Dissertations / Theses: 'Traffic circles – Mathematical models'

1

Agdeppa, Rhoda Padua. "Studies on Mathematical Models of Traffic Equilibria." 京都大学 (Kyoto University), 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/2433/123831.

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2

Yue, Yang, and 樂陽. "Spatial-temporal dependency of traffic flow and its implications for short-term traffic forecasting." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2006. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B35507366.

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3

Mason, Anthony David. "Mathematical models of road traffic, and related problems." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 1999. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.624189.

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4

Sze, Nang-ngai, and 施能藝. "Quantitative analyses for the evaluation of traffic safety and operations." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2007. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B39707398.

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5

Lierkamp, Darren. "Simulating the effects of following distance on a high-flow freeway." Full text available online (restricted access), 2003. http://images.lib.monash.edu.au/ts/theses/Lierkamp.pdf.

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"CP830 Research Project and Thesis 2". Includes bibliographical references (p. 80-93) Electronic reproduction.[S.l. :s.n.],2003.Electronic data.Mode of access: World Wide Web.System requirements: Adobe Acrobat reader software for PDF files.Access restricted to institutions with a subscription.

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6

Yan, Li, and 顏理. "On the traffic flow control system." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2007. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B39431174.

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7

Blogg, Miranda Louise. "Queues and delays at traffic elements with variable demand." Thesis, Queensland University of Technology, 2000.

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8

Wong, Chun-kuen, and 黃春權. "Dynamic macroscopic modeling of highway traffic flows." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2002. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31243757.

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9

張詠敏 and Wing-man Cheung. "Dynamic traffic assignment for congested highway network." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2001. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B42575886.

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10

Peng, Jixian, and 彭继娴. "Macroscopic characteristics of dense road networks." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10722/195994.

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In the continuum modeling of traffic networks, a macroscopic cost-flow function (MCF) and macroscopic fundamental diagram (MFD) can be used to represent the fundamental relationships between traffic quantities such as speed, flow, and density. The MCF governs the steady-state cost-flow relationship, whereas the MFD represents the instantaneous inter-relationship between speed, flow, and density of traffic streams. This thesis explores the influence of network topologies on the MCF and MFD. The Hong Kong road system is divided into unit-sized road networks with various physical characteristics for which the network structure and signal timings are reserved. By universally scaling the origin-destination (OD) matrices of the morning peak, traffic conditions ranging from free-flow to congestion are created for microscopic simulation. From the simulation results, an MCF that relates the average journey time and the number of vehicles traveling through the network in one hour and an MFD that relates space to the mean speed and average density aggregated across 300s intervals are derived. The MCF and MFD are calibrated with mathematical models for each network. The density of roads, junctions, and signal junctions all influence the value of the macroscopic parameters in the MCF and MFD, and predictive equations are constructed that relate the macroscopic parameters to the network topological characteristics. Based on the fitting performance of the mathematical models, recommendations are made for selecting MCF and MFD models for continuum modeling.
published_or_final_version
Civil Engineering
Master
Master of Philosophy

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11

Wong, Chi-kwong, and 黃志光. "Lane-based optimization method for traffic signal design." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2004. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31246096.

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12

Ho, Hung-wai, and 何鴻威. "A continuum modeling approach to traffic equilibrium problems." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2005. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31938267.

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13

Lau, Chi-yung, and 劉智勇. "Numerical studies on a few cellular automation traffic models." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2002. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31227521.

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14

溫建勇 and Kin-yung Wan. "Biham-middleton-levine traffic model in different spatial dimensions." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 1998. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B3122183X.

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15

Ernst, Wolfgang F. "The economic rationale for stochastic urban transport models and travel behaviour : a mathematical programming approach to quantitative analysis with Perth data." UWA Business School, 2003. http://theses.library.uwa.edu.au/adt-WU2005.0004.

