Tesis sobre el tema "Coastal precipitation"

Thesis (M.S. in Applied Science)--Naval Postgraduate School, Sept. 1992.
Thesis Advisors: Wash, Carlyle H. ; Pastore, Michael J. "September, 1992." Description based on title screen as viewed on April 16, 2009. Includes bibliographical references (p. 90-92). Also available in print.

Thesis (M.A.)--University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 2009.
Title from electronic title page (viewed Oct. 5, 2009). "... in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts in the Department of Geography." Discipline: Geography; Department/School: Geography.

Esta tese investiga se eventos anômalos de precipitação pluviométrica (PP) na Planície Costeira do Rio Grande do Sul (PCRGS) estão relacionados a modos de variabilidade climática e como essa relação pode afetar o ambiente costeiro. A PP e suas anomalias foram estatisticamente correlacionadas aos modos de variabilidade climática, o Modo Anular do Hemisfério Sul (SAM) e El Niño - Oscilação Sul (ENOS). O índice do ENOS utilizado foi o Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) e do SAM foi o de Nan e Li (2003). Para o cálculo das anomalias de PP foram utilizados dados do satélite Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission, entre 1998 e 2013. As correlações foram calculadas por meio de matrizes de classificação, e suas significâncias pelo teste-t de Student. A área de estudo foi dividida em costas sul (33°44’39” – 32°09’36”S), central (32°09’36” – 30°10’12”S) e norte (30°10’12” – 29°19’34”S) e para cada uma delas foi escolhido um geoindicador (sangradouros ou lagunas), examinados em imagens de satélite. Comparouse os geoindicadores em períodos de PP anomalamente positiva e negativa. Para destacar as variações nos geoindicadores foram utilizadas composições RGB 543 dos sensores Thematic Mapper (TM) e Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+) do Landsat. Os resultados apontam para correlação negativa entre as anomalias de PP nas costas sul e central com o SAM e correlação positiva das anomalias de PP da costa sul com o MEI. A PP na costa norte não apresenta correlação com nenhum dos dois índices. Foram identificados 28 eventos anômalos de PP no período 1998-2013. Nas imagens de satélite todos geoindicadores apontaram para variações morfológicas e hídricas entre os períodos PP acima e abaixo da média, sendo a costa norte a que apresenta menor variação visível. A costa sul tem a menor média de PP e o maior número de eventos anômalos de PP, dos quais 67% eram de PP negativa. A maioria dos eventos são de PP negativa (78%) e podem estar relacionados simultaneamente ao SAM positivo e MEI negativo, ou somente ao MEI positivo. Todos eventos de PP positiva foram concomitantes ao MEI positivo. As costas sul e central mostram uma redução na PP média. Essa tendência pode estar relacionada as mudanças climáticas globais, pela intensificação do SAM positivo e de eventos El Niño e La Niña. As variações observadas nos geoindicadores (sangradouros ou lagunas) indicam que a redução na PP média resulta em menor volume de sedimentos transportados do pós praia para a zona de arrebentação e face praial, alterando o balanço sedimentar. As areias secas dos campos de dunas transportadas pelo vento podem assorear lagos e lagunas da área de estudo, desequilibrando o ecossistema.
This thesis investigates whether anomalous events of precipitation (PP) in the Coastal Plain of Rio Grande do Sul (RGSCP) are related to climate variability modes and how this relationship can affect the coastal environment. The PP and its anomalies were statistically correlated to climate variability modes, the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The used ENSO index was the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) and SAM is the one defined by Nan and Li (2003). For the calculation of the PP anomalies, we used data from the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission satellite, from 1998 to 2013. Correlations were calculated using classification matrices, and their significance by the the Student t-test. The study area was divided into south (33°44'39" – 32°09'36"S), central (32°09'36"– 30°10'12"S) and north (30°10'12"– 29°19'34"S) coasts and for each one it was chosen a geoindicador (washouts or lagoons), examined on satellite images. This investigation compared the geoindicators in positive and negative anomalous PP periods. To highlight variations in the geoindicators, it was used the RGB 543 composition of the Thematic Mapper (TM) and Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+) Landsat sensors. The results point to a negative correlation of the PP anomalies in the southern and central coasts with the SAM and a positive correlation of PP anomalies in the south coast with the MEI. The north coast PP is not correlated with any of the two indexes. Twenty-eight anomalous PP events were found in the 1988–2013 period. In satellite images, all geoindicators pointed to morphological and hydrological variations between periods of PP above and below the mean, the northern coast has the least visible variations. The south coast has the lowest mean PP and the largest number of anomalous events, of which 67% were negative PP. The majority of events are negative PP (78%), they could be simultaneously connected to a positive SAM and a negative MEI, or only to a positive MEI. All positive PP events were concomitant to a positive MEI. The central and southern coasts show a decrease in the men PP. This trend may be related to global climate change, by the intensification of the positive SAM and of El Niño and La Niña events. The variations observed in geoindicators (washouts or lagoons) indicate that the reduction in the mean PP results in lower volume of sediments transported from the backshore to the surf zone and the shoreface, changing the sedimentary balance. The dry sands from the wind-transported dune fields could silt up lakes and lagoons of the study area, unbalancing the ecosystem.

