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1
Zhang, Qingyang. "Financial Data Anomaly Detection Method Based on Decision Tree and Random Forest Algorithm." Journal of Mathematics 2022 (April 16, 2022): 1–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/9135117.
Анотація:
The fast-developing computer network not only brings convenience to people but also brings security problems to people due to the appearance of various abnormal flows. However, various current detection systems for abnormal network flows have more or less flaws, such as the most common intrusion detection system (IDS). Due to the lack of self-learning capabilities of market-oriented IDS, developers and maintenance personnel have to update the virus database of the system in real time to make the system work normally. With the emergence of machine learning and data mining in recent years, new ideas and methods have emerged in the detection of abnormal network flows. In this paper, the random forest algorithm is introduced into the detection of abnormal samples, and the concept of abnormal point scale is proposed to measure the abnormal degree of the sample based on the similarity of the samples, and the abnormal samples are screened out according to this scale. Simulation experiments show that compared with the other two distance-based abnormal sample detection techniques, the random forest-based abnormal sample detection has greater advantages than the other two methods in terms of improving the accuracy of the model and reducing the computing time.
2
Liu, Nan. "Refinement of the FCF motive for stock repurchases." Asian Review of Accounting 28, no. 2 (April 30, 2019): 213–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ara-03-2018-0067.
Анотація:
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate factors that influence the free cash flow (FCF) motive for stock repurchases. Specifically, it examines whether the positive association between FCF and open-market repurchases is partially driven by abnormal cash flows, and whether external analyst monitor and financial crisis influence the association. Design/methodology/approach The study employs a tobit regression model to test the hypotheses. Findings First, the results suggest that the positive association between FCF and stock repurchases is partially driven by abnormal cash flows. Second, the association between pre-managed FCF and stock repurchases is strengthened as more analyst following the firms. Third, firms repurchase less when they report more negative abnormal cash flows, and that tendency is more pronounced during the 2008 financial crisis period. Further analysis shows that during the crisis period, the effect of negative abnormal cash flows on operating performance gets stronger. Originality/value The study makes several contributions to the literature. This paper is the first to show that managers use abnormal cash flows to fulfill the share buy-backs. In addition, it shows that analysts provide effective external monitoring by strengthening the association between pre-managed FCF and repurchases. Furthermore, it finds that firms adjust their strategy in times of financial crisis period in response to the increased risk. Finally, it contributes to the earnings management literature by showing the differential effects of accruals management and cash flow management on earnings performance.
3
Machdar, Nera Marinda. "Does Tax Avoidance, Deferred Tax Expenses and Deferred Tax Liabilities Affect Real Earnings Management? Evidence from Indonesia." Jurnal Institutions and Economies 14, no. 2 (April 1, 2022): 117–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.22452/ijie.vol14no2.5.
Анотація:
The study analyses the effect of tax avoidance, deferred tax expenses and deferred tax liabilities on real earnings management. The samples consist of 152 manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX). The study examines the financial statements from 2011 to 2019, ending up with 1,368 observations. The empirical results of this study are as follows. First, tax avoidance affects positively the abnormal discretionary operating cash flows and the abnormal discretionary expenses. However, tax avoidance does not affect the abnormal discretionary production costs. Second, deferred tax expenses affect real earnings management positively, either through abnormal discretionary operating cash flows, abnormal discretionary expenses, or abnormal discretionary production costs. Third, deferred tax liabilities affect real earnings management positively, either by using abnormal discretionary operating cash flows, abnormal discretionary expenses, or abnormal discretionary production costs. The findings of this study may be of interest to regulators and tax authorities, as they highlight how to increase the actual amount of tax payments by reducing the occurrence of real earnings management activities. Regulators need to consider tax audits on companies that have suffered losses but are still operating.
4
Damayanti, Vidia, and Yeterina Widi Nugrahanti. "Financial Distress terhadap Manajemen Laba Dengan Mekanisme Corporate Governance sebagai Pemoderasi." AFRE (Accounting and Financial Review) 5, no. 2 (July 20, 2022): 186–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.26905/afr.v5i2.7763.
Анотація:
This study aims to determine the effect of financial distress on earnings management with corporate governance mechanisms as a moderating variable. Earnings management in this study is measured by real earnings management, namely abnormal operating cash flows. The level of financial distress in this study is proxied by leverage. This study uses 135 samples of manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in 2018-2020 with a total of 405 observations. This study uses Generalized Least Square (GLS) panel data regression. The results showed that financial distress had a positive effect on earnings management as measured by abnormal CFO. This study also found that managerial ownership and institutional ownership weakens the positive influence of financial distress on earnings management as measured by abnormal CFO.DOI: DOI: https://doi.org/10.26905/afr.v5i2.7762
5
Liu, Ye, and Changjiang Lyu. "Research on methods of IPO earnings management: case of Guirenniao." Nankai Business Review International 7, no. 4 (November 7, 2016): 491–509. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/nbri-01-2016-0003.
Анотація:
Purpose The performance of the first batch of listed companies since the restart of new initial public offerings (IPOs) in January 2014 and their accounting information face repeated and volatile questioning from different sides. This paper aims to take Guirenniao (China) Co. Ltd. (GRN for short), one of the first batch of listed companies in 2014 that suffered performance decline, as an example to analyze how it managed earnings before IPO. Design/methodology/approach This paper examines earnings management signs that exist in GRN through analysis of its financial statements compared to those of its industry peers. This paper then uses the modified Jones model to detect its accrual earnings management and build three models, which are abnormal levels of cash flows from operations, abnormal production costs and abnormal discretionary expenses, to detect real earnings management. Findings This paper finds that GRN managed earnings through accrual and real activities in 2012 and 2013. Finally, this paper provides evidence on the specific methods of earnings management, which are easing credit policy to recognize revenue in advance, abnormal expansion, decreasing costs and connected transactions. Originality/value This paper examines earnings management signs exist in GRN through analysis of its financial statements comparing to those of its industry peers. This paper then uses the modified Jones Model to detect its accrual earnings management and build three models which are abnormal levels of cash flows from operations, abnormal production costs and abnormal discretionary expenses to detect real earnings management.
6
Konchitchki, Yaniv. "Inflation and Nominal Financial Reporting: Implications for Performance and Stock Prices." Accounting Review 86, no. 3 (May 1, 2011): 1045–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.2308/accr.00000044.
Анотація:
ABSTRACT: The monetary unit assumption of financial accounting assumes a stable currency (i.e., constant purchasing power over time). Yet, even during periods of low inflation or deflation, nominal financial statements violate this assumption. I posit that, while the effects of inflation are not recognized in nominal statements, such effects may have economic consequences. I find that unrecognized inflation gains and losses help predict future cash flows as these gains and losses turn into cash flows over time. I also find significant abnormal returns to inflation-based trading strategies, suggesting that stock prices do not fully reflect the implications of the inflation effects for future cash flows. Additional analysis reveals that stock prices act as if investors do not fully distinguish monetary and nonmonetary assets, which is fundamental to determining the effects of inflation. Overall, this study is the first to show that, although inflation effects are not recognized in nominal financial statements, they have significant economic consequences, even during a period in which inflation is relatively low.
7
Kim, Yongtae. "Discussion of Foreign Ownership and Real Earnings Management: Evidence from Japan." Journal of International Accounting Research 14, no. 2 (September 1, 2015): 215–19. http://dx.doi.org/10.2308/jiar-10472.
Анотація:
ABSTRACT Guo, Huang, Zhang, and Zhou (2015) examine whether foreign investors encourage or limit real earnings management in Japanese firms. They find that firms with higher foreign ownership engage less in real earnings management than other firms as evidenced by higher abnormal cash flows from operations, lower abnormal production costs, and higher abnormal discretionary expenses. While the results suggest that foreign ownership and real earnings management in Japanese firms are negatively correlated, it remains unclear whether foreign investors improve the corporate governance of firms and thus limit real earnings management or that they are attracted to firms that have better governance and more transparent earnings. One fruitful avenue for future research is to examine whether the negative relation between foreign ownership and financial reporting quality reflects monitoring by foreign investors or selection.
8
Cahyati, Ari Dewi. "DAMPAK PENERAPAN IFRS TERHADAP KUALITAS LAPORAN KEUANGAN DAN ARUS INVESTASI." JRAK: Jurnal Riset Akuntansi dan Komputerisasi Akuntansi 9, no. 1 (February 19, 2018): 49–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.33558/jrak.v9i1.1362.
Анотація:
Objective of this study is to determine whether IFRS convergence will improve the quality of financial statements as indicated by decreasing levels of information asymmetry and declining real earnings management. IFRS convergence is measured by Dummy variables years before convergence and year after covergency while accounting quality reporting is measured by decreasing earnings management level and decreasing level of information asymmetry. Real earnings management uses abnormal cash flow, abnormal discretionary expense and abnormal production cost (Roydhuchory, 2006) while information asymmetry uses adjusted spreads. While the variable of investment flows is measured by the percentage of foreign investment ownership in Indonesia (defond et.al, 2011).
