Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Transportation Mathematical models'
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Abdelghany, Ahmed F. "Dynamic micro-assignment of travel demand with activity/trip chains." Full text (PDF) from UMI/Dissertation Abstracts International Access restricted to users with UT Austin EID, 2001. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/utexas/fullcit?p3023538.
Full textMorales, Juan Carlos. "Planning Robust Freight Transportation Operations." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/14107.
Full textKim, Kihong. "Recent Advances in Activity-Based Travel Demand Models for Greater Flexibility." PDXScholar, 2018. https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/4225.
Full textXu, Suxiu, and 徐素秀. "Truthful, efficient auctions for transportation procurement." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10722/206443.
Full textpublished_or_final_version
Industrial and Manufacturing Systems Engineering
Doctoral
Doctor of Philosophy
Fischer, Manfred M. "Computational Neural Networks: An attractive class of mathematical models for transportation research." WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, 1997. http://epub.wu.ac.at/4158/1/WSG_DP_5797.pdf.
Full textZhang, Lu, and 張露. "An integrated approach to empty container repositioning and vessel routing in marine transportation." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10722/206354.
Full textCramer, Jay Alan 1957. "APPLICATION OF POLYHEDRAL DYNAMICS TO PEDESTRIAN ACCIDENTS (TRANSPORTATION)." Thesis, The University of Arizona, 1986. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/277115.
Full textQin, Jiefeng. "System dynamics representation of catastrophe and its application to transportation." Thesis, This resource online, 1992. http://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-05042010-020251/.
Full textJiang, Yu, and 姜宇. "Reliability-based transit assignment : formulations, solution methods, and network design applications." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10722/207991.
Full textFoucart, Renaud. "Essays in product diversity and urban transportation." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/209677.
Full textDoctorat en Sciences économiques et de gestion
info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished
Dillon, Jeffrey Elliot. "The design of fixed routes in local area systems." Thesis, Georgia Institute of Technology, 1992. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/25519.
Full textUyar, Emrah. "Routing in stochastic environments." Diss., Atlanta, Ga. : Georgia Institute of Technology, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/26554.
Full textCommittee Co-Chair: Erera, Alan L.; Committee Co-Chair: Savelsbergh, Martin W. P.; Committee Member: Ergun, Ozlem; Committee Member: Ferguson, Mark; Committee Member: Kleywegt, Anton J.. Part of the SMARTech Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Collection.
Hole, Arne Risa. "Modelling commuters' mode choice in Scotland." Thesis, University of St Andrews, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/10023/14115.
Full textYim, Ka-wing, and 嚴家榮. "A reliability-based land use and transportation optimization model." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2005. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B34618879.
Full textRoberts, Craig Arnold. "Modeling the relationships between microscopic and macroscopic travel activity on freeways : bridging the gap between current travel demand models and emerging mobile emission models." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 1999. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/32873.
Full textLi, Jiukun. "Impacts of e-shopping on urban transportation : an integrated network equilibrium model of shopping and travel choices." HKBU Institutional Repository, 2004. http://repository.hkbu.edu.hk/etd_ra/517.
Full textBakkalbasi, Omer. "Flow path network design and layout configuration for material delivery systems." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 1989. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/25617.
Full textPeng, Zhongren. "A Simultaneous Route-level Transit Patronage Model: Demand, Supply, and Inter-route Relationship." PDXScholar, 1994. https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/1159.
Full textBevrani, Bayan. "Multi-criteria capacity assessment and planning models for multi-modal transportation systems." Thesis, Queensland University of Technology, 2018. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/122895/1/Bayan_Bevrani_Thesis.pdf.
Full textCarbajal, Orozco Jose Antonio. "Transportation resource management in large-scale freight consolidation networks." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/42758.
Full textOrrell, James D. "GIS address-matching and transportation analysis." PDXScholar, 1990. https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/4133.
Full textFang, Yi. "An urban traffic network model using GIS technology." Virtual Press, 1992. http://liblink.bsu.edu/uhtbin/catkey/845978.
Full textDepartment of Urban Planning
Al-Malik, Mohammed Saleh. "An investigation and development of a combined traffic signal control-traffic assignment model." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 1991. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/21425.