La côte ouest irlandaise située dans les comtés de Clare et Galway est depuis récemment affectée par une augmentation de la fréquence des inondations et une montée du niveau marin. L'impact de ces changements climatiques se fait particulièrement ressentir au niveau des aquifères karstiques côtiers de ces régions, tel que le bassin karstique de Bell Harbour (~50 km²) sélectionné dans le cadre de ce projet: le positionnement d'un biseau salé dans cet aquifère est clairement dû à l'interaction entre sa recharge liée aux événements pluvieux et la forte influence de la marée. Des données (niveaux d'eau et conductivités spécifiques) ont été collectées à l'aide de sondes, à deux sources côtières, six forages, trois lacs et au milieu de la baie durant des périodes prolongées. Trois types d'environnement hydrodynamiques (conduits, fissures et matrices) ont été définis pour chacun des six forages en comparant deux méthodes qui se sont avérées cohérentes entre-elles. Les variations des conductivités spécifiques combinées à la chimie des eaux des six forages et de lacs ont permis d'évaluer l'étendue du biseau salé dans l'aquifère en fonction de la recharge de l'aquifère et des cycles de marée haute/basse et vives eaux/basses eaux: l'étendue du biseau salé dépend des propriétés hydrodynamiques de l'aquifère mais aussi de l'influence relative de la recharge et de la marée sur les niveaux piézométriques, induisant chacun des comportements opposés. Ainsi, la compétition entre la recharge et la marée contrôle l'intrusion d'eau de mer dans l'aquifère, ce qui explique les changements spatio-temporels du biseau salé dans l'aquifère. Les fortes amplitudes de marée semblent être le moteur des brèves intrusions salines dans l'aquifère proche de la rive alors que la position du niveau piézométrique semble influencer l'intensité de cette augmentation de la salinité. La recharge karstique de la région est suffisamment importante tout au long de l'année pour que le biseau salé ne s'étende pas plus loin qu'un kilomètre de la rive. La diminution des précipitations durant l'été (~10 %) ainsi que l'augmentation du niveau marin prévues pour les prochaines décennies, contribueront certainement à une intrusion plus importante du biseau salé dans l'aquifère
Low-lying coastal areas in the west of Ireland, such as the Galway and Clare coasts, have seen recent increases in flooding frequencies coupled with overall increases in sea level. The impacts of these changes are most strongly felt in coastal karst catchments and this study focuses on one such area, the Bell Harbour catchment (~50 km²), where there is a clear interaction between rainfall inputs and tidal influences, to create a terrestrial salt water wedge. Data (specific conductivity and water levels) have been collected at two coastal springs, six boreholes, three lakes, and from discrete locations in the middle of the bay, using dedicated loggers over extended periods. Two approaches that provided consistent results were used to explain the different hydrodynamic behaviours identified in the boreholes (conduits, fissures and matrix flows). Specific conductivity variations and water chemistry measured inland allowed for assessment of the spatial extent of the saltwater wedge into the aquifer as a function of both karst recharge and tidal movements at high/low and neap/spring tidal cycles. The extent of the saltwater wedge depends on the intrinsic properties of the aquifer but also on the relative influence of the recharge and the tide on groundwater levels, which induce opposite behaviours. This dynamic between recharge and the tide thus controls the seawater inputs, hence explaining temporal and spatial changes in the saltwater wedge in this coastal karst aquifer. Strong tidal amplitudes seems to be the motor of sudden saltwater intrusion observed in the aquifer near the shore while the relative elevation of the groundwater appears to influence the intensity of the salinity increase. The magnitude of annual recharge in the area is high enough to limit saltwater intrusion to no more than about one kilometre inland from the shore. Given the anticipated decreases in summer precipitation (~10 percent), coupled with anticipated sea level rises, the extent of the saltwater wedge into the aquifer is likely to increase in coming decades

Snow plays a crucial role in the Earth's hydrological cycle and energy budget, making its monitoring necessary. In this context, ground-based radars and in situ instruments are essential thanks to their spatial coverage, resolution, and temporal sampling. Deep understanding and reliable measurements of snow properties are crucial over Antarctica to assess potential future changes of the surface mass balance (SMB) and define the contribution of the Antarctic ice sheet on sea-level rise. However, despite its key role, Antarctic precipitation is poorly investigated due to the continent's inaccessibility and extreme environment. In this framework, this Thesis aims to contribute to filling this gap by in-depth characterization of Antarctic precipitation at the Mario Zucchelli station from different points of view: microphysical features, quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE), vertical structure of precipitation, and scavenging properties. For this purpose, a K-band vertically pointing radar collocated with a laser disdrometer and an optical particle counter (OPC) were used. The radar probed the lowest atmospheric layers with high vertical resolution, allowing the first trusted measurement at only 105 m height. Disdrometer and OPC provided information on the particle size distribution and aerosol concentrations. An innovative snow classification methodology was designed by comparing the radar reflectivity (Ze) and disdrometer-derived reflectivity by means of DDA simulations. Results of classification were exploited in QPE through appropriate Ze-snow rate relationships. The accuracy of the resulting QPE was benchmarked against a collocated weighing gauge. Vertical radar profiles were also investigated to highlight hydrometeors' sublimation and growth processes. Finally, OPC and disdrometer data allowed providing the first-ever estimates of scavenging properties of Antarctic snowfall. Results presented in this Thesis give rise to advances in knowledge of the characteristics of snowfall in Antarctica, contributing to a better assessment of the SMB of the Antarctic ice sheet, the major player in the global sea-level rise.

Coastal forest retreat in the Florida Keys during the 20th century has been attributed to a combination of sea level rise and hurricane storm surge impacts, but the interactions between these two disturbances leading to forest decline are not well understood. The goal of my research was to assess their effects over a period spanning more than two decades, and to examine the relationships between these press and pulse disturbances and freshwater availability in pine rockland, hardwood hammock, and supratidal scrub communities. Impacts and recovery from two storm surges, Hurricanes Georges (1998) and Wilma (2005), were assessed with satellite-derived vegetation indices and multiple change detection techniques. Impacts were greater at lower elevations, and in hardwood hammock, spectral signatures indicative of plant stress and productivity returned to pre-disturbance levels within a few years. In pine rockland, impacts were predominately related to Hurricane Wilma, however, a similar return to pre-disturbance conditions was absent, suggesting that trajectories of disturbance recovery differed between the two communities. Long-term monitoring of forest composition, structure, and groundwater salinity showed that compositional shifts in the low shrub stratum were associated with salinization of the freshwater resource attributable to sea level rise. Throughout the course of twelve months of climate and groundwater monitoring (2011-2012), groundwater salinity generally decreased in response to large precipitation events. Modeling of geophysical data indicated that groundwater salinity was an important predictor of community type. Isotopic analysis of d18O in plant stem water and foliar d13C was used to determine temporal and spatial patterns in water use and plant stress in two community dominants, slash pine, Pinus elliottii var. densa, and buttonwood, Conocarpus erectus. Both species relied heavily on groundwater, and plant stress was related to increasing groundwater salinity. The results of this work suggest that the interaction of press and pulse disturbances drive changes in community composition by causing mortality of salt-sensitive species and altering the freshwater resource.

