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Letteratura scientifica selezionata sul tema "Economic Bubble IN Cycle"

Autore: Grafiati

Pubblicato: 29 luglio 2024

Ultima modifica: 30 luglio 2024

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Articoli di riviste sul tema "Economic Bubble IN Cycle"

Martin, Alberto, e Jaume Ventura. "Economic Growth with Bubbles". American Economic Review 102, n. 6 (1 ottobre 2012): 3033–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.102.6.3033.

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We develop a stylized model of economic growth with bubbles in which changes in investor sentiment lead to the appearance and collapse of macroeconomic bubbles or pyramid schemes. These bubbles mitigate the effects of financial frictions. During bubbly episodes, unproductive investors demand bubbles while productive investors supply them. These transfers of resources improve economic efficiency thereby expanding consumption, the capital stock and output. When bubbly episodes end, there is a fall in consumption, the capital stock and output. We argue that the stochastic equilibria of the model provide a natural way of introducing bubble shocks into business cycle models. (JEL E22, E23, E32, E44, O41)

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Weise, Andreas Dittmar, Jürgen W. Philips e Norberto Hochheim. "Cyclicity Of Housing Markets Under The Specific Condition Of The Existence Of A Bubble In The Real Estate Market". Real Estate Management and Valuation 23, n. 3 (1 settembre 2015): 85–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/remav-2015-0028.

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Abstract In recent years, real estate bubbles have been commonplace in housing markets all over the world. That’s why we examine the relation between housing prices during bubbles in 101 cities located in ten different countries, aiming to explain the housing market cycle during a housing bubble, using economic and housing indicators. We obtained data on eight variables used in market cycle analysis which may be able to explain the existence of speculation and the ideal market cycle. The obtained resultsshow that many of economic and housing indicators begin to decrease while housing prices peak. Only the quantity of transactions peaks during the following year. We also observed that a housing bubble can follow three different scenarios, i.e.: the bubble does not burst, or can burst with a slow decline or sudden and rapid collapse. Finally, it is possible to determine that the same variables can provide clear insight into a bubble in the real estate cycle.

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Borhan, Nurharyanti, Nurfadhlina Abdul Halim, Wan Muhammad Amir W. Ahmad, Mustafa Mamat, Nor Azlida Aleng, Kasypi Mokhtar, Mohd Asrul Affendi Abdullah e Zailani Abdullah. "Rational Speculative Bubble Size in Hang Seng, S&P500 and Nikkei 225 Index Trend from Year 1976 until 2016". International Journal of Engineering & Technology 7, n. 2.14 (6 aprile 2018): 36. http://dx.doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i2.14.11150.

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Rational speculative bubble size happens when the prices of an asset surpass its intrinsic value. This bubbles are harmful when burst because its gives a big impact towards the economic. The aims of this study is to show the size of rational speculative bubble existed from year 1976 until 2016. The period are separated into four which are the first cycle is from 1/11976 to 6/12/1987, the second cycle happen in 7/12/1987 to 12/8/1998, 13/8/1998 to 26/10/2008 for the third cycle and 27/10/2008 to 31/12/2016 for the fourth cycle. This study is also emphasizing on the trend of the rational speculative bubble from one cycle to another cycle. This bubbles size was studied in three markets which are Hang Seng, S&P 500 and Nikkei 225 by using generalized Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette model. The difference

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Cholewiński, Jarosław. "The Phenomenon of Speculative Bubble in the Light of the Austrian Business Cycle Theory". Equilibrium 4, n. 1 (30 giugno 2010): 51–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.12775/equil.2010.004.

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The article presents the modern interpretation of the Austrian business cycle theory and the look at the phenomenon of economic bubble through the lens of that theory. The aim of the article is to answer the question ‘What is the main cause of economic bubbles’. The author suggests that it is a depiction which integrates cyclical fluctuations induced by credit expansion with the phenomenon of speculative bubble. Capital-based macroeconomics proposed by Garrison can become a core of universal economic theorizing. The model presented by the author shows how credit expansion that decreases interest rate of credits below its natural level causes medium-run discoordination of production structure. Disruptions that lies in the strong fluctuations of capital goods during a cyclical episode can be understand as consecutive stages of speculative bubble. In the paper the author conducted a historical analysis of data to investigate whether the dramatic increase in house prices that occurred in the United States after the year 2000 could have been triggered by credit expansion. The author summarizes that such hypothesis can’t be rejected.

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Girdzijauskas, Stasys, e Dalia Štreimikienė. "APPLICATION OF LOGISTIC MODELS FOR STOCK MARKET BUBBLES ANALYSIS". Journal of Business Economics and Management 10, n. 1 (31 marzo 2009): 45–51. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/1611-1699.2009.10.45-51.

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The article deals with economic bubbles and analyses their possible causes and tools for the prediction of such bubbles development. An economic bubble is the commonly used term for an economic cycle that is characterized by a rapid expansion followed by a dramatic crash. While some bubbles happen naturally as a part of the economic cycle, some also occur as a result of investor exuberance and serve as correctives. These typically happen in securities, stock markets, real estate and various other business sectors because of certain changes in the way key players conduct business. The well‐known and widely discussed bubbles in asset markets were analysed and compared trying to define the main features, causes and signals of such bubbles creation: Dotcom, Telecom, Health South Corporation, NASDAQ, etc. These bubbles were analysed in the article by applying the logistic growth model allowing to predict the bubbles creation as a result of growth satiation in the conditions of limited resources.

