Готові списки джерел за темами / Robert Shiller

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Опубліковано: 14 березня 2023

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Статті в журналах з теми "Robert Shiller"

1

Jensen-Eriksen, Niklas. "Talouden tarttuvat tarinataudit." Tekniikan Waiheita 38, no. 2 (July 8, 2020): 41–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.33355/tw.96989.

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2

Campbell, John Y. "AN INTERVIEW WITH ROBERT J. SHILLER." Macroeconomic Dynamics 8, no. 5 (November 2004): 649–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1365100504040027.

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A recent article in The Economist magazine divided economists into “poets” and “plumbers,” the former articulating radical new visions of the field and the latter patiently installing the infrastructure needed to implement those visions. Bob Shiller is the rare economist who is both poet and plumber. Not only that, he is also entrepreneur and pundit. His work has fundamentally changed the theory, econometrics, practice, and popular understanding of finance.Starting in the late 1970's, Bob boldly challenged the prevailing orthodoxy of financial economics. He showed that financial asset prices often deviate substantially from the levels predicted by simple efficient-markets models, and he developed new empirical methods to measure these price deviations. In the early 1980's, Bob went on to argue that economists need a much more detailed understanding of investor psychology if they are to understand asset price movements. He pioneered the emerging field of behavioral economics and its most successful branch, behavioral finance. At the end of the century, Bob articulated his vision of finance in a wildly successful popular book,Irrational Exuberance. He became so well known that TIAA-CREF asked him to appear in a series of full-page advertisements in the popular press.Although Bob does not believe that investors use financial markets in a perfectly rational manner, he does believe that these markets offer great possibilities to improve the human condition. His recent work asks how existing financial markets can be used, and new financial markets can be designed, to improve the sharing of risks across groups of people in different regions, countries, and occupations. He has explored risk-sharing possibilities not only in journal articles, but also in business ventures and a 2003 book,The New Financial Order: Risk in the 21st Century.It was a great privilege for me to interview Bob Shiller. Bob's arrival at Yale when I was a Ph.D. student there set the course of my career as an economist. Bob reinvigorated the Yale tradition of macroeconomics, with its emphasis on the central role of financial markets in the macroeconomy and its idealism about the possibility of improving macroeconomic outcomes. First as a thesis adviser, then as a coauthor, mentor, and friend, Bob showed me how to contribute to this tradition.The interview took place at the 2003 annual meetings of the Allied Social Science Associations in Washington, D.C. We met in a hotel suite, ate a room service meal, and had the enjoyable conversation that is reproduced below.
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3

Ross, Stephen A. "Review of The New Financial Order by Shiller." Journal of Economic Literature 42, no. 4 (November 1, 2004): 1098–101. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/0022051043004522.

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4

Kiss, Endre. "Recenzió – Reflexió – Reakció. Robert J. Shiller: Narratív közgazdaságtan." Magyar Pszichológiai Szemle 77, no. 1 (April 20, 2022): 151–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1556/0016.2022.00009.

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5

Schwert, G. William. "Review of Market Volatility by Robert J Shiller." Journal of Portfolio Management 17, no. 4 (July 31, 1991): 74–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.3905/jpm.1991.409350.

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Keating, Con. "Finance and the Good Society, by Robert J. Shiller." Quantitative Finance 12, no. 11 (November 2012): 1647–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2012.710502.

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Halász, Győző Mihály. "A narratív közgazdaságtan szerepe : Recenzió Robert J. Shiller Narratív közgazdaságtan (2020,Budapest, HVG Kiadó Zrt.) könyvéről." Köz-gazdaság 16, no. 4 (December 21, 2021): 273–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.14267/retp2021.04.17.

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Ahhoz, hogy jobban megérthessük a koronavírus miatti változásokat és a következő időszak gazdasági jövőképét, szükségképpen foglalkoznunk kell a közgazdaságtan egy újabb tudományágával, a narratív közgazdaságtannal. Herbert Simon korlátozott racionalitásról szóló gondolataitól kezdve Akerlof és Shiller munkásságáig sokan foglalkoztak azzal a problémával, hogy a mindig racionálisan viselkedő és optimalizáló emberkép, a homo oeconomicus egy hibás és nem teljes képest fest a társadalomban viselkedő gazdasági szereplőkről. A gazdasági szereplőket pszichológiai és érzelmi hatások érik és az érzelmi kötelékek miatt a racionalitás fogalmi keretrendszere is változik. Ebből fakadóan fontos megismernünk azokat a narratív mozgatórugókat, amelyek a racionális döntéseket formálják, hiszen a racionalitást nem felülírjuk, hanem kiegészítjük a jövőkép teljessége érdekében. Az ezzel kapcsolatos ismereteket pedig Robert J. Shiller Narratív közgazdaságtan című munkája mutatja be a legteljesebben számunkra. Ebben az összefoglalóban a narratívák működéséről és a könyvben található első öt örökzöld narratíváról fogok írni. Remélem, hogy így többen is kedvet kapnak ahhoz, hogy kezükbe vegyék ezt a könyvet és mélyebben kutassanak gazdaságunk mindennapi narratívái után.
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Colander, Conducted by David. "CONVERSATIONS WITH JAMES TOBIN AND ROBERT SHILLER ON THE “YALE TRADITION” IN MACROECONOMICS." Macroeconomic Dynamics 3, no. 1 (March 1999): 116–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1365100599001066.

