Articles de revues sur le sujet « Wrong Way CVA »

Hull and White approach to Wrong Way Risk in the computation of Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) is considered the most straightforward generalization of the standard Basel approach. The model is financially intuitive and it can be implemented by a slight modification of existing algorithms for CVA calculation. However, path dependency in the key quantities has non-elementary consequences in the calibration of model parameters. We propose a simple and fast approach for computing these quantities via a recursion formula. We show in detail the calibration methodology on market data and CVA computations in two relevant cases: a FX forward and an interest rate swap.

We propose a Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) model capturing the Wrong Way Risk (WWR) that is not product-specific and is suitable for large-scale computations. The model is based on a doubly stochastic default process with the default intensities proxied by credit spreads. For different exposure structures, we show how credit–market correlation affects the CVA level, its sensitivities to credit and market factors, its volatility and the quality of hedging. The WWR is most significant for exposures highly sensitive to the market volatility in a situation when credit spreads are at moderate levels but both the market factors and credit spreads are volatile. In such conditions, ignoring credit–market correlations results in important CVA mispricing. While the benefits from hedging are always magnified in the situation of the WWR, the right way exposure case is more delicate: only a well-designed mix of credit and market hedges can bring volatility down. Our results raise doubts on the Basel III policy of recognizing credit but not market hedges for computing the CVA volatility capital charge.

We study the impact of wrong way risk (WWR) on credit valuation adjustment (CVA) for Bermudan options. WWR is modeled by a dependency between the underlying asset and the intensity of the counterparty’s default. Two WWR models are proposed, based on a deterministic function and a CIR-jump (CIRJ) model, respectively. We present a nonnested Monte Carlo approach for computing CVA–VaR and CVA–expected shortfall (ES) for Bermudan options. By varying correlation coefficients, we study the impact of credit quality and WWR on the optimal exercise boundaries and CVA values of Bermudan products. Stress testing is performed.

Basel III requires banks to include a credit value adjustment (CVA) into capital charges. Both CVA and debt value adjustment (DVA) must be included for derivatives using mark-to-market accounting. An effective method to calculate bilateral-CVA (BR-CVA) by incorporating wrong-way risk (WWR) for a collateralized counterparty is proposed which handles WWR — defined as when counterparty credit exposure increases as default probability increases — by building a trivariate Gaussian copula between the aggregate market risk exposure factor and default quality of the financial institution and counterparty. This paper extends the ordered-scenario copula model proposed in the literature. It links BR-CVA pricing and WWR, which is close to the current regulatory requirement and useful for managing a financial institution's risk. A practical example is provided. Numerical results suggest that the proposed method is efficient and robust and can easily stress test the impact of WWR in BR-CVA pricing.

Current CVA modeling framework has ignored the impact of stochastic recovery rate. Due to the possible negative correlation between default and recovery rate, stochastic recovery rate could have a doubling effect on wrong-way risk. In the case of a payer CDS, when counterparty defaults, the CDS value could be higher due to default contagion while the recovery rate may also be lower if the economy is in a downturn. Using our recently proposed model of correlated stochastic recovery in the default time Gaussian copula framework, we demonstrate this double impact on wrong-way risk in the CVA calculation for a payer CDS. We also present a new form of Gaussian copula that correlates both default time and recovery rate.

Credit valuation adjustment (CVA) pricing models need to be both flexible and tractable. The survival probability has to be known in closed form (for calibration purposes), the model should be able to fit any valid credit default swap (CDS) curve, should lead to large volatilities (in line with CDS options) and finally should be able to feature significant wrong-way risk (WWR) impact. The Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) model combined with independent positive jumps and deterministic shift (JCIR[Formula: see text]) is a very good candidate : the variance (and thus covariance with exposure, i.e. WWR) can be increased with the jumps, whereas the calibration constraint is achieved via the shift. In practice however, there is a strong limit on the model parameters that can be chosen, and thus on the resulting WWR impact. This is because only non-negative shifts are allowed for consistency reasons, whereas the upwards jumps of the JCIR[Formula: see text] need to be compensated by a downward shift. To limit this problem, we consider the two-side jump model recently introduced by Mendoza-Arriaga and Linetsky, built by time-changing CIR intensities. In a multivariate setup like CVA, time-changing the intensity partly kills the potential correlation with the exposure process and destroys WWR impact. Moreover, it can introduce a forward looking effect that can lead to arbitrage opportunities. In this paper, we use the time-changed CIR process in a way that the above issues are avoided. We show that the resulting process allows to introduce a large WWR effect compared to the JCIR[Formula: see text] model. The computation cost of the resulting Monte Carlo framework is reduced by using an adaptive control variate procedure.

We consider two classes of wrong-way risk models in the context of CVA: static (resampling) and dynamic (reduced form). Although both potentially suffer from arbitrage problems, their tractability makes them appealing to the industry and therefore deserve additional study. For example, Gaussian copula-based resampling and reduced-form with “Hull–White intensities” yield analytical expected positive exposure (EPE) profiles when the portfolio price process (i.e. exposure process) is Gaussian. However, the first approach disregards credit volatility whilst the second can provide default probabilities larger than 1. We therefore enlarge the study by introducing a new dynamic approach for credit risk, consisting in the straight modeling of the survival (Azéma supermartingale) process using the [Formula: see text]-martingale. This method is appealing in that it helps fixing some drawbacks of the above models. Indeed, it is a dynamic method (it disentangles correlation and credit volatility) that preserves probabilities in [Formula: see text] without affecting the analytical tractability of the model. In particular, calibration to any valid default probability curve is automatic and the closed-form expression for the EPE profiles remains available under Gaussian exposures. For each approach, we derive analytically the EPE profiles (conditional upon default) associated to prototypical exposure processes of Forward Rate Agreement (FRA) and Interest Rate Swap (IRS) in all cases and provide a comparison and discuss the implied Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) figures.

This paper investigates calculations of robust X-Value adjustment (XVA), in particular, credit valuation adjustment (CVA) and funding valuation adjustment (FVA), for over-the-counter derivatives under distributional ambiguity using Wasserstein distance as the ambiguity measure. Wrong way counterparty credit risk and funding risk can be characterized (and indeed quantified) via the robust XVA formulations. The simpler dual formulations are derived using recent Lagrangian duality results. Next, some computational experiments are conducted to measure the additional XVA charges due to distributional ambiguity under a variety of portfolio and market configurations. Finally some suggestions for further work are discussed.

A Markov model is constructed for studying the counterparty risk in a CDS contract. The "wrong-way risk" in this model is accounted for by the possibility of the common default of the reference name and of the counterparty. A dynamic copula property as well as affine model specifications make pricing and calibration very efficient. We also consider the issue of dynamically hedging the CVA with a rolling CDS written on the counterparty. Numerical results are presented to show the adequacy of the behavior of CVA in the model with stylized features.

We propose a fairly general framework which allows one to perform Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) computations for a contract with bilateral counterparty risk in the presence of (a) systemic risk and (b) wrong-way or right-way risks. Our methodology focuses on the role of alternative settlement clauses, but it also aims to cover various features of margin agreements. We present a comparative analysis of numerical results that supports our initial conjecture that alternative specifications of settlement values have a nonnegligible impact on CVA computations for contracts with bilateral counterparty risk. Our conclusions emphasize the practical importance of more sophisticated models that are capable of fully reflecting the actual features of financial contracts, as well as the influence of the market environment.

In this work, we present some numerical procedures for a wrong way risk model that can be used for credit value adjustment (CVA) calculations. We look at a model that uses a multi-factor Hull–White model for interest rates and a single-factor lognormal Black–Karasinski default intensity model for counterparty credit, where the default intensity driver is correlated with all interest rate drivers. We describe how a trinomial tree-based approach for implementing single factor short rate models by Hull and White (1994) can be modified and used to calibrate the intensity model to credit default swaps (CDSs) in the presence of correlation. We also provide approximate pricing methods for CDS options and single swap contingent CDS contracts. The latter methods could also be used for model calibration purposes subject to data availability.