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[Formulae and special characters can only be approximated here. Please see the pdf version of the abstract for an accurate reproduction.] This thesis reviews, extends and applies to urban traffic analysis the entropy concept of Shannon and Luce's mathematical psychology in a fairly complex and mathematically demanding model of human decision making, if it is solved as a deeply nested structure of logit calculus. Recognising consumers' different preferences and the universal propensity to seek the best choice when going to some desired goal (k), a transparent mathematical program (MP) is developed: the equivalent of a nested multinomial logit model without its inherent computational difficulty. The MP model makes a statistical assessment of individual decisions based on a randomised (measurable) utility within a given choice structure: some path through a diagram (Rk, Dk), designed a priori, of a finite number of sequential choices. The Equivalence Theorem (ET) formalises the process and states a non-linear MP with linear constraints that maximises collective satisfaction: utility plus weighted entropy, where the weight (1/θn) is a behavioural parameter to be calibrated in each case, eg for the Perth CBD. An optimisation subject to feasible routes through the (Rk, Dk) network thus captures the rational behaviour of consumers on their individually different best-choice decision paths towards their respective goals (k). This theory has been applied to urban traffic assignment before: a Stochastic User Equi-librium (SUE). What sets this thesis apart is its focus on MP models that can be solved with standard Operations Research software (eg MINOS), models for which the ET is a conditio sine qua non. A brief list of SUE examples in the literature includes Fisk's logit SUE model in (impractically many) route flows. Dial's STOCH algorithm obviates path enumeration, yet is a logit multi-path assignment procedure, not an MP model; it is nei-ther destination oriented nor an optimisation towards a SUE. A revision of Dial's method is provided, named STOCH[k], that computes primal variables (node and link flows) and Lagrangian duals (the satisfaction difference n→k). Sheffi & Powell presented an unconstrained optimisation problem, but favoured a probit SUE, defying closed formulae and standard OR software. Their model corresponds to the (constrained) dual model here, yet the specifics of our primary MP model and its dual are possible only if one restricts himself to logit SUE models, including the ET, which is logit-specific. A real world application needs decomposition, and the Perth CBD example is iteratively solved by Partial Linearisation, switching from (measured) disutility minimisation to Sheffi & Powell's Method of Successive Averages near the optimum. The methodology is demonstrated on the Perth Central Business District (CBD). To that end, parameter Θ is calibrated on Main Roads' traffic count data over the years 1997/98 and 1998/99. The method is a revision of Liu & Fricker's simultaneous estimation of not only Θ but an appropriate trip matrix also. Our method handles the more difficult variable costs (congestion), incomplete data (missing observations) and observation errors (wrong data). Finally, again based on Main Roads' data (a sub-area trip matrix), a Perth CBD traffic assignment is computed, (a) as a logit SUE and - for comparison - (b) as a DUE (using the PARTAN method of Florian, Guélat and Spiess). The results are only superficially similar. In conclusion, the methodology has the potential to replace current DUE models and to deepen transport policy analysis, taking into account individual behaviour and a money-metric utility that quantifies 'social benefits', for instance in a cost-benefit-analysis.

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16

Kim, Changkyun. "Development and evaluation of traffic prediction systems." Diss., This resource online, 1994. http://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-06062008-164007/.

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17

Nagarajan, Krishnamurthy. "New resource allocation strategies based on statistical network traffic models." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2000. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/33437.

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18

Lee, Wingyee Emily Electrical Engineering &amp Telecommunications Faculty of Engineering UNSW. "Scheduling real-time traffic in wireless networks." Awarded by:University of New South Wales. Electrical Engineering & Telecommunications, 2007. http://handle.unsw.edu.au/1959.4/40737.

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This dissertation concerns the problem of scheduling real-time traffic in wireless TDMA channels. The most important characteristic of real-time traffic is that it has straight end-to-end delay constraint. We begin the investigation by studying a scheduling principle which naturally achieves the best delay performance in stationary channel conditions. Since the resulting scheduling algorithm maintains equal flow delays across the whole system, it is termed the equal-delay policy. There are a number of advantages associated with this scheduling method. First, it is very simple and practical to implement in real system. Secondly, it can be easily modelled mathematically and admits an analytical solution, which is very important for the construction of an admission control algorithm, we present a mathematical model describing the dynamics of the scheduling system, as well as devising a tractable analytical solution to the problem. A third advantage of the equal-delay policy is that it can be easily extended to support flows with multiple delay constraints. We propose a multiple-class scheduling scheme based on similar allocation concepts as the equal-delay technique. The extended scheme can similarly be mathematically modelled and analytically characterized. A natural objection to the above proposed techniques is that wireless transmission resources can be under-utilized, since the scheduling algorithm pays no attention to the changing individual channel conditions. The reduction in channel utilization can also adversely affect the delay performance, We explain this phenomenon and study the impacts for a variety of different channel characteristics, Specifically, we propose an alternative channel-aware scheduling policy, which aims to maximize channel utilization while keeping a minimum probability of delay violation, The proposed channel-aware policy achieves near-optimal delay performance. However, unlike in the equal-delay case, the channel-aware policy is not practical to implement in a real system. The complicated system dynamics associated with the channel-aware scheme also hamper the development of a mathematical model and analytical solution for admission control. On the other hand, we observe from simulation results that under most circumstances, the equal-delay scheme achieves close to the pertonnance obtained by the channel-aware technique, With the additional benefits of simplicity and admitting analytical analysis. the equal-delay policy appears to be a more practical and suitable choice for scheduling real-time traffic in wireless networks.

