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Evangelista, Eric C. "Evaluating Projections and Developing Projection Models for Daily Fantasy Basketball". DigitalCommons@CalPoly, 2019. https://digitalcommons.calpoly.edu/theses/2025.
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Daily fantasy sports (DFS) has grown in popularity with millions of participants throughout the world. However, studies have shown that most profits from DFS contests are won by only a small percentage of players. This thesis addresses the challenges faced by DFS participants by evaluating sources that provide player projections for NBA DFS contests and by developing machine learning models that produce competitive player projections.
External sources are evaluated by constructing daily lineups based on the projections offered and evaluating those lineups in the context of all potential lineups, as well as those submitted by participants in competitive FanDuel DFS tournaments. Lineups produced by the machine learning models are also evaluated in the same manner.
This work experiments with several machine learning techniques including automated machine learning and notes the top model developed was successful in 48% of all FanDuel NBA DFS tournaments and 51% of single-entry tournaments over a two-month period, surpassing the top external source evaluated by 9 percentage points and 10 percentage points, respectively.
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Hansson, Sara. "Approaches to the Bioenergy Potential in 2050 : An assessment of bioenergy projections". Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Naturresurser och hållbar utveckling, 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-314983.
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There is an abundance of reports and articles on the extent of future bioenergy usage. Decision-makers might turn to bioenergy projections in hopes of making informed decisions for policies or investments. This report aims to highlight irregularities and differences regarding calculations and results in 15 global bioenergy projection studies for the year 2050, and to find underlying connections by applying a metaanalysis with a methodological focus. Statistical distributions were made for the projected global bioenergy potentials. A growth rate study based on the projected global bioenergy potentials was made and used as a simple “reality check”. Regarding Sweden and the EU, it was investigated whether decisions has been made based on estimated bioenergy potentials. The final aim was to make recommendations for bioenergy decision-makers and policy-makers. There are many statistical distributions fitting the projections for 2050. The distribution functions showed that with a 95 % confidence level, the bioenergy projections in 2050 is 151.3 EJ. The interquartile range of all studies included in this report for primary bioenergy in the year 2050 was shown to be 120-400 EJ, with minimum value of 30 EJ and maximum of 1600 EJ. A mere third of the projection values were in the vicinity of a linear or exponential trendline based on historical values. The historical annual average growth rate for bioenergy from 1971 to 2011 was found to be 1.9 percent. A higher growth rate is required to achieve the larger quantities that are projected in most studies, the most extreme rate was 7.6 percent, which is far above the average. The EU has adopted a biomass action plan partly based on bioenergy projections by the European Energy Agency in 2006. National and international energy projection reports influence Swedish politics, albeit not directly in propositions. The difference between individual reports and articles projected bioenergy level in 2050 is significant. It is recommended to read more than one. Most forecasting models and estimates will likely perform poorly numerically, so it is recommended to look for underlying factors, connected longterm trends, or behavioral consequences.
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Agniel, Vidal. "Dilatations d'opérateurs et projections L^p". Thesis, Lille, 2021. https://pepite-depot.univ-lille.fr/LIBRE/EDSPI/2021/2021LILUI001.pdf.
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Cette thèse porte sur l'étude de classes d'opérateurs. On étudie principalement deux familles différentes de classes d'opérateurs.- Les premières classes étudiées sont des classes d'opérateurs sur des espaces de Hilbert généralisant les classes $C_{ho}$ de Sz.Nagy et Foias.Pour $(ho_n)_n$ une suite de nombres complexes non-nuls, on définit la classe $C_{(ho_n)}(H)$ comme l'ensemble des opérateurs $T in mathcal{L}(H)$ qui possèdent une $(ho_n)$-dilatation : il existe un espace de Hilbert K et un opérateur unitaire $U in mathcal{L}(K)$ avec $H subset K$ tels que $T^n=ho_n P_H U^n|_H$ pour tout n $geq$ 1 ($P_H in mathcal{L}(K)$ étant la projection orthogonale de K sur H). Ces classes peuvent être associées à une fonction holomorphe $f_{(ho_n)}$ ainsi qu'à une quasi-norme $w_{(ho_n)}$. Nous utilisons les liens entre ces trois objets pour caractériser, décrire, et donner plusieurs propriétés spectrales sur les opérateurs contenues dans ces classes. Nous exhibons de même des relations entre plusieurs classes de cette forme, nous généralisons des résultats connus pour les classes $C_{(ho)}$, et donnons divers exemples et situations offrant des comportements différents du cas $C_{(ho)}$. Nous apportons aussi une nouvelle vision géométrique sur un résultat entre des quasi-normes $w_{ho}$, et nous étendons des calculs de $w_{ho}(T)$ pour des opérateurs T annulés par un polynôme de degré deux.- La deuxième partie principale de cette thèse concerne les classes de L^p-projections. Une L^p-projection sur un espace de Banach X, pour $1leq p leq +infty$, est une projection P qui vérifie $ |f|_X = |(|P(f)|_X, |(I-P)(f)|_X) |_{ell_{p}}$ pour tout f dans X. Cette relation est une version L^p de l'égalité $|f|^2=|Q(f)|^2 + |(I-Q)(f)|^2$, vérifiée pour les projections orthogonales dans les espaces de Hilbert.Nous nous intéressons aux relations entre les L^p-projections sur un espace de Banach X et celles sur un sous-espace F, sur un quotient X/F, ou sur un sous-espace de quotient G/F. Des caractérisations complètes sont apportées pour des espaces de Banach vérifiant quelques propriétés additionnelles, et selon la valeur de p.Nous introduisons aussi la notion de L^p-projection maximale pour X, c'est-à-dire des L^p-projections définies sur un sous-espace G de X qui ne peuvent pas être étendues comme L^p-projections sur un sous-espace plus grand, et étudions leurs propriétés, en particulier dans le cas de la dimension finie.Nous obtenons de même une caractérisation des L^{infty}-projections sur tous les espaces L^{infty}(Omega) via de nouvelles méthodes, en généralisant ainsi les résultats connus à ce sujetThis thesis focuses on the study of classes of operators. Two different families of classes of operators are mainly studied.- The first classes we study are classes of operators on Hilbert spaces that generalize the classes $C_{ho}$ of Nagy and Foias. For $(ho_n)_n$ a sequence of non-zero complex numbers, we define the class $C_{(ho_n)}(H)$ as the set of operators $T in mathcal{L}(H)$ that are said to possess a $(ho_n)$-dilation: there exists a Hilbert space K and a unitary operator $U in mathcal{L}(K)$ with $H subset K$ and $T^n=ho_n P_H U^n|_H$ for every $n geq 1$ ($P_H in mathcal{L}(K)$ being the orthogonal projection from K onto its closed subspace H). These classes can be associated with an holomorphic map $f_{(ho_n)}$ as well as a quasi-norm $w_{(ho_n)}$. These three objects are tied together and we use them to characterize, describe, and give several spectral properties of operators belonging to this class.We give multiple relationships between multiple classes of this form, generalize many results that were known for classes $C_{(ho)}$, and give several examples and cases that exhibit new behaviours. We also bring a new geometric meaning behind a relationship between quasi-norms $w_{ho}$ and extend the computations of $w_{ho}(T)$ for operators T that are zeroes of a degree two polynomial.- The second main part of our study concerns classes of L^p-projections.An L^p-projection on a Banach space X, for $1leq p leq +infty$, is an idempotent operator P satisfying $ |f|_X = |(|P(f)|_X, |(I-P)(f)|_X) |_{ell_{p}}$ for all f in X. This is anL^p version of the equality $|f|^2=|Q(f)|^2 + |(I-Q)(f)|^2$, valid for orthogonal projections on Hilbert spaces.We are interested into relationships between L^p-projections on a Banach space X and L^p-projections on a subspace F, on a quotient X/F, or on a subspace of a quotient G/F. These questions are given an answer on Banach spaces with additional properties, depending on the value of p.We also introduce a notion of maximal L^p-projections for X, that is L^p-projections defined on a subspace G of X that cannot be extended to L^p-projections on larger subspaces, and study their properties, especially on finite dimensional Banach spaces. A characterization of L^{infty}-projections on every space L^{infty}(Omega) is obtained as well using new methods, generalizing previously known results
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Muxagato, Bruno. "La Projection internationale du Brésil pour un monde multipolaire (2003-2010)". Thesis, Cergy-Pontoise, 2013. http://www.theses.fr/2013CERG0673.
