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1

Aspriyani, Riski, and Mizan Ahmad. "Prediksi Jumlah Siswa Baru Menggunakan Least Square Method." MAJAMATH: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika 6, no. 1 (March 31, 2023): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.36815/majamath.v6i1.2517.

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Анотація:
In the process of admitting new students, each school has a different strategy to increase the number of applicants and the number of students accepted. The publication strategy is structured to achieve the expected goals or to get the number of students according to the quota. The publication strategy will work well if the school has predictive data on the number of students that will come. Therefore, researchers do research with the purpose to predict the number of new students at SMA Ya Bakii 1 Kesugihan using the Trend Linear model with the Least Square to the number of new students from 2002/2003 to 2022/2023. The results of the analysis show that the Least Square Method prediction model in the form of y =49.424+4.463x gives accurate or good results with a MAPE value of 11.996%. While the prediction results for the next five years, namely 2023/2024, 2024/2025, 2025/2026, 2027/2028, and 2029/2030 are 148 students, 152 students, 157 students, 161 students, and 165 students.
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2

Da Silva, Djane Fonseca, Iuri Moreira Costa, Antônio Edgar Mateus, and Aline Bezerra de Sousa. "Previsão Climática e de Ciclos Climáticos para o Estado do Ceará (Climate Prediction and Climate Cycles for the State of Ceará)." Revista Brasileira de Geografia Física 6, no. 4 (November 14, 2013): 959. http://dx.doi.org/10.26848/rbgf.v6i4.233088.

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Анотація:
Através das Análises de Ondeletas, concluiu-se que todas as oito macrorregiões do estado do Ceará sofrem influencia das variações e escalas sazonais, interanuais e decadais. Comprovou-se que sazonalidade, ENOS, Dipólo do Atlântico, Ciclo de manchas solares e Oscilação Decadal do Pacífico influenciam as precipitações no estado do Ceará. Assim, foi possível prever os máximos de precipitação para cada região: Região de Baturité, em 2016, 2020-2022; na Região Metropolitana de Fortaleza, em 2014 e 2024; na Região Sertão Central, em 2024; na Região Litoral Leste/Jaguaribe, em 2024 e 2027; na Região Cariri/Centro Sul, em 2018 e 2020; na Região Sertão dos Inhamuns, em 2015; na Região Litoral Oeste em 2028 e para Região Sobral/Ibiapaba, em 2030. A B S T R A C T Through Wavelet analysis, was concluded that all eight geographical regions of the state of Ceará suffer influences of variations and seasonal scales, interannual and decadal. Proved that seasonality, ENSO, Atlantic dipole, cycle of sunspots and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation influence rainfall in the state of Ceará. Thus was possible to predict the maximum rainfall for each region: Region Baturite, 2016, 2020-2022, in the Metropolitan Region of Fortaleza, in 2014 and 2024, the Sertão Central Region, in 2024, in the East Coast Region / Jaguaribe in 2024 and 2027; Cariri Region/South Centre in 2018 and 2020, the Region of Sertão Inhamuns in 2015; West Coast Region in 2028 and Sobral / Ibiapaba in 2030. Keywords: Pacific Decadal Oscillation, ENSO, Wavelet Analysis
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3

Ningsi, Besse Arnawisuda, and Dinda Novianda Putri. "Application of Markov Chain to Prediction Poverty in Banten Province." JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) 7, no. 1 (January 12, 2023): 47. http://dx.doi.org/10.31764/jtam.v7i1.10057.

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Анотація:
The number of poor people in Banten Province is in the third lowest position in Java Island under the Special Region Province of the Capital Jakarta and Yogyakarta Special Region Province in 2018-2020 until finally it is in the second lowest position in 2021. However, this does not mean that the problem of poverty is no longer a top priority. This study aims to apply the Markov chain in predicting poverty in Banten Province. According to Marli et al. (2018) The Markov chain is a method that studies the properties of a variable in the present based on its past properties to estimate the properties of these variables in the future. In this research, the type of research used is applied research and used secondary data sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) Banten Province. The poverty prediction results for Pandeglang Regency in 2022, 2023 and 2024-2025 will increase by 2%, 0.46%, and 0.02%, respectively. Lebak Regency in 2022 will increase by 2%, in 2023 and in 2024-2025 it will decrease by 0.66% and 0.01%, respectively. Tangerang Regency in 2022 will decrease by 4%, in 2023 it will increase by 0.99%, and will fall back in 2024-2025 by 0.01%. Serang Regency in 2022 will increase by 1%, in 2023-2025 it will decrease by 0.83%. Tangerang City in 2022 remains, in 2023 and 2024-2025 it will increase by 0.53% and 0.01%, respectively. The city of Cilegon in 2022 remains, in 2023 it will increase by 0.18% and 2024-2025 will decrease by 0.01%. Serang City in 2022 remains, in 2023-2025 it will decrease by 0.71%. South Tangerang City in 2022 will decrease by 1%, in 2023-2025 it will increase by 0.04%. The steady state probability of Pandeglang Regency is 17.48%, Lebak Regency is 17.33%, Tangerang Regency is 27.98%, Serang Regency is 10.17%, Tangerang City is 15.54%, Cilegon City is 2.17%, Serang City is 5.29% and South Tangerang City is 4.04%..
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4

Ismail, Ismail, La Rianda, and Sakir Sakir. "Analysis of Rice Stock Control to Ensure Availability of Food Logistics: A Case Study of Perum Bulog in Tembe Village, North Rarowatu District, Bombana Regency." Tekper : Jurnal Teknologi dan Manajemen Industri Pertanian 2, no. 2 (June 7, 2022): 89. http://dx.doi.org/10.33772/tekper.v2i2.20767.

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Анотація:
This study aims to determine the flow of rice procurement at the Bulog Tembe Public Corporation and analyze the rice stock supply system at Bulog Tembe Public Corporation, North Rarowatu District, Bombana Regency, in ensuring the availability of food logistics in 2021-2025. Determination of the research location is done purposively. The data was collected using observation, interviews, literature, and documentation. The analysis used is forecasting, minimum rice procurement (economic order quantity), safety stock, full inventory, and reorder point. Based on the results of forecasting analysis at Perum Bulog Tembe, North Rarowatu District, for planning and controlling rice supplies in 2021-2025. The minimum quantity of rice procurement (Economic Order Quantity) at Perum Bulog Tembe in 2021 is 33.70 tons; in 2022, it is 36.93 tons; in 2023, it is 39.87 tons; in 2024, it is 43.04 tons; and in 2025, 45.95 Tons. Total Safety Stock at Perum Bulog Tembe in 2021 is 936 tons; in 2022, it is 1,071 tons; in 2023, it is 1,206 tons; in 2024, it is 1,341. In 2025, it is 1,476 tons. The Maximum Inventory at Perum Bulog Tembe in 2021 is 969.70 tons; in 2022, it is 1,107.93 tons; in 2023, it is 1,245.87 tons; in 2024, it is 1,384.04 tons; and in 2025, it is 1,521 .95 Tons. The number of reorder points at Perum Bulog Tembe in 2021 is 1,090 tons; in 2022, it is 1,247 tons; in 2023, it is 1,404 tons; in 2024, it is 1,561 tons; in 2025, it is 1,719 tons.
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5

Saleh, Muhammad. "Analisis Peluang Pengembangan Investasi di Kabupaten Tabalong." ECOPLAN : JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT STUDIES 1, no. 2 (October 31, 2018): 73–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.20527/ecoplan.v1i2.8.

