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1

Oleksandr, Milov, Yevseiev Serhii, Aleksiyev Volodymyr, et al. "DEVELOPMENT OF THE INTERACTING AGENTS BEHAVIOR SCENARIO IN THE CYBER SECURITY SYSTEM." Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies 5, no. 9 (101) (2019): 46–57. https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2019.181047.

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The results of modeling and analysis of scenarios of the behavior of interacting agents in conditions of cyber conflict are presented. General approaches to the development of a scenario of the behavior of antagonistic agents are presented. The definition of the scenario is given and the factors determining the scenario of behavior are highlighted. The given scenarios are determined by such factors as the ratio of the capabilities of the attacking and the defending sides, the presence or absence of information exchange between security agents, and the time of switching to a new attack vector.
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Bashmakov, I. "Russian Energy Sector: Inertia Strategy or Efficiency Strategy?" Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 8 (August 20, 2007): 104–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2007-8-104-122.

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The paper presents a vision of Russian energy future before 2020. The scenario approach is required to identify potential energy supply and demand future trajectories for Russia facing uncertainties of both global energy system evolution and domestic demographic and economic development in 2007-2020. It allows for assessing energy demand by sectors under different investment, technological and energy pricing policies favoring the least cost balancing of energy supply options and energy efficiency improvements to sustain dynamic economic growth. The given approach provides grounds for evaluatio
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Harada, H., S. Matsui, N. T. Dong, Y. Shimizu, and S. Fujii. "Incremental sanitation improvement strategy: comparison of options for Hanoi, Vietnam." Water Science and Technology 62, no. 10 (2010): 2225–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wst.2010.508.

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Urban sanitation issues should be tackled strategically, and may be addressed effectively when sewerage development is pursued in conjunction with complementary sanitation measures. Five sanitation improvement scenarios employing sewerage, night-soil collection-and-treatment (NSCT) system, and/or septic-tank improvement by annual desludging were analyzed from the perspective of COD loads, total nitrogen loads, and cost under the conditions found in Hanoi, Vietnam. Compared to the development of sewerage alone, the scenario of developing NSCT systems in a complementary manner with sewerage deve
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Tetiana, S. Tkachova. "Using a scenario approach to form a strategy for the development of machine-building enterprises." Economics: time realities 2, no. 48 (2020): 108–16. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4650296.

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Isolation and generalization of theoretical and methodological principles of enterprise strategy formation makes it possible to combine different conceptual approaches in the process of strategizing, as well as to choose the most appropriate principles for a particular situation. Eight stages of the scenario planning process are considered. Thus, each scenario can be implemented on the basis of multivariate solutions. The paper proposes a distributed dynamic model of problem situations in the enterprise without management influences, which is based on the synthesis of a simulation model of sit
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Tkachova, Tetiana. "USING OF THE SCENARIO APPROACH FOR FORM A STRATEGY FOR DEVELOPMENT OF MACHINE-BUILDING ENTERPRISES." Economics: time realities 2, no. 48 (2020): 108–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.15276/etr.02.2020.14.

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Isolation and generalization of theoretical and methodological principles of enterprise strategy formation makes it possible to combine different conceptual approaches in the process of strategizing, as well as to choose the most appropriate principles for a particular situation. Eight stages of the scenario planning process are considered. Thus, each scenario can be implemented on the basis of multivariate solutions. The paper proposes a distributed dynamic model of problem situations in the enterprise without management influences, which is based on the synthesis of a simulation model of sit
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Wang, Yu Ning, Hui Ming Zeng, Bing Qing Tang, and Bin Xiang Hu. "System Dynamics Modeling for China's EV Development Strategy." Advanced Materials Research 765-767 (September 2013): 278–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amr.765-767.278.

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Due to mandatory emission reduction and rising oil prices electric vehicles are about to be introduced in mass markets. This paper presents a system dynamics model of Chinas development strategy of electric vehicle industry. The focus of the paper is to study the influence of four major dynamic factors government policies, technology innovation, market demand and competitive ability. It gives an overall scenario of the development and highlights the major problems faced by Chinese electric vehicles industry, and how SD modeling can be used for the analysis of the industry developing policy. Th
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Wang, Yu Ning, Hui Ming Zeng, Bin Qing Tang, and Bin Xiang Hu. "System Dynamics Modeling for China's EV Development Strategy." Applied Mechanics and Materials 378 (August 2013): 483–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.378.483.