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La politique extérieure du Brésil de la première décennie du XXIe siècle a contribué à une projection internationale sans précédent du pays. La diplomatie brésilienne sous l’ère Lula a fait en sorte de combiner les relations traditionnelles Nord-Sud (axe vertical) avec les relations Sud-Sud (axe horizontal), dans le but d’affirmer la position du Brésil en tant qu’acteur global. La problématique que propose d’explorer le présent travail repose sur la question centrale de la multipolarité de l’ordre mondial à travers l’exemple de la projection internationale du Brésil. Cette thèse prétend présenter les grandes lignes de la diplomatie brésilienne sous les présidences de Lula (2003-2006 et 2007-2010), combinant une présentation de ses différentes initiatives sur la scène internationale et les facteurs déterminants de son action. L’objectif consistera à démontrer comment les axes diplomatiques adoptés par Lula ont pu contribuer à transformer son pays en un acteur de premier ordre reconnu du monde multipolaire qui se profile, et à le hisser dans le débat mondialiséDuring the past decade, Brazil has enjoyed the most important unprecedented international projection in all of its history, mainly due to the proactive diplomatic efforts of the Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's administration. Brazilian foreign policy was based on the construction of brazilian leadership in South America, combining the South-North relations (vertical axis) and South-South relations (horizontal axis) in order to convert Brazil into a global player. This thesis aims to explore the central issue of multipolarity in the international system through the example of the international insertion of Brazil. In this sense, this work aims to present the brazilian diplomacy during the two “Lula” presidential terms (2003-2006 and 2007-2010), analyzing its various initiatives on the international scene and the determinants of its action. The objective is to understand, according to the realistic theory of international relations, how diplomatic axes adopted by brazilian policymakers have contributed to transform their country into a leading player in the multipolar world and global debate
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Souza, Karina Rogério de Oliveira Viana. "Potential, spatial distribution and sustainability of sugarcane-ethanol in Brazil: projections to 2030". Universidade Federal de Viçosa, 2017. http://www.locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/9949.
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O setor sucroenergético é muito importante para a economia do Brasil, pois tem participação importante no PIB nacional, e gera um grande número de empregos. Além disso, contribui para a mitigação de GEE por substituição de combustíveis fósseis. No entanto este setor por depender de uma politica economica de longo prazo, e estar no centro de muitas incertezas socioambientais e economicas, o seu futuro possuem muitas divergencias. Em função deste cenário, objetivo deste estudo identificar, medir e tratar estas cincertas de forma a permitir estimar a demanda de etanol e o potencial sustentável da cana-de-açúcar, da produção atual e futura (2030), levando em conta restrições técnicas, econômicas e de sustentabilidade. A partir de uma competição de diferentes modelos de projeção de etanol identificou-se a possível faixa de demanda de etanol para 2030 no Brasil. A qual está estimatidaentre 61,7 GL de EtOH em 2030, no cenário otimista, e 49 GL EtOH no cenário pessimista. Uma vez determinada a demanda, os potenciais são calculados. Por outro lado, a partir de uma avaliação focada em recursos, com o usode uma análise espacialmente explícita, e uso do sistema de informação geográfica ArcGIS, a partir do uso de restirções tecnicas, economicas e ambientais, projetou-se o potencial de produção de cana-de-acucar no Brasil. Os resultados, para os cenários de 2012 e 2030, mostram que, teoricamente, o Brasil tem um grande potencial para a produção de cana-de-açúcar, mas quando restrições técnicas e econômicas são levadas em consideração, este potencial diminui significativamente. O mesmo é observado para o potencial ambiental e sustentável. Critérios ambientais quanto a redução das emissões de gases do efeito estufa e proteção de biomas, são os que possuem maior impacto na redução do potencial produtivo. Para 2012, o maior potencial sustentável da cana-de-açúcar é 0,72 EJ EtOH, e pode chegar a 1,61 EJ EtOH até 2030, se melhorias ocorrerem nos campos e na indústria. Este valor projetado é muito inferior ao esperado, porém ainda representa produção suficiente para atender à demanda nacional. Quanto a participação no mercado internacional, os resultados não são positivos e sugerem que dificilmente o Brasil terá excedente de produção para exportação, seguindo as premissas do estudo.
The sugarcane-ethanol sector is very important for the Brazilian economy, as it contributes to the country’s GDP and generates a great number of jobs. In addition, it contributes to Greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation by replacing fossil fuels. However, as this sector depends on a long term economic policy and is reason for socio-economic and environmental concerns, it has a future full of uncertainties. Therefore, the aim of this study is to identify, measure and assess these doubts to estimate ethanol demand and to assess the sustainable potential of sugarcane, of the current and future (2030) production, taking into account technical, economic and sustainability constraints. From a comparison of different projection models, the potential ethanol demand range for 2030 is defined. It is estimated that Brazil will demand 61.7 GL of EtOH in 2030, in the optimistic scenario, and 49 GL EtOH in the pessimistic scenario. Once demand is determined, the potentials of sugar cane ethanol production are calculated. A resource-focused assessment with a spatially explicit analysis is realized, using the geographic information system ArcGIS. The results for 2012 and 2030 scenarios, show that theoretically Brazil has a vast potential for sugarcane production, but when technical-economic constraints are taken into consideration, it significantly decreases. The same is true for the environmental and sustainable potential. Environmental criteria regarding the GHG emission reduction of and the protection of biomes are those that have the greatest impact on the reduction of the productive potential. For 2012 the highest sustainable potential for sugarcane is 0.76 EJ EtOH, but this can increase to 1.61 EJ EtOH towards 2030 if improvements happen in the fields and in industry. The results are lower than expected, but still represents sufficient production to meet the domestic demand. Concerning the increase in international market share, the results are not positive and suggest that Brazil will hardly have surplus in sustainable production for export, following assumptions made in this study.
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Sebrier, Laure. "Projections des taux de faible revenu chez les ainés au Québec à l'horizon 2050". Master's thesis, Université Laval, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11794/27973.
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Dans ce mémoire nous utilisons SimUL, un modèle de microsimulation dynamique en forme réduite de l'économie québécoise développé au sein de la Chaire de recherche Industrielle Alliance sur les enjeux économiques des changements démographiques. Notre objectif est triple : projeter l'évolution des taux de faible revenu chez les aînés québécois, estimer l'effet de la rente au conjoint survivant sur la vulnérabilité des veuves et enfin mesurer la sensibilité des taux de faible revenu aux seuils choisis. Toutes nos projections couvrent la période 2016 à 2050 et utilisent la Mesure du Panier de Consommation (MPC) comme mesure de faible revenu. En se basant sur les tendances récentes et sur les règles fiscales en vigueur, SimUL projette une diminution importante des taux de faible revenu chez les aînés québécois. Le taux de faible revenu des 65-74 ans passant de 7,8% en 2016 à 3,1% en 2050, et celui des 75 ans et plus passant de 5,2% à 1,5%. Cette forte diminution s'explique par la plus grande participation des femmes au marché du travail parmi les cohortes plus jeunes, les rendant dans le futur moins dépendantes des revenus de leurs conjoints et des transferts publics. Nous projetons ensuite le rôle de la rente au conjoint survivant dans la diminution de la vulnérabilité des aînées. La rente au conjoint survivant est un programme permettant de transférer une partie de la rente RRQ d'une personne décédée à son conjoint survivant. Nous trouvons qu'en l'absence de ce programme, le taux de faible revenu des veuves augmenterait de cinq points de pourcentages. Malgré une tendance à la baisse, ce programme continuerait de jouer un rôle important jusqu'en 2050 où le taux de faible revenu sans ce programme passerait de 3% à plus de 5%. Enfin, les taux de faible revenu étant réputés extrêmement sensibles aux seuils choisis, nous procédons à une troisième simulation en majorant ces seuils. Nous trouvons un effet de seuils extrêmement important, une majoration de 5% faisant passer le taux de faible revenu des veuves de 12% à plus de 30% et une majoration de 10% porterait le taux à 40% pour l'année 2017.
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Malloch, Steven Philip 1955. "Water availability for the Central Arizona Project : a projection for 1985-2040". Thesis, The University of Arizona, 1986. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/191914.
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The Central Arizona Project Water Availability Model (CAPWAM) is a simplified model of the hydrology and operations of the Colorado River designed to estimate water availability for the Central Arizona Project (CAP) for the period 1985 to 2040. CAPWAM differs from other models of the basin in that it uses synthetic streamflow data. When historic streamflow data are used in CAPWAM, results are very similar to those of the Bureau of Reclamation Colorado River Simulation System (CRSS). However when data from a first-order autoregressive streamflow generator are used in CAPWAM, there is greater average availability of water for the CAP and also greater variability in diversion. Both surplus deliveries and severe shortage deliveries to southern Arizona are more frequent in CAPWAM than CRSS. Using only historic data in a river operations model produces results in which extreme events--both floods and droughts--are underestimated.
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Proença, Sara Isabel Azevedo. "Impact assessment of energy and climate policies : a hybrid botton-up general equilibrium model (HyBGem) for Portugal". Doctoral thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/6126.
