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Articles de revues sur le sujet « Neo-deterministic seismic hazard »

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Auteur : Grafiati
Publié le 11 mars 2023

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1

Mourabit, T., K. M. Abou Elenean, A. Ayadi, D. Benouar, A. Ben Suleman, M. Bezzeghoud, A. Cheddadi et al. « Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment in North Africa ». Journal of Seismology 18, no 2 (21 juin 2013) : 301–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10950-013-9375-2.

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2

Brandmayr, Enrico, Franco Vaccari et Giuliano Francesco Panza. « Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment of Corsica-Sardinia block ». Rendiconti Lincei. Scienze Fisiche e Naturali 33, no 1 (18 octobre 2021) : 47–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12210-021-01033-w.

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AbstractThe Corsica-Sardinia lithospheric block is commonly considered as a region of very low seismicity and the scarce reported seismicity for the area has till now precluded the reliable assessment of its seismic hazard. The time-honored assumption has been recently questioned and the historical seismicity of Sardinia has been reevaluated. Even more, several seismogenic nodes capable of M5 + have been recognized in the Corsica-Sardinia block exploiting the morphostructural zonation technique, calibrated to earlier results obtained for the Iberian peninsula, which has structural lithospheric affinities with the Corsica-Sardinia block. All this allows now for the computation of reliable earthquake hazard maps at bedrock conditions exploiting the power of Neo Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) evaluation. NDSHA relies upon the fundamental physics of wave generation and propagation in complex geologic structures and generates realistic time series from which several earthquake ground motion parameters can be readily extracted. NDSHA exploits in an optimized way all the available knowledge about lithospheric mechanical parameters, seismic history, seismogenic zones and nodes. In accordance with continuum mechanics, the tensor nature of earthquake ground motion is preserved computing realistic signals using structural models obtained by tomographic inversion and earthquake source information readily available in literature. The way to this approach has been open by studies focused on continental Italy and Sicily, where the agreement between hazard maps obtained using seismogenic zones, informed by earthquake catalog data, and the maps obtained using only seismogenic nodes are very good.
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3

Magrin, A., A. Peresan, T. Kronrod, F. Vaccari et G. F. Panza. « Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment and earthquake occurrence rate ». Engineering Geology 229 (novembre 2017) : 95–109. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2017.09.004.

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Rastgoo, Mehdi, Habib Rahimi, Fabio Romanelli, Franco Vaccari et Giuliano F. Panza. « Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment for Alborz Region, Iran ». Engineering Geology 242 (août 2018) : 70–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2018.05.025.

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5

Zhang, Yan, Fabio Romanelli, Franco Vaccari, Antonella Peresan, Changsheng Jiang, Zhongliang Wu, Shanghua Gao, Vladimir G. Kossobokov et Giuliano F. Panza. « Seismic hazard maps based on Neo-deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment for China Seismic Experimental Site and adjacent areas ». Engineering Geology 291 (septembre 2021) : 106208. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2021.106208.

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6

Hassan, Hany M., Fabio Romanelli, Giuliano F. Panza, Mohamed N. ElGabry et Andrea Magrin. « Update and sensitivity analysis of the neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment for Egypt ». Engineering Geology 218 (février 2017) : 77–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2017.01.006.

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Parvez, Imtiyaz A., Andrea Magrin, Franco Vaccari, Ashish, Ramees R. Mir, Antonella Peresan et Giuliano Francesco Panza. « Neo-deterministic seismic hazard scenarios for India—a preventive tool for disaster mitigation ». Journal of Seismology 21, no 6 (8 août 2017) : 1559–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10950-017-9682-0.

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Zuccolo, E., F. Vaccari, A. Peresan et G. F. Panza. « Neo-Deterministic and Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessments : a Comparison over the Italian Territory ». Pure and Applied Geophysics 168, no 1-2 (27 mai 2010) : 69–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00024-010-0151-8.

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9

PRADEEP, VERMA, et ZAFAR SANA. « COMPARATIVE STUDY ON METHODOLOGY OF NEO-DETERMINISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS OVER DSHA AND PSHA ». i-manager's Journal on Structural Engineering 6, no 4 (2018) : 29. http://dx.doi.org/10.26634/jste.6.4.13913.