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Every graduate school has its own distinctive history that makes it unique in some way, but every graduate school is also part of the broader economics profession and reflects the currents in the profession. The following dialogue focuses on the question: Is it useful to distinguish a “Yale school of macroeconomics” from other schools of economics? The idea for this dialogue came from William Barnett in a discussion with Bob Shiller. Bill suggested to Bob some names of individuals who might conduct the “dialogue” and I was selected from that list. I happily agreed because, from my knowledge of the writings of the Yale faculty, I felt that there was a uniformity of ideas with which I was sympathetic, and which might deserve to be called a “Yale School”—a view shared with Bob Shiller.Exploring the issue further, I found that there was far less agreement on whether the macroeconomics work that currently goes on at Yale can be classified meaningfully as “the Yale school.” The objections to specifying a separate Yale school were the following: (1) The term, Yale school, had been used in the 1960's to describe Jim Tobin's position in a debate with monetarists. Some felt it would be confusing to use the Yale school classification to describe a broader set of works that are not connected to that earlier, more narrow, use. (2) Calling the work in macroeconomics currently done at Yale a “school” distinguishes it too much. The work that goes on in Yale is similar to the work that goes on in any top graduate economics program. It is not so clear how the work at Yale differs from, for example, MIT or Princeton. It would need to be more distinct to warrant calling it a “school.” (3) There is a diversity of approaches that are used at Yale, and it is not clear that they actually fit together. For example, Chris Sims's work follows from a time-series statistics tradition with influences from real-business-cycle and calibration work; Shiller's work follows from a Keynesian tradition. Fitting them together requires a bit of a stretch. (4) The degree of continuity in the Yale school over time is not as great as I had first imagined. There was little linkage at Yale from Irving Fisher to Jim Tobin; thus the historical continuity needed for specifying a Yale school does not exist. These objections are elaborated in the dialogues below. After discussing these issues with a number of Yale faculty, I decided that there probably wasn't a Yale school of economics, but that there was a Yale tradition. We also decided to have a conversation with only two individuals—Jim Tobin and Bob Shiller—because they are major figures in maintaining what I believe is a Yale tradition. The conversations were held separately, although I asked many of the same questions to both, and focused much of the conversation on the issue of whether it is useful to distinguish a Yale school. Thus, the conversations discuss the work of other individuals at Yale more than a dialogue with another focus would have, and do not cover Tobin's or Shiller's current work as much as conversations with an alternative focus would have. The results are, I believe, interesting. They provide some useful insight into both the Yale tradition and current thinking and debates in macro.
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Ryu, Kang Min, Soo Hoon Park, and Chang Moo Lee. "Office Price Index for Derivative Using S&P/Case-Shiller Estimator." Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies 19, no. 4 (November 30, 2011): 363–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jdqs-04-2011-b0002.

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People are starting to doubt business recovery in office market after global financial crisis in 2008. And most institutional and individual portfolios are undiversified in real estate : incurring enormous transaction costs than other financial products. Especially office market has more risks than other real estate market for high transaction costs and many related industries. Although this stuff can lead to increase the risk of investment in office market, nor are there markets that would allow individuals and institutions to hedge their risks. The establishment of office price index future and option markets is likely to hedge away large risk in office market, and provides lowering transaction costs for trading in real estate. We estimate Office Price Index using S&P/Case-Shiller repeat sale estimator which is proposed by Robert. J. Shiller in 1991. The estimator is a sort of Feasible Generalized Two Stage Least Squares, which compute Value weighted Arithmetic Price Index.
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Pantelic, Svetlana. "Robert J. Shiller: Nobel prize for 2013: Capital market efficiency." Bankarstvo 44, no. 3 (2015): 102–11. http://dx.doi.org/10.5937/bankarstvo1503102p.

