Literatura académica sobre el tema "Short-term tactical decisions"
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Artículos de revistas sobre el tema "Short-term tactical decisions"
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Renton, Michael, Roger Lawes, Tess Metcalf y Michael Robertson. "Considering long-term ecological effects on future land-use options when making tactical break-crop decisions in cropping systems". Crop and Pasture Science 66, n.º 6 (2015): 610. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/cp14135.
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In cropping systems where one type of crop dominates for economic reasons, farmers may employ alternative cropping or pasture options for strategic purposes such as controlling weed populations, reducing crop disease, and accumulating soil nitrogen. Tactical decisions regarding break crops often involve understanding the economic implications of several interacting bio-physical factors, along with complex trade-offs between short-term benefits, such as immediate profit, and long-term ecological problems, such as increased weed seedbank. Modelling analysis regarding tactical crop-sequencing and break-crop decisions has generally not addressed these longer term dynamic factors. In this study we adapted an analysis and modelling framework (LUSO), originally designed to aid understanding of the long-term strategic planning of agricultural crop and pasture rotations, so that it can be used to analyse immediate tactical decisions regarding break crops and sequencing, while still accounting for both short- and long-term implications of these decisions. We show how the revised framework was applied to two example scenarios and demonstrate that in both cases it can be used for simple decision-support, as well as more in-depth analysis and insight into the factors influencing the immediate decision.
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Anderson, W. K., R. F. Brennan, K. W. Jayasena, S. Micic, J. H. Moore y T. Nordblom. "Tactical crop management for improved productivity in winter-dominant rainfall regions: a review". Crop and Pasture Science 71, n.º 7 (2020): 621. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/cp19315.
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This study reviews published information on the tactical management decisions needed to maximise economic grain yield in winter-dominant rainfall regions of the Mediterranean type. Tactical decisions are defined as those relating to the period from immediately before sowing to harvest. Tactical management is the principal means by which farmers respond to changing environmental and short-term economic conditions as the season progresses. The review considers published evidence that underpins these decisions and relates to cereal crops (wheat, barley and oats), pulse crops (field pea, faba bean, chickpea and narrow-leaved lupin) and canola. The criteria used to guide management decisions during the season involve soil and tissue tests for nutrients, knowledge of weed numbers and resistance status in the current and previous seasons, weather conditions that favour disease development, and knowledge of thresholds and biology of insect pests that may warrant control measures. All of these decisions can be related to the timing of the opening rains and the length of the growing season; the crop, pasture or weeds present in the previous two seasons; the presence of pest- and disease-bearing crop residues; and the type of tillage in use. Most of these indicators require further refinement through research across environments, soil types, crop types and production systems. The likely interactions between tactical or short-term management decisions, longer term or strategic decisions, and genetic factors are discussed. The prevalent use of chemicals in the management of biotic factors that can impact the crops is noted, as is progress towards various systems of ‘integrated’ management of these threats to crop production. Most tactical decisions in rainfed cropping systems appear to be supported by adequate evidence, although some decisions are still based on practical experience and observations. Application of tactical management practices together with strategic management and use of improved genotypes provides the possibility of achieving rainfall-limited potential grain yield at a regional scale. The papers reviewed have been selected partly on the basis that the experimental treatments achieved the estimated potential grain yield. Where the potential grain yields are not being achieved in commercial crops, it remains unclear whether this is due to inadequate adoption of existing information or inadequate research to identify and address the underlying causes. We highlight the need to devise a simple decision aid to assist farmers and their advisers to respond to the variable seasonal conditions evident since the turn of the Century.
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Michael, Isaac, Benjamin G. Serpell, Carmen M. Colomer y Jocelyn K. Mara. "Analysing the short-term impact of substitutes vs. starters in international rugby". International Journal of Sports Science & Coaching 14, n.º 5 (18 de septiembre de 2019): 667–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1747954119874163.
