Relevant bibliographies by topics / Unemployment insurance Econometric models

Academic literature on the topic 'Unemployment insurance Econometric models'

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Published: 10 December 2022
Last updated: 29 January 2023

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Journal articles on the topic "Unemployment insurance Econometric models"

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Landais, Camille, Pascal Michaillat, and Emmanuel Saez. "A Macroeconomic Approach to Optimal Unemployment Insurance: Theory." American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 10, no. 2 (May 1, 2018): 152–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/pol.20150088.

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This paper develops a theory of optimal unemployment insurance (UI) in matching models. The optimal UI replacement rate is the conventional Baily-Chetty replacement rate, which solves the tradeoff between insurance and job-search incentives, plus a correction term, which is positive when an increase in UI pushes the labor market tightness toward its efficient level. In matching models, most wage mechanisms do not ensure efficiency, so tightness is generally inefficient. The effect of UI on tightness depends on the model: increasing UI may raise tightness by alleviating the rat race for jobs or lower tightness by increasing wages through bargaining. (JEL E24, J22, J23, J31, J41, J64, J65)
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Costain, James S., and Michael Reiter. "Business cycles, unemployment insurance, and the calibration of matching models." Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 32, no. 4 (April 2008): 1120–55. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2007.04.008.

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Lehr, Brandon. "Optimal Unemployment Insurance with Endogenous Negative Duration Dependence." Public Finance Review 45, no. 3 (May 4, 2016): 395–422. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1091142116644775.

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This article characterizes optimal unemployment insurance (UI) in an economy with endogenous negative duration dependence in hiring rates for the unemployed. The characterization generalizes the standard Baily–Chetty result and is independent of the particular mechanism generating endogenous hiring rates. I find that at the social optimum, UI equates the moral hazard cost with the sum of the insurance benefit and a new externality correction term. The sign of this externality correction term depends, in part, on the responsiveness of hiring rates to the UI benefit. I show how the effect of UI on hiring rates in turn depends on the particular assumptions about firm behavior, considering the cases of employer screening and human capital depreciation models.
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Chetty, Raj, and Emmanuel Saez. "Optimal Taxation and Social Insurance with Endogenous Private Insurance." American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 2, no. 2 (May 1, 2010): 85–116. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/pol.2.2.85.

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We characterize welfare gains from government intervention when the private sector provides partial insurance. We analyze models in which adverse selection, pre-existing information, or imperfect optimization create a role for government intervention. We derive formulas that map existing empirical estimates into quantitative predictions for optimal policy. When private insurance generates moral hazard, standard formulas for optimal government insurance must be modified to account for fiscal externalities. In contrast, standard formulas are unaffected by “informal” private insurance that does not generate moral hazard. Applications to health and unemployment show that formal private market insurance can significantly reduce optimal government benefit rates. (JEL D82, G22, H21, H23, J65)
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Ganong, Peter, and Pascal Noel. "Consumer Spending during Unemployment: Positive and Normative Implications." American Economic Review 109, no. 7 (July 1, 2019): 2383–424. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.20170537.

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Using de-identified bank account data, we show that spending drops sharply at the large and predictable decrease in income arising from the exhaustion of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits. We use the high-frequency response to a predictable income decline as a new test to distinguish between alternative consumption models. The sensitivity of spending to income we document is inconsistent with rational models of liquidity-constrained households, but is consistent with behavioral models with present-biased or myopic households. Depressed spending after exhaustion also implies that the consumption-smoothing gains from extending UI benefits are four times larger than from raising UI benefit levels. (JEL D14, D91, E21, E24, E70, J65)
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Holmlund, Bertil. "Labor Taxation in Search Equilibrium with Home Production." German Economic Review 3, no. 4 (December 1, 2002): 415–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1468-0475.00066.

