Artykuły w czasopismach na temat „Economic crises”
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Norton, Bruce. "Economic Crises". Rethinking Marxism 25, nr 1 (styczeń 2013): 10–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08935696.2013.741217.
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Sinković, Dean, Sebastian Zemla i Nataniel Zemla. "Monitoring of Economic Indicators in the Context of Financial and Economic Crises". Contemporary Economics 16, nr 1 (31.03.2021): 61–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.5709/ce.1897-9254.469.
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Financial and economic crises repeat themselves at indefinite intervals. As in the Great Recession (also known as Subprime Crisis) of 2007/2008 there was a bundle of events and processes that preceded it and contributed to its emergence, whether it be economic, political, or ideological. Based on observations presented in this paper, explanations are suggested that crises are significantly related to the development of various indicators. Relevant indicators include the impact of economic indicators (e.g., GDP, key interest rates, debt ratios), capital markets and - as the current Corona Crisis shows - supposedly unforeseen factors or shocks. The study deals with a comparative analysis of indicators regarding both crises and the Great Depression, with the aim of identifying possible trends or patterns. It uses a comparative method and reveals some significant similarities. This insight can be seen as a support for the birth of further crises. The work aims to provide a contribution to current crisis research in a comparative context and to advance findings in the field of early warning and crisis education.
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Bjørnskov, Christian. "Economic freedom and economic crises". European Journal of Political Economy 45 (grudzień 2016): 11–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2016.08.003.
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Michie, Jonathan. "Tackling economic crises". International Review of Applied Economics 33, nr 6 (6.08.2019): 878–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02692171.2019.1647661.
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Kocziszky, György. "What can Learn the Economic Science and Economic Policy form the Global Economic Crisis Generated by the Pandemia?" Erdélyi Társadalom 18, nr 2 (2020): 9–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.17177/77171.245.
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Mynard Keynes’s The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money published in 1936, highlighted that the deep, global financial and economic crises have a profound effect on economic thinking and the economic policy-makers. The sage learns from this, and the fool recovers back to his previous flawed theories and practices. Today, it is also clear that the shocks that trigger these crises are living with us, breaking the growth trends of the economy from time to time, which raises again and again the question, what economics and economic policy practitioners have learned, and can learn from it, or the short-term economic policy interest overcomes the adjustments after the corrections? In his study, the author checks the effects of the recent global exogenous crisis caused by the pandemic and the desirable correction methods, without which the consequences of the current crisis may be protracted. Keywords: crisis, economic thinking, economic policy, pandemic, sustainability
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Palaskas, Theodosios, Chrysostomos Stoforos i Costantinos Drakatos. "Hedge Funds Development and their Role in Economic Crises". Annals of the Alexandru Ioan Cuza University - Economics 60, nr 1 (1.07.2013): 168–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/aicue-2013-0015.
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Abstract The rapid development of hedge funds and their emanating critical role in the financial markets and the financial system globally, combined with the increased frequency of economic crises during the last 25 years, brought them to the centre of discussions concerning the following issue: «To what extent the operation of hedge funds can affect the birth, peak and even geographic expansion of economic crises?». In this context, the present paper aims to contribute to the limited and sporadic discussion of whether the hedge funds could be held responsible for economic crises. To this extend the growth and the impact of hedge funds on financial crises is analysed and evaluated using the HFR database -in their birth, aggravation or even geographic expansion- both from a historical perspective and in relation to the 2007-today crisis. Based on the evidence presented in this paper, hedge funds cannot be blamed for the birth of the crises of the last 25 years. Comparing the data across the different crises, it becomes obvious that, with the exception of the 2007 subprime crisis, where almost all hedge fund strategies suffered considerable losses, in all other crises studied in the present paper, the hedge fund strategies with a negative return were the ones that had an exposure to the specific sector and/or region that was in the centre of the crisis i.e. Emerging market strategy presented substantial negative monthly performance over the Asian crisis, Convertible arbitrage strategy was affected by the dot-com crisis, etc.
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MANUSHIN, Dmitrii V. "A fresh look at the concepts of economic and macroeconomic crises: General, priority, and institutional approach". Finance and Credit 27, nr 10 (29.10.2021): 2282–313. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/fc.27.10.2282.
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Subject. The article addresses approaches to understanding the economic and macroeconomic crisis. Objectives. The aim is to study and update the concepts of macroeconomic crisis and economic crisis, taking into account modern crisis phenomena and processes, for easier identification and timely anti-crisis measures. Methods. The study draws on the abstract-logical method. Results. The paper clarifies the terms "macroeconomic crisis" and "economic crisis", adds two approaches to the traditional general economic approach to understanding macroeconomic and economic crises, i.e. priority-economic (new approach) and institutional- economic (updated approach). I offer a new systemic grouping of signs of macroeconomic crises and examples that reveal the impact of new signs of these crises on macroeconomics. I formulated a new idea of the unity of intermittent and persistent crisis. Conclusions. The priority-economic approach indicates the priority areas of effort mobilization in the process of crisis management of macroeconomics. The institutional-economic approach broadens the perception of the crises and confirms the need to apply an updated institutional approach to all phenomena and processes studied in macroeconomics.