As restingas constituem um complexo de tipos vegetacionais que ocorrem sobre cordões arenosos ao longo da costa brasileira. Sua diversidade fisionômica, florística e estrutural contrasta com grande número de fatores ambientais limitantes, incluindo a disponibilidade de água e nutrientes. O objetivo deste trabalho foi comparar a dinâmica do nitrogênio, bem como os atributos foliares relacionados ao uso do nitrogênio e da água, em três formações vegetais inseridas no \"complexo vegetacional da restinga\", as quais ocorrem ao longo de um gradiente de precipitação que varia de cerca de 800 a 2.600 mm anuais. Para tanto, foram avaliados parâmetros relacionados à ciclagem do nitrogênio e alguns atributos foliares funcionais relacionados às estratégias de uso de água e nutrientes nas principais espécies botânicas que nelas se desenvolvem. O primeiro capítulo compara a variação na disponibilidade e na composição isotópica de nitrogênio (?15N) nestas três formações de restinga que ocorrem sob regimes hídricos distintos. Foram analisados e comparados parâmetros relacionados à disponibilidade e às taxas de transformação do nitrogênio nos solos e sua assimilação e uso pelas plantas. Os solos das três áreas, arenosos e ácidos, apresentam deficiência nutricional, sendo o nitrogênio amoniacal (N-NH4 +) a principal forma disponível. Suas taxas líquidas de transformação foram baixas e variáveis, com prevalência de imobilização, sobretudo nas restingas sob menor precipitação média anual (PMA). Na vegetação, o aumento na PMA refletiu em maiores concentrações foliares de nitrogênio e fósforo, juntamente com menores razões C/N e massas foliares por unidade de área (MFA). Os valores de ?15N foliar foram baixos e variáveis, ocorrendo enriquecimento gradual em 15N com o aumento na PMA. As concentrações foliares de nitrogênio e fósforo, bem como a MFA e a razão C/N mostraram-se diretamente relacionadas; já a MFA relacionou-se inversamente à concentração foliar de nitrogênio. O aumento da PMA ao longo do gradiente, juntamente com variações nas condições edáficas e nas comunidades bióticas, pareceu contribuir para o aumento da disponibilidade de nitrogênio, refletindo na redução gradual da conservação do mesmo. O segundo capítulo compara as restingas quanto aos atributos foliares de gêneros por elas compartilhados. As maiores diferenças foram observadas entre os gêneros das restingas seca e úmida, com a última apresentando maiores concentrações de nitrogênio e fósforo foliares e menor razão C/N. Seus gêneros ainda apresentaram menores MFA e composição isotópica de carbono (?13C), além de maior ?15N que aqueles das restingas seca e intermediária. As relações entre os atributos foliares dos pares congenéricos das restingas seca e úmida, assim como dos contrastes filogeneticamente independentes (CFIs), mostraram que a concentração de nitrogênio relaciona-se diretamente à concentração de fósforo e inversamente ao ?15N, enquanto que a concentração de fósforo relaciona-se diretamente com o ?15N e inversamente com a razão C/N. A grande diferença entre as restingas e a similaridade nas correlações - utilizando-se tanto os pares congenéricos e os CFIs - fortalece a distinção quanto à economia foliar da restinga úmida e as demais, enfatizando a importância das condições ambientais no ajuste dos atributos analisados, independente do grau de parentesco filogenético das espécies.
Restingas are consisted of a complex of vegetation types that occur on sand ridges along the Brazilian coast. Their physiognomic, floristic and structural diversity contrasts with a large number of environmental limiting factors, including the availability of water and nutrients. The aim of this study was to compare the dynamics of nitrogen, as well as leaf traits related to the use of nitrogen and water at three vegetation types inserted in the \"restinga vegetation complex\", and occur along a precipitation gradient ranging from about 800 to 2600 mm annually. Accordingly, parameters related to nitrogen cycling were assessed, as well as some functional leaf traits related to strategies for use of water and nutrients from the main plant species that occur therein. The first chapter compares the variation in nitrogen availability and its isotopic composition (?15N) at these three restinga formations that occur under different water regimes. It was analyzed and compared parameters regarding nitrogen availability and transformation rates in soils, and also its uptake and use by plants. The sandy and acidic soils of the three areas have high nutritional deficiency, and ammoniacal nitrogen (N-NH4 +) is the major available form. Its net rates of transformation were low and variable, with the prevalence of immobilization, especially at the restingas under lower mean annual precipitation (MAP). At the vegetation, MAP increase reflected in higher leaf nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations, along with lower C/N ratios and leaf mass per area (LMA). Leaf ?15N values were low and variable, observing gradual 15N-enrichment with MAP increase. Nitrogen and phosphorus leaf concentrations, as well as LMA and C/N ratio were directly related, whereas LMA was inversely related to leaf nitrogen concentration. The increase in MAP along the gradient, jointly to variations in soil conditions and biota, seemed to contribute to an increment on nitrogen availability, reflecting in the gradual reduction of its conservation. The second chapter compares the restingas in relation to leaf traits of genera shared by them. The largest differences were observed between genera from dry and wet restingas, with the latter having higher leaf nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations and lower C/N ratio. Their genera also had lower LMA and carbon isotopic composition (?13C), as well as greater ?15N than those from dry and intermediate restingas. Relationships between leaf traits of the congeneric pairs from dry and wet restingas, and also of the phylogenetically independent contrasts (PICs), showed that nitrogen concentration is directly related to phosphorus and inversely to ?15N, whilst phosphorus concentration is directly related to ?15N and inversely to C/N ratio. The bulky difference amongst restingas, and the similarity in correlations - using both congeneric pairs and PICs - reinforces the distinction regarding leaf economy between wet restinga and the others, emphasizing the importance of environmental conditions on the adjustment of the analyzed leaf traits, apart from of the degree of species phylogenetic relatedness.