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Abstract Conventional models of equilibrium unemployment typically imply that proportional taxes on labor earnings are neutral with respect to unemployment as long as the tax does not affect the replacement rate provided by unemployment insurance, i.e. unemployment benefits relative to after-tax earnings. When home production is an option, the conventional results may no longer hold. This paper uses a search equilibrium model with home production to examine the employment and welfare implications of labor taxes. The employment effect of a rise in a proportional tax is found to be negative for sufficiently low replacement rates, whereas it is ambiguous for moderate and high replacement rates. Numerical calibrations of the model indicate that employment generally falls when labor taxes are raised.
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Nekoei, Arash, and Andrea Weber. "Does Extending Unemployment Benefits Improve Job Quality?" American Economic Review 107, no. 2 (February 1, 2017): 527–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.20150528.

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Contrary to standard search models predictions, past studies have not found a positive effect of unemployment insurance (UI) on reemployment wages. We estimate a positive UI wage effect exploiting an age-based regression discontinuity design in Austria. A search model incorporating duration dependence predicts two countervailing forces: UI induces workers to seek higher-wage jobs, but reduces wages by lengthening unemployment. Matching-function heterogeneity plausibly generates a negative relationship between the UI unemployment-duration and wage effects, which holds empirically in our sample and across studies, reconciling disparate wage-effect estimates. Empirically, UI raises wages by improving reemployment firm quality and attenuating wage drops. (JEL J31, J64, J65)
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Lusher, Lester, Geoffrey C. Schnorr, and Rebecca L. C. Taylor. "Unemployment Insurance as a Worker Indiscipline Device? Evidence from Scanner Data." American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 14, no. 2 (April 1, 2022): 285–319. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/app.20190007.

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We provide causal evidence of an ex ante moral hazard effect of unemployment insurance (UI ) by matching plausibly exogenous changes in UI benefit duration across state-weeks during the Great Recession to high-frequency productivity measures from individual supermarket cashiers. Estimating models with date and cashier-register fixed effects, we identify a modest but statistically significant negative relationship between UI benefits and worker productivity. This effect is strongest for more experienced and less productive cashiers, for whom UI expansions are especially relevant. Additional analyses from the American Time Use Survey reveal a similar increase in shirking during periods with increased UI benefit durations. (JEL D82, E32, J22, J24, J65, L81)
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DellaVigna, Stefano, Jörg Heining, Johannes F. Schmieder, and Simon Trenkle. "Evidence on Job Search Models from a Survey of Unemployed Workers in Germany." Quarterly Journal of Economics 137, no. 2 (October 28, 2021): 1181–232. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjab039.

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Abstract The job-finding rate of unemployment insurance (UI) recipients declines in the initial months of unemployment and then exhibits a spike at the benefit exhaustion point. A range of theoretical explanations have been proposed, but those are hard to disentangle using data on job finding alone. To better understand the underlying mechanisms, we conducted a large text-message-based survey of unemployed workers in Germany. We surveyed 6,349 UI recipients twice a week for four months about their job search effort. The panel structure allows us to observe how search effort evolves in individuals over the unemployment spell. We provide three key facts: (i) search effort is flat early on in the UI spell, (ii) search effort exhibits an increase up to UI exhaustion and a decrease thereafter, (iii) UI recipients do not appear to time job start dates to coincide with the UI exhaustion point. A standard search model with unobserved heterogeneity struggles to explain the second fact, and a model of storable offers is not consistent with the third fact. The patterns are well captured by a model of reference-dependent job search or by a model with duration dependence in search cost.
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Jäger, Simon, Benjamin Schoefer, Samuel Young, and Josef Zweimüller. "Wages and the Value of Nonemployment*." Quarterly Journal of Economics 135, no. 4 (May 18, 2020): 1905–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjaa016.

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Abstract Nonemployment is often posited as a worker’s outside option in wage-setting models such as bargaining and wage posting. The value of nonemployment is therefore a key determinant of wages. We measure the wage effect of changes in the value of nonemployment among initially employed workers. Our quasi-experimental variation in the value of nonemployment arises from four large reforms of unemployment insurance (UI) benefit levels in Austria. We document that wages are insensitive to UI benefit changes: point estimates imply a wage response of less than $0.01 per $1.00 UI benefit increase, and we can reject sensitivities larger than $0.03. The insensitivity holds even among workers with low wages and high predicted unemployment duration, and among job switchers hired out of unemployment. The insensitivity of wages to the nonemployment value presents a puzzle to the widely used Nash bargaining model, which predicts a sensitivity of $0.24–$0.48. Our evidence supports wage-setting models that insulate wages from the value of nonemployment.
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Unemployment insurance Econometric models"

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O'LEARY, CHRISTOPHER JOSEPH. "AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE BENEFIT ADEQUACY (RATIONING CONSTRAINTS, TOBIT MODELS)." Diss., The University of Arizona, 1986. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/183901.