This work aims to provide an efficient method to evaluate the Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) for a vulnerable European option, which is an option subject to some default event concerning the issuer solvability. Financial options traded in OTC markets are of this type. In particular, we compute the CVA in some popular stochastic volatility models such as SABR, Hull et al., which have proven to fit quite well market derivatives prices, admitting correlation with the default event. This choice covers the relevant case of Wrong Way Risk (WWR) when a credit deterioration determines an increase in the claim value. Contrary to the structural modeling adopted in [G. Wang, X. Wang & K. Zhu (2017) Pricing vulnerable options with stochastic volatility, Physica A 485, 91–103; C. Ma, S. Yue & Y. Ma (2020) Pricing vulnerable options with Stochastic volatility and Stochastic interest rate, Computational Economics 56, 391–429], we use the reduced-form intensity-based approach to provide an explicit representation formula for the vulnerable option price and related CVA. Later, we specialize the evaluation formula and construct its approximation for the three models mentioned above. Assuming a CIR model for the default intensity process, we run a numerical study to test our approximation, comparing it with Monte Carlo simulations. The results show that for moderate values of the correlation and maturities not exceeding one year, the approximation is very satisfactory as of accuracy and computational time.

The introduction of Central Clearing Counterparties (CCPs) in most derivative transactions will dramatically change the landscape of derivatives pricing, hedging and risk management, and, according to the TABB Group, will lead to an overall liquidity impact of about USD 2 trillions. In this paper, we develop for the first time a comprehensive approach for pricing under CCP clearing, including variation and initial margins, gap credit risk and collateralization, showing concrete examples for interest rate swaps. This framework stems from our 2011 framework on credit, collateral and funding costs in Pallavicini et al. (Pallavicini, A., D. Perini and D. Brigo, 2011, Funding Valuation Adjustment: FVA consistent with CVA, DVA, WWR, Collateral, Netting and Re-hypothecation, arxiv.org, ssrn.com). Mathematically, the inclusion of asymmetric borrowing and lending rates in the hedge of a claim, and a replacement closeout at default, lead to nonlinearities showing up in claim dependent pricing measures, aggregation dependent prices, nonlinear Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) and Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs). This still holds in presence of CCPs and CSA. We introduce a modeling approach that allows us to enforce rigorous separation of the interconnected nonlinear risks into different valuation adjustments where the key pricing nonlinearities are confined to a funding costs component that is analyzed through numerical schemes for BSDEs. We present a numerical case study for Interest Rate Swaps that highlights the relative size of the different valuation adjustments and the quantitative role of initial and variation margins, of liquidity bases, of credit risk, of the margin period of risk and of wrong-way risk correlations.

In the eastern part of Jordan’s capital, Amman, where women maintained friendships through the exchange of help and support, accusations of maslaha (opportunism) had the potential to undermine relationships. Those accusations generated ugly feelings characterized by a confusion between the things wrong with oneself that make one vulnerable to the problem of maslaha and the things wrong with Jordanian society that make maslaha so widespread. Drawing on ethnographic research conducted in one East Amman neighbourhood, Tal al-Zahra, between 2011 and 2015, this article explores the ways that encounters with maslaha felt ugly, the way these ugly feelings generated critiques of contemporary Jordanian morals, and the role of these feelings in generating ethical reflection by prompting women to see themselves as separate from, and critical of, the societies in which they live.

In common with other psychiatric units throughout the land, we have been struggling to come to terms with the Government directives regarding the Care Programme Approach. A great deal of time has been spent attempting to devise a system which is workable and useful but which might leave some time for face-to-face contact with patients; implementing it forces the psychiatrist into a catch–22 situation. If things are seriously wrong for a patient, the psychiatrist could be criticised for not putting somebody on CPA, or criticised for putting them on it but not carrying the process through thoroughly enough. In spite of this, I have participated in the scheme, if only because the consensus would seem to be that it is necessary to have the system in place, mainly as a defensive measure or in the hope of ensuring adequate resources. My overwhelming feeling, however, has been that it has been a time-consuming way of formalising good practice, and that the time spent filling in the forms would be better spent talking to the patients. I have always felt uncomfortable listing needs and solutions with the patient and ‘the team’, because it seemed reductionist, but I thought that this was my idiosyncratic response, and that I should get on with it. Recently, however, there was a near disaster with a patient which served to strengthen my reservations.

The Very Nature Of Democracy Makes Its Defence Difficult. In a democracy, the majority has the right to be wrong and the opportunity to make public its private passions while acting on its personal interests. What is more, democratic tolerance of pluralism and legitimation of social conf lict ensure that democracy will be characterized above all by self-criticism. As a result, when it is threatened, its enemies will find at least some domestic support from those who despair of democracy, or at least of this democracy, and who convince themselves that a better, more substantial or less superficial, democracy can be brought into being. Such critics of the really existing democracy are convinced that they are acting in the name of real democracy. So it was, for example, that the American Communist Party could claim to incarnate ‘twentieth-century Americanism’ following the same logic used by Marx a century earlier to criticize the ‘merely formal’ nature of bourgeois democracy. But so it was too when the CIA took it upon itself to finance not only political opposition to Soviet inf luence but also to support and encourage what Francis Stonor Saunders's recent study of The Cultural Cold War: The CIA and the World of Arts and Letters revealed. The shared logic of the CIA and the communists turns out, as the saying goes, to be no accident.

Conflict-prone Sudan is at a decisive cross-roads in its history as the multiple crises gripping the country force on the actors some stark choices. As the world focuses on the spiralling Darfur crisis and offers the wrong prescriptions for its resolution, the optimistically named Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) which ended the war in the south threatens to unravel under the weight of the diverging agendas of the main peace partners. Unless some radical steps are taken to restructure the Sudanese state and address the real causes of conflict in Darfur and elsewhere, the country could fragment and disintegrate, with disastrous consequences for regional peace and security.

Side-channel analysis achieves key recovery by analyzing physical signals generated during the operation of cryptographic devices. Power consumption is one kind of these signals and can be regarded as a multimedia form. In recent years, many artificial intelligence technologies have been combined with classical side-channel analysis methods to improve the efficiency and accuracy. A simple genetic algorithm was employed in Correlation Power Analysis (CPA) when apply to cryptographic algorithms implemented in parallel. However, premature convergence caused failure in recovering the whole key, especially when plenty of large S-boxes were employed in the target primitive, such as in the case of AES. In this article, we investigate the reason of premature convergence and propose a Multiple Sieve Method (MS-CPA), which overcomes this problem and reduces the number of traces required in correlation power analysis. Our method can be adjusted to combine with key enumeration algorithms and further improves the efficiency. Simulation experimental results depict that our method reduces the required number of traces by and , compared to classic CPA and the Simple-Genetic-Algorithm-based CPA (SGA-CPA), respectively, when the success rate is fixed to . Real experiments performed on SAKURA-G confirm that the number of traces required for recovering the correct key in our method is almost equal to the minimum number that makes the correlation coefficients of correct keys stand out from the wrong ones and is much less than the numbers of traces required in CPA and SGA-CPA. When combining with key enumeration algorithms, our method has better performance. For the traces number being 200 (noise standard deviation ), the attacks success rate of our method is , which is much higher than the classic CPA with key enumeration ( success rate). Moreover, we adjust our method to work on that DPA contest v1 dataset and achieve a better result (40.04 traces) than the winning proposal (42.42 traces).

Placement of the tip of a peripherally inserted central catheter in the lower third of the superior vena cava is essential to minimize the risk of complications. Sometimes, however, the catheter tip cannot be localized clearly on the chest radiograph, and repositioning a catheter at bedside is difficult, sometimes impossible. A chest radiograph obtained just after the catheter is inserted, before the guidewire is removed, can be helpful. With the guidewire in the catheter, the catheter and its tip can be seen clearly on the radiograph. If the catheter was inserted via the wrong route or the tip is not at the appropriate location, the catheter can be repositioned easily with the guidewire in it. Between January 1, 2007, and May 31, 2009, 225 catheters were placed by using this method in our department. Of these, 33 tips (14.7%) were initially malpositioned. The tips of all these catheters were repositioned in the lower third of the superior vena cava by using this method. No catheter was exchanged or removed. The infection rate for catheter placement did not increase when this method was used. This modification facilitates accurate location of the catheter tip on the chest radiograph, making it easy to correct any malposition (by withdrawing, advancing, or even reinserting the catheter after withdrawal).

