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Wilson, Spencer, Abdullah Alabdulkarim, and David Goldsman. "Green Simulation of Pandemic Disease Propagation." Symmetry 11, no. 4 (April 22, 2019): 580. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/sym11040580.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
This paper is concerned with the efficient stochastic simulation of multiple scenarios of an infectious disease as it propagates through a population. In particular, we propose a simple “green” method to speed up the simulation of disease transmission as we vary the probability of infection of the disease from scenario to scenario. After running a baseline scenario, we incrementally increase the probability of infection, and use the common random numbers variance reduction technique to avoid re-simulating certain events in the new scenario that would not otherwise have changed from the previous scenario. A set of Monte Carlo experiments illustrates the effectiveness of the procedure. We also propose various extensions of the method, including its use to estimate the sensitivity of propagation characteristics in response to small changes in the infection probability.
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Tiwari, Ashutosh. "Current Scenario Of Coronavirus Pandemic." Advanced Materials Letters 11, no. 4 (April 1, 2020): 20041494. http://dx.doi.org/10.5185/amlett.2020.041494.
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DOVER, D. C., E. M. KIRWIN, N. HERNANDEZ-CERON, and K. A. NELSON. "Pandemic Risk Assessment Model (PRAM): a mathematical modeling approach to pandemic influenza planning." Epidemiology and Infection 144, no. 16 (August 22, 2016): 3400–3411. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0950268816001850.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
SUMMARYThe Pandemic Risk Assessment Model (PRAM) is a mathematical model developed to analyse two pandemic influenza control measures available to public health: antiviral treatment and immunization. PRAM is parameterized using surveillance data from Alberta, Canada during pandemic H1N1. Age structure and risk level are incorporated in the compartmental, deterministic model through a contact matrix. The model characterizes pandemic influenza scenarios by transmissibility and severity properties. Simulating a worst-case scenario similar to the 1918 pandemic with immediate stockpile release, antiviral demand is 20·3% of the population. With concurrent, effective and timely immunization strategies, antiviral demand would be significantly less. PRAM will be useful in informing policy decisions such as the size of the Alberta antiviral stockpile and can contribute to other pandemic influenza planning activities and scenario analyses.
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Richter, Andreas, and Thomas C. Wilson. "Covid-19: implications for insurer risk management and the insurability of pandemic risk." Geneva Risk and Insurance Review 45, no. 2 (September 2020): 171–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s10713-020-00054-z.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
Abstract This paper analyzes the insurability of pandemic risk and outlines how underwriting policies and scenario analysis are used to build resilience upfront and plan contingency actions for crisis scenarios. It then summarizes the unique “lessons learned” from the Covid-19 crisis by baselining actual developments against a reasonable, pre-Covid-19 pandemic scenario based on the 2002 SARS epidemic and 1918 Spanish influenza pandemic. Actual developments support the pre-Covid-19 hypothesis that financial market developments dominate claims losses due to the demographics of pandemics and other factors. However, Covid-19 “surprised” relative to the pre-Covid-19 scenario in terms of its impact on the real economy as well as on the property and casualty segment as business interruption property triggers and exclusions are challenged, something that may adversely impact the insurability of pandemics as well as the perception of the industry for some time to come. The unique lessons of Covid-19 reinforce the need for resilience upfront in solvency and liquidity, the need to improve business interruption wordings and re-underwrite the book, and the recognition that business interruption caused by pandemics may not be an insurable risk due to its large accumulation potential and the threat of external moral hazard. These insurability limitations lead to a discussion about the structure and financing of protection against the impact of future pandemics.
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Baral, Gehanath. "Changing scenario during COVID-19 pandemic." Nepal Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology 15, no. 1 (June 7, 2020): 7–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/njog.v15i1.29332.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
Regular activities, management, behavior, livelihood and regulations have been altered and customized during pandemic to cope with the newly appeared challenges. All steps of life have been affected unexpectedly. The epidemiological, political, clinical and psychosocial scenarios have been changing as the time passes; thus the initial guidelines and regulation are not enough to combat crisis over time.
Keywords: covid, crisis, guideline, pandemic, testing
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PSHENYCHNA, Iryna, Yuliia PRODIUS, and Serhii IZOTOV. "Scenario planning for the development of foreign economic activity of the hotel business enterprise in the conditions of the world pandemic." Economics. Finances. Law, no. 6 (June 18, 2021): 9–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.37634/efp.2021.6.2.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
Introduction. The hotel business is traditionally considered a highly profitable area of foreign economic activity. The most significant risk factors are considered to be economic, political and social instability in countries and regions. In 2020, almost all global tourism and hotel businesses faced a serious challenge in their development – a severe crisis caused by the rapid spread of a pandemic of a new species of coronavirus (COVID-19) around the world. In the context of a global pandemic, to support the activities of the hotel business, it is necessary to clearly define the content and sequence of certain actions to achieve the goals, which determines the process of planning and forecasting the activities of the enterprise. Scenario planning is a fairly flexible process of describing possible future scenarios. This is part of strategic planning, which refers to the tools and technologies that manage future uncertainty. The purpose of the paper is to consider the scenario planning of the development of foreign economic activity of the hotel-type enterprise in conditions of economic uncertainty. The paper considers scenario planning as one of the most effective tools of strategic planning at the enterprise, which allows to forecast the development of events in the shortest possible time and update the planned indicators for its effective management. Results. In the course of this research the method of strategic planning is used – scenario planning, with the help of which all possible forecasts of events at the enterprise in crisis conditions are built. An analysis of hotel activities during the pandemic. The methods of scenario planning at the hotel business enterprise in the conditions of economic uncertainty are investigated. The difference between traditional and scenario approaches to strategic planning is clarified. Scenarios of possible events of the hotel business enterprise in the future in the conditions of a pandemic on the example of a scenario cross are developed. Conclusion. Scenario planning proved its effectiveness during the global pandemic, when hotel enterprises that applied scenario planning were ready for change and simply applied a different scenario, continuing to go with the flow. Scenarios for further development of foreign economic activity of the enterprise are determined.