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Doutoramento em EconomiaClimate change mitigation and the imperative of a new sustainable energy paradigm are among the greatest challenges facing the world today, and they are high on the priority list of policy makers as well as within the scientific community. In this context significant efforts are being made in the design and implementation of energy and carbon mitigation policies at both European and national level. Evidence of this can be seen in the recent adoption by the EU of an integrated climate and energy policy that setts ambitious binding targets to be achieved by 2020 – known as the 20-20-20 targets of the EU Climate and Energy Package. Undoubtedly, the cost of these policies can be substantially reduced if a comprehensive impact assessment is made of the most efficient and cost-effective policy measures and technological options. Policy impact assessment therefore plays an important role in supporting the energy and climate decision-making process. This is the context of and motivation for the research presented in this thesis. The first part of the thesis, the conceptual framework, describes the development of the Hybrid Bottom-up General Equilibrium Model (HyBGEM) for Portugal, as a decision-support tool to assist national policy makers in conducting energy and climate policy analysis. HyBGEM is a single integrated, multi-sector, hybrid top-down/bottom-up general equilibrium E3 model formulated as a mixed complementarity problem. The second part of the thesis, the empirical analysis, provides an impact assessment of Portugal’s 2020 energy-climate policy targets under the EU Climate and Energy Package commitments, based on the HyBGEM model and the baseline projections previously developed. Five policy scenarios have been modelled and simulated to evaluate the economic, environmental and technological impacts on Portugal of complying with its individual 2020 carbon emissions and renewable energy targets. Furthermore, insights are gained into how these targets interact with each other, what are the most efficient and cost-effective policy options, and how alternative pathways affect the extent of policy-induced effects. The numerical analysis reveals that Portugal’s 2020 energy-climate targets can be achieved without significant compliance costs. A major challenge for policy makers is to promote an effective decarbonisation of the electricity generation sector through renewable-based technologies. There is evidence that the compliance costs of Portugal’s low carbon target in 2020 are significantly higher than the costs of achieving the national RES-E target, given that imposing carbon emissions constraints and subsidising renewable electricity generation via a feed-in tariffs scheme both have a similar impact on economy-wide emissions. This result suggests that the most cost-effective policy option to achieve the national energy-climate targets is to promote renewable power generation technologies, recommending that policy makers should proceed with the mechanisms that support it. The transition to a ‘greener’ economy is thus central to the ongoing fight against climate change. There is also evidence that emission market segmentation as imposed by the current EU-ETS creates substantial excess costs compared to uniform emissions pricing through a comprehensive cap-and-trade system. The economic argument on counterproductive overlapping regulation is not corroborated by the findings. Furthermore, there is no potential for a double dividend arising from environmental tax reforms. To conclude, the results highlight the critical importance of market distortions and revenue-recycling schemes, together with baseline projections in policy impact assessment.
A mitigação das alterações climáticas e o imperativo de um novo paradigma energético sustentável estão entre os maiores desafios que o mundo de hoje enfrenta, surgindo no topo da lista de prioridades quer dos decisores políticos quer da comunidade científica. Neste contexto, têm sido envidados esforços significativos na conceção e aplicação de políticas energéticas e de mitigação de carbono, tanto a nível europeu como nacional. A recente adoção de uma política integrada da UE em matéria de clima e energia, com objetivos ambiciosos a serem alcançados até 2020 – os denominados objetivos 20-20-20 do Pacote Clima-Energia da UE, é prova disso. Não há dúvida de que o custo destas políticas pode ser substancialmente reduzido se for feita uma avaliação global das medidas e das opções tecnológicas mais eficientes e com melhor relação custo-eficácia. A avaliação de impacto das políticas desempenha assim um papel importante no apoio à tomada de decisão em matéria energética e climática. São estes o contexto e a motivação para a investigação apresentada nesta tese. A primeira parte da tese, referente à estrutura conceptual, descreve o desenvolvimento do modelo HyBGEM – Hybrid Bottom-up General Equilibrium Model, concebido para Portugal. Trata-se de uma ferramenta de apoio à decisão em matéria de políticas de energia-clima. O HyBGEM é um modelo E3 de equilíbrio geral, com uma estrutura híbrida top-down/bottom-up integrada, multi-setorial e formulado como um problema de complementaridade mista. A segunda parte da tese, referente à análise empírica, apresenta uma avaliação de impacto das políticas de energia-clima para Portugal no quadro dos compromissos assumidos no Pacote Clima-Energia da UE, com base no modelo HyBGEM e em projeções de base previamente construídas. Foram modelados e simulados cinco cenários de política para avaliar os impactos económicos, ambientais e tecnológicos do cumprimento das metas nacionais traçadas para 2020 em matéria de limitação de emissões de carbono e promoção das energias renováveis. Avalia-se também o modo como estes objetivos interagem entre si, quais são as opções de política mais eficientes e custo-eficazes, e em que medida opções alternativas influenciam a magnitude dos impactos. A análise numérica revela que as metas energia-clima 2020 para Portugal podem ser alcançadas sem incorrer em custos de cumprimento significativos. O desafio fundamental que se coloca aos decisores políticos consiste em impulsionar a descarbonização do setor de produção de energia elétrica através de tecnologias de energia renovável. Existe evidência de que os custos de cumprimento da meta de redução de carbono são significativamente mais elevados que os custos de cumprimento da meta de FER-E, sendo que a imposição de restrições às emissões e a subsidiação da produção de eletricidade a partir de fontes de energia renovável (regime de tarifas feed-in) têm um impacto semelhante sobre o total de emissões. Este resultado sugere que a promoção das tecnologias de base renovável no sistema energético nacional é a opção com melhor relação custo-eficácia para a concretização dos objetivos nacionais energia-clima para 2020, instando os decisores políticos a prosseguir com os mecanismos de apoio existentes. A transição para uma economia mais ‘verde’ afigura-se assim fundamental no combate em curso contra as alterações climáticas. A análise revela também que a segmentação do mercado de emissões imposta pelo atual CELE gera custos adicionais substanciais quando comparada com um sistema de direitos de emissão uniforme. O argumento económico de que a sobreposição de regulamentação é contraproducente não é corroborado pelos resultados. A expectativa de um duplo dividendo decorrente das reformas fiscais em matéria ambiental não foi confirmada. Os resultados destacam ainda a importância crítica das distorções de mercado, dos sistemas de reciclagem de receitas e das projeções de base, para a avaliação de impacto das políticas.
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Barrette, Carl. "Simulations numériques et projections des variations de l'épaisseur de la couche active du pergélisol à Salluit jusqu'en 2025". Thesis, Université Laval, 2010. http://www.theses.ulaval.ca/2010/27501/27501.pdf.
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Brolles, Lisbeth. "Survivre au désespoir : processus limite, identité, symbolisation : apport des méthodes projectives dans la clinique des limites". Lyon 2, 2002. http://theses.univ-lyon2.fr/documents/lyon2/2002/brolles_l.
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La clinique des personnalités-bordure interroge les effets de la rencontre avec l'objet primaire sur la construction du narcissisme et sur l'activité représentative. Le dispositif projectif met en évidence le surinvestissement des limites, comme mécanisme de défense privilégié, pour tenir à distance les menaces de désorganisation dues au retour des traces clivées et maintenir au mieux une continuité d'être. Les mises en acte corporelles qui se déploient dans la relation transférentielle sont autant d'expression du registre des processus primaires qui informent sur les tentatives du sujet pour maîtriser les effets de la relation avec l'objet. Ces logiques de désespoir viennent en réponse aux rencontres avec un objet d'attachement dont le fonctionnement paradoxal dévoile les inadéquations et les discordances. Elles ont une fonction d'appel envers un double susceptible d'assurer une fonction réflexive adéquate. La fonction symbolisante du thérapeute consiste à faire passer l'état de décharge à l'état de signe afin d'en favoriser la contextualisation (mise en scène) nécessaire à l'élaboration psychique (mise en sens) afin de constituer comme souvenir ce qui semble oublié. Le processus bordure apparaît ainsi comme un mécanisme de défense qui permet de circonscrire le noyau psychotique désorganisé pour tenir à distance la pensée délirante primaire et se préserver un accès au champ de la représentation et de la signification.
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Chouhy, Sergio. "Théorie des ambiguïtés pour les résolutions projectives d'algèbres associatives". Thesis, Montpellier, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015MONTS116/document.