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Kotlánová, Eva. "Could Economic Crises Change Economic Policy Uncertainty Impact on Economic Growth and Innovation?" International Journal of Trade, Economics and Finance 6, nr 1 (luty 2015): 27–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.7763/ijtef.2015.v6.436.
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Sonin, K. I. "Economics of banks and financial markets (Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences 2022)". Voprosy Ekonomiki, nr 2 (3.02.2023): 5–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2023-2-5-17.
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The article provides a brief introduction to the research on banks and finan- cial crises, for which the 2022 Nobel prize in economic sciences was awarded. Forty years ago, the works of Diamond and Dybvig highlighted the critical role banks play in maturity transformation and explained why this role makes banking crises a natural byproduct, thus providing a theoretical basis for modern banking regulation. The concurrent work by Bernanke on the Great Depression, the worst peace-time economic crisis in mature market economies, demonstrated that banks’ closures were a critical factor in making the depression so deep and prolonged.
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Fine, Ben, i Dimitris Milonakis. "‘Useless but True’: Economic Crisis and the Peculiarities of Economic Science*". Historical Materialism 19, nr 2 (2011): 3–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.1163/156920611x573770.
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AbstractThe recent economic crisis has brought to the fore another crisis that has been going on for many years, that of (orthodox) economic theory. The latter failed to predict and, after the event, cannot offer an explanation of why it happened. This article sketches out why this is the case and what constitutes the crisis of economics. On this basis, the case is made for the revival of an interdisciplinary political economy as the only way for offering an explanation of the workings of the (capitalist) economy in general and of economic crises in particular.
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Sidorov, M. N. "Crises and economic development". Normirovanie i oplata truda v promyshlennosti (Rationing and remuneration of labor in industry), nr 12 (1.12.2020): 69–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.33920/pro-3-2012-07.
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The results of economic development in 2019-2020 are considered. An assessment of the application of the Western sanctions is given. Solutions for economic recovery are formulated. Priorities in the development of industry are proposed. The analysis of the plan for overcoming the crisis is performed.
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Splitter, Laurance. "Economic Crises and Education". Thinking: The Journal of Philosophy for Children 20, nr 1 (2012): 44–49. http://dx.doi.org/10.5840/thinking2012201/26.
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Ramrattan, Lall. "Hinduism and Economic Crises". American Economist 53, nr 1 (marzec 2009): 35–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/056943450905300106.
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Rose-Ackerman, Susan. "Corruption and economic crises". Trends in Organized Crime 5, nr 1 (wrzesień 1999): 112–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12117-999-1027-0.
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Rustamov, E. "Financial Crises: Sources, Manifestations, Consequences". Voprosy Ekonomiki, nr 4 (20.04.2012): 46–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2012-4-46-66.
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Building on the empirical studies and financial crises theories, a general framework describing the mechanisms of crisis formation and transmission is developed. Factors of crisis formation include external and internal imbalances, shocks, deficiencies of economic policies and changes in the economic agents behavior (in particular, as concerns price bubbles formation and burst). Channels of crisis transmission include direct links between financial organizations; "negative loss spirals" arising from massive asset sales; increase in uncertainty. The framework is employed to the analysis of several crisis episodes in 1990s and 2000s (Mexican, Asian, Russian and Argentine crises). The channels of crisis transmission to the real economy are also considered. The approaches to measuring both short- and long-term impact of crises on fiscal stability and economic growth are discussed.
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Kolodko, Grzegorz. "A world between crises". Acta Oeconomica 62, nr 1 (1.03.2012): 3–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1556/aoecon.62.2012.1.2.
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One of the most often committed mistakes in economic reasoning is the supposition about the continuity of economic processes. However, what dominates in reality is a process of permanent changes, which sometimes proceed in a cascading manner rather than linearly. It must be acknowledged that the capitalist market economy by its very nature is involved in periodical crises. They must occur from time to time, yet the magnitude of the recent crisis is a result of inappropriate institutions and wrong macroeconomic policies based on neoliberalism. While the underlying causes of the crisis and the ways out of it at the era of interdependent global economy is discussed vividly in countless books and papers, yet it ought to be clear that the world is moving from one crisis to another. Thus, one must consider not only the economics of crisis, but also a kind of crisis of economics. There is a need for a New Pragmatism, based on the better understanding of economics as science, describing the economy as a system of forces and flows which contantly give feedback and influence each other.
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Jeong, Seongjin. "Globalisation and Economic Crises in the Korean Capitalism". Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice 17, nr 1 (czerwiec 2018): 31–49. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0976747918774084.
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This article explores the contradictory relation between globalisation and crisis in the Korean capitalism since the 1990s. After formulating the relation between globalisation and crisis from the perspective of Marxian theory of world market crisis, this article overviews the process of globalisation in Korea after the 1990s, focusing on foreign trade, capital export and global value chains. In addition, this article empirically examines the relation between globalisation and crises in the Korean capitalism by analysing the trend of Marxian ratios, including rate of profit. Based on the case study on the Korean capitalism, this article concludes that globalisation is not the cause of but the capitalist responses to the economic crises.
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Huikari, Sanna, Jouko Miettunen i Marko Korhonen. "Economic crises and suicides between 1970 and 2011: time trend study in 21 developed countries". Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 73, nr 4 (28.01.2019): 311–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/jech-2018-210781.