Full textCarter, Andrew 1977. "A geographic and statistical analysis of the relationship between neighborhood and regional urban form and household car-dependency in Montreal /." Thesis, McGill University, 2005. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=82693.
Full textBrown, Rollins Patrick. "Predicting the ultimate axial resistance of single driven piles." Access restricted to users with UT Austin EID Full text (PDF) from UMI/Dissertation Abstracts International, 2001. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/utexas/fullcit?p3025000.
Full textChan, Kwong-yan Ian, and 陳光仁. "Developing a sustainable transport system in Hong Kong." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2004. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B29854076.
Full textToriello, Alejandro. "Time decomposition of multi-period supply chain models." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/42704.
Full textBrizendine, Laora Dauberman. "Low probability-high consequence considerations in a multiobjective approach to risk management." Thesis, This resource online, 1994. http://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-07112009-040353/.
Full textNowak, Maciek A. "The Pickup and Delivery Problem with Split Loads." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/7223.
Full textYen, Jeffrey Lee. "A system model for assessing water consumption across transportation modes in urban mobility networks." Thesis, Georgia Institute of Technology, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/39527.
Full textKerin, Paul D. "A spatial economic analysis of the Eyre Peninsula grain handling and transportation system." Title page, abstract and contents only, 1985. http://web4.library.adelaide.edu.au/theses/09ECM/09ecmk39.pdf.
Full textMichaud, Darryl Joseph. "Driver Distraction in Microsimulation of a Mid-Block Pedestrian Crossing." Thesis, Portland State University, 2018. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=10830985.
Full textTraffic simulation has become an invaluable part of the traffic engineering toolbox. However, the majority of driver models are designed to recreate traffic performance based on interactions among vehicles. In keeping with this pursuit, most are fundamentally built to avoid collisions. This limits the applicability of using these models for addressing safety concerns, especially those regarding pedestrian safety performance. However, by explicitly including some of the sources of human error, these limitations can, in theory, be overcome. While much work has been done toward including these human factors in simulation platforms, one key aspect of human behavior has been largely ignored: driver distraction.
This work presents a novel approach to inclusion of driver distraction in a microsimulation or agent-based model. Distributions of distraction events and inter-distraction periods are derived from eye-glance data collected during naturalistic driving studies. The developed model of distraction is implemented – along with perception errors, visual obstructions, and driver reaction times – in a simulated mid-block pedestrian crossing.
The results of this simulation demonstrate that excluding any of these human factors from the implemented driver model significantly alters conflict rates observed in the simulation. This finding suggests that inclusion of human factors is important in any microsimulation platforms used to analyze pedestrian safety performance.
Munyakazi, Justin Bazimaziki. "Transport modelling in the Cape Town Metropolitan Area." Thesis, University of the Western Cape, 2005. http://etd.uwc.ac.za/index.php?module=etd&.
Full textBula, Gustavo Alfredo. "Vehicle Routing for Hazardous Material Transportation." Thesis, Troyes, 2018. http://www.theses.fr/2018TROY0014.
Full textThe main objective of this thesis is to study the hazardous materials (HazMat) transportation problem considered as a heterogeneous fleet vehicle routing problem. HazMat transportation decisions comprise different and sometimes conflicting objectives. Two are considered in this work, the total routing cost and the total routing risk. The first task undertaken was the formulation of a mathematical model for the routing risk minimization, which depends on the type of vehicle, the material being transported, and the load change when the vehicle goes from one customer to another. A piecewise linear approximation is employed to keep a mixed integer linear programing formulation.Hybrid solution methods based on neighborhood search are explored for solving the routing risk minimization. This includes the study of neighborhood structures and the development of a Variable Neighborhood Descent (VND) algorithm for local search, and a perturbation mechanism (shaking neighborhoods). A post-optimization procedure is applied to improve the solution quality.Finally, two different solution approaches, a multi-objective dominance-based algorithm and a meta-heuristic epsilon-constraint method are employed for addressing the multi-objective version of the problem. Two performance metrics are used: the hyper volume and the ∆-metric. The front approximations show that a small increment in the total routing cost can produce a high reduction in percentage of the expected consequences given the probability of a HazMat transportation incident
Husted, Christopher. "Improving the efficiency of assigning vehicles to auto carrier loads : a decision support system." Thesis, Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/18129.