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Explicit parameterizations of labor supply are specified and estimated on a sample of single unattached individuals using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics and a generalized Tobit maximum likelihood method which is consistent under the assumption that employed hours are exogenous. Results of these estimations are then used to compute triangle approximation and direct closed form solutions for labor market constraint compensation. Underemployment compensation estimates are generated and compared to actual and hypothetical payments which would accrue under the UI systems of representative states. Certain compensation results for overemployment are also offered. Where they are directly comparable, results from Tobit estimation of the basic labor supply relations are found to strictly dominate ordinary least squares (OLS) results in terms of efficiency. While the OLS and Tobit parameter estimates differ dramatically in most cases, the latter are consistent with the bulk of recent empirical labor supply research. A corollary purpose of estimating the several labor supply specifications is the search for an appropriate structure of preferences to be used in modeling the labor-leisure choice problem. Direct likelihood ratio tests yielded no best form, but suggested that more flexible parameterizations are to be desired. Results on compensation amounts tend to support accepted standards of UI benefit adequacy. For all levels of unemployment the direct compensation results suggested that "one-half gross wage replacement" would slightly overcompensate individuals from a utility based perspective.
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Weier, Annette 1960. "Demutualisation in the Australian life insurance industry." Monash University, Dept. of Economics, 2000. http://arrow.monash.edu.au/hdl/1959.1/8371.

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Phipps, Shelley Ann. "An ethically flexible evaluation of unemployment insurance reform with constrained and unconstrained models of labour supply." Thesis, University of British Columbia, 1987. http://hdl.handle.net/2429/27509.

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The goal of this dissertation is to illustrate the importance and feasibility of conducting policy evaluations which pay attention to both efficiency and equity. Introducing an equity criterion necessarily involves introducing value judgements, but I suggest that objectivity can be maintained through the adoption of an 'ethically flexible' approach. That is, an analyst can avoid imposing his own particular values by explicitly conducting the evaluation from a number of different ethical positions. This dissertation illustrates the feasibility of an ethically flexible approach by carrying out an evaluation of the proposals for the reform of the Canadian Unemployment Insurance (UI) programme made by the Macdonald and Forget Commissions. The evaluation proceeds in four stages: 1. Behavioural models which take account of the existence of unemployment and UI are developed. 2. The models are estimated using an appropriate Canadian data set. 3. The estimated models are used to simulate behavioural responses to UI reform. 4. Estimation and simulation results are used to carry out the ethically flexible welfare evaluation. Two household labour-supply models are used. The first assumes that observed unemployment is the outcome of utility-maximizing choices. The second introduces the possibility that demand-side constraints may interfere with supply-side choices. A form of switching regression with sample separation unknown is developed to allow estimation of 'constrained' labour-supply functions. Additional problems for estimation include a budget constraint which is non-linear as a result of the UI programme and a dependent variable, weeks of leisure (unemployment), which is limited to values between zero and fifty-two. Both unconstrained and constrained models are estimated for single men, single women and couples, using linear expenditure systems and data from the 1982 Survey of Consumer Finance. Estimation results suggest that constrained labour-supply functions are less elastic than unconstrained functions, that there is no observable difference between the labour-supply behaviour of men and women in a constrained model, and that cross-effects are important in the determination of the labour-supply behaviour of couples. Estimated probabilities of constraint take an average value of (approximately) 80 percent. The simulation of behavioural responses to UI reform using the estimated unconstrained labour-supply functions suggests that large reductions in unemployment might be anticipated. Simulation using the constrained labour-supply functions suggests that responses may be negligible. Welfare evaluation measures are constructed for three ethical perspectives: The first is in the spirit of Utilitarianism; the second is in the spirit of John Rawls' theory of justice; the third is in the spirit of Robert Nozick's entitlement theory. The 'Utilitarian' measure is a mean of order r over the distribution of individual utilities. (Explicit interpersonal comparisons are required for these evaluations.) The 'Rawlsian' measure is a mean of order r over the distribution of individual incomes, censored at the poverty line to focus attention on the worst-off group. The 'Entitlement' measure is a measure of the distance between the distribution of individual costs (premiums) and benefits derived from UI. Three factors are important in the- determination of the welfare-evaluation results. First, the ethical position adopted matters. Both UI reform proposals appear welfare-reducing from a Utilitarian perspective and welfare-improving from an Entitlement perspective. Second, for the Rawlsian and Utilitarian evaluations, the assumed degree of inequality aversion is important. Finally, assumptions made about the nature of unemployment are critical. This is most clearly illustrated by the Rawlsian results. If unemployment is assumed to be the outcome of utility-maximizing choices, then both reform proposals appear welfare-improving: poor people choose to work more and their incomes increase. If unemployment may be the result of demand-side constraints so that increases in employment are not possible, then UI reform merely results in reductions in income for the worst-off group. These results illustrate the importance of both the equity and the efficiency dimensions of a policy evaluation. This thesis demonstrates the feasibility of conducting an objective policy evaluation which pays attention to both.
Arts, Faculty of
Vancouver School of Economics
Graduate
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Wei, Xiangjing. "House Prices and Mortgage Defaults: Econometric Models and Risk Management Applications." Digital Archive @ GSU, 2010. http://digitalarchive.gsu.edu/rmi_diss/24.

