Tesis sobre el tema "Global population"
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Alvarez, Luis Emilio. "Radiation dose to the global flying population". Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/103443.
Texto completoCataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 57-60).
Civil airliner passengers and crew are exposed to elevated levels of radiation relative to being at sea level. Previous studies have assessed the radiation dose received in particular cases or for cohort studies. Here we present the first estimate of the total radiation dose received by the worldwide civilian flying population. We simulated flights globally from 2000 to 2013 using schedule data, applying a radiation propagation code to estimate the dose associated with each flight. Passengers flying in Europe and North America exceed the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) annual dose limits at an annual average of 510 or 420 flight hours per year, respectively. However, this falls to 160 or 120 hours on specific routes under maximum exposure conditions.
by Luis Emilio Alvarez.
S.M.
Garcia-Carreras, Bernardo. "Global effects of climate change on animal population dynamics". Thesis, Imperial College London, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/14695.
Texto completoLutz, Wolfgang y Samir KC. "Dimensions of global population projections: what do we know about future population trends and structures?" The Royal Society, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2010.0133.
Texto completoLiddle, Brantley T. (Brantley Thomas). "The environment-development-population system : a treatment of global sustainability". Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1998. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/10004.
Texto completoIncludes bibliographical references (v. 2, p. [268]-278).
by Brantley T. Liddle.
Ph.D.
Mishra, Amrit Kumar. "Global change effects on seagrass ecosystem". Thesis, University of Plymouth, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/10026.1/11296.
Texto completoDodgson, Richard Paul. "The women's health movement and the international conference on population and development : global social movement, population and the changing nature of international relations". Thesis, University of Newcastle Upon Tyne, 1998. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.285376.
Texto completoFitzpatrick, S. F. "Global population genetic structure of the pelagic blue shark (Prionace glauca)". Thesis, Queen's University Belfast, 2012. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.557408.
Texto completoSaebelfeld, Manja [Verfasser]. "Community and population dynamics in lakes under global change / Manja Saebelfeld". Berlin : Freie Universität Berlin, 2017. http://d-nb.info/1149050667/34.
Texto completoWebb, Michael William S. M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. "Population strategies to decrease sodium intake : a global cost-effectiveness analysis". Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/84846.
Texto completoCataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 69-77).
Excessive sodium consumption is both prevalent and very costly in many countries around the world. Recent research has found that more than 90% of the world's adult population live in countries with mean intakes exceeding the World Health Organization's recommendation, and that more than a million deaths every year may be attributable to excess sodium. This study uses a simulation model to estimate, for the first time, the cost-effectiveness of government interventions to reduce population sodium consumption in every country in the world. It reveals substantial heterogeneity in cost-effectiveness by country that has never before been identified, and illustrates, also for the first time, the sensitivity of intervention efficacy to the theoretical-minimum-risk exposure distribution of sodium intake. The study makes a number of additional contributions. It offers a comprehensive appraisal of the methodological strengths and limitations of the surveys, imputation models, randomized controlled trials, prospective cohort studies, meta-analyses, and simulation models that together constitute the evidence base for public health recommendations on sodium intake, as well as for this study's own analysis. These methodological issues, some raised for the first time, are evaluated systematically to allow the relative quality of each input to be assessed and to inform prioritization of further research. The study also uses economic theory to ground a discussion of the proper nature and scope of government policies targeting population sodium consumption, and presents an up-to-date survey of sodium reduction initiatives around the world.
by Michael William Webb.
S.M.
Juzak, Damian. "Effect of population characteristics and seasonal variation on anthrax epidemiology". Thesis, Södertörns högskola, Internationell hälsa, 2020. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-41631.
Texto completoAbel, Guy. "Non-zero trajectories for long-run net migration assumptions in global population projection models". Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, 2018. http://epub.wu.ac.at/6387/1/38%2D54.pdf.
Texto completoMurray, Steven James. "Future global water resources with respect to climate change and population dynamics". Thesis, University of Bristol, 2011. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.546185.