This research uses a quantitative approach that aims to test the theory. The research method used is explanatory research. The sample of this study are all companies listed on BEI. Secondary data research data. From purposive sampling, 102 samples were obtained for IFRS convergence effect on Real earnings management and 100 companies to test the effect of IFRS convergence on asymmetry and information asymmetry on global investment flows. Methods of data analysis using linear regression analysis.
The result of statistical analysis shows 1) that IFRS convergence has negative effect on real profit management. This indicates that the higher the IFRS convergence the real earnings management will decrease. 2) IFRS convergence has no effect on information asymmetry and 3) Information asymmetry has no effect on global investment flows in Indonesia.
9
Ghodrati, Hassan, Fatemeh Haftlang Mohammadjani, and Hossein Jabbari. "Determining the Relationship between the Items of the Cash Flow Statement with Abnormal Output in the Companies Enlisted in Stock Exchange Organization." JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH 5, no. 3 (November 14, 2014): 850–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.24297/jssr.v5i3.3407.
Анотація:
The continuity of the operations, growth or decrease in the business activities of any company is in line with the on time and optimized funding of cash liquidity and suitable as well as the proper use of them in investment paths in the direction of creating output and ultimately, to increase the shareholders wealth. The goal of this research is to determine the relationship between cash liquidity and abnormal output of stocks. For this purpose, 130 companies were selected by employing simple random method among the companies were enlisted in Stock Exchange Organization. Different cash liquidities included the operational and non-operational cash flows were taken as the five main independent variables, the divisible profits, financial leverage and the size of the company were defined as other independent variables; and, the abnormal output of stock was considered as dependent variable. After analyzing the pre-hypothesis by using combined multi-variable regression and based on the panel data analysis, five linear relations were assessed. The results of the research showed positive relationship between different cash flows, except tax cash flow and the abnormal output of stock. With respect to the determining coefficients which were obtained, the assessed relationship was considered very weak linear relation. The results of T.Student and Fischer showed that the assessed relationship was not significant in the statistical society level. Analyzing the non-parametric correlation showed similar results.
10
Hollie, Dana, and Shaokun Carol Yu. "Do Reconciliations Of Segment Earnings Affect Stock Prices?" Journal of Applied Business Research (JABR) 28, no. 5 (August 21, 2012): 1085. http://dx.doi.org/10.19030/jabr.v28i5.7248.
Анотація:
While SFAS No. 131 is intended to increase the transparency of financial reporting using a management approach, it may reduce shareholders ability to interpret segment disclosures relative to the industry approach employed under SFAS No.14. This study investigates whether segment reconciliation differences affect stock prices and whether abnormal returns can be earned using information about two components of earnings: aggregated segment earnings and segment earnings reconciliations. We compute reconciliations as the difference between firm-level consolidated earnings and aggregated segment-level earnings. Firms that report negative SERs have greater sales and profitability, greater return on equity, as well as more operating cash flows and firm growth. This suggests that firms that report aggregated segment earnings greater than firm-level consolidated earnings may be better off financially. Our findings show that mispricing does occur when firms report positive SERs by the market, underestimating the segment earnings reconciliation component of earnings persistence. Investors can also earn positive abnormal returns when investors take a long (short) position with the portfolio with the highest (lowest) absolute SERs. On the contrary, we find investors earn negative abnormal returns when firms report negative SERs. Collectively, this study provides evidence that mispricing occurs and that investors over/underestimate the importance and/or persistence of segment earnings reconciliations.
11
Feltham, Gerald A., and James A. Ohlson. "Residual Earnings Valuation With Risk and Stochastic Interest Rates." Accounting Review 74, no. 2 (April 1, 1999): 165–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.2308/accr.1999.74.2.165.
Анотація:
This paper provides a general version of the accounting-based valuation model that equates the market value of a firm's equity to book value plus the present value of expected abnormal earnings. Prior theoretical work (e.g., Ohlson 1995; Feltham and Ohlson 1995, 1996) assumes investors are risk neutral and interest rates are nonstochastic and flat. Our more general analysis rests on only two assumptions: no arbitrage in financial markets and clean surplus accounting. These assumptions imply a risk-adjusted formula for the present value of expected abnormal earnings. The risk adjustments consist of certainty-equivalent reductions of expected abnormal earnings. A key issue deals with the capital charge component of abnormal earnings. It is measured by applying the (uncertain) riskless spot interest rate to start-of-period book value. Risks do not affect the rate used in the capital charge, and accounting policies do not affect the formula's constructs. An application of the general formula shows how the classic risk-adjusted expected cash flows model derives as a special case.
12
Zheng, Zhiyong, Jian He, Yang Bian, Chen Feng, and Mengting Zhang. "How Does Capital Account Liberalization Affect Systemic Financial Risks? Evidence from China." Mathematical Problems in Engineering 2021 (April 16, 2021): 1–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5512471.
Анотація:
Capital account liberalization typically results in higher volumes of capital inflows and outflows for a country, yet abnormal cross-border capital flows may lead to overall financial risk accumulation, in turn causing tremendous damages to the economy. Using a time-varying parameter structural vector autoregression model with stochastic volatility (SV-TVP-SVAR), we identify time-varying effects of capital account liberalization on four types of systemic financial risks in China. Empirical results demonstrate that capital account liberalization, in the short run, can effectively curb the accumulation of macroeconomic and sudden stop risks. On the other hand, capital account liberalization may heighten credit crunch and asset bubble risks to varying degrees. We also find that some important capital account liberalization measures are double-edged: reform policies are likely to increase macroeconomic risk when optimizing the financing structure and reducing credit crunch risk.
13
Sun, Lan. "Accrual mispricing in the era of corporate governance reforms." Asian Review of Accounting 28, no. 3 (May 5, 2020): 373–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ara-08-2019-0143.
Анотація:
PurposeThis study is primarily motivated by the increasing concern of the academic, practitioners, regulators and standard setters regarding the quality of earnings and financial reporting. The purpose is to investigate whether the accrual anomaly exists in Australia; whether the occurrence of the accrual anomaly is attributed to the discretionary accruals component stemming from managerial discretion; and the impact of corporate governance reforms on accrual mispricing.Design/methodology/approachThis study employs the Mishkin (1983) rational expectations test to examine whether the earnings expectations embedded in stock prices accurately reflect the differential persistence of earnings components. It also employs the hedge portfolio trading strategy to examine whether taking a long position in firms with low accruals and a short position in firms with high accruals will yield positive abnormal stock returns.FindingsThe results show that investors overestimate the persistence of accruals and underestimate the persistence of cash flows and subsequently, overprice the accruals and underprice the cash flows. The evidence of accrual mispricing is severe for the component of discretionary accruals. Nonetheless, the association between discretionary accruals and abnormal returns are weakened during the corporate governance reforms period.Research limitations/implicationsIt should be cautious to attribute the investors' ability to accurately price accruals and cash flows to the passage of corporate governance reform program. Despite there is control for firm size, book-to-market, PE multiple, growth and leverage, other macro-economic factors such as interest rates, inflation and GDP could potentially have an impact on stock returns.Practical implicationsThe passage of corporate governance reform program has increased the level of financial reporting disclosure and the monitoring of management, which subsequently improved accruals persistence and earnings quality. A direct practical implication is that investors should better understand the information in accruals for future earnings when the corporate disclosure environment is strengthened.Social implicationsThis study provides useful information to regulators, academics and investors interested in market efficiency and accrual mispricing. The results suggest that the reform of corporate governance is associated with more efficient prices. This may be of interest to the regulators who intend to improve earnings quality and financial reporting environment through the regulatory reform.Originality/valueTo test the accrual anomaly in the period of corporate governance reforms is particularly useful to regulators and policy makers. It allows regulators and policy makers to gain insight as whether the change of regulation has been effective – more transparent and timely reporting of financial information are supposed to help the investors to better understand the accruals and thus mitigate the potential for accrual mispricing.
14
Banker, Rajiv D., and Lei (Tony) Chen. "Predicting Earnings Using a Model Based on Cost Variability and Cost Stickiness." Accounting Review 81, no. 2 (March 1, 2006): 285–307. http://dx.doi.org/10.2308/accr.2006.81.2.285.