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Sugiyono, Agus, Joko Santosa, Adiarso, and Edi Hilmawan. "Pemodelan Dampak COVID-19 Terhadap Kebutuhan Energi di Indonesia." Jurnal Sistem Cerdas 3, no. 2 (August 31, 2020): 65–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.37396/jsc.v3i2.65.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
In order to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic, the government issued a large-scale social restriction policy (PSBB). The policy in the form of restrictions on social activities will limit economic activity which ultimately has an impact on decreasing energy demand. This PSBB policy is challenge in implementing a national energy management plan, and might causes some of the energy planning targets not to be achieved. To analyze the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on national energy demand, an energy model was created using LEAP software. LEAP is a model for comprehensive energy planning from energy resources to energy use based on an accounting system. For the purposes of analysis, LEAP requires quite detailed data, in the form of socioeconomic data, energy data, and community activity data due to social restrictions. In this paper, the results of energy modeling simulation are discussed in terms of energy demand based on the scenario of no pandemic or bussiness as usual (BAU) and three pandemic scenarios, namely: optimistic (OPT), moderate (MOD), and pessimistic (PES) scenarios. Energy demand in 2020 is predicted to decrease by 10.7% (OPT scenario), 15.3% (MOD scenario), and 20.0% (PES scenario) compared to the BAU scenario. The model can still be further developed to analyze the impact, both on the overall of demand side and energy supply side and also environmental aspects.
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Susani, Yoga Pamungkas, Prattama Santoso Utomo, and Nancy Margarita Rehatta. "DEVELOPING PBL SCENARIO FOR ONLINE TUTORIALS." Jurnal Pendidikan Kedokteran Indonesia: The Indonesian Journal of Medical Education 11, no. 2 (June 15, 2022): 205. http://dx.doi.org/10.22146/jpki.70249.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
Background: Scenario is one of the three main components of Problem-based Learning (PBL) besides students and tutors. Besides being an essential component in triggering interest in learning, scenarios also affect group dynamics and academic achievement. During the COVID-19 pandemic, most of the learning process was conducted online, including PBL tutorial discussions. Distraction during online PBL learning is a challenge that must be faced so that the discussion process can achieve the learning objectives. This condition requires the commitment of tutors and students and engaging scenarios that will also help students and tutors stay focused on the discussion. This article is a recommendation based on the IAMHPE Webinar #5 on the scenario development process to support the online PBL process. This article may provide a guide in developing PBL scenarios.Recommendation: The development of PBL scenarios in pandemic conditions still needs to consider various aspects of preparing a good and immersive scenario. The steps needed are ensuring the scenario development team, determining learning objectives and tutorial issues, designing innovative scenarios, conducting reviews and improving the quality of scenarios regularly, and preparing informative tutor guides.Conclusion: Scenarios for online PBL tutorials must support the application of the four PBL principles, namely constructive, contextual, self-directed learning, and collaborative learning. Each institution needs to create scenarios that are appropriate to its learning context.
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García Gómez, Blanca, Juan R. Coca, and Cristina Mesquita. "Teacher’s perspective in a challenging pandemic scenario." Aula Abierta 51, no. 2 (June 27, 2022): 181–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.17811/rifie.51.2.2022.181-190.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
This paper aims to understand the higher education teachers’ perspectives facing the necessity to adopt a full online learning methodology brought by COVID-19 pandemic situation. For this, we carried out a quantitative study by means of an online survey of teachers at the University of Valladolid, belonging to different categories and areas of knowledge. The aspects dealt with were, a) the tools used for teaching and evaluation, b) the perception of the teacher's previous preparation, c) the personal assessment of the work carried out, and d) the limitations observed in the development of teaching activity.
The main conclusions include the high number of teachers who had never taught online, the feeling of unease when faced with an unknown scenario, the excessive stress derived from the need to transfer teaching to an unknown scenario, the excessive use of transmission of contents via virtual campus, the perception of ICT as mere assistants of the teaching-learning process or the excessive concern for plagiarism linked to the evaluation via exam.
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Moskovicz, Dr Abraham (Abi). "Post-pandemic Scenario for University Startup Accelerators." Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks 5, no. 2 (2021): 52–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.21272/fmir.5(2).52-57.2021.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
This essay focuses on the post-Covid19 environment of entrepreneurial ideas that have potentials of success and growth in the coming years, providing an insight into the prolific funding being made available for University startups, especially in their early stages of development. To achieve this objective, it seems crucial to define firstly many terms frequently used and to determinate the involved variables. Whoever is able to predict this new post-Covid reality and glimpse the later scenario, will be better prepared for the new times, which will be as changing and indefinite as in the past. It seems the right time to transform ideas into realities. Whether it is a student presenting his thesis or an entrepreneur landing his postponed projects, this new scenario more than tempting forces to undertake. Through an University startup accelerator, it is possible to anticipate your competitors, learning about new proposals, counting on the advice and mentoring of independent professional experts. Universities with a sufficiently strong entrepreneurial ecosystem can serve as an ideal launch pad for startups founded by its own students and researchers.
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Coelho, Erika Oliveira de Miranda. "THE PANDEMIC SCENARIO AND BONE MARROW TRANSPLANTATION." JBMTCT 2, no. 1 (October 14, 2020): 15. http://dx.doi.org/10.46765/2675-374x.2020v2n1p15.
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Carlos L Pinheiro Muniz, Janailton. "POST -PANDEMIC SCENARIO FOR MEDICINE AND PEOPLE." Health and Society 3, no. 01 (March 6, 2023): 276–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.51249/hs.v3i01.1176.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19), first reported in China, quickly reached global proportions, which triggered a wave of compulsory confinements imposed by governments in order to ease the pandemic. In this scenario, patients, health workers and the general population are under insurmountable psychological pressure, which can lead to mental health problems, such as depression, anxiety, insomnia. In Brazil, the largest number of cases of the disease were notified in the city of São Paulo. With this in mind, an observational study of individuals participating in the Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil) was proposed, which seeks to analyze and monitor the mental health of 4150 patients during the period of social isolation and restricted commuting, as well as registering their evolution when submitted to psychoeducation and psychotherapy, looking for prevalences of associated psychiatric symptoms. In this study, individuals who sought psychological assistance, who scored with higher levels of severity and had significant worsening in the depression scale will be submitted to online psychotherapeutic sessions, guided by professionals in the fields of Psychiatry and Psychology. Based on this proposal, the possibility of using Telemedicine follows, more specifically, Telepsychiatry and Telepsychology, whose use underwent new revisions in March and April by CFM and CFP, respectively, which involved their exceptional release during the COVID-19 pandemic. With this, the broader use of these means for the follow-up of ELSA patients is sought, through the exploration of new platforms and their application to the exposed context.
