Thèses sur le sujet « Policy scenario »
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Melnick, E. S., et D. O. Marchenko. « The alternative policy scenario ». Thesis, Вид-во СумДУ, 2011. http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/22054.
Texte intégralCazzoli, Lorenzo. « Generalize policy on supporting user scenario ». Master's thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2017. http://amslaurea.unibo.it/14815/.
Texte intégralLeekley, Edward H. « A scenario generator for public policy and program implementation ». Diss., This resource online, 1994. http://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-06062008-165432/.
Texte intégralPinchuk, Nataliya. « The scenario analysis ecological and economic efficiency regional policy of Ukraine ». Thesis, Сумський державний університет, 2013. http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/31702.
Texte intégralSezgin, Mehmet. « A pattern-matching approach for automated scenario-driven testing of structured computational policy ». Thesis, Monterey, Calif. : Springfield, Va. : Naval Postgraduate School ; Available from National Technical Information Service, 2001. http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA397521.
Texte intégralThesis advisor(s): Michael, James Bret; Riehle, Richard. "September 2001." Includes bibliographical references (p.135-138). Also available in print.
Mbasuen, Timothy Sesugh. « The sustainability assessment of energy policy in Nigeria : scenario planning and integrated modelling ». Thesis, University of Oxford, 2013. https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:2512a910-2294-4682-a7ef-5f7b791cc1fd.
Texte intégralNyasulu, Maganizo Kruger. « Scenario Evaluation of Malawi Energy Policy : LEAP System Modelling Projections from 2008 to 2063 ». Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Institutionen för geovetenskaper, 2018. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-371239.
Texte intégralFlores, Montalvo Andres 1967. « Commercial and informal atmospheric emissions in the Mexico City Metropolitan Area : scenario analysis and policy proposals ». Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2003. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/30034.
Texte intégralIncludes bibliographical references (leaves 109-112).
The commercial and informal sectors contribute with significant amounts of emissions to the atmospheric pollution problem of the Mexico City Metropolitan Area (MCMA). It is more the case for some pollutants than for others, but, in any case, policies tackling the emissions of these sectors have been very few, and of very limited effect. Even the measurement of the emissions is believed to be underestimated, especially for the informal sector, which is mostly unaccounted for in the recent emissions inventories developed in the MCMA. This thesis intends to improve the estimation of commercial and informal emissions in MCMA, through a qualitative assessment of the range of emission sources in these sectors, and an emissions model based on the integrated scenario analysis methodology implemented in the Mexico City Program at MIT. The ultimate goal of this research is to propose and evaluate new policies to reduce commercial emissions, both formal and informal, in MCMA.
by Andres Flores Montalvo.
S.M.
Mcube, Unathi Unity. « A scenario-based ICT risk assessment approach in local government ». Thesis, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10948/7598.
Texte intégralBorges, Ana Rita Galrinho. « Catastrophic health care expenditures in Portugal between 2000-2010 : Assessing impoverishment, determinants and policy implications ». Master's thesis, NSBE - UNL, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10362/11592.
Texte intégralObjectives: This work assesses the extent and evolution of catastrophic health care expenditures (CHE) in Portugal in the years of 2000, 2005 and 2010, to reveal household factors predicting this outcome, and simulates changes in 2010 CHE levels’ following recent reforms in user charges and prices of pharmaceutical products. Methods: The main contribution of this paper is the calculus and analysis of statistical measures to capture CHE incidence, intensity, income distribution and impoverishment effects on households using INE Household Budget Surveys. A logistic model to determine statistical significance and economic effects of 38 variables on the incidence of CHE is also estimated. Finally, a scenario analysis is presented to analyse reforms concerning user charges and prices of pharmaceuticals. Results: Incidence and intensity of CHE decreased between 2000 and 2010, from 5,005% to 2,439% and 4,693% to 0,334%, respectively. During the period, CHE were concentrated amongst the poorer income quintiles. Statistical significance in CHE prediction for all analysed years was observed for households’ income, smoking and drinking habits, area of the house and secondary education of the household head. Scenario analysis shows that the new levels of user charges in 2012, even if mitigated by the new and enlarged economic exemptions, would increase CHE incidence of 2010 to 3,529%. On the other hand, the reduction in the price of ambulatory pharmaceuticals in 2011 and 2012 is effective in reducing CHE incidence, for price demand elasticities equal or smaller (in absolute value) than 0,4. When the two effects are combined, CHE incidence increases, meaning that reductions in the price of pharmaceuticals are not sufficient to countervail the changes in user charges, even with enlarged economic exemptions.
