Relevant bibliographies by topics / System "scenario - development strategy"

Academic literature on the topic 'System "scenario - development strategy"'

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Published: 30 May 2022
Last updated: 31 May 2022

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Journal articles on the topic "System "scenario - development strategy""

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Bashmakov, I. "Russian Energy Sector: Inertia Strategy or Efficiency Strategy?" Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 8 (August 20, 2007): 104–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2007-8-104-122.

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The paper presents a vision of Russian energy future before 2020. The scenario approach is required to identify potential energy supply and demand future trajectories for Russia facing uncertainties of both global energy system evolution and domestic demographic and economic development in 2007-2020. It allows for assessing energy demand by sectors under different investment, technological and energy pricing policies favoring the least cost balancing of energy supply options and energy efficiency improvements to sustain dynamic economic growth. The given approach provides grounds for evaluation of different energy policies effectiveness. Three scenarios - "Inertia Strategy", "Energy Centrism", and "Efficiency Strategy - Four I" - integral-innovative-intellectual-individual oriented energy systems - are considered in the paper. It shows that ignorance of the last scenario escalates either energy shortages in the country or Russian economy overloading with energy supply investments both preventing from sustaining rates of economic growth which have recently been demonstrated by Russia.
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Harada, H., S. Matsui, N. T. Dong, Y. Shimizu, and S. Fujii. "Incremental sanitation improvement strategy: comparison of options for Hanoi, Vietnam." Water Science and Technology 62, no. 10 (November 1, 2010): 2225–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wst.2010.508.

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Urban sanitation issues should be tackled strategically, and may be addressed effectively when sewerage development is pursued in conjunction with complementary sanitation measures. Five sanitation improvement scenarios employing sewerage, night-soil collection-and-treatment (NSCT) system, and/or septic-tank improvement by annual desludging were analyzed from the perspective of COD loads, total nitrogen loads, and cost under the conditions found in Hanoi, Vietnam. Compared to the development of sewerage alone, the scenario of developing NSCT systems in a complementary manner with sewerage development was estimated to be the most effective for a rapid decrease of both COD and total nitrogen loads. However, it may be difficult in some cases to replace ordinary water-flush toilets by the micro-flush toilets that are used in NSCT systems. In this case, the scenario employing septic-tank improvement in conjunction with sewerage development may be effective for a rapid decrease of COD in locations where septic tanks are widely used under poor maintenance conditions and nitrogen pollution is not serious compared to COD. It was calculated that the two scenarios above would respectively require cost increases of 16 and 22% over the sewerage development scenario.
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Witt, Tobias, Katharina Stahlecker, and Jutta Geldermann. "Morphological analysis of energy scenarios." International Journal of Energy Sector Management 12, no. 4 (November 5, 2018): 525–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijesm-09-2017-0003.

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PurposeEnergy scenarios have long been successfully used to inform decision-making in energy systems planning, with a wide range of different methodological approaches for developing and evaluating them. The purpose of this study is to analyze the existing approaches and classify them with a morphological box.Design/methodology/approachThis paper builds upon the methodological literature on developing and evaluating energy scenarios and presents a morphological box, which comprises parameters describing the scenario properties, (energy system) model properties, scientific practice and institutional settings of energy scenarios. The newly developed morphological box is applied to four selected energy scenarios of the German energy transition.FindingsThe morphological box is a suitable tool to classify current energy scenarios. The exemplary application also points toward four challenges in the current practice of energy scenario development and evaluation: increasing complexity of decision problems, transparency of the scenario development process, transparency of the decision support process and communication of uncertainty.Originality/valueThe morphological box of energy scenarios helps researchers soundly document and present their methodological approaches for energy scenario development and evaluation. It also facilitates the work of analysts who want to classify, interpret and compare energy scenarios from a methodological perspective. Finally, it supports the identification of gaps between current practice and the methodological literature on energy scenarios, leading to the development of new types of energy scenarios.
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Wang, Yu Ning, Hui Ming Zeng, Bing Qing Tang, and Bin Xiang Hu. "System Dynamics Modeling for China's EV Development Strategy." Advanced Materials Research 765-767 (September 2013): 278–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amr.765-767.278.

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Due to mandatory emission reduction and rising oil prices electric vehicles are about to be introduced in mass markets. This paper presents a system dynamics model of Chinas development strategy of electric vehicle industry. The focus of the paper is to study the influence of four major dynamic factors government policies, technology innovation, market demand and competitive ability. It gives an overall scenario of the development and highlights the major problems faced by Chinese electric vehicles industry, and how SD modeling can be used for the analysis of the industry developing policy. The model has been used to simulate the influence of these dynamic factors for 20 years, and a serious of policy tests and some useful policy suggestions were put forward. The result suggested that government support will still play a key role in a long-term.
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Wang, Yu Ning, Hui Ming Zeng, Bin Qing Tang, and Bin Xiang Hu. "System Dynamics Modeling for China's EV Development Strategy." Applied Mechanics and Materials 378 (August 2013): 483–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.378.483.

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Due to mandatory emission reduction and rising oil prices electric vehicles are about to be introduced in mass markets. This paper presents a system dynamics model of Chinas development strategy of electric vehicle industry. The focus of the paper is to study the influence of four major dynamic factors government policies, technology innovation, market demand and competitive ability. It gives an overall scenario of the development and highlights the major problems faced by Chinese electric vehicles industry, and how SD modeling can be used for the analysis of the industry developing policy. The model has been used to simulate the influence of these dynamic factors for 20 years, and a serious of policy tests and some useful policy suggestions were put forward. The result suggested that government support will still play a key role in a long-term.
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Jakimavičius, Marius, and Marija Burinskienė. "ASSESSMENT OF VILNIUS CITY DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS BASED ON TRANSPORT SYSTEM MODELLING AND MULTICRITERIA ANALYSIS." JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT 15, no. 4 (December 31, 2009): 361–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/1392-3730.2009.15.361-368.