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The aim of this study was to compare the short-term performance of substitute players to starting players during International Rugby Union matches and determine how this performance was influenced by playing position, the timing of the substitution and the score margin between teams. Individual player performances (n = 298) for substitutes and the starters they replaced were observed across 17 matches played between tier 1 rugby nations. Performance was categorised as the total number of involvements, the number of attacking and defensive involvements, as well as the effectiveness of a player's performance for each of the above involvement categories. Results revealed forward substitutes performed more total ( p = 0.001, ES = 0.61), attacking ( p = 0.026, ES = 0.32) and defensive ( p = 0.023, ES = 0.31) involvements than forward starters; however, there were no differences found for backs ( p = 0.819–0.911). In addition, it was observed that an increase in score margin at the time of substitution led to a decrease in the total and attacking involvements per minute that a substitute performed, but an increase in defensive involvements for both forwards and backs. These findings provide a platform for coaches to make tactical decisions regarding substitution patterns during International Rugby matches. Specifically, coaches should prioritise forward substitutions over back substitutions, and implement tactical changes earlier in the second half to gain an advantage over the opposition.
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Behrendt, Karl, Oscar Cacho, James M. Scott y Randall Jones. "Optimising pasture and grazing management decisions on the Cicerone Project farmlets over variable time horizons". Animal Production Science 53, n.º 8 (2013): 796. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/an11174.
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This study addresses the problem of balancing the trade-offs between the need for animal production, profit, and the goal of achieving persistence of desirable species within grazing systems. The bioeconomic framework applied in this study takes into account the impact of climate risk and the management of pastures and grazing rules on the botanical composition of the pasture resource, a factor that impacts on livestock production and economic returns over time. The framework establishes the links between inputs, the state of the pasture resource and outputs, to identify optimal pasture development strategies. The analysis is based on the application of a dynamic pasture resource development simulation model within a seasonal stochastic dynamic programming framework. This enables the derivation of optimum decisions within complex grazing enterprises, over both short-term tactical (such as grazing rest) and long-term strategic (such as pasture renovation) time frames and under climatic uncertainty. The simulation model is parameterised using data and systems from the Cicerone Project farmlet experiment. Results indicate that the strategic decision of pasture renovation should only be considered when pastures are in a severely degraded state, whereas the tactical use of grazing rest or low stocking rates should be considered as the most profitable means of maintaining adequate proportions of desirable species within a pasture sward. The optimal stocking rates identified reflected a pattern which may best be described as a seasonal saving and consumption cycle. The optimal tactical and strategic decisions at different pasture states, based on biomass and species composition, varies both between seasons and in response to the imposed soil fertility regime. Implications of these findings at the whole-farm level are discussed in the context of the Cicerone Project farmlets.
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Prokopy, Linda Stalker, Tonya Haigh, Amber Saylor Mase, Jim Angel, Chad Hart, Cody Knutson, Maria Carmen Lemos et al. "Agricultural Advisors: A Receptive Audience for Weather and Climate Information?" Weather, Climate, and Society 5, n.º 2 (1 de abril de 2013): 162–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/wcas-d-12-00036.1.
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Abstract As the climate in the midwestern United States becomes increasingly variable because of global climate change, it is critical to provide tools to the agricultural community to ensure adaptability and profitability of agricultural cropping systems. When used by farmers and their advisors, agricultural decision support tools can reduce uncertainty and risks in the planning, operation, and management decisions of the farm enterprise. Agricultural advisors have historically played a key role in providing information and guidance in these decisions. However, little is known about what these advisors know or think about weather and climate information and their willingness to incorporate this type of information into their advice to farmers. In this exploratory study, a diverse set of professionals who advise corn growers, including government, nonprofit, for-profit, and agricultural extension personnel, were surveyed in four states in the midwestern Corn Belt. Results from the survey indicate that advisors are more influenced by current weather conditions and 1–7-day forecasts than longer-term climate outlooks. Advisors predominantly consider historical weather trends and/or forecasts in their advice to farmers on short-term operational decisions versus longer-term tactical and strategic decisions. The main conclusion from this analysis is that opportunities exist to further engage the advisor community on weather and climate issues and, through them, the farmers who are managing the land.
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Ho, C. K. M., W. J. Wales, M. J. Auldist y B. Malcolm. "Evaluating the economics of short-term partial mixed ration feeding decisions for dairy cows". Animal Production Science 58, n.º 8 (2018): 1531. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/an17769.
