Articles de revues : « Robert Shiller »

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Jensen-Eriksen, Niklas. « Talouden tarttuvat tarinataudit ». Tekniikan Waiheita 38, n^o 2 (8 juillet 2020) : 41–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.33355/tw.96989.

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Campbell, John Y. « AN INTERVIEW WITH ROBERT J. SHILLER ». Macroeconomic Dynamics 8, n^o 5 (novembre 2004) : 649–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1365100504040027.

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A recent article in The Economist magazine divided economists into “poets” and “plumbers,” the former articulating radical new visions of the field and the latter patiently installing the infrastructure needed to implement those visions. Bob Shiller is the rare economist who is both poet and plumber. Not only that, he is also entrepreneur and pundit. His work has fundamentally changed the theory, econometrics, practice, and popular understanding of finance.Starting in the late 1970's, Bob boldly challenged the prevailing orthodoxy of financial economics. He showed that financial asset prices often deviate substantially from the levels predicted by simple efficient-markets models, and he developed new empirical methods to measure these price deviations. In the early 1980's, Bob went on to argue that economists need a much more detailed understanding of investor psychology if they are to understand asset price movements. He pioneered the emerging field of behavioral economics and its most successful branch, behavioral finance. At the end of the century, Bob articulated his vision of finance in a wildly successful popular book,Irrational Exuberance. He became so well known that TIAA-CREF asked him to appear in a series of full-page advertisements in the popular press.Although Bob does not believe that investors use financial markets in a perfectly rational manner, he does believe that these markets offer great possibilities to improve the human condition. His recent work asks how existing financial markets can be used, and new financial markets can be designed, to improve the sharing of risks across groups of people in different regions, countries, and occupations. He has explored risk-sharing possibilities not only in journal articles, but also in business ventures and a 2003 book,The New Financial Order: Risk in the 21st Century.It was a great privilege for me to interview Bob Shiller. Bob's arrival at Yale when I was a Ph.D. student there set the course of my career as an economist. Bob reinvigorated the Yale tradition of macroeconomics, with its emphasis on the central role of financial markets in the macroeconomy and its idealism about the possibility of improving macroeconomic outcomes. First as a thesis adviser, then as a coauthor, mentor, and friend, Bob showed me how to contribute to this tradition.The interview took place at the 2003 annual meetings of the Allied Social Science Associations in Washington, D.C. We met in a hotel suite, ate a room service meal, and had the enjoyable conversation that is reproduced below.

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Ross, Stephen A. « Review of The New Financial Order by Shiller ». Journal of Economic Literature 42, n^o 4 (1 novembre 2004) : 1098–101. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/0022051043004522.

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Kiss, Endre. « Recenzió – Reflexió – Reakció. Robert J. Shiller : Narratív közgazdaságtan ». Magyar Pszichológiai Szemle 77, n^o 1 (20 avril 2022) : 151–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1556/0016.2022.00009.

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Schwert, G. William. « Review of Market Volatility by Robert J Shiller ». Journal of Portfolio Management 17, n^o 4 (31 juillet 1991) : 74–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.3905/jpm.1991.409350.

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Keating, Con. « Finance and the Good Society, by Robert J. Shiller ». Quantitative Finance 12, n^o 11 (novembre 2012) : 1647–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2012.710502.

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Halász, Győző Mihály. « A narratív közgazdaságtan szerepe : Recenzió Robert J. Shiller Narratív közgazdaságtan (2020,Budapest, HVG Kiadó Zrt.) könyvéről ». Köz-gazdaság 16, n^o 4 (21 décembre 2021) : 273–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.14267/retp2021.04.17.