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The paper describes the assessment of 3 Vilnius city development scenarios according to transport system parameters multi‐criteria analysis and performing transport system modelling for 2015 and 2025 years. Vilnius city development scenarios such as concentrated development, extensive development and decentralized concentrated development have been evaluated from a transport viewpoint. Vilnius city development scenarios have been evaluated by using SAW (Simple Additive Weighting) multi‐criteria method. According to this method development scenarios ranking calculations have been performed using transport system indicators. Urban transport system analysis model was developed for Vilnius conditions, which estimates the fuel consumption, average travel distance and driven time by car in morning peak hours depending on urban areas development scenario and socio‐economic data. This model should be used when calculating new projects of the transport infrastructure (by‐passes, new bridges) and when evaluating the economic efficiency of traffic organization projects. Santrauka Straipsnyje analizuojami trys susisiekimo sistemos požiūriu Vilniaus miesto plėtros scenarijai. Miesto plėtros scenarijai, kaip sutelktoji plėtra, decentralizuotai sutelktoji plėtra ir ekstensyvioji plėtra, vertinami daugiakriteriu metodu SAW ir atliekant Vilniaus miesto plėtros scenarijų modeliavimą 2015 m. ir 2025 m. Daugiakriteriu metodu nustatoma plėtros scenarijų prioritetinė eilė, vertinant Vilniaus miesto susisiekimo sistemos rodiklius. Modeliuojant plėtros scenarijų, nustatomi tokie rytinio piko metu rodikliai: kuro naudojimas, suminis nuvažiuotas atstumas, suminis kelionės laikas. Modeliavimas remiasi esamais ir numatytais bendrojo Vilniaus plano miesto gatvių tinklo duomenimis, transportinių rajonų dabartiniais ir prognozuojamais socialiniais bei ekonominiais duomenimis. Sukurtas modelis gali būti sėkmingai naudojamas vertinant transporto infrastruktūros ir eismo organizavimo projektų įtaką miesto susisiekimo sistemai.
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Tkachova, Tetiana. "USING OF THE SCENARIO APPROACH FOR FORM A STRATEGY FOR DEVELOPMENT OF MACHINE-BUILDING ENTERPRISES." Economics: time realities 2, no. 48 (January 28, 2020): 108–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.15276/etr.02.2020.14.

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Isolation and generalization of theoretical and methodological principles of enterprise strategy formation makes it possible to combine different conceptual approaches in the process of strategizing, as well as to choose the most appropriate principles for a particular situation. Eight stages of the scenario planning process are considered. Thus, each scenario can be implemented on the basis of multivariate solutions. The paper proposes a distributed dynamic model of problem situations in the enterprise without management influences, which is based on the synthesis of a simulation model of situation forecasting, built using the system of system dynamics J. Forrester, which has a hierarchical model structure, the implementation of which allows to obtain scenarios situations with a constant mode of management, to determine the image of the future situation and assess the situation at the enterprise.
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Pašičko, Robert, Zoran Stanić, and Nenad Debrecin. "Modelling Sustainable Development Scenarios of Croatian Power System." Journal of Electrical Engineering 61, no. 3 (May 1, 2010): 157–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/v10187-010-0022-7.

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Modelling Sustainable Development Scenarios of Croatian Power SystemThe main objective of power system sustainable development is to provide the security of electricity supply required to underpin economic growth and increase the quality of living while minimizing adverse environmental impacts. New challenges such as deregulation, liberalization of energy markets, increased competition on energy markets, growing demands on security of supply, price insecurities and demand to cut CO2 emissions, are calling for better understanding of electrical systems modelling. Existing models are not sufficient anymore and planners will need to think differently in order to face these challenges. Such a model, on the basis on performed simulations, should enable planner to distinguish between different options and to analyze sustainability of these options. PLEXOS is an electricity market simulation model, used for modeling electrical system in Croatia since 2005. Within this paper, generation expansion scenarios until 2020 developed for Croatian Energy Strategy and modeled in PLEXOS. Development of sustainable Croatian energy scenario was analyzed in the paper - impacts of CO2 emission price and wind generation. Energy Strategy sets goal for 1200 MW from wind power plants in 2020. In order to fully understand its impacts, intermittent nature of electricity generation from wind power plant was modeled. We conclude that electrical system modelling using everyday growing models has proved to be inevitable for sustainable electrical system planning in complex environment in which power plants operate today.
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Nizamutdinov, M. M., and V. V. Oreshnikov. "Approach to form the territorial system development strategy using simulation and scenario modeling tools." Russian Journal of Industrial Economics 12, no. 4 (January 3, 2020): 426–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.17073/2072-1633-2019-4-426-442.

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The studies were carried out in the problematic of improving the tools for implementing economic policy which ensure widespread use of strategic planning and regulation methods in real practice of managing the territorial systems development at various levels. The article highlights the most pressing problems of improving the efficiency of socio-economic development planning for territorial systems, including in the context of the modern digital economy development. The need for implementation analytical processing systems and the management information effective use to substantiate strategic decisions is indicated as the priority problem. The comparative assessment of the well-known methodologies, methods and ready-made software solutions in modeling the economy of territorial socio-economic system at the different levels is carried out. Their strengths and weaknesses are identified for solving the identified problems and priority tasks of territorial development. The basic principles and requirements are formulated for the territorial socio-economic system’s development predicting tools. The conceptual scheme for implementing the simulation model is proposed. In general terms, the scheme provides the adaptation of the SAM methodology to formalize economic agents’ expenses and incomes balance. At the same time it involves the use of econometric methods, fuzzy logic theory and soft computing algorithms. The statement of the simulation problem is considered, the structure and the block’s relations logic for the simulation model are described. It is proposed to formalize the basic parameters connections of the model in two groups: in the first group the system relations of the model parameters are identified and formalized by SAM methodology; in the second group the factor relations are identified and formalized using econometric methods. Some results of forecasting calculations are given as part of the substantiation of the strategy for socio-economic development of the of Ufa city for the period until 2030.
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Van Offenbeek, Marjolein A. G., and Paul L. Koopman. "Scenarios for system development: Matching context and strategy." Behaviour & Information Technology 15, no. 4 (January 1996): 250–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/014492996120175.

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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "System "scenario - development strategy""

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Siketina, Natalya Hennadievna. "Scenario approach to develop machine-building enterprise’s strategy." Thesis, Аналітичний центр "Нова Економіка", 2017. http://repository.kpi.kharkov.ua/handle/KhPI-Press/32893.

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During the last years maintenance of competitive activity changed and the that subject of management, that creates competitive potential, finds out potential of any value, generates unique ideas and knowledge that can interest the future consumers of his products. For reduction or prevention of risk of acceptance of administrative decisions the enterprises must find out those that influence on its activity, find out the possible level of risk and methods of his calculation .
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Wang, Wenqing, and wenqing wang@rmit edu au. "Modelling and Simulating Mobile Commerce Diffusion in China Using System Dynamics." RMIT University. Business Information Technology, 2007. http://adt.lib.rmit.edu.au/adt/public/adt-VIT20080604.115004.