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Cette thèse s'intéresse au problème de calculer des résolutions projectives d'algèbres associatives. Notre point de départ est la résolution de Bardzell pour les algèbres monomiales. Étant donnée une algèbre, nous utilisons le principe de systèmes de réduction de Bergman pour lui associer des algèbres monomiales. Nous montrons que les différentielles de la résolution de Bardzell de ces algèbres peuvent se modifier pour obtenir des résolutions projectives de l'algèbre de départ. Par ailleurs, nous donnons un critère pour qu'un complexe provenant d'une modification de la résolution de Bardzell d'une algèbre monomiale associée soit exacte. Nous appliquons notre méthode à trois familles d'algèbres: les intersections complètes quantiques, les algèbres de Weyl généralisées quantiques, et les algèbres down-up. Dans le cas des algèbres down-up, nous utilisons la résolution obtenue pour calculer des invariants homologiques de ces algèbres. De cette façon nous montrons des propriétés de régularité et nous donnons une solution au problème de l'isomorphisme pour les algèbres down-up non-noethériennesThis thesis is concerned with the problem of computing projective resolutions of associative algebras. Our starting point is Bardzell's resolution for monomial algebras. Given an associatve algebra, we use Bergman's principle of reduction systems to associate monomial algebras to it. We prove that the differentials in Bardzell's resolution of these monomial algebras can be modified to obtain projective resolutions of the original algebra. We also give sufficient conditions for a complex coming from a modification of Bardzell's resolution of an associated monomial algebra to be exact. We apply our method to three families of algebras: Quantum complete intersections, Quantum generalized Weyl algebras and down-up algebras. In the case of down-up algebras, we use the resolution obtained to compute homological invariants of these algebras. This way we prove regularity properties and we solve the isomorphism problem for non-noetherian down-up algebras
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Marsh, Michael N. "Out-of-body and near-death experiences : brain-state phenomena or glimpses of immortality?" Thesis, University of Oxford, 2006. http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:09faa988-2080-4187-887e-3acadebe9558.
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What certainty is there for personal survival after death? Five key authors, critically analysed in this thesis, think that OB/ND experiences offer such assurances. Most OB/ND events follow severe clinical crises profoundly embarrassing cerebral function. At the nadir of brain function, invariably resulting in unconsciousness, authors aver that the escape of soul (Sabom), mind, or free consciousness (Moody, Ring, Grey, Fenwick), in providing glimpses of heaven, offers proof of immortality. I disagree. The semantic content of early-phase ND experiences reveals dream-like bizarreness and illogicality, consistent with de-activation of critical cortical controls. Conversely, late-phase experiences, tinged with 'moral' compulsions about earthly responsibilities, herald the progressive intrusion of conscious-awareness into that subconscious mentation. These experiences, abruptly terminating as conscious-awareness erupts, are transient - as demonstrated by narrative word counts - indicating origins from reawakening, not moribund, brains. My argument is underpinned by these latter crucial observations. Pain, intruding into ND phenomenology, is another occurrence hardly consistent with an escape of mind or 'free consciousness' into the hereafter. "Tunnel" phenomenology, a rapid movement from darkness into heavenly brightness, involves a retrospective synthesis of vestibular-generated rotation/accelerations, and a progressively enlarging and engulfing light, signalling re-establishment of an effective circulation to associative visual centres. The content of ND experiences, as with dreams, involves the temporo-parietal cortex. OB experiences derive from central vestibular activity (superior and inferior parietal lobules) in dormant, recumbent patients. Allied aberrations of allocentric space create bodily reduplications and sensed invisible presences. Thus, OB do not warrant "mystical" interpretations. The spiritual overtones accorded OB/ND experiences by authors are inconsistent with classical (Judaeo-Christian) accounts of divine disclosure. The eschatology adumbrated in published texts implies immortality, and seriously fails to embrace a preferred resurrectional eschatology as professed credally. I therefore conclude that OB/ND phenomenology, rather than offering alleged glimpses of eternity, reflects living, not dead, brains re-awakening to full conscious-awareness from antecedent metabolic insults.
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Bue, Charlotte. "La politique de développement de l'Union européenne : construction et projection de l'Europe par le Sud, 1957-2010". Paris, Institut d'études politiques, 2010. https://spire.sciencespo.fr/notice/2441/3fm4jv3k2s99lms9jb5in16bl.
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"La politique de développement de l’Union européenne (UE), ferment de la relation Europe-Sud, prend racine dans le Traité de Rome en 1957. Elle est donc l’une des plus anciennes politiques communautaires. Au fil de plus de cinquante ans de construction européenne, ce qui était à l’origine un accident est devenu une composante essentielle de l’action extérieure de l’UE. En effet, l’Union représente désormais près de 60% de l’aide publique au développement (APD) mondiale, ce qui fait de l’Europe le leader sur la scène internationale du développement. Cependant, cette « Europe » est fragmentée, puisque ce sont en réalité 27 bailleurs bilatéraux et un bailleur communautaire qui opèrent en son sein, chacun défendant farouchement ses prérogatives et ses préférences au détriment de l'efficacité et de l'influence collectives. Depuis quelques années, les divers acteurs de ce système européen de politiques de développement semblent néanmoins accepter un degré d’intégration croissant, se dotant d’un cadre politique, d’un code de mise en œuvre et d’engagements financiers communs. L'action collective dans le développement s'est en effet imposée comme une nécessité (pour faire face à une interdépendance de plus en plus menaçante) et comme une opportunité (pour affirmer le rôle de l'Union sur la scène internationale). Émerge ainsi une politique "européenne" de développement, produit d'une ambition, de valeurs et d'intérêts communs. Ce changement -laborieux mais indéniable- permet d'envisager la politique de développement comme un cas d’école, à travers lequel l’on peut étudier comment l’Europe se construit sur le temps long, se fabrique au quotidien, et se projette à l’international. "The European Union's development policy towards the South is one of the oldest EU policies. ‘Accidentally’ enshrined in the 1957 Rome Treaty, it has become, after more than five decades of European construction, an essential component of the EU's external action. Indeed, the Union now accounts for almost 60% of global official development aid (ODA), giving credence to Europe's leadership claim on the international development stage. However, behind the façade, said "Europe" is composed of “27+1” donors (the Commission and the 27 Member states), all of which jealously defend their prerogatives and their preferences. Such fragmentation undermines the EU's effectiveness, as well as its influence. Within the last few years, EU-level collective action in the development field has appeared both increasingly necessary (to tackle the challenges of a globalized and interdependent world) and opportune (to assert the EU's role in world affairs). EU donors have thus accepted a growing degree of integration, committing to a common political framework, a code of conduct on implementation, and agreed financial targets. This painstaking but undeniable process of change denotes the emergence of a truly 'European' development policy, based on common values and interests, as well as on a renewed international ambition. Through the development lens, the making of this collective policy offers an original insight as to how “Europe” is constructed on the long term, fabricated daily, and projected internationally
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KC, Samir, Bilal Barakat, Anne Goujon, Vegard Skirbekk, Warren Sanderson y Wolfgang Lutz. "Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050". Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2010.22.15.
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Using demographic multi-state, cohort-component methods, we produce projections for 120 countries (covering 93% of the world population in 2005) by five-year age groups, sex, and four levels of educational attainment for the years 2005-2050. Taking into account differentials in fertility and mortality by education level, we present the first systematic global educational attainment projections according to four widely differing education scenarios. The results show the possible range of future educational attainment trends around the world, thereby contributing to long-term economic and social planning at the national and international levels, and to the assessment of the feasibility of international education goals. (authors' abstract)
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Brolles, Lisbeth Roussillon René. "Survivre au désespoir". Lyon : Université Lumière Lyon 2, 2002. http://demeter.univ-lyon2.fr:8080/sdx/theses/lyon2/2002/brolles_l.
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Sanchez, Caballero Lizeth Katherine. "Geostatistical modeling of geotechnical variables considering directional dependence". Electronic Thesis or Diss., Université Paris sciences et lettres, 2022. https://thesesprivees.mines-paristech.fr/2022/2022UPSLM045_archivage.pdf.
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Avec la modélisation géologique et géométallurgique, la modélisation géotechnique est l'une des composantes essentielles de la planification et du développement de projets miniers à ciel ouvert et souterrains. Une caractéristique particulière de nombreuses variables géotechniques est d'être dépendante de la direction, c'est-à-dire que la mesure d'une carotte de sondage dépend non seulement de sa position géographique mais aussi de son orientation. Pour tenir compte de cette caractéristique, il est proposé de régionaliser les variables géotechniques dans un espace à cinq dimensions correspondant au produit sur l'espace géographique à trois dimensions et la sphère à deux dimensions, de sorte que chaque mesure soit indexée par ses coordonnées est, nord, élévation, azimut et pendage. Au lieu de faire des prédictions et des simulations conditionnées à une direction particulière, ce nouveau paradigme permet d'interpoler des variables géotechniques à n'importe quel endroit de l'espace géographique, et pour n'importe quelle direction. La structure de corrélation spatiale peut être inférée et modélisée en utilisant des covariances séparables ou des combinaisons de covariances séparables, sous une hypothèse de stationnarité dans l'espace géographique et d'isotropie sur la sphère. De plus, une simulation conditionnelle peut être effectuée par des méthodes spectrales ou de bandes tournantes, basées sur des produits de champs aléatoires stationnaires dans l'espace géographique et de champs aléatoires isotropes sur la sphère. La méthodologie proposée est illustrée par modélisation de la fréquence de discontinuité linéaire (P10), la désignation de la qualité de la roche (RQD), et le Slope Mass Rating (SMR) dans trois gisements miniersTogether with geological and geometallurgical modeling, geotechnical modeling is one of the essential components for the planning and development of open pit and underground mining projects. A particular characteristic of many geotechnical variables is to be direction-dependent, i.e., the measurement of a core sample not only depends on the in-situ position of this sample but also on its in-situ orientation. To account for this characteristic, it is proposed to regionalize such variables in a five-dimensional space corresponding to the product on the three-dimensional geographical space and the two-dimensional sphere, so that each measurement is indexed by its easting, northing, elevation, azimuth, and dip. Instead of making predictions and simulations conditioned to a particular direction, this new paradigm allows geotechnical variables to be interpolated at any place in the geographic space, for any direction. The spatial correlation structure can be inferred and modeled by using separable covariances or combinations of separable covariances, under an assumption of stationarity in the geographical space and isotropy on the sphere. Also, conditional simulation can be performed by turning bands, based on products of stationary random fields in the geographic space and isotropic random fields on the sphere. The proposed methodology is illustrated with the modeling of the linear discontinuity frequency (P10), the rock quality designation (RQD), and Slope Mass Rating (SMR) in three mineral deposits
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Bunel, Margaux. "Influence du traitement thermique des poudres sur le dépôt sur projection dynamique par gaz froid (« cold spray ») d’alliage d’aluminium 2024 pour la fabrication additive". Thesis, Université Paris sciences et lettres, 2020. http://www.theses.fr/2020UPSLM051.