The primary mass input of the Antarctic ice sheet is represented by snow precipitation. Despite of their crucial role, the estimates of precipitation over Antarctica are sparse and characterized by large uncertainties. Recently, the Italian Mario Zucchelli station (MZS) at Terra Nova Bay was equipped with instruments for monitoring precipitation. This thesis is part of the APP-PNRA project (Antarctic precipitation properties from ground-based instruments), whose object is to set up an observatory to characterize precipitation at MZS. The present study was focused on the evaluation of the response of solid hydrometeors to the electromagnetic radiation and on the microphysical characterization of precipitation. The former was investigated using a pre-computed discrete dipole approximation (DDA) database for complex-shape snowflakes and a T-Matrix code for soft-spheroids. The backscattering cross sections, calculated at the K-band by the two methods, were compared. In case of aggregate particles the methods show a poor agreement, comparable values were found when pristine crystals were considered. The latter was examined through in-situ observations by a Parsivel disdrometer and Micro Rain Radar. By exploiting the Parsivel data collected during the summer seasons 2016-17 and 2017-18, the particle size distributions (PSD) of hydrometeors were derived, showing a high number of particles with very small diameter. Numerical simulations, driven by DDA and T-Matrix, were also performed by using the PSDs, to obtain the simulated radar reflectivity. The comparative analysis of simulated and actual reflectivity allowed inferring microphysical characterization of precipitation. Based on this methodology, 16 out of 22 snow days were categorized: 6 as having aggregate-like features and 10 as pristine crystal-like. These results will be of practical interest, giving an important contribution toward a more accurate quantification of snow accumulation in Antarctica.

Evolutionary periods of precipitation distribution in tropical cyclones (TCs) are sometimes misrepresented in numerical weather prediction models due to the rapid nature of TC structure changes that accompany intensity change. To better understand quantitative changes in TC rainband structure around landfall, I quantify the spatial distribution of precipitation in 62 landfalling TCs along the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic coasts of the U.S. between 1998 and 2014. The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 3B42 product is utilized to assess three spatial measures of precipitation: 1) area, 2) closure, and 3) dispersion. Calculations are made using two rain rate thresholds, 0.254mm/hr and 5mm/hr, to capture and compare changes in light and heavy precipitation, respectively. Changes in TC precipitation are statistically different based on landfall location along the Atlantic vs. Gulf. Overall, dispersion (measure of centrality) is the most dissimilar metric due to variability between 0.254mm/hr and 5mm/hr results. Lighter precipitation decreases in area and expands away from the TC center, while heavier precipitation contracts rather than disperses in Gulf landfalling storms. A k-means clustering produces six landfall regions and reinforces the result of heavier precipitation becoming more central along the Gulf, while Atlantic landfalling storms exhibit decreased centrality. Significant differences were not found in storms that undergo extratropical transition or dissipate later in lifecycle. The holistic approach exhibited by this study reveals wide variability among a large dataset of storms making landfall; therefore, sub-setting techniques are helpful to hurricane forecasters in understanding the role of landfall location.
MS

The investigation of extreme precipitation events over the western coast of Saudi Arabia is necessary to estimate their potential impact on both socioeconomic activities and the regional environment. The current study aims at understanding the atmospheric dynamics leading to extreme precipitation, to improve weather forecasting in the target region and the development of long-term adaptation policies. Preliminary results reveal that extreme precipitation events in this region occur during the wet season (Nov–Jan). The synoptic mechanisms of these events are a function of the complex interaction between tropical, subtropical and middle-latitude dynamics. The synoptic dynamic processes were identified by a subjective study of the highest 30 extreme events. In addition, the weather circulation patterns (WCPs) of all extreme events were classified objectively by means of an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis based on the mean sea level pressure. WCPs were linked with synoptic dynamic processes and teleconnected with large-scale climate variability modes. Furthermore, WCPs, precipitation and data regarding other atmospheric variables from different regional climate models were used to investigate future changes in extreme precipitation events under climate change. The most important weather circulation patterns, which are associated with extreme precipitation events, were identified. The possibility of extreme precipitation events increases with great uncertainty.

Ce travail étudie l'impact de la température de surface, principalement océanique, sur la mousson ouest africaine, pendant la saison où les précipitations sont les plus importantes autour de de la côte guinéenne (au nord du golfe de Guinée), de fin mai à début juillet. Les données utilisées sont principalement les réanalyses ECMWF ERA5, mais également des produits de données observées : température de surface océanique, précipitations, couverture de différents types de nuages, et vent à la surface de l'océan.Une première partie expose les méthodes adoptées et le contexte saisonnier dans lequel s'inscrit cette phase côtière de la mousson, avant la migration des précipitations vers le nord du continent (Sahel) en été.Une étude climatologique tenant compte de la variabilité interannuelle est ensuite réalisée sur la période 2008-2015 : on retrouve le rôle déterminant de la langue d'eau froide (upwelling équatorial qui apparaît en mai) sur le début de la saison des pluies côtières. De plus, on met en évidence le rôle probable de l'upwelling côtier, qui se forme en juillet le long des côtes guinéennes entre 8W et 5E, sur la fin de ces précipitations côtières, via la diminution de la convergence côtière du transport d'humidité.On s'intéresse ensuite au cycle diurne, qui est important près de la côte et suit complètement la modulation de la convergence de basse couche par l'alternance brise de mer / brise de terre : là encore, l'upwelling côtier semble renforcer la brise de mer et diminuer l'intensité de la brise de terre, donc diminuer les précipitations côté océan (qui constituent la majeure partie des précipitations côtières).Pour finir, une étude à l'échelle intrasaisonnière sur la période 2000-2018 montre que l'influence océanique sur les précipitations côtières (plus précisément sur leur latitude) diminue progressivement vers la fin de la saison pour laisser le régime d'ondes d'est vers 700 hPa prendre le contrôle des précipitations, même si nos analyses suggèrent que ces deux modes interagissent entre eux. On retrouve de plus en intrasaisonnier un signal correspondant à ce qu'on trouve à l'échelle saisonnière : une intensification (diminution) de l'upwelling côtier aurait bien pour effet de diminuer (augmenter) les précipitations côtières
This work, concerning the West African monsoon, studies the role of surface temperature, mainly over the ocean, during the Spring Guinean coast rainfall season (north of the Gulf of Guinea), from May to July. The data used are mainly ECMWF ERA5 reanalyses, but also satellite observation data : ocean surface temperature, precipitation, cover of different types of clouds, and ocean surface wind.The first part describes the methods developed and the seasonal context in which this coastal phase of the monsoon occurs, before the migration of precipitation towards the Sahel latitude in summer.A climatological study taking into account the inter-annual variability is then carried out over the period 2008-2015. It evidences the determining role of the cold tongue (equatorial upwelling, which appears in May) on the beginning of the coastal rainy season. In addition, highlight is put on the probable role of coastal upwelling, which occurs in July along the Guinean coast between 8W and 5E. This occurence coincides with the end of this coastal precipitation, through the decrease of moisture transport coastal convergence. Then we study the diurnal cycle. Near the coast, it mainly consists in the modulation of the low layer convergence by the sea breeze / land breeze alternation. Again, the coastal upwelling seems to strengthen the sea breeze and decrease the intensity of the land breeze, thus reducing precipitation on the ocean side (which constitutes the major part of coastal precipitation).This work is completed by a study of intra-seasonal variability over the period 2000-2018. Main results are that the oceanic influence on coastal precipitation latitude gradually decreases towards the end of the coastal monsoon season, leaving then the regime of easterly waves around 700 hPa take control of precipitation. Our statistical results, nevertheless, suggest that these two synoptic « modes » interact with each other. Moreover, we find, at the intra-seasonal scale, a signal corresponding to what is found at the seasonal scale: an intensification (decrease) of coastal upwelling would indeed have the effect of reducing (increasing) coastal precipitation