Despite its relatively recent growth, the field of fashion studies is already known for its many transformations. This year’s College Art Association of America (CAA) Annual Conference featured an exciting new panel on the interdisciplinary nature of dress, entitled Who’s In and Who’s Out of Fashion (Studies)? Chaired by Sarah Scaturro, chief conservator at the Cleveland Museum of Art, and Ann Tartsinis, doctoral student at Stanford University’s Department of Art & Art History, the session addressed the question “Is there a correct or wrong way to do fashion studies?” and aimed to explore what is traditionally defined as “fashion studies” within the discipline. This panel review includes an introduction to the development of the field of fashion and dress, an overview of the topics and case studies presented during the session, and a question and answer session with the Co-Chairs of the panel.

Inertial separation techniques in a microfluidic system have been widely employed in the field of medical diagnosis for a long time. Despite no requirement of external forces, it requires strong hydrodynamic forces that could potentially cause cell damage or loss during the separation process. This might lead to the wrong interpretation of laboratory results since the change of structures and functional characteristics of cells due to the hydrodynamic forces that occur are not taken into account. Therefore, it is important to investigate the cell viability and damage along with the separation efficacy of the device in the design process. In this study, two inertial separation techniques—spiral microchannel and contraction-expansion array (CEA)—were examined to evaluate cell viability, morphology and intracellular structures using a trypan blue assay (TB), Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM) and Wright-Giemsa stain. We discovered that cell loss was not significantly found in a feeding system, i.e., syringe, needle and tube, but mostly occurred in the inertial separation devices while the change of cell morphology and intracellular structures were found in the feeding system and inertial separation devices. Furthermore, percentage of cell loss was not significant in both devices (7–10%). However, the change of cell morphology was considerably increased (30%) in spiral microchannel (shear stress dominated) rather than in CEA (12%). In contrast, the disruption of intracellular structures was increased (14%) in CEA (extensional and shear stress dominated equally) rather than spiral microchannel (2%). In these experiments, leukocytes of canine were used as samples because their sizes are varied in a range between 7–12 µm, and they are commonly used as a biomarker in many clinical and medical applications.

Objective. Саrbohydrаte antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) is the frequently used tumor marker in the clinical setting of colorectal cancer (CRC). This study was designed to investigate the correlation between preoperative serum levels of CA 19-9 (pre-CA 19-9) and the clinicopathologic factors of patients with CRC. Patients and methods. A study was performed on 482 patients with histologically diagnosed colorectal adenocarcinoma between January 2016 and December 2017, based on retrospective collected data. The clinical data such as age, sex, size of tumor, differentiation (G), depth of tumor (T), lymph node metastasis (N), distant metastasis (M), lymphatic invasion, venous invasion, perineural invasion, stage, and preoperative serum levels of CEA (pre-CEA) and pre-CA 19-9 were obtained. These patients were classified into two groups according to pre-CA 19-9 (CA 19-9 high: H37 U/mL; CA 19-9 normal: H37 U/mL). Results. Eighty five patients among 483 patients (17.6%) with CRC showed a high pre-CA 19-9. The elevationof pre-CA 19-9 was significantly associated with size of tumor > 4.5 cm (р=0.0001), higt CEA > 5ng/ml (р<0.0001), wrong differenciation of tumor (р=0.0003), depth of tumor (р<0.0001), lymph node metastasis (р<0.0001), distant metastasis (р<0.0001), lymphatic invasion (р=0.0013), vascular invasion (р<0.0001), perineural invasion (р<0.0001), stage (р<0.0001). On multivariate analysis, high pre-CA 19-9 was shown to be independently associated with depth of tumor (р=0.05), lymph node metastasis (р=0.0006). Spearman>s correlation coefficient r between REA and CA 19-9 was 0.21 (95% CI 0.13 - 0.30; p<0.0001). Conclusion. High pre-CA 19-9 in advanced colorectal cancer might provide important information to predict the depth of tumor, lymph node metastasis.

Development of class reasoning was investigated using configural frequency analysis (CFA). We administered class inclusion, vicariant inclusion, and law of duality tasks to a sample of 540 Chinese second through fifth graders. In each task, children were asked to compare two classes and make a choice from four alternative answers while the number of classes was not given. Results showed that (1) children’s performance on both class inclusion and vicariant inclusion tasks improved significantly from Grade 2 to Grade 3 and from Grade 3 to Grade 4, but children did not tend to give correct answers to class inclusion items until Grade 4 and to vicariant inclusion items until Grade 5; (2) children from Grades 2 to 5 performed poorly on the law of duality task, but fifth graders were more likely to respond correctly than the general population; and (3) second graders tended to give wrong answers such as “equal number” and “not sure.” A discussion of the development of class reasoning followed.

Background: Cardiopulmonary arrest (CPA) is an abrupt and an unpredicted halt in patients’ breathing as well as circulation due to several reasons. All wellbeing experts, including dental specialists, should be very much prepared to take care of and oversee health related crises. Aim: To examine House Surgeon’s medical practices of the recent CPR guidelines and to recognize the precautions that should be followed to correct the deficiencies identified. Setting: Multan Dental College Multan Methodology: Participants were selected randomly. Knowledge about CPR was evaluated by printed objective paper. Practical expertise/ skills were evaluated by SimMan (high-fidelity simulator). Objective paper comprised of 7 multiple choice questions and eighteen true false. Allotted time duration was 20 Minutes. One mark for every query and 50% marks were thought-off as passing scores Results: 34% of the participants scored 50% or more marks while 66% failed to do so. Regarding practical demonstration’s none of the participant was successful completely. Failure in initial assessment was attributed to 67% participants. Failure due to compression rate error, Failure due to ventilation rate error & Failure due to wrong hand position were reported by 70% participants. Conclusion: We conclude that level of knowledge as well as training regarding medicinal emergencies of dental house officers is below the required standard. Therefore, it is essential to place correct strategies & plans in place to fortify their recognized zones of weakness. Keywords: Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation (CPR), Dental House officers, Cardiopulmonary arrest (CPA),

The Panama Leaks issue has created a hassle in the whole world, naming individuals, groups and companies. The issue has been equally chanted in the Pakistani Media, both print as well as electronic. Through this issue, individuals having major positions both at an official and national level have been put under fire. The Editorials written by both Daily Dawn and The News represent an insightful analysis and give their expert opinion on the issue. According to McCombs (1972), it is the role of the media to present the interesting aspects of the political parties and to convey the reason for a political campaign to gather public support. Van Dijk (1997) has provided his model for Critical Discourse Analysis in which he has illustrated some of the categories which, according to him, are essential for CDA studies. He is of the view that it often happens that the writer sometimes hides the agent and his identity if the agent is doing something wrong. He has given the concept of self and others. The newspapers framed two major ideologies one was of PTI, and the other was of PML-N. PTI’s ideology was to hold a strong opposition to the case leaving no way out for the Sharifs. On the other hand, Sharif’s announced their resolve to accept the decision of the court amid strong opposition.