Full textENGLISH ABSTRACT: Auto Carrier Transport (ACT) is the motor ferrying division of Grindrod South Africa (Pty) Ltd and is contracted to transport the product of 15 different vehicle manufacturers. The division is responsible for ensuring that the combined annual volumes of each contract, totalling over 300 000 vehicles per year, are delivered to the right place, at the right time, and in the right condition. ACT's operating mandate thus focuses on the outbound logistics of new vehicles, which implies moving cars from either the local manufacturing plants, or from the import facilities at the ports, to the respective dealer networks all across Southern Africa. One of the key operational processes regarding the transportation of vehicles is the allocation of cars to carrier loads, also known as load building. Once cars have been allocated to a load, a carrier is then used to transport the load. The existing load building operation is completely manual, with operators simply assigning cars to loads as best they see fit. No support systems exist. Thus, given the complexity of the load building problem, and the manual processes used, existing load building practices result in suboptimal payload performances. A Linear Programming Model was developed to improve the manner in which vehicles are categorised, and then assigned to loads. When compared against the results of load building operators, it was found that the model could potentially improve the company's contribution margin by 5.8 percent.
AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Auto Carrier Transport (ACT) is die motorvoertuig vervoerafdeling van Grindrod Suid Afrika (Edms) Bpk en word gekontrakteer vir die vervoer van die produkte van 15 verskillende motorvervaardigers. Die afdeling is verantwoorde1ik om te verseker dat die jaarlikse volume van elke kontrak (met 'n gekombineerde volume van meer as 300 000 motorvoertuie per jaar) betyds afgelewer word, op die regte plek en in die regte toestand. ACT se operasionele mandaat fokus dus op die uitgaande logistiek van nuwe motorvoertuie met die implikasie dat motorvoertuie vanaf die plaaslike vervaardingsaanleg, of die invoer fasiliteit by die hawens, na die ooreenstemende handelaarsnetwerke in Suider Afrika vervoer word. Een van die kern operasionele prosesse rakende die vervoer van motorvoertuie, wat bekendstaan as vragtoekening, is die toedeling van motorvoertuie tot vragmotor vragte. Sodra 'n motorvoertuig aan 'n vrag toegeken is, word dit deur middel van 'n vragmotor vervoer. Die bestaande vragtoekeningsproses word per hand uitgevoer deur operateurs wat eenvoudig motorvoertuie aan vragte toedeel soos hulle goeddink sonder die gebruik van enige besluitnemingsondersteuningstelsels. Aangesien vragtoekening 'n baie komplekse probleem is wat per hand uitgevoer word, is die resultate suboptimaal. 'n Lineêre programeeringsmodel is ontwikkel om die klassifikasie van motorvoertuie te verbeter waarna die motorvoertuie aan vragte toegeken word. In 'n vergelyking tussen die model se resultate en die van die operateurs is daar bevind dat die model die maatskappy se wins per eenheid met 5.8 persent kan verbeter.
Broach, Joseph. "Travel Mode Choice Framework Incorporating Realistic Bike and Walk Routes." PDXScholar, 2016. https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/2702.
Full textKressner, Josephine D. "Leveraging targeted marketing data in travel demand modeling: validation and applications." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/51870.
Full textForooqi, A. Masood. "Ridership studies for the proposed Florida high speed rail system." FIU Digital Commons, 1990. http://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/etd/3254.
Full textHallmark, Shauna L. "Analysis and prediction of individual vehicle activity for microscopic traffic modeling." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 1999. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/20736.
Full textJohnson, Pamela Christine. "Bicycle Level of Service: Where are the Gaps in Bicycle Flow Measures?" PDXScholar, 2014. https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/1975.
Full textMendes, Wagner Schalch. "Regulação de trens em sistemas metroviarios." [s.n.], 2009. http://repositorio.unicamp.br/jspui/handle/REPOSIP/259748.