Fan, Alice. « An assessment of environmental impacts of a nextGen implementation scenario and its implications on policy-making ». Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/57881.
Texte intégralCataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (p. 109-115).
With demand for aviation projected to grow by 5% per year over the next 20 to 25 years, policy makers must not only consider ways to ensure that the air transportation system can accomodate significant growth, but also how their policy decisions will affect the environment. Because environmental issues are becoming increasingly apparent, the sustainability of policy measures will likely constrain responses to this potential increase in aviation demand. Policy makers will need to consider various trade-offs that come with policy decisions, and find ways to balance the demands of the air transport system with the need to reduce the environmental impact of aviation. This thesis assesses the environmental impacts of implementing a policy scenario, which employs both operational and technological improvments to the air transport system. The impacts are presented in both physical and monetary metrics using the Aviation environmental Portfolio Management Tool, to allow for a comparison of trade-offs among different environmental effects. This thesis discusses the limitations of this particular scenario, while also providing an overview of policy-making models, and the observed weaknesses in current policy-making processed involving technical data. In particular, it identifies the mismatch between needs of those involved in the policy-making process, and the information provided by analysts, which can be an obstacle to developing credible and objective support for a policy proposal. It finally provides suggested methods for improving the relationship between different groups involved in developing policy to allow for better informed decision-making, and a more fluid policy-making process.
by Alice Fan.
S.M.
Xu, QIAOQIAO. « Approaches toward a low carbon future for China : Scenario analysis about the provincial level plans ». Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Institutionen för geovetenskaper, 2013. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-210684.
Texte intégralItani, Nadine M. « Policy development framework for aviation strategic planning in developing countries ». Thesis, Cranfield University, 2015. http://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/9217.
Texte intégralPostma, Maarten Jacobus. « Assessment of the economic impact of aids at national and multi-national level development of a scenario-analytic approach to support health-care policy / ». [Maastricht : Maastricht : Universiteit Maastricht] ; University Library, Maastricht University [Host], 1998. http://arno.unimaas.nl/show.cgi?fid=8426.
Texte intégralRosen, Cassandra Vivian. « Scenario based lifecycle analysis of greenhouse gas emissions from petroleum-derived transportation fuels in 2050 ». Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/111224.
Texte intégralThis electronic version was submitted by the student author. The certified thesis is available in the Institute Archives and Special Collections.
Cataloged from student-submitted PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 88-96).
Petroleum-derived fuels made up 93% of the energy demand for the transportation sector in 2013, and are projected to remain a significant source in the future (65% to 90% in the year 2040) [1]. These fuels contribute significantly to global green house gas (GHG) emissions, both from their production and combustion emissions. Production emissions make up one fifth of the emissions associated with the entire petroleum fuel lifecycle. Although the current non-combustion production lifecycle emissions of these fuels are well understood, their future lifecycle emissions have yet to be quantified. In this thesis, a global, scenario-based analysis of petroleum-derived transportation fuels is carried out to estimate lifecycle emissions in the year 2050. The 2050 scenarios differ by the stringency of environmental policies, including no new additional policies, "moderate" new policies, and "'strong" new policies. Data from existing projections for the energy sector in 2050 is used to create lifecycle inventories for the three 2050 scenarios. The production lifecycle emissions for the year 2050 are calculated to be 14.3 - 19.2 g CO2e/MJ for jet fuel, 17.2 - 24.9 g CO2e/MJ for diesel, and 21.1 - 26.8 g CO2e/MJ for gasoline. The production emissions in 2050 could deviate from 2020 values by as much as +20% to -21%, depending on future policy choices. If these production emissions are applied to global fuel demand, the range of emissions reductions from these policy scenarios spans 8.5% of all GHG emissions in 2013.
by Cassandra Vivian Rosen.