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Дисертації з теми "Robert Shiller"

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Sherman, John. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis, the Financial Instability Hypothesis, and Speculative Bubbles." Thesis, Boston College, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2345/3887.

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Thesis advisor: Harold Petersen
According to the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), speculative bubbles do not exist and are impossible. We disagree. If prices are the only observable component of an asset’s value, and they themselves are an aggregated consensus of perceived value, then what about the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is testable? Rather than assume that prices always reflect value (i.e. perfect market efficiency), we maintain that markets are efficient to the extent that one can be confident that tomorrow’s prices will not diverge dramatically or arbitrarily from today’s prices, absent significant new information. Speculative bubbles are not materializing every day, every month, or even every year. But they do have the potential and indeed a tendency to occur from time to time. If markets are efficient, what explains all the trading? Rather than assume rational expectations and a homogenous investor class, we assume four investor classes that diverge in their perception of value (i.e. in their expectation of future returns) and thus trade with each other. Using insights from Hyman Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis (FIH), we develop a theoretical framework for how a speculative bubble might materialize within a modern capitalist economy with securities markets’ that follow a random walk. Obviously, there is no “bubble” variable. We use Tobin’s Q, the ratio of the price of an asset to its replacement cost, and Shiller’s cyclically adjusted P/E ratio as proxy variables for bubbles. We find statistically significant, negative relationships between both of these proxy variables and our dependent variable, Ten Year Cumulative Returns, thereby providing evidence against the EMH and suggesting the possibility of speculative bubbles
Thesis (BA) — Boston College, 2014
Submitted to: Boston College. College of Arts and Sciences
Discipline: Economics Honors Program
Discipline: Economics
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2

Besterman, Andreas, and Larsson Tobias. "Indexerade beräkningsenheter : Robert Shillers indexeringsparadox." Thesis, Linköpings universitet, Nationalekonomi, 2015. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-120200.

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Bakgrund: Olika forskare har under åren identifierat problem relaterade till inflation, samt även bidragit med förslag på lösningar på dessa. Begreppet Money Illusion är ett välkänt begrepp inom området som tycks vara en del i förklaringen till allmänhetens motvilja att hantera inflationsrelaterade problem. Det är bestämt i Sverige av Riksbanken att inflationen skall vara låg men positiv och inflationsmålet är satt till två procent. Indexerade beräkningsenheter presenteras av Robert Shiller som lösning på kunskaps- och beteendeproblem förknippade med inflation. Han definierar en indexerad beräkningsenhet som ska fungera parallellt med den lokala valutan. Syfte: Syftet är att diskutera förutsättningar för en implementering av nya indexerade beräkningsenheter, som fungerar parallellt med valutan, i Sverige samt att kritiskt granska Robert Shillers teorier om indexerade beräkningsenheter. Genomförande: Uppsatsen är av kvalitativ karaktär och bygger på semistrukturerade intervjuer med personer inom bank- och försäkringsväsendet samt en universitetslektor i nationalekonomi vid Linköpings Universitet. Intervjuerna har utgått från samma intervjumall. Insamlat intervjumaterial har tillsammans med teorier om inflation, indexering och transaktionskostnader legat till grund för analysen. Slutsats: Slutsatsen i uppsatsen är att den låga inflation som råder i Sverige inte ses som ett tillräckligt stort problem för att motivera en mer vida indexering hos privatpersoner. De kostnader som förknippas med indexering, i form av transaktionskostnader, har även underskattats av Robert Shiller vilket gör att hans förespråkande för indexering i låginflationsländer i själva verket högst troligen är en paradox.
Background: Several scientists have, over the years, identified problems related to inflation and contributed with suggestions to solutions. The term Money Illusion is a well-known phenomenon that explains difficulties of separating nominal value from real value. The central bank of Sweden has decided that inflation should be low but positive and the inflation target is set to two percent. Robert Shiller presents Indexed Units of Account as a solution to problems related to inflation depending on knowledge and behavior. He defines an Indexed Unit of Account that is meant to operate in parallel to the local currency. Aim: The aim is to discuss the prerequisites for an implementation of new indexed units of account, which works in tandem with the currency, in Sweden as well as critically examine the theories of indexed units of account made by Robert Shiller. Completion: The thesis is qualitative in nature and is based on semi-structured interviews with people in banking, insurance and a senior lecturer in economics at the University of Linköping. The interviews have assumed the same interview template. Collected interview data, together with theories of inflation, indexing and transaction costs has formed the basis for the analysis. Conclusion: The conclusion in the paper is that the low inflation prevailing in Sweden is not seen as a big enough problem to warrant a more widespread use of indexation by individuals. Robert Shiller has also underestimated the costs associated with indexing, in the form of transaction costs, which most likely means that his advocacy of indexation is a paradox.
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BUONAGUIDI, DAMIANO. "Choice of Exogenous Variables, Stock Market Dynamics, Financial Sector: Three Essays on Macroeconomic Theory." Doctoral thesis, Università di Siena, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/11365/1061353.