Full textDissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Faculdade de Engenharia Eletrica e de Computação
Made available in DSpace on 2018-08-14T05:54:11Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Mendes_WagnerSchalch_M.pdf: 1828766 bytes, checksum: 0aba4a8b38c8c8768e34ae1f0a7434e6 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2009
Resumo: O problema de regulação de trens é particularmente importante entre os problemas de escalonamento encontrados nos sistemas de transporte metroviários, sendo caracterizados por trens percorrendo regiões urbanas levando passageiros de uma localização para outra. Se o intervalo entre trens desejado, tempos de parada em plataformas e os tempos de percurso entre plataformas são determinados e conhecidos a-priori, a solução de estado estável (tabela horária) pode ser calculada. Entretanto, sistemas reais estão sujeitos a perturbações como passageiros impedindo o fechamento de portas, falhas mecânicas ou elétricas, etc., que podem desviar os trens do estado estável. Nesse contexto, esse trabalho está direcionado para a determinação de uma lei de controle, i.e., uma lei para a determinação dos instantes de chegada e partida de cada trem em cada plataforma nos ciclos do sistema para restabelecer e manter a tabela horária (solução de referência). A lei de controle proposta está baseada nos conceitos da álgebra maxplus. Os instantes desejáveis de chegada e partida de cada trem em cada plataforma são calculados a partir dos últimos instantes de ocorrência dos eventos do sistema e de um conjunto de matrizes definido na álgebra max-plus.
Abstract: The train regulation problem is of particular importance among the scheduling problems found in mass transit systems, being characterized by trains running in urban regions taking passengers from one location to another. If the desired headway between trains, dwell-times in platforms and running times between platforms are determined and known a-priori, the steady state solution (timetable) can be calculated. However, real systems are subject to disturbances such as passengers preventing doors from closing, mechanical or electrical failures, etc., that can deviate the trains from the steady state. In this context, this work is concerned with the determination of a control law, i.e., a law for the determination of the arrival and departure times of each train on each platform in the system's cycles in order to reestablish and maintain the timetable (reference solution). The proposed control law is based on max-plus algebra concepts. The desired arrival and departure times of each train on each platform are calculated from the last occurrence instants of the system's events and from a set of matrices defined in max-plus algebra.
Mestrado
Automação
Mestre em Engenharia Elétrica
Burgain, Pierrick Antoine. "On the control of airport departure operations." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/37261.
Full textDelaneze, Marcelo Elias [UNESP]. "Modelagem dinâmica espacial aplicada na avaliação das mudanças da cobertura da terra no entorno de dutos utilizando autômatos celulares: estudo de caso duto ORBEL." Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP), 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/92738.
Full textAgência Nacional do Petróleo, Gás Natural e Biocombustíveis (ANP)
A obtenção de informação sobre as condições da rede dutoviária representa papel primordial na operação dos dutos, não só com o propósito de manter a eficiência operacional, mas também, para a minimização dos riscos associados a possíveis acidentes, tanto decorrentes dos processos naturais quanto de causas antrópicas relacionadas ao uso e cobertura da terra. Neste sentido, o emprego de modelos matemáticos em estudos ambientais gera importantes contribuições científicas ao planejamento ordenado de uma área, uma vez que ajudam a entender o impacto das mudanças no uso e cobertura da terra e a prever alterações futuras nos ecossistemas. A área de estudo compreende porções dos municípios de Duque de Caxias, Belford Roxo e Nova Iguaçu e tem por objetivo realizar experimentos de mudanças da cobertura da terra em médio prazo (10 anos) para a faixa de dutos ORBEL. A modelagem realizada neste trabalho foi desenvolvida no software Dinamica-EGO, utilizando como entrada mapas classificados de cobertura da terra, obtidos através de imagens do satélite Landsat 5/TM, e variáveis espaciais para explicar as mudanças ocorridas na cobertura da terra. Para a calibração do modelo, utilizou-se o método de pesos de evidência, disponível no Dinamica-EGO, primeiramente categorizando-se os mapas de variáveis contínuas e, posteriormente, calculando-se os pesos de evidência. Valores positivos favorecem determinada transição, enquanto valores negativos indicam baixa probabilidade de transição, e valores próximos a zero não exercem efeito. A validação do modelo se deu pelo método de similaridade fuzzy, com decaimento exponencial. Os resultados mostram que, para os dois períodos analisados (1987-1998 e 1998-2010), a taxa de mudança para a transição “vegetação arbórea para outros” é bem maior do que para...