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Due to mandatory emission reduction and rising oil prices electric vehicles are about to be introduced in mass markets. This paper presents a system dynamics model of Chinas development strategy of electric vehicle industry. The focus of the paper is to study the influence of four major dynamic factors government policies, technology innovation, market demand and competitive ability. It gives an overall scenario of the development and highlights the major problems faced by Chinese electric vehicles industry, and how SD modeling can be used for the analysis of the industry developing policy. Th
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Jakimavičius, Marius, and Marija Burinskienė. "ASSESSMENT OF VILNIUS CITY DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS BASED ON TRANSPORT SYSTEM MODELLING AND MULTICRITERIA ANALYSIS." JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT 15, no. 4 (2009): 361–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/1392-3730.2009.15.361-368.

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The paper describes the assessment of 3 Vilnius city development scenarios according to transport system parameters multi‐criteria analysis and performing transport system modelling for 2015 and 2025 years. Vilnius city development scenarios such as concentrated development, extensive development and decentralized concentrated development have been evaluated from a transport viewpoint. Vilnius city development scenarios have been evaluated by using SAW (Simple Additive Weighting) multi‐criteria method. According to this method development scenarios ranking calculations have been performed usin
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Witt, Tobias, Katharina Stahlecker, and Jutta Geldermann. "Morphological analysis of energy scenarios." International Journal of Energy Sector Management 12, no. 4 (2018): 525–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijesm-09-2017-0003.

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PurposeEnergy scenarios have long been successfully used to inform decision-making in energy systems planning, with a wide range of different methodological approaches for developing and evaluating them. The purpose of this study is to analyze the existing approaches and classify them with a morphological box.Design/methodology/approachThis paper builds upon the methodological literature on developing and evaluating energy scenarios and presents a morphological box, which comprises parameters describing the scenario properties, (energy system) model properties, scientific practice and institut
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Pašičko, Robert, Zoran Stanić, and Nenad Debrecin. "Modelling Sustainable Development Scenarios of Croatian Power System." Journal of Electrical Engineering 61, no. 3 (2010): 157–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/v10187-010-0022-7.

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Modelling Sustainable Development Scenarios of Croatian Power SystemThe main objective of power system sustainable development is to provide the security of electricity supply required to underpin economic growth and increase the quality of living while minimizing adverse environmental impacts. New challenges such as deregulation, liberalization of energy markets, increased competition on energy markets, growing demands on security of supply, price insecurities and demand to cut CO2 emissions, are calling for better understanding of electrical systems modelling. Existing models are not suffici
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Yang, Caixia, Yao Xiao, Tao Chen, Mingze Lei, and Buncha Wattana. "Renewable energy strategy impacts on electricity system and carbon emissions in Hunan Province of China." Edelweiss Applied Science and Technology 9, no. 2 (2025): 793–814. https://doi.org/10.55214/25768484.v9i2.4600.

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This study investigates the impact of increasing renewable energy capacity on the power industry in Hunan Province, China, focusing on power demand, electricity generation, and CO2 emissions reductions. Using the Low Emission Analysis Platform (LEAP) model, five scenarios (BAU, RES, HEF, HST, and COP) were developed to assess the effects of renewable energy strategies from 2022 to 2035. The analysis considered renewable energy growth, energy storage, and efficiency improvements. The Comprehensive Optimization Scenario (COP) emerged as the most optimal, achieving a 48% share of renewable energy
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Daton, Wijoyo Niti, Steven Chandra, and Nathania Jessica. "New Perspective to Unlock the Potential of Lenses Gas Reservoir in Indonesia Using Integrated Reservoir-Production System." Journal of Petroleum and Geothermal Technology 4, no. 2 (2023): 38. http://dx.doi.org/10.31315/jpgt.v4i2.9352.

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The potential of lenses gas reservoirs has become an interesting target in meeting energy needs in Indonesia. As the next energy backbone in Indonesia, the most suitable strategy needs to be developed for maintaining productivity and maximizing gas recovery. Developing gas reservoir can be challenging due to several reservoir and fluid characteristics. The development strategy must use a special production scenario and an optimized completion design.This paper discusses the process of development strategy determination for lenses gas reservoir by using commercial software. The lenses gas reser
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Van Offenbeek, Marjolein A. G., and Paul L. Koopman. "Scenarios for system development: Matching context and strategy." Behaviour & Information Technology 15, no. 4 (1996): 250–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/014492996120175.