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Iordanova, Veronika Grigoryevna, Maria Alexandrovna Shapor, and Buinta Yurievna Munchinova. "Scenario approach to assessing the prospects for the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy of countries (using the example of the United States, China and Russia)." Mezhdunarodnaja jekonomika (The World Economics), no. 9 (September 2021): 654–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.33920/vne-04-2109-01.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
The article is devoted to the study of the phenomenon of the scenario approach to assess the prospects for the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economies of countries using the example of the largest world leaders: the United States, China, Russia. The emerging global epidemiological problem is a serious constraining factor for the development of the economies of states. From the point of view of scientifi c novelty, the analysis and assessment of development scenarios for the economies of the studied states can become the basis for drawing up an action plan to eliminate the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. To this end, within the framework of this work, scenarios of further development were considered for each of the countries. For Russia, the following scenarios were chosen baseline scenario — the pace of development of the world economy will be slow, full recovery will take place at the end of 2023; deflationary scenario — in this scenario, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the current restrictions, will persist for a long time. At the same time, oil prices will reach $ 50 per barrel only after 2023, inflation by 2023 will reach 1.5-2.5 %; pro-inflationary scenario — the effects of the pandemic will subside quickly enough, but the potential level of output in the global economy will fall deeper. At the same time, oil prices by 2023 will be $ 42–43 per barrel; risk scenario — within the framework of this scenario, the possibility of a repeat of the COVID-19 pandemic is allowed and the tightening of restrictive measures, which will negatively affect the economies of states, is not excluded. The choice of the studied states was determined not only by world leadership, but also by the degree of influence of the coronavirus on their economies. During the study, a forecast of key indicators of the economies of the United States, China and Russia for 2021 was carried out, the prospects for their dynamics in the current economic situation were assessed, and the main trends followed by the governments of states were examined and identified.
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Kharvari, Farzam, Sara Azimi, and William O’Brien. "A preliminary scenario analysis of the impacts of teleworking on energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions." Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2069, no. 1 (November 1, 2021): 012077. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2069/1/012077.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
Abstract This paper uses scenario analysis to investigate the broader impact of teleworking in four scenarios including the COVID-19 pandemic, worst-, moderate-, and best-case scenarios on building-level energy use, energy consumption in transportation, and information and communication technology (ICT) usage by using the databases of the Government of Canada. The COVID-19 scenario relies on the available data for the pandemic period. The worst-case scenario is when telework has an adverse effect on energy use while the moderate-and best-case scenarios are when the minimum and maximum savings are achieved by telework. The data includes commuting distances, electricity and natural gas consumption for offices and residential buildings, and ICT usage. Then, the associated GHG emissions are calculated for transportation, residential and office buildings, and ICT and the analysis are carried out by applying a potential fraction of saving to the associated GHG emissions of each domain and scenario. This paper demonstrates the potential energy savings of teleworking significantly depends on teleworker behavior to a degree that in the worst-case scenario no potential saving is observed while the savings are significant in the best-case scenario. Therefore, the impact of telework is highly uncertain and complicated and current statistics are insufficient for accurate estimates.
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Sharma, Awadhesh Kumar. "Corona virus pandemic: current scenario and future hopes." International Journal of Research in Medical Sciences 8, no. 5 (April 27, 2020): 1957. http://dx.doi.org/10.18203/2320-6012.ijrms20201572.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
Whenever we human beings challenge the existence of the god or tried to prove ourselves superior to the nature. The Nature bounces back in the form of these pandemics of infectious disease which forced us to either surrender or to lockdown ourselves in homes. The current outbreak of Corona Virus Disease-19 (COVID-19) is the same warning from nature. It is spreading very fast from one country to other and almost affects the whole world. We have many unanswered questions. Currently in absence of any definitive treatment, prevention is an only option. But future hopes are still there. This article gives a brief and accurate detail of COVID-19 pandemic regarding current situation and future hopes.
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Morea, Juan Pablo. "Post COVID-19 Pandemic Scenarios in an Unequal World Challenges for Sustainable Development in Latin America." World 2, no. 1 (December 24, 2020): 1–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/world2010001.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted numerous academic debates about its impact on health and the economy and on possible post-pandemic scenarios across the globe. The discussion has been focused on whether the pandemic will mark a turning point and a unique opportunity to generate radical changes in the economic and productive system, or if the State assistance role will, once again, serve to rescue the capitalist system. There is a common link between these two opposing positions in that there will be a crossroads for the future of humanity, regarding the treatment that will be given to nature. However, some of the most optimistic visions seem to underestimate the different realities that the world presents. This paper proposes a combined analysis about the possible post-pandemic scenarios that are debated at a global level, and the impacts of the pandemic in the context of Latin America to fill an information gap and to aid understanding on what the possible post-pandemic scenarios for Latin America could be. The first findings show that the debates about the post-pandemic future at the global level could be grouped between: the return to “business as usual”; a managed transition; and a paradigm shift. For Latin America, the post-pandemic scenario will be highly conditioned on how the new world order is reconfigured, and moving on a path towards sustainability for the region in the post-pandemic scenario seems to be linked to two possibilities: a kind of revolt or revolution fostered by the social bases; or a solution of a global nature that favors making long-term decisions. If this does not occur, the most likely scenario seems to be a return to business as usual.
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Brunson, Emily, Hannah Chandler, Gigi Gronvall, Sanjana Ravi, Tara Sell, Matthew Shearer, and Monica Schoch-Spana. "The SPARS Pandemic 2025-2028: A Futuristic Scenario to Facilitate Medical Countermeasure Communication." Journal of International Crisis and Risk Communication Research 3, no. 1 (March 9, 2020): 71–102. http://dx.doi.org/10.30658/jicrcr.3.1.4.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
Effective communication about medical countermeasures—including drugs, devices and biologics—is often critical in emergency situations. Such communication, however, does not just happen. It must be planned and prepared for. One mechanism to develop communication strategies is through the use of prospective scenarios, which allow readers the opportunity to rehearse responses while also weighing the implications of their actions. This article describes the development of such a scenario: The SPARS Pandemic 2025-2028. Steps in this process included deciding on a timeframe, identifying likely critical uncertainties, and then using this framework to construct a storyline covering both the response and recovery phases of a fictional emergency event. Lessons learned from the scenario development and how the scenario can be used to improve communication are also discussed.
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Höhl, Wolfgang. "COVID-19 and digital transformation: developing an open experimental testbed for sustainable and innovative environments using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps." F1000Research 10 (April 1, 2021): 264. http://dx.doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.51357.1.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
This paper sketches a new approach using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) to operably map and simulate digital transformation in architecture and urban planning. Today these processes are poorly understood. Many current studies on digital transformation are only treating questions of economic efficiency. Sustainability and social impact only play a minor role. Decisive definitions, concepts and terms stay unclear. Therefore this paper develops an open experimental testbed for sustainable and innovative environments (ETSIE) for three different digital transformation scenarios using FCMs. A traditional growth-oriented scenario, a COVID-19 scenario and an innovative and sustainable COVID-19 scenario are modeled and tested. All three scenarios have the same number of components, connections and the same driver components. Only the initial state vectors are different and the internal correlations are weighted differently. This allows for comparing all three scenarios on an equal basis. The Mental Modeler software is used. This paper presents one of the first applications of FCMs in the context of digital transformation. It is shown that the traditional growth-oriented scenario is structurally very similar to the current COVID-19 scenario. The current pandemic is able to accelerate digital transformation to a certain extent. But the pandemic does not guarantee for a distinct sustainable and innovative future development. Only by changing the initial state vectors and the weights of the connections an innovative and sustainable turnaround in a third scenario becomes possible.
