Дисертації з теми "Evacuation analysi"
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Poudel, Minesh. "Aircraft emergency evacuation : analysis, modelling and simulation." Toulouse 2, 2008. http://www.theses.fr/2008TOU20026.
Повний текст джерелаThis thesis is about aircraft emergency evacuation and its principal objective is to establish a computational model able to simulate realistically it. This will contribute to the certification process of new aircraft emergency evacuation layouts and egress procedures for large capacity airliners. This thesis is composed of two main parts. In the first one, the main problem issues are identified, a state of the art in emergency evacuation from aircraft is realized and human behaviours during such an event are described. In the second part of this work, the elements of the emergency evacuation model are identified. After analysing existing models and different models of dynamic cellular systems, the conceptual model of this simulator is proposed. Its framework has been designed using UML and the routines are written in Java. Finally future research directions are given
Shen, Tzu-Sheng. "Building planning evaluations for emergency evacuation." Link to electronic thesis, 2003. http://www.wpi.edu/Pubs/ETD/Available/etd-0503103-114955/.
Повний текст джерелаLu, YuanYuan. "An Analysis of Evacuation Behavior During Hurricane Ike." FIU Digital Commons, 2015. http://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/etd/2179.
Повний текст джерелаLu, Fei, and Yuan Cao. "Three-Dimensional Modeling for Buildings Evacuation Management." Thesis, Högskolan i Gävle, Avdelningen för Industriell utveckling, IT och Samhällsbyggnad, 2012. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-12622.
Повний текст джерелаLiu, Sirui. "Analysis and Evaluation of Household Pick-up and Gathering Behavior in No-Notice Evacuations." Diss., Virginia Tech, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/27927.
Повний текст джерелаPh. D.
Spratt, Scott M. "An economic analysis of the aeromedical evacuation, patient movement items program." Thesis, Monterey, Calif. : Springfield, Va. : Naval Postgraduate School ; Available from National Technical Information Service, 1999. http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA375883.
Повний текст джерела"December 1999". Thesis advisor(s): William R. Gates, Kevin R. Gue. Includes bibliographical references (p. 117-118). Also available online.
Aljamal, Mohammad Abdulraheem. "Comparison of Microscopic and Mesoscopic Traffic Modeling Tools for Evacuation Analysis." Thesis, Virginia Tech, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/79592.
Повний текст джерелаMaster of Science
Tsai, Wei-Li. "Validation of EvacuatioNZ Model for High-Rise Building Analysis." Thesis, University of Canterbury. Civil Engineering, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/10092/1201.
Повний текст джерелаThiele, Tyler A. "A spatio-temporal analysis of pedestrian tsunami evacuation in Long Beach, California." Thesis, California State University, Long Beach, 2016. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=10111175.
Повний текст джерелаThis thesis presents a general tsunami hazard assessment for the City of Long Beach, California. Although relatively rare, tsunamis from a variety of potential sources threaten Long Beach. An anisotropic, least cost path Geographic Information Systems methodology was utilized to model approximate population exposure numbers within a number of evacuation scenarios. The variables used in the model were evacuation speed and warning time. Potential vertical evacuation sites were deduced and included within the model to compare population exposure numbers with and without the use of a vertical evacuation strategy.
The results in accordance with the literature reviewed suggest that the implementation of a vertical evacuation strategy, in addition to increased community education and preparedness, could dramatically mitigate risk and reduce the population of Long Beach's vulnerability to tsunamis, and that different areas may benefit from varying risk mitigation strategies. The implementation of vertical evacuation sites in the model decreased the population exposed by an average of 79 percent (with a mode of 99 percent).
Tagliaferri, Anthony Paul. "Use and Comparison of Traffic Simulation Models in the Analysis of Emergency Evacuation Conditions." NCSU, 2005. http://www.lib.ncsu.edu/theses/available/etd-03232005-185245/.
Повний текст джерелаKailiponi, Paul. "Decision theory to support evacuation in advance of catastrophic disaster including modular influence diagrams and spatial data analysis." Thesis, Aston University, 2012. http://publications.aston.ac.uk/24381/.
Повний текст джерелаHafvenstein, Gunnar. "Vilka sjukvårdsförmågor bör ingå i den framtida insatsorganisationen? : En analys av sjukvårdsförmågor utifrån Moshe Kress teorier." Thesis, Försvarshögskolan, 2014. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-4764.
Повний текст джерелаGhosh, Gregory. "Lifesafety Analysis in the Building Firesafety Method." Digital WPI, 2004. https://digitalcommons.wpi.edu/etd-theses/1106.
Повний текст джерелаFlener, Matthew Wesley. "Left behind a textual analysis of media frames from national tv journalists covering Hurricane Katrina's evacuation centers /." Diss., Columbia, Mo. : University of Missouri-Columbia, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10355/5708.
Повний текст джерелаThe entire dissertation/thesis text is included in the research.pdf file; the official abstract appears in the short.pdf file (which also appears in the research.pdf); a non-technical general description, or public abstract, appears in the public.pdf file. Title from title screen of research.pdf file (viewed on September 2, 2008) Includes bibliographical references.
Richardson, Dawn D. "Analysis and evaluation of current challenges in the aeromedical evacuation mission segment of the Civil Reserve Air Fleet." Thesis, Monterey, Calif. : Springfield, Va. : Naval Postgraduate School ; Available from National Technical Information Service, 2000. http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA376459.
Повний текст джерелаThesis advisor(s): Lewis, Ira A. ; Edwards, Lee. "March 2000." Includes bibliographical references (p. 43-47). Also available online.