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Current deployments of mobile commerce focus mostly on digital content. However, mobile commerce will grow rapidly with the increased use of portable devices such as cellular phones and personal digital assistants (PDA), increased network bandwidth, and the availability of a wider range of mobile commerce services and transactions. As the revenue generated from mobile commerce is expected to skyrocket in the coming years, strategists are turning their attention to untapped emerging markets in the developing countries. Understanding how mobile commerce will develop in countries like China, where huge market potential exists, is of paramount importance in order to develop effective strategies that will positively affect its course. Modelling the diffusion of mobile commerce in a country is a difficult task due to the non-linear, complex and uncertain nature of its operating environment. A System Dynamics approach is more appropriate to model such a complex system. The main objective of this study is to illustrate the process of developing System Dynamics models for simulating mobile commerce diffusion in China by using a subset of the factors involved. In order to achieve this objective, the Chinese mobile commerce was modelled as the interaction of three subsystems, namely: population evolution in China; mobile commerce diffusion; and the influence from the provision of mobile commerce terminals (MCT) on mobile commerce diffusion. Each subsystem was modelled by identifying the factors influencing its development as well as the interactions between the factors. The subsystems were calibrated using historical and forecasted data whenever they were available. The validation of the subsystems was also performed through extensive sensitivity analysis. The complete model was used for experimenting with some typical Chinese mobile commerce scenarios for the purpose of analysing mobile commerce trends and designing strategies to exert positive influences on those trends. The simulation of the submodels provided useful insights into their respective areas for controlling their development. Simulation of the population development submodel showed that, in addition to family planning policies, urbanisation rates and life quality were important factors that significantly influenced population dynamics in China. Simulation of the mobile commerce diffusion submodel showed that the time when mobile commerce is implemented will significantly influence its market expansion speed i.e. the later mobile commerce is implemented, the quicker the market will expand. The existence of floating populations in China will be a big advantage in starting up the rural market. However, if mobile commerce is implemented too late, the penetration in rural areas will be negligible. Simulation of the MCT provision submodel showed the importance of opening the Chinese market to foreign suppliers and the coordination of strategies regarding the design and supply of MCTs with strategies for the growth of mobile commerce in China. This study is a first attempt to simulate the diffusion of mobile commerce in China using System Dynamics. The results obtained showed that the models developed were useful for understanding and controlling the future diffusion of mobile commerce in China.
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Itani, Nadine M. "Policy development framework for aviation strategic planning in developing countries." Thesis, Cranfield University, 2015. http://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/9217.

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There exists no predefined framework for aviation policy making and development. While aviation policy planning in most developed countries comes as a result of institutional and industry coordination and is embedded within other national policies addressing the welfare and growth of the country, it is found that in many cases in less developed countries (LDCs), aviation policy planning is often influenced by political pressures and the interests of fund donors. The complexity of this situation in the developing countries results in aviation plans that represent stand alone studies and attempt to find solutions to specific problems rather than comprehensive aviation plans which fit well the country‘s competitiveness profile and are properly coordinated with other national policies for achieving medium and long-term objectives. This study provides a three-stage policy development framework for aviation strategic planning based on situational analysis and performance benchmarking practices in order to assemble policy elements and produce a best-fit aviation strategy. The framework builds on study results that indicate an association between air transport sector performance and aviation policy strategies, arguing that it is not sufficient to simply describe performance but also to be able to assess it and understand how policymakers can use strategic planning tools to affect the air transport industry efficiency levels. This can be achieved by recognizing the level of the country‘s stage of development and working on enhancing the policy elements that produce better output and induce more contributions by aviation to the national economic development and connectivity levels. The proposed aviation policy development framework is systematic and continuous. It helps policymakers in LDC to manage uncertainty in complex situations by allowing them to defend, correct and re-examine the policy actions based on a forward thinking approach which incorporates the contingency elements of the policy and tracks the developments that can affect the odds of its success. The framework‘s elements and its flow of process are explained by providing an illustrative example applied to the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan.
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Combier, Robert. "Risk-informed scenario-based technology and manufacturing evaluation of aircraft systems." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/49046.

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In the last half century, the aerospace industry has seen a dramatic paradigm shift from a focus on performance-at-any-cost to product economics and value. The steady increase in product requirements, complexity and global competition has driven aircraft manufacturers to seek broad portfolios of advanced technologies. The development costs and cycle times of these technologies vary widely, and the resulting design environment is one where decisions must be made under substantial uncertainty. Modeling and simulation have recently become the standard practice for addressing these issues; detailed simulations and explorations of candidate future states of these systems help reduce a complex design problem into a comprehensible, manageable form where decision factors are prioritized. While there are still fundamental criticisms about using modeling and simulation, the emerging challenge becomes ``How do you best configure uncertainty analyses and the information they produce to address real world problems?” One such analysis approach was developed in this thesis by structuring the input, models, and output to answer questions about the risk and economic impact of technology decisions in future aircraft programs. Unlike other methods, this method placed emphasis on the uncertainty in the cumulative cashflow space as the integrator of economic viability. From this perspective, it then focused on exploration of the design and technology space to tailor the business case and its associated risk in the cash flow dimension. The methodology is called CASSANDRA and is intended to be executed by a program manager of a manufacturer working of the development of future concepts. The program manager has the ability to control design elements as well as the new technology allocation on that aircraft. She is also responsible for the elicitation of the uncertainty in those dimensions within control as well as the external scenarios (that are out of program control). The methodology was applied on a future single-aisle 150 passenger aircraft design. The overall methodology is compared to existing approaches and is shown to identify more economically robust design decisions under a set of at-risk program scenarios. Additionally, a set of metrics in the uncertain cumulative cashflow space were developed to assist the methodology user in the identification, evaluation, and selection of design and technology. These metrics are compared to alternate approaches and are shown to better identify risk efficient design and technology selections. At the modeling level, an approach is given to estimate the production quantity based on an enhanced Overall Evaluation Criterion method that captures the competitive advantage of the aircraft design. This model was needed as the assumption of production quantity is highly influential to the business case risk. Finally, the research explored the capacity to generate risk mitigation strategies in to two analysis configurations: when available data and simulation capacity are abundant, and when they are sparse or incomplete. The first configuration leverages structured filtration of Monte Carlo simulation results. The allocation of design and technology risk is then identified on the Pareto Frontier. The second configuration identifies the direction of robust risk mitigation based on the available data and limited simulation ability. It leverages a linearized approximation of the cashflow metrics and identifies the direction of allocation using the Jacobian matrix and its inversion.
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Siketina, Natalya Hennadievna. "Strategies for sustainable development of machine-building enterprise." Thesis, Mieszko I School of Education and Administration, 2018. http://repository.kpi.kharkov.ua/handle/KhPI-Press/36610.

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Enterprises must identify those that affect its activities, identify the acceptable level of risk and how to calculate it, in order to reduce or prevent the risk of making managerial decisions. Since in the process of functioning of the enterprise there is a lagging of the values of the actually obtained indicators from the desired, there is not only the need to respond to changes in the environment of the enterprise, as well as their prediction. Consequently, the management of machine-building enterprises should develop a forecast of possible changes (positive and negative deviations) in the dynamics of the main indicators of its activities
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Puthenveetil, John P. "An Assessment of the Role of Scenario-Based Anticipatory Organizational Learning in Strategy Development---An Organization Development Perspective." Thesis, Benedictine University, 2017. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=10587691.