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Davidovsky, Anatoly G., and Natalya V. Lapitskaya. "Social consequences of the education digital transformation in the conditions of the coronacrisis." Journal of the Belarusian State University. Sociology, no. 2 (June 29, 2022): 56–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.33581/2521-6821-2022-2-56-65.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
A bioinspired quasi-molecular scenario analysis algorithm has been developed, on the basis of which seven scenarios of the social consequences of the digital transformation of education, as well as five scenarios of the development of the social consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, have been proposed. The scenario approach is an effective tool for system analysis and forecasting of various variants of social activity of Internet users in the conditions of the coronacrisis.
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Chaurasiya, Mr Yogesh. "A Study on COVID-19 Scenario Using Python Pandas." International Journal for Research in Applied Science and Engineering Technology 10, no. 5 (May 31, 2022): 1052–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.22214/ijraset.2022.42438.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
Abstract: The World Health Organization (WHO) professed the coronavirus outburst a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) on 30th January 2020 and a pandemic on 11th March 2020. First part of the study incorporates presenting global pandemic scenarios and visual analysis of first five foremost countries (USA, Brazil, India, Russia, South Africa) of world affected with the pandemic based on data mining from John Hopkins university and Github Time series data using Python 3.7 and Pandas with other tools. Followed by that an analysis is done to comprehend situations between Singapore and countrieswith similar demography to understand the critical situations. The analysis started by uploading 3 different data types of all countries in terms of Confirmed, Death and Recovery cases starting from 22nd January, 2020 to 25th July 2020. This helps to summarise the trends of COVID-19 pandemic from initiation to further spread as population and GDP plays a vital role. Thus, we found that the countries with largest population and GDP is more prone to pandemic. Keyword: Trend analysis, COVID-19, data mining, global scenario, Indian scenario
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Sotto, Romeo B., April Z. Luzon, Seth B. Barandon, Jocelyn O. Jintalan, Maria Joy I. Idian, Estelito R. Clemente, Marlon S. Pontillas, Harold Jan R. Terano, Juvy M. Bustamante, and Filmor J. Murillo. "ALPAS (ALleviating PAndemic Severity) Through Foresight: Capping the Digital Divide." Journal of Education, Management and Development Studies 3, no. 1 (March 27, 2023): 13–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.52631/jemds.v3i1.174.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
Everyone has lost their footing due to the pandemic. The academic community was unprepared, leaving both professors and students bewildered and without a sense of direction. The goal at the time was to overcome the calamity of educational discontinuity. Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 4 – Education goal aims “to ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all” relative to this SDG and the surge of the pandemic, digital divide become prominent, altering the course of educational landscape in all levels across public and private institutions. In the Bicol region, education was delivered in many various forms and variability, predicting the future through strategic foresight could propel the region to a transformed future. This paper discusses in detail the status of education in the region and the possible scenarios using Jim Dator’s Future Scenario Archetypes, Causal Layered Analysis and through Scenario Planning Plus. Four plausible scenarios have surfaced in this paper: STUG-nation of Education, Unstable and Disarray of Educational elements, Flowing-restrained Education, and ORAGON Education. It requires multiple drivers as examined through the PESTEL that includes political, economic, social, technological, environmental, legal aspects. This study proved useful in crafting and anticipating the future scenarios of Bicol Region’s education. Preliminary as it may, this study highlighted important building blocks of future scenarios through foresight methods. Dator’s framework was proved to be very useful in developing the four scenarios, the use of other future study tools will further amplify plausible scenarios for the education of Bicol region and beyond.
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Chopra, Dr Ashish, Dr Sumit Saini, Dr Shikha Chopra, Dr Manas Gupta, and Dr Robin Jindal. "Orthopaedic surgeon in Covid-19 pandemic: Indian scenario." International Journal of Orthopaedics Sciences 7, no. 1 (January 1, 2021): 843–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.22271/ortho.2021.v7.i1m.2579.
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Samanta, Sipra. "PANDEMIC SCENARIO OF TAMLUK IN PURBA MEDINIPUR DISTRICT." International Journal of Advanced Research 8, no. 12 (December 31, 2020): 705–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.21474/ijar01/12201.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
At the end of the last year, 2019 a pneumonia/ SARS like respiratory disease broke out Wuhan, the largest metropolitan area in Chinas Hubei province. It started in the month of December.On Feb 11, 2020, the WHO Director General announced that the disease is caused by a new variety of corona virus.The disease was called COVID-19 or Corona virus disease 2019. Corona virus is large, roughly spherical particles with tuberous surface projections. The objective of this paper is to increase awareness regarding COVID-19 among the people at Tamluk sub-division of purba Medinipur district of West Bengal in India. This paper highlights about different problems such as economical, social, educational and mental during pandemic period in Tamluk sub-division. Preventive strategies are (a) to wash hands frequently with a soap (b) to use personal protective equipment (PPE) such as FFP3 or N95 mask, disposable gown and gloves, (c) to maintain social distancing or avoid close contact with others (d) to avoid touching eyes, nose and mouth, (e) medical care for breathing problem (f) to admit local hospital for fever, coughs or sneezes (g) to avoid public gatherings (h) to stay home etc. The COVID-19 pandemic is spreading day after day all over the world. An immediate discovery of approved Vaccine is required to protect people against this disease.
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Samanta, Sipra. "PANDEMIC SCENARIO OF TAMLUK IN PURBA MEDINIPUR DISTRICT." International Journal of Advanced Research 8, no. 12 (December 31, 2020): 705–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.21474/ijar01/12201.
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At the end of the last year, 2019 a pneumonia/ SARS like respiratory disease broke out Wuhan, the largest metropolitan area in Chinas Hubei province. It started in the month of December.On Feb 11, 2020, the WHO Director General announced that the disease is caused by a new variety of corona virus.The disease was called COVID-19 or Corona virus disease 2019. Corona virus is large, roughly spherical particles with tuberous surface projections. The objective of this paper is to increase awareness regarding COVID-19 among the people at Tamluk sub-division of purba Medinipur district of West Bengal in India. This paper highlights about different problems such as economical, social, educational and mental during pandemic period in Tamluk sub-division. Preventive strategies are (a) to wash hands frequently with a soap (b) to use personal protective equipment (PPE) such as FFP3 or N95 mask, disposable gown and gloves, (c) to maintain social distancing or avoid close contact with others (d) to avoid touching eyes, nose and mouth, (e) medical care for breathing problem (f) to admit local hospital for fever, coughs or sneezes (g) to avoid public gatherings (h) to stay home etc. The COVID-19 pandemic is spreading day after day all over the world. An immediate discovery of approved Vaccine is required to protect people against this disease.