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Ahhoz, hogy jobban megérthessük a koronavírus miatti változásokat és a következő időszak gazdasági jövőképét, szükségképpen foglalkoznunk kell a közgazdaságtan egy újabb tudományágával, a narratív közgazdaságtannal. Herbert Simon korlátozott racionalitásról szóló gondolataitól kezdve Akerlof és Shiller munkásságáig sokan foglalkoztak azzal a problémával, hogy a mindig racionálisan viselkedő és optimalizáló emberkép, a homo oeconomicus egy hibás és nem teljes képest fest a társadalomban viselkedő gazdasági szereplőkről. A gazdasági szereplőket pszichológiai és érzelmi hatások érik és az érzelmi kötelékek miatt a racionalitás fogalmi keretrendszere is változik. Ebből fakadóan fontos megismernünk azokat a narratív mozgatórugókat, amelyek a racionális döntéseket formálják, hiszen a racionalitást nem felülírjuk, hanem kiegészítjük a jövőkép teljessége érdekében. Az ezzel kapcsolatos ismereteket pedig Robert J. Shiller Narratív közgazdaságtan című munkája mutatja be a legteljesebben számunkra. Ebben az összefoglalóban a narratívák működéséről és a könyvben található első öt örökzöld narratíváról fogok írni. Remélem, hogy így többen is kedvet kapnak ahhoz, hogy kezükbe vegyék ezt a könyvet és mélyebben kutassanak gazdaságunk mindennapi narratívái után.

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Colander, Conducted by David. « CONVERSATIONS WITH JAMES TOBIN AND ROBERT SHILLER ON THE “YALE TRADITION” IN MACROECONOMICS ». Macroeconomic Dynamics 3, n^o 1 (mars 1999) : 116–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1365100599001066.

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Every graduate school has its own distinctive history that makes it unique in some way, but every graduate school is also part of the broader economics profession and reflects the currents in the profession. The following dialogue focuses on the question: Is it useful to distinguish a “Yale school of macroeconomics” from other schools of economics? The idea for this dialogue came from William Barnett in a discussion with Bob Shiller. Bill suggested to Bob some names of individuals who might conduct the “dialogue” and I was selected from that list. I happily agreed because, from my knowledge of the writings of the Yale faculty, I felt that there was a uniformity of ideas with which I was sympathetic, and which might deserve to be called a “Yale School”—a view shared with Bob Shiller.Exploring the issue further, I found that there was far less agreement on whether the macroeconomics work that currently goes on at Yale can be classified meaningfully as “the Yale school.” The objections to specifying a separate Yale school were the following: (1) The term, Yale school, had been used in the 1960's to describe Jim Tobin's position in a debate with monetarists. Some felt it would be confusing to use the Yale school classification to describe a broader set of works that are not connected to that earlier, more narrow, use. (2) Calling the work in macroeconomics currently done at Yale a “school” distinguishes it too much. The work that goes on in Yale is similar to the work that goes on in any top graduate economics program. It is not so clear how the work at Yale differs from, for example, MIT or Princeton. It would need to be more distinct to warrant calling it a “school.” (3) There is a diversity of approaches that are used at Yale, and it is not clear that they actually fit together. For example, Chris Sims's work follows from a time-series statistics tradition with influences from real-business-cycle and calibration work; Shiller's work follows from a Keynesian tradition. Fitting them together requires a bit of a stretch. (4) The degree of continuity in the Yale school over time is not as great as I had first imagined. There was little linkage at Yale from Irving Fisher to Jim Tobin; thus the historical continuity needed for specifying a Yale school does not exist. These objections are elaborated in the dialogues below. After discussing these issues with a number of Yale faculty, I decided that there probably wasn't a Yale school of economics, but that there was a Yale tradition. We also decided to have a conversation with only two individuals—Jim Tobin and Bob Shiller—because they are major figures in maintaining what I believe is a Yale tradition. The conversations were held separately, although I asked many of the same questions to both, and focused much of the conversation on the issue of whether it is useful to distinguish a Yale school. Thus, the conversations discuss the work of other individuals at Yale more than a dialogue with another focus would have, and do not cover Tobin's or Shiller's current work as much as conversations with an alternative focus would have. The results are, I believe, interesting. They provide some useful insight into both the Yale tradition and current thinking and debates in macro.

