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1

Chen, Yi ting. "Random generation of executions of concurrent systems." Electronic Thesis or Diss., Sorbonne université, 2022. https://accesdistant.sorbonne-universite.fr/login?url=https://theses-intra.sorbonne-universite.fr/2022SORUS071.pdf.

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La concurrence joue un rôle important dans les systèmes et la programmation modernes. Il révèle le phénomène selon lequel plusieurs calculs s'exécutent simultanément. Ces exécutions entrelacées entraînent le "problème d'explosion d'états". Dans cette thèse, nous visons à construire un cadre probabiliste sur les exécutions de systèmes concurrents à des fins de génération aléatoire. La mesure uniforme des exécutions s'inspire des monoïdes de traces définis sur des traces infinies. La théorie des traces a une solide base combinatoire autour du polynôme de Möbius. L'irréductibilité des monoïdes de
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2

Yildirak, Sahap Kasirga. "The Identificaton Of A Bivariate Markov Chain Market Model." Phd thesis, METU, 2004. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/1257898/index.pdf.

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This work is an extension of the classical Cox-Ross-Rubinstein discrete time market model in which only one risky asset is considered. We introduce another risky asset into the model. Moreover, the random structure of the asset price sequence is generated by bivariate finite state Markov chain. Then, the interest rate varies over time as it is the function of generating sequences. We discuss how the model can be adapted to the real data. Finally, we illustrate sample implementations to give a better idea about the use of the model.
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3

Lindahl, John, and Douglas Persson. "Data-driven test case design of automatic test cases using Markov chains and a Markov chain Monte Carlo method." Thesis, Malmö universitet, Fakulteten för teknik och samhälle (TS), 2021. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:mau:diva-43498.

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Large and complex software that is frequently changed leads to testing challenges. It is well established that the later a fault is detected in software development, the more it costs to fix. This thesis aims to research and develop a method of generating relevant and non-redundant test cases for a regression test suite, to catch bugs as early in the development process as possible. The research was executed at Axis Communications AB with their products and systems in mind. The approach utilizes user data to dynamically generate a Markov chain model and with a Markov chain Monte Carlo method,
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4

Bakra, Eleni. "Aspects of population Markov chain Monte Carlo and reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo." Thesis, University of Glasgow, 2009. http://theses.gla.ac.uk/1247/.

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5

Holenstein, Roman. "Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo." Thesis, University of British Columbia, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/2429/7319.

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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods have emerged as the two main tools to sample from high-dimensional probability distributions. Although asymptotic convergence of MCMC algorithms is ensured under weak assumptions, the performance of these latters is unreliable when the proposal distributions used to explore the space are poorly chosen and/or if highly correlated variables are updated independently. In this thesis we propose a new Monte Carlo framework in which we build efficient high-dimensional proposal distributions using SMC methods. This allows us to
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6

Byrd, Jonathan Michael Robert. "Parallel Markov Chain Monte Carlo." Thesis, University of Warwick, 2010. http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/3634/.

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The increasing availability of multi-core and multi-processor architectures provides new opportunities for improving the performance of many computer simulations. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations are widely used for approximate counting problems, Bayesian inference and as a means for estimating very highdimensional integrals. As such MCMC has found a wide variety of applications in fields including computational biology and physics,financial econometrics, machine learning and image processing. This thesis presents a number of new method for reducing the runtime of Markov Chain Monte
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7

Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia, Stefan Pittner, Andrea Weber, and Rudolf Winter-Ebmer. "Analysing plant closure effects using time-varying mixture-of-experts Markov chain clustering." Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/17-AOAS1132.

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In this paper we study data on discrete labor market transitions from Austria. In particular, we follow the careers of workers who experience a job displacement due to plant closure and observe - over a period of 40 quarters - whether these workers manage to return to a steady career path. To analyse these discrete-valued panel data, we apply a new method of Bayesian Markov chain clustering analysis based on inhomogeneous first order Markov transition processes with time-varying transition matrices. In addition, a mixtureof- experts approach allows us to model the probability of belong
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8

Michalaros, Anastasios. "Engagement of Individual Performance in the Application of Markov Chains Models in Hellenic Navys Chain of Command." Thesis, Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10945/6835.