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Latika kothari, Sanskruti Wadatkar, Roshni Taori, Pavan Bajaj, and Diksha Agrawal. "Coronavirus: Towards controlling of the pandemic - Indian scenario." International Journal of Research in Pharmaceutical Sciences 11, SPL1 (August 13, 2020): 462–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.26452/ijrps.v11ispl1.2813.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a communicable infection caused by the novel coronavirus resulting in severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV). It was recognized to be a health crisis for the general population of international concern on 30th January 2020 and conceded as a pandemic on 11th March 2020. India is taking various measures to fight this invisible enemy by adopting different strategies and policies. To stop the COVID-19 from spreading, the Home Affairs Ministry and the health ministry, of India, has issued the nCoV 19 guidelines on travel. Screening for COVID-19 by asking questions about any symptoms, recent travel history, and exposure. India has been trying to get testing kits available. The government of India has enforced various laws like the social distancing, Janata curfew, strict lockdowns, screening door to door to control the spread of novel coronavirus. In this pandemic, innovative medical treatments are being explored, and a proper vaccine is being hunted to deal with the situation. Infection control measures are necessary to prevent the virus from further spreading and to help control the current situation. Thus, this review illustrates and explains the criteria provided by the government of India to the awareness of the public to prevent the spread of COVID-19.
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Bains, Vivek Kumar. "COVID-19 pandemic: Current scenario and our role." Asian Journal of Oral Health and Allied Sciences 10 (April 9, 2020): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.25259/ajohas_3_2020.
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Gonçalves, Marta Marçal, and Francisco Manzanares Villena. "Resilience of Urban Infrastructures in a Pandemic Scenario." European Journal of Formal Sciences and Engineering 4, no. 2 (October 15, 2021): 10. http://dx.doi.org/10.26417/484ccz15b.
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Most of the work on resilience of urban infrastructures focuses on their technical performance and reliability in disaster situations. In general, when we link urban infrastructure and Civil Engineering, we think of technology, engineering, constructions and technical or control buildings. In a state of pandemic like the current one, the study of the relationship between urban infrastructures and resilience is a phenomenon scarcely studied in the literature. The main objectives of the article are to analyse, from a Civil Engineering and actors’ perspective, the role and behaviour of urban infrastructures for the maintenance of the wellbeing of the community in a pandemic situation, and to fill a gap in the existing bibliography. The authors argue that the human factor is the most important element for infrastructure to be resilient in a Covid-19 situation. To achieve the objectives, a review of the literature was carried out considering the works published in the last 10 years. Then, a reflection is made about the influence of the resilience in infrastructures during a pandemic situation considering the relevant sustainability factors. As practical implications of this article, the drawn conclusions are expected to represent value for the societies of the future.
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Mazhar, Saima, and Farzeen Tanwir. "“Pakistan’s Scenario in Pandemic Situation of COVID-19”." Journal of Bahria University Medical and Dental College 12, no. 01 (December 29, 2021): 65. http://dx.doi.org/10.51985/jbumdc2021080.
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Emergence of Covid-19 in Pakistan is an element of continuing pandemic caused by (SARS-CoV-2) virus1.It was confirmed in our country on 26th February 20202. By 18th March 2020, cases were confirmed in 4 different provinces of Pakistan,3 and by 17th June, each district had recorded a minimum of one confirmed case of COVID-19.
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Del Puerto, Charlene Brum, and Maria Luiza Cardinale Baptista. "Necropolis in front of Covid-19 pandemic: tourist scenario." Revista Rosa dos Ventos - Turismo e Hospitalidade 12, Especial (July 12, 2020): 1–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.18226/21789061.v12i3a16.
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Giripunje, Pranay. "Public Health Ethics in Covid-19 Scenario." Psychology and Education Journal 58, no. 2 (February 4, 2021): 621–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.17762/pae.v58i2.1892.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
Due to the pandemic, authorities of India followed public health measures to include its unfold within the India. a number of measures were imposed on public like obligatory home and institution quarantine, and social distancing. Although it being a public fitness emergency, the measures observed required crucial appraisal and use of an ethics and human rights technique. The goal of paper is to give an ethics and human rights standards to compare public fitness measures and use it to reflect on the ethical sides of these adopted through the authorities of India to consist of the unfold of pandemic.
first we discuss all the measure taken for ethics in the human rights concerns for public and their fitness measures with all the emergencies. We then brief India’s social and economic conditions and some of the measures followed to include the unlock of pandemic. After that, some moral duty of some of India’s responses to pandemic. We then do evaluation to discover the measures adopted by the authorities of India to slow the spread of pandemic, the ethics and human rights issues typically given for public health responder . we analysed that some of the measures violated ethics and human rights ideas. despite the fact that a some human rights can on occasion be legitimately lowered and constrained to meet public fitness dreams at some stage in public fitness emergencies, measures that infringe on human rights have to fulfil positive way of ethics and human rights standards. Other of the ones requirements i being powerful, strictly critical, proportionate to the value of the danger, questionable in the conditions, least restrictive. We tell about India’s primary measures to fight the pandemic and tell that a variety of them fell incomplete of those criteria, and were not effective at all.
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Setiyono, B., S. I. Wahyudi, and H. P. Adi. "Analysis of Construction Implementation Time and Cost Scheduling by Adjusting Budget Changes Due to the Covid-19 Pandemic (Case Study on the Randugunting Dam Construction Project)." IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 955, no. 1 (January 1, 2022): 012007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/955/1/012007.
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Abstract The Randugunting Dam, located in Blora Regency, is planned to have a capacity of 10.40 million m and is expected to irrigate an area of 630 Ha, providing a raw water supply of 0.15 m/second. The construction activity of the Randugunting Dam is one of the construction works that has been affected by the Covid-19 pandemic, namely cash flow is hampered. Therefore we need an analysis of cash flow management scenarios and determining strategies for handling the impact of the pandemic on implementation. The data used in this study is the result of interviews with the project implementation team for the Randugunting Dam construction, and data on the project cost budget. Cash flow management analysis is carried out by applying 3 scenarios, namely: scenario 1 (fixed time), scenario 2 (slowed down time), and scenario 3 (accelerated time). The analysis was carried out with the help of the Microsoft Project 2010. The determination of the handling strategy in this study used the DSS (Decision Support System) method, and the SWOT (Strength, Weakness, Opportunity, and Threat). The results of the study chose scenario 3, which is to speed up the time of 6 months. Acceleration is done by increasing the working time. The annual cost required is higher than scenario 1 (fixed time) and 2 (delayed time by 7 months), but the building is completed faster and can be used immediately. The strategy generated by SWOT analysis is Diversity Strategy and produces 8 (eight) strategies. Diversity Strategy is a strategy by maximizing internal strength factors (S), namely increasing the internal capabilities of project implementers and avoiding external threat factors (T), especially related to the Covid-19 pandemic.