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Ryu, Kang Min, Soo Hoon Park et Chang Moo Lee. « Office Price Index for Derivative Using S&P/Case-Shiller Estimator ». Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies 19, n^o 4 (30 novembre 2011) : 363–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jdqs-04-2011-b0002.

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People are starting to doubt business recovery in office market after global financial crisis in 2008. And most institutional and individual portfolios are undiversified in real estate : incurring enormous transaction costs than other financial products. Especially office market has more risks than other real estate market for high transaction costs and many related industries. Although this stuff can lead to increase the risk of investment in office market, nor are there markets that would allow individuals and institutions to hedge their risks. The establishment of office price index future and option markets is likely to hedge away large risk in office market, and provides lowering transaction costs for trading in real estate. We estimate Office Price Index using S&P/Case-Shiller repeat sale estimator which is proposed by Robert. J. Shiller in 1991. The estimator is a sort of Feasible Generalized Two Stage Least Squares, which compute Value weighted Arithmetic Price Index.

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Pantelic, Svetlana. « Robert J. Shiller : Nobel prize for 2013 : Capital market efficiency ». Bankarstvo 44, n^o 3 (2015) : 102–11. http://dx.doi.org/10.5937/bankarstvo1503102p.

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Le Bris, David. « Shiller, Robert J. : Irrational exuberance. Revised and expanded third edition ». Journal of Economics 117, n^o 2 (2 novembre 2015) : 185–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00712-015-0462-4.

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Hillebrand, Dietmar, et Christian Foos. « Fallstricke der linearen Regression am Beispiel der langfristigen Aktienmarktprognose ». WiSt - Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium 51, n^o 10 (2022) : 43–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.15358/0340-1650-2022-10-43.

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Die statistische Inferenz in der linearen Regressionsanalyse ist an verschiedene Annahmen gebunden. Insbesondere bei Zeitreihen sind diese häufig verletzt. Am Beispiel der langfristigen Prognose von Aktienmärkten mit Hilfe des von Robert Shiller eingeführten zyklisch angepassten Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnisses (CAPE) wird aufgezeigt, wie eine unüberlegte Anwendung der Regressionsanalyse zu falschen Schlussfolgerungen führen kann. Für den Fall von heteroskedastischen und autokorrelierten Fehlern werden die Standardfehler nach dem Verfahren von Newey/West berechnet, welche auch in dieser Situation statistische Tests über die Regressionsparameter erlauben.

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Campbell, John Y. « Empirical Asset Pricing : Eugene Fama, Lars Peter Hansen, and Robert Shiller ». Scandinavian Journal of Economics 116, n^o 3 (20 mai 2014) : 593–634. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/sjoe.12070.

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Hoover, Kevin D., et Warren Young. « RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS : RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT ». Macroeconomic Dynamics 17, n^o 5 (19 mars 2013) : 1169–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1365100511000812.

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The transcript of a panel discussion marking the 50th anniversary of John Muth's “Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements” (Econometrica 1961). The panel consisted of Michael Lovell, Robert Lucas, Dale Mortensen, Robert Shiller, and Neil Wallace. The discussion was moderated by Kevin Hoover and Warren Young. The panel touched on a wide variety of issues related to the rational-expectations hypothesis, including its history, starting with Muth's work at Carnegie Tech; its methodological role; applications to policy; its relationship to behavioral economics; its role in the recent financial crisis; and its likely future.The panel discussion was held in a session sponsored by the History of Economics Society at the Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) meetings in the Capitol 1 Room of the Hyatt Regency Hotel in Denver, Colorado.

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Seybold, Matt. « Economics and American Literary Studies in the New Gilded Age, or Why Study the History of Bad Predictions and Worse Rationalizations ? » American Literary History 31, n^o 4 (2019) : 587–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/alh/ajz041.