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The only two certainties in life are death and more uncertainty—with change the only constant. Rapidly changing environments require speedier response. We do not know what the future holds. Crafting strategy when the future is unknown and unknowable is challenging. The increasing uncertainty and turbulence has seen the gradual replacement of forecasting with scenario planning. Unfortunately, we are still trapped in the Taylorist paradigm that there is always one optimal strategy for any company to pursue. The global financial crisis of 2007-2009 provided a dramatic demonstration of the risk inherent in any strategic plan that relies on a unidimensional view of the future.

Using this crisis as a Petri dish, this research examined how well scenario planning worked. As the objective of scenario-based strategy development is to improve organizational agility (defined as the speed with which firms sensed and responded to an organizational crisis), the research measured how agile these firms were, measured against an established timeline and a sense and respond model, the Puthenveetil Model.

This study used a qualitative longitudinal case study method using purposive sampling of 14 firms that used scenario planning in strategy development and examined their strategies during the crisis ex post facto, only to find that most firms did not anticipate the crisis. Of those that did, only two—General Electric and Herman Miller, firms steeped in the learning/organization development culture—responded during the pre-crisis period. A surprising finding was that in six of the 14 firms, headcounts increased during this period. As to why so many firms failed to anticipate this crisis, there were three possible explanations: (a) the Cassandra Syndrome, (b) blind confidence in probability, and (c) reactive approach to change. The Puthenveetil Model could be used by individuals and organizations to prepare for the challenges of the VUCA world by hedging against the inevitable surprises that lurk in the background. Uncertainty is not an ally of confidence. Confidence is needed for commitment. Scenario-based thinking should help decision makers think clearly, feel confident, and act decisively.

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Basirat, Farzad. "CO2 leakage in a Geological Carbon Sequestration system: Scenario development and analysis." Thesis, KTH, Vattendragsteknik, 2011. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-96084.

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The aim of this project was to study the leakage of CO2 in a Geological Carbon Sequestration (GCS) system. To define the GCS system, a tool that is known as an FEP database was used. FEPs are the features, processes and events that develop scenarios for the goal of the study. Combinations of these FEPs can produce thousands of scenarios. However, among all of these scenarios, some are more important than others for leakage. The FEPs that were used as scenario developers were the formation of the liquid flow, the salinity of the formation liquid, diffusion as a process for gas bubble transport and the depth of the reservoir layer. In this study, the leakage path is considered as the presence of a fracture in sealed caprock. The fractures can be modeled using various approaches. Here, I represented the influence of fracture modeling by applying the Equivalent Continuum Method (ECM) and the Dual-Porosity and Multi-continuum methods to leakage. This study suggests that considering groundwater in the aquifer would reduce the leakage of CO2 and that a shallower formation leads to higher leakage. This study can be expanded to future studies by including external FEPs that are related to the FEPs that were used in this study.
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Siketina, Natalya Hennadievna. "System-issues of development of hotel business." Thesis, Уманський національний університет садівництва, 2018. http://repository.kpi.kharkov.ua/handle/KhPI-Press/38798.

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The development of a hotel business development strategy should include the following methodological approaches to the sequence of execution of works: the definition of goals and objectives for gaining strategic positions in the market, achieving the necessary technical level and product quality, increasing the efficiency of service delivery; determining the real possibilities of the hotel company for the implementation of the stated goals and objectives; justification of the development strategy, that is, the development of long-term and current measures of economic and financial development of the hotel company in order to provide the above-mentioned tasks; estimation of probable results; the development and adoption of corrective measures to achieve the planned results activity of hotel enterprise.So in deciding to optimize the development of the hotel business, it is necessary to determine the ways of its implementation, that is, to choose the appropriate strategy of activity.
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Bush, Brian O. "Development of a fuzzy system design strategy using evolutionary computation." Ohio : Ohio University, 1996. http://www.ohiolink.edu/etd/view.cgi?ohiou1178656308.

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Gilmore, John Sebastian. "Development of a satellite communications software system and scheduling strategy." Thesis, Stellenbosch : University of Stellenbosch, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/4152.