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Hussain, Manzoor. "Effects of COVID19 Pandemic on Child Health and Post Pandemic Scenario in Bangladesh." Bangladesh Journal of Child Health 44, no. 1 (October 12, 2020): 4–7. http://dx.doi.org/10.3329/bjch.v44i1.49678.
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Haque, Md Musa, Chandan Sheikder, Rodrigue Djembong, and Md Tawsif Wahid Piash. "Retroactive about Robotics Application with Artificial Intelligence toward the Global Pandemic Scenario." European Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science 7, no. 2 (April 3, 2023): 34–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.24018/ejece.2023.7.2.494.
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The COVID-19 pandemic affects the entire world and took about 4.25% of people’s life compared with SARS-CoV-2. In this challenging situation about 25,000 frontline healthcare workers are affected by COVID-19 while providing support for the infected people. Hence, frontline workers are highly affected by the COVID-19 virus due to the absence of appropriate drugs or vaccines. The increase in the spread of the virus leads to a shortage of healthcare workers in different countries. In this scenario, to protect the frontline workers from the COVID-19 virus robots integrated with Artificial Intelligence are employed for pandemic diseases. This paper evaluated the contribution of robotics to the COVID-19 pandemic which comprises Artificial Intelligence. Initially, this paper presented the existing robotics model employed for the COVID-19 pandemics are examined. Through the analysis, the Simultaneous Fast Filtering Localization and Mapping (SFFLAM) model is developed for the hospital environment to promote frontline worker safety in the COVID-19 pandemic. The proposed SFFLAM model uses the extended Kalman filtering integrated with the sectorial error probability (SEP) for robot localization. The examination of robots expressed that through the integration of artificial intelligence robots are employed for the medical, UV-disinfectant, social, COBOTS, and drones. The examination expresses that the proposed SFFLAM model exhibits improved robotics performance for localization and processing. The application of robots with artificial intelligence increases the performance of the overall robot in the hospital during pandemic situations.
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Pujiono, E., O. Hidayat, and G. N. Njurumana. "Land sustainability for public cemeteries in KHDTK Hambala: a preliminary study on the borrow-to-use forest area with a cooperation mechanism in Sumba, Indonesia." IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 909, no. 1 (November 1, 2021): 012010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/909/1/012010.
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Abstract Deaths due to the COVID-19 pandemic in East Sumba raised the problem of limited burial grounds, so the government tried to provide a new location. The Hambala Special Purpose Forest Area (KHDTK) has a potential land to be used as a burial site by MoEF Regulation No.P.27/2018. The study analyzed the suitability of burial grounds using a GIS-based multi-criteria approach. Criteria and indicators cover the legality (license status of forests, policies), management (master plans, detailed plans), technical (human resources, infrastructure), socio-economic (pandemic, grave needs, economic impacts, culture, conflict), and ecological (topography, land cover, distance to water sources and settlements). A multi-criteria evaluation of the proposed use of KHDTK covering an area of 17 ha resulted in three scenarios of the burial land suitability map, namely the ‘strict scenario’ covering an area of 1.5 hectares; moderate scenario covering an area of 6.5 hectares, and ‘scenario loosely’ covering an area of 14.2 hectares. The third scenario as a reference for managers and stakeholders is lend-use of Forest Areas for burial grounds by government cooperation mechanism.
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Sarkisyan, Jacqueline M., and Maya A. Tikhonova. "ANTI-CRISIS SCENARIO TECHNOLOGIES OF SMALL BUSINESS MANAGEMENT IN THE PANDEMIC PERIOD." Scientific Review. Series 1. Economics and Law, no. 5 (2020): 42–51. http://dx.doi.org/10.26653/2076-4650-2020-5-04.
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The article discusses the possibilities of applying the scenario approach to anti-crisis management in the short term. The object of the study is small business as the most affected business segment in the pandemic, which requires actions adequate to the current crisis situation within the framework of the formed set for the implementation of anti-crisis actions. This will reduce the impact of uncertainty and reduce the economic consequences of business interruptions or lower revenues, as well as design scenarios and corresponding strategies for overcoming the crisis or development strategies in order to renew the business in the long term after the crisis while maintaining control over the current situation, taking into account the requirements of a quick response. Scenarios are a useful tool for the innovation and business community anywhere, but in these difficult times they open up the mindset for positive and offensive action instead of defensive, threat-based behavior. The scenarios accommodated unexpected changes in the business environment.
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Gevú, Nayara, Bianca Carvalho, Guilherme C. Fagerlande, Maria Lygia Niemeyer, Marina Medeiros Cortês, and Julio Cesar Boscher Torres. "Rio de Janeiro noise mapping during the COVID-19 pandemic period." Noise Mapping 8, no. 1 (January 1, 2021): 162–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/noise-2021-0012.
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Abstract This paper presents a comparison between the acoustic scenario at the Rio de Janeiro city center, before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Undergoing one of the most important pandemics of the recent history, the social isolation led to a new acoustic scenario for Rio de Janeiro. The study was realized at the city center, an area of historical, economic and cultural relevance. The comparison consisted of analyzing measured data and noise maps produced for the city center area. The maps were created according to measured and collected data of the respective time periods. The acoustic scenario prior to the pandemic time was reconstructed based on previous measurements and data collection, while the pandemic one was built with data survey during the highest social isolation index on July 2020. The comparative analysis showed a considerable noise reduction, between 10 and 15 dB, for areas where the traffic noise was not intense and where the human activities were predominant on the streets. However, there was no substantial noise decrease for the areas around the major avenues. This occurred due to the traffic intensity drop to 50% during the pandemic, which meant a noise reduction between 3 and 5 dB.
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Fulekar, Jyoti, Radhey Shyam Kaushal, and Madhusudan H. Fulekar. "Covid-19 Lockdown: Environmental Scenario." International Journal of Current Microbiology and Applied Sciences 11, no. 6 (June 10, 2022): 9–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.20546/ijcmas.2022.1106.002.