Анотація:
We evaluate the descriptive validity of the cost behavior model for profit analysis using Compustat data. For this purpose, we propose an earnings forecast model decomposing earnings into components that reflect (1) variability of costs with sales revenue and (2) stickiness in costs with sales declines. We evaluate the predictive ability of our model by benchmarking its performance in forecasting one-year-ahead returns on equity against that of two other time-series models based on line item information reported in the income statement and in the statement of cash flows. Specifically, we consider a model that disaggregates earnings into operating income and non-operating income components and another that disaggregates earnings into cash flows and accruals components. While all three models are less accurate than analysts' consensus forecasts that rely on a larger information set, we find that our model provides substantial improvement in forecast accuracy over the other two models that use only the line items in the financial statements. Finally, invoking the market efficiency assumption, we find that earnings forecast errors based on our model have greater relative information content than forecast errors based on the two alternative models based on financial statement information in explaining abnormal stock returns.
15
Boedhi, Nico Radityo, and Dewi Ratnaningsih. "PENGARUH KUALITAS AUDIT TERHADAP MANAJEMEN LABA MELALUI AKTIVITAS RIIL." KINERJA 19, no. 1 (February 21, 2017): 84. http://dx.doi.org/10.24002/kinerja.v19i1.536.
Анотація:
This study examines the impact of audit quality on Real Earnings Management (REM). Real earnings management is defined as management actions that deviate from normal business practices, undertaken withthe primary objective of meeting certain earnings thresholds (Roychowdhury, 2006). One proxy is taken for real earnings management, while abnormal operating cash flows and proxy for audit quality are taken as the size of audit firm. Research samples are selected from the population of manufacturing companies listed in Bursa Efek Indonesia from year 2007 to 2011. Sample criteria is companies which have strong incentive to engage in real earnings management and 126 companies are selected. Multiple Regression Model has been applied for data analysis. It is found that impact of audit quality on real earnings management is positive. This result concludes that audit quality is not a warranty that a company’s financial statement is free from earnings management.Keywords: audit quality, earnings management, real earnings management, abnormal cash flow operation.
16
Sundvik, Dennis. "The impact of principles-based vs rules-based accounting standards on reporting quality and earnings management." Journal of Applied Accounting Research 20, no. 1 (February 11, 2019): 78–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jaar-05-2018-0063.
Анотація:
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to explore whether principles-based vs rules-based accounting standards have an effect on measures of financial reporting quality and earnings management strategies. Design/methodology/approach This study uses a firm-year-specific variable that captures the extent to which firms’ accounting and operating behavior is affected by the characteristics of a specific standard in the USA. Measures of absolute accruals, financial misconducts, signed abnormal accruals and abnormal cash flows are used to assess the effects. Findings The results show that absolute magnitude of accruals and probability of financial misconduct is lower, and accrual earnings management is higher when firms’ standards are more based on principles. The study also suggests that potentially costlier real earnings management is a consequence of rules-based standards. Research limitations/implications This study relies heavily on measures from the prior accounting literature, hence, care has been exercised in generalizing the findings. Practical implications This study has direct implications for a number of stakeholders, including standard setters, policymakers, securities regulators, researchers, investors, financial statement preparers and auditors. For example, the future development of accounting standards can be supported by the empirical conclusions in this study together with previous standard-setting ambitions, commentaries, experiments and analytical work. Originality/value This study extends prior single-country studies on reporting quality and cross-country studies on transition effects of firms switching from local to International Accounting Standards by observing the impact of accounting standard characteristics on additional measures of reporting quality and accrual as well as real earnings management when holding institutional factors constant. The study also offers archival evidence complementing prior commentaries, experiments and analytical work.
17
Bilal, Kimouche. "Accrual-based and cash-based earnings management in Algeria: substitution or complementary." Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics 8, no. 1 (June 1, 2022): 1–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2022-0001.
Анотація:
Abstract Managers are often employed many alternatives for earnings management following their objectives or the financial reporting objectives; the commonly used are the accrual-based and cash-based earnings management. The literature reveals that managers adopt the two strategies in different ways, suggesting a mixed relationship between them. Hence, this study investigates the relationship between the two strategies of earnings management in Algeria, whether it is a substitute or complementary. The study included 30 Algerian companies during 2011-2019, so a total of 270 firm-year observations were employed. Accrual-based earnings management was measured through the modified-Jones model, while cash-based earnings management was measured through the abnormal cash flows model. According to the results, Algerian companies engage more in accrual-based earnings management and employ the two strategies as substitutes, which explains the strong and negative effect of accrual-based on cash-based earnings management. We argue that companies engage first in accrual-based earnings management, and then they shift towards cash-based earnings management due to auditors’ scrutiny. Furthermore, we found a positive and a medium effect of return on equity on cash-based earnings management, which reflects the managers’ desire to adjust operating cash flows consistent with the reported earnings. Finally, the results indicated that company ownership, company listing, and the nature of financial statements do not affect cash-based earnings management.
18
Myers, James N., Linda A. Myers, and Thomas C. Omer. "Exploring the Term of the Auditor-Client Relationship and the Quality of Earnings: A Case for Mandatory Auditor Rotation?" Accounting Review 78, no. 3 (July 1, 2003): 779–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.2308/accr.2003.78.3.779.
Анотація:
In this study, we document evidence on the relation between auditor tenure and earnings quality using the dispersion and sign of both absolute Jones-model abnormal accruals and absolute current accruals as proxies for earnings quality. Our study is motivated by calls for “mandatory auditor rotation,” which are based on concerns that longer auditor tenure reduces earnings quality. Multivariate results, controlling for firm age, size, industry growth, cash flows, auditor type (Big N versus non-Big N), industry, and year, generally suggest higher earnings quality with longer auditor tenure. We interpret our results as suggesting that, in the current environment, longer auditor tenure, on average, results in auditors placing greater constraints on extreme management decisions in the reporting of financial performance.
19
Kimouche, Bilal. "The Effect of Stock Market Listing on Real Earnings Management: Evidence From Algerian Companies." Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy 67, no. 4 (December 1, 2021): 96–107. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2021-0024.
Анотація:
Abstract This paper aims to explore the effect of the Algiers Stock Exchange listing on real earnings management. The study included 14 non-financial non-listed companies during the period 2015-2019 and six non-financial listed companies during the period 2010-2019. Due to the small number of companies listed on the Algiers Stock Exchange, the period of study was extended in the case of listed companies to provide enough observations. The measurement of real earnings management is based on the model of abnormal cash flows from operations (Roychowdhury, 2006), while the hypothesis testing is based on a model of multiple linear regression. The results indicate that the company size and the nature of financial statement (consolidation) do not have any effect on real earnings management in Algerian companies. The results are not consistent with the author’s hypothesis about the positive effect of stock market listing on real earnings management. The empirical evidence suggests that the Algiers Stock Exchange listing has had a negative effect on real earnings management in Algerian companies. This might be due to the scrutiny of auditors and regulators as the number of companies is easy to control, which decreases the opportunity for Algerian companies to rely on real earnings management in accordance with the opportunistic or informational view.
20
Raffat, Humaira, and Danish Ahmed Siddiqui. "Does Openness, and Productivity Matters for FDI: A Global Interactive Analysis Based on the Complementary Role of Institutions." Issues in Economics and Business 6, no. 2 (July 22, 2020): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.5296/ieb.v6i2.17402.
Анотація:
Conventional wisdom suggested that investment flows in where you have abnormal returns that resulted in a high productivity area. However, FDI behaves peculiarly, as most are targeted towards developed countries where excess competition drives down returns and ultimately productivity. On the contrary, it shy in developing countries where one has more productive investment opportunities. This study tries to tackle the problem and explores the factors that influenced FDI flows. In particular, we focused on productivity, trade openness, financial liberalization, and institutions. Macro-level data was collected from 27 economies from 2004 to 2015. The analysis was done using GMM methodology. The results showed productivity remained insignificant in explaining FDI throughout the models. Trade seems to have a significant positive impact on the model without the interaction effect. Interestingly, financial liberalization seems to affect FDI negatively in all cases. GDP growth had a positive and significant effect. All Institutional variables that include control of corruption, government effectiveness, regulatory quality, rule of law, seems to have a significant positive impact on FDI individually, as well as in the combined form. We also witnessed significant and positive complementarities with each of the institutional factors and productivity, in explaining FDI. This indicated that higher productivity is not the deciding factor of FDI, however, the same productivity in a better institutional environment would produce positive complementarity that would significantly determine FDI. The findings imply that investors' prime concern is not productivity but the institutional environment. Moreover, only with quality institutions, the conventional wisdom persists.
21
Gupta, Pankaj Kumar, and Jasjit Bhatia. "Investment sensitivity and managerial decision making behaviour of Indian firms." Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis 61, no. 7 (2013): 2157–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/actaun201361072157.