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Recent research in Australia has measured the marginal milk production responses of cows grazing perennial-based pastures to supplements offered as a partial mixed ration (PMR). In the present study, the milk responses to PMR feeding developed under a restricted pasture allowance were used to examine the contribution to farm profit of decisions about short-term feeding (weekly, monthly). A short-term, or tactical, decision was considered to be one where the infrastructure and equipment needed to mix and feed out a formulated ration were already available. The decision was, therefore, the choice of whether to feed supplements as grain in the dairy at milking and forage in the paddock, or to feed the supplements as a mixed ration on a feed pad. Both of these options were assumed to exist for the farmer decision-maker, with the comparison of rations being based solely on the costs of supplement and milk income. The Control diet in the experiments comprised cereal grain fed in the dairy and pasture silage fed in the paddock, simulating a situation where pasture available for grazing was limiting. The PMR diet consisted of cereal grain, maize grain, maize silage and lucerne hay combined in a mixer wagon and fed on a feed pad. The PMR + canola diet was similar to the PMR diet, but included canola meal. The profitability of the diets for different amounts of supplement intake was compared by estimating the total income from milk produced minus the cost of the supplements. The results indicated that feeding the diet comprising PMR plus canola meal in early lactation contributed more to farm profit than did the Control diet of feeding grain in the dairy and forage in the paddock, or PMR feeding without canola meal, because of higher milk production. At a supplement intake of 12 kg DM/cow.day, the PMR + canola diet added AU$0.97/cow.day and AU$2.11/cow.day more to profit than the Control and PMR without canola meal diets, respectively. For a farm already equipped with a feed pad and mixer wagon, the benefits of feeding a mixed ration exceed the costs in early lactation. In late lactation, each diet made similar contributions to farm profit because of similar milk production.
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Ho, C. K. M., J. W. Heard, W. J. Wales, J. L. Jacobs, P. T. Doyle y B. Malcolm. "Evaluating the economics of concentrate feeding decisions in grazing dairy cows". Animal Production Science 58, n.º 7 (2018): 1329. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/an16122.
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Purchased concentrates are a significant variable cost of a dairy business. Farm economic theory states that feeding supplements will enable a dairy farmer to improve profit as long as the marginal revenue received from the milk produced exceeds the marginal cost of the supplement. To do this, the quantities of milk, milk protein and milk fat produced from a unit of concentrate added to the diet are needed. Recent research has compiled results from short-term concentrate feeding experiments conducted in Victoria over a 30-year period. Using these data, relationships for the response of milk production to cereal grain supplements in dairy cows grazing temperate pastures have been developed and shown to be a better predictor than previous relationships. These response functions were used in the present study to investigate the economics of tactical (short-term; weekly, monthly or seasonally) and strategic (medium- to longer-term) supplementary feeding decisions in a pasture-based system, including, specifically, how much concentrate should be fed in a particular farm situation, given a certain feed cost and milk price. In the present paper, the relevant production economics method is explained and applied to determine the amount of supplement to feed that will maximise the margin of total extra milk income minus the total cost of supplement, thereby adding the most to farm profit. Currently, when dairy farmers make decisions about how much more supplement to feed their herd, they are making implicit judgements about the extra milk, and other potential benefits, that they expect to result as well as what the milk will be worth. More finely tuned decisions about feeding supplements based on comparing marginal cost and marginal revenue would add more to farm profit than decisions based on other common criteria, such as feeding supplement for maximum milk production. While some farmers may already be feeding supplements close to the point where marginal cost equals marginal revenue, the formal method of marginal analysis reported here makes explicit what is done implicitly at present and tests farmers’ intuitive decision-making. More detailed information about the responses to supplements and the costs and benefits of feeding supplements under particular circumstances at different times through the lactation has the potential to enable better, more profitable decisions to be made about feeding cows and managing the whole farm.
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Hess, Svjetlana y Mirano Hess. "PREDICTABLE UNCERTAINTY ABOUT TERMINAL OPERATIONS IN THE SEA". TRANSPORT 25, n.º 2 (30 de junio de 2010): 148–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/transport.2010.18.
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This paper considers a problem of planning short term operations in a bulk terminal faced by port management when making tactical decisions. Ship loading and discharging, cargo stocking, the maintenance and service of facility equipment are regular operations of a bulk terminal which is a subsystem of a sea port the conduct of which is subject to difficult‐to‐predict or unforeseen influences. The problem that port management encounters in day to day operations looks into making the best possible plan with the scheduled duration of operations/states and transition instants, considering various internal and external factors influencing terminal performance. A state and transition model is used for deriving effective solutions to obtaining the state order and state transition time of a bulk terminal with an objective of minimizing operational costs. The behaviour of the terminal is tested applying the stochastic and deterministic method.