Orientador: Luci Hidalgo Nunes
Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Instituto de Geociencias
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Resumo: Este estudo avaliou precipitações extremas no litoral do estado de São Paulo e entorno nas décadas de 1970 a 1990 nas escalas decadal, anual, sazonal e mensal. A área é caracterizada por chuvas constantes e copiosas devido a fatores geográficos e atmosféricos. O setor foi dividido em três repartições: norte, central e sul, e a partir de técnicas estatísticas, foram avaliadas as variabilidades espácio-temporais da precipitação. As técnicas empregadas para identificar extremos (distribuição normal padrão, quantis e tempo de retorno) apontaram tendências semelhantes, porém alguns aspectos foram destacados: no nível anual os quantis se mostraram mais apropriados para apontar ocorrências extremas: no nível mensal, a padronização levantou mais eventos extremos e mostrou maior similaridade com o período de retorno. Sugere-se que no estudo de eventos extremos mais de uma técnica deveria ser empregada, tendo em vista que cada uma apresentou vantagens e desvantagens. Não houve nenhum padrão espacial que apontasse alteração significativa de tendência entre as décadas, mas destaca-se que a repartição central e Ubatuba apresentaram, no geral, os totais mais expressivos de chuvas. As estações e meses mais chuvosos são mais homogêneos quanto à distribuição ano a ano das precipitações.
Abstract: The study evaluated extreme precipitation events in the coast and surrounded areas of the state of São Paulo within the decades of 1970 to 1990 at decadal, annual, seasonal and monthly scales. The area is characterized by constant and heavy rainfall due to both geographical and atmospheric factors. The sector was divided into three compartments: north, central and south, and by means of statistical techniques the rainfall spatio-temporal variability was evaluated. The techniques chosen to identify extremes (normal distribution, quantiles and return period) showed similar trends, but some aspects were enhanced: at annual basis, quantiles proved more appropriate to point out extreme occurrences; for monthly data, standardized technique rise more events as extreme ones and showed more similarities to return period. One suggests that more than one statistical technique might be used for the evaluation of extreme events, since each one presents advantages and disadvantages. No spatial pattern consistent to significant alteration among the decades was found, but one enhances that the central compartment and Ubatuba presented in general the highest amounts of rainfall. The seasons and months that registered higher totals are more homogeneous concerning the year to year precipitation distribution.
Mestrado
Análise Ambiental e Dinâmica Territorial
Mestre em Geografia

The coastline of Florida has been formed by geomorphic processes which have created suitable habitats for certain vegetation and organisms. One type of vegetation is the mangrove; this plant has a latitudinal range of 24° to 32° N latitude which is associated with local climatic changes (Mitsch 2000). There are three species of mangrove found in Florida: red (Rhizophora), black (Avicennia), and white (Languncularia) (USGS 2006). Mangroves have adapted overtime to live in different ecosystems which cause mangroves, along the Florida coast, of the same species not be the same. Climatic variation causes individual mangrove trees have structural differences such as: tree height, diameter, and density; these variations are related to geographic location (Pool 1997, Schaeffer-Novelli 1990). Tree height is the measurement from the base of the tree trunk of the ground to the top of the tree. The diameter, also known as diameter at breast height (DBH), is the circumference of the tree trunk 1.21 meters from the ground. Density is the frequency of individual tress within predetermined distance. Florida's southwest coast has one of the world's biggest mangrove swamps called Ten Thousand Islands (Mitsch 2000). In northern Florida the mangrove swamps begin to mix with salt marsh vegetation, here mangroves are more like shrubs than trees (Mitsch 2000). The changes in individual mangrove structure could be a result of available freshwater and temperature. This project was a quantitative analysis using published and original data for graph production to understand the structural variation of mangroves on Florida's gulf coast at different latitudes. Study sites were located in bays along the Gulf of Mexico. The gulf coast of Florida was the study area of this project because it is the northern latitudinal limit for mangroves and as the latitude changes mangrove plant structure changes (Mitsch 2000). The tree height, diameter, basal area, biomass, and densities were compared to the precipitation and temperature values to understand the effect climate has on mangroves.

