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Книги з теми "Markov chain simulation"

Щоб переглянути інші типи публікацій з цієї теми, перейдіть за посиланням: Markov chain simulation.

Автор: Grafiati

Опубліковано: 10 грудня 2022

Оновлено: 28 січня 2023

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1

Gamerman, Dani. Markov chain Monte Carlo: Stochastic simulation for Bayesian inference. London: Chapman & Hall, 1997.

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2

Gamerman, Dani. Markov chain Monte Carlo: Stochastic simulation for Bayesian inference. 2nd ed. Boca Raton: Taylor & Francis, 2006.

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3

Markov chain Monte Carlo: Stochastic simulation for Bayesian inference. London: Chapman & Hall, 1997.

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4

Jerrum, Mark. Uniform sampling modulo a group of symmetries using Markov chain simulation. Edinburgh: LFCS, Dept. of Computer Science, University of Edinburgh, 1993.

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5

Cowles, Mary Kathryn. A simulation approach to convergence rates for Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. [Toronto]: University of Toronto, Dept. of Statistics, 1996.

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6

Yücesan, Enver. Analysis of Markov chains using simulation graph models. Fontainebleau: INSEAD, 1990.

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7

Brémaud, Pierre. Markov chains: Gibbs fields, Monte Carlo simulation, and queues. New York: Springer, 1999.

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8

J, Stewart William. Probability, Markov chains, queues and simulation: The mathematical basis of performance modeling. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2009.

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9

Berg, Bernd A. Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations and their statistical analysis: With web-based Fortran code. Hackensack, NJ: World Scientific, 2004.

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10

Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations and their statistical analysis: With web-based fortran code. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing, 2004.

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11

m, Michel Benai. Promenade ale atoire: Chai nes de Markov et simulations ; martingales et strate gies. Palaiseau: E ditions de l'E cole polytechnique, 2004.

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12

Lopes, Hedibert F., and Dani Gamerman. Markov Chain Monte Carlo: Stochastic Simulation for Bayesian Inference, Second Edition. Taylor & Francis Group, 2006.

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13

Lopes, Hedibert F., and Dani Gamerman. Markov Chain Monte Carlo: Stochastic Simulation for Bayesian Inference, Second Edition. Taylor & Francis Group, 2006.

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14

Lopes, Hedibert F., and Dani Gamerman. Markov Chain Monte Carlo: Stochastic Simulation for Bayesian Inference, Second Edition (Texts in Statistical Science Series). 2nd ed. Chapman & Hall/CRC, 2006.

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15

Bao, Yun, Carl Chiarella, and Boda Kang. Particle Filters for Markov-Switching Stochastic Volatility Models. Edited by Shu-Heng Chen, Mak Kaboudan, and Ye-Rong Du. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199844371.013.9.

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Анотація:

This chapter proposes an auxiliary particle filter algorithm for inference in regime switching stochastic volatility models in which the regime state is governed by a first-order Markov chain. It proposes an ongoing updated Dirichlet distribution to estimate the transition probabilities of the Markov chain in the auxiliary particle filter. A simulation-based algorithm is presented for the method that demonstrates the ability to estimate a class of models in which the probability that the system state transits from one regime to a different regime is relatively high. The methodology is implemented in order to analyze a real-time series, namely, the foreign exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the South Korean won.

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16

Laver, Michael, and Ernest Sergenti. Systematically Interrogating Agent-Based Models. Princeton University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.23943/princeton/9780691139036.003.0004.

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Анотація:

This chapter develops the methods for designing, executing, and analyzing large suites of computer simulations that generate stable and replicable results. It starts with a discussion of the different methods of experimental design, such as grid sweeping and Monte Carlo parameterization. Next, it demonstrates how to calculate mean estimates of output variables of interest. It does so by first discussing stochastic processes, Markov Chain representations, and model burn-in. It focuses on three stochastic process representations: nonergodic deterministic processes that converge on a single state; nondeterministic stochastic processes for which a time average provides a representative estimate of the output variables; and nondeterministic stochastic processes for which a time average does not provide a representative estimate of the output variables. The estimation strategy employed depends on which stochastic process the simulation follows. Lastly, the chapter presents a set of diagnostic checks used to establish an appropriate sample size for the estimation of the means.

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17

Quintana, José Mario, Carlos Carvalho, James Scott, and Thomas Costigliola. Extracting S&P500 and NASDAQ Volatility: The Credit Crisis of 2007–2008. Edited by Anthony O'Hagan and Mike West. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780198703174.013.13.

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This article demonstrates the utility of Bayesian modelling and inference in financial market volatility analysis, using the 2007-2008 credit crisis as a case study. It first describes the applied problem and goal of the Bayesian analysis before introducing the sequential estimation models. It then discusses the simulation-based methodology for inference, including Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filtering methods for filtering and parameter learning. In the study, Bayesian sequential model choice techniques are used to estimate volatility and volatility dynamics for daily data for the year 2007 for three market indices: the Standard and Poor’s S&P500, the NASDAQ NDX100 and the financial equity index called XLF. Three models of financial time series are estimated: a model with stochastic volatility, a model with stochastic volatility that also incorporates jumps in volatility, and a Garch model.