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Ben-Asher, Noam y Joachim Meyer. "The Triad of Risk-Related Behaviors (TriRB): A Three-Dimensional Model of Cyber Risk Taking". Human Factors: The Journal of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society 60, n.º 8 (10 de julio de 2018): 1163–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0018720818783953.
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Objective: We identify three risk-related behaviors in coping with cyber threats—the exposure to risk a person chooses, use of security features, and responses to security indications. The combinations of behaviors that users choose determine how well they cope with threats and the severity of adverse events they experience. Background: End users’ coping with risks is a major factor in cybersecurity. This behavior results from a combination of risk-related behaviors rather than from a single risk-taking tendency. Method: In two experiments, participants played a Tetris-like game, attempting to maximize their gains, while exogenous occasional attacks could diminish earnings. An alerting system provided indications about possible attacks, and participants could take protective actions to limit the losses from attacks. Results: Variables such as the costs of protective actions, reliability of the alerting system, and attack severity affected the three behaviors differently. Also, users dynamically adjusted each of the three risk-related behaviors after gaining experience with the system. Conclusion: The results demonstrate that users’ risk taking is the complex combination of three behaviors rather than the expression of a general risk-taking tendency. The use of security features, exposure to risk, and responses to security indications reflect long-term strategy, short-term tactical decisions, and immediate maneuvering in coping with risks in dynamic environments. Application: The results have implications for the analysis of cybersecurity-related decisions and actions as well as for the evaluation and design of systems and targeted interventions in other domains.
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Bacci, Maurizio, Youchaou Ousman Baoua y Vieri Tarchiani. "Agrometeorological Forecast for Smallholder Farmers: A Powerful Tool for Weather-Informed Crops Management in the Sahel". Sustainability 12, n.º 8 (16 de abril de 2020): 3246. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12083246.
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Agriculture production in Nigerien rural areas mainly depends on weather variability. Weather forecasts produced by national or international bodies have very limited dissemination in rural areas and even if broadcast by local radio, they remain generic and limited to short-term information. According to several experiences in West Africa, weather and climate services (WCSs) have great potential to support farmers’ decision making. The challenge is to reach local communities with tailored information about the future weather to support strategic and tactical crop management decisions. WCSs, in West Africa, are mainly based on short-range weather forecasts and seasonal climate forecasts, while medium-range weather forecasts, even if potentially very useful for crop management, are rarely produced. This paper presents the results of a pilot initiative in Niger to reach farming communities with 10-day forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration—Global Forecast System (NOAA-GFS) produced by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). After the implementation of the download and treatment chain, the Niger National Meteorological Directorate can provide 10-day agrometeorological forecasts to the agricultural extension services in eight rural municipalities. Exploiting the users’ evaluation of the forecasts, an analysis of usability and overall performance of the service is described. The results demonstrate that, even in rural and remote areas, agrometeorological forecasts are valued as powerful and useful information for decision-making processes. The service can be implemented at low cost with effective technologies making it affordable and sustainable even in developing countries. Nonetheless, the service’s effectiveness depends on several aspects mainly related to the way information is communicated to the public.
Tesis sobre el tema "Short-term tactical decisions"
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McManus, Lisa y n/a. "An Examination of Customer Accounting in an Australian Context". Griffith University. Griffith Business School, 2006. http://www4.gu.edu.au:8080/adt-root/public/adt-QGU20070111.145255.
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This thesis reports on a study that examined customer accounting (CA) in Australian companies. The broad aims of the thesis are to develop an understanding of the organisational role played by CA practice and the role accounting plays in providing information about a firm's customer base. Three empirical phases have been undertaken in the study. The first phase involved exploratory interviews with accountants and marketers from a number of Australian firms. The second phase comprised an in-depth case study that involved the development of a segmental customer profitability analysis in a major Australian telecommunications company. The third empirical phase involved the administration of a survey questionnaire to chief accountants and marketing managers from a number of large Australian companies. A number of significant findings are reported and include: (1) A level of CA practice has been observed that is reasonably in line with what was anticipated based on the minimal previous academic interest in this area. (2) There appears to be a potential for further CA development in Australian companies. (3) The interview findings identified 'short-term tactical decisions' and 'focus attention on maximising customer value' as the two most important organisational roles CA may play. (4) CA systems were found to provide important information for marketing resource allocation decisions, customer retention decisions, customer service management decisions and customer pricing decisions. (5) The main barriers to CA implementation identified during the segmental CPA case study and exploratory interviews concerned information technology and data acquisition problems. This finding was supported by the results of the survey questionnaire phase of the study where in addition to these two barriers, 'other competing organisational priorities' was rated highly as an impediment to CA system development. (6) Some support was found for the proposed relationships between CA and the contingent factors of company size, customisation, and organisational structure. (7) Limited support was found for the proposed positive association between CA systems and competition intensity and marketing orientation. (8) No support was found for the proposed relationships between perceived environmental uncertainty, organisational strategy, organisational performance and CA systems. (9) Customisation was the only contingent factor found to have a significant impact upon the potential of CA to aid management.