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BackgroundExisting research on the relationship between economic recessions and suicides has almost completely concentrated on the most recent global financial crisis (2008). We provide the most comprehensive explanation to date of how different types of economic/financial crises since 1970 have affected suicides in developed countries.MethodsNegative binomial regressions were used to estimate what the suicide rates would have been during and 1 year after each crisis began in 21 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries from 1970 to 2011 if the suicide rates had followed the pre-crisis trends.ResultsWe found that every economic/financial crisis since 1970, except the European Exchange Rate Mechanism crisis in 1992, led to excess suicides in developed countries. Among males, the excess suicide rate (per 100 000 persons) varied from 1.1 (95% CI 0.7 to 1.5) to 9.5 (7.6 to 11.2) and, among females, from 0 to 2.4 (1.9 to 2.9). For both sexes, suicides increased mostly due to stock market crashes and banking crises. In terms of actual numbers, the post-1969 economic/financial crises caused >60 000 excess suicides in the 21 developed countries. The Asian financial crisis in 1997 was the most damaging crisis when assessed based on excess suicides.ConclusionsEvidence indicates that, when considered in terms of effects on suicide mortality, the most recent global financial crisis is not particularly severe compared with previous global economic/financial crises. The distinct types of crises (ie, banking, currency and inflation crises, and stock market crashes) have different effects on suicide.
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Khalatur, Svitlana, Oksana Honcharenko, Oleksandr Karamushka, Ilona Solodovnykova i Inna Shramko. "PARADIGM TRANSFORMATION OF THE ECONOMIC CRISES MODELING". Financial and credit activity problems of theory and practice 4, nr 45 (5.09.2022): 285–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.55643/fcaptp.4.45.2022.3833.
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In order to develop reasonable measures to counteract the destructive consequences of economic crises or to prevent them, it is important to build reasonable and adequate models of the emergence and course of crisis processes. The formal compliance of existing models with socio-economic processes during the crisis is often incomplete or cannot be adapted to other conditions, economies, and markets. Therefore, the article is devoted to the expediency and possibility of transformation of the existing paradigm of modeling economic crises.Modeling the interdependence of two basic indicators, which characterize the crisis in the economic development of European countries (GDP growth rates and employment growth rates), refuted the possibility of their mutual determination. The interdependence of the dynamics of GDP growth rates and employment growth rates for all studied objects without a shift in time, determined for the period 1996-2020 with a high level of reliability, is of the same type and made it possible to determine the range of their mutual changes. According to this range and the parameters of the codependencies of GDP growth rates and employment growth rates, eight clusters of countries were determined by the method of finding concentrations. The emergence of crisis processes coincides with specific parameters of the interdependent dynamics of GDP growth rates and employment growth rates but is not related to the internal division of Eurozone countries into clusters.The obtained results gave reason to put forward an alternative paradigm for modeling crisis processes, according to which economic crises arise as a result of the impact of random destructive events on systemic coincidences of potential periods of shifts in the contingent regularities of partial self-similar dynamics of economic processes. Within this paradigm, modeling of economic crises and forecasting their occurrence will be based on the study of self-similarity, dissipativeness and contingency of the dynamics of economic processes.
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Williams, Callum, i Mahiben Maruthappu. "“Healthconomic Crises”: Public Health and Neoliberal Economic Crises". American Journal of Public Health 103, nr 1 (styczeń 2013): 7–9. http://dx.doi.org/10.2105/ajph.2012.300956.
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Raza, Syed Ali, i Mohd Zaini Abd Karim. "Influence of Systemic Banking Crises and Currency Crises on the FDI-Growth Nexus: Evidence from China". Global Business Review 19, nr 3 (28.02.2018): 572–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0972150917713883.
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This study investigates the influence of systemic banking crises, currency crises and global financial crisis on the relationship of foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in China by using the annual time series data from the period of 1982 to 2014. The Johansen and Juselius (J–J) cointegration, autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound testing cointegration approach, and Gregory and Hansen’s (1996) cointegration approach with structural break confirm the valid long-run relationship between considered variables. Results indicate the positive and significant effect of FDI on economic growth. Whereas the negative influence of systemic banking crises and currency crises over economic growth is observed. It is also concluded that the impact of FDI on economic growth becomes insignificant in the presence of systemic banking crises and currency crises. The systemic banking crises effects the influence of export on economic growth more as compared to currency crises. Surprisingly, the export in the period of global financial crises has a positive and significant influence over economic growth in China, which conclude that the global financial crises did not drastically affect the export-growth nexus.
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Andersen, David Delfs Erbo, i Suthan Krishnarajan. "Economic Crisis, Bureaucratic Quality and Democratic Breakdown". Government and Opposition 54, nr 4 (19.02.2018): 715–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/gov.2017.37.
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Why do economic crises sometimes lead to democratic breakdown and sometimes not? To answer this question, we bring in a new conditioning factor. We propose that bureaucracies of higher quality – implying more competent, efficient and autonomous employees – to a greater extent shield the masses from impoverishment and unjust distribution of resources. This dampens anti-regime mass mobilization, which decreases elite incentives and opportunities for toppling the democratic regime. Statistical analyses of democracies globally from 1903 to 2010 corroborate that the impact of economic crises on the risk of democratic breakdown is suppressed when democracies have a bureaucracy of higher quality. The results are robust to alternative model specifications, including a battery of ‘good governance’ indicators. The effect of bureaucratic quality is not driven by bureaucracies’ ability to hinder crisis onset or shorten crisis duration but rather their ability to decrease domestic upheavals during crises.