Reliable information about conditions of pipeline network represents a major role in the operation of pipelines, not only in order to maintain operational efficiency, but also to minimize the risks associated with possible accidents such as rupture of the ducts due to landslides or mudslides mass block, causing damage to humans and the environment. The use of mathematical models in environmental studies allows significant scientific contributions to the physical planning of an area, since they help to understand the impact of changes in land use and land cover and predict future trends of changes in ecosystems. The study area includes portions of the municipalities of Duque de Caxias, Nova Iguaçu, and Belford Roxo and aims to carry out experiments in land-cover changes in the medium-term (10 years) within the catchment area of ORBEL pipelines. The modeling performed in this work was developed using the software Dinamica-EGO, using as input classified land cover maps obtained from Landsat 5/TM satellite images as well as spatial variables to explain the observed changes in land cover. For the model calibration, we used the method of weights of evidence that is available at Dinamica-EGO. Initially, the maps of continuous variables were categorized according to discrete ranges, which were then employed for the calculation of the respective positive weights of evidence. Positive values foster certain transitions, while negative values indicate low probability of transition, and values close to zero have no effect on changes. Model validation was executed by means of the fuzzy similarity method using exponential decay. The results show that for the two study periods (1987-1998 and 1998-2010) the rate of change for the transition 'others to woody vegetation' is much higher than for the other transitions observed in the same... (Complete abstract click electronic access below)
Vieira, Kely Plucinski. "Estratégias de participação em leilões combinatoriais aplicadas em um problema de transporte de derivados de petróleo." Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná, 2012. http://repositorio.utfpr.edu.br/jspui/handle/1/560.
Full textRecent researches have shown that approaches based on multi-agent systems (MAS) and market mechanisms like auctions are efficient on the resolution of planning problems in supply chains. This work uses the combinatorial auction-based MAS paradigm and participation strategies in auctions for solving the problem of transporting oil derivatives of PETROBRAS - Petroleo Brasileiro S/A, called Simplified Problem of Transporting Oil Derivatives (SPTOD), which is characterized as a planning problem in supply chains. In combinatorial auctions, the winner determination is a NP-Complete problem without approximation algorithms, whose computational cost increases with the number of bids received by the auctioneer. In this context, this work aims at enlarging the scope of application of combinatorial-auction mechanisms in planning problems by using a heuristic strategy for participation in auctions, besides serving as a support tool for decision-making process by specialists of industrial oil. The results were drawn from several scenarios where the MAS was used with the proposed strategy (global evaluation of needs) and with other strategies for comparison (general – all possible auctions – and greedy – only one auction). The results show that the use of the proposed strategy reduces the processing time when compared to the general strategy and that the quality of the solution is preserved in comparison with the general and greedy strategies. Other contributions of this work are the development of a MAS to realize the planning of transporting oil derivatives between producing and consuming basis having as negotiation model the combinatorial auction-based mechanism and a proposition of a decentralized model where several combinatorial auctions can be run simultaneously.
MacFarlane, Gregory Stuart. "Using big data to model travel behavior: applications to vehicle ownership and willingness-to-pay for transit accessibility." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/51804.
Full textBennett, Ashlea R. "Home health care logistics planning." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/33989.
Full textDewez, Sophie. "On the toll setting problem." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2004. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/211104.
Full textDoctorat en sciences, Orientation recherche opérationnelle
info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished
Elahi, Behin. "Integrated Optimization Models and Strategies for Green Supply Chain Planning." University of Toledo / OhioLINK, 2016. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=toledo1467266039.
Full textPolli, Helton Luis. "Otimização do transporte de derivados claros de petróleo em rede de dutos utilizando programação linear inteira mista." Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná, 2014. http://repositorio.utfpr.edu.br/jspui/handle/1/799.
Full textThis work applies Mixed Integer Linear Programming for a new approach to batch sequencing in a real-world pipeline network. The proposed model is immersed in an optimization framework to aid the operational scheduling of light oil derivatives. The considered pipeline network consists of 14 nodes (areas), with 4 refineries, 2 harbors, 2 final clients, 5 distribution terminals, and a node that links valves and pumps, interconnected by 30 pipelines. In this network, 35 light oil derivatives can be transported. The scheduling process involves complex operational constraints for determining transfer and storage activities, being a combinatorial optimization problem difficult to solve. Due to the complexity of the problem, a decomposition approach is applied for modeling purposes. This strategy is based on a hierarchical division in the three key elements of scheduling: Assignment, Sequencing, and Timing. The Sequencing Module is addressed within this work. It is developed a continuous time MILP model that represents the transportation of light oil derivatives through pipelines. The aim is to obtain the pumping sequencing of batches in the sources, as well as the transportation sequences in pipelines, considering the management of inventories. Additionally, within the sequencing module, constraints to avoid flow reversions or insertion of plug products are modeled. Tests are performed using real scenarios for a time horizon of, approximately, 30 days. Comparative results with a heuristic approach and derived versions of the proposed model are presented in order to investigate the computational cost increase with the addition of new modeling features. The obtained results suggest the possibility of significant operational cost reductions with an adequate management of inventories.