Анотація:
Contemporary models of the financial theory support the proposition that the stock prices should be fundamentally a reflection of the discounted value of earnings. Accordingly the investors and analysts should base their expectations on the expected future cash flows that are logically correlated or have a carry over effect vis-ŕ-vis present stream of cash flows. This logically implies that the managers would have an incentive to manipulate investor’s expectation of future cash flows. The zeal to maximize the firm’s value based on market capitalization is expected to have a detrimental effect on the investment decisions leading to sub optimality. Given the imperfect information structure and market pressures, the Indian firms suffer from mispricing and as such the conventional robust theoretical models of agency conflicts cannot be refuted. This motivates us to examine the interrelation ship between the concerns for valuation and investment sensitivity. We use a sample statistics of selected listed firms that represent the CNX Nifty Index and test for the dependence of the investment behavior of the firm, on the sensitivity of the firms’ share prices to its current cash flow represented by surprise earings. We use the earnings response coefficient (ERC) framework proposed by Ball and Brown (1968) for 11 key industries in India. We find that the surpise in accounting earnings announcements is negatively associated with abnormal stock returns and the investment decisions taken by the firms are negatively sensitive to changes in investment opportunities.
22
Hsieh, Tien-Shih, Zhihong Wang, and Mohammad Abdolmohammadi. "Does XBRL disclosure management solution influence earnings release efficiency and earnings management?" International Journal of Accounting & Information Management 27, no. 1 (March 4, 2019): 74–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijaim-06-2017-0079.
Анотація:
Purpose This study aims to investigate whether eXtensible Business Reporting Language (XBRL) disclosure management solution improves public companies’ earnings release efficiency and mitigates earnings management. Design/methodology/approach This study adopts a unique survey data set from the Financial Executives Research Foundation 2013 to identify companies’ XBRL implementation strategies. Earnings release efficiency is measured by earnings announcement time lag. Multiple indicators of both accruals- and real activities-based earnings management are adopted to examine the research hypotheses. Findings The authors find that the disclosure management solution (DMS) XBRL implementation is positively associated with earnings release efficiency for companies with good news. The authors also find that DMS implementation strategy is negatively related to accruals-based earnings management, but positively related to real activities-based earnings management measured by abnormal cash flows. Research limitations/implications The results of this study can inform regulators, investors and corporate management on how XBRL adoption is associated with corporate financial reporting. Originality/value The study contributes to the XBRL literature by providing empirical evidence on how the strategies adopted by companies to implement XBRL may affect the results of XBRL mandatory adoption.
23
Shchetinin, Eugene Yu. "On anomalies detection in electrocardiograms with unsupervised deep learning methods." Journal Of Applied Informatics 17, no. 6 (December 26, 2022): 81–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.37791/2687-0649-2022-17-6-81-93.
Анотація:
Anomaly detection is an important task in various applications and areas of technology and production, such as structural defects, malicious intrusions into management and control systems, financial supervision and risk management, digital health screening, etc. The ever-increasing flows of diverse data and their structural complexity require the development of advanced approaches to their solution. In recent years, deep learning methods have achieved significant success in detecting anomalies, and unsupervised deep learning methods have become especially popular. Methods of anomaly detection by methods of deep learning without a teacher are investigated in the work on the example of a set of electrocardiograms containing normal ECG signals and ECG signals of people with various cardiovascular diseases (anomalies). To detect abnormal electrocardiograms, an autoencoder model has been developed in the form of a deep neural network with several fully connected layers. Also, to solve this problem, a method is proposed for selecting the threshold for separating abnormal ECG signals from normal ones, consisting in optimizing the ratio of performance indicators of the autoencoder model by methods. The paper presents a comparative analysis of the effectiveness of applying various machine learning models, such as the one class Support Vector Method, Isolation Forest, Random Forest and the presented autoencoder model to solving the problem of detecting abnormal ECG signals. For this purpose, metrics such as accuracy, recall, completeness, and f-score were used. His results showed that the proposed model surpassed the other models in solving the problem with accuracy = 98.8% precision = 95.75%, recall = 99.12%, f1-score = 98.75%.
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Kozyuk, Victor. "PROMULGATION OF THE MACROPRUDENTIAL REGULATION AND THE GUIDELINES FOR THE NBU MACROPRUDENTIAL POLICY." JOURNAL OF EUROPEAN ECONOMY, Vol 17, No 2 (2018) (2018): 187–208. http://dx.doi.org/10.35774/jee2018.02.187.
Анотація:
Post-crisis spread of macroprudential regulation requires some generalizations and identification of the ways of adapting it to Ukraine. Current consensus about taxonomy and functionality of macroprudential toolkit is corresponded with empirical findings of potential efficiency of such instruments to restrain credit and assets price inflation. At the same time, macroprudential policy may be vulnerable to possibilities of large borrowing abroad and credit activity leakage on unregulated segments of financial system. In the paper it is noted that commodity rich economies constitute a specific profile there macroprudential policy is meant to diminish vulnerability to commodity prices volatility. Macroprudential instruments may help to restrain abnormal credit expansion in non-tradable sectors and bound sectoral credit concentration, thus opening new opportunities for sectoral policy. It is proved that macroprudential policy guidelines for National Bank of Ukraine should be determined by the specifics of implementing macroprudential policy in the environment of capital flows being influenced by the commodity prices, as well as by specific institutional distortions caused by oligarchical banking.
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Sosnowski, Tomasz. "The credibility of earnings announced by new stock companies: accrual and real earnings management." Equilibrium 16, no. 3 (September 30, 2021): 661–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.24136/eq.2021.024.
Анотація:
Research background: An initial public offering (IPO) creates an excellent opportunity to research the impact of changes in the institutional environment of companies on the trustworthiness of the information disclosed in financial statements.
Purpose of the article: The main aim of the study is to analyze the use of accrual and real earnings management to inflate earnings, revenue, or total assets around the going public event. Therefore, this paper contributes to the stream of study on the quality of financial reporting of new stock companies.
Methods: Two main approaches reflect the use of various types of earnings management activities, i.e., discretionary accruals and real earnings management. In both cases, it was necessary to use proper OLS method estimated models to identify the normal level of categories that affect the results reported in financial statements.
Findings & value added: Based on a sample of 183 IPOs from the Warsaw Stock Exchange between 2005 and 2015, generally, managers of newly-listed companies actively use discretionary accruals, reduce production costs and certain discretionary expenses, and abnormal cash flows from operations ? i.e., all proxies of earnings management used in the paper ? in the periods around the IPO. In the period prior to the IPO, managers more often introduce techniques typical of the real sphere of the company's operations, in particular, the deliberate modeling of certain discretionary costs. In turn, the use of discretionary accruals dominates in the year after the IPO.
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Sosnowski, Tomasz. "The credibility of earnings announced by new stock companies: accrual and real earnings management." Equilibrium 16, no. 3 (September 30, 2021): 661–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.24136/eq.2021.024.
Анотація:
Research background: An initial public offering (IPO) creates an excellent opportunity to research the impact of changes in the institutional environment of companies on the trustworthiness of the information disclosed in financial statements.
Purpose of the article: The main aim of the study is to analyze the use of accrual and real earnings management to inflate earnings, revenue, or total assets around the going public event. Therefore, this paper contributes to the stream of study on the quality of financial reporting of new stock companies.
Methods: Two main approaches reflect the use of various types of earnings management activities, i.e., discretionary accruals and real earnings management. In both cases, it was necessary to use proper OLS method estimated models to identify the normal level of categories that affect the results reported in financial statements.
Findings & value added: Based on a sample of 183 IPOs from the Warsaw Stock Exchange between 2005 and 2015, generally, managers of newly-listed companies actively use discretionary accruals, reduce production costs and certain discretionary expenses, and abnormal cash flows from operations ? i.e., all proxies of earnings management used in the paper ? in the periods around the IPO. In the period prior to the IPO, managers more often introduce techniques typical of the real sphere of the company's operations, in particular, the deliberate modeling of certain discretionary costs. In turn, the use of discretionary accruals dominates in the year after the IPO.
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Boghdady, Ahmed. "The impact of ownership type on the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management: An empirical study." Corporate Ownership and Control 16, no. 4 (2019): 31–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.22495/cocv16i4art3.
Анотація:
This study investigates the effect of ownership type on the relation between corporate governance and earnings management. While previous literature has mainly examined the relationship between corporate governance and both accrual and real earnings management, no study to date, to the researcher’s best knowledge, focused on the moderation effect of ownership type on this relationship. Three proxies for measuring accrual and real earnings management, namely discretionary accruals (DA), abnormal cash flows (ACFO), and abnormal discretionary expenses (ADISX) are employed. Three empirical models (i.e. DA, ACFO, and ADISX) are developed in which the earnings management proxies represent the dependent variables and are tested using a sample of non-financial companies containing state-owned and privately owned companies over the period from 2010 to 2017, with 1030 firm-year observations. The results show a positive relationship between ownership type and both accruals manipulation and sales manipulation. In general, the results suggest that the ownership type moderates the relationship between corporate governance and earnings management. The results suggest also that corporate governance mechanisms may not play an almost the same role in monitoring and mitigating real earnings management (REM) practices as they do for accrual earnings management (AEM) in Egypt. Moreover, no evidence is found supportive of the trade-off effect which means that managers in Egyptian firms use both types of earnings management jointly to reach the target levels of earnings
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Hassan, Mohamad, and Evangelos Giouvris. "Financial institutions mergers: a strategy choice of wealth maximisation and economic value." Journal of Financial Economic Policy 12, no. 4 (October 19, 2020): 495–529. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jfep-06-2019-0113.