Delgado, M., M. Delgado, A. Rosales, and V. Arana. "Evaluation of the Evacuation of Essential Buildings: Interaction of Structural and Human Behaviour through Nonlinear Time-History Analysis and Agent-Based Modelling." Institute of Physics Publishing, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/10757/651838.
Повний текст джерелаKasahara, Hidekazu. "Activity Support Based on Human Location Data Analysis with Environmental Factors." 京都大学 (Kyoto University), 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/2433/215678.
Повний текст джерелаMayaguezz, Henky. "Exposition humaine, analyse et renforcement des capacités d’évacuation face aux tsunamis à Padang (Indonésie)." Thesis, La Rochelle, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015LAROS020/document.
Повний текст джерелаThis dissertation summarizes an integrated approach whose aim is to assess the human exposure and its spatial and temporal variations in the event of a tsunami in a costal urban zone of Indonesia, as well as the capacity to join evacuation shelters for populations under threat. This research systematizes methods to estimate the amount of people present hour by hour during any day of the week and the year, at a very fine scale, in an urban area. It uses a hypothesis about a common rhythm of life which controls the activities and therefore the distribution of the Padang inhabitants. Considering that time of a tsunami occurrence is impossible to estimate, this information is very important to improve risk reduction programs. This approach allows in particular identifying various types of scenarios for the distribution of the population that can then be used to evaluate the evacuation capacity of these populations. A dynamic simulation model resulting from this research allows for the measurement of the accessibility of shelters following these scenarios. The analysis of the results suggests improvements for a better preparation on the part of authorities to protect civilians
Blake, Simon. "The development and use of aircraft evacuation modelling as a viable tool for the certification and safety analysis of passenger aircraft." Thesis, University of Greenwich, 2003. http://gala.gre.ac.uk/6115/.
Повний текст джерелаRoa-Henriquez, Alfredo R. "Decision Making in Natural Disasters: An Analysis of Firms’ Strategic Behavior on Economic Resilience and Influence of Hurricane Intensity Forecasts on Evacuation Decisions." The Ohio State University, 2019. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1565947147689077.
Повний текст джерелаJia, Xiaojuan. "Fuzzy logic based decision support system for mass evacuation of cities prone to coastal or river flood." Phd thesis, Université de Technologie de Compiègne, 2013. http://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-00858055.
Повний текст джерелаOhst, Jan Peter [Verfasser], Stefan [Akademischer Betreuer] [Gutachter] Ruzika, and Stephan [Gutachter] Westphal. "On the construction of optimal paths from flows and the analysis of evacuation scenarios / Jan Peter Ohst. Betreuer: Stefan Ruzika. Gutachter: Stefan Ruzika ; Stephan Westphal." Koblenz, 2016. http://d-nb.info/1110895461/34.
Повний текст джерелаChristianson, Amy Nadine. "Assessing and improving the effectiveness of staff training and warning system response at Whakapapa and Turoa ski areas, Mt. Ruapehu." Thesis, University of Canterbury. Geological Sciences, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/10092/1271.
Повний текст джерелаStevens, Pieter. "Exitability measurements through indoor 3D GIS." Thesis, Högskolan i Gävle, Samhällsbyggnad, GIS, 2018. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-27994.
Повний текст джерелаTHIEU, THI KIM THOA. "Models for coupled active--passive population dynamics: mathematical analysis and simulation." Doctoral thesis, Gran Sasso Science Institute, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12571/15016.
Повний текст джерелаUhlík, Ondřej. "Posouzení ochrany významných měkkých cílů vůči teroristickým útokům prostřednictvím simulace evakuace osob." Master's thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta stavební, 2019. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-392140.
Повний текст джерелаSantos, Bevin A. "A Narrative Analysis of Korematsu v. United States." Thesis, University of North Texas, 1999. https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc2238/.
Повний текст джерелаFujiki, Kenji Pierre-Jacques Teruo. "Etude prospective des impacts sociaux d'une inondation majeure en region Ile-de-France. Disparités socio spatiales dans la prise en charge des populations franciliennes en situation de crise et post-crise : une analyse cartographiée et quantifiée des besoins des ménages, de l'évacuation à la reconstruction." Thesis, Lyon, 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017LYSE3066/document.
Повний текст джерелаThis doctoral thesis in geography and space planning addresses the social impacts of a major flood in Ile-de-France region (France). Social impacts relate to the effects of a flood on populations and their living situations. The thesis meets three different but complementary objectives: (1) the assessment on a GIS of social needs in the hypothesis of a massive evacuation; (2) a qualitative study of the ability of authorities to take care of populations in a crisis management situation; (3) the mapping of long-term social impacts and the assessment of recovery and reconstruction needs.Our methodology relies on a hybrid approach, mixing statistical and GIS analyses on one part, and qualitative analyses on the other part. On the one hand, census data are processed so as to identify populations on a social and demographic level. It is essential in order to caracterize their needs during the different phases of a flood, from evacuation and sheltering to the process of recovery and reconstruction. As such, this study is based upon a state-of-the-art on past disasters, which identifies predictors of the behavior of populations during and after a disaster. Our GIS and statistical analyses lead to the mapping of synthetic indexes, aiming at representing the population ability to evacuate and to find a shelter by their own means, on the short term, and to recover on the long term. Theses indexes are then crossed to hazard data, applied to major flood scenarios. On the other hand, qualitative data from diverse sources (interviews, observations, written material) are decribed and interpreted in order to identify the means et strategies planned by the local and regional authorities to take care of their populations during a major flood. By comparing means, through qualitative analyses, and numerical and mapped social needs, through GIS and statistical analyses, one is able to caracterize the social impacts of a flood in Ile-de-France region.Results are presented in the context of a geographic approach, through a series of maps available from regional scale to local scale. On the short term during the flood, up to 700,000 people could be evacuated and 120,000 sheltered, for a flood similar to the 100-year flood of 1910. 1,100,000 people would be evacuated, 200,000 sheltered, for a flood superior to the 1910 flood. On the long term, many structures and infrastructures crucial for the livability of the city could be damaged, with striking geographic inequalities. A dozen of municipalities with over 10,000 inhabitants would exceed the damage threshold of 30% of their structures and infrastructures, while some of them feature a weak recovery and reconstruction capability. Results also highlights the temporal aspect of vulnerability. Vulnerable populations during the evacuation step may not be the same during the sheltering step, or the recovery and reconstruction phases. In the same way, geographic inequalities, between departments, between municipalities, greatly vary according to the stakes, from massive evacuation to reconstruction
Ndiaye, Ismaïla Abderhamane. "Résolution de problèmes multicritères (durée/sécurité) pour la conception de plans d'évacuation de personnes." Thesis, Tours, 2016. http://www.theses.fr/2016TOUR4001/document.