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Štreimikienė, Dalia, e Neringa Barakauskaitė-Jakubauskienė. "AN APPLICATION OF LOGISTIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT THEORY MODEL TO THE ECONOMIC GROWTH CYCLE IN LITHUANIA / LOGISTINĖS KAPITALO VALDYMO TEORIJOS MODELIO TAIKYMAS LIETUVOS EKONOMINIO AUGIMO CIKLUI". Technological and Economic Development of Economy 17, n. 2 (24 giugno 2011): 352–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/20294913.2011.583724.

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The article analyses one of the most recent theories of economic growth prof. Girdzijauskas (2002, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010) created logistic growth theory, whose main idea is based on market saturation and the concept of limitation. The essential claims of the theory are being tried to adjust analysing the economic growth cycle of Lithuania in 1995–2009 period. Performed logistic analysis of Lithuania's GDP (Loglet Lab2), macro–economic indicators’ and factors’ affecting them correlation regression analysis (SPSS15,0). The article concludes of the presentation of the created economic growth cycles and the bubble formation mechanism combining hypothetical Lithuanian economic growth cycle assessment model. Santrauka Straipsnyje analizuojama viena iš naujausių ekonominio augimo teorijų – prof. S. Girdzijausko (2006, 2008) sukurta logistine kapitalo augimo teorija, kurios pagrindine idėja remiasi rinkos prisisotinimo ir ribotumo sąvokomis. Teorijos esminius teiginius siekiama pritaikyti, vertinant Lietuvos ekonominio augimo ciklą 1995–2009 metų laikotarpiu. Atliekama Lietuvos BVP logistinė analizė (LogletLab2), makroekonominių rodiklių bei jiems įtaką darančių veiksnių koreliacinė regresinė analizė (SPSS 15,0). Straipsnio pabaigoje pateikimas sukurtas ekonominio augimo ciklus ir burbulo susiformavimo mechanizmą apjungiantis hipotetinis Lietuvos ekonominio augimo ciklo vertinimo modelis.

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Yoshino, Naoyuki, e Tetsuro Mizoguchi. "The Role of Public Works in the Political Business Cycle and the Instability of the Budget Deficits in Japan". Asian Economic Papers 9, n. 1 (gennaio 2010): 94–112. http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/asep.2010.9.1.94.

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This paper discusses the Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) ability to maintain a majority of seats in the Diet after WWII by focusing on the role of public investment. The paper discusses three periods, namely, (i) the high-growth period (1950 to 1985), (ii) the asset bubble period (1986 to 1990), and (iii) the period of economic downturn after the bubble (post 1990). During the high-growth period, government investment had a strong positive output effect and it increased the tax revenue in the medium and long run. The high rate of private capital formation boosted growth and tax revenue even further. During the asset bubble period of the late 1980s, Japanese tax revenue increased due to high asset and property prices, and growth stayed high because of strong aggregate demand. The Japanese economy experienced slower growth after the asset bubble burst. The LDP continued its high-spending policy by issuing Japanese government bonds (JGB) to finance the deficits but has not been able to revive growth to previous levels. Accumulated government debt now amounts to 180 percent of GDP and it will be difficult to issue any more JGB. Fiscal policy in post-bubble Japan no longer fulfilled the stability conditions that were identified by Blinder and Solow (1974).

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Yifan, Ding. "World economic situation and China's new development pattern against background of COVID-19". Napredak 2, n. 2 (2021): 57–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.5937/napredak2-32687.

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The COVID pandemic has devastated the world economy, which has also caused serious slumps in Western developed countries. Although they have adopted "ultra-easy" monetary policy, the real economy did not emerge from recessions because of it and a global "liquidity bubble" was caused instead. The economic recession caused by the pandemic in developed countries may last for years. The governments of some countries in the United States and Europe have adopted strong state intervention methods to control the investment and trade behaviors of enterprises, then force them to "decouple" from China. Based on an objective analysis of the current international situation, China has actively taken countermeasures: on the one hand, it emphasizes mainly relying on the "domestic economic cycle" to maintain growth momentum. And on the other hand, it develops an "international economic cycle" that focus on China`s economy. Establishing a "dual circulation" new development pattern, in which domestic economic cycle plays a leading role while international economic cycle remains its extension and supplement, is a major strategic choice for achieving high-quality economic development.

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Asadov, Alam I., e Mansor H. Ibrahim. "THEORETICAL IMPACT OF ENHANCED MUSHARAKAH MUTANAQISAH HOME FINANCING ON REAL ESTATE PRICES". Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance 4, n. 1 (28 agosto 2018): 133–60. http://dx.doi.org/10.21098/jimf.v4i1.747.

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This paper theoretically analyzes two alternative modes of home financing. The first mode is the conventional housing loan and the other is Enhanced Musharakah Mutanaqisah (EMM) home financing. Our results reveal the EMM based setting is superior to the conventional housing loans in at least two aspects. These are the prevention of house price inflation in all phases of economic business cycle and the smoothening of real estate cycles. This means that, under the EMM, the risk of real estate bubble formation is subdued, which should prove to be welfare improving.

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Pitros, Charalambos, e Yusuf Arayici. "How to identify housing bubbles? A decision support model". International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis 9, n. 2 (6 giugno 2016): 190–221. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijhma-01-2015-0002.