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Menéndez, Agustín José. "The Existential Crisis of the European Union". German Law Journal 14, nr 5 (1.05.2013): 453–526. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s2071832200001917.
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In this paper, I put forward four theses and one coda. The theses can be summarized as follows:Thesis one (section B): Five crises, not one. The European Union is not undergoing one crisis, but is instead suffering several simultaneous, interrelated, and intertwined crises—crises, which are global, not exclusively European. Put differently, the subprime crisis turned the economic, financial, fiscal, macroeconomic, and political structure weaknesses of the Western socio-economic order into at least five major crises.
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Rankin, Bruce H. "Economic Crises and the Social Structuring of Economic Hardship: The Impact of the 2001 Turkish Crisis". New Perspectives on Turkey 44 (2011): 11–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0896634600005926.
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AbstractDrawing on a growing cross-national literature on the social impact of economic crises, this paper investigates the social structuring of economic hardship among urban households in Turkey following the 2001 economic crisis. My goal is to compare the Turkish crisis to other recent crises, particularly in Latin America and Asia, and to assess competing claims about the vulnerability of different social groups. Using data from the study entitled Turkish Family Life under Siege—a nationally representative sample of urban households of work-aged married couples—the results paint a picture of widespread social devastation as measured by key labor market outcomes: job loss, unemployment duration, earnings instability, and under-employment. The findings suggest that existing patterns of social inequality related to class and status—education, age, ethnicity, and occupation—were reinforced and exacerbated by the 2001 macro-economic crisis. In contrast to claims that the impact was skewed towards higher socio-economic groups, the brunt of the 2001 crisis was felt by disadvantaged social groups with few assets to buffer economic hardship. Economic hardship was higher among labor force participants who are younger, less educated, male, Kurdish-speakers, private-sector employees, and residents of non-central regions. I discuss the implications with respect to the previous research on economic crises, the role of Turkish contextual factors, and the need for social policy reform, particularly in the context of the current global economic crisis.
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Esline Adirosa, Clarissa. "Classical Economic Theory Testing on Economic Challenges in India Using Vector Analysis Method". ASIAN Economic and Business Development 3, nr 1 (21.07.2021): 17–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.54204/2776133.
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This study is to investigate the direction of the relationship between inflation, population, and economic growth using vector analysis with a research period of 1995 to 2020 to investigate the impact of economic shocks on the validity of the classical theory in explaining economic phenomena starting from economic shocks to financial crises Asia in 1997, the global financial crisis in 2008 and the economic shocks caused by the pandemic in India. We find that economic shocks from the 1997 Asian financial crisis to economic shocks due to the COVID-19 pandemic have not been able to invalidate the classical theory as a theory that explains economic phenomena related to economic growth, inflation, and population growth in India.
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Strolovitch, Dara Z. "Of Mancessions and Hecoveries: Race, Gender, and the Political Construction of Economic Crises and Recoveries". Perspectives on Politics 11, nr 1 (marzec 2013): 167–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1537592713000029.
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Through a discussion of the 2008 mortgage crisis and its similarities to the Great Depression of the 1930's and the Great Recession of 2007–09, I argue that the very notions of economic “crisis” and “recovery” are politically and ideologically constructed, and that conditions of vulnerability, often simply taken for granted as part of the normal social landscape when they affect marginalized populations, become regarded as crises when they affect dominant groups. Each of these crises, I argue, reveals different facets of the ways in which the power, normativity, and privilege of those perceived to be affected by economic hard times serve (1) to construct some economic troubles as “normal” and others as “crises;' (2) to prevent economic problems related to structural inequalities from being treated as crises by dominant political actors and institutions; and (3) to shape ideas about the ostensible solutions and ends to economic crises. By calling attention to these features of economic “crisis,” I aim to demonstrate the relevance of scholarship on race, class, gender, and intersectionality to the understanding of fundamental questions of contemporary political economy not often viewed from this perspective.
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Coutu, Michel. "Economic Crises, Crisis of Labour Law? Lessons from Weimar". Journal of Law and Society 47, nr 2 (8.05.2020): 221–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jols.12225.
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Zhang, Zidi. "Analysis on Sub-Prime Debt Crisis". E3S Web of Conferences 214 (2020): 02009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202021402009.
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Economic crises, such as Subprime Mortgage Crisis in 2008, European Debt Crisis in 2010, and stock market disaster in 2015, have become an essential concern for people and governments. People cannot help wondering what economic crises will bring to our country and life. Why will economic crises bring about these changes? What should people do to deal with these changes? This article interprets the core economic indicators, such as GDP, Inflation, Unemployment Rate, and the mechanism of Philips Curve. Based on the results of data analysis, people will find the relationship between unemployment rate and inflation rate. Finally, role and impact of fiscal and monetary policies in economic crisis will be transparent. As a result, economists can have the optimal way of analyzing the dynamic economic growth [1].
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Armada, Charles Alexandre Souza. "A Efetivação do Direito Ambiental no Século XXI Através de um Estado Transnacional Ambiental / The Effective Environmental Law in the Twenty – First Century Through a Environmental Transnational State". Brazilian Journal of International Relations 2, nr 3 (11.12.2013): 510–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.36311/2237-7743.2013.v2n3.p510-532.