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19

Sivanandan, R. "A linear programming approach for synthesizing origin-destination (O-D) trip tables from link traffic volumes." Diss., This resource online, 1991. http://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-07102007-142518/.

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20

Kako, Soichiro. "Microscopic modelling of merging at unsignalised intersections and its application to freeway merging." Thesis, Queensland University of Technology, 1998.

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21

Fung, Wen-chi Sylvia, and 馮韻芝. "Calibration and validation of transit network assignment models." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2005. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B34624211.

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22

Zhu, Jiasong, and 朱家松. "A self-learning short-term traffic forecasting system through dynamic hybrid approach." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2007. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B39634516.

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23

Ye, Qing, and 叶青. "Short-term traffic speed forecasting based on data recorded at irregular intervals." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2011. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B47250732.

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Efficient and comprehensive forecasting of information is of great importance to traffic management. Three types of forecasting methods based on irregularly spaced data—for situations when traffic detectors cannot be installed to generate regularly spaced data on all roads—are studied in this thesis, namely, the single segment forecasting method, multi-segment forecasting method and model-based forecasting method. The proposed models were tested using Global Positioning System (GPS) data from 400 Hong Kong taxis collected within a 2-kilometer section on Princess Margaret Road and Hong Chong Road, approaching the Cross Harbour Tunnel. The speed limit for the road is 70 km/h. It has flyovers and ramps, with a small number of merges and diverges. There is no signalized intersection along this road section. A total of 14 weeks of data were collected, in which the first 12 weeks of data were used to calibrate the models and the last two weeks of data were used for validation. The single-segment forecasting method for irregularly spaced data uses a neural network to aggregate the predicted speeds from the naive method, simple exponential smoothing method and Holt’s method, with explicit consideration of acceleration information. The proposed method shows a great improvement in accuracy compared with using the individual forecasting method separately. The acceleration information, which is viewed as an indicator of the phase-transition effect, is considered to be the main contribution to the improvement. The multi-segment forecasting method aggregates not only the information from the current forecasting segment, but also from adjacent segments. It adopts the same sub-methods as the single-segment forecasting method. The forecasting results from adjacent segments help to describe the phase-transition effect, so that the forecasting results from the multi-segment forecasting method are more accurate than those that are obtained from the single segment forecasting method. For one-second forecasting length, the correlation coefficient between the forecasts from the multi-segment forecasting method and observations is 0.9435, which implies a good consistency between the forecasts and observations. While the first two methods are based on pure data fitting techniques, the third method is based on traffic models and is called the model-based forecasting method. Although the accuracy of the one-second forecasting length of the model-based method lies between those of the single-segment and multi-segment forecasting methods, its accuracy outperforms the other two for longer forecasting steps, which offers a higher potential for practical applications.
published_or_final_version
Civil Engineering
Master
Master of Philosophy

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24

Al-Malik, Mohammed Saleh. "An investigation and development of a combined traffic signal control-traffic assignment model." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 1991. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/21425.

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25

Zhou, Ji Zhe. "Modeling and dynamic routing for traffic flow through multi-agent system." Thesis, University of Macau, 2018. http://umaclib3.umac.mo/record=b3950602.

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26

Sun, Wenjun, and 孫文君. "Front tracking algorithm for the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards model for a traffic network." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2008. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B40687624.

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27

Lloyd, Evan Robert. "A model for the economic analysis of road projects in an urban network with interrelated incremental traffic assignment method." University of Western Australia. Economics Discipline Group, 2005. http://theses.library.uwa.edu.au/adt-WU2005.0083.

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[Truncated abstract] In an urban network, any change to the capacity of a road or an intersection will generally result in some traffic changing its route. In addition the presence of intersections creates the need for frequent stops. These stops increase the fuel consumption by anywhere between thirty to fifty percent as evidenced by published standardised vehicle fuel consumption figures for urban and for country driving. Other components of vehicle operating costs such as tyre and brake wear and time costs will also be increased by varying amounts. Yet almost all methods in use for economic evaluation of urban road projects use open road vehicle operating costs (sometimes factored to represent an average allowance for stopping at intersections) for one year or sometimes two years in the analysis period and then make assumptions about how the year by year road user benefits may change throughout the period in order to complete the analysis. This thesis will describe a system for estimating road user costs in an urban network that calculates intersection effects separately and then adds these effects to the travel costs of moving between intersections. Daily traffic estimates are used with a distribution of the flow rate throughout the twenty-four hours giving variable speed of travel according to the level of congestion at different times of the day. For each link, estimates of traffic flow at two points in time are used to estimate the year-by-year traffic flow throughout the analysis period by linear interpolation or extrapolation. The annual road user costs are then calculated from these estimates. Annual road user benefits are obtained by subtracting the annual road user costs for a modified network from the annual road user costs for an unmodified network. The change in the road network maintenance costs are estimated by applying an annual per lane maintenance cost to the change in lane-kilometres of road in the two networks. The Benefit Cost Ratio is calculated for three discount rates. An estimate of the likely range of error in the Benefit Cost Ratio is also calculated

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28

Zhou, Dingshan Sam. "An integrated traffic incident detection model /." Full text (PDF) from UMI/Dissertation Abstracts International, 2000. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/utexas/fullcit?p9992952.