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McManus, Lisa. "An Examination of Customer Accounting in an Australian Context". Thesis, Griffith University, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/10072/367433.
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This thesis reports on a study that examined customer accounting (CA) in Australian companies. The broad aims of the thesis are to develop an understanding of the organisational role played by CA practice and the role accounting plays in providing information about a firm's customer base. Three empirical phases have been undertaken in the study. The first phase involved exploratory interviews with accountants and marketers from a number of Australian firms. The second phase comprised an in-depth case study that involved the development of a segmental customer profitability analysis in a major Australian telecommunications company. The third empirical phase involved the administration of a survey questionnaire to chief accountants and marketing managers from a number of large Australian companies. A number of significant findings are reported and include: (1) A level of CA practice has been observed that is reasonably in line with what was anticipated based on the minimal previous academic interest in this area. (2) There appears to be a potential for further CA development in Australian companies. (3) The interview findings identified 'short-term tactical decisions' and 'focus attention on maximising customer value' as the two most important organisational roles CA may play. (4) CA systems were found to provide important information for marketing resource allocation decisions, customer retention decisions, customer service management decisions and customer pricing decisions. (5) The main barriers to CA implementation identified during the segmental CPA case study and exploratory interviews concerned information technology and data acquisition problems. This finding was supported by the results of the survey questionnaire phase of the study where in addition to these two barriers, 'other competing organisational priorities' was rated highly as an impediment to CA system development. (6) Some support was found for the proposed relationships between CA and the contingent factors of company size, customisation, and organisational structure. (7) Limited support was found for the proposed positive association between CA systems and competition intensity and marketing orientation. (8) No support was found for the proposed relationships between perceived environmental uncertainty, organisational strategy, organisational performance and CA systems. (9) Customisation was the only contingent factor found to have a significant impact upon the potential of CA to aid management.Thesis (PhD Doctorate)
Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)
Griffith Business School
Griffith Business School
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Capítulos de libros sobre el tema "Short-term tactical decisions"
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Igarashi, Harukazu, Shougo Kosue, Masatoshi Miyahara y Toshiro Urnaba. "Individual tactical play and action decision based on a short-term goal — team descriptions of team Miya and team Niken". En RoboCup-97: Robot Soccer World Cup I, 420–27. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/3-540-64473-3_78.
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Godé-Sanchez, Cécile y Pierre Barbaroux. "Managing Knowledge-Based Complexities Through Combined Uses of Internet Technologies". En Building the Knowledge Society on the Internet, 241–59. IGI Global, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/978-1-59904-816-1.ch012.
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This chapter introduces a theoretical framework to study how Internet technologies provide organizations with additional capabilities to handle various forms of communication and decision-making complexities. In particular, we investigate how specific use-based combinations of Internet technologies emerge within operational contexts. Principal illustrations are drawn from the U.S. military uses of Tactical Internet during recent operations in Afghanistan and Iraq. Military contexts offer relevant illustrations of organizations using Internet within complex decision environments for which short-term responsiveness and tactical adaptability are critical. Within this framework, we discuss the conditions for which combined uses generate additional value for organizations, and we underline the active role played by final users in exploiting the benefits of tactical Internet. Finally, we examine their additional value in the formulation of an effective technological strategy.
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Carrillo, María-Victoria y Ana Castillo. "Strategic Communications and the Toms Case: Aligning Business Strategy With Strategic Communication". En Strategic Communication in Context: Theoretical Debates and Applied Research, 213–29. UMinho Editora/CECS, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.21814/uminho.ed.46.10.