Texto completoJaberi, Bouraki Majid. "Behaviors and global dynamics of population models living in periodically fluctuating environments". Doctoral thesis, Université Laval, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11794/20967.
Texto completoMeissen, Emily P., Kehinde R. Salau y Jim M. Cushing. "A global bifurcation theorem for Darwinian matrix models". TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/622524.
Texto completoRodigas, Colleen Shortall. "Assessing Nutritional Risk of the Post-Acute Liver Transplant Population". Diss., The University of Arizona, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/555988.
Texto completoJaberi, Douraki Majid. "Behaviors and Global Dynamics of Population Models Living in a Periodically Fluctuating Environments". Thesis, Université Laval, 2009. http://www.theses.ulaval.ca/2009/26355/26355.pdf.
Texto completoKoenraads, Stijn. "Reduction of the Global Human Population : A Rectificatory Argument based on Environmental Considerations". Thesis, Linköpings universitet, Centrum för tillämpad etik, 2016. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-129026.
Texto completoCanonne, Coline. "Impact des changements globaux sur la dynamique de population des galliformes de montagne". Thesis, Université Paris sciences et lettres, 2020. https://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-03177344.
Texto completoMountains are reservoirs of biodiversity whose strong altitudinal gradients over short distances are associated with strong spatial heterogeneity of local environmental conditions. While biodiversity has so far been rather well preserved in mountains due to poor accessibility, predictions of ongoing climate change suggest even more rapid and marked effects in mountains than in plains. My main objective is to understand how global change are impacting the population dynamics of mountain galliformes. My work has shown (1) a strong heterogeneity of demographic strategies between populations of rock ptarmigan (Lagopus muta) (2) that black grouse populations (Tetrao tetrix) show spatially very heterogeneous trends, influenced by local conditions (3) that for such species that are difficult to count and show strong spatial and interannual variability it is necessary to rely on long-term monitoring to reach a satifactory statistical power to detect a decline
Lutz, Wolfgang. "Global Sustainable Development priorities 500 y after Luther: Sola schola et sanitate". The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, 2017. http://epub.wu.ac.at/6402/1/6904.full.pdf.
Texto completoPerez, Eddy Nelson. "A Human Security Population-Based Approach to Achieve Equity, Solidarity and Gender Sensitivity for the Population Living in Southwestern Bateyes of the Dominican Republic". Scholarly Repository, 2009. http://scholarlyrepository.miami.edu/oa_dissertations/418.
Texto completoConway, Carole Anne. "Global population structure of blue whales, Balaenoptera musculus ssp., based on nuclear genetic variation /". Restricted to UC campuses, 2005. http://bibpurl.oclc.org/web/21163.
Texto completoPecoraro, Carlo <1986>. "Global Population Genomic Structure and Life History Trait Analysis of Yellowfin Tuna (Thunnus Albacares)". Doctoral thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2016. http://amsdottorato.unibo.it/7537/.
Texto completoHadjistylli, Margarita, George K. Roderick y Judith K. Brown. "Global Population Structure of a Worldwide Pest and Virus Vector: Genetic Diversity and Population History of the Bemisia tabaci Sibling Species Group". PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/622407.
Texto completoGraymore, Michelle y n/a. "Journey to Sustainability: Small Regions, Sustainable Carrying Capacity and Sustainability Assessment Methods". Griffith University. Australian School of Environmental Studies, 2005. http://www4.gu.edu.au:8080/adt-root/public/adt-QGU20060303.132137.
Texto completoGraymore, Michelle. "Journey to Sustainability: Small Regions, Sustainable Carrying Capacity and Sustainability Assessment Methods". Thesis, Griffith University, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/10072/367280.
Texto completoThesis (PhD Doctorate)
Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)
Australian School of Environmental Studies
Full Text
Wiréhn, Ann-Britt. "A Data-Rich World : Population‐based registers in healthcare research". Doctoral thesis, Linköpings universitet, Hälsa och samhälle, 2007. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-10207.