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide a decision support model for the early diagnosis of housing bubbles in the UK during the maturity process of the phenomenon. Design/methodology/approach The development process of the model is divided into four stages. These stages are driven by the normal distribution theorem coupled with the case study approach. The application of normal distribution theory is allowed through the usage of several parametric tools. The case studies tested in this research include the last two UK housing bubbles, 1986 to 1989 and 2001/2002 to 2007. The central hypothesis of the model is that during housing bubbles, all speculative activities of market participants follow an approximate synchronisation, and therefore, an irrational, synchronous and periodic increase on a wide range of relevant variables must occur to anticipate the bubble component. An empirical application of the model is conducted on UK housing market data over the period of 1983-2011. Findings The new approach successfully identifies the well-known UK historical bubble episodes over the period of 1983-2011. The study further determines that for uncovering housing bubbles in the UK, house price changes have the same weight with the debt–burden ratio when their velocity is positive. Finally, the application of this model has led us to conclude that the model’s outputs fluctuate approximately in line with phases of the UK real estate cycle. Originality/value This paper proposes a new measure for studying the presence of housing bubbles. This measure is not simply an ex post detection technique but dating algorithms that use data only up to the point of analysis for an on-going bubble assessment, giving an early warning diagnostic that can assist market participants and regulators in market monitoring.

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Più fonti

Tesi sul tema "Economic Bubble IN Cycle"

Hrbková, Veronika. "Analýza současného stavu realitního trhu České republiky a jeho prognóza do roku 2016". Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2012. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-162599.

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The goal of this thesis is to analyze the current status of the Czech real estate market and to assess the outlook of the Czech real estate market to year 2016. The analysis will be performed using a strategic outlook as well as a competition benchmark. The prognosis of the future development of the Czech real estate market will be assessed by developing a comprehensive model capturing the development of revenues on the real estate market. From the public policy's point of view, this is a very up-to-date topic to analyze, as the real estate market is an important barometer of economic outlook in any country. The troubles that were brought by the US mortgage crisis have undoubtedly affected the situation on the real estate market in the Czech republic. The theoretical part of this work will characterize used definitions, such as public policy, economic cycle, economic crisis, real estate market, real estate market bubble, mortgage crisis etc. In the analytical part of this work I shall develop a model that captures the development of the Czech real estate market with focus on parameters of realized transactions in the given year and the development of prices. To evaluate the current situation of the market I shall conduct a strategic analysis and the estimated future development will be captured by conducting a regression analysis using historic data to estimate the development to year 2016.

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Kuzmicka, Jolita. "Nekilnojamojo turto rinka Lietuvoje 2000-2010 metais ir jos perspektyvos 2011-2013 metais". Master's thesis, Lithuanian Academic Libraries Network (LABT), 2012. http://vddb.laba.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2011~D_20120124_134709-59343.

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Nekilnojamo turto (NT) rinka yra visos ekonomikos svarbi sudedamoji dalis. Tai specifinė rinka dėl investicinio prekės pobūdžio ir unikalumo. Šiame darbe apžvelgiama, kas yra turtas, kokia yra rinka, paklausa ir pasiūla, dalyviai bei ciklai, NT rinką įtakojantys veiksniai. Interpretuojama situacija susidariusi NT rinkoje Lietuvoje. Ekonominės sąlygos lemia, kad NT rinka visame pasaulyje pasiekė bumą ir turi pergyventi nuosmukį. Bumas/burbulas – situacija, kai kainos rinkoje formuojamos pirmiausia dėl psichologinių veiksnių ir atitrūksta nuo jas aiškinančių fundamentalių faktorių. Burbulas sprogsta tada, kai investuotojai nebesitiki, kad kainos kils. Tada paklausa sumažėja ir NT rinka krenta žemyn. Nuosmukio pradžia ir viso ciklo trukmė sunkiai prognozuojama. Vidutiniškai NT rinka sugriūna 18 mėnesių iki bankų krizės. Infliacija, palūkanų norma, BVP, investicijų srautai, nuomos kainos, nedarbo lygis, migracija, progresas šalyje, lūkesčiai, poreikiai, informacijos srautas, globalizacija – tai veiksniai, kurie turi įtakos NT rinkos ciklui. Darbe apžvelgiamos nekilnojamojo turto kainos Lietuvoje per pastaruosius dešimt metų, jų pokyčiai lyginant su praėjusiu laikotarpiu ir su 1998 m. Taip pat yra nagrinėjamos trys veiksnių, turinčių įtakos nekilnojamojo turto kainai, rūšys. Tai demografiniai, makroekonominiai, statybos sektoriaus rodikliai bei nekilnojamojo turto kreditavimas. Lyginami jų pokyčiai per nagrinėjamąjį laikotarpį su nekilnojamojo turto kainomis, taip pat pokyčių... [toliau žr. visą tekstą]
Real estate market is important for country’s economics. Real estate’s specific market because it has an investment format and it is unique. In this paper it is reviewed real estate, its market, supply and demand, participants and cycles, indicators. Economics conditions course, that in all the world real estate market has to reach boom and face the recession. Bubble - it is a situation when prices lose a touch with fundamental bias because of the philological factors. Bubble collapse when investors think that prices will not increase anymore and demand reduce. It is difficult to forecast the start of the collapse and the length of the cycle. In the average after the collapse of real estate market in 18 months there is crisis of banks. There are many factors which are important for real estate cycle like inflation, interest and mortgage rate, GDP, investment flows, rent and unemployment rate, migration, progress in the country, expectations, media, and globalization. Real estate prices within past ten years in Lithuania and their changes compared with last period and the year 1998 are overviewed in this work. Also three kinds of factors that have influence on the real estate prices are analyzed. They are exponents of demography, macro economics and construction sector and real estate crediting. Changes in ten years period are compared with the changes of real estate prices and the reasons also. The real estate price’s crisis ant it’s causes are examined. The forecast for... [to full text]

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Bloxham, Matthew Jon. "The effects of vortex generator jet frequency, duty cycle, and phase on separation bubble dynamics /". Diss., CLICK HERE for online access, 2007. http://contentdm.lib.byu.edu/ETD/image/etd1760.pdf.