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Анотація:
Tujuan Penelitian ini adalah ntuk mengetahui peluang investasi pada periode 2019-2025 yang dapat dilakukan oleh pemerintah, dunia usaha dan masyarakat secara umum. Metode analisisnya adalah: Deskriftif kuantitatif. Hasilnya adalah: (1). Faktor- faktor yang mempengaruhi investasi berdasarkan hasil perhitungan SWOT, diperoleh nilai internal-ekstenal (IE) sebesar 3,35 dan 3,30 yang berarti bahwa kondisi Pengembangan Investasi Daerah Kabupaten Tabalong berada pada posisi Pertumbuhan dan Stabilitas. Artinya memberikan sinyal positif untuk pengembangan investasi daerah secara akumulasi relatif lebih besar keuntungannya. (2).Peluang Investasi di Kabupaten Tabalong adalah meliputi kawasan- kawasan yang telah diperuntukan untuk investasi yang tergambar pada pola ruang, potensi yang dimungkinkan untuk pembangunan adalah pada kawasan budidaya. Kawasan budidaya tersebut terdiri atas : kawasan peruntukan hutan produksi, kawasan peruntukan pertanian, kawasan peruntukan perkebunan, kawasan peruntukan peternakan, kawasan peruntukan perikanan, kawasan peruntukan industri, kawasan peruntukan pariwisata, kawasan peruntukan permukiman, kawasan peruntukan pertambangan dan kawasan peruntukan lainnya yang tersebar diseluruh Kabupaten Tabalong. (3).Jika pemerintah daerah melakukan kebijakan untuk mengejar target pertumbuhan ekonomi pada Rencana Pembangunan Jangka Panjang (RPJP) Kabupaten Tabalong, dimana pada periode tahun 2009-2013 pertumbuhan yang ditargetkan 3,53% pertahun, pada periode 2014-2018 sebesar 3,80% per tahun, pada periode 2019-2023 sebesar 5,20% dan periode 2024-2025 sebesar 7,51% per tahun. Maka kebutuhan investasi untuk mencapai target pertumbuhan tersebut akan lebih besar jika dibanding dengan pertumbuhan yang telah dicapai (4,23% per tahun dalam 5 tahun terakhir). Kebutuhan investasi untuk mencapai RPJP pada tahun 2019 Rp.2.267.938 juta, tahun 2020 Rp. 2.385.871 juta, tahun 2021 Rp. 2.509.937 juta, tahun 2022 Rp. 2.640.453juta, tahun 2023 sebesar Rp. 2.777.757 juta, tahun 2024 sebesar Rp.2.922.200 juta dan pada akhir tahun 2025 diharapkan sebesar Rp.3.141.657 juta. Dari investasi tersebut diharapkan bersumber dari dana APBD Kabupaten Tabalong, APBD Provinsi Kalimantan Selatan dan APBN. pada tahun 2019 sebesar Rp.772.006 juta terus mengalami kenaikan menjadi Rp. 812.150 juta (2020), Rp.854.382 juta (2021), Rp.898.810 juta (2022) Rp. 945.548 juta (2023), Rp.1.006.406 juta (2024) dan Rp.1.069.420 juta (2025) kemudian sisanya dari pihak swasta. Kata Kunci: Peluang, Investasi, Pembangunan Ekonomi
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6

Rifa'i, Ahmad. "THE STATISTICAL PARABOLIC PROJECTION METHOD UNTUK FORECASTING DALAM PENERIMAAN MAHASISWA BARU UNIVERSITAS ISLAM INDRAGIRI DI MASA MENDATANG." Jurnal Manajemen dan Bisnis 8, no. 2 (December 8, 2019): 354–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.34006/jmbi.v8i2.137.

Повний текст джерела
Анотація:
The purpose of this study is to help predict the number of prospective new students who will register in the academic year 2023/2024 until the academic year 2026/2027. The research method uses the Statistical Parabolic Projection Method with data on the number of new student registrations of UNISI (Indragiri Islamic University) Tembilahan over the past 7 years. Research Results Based on Research Equations formed in predicting the number of new students who will register in the academic year period 2023/2024 are 651 students, 2024/2025 are 818 students, 2025/2026 are 1001 Students, 2023/2024 are 1200 Students. Suggestions for future researchers who are still in the same theme as this research can be compared with other methods so that the resulting output can be more precise and accurate.
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7

Harsiga, E., R. Pebrianto, A. A. Darmawan, and S. Hardianti. "PERENCANAAN DESIGN DISPOSAL MENGGUNAKAN SOFTWARE MINESCAPE 5.7 PADA PT BAU, SUMATERA SELATAN." Jurnal Pertambangan 6, no. 4 (February 21, 2023): 184–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.36706/jp.v6i4.1259.

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Анотація:
Pada kegiatan pengupasan overburden, overburden yang telah dikupas kemudian diangkut ke tempat penimbunan yang disebut disposal, oleh karena itu diperlukan perencanaan design disposal. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah membuat rancangan design disposal dari tahun 2022 sampai tahun 2027 serta menganalisis faktor keamanan timbunannya. Proses rancangan menggunakan software minescape 5.7 berdasarkan data produksi yang telah dihitung sebelumnya dan nantinya data produksi akan menjadi acuan dalam pembuatan design disposal dengan kapasitas sebesar 13.600.000 BCM. Perencanaan design disposal dibagi menjadi 6 periode, dari tahun 2022 hingga 2027. Dari hasil perhitungan, diperoleh total volume design tahun 2022 sebesar 2.323.214,61 BCM dengan plan area 18,51 Ha, design tahun 2023 untuk kapasitasnya didapatkan sebesar 2.505.745,45 BCM, design tahun 2024 untuk volume yang didapatkan sebesar 2.187.450,03 BCM, design tahun 2025 sebesar 2.569.466,96 BCM dengan plan area 38,53 Ha, design tahun 2026 untuk kapasitas yang didapatkan sebesar 2.376.580,5 BCM dan di tahun 2027 untuk kapasitasnya sebesar 1.644.568,44 BCM. Untuk mengetahui faktor keamanannya menggunakan software rocscience slide v.6.0. guna menganalisis hasil design disposal yang sudah dibuat. Faktor keamanan yang didapatkan dari hasil analisis untuk design tahun 2022 yaitu 3,218, di tahun 2023 didapatkan faktor keamanan sebesar 3,712, tahun 2024 faktor keamanan yang didapatkan 1,965, lalu tahun 2025 didapatkan nilainya 1,822, kemudian tahun 2026 nilai faktor keamanannya 1,917 dan di tahun 2027 faktor keamanan yang didapatkan 1,834. Dari keseluruhan analisis yang dilakukan didapatkan bahwa hasil design dari tahun 2022 hingga 2027 aman untuk diaplikasikan.
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8

Aliyah, Lia Hikmatul, and Purnama Putra. "ANALISIS FORECASTING DALAM PERKEMBANGAN KINERJA KEUANGAN PADA BPRS HARTA INSAN KARIMAH CIBITUNG PERIODE 2013-2020." MASLAHAH (Jurnal Hukum Islam dan Perbankan Syariah) 13, no. 1 (June 9, 2022): 105–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.33558/maslahah.v13i1.4456.