La variabilité climatique et les événements extrêmes associés comme le phénomène El Niño (ENSO) représentent les épisodes les plus difficiles à gérer dans le Versant Pacifique Péruvien. En outre, une préoccupation croissante sur la disponibilité en eau a lieu depuis les années 1970s. Une documentation approfondie des régimes de précipitations et des débits est un élément clé de tout plan de gestion de l'eau et notre recherche est la première étude sur la variabilité hydroclimatique à l'échelle mensuelle et annuelle dans la zone d'étude au cours des quatre dernières décennies (période 1970-2010). Tout d'abord, un traitement de base de données exhaustif a été effectué pour surmonter certaines limitations et notamment celles liées aux conditions géographiques des Andes. Deuxièmement, le régime des précipitations a été étudié avec une approche de régionalisation liée aux conditions de séries temporelles non stationnaires. Une méthode mixte associant la méthode des clusters k-means et la méthode du vecteur régional a été proposée. Neuf régions ont été identifiées avec des régimes homogènes de précipitation tenant compte d'un gradient latitudinal et altitudinal. Un bilan hydroclimatique a ensuite été fait à l'échelle de bassin versant, abordant la problématique du climat et de l'anthropisation et leurs influences potentielles sur les séries chronologiques hydroclimatiques. Le cadre théorique de Budyko-Zhang a été utilisé et a permis d'identifier 11 des 26 bassins versants à faible influence climatique et anthropique (i.e. des conditions quasi-naturelles). Le régime des débits a ensuite été étudié pour ces conditions et une extension pour l'ensemble des 49 bassins versants de la zone d'étude a été effectuée. Un modèle hydrologique régional est proposé via deux modèles conceptuels agrégés à l'échelle de temps annuelle et mensuelle (GR1A et GR2M respectivement). Un test d'échantillonnage différentiel (DSST) a été utilisé pour améliorer la robustesse de la modélisation par rapport aux conditions climatiques contrastées entre années sèches et humides dans les conditions semi-arides. Enfin, la portée de la thèse couvre (1) une revisite de la relation ENSO/précipitation en prenant en compte les neuf régions identifiées et de plusieurs indices ENSO afin de discriminer l'influence des deux types d'El Niño (El Niño du Pacifique Est EP et du Pacifique Central CP) ainsi que l'influence de la variabilité atmosphérique (i.e. l'oscillation Madden et Julian) et aux conditions océaniques régionales. La méthodologie proposée consiste en l'analyse des composantes principales, ondelettes et de cohérence, les corrélations glissantes et l'analyse de la covariance spatiale afin de mettre en évidence la modulation décennale significative du phénomène ENSO ainsi que sa croissance à partir des années 2000s où la relation ENSO/précipitations s'inverse par rapport à la décennie précédente. Les deux modes de co-variabilité dominants entre la température superficielle de la mer dans le Pacifique tropical et les neuf régions montrent des caractéristiques dominantes de l'influence de l'ENSO: une augmentation des précipitations sur les régions aval dans le nord pendant El Niño EP et une diminution des précipitations sur les régions amont le long des Andes lors des événements El Niño CP. (2) La sensibilité au changement hydroclimatique est explorée via l'analyse des tendances hydroclimatiques comme indicateurs de changement de l'hydroclimatologie régionale. Les résultats montrent un réchauffement important dans la zone d'étude avec une moyenne de 0,2°C par décennie. En outre, les changements dans les trajectoires dans l'espace de Budyko (i.e. direction et amplitude) ont révélé que six bassins versants étaient sensibles à la variabilité du climat (i.e. probablement avec une grande sensibilité au climat futur) et aux changements d'utilisation du sol et où les précipitations et la température sont les facteurs prépondérants du changement de ces environnements
Climate variability and associated extreme events as El Niño phenomenon (ENSO) represent the most difficult episodes to deal with along the Peruvian Pacific slope and coast. In addition, a growing water concern takes place since seventies. In-depth documentation of precipitation and runoff regimes becomes a key part in any water management plan and this research offers the first hydroclimatic variability study at monthly and annual time step in the study area over the last four decades (1970?2010 period). First, an exhaustive database treatment was carried out overcoming some limitations due to Andean geographical conditions. Second, precipitation regime was studied with a regionalization approach under non-stationary time-series conditions. A combined process consisting in k-means clustering and regional vector methodology was proposed. Nine regions were identified with a homogeneous precipitation regime following a latitudinal and altitudinal gradient. Third, a hydroclimatic balance is done at catchment-scale addressing the issue of climate and anthropogenization and their potential influences over hydroclimatic time series. The theoretical Budyko-Zhang framework was used and allowed identifying 11 out of 26 catchments with both low climate and anthropogenization influence (i.e. unimpaired conditions). This hypothesis was verified with the use of land use and land cover remote sensing products as MODIS and LBA imagery. Then, runoff regime was studied under unimpaired conditions and an extension over 49 catchments of the Peruvian Pacific drainage was done. A regional runoff model is proposed via two conceptual lumped models at annual and monthly time scale (GR1A and GR2M respectively). A Differential Split-Sample Test (DSST) was used to cope with modelling robustness over contrasted climate conditions as dry and wet years according to the semi-arid conditions. These results also showed an increasing regional discharge from arid Peruvian Pacific coast towards the Pacific Ocean. Finally, the scope of the thesis covers (1) a revisitation of ENSO/precipitation relationship considering the regionalized precipitation and several ENSO indices in order to discriminate the influence of the two types of El Niño (the eastern Pacific (EP) El Niño and the central Pacific (CP) El Niño) as well as the influence of large-scale atmospheric variability associated with the Madden and Julian Oscillation, and of regional oceanic conditions. The proposed methodology consisting in principal component analysis, wavelets and coherence, running correlations and spatial covariance analysis, highlights the significant decadal modulation with the larger ENSO impact in particular in the 2000s, ENSO/precipitation relationship reverses compared to the previous decade. The two dominant co-variability modes between sea surface temperature in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific oceans and the nine regions show salient features of the ENSO influence: increased precipitation over downstream regions in northern Peru during EP El Niño and decreased precipitation over upstream regions along the Pacific slope during CP El Niño events. (2) The sensitivity to hydroclimatic change is explored by hydroclimatic trend analysis as changes indicators of regional hydroclimatology. According to significant upward trends in annual temperature found in all catchments, results showed a significant warming in the study area with a mean of 0.2°C per decade. Also, changes in trajectories in the Budyko space (i.e. direction and magnitude) over the 11 selected catchments revealed that six catchments were shown to be sensitive to climate variability (i.e. likely with high sensitivity to future climate) and land use changes, where precipitation and temperature are the main drivers of these environments changes