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This work analyses the principles of strategic communication, taking the case of the Toms firm as an example in which business strategy aligns with strategic communication. It explains this company’s management style on how strategic communication is to be understood. Fundamentally, the Toms strategy focuses more on exploiting its potential to fulfil its mission in the long term (to sell and be an organisation standing for solidarity) than on applying resources or making partial, short-term communication decisions. Thus, the entire business model and all long-term business decisions can in themselves be regarded as strategic communication decisions since the business objective becomes a communication objective. In this way, each tactic and action put into play in the firm’s evolution provides it with social value and confers a constantly changing communicative dimension, which is only possible in nonlinear organisations whose business design is hypertextual or bidirectional.
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Saini, Sanjeev, Ritik Dhingra, Bhanu Pratap Verma y N. Yuvraj. "Disruptions in Global Supply Chains due to COVID 19". En Advances in Transdisciplinary Engineering. IOS Press, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/atde220782.
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The recent witnessed pandemic COVID-19 caused severe distress in the Global Supply Chains (GSCs). Worldwide lockdowns, job losses, etc. helped in the creation of this problem. We describe the characteristics that distinguish epidemic outbreaks as a distinct supply chain disruption risk category. It is clearly highlighted that there is lack of visibility of disruptions in GLOBAL SUPPLY Chains and delayed industry response to COVID-19. The COVID-19 outbreak has certainly forced firms to re-evaluate their business strategies. The lead time, the speed of epidemic propagation and the upstream and downstream interruption durations in the supply chain are all significant aspects. This research can be used by decision teams to predict the short-term and long-term impacts of supply chain occurrences and to define pandemic supply chain strategies and tactics. This paper discusses the impact of COVID-19, the effect of lockdown and problems in existing technologies. Possible solutions regarding reducing the effect of pandemic and plans to prepare for the future are also depicted.
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Kanavos, Panos y Kyriakos Souliotis. "Reforming Health Care in Greece: Balancing Fiscal Adjustment with Health Care Needs1". En Beyond Austerity. The MIT Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/9780262035835.003.0009.
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The Greek health care system relies on expensive medical inputs to deliver basic health care services, and is characterized by a lack of primary care focus, which disallows care integration and coordination, particularly in chronic care management. Consequently, care delivery remains fragmented and disjointed and often results in access to care disparities. This chapter proposes three areas where structural reform is essential to address budgetary constraints, improve coverage, and deliver better quality of care. First, the health care financing and contracting model and reimbursement mechanisms need to be overhauled. Transitioning to a funding system through general taxation would be advantageous in increasing levels of coverage over the short- to medium-term, but needs to be accompanied by significant changes in the provision and contracting of services to improve efficiency and quality. Second, the role of primary health care needs to be strengthened so that it becomes the backbone of health service delivery. And, finally, pharmaceutical policy needs fundamental review, including a re-alignment of the different incentives on the supply and the demand side. These reforms require a mix of structural and tactical interventions by decision-makers.
Actas de conferencias sobre el tema "Short-term tactical decisions"
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Suyuthi, Abdillah, Bernt J. Leira y Kaj Riska. "Variation of the Short Term Extreme Ice Loads Along a Ship Hull". En ASME 2010 29th International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering. ASMEDC, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/omae2010-20326.
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This paper focuses on the short term probabilistic analysis of ice loads acting on a ship hull. The ice load data was obtained from full scale measurement onboard the Norwegian coast guard vessel KV Svalbard during the winter of 2007. The available data corresponds to discrete peak amplitude time histories of estimated ice impact loads as well as corresponding measurements of ice thickness in addition to ship speed and course. There were several number of sensors installed along the hull, either on the port side and starboard side of the bow part. The present paper focuses on the variation of the predicted extreme ice loads acting on the ship hull for a short time duration. The short term prediction of ice loads as an integral part of an Ice Loads Monitoring (ILM) system is very important in relation to the tactical navigation plan. An inexpensive ILM system would requires less number of sensors mounted on the hull. By addressing the variation of the extremes along the hull, it will be possible to make decisions regarding the minimum number of sensors and their location without loosing the accuracy of the predicted extremes. Three different approaches for predicting the short term extremes are considered, i.e. the classical extreme value distribution approach, the time window approach, and the up-crossing rate approach. In general, all the approaches involve the following two steps: (i) establishment of the estimated distribution model, (ii) calculation of the expected largest extreme ice impact load for an extrapolated duration. Comparison of the results obtained by the three different approaches is made, and some limitations of the various approaches are discussed.