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29

Chen, Wenqin, and 陳文欽. "An analytical shock-fitting approach to the solution of the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards traffic flow model." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2007. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B38724650.

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30

Wong, Chung-yin Philip, and 黃仲賢. "The development of pedestrian flow model." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2011. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B48194025.

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This dissertation reported on the findings of the characteristics of the pedestrian flows in Chinese New Year Eve Fair in Hong Kong and, the recommendations to its crowd control measures. Since most of the pedestrian flow models were developed for general purposes under normal condition, special models developed specifically for major events such as bazaars, fairs and festivals in Hong Kong were required to understand their pedestrian flow patterns. In this dissertation, pedestrian flows in the Fair were videotaped and data was extracted for calibrating several pedestrian flow models. These included the conventional models developed by Greenshields, Greenberg, Pipes-Munjal, Underwood, Drake, Wong et al. and four modifications of these models for simulating isotropic and bi-directional pedestrian flow scenarios. The free flow speed of the pedestrians in the Chinese New Year Eve Fair was found to be around 0.69-0.84 m/s, slower than those identified in other researches. Besides, the results of these models showed the relationships between walking speed, density and flow of the pedestrians in the Fair. Also, the effects of bi-directional flow to pedestrian flows were assessed and quantified. These findings obtained from models were then used as a basis for formulating crowd control strategy of major events in Hong Kong.
published_or_final_version
Transport Policy and Planning
Master
Master of Arts in Transport Policy and Planning

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31

Xie, Siqi, and 谢思琪. "Observational studies of pedestrian flows." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2012. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B49617990.

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Walking is an environmentally friendly mode of transportation. A better understanding of pedestrian activities and effective planning of walking facilities are particularly important for densely populated Asian cities like Hong Kong. Empirical studies on pedestrian flows can be classified as controlled experiments and observational surveys. Controlled experiments are flexible and can be designed to fulfill the requirements of specific studies and eliminate influence from unrelated factors. Observational surveys provide data for pedestrian movements in different types of walking facilities. This thesis aims to develop a mathematical model for multidirectional pedestrian flows based on knowledge obtained from both a controlled experiment and observational surveys on three different walking facilities. Bayesian inference is adopted for model calibration, as it can combine the prior information from the controlled experiment and the observed data from the observational surveys. The proposed model is based on Drake’s (1967) model of traffic flow. However, multidirectional pedestrian flows are much more complicated than the unidirectional and bidirectional flows. Therefore, instead of relating the speed of a pedestrian stream solely to pedestrian density, the flow ratio and intersecting angles between streams are introduced as factors that may influence stream speed. The proposed model takes the form of a set of structural equations rather than a single deterministic function. By applying Bayesian inference, the proposed model is calibrated with the three sets of observed data respectively, based on the prior distribution specified by the controlled experiment results. Finally, pedestrian movements in three different walking facilities are analyzed based on the properties of the calibrated model.
published_or_final_version
Civil Engineering
Master
Master of Philosophy

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32

Fox, Thomas Charles 1960. "Evaluation of change interval policies." Thesis, The University of Arizona, 1989. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/277160.

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An intensive examination was conducted to test the credibility of current traffic signal change interval policies founded on a kinematic equation developed nearly 30 years ago. The investigation involved the review of relevant literature as well as an extensive collection of data. The literature review and data analysis revealed that current change interval policies rely on the disproven assumption that traffic decelerates at a constant rate. The data analysis also demonstrated that traffic approach speed and deceleration distance affect the manner in which deceleration occurs. Based on the data analysis, an alternative treatment of the kinematic equation is proposed using surrogate deceleration rates. The surrogate rates offer a pragmatic set of input for the kinematic equation. Therefore, rather than yielding a change interval based on an inaccurate assumption, agencies can implement change intervals which are responsive to local traffic.

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33

Roberts, Craig Arnold. "Modeling the relationships between microscopic and macroscopic travel activity on freeways : bridging the gap between current travel demand models and emerging mobile emission models." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 1999. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/32873.

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34

Roy, Roger A. "An Application of Landscape Design to Student Academic Success." Fogler Library, University of Maine, 2006. http://www.library.umaine.edu/theses/pdf/RoyRA2006.pdf.