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Le cold spray est un procédé où des particules de poudre sont projetées à haute vitesse sur un substrat. En se déformant, les particules de poudre y adhèrent, permettant ainsi de créer un dépôt par empilement. Les dépôts ainsi obtenus ont des propriétés mécaniques élevées, sont très denses, peuvent être épais et ont des rendements élevés, ce qui fait du cold spray un procédé idéal pour la fabrication additive. En revanche, les rendements pour les alliages d’aluminium, couramment employés dans différents domaines, sont insuffisants pour que la fabrication additive soit économiquement viable. Dans cette étude, un traitement thermique de la poudre est réalisé afin de modifier les propriétés des particules de poudre pour améliorer le rendement de projection. L’influence de ce type d’équipement ainsi que des paramètres de projection a été étudiée en mesurant la vitesse des particules (DPV2000) et en comparant les propriétés des différents dépôts. Les dépôts réalisés avec de la poudre traitée thermiquement dans les mêmes conditions mais avec de la poudre non traitée ont permis d’évaluer l’influence de la modification des propriétés des particules de poudre en fonction du traitement thermique. La fabrication additive nécessite de comprendre comment les particules de poudre s’empilent afin de réaliser des formes données. Un modèle de construction, à l’échelle macroscopique, fondé sur des données expérimentales a été développé afin de prédire la forme du dépôt. Les résultats de ces simulations ont été comparés aux dépôts obtenus expérimentalement afin de vérifier si l’épaisseur, la forme ainsi que l’état de surface concordaientCold spray is a process where powder particles are sprayed at a high speed onto a substrate. From deformation the powder particles adhere to the substrate, which result in deposition build-up. The cold sprayed coatings show high mechanical properties, are very dense, can be thick and have a high deposition efficiency, which makes cold spray an ideal process for additive manufacturing. However, deposition efficiency for aluminum alloys such as those commonly used in different industrial sectors, are insufficient for additive manufacturing to be economically viable. In this study, a heat treatment of the powder is carried out in order to modify the properties of the powder particles to improve the deposition efficiency. The influence of the type of cold spray facilities and of spraying parameters was studied from the measurement of the particle velocity (DPV2000) and from assessing the properties of the various coatings. The coatings made of the heat treated powders compared with those made of untreated powders using similar conditions for both were used to show the influence of the modification of the particles. Additive manufacturing requires the understanding of how powder particle build-up to achieve given shapes. A model of deposition, at a macroscopic scale, based on experimental data was developed to predict the shape of the deposit. The results of these simulations were compared to experimental deposits to check thickness, shape and the surface state
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Rodrigues, Schausteck de Almeida-Le Prioux Bruna. "Les stratégies énergétiques et l'insertion internationale du Brésil : 2003-2010". Thesis, Sorbonne Paris Cité, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015USPCA189.
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« [L]e Brésil sera dans vingt ou trente ans la plus grande puissance énergétique de la planète Terre ». Cette phrase du président Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva en 2006 démontre l’ambition du gouvernement en transformer l’énergie en atout pour une meilleure place du Brésil dans le Système International. Ainsi, à la lumière du concept d’État Logistique du professeur Amado Cervo, l’objectif principal de la recherche est l’analyse de l’insertion de l’énergie, et plus spécifiquement celle du pétrole, du nucléaire et de l’éthanol dans la politique étrangère brésilienne pendant les deux mandats du gouvernement Lula (2003-2010), ainsi que leur impact sur les stratégies de projection internationale du Brésil. L’énergie apparaît ici, par conséquent, comme un instrument de politique étrangère, mais sans perdre de vue que la « fabrication » de cet objet se fait à l’intérieur du territoire brésilien, avec les interactions entre les acteurs publics et privés. L’originalité de cette étude est donc la mise en avant des interactions des acteurs sectoriels nationaux avec le Ministère des Affaires Étrangères et avec le président. Par le biais d’une recherche bibliographique, de l’analyse de documents officiels mais aussi d’entretiens avec les acteurs énergétiques, nous démontrons que le déploiement de la politique étrangère liée à l’énergie est le fruit d’interactions et d’influences internes, mais aussi de contraintes internationales‘Brazil will be the biggest energy power in the planet in twenty or thirty years’. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva gave this statement in 2006. It demonstrates the ambition of his government to transform the energy in an asset to a better positioning of Brazil in the International System. Using the concept of Logistic State from Amado Cervo, this research aims to analyse the projection of energy (specifically petroleum, nuclear and ethanol) within the Brazilian foreign policy during Lula’s two mandates (2003-2010), as well as its impacts on the strategy of projecting Brazil internationally. Energy appears in this study as an instrument of foreign policy, noticing that the ‘fabrication’ of this object happens within the Brazilian territory, through the interaction of public and private actors. The originality of this study is the emphasis on interactions of national sectional actors with the Foreign Policy Ministry and with the president. Through a literature research, the analysis of official documents as well as interviews with energy players, we demonstrate that the deployment of the foreign policy on energy issues is the result of internal interactions and influences, but also of international constraints
"O Brasil será em vinte ou trinta anos, a maior potência do planeta Terra." Esta frase do presidente Lula em 2006 demonstra a ambição do governo em transformar a energia em uma ferramenta para uma melhor posição do Brasil no Sistema Internacional. Assim, à luz do conceito de Estado Logístico do professor Amado Cervo, o principal objetivo da pesquisa é a análise da inserção da energia, e mais especificamente do petróleo, do nuclear e do etanol na política externa brasileira durante os dois mandatos do governo Lula, e seu impacto sobre as estratégias de projeção internacional no Brasil. A energia aqui aparece, portanto, como um instrumento de política externa, mas sem perder de vista de que a "fabricação" desse objeto se dá dentro do território brasileiro, com a interação entre atores públicos e privados. A originalidade deste estudo é destacar as interações dos atores nacionais do setor com o Ministério das Relações Exteriores e com o presidente, demonstrando assim que a implementação da política externa relacionada com a energia é o resultado de interações e influências internas, mas também de limitações internacionais
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Araujo, Paulo. "Etude par indentation interfaciale de l'adhérence du revêtement Ni-Cr projeté thermiquement : influence de l'hydrogène et effets thermiques". Lille 1, 2000. https://pepite-depot.univ-lille.fr/RESTREINT/Th_Num/2000/50376-2000-200.pdf.
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L'essai d'indentation interfaciale, qui permet d'apprécier l'adhérence d'un revêtement épais sur son substrat, a été développé et formalisé au laboratoire au cours de ces dernières années. Dans le cadre d'un programme de collaboration franco-brésilienne, le travail réalisé porte sur des aspects supplémentaires très importants à prendre en compte pour l'établissement d'un modèle mathématique exprimant la ténacité apparente d'interface. Il s'est agi d'abord, sur des échantillons revêtus a partir d'essais d'indentation réalises avant puis après recuit de détente, d'examiner les modifications apportées a la ténacité et d'en déduire l'intensité des contraintes résiduelles. Ensuite, il a été constaté que la déformation plastique produite par l'indentation ne peut pas s'étendre librement dans le revêtement dans certaines conditions liées à l'épaisseur du revêtement et aux duretés respectives des substrats et des revêtements, ce phénomène nouveau qualifié d'effet de surface, a été pris en compte dans le modèle de ténacité. L'outil mathématique ainsi mis au point a permis d'étudier valablement l'effet de chocs et de cyclages thermiques ainsi que l'effet d'une contamination du couple substrat/revêtement par l'hydrogène.