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Worldwide, Corona virus Lock down, including India has improved- Air Quality, Water Quality and Reduction in Green House Gases-Emission as Industries shut, transportation slowed, Flights grounded and Human Activities minimised; there was no Air pollution emission, there was no dumping and /or discharging of Industrial effluents, Solid wastes, Sewage etc. which are sources of pollution. India’s Corona virus –Lock down improves water quality of Rivers-Ganga and Yamuna and others water resources as well. Industrial effluents and Sewage, if not discharged, in Ganga-River, Ganga Water can be purified. People in Delhi, one of the World’s polluted Cities, are now breathing Cleaner Air. Many other Countries around the World have also seen Air Quality improved Amid the Pandemic. The Covid-19 –Lock down. Corona virus measures imposed in different countries have positive impact on Environment. There is a need to end the illegal wildlife trade globally to prevent future pandemic and biodiversity loss. The Covid-19 had positive and negative consequences on biodiversity resources. The Covid-19 pandemic remains a threat to biodiversity conservation. Worldwide- Green House Gases- Emissions reduced: India (Delhi)-70%, USA (North-East)-30%, China -10%, European Countries-58% likewise. However, Environmentalist worried- reduction in Air Pollution & GHG’s-emission is Temporary, as Work will retain to Business, the Level of Air Pollution and GHS’s –level again will come back to the level as found, before Corona virus-Lock down. European Activist call for Green Investment to restart growth after Corona virus Crises; and ensure that rebuilt Economies are stronger. Green Groups in India’s suggested to take note and rethink Policies on Industrial Development for Concern of Environment. During covid-19 lockdown period climate changes have also been highlighted.
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Aryantie, M. H., T. Widodo, R. Wahyuni, B. Purwanto, and M. Y. Hidayat. "Projection of incinerators for medical waste processing during a pandemic: a case study of COVID-19 in Jakarta Province." IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 909, no. 1 (November 1, 2021): 012011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/909/1/012011.
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Abstract Medical waste management due to the COVID-19 pandemic is important and urgent. An approach is needed to assess the weight of medical waste and to design appropriate waste management. The research was conducted in 2020 when the pandemic was still ongoing and had not yet reached the peak of the outbreak. Thus, the analysis was built based on assumptions and available data. The research was quantitative. Data were collected digitally (by big data retrieval and web survey) on the COVID-19 referral hospitals in Jakarta Province. The results showed that before the pandemic the weight of inpatients' medical waste was 1.57 kg/bed/day, while for COVID-19 inpatients was 1.84 kg/bed/day. The last number was processed with a limited projection of Jakarta population in 2020, then tested using two scenarios. First scenario was a pandemic condition without treatment. Second scenario was a pandemic condition plus vaccinations on D11. First scenario resulted that on D75, almost all residents of Jakarta would be infected with the SARS-COV2 virus and the maximum capacity of hospital incinerators in Jakarta was reached on D11. Second scenario resulted that the plague rate is resolved so that it does not infect all residents of Jakarta, but the capacity of hospital incinerators in Jakarta is still not adequate (limit on D11). Research has implications for environmental management budget planning in dealing with infectious disease outbreaks. The research recommendation is to calculate the weight of COVID-19 medical waste according to current conditions, which includes parameters such as the maximum hospital occupancy rate and the availability of large-scale incinerators belong to third-party.
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Kumar, Utsang, Shailja Singhal, Rekha Khandia, and Ashok Munjal. "CURRENT SCENARIO OF THE PANDEMIC COVID-19: AN OVERVIEW." Journal of Experimental Biology and Agricultural Sciences 8, Spl-1-SARS-CoV-2 (October 31, 2020): S158—S175. http://dx.doi.org/10.18006/2020.8(spl-1-sars-cov-2).s158.s175.
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The novel coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) caused by the SARS-CoV-2 is an emerging disease with deadly consequences, extended its stride over the globe commenced from the epicenter, Wuhan wet market, China led to declare globally as pandemic disease. Several non-specific features of the disease like prolonged incubation period, asymptomatic yet contagious, longer illness duration, and conveyance post clinical recovery feature makes prevention difficult and is the key reason for its rapid spread across the world. Covid-19 shows varied manifestations with the majority of reported cases having mild or even no symptoms. However, the infection led to a destructive footprint in the pulmonary system, specifically, lungs are most prone to damage, making them incapable of conducting respiratory functions and thus, resulting in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), multi-organ dysfunction, and loss of life. Up to the present, there is no worldwide-approved treatment for COVID-19 and only repurposed drugs are employed for the hospitalized patient, necessitating an urgent need to develop effective therapeutics. Hence, effective control of disease spread through screening and isolation of contacts is crucial in the community. The contagion effect of the COVID-19 outbreak has brought major challenges to health systems as well as global economy worldwide. Development of rapid diagnostic test and effective vaccine as well as minimizing the exposure of the human population to possible animal reservoirs is measures needed to curb future impact. The outbreak of SARS-CoV in 2003 followed by MERS-CoV within a decade, indicates the threat of novel infectious diseases resulting from RNA viruses, will continue to present a serious global health threat, as epitomized by COVID-19. Therefore, this review is attempting to provide an overview of the current scenario of COVID-19 in terms of epidemiology, pathophysiology, diagnosis, prevention, and treatment, especially focusing on public health impact.
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Kundu, Subhendu. "Present Scenario of ‘online Education’ During Covid-19 Pandemic." Management Accountant Journal 55, no. 11 (November 1, 2020): 94. http://dx.doi.org/10.33516/maj.v55i11.94-101p.
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Ahmed, Md Easin. "Reasons of Apathy to Pandemic Instructions: Scenario in Bangladesh." International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science 05, no. 06 (2021): 391–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.47772/ijriss.2021.5622.
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Verikios, George, Maura Sullivan, Pane Stojanovski, James Giesecke, and Gordon Woo. "Assessing Regional Risks From Pandemic Influenza: A Scenario Analysis." World Economy 39, no. 8 (August 1, 2015): 1225–55. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/twec.12296.
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Zaborovskaia, Olga, Elena Sharafanova, and Liudmila Maksanova. "Scenario Forecasting Tourist Flows during the COVID-2019 Pandemic." International Journal of Technology 11, no. 8 (December 18, 2020): 1570. http://dx.doi.org/10.14716/ijtech.v11i8.4577.
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Priyadarshini, Rekha, Lourdu Jafrin, A. Aravinthan, and Gurusamy Sivagnanam. "Rationing PPEs during a pandemic: The COVID-19 scenario." Research in Social and Administrative Pharmacy 17, no. 1 (January 2021): 2044–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.sapharm.2020.06.008.
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Ladha, Suruchi, and Arvind Prakash. "COVID-19 Pandemic and Anesthetic Challenges in Indian Scenario." Journal of Cardiac Critical Care TSS 04, no. 01 (June 22, 2020): 70–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1055/s-0040-1713491.
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DANICH, VITALIY, and MARYNA TATAR. "SCENARIOS OF BUSINESS ENTITIES SOCIO-ECONOMIC INTERACTION IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL CHALLENGES." REVIEW OF TRANSPORT ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT, no. 7(23) (February 11, 2023): 177–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.15802/rtem2022/268804.