Повний текст джерелаThe work presented in this thesis aims to propose methods for routing a mass population through a disturbed network whose data vary over time. This problem can be illustrated by disasters due to humans or natural events where people (potentially) affected have to leave their living places for a period of one to several days. In the literature, mass routing are often modeled as dynamic flow problems whose objective is to minimize the overall duration of the evacuation process from a set of gathering points towards another set of shelter locations. However few papers take into account the concept of safety during this routing nor deploying task forces that can secure or facilitate this process. In this context, the safety security can be seen as a danger affecting the quality of life of people we organize the trip. In this context, the safety can be seen as a danger that influence the health of the people we are trying to evacuate. Indeed, this hazardous event can be related to a radioactive cloud, a fire, a tsunami, an earthquake or a flooding which make some of paths becoming dangerous or less usable by evacuees
HU, DA-YING, and 胡大瀛. "Network evacuation analysis and system development." Thesis, 1987. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/74704791579702818505.
Повний текст джерелаYANG, kai-chun, and 楊凱君. "Carlton Hair Dresser fire evacuation analysis." Thesis, 2016. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/03085057126334406195.
Повний текст джерела元智大學
機械工程學系
104
In the advance technologies and fast population growth, the threat of fire in public places to people’s lives and property is a major worry.. The main thrust of this research to understand “Carlton Hair Dresser” fire accident which was causes 21 people dead and 7 people injured in Taipei. We were analyzed the fire modeling and personnel evacuation by using the simulation software of Fire Dynamics Simulator with Evacuation (FDS+Evac). Comparison of simulation results with the fire physical phenomena, to facilitate the extension of the relevant assumptions. Because the only exit point is on fire, it is extremely difficult to escape in this case. According to the simulation data from Base Case, the reasons of the heavy casualties were escape routes blocked, flammable materials used in space and firefighters insufficient training. This study investigated the evacuation situation under different conditions (set the indoor ventilation system, automatic watering system and change material, etc.), it could be provided the reference design of fire protection and refuge to escape.
Chen, Tsung Chi, and 陳宗棋. "Analysis of Fire Evacuation in The Hypermarket." Thesis, 2017. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/73cr6v.
Повний текст джерела健行科技大學
土木工程系空間資訊與防災科技碩士班
105
The study aimed to evaluate the safety of evacuation routes in a hypermarket in Taoyuan City. Through the analysis of fire cases, the organization of relevant regulations on evacuation sign, the review of fire hazard factor and evacuation behavior and on-site and numerical simulation analysis for verification, there were several defects in evacuation routes, which could seriously affect the safety of personnel. Result showed that relevant regulations for store’s evacuation sign and equipment required further revision. Site survey found that trolleys could cause congestion at checkout counters and escalators. Numerical simulation analysis showed that shelf height, height of cargo and space between shelves could affect flow and distribution of smoke and heat to further spread the fire. It was recommended to revise regulations for these hypermarkets and other commercial stores to use embedded evacuation indicators on the floor and intelligent fire alarm with flashing light and voice guidance to increase the success rate of evacuation. Metal rack should be used for shelf and a specific distance should be maintained to avoid excessive stacking of cargo, where these storages should not be set near the vicinity of wall or entrance to affect the evacuation. The study result could be provided as reference for internal evacuation routes and shelf setting in the future development of hypermarket.
Lin, Jeng-Po, and 林礽柏. "The Analysis for Evacuation of Wholesale Store Facilities." Thesis, 2001. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/80853218879913831714.
Повний текст джерела國立臺灣科技大學
建築系
89
Abstract To assure the security of life for users inside the Wholesale store, the most important investigation is the issue of disaster aversion. Through the survey and analysis, we could establish the database of different kind of Wholesale store users, and people of different acting ability. Depend on space element and reference of evacuation theory, choose the appropriate time of evacuation assess mode. Act as reference of theory to compute and example assesses to confer, for study plans of Evacuation to consult a basis. Survey Result and Result analysis 1.Questionnaires Result (1)To deem, it is possible which wheelbarrow will hinder Evacuation action. 57%It is will.26%It is to be certain. To deem, it is will that rate is too high. (2)To deem, the Wholesale store to catch fire of the place is selectivity. 76%To deep the place is selectivity to catch fire. For the Wholesale store deep to catch fire of the place is. 37%A commodity for electricity area. 39%Cook food area. (3)45%Deem the Wholesale store shopping passage is crowded. 12%Deem is very crowded. 33%Deem is uncrowned 10%Deep that didn’t have felling. Crowded rate is too high. (4)In side the Wholesale store evacuation make show facilities to the position and the figure of to see clear degree.64% Unclear. 6% Very unclear. 16%cClear. 14%No watch. Unclear degree rate is too high. 2.Example Survey Result (1)In side the Wholesale store population density of held up equal is 0.43man/㎡ wheelbarrow density of held up equal is 0.11piece /㎡.Max is 0.56man/㎡for population density;0.14 piece /㎡for wheelbarrow density. Min is0.21 man/㎡for population density;0.05piece/㎡for wheelbarrow density. (2)To walk equal velocity is 0.78m/s Max velocity is 1.43m/s. (3)In side the Wholesale store equal health man: weak man rate is 1:0.15. (4)In side the Wholesale store equal health man: wheelbarrow: weak man rate is 1:0.34:0.17. (5)Equal a holiday/weekday is 1.8 3.Result Analysis (1)According to the evacuation compute assess will find, in side the Wholesale store the Evacuation door wide of advise is more high than 2.8m, It is Security of evacuation. (2)In side the Wholesale store time of evacuation key is population density and the neck of bottle for fluid, walk velocity effect is small (3)According to Fruin theory in the age D flow rate 51man/sec.m to consult a basis, population density of held up equal is 0.43man/㎡ wheelbarrow density of held up equal is 0.11piece /㎡It is Security of evacuation.