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This dissertation first investigates the possible house price trend and the relationship with the mortgage market, from the perspective of risk management; then it chooses the angle from bond insurers and figures out possible methods to avoid capital procyclicality. In Chapter I, we apply vector auto regression models (VAR) and simultaneous equations models (SEM) to estimate the dynamic relations among house price returns, mortgage rates and mortgage default rates, using historical data during the time period of 1979 through second quarter 2008. We find that house prices would be better estimated and predicted with the consideration of the mortgage market. In Chapter II, following the methodology of co-integration, we first construct several succinct measures to display the possible intrinsic values of house prices. In the short run, house price return dynamics are investigated by dynamic adjustments following Capozza et al (2002) and error correction models. We examine the possible overshooting problem of house price returns. By analytical derivations and simulations, we demonstrate the effects of the coefficients on overshooting. In Chapter III, we adopt a structural model with time-varying correlations for bond insurers. We consider losses due to bond insurers’ downgrading and losses from both insurance contracts and investment portfolio. On that basis, we propose forward-looking smoothing rules of capital over a full business cycle, instead of only based on a short-term horizon, to avoid the procyclicality. With the smoothed capital, a bond insurer can actually establish some capital buffer in good times to support the potential losses in crisis.
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Torracchi, Federico. "Essays in empirical and theoretical labor market models." Thesis, University of Oxford, 2016. https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:4703d768-3796-42ce-ae6c-75c1f582db67.

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This DPhil thesis is a collection of three theoretical and empirical papers studying labor markets in several advanced economies. Two chapters examine the relationship between the banking sector and the labor market in the US and the UK, while one evaluates a policy that has been proposed to help labor markets in the Euro Area adjust to economic shocks. In the first chapter, I develop a New Keynesian DSGE model that integrates a banking sector subject to moral hazard with a standard random search model of the labor market. I estimate the model using US data and study the role of the banking sector in determining labor market fluctuations. In the second chapter, I estimate a structural VAR model of the UK and US economies and identify bank lending shocks using a mix of sign and short-run exclusion restrictions. Consistent with the predictions of the DSGE model, an expansionary loan supply shock decreases job-destruction and increases job-creation, reducing the unemployment rate persistently. Bank lending shocks are also important drivers of labor market fluctuations, particularly during the Great Recession. Lastly, in the third chapter, I calibrate to the Euro Area a currency union DSGE model to evaluate the aggregate properties of European Unemployment Insurance (EUI). I find that EUI cannot contemporaneously stabilize the monetary union and achieve convergence in regional unemployment and inflation rates.
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Liu, Yang. "Structural Econometric Models of Unemployment, Immigration, and Job-Worker Matching in Urban China: from the Supply and Demand Approach to the Search-Theoretic Approach." Kyoto University, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/2433/157501.