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Nizamutdinov, M. M., and V. V. Oreshnikov. "Approach to form the territorial system development strategy using simulation and scenario modeling tools." Russian Journal of Industrial Economics 12, no. 4 (2020): 426–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.17073/2072-1633-2019-4-426-442.

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The studies were carried out in the problematic of improving the tools for implementing economic policy which ensure widespread use of strategic planning and regulation methods in real practice of managing the territorial systems development at various levels. The article highlights the most pressing problems of improving the efficiency of socio-economic development planning for territorial systems, including in the context of the modern digital economy development. The need for implementation analytical processing systems and the management information effective use to substantiate strategic
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Feng, Changzheng, Weishuai Wang, Zhelong Wang, Cancan Li, Weijin Yang, and Shanshan Wei. "Research on Capacity Allocation Method for Multi-scenario Rural Integrated Energy System." Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2474, no. 1 (2023): 012022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2474/1/012022.

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Abstract As an significant part of China’s energy system, rural energy has ushered in significant development opportunities in the national strategy of Rural Revitalization and new urbanization construction. On account of the differences in the geographical location of China, different rural areas have different economic statuses and characteristics, so it is essential to allocate the corresponding comprehensive energy system for different regional advantages, which is that the energy supply system can satisfy the load demand in rural areas. To solve the above problems, the investigation on th
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Iermak, Valerii. "Ukraine's Banking System During Post-War Reconstruction: Challenges and Development Pathways." State Formation, no. 2 (December 30, 2023): 214–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.26565/1992-2337-2023-2-18.

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The article focuses on analyzing the problems and prospects of rebuilding the banking system in the post-war period. The author examines various scenarios for the development of Ukraine's banking sector: in the optimistic scenario, the recovery of the banking sector is supported by international investments and reforms, in the pessimistic scenario, political and economic instability poses challenges, and in the realistic scenario, a comprehensive approach and international support are required for the recovery and modernization of the banking system. The author also identifies key issues and s
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Ruseljuk, Pavel, Andrei Dedov, Aleksandr Hlebnikov, Kertu Lepiksaar, and Anna Volkova. "Comparison of District Heating Supply Options for Different CHP Configurations." Energies 16, no. 2 (2023): 603. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en16020603.

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The article discusses the evaluation of potential heat production options for a large-scale district heating system in Narva (Estonia). Heat is currently generated at the Balti Power Plant’s CHP unit using local oil shale mixed with biomass. The CHP unit consists of two circulating fluidised bed boilers and a reheat steam turbine. According to the development strategy, the district heating system is expected to achieve carbon neutrality in the future. Various options and parameter variations should be analysed. The following scenarios were compared: (1) baseline scenario featuring an existing
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Dolge, Kristiana, Girts Bohvalovs, Vladimirs Kirsanovs, Andra Blumberga, and Dagnija Blumberga. "Bioeconomy in the Shade of Green Deal: The System Dynamic Approach." Environmental and Climate Technologies 26, no. 1 (2022): 1221–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2022-0092.

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Abstract At the end of 2019, the European Commission launched a new growth strategy called ‘The European Green Deal’ (GD), which aims to ‘transform the European Union (EU) into a fair and prosperous society with a modern, resource-efficient a competitive economy with no net greenhouse gas emissions in 2050 and where economic growth is decoupled from resource use’. This study present developed system dynamic (SD) tool for determining bioeconomy development until 2030 and impact of different GD strategy activities on achieved progress. The bioeconomy index the created and used to measure bioecon
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Mantel, S. K., D. A. Hughes, and A. S. Slaughter. "Water resources management in the context of future climate and development changes: a South African case study." Journal of Water and Climate Change 6, no. 4 (2015): 772–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2015.098.

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Modelling uncertainty under future climate change and socio-economic development is essential for adaptive planning and sustainable management of water resources. This is the first study in South Africa incorporating uncertainty within climate and development scenario modelling for understanding the implications on water availability through comparison of the resulting uncertainty. A Water Evaluation and Planning model application was developed for the Amatole system (South Africa), which consists of three catchments with inter-basin transfers. Outputs for three sets of scenarios are presented
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van Vierssen Trip, F. W. (Ward), Nam C. Nguyen, and Ockie J. H. Bosch. "R&D Productivity in the Pharmaceutical Industry." International Journal of Strategic Decision Sciences 6, no. 1 (2015): 1–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/ijsds.2015010101.