S.M. in Technology and Policy
Roach, Jesse. « Integrated Surface Water Groundwater Modeling in the Upper Rio Grande in Support of Scenario Analysis ». Diss., The University of Arizona, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/194466.
Texte intégralEhrling, Axel. « Energy sources of the future – an explorative scenario analysis of Sweden’s energy security in regard to present energy policy ». Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Institutionen för geovetenskaper, 2019. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-385517.
Texte intégralGawthorpe, Kateřina. « COMPETING CURRENCIES AS AN ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO TO LEGAL TENDER CLAUSE : MATHEMATICAL PROOF ». Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2013. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-197885.
Texte intégralBowman, Gary. « An empirical analysis of a scenario-informed strategic planning process : a public sector case ». Thesis, University of St Andrews, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/10023/1978.
Texte intégralPullinger, Martin Iain. « Greening our working lives : the environmental impacts of changing patterns of paid work in the UK and the Netherlands, and implications for working time policy ». Thesis, University of Edinburgh, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/1842/6383.
Texte intégralYouds, Lorraine Helen. « Sustainability assessment of nuclear power in the UK using an integrated multi-criteria decision-support framework ». Thesis, University of Manchester, 2013. https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/theses/sustainability-assessment-of-nuclear-power-in-the-uk-using-an-integrated-multicriteria-decisionsupport-framework(cdc0c9fa-7b5d-4761-b51c-0fc4bef23a3f).html.
Texte intégralKolbe, Elizabeth Leigh. « Visualizing and Quantifying a Normative Scenario for Agriculture in Northeast Ohio ». The Ohio State University, 2013. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1366553296.
Texte intégralJohnson, Erica H. « Willingness to pay for health risk reductions : the importance of scenario adjustment, household structure and type of disease / ». Thesis, Connect to title online (Scholars' Bank) Connect to title online (ProQuest), 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/1794/10226.
Texte intégralKongmanee, Chaiya. « Dépendance au sentier et changement agraire : une analyse institutionnelle de l’économie hévéicole au sud de la Thaïlande ». Electronic Thesis or Diss., Montpellier, SupAgro, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015NSAM0041.
Texte intégralThis Ph.D. work aims at exposing, and giving sense to the dynamics of agrarian change in Southern Thailand where rubber is a major crop. It intends to provide elements for decision makers to reflect on the future directions of the Thai rubber economy. I applied a sequence of multivariate analysis and systematic clustering to characterize the trajectories of 220 rubber farms. I also analyzed the evolution of share-tapping arrangements though personal interviews, survey and literature review. A path dependence analytical framework was then applied to identify and characterize how institutional settings and institutional reproduction shaped the observed trajectories and share-tapping arrangements. I identify six significant farm transformation trajectories between 1990 and 2010. Two trajectories show a decline in landholding and/or hired labor related to medium farms (10.5%) and small farms (25%). Three trajectories show growing landholding size and/or use of hired labor. They concern growing medium family farm enterprise (14.5%), large family farm enterprise (4.1%) and farms moving towards patronal enterprise (7.7%). These opposing trajectories witness a continuing polarization of rubber farms. 38.2% of farms follow a trajectory of stability with no change in farm size and labor structure. However, these are small farms and present a risk to follow the trajectories of farm decline. Labor availability and share-tapping arrangements evolved over time but share-tapping remains the main, almost unique, labor contract for harvesting since the beginning of rubber cultivation in Thailand. Labor contracting arrangements are in an institutional lock-in situation under the current form of share-tapping through three self-reinforcing economic, functional and legitimating mechanisms. I identified a set of rules that could explain the prevalence of the share-tapping arrangement in pursuing the exploitation of available labor force and ensuring high resilience to variations and uncertainty in social and economic conditions. Path dependence explains farm polarization and the institutional lock-in of share-tapping as the results of self-reinforcement mechanisms leading to institutional reproduction. The thesis shows that the period of rubber control during 1934-1946 was a critical juncture resulting in large expansion of new plantings and an institutional setting favoring polarization that has reproduced itself through self-reinforcing mechanisms until now. Land polarization had a positive effect on the stability of share-tapping contracts. Due to polarization, farms with growing landholding employ more hired labor, inducing an increasing demand while an increasing supply of skilled tappers is provided by declining small farms. The current share-tapping arrangements ensure the availability of paid labor and simultaneously reinforce land concentration. Based on the results of this analysis of agrarian change, three alternative policy scenarios are: continuation of present policies, reverting polarization and coping with global constraints. The policy scenario of reverting polarization is suggested as an option considering its consequences on economic growth, social welfare and sustainable agricultural development in the rubber sector
Vaišnoras, Tomas. « Eenergetinio saugumo scenarijai : Lietuvos, Latvijos ir Lenkijos atvejis ». Master's thesis, Lithuanian Academic Libraries Network (LABT), 2010. http://vddb.laba.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2010~D_20100616_111730-69988.