A study of the precipitation distribution in coastal British Columbia is described and a technique is proposed for the reliable estimation of the frequency of rainfall generated floods from ungauged watersheds in the region. A multi-disciplinary investigation was undertaken encompassing the areas of hydrometeorology, meteorological modelling and hydrological modelling. Study components included analysis of long- and short-term precipitation in two medium sized watersheds located in southwestern coastal British Columbia; development of a 24-hour design storm for coastal British Columbia; generalization of the results over the coastal region of British Columbia; examination of the precipitation distribution during flood producing storms; identification of the applicability of a meteorological model for the estimation of short-term precipitation; and development of a physically-based stochasticdeterministic procedure for the estimation of flood runoff from ungauged watersheds of the region. Based on an assessment of the atmospheric processes which affect climate, it was found that the strong frontal storms which form over the North Pacific Ocean and travel eastward generate the majority of the precipitation during the winter and fall months, whereas convective rainshowers and weak frontal storms produce the dry summer period precipitation. Examination of the annual, seasonal, and monthly precipitation in the two study watersheds, the Seymour River and the Capilano River watersheds, showed that the variation of annual and winter and fall precipitation with elevation follows a curvilinear pattern, increasing up to middle position of the watersheds at an elevation of about 400 m and then decreasing or leveffing off at the upper elevations. The summer precipitation is more uniformly distributed over the watersheds than the winter precipitation and accounts for about 25% of the total annual precipitation. The Bergeron two-cloud mechanism has been identified as the dominant rainfall producing mechanism during the winter and fall months. Analysis of regional data and results of other regional studies indicate that the curvilinear pattern found in this study is more general and is similar for the whole of coastal British Columbia and the coastal Pacific Northwest. Study of the 175 storms in the Seymour River watershed showed that the individual storm precipitation is distributed in a pattern similar to that of the annual precipitation and this distribution pattern is not affected by the type of the event. Furthennore, the analysis showed that the storm time distribution is not affected by the elevation, type of the storm, its duration, and its depth. Also, analysis of the data from three sparsely located stations of coastal British Columbia indicated that the time distribution of the storms does not change significantly over the region. With regard to the development of techniques for the better estimation of flood runoff, a 24-hour design storm has been developed by using the data from the Seymour River watershed. Analysis of its spatial distribution revealed that this 24-hour design storm is distributed in a similar patter to that of the annual precipitation. Also, it was found that the 24-hour extreme raiiifall of various return periods is a certain percentage of the mean annual precipitation. Comparison with regional data and results of other regional studies showed that the developed design storm can be transposed over the whole coastal region of British Columbia. A comparative study and rainfall-runoff simulation for a real watershed showed that from the widely used synthetic hyetographs, only the Soil Conservation Service Type IA storm or the 10% time probability distribution curve of this study can accurately generate the flood runoff from watersheds of the region. The above results of the short-term precipitation distribution with elevation and in time were tested for extreme storms. Five periods of historical large flood producing storms were analyzed and it was shown that the fmdiiigs of the short-term precipitation analyses are valid for these extreme storms. The BOUNDP meteorological model was used for the estimation of storm precipitation in the mountainous area which covers the two study watersheds, but the results showed that this particular model is not capable of simulating the precipitation observed in the area. As a result, the initial intention of coupling the model with a hydrological model for the estimation of the runoff was abandoned. The above results of the analysis of precipitation in coastal British Columbia and the findings of previous research on the watershed response of coastal mountainous watersheds have been combined and used for the development of a physically-based stochasticdeterministic procedure. The procedure uses the method of derived distributions and Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the flood frequency for ungauged watersheds of the region. The procedure has been tested with data from eight coastal British Columbia watersheds and compared with the results of other widely used regional techniques. This comparison showed that the method is reliable and efficient, and requires very limited data, which can be found from a topographical map and the Rainfall Frequency Atlas for Canada.

Thesis (M.S.)--University of Wisconsin--Madison, 1998.
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Coastal systems in semi-arid areas are characterised by complex physico-chemical processes involving mixing of marine and continental water sources as well as precipitation of evaporitic and carbonate minerals. The latter processes involving carbonate cycling also represent an important but currently poorly constrained component of the coastal carbon budget. This thesis fills important knowledge gaps in our understanding of water source mixing and local carbonate cycling in a semi-arid coastal system in South Australia – the Coorong, Lower Lakes and Murray Mouth (CLLMM) estuary, using selected alkaline earth metals (Ca and Sr) and their isotopes with the following research components: 1. Application of radiogenic Sr isotopes ((87)Sr/(86)Sr), stable Ca isotopes (δ(44/40)Ca) and elemental ratios, complemented by mineralogical analysis of top-sediment samples and geochemical (PHREEQC) modelling of carbonate saturations in the CLLMM waters to constrain the water source apportionment and local carbonate output in the Coorong lagoon. 2. Development and validation of high-precision stable Sr isotope analysis (δ(88/86)Sr) using thermal ionisation mass spectrometry (TIMS) and follow up calibration of δ(88/86)Sr in the CLLMM waters with respect to changing salinity and carbonate saturation states. 3. Application of (87)Sr/(86)Sr and δ(88/86)Sr tracers, along with elemental concentration data, to monitor seasonal variations (i.e., every 3 months) in water source mixing and carbonate dynamics (i.e., dissolution vs precipitation) in the CLLMM. 4. Reconstruction of palaeo-hydrology and salinity in the Coorong South Lagoon throughout the past ~2400 years, based on (87)Sr/(86)Sr, δ(88/86)Sr and Mg/Sr analysed in fossil bivalve shell species (Arthritica helmsi) collected from sediment cores. The above data were complemented by radiocarbon (14C) and pollen-based geochronological models. Overall, the results from the thesis showed that the modern North Lagoon waters are mainly sourced from the Southern Ocean, with transient freshwater inputs sourced from the River Murray and Lower Lakes and/or local groundwater discharge. In contrast, the hypersaline South Lagoon waters are basically highly evaporated ‘brackish waters’ with significant contribution of Sr from continental water sources. Importantly, stable Ca and Sr isotope tracers and water chemistry data indicate that the South Lagoon acts as a net sink for dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) in the form of precipitated carbonate minerals (mostly aragonite). Both δ(44/40)Ca and δ(88/86)Sr in the CLLMM waters seem to be controlled by mass-dependent isotope fractionation, most likely related to carbonate dissolution and precipitation. Despite the current uncertainty regarding the role of local groundwater discharge on the chemistry of Coorong waters, the results indicate that an increased alkalinity supply (mainly from the Salt Creek) may locally promote CaCO3 precipitation and increase in δ(88/86)Sr of waters in the South Lagoon. Finally, the multi-proxy analysis ((87)Sr/(86)Sr, δ(88/86)Sr and Mg/Sr) of fossil shells revealed that over the past two millennia the South Lagoon waters were never purely marine but originally rather comprised brackish waters (estimated minimum salinities of ~6-23 PSU) with at least 60% contribution from continental water. Overall, the findings of this thesis improved our understanding of modern and past water source mixing and carbonate cycling in the CLLMM system and can hopefully benefit future water management strategies and plans.
Thesis (Ph.D.) -- University of Adelaide, School of Physical Sciences, 2021