Shih, Yi-Hsuan, and 石宜軒. "Stochastic Analysis of Inundation Simulations and Evacuation Planning." Thesis, 2015. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/47764190161235144903.
Повний текст джерела國立臺灣大學
生物環境系統工程學研究所
103
Flood inundation is one of the most usual hazards in Taiwan. To mitigate the impact of flood, inundation mapping plays a significant role. In general, a deterministic approach using optimal parameter sets is applied to analyze the inundation. However, without taking the impact of uncertainties into consideration, it may cause over or underestimate of the model. The stochastic process will improve the weakness of deterministic model. Also, it provides a better basis for decision makers, for example, evacuation planning. Although stochastic approach considers the influence of uncertainties, it is often a time consuming process. In the study, four sampling strategies (Monte Carlo Simulation, Latin Hypercube Sampling, Maximin Distance, Minimum Correlation), three uncertainty factors are applied to a one dimensional hydraulic model. The uncertainty factors include five water flows as upper boundary condition, five water stages as lower boundary condition, and seventeen manning roughness coefficients. The mean water stage of 425 combination of parameter sets are taken as a reference in comparison of each sampling strategy. Result represents that Latin Hypercube sampling performs almost ten times better than Monte Carlo simulation. And though other sampling strategies can enhance sampling discrepancy, the improvement of the result is not significant. The sample size chosen may depend on the tradeoff between acceptance accuracy of model and computational time. The suggested sample sizes are 35% and 50% of total simulation area. The study also proposes a multiobjective stochastic programming analysis for uncertain inundation evacuation. A two stage stochastic programming model under inundation uncertainty is built. Expansion of shelter capacity is decided in the first stage before flood. The second stage determines the evacuation plan providing the optimal route to shelters for all evacuees. A case study of MuZha, Taipei is conducted. Based on the result of hydraulic model, three different regions of warning zone for overflow are taken to be the uncertainty resource. The model with multiobjective shows the tradeoff between shelter expansion and transportation time. The result shows that as the unit cost of shelter expansion exceed to a certain level, the total evacuation time and amount of shelter expansion will remain the same. It represents the minimum shelter expansion and maximum evacuation time. From the hydraulic model to optimal programming, the study focuses on how uncertainty affects the models, provides a decision making system for flood inundation.
"Analysis of a pre-hurricane hospital evacuation network." Tulane University, 2008.
Знайти повний текст джерелаHuang, Shi-Chou, and 黃錫洲. "A Study of Hospital Emergency Evacuation Schemes─An Analysis of The Emergency Evacuation Routes for the Surgical Division." Thesis, 2003. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/wjqmmq.
Повний текст джерела逢甲大學
建築與都市計畫所
91
Taiwan is a place where is populous and belongs to a seismic belt above. There are many earthquakes. These years, the several earthquakes had been brought dread and casualties to us. It’s very important of the function that to relieve the victims of a disaster and to prepare against natural calamities. The function of the surgical division is especially important. But the surgical division expects for the ability of earthquake-resistant and earthquake-proof, if it can’t establish a detailed project for the emergency evacuation scheme that will bring about the staff who they work in the surgical division become nervous when the earthquake happen. Therefore, it is a very complex and urgent topic that to reduce the disaster, to process the precaution and to train the staff to deal with emergency. And now the design of the surgical division, most of that pointed to the demand of medical treatment, the request of the enactment and the documents of overseas to dispose. In that, for “control infecting” that is most important and must with effect, only to adopt the conception of “Zoning”. And the passageways also develop many patterns. For example: single passageway, twin passageway, separating passageway and the nucleus of cleaning ……and so on. Although for “control infecting” that is efficacious and well done, but therefore as a result that the passageway is becoming long, the amount of passageway increased, and the passageway is becoming complex. That will make the staff and the patients hardly to flee off the surgical division. And becoming the most complex space of fleeing. This research focus on the level is higher than regional hospital of Taichung county, and the level is higher than regional hospital of Nontow county is the second. Utilizing the document analyzing method for conferring the strategy of the emergency evacuation scheme of hospital’s surgical division. According to the pattern of the passageways to divide. Analyzing the plan of function, the way of fleeing, the plan of shelter. The writer to get the information through the method of interview that in order to realize the counterplot of fleeing and relieving to disasters of the surgical division, and about the suggestion of the staff. The writer using a lot of methods that it would to make the theory more conscientious. We hope it could provide to the hospitals as accordance. The process in this research, the affiliation by interview to the surgical division staff discusses asks the volume with the cognition the investigation, on the one hand to collecting correlation the present situation material and the literature performs to compare the analysis, on the other hand from asks in the volume investigates the present surgical division staff regarding guards against, the disaster relief system cognition and the surgical division escapes seeks asylum moves the on-line question, urges the surgical division staff or making correlation strain specific energy value this one gravity and the solution way plan, urges to be able as fast as possible the establishment to be appropriate also the comprehensive surgical division urgent emergency measure, by because of should disaster crisis processing, and the hope affiliation from this the research conclusion and the suggestion, Provides the hospital surgical division which will construct for the at present or the future does the reference, will cause the surgical division to have the whole escapes seeks asylum the generatrix with guards against, the disaster relief system, and the increase staff urgent strain and the sickness urgently will evacuate the ability, the surgical division occurs after the disaster still has ability and the strain countermeasure the continuation medical service and so on, will let the surgical division the staff or the sickness is arrived the deep one safeguard.