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Bloxham, Matthew J. "The Effects of Vortex Generator Jet Frequency, Duty Cycle, and Phase on Separation Bubble Dynamics". BYU ScholarsArchive, 2007. https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/etd/827.

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Vortex generator jets (VGJs) have proven to be effective in minimizing the separation losses on low-pressure turbine blades at low Reynolds numbers. Experimental data collected using phase-locked particle image velocimetry and substantiated with a hot-film anemometer were used to answer fundamental questions about the influence of VGJs on a separated boundary layer. The data were collected on the suction surface of the Pack B blade profile, which has a non-reattaching separation bubble beginning at 68% axial chord. Two VGJ pulse histories were created with different frequencies, jet durations, and duty cycles. The mechanisms responsible for boundary layer separation control were shown to be a combination of boundary layer transition and streamwise vortical structures. Jet duration and relaxation time were important VGJ characteristics in determining the extent of control. The unsteady environment characterisitic of the low-pressure turbine section in a gas turbine engine effectively reduces the time-averaged separation zone by as much as 35%. Upstream blade rows create unsteady flow disturbances (wakes) that transition the flow. This transitioned flow propagates downstream, re-attaching the separation bubbles on the subsequent blade row. Phase-locked PIV and hot-film measurements were used to document the characteristics of this separation zone when subjected to synchronized unsteady wakes and VGJs. The phase difference between VGJ actuation and the wake passing, blowing ratio, and VGJ duration were optimized to achieve the greatest time-averaged control of the separation zone. The experimental data were used to identify the important characteristics of the wake/jet interaction. Phase-locked PIV measurements were taken to isolate the wake event (wake only), the VGJ event (jets only), and the synchronized combination of unsteady wakes and jets. The synchronized conditions achieved maximum separation bubble control. The presence of wake and jet induced calmed zones are also noted.

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Rose, Elliot P. "Environmentally conscious design : an economic life cycle approach". Thesis, Cranfield University, 1997. http://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/3507.

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Companies are under increasing pressure to deal with environmental concerns during product design, for it is the design process which primarily decides the environmental impact of a manufactured product over its life. Tools which assist in taking a life cycle view of the product are a necessary support to designers. Prime amongst these tools is Life Cycle Assessment (LCA). However, a major criticism of LCA methodologies is that while they provide advice on environmentally superior product designs, they do not provide guidance on the economic impact. With product take back increasingly likely to become the responsibility of producer companies attention is now being paid to the later phases of a products life, such as maintenance and disposal costs. A new methodology is shown to be required to complement LCA, one which considers the economic implications of environmentally superior designs over the whole product life. It is argued that a major challenge of such a methodology will be how it deals with the uncertainty associated with the future. The research provides a review of product life cycle design methodologies and a critique of existing approaches to uncertainty. A design teams requirements for decision support that deals with product economic life cycle uncertainty is presented and a decision support methodology which meets these requirements is described. The methodology builds upon the theory of life cycle costing. In practice, the methodology integrates a computer based life cycle model with statistical techniques to quantify the contribution of life cycle variables. In bringing these proven but previously separate tools together the method resolves the issue of uncertainty in a novel and acceptable way. Through the use of an in-depth industrial case study, it is shown that the methodology provides practical support to the design team to produce economically superior product life cycle designs.

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Bollmann, Chad A. (Chad Arnold) 1974. "Optimization of DUPIC cycle environmental and economic performance". Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1998. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/45495.

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Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Nuclear Engineering; and, (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 1998.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 109-111).
A study of the DUPIC (Direct Use of Spent PWR Fuel In CANDU) cycle was made to analyze cycle performance relative to that of PWR and CANDU fuel cycles in terms of uranium utilization and spent fuel production efficiency. The DUPIC cycle was found to be most efficient in terms of minimizing spent fuel production as well as most efficient (within limits) in terms of maximizing natural uranium utilization. It was found minimally productive to change PWR fuel management practices in order to extend burnup in the CANDU portion of the cycle. A policy analysis regarding potential implementation of the DUPIC cycle in North America, between the U.S. and Canada, was also made. CASMO computer models of PWR, CANDU, and CANFLEX fuel assemblies were created and benchmarked. The PWR models were then used to develop analytical correlations that predict PWR spent fuel isotopic compositions. Correlations that predict reactivity gain and burnup increase in CANDU reactors due to AIROX processing of PWR spent fuel were created. An estimate of fission product removal fractions during AIROX processing was developed. An integrated model that predicts CANDU discharge burnup extension due to the use of spent PWR fuel and AIROX processing was completed and used to analyze and compare the DUPIC cycle to other fuel cycles. The potential issues involved in implementation of a DUPIC cycle between the U.S. and Canada were examined. Stakeholders and influential groups were identified and their values were projected. A significant unresolved issue centers around which nation assumes custody of the DUPIC spent fuel and the disposal costs of that fuel. A plan for DUPIC cycle implementation was developed.
by Chad A. Bollmann.
S.M.

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Whittle, Richard Robert. "The relevance of Hayek's theory of the trade cycle for understanding the United Kingdom business cycle". Thesis, Keele University, 2016. http://eprints.keele.ac.uk/3273/.