Texto completoLutz, Wolfgang, Stuart Basten y Sergei Scherbov. "Very long range global Population Scenarios to 2300 and the Implications of Sustained low Fertility". Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, 2013. http://epub.wu.ac.at/5607/1/28%2D39.pdf.
Texto completoLamkin, Megan K. "The Extent of Contemporary Species Loss and the Effects of Local Extinction in Spatial Population Networks". University of Cincinnati / OhioLINK, 2016. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=ucin1468337029.
Texto completoWisper, Lāsma. "Satisfaction of the full time employed Latvian adult population with general practitioners". Thesis, Högskolan Kristianstad, Fakulteten för hälsovetenskap, 2019. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:hkr:diva-20200.
Texto completoOuayjan, Adib. "Dendroécologie et génétique d'une population de hêtre (Fagus sylvatica) en marge chaude de l'aire de répartition de l'espèce". Thesis, Bordeaux, 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017BORD0798/document.
Texto completoModern climate change is expected to cause a decline of forest tree populations that reside at the current low-latitude margin of species' ranges. Warming and a changing water balance stress are expected to result in reduced tree growth and reproduction and increasing mortality. This doctorate thesis investigates the demographic and genetic structure of a natural beech (Fagus sylvatica) population located in a climate refugium at the species' xeric range margin in SW France. This population persists on the slopes of a karstic canyon along the Ciron River (Gironde), a place that already harboured beech during the past glacial period. The overall goal of the present thesis is to better understand how this refugial population has managed to persist through past climate changes and how it responds to recent global warming.The first thesis chapter assesses the genetic structure and diversity of the entire adult tree population (n = 932) to infer its postglacial history. The study reveals that the stand consists of two genetic clusters with different levels of diversity, which are likely to reflect an ancient local population that is successively being colonized by immigrant genotypes. The second thesis chapter investigates the mating system and patterns of pollen movement within the population by analysing seed progenies from selected mother trees (n = 30). It shows that predominant mating between genetically related neighbours has resulted in a very strong spatial genetic structure, a phenomenon that helps explain the observed slow admixture of the two genetic clusters present in the population. The third thesis chapter performs an extensive dendroecological analysis based on a third of the adult beech population (n = 317), plus 79 Pedunculate oaks (Quercus robur) sampled for comparison. Tree-ring studies and modeling based on climate projections reveal that beech growth has been so far relatively slightly affected in an increasingly xeric climate conditions. A strong increase in radial growth has been shown for beech between 1860 and 1920 that ceased later on. Then growth has declined imperceptibly since the 1980s without showing any accentuated decreasing according to the future climate scenarios data of the region. Fine-scale analyses including carbon stable isotopes show great among-tree heterogeneity in performance (in terms of growth and water use efficiency) that is partly driven by the fine-scale topography of the refugial habitat and might also be influenced to a small extent by the tree genotype.Its combination of dendroecological and molecular ecological research approaches has enabled the thesis to attain important insights into the special character of the Ciron beech population and its performance within a constraining abiotic environment. Such insights represent valuable background information for the conservation and management of this and other refugial forest tree populations in a rapidly changing climate
Gray, Teagen K. "Global Population Structure of the Dusky Shark and Geographic Sourcing of Shark Fins from Commercial Markets". NSUWorks, 2014. http://nsuworks.nova.edu/occ_stuetd/53.
Texto completoHelander, Hanna. "Geographic Disparities in Future Global Food Security : Exploring the Impacts of Population Development and Climate Change". Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Naturresurser och hållbar utveckling, 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-314012.
Texto completoLutz, Wolfgang. "Two statements on population and sustainable development produced by global scientific panels in 2002 and 2012". Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften, 2015. http://epub.wu.ac.at/5401/1/70_VYPR13_037%2D045.pdf.
Texto completoLeone, Agostino. "Genetic characterisation and global comparison of ancient Mediterranean Great White Sharks population (Carcharodon carcharias, L.1758)". Master's thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2013. http://amslaurea.unibo.it/5115/.
Texto completoWang, Xiao. "Langevin, population density and moment-based modeling of local and global aspects of intercellular calcium signaling". W&M ScholarWorks, 2015. https://scholarworks.wm.edu/etd/1539624005.