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35

Kimathi, Mark E. M. [Verfasser], and Axel [Akademischer Betreuer] Klar. "Mathematical Models for 3-Phase Traffic Flow Theory / Mark E. M. Kimathi. Betreuer: Axel Klar." Kaiserslautern : Universitätsbibliothek Kaiserslautern, 2012. http://d-nb.info/1021039578/34.

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36

Lam, Fung, and 林峰. "Internet inter-domain traffic engineering and optimizatioon." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2001. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31224581.

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37

Bhat, Sudarshana C. S. "Evaluation of Tidewater district's operations improvements program." Thesis, Virginia Tech, 1989. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/44108.

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The increasing congestion on the roads in the United States of America has become a topic of much interest among the transportation planners. There is a limit to which there can be building of new highways. Thus, the thrust for better utilization of the existing facilities is gaining ground. This research project is aimed at a solution to problems of increasing travel times due to congestion. A case study of the toll road (Route 44) in the tidewater region of Virginia has been made as an example of the common method of relieving congestion, ridesharing, which is being encouraged. The failure of the proper maintenance of the HOV lanes on the Route 44 leading to the subsequent rescinding of the same has been looked into. The use of DYNAMO programming was made in order to simulate the conditions on the toll road and to get an idea of the various alternatives which could be used to take care of the problem. On the basis of the simulations carried out, and taking into account the views held by the commuters who did not form a part of the ridesharing community, a method in which authorities could give an advantage as far as travel time is concerned, has been proposed.
Master of Science

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38

Brizendine, Laora Dauberman. "Low probability-high consequence considerations in a multiobjective approach to risk management." Thesis, This resource online, 1994. http://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-07112009-040353/.

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39

Fang, Yi. "An urban traffic network model using GIS technology." Virtual Press, 1992. http://liblink.bsu.edu/uhtbin/catkey/845978.

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This creative project was proposed to develop a GIS model for transportation planning purposes with the ARC/INFO software. The urban street network in the GIS model was based on urban arterial systems in the city of Muncie, Indiana. The model was also expected to demonstrate the applicability of GIS technology in transportation planning. Several transportation planning techniques were tested with the model which included road and traffic data inventory, optimum pathing, road capacity analysis, traffic shift study modeling, and graphic presentation. The case study was targeted on road capacity analysis of urban arterial network as well as study of alternative traffic route for the urban route of State Road 32 in Muncie. The project began with an discussion of GIS technology, GIS application in planning, and ARC/INFO software programs. Then an urban street information model was developed in form of digital network in the computer database which could perform the functions of data inventory, spatial traffic analysis, and mapping manipulation. Finally the case studies were performed to demonstrate the application of this GIS network model. The findings and analysis results generated by GIS operation were used to evaluate the traffic conditions as well as to determine the feasibility of alternative route for State Road tables, ARC/INFO macro programs, traffic maps, and print-out of analysis results.
Department of Urban Planning

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40

Barnett, Joel Stephen. "On the Estimation of Volumes of Roadways: An Investigation of Stop-Controlled Minor Legs." PDXScholar, 2015. https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/2196.

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This effort seeks to answer the question; can a transferable model be developed from easily obtainable, publicly available land-use, census, roadway, and network data for the use in safety performance functions? 474 stop-controlled minor legs were used as the training data set using ordinary least squares regression. A best-fit model of maximum independent variables, n=12 was chosen using an exhaustive approach using Mallow's Cp to select the model with least bias in the predictors. The results of the analysis revealed that the combination of variables from Washington, Ohio, and North Carolina did not have a strong relationship. The best-fit model incorporated functional class information of the major-leg, minor leg functional class information, longitudinal markings, access to a parking lot, and population density of census tract. Validation of the model demonstrated an average 59 percent error between the model estimated and actual AADT values for validation data set (n=54). Furthermore, separate models for each state revealed a lack of uniformity in the dependent variables, and more variance description of the state specific AADT.

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41

Li, Lok-man Jennifer, and 李諾文. "Schedule delay of work trips in Hong Kong: anempirical analysis." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2008. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B40988041.

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42

Powell, James Eckhardt. "Building a Multivariable Linear Regression Model of On-road Traffic for Creation of High Resolution Emission Inventories." PDXScholar, 2017. https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/3415.