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Pham, Tien Duc, and n/a. "A new approach to regional modelling: an Integrated Regional Equation System (IRES)." Griffith University. School of International Business and Asian Studies, 2004. http://www4.gu.edu.au:8080/adt-root/public/adt-QGU20041022.083520.

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This thesis develops a new structure that explicitly combines two CGE models, a national and a regional, in an integrated structure that gives the thesis model the name IRES, in short for the Integrated Regional Equation System. The typical features of the integrated structure are the adding-up conditions and the two-way linkages between the national and the regional modules facilitated by the interface shifters. The adding-up conditions ensure the two modules produce consistent results and updated databases. The inclusion of the interface shifters on the one hand plays a role in ensuring compatibility of results of the two modules, i.e. no distortion occurs because technical or taste changes are transferred across modules. On the other hand, the interface shifters assist the operation of IRES in different modes: the model can be used as a top-down model, a bottom-up model or an integrated model where national and regional shocks can be introduced at the same time. Hence, IRES has more flexibility in its application than a regional model or a national model alone, as IRES can make use of availability of data at any levels in the economy. IRES has a new labour market in which regional migration is no longer the only factor that settles the labour market as in the original setting of the MMRF model. Regional unemployment and regional participation rates are modelled to response to changes in regional employment growth using elasticities estimated econometrically in this thesis. IRES implements historical patterns of regional migration so that results of regional migration are consistent with observed patterns. Altogether, regional migration, regional unemployment and participation rates determine the equilibrium of the labour market. IRES adopts new approaches to modelling margin demands and indirect taxes. These new approaches are very effective in reducing the size of IRES but they do not compromise the use of the model. These approaches are readily applicable to any other regional CGE models.
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Berger, Loïc. "Essays on the economics of risk and uncertainty." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/209676.

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In the first chapter of this thesis, I use the smooth ambiguity model developed by Klibanoff, Marinacci, and Mukerji (2005) to define the concepts of ambiguity and uncertainty premia in a way analogous to what Pratt (1964) did in the risk theory literature. I show that these concepts may be useful to quantify the effect ambiguity has on the welfare of economic agents. I also define several other concepts such as the unambiguous probability equivalent or the ambiguous utility premium, provide local approximations of these different premia and show the link that exists between them when comparing different degrees of ambiguity aversion not only in the small, but also in the large.

In the second chapter, I analyze the effect of ambiguity on self-insurance and self-protection, that are tools used to deal with the uncertainty of facing a monetary loss when market insurance is not available (in the self-insurance model, the decision maker has the opportunity to furnish an effort to reduce the size of the loss occurring in the bad state of the world, while in the self-protection – or prevention – model, the effort reduces the probability of being in the bad state).

In a short note, in the context of a two-period model I first examine the links between risk-aversion, prudence and self-insurance/self-protection activities under risk. Contrary to the results obtained in the static one-period model, I show that the impacts of prudence and of risk-aversion go in the same direction and generate a higher level of prevention in the more usual situations. I also show that the results concerning self-insurance in a single period framework may be easily extended to a two-period context.

I then consider two-period self-insurance and self-protection models in the presence of ambiguity and analyze the effect of ambiguity aversion. I show that in most common situations, ambiguity prudence is a sufficient condition to observe an increase in the level of effort. I propose an interpretation of the model in the context of climate change, so that self-insurance and self-protection are respectively seen as adaptation and mitigation efforts a policy-maker should provide to deal with an uncertain catastrophic event, and interpret the results obtained as an expression of the Precautionary Principle.