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The choice of exogenous variables is a fundamental element for the logical structure of economic models, leading to different positive and normative implications about growth, distribution and economic policies. In this dissertation a comparative approach is used both to study different models from a theoretical point of view and to analyze the link between the financial and the real sector of the economy. In the first chapter we present a comparison between the neoclassical model and the alternative approach, drawn from the classical and post-keynesian literature, within a common mathematical framework based on the Solow growth model. Several variations in the canonical models are considered. We shall show in a convenient analytical framework how the fundamental differences between the two paradigms ultimately lie in the choice of the exogenous variables: factors endowments in the neoclassical approach or effective demand and, in some cases, income distribution in the alternative approach. In the second chapter, we adopt a comparative approach to interpret stock market dynamics, pursuing two objectives. First, we shall show how the prevailing interpretation of Shiller tests on stock price volatility can all be traced back to the neoclassical model, which makes them exposed to several criticisms. Second, we shall present an alternative macroeconomic model drawn from Sraffian and Keynesian literature which suggests a different interpretation of the empirical evidence on stock market volatility. In the third chapter we propose an integration between the classical-Keynesian model and the monetary circuit framework, evaluating its consistency and its policy implications. In particular, we shall verify whether the Keynesian multiplier can be consistently introduced in the monetary circuit framework, how monetary authorities can affect economic dynamics, how monetary circuits are intertemporally linked to each other and how the problem of interest repayments can be solved.
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Muleba, William. "The good, the bad, and the framed : A study of behavioral economics and the framing effect on tobacco free snus." Thesis, Luleå tekniska universitet, Institutionen för ekonomi, teknik och samhälle, 2020. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-79798.

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This study sets out to explore attitudes and intentions towards nicotine product goods and how it is affected by the goal framing effect. The presence of this effect has been shown in the advertising of both green products and everyday products. The aim of this research is to explore whether or not this also holds true when it comes to unhealthy products, more precisely tobacco free all white nicotine products.    A quasi experimental study was conducted with the use of a fictitious brand of All-white tobacco. All 63 participants in the three different experimental groups of the study met the mandatory age requirement. One of the three groups received a positively framed advert, another received a negatively framed advert, whereas the last group acted as the control group and therefore received a neutral advertisement stimuli. All participants submitted their answers on a questionnaire created for this study, which was validated using Cronbach’s alpha and factor analysis.   The results suggest that the use of goal framing is beneficial when advertising nicotine product goods. Both positive and negative goal-framing showed a greater effect on purchase intention and product attitude than the control group. The negative goal-framing advert proved to be statistically different than the control group when measuring product attitude. Furthermore, the positively framed advert showed a statistically significant difference in effect on both product attitude and purchase intention compared to the control group.    The findings suggest that positively framed goal-framing has an effect on both attitudes and purchase intention, compared to the neutral stimuli. The negatively framed goal-framing had an effect on attitudes, compared to the neutral stimuli. The practical implication of this study could possibly be that when constructing advertisements for tobacco free snus products, it could be preferable to make use of the positive goal-framing effect in order to affect the consumers purchase intention and attitude towards the product.   This study has confirmed to some extent that the framing effect is a factor prevalent in the advertising of tobacco free products. For further research it would be highly interesting to delve deeper in comparing positive and negative goal-framing in order to find further evidence of which one has greater effect on consumers.
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Книги з теми "Robert Shiller"

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Edition, Shortcut. SUMMARY - Irrational Exuberance by Robert J. Shiller. Independently Published, 2021.

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2

Akerlof, George A. Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism New Edition by Akerlof, George A., Shiller, Robert J. published by Princeton University Press. Princeton University Press, 2010.

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3

Media, I. R. B. Summary of Robert J. Shiller's Narrative Economics. IRB Media, 2021.

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4

Tunaru, Radu S. Real-Estate Derivatives. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198742920.001.0001.