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The pharmaceutical industry is in a R&D productivity crisis. Rapidly increasing development costs, decreasing profitability of new medical entities and missing breakthrough innovations are negatively affecting the future of the pharmaceutical industry. This complex problem requires a systems thinking approach to find effective solutions. In this study, a general pharmaceutical R&D productivity system has been modeled as a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN). This model is based on a literature review and the mental model of experts in the pharmaceutical field. The model does not only support
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Li, Xuewei, Jingfeng Yuan, Limao Zhang, and Dujuan Yang. "RISK ASSESSMENT OF SUBWAY STATION FIRE BY USING A BAYESIAN NETWORK-BASED SCENARIO EVOLUTION MODEL." JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT 30, no. 3 (2024): 279–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/jcem.2024.20846.

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Subway station fires frequently result in massive casualties, economic losses and even social panic due to the massive passenger flow, semiconfined space and limited conditions for escape and smoke emissions. The combination of different states of fire hazard factors increases the uncertainty and complexity of the evolution path of subway station fires and causes difficulty in assessing fire risk. Traditional methods cannot describe the development process of subway station fires, and thus, cannot assess fire risk under different fire scenarios. To realise scenario-based fire risk assessment,
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Sekarsari, Nindi, Gabriel Andari Kristanto, and Astryd Viandila Dahlan. "Development of a low-emissions solid waste management strategy for East Jakarta, Indonesia." E3S Web of Conferences 422 (2023): 01003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202342201003.

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The relationship between municipal solid waste management and anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions has attracted significant attention worldwide. Solid Waste Management (SWM) systems contribute to GHG emissions at all stages of their management. This study aimed to provide an overview of the SWM system in East Jakarta and present guidelines for developing the right strategy for low-emissions SWM using three scenarios. GHG emissions were calculated for 2030 projections using the Emissions Quantification Tool (EQT) for Estimating Short-Lived Climate Pollutants (SLCPs) and Other GHG from
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Dun Cao, Dun Cao, Jiawen Liu Dun Cao, Qinghua Liu Jiawen Liu, Jin Wang Qinghua Liu, and Min Zhu Jin Wang. "Relay-node Selection Method Based on Weighted Strategy for 3D Scenario in Internet of Vehicles." 網際網路技術學刊 25, no. 2 (2024): 233–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.53106/160792642024032502006.

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<p>In recent years, Internet of Vehicles (IoV), as a supporting technology for Intelligent Transportation System (ITS), is flourishing with the emergence and development of new technologies such as edge computing, 5G communication, and Artificial Intelligence (AI). However, the more complexity of wireless channels and vehicle distribution in 3D scenario brings a great challenge for relay-node selection in ITS. In this paper, we focus on how to alleviate the problem that the decline of two-hop distance and two-hop connection probability caused by the relative fading of inter-layer communi
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Nie, Zifei, and Hooman Farzaneh. "Role of Model Predictive Control for Enhancing Eco-Driving of Electric Vehicles in Urban Transport System of Japan." Sustainability 13, no. 16 (2021): 9173. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su13169173.

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Electrification alters the energy demand and environmental impacts of vehicles, which brings about new challenges for sustainability in the transport sector. To further enhance the energy economy of electric vehicles (EVs) and offer an energy-efficient driving strategy for next-generation intelligent mobility in daily synthetic traffic situations with mixed driving scenarios, the model predictive control (MPC) algorithm is exploited to develop a predictive cruise control (PCC) system for eco-driving based on a detailed driving scenario switching logic (DSSL). The proposed PCC system is designe
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Tork, Hamed, Saman Javadi, Seyed Mehdy Hashemy Shahdany, Ronny Berndtsson, and Sami Ghordoyee Milan. "Groundwater Extraction Reduction within an Irrigation District by Enhancing the Surface Water Distribution." Water 14, no. 10 (2022): 1610. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w14101610.

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Today, in developing countries, the low surface water distribution efficiency and the lack of supplying water needs of farmers by surface water resources are compensated by excessive aquifer water withdrawal. This mismanagement has caused a sharp drop in the groundwater level in many countries. On the other hand, climate change and drought have intensified the pressure on water resources. This study aims to evaluate novel strategies for developing surface water distribution systems for stress reduction of the Najafabad aquifer in Isfahan, central plateau of Iran. The performance of several str
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Zicmane, Inga, Sergey Kovalenko, Svetlana Beryozkina, Kristina Berzina, and Aleksejs Sobolevskis. "Evaluation of Latvian Power System Static Stability According to a New Development Strategy until 2025." Sustainability 13, no. 12 (2021): 6860. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su13126860.