Анотація:
Purpose This study Investigates Shareholders' value adjustment in response to financial institutions (FIs) merger announcements in the immediate event window and in the extended event window. This study also investigates accounting measures performance, comparison of post-merger to pre-merger, including several cash flow measures and not just profitability measures, as the empirical literature review suggests. Finally, the authors examine FIs mergers orientations of diversification and focus create more value for shareholders (in the immediate announcement window and several months afterward) and/or generates better cash flows, profitability and less credit risk. Design/methodology/approach This study examines FIs merger effect on bidders’ shareholder’s value and on their observed performance. This examination deploys three techniques simultaneously: a) an event study analysis, to estimate and calculate abnormal returns (ARs) and cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) in the narrow windows of the merger announcement, b) buy and hold event study analysis, to estimate ARs in the wider window of the event, +50 to +230 days after the merger announcement and c) an observed performance analysis, of financial and capital efficiency measures before and after the merger announcement; return on equity, liquidity, cost to income ratio, capital to total assets ratio, net loans to total loans, credit risk, loans to deposits ratio, other expenses and total assets, economic value addition, weighted average cost of capital and return on invested capital. Deal criteria of value, mega-deals, strategic orientation (as in Ansoff (1980) growth strategies), acquiring bank size and payment method are set as individually as control variables. Findings Results show that FIs mergers destroy share value for the bidding firms pursuing a market penetration strategy. Market development and product development strategies enable shareholders’ value creation in short and long horizons. Diversification strategies do not influence bidding shareholders’ value. Local bank to bank mergers create shareholders’ value and enhance liquidity and economic value in the short run. Bank to bank cross border mergers create value for bidders’ in the long term but are associated with high costs and higher risks. Originality/value A significant advancement over the current literature is in assessing mergers, not only for bank bidders but also for the three pillars FIs of the financial sector; banks, real-estate companies and investment companies mergers. It is an improvement over current finance literature because it deploys two different strategies in the analysis. At a univariate level, shareholder value creation and market reaction to merger announcements are examined over short (−5 or +5 days) and long (+230 days) windows of the event. Followed by regressing, the resultant CARs and BHARs over financial performance variables at the multivariate level.
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Salehi, Mahdi, Mahbubeh Mahmoudabadi, and Mohammad Sadegh Adibian. "The relationship between managerial entrenchment, earnings management and firm innovation." International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management 67, no. 9 (November 19, 2018): 2089–107. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijppm-03-2018-0097.
Анотація:
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to evaluate the qualitative effect of corporate governance components, in the form of managerial entrenchment index, on earnings management and innovation.Design/methodology/approachIn this study, the variable of managerial entrenchment, which includes the variables of management independence, dual role of management, management tenure, the board compensation and the board ownership percentage, was initially estimated through the exploratory factor analysis and its effect was evaluated on the dependent variables of the study using the test of multivariable regressions. Hence, a total of 103 listed companies on the Tehran Stock Exchange were selected and analyzed during 2011–2016. In this paper, the Jones model is used as the variable of accrued earnings management and for calculating the real earnings management, the models of abnormal operational cash flows, abnormal production costs and abnormal optional costs are employed. Moreover, the research and development cost to total costs ratio is used for calculating the innovation.FindingsThe results indicate a negative and significant relationship between managerial entrenchment and accrual-based earnings management; moreover, the entrenched managers are less likely to engage in manipulating the real activities accruals in Iran context. Furthermore, the findings show that there is a positive and significant relationship between managerial entrenchment and firm innovation.Originality/valueWhat really sets this paper apart from other studies is that this research will make aware investors and stakeholders of this fact that managerial entrenchment will be a good way to diminish the manipulation of financial reporting and improve the corporate situation in emerging markets, particularly those bazaars facing with economic sanctions such as Iran. Undeniably, the study results will complete the knowledge gap between the developed economies and the emerging markets.
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Xingyuan Li, Tianquan Liu, Shuiyang Pan,. "Analyzing the Efficacy of the Relative Strength Indicator of Capital Inflows and Outflows Based on Big Data Analysis in Achieving Abnormal Returns Evidence from the Chinese Stock Market." Journal of Electrical Systems 20, no. 2 (April 4, 2024): 958–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.52783/jes.1259.
Анотація:
This study originates from an analysis of market microstructure and introduces a novel statistical indicator of relative strength in capital flows through the application of big data analytics. This indicator effectively captures the impact of capital movements on future stock prices by integrating variations in stock prices with the volume of transactions within a corresponding timeframe. Building upon this foundation, the research develops an innovative momentum investment strategy based on the relative strength indicator of capital inflows and outflows, extending beyond the traditional fixed holding period momentum strategy framework. Empirical analysis reveals that this new indicator significantly demonstrates momentum effects in the Chinese A-share market; notably, in portfolios of stocks with smaller market capitalizations, the momentum strategy grounded on the new indicator achieves higher excess returns compared to traditional momentum strategies. These findings not only validate the efficacy of the new indicator but also underscore the critical role of big data analytics in enhancing the analysis of financial markets and the efficiency of investment decision-making.
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Krueger, Thomas, and Mark Wrolstad. "Portfolio Construction Using Key Fundamental Ratios and the DJIA Stocks." Journal of Finance Issues 10, no. 2 (December 31, 2012): 71–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.58886/jfi.v10i2.2306.
Анотація:
Index funds have attracted investors over the years by promising to lower fees, turnover, taxes, and other expenses while outperforming the average actively-managed fund. Portfolio indexation has historically focused on three main methods of portfolio weighting: price-weighting, market capitalization-weighting, and occasionally equal-weighting. More recently, attention has been focused on “fundamental weighting” using financial statement items like sales, total assets, EBIT, and dividends to weight stock portfolios. This research focuses on portfolios of the 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) stocks that areconstructed using 15 different metrics. Two of the methods of indexation are the traditional approaches of price and market capitalization and the other 13 methods of indexation are ratios based upon the DuPont equation, price relatives, and operating cash flows. After the decade studied, the portfolio with the highest terminal value for the $1000 originally invested was the $1198 of the Operating Cash Flow (OCF) / Current Liabilities indexed portfolio and the lowestterminal value was the $670 for the Price/Sales indexed portfolio. The OCF / Current Liabilities, OCF / Total Debt, and OCF / Net Income-based portfolios all show significantly better performance at the 2% to 5% level when compared to the market value-weighted portfolio. None of these ratios had an abnormal level of skewness or kurtosis, which would have minimized the implications of these findings. Across the financial statements, the cash flow statement appears to provide the most fertile ground for above average rates of return to the passive, long-term investor.
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Shirabe, Yuji, and Makoto Nakano. "Does Integrated Reporting Affect Real Activities Manipulation?" Sustainability 14, no. 17 (September 5, 2022): 11110. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su141711110.
Анотація:
Integrated reporting (IR) by firms is intended to improve not only the quality of information available to external parties, but also internal managerial decision making. IR is considered useful to address the short-term orientation of firms caused by pressure from short-term oriented shareholders. This study examines whether the introduction of IR discourages real activities manipulation, a form of myopic behavior. Using a large sample of Japanese listed companies, the study empirically tests the effect of IR on real activities manipulation through panel data regression analysis. We find that the introduction of IR is related to higher level of abnormal cash flows from operations, lower level of abnormal production costs, and lower level of total activities manipulation. These results generally suggest that firms tend not to engage in real activities manipulation after IR is introduced. Our results also show that while there is insignificant difference in the degree of real activities manipulation between IR and non-IR firms immediately after the introduction of IR, the degree of real activities manipulation is generally smaller in IR firms than in non-IR firms after more time has passed since the introduction of IR, consistent with the view of practitioners that IR is a continuous improvement process of internal decision making. Regarding the non-financial aspects, additional analysis shows that introducing IR is positively associated with the performance of environmental, social and governance (ESG). Our findings suggest that IR could discourage companies’ short-term oriented behavior and promote long-term value creation, which is of interest to a wide range of stakeholders. Thus, our findings provide insightful evidence for researchers, practitioners, and policy makers interested in the role of IR in stakeholder-oriented corporate governance mechanisms.