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The recent financial-crisis that Greece (Hellas) suffers has restricted and reduced the budgets of many organizations. Among those, the Hellenic ministry of defense has begun examining ways to reduce costs while maintaining operational readiness. Retirement legislation is the first area the Hellenic ministry of defense is examining. Variables such as years of service required to receive a pension, years of service by pay grade, and the skills officers should possess for promotion were examined and recorded in ordinances (directives) issued by the president of the Hellenic Republic. However, th
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9

Planting, Ralf. "The use of the DWV3 classification system in manufacturing companies for evaluating a market-specific supply chain strategy - A case study at Atlas Copco Industrial Technique." Thesis, KTH, Industriell ekonomi och organisation (Inst.), 2012. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-103925.

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The research topic of this study is market-specific supply chain strategy, and the research problem is defined as, how manufacturing companies can use the DWV3 classification system to evaluate the opportunity for a market-specific supply chain strategy. What has been written about the DWV3 classification system is somewhat general in its nature and the practitioner is left without detailed instructions on how to proceed with the analytical analysis. Key elements of the DWV3 classification system that is not explicitly described in the literature is (1) how to measure each of the classificatio
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10

Martin, Russell Andrew. "Paths, sampling, and markov chain decomposition." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2001. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/29383.

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11

Estandia, Gonzalez Luna Antonio. "Stable approximations for Markov-chain filters." Thesis, Imperial College London, 1987. http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/38303.

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12

Zhang, Yichuan. "Scalable geometric Markov chain Monte Carlo." Thesis, University of Edinburgh, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/1842/20978.

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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is one of the most popular statistical inference methods in machine learning. Recent work shows that a significant improvement of the statistical efficiency of MCMC on complex distributions can be achieved by exploiting geometric properties of the target distribution. This is known as geometric MCMC. However, many such methods, like Riemannian manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RMHMC), are computationally challenging to scale up to high dimensional distributions. The primary goal of this thesis is to develop novel geometric MCMC methods applicable to large-scale
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13

Fang, Youhan. "Efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods." Thesis, Purdue University, 2018. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=10809188.

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<p> Generating random samples from a prescribed distribution is one of the most important and challenging problems in machine learning, Bayesian statistics, and the simulation of materials. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are usually the required tool for this task, if the desired distribution is known only up to a multiplicative constant. Samples produced by an MCMC method are real values in <i>N</i>-dimensional space, called the configuration space. The distribution of such samples converges to the target distribution in the limit. However, existing MCMC methods still face many chall
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14

Chotard, Alexandre. "Markov chain Analysis of Evolution Strategies." Thesis, Paris 11, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015PA112230/document.

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Cette thèse contient des preuves de convergence ou de divergence d'algorithmes d'optimisation appelés stratégies d'évolution (ESs), ainsi que le développement d'outils mathématiques permettant ces preuves.Les ESs sont des algorithmes d'optimisation stochastiques dits ``boîte noire'', i.e. où les informations sur la fonction optimisée se réduisent aux valeurs qu'elle associe à des points. En particulier, le gradient de la fonction est inconnu. Des preuves de convergence ou de divergence de ces algorithmes peuvent être obtenues via l'analyse de chaînes de Markov sous-jacentes à ces algorithmes.
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15

Neuhoff, Daniel. "Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo." Doctoral thesis, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.18452/17461.

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Die vier in der vorliegenden Dissertation enthaltenen Studien beschäftigen sich vorwiegend mit dem dynamischen Verhalten makroökonomischer Zeitreihen. Diese Dynamiken werden sowohl im Kontext eines einfachen DSGE Modells, als auch aus der Sichtweise reiner Zeitreihenmodelle untersucht.<br>The four studies of this thesis are concerned predominantly with the dynamics of macroeconomic time series, both in the context of a simple DSGE model, as well as from a pure time series modeling perspective.
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16

Skorniakov, Viktor. "Asymptotically homogeneous Markov chains." Doctoral thesis, Lithuanian Academic Libraries Network (LABT), 2010. http://vddb.laba.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2010~D_20101223_152954-43357.

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In the dissertation there is investigated a class of Markov chains defined by iterations of a function possessing a property of asymptotical homogeneity. Two problems are solved: 1) there are established rather general conditions under which the chain has unique stationary distribution; 2) for the chains evolving in a real line there are established conditions under which the stationary distribution of the chain is heavy-tailed.<br>Disertacijoje tirta Markovo grandinių klasė, kurios iteracijos nusakomos atsitiktinėmis asimptotiškai homogeninėmis funkcijomis, ir išspręsti du uždaviniai: 1) sura
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17

Bhatnagar, Nayantara. "Annealing and Tempering for Sampling and Counting." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/16323.