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18

Brémaud, Pierre. Markov Chains: Gibbs Fields, Monte Carlo Simulation and Queues. Springer International Publishing AG, 2021.

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19

Markov Chains Gibbs Fields Monte Carlo Simulation And Queues. Springer, 2010.

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20

Brémaud, Pierre. Markov Chains: Gibbs Fields, Monte Carlo Simulation and Queues. Springer, 2020.

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21

Bremaud, Pierre. Markov Chains: Gibbs Fields, Monte Carlo Simulation, and Queues. Springer London, Limited, 2013.

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22

Allen, Michael P., and Dominic J. Tildesley. Monte Carlo methods. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803195.003.0004.

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Анотація:

The estimation of integrals by Monte Carlo sampling is introduced through a simple example. The chapter then explains importance sampling, and the use of the Metropolis and Barker forms of the transition matrix defined in terms of the underlying matrix of the Markov chain. The creation of an appropriately weighted set of states in the canonical ensemble is described in detail and the method is extended to the isothermal–isobaric, grand canonical and semi-grand ensembles. The Monte Carlo simulation of molecular fluids and fluids containing flexible molecules using a reptation algorithm is discussed. The parallel tempering or replica exchange method for more efficient exploration of the phase space is introduced, and recent advances including solute tempering and convective replica exchange algorithms are described.

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23

Geweke, John, Gary Koop, and Herman Van Dijk, eds. The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics. Oxford University Press, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199559084.001.0001.

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Анотація:

Bayesian econometric methods have enjoyed an increase in popularity in recent years. Econometricians, empirical economists, and policymakers are increasingly making use of Bayesian methods. The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics is a single source about Bayesian methods in specialized fields. It contains articles by leading Bayesians on the latest developments in their specific fields of expertise. The volume provides broad coverage of the application of Bayesian econometrics in the major fields of economics and related disciplines, including macroeconomics, microeconomics, finance, and marketing. It reviews the state of the art in Bayesian econometric methodology, with articles on posterior simulation and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, Bayesian nonparametric techniques, and the specialized tools used by Bayesian time series econometricians such as state space models and particle filtering. It also includes articles on Bayesian principles and methodology.

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24

Stewart, William J. Probability, Markov Chains, Queues, and Simulation: The Mathematical Basis of Performance Modeling. Princeton University Press, 2009.

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25

Rubin, Donald, Xiaoqin Wang, Li Yin, and Elizabeth Zell. Bayesian causal inference: Approaches to estimating the effect of treating hospital type on cancer survival in Sweden using principal stratification. Edited by Anthony O'Hagan and Mike West. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780198703174.013.24.

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Анотація:

This article discusses the use of Bayesian causal inference, and more specifically the posterior predictive approach of Rubin’s causal model (RCM) and methods of principal stratification, in estimating the effects of ‘treating hospital type’ on cancer survival. Using the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm, Sweden, as a case study, the article investigates which type of hospital (large patient volume vs. small volume) is superior for treating certain serious conditions. The study examines which factors may reasonably be considered ignorable in the context of covariates available, as well as non-compliance complications due to transfers between hospital types for treatment. The article first provides an overview of the general Bayesian approach to causal inference, primarily with ignorable treatment assignment, before introducing the proposed approach and motivating it using simple method-of-moments summary statistics. Finally, the results of simulation using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are presented.

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26

Berg, Bernd A. Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulations And Their Statistical Analysis: With Web-based Fortran Code. World Scientific Publishing Company, 2004.

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27

National Institute of Standards and Technology (U.S.), ed. Management data specification for supply chain integration. Gaithersburg, MD: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Technology Administration, National Institute of Standards and Technology, 2001.

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28

Coolen, A. C. C., A. Annibale, and E. S. Roberts. Graphs with hard constraints: further applications and extensions. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198709893.003.0007.

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Анотація:

This chapter looks at further topics pertaining to the effective use of Markov Chain Monte Carlo to sample from hard- and soft-constrained exponential random graph models. The chapter considers the question of how moves can be sampled efficiently without introducing unintended bias. It is shown mathematically and numerically that apparently very similar methods of picking out moves can give rise to significant differences in the average topology of the networks generated by the MCMC process. The general discussion in complemented with pseudocode in the relevant section of the Algorithms chapter, which explicitly sets out some accurate and practical move sampling approaches. The chapter also describes how the MCMC equilibrium probabilities can be purposely deformed to, for example, target desired correlations between degrees of connected nodes. The mathematical exposition is complemented with graphs showing the results of numerical simulations.

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