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Abstract This introduction to the special issue on Economics and American Literary Studies in The New Gilded Age traces an underexplored history of dissent within the discipline of economics through presidential addresses to the American Economic Association and writings by John Maynard Keynes. It acknowledges the “vexed history” of interdisciplinary engagement between economists and literature scholars, including a recent, halfhearted call for “narrative economics” from 2013 Nobel Laureate Robert Shiller. Seybold suggests that new brands of econo-literary criticism have risen to promise in the last decade and that contributors to this special issue demonstrate the importance of historicism to this subfield, despite its apparent presentist tendencies.

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Gurgu, Elena. « Book Review - CAPITAL IN THE 21ST CENTURY, BY THOMAS PIKETTY ». Annals of "Spiru Haret". Economic Series 16, n^o 2 (7 juillet 2016) : 173. http://dx.doi.org/10.26458/16213.

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Only few books of economy in the recent past years have had a similar effect on public opinion as the work of Professor Thomas Piketty from Paris School of Economics, in which he attempts to explain the dynamics of the last two centuries income inequality in developed countries. Shortly after the release of the English version, appeared excellent reviews from some major economists like Robert Solow, Paul Krugman, Robert Shiller, all three Nobel Prize winners, as we all know. "It is the most important book of the century" concluded Esquire magazine, and Paul Krugman, Nobel Prize winner for Economics, described it as "a volume really superb" and "an extraordinary work [...] certainly the most economic important book of the year if not the decade." In turn, Martin Wolf, one of the most influential writers on economic issues worldwide, says that the work of Piketty is "extremely important" and Branko Milanovic, a former World Bank economist, said it is "one of the primary work of economic thought ".

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White, Eugene N. « Stock Market Bubbles ? A Reply ». Journal of Economic History 55, n^o 3 (septembre 1995) : 655–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0022050700041681.

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Research in finance is guided by powerful intuitions from models of efficient markets. However, researchers have uncovered a number of puzzles that are not explained by these models. Such anomalies include the excess volatility of stock prices, the closed-end mutual fund paradox, and the mean reversion in stock prices that produces predictable returns for long holding periods.1 Whereas financial economists all recognize the existence of these puzzles, they disagree about how they can be explained. Robert J. Shiller argues, for example, that efficient-markets models cannot hope to explain these anomalies and looks to alternatives that incorporate fads.2 In contrast, John H. Cochrane believes that the puzzles can be explained by improved models of fundamentals.3

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Mackintosh, Stuart P. M. « Robert Shiller : Narrative Economics : How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events ». Business Economics 56, n^o 2 (25 janvier 2021) : 108–9. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s11369-020-00206-z.

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Herrmann-Pillath, Carsten. « Robert J. Shiller, Narrative Economics : How Stories Go Viral & ; Drive Major Economic Events ». OEconomia, n^o 11-2 (1 juin 2021) : 403–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.4000/oeconomia.11128.

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Kafka, Folke. « George Akerlof y Robert Shiller. Phishing for Phools : The Economics of Manipulation and Deception ». Apuntes : Revista de Ciencias Sociales 43, n^o 79 (31 octobre 2016) : 185–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.21678/apuntes.79.873.

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Edenfield, Kristie A. « ‘Irrational Exuberance’ Robert J. Shiller, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 2000, 296 pages, $35. » Journal of Banking & ; Finance 27, n^o 4 (avril 2003) : 779–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0378-4266(02)00285-6.

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Lits, Levente. « Átalakuló foglalkoztatási modellek az innováció és a társadalmi változások tükrében : Technológiai jövőképek Magyarországon : Technológiai jövőképek Magyarországon – kerekasztal-beszélgetés az 59. Közgazdász-vándorgyűlés Fejlődésgazdaságtani szekciójában ». Köz-gazdaság 16, n^o 4 (21 décembre 2021) : 77–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.14267/retp2021.04.05.