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Delva, Marie. "Clinique des adolescents placés : répercussion des défaillances parentales vécues entre 0 à 20 ans et du placement sur le processus adolescent". Thesis, Paris 10, 2020. https://bdr-parisnanterre-fr.faraway.parisnanterre.fr/theses/intranet/2020/2020PA100053/2020PA100053_Arch.pdf.
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La thèse explore le processus adolescent des enfants ayant vécu des traumatismes précoces. Elle a pour but d’observer si le vécu de carences affectives primaires engendre une défaillance dans la structuration et l’organisation psychique des adolescents malgré la mise en place d’un dispositif de protection de l’enfance. A partir d’une méthodologie qualitative croisant des entretiens non-directifs et des épreuves projectives (Rorschach et TAT), dix adolescents ont été rencontrés. Il est fait le constat de la mise en place de défenses drastiques venant entraver l’accès au monde interne et l’investissement de nouveaux objets. Les imagos parentaux prennent une place majeure au sein du moi venant empêcher le développement d’un self différencié. Le conflit psychique s’est tissé autour du rapport à l’objet, à défaut d’avoir pu se construire des objets internes suffisamment stable, les adolescents recherchent dans la réalité des objets pouvant leur apporter une réparation narcissique des carences affectives. Cependant, l’objet suscite des angoisses traumatiques d’envahissement et d’abandon et engendre des mouvements de mise à distance qui viennent saper toute possibilité de restauration interneThe thesis explores the adolescent process of children who have experienced early trauma. The aim is to observe whether the experience of primary emotional deficiencies leads to a failure in the structuring and psychological organisation of adolescents despite the implementation of a child protection system. Using a qualitative methodology combining non-directive interviews and projective tests (Rorschach and TAT), ten adolescents were interviewed. It was noted that drastic defences had been put in place, hindering access to the internal world and the investment of new objects. Parental imagos take a major place within the self, preventing the development of a differentiated self. The psychic conflict is woven around the relationship to the object, for lack of having been able to construct sufficiently stable internal objects, the teenagers seek in reality objects that can bring them a narcissistic repair of emotional deficiencies. However, the object provokes traumatic anxieties of invasion and abandonment and generates movements of distance that undermine any possibility of internal restoration
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Aboussioud, Rachid. "Dynamique de la persistance identitaire : complémentarité graphique et numérique dans l'autoportrait du XXIe siècle". Thesis, Paris 1, 2014. http://www.theses.fr/2014PA010561.
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La Dynamique de la Persistance Identitaire se veut, à travers l'autoportrait plastique, une analyse des notions du moi et du surmoi. L'autoportrait soulève pour la majorité des artistes, des plus anciens aux plus novateurs, la question de l'identité à travers l'apparence, le caractère, mais aussi des origines sociales et culturelles et son exacerbation amène à un narcissisme qui fut le moteur de l'activité de nombreux maîtres parmi les plus illustres. Se remémorer certaines périodes de la vie, des souvenirs heureux ou malheureux de situations vécues, conduit à l'introspection, où le temps est une notion majeure artistique et nécessaire à la structuration psychologique d'un individu. De nombreux artistes se sont penchés sur leur image en employant de nombreuses techniques plastiques traditionnelles et, depuis peu, expérimentales (expériences tridimensionnelles). Ces représentations, à l'aide des nouveaux outils informatiques accessibles à tous, sont désormais modifiables à volonté, apportant un choix illimité d'altérations réversibles en mode uniquement virtuel. Dans un travail initial (Evolution Identitaire) ce dessein interroge l'autoportrait de l'auteur à l'aide de dessins unicolores éclairés de rehauts de blancs ou chaque visage apparaît trait par trait pour constituer l'individu. La Dynamique de la Persistance Identitaire remet en question ces trente et un visages représentés le plus objectivement possible pour dévier de l'image réelle à l'image rêvée, par la technique du Makeover, très utilisé sur internet et donnant ainsi une possibilité de reconquête de l'identité, à la recherche d'une esthétique optimisée, adaptée au choix de l'artiste: deux cent dix-sept dessins, toutes réalisations confondues, sont ainsi conçus. Cet ensemble est diffusé à travers une exposition et une vidéo et il est adaptable à plusieurs espaces sous trois formes complémentaires :une double frise chronologique en parallèle d'autoportraits format A4 sur un papier légèrement teinté où sont confrontées représentations objectives et subjectives des formes suivant les critères des lois de la Gestalt. une vidéo projection ou les visages se dévoilent progressivement, donnant ainsi naissance à une technique dite "dessin évolutif', proche de l'animation, et donnant vie à l'individu avec le morphing en étape ultime qui dévoile avec fluidité un nouveau visage rectifié selon les désirs de l'auteur, une longue frise chronologique format A2 blanc où l'image vécue est couplée et confronté à l'image idéalisée, sur une même représentation, par deux couleurs différentes pour signifier les corrections accomplies. Cette recherche devrait être complétée, dans l'avenir, toujours avec pour moteur la recherche de réalisations d'autoportraits tridimensionnels, à l'aide de technologies pointues, telles anamorphoses et imprimante 3DDynamics of identity Persistence wants, through the plastic self-portrait, an analysis of the concepts of ego and superego. Self Portrait raises for the majority of artists, from the oldest to the most innovative, the question of identity through the appearance, character, but also social and cultural origins and exacerbation leads to a narcissism that was the engine the activity of man y of Art masters. Remember certain periods of life, happy or unhappy memories of life situations, leads to introspection, where time is a necessary artistic and psychological structuring an individual major concept. Many artists have focused on their image using many traditional engineering plastics and, more recently, experimental (three-dimensional experiments). These representations using new tools accessible to all are now modified at will, bringing unlimited choice reversible alterations only virtual mode. In initial work (Identity Evolution) this design questions the portrait of the author with one colored drawings illuminated highlights of each face appears white or line by line to form the individual. Dynamics of identity Persistence puts into these thirty questions and faces presented as objectively as possible to deviate from the actual image to the perfect picture, the technique Makeover, widely used on the Internet and giving an opportunity to reconquer identity, the search for an aesthetic optimized, adapted to the choice of the artist: two hundred and seventeen drawings, ail outputs combined, are well designed. This package is distributed through an exhibition and a video that is adaptable to many spaces in three complementary ways:-A double timeline of self-portraits in parallel on A4 paper with a lightly tinted face objective and subjective representations of forms depending on the requirements of Gestalt's laws. -A video projection where faces are gradually revealed, giving rise to " evolutionary drawing " , close to the animation technique, and giving life to the individual with the morphing ultimate step reveals a new face smoothly corrected according to the wishes of the author. -A long white frieze chronological format A2 where the image is coupled lived and confronted with the idealized image, on the same representation by two different colors to signify the completed corrections. This research should be completed in the future, always with engine research achievements of three-dimensional self-portraits, with pointed and such anamorphic 30 printer technologies
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Crespo, Cuaresma Jesus, Miroslava Havettová y Martin Lábaj. "Income convergence prospects in Europe: Assessing the role of human capital dynamics". WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, 2012. http://epub.wu.ac.at/3597/2/wp143.pdf.
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We employ income projection models based on human capital dynamics in order to assess quantitatively
the role that educational improvements are expected to play as a driver of future income convergence in Europe.
We concentrate on income convergence dynamics between emerging economies in Central and Eastern Europe and Western European countries
during the next 50 years. Our results indicate that improvements in human capital contribute significantly to the
income convergence potential of European emerging economies. Using realistic scenarios, we quantify the effect
that future human capital investments paths are expected to have in terms of speeding up the income convergence process in the region.
The income projection exercise shows that the returns to investing in education in terms of income convergence in Europe could be sizeable,
although it may take relatively long for the poorer economies of the region to rip the growth benefits. (authors' abstract)Series: Department of Economics Working Paper Series
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Park, Jong Koo. "An analytical study of the contemporary movement of the world mission of the Korean church and a projection to AD 2000 with an illustration of the Mission Right-Way campaign of the Inter-Mission International /". Theological Research Exchange Network (TREN), 1994. http://www.tren.com.
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Richier, Christine. "Josef Svoboda, poète de l'immatériel : une étude de la place de la lumière et autres moyens immatériels de la scénographie – projection, réflexion, cinétique – dans l’oeuvre de Josef Svoboda". Thesis, Lyon, 2019. http://www.theses.fr/2019LYSE2116.