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O mundo atual é um mundo que compartilha diversas crises simultâneas. Aliada a uma crise ambiental cada vez mais preocupante, boa parte do planeta continua sofrendo com uma crise econômica e, desde 2008, também com uma crise financeira. O fator comum em cada uma das crises é a globalização, processo que extrapola o econômico e atinge praticamente todos os segmentos da vida das pessoas. A fragilidade e incapacidade do Estado nacional para lidar com estas crises de âmbito planetário tornam-se cada vez mais evidente. O objetivo do presente artigo é analisar a posição limitada do Estado contemporâneo frente às crises de âmbito planetário e, a partir dessa análise, identificar as alternativas de nova configuração estatal no tratamento das crises, em particular a crise ambiental global, e, dessa forma, fazer frente às demandas planetárias. O método utilizado para desenvolvimento da pesquisa foi o indutivo e sua operacionalização se deu pelas técnicas das categorias básicas, conceitos operacionais, referente e fichamento. Depreendeu-se da pesquisa efetuada que o desenvolvimento do Direito Ambiental pode significar a possibilidade de instauração de uma nova figura de Estado, o Estado Transnacional Ambiental, voltada para a solidariedade, no sentido de uma ação voltada para o coletivo e para o futuro. ABSTRACT Today's world is a world that shares several simultaneous crises. Allied to an environmental crisis worrying OUR planet continues to suffer from an economic crisis, and since 2008, also with a financial crisis. The common factor in each of the crises is globalization, a process that goes beyond the economic and reaches virtually every segment of people's lives. The weakness and inability of the national state to deal with these planetary crises become increasingly evident. The aim of this paper is to analyze the limited position of the contemporary state ahead of a planetary crises, and from this analysis, identify new configuration state alternatives in the treatment of seizures, in particular the global environmental crisis, and thus meet the demands planetary. The method used to develop the research was the inductive one and its operationalization is given by the basic categories technics, operational concepts and book reports. The search has shown that the development of environmental law may mean the possibility of establishing a new figure of the State, the State Transnational Environmental, toward solidarity, towards action directed to the collective and for the future.
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Lee, Inkoo, i Jong-Hyup Shin. "Financial Liberalization, Crises, and Economic Growth". Asian Economic Papers 7, nr 1 (styczeń 2008): 106–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/asep.2008.7.1.106.
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The paper computes the effect of financial liberalization on economic growth by combining the results of a panel model with those of a probit model. It finds a positive net effect from financial liberalization to growth. Surprisingly, we find that the net effect on growth is larger in the crisis-experienced country group than in the overall sample group. Our guess is that the crisis-experienced countries are mostly developing countries that usually enjoy higher growth rates than the developed countries because of the catching-up phenomenon. The paper also studies the link between financial liberalization and nominal interest rates, and finds, contrary to expectations, that the direct liberalization effect is positive. Our guess is that this reflected the overshooting of interest rates after crises.
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Calderón Villarreal, Cuauhtémoc, i Leticia Hernández Bielma. "Economic integration, economic crises and economic cycles in Mexico". Contaduría y Administración 62, nr 1 (styczeń 2017): 85–104. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cya.2016.01.006.
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Tan, Xin, i Sorin A. Tuluca. "Stock Market Volatility and Recent Crises". International Journal of Accounting and Financial Reporting 11, nr 3 (10.09.2021): 87. http://dx.doi.org/10.5296/ijafr.v11i3.18933.
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We study the volatility of the US stock market and its sectors as defined by S&P before and after four recent crises: the Mexican crises, the Asian crises, the Dotcom crises and the Great Recession. We compare the increase in daily volatility with the increase in the implied daily volatility (derived from the monthly volatility) to determine if there was a lasting economic effect of each crisis or the increase in volatility was due to financial transitory components. We find that for each crisis the effect was different even though the increase in volatility was present for most of the crises in the post crises period. The paper helps investors and economic policy makers understand what the response to each crisis should be to stabilize the economy.
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Greene, Alan. "Questioning executive supremacy in an economic state of emergency". Legal Studies 35, nr 4 (grudzień 2015): 594–620. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/lest.12082.
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This paper compares and contrasts state emergency responses to national security crises with responses deployed in a period of economic crisis. Specifically, this paper challenges the appropriateness and legitimacy of the standard emergency response of legislative (as distinct from judicial) deference to the executive when confronting such economic crises. This will be done by questioning the significance in periods of economic crisis of the two principal factors that justify deferring to the executive during a state of emergency pertaining to national security: (i) the necessity of the action taken; and (ii) that the executive has an expertise in decision making in the specific area in question. Ultimately, this paper questions the application of the emergency paradigm to economic crises, arguing that such responses are rarely temporary and instead usher in a ‘new normalcy’.
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Óskarsson, Högni, Kristinn Tómasson, Sigurður Páll Pálsson i Helgi Tómasson. "Economic crises and incidence of suicide in Iceland 1911-2017". Læknablaðið 105, nr 11 (3.11.2019): 483–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.17992/lbl.2019.11.255.