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Анотація:
This research Analysis Forecasting in the Development of Financial Performance At BPRS Harta Insan Karimah Cibitung Period 2013-2020. Sharia People's Financing Bank Harta Insan Karimah Cibitung is as research object because This bank has a fairly good financial performance every year. By analyzing the existing financial ratios at BPRS Harta Insan Karimah Cibitung that is Return On Asset, Operating Expenses to Operating Income and Net Profit Margin to know the shortcomings in the past to be better in the future. The methode used in this research processing is quantitative method. The data consist of secondary data The data obtained are not directly from additional information or data used in the form of journals, websites, and other data related to research. Data analysis method using trend analysis Least Square Method. Based on the results of the study, it is known that the development of financial ratios in the next five years will begin year 2021-2025 (quarterly) predicted on the ratio Return On Asset (ROA), that is predicted at year 2021 average of 3,99%, year 2022 decreased average of 3,95%, year 2023 decreased average of 3,91%, at year 2024 decreased average of 3,87%, at year 2025 decreased average of 3,83%. While Financial performance Operational burden on Operational Income, that is increasing every year. In the year of 2021 average of 40,28%, at year 2022 increased by 40,92%, at year 2023 increased by 41,56%, at yaer 2024 increased by 42,20%, at year 2025 increased by 42,84%. While Financial performance analysis forecasting Net Profit Margin (NPM), that is predicted at year 2021 average of 17,21%, year 2022 decreased average of 15,73%, year 2023 decreased average of 14,25%, at year 2024 decreased average of 12,77%, at year 2025 decreased average of 12,29%
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9

Suharsa, Suharsa, and Rambat Sasongko. "Proyeksi Kebutuhan Guru IPA SMP Negeri Di Kabupaten Bengkulu Selatan Tahun 2020 – 2024." Manajer Pendidikan: Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Pendidikan Program Pascasarjana 14, no. 3 (December 27, 2020): 6–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.33369/mapen.v14i3.12828.

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Анотація:
Abstrak: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan proyeksi kebutuhan guru IPA SMP di Kabupaten Bengkulu Selatan Tahun 2020-2024. Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian proyeksi dengan metode pendekatan deskriptif kuantitatif. Subjek penelitian ini adalah guru IPA Sekolah Menengah Pertama di Kabupaten Bengkulu Selatan. Pengumpulan data diperoleh dari Dinas Pendidikan dan Kebudayaan Kabupaten Bengkulu Selatan. Metode pengumpulan data menggunakan dokumentasi data sekunder. Analisis data menggunakan teknik proyeksi. Hasil penelitian proyeksi kebutuhan guru IPA SMP di Kabupaten Bengkulu Selatan tahun 2020-2024 menunjukkan bahwa; (1) Jumlah guru IPA 2019/2020 sebanyak 78 orang. Tuntutan guru ada 80 orang jadi ada kekurangan 2 orang, (2) proyeksi jumlah rombel tahun 2020 ada 316 rombel, tahun 2021 ada 321 rombel, tahun 2022 ada 323 rombel, tahun 2023 ada 327 rombel , dan tahun 2024 ada 330 rombel, (3) proyeksi kebutuhan guru IPA tahun 2020 sebanyak 81 orang ada kekurangan 8 orang, tahun 2021 sebanyak 82 orang ada kekurangan sebanyak 13 orang, di 2022 dibutuhkan 82 orang ada kekurangan sebanyak 20 orang, tahun 2023 dibutuhkan 83 orang ada kekurangan sebanyak 26 orang, dan pada tahun 2024 dibutuhkan sebanyak 84 orang ada kekurangan sebanyak 31 orang. Kata kunci: proyeksi kebutuhan, guru IPA
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10

Schöbi, Nina, Andrea Duppenthaler, Matthias Horn, Andreas Bartenstein, Kristina Keitel, Matthias V. Kopp, Philipp K. A. Agyeman, and Christoph Aebi. "Ongoing Excess Hospitalizations for Severe Pediatric Group A Streptococcal Disease in 2023–2024—A Single-Center Report." Infectious Disease Reports 16, no. 5 (September 2, 2024): 864–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/idr16050067.

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Анотація:
A Europe-wide outbreak of invasive pediatric group A streptococcal infections (iGAS) began in fall 2022. Here, we report the evolution of GAS hospitalizations in children and adolescents during the second outbreak year in 2023–2024 at a tertiary center in Switzerland. Using prospective monitoring of all in-patient GAS cases below 16 years of age, including those with iGAS, we compared case frequencies and clinical characteristics in three time periods (2013–2020; 2022–2023; 2023–2024). Annual GAS hospitalizations increased from a median of 25 cases (range 11–28) in 2013–2020 to 89 and 63 cases, respectively, in 2022–2023 and 2023–2024. iGAS cases evolved similarly (2013–2020, 4 cases (3–8); 2022–2023, 32 cases; 2023–2024, 21 cases). The decline in cases from 2022–2023 to 2023–2024 included all types of GAS organ involvement, except suppurative infections in the head area, which remained largely unchanged (48 vs. 45 cases). Pleural empyema declined from 13 to 7 cases, possibly explained by a poor overlap of the GAS and influenza curves, respectively, in 2023–2024 compared to 2022–2023. These data document the prolongation of the GAS outbreak into its second winter season in 2023–2024.
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11

ARTIYATI, NIKI, and Dina Tri Utari. "Implementasi Metode Double Exponential Smoothing Dalam Peramalan Nilai PDRB Kota Tangerang Selatan Tahun 2023 – 2027." Emerging Statistics and Data Science Journal 2, no. 1 (March 25, 2024): 77–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.20885/esds.vol2.iss.1.art8.