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Le scénographe tchèque Josef Svoboda (1920 – 2002), auteur de près de sept cents scénographies sur les scènes du monde entier, est souvent présenté comme un maître de la lumière et de l’utilisation de technologies avancées à la scène. Mais quel est le contexte qui lui a permis de cumuler tant de réalisations et faire entrer en scène tant de procédés innovants, tout en vivant derrière le rideau de fer ? Quelle place tiennent la technique, l’image et la lumière dans sa pensée de l’espace dramatique ? Et quelle est la nature exacte de cette maîtrise de la lumière qu’on lui attribue ?Pour répondre à ces questions, cette étude s’articule autour d’entretiens inédits menés avec Josef Svoboda en 1993. Elle invite à le suivre en coulisses, pour découvrir la façon dont la lumière se pense et se construit au théâtre et à l’opéra. L’étude emprunte aux écrits sur le théâtre des contributeurs du Cercle Linguistique de Prague (1928 – 1939), dont la pensée, méconnue en France, a forgé celle de Svoboda et éclaire d’un jour nouveau les interactions entre les différents composants de la représentation. Il est ici question de lumière, mais aussi de réflexion, de projection, de cinétique scénique ou de traitement du signal en temps réel, autant de moyens immatériels, impalpables dans leur manifestation scénique, que Svoboda a développés et qui sont devenus les ingrédients majeurs de la scénographie du XXIe siècleThe Czech scenographer Josef Svoboda (1920 - 2002), author of approximately 700 scenographies performed around the world, is often presented as a master of light and advanced technologies for the stage. The thesis questions the contextual conditions which enabled him to cumulate so many achievements and introduce numerous innovative processes for the stage, while living behind the Iron Curtain? What place does technique, image and light have in his thinking of dramatic space? And what is the precise nature of the mastery of the lighting that we endow him ?To answer these questions, this study is based on unpublished interviews with Josef Svoboda which took place in 1993. The study invites us to examine off stage content to discover how light is reflected and built in theatre and opera. The thesis builds on the writings of the Linguistic Circle of Prague (1928 - 1939), whose thoughts, unknown in France, forged that of Svoboda and shed new light on the interactions between the different components of performance. This addresses the question of light, but also of reflection, projection, kinetics and signal processing in real time.The accumulation of these immaterial means that Svoboda developed, impalpable by their scenic manifestation for actors and spectators, have become the major ingredients of scenography of the 21st century
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Tatsch, Luisa Bertuol. "A política externa do Governo Lula : um novo pragmatismo responsável?" reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRGS, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/10183/61194.
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Este trabalho analisa, de modo comparativo, a política externa dos governos Geisel (1974-1979) e Lula (2003-2010). Busca-se evidenciar que houve uma “continuidade matizada” na diplomacia brasileira nos dois períodos: muito embora não se vislumbre um processo sem quaisquer rupturas em termos de política externa entre 1974 e 2010, assiste-se à retomada, pelo governo Lula, de diretrizes, métodos e argumentos de política externa prevalecentes à época do governo Geisel. Assume-se que essa retomada esteve ligada a semelhanças relacionadas à concepção do interesse nacional e à adoção de uma estratégia realista de inserção internacional – a despeito de cada um dos governos deparar-se com cenários internacionais diversos e dispor de recursos de poder distintos.This study analyses the Brazilian foreign policy under Geisel (1974-1979) and Lula (2003-2010) administrations by using the comparative method. One of the study‟s core objectives is to show that one can observe a “relative continuity” in the Brazilian diplomacy during both periods: even though one cannot observe a process without any rupture in the Brazilian foreign policy from 1974 to 2010, it is possible to verify that Lula administration resumed some guidelines, methods and rationales which were employed by the Brazilian foreign policy during Geisel administration. It is assumed that this resumption is related to national interest concept and the adoption of a realist strategy aimed at widening Brazil‟s international projection – in spite of different international contexts and different power resources.
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Chen, Tzu Yin y 陳姿吟. "The Projection of the Availability Indexin Taiwan, 2021The Projection of the Availability Indexin Taiwan, 2021The Projection of the Availability Index in Taiwan, 2021". Thesis, 2010. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/35912418845768331964.
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碩士國立臺北教育大學
社會與區域發展學系碩士班
98
In Taiwan, there was a tendency toward decline of both marriage rate and number of married couples. Delayed marriage or no marriage had also occurred in recent years.This paper applied the Taiwan-Fukien Demographic Fact Book released by Department of Household Registration, Ministry of the Interior, Republic of China to estimate the availability index of men and women in 2008 and 2021 based on which to explore the age difference and variation of mate selection opportunity, and further to investigate the future mate selection opportunity. The study shows five investigations:（1）The availability index of never married men in 2008 compares higher than that of not married men, whereas the availability index of never married women compares lower than that of not married women.（2）The availability index of never married men before their age of 32 in 2021 compares lower than that of not married men; the index, however, shows a reversal result for age over 32. The availability index of never married women before their age of 35 compares higher than that of not married women, but when the age is over 35, there is little remarkable difference between these two.（3）In terms of the availability index of both men and women in the two respective year by comparison, the women before their age of 30 are higher than those of men in 2008 and 2021. When the age is over 30 for women, the index keeps declining, even lower than that of men. The availability index shows a steady decline for men who are over their mate selection period; after their age of 45, the index, however, rebounds.（4）As to the availability index of never married and not married men in the two respective year, it shows a various index before 40 in 2008 and 2021; After 40, it shows a high mate selection opportunity. On the other hand, the availability index of never married and not married women in the two respective year, it shows a high mate selection opportunity before their age of 28 in 2021, but when it comes to age after 28, there is no major difference in the two respective year. （5）Comparison on the mate selection opportunity, the availability index of not married men compares much higher in 2021 than in 2008, whereas not much difference for women before 30 in the two respective year, and as for age after 30, the opportunity compares much higher in 2008 than in 2021.
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Chen, Ming-Yuan y 陳明源. "An error concealment technique based on JPEG-2000 and projections onto convex sets". Thesis, 2005. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/40295568058109442697.
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碩士國立東華大學
資訊工程學系
93
Abstract Error concealment is an effective mechanism to reconstruct the missing blocks in an image. In general, missing blocks can be reconstructed by utilizing correct neighboring blocks. If neighboring blocks are also damaged, the reconstructed quality is not satisfactory. In this thesis, we propose an error concealment technique based on ROI (region of interest) embedding. The ROI of image contains the human-interested information and is the most important area. As we know, the JPEG-2000 and MPEG -4 standards support the ROI coding. In our proposed technique, several copies of ROI are embedded into ROB (region of background) for reconstructing ROI in corrupted image. Even if all ROI are damaged, the ROI still can be reconstructed by extracting information embedded in ROB. Although JPEG-2000 stream of ROI is embedded into ROB, it is invisible to the human eyes. Simulation results show the original image only has a little bit distortion after embedding JPEG-2000 stream of ROI. The reconstructed image also has high visual quality and PSNR value. Compared with traditional techniques, the proposed technique outperforms the existing techniques especially in the performance of ROI.
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Malloch, Steven Philip. "Water availability for the Central Arizona Project a projection for 1985-2040 /". 1986. http://etd.library.arizona.edu/etd/GetFileServlet?file=file:///data1/pdf/etd/azu_e9791_1986_563_sip1_w.pdf&type=application/pdf.
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"Combined [eta][infinity]/LQG control via the optimal projection equations : on minimizing the LQG cost bound". Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Laboratory for Information and Decision Systems, 1991. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/1211.
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Denis Mustafa.Includes bibliographical references (p. 12-13).
In title [eta] is original Greek letter and [infinity] is symbol. "September 5, 1990, Revised January 18, 1991." Caption title.
Research supported by Commonwealth Fund under its Harness Fellowships Program. Research supported by the AFOSR. AFOSR-89-0276
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Nicholson, Wesley E. "An analysis of regional log and lumber production costs in Canada, with projections to 2030 /". 1986. http://hdl.handle.net/1957/10354.
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Fernández, Cassio Luiselli. "Towards environmental sustainability in the metropolitan zone of Mexico City : indicators and projections to 2030". Thesis, 2002. http://hdl.handle.net/10500/813.
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This thesis develops quantitative indicators of environmental sustainability for Mexico City
and its metropolitan zone of influence (MCMZ). These indicators of sustainability were
developed by taking into account seven key variables for the urban environment: the water
supply situation, air pollution, transportation and roads, energy, solid wastes, the housing
supply and green areas. Based on these indicators and the history of the city's physical
evolution since it was founded seven centuries ago, a desirable type of urban form is
proposed, one in which there is a "decentralized concentration" which would allow Mexico
City to approach sustainability in a time frame that concludes in or about the year 2030.
Accordingly, the thesis proposes urban policy measures that, while addressing issues of
sustainability, permit Mexico City to face the challenges of globalisation, which would
entail transforming it into a "global city'' within a worldwide network of great cities. The
urban policy and environmental measures that are recommended anticipate the largest
economic, demographic and technological changes that will affect Mexico City, but are
above all in harmony with the natural ecosystems of the elevated endorheic basin in which
it lies. They do no call for a break with or the alteration of the city's natural landscape or its
already constructed historical patrimony and, when possible, they presuppose a new
sustainable hydraulic model, capable of restoring lakes and recharging the underground
aquifer. Finally, a great deal of emphasis is placed on the recuperation of green areas in
accordance with the basin's original natural vegetation.Geography
D.Litt. et Phil. (Geography)
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Weaver, Timothy A. "Video Installation Design: Appropriation and Assemblage As Projection Surface Geometry". Thesis, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/ETD-TAMU-2010-05-7949.