Land use/land cover (LULC) change and variations in precipitation can alter the quantity and quality of freshwater flows. The Mission-Aransas (M-A) estuary depends on inputs of freshwater and material from streams in order to maintain its ecological integrity. Freshwater inflow estimates for the M-A estuary have been established, but no analyses using scenarios of LULC change and precipitation variability have been conducted that inform how freshwater inflows could be impacted. A land change analysis for the M-A region was conducted by classifying two Landsat images for the years 1990 and 2010. A large degree of LULC change occurred within the M-A region during this time; with 27.1% of the land area experiencing LULC change. Furthermore, developed land increased by 44.9%. A SWAT hydrological model was developed to model the quantity and quality of freshwater inflows. SWAT was calibrated at a monthly scale using data from a stream gage. Model evaluations indicated that the model had a good performance rating with a Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (NS) of 0.66 and coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.66 for the calibration period; and an NS of 0.76 and R2 of 0.78 for the validation period. Three LULC change scenarios and three precipitation scenarios were developed to be used in a scenario analysis with the calibrated SWAT model. Each LULC change scenario represents a different amount of developed land (3.4, 3.7, and 4.7% of watershed area). Precipitation data was analyzed to select weather data for each precipitation scenario that each had different amounts of annual precipitation (763, 907, and 996 mm). A scenario analysis was conducted that analyzed how stream/channel flows and loads of sediment, total nitrogen, and total phosphorus were impacted under scenario conditions. A general increase in all output variables was exhibited as the amount of precipitation and developed land increased; with impacts from precipitation variability outweighing impacts from varying amounts of developed land. Furthermore, sediment loads were the variable most impacted by differing amounts of developed land. This study provides information on how LULC and precipitation can influence watershed hydrology that can be used in watershed management for the M-A region.

碩士
國立中興大學
環境工程學系
92
This study mainly investigated the chemical compositions of wet precipitation in Taichung coastal area and to assess the impact of acid rain control tactics . The air quality data at Shalu station were analyzed in order to evaluate the temporal changes of SO2 and NOx。The rain samples were also collected at Shalu station during the period from May 2002 to April 2003. Totally 59 samples were collected for analyzing the pH and the concentrations of Cl-，NO3-，SO4=，Na+，NH4+，K+，Mg2+ and Ca2+. The result showed that the average volume-weighted pH value in Taichung coastal area was 4.7 and the volume-weighted concentrations of SO4= and NO3- were 42.0 and 32.2 μeq L-1, respectively. The concentrations of SO4= measured in this study were only 50 % as compared to those obtained in 1991~1999. Such improvement indicated the effect of the enhanced emission standard for the electricity and the steel industry in the Harbor area. The present data also showed that the SO4= concentrations were the same level as the data measured in Japan and Korea. However the NO3- concentrations were about 2.1 times higher than those in Japan and 1.3 times higher as compared to those in Korea. Higher nitrate concentrations might be affected by the local mobile emissions. The neutralizing species were NH4+ and Ca2+ which concentrations were 44.0 and 15.7 μeq L-1，respectively . It was also found that the concentrations of NH4+ were higher than those in the previous years. Regarding the seasonal variations of SO4=，both of SO4= and SO4=∕NO3- were the highest in the winter. Extensive research had shown the control strategies for the acid rain were to abate the SO2 emissions from the fixative pollution sources and the NOx emissions from the local mobile sources. However the increasing long range transported SO2 from the mainland China could offset the effort on reducing the emissions from the local sources. Therefore the control strategies for SO2 were not only to reduce the local emissions，but also should establish an international cooperation to abate the acidic pollutants. The control tactics for the acidic pollutants were summarized in this study.

The interaction of tick species and the microclimate that they inhabit is a subject that is frequently studied. The known biology of the Gulf Coast tick, Amblyomma maculatum Koch (Acari: Ixodidae), was used to conduct analyses to determine which meteorological factors regulate Gulf Coast tick survivorship in an area of Texas that is known for reduced occurrence of this tick species. Gulf Coast tick collection records, that indicated the collection of a single tick or multiple ticks from one animal or multiple animals at livestock markets, were obtained from the Texas Animal Health Commission. These records were used as an indicator of adult Gulf Coast tick abundance during each year in the 90 county study area and were used as the dependent variable in linear, quadratic, and cubic regression analyses. Independent variables used in these analyses were precipitation and differing drought thresholds during the peak activity time of the four life stages of the Gulf Coast tick and during combined life stage peak activity times. Linear, quadratic, and cubic regression analyses to measure the effect of precipitation during differing peak activity times of the Gulf Coast tick on adult Gulf Coast tick collection records were not statistically significant. These three regression analyses were also used to measure the effect of increasing drought thresholds, measured using a Keetch-Byram Drought Index, on adult Gulf Coast tick collection records. A determination was made that increasing drought thresholds during the peak activity time of differing Gulf Coast tick life stages reduce the number of Gulf Coast tick collection records the following year.

In Pacific North America, a substantial amount of the streamflow available during the dry summer months originates from melting mountain snowpacks. Since the start of the twenty-first century, these mountain snowpacks have been declining due to the impacts of global climate change and could have severe implications for future water availability in many regions. To develop robust predictive models of future water availability derived from mountainous snowpacks, the longest possible data record is required. However, instrumental data for snow measurements, when available, are limited to a length of only five or six decades in most regions of Pacific North America. In this study, tree-rings from snow-depth sensitive tree species (mountain hemlock (Tsuga mertensiana (Bong.) Carrière) and subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa (Hook.) Nutt.)) were used as a proxy to develop a 258-year record of precipitation as snow (PAS) for the southern Coast Mountains of British Columbia. Four snow models were evaluated based on a suite of dendroclimatological model diagnostics. From these, one PAS reconstruction was carried out. The reconstruction was unable to properly validate using the leave-one-out cross validation method. This result is attributed to the combination of a short calibration period, a potentially weak climate signal, and the absence of signal enhancement. Despite this outcome the research resulted in number of inferences and recommendations useful for future research.
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