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Анотація:
Pembangunan ekonomi merupakan rangkaian usaha dengan tujuan perbaikan taraf hidup masyarakat, memperluas lapangan pekerjaan, meratakan distribusi pendapatan masyarakat, dan meningkatkan hubungan ekonomi regional. Dalam pembangunan ekonomi sendiri, dibutuhkan berbagai macam data statistik yang dapat dijadikan dasar untuk menentukan strategi kebijakan supaya sasaran dalam pembangunan tersebut dapat tercapai, salah satunya adalah menggunakan nilai Produk Domestik Regional Bruto. BPS Kota Tangerang Selatan telah mencatat data pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kota Tangerang Selatan yang diukur berdasarkan kenaikan nilai PDRB yang mencapai angka sebesar 66.021.910,5 juta rupiah di tahun 2022. Selain itu, data BPS Kota Tangerang Selatan juga mencatat berdasarkan dengan data pertumbuhan ekonomi bahwa data pertumbuhan Kota Tangerang Selatan pada tahun 2021 mencapai angka 4,77 persen. Dimana angka tersebut mengalami peningkatan apabila dibandingkan dengan tahun 2020 yang mengalami penurunan di angka -1,02 persen. Dalam penelitian ini akan digunakan metode peramalan Double Exponential Smoothing menggunakan Holt untuk memprediksi nilai PDRB di Kota Tangerang Selatan 5 periode ke depan atau tahun 2023 hingga tahun 2027. Dalam peramalan nilai PDRB ini, diperoleh hasil peramalan untuk tahun 2023 sebesar 68.550.224 juta rupiah, tahun 2024 sebesar 71.239.732 juta rupiah, tahun 2025 sebesar 73.929.240 juta rupiah, tahun 2026 sebesar 76.618.747 juta rupiah, dan tahun 2027 sebesar 79.308.255 juta rupiah.
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12

Afrin, R., F. Hossain, and SA Mamun. "Analysis of Drought in the Northern Region of Bangladesh Using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)." Journal of Environmental Science and Natural Resources 11, no. 1-2 (October 1, 2019): 199–216. http://dx.doi.org/10.3329/jesnr.v11i1-2.43387.

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Анотація:
Drought is an extended period when a region notes a deficiency in its water supply. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) method was used in this study to analyze drought. Northern region of Bangladesh was the area of study. Monthly rainfall data of northern region of Bangladesh was obtained from the Meteorological Department of Bangladesh. Obtained rainfall data was from 1991 to 2011 and values from 2012 to 2026 were generated using Markov model. Then SPI values from 1991 to 2026 were calculated by using SPI formula for analyzing drought. Analysis with SPI method showed that droughts in northern region of Bangladesh varied from moderately dry to severely dry conditions and it may vary from moderately dry to severely dry conditions normally in future but in some cases extreme drought may also take place. From the study, it is observed that the northern region of Bangladesh has already experienced severe drought in 1991, 1992, 1994, 1995, 1997, 1998, 2000, 2003, 2005, 2007, 2009 and 2010. The region may experience severe drought in 2012, 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 and 2026 and extreme drought in 2012, 2014, 2016, 2023 and 2024. J. Environ. Sci. & Natural Resources, 11(1-2): 199-216 2018
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13

Gracheva, Maria. "GERMAN FEDERAL BUDGET: RESULTS OF 2022 AND BUDGET CRISIS OF 2023." Scientific and Analytical Herald of IE RAS 38, no. 2 (April 30, 2024): 31–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.15211/vestnikieran220246170.

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Анотація:
The article examines the budget crisis that occurred in Germany at the end of 2023. The results of the execution of the federal budget in terms of expenditures and net borrowings in 2022 are analyzed in comparison with the indicators of the five-year financial plan for 2022–2026, and the main deviations of the fact from the plan are identified. It is shown how the results of the 2022 budget led to an increase in the load on the 2023 budget from the point of view of the implementation of the purpose of renewing the debt brake set in the 2021–2025 Coalition Agreement. Further the events are presented that occurred during the crisis of 2023, which was caused by the decision of the Federal Constitutional Court on the incompetence of transferring net government borrowings from one year to other years (this transfer has been carried out by the ruling coalition in February 2022). Measures regarding the additional budget for 2023 and the new budget for 2024 are listed, that have been adopted by the government to implement the court verdict and return to the debt brake policy. The impact of the budget crisis on the accuracy of budget planning for 2024 is analyzed. The author comes to the conclusion: the results of 2024 will show an interruption in the barely begun post-pandemic restoration of the budget planning’s reliability.
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14

Pelletier, Denis. "Conférences des années 2020-2021, 2021-2022 et 2022-2023." Annuaire de l’EPHE, section des Sciences religieuses (2022-2023) 131 (2024): 595–602. http://dx.doi.org/10.4000/122xw.

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Parekh, Sejal, Lingqian Xu, and Carina Livingstone. "An Evaluation of Oral Anticoagulant Safety Indicators by England’s Community Pharmacies." Pharmacy 12, no. 5 (August 29, 2024): 134. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/pharmacy12050134.

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Анотація:
Background: Anticoagulants are life-saving medicines that can prevent strokes for patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation (AF) as well as treating patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE), but when used incorrectly, they are frequently associated with patient harm. Aim: To evaluate the impact of community pharmacy teams on optimising patient knowledge and awareness and improving medication safety from the use of anticoagulants. Methods: Two national audits, consisting of 17 questions assessing and improving patients’ understanding of anticoagulant therapy, identifying high-risk patients, and contacting prescribers when clinically appropriate were incentivised for England’s community pharmacies in 2021–2022 and 2023–2024 using the Pharmacy Quality Scheme (PQS) commissioned by NHS England. Results: Approximately 11,000 community pharmacies audited just under a quarter of a million patients in total, whilst making almost 150,000 interventions for patients taking oral anticoagulants, i.e., identifying and addressing medication issues which could increase the risk of bleeding/harm. Out of the 111,195 patients audited in 2021–2022, only 24,545 (23%) patients were prescribed vitamin K antagonists. The remaining patients were prescribed direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs). By 2023–2024, this decreased to 17,043 (16%) patients. Most patients knew that they were prescribed an anticoagulant (95.6%, 106,255 in 2021–2022 and 96.5%, 101,006 in 2023–2024, p < 0.001). Discussion: The audits resulted in a statistically significant increase in patients with a standard yellow anticoagulant alert card, as identified in audit 2 (73,901 66.5% in 2021–2022 to 76,735, 73.3% in 2023–2024, p < 0.001). Furthermore, fewer patients were prescribed concurrent antiplatelets with an anticoagulant (6021; 4.6% in 2021–2022 to 4975; 4% in 2023–2024, p < 0.001). Although there was an increase in the number of patients prescribed NSAIDs with anticoagulants, more of these patients were also prescribed gastroprotection concurrently (927 77.2% in 2021–2022 to 1457 84.1% in 2023–2024, p < 0.05). The majority of patients on warfarin had their blood checked within 12 weeks. Further there was an increase for these patients in the percentage of people prescribed VKAs who knew dietary changes can affect their anticoagulant medicine (16,764 67.4% in 2021–2022 to 12,594 73.9% in 2023–2024 p < 0.001). Conclusions: Community pharmacy teams are well placed in educating and counselling patients on the safe use of anticoagulants and ensuring that all patients are correctly monitored.
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Tipold, Alexander. "Das Regierungsprogramm 2020–2024." Journal für Strafrecht 7, no. 2, Newsletter VÖStV (2020): 107. http://dx.doi.org/10.33196/jst202002010701.