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The current stage of world energy development is characterized by the creation of powerful, territorially unified energy systems under free market conditions as well as renewable energy integration. Such transactions challenge networks’ configurations and their operating modes. Electric power system (EPS) static stability could be considered one of the primary targets in this regard. The aim of this study was to evaluate the undergoing and expected modernization of the Latvian EPS in terms of static stability in a regional scale-based case study. In order to define static stability, a method b
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Kurilo, Anna E., and Pavel V. Druzhinin. "Socio-economic development scenarios of the White Sea regions." Север и рынок: формирование экономического порядка, no. 3-3021 (September 30, 2021): 52–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.37614/2220-802x.3.2021.73.004.

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In the process of creating a national system of strategic planning and within the framework of normative economics, the scenario approach provides opportunities for constructing goals and directions of socio-economic territories development. Being a planning tool the scenario approach allows forming the directions of regional development. These processes take particular relevance for the regions of our country that are the parts of the Arctic zone, especially in increased interest and attention to these territories resources from other external agents. The main aim of this paper is to elaborat
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G. Lazareva, Marina. "Entropy and information in scenario modeling of a firm: new approaches in business economics." Problems and Perspectives in Management 17, no. 1 (2019): 202–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/ppm.17(1).2019.18.

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In the present world featuring rapidly changing conditions of external environment, it is crucial for companies to be adaptive and resistant to any types of fluctuations. When creating scenarios of business portfolio development or medium-/long-term planning of firm activities, it is important to evaluate an efficiency of such scenario implementation. Depending on the degree of openness of the system-firm, one can talk about the different degrees of its adaptability and ability to develop. The degree of freedom of the system is determined by its entropy. The number of degrees of freedom determ
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Chen, Zhen, Ming-Ting Chen, and Shu-Wei Jia. "Simulation and Optimization of New Energy Vehicles Promotion Policy Strategies Considering Energy Saving, Carbon Reduction, and Consumers’ Willingness Based on System Dynamics." Sustainability 17, no. 7 (2025): 2811. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17072811.

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New energy vehicles are an important tool for the transition to clean energy and sustainable development. The Nudge Theory is introduced to construct a management model for energy conservation and carbon reduction in new energy vehicles. The model takes into account the strategy of reducing or exempting charging fees for new energy vehicles. Through dynamic simulation, we analyze the impact of considering the Nudge Theory and not considering the Nudge Theory on the energy-saving and carbon reduction effect of new energy vehicles. Through the analysis, it is found that (1) the energy-saving and
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Abdul Hamid, Umar Zakir, Hairi Zamzuri, Tsuyoshi Yamada, Mohd Azizi Abdul Rahman, Yuichi Saito, and Pongsathorn Raksincharoensak. "Modular design of artificial potential field and nonlinear model predictive control for a vehicle collision avoidance system with move blocking strategy." Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part D: Journal of Automobile Engineering 232, no. 10 (2017): 1353–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0954407017729057.

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The collision avoidance (CA) system is a pivotal part of the autonomous vehicle. Ability to navigate the vehicle in various hazardous scenarios demands reliable actuator interventions. In a complex CA scenario, the increased nonlinearity requires a dependable control strategy. For example, during collisions with a sudden appearing obstacle (i.e. crossing pedestrian, vehicle), the abrupt increment of vehicle longitudinal and lateral forces summation during the CA maneuver demands a system with the ability to handle coupled nonlinear dynamics. Failure to address the aforementioned issues will re
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Zakharchenko, Pavlo V., Yana V. Glazova, Svitlana Α. Zhvanenko, Ganna P. Kostenko, Stanislav F. Kucher, and Viktor S. Mukhin. "Management of Innovation Processes In the Health Economy System of Ukraine." WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON ENVIRONMENT AND DEVELOPMENT 17 (July 9, 2021): 721–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.37394/232015.2021.17.69.