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This area of research focuses on the use of video projections in the context of fine art. Emphasis is placed on creating a unique video installation work that incorporates assemblage and appropriation as a means to develop multiple complex geometrical surfaces for video projection. The purpose of this research is to document a working process within a pre-defined set of guidelines that is influenced from my past work and the study of other artist?s prior work. Research includes the demonstration of the entire working process to create this original work and recommendations for future artists who wish to work in this medium.
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Chang, Hung-Wei y 張宏瑋. "Projecting the Number of Dialysis Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease in Taiwan to the Year 2020". Thesis, 2011. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/45181832759915112239.
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碩士國立臺灣大學
健康政策與管理研究所
99
The worldwide patients with end-stage renal disease are increasing and are estimated that there will be over two million patients in 2020. According to the United States Renal Data System 2010 Annual Report, Taiwan ranks first in the world in the incidence and the prevalence of end-stage renal disease. Moreover, the medical expenses will be under pressure by the increasing patients in Taiwan. Statistics from Bureau of National Health Insurance, Department of Health, Executive Yuan in 2010 indicated that the expenses of dialysis therapy contributed 7.88% of the total medical expenditure, but the patients on dialysis only accounted for 0.27% of the total population in Taiwan. Indeed, spending of the medical expenditure was at great expense of that the average expenses for one patient on dialysis is 26.4-fold than for any other person. Thus, the purpose of the present research is to use the historical data of the incidence and the prevalence to project the number of dialysis patients with end-stage renal disease in the year 2020, and then to help the Department of Health to optimize the budget and resource allocation and the prevention and control of the spread of end-stage renal disease. In the present study, 114,996 patients with end-stage renal disease who were on dialysis for over continuous four months were chosen from National Health Insurance Research Database of 1997 to 2009. The prediction of incidence was estimated using autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA), and the mortality was recorded by year to speculate the prevalence until 2020. The projecting number of patients with end-stage renal disease in 2020 using ARIMA (0, 3, 3) and ARIMA (p, d, q)better in 2008, respectively. The average year increase rate from 2009 to 2020 estimated by ARIMA (0, 3, 3) and ARIMA (p, d, q)better were 4.79% and 4.67%, respectively. The predicted prevalence in 2020 were 102,145 and 99,688 people speculated by ARIMA (0, 3, 3) + mortality and ARIMA (p, d, q)better + mortality, respectively, which were 1.7-fold than in 2008, and the year increase rate of prevalence were 4.85% and 4.68%. Patients with diabetic nephropathy are the major contributors to the increase of the number of patients with end-stage renal disease. Based on the present prediction in 2020, there will be over 80% of patients on dialysis come from the patients with diabetes, and the patients with diabetic nephropathy will take almost 60% in the prevalence. Thus, efficiently lowering the number of patients with end-stage renal disease could depend on preventing course of disease into the end-stage by controlling actively the development of chronic kidney disease (CKD) which runs in the patients with diabetes.
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Pearce, Amy Russell. "Functional and ultrastructural development of the thalamic projection to visual cortex in the wallaby (Macropus eugenii)". Phd thesis, 2000. http://hdl.handle.net/1885/148119.
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Golyari, Sara. "Modeling and Numerical Simulation of the clot detachment from a blood vessel wall". Thèse, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/1866/20201.
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Botequim, Brigite Roxo. "O desafio do desenvolvimento rural num contexto de mudança demográfica: Lezíria do Tejo 2001-2021". Master's thesis, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10362/2641.
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Dissertação apresentada como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Estatística e Gestão de InformaçãoPara se efectuar a Projecção Demográfica, como se propôs realizar nesta investigação, foi questão essencial avaliar, numa primeira fase, os recentes desenvolvimentos demográficos na Lezíria do Tejo, Sub- região estatística NUT III, pondo em prática os principais métodos e técnicas que se encontram ao dispor da demografia, para análise dos aspectos globais de partida: os ritmos de crescimento, as estruturas demográficas e as Taxas Brutas. Numa segunda fase, prospectivar a evolução da população para a região, tendo em linha de conta que se parte de um cenário de base natural, com recurso a dados oficiais do XIVº Recenseamento Geral da População de 2001, fixando uma hipótese para as componentes mortalidade e fecundidade, de modo a avaliar o impacto de cenários de atracção e repulsão, reforçando o papel determinante do fenómeno migrações na estrutura da população. O Cenário de atracção explicará com mais certezas metodológicas a provável evolução da dinâmica desta população no horizonte temporal 2001 a 2021, aspecto relevante para as actuações concertadas ao nível do desenvolvimento sustentável da região. A situação de “duplo envelhecimento” parece ser determinante nesta alteração de tendências e os baixos níveis de fecundidade dificilmente modificáveis num horizonte próximo. Para se atingir, os objectivos propostos, foi, fundamental, contextualizar ao longo do século XX, as tendências do desenvolvimento rural aliado ao problema do envelhecimento, com o intuito de melhor se compreender a tendência futura e o grande contraste entre gerações actuais de idosos e as gerações vindouras numa região onde o sector primário ainda tem peso no contexto nacional. Com uma caracterização, segundo o método das componentes por coortes da estrutura da população em 2021, abre-se um campo de actuação em áreas que carecerão de maior intervenção e disponibiliza-se uma ferramenta para apoiar decisões futuras quanto à gestão sustentável dos espaços agro-florestais da região, assumindo um papel estruturante para a competitividade e qualidade de vida do mundo rural português.
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Arzouni, Nibal. "Performance Analysis between Two Sparsity Constrained MRI Methods: Highly Constrained Backprojection(HYPR) and Compressed Sensing(CS) for Dynamic Imaging". Thesis, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/ETD-TAMU-2010-08-8449.
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One of the most important challenges in dynamic magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is to achieve high spatial and temporal resolution when it is limited by system performance. It is desirable to acquire data fast enough to capture the dynamics in the image time series without losing high spatial resolution and signal to noise ratio. Many techniques have been introduced in the recent decades to achieve this goal. Newly developed algorithms like Highly Constrained Backprojection (HYPR) and Compressed Sensing (CS) reconstruct images from highly undersampled data using constraints. Using these algorithms, it is possible to achieve high temporal resolution in the dynamic image time series with high spatial resolution and signal to noise ratio (SNR). In this thesis we have analyzed the performance of HYPR to CS algorithm. In assessing the reconstructed image quality, we considered computation time, spatial resolution, noise amplification factors, and artifact power (AP) using the same number of views in both algorithms, and that number is below the Nyquist requirement. In the simulations performed, CS always provides higher spatial resolution than HYPR, but it is limited by computation time in image reconstruction and SNR when compared to HYPR. HYPR performs better than CS in terms of SNR and computation time when the images are sparse enough. However, HYPR suffers from streaking artifacts when it comes to less sparse image data.
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Moreira, Maria de Fátima Carvalho. "O envelhecimento da população e o seu impacto na habitação – Prospectiva até 2050". Master's thesis, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10362/2639.
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Dissertação apresentada como requisito
parcial para obtenção do grau de
Mestre em Estatística e Gestão de InformaçãoA questão da habitação para as pessoas e para as famílias, nomeadamente a capacidade do parque habitacional se adequar às características físicas da população, é um problema vasto que não se esgota na observação do número de alojamentos disponíveis. Com o aumento da esperança de vida, a ligação entre o envelhecimento demográfico e o alojamento torna-se uma questão da maior actualidade, que se coloca a níveis diferenciados. Este fenómeno afigura-se irreversível e o seu impacto na população portuguesa só poderá ser levemente atenuado se ocorrer um aumento dos níveis de fecundidade ou de saldos migratórios, sendo improvável que aconteça uma diminuição ou abrandamento no aumento da esperança de vida. A estrutura etária da população portuguesa irá envelhecer nas próximas décadas. Segundo o INE, no horizonte 2010-2050, o total de pessoas com mais de 60 anos irá ter um aumento superior a 40%, ultrapassando os três milhões, enquanto a população com mais de 75 anos sofrerá um acréscimo que rondará os 80%. Em simultâneo, o cruzamento de dados demográficos com dados sobre habitação revela-nos que os alojamentos existentes têm crescido nos últimos anos, mesmo em regiões que registaram perdas populacionais. A composição e a dimensão das famílias merecem também uma análise pormenorizada, podendo argumentar-se que a relação entre o número de alojamentos e de habitantes se encontra em mudança, devido às transformações na estrutura familiar. Com efeito, o número de famílias tem vindo a aumentar rapidamente, enquanto a dimensão média das mesmas tem vindo a diminuir.(...)
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Kittelmann, Maike. "Synaptic Ultrastructure and Regulation of Synaptic Transmission in Caenorhabditis elegans". Doctoral thesis, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-1735-0000-000D-F0C7-D.
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