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17

Carpenter, Holly, and Carolyn Bridges. "Seasonal flu: 2023-2024." American Nurse Journal 18, no. 10 (October 11, 2023): 27. http://dx.doi.org/10.51256/anj102327.

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Idäntutkimus. "Idäntutkimuksen kirjoittajakutsu 2024–2025." Idäntutkimus 31, no. 1 (April 12, 2024): 63. http://dx.doi.org/10.33345/idantutkimus.144961.

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19

Kerbl, Reinhold. "Jahresrückblick 2023 – Jahresausblick 2024." Pädiatrie & Pädologie 58, no. 6 (December 2023): 263–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00608-023-01155-4.

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20

Heyer, Éric, and Xavier Timbeau. "Perspectives économiques 2023-2024." Revue de l'OFCE N° 182, no. 3 (March 6, 2024): 5–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.3917/reof.182.0005.

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21

Cochrane, Thomas, Vickel Narayan, and Helen Sissons. "PJTEL Editorial 2022-2024." Pacific Journal of Technology Enhanced Learning 6, no. 2 (June 7, 2024): 23–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.24135/pjtel.v6i2.201.

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Анотація:
In this second editorial for the Pacific Journal of Technology Enhanced Learning, PJTEL, the lead editors reflect upon the first five years of the journal leading to indexing in EBSCO and explore the impact statistics of the journal to date. We also explore future directions and themes for the journal particularly considering the impact of Generative AI on education.
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22

Heyer, Éric, and Xavier Timbeau. "Perspectives économiques 2023-2024." Revue de l'OFCE N° 180, no. 1 (March 6, 2024): 5–9. http://dx.doi.org/10.3917/reof.180.0005.

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23

Ragab, Muhammad R., and Filmo Verhagen. "Dissertation abstracts 2023–2024." Opuscula. Annual of the Swedish Institutes at Athens and Rome 17 (November 2024): 273–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.30549/opathrom-17-20.

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24

Bajraktari, Nerimane, and Eriona Deda. "The Strategy to Sustainable Tourism Development of a Country." Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies 13, no. 4 (July 5, 2024): 630. http://dx.doi.org/10.36941/ajis-2024-0142.

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The paper intends to provide an analysis of the tourism sector in Albania, focused on achieving travel goals of the tourist arrivals, by quarters from 2021 to 2022.Furthermore, this paper reflect through comparative analysis the tourist arrivals of resident and non-resident in Albania by quarters from 2021 to 2022. The data on our paper are provided by (INSTAT) Institute of Statistics, Albania which includes tourism statistics. Specifically, on our paper we’ve used comparative descriptive statistics using data analysis expressed in (%) percentage. We’ve reflected how the foreign tourist inflows have changed in Albania based on their travel goals, as well as based on whether they are resident or non-resident in Albania, according to the quarters comparing the differences between 2021 and 2022 (Sejdiu, Rexha , & Deda, 2023). In addition, through comparative statistical analysis we aim to determine the tourism trend by quarters for both years in the focus of our study (Deda, Brajshori, & Krasniqi, 2020). This paper is based on some important government approach to tourism policy development (OECD, 2017). Received: 6 March 2024 / Accepted: 29 June 2024 / Published: 5 July 2024
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25

Ferkelt, Balázs. "A magasnyomású gazdaság(politika) mint a növekedés és felzárkózás pályája?" Külgazdaság 68, no. 1-2 (2024): 55–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.47630/kulg.2024.68.1-2.55.

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Magyarországon a 2022. évi 4,6 százalékos GDP-növekedés után 2023-ban 0,9 százalékkal zsugorodott a gazdaság. Az Eurostat legutóbbi adatai alapján az egy főre jutó, vásárlóerő-paritáson számított GDP 2022-ben az európai uniós átlag 76,1 százalékát érte el, ezzel a régió országai közül Romániát (mindösszesen 0,4 százalékponttal), Lettországot, Horvátországot, Szlovákiát és Bulgáriát előzte meg (Eurostat, 2024a). (A felzárkózás szerkezetéről, különös tekintettel a szlovák példára lásd Oblath, 2021.) Az OECD prognózisa szerint a magyar potenciális GDP-növekedés 2023-ban 2,4 százalék, 2024-ben 2,1 százalék, míg 2025-ben 1,9 százalék lesz, jóval elmarad a 2018-as és 2019-es szinttől (OECD, 2023a). A növekedés és a felzárkózás gyorsítása érdekében a gazdaságpolitika irányítói egyre gyakrabban ismételgetik, hogy Magyarországnak a magasnyomású gazdaság koncepcióját kellene követnie, amivel gyorsabb gazdasági növekedést lehetne elérni. Kérdés, mennyire adottak a megvalósítás feltételei, milyen sikerrel lehetne ennek segítségével fokozni a növekedést.
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26

Hermawan, Wawan, Akhmad Sobarna, and Rony Muhamad Rizal. "Evaluasi Program Pelaksanaan Pendidikan Jasmani Semester Ganjil di SDN Sukawera Kecamatan Blanakan Kabupaten Subang Tahun Ajaran 2023/2024." JIIP - Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Pendidikan 7, no. 6 (June 2, 2024): 5864–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.54371/jiip.v7i6.4569.

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Анотація:
Penelitian ini bertujuan mengevaluasi Program Pembelajaran Penjaskes pada siswa SDN Sukawera Semester Genap tahun ajaran 2022/2023. Pada umumnya metode penelitian yang sering dipakai dalam evaluasi program adalah metode kuantitatif, kualitatif, dan campuran. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian Evaluasi komponen context mencakup masalah yang berhubungan dengan lingkup program yang telah dilaksanakan dapat dikatakan bahwa evaluasi komponen context pembelajaran Penjas di SD Negeri SUKAWERA tahun ajaran 2020/2021 adalah cukup. Evaluasi komponen input mencakup masalah yang berhubungan dengan lingkup program yang telah dilaksanakan dengan demikian dapat dikatakan bahwa evaluasi komponen input pembelajaran Penjas melalui daring di SD Negeri SUKAWERA tahun ajaran 2023/2024 adalah cukup baik. Evaluasi komponen process mencakup masalah yang berhubungan dengan lingkup program yang telah dilaksanakan dengan demikian dapat dikatakan bahwa evaluasi komponen process pembelajaran Penjas di SD Negeri Sukawera tahun ajaran 2023/2024 adalah baik. Evaluasi komponen product mencakup masalah yang berhubungan dengan lingkup program yang telah dilaksanakan dengan demikian dapat dikatakan bahwa evaluasi komponen product pembelajaran Penjas di SD Negeri Sukawera Blanakan tahun ajaran 2023/2024 adalah cukup.
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27

Winter, Jonathan D., J. William Kerns, Nicole Brandt, Linda Wastila, Danya Qato, Roy T. Sabo, Stephen Petterson, et al. "Prescribing Trends and Associated Outcomes of Antiepileptic Drugs and Other Psychotropic Medications in US Nursing Homes: Proposal for a Mixed Methods Investigation." JMIR Research Protocols 13 (September 19, 2024): e64446. http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/64446.