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Thesis (MScEng (Electrical and Electronic Engineering))--University of Stellenbosch, 2010.
ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Stellenbosch University and the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven has a joint undertaking to develop a satellite communications payload. The goals of the project are: to undertake research and expand knowledge in the area of dynamically configurable antenna beam forming, to prove the viability of this research for space purposes and to demonstrate the feasibility of the development in a practical application. The practical application is low Earth orbit satellite communication system for applications in remote monitoring. Sensor data will be uploaded to the satellite, stored and forwarded to a central processing ground station as the satellite passes over these ground stations. The system will utilise many low-cost ground sensor stations to collect data and distribute it to high-end ground stations for processing. Applications of remote monitoring systems are maritime- and climate change monitoring- and tracking. Climate change monitoring allows inter alia, for the monitoring of the effects and causes of global warming. The Katholieke Universiteit Leuven is developing a steerable antenna to be mounted on the satellite. Stellenbosch University is developing the communications payload to steer and use the antenna. The development of the communications protocol stack is part of the project. The focus of this work is to implement the application layer protocol, which handles all file level communications and also implements the communications strategy. The application layer protocol is called the Satellite Communications Software System (SCSS). It handles all high level requests from ground stations, including requests to store data, download data, download log files and upload configuration information. The design is based on a client-server model, with a Station Server and Station Handler. The Station Server schedules ground stations for communication and creates a Station Handler for each ground station to handle all ground station requests. During the design, all file formats were defined for efficient ground station-satellite communications and system administration. All valid ground station requests and handler responses were also defined. It was also found that the system may be made more efficient by scheduling ground stations for communications, rather than polling each ground station until one responds. To be able to schedule ground station communications, the times when ground stations will come into view of the satellite have to be predicted. This is done by calculating the positions of the Satellite and ground stations as functions of time. A simple orbit propagator was developed to predict the satellite distance and to ease testing and integration with the communications system. The times when a ground station will be within range of the satellite were then predicted and a scheduling algorithm developed to minimise the number of ground stations not able to communicate. All systems were implemented and tested. The SCSS executing on the Satellite was developed and tested on the satellite on-board computer. Embedded implementations possess strict resource limitations, which were taken into account during the development process. The SCSS is a multi-threaded system that makes use of thread cancellation to improve responsiveness.
AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die Universiteit van Stellenbosch ontwerp tans ’n satelliet kommunikasieloonvrag in samewerking met die Katolieke Universiteit van Leuven. Die doel van die projek is om navorsing te doen oor die lewensvatbaarheid van dinamies verstelbare antenna bundelvorming vir ruimte toepassings, asook om die haalbaarheid van hierdie navorsing in die praktyk te demonstreer. Die praktiese toepassing is ’n satellietkommunikasiestelsel vir afstandsmonitering, wat in ’n Lae-Aarde wentelbaan verkeer. Soos die satelliet in sy wentelbaan beweeg, sal sensor data na die satelliet toe gestuur, gestoor en weer aangestuur word. Die stelsel gebruik goedkoop sensorgrondstasies om data te versamel en aan te stuur na kragtiger grondstasies vir verwerking. Afstandsmoniteringstelsels kan gebruik word om klimaatsverandering, sowel as die posisie van skepe en voertuie, te monitor. Deur oa. klimaatsveranderinge te dokumenteer, kan gevolge en oorsake van globale verhitting gemonitor word. Die Katholieke Universiteit van Leuven is verantwoordelik vir die ontwerp en vervaardiging van die satelliet antenna, terwyl die Universiteit van Stellenbosch verantwoordelik is vir die ontwerp en bou van die kommunikasie loonvrag. ’n Gedeelte van hierdie ontwikkeling sluit die ontwerp en implementasie van al die protokolle van die kommunikasieprotokolstapel in. Dit fokus op die toepassingsvlak protokol van die protokolstapel, wat alle leêrvlak kommunikasie hanteer en die kommunikasiestrategie implementeer. Die toepassingsvlaksagteware word die Satellietkommunikasie sagtewarestelsel (SKSS) genoem. Die SKSS is daarvoor verantwoordelik om alle navrae vanaf grondstasies te hanteer. Hierdie navrae sluit die oplaai en stoor van data, die aflaai van data, die aflaai van logs en die oplaai van konfigurasie inligting in. Die ontwerp is op die standaard kliënt-bediener model gebasseer, met ’n stasiebediener en ’n stasiehanteerder. Die stasiebediener skeduleer die tye wanneer grondstasies toegelaat sal word om te kommunikeer en skep stasiehanteerders om alle navrae vanaf die stasies te hanteer. Gedurende die ontwerp is alle leêrformate gedefinieer om doeltreffende adminstrasie van die stelsel, asook kommunikasie tussen grondstasies en die satelliet te ondersteun. Alle geldige boodskappe tussen die satelliet en grondstasies is ook gedefnieer. Daar is gevind dat die doeltreffendheid van die stelsel verhoog kan word deur die grondstasies wat wil kommunikeer te skeduleer, eerder as om alle stasies te pols totdat een reageer. Om so ’n skedule op te stel, moet die tye wanneer grondstasies binne bereik van die satelliet gaan wees voorspel word. Hierdie voorspelling is gedoen deur die posisies van die satelliet en die grondstasies as funksies van tyd te voorspel. ’n Eenvoudige satelliet posisievoorspeller is ontwikkel om toetsing en integrasie met die SKSS te vergemaklik. ’n Skeduleringsalgoritme is toe ontwikkel om die hoeveelheid grondstasies wat nie toegelaat word om te kommunikeer nie, te minimeer. Alle stelsels is geimplementeer en getoets. Die SKSS, wat op die satelliet loop, is ontwikkel en getoets op die satelliet se aanboord rekenaar. Die feit dat ingebedde stelsels oor baie min hulpbronne beskik, is in aanmerking geneem gedurende die ontwikkeling en implementasie van die SKSS. Angesien die SKSS ’n multidraadverwerkingsstelsel is, word daar van draadkansellasie gebruik gemaak om die stelsel se reaksietyd te verbeter.
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Books on the topic "System "scenario - development strategy""

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Barykin, Alex, Valentin Ikryannikov, and Yuriy Budkin. National system of standardization of the Russian Federation. Principles, goals, objectives, forecast of development. ru: INFRA-M Academic Publishing LLC., 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/1058023.

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The monograph presents the research questions of efficiency of functioning of national standardization system of the Russian Federation, which was conducted by the authors in the framework of the analytical work on the order of Minpromtorg of Russia in 2018 (the state contract from April 17, 2018 No. 18401.16Д0190019.10.002) taking into account the actual directions of development of national standardization system of the Russian Federation and additional generalizations. The assessment of the current scenario of the development of the national standardization system of the Russian Federation was carried out using comparable indicators of the national standardization systems of France, Germany, great Britain and the USA. The findings and proposals were based on the results of a survey of civil servants at the Federal and regional levels on approaches to strategic dimensions of standardization. The methodology of forecasting the development of the national standardization system of the Russian Federation includes a scenario approach and a method of constructing dispersion diagrams (bubble diagrams) and sufficiently illustrates the current state of Affairs in the field of standardization at the national level. The developed tools will require additional configuration when changing the current development scenario from "inertial" to "progressive". A number of author's proposals to change the current scenario of development of the national standardization system of the Russian Federation are presented. It is of interest to a wide range of readers and specialists in the field of public administration, standardization and can be used in the preparation of curricula and manuals for undergraduate, graduate and further education.
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Roat, Harish Chandra. Tribal settlement system and development strategy. Udaipur: Himanshu Publications, 1987.

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Kozhevina, Ol'ga, and Natal'ya Salienko. Strategic change management. ru: INFRA-M Academic Publishing LLC., 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/1045608.

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The textbook is developed on the basis of competence-based and interdisciplinary approaches, contains theoretical foundations for the formation, change, development and improvement of organization management systems in a dynamic environment, as well as methodological aspects of the development and practical implementation of strategic changes. The publication examines the features of strategic changes, the technology of change management, reflects the models and principles of organizational changes, defines the prerequisites for the development of scenarios for the development of the organization, factors, conditions and mechanisms for the implementation of the change management strategy in the organization. The publication fully complies with the requirements of the federal state educational standards of higher education of the latest generation. It is intended for students studying in the areas of training 38.03.02 "Management", 38.03.03 "Personnel Management", 38.03.04 "State and municipal management". It will also be useful for students of MBA programs, advanced training courses and professional training of managerial personnel, senior students of economic specialties of universities, graduate students, teachers, practitioners and anyone interested in the problems of effective development of organizations based on the approach of organizational change.
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Nebraska Health & Human Services System. Environmental Health Services Section. Nebraska's public water supply system capacity development strategy report to the Governor. Lincoln, Neb.]: Nebraska Health and Human Services System, 2002.

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Burns, Danny. Systemic action research: A strategy for whole system change. Bristol: Policy Press, 2007.

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Ruitenbeek, H. Jack. The invisible wand: Adaptive co-management as an emergent strategy in complex bio-economic systems. Bogor, Indonesia: Center for International Forestry Research, 2001.

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Frantzen, Trond. A game plan for systems development: Strategy and steps for designing your own system. Englewood Cliffs, N.J: Yourdon Press, 1988.

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1948-, McEvoy Ken, ed. A game plan for systems development: Strategy and steps for designing your own system. Englewood Cliffs: Yourdon Press, 1988.

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Goehring, Dwight J. An automated system for the analysis of Combat Training Center information: Strategy and development. Alexandria, Va: U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, 1995.

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Great Britain. Department of Health. Strategy for research and development relating to the human health aspects of transmissiblespongiform encephalopathies. Wetherby, Yorkshire: Department of Health, 1996.