In the third chapter, I introduce the economic theory developed to deal with ambiguity in the context of medical decision-making. I show that, under diagnostic uncertainty, an increase in ambiguity aversion always leads a physician whose goal is to act in the best interest of his patient, to choose a higher level of treatment. In the context of a dichotomic choice (treatment versus no treatment), this result implies that taking into account the attitude agents generally manifest towards ambiguity may induce a physician to change his decision by opting for treatment more often. I further show that under therapeutic uncertainty, the opposite happens, i.e. an ambiguity averse physician may eventually choose not to treat a patient who would have been treated under ambiguity neutrality.


Doctorat en Sciences économiques et de gestion
info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished

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Duineveld, Sijmen [Verfasser], and Burkhard [Akademischer Betreuer] Heer. "Solving Life Cycle Models, Optimal Age-Dependent Unemployment Insurance, and Adaptive Beliefs in a Real Business Cycle Model / Sijmen Duineveld ; Betreuer: Burkhard Heer." Augsburg : Universität Augsburg, 2019. http://d-nb.info/1190564904/34.

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Senzangakhona, Phakama. "The impact of oil price volatility on unemployment: a case study of South Africa." Thesis, University of Fort Hare, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10353/1697.

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This study analyses and investigates the impact of crude oil price vitality on unemployment in South Africa. This is done by firstly surveying theoretical and empirical literature on the crude oil price-unemployment relationship before relating it to South Africa. Secondly, crude oil and unemployment trends with their causes are overviewed. The study employs a Johansen co-integration technique based on VAR to model unemployment against crude oil prices, real effective exchange rate, real interest rates and real gross domestic product. Using quarterly data for the period 1990-2010, econometric results show that crude oil prices are positively related to unemployment in the long run while the opposite is true in the short run. Parameter estimates and variables are statistically significant; hence there are also policy recommendations which are related to both empirical and theoretical literature. Lastly, impulse response functions show that unemployment returns to equilibrium in the long run when crude oil price changes whereas real interest rates followed by crude oil prices explain most of unemployment changes compared to other variables in the long run.
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Books on the topic "Unemployment insurance Econometric models"

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Shimer, Robert. Reservation wages & unemployment insurance. Cambridge, MA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics, 2006.

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Acemoglu, Daron. Efficient unemployment insurance. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1998.

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Shimer, Robert. Reservation wages and unemployment insurance. Cambridge, Mass: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2006.

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M, Anderson Patricia. Unemployment insurance benefits and takeup rates. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1994.

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Acemoglu, Daron. Productivity gains from unemployment insurance. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1999.

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S, Feldstein Martin. Unemployment insurance savings accounts. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1998.

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Card, David E. Unemployment insurance taxes and the cyclical and seasonal properties of unemployment. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1992.

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Shimer, Robert. Liquidity and insurance for the unemployed. Cambridge, MA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics, 2005.

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Shimer, Robert. Liquidity and insurance for the unemployed. Cambridge, Mass: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2005.

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Shimer, Robert. Liquidity and insurance for the unemployed. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2005.

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Book chapters on the topic "Unemployment insurance Econometric models"

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Boyer, Marcel, Georges Dionne, and Charles Vanasse. "Econometric Models of Accident Distributions." In Contributions to Insurance Economics, 169–213. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 1992. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-1168-5_6.

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Chiappori, Pierre-André. "Econometric Models of Insurance under Asymmetric Information." In Handbook of Insurance, 365–93. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 2000. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-0642-2_11.

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Wurzel, Eckhard. "Models of Individual Unemployment Duration." In An Econometric Analysis of Individual Unemployment Duration in West Germany, 6–30. Heidelberg: Physica-Verlag HD, 1993. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-50298-9_2.

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Wurzel, Eckhard. "Hazard Rate Models." In An Econometric Analysis of Individual Unemployment Duration in West Germany, 31–69. Heidelberg: Physica-Verlag HD, 1993. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-50298-9_3.

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Laurent, Thibault, and Paula Margaretic. "Predictions in Spatial Econometric Models: Application to Unemployment Data." In Advances in Contemporary Statistics and Econometrics, 409–26. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-73249-3_21.