Texte intégralOver the last decade policy analysts around the world demonstrate a growing interest in future studies. It is influenced by the need to foresee economic, social or political changes in rapidly developing world. For a long time future studies in political and social sciences were considered unreliable. However, in the recent years, foresight became an important part of strategic planning, thus scenario building method is more and more often used by policy analysts. Uninterrupted and reliable energy supply is one of the main pillars of country’s national security. Future development of the energy sector depends on many variables such as the growing energy demand, the technological development, the liberalization of the energy markets etc. Therefore, if countries want to prepare properly for possible changes, consistent and rational political planning is needed. It is very important to assess the future challenges, possibilities and the most likely trends of development, whereas scenario building is the most suitable method for reaching these objectives. The main objective of this research paper is to build possible energy security scenarios for Lithuania, Latvia and Poland. First of all, to achieve this objective one needs to define energy security and scenario building method. It is also important to review the energy sector of each of the three countries, in order to find strengths, weaknesses and main threats to their security. The EU common energy policy has a direct... [to full text]
Zhang, Wei, Long Chen, Huanhuan Wang, Ying Li, Gengchong Zhen, Xuejie Ye, Yindong Tong, Yan Zhu et Xuejun Wang. « Economic Evaluation of Health Benefits of Mercury Emission Controls for China and the Neighboring Countries in East Asia ». Digital Commons @ East Tennessee State University, 2017. https://dc.etsu.edu/etsu-works/2619.
Texte intégralCAPRIOLI, CATERINA. « Agent-based model and Geographic Information System (GIS) : an integrated approach to test sustainable policies and urban transformation scenarios ». Doctoral thesis, Politecnico di Torino, 2022. http://hdl.handle.net/11583/2964778.
Texte intégralFoley, Duncan K., Armon Rezai et Lance Taylor. « The social cost of carbon emissions : Seven propositions ». Elsevier, 2013. http://epub.wu.ac.at/4021/1/RezaiSeven.pdf.
Texte intégralGill, Rupinder S. « Intrusion detection techniques in wireless local area networks ». Thesis, Queensland University of Technology, 2009. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/29351/1/Rupinder_Gill_Thesis.pdf.
Texte intégralGill, Rupinder S. « Intrusion detection techniques in wireless local area networks ». Queensland University of Technology, 2009. http://eprints.qut.edu.au/29351/.
Texte intégralRatcliffe, John S. « Built environment futures : a general examination of the role of future studies in built environment policy formulation, with a particular appraisal of the use of the foresight principal through scenario planning techniques in the framing, testing and imp ». Thesis, Ulster University, 2001. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.394617.
Texte intégralRabinowitz, Samuel D. « Three scenarios for US energy policy in the Arctic Region ». Diss., Connect to the thesis, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/10066/3657.
Texte intégralChatzinikolaou, Parthena <1983>. « Evaluation of Ecosystem Services production under different Agricultural Policy Scenarios ». Doctoral thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2016. http://amsdottorato.unibo.it/7447/1/Chatzinikolaou_Parthena_tesi.pdf.