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Introduction: Suicides are number 16 as a cause of death worldwide. Causes are not always known, often associated with depression or trauma. Suicide incidence has decreased world- wide in the past three decades. The economic crisis of 2008 led to an increase in many countries. Many confounding factors make comparisons between countries difficult. This study assesses the possible impact of economic crises in Iceland on suicide incidence. Material and Methods: The work is based on suicide data from 1911 to 2017 and six economic crises from 1918 to 2008. The incidence is calculated five and ten years before and after the index year of each crisis. Possible crisis impact was assessed by applying a quasi-Poisson model to the data. Variance can be greater than model shows, so overdispersion was assessed. The evolution over time is assessed by inspection of cumulative sum of squared residuals (CUSUMSQ). Results: Suicide incidence increased from 1930, beginning to decline around 1990. Given a small population size there are wide upwards incidence fluctuations, within and outside the crisis periods. The crises of 1931 and 1948 showed an increase, wheras in the others there is no change or a decrease. The sizes of deviations from expected value are, for the whole period, in compliance with the quasi-poisson model for counts. Conclusion: There is no statistical correlation between the six economic crises and suicide incidence in the Icelandic data. The study is based on population incidence and does not preclude a negative impact of economic crises on individuals.
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Kozmenko, Olha, i Olha Kuzmenko. "Methods for prediction of economic crises in the global economy and financial centers". Public and Municipal Finance 2, nr 2 (27.12.2013): 47–55. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/pmf.2(2).2013.01.
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Fadhil, Ghasaq A., i Abbas M. Burhan. "Investigating the Effects of Economic Crisis on Construction Projects in Iraq". E3S Web of Conferences 318 (2021): 02005. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202131802005.
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Construction is a complex activity performed in an almost uncontrolled environment. Although, in theory, projects can be well planned in advance, there is a possibility that unexpected events and crises will disrupt these plans, which will affect the progress of projects. Construction companies can be easily affected by crises because the initial investment costs are very high in construction projects, which may lead to huge financial damages. One of the most prominent crises that Iraq faced was the financial crisis in 2014, which had a significant impact on various activities and the construction industry. This research aims to explore the most important causes of the economic crises in Iraq in general, investigate the impact of this crisis on the construction industry in Iraq particularly, explore the most important factors that contributed to the aggravation of the crisis in this area. Finally, explore the most important strategies adopted by higher authorities and construction companies during the economic recession that followed the crisis to mitigate its impact. One hundred fifty-one closed questionnaires were distributed for this purpose. The results showed that financial and administrative corruption is one of the most important causes of crises with (RII) 0.93. Also, 82% of the respondents answered that the projects had increased their duration significantly so that it was difficult to set a date for their completion due to the insolvency or inability of the Iraqi state to pay the financial dues to the contractors. This insolvency negatively impacted the construction industry during the crisis with RII (0.832).
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Chen, Hongyi. "How Effective Were the Economic Policies Introduced during the 2007-09 Global Economic Recession?" Highlights in Business, Economics and Management 1 (28.11.2022): 75–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.54097/hbem.v1i.2322.
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The outbreak of economic crises is cyclical and unpredictable. The causes of each financial crisis are different. Studying the causes of the financial crisis can effectively mitigate the impact of the financial crisis on the national economy. So, what are the causes of the 2007 2009 world financial crisis? This paper examines the economic policies that exited during the global recession of 2007-09 and shows that controlling the domestic economy was ineffective in limiting the recession.
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Selvi,, Dr V. Darling, i K. Veilatchi. "ECONOMIC IMPACT OF COVID-19". BSSS Journal of Commerce 13, nr 1 (30.06.2021): 1–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.51767/joc1301.
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ABSTRACT The COVID-19 pandemic and the associated economic crisis are posing huge challenges, raising many unknowns, and imposing wrenching trade-offs. Both crises are global, but their impacts are deeply local. The policy response to both crises needs to be rapid, even if it is rough around the edges. But countries cannot pull this off on their own—the global crises require global solidarity and coordination. Governments must dramatically overhaul policies and invest in public health, economic stimulus, and social safety nets, to help countries recover faster from the COVID-19 pandemic. The economic report warns that a patchwork of preexisting solutions won’t work and points out those governments must coordinate with each other to hasten the recovery. This is a global crisis and working in silos is not an option, it says. The report `Position Note on the Social and Economic Impacts of COVID-19 in Asia-Pacific` calls on countries in the region to avoid returning to the pre-pandemic environmentally unsustainable development path, and to capitalize on the opportunity to build a better future. The study covers the primary data collected related to the topic and primary data was collected through Google forms sample size of 78. The collected primary data was analyzed by using Paired sample test, KMO and Bartlett`s Test, and Factor Analysis with the help of SPSS.
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Kalinowski, Thomas. "Democracy, Economic Crisis, and Market Oriented Reforms". Comparative Sociology 6, nr 3 (2007): 344–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.1163/156913307x216303.
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AbstractIn this paper I analyze the nexus between economic crises, market oriented reforms, and democratization in Indonesia and Korea since the 1997/98 Asian financial crisis. I provide some support for the hypothesis that democracies are better able to survive economic crises than authoritarian regimes. In both countries democratization facilitated a crisis resolution strategy based on market oriented reforms. However, I assert that in the long run the social consequences of market-oriented reforms tend to undermine democratization partly because both are so closely linked and the majority of the population sees them as one. This process does not necessarily destroy democracies but it leaves them more vulnerable to possible external shocks in the future.