Texto completoHeming, Meike. "Workplace violence and its association with sleep disturbances in the Swedish working population". Thesis, Stockholms universitet, Institutionen för folkhälsovetenskap, 2020. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-182514.
Texto completoUhre, Andreas Nordang. "On Transnational Actor Participation in Global Environmental Governance". Doctoral thesis, Stockholms universitet, Statsvetenskapliga institutionen, 2013. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-89748.
Texto completoMirella, Veras. "Global Health Competencies for Family Physician Residents, Nursing, Physiotherapy and Occupational Therapy Students: A Province-Wide Study". Thèse, Université d'Ottawa / University of Ottawa, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10393/24924.
Texto completoPeso, Fernández Marcos. "Conservation Planning of the Endangered Pyrenean frog by integratingnatural history, landscape and population genomics under Global Changes Scenarios". Doctoral thesis, Universitat de Barcelona, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/10803/666635.
Texto completoLa rana pirenaica (Rana pyrenaica) es una especie endémica de los Pirineos, que se distribuye principalmente entre Navarra y Aragón, y habita en ríos de montaña. Ha sido catalogada por la IUCN como una especie en Peligro de Extinción, si bien se desconocen muchos aspectos de su biología, historia natural, así como el estado actual de sus poblaciones y distribución precisa. En esta tesis se ha realizado un trabajo de campo intenso que nos ha permitido recabar datos de distribución y densidad poblacional, genética, conectividad espacial y estado de las poblaciones de la rana pirenaica (Rana pyrenaica). En cuanto al estado de conservación, hemos incrementado el área de distribución conocida de esta especie con nuevas localidades, si bien varias poblaciones históricas han desaparecido por causas desconocidas. El tamaño poblacional estimado es bajo en muchas localidades, por lo que la probabilidad de extinción local es elevada. La rana pirenaica es muy homogénea genéticamente, tanto empleando genomas mitocondriales como con marcadores nucleares (SNPs), y ha sufrido un cuello de botella con posterior expansión geográfica desde la última glaciación. Las diferencias entre el núcleo oriental y occidental son mínimas en ADN mitocondrial, y ha existido un flujo genético reciente entre poblaciones a través del pre-Pirineo. En genes nucleares se observa una división poblacional durante el Holoceno en 5 o 6 núcleos genéticamente diferenciados. Los análisis de genética del paisaje sugieren que los principales ríos y desniveles pronunciados han actuado como barreras que permitieron esta diferenciación, y existe una separación efectiva entre el núcleo oriental y occidental de la especie. Se ha detectado la presencia masiva del hongo Batrachoquitrium dendrobatidis en todo el área de distribución de rana pirenaica, si bien su impacto en la especie es desconocido. Los modelos de clima futuro predicen que las condiciones de crecimiento del quítrido serán mejores en altitudes mayores bajo escenarios de cambio global, de forma que las poblaciones de altitud de muchas especies de anfibios se podrán ver afectadas. Los datos obtenidos confirman a rana pirenaica como en Peligro de Extinción. Se proponen una serie de medidas de gestión para la conservación in situ de la especie, así como unidades de gestión en toda el área de distribución. Este trabajo ha permitido identificar medidas de gestión de estas especies así como valorar su situación actual de conservación, las cuales esperamos que sirvan de ayuda a la gestión de la especie en Navarra y Aragón y especialmente en el Parque Nacional de Ordesa y Monte Perdido que es el único que alberga poblaciones de rana pirenaica.
Arias, Mella Maria Belen. "Global and local population genetics of the Mediterranean fruit fly, Ceratitis capitata, an invasive pest of fruit crops". Thesis, Imperial College London, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/64776.
Texto completoAlmagro-Garcia, Jacob. "Global and local patterns of population structure and their role in the evolution and demography of Plasmodium falciparum". Thesis, University of Oxford, 2016. http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:665fd1aa-bcdd-4b05-8db0-868cf0a6572b.