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Buckmann, Marcus, Andreas Joseph, and Helena Robertson. "Opening the Black Box: Machine Learning Interpretability and Inference Tools with an Application to Economic Forecasting." In Data Science for Economics and Finance, 43–63. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-66891-4_3.

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AbstractWe present a comprehensive comparative case study for the use of machine learning models for macroeconomics forecasting. We find that machine learning models mostly outperform conventional econometric approaches in forecasting changes in US unemployment on a 1-year horizon. To address the black box critique of machine learning models, we apply and compare two variables attribution methods: permutation importance and Shapley values. While the aggregate information derived from both approaches is broadly in line, Shapley values offer several advantages, such as the discovery of unknown functional forms in the data generating process and the ability to perform statistical inference. The latter is achieved by the Shapley regression framework, which allows for the evaluation and communication of machine learning models akin to that of linear models.
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Kamenska, Anhelita, and Jekaterina Tumule. "Migrants’ Access to Social Protection in Latvia." In IMISCOE Research Series, 257–70. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-51241-5_17.

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Abstract This chapter discusses the link between migration and welfare in Latvia. In general, the Latvian social security system may be described as a mixture of elements taken from the basic security (where eligibility is based on contributions or residency, and flat-rate benefits are provided) and corporatist (with eligibility based on labour force participation and earnings-related benefits) models. The country has experienced significant social policy and migration-related changed during the past decades. This chapter focuses on the current Latvian legislation, by closely examining the differential access to social protection benefits of resident nationals, foreigners living in Latvia and Latvian citizens residing abroad across five core policy areas: unemployment, health care, pensions, family benefits and social assistance. Our results show that the Latvian social security benefits are generally based on the principle of employment, social insurance contributions, and permanent residence. Most of the social benefits and services are available to socially insured permanent residents. At the same time, the state offers minimum protection to non-insured permanent residents. Foreigners with temporary residence permits who are not socially insured are the least socially protected group.
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Mortensen, Dale T., and George R. Neumann. "Estimating structural models of unemployment and job duration." In Dynamic Econometric Modeling, 335–56. Cambridge University Press, 1988. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511664342.016.

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Draper, D. A. G. "Unemployment in a Small Macroeconomic Disequilibrium Model." In Explaining Unemployment: Econometric Models for the Netherlands, 13–65. Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/s0573-8555(1998)0000250008.

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Draper, D. A. G. "Equilibrium Unemployment in a Small Theoretical Model." In Explaining Unemployment: Econometric Models for the Netherlands, 97–122. Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/s0573-8555(1998)0000250010.

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Conference papers on the topic "Unemployment insurance Econometric models"

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Koşan, Naime İrem, and Sudi Apak. "Trade Openness and Macroeconomic Policy in OECD Countries." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c06.01373.

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Abstract:
Trade openness has been subject to an important issue many studies in literature. It allows us to analyze potential trade as a percentage of gross domestic product. Total value of international trade in goods and services shows the countries’ integration into the world economy. Generally, small countries are more integrated because of their dependency on imports. On the other hand, there many variables which effects trade integration. Our study focuses on to analyze the effects on trade openness and make inferences for OECD countries. In this paper we aim to examine the relationship between trade openness and macro-economic indicators in OECD countries. To analyze the relationship, we used panel data regression analysis. Data obtained from World Bank, The Heritage Foundation and United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). The panel data covers 2000-2013 periods and 33 countries. The analysis made through the Stata econometric packet program. We predicted pooled, fixed effects and random effects panel data models and analyzed them. It has been found that gross domestic savings, investment freedom, and unemployment rate are statistically significant. The results found in this paper show that investment freedom and gross domestic savings have positive effect on trade openness as we expected. On the other hand, unemployment rate has positive effect on trade openness. These findings have important policy implications for OECD countries. Our interpretation of these findings is that, integration to world economy has generally positive effects for macroeconomic factors in OECD countries, but it should be limited.
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Reports on the topic "Unemployment insurance Econometric models"

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O'Leary, Christopher J. An Econometric Analysis of Unemployment Insurance Benefits Adequacy. W.E. Upjohn Institute, January 1990. http://dx.doi.org/10.17848/wp90-05.

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