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Background Pilot data suggest that off-label, unmonitored antiepileptic drug prescribing for behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia is increasing, replacing other psychotropic medications targeted by purposeful reduction efforts. This trend accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic. Although adverse outcomes related to this trend remain unknown, preliminary results hint that harms may be increasing and concentrated in vulnerable populations. Objective Using a mixed methods approach including both a retrospective secondary data analysis and a national clinician survey, this study aims to describe appropriate and potentially inappropriate antiepileptic and other psychoactive drug prescribing in US nursing homes (NHs), characteristics and patient-oriented outcomes associated with this prescribing, and how these phenomena may be changing under the combined stressors of the COVID-19 pandemic and the pressure of reduction initiatives. Methods To accomplish the objective, resident-level, mixed-effects regression models and interrupted time-series analyses will draw on cohort elements linked at an individual level from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services’ (CMS) Minimum Data Set, Medicare Part D, Medicare Provider Analysis and Review, and Outpatient and Public Use Files. Quarterly cohorts of NH residents (2009-2021) will incorporate individual-level data, including demographics; health status; disease variables; psychotropic medication claims; comprehensive NH health outcomes; hospital and emergency department adverse events; and NH details, including staffing resources and COVID-19 statistics. To help explain and validate findings, we will conduct a national qualitative survey of NH prescribers regarding their knowledge and beliefs surrounding changing approaches to dementia care and associated outcomes. Results Funding was obtained in September 2022. Institutional review board exemption approval was obtained in January 2023. The CMS Data Use Agreement was submitted in May 2023 and signed in March 2024. Data access was obtained in June 2024. Cohort creation is anticipated by January 2025, with crosswalks finalized by July 2025. The first survey was fielded in October 2023 and published in July 2024. The second survey was fielded in March 2024. The results are in review as of July 2024. Iterative survey cycles will continue biannually until December 2026. Multidisciplinary dissemination of survey analysis results began in July 2023, and dissemination of secondary data findings is anticipated to begin January 2025. These processes are ongoing, with investigation to wrap up by June 2027. Conclusions This study will detail appropriate and inappropriate antiepileptic drug use and related outcomes in NHs and describe disparities in long-stay subpopulations treated or not treated with psychotropics. It will delineate the impact of the pandemic in combination with national policies on dementia management and outcomes. We believe this mixed methods approach, including processes that link multiple CMS data sets at an individual level and survey-relevant stakeholders, can be replicated and applied to evaluate a variety of patient-oriented questions in diverse clinical populations. International Registered Report Identifier (IRRID) DERR1-10.2196/64446
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28

Hacquard, Stéphane, and Francis M. Martin. "The chemical language of plant–microbe–microbe associations: an introduction to a Virtual Issue." New Phytologist 244, no. 3 (October 2, 2024): 739–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/nph.20124.

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Анотація:
This Editorial introduces the Virtual Issue ‘Chemical language of plant–microbe–microbe associations’ that includes the following papers: Basak et al. (2024), Böttner et al. (2023), Brisson et al. (2023), Feng et al. (2023), Gfeller et al. (2024), Gómez‐Pérez et al. (2023), Hong et al. (2022, 2023), Hu et al. (2024), Jiang et al. (2024), Lee et al. (2024), Nakano (2024), Ökmen et al. (2023), Revillini et al. (2023), Rovenich & Thomma (2023), Simonin et al. (2022), Snelders et al. (2023), Walsh et al. (2024), Wen et al. (2023), Xia et al. (2023), Xie et al. (2023), Zhang et al. (2023, 2024), Zheng et al. (2023), Zhou et al. (2023, 2024). Access the Virtual Issue at www.newphytologist.com/virtualissues.
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29

Malesa, Malesa. "Studying the Development of Education Infrastructure’s Spatial Plan at Kendari." Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Science 1, no. 3 (December 28, 2021): 283–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.55324/ijoms.v1i3.46.

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The study aims to: 1) analyze accessibility and mobility factors the planned development of educational facilities in Kendari City; 2) analyze strategy for planning the development of educational facilities for the next 10 years in Kendari City. The type of study is descriptive qualitative and quantitative research, carried out in all high schools and vocational schools in Kendari City totaling 30 schools spread over 10 sub-districts. The results show that: i). The closest distance to reach educational facilities is 579.091 meters, while the farthest is 175.236.993 meters; ii). The highest accessibility value classifications are 13,11 and 10, moderate classification 8, 7, and 6, while the lowest classification is 5, 4, and 3; iii). The priority for improving educational facilities in the next 10 years, namely in 2021 requires 44 units; in 2022 46 units; in 2023 47 units; in 2024 48 units; in 2025 49 units; in 2026 50 units; in 2027 52 units; in 2028 53 units; and in 2029 54 units. The closest distance to reach educational facilities is SMA Negeri 4 Kendari using 2-wheeled vehicles from the city center, while the farthest distance is SMA Negeri 8 Kendari. The classification of the highest level of accessibility is Baruga District, Wua-Wua, West Kendari. Meanwhile, Puwatu, Kadia, Kambu and Abeli ??Districts are classified as the lowest. The priority areas for improving vocational education facilities for the next 10 years are in Kambu District 1 unit, Baruga 1 unit, Puwatu 1 unit and Poasia 1 unit. While the high school level is Mandonga District 1 unit, Poasia 1 unit, Kambu 1 unit, Puwatu 1 unit. The Districts of Wua-Wua, West Kendari and Kadia do not require additional educational facilities until 2029.
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Angwarmase, Yuliana Jennifer, and Rendy Bagus Pratama. "ANALISIS KEBUTUHAN REFUELLER PADA OPERASI PENYALURAN AVTUR/JET A-1 DI DPPU ADISUTJIPTO YOGYAKARTA." Prosiding Seminar Nasional Teknologi Energi dan Mineral 3, no. 1 (December 27, 2023): 623–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.53026/sntem.v3i1.1235.

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Pada tahun 2021 sampai tahun 2022 kebutuhan avtur pada DPPU Adisutjipto Yogyakartamengalami kenaikan, sehingga peramalan kebutuhan throughput avtur untuk tahun 2023 sampai dengantahun 2024 juga mengalami kenaikan. Untuk menunjang proses penyaluran pada avtur saat ini, maka 4unit refueller yang saat ini masih dipakai saat pengoperasian harian adalah 2 armada berkapasitas 16KLdan 2 armada berkapsitas 12KL, sehingga total keseluruhan kapasitas refueller setiap harinya adalah 56KL. Harus dianalisis untuk mengatasi naiknya throughput pada tahun 2023 dan tahun 2024 apakah totalrefueller yang dipakai sekarang masih mencukupi atau tidak dengan menggunakan metode forecasting.Maka, penggunaan trend eksponensial yang telah diperoleh hasil dari masing-masing Occupancyrefueller tahun 2021 adalah sebesar 42,95%, Occupancy refueller tahun 2022 sebesar 52,92%, tahun2023 Occupancy refueller sebesar 77%, dan Occupancy refueller tahun 2024 sebesar 98,13% denganpenggunaan empat armada refueller di DPPU Adisutjipto Yogyakarta. Dikarenakan hasil dariOccupancy yang telah dihitung berada pada bawah batas normal yaitu 98,13% yang mana hasilnyakurang dari 100%, maka tidak perlu menambahkan armada. Sehingga dapat dikatakan pemanfaatanarmada refueller yang ada di DPPU Adisutjipto masih bisa untuk mencover kebutuhan dalam kurunwaktu dua tahun mendatang yaitu tahun 2023 dan tahun 2024.
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31

Bergmann, Sebastian. "Unternehmenssteuerrecht im Regierungsprogramm 2020–2024." Zeitschrift für Gesellschaftsrecht und angrenzendes Steuerrecht 19, no. 1 (2020): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.33196/ges202001000101.