Delaneze, Marcelo Elias. "Modelagem dinâmica espacial aplicada na avaliação das mudanças da cobertura da terra no entorno de dutos utilizando autômatos celulares : estudo de caso duto ORBEL /." Rio Claro : [s.n.], 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/92738.
Full textBanca: Cláudia Maria de Almeida
Banca: Maria Lúcia Marques
Resumo: A obtenção de informação sobre as condições da rede dutoviária representa papel primordial na operação dos dutos, não só com o propósito de manter a eficiência operacional, mas também, para a minimização dos riscos associados a possíveis acidentes, tanto decorrentes dos processos naturais quanto de causas antrópicas relacionadas ao uso e cobertura da terra. Neste sentido, o emprego de modelos matemáticos em estudos ambientais gera importantes contribuições científicas ao planejamento ordenado de uma área, uma vez que ajudam a entender o impacto das mudanças no uso e cobertura da terra e a prever alterações futuras nos ecossistemas. A área de estudo compreende porções dos municípios de Duque de Caxias, Belford Roxo e Nova Iguaçu e tem por objetivo realizar experimentos de mudanças da cobertura da terra em médio prazo (10 anos) para a faixa de dutos ORBEL. A modelagem realizada neste trabalho foi desenvolvida no software Dinamica-EGO, utilizando como entrada mapas classificados de cobertura da terra, obtidos através de imagens do satélite Landsat 5/TM, e variáveis espaciais para explicar as mudanças ocorridas na cobertura da terra. Para a calibração do modelo, utilizou-se o método de pesos de evidência, disponível no Dinamica-EGO, primeiramente categorizando-se os mapas de variáveis contínuas e, posteriormente, calculando-se os pesos de evidência. Valores positivos favorecem determinada transição, enquanto valores negativos indicam baixa probabilidade de transição, e valores próximos a zero não exercem efeito. A validação do modelo se deu pelo método de similaridade fuzzy, com decaimento exponencial. Os resultados mostram que, para os dois períodos analisados (1987-1998 e 1998-2010), a taxa de mudança para a transição "vegetação arbórea para outros" é bem maior do que para... (Resumo completo, clicar acesso eletrônico abaixo)
Abstract: Reliable information about conditions of pipeline network represents a major role in the operation of pipelines, not only in order to maintain operational efficiency, but also to minimize the risks associated with possible accidents such as rupture of the ducts due to landslides or mudslides mass block, causing damage to humans and the environment. The use of mathematical models in environmental studies allows significant scientific contributions to the physical planning of an area, since they help to understand the impact of changes in land use and land cover and predict future trends of changes in ecosystems. The study area includes portions of the municipalities of Duque de Caxias, Nova Iguaçu, and Belford Roxo and aims to carry out experiments in land-cover changes in the medium-term (10 years) within the catchment area of ORBEL pipelines. The modeling performed in this work was developed using the software Dinamica-EGO, using as input classified land cover maps obtained from Landsat 5/TM satellite images as well as spatial variables to explain the observed changes in land cover. For the model calibration, we used the method of weights of evidence that is available at Dinamica-EGO. Initially, the maps of continuous variables were categorized according to discrete ranges, which were then employed for the calculation of the respective positive weights of evidence. Positive values foster certain transitions, while negative values indicate low probability of transition, and values close to zero have no effect on changes. Model validation was executed by means of the fuzzy similarity method using exponential decay. The results show that for the two study periods (1987-1998 and 1998-2010) the rate of change for the transition 'others to woody vegetation' is much higher than for the other transitions observed in the same... (Complete abstract click electronic access below)
Mestre