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Emissions inventories are an important tool, often built by governments, and used to manage emissions. To build an inventory of urban CO2 emissions and other fossil fuel combustion products in the urban atmosphere, an inventory of on-road traffic is required. In particular, a high resolution inventory is necessary to capture the local characteristics of transport emissions. These emissions vary widely due to the local nature of the fleet, fuel, and roads. Here we show a new model of ADT for the Portland, OR metropolitan region. The backbone is traffic counter recordings made by the Portland Bureau of Transportation at 7,767 sites over 21 years (1986-2006), augmented with PORTAL (The Portland Regional Transportation Archive Listing) freeway traffic count data. We constructed a regression model to fill in traffic network gaps using GIS data such as road class and population density. An EPA-supplied emissions factor was used to estimate transportation CO2 emissions, which is compared to several other estimates for the city's CO2 footprint.

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43

Bekmann, Joachim Peter Computer Science &amp Engineering Faculty of Engineering UNSW. "Rapid development of problem-solvers with HeurEAKA! - a heuristic evolutionary algorithm and incremental knowledge acquisition approach." Awarded by:University of New South Wales. School of Computer Science and Engineering, 2006. http://handle.unsw.edu.au/1959.4/25748.

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A new approach for the development of problem-solvers for combinatorial problems is proposed in this thesis. The approach combines incremental knowledge acquisition and probabilistic search algorithms, such as evolutionary algorithms, to allow a human to rapidly develop problem-solvers in new domains in a framework called HeurEAKA. The approach addresses a known problem, that is, adapting evolutionary algorithms to the search domain by the introduction of domain knowledge. The development of specialised problem-solvers has historically been labour intensive. Implementing a problem-solver from scratch is very time consuming. Another approach is to adapt a general purpose search strategy to the problem domain. This is motivated by the observation that in order to scale an algorithm to solve complex problems, domain knowledge is needed. At present there is no systematic approach allowing one to efficiently engineer a specialpurpose search strategy for a given search problem. This means that, for example, adapting evolutionary algorithms (which are general purpose algorithms) is often very difficult and has lead some people to refer to their use as a ???black art???. In the HeurEAKA approach, domain knowledge is introduced by incrementally building a knowledge base that controls parts of the evolutionary algorithm. For example, the fitness function and the mutation operators in a genetic algorithm. An evolutionary search algorithm ismonitored by a human whomakes recommendations on search strategy based on individual solution candidates. It is assumed that the human has a reasonable intuition of the search problem. The human adds rules to a knowledge base describing how candidate solutions can be improved, or why they are desirable or undesirable in the search for a good solution. The incremental knowledge acquisition approach is inspired by the idea of (Nested) Ripple Down Rules. This approach sees a human provide exception rules to rules already existing in the knowledge base using concrete examples of inappropriate performance of the existing knowledge base. The Nested Ripple Down Rules (NRDR) approach allows humans to compose rules using concepts that are natural and intuitive to them. In HeurEAKA, NRDR are significantly adapted to form part of a probabilistic search algorithm. The probabilistic search algorithms used in the presented system are a genetic algorithm and a hierarchical bayesian optimization algorithm. The success of the HeurEAKA approach is demonstrated in experiments undertaken on industrially relevant domains. Problem-solvers were developed for detailed channel and switchbox routing in VLSI design and traffic light optimisation for urban road networks. The problem-solvers were developed in a short amount of time, in domains where a large amount of effort has gone into developing existing algorithms. Experiments show that chosen benchmark problems are solved as well or better than existing approaches. Particularly in the traffic light optimisation domain excellent results are achieved.

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Hallmark, Shauna L. "Analysis and prediction of individual vehicle activity for microscopic traffic modeling." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 1999. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/20736.

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Hwang, Kuo-Ping. "Applying heuristic traffic assignment in natural disaster evacuation: a decision support system." Diss., Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, 1986. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/54455.

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The goal of this research is to develop a heuristic traffic assignment method to simulate the traffic flow of a transportation network at a real-time speed. The existing assignment methods are reviewed and a heuristic path-recording assignment method is proposed. Using the new heuristic assignment method, trips are loaded onto the network in a probabilistic approach for the first iteration; paths are recorded, and path impedance is computed as the basis for further assignment iteration. The real-time traffic assignment model developed with the new assignment method is called HEUPRAE. The difference in link traffic between this new assignment and Dial's multipath assignment ranges from 10 to 25 percent. Saving in computer time is about 55 percent. The proposed heuristic path-recording assignment is believed to be an efficient and reliable method. Successful development of this heuristic assignment method helps solve those transportation problems which need assignment results at a real-time speed, and for which the assignment process lasts a couple of hours. Evacuation planning and operation are well suited to the application of this real-time heuristic assignment method. Evacuation planning and operations are major activities in emergency management. Evacuation planning instructs people where to go, which route to take, and the time needed to accomplish an evacuation. Evacuation operations help the execution of an evacuation plan in response to the changing nature of a disaster. The Integrated Evacuation Decision Support System (IEDSS) is a computer system which employs the evacuation planning model, MASSVAC2, and the evacuation operation model, HEUPRAE, to deal with evacuations. The IEDSS uses computer graphics to prepare input and interpret output. It helps a decision maker analyze the evacuation system, review evacuation plans, and issue an evacuation order at a proper time. Users of the IEDSS can work on evacuation problems in a friendly interactive visual environment. The application of the IEDSS to the hurricane and flood problems for the city of Virginia Beach shows how IEDSS is practically implemented. It proves the usefulness of the IEDSS in coping with disasters.
Ph. D.