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The ‘Great Recession’ has brought about a justified critique of the neoclassical economic model. It is within the context of this shock to the mainstream that the economic orthodoxy can be queried. The calls for a new economic paradigm request the mainstream’s acceptance of heterodox ideas creating a pluralist approach to economic theory, research and teaching. Following the shock of the financial crisis, UK government economic institutions indeed appear more pluralist than before the crisis. The Bank of England’s One Bank Research Agenda (2015) aims to remove its institutional ‘group think’ to incorporate different economic perspectives to better allow its efficient monitoring of the UK economy. Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs have embraced pluralist economics, Senior Ministerial Advisors within HMRC learn Behavioural Economics, the work of Hyman Minsky, Jesus de Soto and Fredrich Hayek alongside neoclassical economics and fiscal sociology to gain a thorough understanding of economic phenomena. Andy Haldane, Director of Financial Stability at the Bank of England, has called for a pluralist economic methodology and in 2010, Conservative MPs proposed a Financial Services Bill based on the work of Hayek. Given this willingness for Policy at least to accept a pluralist economic approach, alternative economic theories must be evaluated to determine their relevance. Calls for a pluralist economic paradigm do not simply seek to replace one orthodoxy with another or indeed abandon entirely neoclassical economics. A pluralist economic paradigm is one where numerous explanations of economic phenomena are considered and policy is based on the most appropriate rather than the default. The thesis contributes to knowledge by providing an evaluation of Hayek’s theory of the trade cycle using a testable model and both reduced form and structural analysis, this is the first time this has been explicitly done addressing the shortfall in the literature identified in Kuehn (2013). Furthermore the thesis provides a consideration of the relevance of Hayek’s theory of the trade cycle for the UK addressing this gap in the Austrian Empirical Literature. The chosen analysis of a variety of models and tests also contributes to the Austrian methodological literature providing a comprehensive approach to the evaluation of Hayek’s theory. The UK data used for the empirical evaluation does not feature in any of the reviewed literature and thus its use represents a further contribution toward the UK gap in the Austrian Econometric Literature. An empirical evaluation of Hayek’s theory of the trade cycle using UK timeseries data contributes to the pluralist debate by determining the relevance of the theory for future policy consideration. A testable model of Hayek’s theory is developed and examined with various econometric tests to determine the support present in the data. Primarily Vector-Auto Regression, Vector Error Correction and Granger Causality Tests were used in the evaluation alongside Finite-Distributed Lag Models and an initial statistical evaluation of the theory and data. Within the calls for pluralism all empirical evaluation is conducted in a manner acceptable to the majority of Hayekian economists, yet utilising standard econometric tests to provide a persuasive and universally accessible evaluation of the theory. Whilst some evidence for Hayek’s theory of the trade cycle is found, the results show strong support for individual components of the theory, but limited support for the central tenet of the Theory, that of the unsustainable boom sowing the seeds of its own destruction. Yet, evidence is found for the predicted effects of the interest rate and of predicted endogenous turning points in the data, which are seen by several Austrian economists to be unique features of Hayek’s theory. A replication study of a key empirical study supporting Hayek’s theory with US timeseries data is also conducted with UK data, finding less support for the theory than its US counterpart. Given the calls for a pluralist economic paradigm, perhaps it is time to isolate the valid components of Hayek’s theory and incorporate them with other heterodox and orthodox theories. After all a true pluralist paradigm does not mean the primacy of a single approach.

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Huang, Ye. "The behaviour of coal-fired pressurized fluidised bed combustion systems". Thesis, University of Ulster, 1998. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.284834.

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Richko, Rebecca L. "Social and Economic Factors Influencing Japanese Women's Decision about Childbearing in Post-Bubble Japan". FIU Digital Commons, 2016. http://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/etd/2451.

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For the past twenty-five years, Japan’s population decline has been a domestic and global concern. A common discourse on the issue of Japan’s low birth rate tends to focus on the role of women, specifically indicating that women should change their behavior to prioritize motherhood. This thesis argues that Japan’s low birth rate is the result of a nexus of social and economic influences that are experienced in contemporary society. In order to provide a nuanced analysis of the influences on a woman’s childbearing decision, motivators of and challenges to population growth will be explored. The dynamic struggle that women experience from the internalized stress of deciding about childbearing while coping with external factors from the community, government, and corporate sector is divided into four categories. The conditions caused by the interaction of these different factors contributes to consistent decline in the birth rate.

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Li, Linyu. "Economic growth in Sweden, 2000-2010 : The dot-com bubble and the financial crisis". Thesis, Högskolan Dalarna, Nationalekonomi, 2014. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:du-14883.

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Economic growth is the increase in the inflation-adjusted market value of the goods and services produced by an economy over time. The total output is the quantity of goods or servicesproduced in a given time period within a country. Sweden was affected by two crises during the period 2000-2010: a dot-com bubble and a financial crisis. How did these two crises affect the economic growth? The changes of domestic output can be separated into four parts: changes in intermediate demand, final domestic demand, export demand and import substitution. The main purpose of this article is to analyze the economic growth during the period 2000-2010, with focus on the dot-com bubble in the beginning of the period 2000-2005, and the financial crisis at the end of the period 2005-2010. The methodology to be used is the structural decomposition method. This investigation shows that the main contributions to the Swedish total domestic output increase in both the period 2000-2005 and the period 2005-2010 were the effect of domestic demand. In the period 2005-2010, financial crisis weakened the effect of export. The output of the primary sector went from a negative change into a positive, explained mainly by strong export expansion. In the secondary sector, export had most effect in the period 2000-2005. Nevertheless, domestic demand and import ratio had more effect during the financial crisis period. Lastly, in the tertiary sector, domestic demand can mainly explain the output growth in the whole period 2000-2010.