Lee, Wei-lin, and 李威霖. "Apply manage decision analysis on debris flow evacuation decision." Thesis, 2008. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/00403499844136134309.
Повний текст джерела國立成功大學
水利及海洋工程學系碩博士班
96
There are many typhoons across Taiwan in last each years. The typhoon always brings heavy rainfall ,and make terrible debris disaster in mountain foot. people which live in mountain foot be killed or hurt by debris flow easily. Government do debris flow evacuation for people. The goal is taking people to leave hazard before debris flow rush to people’s home. Debris flow evacuation according CWB’s rainfall forecasting to do or not. The evacuation’s first trouble is how much rainfall probability need to evacuate. And then ,sometime typhoon’s tracker is different from last data, it easy to make a wrong decision which evacuate people when typhoon not across Taiwan. In this situation ,evacuation’s cost become a part of society’s loss. This evacuation’s second trouble. And then, the last evacuation’s question is unit of society’s loss . society’s loss combine with health’s loss , wealth’s loss and evacuation’s cost . the units are different each others , so that evacuation decision hardly to do . my research apply management decision analysis to debris flow evacuation decision making . using decision tree to make debris flow evacuation’s decision model ,and using utility theory to calculate society’s loss. And then , comparing different decision’s expected utility to get best debris flow evacuation’s decision . last , discussing what will change best debris flow evacuation’s decision by sensitivity analysis.
CHIA-CHEN, KE, and 柯佳禎. "Risk Analysis and Evacuation Planning of the Recycling Plant." Thesis, 2014. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/94466416660817968569.
Повний текст джерела長榮大學
職業安全與衛生學系碩士班
102
In recent years, the cause for disasters in recycling plants has mostly been electric appliances or chemicals. If regular inspections of the appliances in the factories could be made, it would decrease the chance of disasters. If a fire were to occur, the smoke could easily affect the evacuation of the personnel, therefore smoke exhaust equipment and escape routes are extremely important. At present, domestic industries and fire departments mostly use ALOHA simulation software to conduct initial emergency range assessment; however, the software is unable to account for blockages caused by obstacles, making the accuracy of safety zones questionable. Exploration results showed that most hazards are unobservable to the human eye, such as damage to the surface of cables and poor stickiness of insulation tape after many years of use, which result in interruption of production and temperatures of the cables exceeding the permitted values in the distribution box. The potential hazards can be understood by use of IR thermal imaging. This research discussed if evacuation could be executed successfully under worst case scenarios in this plant. The number of evacuating personnel was increased from 20 to 50 people, and simulations showed that all of the personnel could reach the exit without being affected by the smoke and heat, and with no injuries and deaths. This research discovered that the radiant heat affected area estimated by ALOHA software was too rough; it clearly overestimated the consequences, which could cause misjudgments during rescue. FDS proved to be more accurate in predicting the radiant heat affected area. When there was ambient influence, such as wind or obstacles, FDS was much more accurate than ALOHA in analog assessment. Also, FDS can be used to see the effects on the existence of sprinkler systems; under the same oil tank with various contents burning inside, the different radiant heat levels and its effects could be clearly observed. Summing the above, assessment of obstacles and water curtains on radiant heat are incidents that ALOHA is incapable of handling.
Fang, Pi-Hsia, and 方碧霞. "Lun-Ching Restaurant Accident Fire Evacuation and moving lines Analysis." Thesis, 2016. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/50626593467581477159.
Повний текст джерела元智大學
機械工程學系
104
Sharply in recent years with changes in the material and cultural needs of the people continues to improve, and in all types of buildings for the rapid development of public places ( such as restaurants , tea shops, cafes , etc. ) , public places are crowded place the event of fire , will cause heavy casualties , in order to effectively reduce disasters and ensuring the safety of personnel for internal use , it becomes evacuation studies . In this study, the 1993 Taipei ' s Lun-Ching Restaurant Accident Fire " caused 33 deaths , 21 people were injured as a case study to fire dynamic simulation software FDS (Fire Dynamics Simulator) and the Finnish VTT Technology Centre (VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland ) developed asylum module (FDS + Evac), were simulated fire escape and evacuation simulation analysis to explore the distribution of the fire, the fire high temperature generated by the concentration of carbon monoxide , and other important parameters of the gas layer height , then the use of these data discussed the situation and allow time to escape the fire , and to gather relevant information, news stories and web data and other information to avoid the occurrence of similar disasters .
黃弟勝. "A study on the evacuation analysis for the underground rapid transit station." Thesis, 1999. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/3j5we2.