Texto completoFigueres, Fernando y Elena Popova. "Environmental Kuznets Curve for Carbon Intensity : a Global Survey". Thesis, Internationella Handelshögskolan, Högskolan i Jönköping, IHH, Nationalekonomi, 2011. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-15656.
Texto completoLithner, Ellinor. "Association between work-time control and sickness absence : A longitudinal study among the Swedish working population". Thesis, Stockholms universitet, Institutionen för folkhälsovetenskap, 2018. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-157581.
Texto completoDe, Biasi Juliana Beltramin. "Diversidade e estrutura populacional global do tubarão azul (Prionace glauca) utilizando marcadores moleculares". Botucatu, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/157111.
Texto completoResumo: Tubarões são organismos amplamente reconhecidos como predadores de topo de cadeia e sua distribuição geográfica associada à capacidade migratória em diversas espécies, principalmente pelágicas, tornam as avaliações e monitorias de suas populações uma tarefa complexa. O tubarão-azul, Prionace glauca, é uma espécie globalmente distribuída e altamente migradora, classificado como “Quase Ameaçado” na Lista Vermelha de Espécies Ameaçadas da IUCN. No entanto, ao longo de sua história, P. glauca vem sendo frequentemente associado a capturas da pesca industrial e, seus registros recentes, apontam declínios relevantes em suas populações em algumas localidades. Dentre o conhecimento necessário para a gestão adequada e conservação de espécies amplamente exploradas, podemos ressaltar que as informações sobre a variabilidade genética e dinâmica populacional são de grande valia, principalmente quando se trata de uma espécie de elevada capacidade de dispersão. Assim, este estudo é o primeiro a caracterizar a biodiversidade molecular e a estrutura populacional desta espécie globalmente, a partir de 534 indivíduos provenientes de diferentes localidades nos oceanos Atlântico, Índico e Pacífico. Utilizando a região controle de DNA mitocondrial (CR), encontramos 43 haplótipos com diversidade Hd=0,778, diversidade de nucleotídeos de π=0,005 e índice de estrutura populacional global de ΦST=0,054 (P=0,0001). Estes resultados indicam que P. glauca está entre as espécies de tubarões com os maiores ín... (Resumo completo, clicar acesso eletrônico abaixo)
Abstract: Sharks are organisms widely recognised as top-chain predators and their geographic distribution associated with migratory capacity in several species, mainly pelagic, make evaluations and monitoring of their populations a complex task. The blue shark (Prionace glauca) is a globally distributed and highly migratory species, classified as "Near Threatened" on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. However, throughout its history, P. glauca has been frequently associated with industrial fisheries catches, and its recent records indicate relative declines in their populations in some localities. Among the knowledge necessary for the proper management and conservation of widely exploited species, we can highlight the information about genetic variability and population dynamics are of great value, especially when it is a species of high dispersion capacity. Thus, this study is the first to characterise the molecular biodiversity and population structure of this species globally, from 534 individuals from different locations in the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific Oceans. Using the mitochondrial DNA control region (CR), we found 43 haplotypes with diversity Hd = 0.778, nucleotide diversity of π = 0.005 and a global population structure index of ΦST = 0.054 (P = 0.0001). These results indicate that P. glauca is among the species of sharks with the highest indexes of genetic variability and high gene flow among the oceans, with low geographic delimitation and moderate population struct... (Complete abstract click electronic access below)
Doutor
Coetzee, Bernard W. T. "Implications of global change for important bird areas in South Africa". Diss., University of Pretoria, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/2263/29591.
Texto completoDissertation (MSc)--University of Pretoria, 2008.
Zoology and Entomology
unrestricted
Nussbaum, Gabrielle. "Answers to the tragedy of the commons /". Norton, MA : Wheaton College, 2008. http://dspace.nitle.org/handle/10090/6485.
Texto completoSahin, Oz. "Dynamic Assessment of Coastal Vulnerability and Adaptation to Sea Level Rise: An Integrated Spatial-Temporal Decision Making Approach". Thesis, Griffith University, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/10072/368117.