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Raza, Syed Ali, i Mohd Zaini Abd Karim. "Influence of systemic banking crisis and currency crisis on the relationship of export and economic growth". Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies 10, nr 1 (6.02.2017): 82–110. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jcefts-04-2016-0012.
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Purpose This study aims to investigate the influence of systemic banking crises, currency crises and global financial crisis on the relationship between export and economic growth in China by using the annual time series data from the period of 1972 to 2014. Design/methodology/approach The Johansen and Jeuuselius’ cointegration, auto regressive distributed lag bound testing cointegration, Gregory and Hansen’s cointegration and pooled ordinary least square techniques with error correction model have been used. Findings Results indicate the positive and significant effect of export of goods and services on economic growth in both long and short run, whereas the negative influence of systemic banking crises and currency crises over economic growth is observed. It is also concluded that the impact of export of goods and service on economic growth becomes insignificant in the presence of systemic banking crises and currency crises. The currency crises effect the influence of export on economic growth to a higher extent compared to systemic banking crises. Surprisingly, the export in the period of global financial crises has a positive and significant influence over economic growth in China, which conclude that the global financial crises did not drastically affect the export-growth nexus. Originality/value This paper makes a unique contribution to the literature with reference to China, being a pioneering attempt to investigate the effects of systemic banking crises and currency crises on the relationship of export and economic growth by using long-time series data and applying more rigorous econometric techniques.
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Stocker, Marshall L. "Crisis facilitates policy change, not liberalization". Journal of Financial Economic Policy 8, nr 2 (3.05.2016): 248–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jfep-11-2015-0064.
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Purpose Crisis events are windows of opportunity during which a country’s leaders may implement economic policy adjustments which change that country’s level of economic freedom and affect the local capital market. This paper aims to investigate the relationship between annual changes in an economic freedom index, six types of crises and equity market returns. Design/methodology/approach The author uses fixed-effects regressions on annual panel data for 69 countries during the period 2000-2010. Findings Banking, domestic debt and inflation crises decrease economic freedom, and an external debt crisis weakly relates to increases in economic freedom. Only banking crises relate to a change in economic freedom in the following year, suggesting that crisis-driven changes in economic freedom happen quickly. Gains in economic freedom are more likely to occur during periods of positive local and global equity returns. Preceding and contemporaneous to increases in economic freedom, a country’s equity market outperforms a global equity index, offering observers a leading indicator for economic policy change. Originality/value The author finds that crises coincide with decreases in economic freedom, while gains in economic freedom happen during periods of positive capital market sentiment. The absence of a relationship between one-year lagged crisis events and changes in economic freedom suggests prior research relating gains in economic freedom to a crisis occurring 5 or 10 years earlier is a relationship which is more complex, non-linear and specific to the selected data period or spurious. Furthermore, relative equity market returns are related to changes in economic freedom, suggesting that equity markets identify which countries have increased economic freedom, long before popular economic freedom indexes are published.
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McGrath, Liam F. "Insuring Against Past Perils: The Politics of Post-Currency Crisis Foreign Exchange Reserve Accumulation". Political Science Research and Methods 5, nr 3 (18.02.2016): 427–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2016.9.
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In the aftermath of financial crises, governments can use economic policy to minimize the risk of future recurrence. Yet not all do so. To explain this divergence in responses I develop a theory of economic policy choice after financial crises. I argue that past financial crises provide information to future governments about the political costs of financial crises. This subsequently informs the need to use economic policy to insure against such crises. Focusing on the accumulation of foreign exchange reserves after currency crises, I find that when past currency crises led to political changes future governments accumulate higher levels of reserves to prevent another crisis from occurring. This effect is stronger when political change occurred in situations where governments would not expect to be held accountable, and when reserve sales were shown to be effective in preventing political change. The theory and empirical results provide an answer as to why countries experiencing a similar form of financial crisis can, nevertheless, vary in their attempts to prevent future recurrence.
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LAZĂR, Roxana-Elena. "The Volatility of Cryptocurrencies in the Age of Digitalization". Anuarul Universitatii "Petre Andrei" din Iasi - Fascicula: Drept, Stiinte Economice, Stiinte Politice 28 (10.12.2021): 197–207. http://dx.doi.org/10.18662/upalaw/76.
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The evolution of economic crises highlights their common elements, relatively easy to recognize; but mankind doesn't learn too much from its own history; so, we are able to recognize the futures of economic crises, but the ignorance condemns us to repeat the economic crises. However, there are several goods which are excessively traded before the economic crisis: tulips in 1637, real estate in 2007, and cryptocurrencies in the near future. In terms of research, we used a mixed strategy (deductive, inductive, comparative, historical, and casuistic).
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Kovan, S. E. "CRISES AND ANTI-CRISIS MANAGEMENT IN SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC SYSTEMS". Strategic decisions and risk management, nr 2 (2.11.2014): 72–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.17747/2078-8886-2011-2-72-83.
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A theoretic concept of crises and anti-crisis management in social and economic systems at the macro- and microlevels is offered. The concept is based on the elaborated interaction model of systems of different levels. General regularities of the occurrence of crises in social and economic systems are determined based on the given theoretic model. A criterion for determination of the crisis state of the considered systems is formulated. Goals, conditions and base strategies of anti-crisis management are determined based on the area of occurrence of negative impact factors – in the inner or outer environment of the system.