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Ferentinou, Aikaterini C., and Seraina C. Anagnostopoulou. "Accrual-based and real earnings management before and after IFRS adoption." Journal of Applied Accounting Research 17, no. 1 (February 8, 2016): 2–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jaar-01-2014-0009.
Анотація:
Purpose – The purpose of this study is to examine the use of accrual-based vs real earnings management (EM) by Greek firms, before and after the mandatory adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). The research is motivated by the fact that past studies have indicated the existence of significant levels of EM for Greece in particular before IFRS. Design/methodology/approach – Accrual-based earnings management (AEM) is examined by assessing performance-adjusted discretionary accruals, while real earnings management (REM) is defined in terms of abnormal levels of production costs, discretionary expenses, and cash flows from operations, for a three-year period before and after the adoption of IFRS in 2005. Findings – The authors find evidence on a statistically significant shift from AEM to REM after the adoption of IFRS, indicating the replacement of one form of EM with the other. Research limitations/implications – The validity of the results depends on the ability of the empirical models used to efficiently capture the existence of AEM and REM. Practical implications – IFRS adoption aims to improve accounting quality, especially in countries with high need for such an improvement; however, the tendency to substitute one form of EM with another highlights unintended consequences of IFRS adoption, which do not improve the informational content of financial statements if EM continues under different forms. Originality/value – Under the expectation that IFRS adoption should lead to improvements in accounting quality, this study examines whether IFRS actually led to a reduction of EM practices for a country with exceptionally high levels of EM before IFRS, by accounting for all possible forms of EM.
34
Sherif, Mohamed, and Cennet Tuba Erkol. "Sukuk and conventional bonds: shareholder wealth perspective." Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research 8, no. 4 (September 4, 2017): 347–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jiabr-09-2016-0105.
Анотація:
Purpose This study aims to comprehensively examine the stock market effects of announcements by firms to issue conventional bonds versus Sukuk. In addition, the authors investigate whether the choice of instrument depends on the tax status and government backing of the issuing firm. They split the sample into whole (2000-2015), pre-crisis (2000-2007) and post-crisis (2010-2015) subsamples. Design/methodology/approach The authors use event study methodology, market model and FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS index on 14 different event windows of which five are symmetric and nine are asymmetric. Further, parametric and distribution-free tests are used to investigate the difference of cumulative abnormal returns when using the two instruments (Sukuk and conventional bonds). For the choice of issuing conventional bonds or Sukuk, Heckman procedure is employed to control for the self-selection of the announcement effects. Findings The analysis indicates only insignificant difference in reaction to Sukuk and conventional bond issuances for the overall period and pre-crisis period. However, and importantly, they find strong evidence supporting the Malaysian stock abnormal return reaction to Sukuk compared to conventional bond issuances after the global financial crisis. Interestingly, they find that tax incentives and government backing are significant determinants in issuing Sukuk over conventional bonds. Such evidence is confirmed when using a wide range of robustness checks including four different market indices and both parametric and non-parametric tests. Research limitations/implications The empirical analysis is subject to limitations. First, the sample is limited to Sukuk issues domiciled in Malaysia. Second, given that Sukuk are collateralized whereas conventional bonds are not, it would only seem logical for the former to be issued by riskier firms whereas the latter would be issued by stronger firms with stable cash flows. The future research can explore this issue some more. Finally, comparing Sukuk with other similar ethical sources of traded capital may provide insights into the globalization of such economic, trade and financial reforms in and outside Malaysia. Originality/value To the author’s knowledge, no research has been conducted studying the differential and conflicting results to announcement of Sukuk issuance in the literature, nor the stock market effects of announcements to issue Sukuk over the pre-crisis (2000-2007) and post-crisis (2010-2015) periods. Thus, the study attempts to assess previous findings and contribute additional evidence that investigates the issue in rich setting.
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Zymovets, Vladyslav. "The excessive receivables of the enterprises: causes and consequences for the financial system of Ukraine." Economy and Forecasting 2019, no. 2 (2019): 5–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.15407/econforecast2019.02.005.
Анотація:
In accordance with the established approach, excessive receivables are a manifestation of the crisis situation with inter-company settlements whose fundamental reason is the lack of liquidity and capital in the economy. Freezing cash into receivables slows down capital flows in the economy, generates systemic risks and negatively affects the companies' investment activities. In this article, excessive receivables are defined as the excess of the share of receivables in assets over its normal level, which is typical for a particular country's model of business financing, with due regard to sector specificity. The author analyzes causes and consequences of the abnormally high amounts of recei¬vables in Ukraine. Among the reasons for excessive receivables in the assets of Ukrainian companies are low payment discipline and difficulties in recovering debts, whose manifestations include a large proportion of overdue and bad debts. The emphasis is made on slowing settlements and increasing burden of receivables in the country. Decomposition of aggregated receivables for goods, works and services based on company size shows a shift in the non-payment burden towards small and medium-sized businesses, whose manifestation is the extension of repayment terms. At the same time, more than a half of the receivables in Ukraine's companies accounts for other receivables that are not directly related to the companies' operative activities, which is one of the manifestations of business financialization. Compared to foreign countries, the above share in Ukraine is abnormally high, due to the active use of shadow loan capital schemes by companies, including the laundering of "dirty" funds and the injection of capital from offshore to support business liquidity. Solving the problem of excessive receivables requires overcoming the existing liquidity shortage in Ukraine, increasing money supply based on gradual reduction of this government debt dependence and restoring business confidence in the banking system of Ukraine. The publication is prepared for the implementation of the planned project of the Department of Finances of the Reals Sector in the Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine: "Financial Risks of Doing Business in Ukraine: Sector of Nonfinancial Corporations" (state registration No 0118U006088).
36
Ji, Soo Yeon, Sampath Jayarathna, Anne M. Perrotti, Katrina Kardiasmenos, and Dong Hyun Jeong. "Identifying Patterns for Neurological Disabilities by Integrating Discrete Wavelet Transform and Visualization." Applied Sciences 14, no. 1 (December 28, 2023): 273. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/app14010273.
Анотація:
Neurological disabilities cause diverse health and mental challenges, impacting quality of life and imposing financial burdens on both the individuals diagnosed with these conditions and their caregivers. Abnormal brain activity, stemming from malfunctions in the human nervous system, characterizes neurological disorders. Therefore, the early identification of these abnormalities is crucial for devising suitable treatments and interventions aimed at promoting and sustaining quality of life. Electroencephalogram (EEG), a non-invasive method for monitoring brain activity, is frequently employed to detect abnormal brain activity in neurological and mental disorders. This study introduces an approach that extends the understanding and identification of neurological disabilities by integrating feature extraction, machine learning, and visual analysis based on EEG signals collected from individuals with neurological and mental disorders. The classification performance of four feature approaches—EEG frequency band, raw data, power spectral density, and wavelet transform—is assessed using machine learning techniques to evaluate their capability to differentiate neurological disabilities in short EEG segmentations (one second and two seconds). In detail, the classification analysis is conducted under two conditions: single-channel-based classification and region-based classification. While a clear demarcation between normal (healthy) and abnormal (neurological disabilities) EEG metrics may not be evident, their similarities and distinctions are observed through visualization, employing wavelet features. Notably, the frontal brain region (frontal lobe) emerges as a crucial area for distinguishing abnormalities among different brain regions. Also, the integration of wavelet features and visual analysis proves effective in identifying and understanding neurological disabilities.
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Surana, Lotica. "Uncovering Systematic Risk in Crypto currency Markets: An Empirical Investigation Using DCC-GARCH Model." ANUSANDHAN – NDIM's Journal of Business and Management Research 5, no. 2 (August 26, 2023): 11–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.56411/anusandhan.2023.v5i2.11-26.
Анотація:
This study presents an analysis of the occurrence of structural flaws and spillovers of volatility among eight popular digital currencies, such as Bit coin (BTC), Litecoin (LTC), Ripple (XRP), BNBPrice, DOGECOINPrice,ETHEREUMPrice, TETHERPrice, and USDCOINPrice. The analysis covers the period from December 25, 2019, to August 25, 2022, utilizing various statistical tests such as the Chow Breakpoint Test, Cumulative Sum test, The Granger Causality Test, the LM test for ARCH, and Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) GARCH model. The results of this research reveal being present structural breaks in all the evaluated cryptocurrencies, highlighting the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market. Additionally, these cryptocurrencies exhibit notable volatility spillovers and substantial positive correlations, which point to limited benefits of diversification within the cryptocurrency market. (Chowdhury, 2020; Treiblmaier, 2018; Quispe, 2023). These results have implications for investors, policymakers, and other stakeholders in the cryptocurrency market. The study recommends including cryptocurrencies as an important component in investment portfolios to stimulate returns and reduce overall portfolio risks, it is noted that direct investment incryptocurrencies can generate higher abnormal returns, but this comes with increased risk due to their inherent volatility. Investor preference for firms involved in cryptocurrency is influenced by factors such as legal protection and familiarity. Thus, policymakers should prioritize financial stability and implement careful regulation of cryptocurrency-related announcements to prevent artificial premiums and fraudulent activities (Chowdhury, 2020; Treiblmaier, 2018; Quispe, 2023). Furthermore, the analysis highlights the presence of high volatility spillover effects among certain cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin.. While volatility offersdiversification advantages, concerns arise due to the lack of intrinsic value and dividends in cryptocurrencies (Özdemir, 2022). The presence of systematic structural breaks suggests the possibility of manipulative behaviors and potential trading strategies that warrant further investigation. The DCC GARCH analysis reveals a high correlation and significant volatility spillover effects among most cryptocurrencies. These findings emphasize the need for a more diversified cryptocurrency market to mitigate risk and promote stability within this emerging financial sector.