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10

Rugarli, Paolo, Franco Vaccari et Giuliano Panza. « Seismogenic nodes as a viable alternative to seismogenic zones and observed seismicity for the definition of seismic hazard at regional scale ». VIETNAM JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCES 41, no 4 (16 août 2019) : 289–304. http://dx.doi.org/10.15625/0866-7187/41/4/14233.

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A fixed increment of magnitude is equivalent to multiply the seismic moment by a factor γEM related to the partial factor γq acting on the seismic moment representing the fault. A comparison is made between the hazard maps obtained with the Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA), using two different approaches: one based on the events magnitude, listed in parametric earthquake catalogues compiled for the study areas, with sources located within the seismogenic zones; the other uses the seismogenic nodes identified by means of pattern recognition techniques applied to morphostructural zonation (MSZ), and increases the reference magnitude by a constant amount tuned by the safety factor γEM.Using γEM=2.0, in most of the territory the two approaches produce totally independent, comparable hazard maps, based on the quite long Italian catalogue. This represents a validation of the seismogenic nodes method and a tuning of the safety factor γEM at about 2.
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11

Bela, J., et G. F. Panza. « NDSHA - The New Paradigm for RSHA - An Updated Review ». VIETNAM JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCES 43, no 2 (25 mars 2021) : 111–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.15625/2615-9783/15925.

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A New Paradigm (data driven and not like the currently model driven) is needed for Reliable Seismic Hazard Assessment RSHA. Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) integrates earthquake geology, earthquake science, and particularly earthquake physics to finally achieve a New (and needed) Paradigm for Reliable Seismic Hazard Assessment RSHA.Although observations from many recent destructive earthquakes have all confirmed the validity of NDSHA’s approach and application to earthquake hazard forecasting-nonetheless damaging earthquakes still cannot yet be predicted with a precision requirement consistent with issuing a red alert and evacuation order to protect civil populations. However, intermediate-term (time scale) and middle-range (space scale) predictions of main shocks above a pre-assigned threshold may be properly used for the implementation of low-key preventive safety actions, as recommended by UNESCO in 1997. Furthermore, a proper integration of both seismological and geodetic information has been shown to also reliably contribute to a reduction of the geographic extent of alarms and it therefore defines a New Paradigm for TimeDependent Hazard Scenarios: Intermediate-Term (time scale) and Narrow-Range (space scale) Earthquake Prediction.
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12

Peresan, A., E. Zuccolo, F. Vaccari, A. Gorshkov et G. F. Panza. « Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard and Pattern Recognition Techniques : Time-Dependent Scenarios for North-Eastern Italy ». Pure and Applied Geophysics 168, no 3-4 (3 juin 2010) : 583–607. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00024-010-0166-1.

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13

Zhang, Yan, Zhongliang Wu, Fabio Romanelli, Franco Vaccari, Changsheng Jiang, Shanghua Gao, Jiawei Li, Vladimir G. Kossobokov et Giuliano F. Panza. « Next-Generation EEW Empowered by NDSHA : From Concept to Implementation ». Geosciences 11, no 11 (19 novembre 2021) : 473. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/geosciences11110473.

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In this paper, we discuss a possible combination of Earthquake Early Warning (EEW) and Neo-deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA), and propose a new warning model, EEW2.0. The aim is to provide a differentiated warning alert to various end-users based on the results of seismic hazard assessment evaluation. The implementation of such a system contains three basic steps: (a) classification of “potential to cause hazard” in terms of magnitude; (b) determination of the source areas and building a hazard database in terms of Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) maps, considering all possible earthquake scenarios in the source area, for the whole protected area; (3) equipping unique decision framework for specific end-users. When a damaging earthquake (M ≥ 5.0) is detected, EEW2.0 quickly matches the prepared MMI map by estimated magnitude and epicenter, then directly extracts the MMI value and issues an early warning to the public. With the great attention and resources put into the reduction in seismic and its secondary risk in the 21st century, the proposed EEW2.0 will likely play an active role in protecting lives and reducing economic losses.
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14

Irwandi, I., M. Umar, J. Khaizal, M. Asrurifak, F. Usama et M. Ridwan. « The Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard map (NDSHA) of Sumatra compared with official 2010 and 2017 derived from PSHA method ». IOP Conference Series : Materials Science and Engineering 712 (3 janvier 2020) : 012017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1757-899x/712/1/012017.