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Shikhalieva, D. S., i S. V. Belyaeva. "Trajectory of economic crises in Russia during the formation and development of a market economy: assessment, evolution, management". Vestnik Universiteta, nr 12 (3.02.2022): 144–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.26425/1816-4277-2021-12-144-150.
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The article examines the causes and consequences of such an economic phenomenon as an economic crisis. The problem of economic crises is determined by the fact that, despite the tools created by the world community to prevent them, it is impossible to accurately predict, much less avoid, economic disasters. The article characterises the crises in Russia from 1998 to 2021. Since 1998, there have been four different causes of crisis in the new economic history. It has shown that world economic crises directly or indirectly affect the macroeconomic indicators of the Russia, cause their decrease. It has concluded that the Russian economy is more responsive to the economic macro-conjuncture due to the dependence of the ruble on the dollar, and the impact of the level of commodity prices on the income part of the consolidated budget.
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Marer, P. "The global economic crises: Impacts on Eastern Europe". Acta Oeconomica 60, nr 1 (1.03.2010): 3–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.1556/aoecon.60.2010.1.2.
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The global crisis of 2007–2009 can be viewed as three interdependent and mutually reinforcing crises: a financial crisis, a liquidity crisis, and a crisis in the real economy. The ten East European countries that are now EU members were hit first by the global liquidity crisis, then by dramatic declines in capital inflows and plunging demand for their exports. Different impacts among the ten are explained by such factors as their exchange rate regimes, the extent to which households found it advantageous to rely on foreign-currency loans and the appropriateness of fiscal and monetary policies prior to the crisis. Since Western Europe’s recovery and growth are likely to be slow, in the future East European countries will have to rely relatively more on internally-generated sources of productivity growth and enhanced global competitiveness.
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Christiaans, Thomas. "ECONOMIC CRISES, HOUSING PRICE BUBBLES AND SADDLE-POINT ECONOMICS". Metroeconomica 64, nr 1 (16.11.2012): 197–214. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/meca.12004.
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Wardley-Kershaw, Julia, i Klaus R. Schenk-Hoppé. "Economic Growth in the UK: Growth’s Battle with Crisis". Histories 2, nr 4 (24.09.2022): 374–404. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/histories2040028.
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In this second paper in a series of four, we examine how the era of sustained economic growth also gave rise to recurring economic crises. Assessing the economic turbulence of the late 19th century and the early 20th century, and three prominent crises of the 20th and early 21st centuries: the period following the Second World War, the 1980–1981 Recession and the 2008 Financial Crisis, we survey how the economy and policy have reacted historically to shocks to growth, how crises have restructured industry and work, altering productivity and impacting future growth potential, and how the long-run growth trend persists despite periods of decline or stagnation.
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Морозов, Сергей, Sergey Morozov, Михаил Погодин i Mikhail Pogodin. "CRISIS: METAPHOR OR ESSENCE". Russian Journal of Management 4, nr 4 (8.12.2016): 581–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/22559.
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The purpose of this article is to establish the contextual environment of the concept of "crisis" in economic and socio-philosophical context.
To achieve objectives the methods are used to estimate economic models and theories on the basis of socio-philosophical approach.
As a result of the conclusions that are logically correct term "crisis" is only possible in local areas of knowledge, and a comprehensive interpretation of the crises is not productive. In the Russian context special direction of research crises dominates - in the framework of anti-crisis enterprise management.
Partial conclusions and recommendations of economic science in relation to crises do not meet the criteria reentrancy for different socio – economic conditions or types of objects. Diagnosis of the crisis confirms the ambiguity of findings regarding a crisis situation.
Relative to global economic theories given the conclusion that the challenges to anticipate and overcome the crisis cannot be solved within existing economic theory methods.
Development of mathematical apparatus, the introduction in the model of logical and qualitative indicators, the construction of behavioral models developed understanding of socio-economic systems and processes. But it is not allowed to create a universal economic theory of sustainable development and crises. The effectiveness of local approaches and global insolvency is discovered. Conclusion: in the framework of economic theory there cannot be formulated the minimum and sufficient set of consistent axioms required for solving problems of crisis.
Partial conclusion is made that the main issue of crisis management is the question of ownership of the company, as well as its obligations to external agents.
The scope of the results – socio-economic system, crisis management.
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Pop-Eleches, Grigore. "Crisis in the Eye of the Beholder". Comparative Political Studies 41, nr 9 (17.10.2007): 1179–211. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0010414008317950.
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This article analyzes the interaction between economic crises and partisan politics during International Monetary Fund program initiation in Latin America in the 1980s and Eastern Europe in the 1990s. The author argues that economic crises are at least in part in the eye of the beholder, and therefore policy responses reflect the interaction between crisis intensity and the government's partisan interpretation of the crisis, which in turn depends on the nature of the economic crisis and its broader regional and international environment. Using cross-country statistical evidence from the two regions, the article shows that certain types of crises, such as liquidity shortfalls, elicit similar responses across the ideological spectrum and regional contexts. By contrast, debt repayment and domestic crises are more prone to divergent ideological interpretations, but the extent of partisan divergence is context sensitive in that it occurred during the Latin American debt crisis but not in the post-communist transition.