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The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method has been widely used in practice since the 1950's in areas such as biology, statistics, and physics. However, it is only in the last few decades that powerful techniques for obtaining rigorous performance guarantees with respect to the running time have been developed. Today, with only a few notable exceptions, most known algorithms for approximately uniform sampling and approximate counting rely on the MCMC method. This thesis focuses on algorithms that use MCMC combined with an algorithm from optimization called simulated annealing, for sampling and
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18

Webb, Jared Anthony. "A Topics Analysis Model for Health Insurance Claims." BYU ScholarsArchive, 2013. https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/etd/3805.

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Mathematical probability has a rich theory and powerful applications. Of particular note is the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for sampling from high dimensional distributions that may not admit a naive analysis. We develop the theory of the MCMC method from first principles and prove its relevance. We also define a Bayesian hierarchical model for generating data. By understanding how data are generated we may infer hidden structure about these models. We use a specific MCMC method called a Gibbs' sampler to discover topic distributions in a hierarchical Bayesian model called Topics Ov
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19

Matthews, James. "Markov chains for sampling matchings." Thesis, University of Edinburgh, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/1842/3072.

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Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are often used to sample combinatorial structures such as matchings and independent sets in graphs. A Markov chain is defined whose state space includes the desired sample space, and which has an appropriate stationary distribution. By simulating the chain for a sufficiently large number of steps, we can sample from a distribution arbitrarily close to the stationary distribution. The number of steps required to do this is known as the mixing time of the Markov chain. In this thesis, we consider a number of Markov chains for sampling matchings, both in genera
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20

Murray, Iain Andrew. "Advances in Markov chain Monte Carlo methods." Thesis, University College London (University of London), 2007. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.487199.

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Probability distributions over many variables occur frequently in Bayesian inference, statistical physics and simulation studies. Samples from distributions give insight into their typical behavior and can allow approximation of any quantity of interest, such as expectations or normalizing constants. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), introduced by Metropolis et al. (1953), allows r sampling from distributions with intractable normalization, and remains one of most important tools for approximate computation with probability distributions. I While not needed by MCMC, normalizers are key quantiti
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21

Han, Xiao-liang. "Markov Chain Monte Carlo and sampling efficiency." Thesis, University of Bristol, 1992. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.333974.

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22

Fan, Yanan. "Efficient implementation of Markov chain Monte Carlo." Thesis, University of Bristol, 2001. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.343307.

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23

Brooks, Stephen Peter. "Convergence diagnostics for Markov Chain Monte Carlo." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 1996. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.363913.

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24

Graham, Matthew McKenzie. "Auxiliary variable Markov chain Monte Carlo methods." Thesis, University of Edinburgh, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/1842/28962.

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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a widely applicable class of algorithms for estimating integrals in statistical inference problems. A common approach in MCMC methods is to introduce additional auxiliary variables into the Markov chain state and perform transitions in the joint space of target and auxiliary variables. In this thesis we consider novel methods for using auxiliary variables within MCMC methods to allow approximate inference in otherwise intractable models and to improve sampling performance in models exhibiting challenging properties such as multimodality. We first con
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25

Hua, Zhili. "Markov Chain Modeling for Multi-Server Clusters." W&M ScholarWorks, 2005. https://scholarworks.wm.edu/etd/1539626843.

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26

Cho, Eun Hea. "Computation for Markov Chains." NCSU, 2000. http://www.lib.ncsu.edu/theses/available/etd-20000303-164550.

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<p>A finite, homogeneous, irreducible Markov chain $\mC$ with transitionprobability matrix possesses a unique stationary distribution vector. The questions one can pose in the area of computation of Markov chains include the following:<br>- How does one compute the stationary distributions? <br>- How accurate is the resulting answer? <br>In this thesis, we try to provide answers to these questions. <br><br>The thesis is divided in two parts. The first part deals with the perturbation theory of finite, homogeneous, irreducible Markov Chains, which is related to the first question above. The pur
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27

Dessain, Thomas James. "Perturbations of Markov chains." Thesis, Durham University, 2014. http://etheses.dur.ac.uk/10619/.