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Dash, Santanu Kumar, Michele Roccotelli, Rasmi Ranjan Khansama, Maria Pia Fanti, and Agostino Marcello Mangini. "Long Term Household Electricity Demand Forecasting Based on RNN-GBRT Model and a Novel Energy Theft Detection Method." Applied Sciences 11, no. 18 (September 16, 2021): 8612. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/app11188612.
Анотація:
The long-term electricity demand forecast of the consumer utilization is essential for the energy provider to analyze the future demand and for the accurate management of demand response. Forecasting the consumer electricity demand with efficient and accurate strategies will help the energy provider to optimally plan generation points, such as solar and wind, and produce energy accordingly to reduce the rate of depletion. Various demand forecasting models have been developed and implemented in the literature. However, an efficient and accurate forecasting model is required to study the daily consumption of the consumers from their historical data and forecast the necessary energy demand from the consumer’s side. The proposed recurrent neural network gradient boosting regression tree (RNN-GBRT) forecasting technique allows one to reduce the demand for electricity by studying the daily usage pattern of consumers, which would significantly help to cope with the accurate evaluation. The efficiency of the proposed forecasting model is compared with various conventional models. In addition, by the utilization of power consumption data, power theft detection in the distribution line is monitored to avoid financial losses by the utility provider. This paper also deals with the consumer’s energy analysis, useful in tracking the data consistency to detect any kind of abnormal and sudden change in the meter reading, thereby distinguishing the tampering of meters and power theft. Indeed, power theft is an important issue to be addressed particularly in developing and economically lagging countries, such as India. The results obtained by the proposed methodology have been analyzed and discussed to validate their efficacy.
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Phong, Nguyen Anh, Phan Huy Tam, and Nguyen Thanh Tung. "Identifying Fraud Financial Reports Based on Signs of Income Management Using Machine Learning Technology: The Case of Listed Companies in Vietnam." Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy, May 9, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s1793993324500133.
Анотація:
This study aims to use a measure of earnings management to predict companies whose financial statements have problems. This is an identification measure other than common measures to predict financial statement fraud such as measuring by the M-Score or the Z-score model that many previous studies have applied. In the income management measure, the author uses a measure of abnormal cash flow and abnormal expense flow to consider whether the corporate financial statements have problems or not. To do this, the author uses data from listed non-financial enterprises in the period from 2018 to 2022, with machine learning and deep learning algorithms, of which we focus on three main algorithms: ANN, SVM and RF. The results show that identifying problematic financial statements based on abnormal cash flows is quite effective with an accuracy of over 78% for the SVM method, while if using the RF method, the accuracy reaches over 82% but it is required to accept an increased processing time.
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Agarwal, Megha. "Earnings Versus Cash Flows: The Valuation Perspective." MUDRA : Journal of Finance and Accounting 3, no. 1 (December 25, 2016). http://dx.doi.org/10.17492/mudra.v3i1.6806.
Анотація:
This paper is an effort to compare the earnings based and cash flow based methods of valuation of an enterprise. The theoretically equivalent methods based on either earnings such as Residual Earnings Model (REM), Abnormal Earnings Growth Model (AEGM), Residual Operating Income Method (ReOIM), Abnormal Operating Income Growth Model (AOIGM) and its extensions multipliers such as Price/Earnings Ratio, Price/Book Value Ratio; or cash flow based models such as Dividend Valuation Method (DVM) and Free Cash Flow method (FCFM) all provide different estimates of valuation of the Indian giant corporate Reliance India Limited (RIL). An ex-post analysis of published accounting and financial data for four financial years from 2008-09 to 2011-12 has been conducted. A comparison of these valuation estimates with the actual market capitalization of the company shows that the complex accounting based model AOIGM provides closest forecasts. These different estimates may be derived due to inconsistencies in discount rate, growth rates and the other forecasted variables. Although inputs for earnings based models may be available to the investor and analysts through published statements, precise estimation of free cash flows may be better undertaken by the internal management. The estimation of value from more stable parameters as Residual operating income and RNOA could be considered superior to the valuations from more volatile return on equity.
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Aziani, Alberto, Joras Ferwerda, and Michele Riccardi. "Who are our owners? Exploring the ownership links of businesses to identify illicit financial flows." European Journal of Criminology, January 4, 2021, 147737082098036. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1477370820980368.
Анотація:
This article investigates the patterns of business ownership in Europe, using a unique dataset on the nationality of 28.7 million shareholders of companies registered in 41 European countries. By means of an exploratory multivariate analysis, it tests whether ownership links between different countries are driven exclusively by social and macroeconomic variables – such as trade or geographical or cultural proximity – or are also related to measures of financial secrecy, corruption and lack of compliance with anti-money laundering regulations. The results indicate that factors other than licit economic incentives explain the international ownership structure of European companies. European firms have an abnormal number (that is, above the predicted value) of owners from tax havens and countries with poor financial transparency, which may suggest the use of holding companies for money laundering and tax evasion and to conceal illicit financial flows. However, ceteris paribus, the number of owners is abnormal in countries where rule of law and the control of corruption are more effective, suggesting that a high level of corruption may be a cost in money laundering activities. The findings contribute to the current international debate on illicit financial flows – as framed by United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 16.4 – and can be used by public agencies and private actors to detect anomalies in business ownership and prevent potential financial crime schemes at corporate level.
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Rocha, Cesar Augusto Camargos Rocha, and Marcos Antônio de Camargos. "Financing Decisions and Abnormal Returns: An Analysis of Brazilian Companies." Brazilian Business Review, August 30, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.15728/bbr.2022.1271.en.
Анотація:
In this paper, we developed an approach for the empirical testing of the relationship between the financing choices of companies and the abnormal returns obtained by their shareholders. We innovate by incorporating controls on how this relationship is affected by the capabilities of each funding source, at different levels of returns, through quantile regression. The estimation of the model for a sample of Brazilian companies indicates the inexistence of a significant relationship between abnormal returns and debt issuance. The same occurs between abnormal returns and equity issuance, with one exception: when there is a deficit of internal financing that extrapolates the available safe debt and the abnormal returns are, at least, median, this relationship becomes significant and positive. Considered as a whole, the results suggest an indifference to the sources of funds used by the company. Among the contributions, we highlight the incorporation of the aforementioned controls, which bridges the gap identified in the literature relating business financial flows and stock returns.
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Israeli, Doron, Ron Kaniel, and Suhas A. Sridharan. "The Real Side of the High-Volume Return Premium." Management Science, March 4, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2020.3886.
Анотація:
Prior literature demonstrates that increased trading activity of a firm’s stock is associated with abnormal future stock returns (the high-volume return premium) and interprets this phenomenon as evidence that increased visibility generates reductions in cost of capital. Motivated by this interpretation, we investigate whether increased trading activity entails changes in real corporate actions. We document a positive relation between abnormal trading volume, future investment expenditures, and financing cash flows. This positive relation is not subsumed by the arrival of investment-related news or other corporate disclosures or by subsequent earnings information and is concentrated among firms with high financial constraints and firms with lower levels of investor recognition. This paper was accepted by David Simchi-Levi, finance.
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Shangguan, Wuyue (Phoebe), Alvin Chung Man Leung, Ashish Agarwal, Prabhudev Konana, and Xi Chen. "Developing a Composite Measure to Represent Information Flows in Networks: Evidence from a Stock Market." Information Systems Research, October 12, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/isre.2021.1066.