Повний текст джерела中央警察大學
消防科學研究所
87
Abstract The main function of rapid transit system is to provide the quick transpor-tation for the huge amount of commuters between two sites in the metropolis. The tunnel area and underground station are the main parts of rapid transit system from its structure and function. The underground station fires mostly originate from trains and the tunnels between the stations are usually short. Therefore, the rescue method of trains fire in tunnel is to let the train drive to the next station quickly, also evacuate the passengers and put out the fire as soon as possible. The main design of train station evacuation safety is to evacuate the maximum predicted passengers on the platform in the rush time successfully in a limited time during a fire scenario setting. The fire safety is designed by smoke control besides the uninflammable material in the station to make sure the passengers to reach a safe area in the safety evacuation time. Crowd people to evacuate when there is a fire in the underground rapid transit station must obstruct the stairway. The crowd and smoke go with the same upward direction. Therefore, we can’t be sure the crowd is safe alt-hough they have left the platform. The smoke could attack the crowd espe-cially those people are still jammed or moving up in the stairway. The main issue of underground station evacuate safety is to make a per-pendicular evacuation pathway become a safe pathway or a protected route. And also turn the lobby into a safe area by designing the structure, for instance, exit width, stair and platform structure and special smoke control system. Therefore, it does not fit into the ordinary underground building evacuation specification code. The research using the fire engineer analysis to find out what is the crowd safety evacuation time and how the smoke control system can protect people in a real underground station fire scenario. It also combin-es three aspects of underground rapid transit station evacuated life safety codes, crowd emergency movement characteristics and relationships by empirical methods and smoke control system in advanced nations. It then proposed the suggestions to reach the flexible engineer design and fit the request of under-ground rapid transit station evacuation safety by analysis the real cases. Fi-nally, making the suggestions of evaluating underground rapid transit station evacuation safety by combining the experts’ opinions.
Hsu, Hua-Hong, and 徐華鴻. "GIS Emergency Evacuation Analysis for Campus Fire Simulation in Ching-Yun University." Thesis, 2011. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/54929861482394482904.
Повний текст джерела清雲科技大學
空間資訊與防災研究所
99
Presently, Geographical Information System (GIS) is widely applied in Traffic Network, Road Network Analysis and in Road Selection and research and development in hazard escape planning are also quite popular. Traditionally, the complexity of campus space and its utilization are also higher than other area, where large scope monitoring is rather difficult. When fire break out, hazard escape directing system is subject to test. In ordinary building, escape route planning is unable to place the degree of spatial hazard into consideration. The GIS system development presently can integrate the attributes of space and escape network information together, and it may be provided directly for directing crew as basis for decision and orderly and smoothly guide the victims to safe shelter point for rescue. In this research, we take the spatial hazard degree is adopted to be a weight in designing escape route to simulate the efficiency of escape route. The scope of the research is limited to the Ching Yun Building of Ching Yun University of Science and Technology and escape routes are taken as the main axis to study the hazardous factor in route for sheltering and escape, and hierarchical analysis is applied to analyze the effects of weight to various factors. And, they are consolidated into GIS route network analysis system to calculate safer fire escape routes. Results of the research indicated that escaping speed of same route is affected by the spatial hazard degree, and hence increase time cost and finally the choice of escaping route will be affected. After network decision analysis, the trend indicated, while the length of escaping route may be higher, the hazard is relatively lower. Results of this research may be taken as reference in the multiple choices and decision mode of escape routes in multiple purpose or residence / commercial mixed buildings.
Cheng, Jen-Ting, and 鄭任廷. "The Test and Analysis of Fire Evacuation in Special Building by Simulation software." Thesis, 2017. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/28257p.
Повний текст джерела國立臺北科技大學
土木工程系土木與防災碩士班
105
How to achieve greater Safer, Save, flexible, and effectiveness should be taken into account right from the start of modern building construction design. Therefore, prior to building space design or the occurrences of disasters, “the use of software to simulate evacuation, evaluate possible evaluation situations and personnel escape time and propose effective prevention and mitigation measures that will reduce personal and economic losses” remains a pressing issue. The general regulatory rules and regulations are not applicable to the special building at the research venue in this paper, and “performance-based regulatory verification” must be carried out in conjunction with multiple person evacuation software simulation identification and reference in order to more stringently ensure evacuation safety at the venue. In this paper, the APGO evacuation software researched and developed by Teacher Chang Che-Hao and Huang Song-Yun, the prototype of the previous version of personnel evacuation software, coupled with the new version of optimized APGO and the widely used evaluation simulation software SIMULEX, as well as the use of complex venues with actual mixed uses serve as references. In addition, with the existing domestic building performance verification regulations as the basis, comparisons and discussions were made. In view of this, this study targeted the mall complex located at Nangang Station C1 Building as the participant to discuss personnel evacuation time, evacuation routes, etc., and define the basic conditions of evacuation safety based on domestic performance verification regulations. In addition, single-person and multiple-person in a single space were two types of basic simulation used to discuss the personnel movement in the APGO and SIMULEX simulated spaces. It was found that both software applications showed no major difference in terms of actual movement route and result. Moreover, this study, with the evacuation safety time in the performance verification regulations as the basis, explored differences in the evacuation simulation of three complex venues at Nangang Station C1 Building and constructed an evacuation simulation assessment model. Based on the different types of evacuation personnel simulation, the result analysis shows that, in both APGO and SIMULEX simulations, the final evacuation time in three situational venues was less than the evacuation time computation in the performance verification. This study further analyzed and compared detailed differences of both software applications in the complex venues, which resulted in changes in evacuation process and time situations. When hindrances at the four floor exits in the complex venue preventing direct passage to the staircase arise, “restricted access progressively imposed at each exit is set as the hypothetical situation. The results show that since SIMULEX directs personnel evacuation within the shortest distance, during the simulation process, personnel who chose this route had lengthened evacuation time, or the evacuation process and the escape route in the performance verification plan varied. On the contrary, the new version of APGO used the new function block setup to plan the escape route zoning, making the simulation process better resemble the actual planning and possible escape routes for escape personnel. Finally, this study recommends APGO personnel crowding up simulation to include different situations of volume simulation and propose complex venue use restrictions and operational function improvement in order to facilitate future applications and follow-up discussions.