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Abstract. The coronavirus pandemic has become one of the greatest global challenges of our time, posing a significant threat to socio-political processes and requiring both government institutions and businesses to find ways to respond quickly and effectively. In the context of global challenges, the issue of forming scenarios of socio-economic interaction of business entities, research on changes in these scenarios due to the acceleration of digitalization and robotization of business and the transition to a remote format of work is especially relevant. The aim of the article is formation scenarios of business entities socio-economic interaction in the context of global challenges. The following methods were used to achieve the goal: abstract and logical, synergetic, statistical, comparative, horizontal, vertical, tabular, graphic, scenario methods. Results. The article defines the concept of scenario and scenario approach. It is noted that the scenarios for the development of the pandemic itself as a biological global challenge should be distinguished; scenarios of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on various spheres of social development; scenarios of doing business in a pandemic. Characteristics that can determine pandemic scenarios are considered. The pandemic impact scenarios provided by various international and national organizations and bodies and the change of these scenarios over time are analyzed. The forecast of GDP provided by different organizations is presented and in order to analyze the actual implementation of the forecast, a comparison of forecast values and real values of GDP, which was in 2020 and 2021 in fact. Macro indicators of economic and social development of Ukraine according to the main and alternative scenarios are analyzed. In developing scenarios of socio-economic cooperation in order to increase their effectiveness, it is proposed to take into account environmental factors (ecosystems), external and internal environments of the enterprise, in particular, take into account the scope of activities, size of the enterprise, regional location and regional differences, financial condition of entities during global challenges, flexibility of management, its ability to adapt and dynamism in response to challenges, the level of interaction of the business entity with public authorities and local governments (public-partnership relations), the level of corporate social responsibility, the desire to cooperate with employees, the public, to preserve the ecosystem, maintain employee health, charity, employee loyalty, etc. The practical significance of the research lies in the possibility of establishing effective interaction between business entities in the implementation of different scenarios in the context of global challenges. The development of scenarios and relevant strategies will make possible to renew the business in the long run after the crisis caused by such a global challenge as the COVID-19 pandemic, while maintaining control over the current situation, taking into account the requirements of rapid response. As part of further research, it is planned to develop scenarios for business entities socio-economic development and scenarios for their interaction within the implementation of existing business processes at the enterprise.
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Yu, Kehan. "The Impact of Covid-19 on China's Real Estate Market." BCP Business & Management 38 (March 2, 2023): 3014–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.54691/bcpbm.v38i.4229.
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The real estate industry is one of the most vital industries in any economy. The industry entails improvements to structures, roads, utility systems, and buildings and is responsible for creating many jobs. Many challenges have faced the real estate industry, including outbreaks of COVID-19 and Pneumoconiosis. The COVID-19 pandemic had a huge effect on the real estate industry, with sales of property declining significantly. There are three scenarios that can be used to explain the trajectory of the real estate industry after the pandemic. The first scenario, which is the negative scenario, shows that commercial property sales will decline by 13% year on year. The second optimistic scenario points out that sales will increase during the second half of the year and cause a 7% decrease year-on-year. Lastly, under the neutral scenario, sales will be the same as those of the previous years, and the decrease may exceed 10%. In conclusion, the real estate industry faces significant challenges due to the pandemic. There are likely to be differences in recovery as first-tier cities such as Shanghai and Beijing are expected to rebound due to a fall in mortgage rates and strong talent recruiting. Second-tier cities will experience the quickest recovery due to strong urban foundations, high population, housing demand, and economic resilience.
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Kanza, Umairoh Mutia, and Estuning Tyas Wulan Mei. "Exploring Socioeconomic Vulnerability of Traditional Market Sellers To COVID-19 Pandemic." GeoEco 8, no. 2 (July 6, 2022): 175. http://dx.doi.org/10.20961/ge.v8i2.59642.
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<p><em>Traditional market as a major resource of inexpensive goods for countless middle and low-income classes as well as an essential source of livings for many persons is one of the crowded places having high risk of SARS-CoV-2 virus (COVID-19) transmission. In a one hand, working in packed, precarious conditions, and becoming sick due to COVID-19 will have devastating effects on sellers’ entire households. In the other hand, markets must remain open so that customers may buy goods and sellers and their supply chains may preserve their livings. By taking location in Gede Market, Cilacap Regency, Central Java Province, this research aims (i) to analyze the social and economic vulnerability of sellers to COVID-19 pandemic, and (ii) to identify the coping strategy of sellers to deal with COVID-19 pandemic. Quantitative and qualitative data were retrieved towards 50 traditional market sellers and related keypersons. AHP (Analytical Hierarchy Process) was used to measure the weight of each variable and factor of social and economic vulnerability. Multi scenarios analysis of socioeconomic vulnerability were conducted (social scenario, economic scenario, and equal scenario) resulting 18 percent, 48 percent, and 34 percent respondents having high level of vulnerability, respectively. There are as many as 18 percent of respondents who are always categorized in high vulnerability regardless of the scenario. Different coping strategies used by sellers to deal with economic problems during COVID-19 Pandemic such as reducing the number of commodities, conducting online selling, saving expenses, borrowing money, reducing the number of workers, transforming the fresh food commodities (perishable goods) into frozen food (more durable goods), and selling the commodities around neighborhood. However, this study also observed that some respondents did not undertake any coping strategy.</em><strong></strong></p>
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Ruchira Srivastava and Vijay Kumar Srivastava. "Changing Scenario of Manufacturing Industries Due to Covid 19." International Journal for Modern Trends in Science and Technology 6, no. 10 (November 24, 2020): 143–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.46501/ijmtst061026.
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The introduction of Industry 4.0 were already generating various changes in operations of manufacturing sector before the pandemic situation and now after the pandemic conditions things have become more tough and challenging. Since March 23rd 2019 the home quarantine and lockdown situation has completely shut down the whole country after this pandemic condition started trending across the globe. The main objective of this paper is to study about these challenges which are being faced by the manufacturing industries. & how these situations are tackled in Covid 19.
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Ruchira Srivastava and Vijay Kumar Srivastava. "Changing Scenario of Manufacturing Industries Due to Covid 19." January 2021 7, no. 01 (January 4, 2021): 81–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.46501/ijmtst070118.
Повний текст джерелаАнотація:
The introduction of Industry 4.0 were already generating various changes in operations of manufacturing sector before the pandemic situation and now after the pandemic conditions things have become more tough and challenging. Since March 23rd 2019 the home quarantine and lockdown situation has completely shut down the whole country after this pandemic condition started trending across the globe. The main objective of this paper is to study about these challenges which are being faced by the manufacturing industries. & how these situations are tackled in Covid 19.