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Libri sul tema "Economic Bubble IN Cycle"

Chœ̄n, Surachai. Prap khrōngsāng nī satai Mōrā-Thārin: Mr. D. Overhang & E-bubble cycle. [Bangkok]: Chomrom Naksētthasāt Run Mai, 2000.

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Hollander, Barbara. Booms, bubbles, and busts: The economic cycle. Chicago, Ill: Heinemann Library, 2011.

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Wiedemer, David. America's Bubble Economy. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., 2007.

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Company, McKinsey and, Bay Area Economic Forum (Calif.), Bay Area Council (Calif.) e Association of Bay Area Governments., a cura di. After the bubble: Sustaining economic prosperity. [San Francisco, Calif.]: Bay Area Economic Forum, 2002.

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Herrera, Santiago. Tropical bubbles: Asset prices in Latin America, 1980-2001. Washington, D.C: World Bank, Latin America and the Caribbean Region, Office of the Chief Economist, 2001.

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Lee, Ronald. Charting the economic life cycle. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2006.

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Lee, Ronald. Charting the economic life cycle. Cambridge, Mass: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2006.

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Garet, Garrett. A bubble that broke the world. Mansfield Center, CT: Martino Pub., 2009.

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Baker, Dean. False profits: Recovering from the bubble economy. Sausalito, CA: PoliPointPress, 2010.

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Baker, Dean. False profits: Recovering from the bubble economy. Sausalito, CA: PoliPointPress, 2010.

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Capitoli di libri sul tema "Economic Bubble IN Cycle"

Dholakia, Nikhilesh, e Romeo V. Turcan. "Bubble Troubles". In Toward a Metatheory of Economic Bubbles, 1–8. New York: Palgrave Macmillan US, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9781137361790_1.

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Wang, Zhenying. "Economic Cycle Model". In Contributions to Economics, 453–69. Singapore: Springer Nature Singapore, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-9875-3_21.

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Dholakia, Nikhilesh, e Romeo V. Turcan. "Bubble Emergence: Toward a Model". In Toward a Metatheory of Economic Bubbles, 60–72. New York: Palgrave Macmillan US, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9781137361790_6.

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Carnot, Nicolas, Vincent Koen e Bruno Tissot. "Business Cycle Analysis". In Economic Forecasting and Policy, 24–65. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230306448_3.

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Gorga, Carmine. "The Economic Bubble and its Measurement". In Concordian Economics, Vol. 1, 105–11. Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-47320-3_7.

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Ohno, Kenichi. "The asset bubble and prolonged recession". In The History of Japanese Economic Development, 162–78. First Edition. | New York : Routledge, [2017]: Routledge, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781315444048-14.

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Gabisch, Günter, e Hans-Walter Lorenz. "Fluctuations in Major Economic Variables". In Business Cycle Theory, 7–40. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1989. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-74715-1_1.

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Simpson, Brian P. "John Law’s Financial Scam and the South Sea Bubble". In Money, Banking, and the Business Cycle, 171–85. New York: Palgrave Macmillan US, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9781137331496_8.

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Assenmacher, Walter, e Robert Czudaj. "Do Industrial Metals Prices Exhibit Bubble Behavior?" In Empirical Economic and Financial Research, 275–86. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-03122-4_17.

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Karimzadi, Shahzavar. "Crypto-economy and trade cycle". In Temporary Economic Crises, 138–77. London: Routledge, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781003346357-4.

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Atti di convegni sul tema "Economic Bubble IN Cycle"

Karhapoltseva, I. V. "GLOBAL GROWTH OF RAW MATERIAL PRICES – REASONS AND CONSEQUENCES. NEW SUPER – CYCLE OR BUBBLE?" In Development of socio-economic systems in a global network environment. Publishing House “Baltija Publishing”, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.30525/978-9934-26-080-3-2.

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Brown, Neal A., e Martin Wosnik. "A Controllable Microbubble Emitter". In ASME 2005 Fluids Engineering Division Summer Meeting. ASMEDC, 2005. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/fedsm2005-77140.

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Controlled emission of microbubbles into a water flow boundary layer appears to be a promising means to significant reduction of frictional drag on ships. Theoretical analyses and hypotheses require that particularly small (∼ 100 micrometers or less) gas bubbles be emitted and retained in particular laminae close to the wetted surface. Drag reduction economy requires that the quantity of gas emitted be very small. Here a design of a controllable microbubble emitter which meets both demands above is put forth. The two key requirements governing the design are pulsed operation, which expels a known volume of air during each cycle, and a known number of uniformly-sized micro-holes, which determines bubble number and therefore bubble diameter. A first, proof-of-concept experiment with a modified pulsed-pressure design of the proposed microbubble emitter was carried out and shows promise.

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Bhujbal, Rahul, Sanjay Nakate e Sunil V. Dingare. "Mass Transfer Rate Enhancement in Sparged Vessel for Ammonia-Water Nano-Fluid in VARS by Adding Nanoparticles". In ASME 2020 International Mechanical Engineering Congress and Exposition. American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/imece2020-24382.