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This book brings together the latest concepts and models in real-estate derivatives, the new frontier in financial markets. The importance of real-estate derivatives in managing property price risk that has destabilized economies frequently in the last hundred years has been brought into the limelight by Robert Shiller over the last three decades. In spite of his masterful campaign for the introduction of real-estate derivatives, these financial instruments are still in a state of infancy. This book aims to provide a state-of-the-art overview of real-estate derivatives at this moment in time, covering the description of these financial products, their applications, and the most important models proposed in the literature in this area. In order to facilitate a better understanding of the situations when these products can be successfully used, ancillary topics such as real-estate indices, mortgages, securitization, and equity release mortgages are also discussed. The book is designed to pay attention to the econometric aspects of realestate index prices, time series, and also to financial engineering no-arbitrage principles governing pricing of derivatives. The emphasis is on understanding the financial instruments through their mechanics and comparative description. The examples are based on real-world data from exchanges or frommajor investment banks or financial houses in London. The numerical analysis is easily replicable with Excel and Matlab. This is the most advanced published book in this area, combining practical relevance with intellectual rigour. Real-estate derivatives will become important for managing macro risks in order to pass stress tests imposed by regulators.
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Media, Irb. Summary of Robert J. Shiller's Finance and the Good Society. IRB MEDIA, 2022.

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Media, Irb. Summary of George A. Akerlof & Robert J. J. Shiller's Animal Spirits. IRB MEDIA, 2022.

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Частини книг з теми "Robert Shiller"

1

Sent, Esther-Mirjam. "Shiller, Robert J. (born 1946)." In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 12273–80. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_2891.

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Sent, Esther-Mirjam. "Shiller, Robert J. (born 1946)." In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 1–8. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95121-5_2891-1.

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Schluchter, Daniel. "George A. Akerlof/ Robert J. Shiller: Animal Spirits." In Hauptwerke der Emotionssoziologie, 33–37. Wiesbaden: Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-531-93439-6_2.

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Schluchter, Daniel. "George A. Akerlof/Robert J. Shiller: Animal Spirits." In Schlüsselwerke der Emotionssoziologie, 41–46. Wiesbaden: Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-37869-1_3.

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von Weizsäcker, Carl Christian, and Hagen M. Krämer. "Public Debt." In Saving and Investment in the Twenty-First Century, 137–99. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-75031-2_6.

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AbstractMore than a third of private wealth in the OECD plus China region consists of entitlements to public retirement benefits. If the state covered these future obligations using a reserve fund, an insoluble problem of investment would arise. It is only by doing without reserve funds that the twenty-first century welfare state is compatible with price stability at non-negative real interest rates. In calculating government obligations according to the ADL method, statistical offices acknowledge the implicit public debt deriving from the retirement system. Systems of public health insurance and public nursing care insurance also generate considerable implicit public debt and corresponding private wealth. The TRILL system advocated by Robert Shiller can make an important contribution to stabilize the high public debt that will be necessary in the future at low real interest rates. We undertake an empirical estimation of the level of public debt in the OECD plus China region. To determine explicit public debt, we use data on net public debt from the International Monetary Fund. Implicit public debt is mainly comprised of the state’s capitalized financial obligations deriving from the public retirement system and public health insurance. Some statistical offices publish data on the retirement benefit entitlements that have accrued within social security systems. This data provides an important basis for our calculations. We estimate that total public debt in the OECD plus China region is equivalent to more than 600% of total annual consumption in the region.
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von Weizsäcker, Carl Christian. "Carl Christian von Weizsäcker Recommends “Trills Instead of T-Bills: It’s Time to Replace Part of Government Debt with Shares in GDP” by Mark J. Kamstra and Robert J. Shiller." In 21st Century Economics, 141–42. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-17740-9_55.

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"Robert Shiller and Irrational Exuberance." In In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio, 226–54. Princeton University Press, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv1gm03hj.13.

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Dargnies, Marie-Pierre, Carole Gresse, Tristan Roger, and Arnaud Simon. "XX. Robert J. Shiller – L’exubérance irrationnelle des marchés." In Les Grands Auteurs en Finance, 589. EMS Editions, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.3917/ems.albou.2017.01.0589.

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"Eugene F. Fama, Lars Peter Hansen and Robert J. Shiller." In Nobel Lectures in Economic Sciences (2011–2015), 139–288. WORLD SCIENTIFIC, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/9789811247309_0003.

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"Robert J. Shiller: Innovator in Financial Markets, Winner of the 2009 Deutsche Bank Prize in Financial Economics." In Financial Innovation. The MIT Press, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/9037.003.0009.

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Тези доповідей конференцій з теми "Robert Shiller"

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Matsuo, Tokuro, Takayuki Ito, Robert W. Day, and Toramatsu Shintani. "A robust combinatorial auction mechanism against shill bidders." In the fifth international joint conference. New York, New York, USA: ACM Press, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/1160633.1160846.

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