SYSTEM ERROR: Where Big Tech Went Wrong and How We Can Reboot by Rob Reich, Mehran Sahami, and Jeremy M. Weinstein. New York: HarperCollins Publishers, 2021. 352 pages. Hardcover; $27.99. ISBN: 9780063064881. *Remember when digital technology and the internet were our favorite things? When free Facebook accounts connected us with our friends, and the internet facilitated democracy movements overseas, including the Arab Spring? So do the authors of this comprehensive book. "We shifted from a wide-eyed optimism about technology's liberating potential to a dystopian obsession with biased algorithms, surveillance capitalism, and job-displacing robots" (p. 237). *This transition has not escaped the notice of the students and faculty of Stanford University, the elite institution most associated with the rise (and sustainment) of Silicon Valley. The three authors of this book teach a popular course at Stanford on the ethics and politics of technological change, and this book effectively brings their work to the public. Rob Reich is a philosopher who is associated with Stanford's Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence as well as their Center for Ethics in Society. Mehran Sahami is a computer science professor who was with Google during the startup years. Jeremy Weinstein is a political science professor with experience in government during the Obama administration. *The book is breathtakingly broad, explaining the main technical and business issues concisely but not oversimplifying, and providing the history and philosophy for context. It accomplishes all this in 264 pages, but also provides thirty-six pages of notes and references for those who want to dive deeper into some topics. The most important section is doubtless the last chapter dealing with solutions, which may be politically controversial but are well supported by the remainder of the book. *Modern computer processors have enormous computational power, and a good way to take advantage of that is to do optimization, the subject of the first chapter. Engineers love optimization, but not everything should be done as quickly and cheaply as possible! Optimization requires the choice of some quantifiable metric, but often available metrics do not exactly represent the true goal of an organization. In this case, optimizers will choose a proxy metric which they feel logically or intuitively should be correlated with their goal. The authors describe the problems which result when the wrong proxy is selected, and then excessive optimization drives that measure to the exclusion of other possibly more important factors. For example, social media companies that try to increase user numbers to the exclusion of other factors may experience serious side effects, such as the promotion of toxic content. *After that discussion on the pros and cons of optimization, the book dives into the effects of optimizing money. Venture capitalists (VCs) have been around for years, but recent tech booms have swelled their numbers. The methodology of Objectives and Key Results (OKR), originally developed by Andy Grove of Intel, became popular among the VCs of Silicon Valley, whose client firms, including Google, Twitter, and Uber, adopted it. OKR enabled most of the employees to be evaluated against some metric which management believed captured the essence of their job, so naturally the employees worked hard to optimize this quantity. Again, such a narrow view of the job has led to significant unexpected and sometimes unwanted side effects. *The big tech companies are threatened by legislation designed to mitigate some of the harm they have created. They have hired a great many lobbyists, and even overtly entered the political process where possible. In California, when Assembly Bill 5 reclassified many independent contractors as employees, the affected tech companies struck back with Proposition 22 to overturn the law. An avalanche of very expensive promotion of Proposition 22 resulted in its passage by a large margin. *It is well known that very few politicians have a technical background, and the authors speculate that this probably contributes to the libertarian leaning prominent in the tech industry. The authors go back in history to show how regulation has lagged behind technology and industrial practice. An interesting chapter addresses the philosophical question of whether democracy is up to the task of governing, or whether government by experts, or Plato's "philosopher kings" would be better. *Part II of the book is the longest, addressing the fairness of algorithms, privacy, automation and human job replacement, and free speech. The authors point out some epic algorithm failures, such as Amazon being unable to automate resumé screening to find the best candidates, and Google identifying Black users as gorillas. The big advances in deep learning neural nets result from clever algorithms plus the availability of very large databases, but if you've got a database showing that you've historically hired 95% white men for a position, training an algorithm with that database is hardly going to move you into a future with greater diversity. Even more concerning are proprietary black-box algorithms used in the legal system, such as for probation recommendations. Why not just let humans have the last word, and be advised by the algorithms? The authors remind us that one of the selling points of algorithmic decision making is to remove human bias; returning the humans to power returns that bias as well. *Defining fairness is yet another ethical and philosophical question. The authors give a good overview of privacy, which is protected by law in the European Union by the General Data Protection Regulation. Although there is no such federal law in America, California has passed a similar regulation called the California Consumer Privacy Act. At this point, it's too soon to evaluate the effect of such regulations. *The automation chapter is entitled "Can humans flourish in a world of smart machines?" and it covers many philosophical and ethical issues after providing a valuable summary of the current state of AI. Although machines are able to defeat humans in games like chess, go, and even Jeopardy, more useful abilities such as self-driving cars are not yet to that level. The utopian predictions of AGI (artificial general intelligence, or strong AI), in which the machine can set its own goals in a reasonable facsimile of a human, seem quite far off. But the current state of AI (weak AI) is able to perform many tasks usefully, and automation is already displacing some human labor. The authors discuss the economics, ethics, and psychology of automation, as human flourishing involves more than financial stability. The self-esteem associated with gainful employment is not a trivial thing. The chapter raises many more important issues than can be mentioned here. *The chapter on free speech also casts a wide net. Free speech as we experience it on the internet is vastly different from the free speech of yore, standing on a soap box in the public square. The sheer volume of speech today is incredible, and the power of the social media giants to edit it or ban individuals is also great. Disinformation, misinformation, and harassment are rampant, and polarization is increasing. *Direct incitement of violence, child pornography, and video of terrorist attacks are taken down as soon as the internet publishers are able, but hate speech is more difficult to define and detect. Can AI help? As with most things, AI can detect the easier cases, but it is not effective with the more difficult ones. From a regulatory standpoint, section 230 of the Communications Decency Act of 1996 (CDA 230) immunizes the platforms from legal liability due to the actions of users. Repealing or repairing CDA 230 may be difficult, but the authors make a good case that "it is realistic to think that we can pursue some commonsense reforms" (p. 225). *The final part of the book is relatively short, but addresses the very important question: "Can Democracies Rise to the Challenge?" The authors draw on the history of medicine in the US as an example of government regulation that might be used to reign in the tech giants. Digital technology does not have as long a history as medicine, so few efforts have been made to regulate it. The authors mention the Association for Computing Machinery (ACM) Software Engineering Code of Ethics, but point out that there are no real penalties for violation besides presumably being expelled from the ACM. Efforts to license software engineers have not borne fruit to date. *The authors argue that the path forward requires progress on several fronts. First, discussion of values must take place at the early stages of development of any new technology. Second, professional societies should renew their efforts to increase the professionalism of software engineering, including strengthened codes of ethics. Finally, computer science education should be overhauled to incorporate this material into the training of technologists and aspiring entrepreneurs. *The authors conclude with the recent history of attempts to regulate technology, and the associated political failures, such as the defunding of the congressional Office of Technology Assessment. It will never be easy to regulate powerful political contributors who hold out the prospect of jobs to politicians, but the authors make a persuasive case that it is necessary. China employs a very different authoritarian model of technical governance, which challenges us to show that democracy works better. *This volume is an excellent reference on the very active debate on the activities of the tech giants and their appropriate regulation. It describes many of the most relevant events of the recent past and provides good arguments for some proposed solutions. We need to be thinking and talking about these issues, and this book is a great conversation starter. *Reviewed by Tim Wallace, a retired member of the technical staff at the MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA 02421.

Background: Wrong eating behaviors increase the risk of numerous chronic diseases. Objectives: This study aims to determine the validity and reliability of the Mindful Eating Questionnaire (MEQ) in the Iranian population. Materials & Methods: In a validation study at the University of Guilan City, Iran, in 2019-2020. First, the MEQ was translated based on the forward-backward method. After applying the changes to the Persian version of MEQ (P-MEQ), 50 participants responded to the P-MEQ twice with an interval of 3 weeks. Then, 384 Iranian students selected by the two-stage cluster sampling method completed the P-MEQ to determine its construct validity. Sixty participants simultaneously filled the P-MEQ and the Freiburg Mindfulness Inventory (FMI-SF) to determine concurrent validity. To determine known-group validity, 23 very obese participants and a Body Mass Index (BMI) of over 35 kg/m2 were compared to individuals with a healthy weight (BMI: 18.5-24.9 kg/m2). Results: The test-retest reliability of the P-MEQ was obtained as 0.59 for the total score, and it ranged from 0.58 to 0.79 for the subscales. The first-order Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) results indicated that after removing four items with weak factor loading, the five-factor P-MEQ model had appropriate goodness of fit (χ2/df=2.516, RMSEA=0.067, AGFI=0.835, IFI=0.924, & CFI=0.916). The second-order CFA revealed that the latent components of awareness, distraction, disinhibition, emotional response, and external cues reflected the concept of higher levels of mindful eating acceptably (χ2/df=2.545, RMSEA=0.067, AGFI=0.825, IFI=0.912, & CFI=0.905). However, there was a poor relationship between the total score of P-MEQ and FMI-SF (r=0.24, P=0.07). Conclusion: Regardless of concurrent validity, the Persian version of MEQ has proper construct validity, test-retest reliability, and internal consistency.