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15

Paskaleva, Ivanka, Mihaela Kouteva-Guentcheva, Franco Vaccari et Giuliano F. Panza. « Some Contributions of the Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment Approach to Earthquake Risk Assessment for the City of Sofia ». Pure and Applied Geophysics 168, no 3-4 (9 avril 2010) : 521–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00024-010-0127-8.

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16

Brandmayr, Enrico, Vaccari Franco, Romanelli Fabio, Vlahovic Gordana et Panza Giuliano Francesco. « Neo-deterministic seismic hazard maps of Kosovo ». VIETNAM JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCES, 30 juillet 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.15625/2615-9783/16328.

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Kosovo is one of the most seismically active regions in Europe, lying within the Alpine-Mediterranean tectonic belt. Historical records for the region show several catastrophic earthquakes with epicentral intensity IX (MCS). However, due to Kosovo’s high population density, high prevalence of traditional construction, and insufficient enforcement of building codes, Kosovo is vulnerable to earthquake damage. In this study, we present earthquake hazard maps for bedrock conditions in Kosovo based on the well-known Neo-deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) method. NDSHA relies upon the fundamental physics of wave generation and propagation in complex geologic structures to generate realistic time series, used as input for the computation of several ground motion parameters, integrating the available knowledge of seismic history, seismogenic zones and morphostructural nodes. In accordance with continuum mechanics, the tensor nature of earthquake ground motion is preserved, producing realistic signals using structural models obtained by tomographic inversion and earthquake source information readily available in literature. Our maps are generally consistent with the observed intensity IX (MCS) and suggest that, in some instances, intensity X could be reached.
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17

Hasi, Nazmi, Latif Hasi, Naim Syla et Arbër Zeqiraj. « Seismic hazard analysis by neo-deterministic seismic hazard analysis approach (NDSHA) for Kosovo ». Applied Rheology 33, no 1 (1 janvier 2023). http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/arh-2022-0137.

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Abstract It is favorable to re-evaluate the seismic hazard for a given territory, since in the course of time new methods are developed and new data are gathered that can enable more sophisticated (physically sound) and reliable assessment of the seismic hazard. Therefore, it is mandatory to re-evaluate the seismic hazard for Kosovo, considering the seismic sources in Kosovo. The data of this article influence the reduction of seismic risk for the territory of Kosovo.
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18

Nemer, Tony S., Franco Vaccari et Mustapha Meghraoui. « Seismic Hazard Assessment of the Lebanese Restraining Bend : A Neo-deterministic Approach ». Pure and Applied Geophysics, 10 février 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00024-023-03233-x.

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19

Bela, J., et G. F. Panza. « NDSHA - The New Paradigm for RSHA - An Updated Review ». VIETNAM JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCES 43, no 2 (24 mars 2021). http://dx.doi.org/10.15625/0866-7187/15925.

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Résumé :
A New Paradigm (data driven and not like the currently model driven) is needed for Reliable Seismic Hazard Assessment RSHA. Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) integrates earthquake geology, earthquake science, and particularly earthquake physics to finally achieve a New (and needed) Paradigm for Reliable Seismic Hazard Assessment RSHA.Although observations from many recent destructive earthquakes have all confirmed the validity of NDSHA’s approach and application to earthquake hazard forecasting-nonetheless damaging earthquakes still cannot yet be predicted with a precision requirement consistent with issuing a red alert and evacuation order to protect civil populations. However, intermediate-term (time scale) and middle-range (space scale) predictions of main shocks above a pre-assigned threshold may be properly used for the implementation of low-key preventive safety actions, as recommended by UNESCO in 1997. Furthermore, a proper integration of both seismological and geodetic information has been shown to also reliably contribute to a reduction of the geographic extent of alarms and it therefore defines a New Paradigm for TimeDependent Hazard Scenarios: Intermediate-Term (time scale) and Narrow-Range (space scale) Earthquake Prediction.
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20

Zhang, Yan, Zhongliang Wu, Fabio Romanelli, Franco Vaccari, Antonella Peresan, Jiawei Li et Giuliano F. Panza. « Earthquake Early Warning System ( EEWS ) empowered by Time‐Dependent Neo‐Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment ( TD‐NDSHA ) ». Terra Nova, 3 mars 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ter.12647.

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