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In today's health economics, resort and recreation is one of the most lucrative areas of the economy. Ukraine has a strong resort and recreational potential, the effective development of which can bring real economic benefits. This requires the formation of a systemic strategy for the development of such systems, an integral part of which are innovations. The purpose of the article is to analyze and develop methods for managing innovations in the health economy of Ukraine with its further development. The author's concept, which is based on the methods of economic dynamics, multicriteria optim
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Fauzi, Muhammad, I. W. Sukerayasa, and W. G. Ariastina. "PENGARUH PEMINDAHAN SUTT 150 KV CELUKAN BAWANG – KAPAL TERHADAP ALIRAN DAYA SISTEM BALI." Majalah Ilmiah Teknologi Elektro 17, no. 1 (2018): 86. http://dx.doi.org/10.24843/mite.2018.v17i01.p12.

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To meet the energy needs in Bali Island which is increasing by 6 - 9% in the next 5 years, the government has been working on the development of Celukan Bawang power plant. The Celukan Bawang power plant project completed since 2013 has been fully operational in August 2015 as an outlet for the transmission of 150kV High Voltage Air Line (SUTT) transmission. Related to the issue of social issues with the keyword of Desa Celukan bawang on the development which is the home for them SUTT, the PT PLN (PERSERO) is asked to implement a strategy for securing the distribution so that the Bali system i
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Hassan, Sitti Asmah, Intan Nurfauzirah Shafiqah Hamzani, Abd Ramzi Sabli, and Nur Sabahiah Abdul Sukor. "Bus Rapid Transit System Introduction in Johor Bahru: A Simulation-Based Assessment." Sustainability 13, no. 8 (2021): 4437. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su13084437.

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Bus rapid transit (BRT) is one of the strategies to promote improvements in urban mobility. In this study, BRT scenarios, which integrate exclusive bus lanes and bus priority signal control in mixed traffic scenarios, were modelled using a VISSIM microsimulation. Three scenarios of BRT were modelled to represent 16:84, 38:62 and 54:46 modal splits between public transport and private vehicles. It was found that Scenario 4 (the 54:46 scenario) offers better benefits in terms of delay time saving and economic benefits. In general, it was found that the BRT system enhances the functioning of the
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Roberts, Owain, Jillian Catherine Henderson, Anna Garcia-Teruel, et al. "Bringing Structure to the Wave Energy Innovation Process with the Development of a Techno-Economic Tool." Energies 14, no. 24 (2021): 8201. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en14248201.

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Current wave energy development initiatives assume that available designs have the potential for success through continuous learning and innovation-based cost reduction. However, this may not be the case, and potential winning technologies may have been overlooked. The scenario creation tool presented in this paper provides a structured method for the earliest stages of design in technology development. The core function of the scenario creation tool is to generate and rank scenarios of potential Wave Energy Converter (WEC) attributes and inform the user on the areas of the parameter space tha
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Angelides, Marios C., and Harry W. Agius. "Eight Scenarios of National Information Superhighway Development." Journal of Information Technology 15, no. 1 (2000): 53–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/026839620001500106.

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Leading industrialized nations are now involved in the full implementation of national information superhighways. Their efforts will depend largely on the roles and levels of involvement of public institutions and how this is perceived and reacted to by the private sector. Through the evolution of eight scenarios of public institution involvement, this paper extrapolates the consequences that each brings about in the development of a national information superhighway. In particular, this paper examines the consequences of the development of an information superhighway for the UK within the con
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V. V., Mykytenko. "Forecast Format of a Hybrid Scenario of Spatial Renewal: Information-Technological Architecture and Socio-Environmental-Economic Determinants." Herald of the Economic Sciences of Ukraine, no. 2(47) (2024): 12–21. https://doi.org/10.37405/1729-7206.2024.2(47).12-21.

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A typology of scenarios for the organization of spatial restoration of economic systems with their unique adaptation to the needs of Ukraine and the development of a hybrid scenario format as the main strategy for substantiating a multi-level toolkit for its effective implementation by 2030 have been developed. An integrated eight-stage system was formed (analysis of initial conditions and risks (2024-2025); determination of priority areas of development (2025-2026); development of a hybrid scenario model (2026-2027); implementation of innovative and technological solutions (2027-2028); modern
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Starodubets, N. V., and V. V. Derbeneva. "Formation of a Regional Strategy for Municipal Solid Waste Management Considering Greenhouse Gas Emissions." Economy of Region 18, no. 4 (2022): 1234–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2022-4-19.