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Book chapters on the topic "System "scenario - development strategy""

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Anders Eriksson, E. "Scenario-Based Methodologies for Strategy Development and Management of Change." In Systems Approaches and Their Application, 167–94. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 2004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/1-4020-2370-7_7.

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Herbst, Andrea, Anna-Lena Klingler, Stephanie Heitel, Pia Manz, Tobias Fleiter, Matthias Rehfeldt, Francesca Fermi, Davide Fiorello, Angelo Martino, and Ulrich Reiter. "Future Energy Demand Developments and Demand Side Flexibility in a Decarbonized Centralized Energy System." In The Future European Energy System, 91–113. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-60914-6_6.

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AbstractEuropean final energy consumption mainly stems from five sectors: transport, households, industry, residential, and agriculture using fossil fuels as dominant energy carriers. In order to achieve the climate targets, emissions in the demand sectors must be drastically reduced. Due to different characteristics and challenges each sector needs its own strategy how to achieve such decarbonization until 2050. In the following chapter, the impacts of an ambitious mitigation scenario on future energy demand and CO2 emissions for transport, industry, residential, and tertiary are analyzed discussing sector specific decarbonization strategies and mitigation options. Implications of such strategies for demand-side flexibility and its future need are analyzed.
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Hosseini, SeyedVahid, Ali Izadi, Afsaneh Sadat Boloorchi, Seyed Hossein Madani, Yong Chen, and Mahmoud Chizari. "Optimal Design of Environmental-Friendly Hybrid Power Generation System." In Springer Proceedings in Energy, 171–77. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-63916-7_22.

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AbstractCombination of both renewable and fuel-based generation systems is an advantageous approach to develop off-grid distributed power plants. This approach requires evaluation of the techno-economic potential of each source in a selected site as well as optimization of load sharing strategy between them. Development of a remote hybrid power plant in an off-grid area is the interest of this study. Defining all available combinations, characteristics of performance, cost and availability of them evaluated. Applying constraints, multi-objective target domain based on load following and Levelized Cost of Electricity is established in which by utilizing Pareto front approach, optimized scenarios is achieved.
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Khoo, Suet Leng, and Nicole Shu Fun Chang. "The Malaysian Scenario: Setting the Context." In Creative City as an Urban Development Strategy, 47–70. Singapore: Springer Singapore, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-1291-6_4.

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Spharim, I., R. Spharim, and C. T. De Wit. "Modelling agricultural development strategy." In System Approaches for Sustainable Agricultural Development, 159–92. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 1992. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-2830-8_7.

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Dombrowski, Uwe, Christian Engel, and Sven Schulze. "Scenario Management for Sustainable Strategy Development in the Automotive Aftermarket." In Functional Thinking for Value Creation, 285–90. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-19689-8_50.

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Hu, Jun, and Kun Zhou. "From User Scenario to Design Strategy: Practice Research on Product Innovation." In Advances in Human Factors and System Interactions, 377–82. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-41956-5_33.

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Farzaneh, Hooman. "Scenario Analysis of Low-Carbon Urban Energy System in Asian Cities." In Devising a Clean Energy Strategy for Asian Cities, 3–15. Singapore: Springer Singapore, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0782-9_1.

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Soja, Piotr. "The Role of Implementation Strategy in Enterprise System Adoption." In Information Systems Development, 709–19. New York, NY: Springer New York, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-9790-6_57.

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Marimin, Lien Herlina, Andri Aulia, Motohide Umano, Itsuo Hatono, and Hiroyuki Tamura. "Expert system for new product strategy development." In Advances in Production Management Systems, 303–14. Boston, MA: Springer US, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-35304-3_27.

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Conference papers on the topic "System "scenario - development strategy""

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Bansal, Mohit, Javed Dhillon, and Rahul Virmani. "Development of Operation Strategy for a Solar PV-CAES Based System in Market Scenario." In 2016 Second International Conference on Computational Intelligence & Communication Technology (CICT). IEEE, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/cict.2016.77.

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Qiang, Guo, Xie Jiaqiang, and Chen Yong. "Scenarios Analysis and Development Strategy for Aircraft Integrated Health Management (AIHM)." In 2019 Prognostics and System Health Management Conference (PHM-Qingdao). IEEE, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/phm-qingdao46334.2019.8943050.

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Alani, Ali, Graham D. Goodfellow, and Dennis Keen. "Risk Based Strategy for the Development of an Emergency Pipeline Repair System (EPRS)." In 2016 11th International Pipeline Conference. American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/ipc2016-64083.

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This paper presents an overview of the various components of an emergency pipeline repair system which should be in place in order to act effectively and efficiently during an emergency pipeline repair scenario. The condition of pipelines during operation is typically monitored by means of external and internal inspections. These inspections allow for planned intervention when a pipeline is found to be deteriorating. A failure to inspect adequately for time dependent threats, or randomly occurring events such as third party interaction, could result in a pipeline failure, leading to a requirement to rapidly return to operation and thus the need for an emergency repair. An Emergency Pipeline Repair System (EPRS) is therefore an essential part of a pipeline integrity management system. The primary purpose of the EPRS is to ensure that pipeline operators have the necessary level of readiness to allow an emergency repair to be carried out, thus minimising the economic consequences of having a pipeline out of service, whilst optimising the cost of purchasing and maintaining equipment and spares. In general, pipeline operators will have some emergency repair procedures to cater for unplanned or unexpected incidents. However, to complete an emergency repair efficiently and effectively, the availability of adequate spare materials and timely access to the damage location is required. For a large pipeline network, satisfying these requirements can be challenging. This paper discusses some basic elements of an EPRS and describes a case study of the development of a risk based EPRS strategy for an offshore pipeline operator. This approach involves the identification of credible hazards that can lead to damage requiring an emergency repair, and identification of repair options. The relative importance of the individual pipelines, in terms of their availability requirement, and the expected time required to complete an emergency repair are then taken into account. This enables the pipelines to be ranked based on the consequence of failure. Pipelines with consequence rankings that are considered unacceptable are therefore highlighted, and EPRS readiness related to those pipelines can subsequently be optimised. Recommendations for the development of an EPRS for an onshore or offshore pipeline network are also made.
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Colella, Whitney G., Stephen H. Schneider, Daniel M. Kammen, Aditya Jhunjhunwala, and Nigel Teo. "Part II of II: Deployment of MERESS Model—Designing, Controlling, and Installing Stationary Combined Heat and Power (CHP) Fuel Cell Systems (FCS) to Reduce Costs and Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions." In ASME 2008 6th International Conference on Fuel Cell Science, Engineering and Technology. ASMEDC, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/fuelcell2008-65113.