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Különös, és egyben meglepő beszélgetésnek biztosított táptalajt az MKT Fejlődésgazdaságtani Szakosztályának elnöke, Trautmann László, aki a tudományos élet egymástól távol eső területeiről invitált egyetemi vezetőket és kutatókataz 59. Közgazdász-vándorgyűlés Fejlődésgazdaságtani szekciójának kerekasztalához. A beszélgetés résztvevője volt Csath Magdolna, a PPKE és Nemzeti Közszolgálati Egyetem kutatóprofessszora, a Nemzeti Versenyképességi Tanács tagja, az MKT Versenyképességi, valamint Informatikai Szakosztályainak elnökségi tagja, Felde Imre, az Óbudai Egyetem ipari és üzleti kapcsolatokért felelős rektorhelyettese, valamintLevendovszky János, a BME tudományos és innovációs rektorhelyettese. Trautmann László felvezetőjében felidézte Robert Schiller legújabb könyvét (Narratív közgazdaságtan) és elmondta, hogy Shiller a műben arról ír, milyen fontos a közös narratíva, a közös jövőkép a gazdasági fejlődéshez, és technológiai jövőkép nélkül nincs gazdasági fejlődés. Így adódik a kérdés: milyen fordulat zajlik a technológiai jövőkép kialakításában és hogyan tekintenek mindezekre a nem műszaki értelmiségiek, valamint maguk a vállalkozók.

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Cartwright, Alexander C. « George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller, Phishing for Phools : The Economics of Manipulation and Deception ». Public Choice 167, n^o 1-2 (avril 2016) : 173–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11127-016-0342-7.

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Lades, Leonhard K. « George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller : Phishing for phools : the economics of manipulation and deception ». Journal of Bioeconomics 18, n^o 3 (octobre 2016) : 243–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10818-016-9236-5.

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von Weizsäcker, Carl Christian. « Akerlof, George A. and Shiller, Robert J. : Phishing for phools : The economics of manipulation and deception ». Journal of Economics 118, n^o 1 (29 janvier 2016) : 91–96. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00712-016-0471-y.

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SCHATZ, MICHAEL, et DIDIER SORNETTE. « INEFFICIENT BUBBLES AND EFFICIENT DRAWDOWNS IN FINANCIAL MARKETS ». International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance 23, n^o 07 (novembre 2020) : 2050047. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0219024920500478.

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At odds with the common “rational expectations” framework for bubbles, economists like Hyman Minsky, Charles Kindleberger and Robert Shiller have documented that irrational behavior, ambiguous information or certain limits to arbitrage are essential drivers for bubble phenomena and financial crises. Following this understanding that asset price bubbles are generated by market failures, we present a framework for explosive semimartingales that is based on the antagonistic combination of (i) an excessive, unstable pre-crash process and (ii) a drawdown starting at some random time. This unifying framework allows one to accommodate and compare many discrete and continuous time bubble models in the literature that feature such market inefficiencies. Moreover, it significantly extends the range of feasible asset price processes during times of financial speculation and frenzy and provides a strong theoretical background for future model design in financial and risk management problem settings. This conception of bubbles also allows us to elucidate the status of rational expectation bubbles, which, by design, suffer from the paradox that a rational market should not allow for misvaluation. While the discrete time case has been extensively discussed in the literature and is most criticized for its failure to comply with rational expectations equilibria, we argue that this carries over to the finite time “strict local martingale”-approach to bubbles.

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Ransom, Roger L. « Confidence, Fear, and a Propensity to Gamble : The Puzzle of War and Economics in an Age of Catastrophe 1914–45 ». Social Science History 40, n^o 4 (2016) : 599–625. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/ssh.2016.24.