Fry, John, and J. M. Binner. "Elementary modelling and behavioural analysis for emergency evacuations using social media." 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10454/17569.
Повний текст джерелаSocial media usage in evacuations and emergency management represents a rapidly expanding field of study. Our paper thus provides quantitative insight into a serious practical problem. Within this context a behavioural approach is key. We discuss when facilitators should consider model-based interventions amid further implications for disaster communication and emergency management. We model the behaviour of individual people by deriving optimal contrarian strategies. We formulate a Bayesian algorithm which enables the optimal evacuation to be conducted sequentially under worsening conditions.
Supported by EPSRC (IDEAS Factory - Game theory and adaptive networks for smart evacuations, EP/I005765/1)
SU, HUEI-JYUN, and 蘇蕙君. "An Analysis of the Strategies to Improve the Evacuation of the Elderly Welfare Institutions." Thesis, 2017. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/3g3kxj.
Повний текст джерела國立雲林科技大學
機械工程系
105
In the rapid aging of the population trend, how to safely evacuate elderly people, is an important issue must be carefully considered. In the event of a fire, the evacuation of the elderly is slow to move, and even difficult to move, so the escape time must be short. If the evacuation route planning bad, resulting in evacuation occurred during the push, collision, fall, or escape line conflict. There will be block the corridor and block firefighters to rescue. Resulting in more serious casualties. In order to effectively shorten the evacuation time and improve the security of the evacuation of the weak, this study uses the computer simulation software Pathfinder 2015 to simulate the different evacuation routes, according to the simulation results that should be set up the refuge area where can help the elderly to avoid the high temperature flame and toxic smoke attack, and to protect the elderly can be safe to stay in the refuge area, waiting for firefighters to rescue.
Cheng, J. C., and 鄭震崇. "A Study on the People Evacuation Safety Analysis for the Underground Rapid Transit Station." Thesis, 2001. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/2t986v.
Повний текст джерела中央警察大學
消防科學研究所
89
The completion of Taipei Rapid Transportation System made the nearby area highly developed. There are thousands of people used the Rapid Transportation System for working. In the huge transportation load, the evacuation of passengers becomes a critical issue. To predict the smoke spread and to direct passengers to utilize the safest & shortest paths become important subjects in station egress design and fire safety planning. There are three methods for the evacuation calculation in prescriptive codes, which are models in Architecture Research Center Method in Japan, NFPA130 and TRTS(Taipei of Rapid Transportation System). This research used the three approached to evaluate the egress safety of Hsintien line Kungkuan station of Taipei MRT system, and to analyze the evacuation safety correlation parameter. In addition, this thesis also discussed the rationality and necessity of the system surge factor (1.5) when adopted in Taiwan, and examined the original design value of transportation load. The different locations of fire origins and the effects of smoke control system will change the egress routes and then affect the evacuation time. As a result, this study tried to increase the available egress time by considering the smoke control strategies. The EXODUS software was utilized to simulate the evacuation in Kungkuan underground station and then to propose some policies for safety improvements. Finally the conclusions and suggestions of evacuation safety for underground rapid transit station were presented.
Ke, Chao-Hui, and 柯昭暉. "The Analysis of Evacuation Management and Flow Survey for the High Rise Building Fire." Thesis, 2012. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/h4c79b.
Повний текст джерела中央警察大學
消防科學研究所
100
It is convenient to live in high rise buildings in the modern society. However, the usages of high rise buildings are different from other ones. In emergency situations, such as fire, shortening the time to evacuate residents is important to secure high rise building safety. Construction technologies improve rapidly. Item-based codes are not sufficient to balance economic need and safety. Performance-based codes have become a worldwide trend. Evacuation design is an important component of fire safety design. Evacuation design calculates evacuation time by utilizing computer software. Evacuation software, however, created from different organizations has different default parameters, and the users do not have standards to adjust the default parameters they want to use, so the results generated from software might be questionable. Thus, it is necessary to carefully estimate and chose on the computer generated evacuation time. In this study, data were collected on the evacuation drills which were held on high rise buildings. The researcher then compared the data to the results (evacuation time) generated from the famous evacuation software, SIMULEX, the NFPA Protection Handbook, and Taiwanese performance-based calculations to establish a more accurate fire evacuation data. Besides, fire protection management on high rise buildings would also influence evacuation time. This research reviewed literatures on fire management and emergencies around the world and group interviewed experts and practitioners to better understand how to prevent fires in high rise buildings and when to initiate search and rescue activities during high rise building fires. This research would help the incident commanders deploying emergency operations quickly and accurately, and thus control fires in their early stages to reduce fire losses and protect human lives.
Lin, I.-pin, and 林依蘋. "A study of the risk analysis of fire prevention and evacuation for Wufenpu Market." Thesis, 2009. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/22007355233503399889.