Background: Wrong eating behaviors increase the risk of numerous chronic diseases. This study aims to determine the validity and reliability of the Mindful Eating Questionnaire (MEQ) in the Iranian population. Methods: In a validation study at the University of Guilan City, Iran, in 2019-2020. First, the MEQ was translated based on the forward-backward method. After applying the changes to the Persian version of MEQ (P-MEQ), 50 participants responded to the P-MEQ twice with an interval of 3 weeks. Then, 384 Iranian students selected by the two-stage cluster sampling method completed the P-MEQ to determine its construct validity. Sixty participants simultaneously filled the P-MEQ and the Freiburg Mindfulness Inventory (FMI-SF) to determine concurrent validity. To determine known-group validity, 23 very obese participants and a Body Mass Index (BMI) [W1] of over 35 kg/m2 were compared to individuals with a healthy weight (BMI: 18.5-24.9 kg/m2. Results: The test-retest reliability of the P-MEQ was obtained as 0.59 for the total score, and it ranged from 0.58 to 0.79 for the subscales. The first-order confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) results indicated that after removing four items with weak factor loading, the five-factor P-MEQ model had appropriate goodness of fit (χ2/df=2.516, RMSEA=0.067, AGFI=0.835, IFI=0.924, & CFI=0.916). The second-order CFA revealed that the latent components of awareness, distraction, disinhibition, emotional response, and external cues reflected the concept of higher levels of mindful eating acceptably (χ2/df=2.545, RMSEA=0.067, AGFI=0.825, IFI=0.912, ‌& CFI=0.905). However, there was a poor relationship between the total score of P-MEQ and FMI-SF (r=0.24, P=0.07). Conclusion: Regardless of concurrent validity, the Persian version of MEQ has proper construct validity, test-retest reliability, and internal consistency.

The government's decision regarding the dissolution and termination of all FPI activities raises pro and contra among the media and the public. The dissolution of FPI was decided by means of a decree signed by six ministers and heads of state institutions. This study aims to describe and dismantle the discourse of the news text on the decision to dissolve FPI using Critical Discourse Analysis (CDA). The research method used is Norman Fairclough's Critical Discourse Analysis through understanding text and context. There are five steps that are used as a reference. First, focus on social irregularities in its semiotic aspects. Second, identify barriers to address the social irregularities. Third, consider whether social order requires social irregularity. Fourth, identify possible ways to overcome these obstacles. Fifth, reflect critically from those four points. The results showed that kompas.com put FPI as the wrong position and the government's decision to dissolve FPI through an SKB was right. It is clear that kompas.com sided with the government. Kompas.com follows part of the flow of public votes in its news about FPI as a business strategy. The positioning of kompas.com was carried out because the government's decision to dissolve FPI caused pro and contra among the media and the public.

Curriculum reform is often difficult to conceive, disseminate, and implement, resulting in the use of metaphors to make sense of how changes initiated at national level are enacted in schools. This theoretical paper, which employs Critical Metaphor Analysis (CMA), constructs an account of emerging trends in metaphoric language to unlock the complexity of reform implementation. A deductive critical review of literature was adopted as the qualitative design to glean insights into how metaphors have been used to shape mental images of curriculum reform across time and space. Findings indicated converging and diverging trends in metaphoric semantics. While some studies have equated curriculum change to a battlefield and a ghost of control, others have likened reform implementation to driving through the fog or wearing a donated gown of the wrong size. School reform has also been portrayed as a journey, a jigsaw puzzle, and a gardening project demanding meticulous planning and concentration. The unique contribution of this research is the clustering of reform metaphors into a three-tiered spectrum of pessimism, ambiguity, and optimism, thereby extending insights into the dynamics of curriculum enactment. Strategic implementation is recommended so that curriculum reform may be couched in metaphors of hope instead of anger and confusion.

This case study explored the English language related ideologies of different management groups and student representatives at a business school of Karachi, Pakistan. The study tried to bring an insider’s perspective to the causes of certain language ideologies prevalent in the business school’s social structure, and the role language played in power relations between the main actors of the community. For this purpose, a sample of four research participants from each of the focussed management cadres was selected for study. Analysis of semi-structured interviews, administered on the participants, was done using Fairclough’s (2009) dialectical-relational approach of critical discourse analysis (CDA). The study suggested the prevalence of certain language ideologies that were manifested and latent in the discourses of the participants. These deeply rooted beliefs were predominantly patterned by centering authorities: language became a means for those in power to sustain their hegemony and maintain social stratification in society. Functionally, English played a stratifying role, and also was found to be extensively perceived as a commodity, a product that is to be acquired or attained. The study realised this social wrong of inequity and divide in a particular community, and on the basis of the findings, recommends a reorganizing of social structures into those of more inclusive and democratic ones for the operationalizing of equality and fairness in social practices.

Background Cardiopulmonary arrest (CPA) has been defined as “unpredicted & the quick halt/stop in the breathing of patients or/and circulation due to numerous reasons. Cardiopulmonary resuscitation incorporates complete hard work & the practices for the reviving of that individual/person who is in the heart failure. All of the wellbeing professionals, including oral/dental experts, have to be trained and prepared enough to oversee health linked crises. Aim: To see student’s skills of latest CPR guiding principles Study design: Cross-sectional study Place and duration of study: This study of 3 months duration was carried on students of Multan dental college Multan. Methodology: Eighty Students were chosen randomly. Knowledge concerning CPR was appraised by objective type printed paper. Practical skills/ expertise was then appraised by the SimMan (the high-fidelity simulator). The paper embraced of eighteen true false and 7 MCQ’s. Every query was of one mark and the passing score was 50%. Results: Men were thirty two while ladies were forty eight. 66(82.5%) participants failed in initial assessment, 72(90%) students reported failure due to compression rate error, 58(72.5%) subjects were failed due to ventilation rate error and 61(76.25%) students failed due to wrong hand position Conclusion: Level of the knowledge in addition to training concerning the medicinal emergencies of students is below and less than required standard. Hence, it is imperative to place the correct strategies & plans in place to fortify zones of weakness. Keywords: Basic life support, Cardio-pulmonary arrest, Cardiopulmonary resuscitation, guiding principles, Medical emergencies

Auditory steady-state response (ASSR) is a translational biomarker for several neurological and psychiatric disorders, such as hearing loss, schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, autism, etc. The ASSR is sinusoidal electroencephalography (EEG)/magnetoencephalography (MEG) responses induced by periodically presented auditory stimuli. Traditional frequency analysis assumes ASSR is a stationary response, which can be analyzed using linear analysis approaches, such as Fourier analysis or Wavelet. However, recent studies have reported that the human steady-state responses are dynamic and can be modulated by the subject’s attention, wakefulness state, mental load, and mental fatigue. The amplitude modulations on the measured oscillatory responses can result in the spectral broadening or frequency splitting on the Fourier spectrum, owing to the trigonometric product-to-sum formula. Accordingly, in this study, we analyzed the human ASSR by the combination of canonical correlation analysis (CCA) and Holo-Hilbert spectral analysis (HHSA). The CCA was used to extract ASSR-related signal features, and the HHSA was used to decompose the extracted ASSR responses into amplitude modulation (AM) components and frequency modulation (FM) components, in which the FM frequency represents the fast-changing intra-mode frequency and the AM frequency represents the slow-changing inter-mode frequency. In this paper, we aimed to study the AM and FM spectra of ASSR responses in a 37 Hz steady-state auditory stimulation. Twenty-five healthy subjects were recruited for this study, and each subject was requested to participate in two auditory stimulation sessions, including one right-ear and one left-ear monaural steady-state auditory stimulation. With the HHSA, both the 37 Hz (fundamental frequency) and the 74 Hz (first harmonic frequency) auditory responses were successfully extracted. Examining the AM spectra, the 37 Hz and the 74 Hz auditory responses were modulated by distinct AM spectra, each with at least three composite frequencies. In contrast to the results of traditional Fourier spectra, frequency splitting was seen at 37 Hz, and a spectral peak was obscured at 74 Hz in Fourier spectra. The proposed method effectively corrects the frequency splitting problem resulting from time-varying amplitude changes. Our results have validated the HHSA as a useful tool for steady-state response (SSR) studies so that the misleading or wrong interpretation caused by amplitude modulation in the traditional Fourier spectrum can be avoided.