Texte intégralChatzinikolaou, Parthena <1983>. « Evaluation of Ecosystem Services production under different Agricultural Policy Scenarios ». Doctoral thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2016. http://amsdottorato.unibo.it/7447/.
Texte intégralOsorio, Fernández André Nicolás. « Impacto de la política macroprudencial en la economía peruana : un modelo semi-estructural ». Bachelor's thesis, Universidad Peruana de Ciencias Aplicadas (UPC), 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/10757/653970.
Texte intégralThis document investigates the effects of macroprudential policy on the Peruvian economy, measured as the capital requirement ratio. This study adapts and estimates a semi-structural model to the Peruvian economy, incorporating a macroprudential policy instrument and a credit sector. The model is estimated using quarterly frequency data. It is estimated using the Generalized Method of Moments. The capital requirement has a negative effect on the growth of credit and product, and on inflation. Furthermore, through a scenario analysis, it is found that the costs of macroprudential policy are higher than those of monetary policy. Finally, there are signs that macroprudential and monetary policy need to be coordinated.
Trabajo de investigación
De, Cian Enrica <1980>. « Endogenous technical change and climate policy : econometric analisys and stabilization scenarios ». Doctoral thesis, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10579/698.
Texte intégralMerkes, Monika, et monika@melbpc org au. « A longer working life for Australian women of the baby boom generation ? � Women�s voices and the social policy implications of an ageing female workforce ». La Trobe University. School of Public Health, 2003. http://www.lib.latrobe.edu.au./thesis/public/adt-LTU20051103.104704.
Texte intégralVallejo-Rojas, Virginia. « Active transformative pathways for local agri-food systems : drawing and applying an integrated framework to assess agri-food systems vulnerability under the political paradigm of food sovereignty in Ecuadorian Andes ». Doctoral thesis, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/10803/398538.
Texte intégralFrente a las limitaciones tanto de los enfoques oficiales para la investigación agroalimentaria como de las políticas asociadas para abordar el problema del hambre y la vulnerabilidad de los sistemas agroalimentarios al cambio global, se hace necesario considerar nuevos marcos de análisis y políticas alternativas para el estudio y la gestión de los sistemas agroalimentarios. Con este trabajo de tesis nos proponemos contribuir al avance de la investigación agroalimentaria repensado la forma de conceptualizar el sistema agroalimentario y diseñando herramientas de análisis que vinculen el proceso de investigación con las dinámicas de gestión encontradas en el territorio local, enfocándonos en aquellas vinculadas con la soberanía alimentaria. Para alcanzar este objetivo hemos realizado un proceso (inductivo y deductivo) bajo el paraguas de la sociología de la agricultura y la alimentación, que hemos llevado a cabo en tres fases de investigación. Durante la primera fase, hemos desarrollado un marco teórico y metodológico que integra el pensamiento sistémico y estudios del desarrollo bajo el paradigma político de la soberanía alimentaria. Con este fin hemos vinculado el enfoque centrado en el análisis de los sistemas socio-ecológicos (SES) con el enfoque de vulnerabilidad centrado en el análisis de la dinámica de los actores. Como resultado hemos obtenido un marco integrado que aborda las dimensiones ecológica y social de los sistemas agroalimentarios, tal y como lo requiere el paradigma político de la soberanía alimentaria. Durante la segunda fase, hemos aplicado empíricamente el marco desarrollado en el sistema agroalimentario del cantón Loja, ubicado en los Andes del sur de Ecuador. Este caso de estudio es de particular interés debido a la reciente consideración de las comunas y barrios como unidades básicas para la participación ciudadana dentro de los gobiernos autónomos descentralizados; y, paralelamente, a la creación de nuevos procesos de acción colectiva, como la Red Agroecológica Loja (RAL). Usando datos empíricos obtenidos de cuestionarios a hogares campesino (N = 116) y entrevistas en profundidad a informantes clave (N = 14), realizada entre diciembre de 2013 y marzo de 2014, analizamos el rol de los factores sociales e institucionales sobre la configuración del sistema agroalimentario integrando dentro del análisis los pilares de la soberanía alimentaria. Este análisis mostró el rol significativo, pero diferenciado, de las instituciones (Red Agroecológica Loja), grupos