Texto completoThesis (PhD Doctorate)
Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)
Griffith School of Engineering
Science, Environment, Engineering and Technology
Full Text
Lundin-Emanuelsson, Madeleine. "Screen time and Mental health problems : A population-based study [SALVe] about screen time contribution to mental health problems among adolescents in Västmanland". Thesis, Mälardalens högskola, Hälsa och välfärd, 2021. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-55158.
Texto completoDavid, Mirela Violeta. "Free Love, Marriage, and Eugenics| Global and Local Debates on Sex, Birth Control, Venereal Disease and Population in 1920s-1930s China". Thesis, New York University, 2014. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=3635118.
Texto completoThis dissertation traces how eugenics came to underpin discourses pertaining to free love, sex and reproduction in 1920s-1930s China. It shows the eugenic and evolutionist limits to radical or liberal intellectuals' understanding of the role of the individual in the pursuit of sex, free love and birth control. The study examines the scientific view of modernity embodied in eugenics, as well as the challenges to this vision based on humanism and sex aestheticism. Bertrand Russell's visit to China in 1920 with his lover Dora Black led to heated discussions surrounding free love and free divorce, where privacy, the eugenic idea of a "robust individual" and science were key. Meanwhile, translations and the reception of Ellen Key and Havelock Ellis's works on eugenics and love underpinned the reconciliation in Chinese liberal intellectuals' thought between individualism/evolutionary humanism and eugenics, particularly in their debates on sexual and emotional ethics in the 1920s. Margaret Sanger's visit to China in 1922 opened up a debate on the suitability of eugenic birth control to solve China's problems, such as overpopulation and venereal disease. By probing into her interactions with Chinese intellectuals in 1922, this study reveals how her eugenic ideas were received, as well as the political tensions regarding her birth control advocacy. The dissertation demonstrates that the sexual reproductive considerations that had been viewed in the 1920s as a problem of the relationship between the individual and nation/race/society, by the 1930s came to completely subordinate the role of the individual to national and racial regeneration concerns. Sanger's continued correspondence with Chinese medical professionals came to shape the birth control movement in the 1930s in more strictly eugenic terms. This research contends that eugenics was not only influential in discourse, but came to be implemented in practice in the fields of sex hygiene, birth control and VD regulation. The agency of pioneer female gynecologists in the 1930s is emphasized by examining how they brought eugenics in practice in their birth control clinics, how they localized global female experience and theories on birth control and hygiene, either through translation or through their attempts to reach working class women with contraceptive sex education. Lastly I argue that eugenics and social hygiene also functioned as a male oriented ideology in VD policies of various colonial powers: British, American, Japanese, and French as part of an economy of empire. By contrast Chinese Nationalist Hygiene Campaigns and female gynecologists' internalizing of eugenics focused on female health.
Santos, Francine Modesto dos 1985. "Dinâmica populacional e mudanças ambientais : riscos e adaptação em Ilha Comprida, Litoral Sul de São Paulo". [s.n.], 2015. http://repositorio.unicamp.br/jspui/handle/REPOSIP/281251.