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This thesis is concerned with studying the hitting time of an absorbing state on Markov chain models that have a countable state space. For many models it is challenging to study the hitting time directly; I present a perturbative approach that allows one to uniformly bound the difference between the hitting time moment generating functions of two Markov chains in a neighbourhood of the origin. I demonstrate how this result can be applied to both discrete and continuous time Markov chains. The motivation for this work came from the field of biology, namely DNA damage and repair. Biophysicists
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28

Tiozzo, Gobetto Francesca. "Finite state Markov chains and prediction of stock market trends using real data." Bachelor's thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2019. http://amslaurea.unibo.it/19255/.

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In this thesis we discuss finite state Markov chains, which are a special class of stochastic processes. They can be represented either by a graph or by a matrix [P]. The reader is first introduced to Markov chains and is then guided in their classification. Some relevant theorems are discussed. The results are used to explain when [P^n], the matrix obtained by taking the nth power of [P], converges as n approaches infinity. We start by studying the convergence in the case of [P] > 0 and we continue by focusing on two specific kinds of Markov chains: ergodic finite state chains and ergodic u
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29

郭慈安 and Chi-on Michael Kwok. "Some results on higher order Markov Chain models." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 1988. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31208654.

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30

Kwok, Chi-on Michael. "Some results on higher order Markov Chain models /." [Hong Kong] : University of Hong Kong, 1988. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record.jsp?B12432076.

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31

Di, Cecco Davide <1980&gt. "Markov exchangeable data and mixtures of Markov Chains." Doctoral thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2009. http://amsdottorato.unibo.it/1547/1/Di_Cecco_Davide_Tesi.pdf.

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32

Di, Cecco Davide <1980&gt. "Markov exchangeable data and mixtures of Markov Chains." Doctoral thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2009. http://amsdottorato.unibo.it/1547/.

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33

Levitz, Michael. "Separation, completeness, and Markov properties for AMP chain graph models /." Thesis, Connect to this title online; UW restricted, 2000. http://hdl.handle.net/1773/9564.

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34

edu, rdlyons@indiana. "Markov Chain Intersections and the Loop--Erased Walk." ESI preprints, 2001. ftp://ftp.esi.ac.at/pub/Preprints/esi1058.ps.

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35

Stormark, Kristian. "Multiple Proposal Strategies for Markov Chain Monte Carlo." Thesis, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Department of Mathematical Sciences, 2006. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:no:ntnu:diva-9330.

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<p>The multiple proposal methods represent a recent simulation technique for Markov Chain Monte Carlo that allows several proposals to be considered at each step of transition. Motivated by the ideas of Quasi Monte Carlo integration, we examine how strongly correlated proposals can be employed to construct Markov chains with improved mixing properties. We proceed by giving a concise introduction to the Monte Carlo and Markov Chain Monte Carlo theory, and we supply a short discussion of the standard simulation algorithms and the difficulties of efficient sampling. We then examine two multipl
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36

Backåker, Fredrik. "The Google Markov Chain: convergence speed and eigenvalues." Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Matematisk statistik, 2012. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-176610.

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37

Sanborn, Adam N. "Uncovering mental representations with Markov chain Monte Carlo." [Bloomington, Ind.] : Indiana University, 2007. http://gateway.proquest.com/openurl?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:dissertation&res_dat=xri:pqdiss&rft_dat=xri:pqdiss:3278468.

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Thesis (Ph.D.)--Indiana University, Dept. of Psychological and Brain Sciences and Program in Neuroscience, 2007.<br>Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 68-10, Section: B, page: 6994. Adviser: Richard M. Shiffrin. Title from dissertation home page (viewed May 21, 2008).
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38

Suzuki, Yuya. "Rare-event Simulation with Markov Chain Monte Carlo." Thesis, KTH, Matematisk statistik, 2013. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-138950.

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In this thesis, we consider random sums with heavy-tailed increments. By the term random sum, we mean a sum of random variables where the number of summands is also random. Our interest is to analyse the tail behaviour of random sums and to construct an efficient method to calculate quantiles. For the sake of efficiency, we simulate rare-events (tail-events) using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. The asymptotic behaviour of sum and the maximum of heavy-tailed random sums is identical. Therefore we compare random sum and maximum value for various distributions, to investigate from whic
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39

Gudmundsson, Thorbjörn. "Rare-event simulation with Markov chain Monte Carlo." Doctoral thesis, KTH, Matematisk statistik, 2015. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-157522.