sociales (cultura indígena Saraguro) y las estrategias de generación de ingresos para dar lugar a la configuración del sistema agroalimentario local. Durante la tercera fase, evaluamos la vulnerabilidad vs resiliencia del sistema agroalimentario local mediante un proceso de análisis de escenarios participativos. Hemos analizado las futuras trayectorias de transformación del sistema agroalimentario local bajo múltiples conductores de cambio (de tipo ecológico, socio-económico y político) mediante el análisis de datos obtenidos a partir de entrevistas semi-estructuradas (N = 14 y N = 25) y dos talleres. Los actores locales visionaron cuatro posibles futuros escenarios. Nuestra evaluación muestra cómo los conductores de cambio afectan los diferentes componentes del sistema agroalimentario local cuando se lo conceptualiza como SES; y, cómo las diferentes perspectivas de los actores construyen diferentes trayectorias para la transformación activa del sistema. En general, los resultados del proceso de investigación enfatizan el rol que desempeñan los actores (entendido como un grupo interseccional donde el género se concibe a partir de su intersección con la etnicidad y la clase) y los nuevos arreglos de acción institucional para iniciar la transformación activa del sistema agroalimentario en los sectores marginales andinos.
Christmann, Olivia, et Laurent Warlouzet. « Scenarios of "Europe-puissance" : the French foreign policy in Europe by 2020 ». Universität Potsdam, 2006. http://opus.kobv.de/ubp/texte_eingeschraenkt_welttrends/2010/4839/.
Texte intégralSong, Xiang Ph D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. « Scenarios discovery : robust transportation policy analysis in Singapore using microscopic traffic simulator ». Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/82852.
Texte intégralCataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 99-101).
One of the main challenges of making strategic decisions in transportation is that we always face a set of possible future states due to deep uncertainty in traffic demand. This thesis focuses on exploring the application of model-based decision support techniques which characterize a set of future states that represent the vulnerabilities of the proposed policy. Vulnerabilities here are interpreted as states of the world where the proposed policy fails its performance goal or deviates significantly from the optimum policy due to deep uncertainty in the future. Based on existing literature and data mining techniques, a computational model-based approach known as scenario discovery is described and applied in an empirical problem. We investigated the application of this new approach in a case study based on a proposed transit policy implemented in Marina Bay district of Singapore. Our results showed that the scenario discovery approach performs well in finding the combinations of uncertain input variables that will result in policy failure.
by Xiang Song.
S.M.in Transportation
Huang, Cunrui. « The health effects of temperature : current estimates, future projections, and adaptation strategies ». Thesis, Queensland University of Technology, 2013. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/64353/1/Cunrui_Huang_Thesis.pdf.
Texte intégralSweeney, John A. « Playing with Geoengineered Futures| Excogitations on Scenarios, Politics, and Postnormal Potentialities ». Thesis, University of Hawai'i at Manoa, 2019. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=10977788.
Texte intégralGiven the terrifying potentialities linked to global warming, some have suggested that the only means of abating a worst-case scenario is to double down, so to speak. Geoengineering is the intentional manipulation and augmentation of the global climate system. Critics and enthusiasts have commenced a lively debate around this complex issue, and scenarios have recently emerged as a constitutive practice to confront the uncertainties permeating research, implementation, and prospective governance. Using a synthesis of critical political frames to engage with a range of geoengineered imaginaries, this dissertation employs both textual and practice-based modes of research to argue that there are more dynamic and efficacious means to engage people in thinking through the radical possibilities and postnormal potentialities inherent to geoengineering. Turning to games and deploying play as a modality for experimentation, this dissertation assembles a design for exploring the core themes of the debate and enacting an embodied politics for geoengineering. GeoFutr is an alternative futures-driven gaming platform designed to critique, create, and ultimately contest geoengineered imaginaries.