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46

Johnson, Lynne Alison. "Modelling particle emissions from traffic flows." Thesis, Queensland University of Technology, 2000.

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Østerbø, Olav. "Mathematical modelling and analysis of communication networks: transient characteristics of traffic processes and models for end-to-end delay and delay-jitter." Doctoral thesis, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Information Technology, Mathematics and Electrical Engineering, 2003. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:no:ntnu:diva-6.

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The first part of the thesis (Part I) is devoted to find methods to describe transient behaviour of traffic processes, where the main emphasis is put on the description and analysis of excess periods and excess volumes of quite general stochastic processes. By assuming that traffic changes on different time scales, the transient characteristics such as excess periods could be important measures to describe periods of congestion on a communication link and moreover, the corresponding excess volume will represent lost information during such periods. Although the results obtained are of rather general nature, they provide some rather fundamental insight into transient characteristics of traffic processes. The distributions of the length of excess periods may then be expressed it terms of some excess probabilities that are related to the minimum of the process in the time interval considered. Similar relationsfor the excess volumes are harder to obtain and require the joint probability of the arrived volume and the minimum of the process in the same time interval.

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Olstam, Johan. "A model for simulation and generation of surrounding vehicles in driving simulators." Licentiate thesis, Linköpings universitet, Institutionen för teknik och naturvetenskap, 2005. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-4672.

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Driving simulators are used to conduct experiments on for example driver behavior, road design, and vehicle characteristics. The results of the experiments often depend on the traffic conditions. One example is the evaluation of cellular phones and how they affect driving behavior. It is clear that the ability to use phones when driving depends on traffic intensity and composition, and that realistic experiments in driving simulators therefore has to include surrounding traffic. This thesis describes a model that generates and simulates surrounding vehicles for a driving simulator. The proposed model generates a traffic stream, corresponding to a given target flow and simulates realistic interactions between vehicles. The model is built on established techniques for time-driven microscopic simulation of traffic and uses an approach of only simulating the closest neighborhood of the driving simulator vehicle. In our model this closest neighborhood is divided into one inner region and two outer regions. Vehicles in the inner region are simulated according to advanced behavioral models while vehicles in the outer regions are updated according to a less time-consuming model. The presented work includes a new framework for generating and simulating vehicles within a moving area. It also includes the development of enhanced models for car-following and overtaking and a simple mesoscopic traffic model. The developed model has been integrated and tested within the VTI Driving simulator III. A driving simulator experiment has been performed in order to check if the participants observe the behavior of the simulated vehicles as realistic or not. The results were promising but they also indicated that enhancements could be made. The model has also been validated on the number of vehicles that catches up with the driving simulator vehicle and vice versa. The agreement is good for active and passive catch-ups on rural roads and for passive catch-ups on freeways, but less good for active catch-ups on freeways.

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Johnson, Pamela Christine. "Bicycle Level of Service: Where are the Gaps in Bicycle Flow Measures?" PDXScholar, 2014. https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/1975.