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This paper uses the notion of animal spirits introduced by John Maynard Keynes in the General Theory, and more recently employed by George Akerloff and Robert Shiller in their book Animal Spirits, to explain the speculative bubbles and decisions for war from 1914 to 1945. Animal spirits are a spontaneous urge to action rather than inaction that produces decisions that are not bounded by rational calculations. My analysis shows how confidence, fear, and a propensity to gamble can encourage aggressive behavior that leads to speculative “bubbles” in financial markets and military or political crises. Elements of prospect theory are added to demonstrate how the presence of risk in crises tend to produce a very strong bias toward taking gambles to avoid economic or military loses. A basic premise of the paper is that war and economics were inexorably joined together by 1914 to a point where economic strength was as important as military might in determining the outcome of a war. The final section of the paper deals with the problem of measuring military and economic strength by using the Composite Index of National Capability created by the Correlates of War Project to evaluate the riskiness of the Schlieffen Plan in 1914 and the changes in military capability of major powers between 1914 and 1919.

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Quiroga, Eduardo. « Eficiencia en los mercados financieros y predicción de precios de los activos. Efficiency in financial markets and forecast of asset prices ». Ciencias Administrativas, n^o 10 (3 avril 2017) : 011. http://dx.doi.org/10.24215/23143738e011.

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El presente trabajo tiene por objeto analizar la eficiencia en los mercados financieros, para lo cual examina las posturas de los galardonados con el Premio Nobel de Economía 2013, quienes obtuvieron este reconocimiento por sus aportaciones empíricas respecto de la predicción del comportamiento de los precios de los activos financieros, desde fundamentos teóricos muy diferentes. Se analiza la Teoría de los Mercados Eficientes de Eugene Fama, las conductas irracionales de los inversores y la generación de burbujas especulativas desde la perspectiva de Robert Shiller y los aportes de Lars Peter Hansen con el Modelo Generalizado de Momentos. Se concluye que los mercados se vuelven más eficientes cuando los analistas más creen que son ineficientes y compiten en la búsqueda de información para tratar de beneficiarse de esa ineficiencia. Los analistas normalmente actúan sobre la base de mercados imperfectos, utilizando análisis técnico, realizando análisis fundamental y aceptando que existe información privilegiada; esta realidad hace que los mercados sean mucho más eficientes de lo que creen algunos inversores. La eficiencia de los mercados es una verdad a medias, los precios de los activos financieros parecen reflejar con frecuencia su valor intrínseco hasta cierto punto y, en situaciones particulares, conductas irracionales generalizadas generan las burbujas.

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Schieber, Sylvester J. « Finance and the Good Society. Robert J. Shiller. Princeton University Press, 2012, ISBN 978-0-691-15488-6, 288 pages. » Journal of Pension Economics and Finance 13, n^o 3 (13 juin 2014) : 343–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1474747214000110.

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Winnett, Adrian. « Irrational Exuberance, Robert J. Shiller ; Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 2000, pp. xxi + 296, ISBN 0 691 05062 7 (17.50) ». Journal of Economic Psychology 21, n^o 6 (décembre 2000) : 711–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0167-4870(00)00028-3.

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Hill, Greg. « Macro Markets : Creating Institutions for Managing Society’s Largest Economic Risks by Robert J. Shiller ; A Future for Socialism by John E. Roemer ». Challenge 38, n^o 3 (mai 1995) : 62–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/05775132.1995.11471833.

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Juurikkala, Oskari. « Animal Spirits : How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and Why it Matters for Global Capitalism - By George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller ». Economic Affairs 30, n^o 3 (octobre 2010) : 98–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0270.2010.002037_1.x.

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Rapetti, Martin. « Animal Spirits : How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why it Matters for Global Capitalism, by George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller ». Eastern Economic Journal 38, n^o 2 (février 2012) : 276–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/eej.2010.16.

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HEY, JOHN D. « Animal Spirits : How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism. By George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller ». Economica 77, n^o 308 (23 septembre 2010) : 798–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0335.2010.00855.x.