Trofimtseva, Olga [Verfasser]. « Evolving market and policy scenarios for Ukrainian grain and oilseed trade / Olga Trofimtseva ». Aachen : Shaker, 2012. http://d-nb.info/1063266041/34.
Texte intégralMAZZOCCHETTI, ANDREA. « Fiscal-Monetary Policy Scenarios and Securitisation Experiments in the Eurace Agent-Based Model ». Doctoral thesis, Università degli studi di Genova, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/11567/988067.
Texte intégralConklin, Christopher Ryan 1974. « Using scenarios in regional strategic transportation planning : an evolving methodology ». Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1999. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/80605.
Texte intégralIncludes bibliographical references (p. 249-253).
by Christopher Ryan Conklin.
S.M.
Velasco, Martinez Guillermo. « Understanding the generation of research and innovation policy advice with foresight processes ». Thesis, University of Manchester, 2017. https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/theses/understanding-the-generation-of-research-and-innovation-policy-advice-with-foresight-processes(cbfdf17f-64a4-44fb-b36a-5ad312f66d31).html.
Texte intégralCarvalho, João Ricardo Dias de Sousa. « Prospetiva e intelligence policial-estudo da utilidade da geração de cenários ». Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Ciências Sociais e Políticas, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/12733.
Texte intégralLee, Yuk-chun. « Air pollution scenarios for Hong Kong : an analysis of regional environmental interactions and policy implications / ». Hong Kong : University of Hong Kong, 2002. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record.jsp?B25139368.
Texte intégralNadeem, Iqra. « Water-energy nexus in the UAE in relation to climate change and adaptation policy scenarios ». Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2018. https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122390.
Texte intégralThesis: S.M. in Technology and Policy, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, School of Engineering, Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Technology and Policy Program, 2018
Cataloged from student-submitted PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 82-85).
Water and Energy systems that were once considered disparate, are coupled in many ways. Generation, transmission and distribution of each system relies on the other system. The interaction becomes significantly stronger in economies dependent on desalination for their water resources. One such country is the United Arab Emirates. The water-energy nexus faces serious challenges under climate change as cooling needs and outdoor water demands rise. This thesis models the impact of climate change on the water-energy nexus in the UAE. It explores a set of climate change adaptation policy scenarios and quantifies their respective economic, water and energy savings. Hence, it provides an analytical assessment of the nexus that can inform data-driven policy making. This thesis views the nexus through a qualitative lens and a quantitative lens. The qualitative piece presents the organizational mapping and structuring of the UAE institutions across the water-energy-climate nexus.
It highlights gaps in cross-sectoral interactions that need to be overcome for a sustainable future. The second piece presented in this thesis is analytical in nature. It uses two specialized water and energy softwares called the Water Evaluation and Planning System (WEAP) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) and couples them together to model the nexus. The water-energy nexus model is tested for different individual and aggregate adaptation policy scenarios to assess a wide range of effects on the nexus. These scenarios are also run for six sub-regions within the UAE (Abu Dhabi, Al Ain, Western region, Dubai, Eastern region and Fujairah) to understand the underlying demand sectors driving the water-energy nexus in these sub-regions. The results of this extensive scenario analysis have informed policy recommendations for long-term planning of the water-energy nexus in the UAE.
Important findings from this study include the huge savings potential from indoor consumption reduction (up to 1200 million cubic meters of water and 60 million gigajoules of electricity per year by 2060) and the need for irrigated land regulation (saves up to 700 million cubic meters of water and 5 million gigajoules of electricity per year by 2060) in the UAE. The sub-regional analysis highlights the need for sub-regionalized policy goals that govern regions based on their demand differences.
by Iqra Nadeem.
S.M. in Technology and Policy
S.M.inTechnologyandPolicy Massachusetts Institute of Technology, School of Engineering, Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Technology and Policy Program
Clement, Christopher Ernest. « Renewable Energy Transition : Dynamic Systems Analysis, Policy Scenarios, and Trade-offs for the State of Vermont ». ScholarWorks @ UVM, 2016. http://scholarworks.uvm.edu/graddis/601.
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