Анотація:
This paper employs a design science approach and proposes a new composite metric, eigen attention centrality (EAC), as a proxy for information flows associated with a node that considers both attention to a node and coattention with other nodes in a network. We apply the EAC metric in the context of a financial market where nodes are individual stocks and edges are based on coattention relationships among stocks. Composite information from different channels is used to measure attention and coattention. We evaluate the effectiveness of the EAC metric on predicting abnormal returns of stocks by (1) using multiple prediction methods and (2) comparing EAC with a set of alternative network metrics. Our analysis shows that EAC significantly outperforms alternative models in predicting the direction and magnitude of abnormal returns of stocks. Using the EAC metric, we derive a stock portfolio and develop a trading strategy that provides significant and positive excess returns. Lastly, we find that composite information has significantly better predictive performance than separate information sources, and such superior performance owes to information from social media instead of traditional media.
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Attia, Eman F., Sameh Yassen, Ahmed Chafai, and Ahmed Qotb. "The impact of board gender diversity on the accrual/real earnings management practice: evidence from an emerging market." Future Business Journal 10, no. 1 (February 15, 2024). http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s43093-024-00307-7.
Анотація:
AbstractThis paper examines the impact of gender diversity on financial reporting quality (accrual and real earnings management). We use a sample of 78 Egyptian listed companies over the period 2009–2021. The quality of financial reporting is measured using different models of earnings management (accrual and real earnings management). Accrual earnings management (AEM) is detected through four different models developed by modified Jones model, the Kasznik model, Kothari model, Raman and Shahrur model, while real earnings management (REM) is measured using six different model which are abnormal cash flows from operations (ABCFO), abnormal production costs (ABPROD), abnormal discretionary expenditures (ABDISEXP) and three aggregate proxies (RM1, RM2, RM3). Using the system generalized method of moments, companies with more gender diversity are more effective in reducing accrual earnings manipulation (AEM). The exception is the modified Jones model. Moreover, we find that gender diversity is positively and significantly correlated with financial reporting quality based on proxies of real earnings-based activity, except for RM2. The study found a non-significant and negative relationship between board diversity and RM2 as a proxy for REM. Overall, the empirical results based on accrual and real earnings management models (AEM and REM) support the notion that enterprises with more gender diversity on the board are more effective in controlling earnings manipulation practices. The predictions of corporate governance theories are confirmed. Policy makers should continue to promote and support gender diversity in leadership positions within organizations. This can be achieved through initiatives such as diversity quotas, mentoring programs, and leadership development opportunities for women.
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Mnif, Yosra, and Afef Ben Hamouda. "Audit quality and the trade-off between real and accrual earnings management in the oil and gas industry: the GCC evidence." Journal of Applied Accounting Research ahead-of-print, ahead-of-print (December 15, 2020). http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jaar-12-2019-0167.
Анотація:
PurposeThis paper examines the impact of audit quality on the managerial preferences between real and accrual earnings management (REM and AEM, respectively) in oil and gas firms operating in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member countries.Design/methodology/approachThe study relies on the modified Jones model’s (Dechow et al., 1995) to capture AEM and employs Roychowdhury (2006) approach to examine the use of REM through abnormal cash flows, abnormal production and abnormal discretionary expenditures. Audit quality is measured by auditor-industry specialization. The analyses are based on a sample of 30 oil and gas firms from 2008 to 2019.FindingsThe findings highlight that sample companies may substitute between earnings management strategies and tend to shift from AEM to REM when audited by an industry expert. Further analysis points out that the trade-off decision of the pooled sample stems from both upstream and downstream sectors.Research limitations/implicationsThis study is subject to two main limitations. First, the narrowed scope of audit quality related factors due to the scarcity of corporate governance reports of companies. Second, the sample size is reduced.Practical implicationsThe regulators and users of financial statements should be aware that REM strategy is used by oil and gas firms even when scrutinized by a high quality auditor, calling for extra caution when auditing or analyzing the financial information.Originality/valueThe current research is the first, unveiling the association between audit quality and the trade-off between AEM and REM in a less inspected sector and a unique institutional setting.
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Varnamkhasti, Jalil Heidari. "Studying the impact of corporate governance on earning management with the mediating role of financial leverage." International journal of health sciences, April 27, 2022, 4094–111. http://dx.doi.org/10.53730/ijhs.v6ns3.6663.
Анотація:
The present study aims to investigate the impact of corporate governance on the profit management of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange during 2014-2020. This study is experimental and the research method is correlational. The statistical population includes all companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. The required data were collected by referring to the audited financial statements of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange over a period of 7 years for 120 companies. Eviews-10 software was also used to analyze the data. The results showed that there is no significant systematic relationship between corporate governance characteristics (board independence, duality of the CEO, and the number of board meetings) and abnormal operating cash flows at any of the significant levels (p> 0.01, p> 0.05, 0.10). Moreover, the results showed that there is a significant negative relationship between financial leverage and earning management of companies because the probability value of this variable (0.02) is less than the standard value of 0.05. In addition, the findings showed that there is a positive and significant relationship among financial leverage, corporate governance, and earnings management.
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Rahman, Md Jahidur, Jinru Ding, Md Moazzem Hossain, and Eijaz Ahmed Khan. "COVID-19 and earnings management: a comparison between Chinese family and non-family enterprises." Journal of Family Business Management, April 18, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jfbm-01-2022-0011.
Анотація:
PurposeThe main objective of this study is to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on earnings management practices in China using a sample of family and non-family enterprises. More specifically, this study aims to examine whether the COVID-19 pandemic causes variation in Chinese listed family and non-family enterprises' operations, as reflected in the level of real earnings management (REM).Design/methodology/approachThis study uses three standardised REM indicators, namely, the abnormal level of cash flows from operations, the abnormal level of production costs and the abnormal level of discretionary expenses. Ordinary least squares (OLS) regressions are applied to compare the earnings management of Chinese family and non-family enterprises during the pre-pandemic period (2017–2019) and the pandemic period (2020).Findings The authors find that Chinese listed non-family enterprises tend to participate in more REM activities than family enterprises before the COVID-19 outbreak. However, the opposite is true during the pandemic. The authors also find that COVID-19 has increased the involvement of family and non-family enterprises in REM activities.Originality/valueThe results of previous studies based on REM using Chinese listed firms may not be applicable under the new social background of COVID-19. As the period after the COVID-19 outbreak is relatively recent, Chinese researchers have yet to study it comprehensively. The present study is amongst the first empirical attempts investigating the effect of a pandemic financial reporting by investigating whether and how the burst of the COVID-19 crisis affected financial reporting through the earnings management practices of listed Chinese family and non-family enterprises. Such information is crucial because it can provide analysis for all stakeholders to make better decisions.
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Bae, Joon Woo, Zhi Da, and Virgilio Zurita. "Digesting FOREXS: Information Transmission Across Asset Classes and Return Predictability." Management Science, June 2, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4778.
Анотація:
We provide novel evidence that equity investors react to currency shocks with a delay. Using the cross-section of currency returns and the relative presence of U.S. firms in foreign economies, we compute a foreign operations-related exchange shock (FOREXS) measure. We find FOREXS to predict firms’ future cash flows and stock returns, driving much of the previously documented underreaction to foreign information. An FOREXS-based long-short strategy yields a 6.74% annualized abnormal return. FOREXS predictive power comes from firms’ incomplete hedging and investors’ limited attention, highlighting the challenges involved when processing information from a different asset class. This paper was accepted by David Sraer, finance. Funding: Z. Da acknowledges financial support from the Beijing Outstanding Young Scientist Program [Grant BJJWZYJH01201910034034] and the 111 Project [Grant B20094]. Supplemental Material: The data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4778 .
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Kumari, Vineeta, Dharen Kumar Pandey, Satish Kumar, and Emma Xu. "What do border disputes cost? Evidence from an emerging market." International Journal of Emerging Markets, December 9, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijoem-06-2022-0918.
Анотація:
PurposeThe study aims to examine the impact of six events related to the escalating Indo-China border conflicts in 2020 on the Indian stock market, including the role of firm-specific variables.Design/methodology/approachThis study employs an event-study method on a sample of 481 firms from August 23, 2019 to March 3, 2022. A cross-sectional regression is employed to examine the association between event-led abnormal returns and firm characteristics.FindingsThe results show that, although the individual events reflect heterogeneous effects on stock market returns, the average impact of the event categories is negative. The study also found that net working capital, current ratio, financial leverage and operating cash flows are significant financial performance indicators and drive cumulative abnormal returns. Further, size anomaly is absent, indicating that more prominent firms are resilient to new information.Research limitations/implicationsThe ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine is an example of how these disagreements can devolve into a disaster for the parties to the war. Although wars have an impact on markets at the global level, the impacts of border disputes are local. Border disputes are ongoing, and the study's findings can be used to empower investors to make risk-averting decisions that make their portfolios resilient to such events.Originality/valueThis study provides firm-level insight into the impacts of border conflicts on stock markets. The authors compare the magnitude of such impacts on two types of events, namely injuries and casualties due to country-specific border tensions and a government ban on Chinese apps. Key implications for policymakers, stakeholders and academics are presented.