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Currently, Russia is going through a global transformation in the field of waste management, which is mainly caused by the exhaustion of the capacities of existing landfills. The country’s goal is to reduce landfill and ensure 36 % recycling of all municipal solid waste (MSW) by 2024. Meanwhile, the discussion about the choice of disposal methods continues. We propose to look at the choice of the optimal MSW management strategy at the regional level through the prism of its total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. In this regard, the purpose of the article is to determine the total carbon footpri
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Larysa, Korolova. "THE USE OF FORECASTING METHODS FOR DETERMINING THE MAIN TRENDS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF PROFESSIONAL TRAINING SYSTEMS FOR SECOND LANGUAGE TEACHERS OF ROMANIA AND UKRAINE." Bulletin of Alfred Nobel University Series "Pedagogy and Psychology» 1, no. 25 (2023): 43–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.32342/2522-4115-2023-1-25-5.

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The article highlights the results of the completed research of trends in the development of Romania and Ukraine professional training systems of second language teachers. The purpose of the article is to reveal the features of the use of forecasting techniques to determine the main trends in the development of professional training systems for second language teachers in Romania and Ukraine. The essence of the term “extrapolation” and the concepts “extrapolation approach”, “inverse approach” are defined. The article claims that thanks to the use of a comparative analysis, a systematic approac
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Makarova, Elena L., Galina V. Gorelova, Elena A. Makarova, Anna A. Firsova, and Veronika Y. Kurenkova. "Sustainable Rural Development of Regional Economy Complex System: Cognitive Simulation Modeling." Sustainability 17, no. 13 (2025): 5961. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17135961.

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This paper demonstrates the application of cognitive modeling methods to study problems relating to the functioning and advancement of a strategy for the development of rural areas. Rural areas play a vital role in human life; they have enormous economic, natural, demographic, historical, and cultural potential, and their revival ensures the achievement of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals in the field of SDG 2: “End hunger, achieve food security and improve nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture”. The relevance of the study lies in the need to develop approaches in order
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Weissenberger-Eibl, Marion, André Almeida, and Fanny Seus. "A Systems Thinking Approach to Corporate Strategy Development." Systems 7, no. 1 (2019): 16. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/systems7010016.

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In an increasingly complex business environment, companies need to reassess their strategic choices on a regular basis. However, companies are struggling to collect and efficiently interpret the relevant information on their business environment. Whereas market information is often analyzed, influences from the broader environment (e.g., society) are often neglected. This paper argues that companies often lack a systemic approach to their strategy development process, and that environmental influences are only considered selectively. We suggest that companies themselves need to be seen as syst
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Divithure, Homindra, and Conrad Tang. "Scenario-based strategy selection for a sustainable cadastral system development program – a case study of Sri Lanka." Survey Review 50, no. 361 (2016): 301–11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00396265.2016.1268776.

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Tang, Jiafu, Wu Zhiqiao, C. K. Kwong, and Xinggang Luo. "Integrated production strategy and reuse scenario: A CoFAQ model and case study of mail server system development." Omega 41, no. 3 (2013): 536–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2012.07.003.

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RIZAL, Achmad, Izza M. APRILIANI, and Rega PERMANA. "SUSTAINABLE MANAGEMENT POLICY STRATEGY OF COASTAL TOURISM IN PANGANDARAN DISTRICT, INDONESIA." GeoJournal of Tourism and Geosites 37, no. 3 (2021): 894–904. http://dx.doi.org/10.30892/gtg.37321-723.

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One of the crucial coastal tourism is a region of Pangandaran District coastal tourism. The area represented a coastal region that has various exploiting characteristics and interconnected one another. The primary purpose of this research is to analyze the sustainable management policy strategy of coastal tourism. To reach the especial target, hence there are some activities which require to be conducted as a particular target that is (1) identifying determinant in the future, (2) determining strategic target and importance of the main stakeholder ; and (3) defining and describe of evolution p
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Singh, Rajesh K., Suresh K. Garg, and S. G. Deshmukh. "Strategy development by small scale industries in India." Industrial Management & Data Systems 110, no. 7 (2010): 1073–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/02635571011069112.

