wait for climate mitigation policies that could selve also completely the labour market issue, because such policies are unlikely to exist. Indeed, the European labour market currently faces serious difficulties and will face important structural risks in the next decades. It is a good thing if the mitigation policies participate to the solution, but the structural disequilibrium of labour market requires a much larger response from policy makers. One of the policy response scenarios led us to make an empirical investigation to verify the credibility of one modelling choice we made. Then, we developed an original econometric mode! aiming to capture the effect of the preferences change on consumption. We used therefore the Kalman fil ter to estimate this bias of preference changes in a consumption demand system in the framework of a panel data model. Severa! structural changes independent of prices or income motions, such as the rise in environmental, health, and well-being concems, are captured by our estimations. Moreover, the empirical results provided by the mode! confirm that the consumers behaviour changes simulated in the scenario built in the first part, are in a reasonable order of magnitude
El, Khansa Mohamad. "Finding pathways for enhancing irrigated farming systems in Lebanon." Thesis, Montpellier, 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017MONTT104/document.
Повний текст джерелаThe economy of the Middle East relies heavily on agriculture as a source of food and income. These countries have initiated agricultural policies that advocate the intensification of their production systems. These policies encourage greater use of subsidized inputs and the purchase of famers’ production at subsidized prices compared to international market prices. The methodology of this work was to start with comprehensive farms survey followed by a cluster analysis to help identify and assess the farming systems diversity in the area and their performances. Then to propose scenarios of variations in water availability and prices, market prices of agricultural produce, and premiums given to farmers for the purpose of testing the vulnerability of the current cropping systems to shocks. And finally to construct a bio-economic model to help capturing the resilience indicators of the farming systems in the area. Baalbek-Hermel, in the northern part of the Bekka Valley in Lebanon, was selected to be representative for Lebanon as well as the MENA region due to the facts that it is the most desertification prone area in country and one of its poorest agricultural areas. It has diverse /mosaic biophysical conditions, with high fluctuation in rainfall. Agricultural intensification in the area started deliberately in 1970. Survey at the farm level was conducted by first selecting representative farms: a sample of 97 farmers out of 486 were selected and given a quantitative questionnaire containing closed questions covering the farmer’s socio-economic profile, farming practices, production, costs incurred, and marketing access strategies. Estimation of amount of irrigation water per crop followed since irrigation water is distributed to farms on a per hour or per area basis, and not based on the volume of water applied. To estimate the amount of irrigation water applied per crop, and subsequently its cost, which is initially expressed as area or time, two calculation steps were defined: mapping the spatial water distribution systems in the study area, and estimation of water flow for each source of irrigation water. To classify the different farms in the study area according to their cropping patterns, a principal component analysis (PCA), followed by Hierarchical Ascendant Classification (HAC) was performed. The farm typology was then followed by a sensitivity analysis to investigate the extent to which farm incomes, in the study region, were sensitive to prices and subsidy variabilities. This includes sensitivity to allocated premiums or/and product price, and irrigation water prices, taking into consideration farming system diversity in the region. The analysis carried out was intended to assess, for each farm type, income loss, but also productivity loss in response to the suppression of subsidies for each crop (wheat tobacco, grape, and potato), or to the increase in irrigation water prices in order to reduce its consumption. Finally, scenarios for vulnerability were defined, which were composed of mainly four components: time horizon, spatial scale, external driving forces, and indicators/intermediate variables. The dynamic recursive bio-economic model was developed to assess the scenarios and calculate the resilience indicators. Our results showed that intensification pathways led to five different types of farming systems, except for conventional extensive cereal farms. Although these farming types follow different trajectories, they still achieve similar incomes with different potential environmental impacts. Beyond the results obtained at study zone level, this study shows that the intensification of agriculture has allowed farmers to increase their incomes, but often at the cost of environmental degradation. However, this improvement remains very dependent on direct or indirect support levels granted to farmers
Rivalain, Jean-François. "Ukraine et Biélorussie: de l'Union soviétique à l'Union européenne : perspective et scenarii de l'adhésion de l'Ukraine et de la Biélorussie à l'Union européenne 1991-2006." Strasbourg, 2009. http://www.theses.fr/2009STRA4032.