Texto completoTese (doutorado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Instituto de Filosofia e Ciências Humanas
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Resumo: O objetivo desta tese é estudar as relações entre a dinâmica populacional, a percepção ambiental e as mudanças ambientais em Ilha Comprida, município do Litoral Sul de São Paulo, o qual está sendo fortemente afetado por um processo de erosão acelerada na Ponta Norte que ameaça construções e a população residente nessa área. Com este estudo buscou-se conhecer e analisar como são percebidos e quais ações são realizadas pela população (residente e de veraneio) e pelo governo local para enfrentar a erosão na extremidade norte da Ilha Comprida. A forma como a população percebe e enfrenta os perigos está relacionada ao envolvimento das pessoas com o lugar, que repercute em suas ações de enfrentamento para lidar com os perigos ambientais do município. A percepção ambiental passa por certa diferenciação entre residentes e não residentes, entre alguns componentes da dinâmica demográfica, como sexo, idade e tempo de residência que foram identificados nas categorias de análise da pesquisa. Com este olhar na dinâmica da população, é possível compreender como os perigos ambientais do município são enfrentados pelos sujeitos que os vivenciam. A estratégia metodológica quanti-quali utilizada para caracterizar sociodemograficamente os grupos populacionais expostos aos perigos ambientais da Ilha Comprida e analisar a percepção ambiental da população residente, de veraneio, de gestores e especialistas acerca dos perigos ambientais da área de estudo foi obtida a partir dos dados dos Censos Demográficos (2000-2010) e da realização de entrevistas qualitativas com estes atores sociais. Desse modo, só foi possível alcançar o objetivo da pesquisa estudando a dinâmica populacional desse município e de sua região. A pesquisa empírica proporcionou a compreensão de como se dá a relação entre a população e os fenômenos do ambiente onde estão, como a população conhece os perigos ambientais aos quais está exposta e promove ações de adaptação aos perigos do lugar que ela construiu socialmente. Os resultados indicam que as autoridades governamentais não têm planos de gestão em vigor para lidar com os perigos ambientais atuais e futuros e que as estratégias de enfrentamento ao perigo ambiental da erosão costeira em Ilha Comprida são realizadas principalmente no nível individual e familiar. Há ainda uma resistência tanto da população local para aceitar a realocação como forma de adaptação às mudanças ambientais da Ilha, quanto da gestão local e de órgãos responsáveis pela proteção da área de estudo para gerenciar os problemas ambientais deste ambiente estuarino-lagunar. Desse modo, propõe-se uma ação mais ampla e efetiva que busque conciliar desenvolvimento socioeconômico e proteção ambiental para melhorar tanto a governança ambiental quanto a capacidade adaptativa desse município costeiro e também de outros locais que enfrentam questões ambientais semelhantes às da Ilha Comprida.
Abstract: The objective of this thesis is to study the relations among the population dynamics, the environmental perception and the environmental changes at Ilha Comprida, a municipality from the southern coastline of São Paulo, which is being strongly affected by an accelerated erosion process in Ponte Norte, which is a menace to the constructions and the resident population of this area. The objective of this study was to know and analyze how the local perception is and which actions are being performed by the population (resident and seasonal) and by the government to face the erosion in the northern end of Ilha Comprida. The way the population perceives and faces it is related to the engagement of the people with the place, which impacts in their actions to handle with the environmental hazards of the municipality. The environmental perception goes through the differentiation between residents and non-residents, among some components of the demographic dynamics such as sex, age and years of residence in the area which were identified in the analysis categories of the research. With this view over the population dynamics, it¿s possible to understand how the environmental hazards are faced by the individuals who experience them. The methodological strategy quanti-quali used to characterize socio-demographically the population groups exposed to the environmental hazards at llha Comprida and analyze the environmental perception of the resident population, the seasonal populations, the managers and the specialists concerning the environmental hazards of the area of study was obtained from the data of the Demographic censuses (from 2000 to 2010) and qualitative interviews with this social actors. Thereby, the objective of the research was only possibly achieved by studying the population dynamics of this municipality and its region. The empirical research has provided the understanding of how the relation between the population and the phenomena of the environment where they are works and how the population get to know the environmental hazards which they are exposed to and promote actions of adaptation to the hazards of the place, which they socially brought up. The results indicate that the governmental authorities have no in force management plans to deal with the current and future environmental hazards and the strategies for dealing with this issue of the coastal erosion at Ilha Comprida are mainly carried through the familiar and individual levels. There is also a resistance concerning both the local population, to accept the reallocation as a way of adaptation to the environmental changes of the island and the local management together with the bodies responsible for the protection of the area of study, to manage the environmental issues of this lagoon estuary. Thereby, a more comprehensive and effective plan of action that tries to conciliate socioeconomic development and environmental protection is proposed to improve both the environmental governance and the capacity of adaptation of this coastal municipality, and also other places that face similar issues compared to the ones at Ilha Comprida
Doutorado
Demografia
Doutor em Demografia