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Abstract The refrigeration systems are used in domestic and commercial freezing applications. These systems are needed to be used energy efficiently to get the economic operation condition. The vapor compression refrigeration cycle (VCR) is getting replaced by vapor absorption refrigeration system (VARS) as they can use low grade energy. This VARS can be used by making use of waste energy in the form of heat which is readily available for many applications. Performance of the VARS is dependent on the generator and absorber performance. In absorber it is based on the amount of refrigerant absorbed and the solution flow rate. Experimental and Numerical study of bubble absorber and effect of nanoparticle on ammonia water mass transfer is carried out. In this study, different designs for the absorber chamber are viewed and compared together, based on the research did earlier. Looking at the aspects of bubble type absorber designs, these designs give better mass transfer performance as compared to other designs. These designs may be improved to get the energy efficient design of the absorber. Present study includes the enhancement of mass transfer rate by the addition of nanoparticles using aluminum oxide (Al2O3). Here, sparged vessels with NH3-H2O binary fluid are arranged with varying percentage of nanoparticle (Al2O3). This study includes the study of mass transfer enhancements by using nanoparticles. Based on the experimental results carried out for the varying mass flow rates it is found that the mass transfer rate is enhanced significantly, it is because the interfacial area is enhanced by the addition of nanoparticles to the base fluids.

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Grottendorfer, Stefan, Rainer Kadnar e Günter Staudigl. "Smart Upgrades to Maximize the Use of Existing Produced Water Treatment Facilities for CEOR". In Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition & Conference. SPE, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/207345-ms.

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Abstract The maximum use of existing surface produced water treatment (PWT) facilities is a prerequisite for an economic chemical enhanced oil recovery (cEOR) in mature fields, as the erection of additional dedicated polymer treatment facilities can seriously harm the project's business case. These existing facilities often exhibit a reliable design, but do not necessarily fulfill the requirements of treating back-produced polymer. An optimization of installed facilities based on prior assessment of limitations is a way to upgrade facilities with regard to future EOR operations. Since its start-up in 2015, the main PWT plant comprised three separation stages: corrugated plate interceptors (CPIs), dissolved gas flotations (DGFs) and nutshell filters (NSFs). The plant processes up to 1,200 m3/h of conventional produced water at the Matzen field in Austria. Additionally, in 2009 a polymer injection pilot was initiated, with continuous polymer injection started in 2012, and now produces a segregated water stream containing back-produced polymer. Prior field tests with a pilot scale water treatment plant indicated operational issues with the existing set-up of facilities and the flotation chemicals used, with increasing polymer concentrations. At the end of 2018, severe injectivity issues were observed at injectors which were supplied with commingled conventional and polymer containing produced water. These were caused by a chemical interaction between the partially hydrolyzed polyacrylamide (HPAM) and alumina-based water clarifiers, which were applied in the dissolved gas flotation, finally leading to a loss of production. Therefore, a strict segregation of polymer and conventional streams at the common well network has been developed and established, where the separated streams could be injected into different parts of the injection system without any issues. This experience pointed out the future risks and hurdles of an economic cEOR full field roll-out where up to 200 ppm back-produced polymer at all surface treatment facilities is expected. Several studies were performed to identify alternative technologies able to treat polymer containing water. A business case driven option was to initiate an optimization program to develop smart upgrades and ensure maximum use of the existing PWT facilities. The main task was to substitute or stop the current poly-aluminum chloride-based coagulant in the DGF with a dosage of 40 to 60 ppm due to its unfavorable interactions with the back-produced HPAM. A technology assessment, comprehensive measures and economic retrofits of the installed gas dissolving units, the circulation cycle and bubble injection points resulted in a 200% higher flotation bubble bed density. Thanks to these improvements, the dosage of water clarifiers could be stopped, accomplishing similar or even better PWT performance values. In addition to the operational savings achieved, the existing treatment plant can now be used to treat cEOR fluids, as first tests with up to 59 ppm of back-produced polymer proved. Considering this new opportunity, a customized and economic modular cEOR debottlenecking concept was developed.

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Bons, Jeffrey P., Rolf Sondergaard e Richard B. Rivir. "The Fluid Dynamics of LPT Blade Separation Control Using Pulsed Jets". In ASME Turbo Expo 2001: Power for Land, Sea, and Air. American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2001. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/2001-gt-0190.

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The effects of pulsed vortex generator jets on a naturally separating low pressure turbine boundary layer have been investigated experimentally. Blade Reynolds numbers in the linear turbine cascade match those for high altitude aircraft engines and industrial turbine engines with elevated turbine inlet temperatures. The vortex generator jets (30 degree pitch and 90 degree skew angle) are pulsed over a wide range of frequency at constant amplitude and selected duty cycles. The resulting wake loss coefficient vs. pulsing frequency data add to previously presented work by the authors documenting the loss dependency on amplitude and duty cycle. As in the previous studies, vortex generator jets are shown to be highly effective in controlling laminar boundary layer separation. This is found to be true at dimensionless forcing frequencies (F+) well below unity and with low (10%) duty cycles. This unexpected low frequency effectiveness is due to the relatively long relaxation time of the boundary layer as it resumes its separated state. Extensive phase-locked velocity measurements taken in the blade wake at an F+ of 0.01 with 50% duty cycle (a condition at which the flow is essentially quasi-steady) document the ejection of bound vorticity associated with a low momentum fluid packet at the beginning of each jet pulse. Once this initial fluid event has swept down the suction surface of the blade, a reduced wake signature indicates the presence of an attached boundary layer until just after the jet termination. The boundary layer subsequently relaxes back to its naturally separated state. This relaxation occurs on a timescale which is 5–6 times longer than the original attachment due to the starting vortex. Phase-locked boundary layer measurements taken at various stations along the blade chord illustrate this slow relaxation phenomenon. This behavior suggests that some economy of jet flow may be possible by optimizing the pulse duty cycle and frequency for a particular application. At higher pulsing frequencies, for which the flow is fully dynamic, the boundary layer is dominated by periodic shedding and separation bubble migration, never recovering its fully separated (uncontrolled) state.