Повний текст джерелаSince their independence in 1991, Ukraine and Belarus have found themselves to be in a contrast with regarding their European geography on the one hand and the geopolicy of the EU on the other, which has been largely devoted to the integration of the post-communist states through the mcchanism enlargement. The programmatic divide as conceived and implemented by the EU between the Central & Baltic Europe and their post-Soviet counterparts, has let to the establishment of fundamentally divergent evolutions for these Iwo continental macrocosms. The crucial point for this challenging development, and indeed the core of this study, is the fact that the Western part of the CIS de facto belongs to the European continent, and therefore it was de jure eligible for such EU accession. Therefore, we need to interpret the relationship the EU has pursued with the Western post-Sovie States in comparison - ifnot by contrast - with the policies the EU has adopted towards Central and Baltic Europe, as weil as for the previous or parallel geographies of enlargement. This process of enlargement stands for an example to analyse the structures maintained by Kyiv and Mensk with Brussels; its strength and its relevance foresee on the principle the accession of these capitals to the EU. The core of this thesis is indeed to regard such perspective of accession for these Iwo States as being irrepressible, due to its necessity and its attractiveness. The incompleteness - not to say the abortion - of their socio-economic and democratic transitions can be understood due to this initial and continuing lack of EU anchorage. To recoup these gaps necessarily requires the lever of EU prospect
Sionneau, Bernard. "Risque-pays et prospective internationale : theorie et application (la republique socialiste du viet nam)." Paris, CNAM, 2000. http://www.theses.fr/2000CNAM0347.
Повний текст джерелаMahmood, Faisal. "Analyse des conditions pour le développement des grains à légumineuses dans la région Midi-Pyrénées (France), en utilisant la chaîne de modélisation APES-FSSIM-indicateurs." Thesis, Montpellier, SupAgro, 2011. http://www.theses.fr/2011NSAM0043.
Повний текст джерелаGrain legumes are generally considered as key crops for sustainable agriculture. They offer many agronomic, environmental and socio-economic benefits when grown in succession with cereals. Although grain legumes have many advantages, their share in European agriculture is still very limited. In the Midi-Pyrénées region (south-west of France), their area varies from 1 to 3% of the total cultivated area, moreover farmers show little interest in growing grain legumes on their farms. In this context, the objectives of the thesis were to; i) identify the main constraints for grain legume production in the Midi-Pyrénées region, ii) identify key technical and socio-economic levers (expressed as scenarios) to promote grain legumes in current cropping systems and iii) assess, by using the APES-FSSIM-Indicators modelling chain, the impacts of these scenarios on the socio-economic and environmental behaviours of three representative arable farm types (FT1, FT2 and FT3) of the Midi-Pyrénées region.The main constraints have been identified based on bibliography and in consultation with local experts. These constraints are derived from the grain legumes sensitivity to: soils and climatic conditions, farmer technical skill and expertise for sowing and harvesting the grain legumes, economic competitiveness in comparison with cereals and their yield and market prices amounts and fluctuations. From the above statement, the alternative scenarios, in comparison to the current situation (reference scenario) have been identified to promote grain legumes. They included, the introduction of new grain legumes rotations in current cropping systems of the region (Stec.innov), provision of more premiums to grain legumes (Spremium), increase in sale price (Sprice) and yield (Syield) of grain legumes, reduction in price (Sprice.var) and yield (Syield.var) variability of grain legumes, and combination of all these components (Scomb). All scenarios have been assessed with quantitative environmental and socio-economic indicators and are calculated with the APES-FSSIM-Indicators modeling chain.Results show that, contrary