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Germano, Adriano Rocha. "Nova diretoria CBCTBMF 2023/2024." Journal of the Brazilian College of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery 8, no. 4 (December 15, 2022): 4. http://dx.doi.org/10.14436/2358-2782.8.4.004-004.crt.

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Prezados Membros do Colégio Brasileiro de Cirurgia e Traumatologia Buco- Maxilo-Facial, Uma nova gestão foi iniciada! Daremos continuidade aos benefícios alcançados pela Diretoria anterior e ampliaremos ainda mais com novos projetos e metas. Começamos os trabalhos da nossa gestão com ações para o fortalecimento dos capítulos junto aos CROs e da sede, junto ao CFO, em defesa do exercício e valorização profissional. Também estamos dedicando esforços para que todos recebam a Revista do CBCTBMF dentro do calendário programado. Nosso objetivo é que ela se torne a maior referência na área na América Latina. Um canal direto e transparente de diálogo com a ANS, Ministério da Saúde e Educação está sendo implementado, referente a questões da especialidade e, dentro do congresso nacional, um grupo de apoio ao desenvolvimento da categoria é uma meta a ser alcançada.
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33

Ley, Jochen O. "Buchrezension zu: Semesterplaner 2023/2024." BIOspektrum 29, no. 5 (September 2023): 559. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12268-023-1968-x.

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Redactie. "Congresagenda juni 2023 - maart 2024." Medische Oncologie 26, no. 5 (June 2023): 31. http://dx.doi.org/10.24078/onco.1970.1.23403.

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Redactie. "Congresagenda augustus 2023 - maart 2024." Medische Oncologie 26, no. 6 (August 2023): 23. http://dx.doi.org/10.24078/onco.1970.1.23569.

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36

Stockton, Carol M. "JNA’s Pearl Report 2023–2024." Journal of Gemmology 38, no. 8 (2023): 744. http://dx.doi.org/10.15506/jog.2023.38.8.744a.

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Cranmer, Frank. "October 2023 to January 2024." Ecclesiastical Law Journal 26, no. 2 (May 2024): 213–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0956618x24000048.

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Probably the biggest legal news of the period under consideration was the judgment of the Supreme Court in R (AAA (Syria) & Ors) v Secretary of State for the Home Department [2023] UKSC 42, [2023] WLR 4433, in which it held unanimously that the Government's policy of sending asylum-seekers to Rwanda was unlawful. One critical issue was that under section 6 of the Human Rights Act 1998, it is unlawful for a public authority to act in a way that is incompatible with a right under the ECHR – and the Secretary of State is a public authority for that purpose.
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38

Descatha, A. "Remerciements 2023 et défis 2024." Archives des Maladies Professionnelles et de l'Environnement 85, no. 1 (January 2024): 101966. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.admp.2023.101966.

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Redactie. "Congresagenda december 2023 - mei 2024." Endocrinologie 16, no. 4 (November 2023): 26. http://dx.doi.org/10.24078/endo.1970.1.23991.

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Redactie. "Promoties december 2023 - januari 2024." De Neuroloog 31, no. 1 (February 2024): 26. http://dx.doi.org/10.24078/dng.1970.1.27434.

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41

Simonovits, András. "Infláció és nyugdíjrendszer: 2021–2024." Külgazdaság 68, no. 1-2 (2024): 151–55. http://dx.doi.org/10.47630/kulg.2024.68.1-2.151.

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Анотація:
Magyarországon 2022 és 2023 folyamán elszabadult az infláció, és ezzel az Európai Unió tagállamaiban az élre kerültünk. A kétes értékű csúcs egyik fő oka a kormány választási osztogatása volt, de egyéb gazdaságpolitikai hibák is szerepet játszottak benne. Az infláció megfékezéséhez és a forint megerősítéséhez a Magyar Nemzeti Banknak jelentősen meg kellett emelnie az irányadó kamatlábat, ami szükségképpen a GDP csökkenéséhez vezetett. A körkérdésben felkínált témaválasztás során az infláció és a nyugdíjrendszer kapcsolatát gondolom újra – sűrítve Simonovits (2023) eredményeit. Köznapi vélekedés szerint az infláció azért káros a társadalombiztosítási (tb) nyugdíjrendszerre, mert a már megállapított nyugdíjak indexálása miatt növeli a költségvetési kiadásokat. Ez önmagában helytelen érv, mert az infláció általában nemcsak a kiadásokat, hanem a bevételeket is növeli, reálértékben a hatás jó közelítéssel semleges. Másik bírálati pont: az inflációt a kormány rendszeresen alábecsüli, és az év elején végrehajtott nyugdíjemelés novemberi kipótlásáig a nyugdíjasok hiteleznek a kormánynak. Annyiban ez sem állja meg a helyét, hogy az év eleji emeléssel a kormány az egész évre becsült áremelkedést előre kifizeti a nyugdíjasoknak.
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42

Chaldakov, George N. "Decalogue for Students (2023–2024)." Biomedical Reviews 34 (December 31, 2023): 202. http://dx.doi.org/10.14748/bmr.v34.9629.

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43

Baker, Jay A. "2023–2024 Editor’s Recognition Awards." Journal of Breast Imaging 6, no. 4 (July 2024): 337. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/jbi/wbae032.

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Jones, Matthew W., Douglas I. Kelley, Chantelle A. Burton, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Maria Lucia F. Barbosa, Esther Brambleby, Andrew J. Hartley, et al. "State of Wildfires 2023–2024." Earth System Science Data 16, no. 8 (August 14, 2024): 3601–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-3601-2024.