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The Maximizing Emission Reductions and Economic Savings Simulator (MERESS) is an optimization tool that allows users to evaluate avant-garde strategies for installing and operating combined heat and power (CHP) fuel cell systems (FCSs) in buildings. This article discusses the deployment of MERESS to show illustrative results for a California campus town, and, based on these results, makes recommendations for further installations of FCSs to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. MERESS is used to evaluate one of the most challenging FCS types to use for GHG reductions, the Phosphoric Acid Fuel Cell (PAFC) system. These PAFC FCSs are tested against a base case of a CHP combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT). Model results show that three competing goals (GHG emission reductions, cost savings to building owners, and FCS manufacturer sales revenue) are best achieved with different strategies, but that all three goals can be met reasonably with a single approach. According to MERESS, relative to a base case of only a CHP CCGT providing heat and electricity with no FCSs, the town achieves the highest 1) GHG emission reductions, 2) cost savings to building owners, and 3) FCS manufacturer sales revenue each with three different operating strategies, under a scenario of full incentives and a $100/tonne carbon dioxide (CO2) tax (Scenario D). The town achieves its maximum CO2 emission reduction, 37% relative to the base case, with operating Strategy V: stand alone operation (SA), no load following (NLF), and a fixed heat-to-power ratio (FHP) [SA, NLF, FHP] (Scenario E). The town’s building owners gain the highest cost savings, 25%, with Strategy I: electrically and thermally networked (NW), electricity power load following (ELF), and a variable heat-to-power ratio (VHP) [NW, ELF, VHP] (Scenario D). FCS manufacturers generally have the highest sales revenue with Strategy III: NW, NLF, with a fixed heat-to-power ratio (FHP) [NW, NLF, FHP] (Scenarios B, C, and D). Strategies III and V are partly consistent with the way that FCS manufacturers design their systems today, primarily as NLF with a FHP. By contrast, Strategy I is avant-garde for the fuel cell industry, in particular, in its use of a VHP and thermal networking. Model results further demonstrate that FCS installations can be economical for building owners without any carbon tax or government incentives. Without any carbon tax or state and federal incentives (Scenario A), Strategy I is marginally economical, with 3% energy cost savings, but with a 29% reduction in CO2 emissions. Strategy I is the most economical strategy for building owners in all scenarios (Scenarios A, B, C, and D) and, at the same time, reasonably achieves other goals of large GHG emission reductions and high FCS manufacturer sales revenue. Although no particular building type stands out as consistently achieving the highest emission reductions and cost savings (Scenarios B-2 and E-2), certain building load curves are clear winners. For example, buildings with load curves similar to Stanford’s Mudd Chemistry building (a wet laboratory) achieve maximal cost savings (1.5% with full federal and state incentives but no carbon tax) and maximal CO2 emission reductions (32%) (Scenarios B-2 and E-2). Finally, based on these results, this work makes recommendations for reducing GHG further through FCS deployment. (Part I of II articles discusses the motivation and key assumptions behind the MERESS model development (Colella 2008).)
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Khor, Siew Hiang, Jacek Dudek, Piotr Wojcik, Krzysztof Pietrzyk, Daniel Podsobinski, Grzegorz Paliborek, Bartlomiej Kawecki, et al. "Minimise Risks Through a Comprehensive Validation of the Existing Production Operation and Planning Strategy for the Largest Oilfield in Poland." In Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition & Conference. SPE, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/208206-ms.

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Abstract Integrated field management is a key initiative recognised by many operators that helps delivering the promise of digital to meet their business strategic objectives of increased hydrocarbon production, reduced exploration and appraisal costs, and sustained development and operation costs. This paper presents how an integrated asset model has been developed for the largest oilfield in Poland to enable a comprehensive validation of its current development plan and operating strategy to ensure safe operation; assessment of other feasible development scenarios to fully realise its potential and paving the path to digital oilfield. A proven integrated asset modeling approach has been adopted to bring a complex reservoir, multiple interdependent wells, pipelines networks, process models together into one single platform. The integrated modeling platform included both gas and water reinjection network models to provide a pore to process closed loop solution. Development of this integrated reservoir-wells-pipelines-network-process facility-water and gas reinjection network models focused to provide all the vital valuable inputs to better field management, fast and accurate decision-making, optimal safe operation in meeting the set seasonal sales contract. Assessments of production operation strategy and field development scenarios were conducted at full field level from reservoir to process plant, accounting wells, pipelines, process handling capacities, the complete system constraints and back pressure effects of all involved components. The availability of fully integrated asset model with pore to process solution enables engineers to better understand the current well performance and production potentials; to ensure a safe and optimal process plant operation. The model helped to identify bottlenecks imposed by the existing pipelines network and process facility; it also enabled the asset team to confirm the existing development plan was not optimal. Other feasible planning scenarios which could further enhance the overall asset productivity were identified, i.e. via determining location of infill wells and which unused idle producers to be converted to gas or water injectors. The study demonstrated a comprehensive validation of the existing development and operation strategy was achievable with the approach. The paper describes how the developed integrated asset model enables the asset team to validate the existing operating strategy and field development scenario of the studied onshore brownfield; to further enhance asset productivity and to achieve efficient field management by adjusting the operating condition in meeting the seasonal sales contract. The integrated asset model also helps to evaluate and to analyse forecasts of different development scenarios including infill drilling and adding new wells and other enhanced oil recovery (EOR) techniques to achieve an ultimate recovery and asset economics.
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Okechukwu, Sedoo, Adedoyin Orekoya, Precious Alamina, James Anyaehie, Adekoyejo Sonde, and Uchechukwu Ozoemene. "Uncertainty Management Using Multi-Scenario Modeling in a Partially Appraised Field." In SPE Nigeria Annual International Conference and Exhibition. SPE, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/207196-ms.

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Abstract Considering the imminent end of the ‘easy oil’ era, the increasing demand for energy and the global push towards the energy transition, oil and gas companies are more than ever interested in sustainable ways to develop marginal and complex hydrocarbon fields economically, through the application of technology and maximization of data analysis. In small partially appraised fields where the cost of drilling an appraisal well could derail the project economics, it becomes necessary to sweat the limited data available for reservoir modelling. The uncertainty analysis must be robust enough to ensure that the adopted field development strategy would yield a positive net present value despite the wide uncertainties associated with the field. The conventional workflow for subsurface uncertainty modelling involves defining the uncertainty ranges of static and dynamic reservoir parameters based on a single reservoir model concept. This paper focuses on a marginal field case study where the multi scenario modelling approach was adopted. This approach considered alternate reservoir geologic concepts based on different interpretations of the reservoir architecture, taking full cognizance of the available data, reservoir uncertainties and regional geology knowledge. Field Alpha is located onshore of Niger Delta in Nigeria. The geologic setting consists mainly of multi-storey, complex channel-belt systems, incising through Shoreface deposits. The reservoir of interest is an elongated structure with only two well penetrations located at the opposite distal part of the structure. The key reservoir uncertainties are reservoir structure, architecture, connectivity, and property distribution. Two possible distinct architecture were interpreted based on regional correlation and seismic. This paper focuses on how the interpretations and other information informed a robust development strategy that yielded significant (30 %) reduction in development cost and positive net present value.
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ÁVILA CERÓN, Carlos Alberto, Ignacio DE LOS RÍOS-CARMENADO, Maria RIVERA, and Susana MARTÍN. "RURAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING IN COLOMBIA’S CONFLICT ZONES: A PROPOSAL FROM THE WWP MODEL." In Rural Development 2015. Aleksandras Stulginskis University, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.15544/rd.2015.085.