to expectation, the introduction of new legumes rotations or the reduction of yield or price variability (Stec.innov, Sprice.var and Syield.var) did not increase the grain legumes area. However, an increase in grain legumes area was observed for Spremium, Sprice, Syield and Scomb. The combined scenario (Scomb) was found to be most efficient, showing an important increase in grain legumes area by 34 ha, 32 ha and 7 ha respectively for FT2, FT3 and FT1 with a significant change in socio-economic and environmental indicators for all three farm types. The increase in grain legumes area and modification in economic and environmental indicators depend on the farm characteristics and can be explained by the differences in irrigable area between irrigated crops (i.e. maize, peas and soybean), cropping pattern, soil types and climatic conditions (rainfed and irrigation) on the three farms types.The results obtained from this study show that the modification of policies or the inclusion of new technologies, may lead to several economic and environmental changes, which reveal the adaptation strategies adopted by farmers in order to optimize their farm income. These strategies are mainly implemented by modifying the areas allocated to different crops on different soil types and by changes of management practices. The grain legumes area can be increased on Midi-Pyrénées farming system by the combination of slightly increase in premium, sale price and crop yield of the grain legumes. This methodology can easily be adapted to other regions of France and also EU for identifying the main developmental conditions for grain legumes production provided the skilled experts are properly selected and sufficient data are available for parameterization of the modeling chain
Книги з теми "Scenario politique"
The art of the long view: Scenario planning - protecting your company against an uncertain future. London: Century Business, 1992.
Знайти повний текст джерелаCecco, Marcello De. L'oro di Europa: Monete, economia e politiche nei nuovi scenari mondiali. Roma: Donzelli, 1998.
Знайти повний текст джерелаAngileri, Vincenzo, and Giorgio Bonalume. Programmi comprensoriali di bonifica: Gli scenari di riferimento e le politiche regionali. Milano: Guerini e associati, 1998.
Знайти повний текст джерелаLemieux, Vincent. Le Role des different acteurs dans les politiques de radiodiffusion. Presentation de trois scenarios. Quebec: Universite Laval, 1987.
Знайти повний текст джерелаSchwartz, Peter. The art of the long view: Paths to strategic insight for ourself and your company. New York: Currency/Doubleday, 1996.
Знайти повний текст джерелаSchwartz, Peter. The art of the long view: Paths to strategic insight for yourself and your company. Sydney: Prospect Publishing, 1996.
Знайти повний текст джерелаThe art of the long view: Planning for the future in an uncertain world. New York: Currency Doubleday, 1995.
Знайти повний текст джерелаHammond, Allen L. Which world?: Scenarios for the 21st Century. Washington, DC: Island Press, 1998.
Знайти повний текст джерелаNeil, Strachan, Foxon Tim 1967-, and Fujino Junitso, eds. Modelling long-term scenarios for low carbon societies. London: Earthscan, 2008.
Знайти повний текст джерелаWhich world?: Scenarios for the 21st century : global destinies, regional choices. London: Earthscan, 1998.
Знайти повний текст джерелаЧастини книг з теми "Scenario politique"
De Carolis, Massimo. "Crisi della democrazia liberale e prospettive del pensiero critico." In Politiche dell’attualità. Florence: Firenze University Press, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.36253/978-88-5518-307-9.02.
Повний текст джерелаBisello, Adriano, Ekaterina Domorenok, Antonio Lumicisi, Emma Mitrotta, and Daniele Vettorato. "Le politiche energetiche e climatiche dell’Alto Adige nello scenario europeo." In Politika 15, 228–63. Nomos, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.5771/9783845264967-228.
Повний текст джерелаKlampfer, Friderik. "Etične in politične dileme programiranja samovoznih avtomobilov za odločanje o neizogibni škodi." In Sodobne perspektive družbe: Umetna inteligenca na stičišču znanosti, 121–48. University of Maribor Press, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.18690/um.ff.11.2022.6.
Повний текст джерела