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Andrews, Marcellus. « Animal Spirits : How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism, by George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller ». Challenge 52, n^o 5 (septembre 2009) : 126–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.2753/0577-5132520508.

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Nicholls, Rob. « George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller. Phishing for Phools : The Economics of Manipulation and Deception. Princeton, NJ : Princeton University Press (2015) pp. 272 ». Journal of Marketing Channels 24, n^o 1-2 (3 avril 2017) : 104–5. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1046669x.2017.1347008.

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RUBENSTEIN, ALAN. « The New Financial Order : Risk in the 21st Century by Robert J. Shiller, Princeton University Press, 2002, ISBN 0691091722, Pp. 400, Price $29.95 USD. » Journal of Pension Economics and Finance 2, n^o 3 (novembre 2003) : 329–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1474747203231310.

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Giraud, Yann. « Robert J. Shiller, Narrative Economics : How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events (Princeton : Princeton University Press, 2019), pp. xii + 378, $27.50 (hardcover). ISBN : 9780691189970. » Journal of the History of Economic Thought 43, n^o 4 (5 octobre 2021) : 665–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1053837221000110.

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Giraud, Yann. « Robert J. Shiller, Narrative Economics : How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events (Princeton : Princeton University Press, 2019), pp. xii + 378, $27.50 (hardcover). ISBN : 9780691189970. » Journal of the History of Economic Thought 43, n^o 4 (5 octobre 2021) : 665–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1053837221000110.

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Bruneau, Catherine. « Comprendre la formation des prix des actifs financiers : ce que nous devons aux lauréats du prix Nobel 2013, Eugene Fama, Lars Peter Hansen et Robert Shiller ». Revue d'économie politique 124, n^o 5 (2014) : 681. http://dx.doi.org/10.3917/redp.245.0681.

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Barbaroux, Nicolas. « Book Review : George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller, ‘The animal spirits’ (from the French version, Les esprits animaux : comment les forces psychologiques mènent la finance et l’économie) ». Journal of Interdisciplinary Economics 24, n^o 1 (janvier 2012) : 99–102. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0260107912471461.

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Barnett, William A., et Robert Solow. « AN INTERVIEW WITH FRANCO MODIGLIANI ». Macroeconomic Dynamics 4, n^o 2 (juin 2000) : 222–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1365100500015042.

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Franco Modigliani's contributions in economics and finance have transformed both fields. Although many other major contributions in those fields have come and gone, Modigliani's contributions seem to grow in importance with time. His famous 1944 article on liquidity preference has not only remained required reading for generations of Keynesian economists but has become part of the vocabulary of all economists. The implications of the life-cycle hypothesis of consumption and saving provided the primary motivation for the incorporation of finite lifetime models into macroeconomics and had a seminal role in the growth in macroeconomics of the overlapping generations approach to modeling of Allais, Samuelson, and Diamond. Modigliani and Miller's work on the cost of capital transformed corporate finance and deeply influenced subsequent research on investment, capital asset pricing, and recent research on derivatives. Modigliani received the Nobel Memorial Prize for Economics in 1985.In macroeconomic policy, Modigliani has remained influential on two continents. In the United States, he played a central role in the creation of a the Federal Reserve System's large-scale quarterly macroeconometric model, and he frequently participated in the semiannual meetings of academic consultants to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington, D.C. His visibility in European policy matters is most evident in Italy, where nearly everyone seems to know him as a celebrity, from his frequent appearances in the media. In the rest of Europe, his visibility has been enhanced by his publication, with a group of distinguished European and American economists, of “An Economists' Manifesto on Unemployment in the European Union,” which was signed by a number of famous economists and endorsed by several others.This interview was conducted in two parts on different dates in two different locations, and later unified. The initial interview was conducted by Robert Solow at Modigliani's vacation home in Martha's Vineyard. Following the transcription of the tape from that interview, the rest of the interview was conducted by William Barnett in Modigliani's apartment on the top floor of a high-rise building overlooking the Charles River near Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Those concluding parts of the interview in Cambridge continued for the two days of November 5–6, 1999 with breaks for lunch and for the excellent espresso coffee prepared by Modigliani in an elaborate machine that would be owned only by someone who takes fine coffee seriously.Although the impact that Modigliani has had on the economics and finance professions is clear to all members of those professions, only his students can understand the inspiration that he has provided to them. However, that may have been adequately reflected by Robert Shiller at Yale University in correspondence regarding this interview, when he referred to Modigliani as: “my hero.”