Abstract Sultanate of Oman’s power sector is undergoing a rapid restructuring to involve renewable energy sources as part of the generation system. The present power sector majorly depends on the a-renewable energy source, natural gas for its power generation. CeA central grid system connecting all the provinces of Oman involving renewable and non-renewable energy sources in power generation is initiated and is gaining acceleration. Hybridization and its optimization of energy resources at different locations based on geographical factors, cost of electricity production, greenhouse gas emission, and initial and operating costs involved in the generation is still a major concern for the development of a central grid system. In this paper, the development of an optimal hybrid system for the load profile of the University of Technology and Applied Sciences – Shinas (UTAS- Shinas) is done. The initial study was done to develop load profile data of UTAS- Shinas. The annual Peak demand of the University is 720 kW. Various hybrid and standalone combinations involving renewable and non-renewable options are simulated and analysed with a hybridization software tool, HOMER Pro. Solar PV and wind are the major renewable energy resources, found to have ambient potential in Oman. When a renewable energy system is there in the hybrid system design, a non-renewable energy source can be added as a backup generation system to improve its system reliability. Optimization of the hybrid combinations is required as the cost of electricity generation will be expensive, if a wrong combination is selected. Out of the different hybrid combinations selected, PV- Wind – Natural gas-based hybrid system was found to be the most beneficial system for UTAS- Shinas, after considering Renewable energy fraction of 61.6 % power, which can penetrate to the system, the Net Present Cost (NPC), Cost of Energy (COE), Payback period and Greenhouse gas (GHG) emission control as the constraints for the optimization procedure. The practical implementation is done on campus by taking a sample load and illustrating the project with power sources PV of 3.5kW, wind energy conversion of 1.5kW, and grid connection from Majan Electricity Company with an auto change over the facility.

<sec><title>Study Design</title><p>Retrospective study.</p></sec><sec><title>Purpose</title><p>Identification of transitional vertebra is important in spine imaging, especially in presurgical planning. Pasted images of the whole spine obtained using high-field magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are helpful in counting vertebrae and identifying transitional vertebrae. Counting vertebrae and identifying transitional vertebrae is challenging in isolated studies of lumbar spine and in studies conducted in low-field MRI. An incorrect evaluation may lead to wrong-level treatment. Here, we identify the location of different anatomical structures that can help in counting and identifying vertebrae.</p></sec><sec><title>Overview of Literature</title><p>Many studies have assessed the vertebral segments using various anatomical structures such as costal facets (CF), aortic bifurcation (AB), inferior vena cava confluence (IC), right renal artery (RRA), celiac trunk (CT), superior mesenteric artery root (SR), iliolumbar ligament (ILL) psoas muscle (PM) origin, and conus medullaris. However, none have yielded any consistent results.</p></sec><sec><title>Methods</title><p>We studied the locations of the anatomical structures CF, AB, IC, RRA, CT, SR, ILL, and PM in patients who underwent whole spine MRI at our department.</p></sec><sec><title>Results</title><p>In our study, 81.4% patients had normal spinal segmentation, 14.7% had sacralization, and 3.8% had lumbarization. Vascular landmarks had variable origin. There were caudal and cranial shifts with respect to lumbarization and sacralization. In 93.8% of cases in the normal group, ILL emerged from either L5 alone or the adjacent disc. In the sacralization group, ILL was commonly seen in L5. In the lumbarization group, ILL emerged from L5 and the adjacent disc (66.6%). CFs were identified at D12 in 96.9% and 91.7% of patients in the normal and lumbarization groups, respectively. The PM origin was observed from D12 or D12–L1 in most patients in the normal and sacralization groups.</p></sec><sec><title>Conclusions</title><p>CF, PM, and ILL were good identification markers for D12 and L5, but none were 100% accurate.</p></sec>

Abstract Determining the death rate due to venous thromboembolism (VTE) among cancer patients is a daunting task, suffering from methodological constraints associated with death certificates, administrative data bases, surveillance methods and disease recognition. While it is clear that VTE is a clinical marker of a high risk of dying from cancer and that cancer patients are at relatively higher risk of dying from pulmonary embolism (PE), there are large variations in mortality directly attributable to VTE. To examine mortality from venous thromboembolism (VTE) associated with cancer, we reviewed the medical records of patients from the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (UTMDACC) suffering from cancer plus VTE who died during the time period 3/1/2000 and 10/31/2010. A list of all cancer patients at UTMDACC who died during the time period 3/1/2000 through 10/31/2010 and carried one of 18 ICD-9 coded diagnoses of VTE (encompassing deep venous thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, inferior vena cava thrombosis and renal vein thrombosis) was provided by the institutional Enterprise Information Warehouse. Among 99,288 patients who died at MD Anderson over the ~ 10 year period, 11,032 had a diagnosis of VTE. The electronic health records (EHR) of 9,000 of these patients were reviewed to determine if death was attributed to VTE. A cause-of-death could be assigned to 1,459 patients and could not be determined for the remaining 7,541. The distribution of malignancies among patients with a defined cause-of-death was 19.8 % - acute leukemia or myelodysplastic syndrome (8.3% with acute myelogenous leukemia); 14.2% - lymphoma; 12.5% - genitourinary; 12.5% - lung; 12.4% - gastrointestinal; 7.3% - breast; 4.4% - myeloma; and 17% - other. The attributed cause-of-death for these 1,459 patients was disease progression in 52.8%; infection in 19.7%; VTE in 13.9%; respiratory failure (not due to disease progression or PE) in 7.6%; arterial thrombosis (myocardial infarction, sudden death, stroke or congestive heart failure) in 3.5%; hemorrhage in 1.2%; and other (stem cell transplant-related multiorgan failure, graft-versus-host disease, liver failure, diffuse alveolar hemorrhage, thrombotic microangiopathy, hepatic veno-occlusive disease, fall, or suicide) in the remaining 1.3%. Among the 203 patients whose cause-of-death was attributed to VTE, 51 had hematological malignancies (16 acute leukemia, 15 lymphoma, 14 myelodysplastic syndrome or a myeloproliferative neoplasm, 6 myeloma) and 152 were solid tumor patients (39 lung, 34 genitourinary, 26 gastrointestinal, 15 breast, and 37 miscellaneous [melanoma, sarcomas, germ cell and others]). 162 out of 203 patients with death attributed to VTE were receiving anticoagulation and 40 were treated with an inferior vena caval filter. 109/203 had thrombocytopenia (platelet count < 150,000/μl), 81 of whom received anticoagulation. 6/81 of the thrombocytopenic patients who died of VTE had bleeding; 3 of these patients had WHO grade 4 bleeding contributing to death. Fatal VTE was documented by objective measures in 83.3% (169 out of 203) and by clinical measures in 16.7% (34 out of 203). Assuming that all clinical diagnoses were wrong, objectively documented VTE directly caused 11.6% of the deaths (169/1459). These results indicate that VTE is a major cause of death among patients with heterogeneous malignancies and suggest that improved treatment of malignancy-associated VTE will have an immediate and significant favorable impact on the survival of cancer patients. Better data are needed to determine the therapeutic index of prophylactic and therapeutic anticoagulation in cancer patients, particularly those considered to be at high risk for bleeding. Disclosures Kroll: Boerhinger-Ingelheim: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Aplagon Therapeutics: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees.