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Stochastic simulation is a popular method for computing probabilities or expecta- tions where analytical answers are difficult to derive. It is well known that standard methods of simulation are inefficient for computing rare-event probabilities and there- fore more advanced methods are needed to those problems. This thesis presents a new method based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to effectively compute the probability of a rare event. The conditional distri- bution of the underlying process given that the rare event occurs has the probability of the rare event as its normalisin
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40

Jindasawat, Jutaporn. "Testing the order of a Markov chain model." Thesis, University of Newcastle Upon Tyne, 2008. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.446197.

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41

Hastie, David. "Towards automatic reversible jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo." Thesis, University of Bristol, 2005. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.414179.

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42

Groff, Jeffrey R. "Markov chain models of calcium puffs and sparks." W&M ScholarWorks, 2008. https://scholarworks.wm.edu/etd/1539623333.

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Localized cytosolic Ca2+ elevations known as puffs and sparks are important regulators of cellular function that arise due to the cooperative activity of Ca2+-regulated inositol 1,4,5-trisphosphate receptors (IP3Rs) or ryanodine receptors (RyRs) co-localized at Ca2+ release sites on the surface of the endoplasmic reticulum or sarcoplasmic reticulum. Theoretical studies have demonstrated that the cooperative gating of a cluster of Ca2+-regulated Ca 2+ channels modeled as a continuous-time discrete-state Markov chain may result in dynamics reminiscent of Ca2+ puffs and sparks. In such simulation
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43

Guha, Subharup. "Benchmark estimation for Markov Chain Monte Carlo samplers." The Ohio State University, 2004. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1085594208.

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44

Li, Shuying. "Phylogenetic tree construction using markov chain monte carlo /." The Ohio State University, 1996. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1487942182323916.

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45

Xu, Jason Qian. "Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Non-Reversible Methods." Thesis, The University of Arizona, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/244823.

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The bulk of Markov chain Monte Carlo applications make use of reversible chains, relying on the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm or similar methods. While reversible chains have the advantage of being relatively easy to analyze, it has been shown that non-reversible chains may outperform them in various scenarios. Neal proposes an algorithm that transforms a general reversible chain into a non-reversible chain with a construction that does not increase the asymptotic variance. These modified chains work to avoid diffusive backtracking behavior which causes Markov chains to be trapped in one posit
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46

Zhu, Dongmei, and 朱冬梅. "Construction of non-standard Markov chain models with applications." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10722/202358.

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In this thesis, the properties of some non-standard Markov chain models and their corresponding parameter estimation methods are investigated. Several practical applications and extensions are also discussed. The estimation of model parameters plays a key role in the real-world applications of Markov chain models. Some widely used estimation methods for Markov chain models are based on the existence of stationary vectors. In this thesis, some weaker sufficient conditions for the existence of stationary vectors for highorder Markov chain models, multivariate Markov chain models and high-orde
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47

Wilson, David Bruce. "Exact sampling with Markov chains." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1996. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/38402.

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48

Mestern, Mark Andrew. "Distributed analysis of Markov chains." Master's thesis, University of Cape Town, 1998. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/9693.

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Bibliography: leaves 88-91.<br>This thesis examines how parallel and distributed algorithms can increase the power of techniques for correctness and performance analysis of concurrent systems. The systems in question are state transition systems from which Markov chains can be derived. Both phases of the analysis pipeline are considered: state space generation from a state transition model to form the Markov chain and finding performance information by solving the steady state equations of the Markov Chain. The state transition models are specified in a general interface language which can descr
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49

Salzman, Julia. "Spectral analysis with Markov chains /." May be available electronically:, 2007. http://proquest.umi.com/login?COPT=REJTPTU1MTUmSU5UPTAmVkVSPTI=&clientId=12498.

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50

Dorff, Rebecca. "Modelling Infertility with Markov Chains." BYU ScholarsArchive, 2013. https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/etd/4070.

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Infertility affects approximately 15% of couples. Testing and interventions are costly, in time, money, and emotional energy. This paper will discuss using Markov decision and multi-armed bandit processes to identify a systematic approach of interventions that will lead to the desired baby while minimizing costs.
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