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Bordeleau, Christian. « Animal Spirits : How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why it Matters for Global Capitalism de George A. Akerlof et Robert J. Shiller, Princeton, Princeton University Press, 2009, 264 p. » Politique et Sociétés 29, n^o 1 (2010) : 280. http://dx.doi.org/10.7202/039964ar.

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Fulmer, Ingrid Smithey. « George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller (2009).Animal Spirits : How Human Psychology Drives the Economy and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism. Princeton, NJ : Princeton University Press. 230 pages ». Human Resource Management 49, n^o 1 (janvier 2010) : 139–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hrm.20337.

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Robertson, Paul L. « Animal Spirits : How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism - By George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller ; Market Rebels : How Activists Make or Break Radical Innovations - By Hayagreeva Rao ». Australian Economic History Review 51, n^o 2 (juillet 2011) : 203–6. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8446.2010.00292.x.

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Fama, Eugene F. « Market efficiency, long-term returns, and behavioral finance1The comments of Brad Barber, David Hirshleifer, S.P. Kothari, Owen Lamont, Mark Mitchell, Hersh Shefrin, Robert Shiller, Rex Sinquefield, Richard Thaler, Theo Vermaelen, Robert Vishny, Ivo Welch, and a referee have been helpful. Kenneth French and Jay Ritter get special thanks.1 ». Journal of Financial Economics 49, n^o 3 (septembre 1998) : 283–306. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0304-405x(98)00026-9.

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Nagel, Gregory L. « The Overconfidence Of Boards And The Increase In CEO Pay Over Time ». Journal of Applied Business Research (JABR) 30, n^o 6 (30 octobre 2014) : 1901. http://dx.doi.org/10.19030/jabr.v30i6.8902.

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This paper is based on Robert Shillers view that hiring of external CEOs is excessive due to boards overconfidence and causes reduced firm performance. External hire selections provide all CEOs with bargaining power. I show excessive external hiring provides an alternative explanation (excessive bargaining power) for the upward trend in CEO pay since 1945 that is largely consistent with the observed facts. A survey of the direct evidence on external hires performance provides uniform support for Shillers view after accounting for research supporting alternative views that only includes CEOs who survive. After adjusting for survival bias, the survey results consistently suggest that firms predominantly realize greater performance from internal promotion, all else equal. Overall, this papers findings increase support for succession through internal executive promotion, and suggest that institutional investors can expect greater bargaining power and wealth by advocating for internal hires more often.

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Dent, Peter. « Animal Spirits – How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why it Matters for Global Capitalism20106George A. Akerlof and Robert J. Shiller. Animal Spirits – How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why it Matters for Global Capitalism. Woodstock : Princeton University Press 2010. » Journal of Property Investment & ; Finance 28, n^o 4 (13 juillet 2010) : 312–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jpif.2010.28.4.312.6.

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Arnold, Thomas M. « A Cautionary Note about Robert Shiller’s CAPE ». CFA Digest 42, n^o 1 (février 2012) : 38–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.2469/dig.v42.n1.2.

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Korinevskiy, Artem L. « Robert Shiller’s Approach to Analysis of Financial Markets ». Journal of Economic Regulation 10, n^o 1 (25 mars 2019) : 25–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.17835/2078-5429.2019.10.1.025-038.

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