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Hu, Wenxiu, Gang Liu, Weiguo Zhang e Miao Li. "Study on the relationship among asset price bubble, economic bubble and bubble economy". In 2016 Chinese Control and Decision Conference (CCDC). IEEE, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ccdc.2016.7531527.

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Korytarova, Jana, e Vit Hromadka. "Building Life Cycle Economic Impacts". In 2010 International Conference on Management and Service Science (MASS 2010). IEEE, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icmss.2010.5577557.

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Vlachý, Jan. "Statistical Simulation of Life Cycle Cost". In Hradec Economic Days 2020, a cura di Petra Maresova, Pavel Jedlicka, Krzysztof Firlej e Ivan Soukal. University of Hradec Kralove, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.36689/uhk/hed/2020-01-095.

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Samuel, Orient Balbir, Ashvin Avalani Chandrakant, Fairus Azwardy Salleh, Ahsan Jamil, Zulkifli Ibrahim e Alan Ivey. "All-Electric Intelligent Completion System: Evolution of Smart Completion". In SPE/IADC Middle East Drilling Technology Conference and Exhibition. SPE, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/202130-ms.

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Abstract Field D is a mature offshore field located in East Malaysia. A geologically complex field having multiple-stacked reservoirs with lateral and vertical faulted compartments & uncertainty in reservoir connectivity posed a great challenge to improve recovery from the field. Severe pressure depletion below bubble point and unconstrained production from gas cap had contributed to premature shut-ins of more than 50% of strings. As of Dec 2019, the field has produced at a RF less than 20%. Initial wells design consisted of conventional dual strings & straddle packers with sliding sleeves (SSD). Field development team was challenged for a revamp on completion design to enhance economic life of the depleting field. In 2015, as part of Phase-1 development campaign, nine wells including four water injectors were completed initiating secondary recovery through water flood. An approach of Smart completion comprising of permanent downhole monitoring system (PDHMS) and hydraulic controlled downhole chokes or commonly known as flow control valve (FCV) was adopted in all the wells in order to optimize recovery from the field and step towards intervention-less solutions. Seeing the benefits of intelligent completion in Phase-1, Phase-2, drilled and completed in 2019 – 2020 has been equipped with new technology "All-electric Intelligent Completion System" in 4 out of 8 oil producers. The new design addresses the reservoir complexity, formation pressure and production challenges and substantial cost optimization, phasing out the load of high OPEX to CAPEX. Installation of "All-electric Intelligent Completion System" has proven to be an efficient system compared to hydraulic smart completions system. It requires 50% to 75% less installation time per zone and downhole FCV shifting time is less than five minutes compared to several hours full cycle for hydraulic system. The new system has capability to complete up to 27 zones per well with single cable. It gave more options and flexibility in order to selectively complete more zones compared to hydraulic FCVs which requires individual control line for each zone. Future behind casing opportunities (BCO) have been addressed upfront, saving millions of future investment on rig-less intervention. In addition to that, non-associated gas (NAG) zones have been completed to initiate in-situ gaslift as and when required avoiding the dependency on aging gaslift facility. The scope of the paper is to show case the well design evolution during Field D development and highlight on how smart completion has evolved from original dual completion to hydraulic smart and recently to electric smart system, how it has contributed to cost and production optimization during installation and production life and also support the gradual digitalization of the Field D. In the end it demonstrates the optimized completion design to enhance the overall economic life of the depleting field.

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Qizhong, Zhu, e Liu Weilan. "Endogenous conduction mechanism of economic cycle fluctuation and economic vortex". In 2020 2nd International Conference on Economic Management and Model Engineering (ICEMME). IEEE, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icemme51517.2020.00155.

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Rapporti di organizzazioni sul tema "Economic Bubble IN Cycle"

Lee, Ronald, Sang-Hyop Lee e Andrew Mason. Charting the Economic Life Cycle. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, luglio 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w12379.

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David Shropshire, Kent Williams, J.D. Smith e Brent Boore. Advanced Fuel Cycle Economic Sensitivity Analysis. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), dicembre 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/911885.

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Leamer, Edward. The Life Cycle of US Economic Expansions. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, marzo 2001. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w8192.

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David E. Shropshire. Advanced Fuel Cycle Economic Tools, Algorithms, and Methodologies. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), maggio 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/957561.

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Hall, Robert. Separating the Business Cycle from Other Economic Fluctuations. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, ottobre 2005. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w11651.

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Jenson, William, Ed Hoffman e Kent Williams. Economic Impact of Closing the Nuclear Fuel Cycle. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), febbraio 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/2305523.

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Boehm, Christoph, e T. Niklas Kroner. The US, Economic News, and the Global Financial Cycle. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, marzo 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w30994.

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Able, Chad, Sandeep Pidaparti, Chuck White, Nathan Weiland, Eric Liese, Travis Shultz e Mark Woods. Techno-Economic Analysis of Indirect SCO2 Cycle Deployment in NGCCS. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), agosto 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/1881975.

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Sprigg, James A. Market disruption, cascading effects, and economic recovery:a life-cycle hypothesis model. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), novembre 2004. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/903421.

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Zimmerman, Arno, Johannes Wunderlich, Georg Buchner, Leonard Müller, Katy Armstrong, Stavros Michailos, Annika Marxen et al. Techno-Economic Assessment & Life-Cycle Assessment Guidelines for CO2 Utilization. Global CO2 Initiative, University of Michigan, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.3998/2027.42/145436.

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