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Abstract. Climate change contributes to the increased frequency and intensity of wildfires globally, with significant impacts on society and the environment. However, our understanding of the global distribution of extreme fires remains skewed, primarily influenced by media coverage and regionalised research efforts. This inaugural State of Wildfires report systematically analyses fire activity worldwide, identifying extreme events from the March 2023–February 2024 fire season. We assess the causes, predictability, and attribution of these events to climate change and land use and forecast future risks under different climate scenarios. During the 2023–2024 fire season, 3.9×106 km2 burned globally, slightly below the average of previous seasons, but fire carbon (C) emissions were 16 % above average, totalling 2.4 Pg C. Global fire C emissions were increased by record emissions in Canadian boreal forests (over 9 times the average) and reduced by low emissions from African savannahs. Notable events included record-breaking fire extent and emissions in Canada, the largest recorded wildfire in the European Union (Greece), drought-driven fires in western Amazonia and northern parts of South America, and deadly fires in Hawaii (100 deaths) and Chile (131 deaths). Over 232 000 people were evacuated in Canada alone, highlighting the severity of human impact. Our analyses revealed that multiple drivers were needed to cause areas of extreme fire activity. In Canada and Greece, a combination of high fire weather and an abundance of dry fuels increased the probability of fires, whereas burned area anomalies were weaker in regions with lower fuel loads and higher direct suppression, particularly in Canada. Fire weather prediction in Canada showed a mild anomalous signal 1 to 2 months in advance, whereas events in Greece and Amazonia had shorter predictability horizons. Attribution analyses indicated that modelled anomalies in burned area were up to 40 %, 18 %, and 50 % higher due to climate change in Canada, Greece, and western Amazonia during the 2023–2024 fire season, respectively. Meanwhile, the probability of extreme fire seasons of these magnitudes has increased significantly due to anthropogenic climate change, with a 2.9–3.6-fold increase in likelihood of high fire weather in Canada and a 20.0–28.5-fold increase in Amazonia. By the end of the century, events of similar magnitude to 2023 in Canada are projected to occur 6.3–10.8 times more frequently under a medium–high emission scenario (SSP370). This report represents our first annual effort to catalogue extreme wildfire events, explain their occurrence, and predict future risks. By consolidating state-of-the-art wildfire science and delivering key insights relevant to policymakers, disaster management services, firefighting agencies, and land managers, we aim to enhance society's resilience to wildfires and promote advances in preparedness, mitigation, and adaptation. New datasets presented in this work are available from https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11400539 (Jones et al., 2024) and https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11420742 (Kelley et al., 2024a).
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45

Andrews, Stephen D. "Editor's Annual Report, 2023–2024." Journal of American History 111, no. 2 (September 1, 2024): 401–4. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/jahist/jaae098.

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46

Kent, Andy. "Referees, July 2023–June 2024." Antipode 56, no. 6 (October 2, 2024): 2433–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/anti.13100.

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47

Pronina, Lyudmila I. "FEDERAL BUDGET 2022–2024: RECOVERY OR “BREAKTHROUGH”?" EKONOMIKA I UPRAVLENIE: PROBLEMY, RESHENIYA 1, no. 1 (2022): 108–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.36871/ek.up.p.r.2022.01.01.011.

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Abstract. The article discusses the financial and economic conditions and results of economic activity in Russia in 2021, analyzes the uncertainties and risks of the forecast of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for 2022–2024, establishes the features and problems of the Federal Law on the federal budget for 2022 and planning period of 2023 and 2024, as well as topical questions related to federal budget expenditures, and answers to them are provided.
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48

KHORASANI, MINA, ALIREZA NAQINEZHAD, and DUILIO IAMONICO. "Typification of the name Cleome turkmena (Cleomaceae)." Phytotaxa 642, no. 2 (March 28, 2024): 208–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.11646/phytotaxa.642.2.9.

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Cleome Linnaeus (1753: 671), in its traditional sense, is the largest genus of the family Cleomaceae Bercht. & Presl, comprising 200–300 species (Hall 2008, Patchell et al. 2014, Soares Neto et al. 2022, POWO 2024) which are native to the tropical, subtropical, and arid regions of both hemispheres (Patchell et al. 2014, Mousa 2019, Shilla et al. 2019, Roalson 2021, POWO 2024).
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49

Elbir Mermer, Gözde. "Investigation Of Studies In Risk Management And Banking Sector With Bibliometric Analysis." Yönetim ve Ekonomi Dergisi 31, no. 2 (June 29, 2024): 347–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.18657/yonveek.1421581.

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Banks are fundamental institutions in both national and global financial systems. Also, banks have extensive implications on the rest of the economy. Therefore, risk management in the banking sector is a highly significant process. When making a search with the keywords “risk management” and “banking sector” in the Web of Science database, a total of 377 articles are identified between the years 2004 and 2024. The annual publication counts in the last five years are as follows: 41 publications in 2020, 27 publications in 2021, 33 publications in 2022, 37 publications in 2023, and 7 publications in 2024. In the subject, China has the highest number of publications with 30 studies. Following them, India has 25 articles, while England and USA have 24 articles each. Turkey ranks nineth with 16 articles. The articles are published in the branches of science which are economics (122), business finance (121), management (61), business (58) et al. However, the keyword analysis reveals that the most frequently used keywords are “risk management”, “banking sector”, “credit risk”, “banks”, “banking” and “risk”.
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50

Heyer, Éric, and Xavier Timbeau. "Partie II. Sous la menace du chômage." Revue de l'OFCE N° 182, no. 3 (March 6, 2024): 141–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.3917/reof.182.0141.

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En 2023, avec une inflation encore élevée (+5,2 % en 2023 comme en 2022) et un contexte marqué par la forte remontée des taux d’intérêt directeurs de la BCE, la croissance du PIB serait de 0,9 %. L’année 2024 serait l’année de la baisse de l’inflation (3,3 % en moyenne annuelle et 2,3 % en glissement annuel en fin d’année) mais la croissance resterait modeste (0,8 %) en raison de la pleine matérialisation des effets des hausses des taux d’intérêt directeurs. Selon notre évaluation, l’effet de la politique monétaire amputerait la croissance du PIB de -0,9 point en 2024 (après -0,4 point en 2023). La seconde moitié de l’année 2023, mais surtout l’année 2024, seraient celles du retournement de la courbe du chômage, ce dernier passant de 7,2 % actuellement à 7,9 % à la fin de l’année prochaine dans un contexte de hausse marquée de la population active due à la mise en place de la réforme des retraites. La faible croissance de l’activité et le rattrapage partiel des pertes de productivité passées auraient raison du fort dynamisme de l’emploi observé ces dernières années (-53 000 en glissement annuel en 2024, après 140 000 en 2023 et 509 000 en 2022). À l’inverse de 2022 et de 2023, les salaires réels augmenteraient (0,6 %) en 2024, ce qui limiterait les effets négatifs des pertes d’emplois (-0,1 %) sur la masse salariale. En 2024, le salaire réel (déflaté par l’IPC) reviendrait à son niveau de 2019. Après une année 2022 marquée par une contraction du pouvoir d’achat par unité de consommation (UC) (-0,4 % faisant suite à 2,1 % en 2021), les ménages verraient à nouveau leur revenu réel augmenter en 2023 et 2024 (respectivement 0,7 % et 0,4 % par UC), poussé encore cette année par les créations d’emplois, les revenus du patrimoine et le soutien fiscal, et l’année prochaine par la hausse des salaires réels. Malgré la réduction des mesures budgétaires exceptionnelles, le déficit public resterait à 4,8 % du PIB en 2023 et 2024 en raison principalement d’une croissance atone qui pèserait sur les rentrées fiscales.
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