The main reasons for climate change which are explained in this article are as follows: -Climate pollution by gases with CO2 emission and Greenhouse Effect; Climate contamination of viruses with viruses from nature by animals or glaciers when thawing or produced in Laboratories; Induced Climate Change due to meteorological weapons with high intensity radio waves to produce rains, hurricanes and possible induction of earthquakes; Climate pollution by radiation due wars with irreversible consequences in the climate and Nuclear Winter; Climate Change due the explosion of missiles and atomic weapons in the oceans; Climate Change due the natural cyclical phases of the Earth affected by the cyclical variations of the Earth's magnetic field lines which can be affected by the severe cyclical activity of the sun due storms and sunspot because of the combustion that occurs inside the Sun which is due to the gravitational instabilities produced by the planets of the solar system, asteroids or the Comet Planet; Climate Change due to the invading Comet Planet into the solar system that affects with its gravitational field to the sun with solar storms and the planets with variation of the magnetic field lines affecting the climate, earthquakes and activation of volcanoes and indeed with the entry of many meteors and asteroids to the Earth; Climate change due to the Arm of God Allah explaining all the above reasons being more evident in times of Tribulation. The specific methods and devices of the control and manipulation of the population (inclusive to induce to the concupiscence) in times of new world order (Universal Big Brother Program for the control of human in the Earth) and possible Tribulation are explained in this article: Surveillance programs with all technological devices and networks used by humans systematic methods of persuasive manipulation and indoctrination used by some zombie humans and dark; Through the subjugation of employees and humans (inclusive children teaching them how to manipulate in the same style of the zombies); By enterprises or dark groups so that employees make manipulation games with details (investing work time to play like children) receiving bribes, money or labor benefits or with possible retaliation if they do not obey; Surveillance programs in living and working places with covert technological cameras, coincidence games, activities, plans and events programmed in sequence (inclusive pyrotechnic sounds in sequence); Covert numbers and words (in identification documents, cards, car plates, devices used by humans); Encrypted, hidden codes or small phrases and numbers not visible to the naked eye concealed in objects; Covert words in the speech of zombie humans and from multimedia and channels of traditional technological devices through movies, programs and even newscasts and inclusive to speak in code with the humans who know the surveillance programs and worst using in those channels and programs derogatory words against the Nazarenes (in the style of Nazism with the Jews) in complicity of close acquaintances, zombies and dark who participate profiting from the system for the vile metal; By means of an epidemic and viruses produced in laboratories creating epidemics and chaos in the Earth for the reduction and control of the population; Through strict restrictions and reduction of freedoms; Confinement with subsequent compulsory vaccination to be able to access human rights such as the right to work and the right to travel (with the cover-up of the respective organizations responsibles for it: OIT OMT), without responsibility of the authorities in charge of vaccination worldwide (OMS) for the short or long term counterproductive effects of the vaccinated population due to the risk with the liquid of the vaccines by interfering with the DNA and RNA of the population; Possible marking and elimination of many humans (possibility of control of the pulmonary alveoly or induction controlled of diseases or pain due a virus by means of chips introduced in humans); Control of humans by the introduction of liquid and solid chips in humans (liquid crystals that crystallize in the organism and settle in neurons and receive ultrasonic waves of very low frequency) (possibly inserted from vaccines in global epidemiological programs for population control or invasive medical examination when this is not necessary as a figurative example of review of a patient with a sore in the mouth and introduction of the whole hand in the throat or prostate examination or specific injections to certain objective humans or Nazarenes who have opened the matrix of the darks and the elite that controls the humans in the Earth) in times of epidemic in medical examinations and treatments in hospitals (false medical negligence with breach of the medical oath of the use of Medicine for human good). The possible liquid and solid chips introduced into the human being can be used for mind reading (telepath) and thought induction (double direction: sending and receiving messages in the style of Stephen Hawking and the style of the technology already used in sending probes into space and to the moon) and possible human marking with surveillance program and the possible creation of zombie humans. Humans who have the mind reader chip installed can speak without speaking (the dumb speak playing like the miracles of Jesus Christ). It is possible to detect if the humans who have the mental reading chip installed have psychological alterations without going to a doctor. It is possible to know if humans are good or bad without seeing their actions and without going to a priest. In this way, human beings with the chip installed can be sanctioned before they do somewhat wrong (simply because it is known to be thinking). This can be used to know the fidelity to a political guideline or direction (this is known by the strong rumor in communist countries that already have the technology to detect the fidelity to the political party and possibly this is through this chip installed in the human being and mind reading). The inserted chip can also perform thought induction: this is possibly the apocalyptic mark mentioned in the apocalypse because many humans will perform sins or concupiscence induced and not naturally. Then, this will most probably activate the Wrath of God, the seals, and the trumpets of the apocalypse. It surprises me that actually the OMS wants to bring the vaccination program to Africa when in Africa there are not many dead by the epidemy (possibly for the control and reduction of the population will be in all the Earth). Afterward, the OMS mentioned that wants to insert a manufacturing center of vaccines in many countries and inclusive vigilance programs (possibly for the control and reduction of the population will be effective at the local level). But, what the OMS needs to mention is that it is necessary to eliminate the laboratories of virus creation and not create more vaccine laboratories. Humans do not want more vaccine and injections and laboratories for the creation of vaccines but the elimination of virus laboratories which are most probably used for for the control and reduction of the population: thus, the reason for spreading a virus created in a laboratoy across the Earth is evident: population reduction and control of humanity in preparation for a global elite program (new world order or program 2030 for the control of the dark and of the elite; Connection of covert surveillance cameras (in living and working places) with channels of traditional technological devices through movies, programs and even newscasts (including newscasts that usually make signs of dumb and deaf to those who have already discovered them) used by the dark with the respective programs and in addition, to monitor and tracing to verify the induction to concupiscence through mental reading (chips in humans) and surveillance cameras on line in the best style of James Bond espionage movies (including control of faces, pupils, irises, reflections, details and diseases); Games of judgments of sin against humans and Nazarenes (playing at being gods) and also profiting from the vile metal through the system and contributing to the persecution of the Nazarenes; Fake judgments of sin against humans and Nazarenes because many of these sins have been induced with technology due the possible induction of thoughts by the liquid cristal settle in neurons and have not been natural (dark inducing sin through technology and playing gods to induce evil and destruction of intimacy and privacy even in the mind of the human being); Retaliation to those who report the surveillance and manipulation programs and marking of humans for mind reading (telepathy) and thought induction (making them sick sending to the hospitals or removing them); Digital identification plan and digital money to do digital control and avoid conflict and protests of marked and Nazarenes in surveillance programs who discover that there is no privacy in their documents and inclusive in theirs mind (telepathy: mind reading and thought induction: artificial intelligence): it surprises that EU mention that has a digital plan for europeans for digital control on line. But, before the epidemy, Europe and the world advanced a lot in technology and the data of humans are digitally in hospitals and institutes that humans need. After, the EU mentions artificial intelligence for human beings. Then and in vaccination and epidemy time, it is possible that the digital control is a new digital control with artifitial intelligence and with possible chips installed in the human being (possibly already installed in many human beings); Games of events and coincidences to cause accidents or conflicts in the life of marked, target or Nazarenes (change games of victim to accused by companies that regulate the order with subsequent rectification of the game made by the same companies when the Nazarenes claim); Games of recognition of the identity of human beings (in the style of the movie Unknown) by enterprises and service stations which are necessary for the daily movement of human beings creating conflicts of manipulation and stress in the marked or Nazarenes Salary payment games (payment of wages with dinners and game of check payment) creating manipulation conflicts and stress in the life of marked, target or Nazarenes Programmed plans of theft and scams of enterprises and humans even knowing of the surveillance cameras for the control of the marked, target or Nazarenes. Then, there is severe control of human beings in their daily activities to verify the follow-up of the matrix and darks that plan situations of concupiscence in the human being. Besides, this is occurring in coincidence with an accelerated new world order program and possible tribulation times and possibly already with the installation of the apocalyptic mark (possible chips introduced in the human being for mind reading and thought induction to induce concupiscence) in humans mentioned in the apocalypse for dark control of humans. The global forms of the severe manipulation and population control in times of new world order and Tribulation are explained in this article are as follows: By increasing taxes; Through armed conflicts and wars create discord, wars and chaos between countries (often bordering countries with the same origins and with the same culture: Russia and Ukraine: war motivated by US OTAN EU): To later usurp its resources (oil energy resource: US Iraq Kuwait); To later control them politically and economically (US Iraq Kuwait) and when these power or developed countries cannot control or usurp their resources, they begin to block them economically (Russia in the war between Russia and Ukraine where besides developed countries influence in the war by printing additional money to use for the war causing imbalance and global economic crisis instead of looking for ways to avoid it) in order to cause chaos and economic crisis with the knowledge and complicity of the world organizations responsible (OEA ONU) and make the population believe that the cause of the