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Bicycle use is increasing in many parts of the U.S. Local and regional governments have set ambitious bicycle mode share goals as part of their strategy to curb greenhouse gas emissions and relieve traffic congestion. In particular, Portland, Oregon has set a 25% mode share goal for 2030 (PBOT 2010). Currently bicycle mode share in Portland is 6.1% of all trips. Other cities and regional planning organizations are also setting ambitious bicycle mode share goals and increasing bicycle facilities and programs to encourage bicycling. Increases in bicycle mode share are being encouraged to increase. However, cities with higher-than-average bicycle mode share are beginning to experience locations with bicycle traffic congestion, especially during peak commute hours. Today, there are no established methods are used to describe or measure bicycle traffic flows. In the 1960s, the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) introduced Level of Service (LOS) measurements to describe traffic flow and capacity of motor vehicles on highways using an A-to-F grading system; "A" describes free flow traffic with no maneuvering constraints for the driver and an "F" grade corresponds to over capacity situations in which traffic flow breaks down or becomes "jammed". LOS metrics were expanded to highway and road facilities, operations and design. In the 1990s, the HCM introduced LOS measurements for transit, pedestrians, and bicycles. Today, there are many well established and emerging bicycle level of service (BLOS) methods that measure the stress, comfort and perception of safety of bicycle facilities. However, it was been assumed that bicycle traffic volumes are low and do not warrant the use of a LOS measure for bicycle capacity and traffic flow. There are few BLOS methods that take bicycle flow into consideration, except for in the case of separated bicycle and bicycle-pedestrian paths. This thesis investigated the state of BLOS capacity methods that use bicycle volumes as a variable. The existing methods were applied to bicycle facility elements along a corridor that experiences high bicycle volumes in Portland, Oregon. Using data from the study corridor, BLOS was calculated and a sensitivity analysis was applied to each of the methods to determine how sensitive the models are to each of the variables used. An intercept survey was conducted to compare the BLOS capacity scores calculated for the corridor with the users' perception. In addition, 2030 bicycle mode share for the study corridor was estimated and the implications of increased future bicycle congestion were discussed. Gaps in the BLOS methods, limitations of the thesis study and future research were summarized. In general, the existing methods for BLOS capacity are intended for separated paths; they are not appropriate for existing high traffic flow facilities. Most of the BLOS traffic flow methods that have been developed are most sensitive to bicycle volumes. Some of these models may be a good starting point to improve BLOS capacity and traffic flow measures for high bicycle volume locations. Without the tools to measure and evaluate the patterns of bicycle capacity and traffic flow, it will be difficult to monitor and mitigate bicycle congestion and to plan for efficient bicycle facilities in the future. This report concludes that it is now time to develop new BLOS capacity measures that address bicycle traffic flow.

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Witosurapot, Suntorn, and wsuntorn@fivedots coe psu ac th. "Resolving competition for resources between multimedia and traditional Internet applications." Swinburne University of Technology, 2004. http://adt.lib.swin.edu.au./public/adt-VSWT20050309.123048.

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Although the Internet is the dominant broadband network, it still has a fundamental shortcoming in traffic management that does not properly support efficient use of resources together with differentiated quality of service for mixed traffic types. Even though a number of mechanisms have been proposed under key approaches of resource adaptation, resource reservation, and resource pricing, this problem remains unsolved to date because of its complexity and the way it relates to so many considerations of engineering and economics, and the diverse range of services desired by users. Hence it is considered difficult to devise a perfect mechanism that can universally solve this problem. In this respect, this dissertation contributes to insights into potential combinations and trade-offs of key approaches above in some efficient manner for managing traffic and scarce resources in the Internet. The first part of this work considers the combination of relaxed resource reservation and resource pricing schemes for handling the unfair bandwidth distribution problem in soft-bandwidth guarantee services of the Differentiated Services (DiffServ) Internet. We show that this unfairness problem can be handled using a network-user cooperative approach that addresses both individual user satisfaction and global optimization. We propose to add a mechanism based on price-based feedback signaling to DiffServ-capable routers providing Assured Forwarding (AF) Service so that they can offer per-flow signaling. This still allows them to work at an aggregate traffic level, hence the scalability feature of the DiffServ network can be retained. Our proposed mechanism allows the network to offer reliable service assurances via a distributed optimization algorithm, without introducing special protocols or requiring routers to have access of individual user requirements. Moreover, it can provide incentives for users to cooperate so that optimum performance can be accomplished. This approach has broad applicability and is relevant to all types of assured service classes. The second part of this work considers the combination of a specific resource pricing scheme based on a distributed optimization algorithm and multimedia adaptation schemes. Such a capability has not been available because most utility functions of multimedia applications do not meet the concavity constraints required by optimization algorithm. We proposed to overcome this limitation by redefining user utility functions into equivalent discrete forms and using combinatorial (discrete) optimization so that interfacing the resource-pricing scheme can be done in a normal way. However, to obtain feasible solutions in a scalable manner, an agent is included into the scheme for solving the combinatorial (discrete) optimization on behalf of a small group of users. In return, all users belonging to this group can benefit from social welfare maximization of their utilities over a network resource constraint. The last part of this work considers the combination of relaxed resource reservation and resource pricing schemes to enable a proper charging scheme for adaptive applications in the DiffServ Internet. We provide an optimization formulation of the problems of revenue and social welfare maximization, applied at a service provider (SP) who gives access to the DiffServ Internet. In this scheme, resources are provisioned per QoS-oriented class in a long time scale (service level agreement (SLA) duration), then priced based on user demand in the short time scale. We also show that the proposed charging scheme can provide feedback and incentives for users to use the network resource optimally via the standard packet marking, hence eliminating the need for specific pricing protocol. All of the proposals in this work can be used together, solving these key problems as a coordinated whole, and all use readily available network mechanisms.

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Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Traffic circles – Mathematical models'

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