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PurposeIn the present scenario of e‐globalization, small scale industries (SSIs) are considered engine for economic growth all over the world. After markets globalization, SSIs are facing many pressures and constraints to sustain their competitiveness. The purpose of this paper is to examine various issues in context of Indian SSIs such as nature of pressures and constraints, competitive priorities, competencies development, areas of investment, and their relationship with performance.Design/methodology/approachFor collecting data, a questionnaire‐based survey was conducted. In total, 75 valid
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Lymar, Valeriia. "Energy Security of Ukraine: External Threats From the Russian Federation." YEARBOOK OF ANTITRUST AND REGULATORY STUDIES 16, no. 28 (1994): 31–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.7172/1689-9024.yars.2023.16.28.2.

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A country’s energy security is an important component of its overall national security, as energy supply is essential for the functioning of its national economy and the livelihoods of its population. The purpose of this research is to develop practical tools for analyzing the condition of Ukraine’s energy sector, and to provide practical recommendations for potential development and integration into the single European energy system. The practical value of the research findings is that the SWOT-analysis (Strengths – Weakness – Opportunities – Troubles) of the energy sector of Ukraine which ma
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Liu, Jie, Lang Zhang, and Qingping Zhang. "The Development Simulation of Urban Green Space System Layout Based on the Land Use Scenario: A Case Study of Xuchang City, China." Sustainability 12, no. 1 (2019): 326. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12010326.

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The development and evolution of an urban green space system is affected by both natural effects and human intervention. The simulation and prediction of an urban green space system can enhance the foresight of urban planning. In this study, several land use change scenarios of the main urban area of Xuchang City were simulated from 2014 to 2030 based on high-resolution land use data. The layout of each scenario was evaluated using landscape indexes. A Cellular Automata–based method (i.e., future land use simulation, FLUS) was applied to develop the urban green space system, which we combined
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Yu, Pao-Shan, Tao-Chang Yang, Chen-Min Kuo, and Shien-Tsung Chen. "Development of an integrated computational tool to assess climate change impacts on water supply–demand and flood inundation." Journal of Hydroinformatics 16, no. 3 (2013): 710–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/hydro.2013.018.

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This paper aims to propose a decision support system (DSS) for evaluating the climate change impacts on water supply–demand and inundation; and assessing the risks for water shortage and inundation under future scenarios. The proposed DSS framework is universal and flexible, which comprises five modules integrated by a geographic information system platform, including the modules of (1) scenario rainfall and temperature projection under climate change, (2) impact assessment of water supply–demand, (3) impact assessment of inundation, (4) assessment of vulnerability and risk, and (5) adaptation
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Ali, Sajjad, Imran Khan, Sadaqat Jan, and Ghulam Hafeez. "An Optimization Based Power Usage Scheduling Strategy Using Photovoltaic-Battery System for Demand-Side Management in Smart Grid." Energies 14, no. 8 (2021): 2201. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en14082201.

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Due to rapid population growth, technology, and economic development, electricity demand is rising, causing a gap between energy production and demand. With the emergence of the smart grid, residents can schedule their energy usage in response to the Demand Response (DR) program offered by a utility company to cope with the gap between demand and supply. This work first proposes a novel optimization-based energy management framework that adapts consumer power usage patterns using real-time pricing signals and generation from utility and photovoltaic-battery systems to minimize electricity cost
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Zhou, Suyang, Zijian Hu, Zhi Zhong, Di He, and Meng Jiang. "An Integrated Energy System Operating Scenarios Generator Based on Generative Adversarial Network." Sustainability 11, no. 23 (2019): 6699. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su11236699.

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The convergence of energy security and environmental protection has given birth to the development of integrated energy systems (IES). However, the different physical characteristics and complex coupling of different energy sources have deeply troubled researchers. With the rapid development of AI and big data, some attempts to apply data-driven methods to IES have been made. Data-driven technologies aim to abandon complex IES modeling, instead mining the mapping relationships between different parameters based on massive volumes of operating data. However, integrated energy system constructio
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Bychkova, Anna A. "Spatial migration assessment and forecasting taking into account transport specifics." Ars Administrandi (Искусство управления) 16, no. 3 (2024): 498–512. http://dx.doi.org/10.17072/2218-9173-2024-3-498-512.

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Introduction: the article focuses on the importance of studying the relationship between migration flows and the transportation system to develop a strategy for spatial development of the country’s territories. The author considers migration as a process of population resettlement from region to region. Objectives: modeling migration growth in Russian regions to build scenario forecasts for the nearest time and identifying its main trends. Migration growth analysis includes studying socio-economic factors and the current state based on the data collected for 2011–2021. Methods: the ARIMA model
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