Повний текст джерела國立臺灣科技大學
建築系
97
The purpose of this study is to analyze the simulation of Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS) and the evacuation safety verification for Wufenpu Market. The scope of this study includes the front, middle, and rear regions of the Market. Firstly, the scenario is set up that fire grow as fast as time square simulators, and the time in the fire is assumed as the evacuation time. The calculation results indicate that the evacuation time is 3.82min for the front and middle regions, and 6.74min for the rear region; the HRR is 2480.5kw for the front and middle regions and 7882.2kw for the rear region; and the descent time of the smoke is 46.99min for the front region, 32.6min for the middle region, and 3.22min for the rear region. As the results of simulation and analysis indicate, the personnel evacuation time for the front region is 3.82min, while the evacuation safety limit time for the region is 46.99 min; the personnel evacuation time for the middle region is 3.82min, while the evacuation safety limit timefor the region is 32.6 min; the personnel evacuation time for the rear region is 6.74min, while the evacuation safety limit time for the region is 3.22 min. The safety evacuation performance-based of the front and middle regions is within the safety standard, but the safety evacuation performance-based of the rear region is a failure. The research results are summarized as follows: 1.The temperature near the hypothetical fire is highest. 2.When the fires take place at the stores located with high shelters, the temperatures in the evacuation pathway don’t reach the dangerous points. On the contrary, dangerous temperatures occurred to the fires, which take place at the stores with low shelters. 3.The height of the shelter and the smoke ventilations positive impact on the fire temperature and visibility.
Chang, Heng-Chia, and 張恆嘉. "Optimal analysis of evacuation time with FDS-A case study of large electronics factory." Thesis, 2012. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/36939519750487007807.
Повний текст джерела東南科技大學
防災科技研究所
100
Abstract Technology industry is an index for modern society, but the maturity of fire evacuation remains a challenge for people who want to develop rational information for fire control. If try to execute an experiments in real fire, it not only result in big waste of money and resources, it also violating the principle of energy saving and carbon emission reduction. Besides, the variables of ever changing fire accident cannot be relied on single experiment as well. In this study, FDS (Fire Dynamics Simulator) software is applied for simulation of an electronic factory. Various situations are set to examine the best evacuation time. After relative analysis and comparison, the installations of smoke exhaust windows are found critical essential for evacuation time reduction. Keywords: Fire experiments, Evacuation, FDS, Electronic factory, Smoke exhaust windows.
ZHAO, WEI-QUAN, and 趙唯筌. "A Study on an Evacuation Analysis of the Taoyuan MRT (A1) at Taipei Station." Thesis, 2018. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/z3psyu.
Повний текст джерела中華科技大學
土木防災工程研究所在職專班
106
Mass transportation plays an important role in today's society; whose jeopardy is hard to estimate once if with accidents during crowed scenario. Taoyuan metro (A1) is very crucial since who is the principle tool employed for Taoyuan International Airport, and connects to Taipei metropolitan area; therefore, the effective escape for refuge, while fire emerged on the platform of the metro station body, should be highly concerned, and discussed by this article as the main purpose. Verifying the safe escape from fire as well as monitoring and analyzing distinct scenarios as below, this thesis employs FDS (Fire Dynamics Simulator) software to simulate the environmental situation, and the safety checking manual: 1. Fire on the A1 platform of Taipei Station, disasters and the status spreading among platforms before the arrival of firemen. 2. The application of platform for effective escape during fire 3. Change of vicinity and scenario of escape while with ignition point on platform Case 1 simulation shows the high ceiling of the platform is about 32m; considering of chimney effect, the smoke accumulated in B1 layer starts sinking after about 300 seconds, and the temperature of some measuring points rises slightly by convection and the radiant heat of the fire point. Moreover, all the on-site hazard factors haven’t reached to jeopardize human bodies caused by thermal convection through chimney effect. Case 2 simulation shows that the survey point not at the high ceiling space is not only far away from fire point but also with blocked zone by inserted track; which obstructs the radiant heat and the fire spreading. The chimney effect enhances the heat convection to incite the rising of hot air (lighter density) rapidly; since the fluid must meet the physical condition of continuous process, the cold air (heavier density) sinks to replenish and with temporary dropping of temperature. In addition, the smoke distribution shows that the smoke layer and the fire cannot be extended to the zone out of high ceiling space. Regardless of case 1 and case 2, the hazard factors cannot meet the hazard standard; which identify the high ceiling space is a safer area for public and firemen comparing to other zones. The high ceiling zone is safer before the smoke, by fire,down to the hazard height (1.8m); therefore, in order to master and control the disaster, the high ceiling zone, before disaster emerged, can be the working zone for personnel and equipment. However, a substantial training education and maneuver should be proceeded before the relevant deployment; otherwise, when the smoke layer drops down to the hazard height (1.8m), the unexpected high risk by visual impairment can be activated. Keywords: Taoyuan Metro Station, Platform, FDS (Fire Dynamics Simulator), Refugee and Escape
Lu, Yi-Hsuan, and 呂宜軒. "Analysis and Improvement for the Current Verification for the Performance-based Evacuation Safety Design." Thesis, 2009. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/2t99zf.
Повний текст джерела國立臺北科技大學
土木與防災研究所
97
With the rapid development of building structure, there are many special buildings to be built up by using the evacuation safety performance-based design. Approval system has been officially practiced with the performance design of building fire safety according to “Technical Manual of Safety and Performance Verification for Building Fire Protection” in Taiwan since 2004. Through the questionnaire investigation, the analysis has been made in this study by the performance design code which has been operated for few years. As we can observe from the design program, authentication computing and approval system, there are some problems still exist. Therefore, we hope to bring up a reasonable and suitable proposal by Japanese experience and the professional suggestions, not only to elevate the effect of performance design but also offer a direction for local performance code. After analyzing the questionnaires, we have known that the main problems of the executing performance codes are the selection of parameter standard, usage purposes, breaking items, examining processes, change-orders, combination of construction and fire review, and fire judicial review. Some problems, as shown in the questionnaires, should be considered seriously, such as parameter setting, review schedule, and review combination, etc., which have still been discussed and researched in Japan. The aim of this study is to summarize the experiences and suggestions from the professional committee members in order to propose what can be modified and improved.