economic crisis is the government in power. However, some countries have resisted these blockades (Cuba Venezuela Nicaragua Russia China) and managed to show that it is possible to have governments independent of the control of these powers or countries that believe they own the Earth; To put rulers (governing) of interest in the same countries in conflict; To control them using the pretext of placing military bases in the countries in conflict (NATO OTAN: military bases in some European countries, US military bases: in some South American countries and some countries of Europe). In addition, this is preferable to reduce military bases in other countries and reduction of nuclear weapons, and use the financial resources for the reduction of inequity and poverty on the Earth. Thus, the organizations responsible for the proliferation of nuclear weapons (OIEA) have played an ineffective and passive (cover-up) role, which has caused the risk of a third nuclear world war to be imminent); Through the war against terror: however and actually, this is a false speech used to point to countries that oppose the control or directive of the powers and that have a culture or political structure different from that of the powers and later make conflict and war to later control them or usurp their resources (some Arab and Muslim countries, for example, US, Irak, Lybia and blaming an entire country for terrorism and occupying for years (Afganistán)). In this way and actually, some countries have developed nuclear weapons (North Korea, Iran) to protect themselves in some way and thus, the same thing does not happen to them as to the countries mentioned above (Irak, Lybia) and that have been destroyed with the false discourse of the war against terror. In this way, the best thing is to have good relations with all the countries of the Earth which are again summed in the Bible [1] in a message: Love your brother (all human beings) as yourself! (Mt.22-39) (and not to go around the Earth pointing out terrorists to any country that opposes its guidelines). Therefore, it is possible to reduce the economic resources for the war against terror which can be used to reduce poverty and inequity in human beings; Through the war against drugs: there are many other substances and products consumed by humans that can be harmful to health and that are allowed and have not become a vice (when something is forbidden: this increases the interest in obtaining it explained from the beginning of creation in Genesis [1]: an apple from the tree of good and evil in the garden of Eden: Adam and Eve). In addition, many countries have allowed the use of certain types of drugs for medical purposes (Uruguay, Bolivia) where drug use has gone unnoticed in these countries; Through religión: with a structure of religion that tries to control the population through a guideline and speeches that obey the Vatican and the actual governments of each country (which is evident when there are countries such as Nicaragua that do not follow a guideline of the church and the elite and then, the religion surprisingly actively intervenes in politics): the conclusion is reached and to which many humans have reached, that religion is a power most actually used (along with political and economic power); Through political power by means of the false argument used by politicians to reduce inequity and poverty: where a large amount of resources and money have been allocated to the political powers and rulers of many countries for centuries by the respective organizations responsable (FMI BM) without any results and in many countries poverty and inequity have increased. Besides, the bureaucracy is a structure of order and rules of management and administration used within the governments of each country that contribute to the inefficiency and manipulation of the required procedures in human life that ultimately affect the life of each human being when they require formalities that end up being complicated and time-consuming. Then, this power structure in politics, economics, and religion for the control of the population is ineffective and obeys the interests of the dark who control humans on the Earth, and is used ineffectively by the rulers (governing) of the countries who come to power precisely with the false discourse of reducing poverty and inequity; Through the pretext of climate change: severe climate change due to the emission of CO2 and the greenhouse effect is a complete fallacy. The world organizations involved with the climate (ONU) try to make humanity believe that this is the reason for the severe climatic changes that the human being has experienced on the Earth to obtain economic resources and avoid mentioning God in control of the Earth and course the climate and to avoid mentioning the Omnipotence of God [1] in the control of the Earth and the climate: the severe climate change is frequently due to solar storms and variations in the magnetic field lines of the Earth because of gravitational variations in the solar system or due to the entry of an asteroid or Comet Planet what is controlled and all the Universe by God. Therefore, the climate change is controlled by the Eternal God (wich is explained in the Bibles with a lot of examples with Moses, Josue, Hezekiah) and thus, this is better to use the resources and money for so-called climate change to reduce poverty and inequity in the Earth and increase equity in humans: Human Beings must not believe everything said by the organizations and individuals that control the humans in the Earth and that obey the directions imposed within the matrix triangle of control of the Earth; Through the sport by means of the persuasive manipulation of observers or attendees at sporting events through commercials programs, commentators (hidden words and numbers in speech), players participating in the match: with gestures or sequence of plays, numbers, words or details in the players uniform, referees (make decisión of plays in favor of a team purposely: false bad arbitration) or leading organizers committing sports corruption not applying the rules or discriminating players (Serbian, Russian and Belarusian tennis players at tennis competitions due to some tennis organizations) or teams (Russian sports clubs and inclusive the Russian national team due FIFA decision) at convenience. Besides, when there are countries in conflict or war: instead of uniting the countries in conflict by means of the sport, the respective organizations (FIFA UEFA) discriminate and increase the conflict: discriminating and not allowing the participation of tennis players (including top tennis players), Football Countries and Sport Clubs in international competitions for reasons of restrictions due to the epidemic, conflict or war (including countries that organized previous World Cups: Russia) where the interest, quality and love for this sport has increased and that must be used to unite human beings and countries and not to not allow them to participate: which increases the division and conflict between countries or humans: This is important to highlight and value the position of the ATP for deciding that the ATP does not agree that athletes from certain countries (Russia and Belarus) cannot participate in international tournaments stating that this is against the principles of merit and non-discrimination: then, this is tremendously criticizable that the organization responsible of Football (FIFA UEFA) participates in armed conflicts or war with discriminatory decisions in Football, increasing the war by not allowing countries in conflict to participate in World Cup of Football: FIFA slogan of no to racism and some form of discrimination is a complete farce and used for convenience and interest (in the same style of all the other organizations (mainly ONU, OEA, FMI, BM, VATICAN) that control humans and that in 2000 years of the coming of the Envoy of God have not been able to solve iniquity and poverty), discrimination that has been evident in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine: Football is the main sport in the Earth and it is the one that can unite human beings the most and should be used as a source of union and not división; Through education: where this is used by many countries to induce and manipulate their inhabitants in a certain political direction through the dissemination of knowledge and even the textbooks of the students: many underdeveloped countries have increased illiteracy and degradation in education because this favors the politicians of the country's government: having an ignorant people who do not see what they do with the country's money and who cannot criticize them: the greatness of peoples depends on the education that gives the independence of individuals who are the ones that make the country advance; Through world organizations to control countries: ONU, OEA, Vatican, OTAN, UE: many countries have to obey the guidelines of these organizations, which often do not respond to the needs of the citizens of each country: many institutions in the countries must obey the organizations (the Vatican for the religion) in a rigid way, which is often not in accordance with the situation of the country's citizens, who often need new variants or guidelines (some organizations can cause chaos, conflict or war as for example the war of Russia with Ucrania where the possible annexation of Ucrania to the OTAN and UE is one of the reasons for the war between these two countries. Therefore, there would be no war between these two countries where without those organizations); Through world organizations of espionage (CIA, FBI, KGB, Gestapo, SS): employing persuasive interference in the countries and rulers of some undeveloped countries (some South America and Center America countries and some European, Asia and Africa countries) with the objective of the power countries of control, manipulate or destabilize countries and inclusive simple humans (using the personal data of thousands of people around the world). Through the control and intervention of the Creator God Allah which is necessary and essential in times of Tribulation at the time timely (Holy Bible: Apoc. 6 Apoc. 8:6 Apoc. 5 Apoc. 7 Apoc. 21) due to everything mentioned in this scientific research respect to the control and manipulation of the population (regarding the increase of inequity, discord, and evil among humans) which is not following the guideline given by the envoy of God 2000 years ago: Jesus Christ. Keywords: God, Allah, Jesuchrist, Bible, Creator, Education, Climate change, Population Control, Climate Pollution, Gases CO2, Greenhouse Effect, Epidemic, Viruses, Laboratory, Zombies, Dark, Elite, new world order, OMS, ONU, OEA, Vatican, OTAN, UE, FMI, BM, OIT, OMT, Meteorological weapons, Haarp, Sura, Wars, Sport, Religion, Radiation, Nuclear Winter, Sun, Magnetic field lines, Storms, Asteroids, Comet Planet, Volcanoes, Climate Catastrophies, Tribulation, Taxes, Terror, Drugs, Organizations, Inequity, Poverty, Manipulation, Indoctrination, Technological Devices, Covert technological devices, networks, Newscasts, Surveillance programs, Big Brother Program, Digital Identification Plan, Digital Money, Covert numbers and covert words, Encrypted, Hidden codes or small phrases not visible to the naked eye, Covert words in the speech of zombie humans in multimedia and traditional technological devices, Nazism, Jews, Coincidence games, Activities, Plans, Events Programmed in sequence, Pyrotechnic sounds in sequence, Games of events and coincidences to cause accidents or conflicts, Games of judgments of sin against humans and Nazarenes, Games of recognition of the identity of human beings, Unknown, Companies, Service stations, Salary payment games, Programmed plans of theft and scams of companies and enterprises, Retaliation, Marking, Reduction, False medical negligence, Medical oath, Medicine, Liquid and solid chips in humans, Liquid crystals, Neurons, Ultrasonic waves, Vaccines, Global epidemiological programs, Matrix, Dark, Elite, Mind Reading, Telepath, Thought induction, Apocalipse, Wrath of God.