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During the past fifty years, Colombia has endured an internal armed conflict. It has left as a result massive forced displacements, destruction of the social capital and indiscriminate logging of forests in regions affected by illicit crops and a strong presence of illegal armed groups supported by drug trafficking. In spite of a number of national policies and programs against illicit crops, the issue still persists, along with all the social implications it carries with. This paper presents a model for planning rural development projects in regions with illicit crops. The methodology applied is based on the model "Working With People (WWP)" and integrates the knowledge and experience gathered throughout the implementation of various projects in the region of La Macarena, Colombia. It takes into account eight years of continuous work with the communities, in one of the areas of greatest social unrest in Colombia, due to illicit crops, on-going criminal activity and violence by illegal armed groups and a weak presence of State institutions. Some of the factors hindering successful advancement of rural development policies include the breakdown of the social fabric, deterioration of moral values, family disintegration and lack of confidence. The conceptual framework applied integrates elements from policy analysis and social learning (Friedmann, 1991; Cazorla et al., 2015), proposed as a reaction from traditional and ineffective social reform models (Friedmann, 1991) developed in this type of scenarios. Following a thorough review of rural development planning theories regarding illicit crops areas, we carried out an analysis of the experience in the Macarena region under the WWP model. The results show the effects of the WWP model and the necessity to develop a strategy for the eradication of illicit crops in a post-conflict scenario, taking into account various social variables. Findings denote a greater relevance of the ethical-social and political-contextual dimensions in terms of sustainable rural development. Trust building, the enhancement of social relationships and direct interaction with target communities are the basic factors to the reconstruction of the social fabric and value systems, fostering sustainable rural development and stabilization.
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Franco, Flavio J. "Strategic Management of Technology for Power Generation Equipment: A System Dynamics Approach." In ASME Turbo Expo 2004: Power for Land, Sea, and Air. ASMEDC, 2004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/gt2004-53878.

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There is a large number of studies about energy long term trends and policies, published by national and international government organisations. Commercial companies, particularly manufacturers of power generation equipment, can take benefit of these studies to test the robustness of long term technology development strategies. Scenario Planning and System Dynamics have been used by the government organisations to study energy policies. In this paper an application of this methodology is proposed for manufacturers of power generation equipment, in particular gas turbine manufacturers. A generic company is used as an illustrative example, against scenarios produced by the International Institute for Applied System Analysis. A System Dynamics model is proposed, simplifications and assumptions are discussed, the type of results that can be obtained is shown and some recommendations are suggested for the construction of more realistic models.
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Xu, Xun W., and Jun Wang. "Development of a G-Code Free, STEP-Compliant CNC Lathe." In ASME 2004 International Mechanical Engineering Congress and Exposition. ASMEDC, 2004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/imece2004-60346.

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The paper describes a STEP-compliant CNC lathe that demonstrated a G-Code free machining scenario. This research work was conducted in two parts. The first involved retrofitting an existing CNC lathe with a more open platform control system — Compumotor Motion Control system, which is capable of interfacing with other CAPP/CAM programs through languages such as Visual Basic, Visual C++ and Delphi. The control system is programmable using its own motion control language — 6K Motion Control language. A library of 6K functions has been developed to cater for different turning operations. The second part of the research is the development of a “STEPcNC Converter,” which can understand and process STEP-NC codes, and interface with the CNC controller through an interface. It makes use of STEP-NC information such as “Workplan,” “Workingstep,” machining strategy, machining features and cutting tools that is present in a STEP-NC file. The Application Interpreted Model (AIM) of STEP-NC has been used.
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Leung, Peter, Kosuke Ishii, Jan Benson, and Jeffrey Abell. "System Engineering Workshare Risk Analysis." In ASME 2006 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference. ASMEDC, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/detc2006-99252.

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In today’s global economy, companies develop products not only to target a single market, but to sell them to the entire world. Companies that realize the importance of collaborative design develop regional engineering centers worldwide to balance design variations while ensuring local market success. This paradigm enables diverse customer values to be integrated into products, but also introduces challenges in the management of work distribution. Typically, workshare decisions consider the capability and capacity of the regional centers. This strategy, however, overlooks the interdependence of the design systems, leading to delays and quality problems. This paper describes a method to formulate the workshare risk based on the couplings of the design system components and to evaluate overall workshare scenario. The method involves two relationships, Component-to-Component Coupling and Workshare Coupling, and a technique to combine these two relationships to measure the workshare risk. A simple case of hair dryer illustrates the concepts, while the method is serving actual global automotive development projects.
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Reports on the topic "System "scenario - development strategy""

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Kucherova, Hanna, Anastasiia Didenko, Olena Kravets, Yuliia Honcharenko, and Aleksandr Uchitel. Scenario forecasting information transparency of subjects' under uncertainty and development of the knowledge economy. [б. в.], October 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.31812/123456789/4469.

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Topicality of modeling information transparency is determined by the influence it has on the effectiveness of management decisions made by an economic entity in the context of uncertainty and information asymmetry. It has been found that information transparency is a poorly structured category which acts as a qualitative characteristic of information and at certain levels forms an additional spectrum of properties of the information that has been adequately perceived or processed. As a result of structuring knowledge about the factor environment, a fuzzy cognitive model of information transparency was constructed in the form of a weighted digraph. Structural analysis and scenario forecasting of optimal alternatives of the fuzzy cognitive model made it possible to evaluate the classes of factors, identify their limited relations, establish the centrality of the roles of information transparency and information and communication security in the system built and evaluate their importance when modeling the situation self-development. Information visibility, reliability and availability have been found to have the strongest impact on the system. Taking into account different initial weights of the key factors — information transparency and information and communication security — the study substantiates the strategic ways for economic entities to achieve their goals in the context of uncertainty and information asymmetry, which allows us to use this approach as a tool for strategic management in the information environment.
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J. Beesley. AGING SYSTEM DESIGN DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), February 2005. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/841254.

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Yamaguchi, N. D., and K. Breazeale. Hawaii Energy Strategy Project 2: Fossil Energy Review. Task IV. Scenario development and analysis. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), December 1993. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/181516.

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Reddick, G. W. Testing and development strategy for the tank waste remediation system. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), May 1995. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/70784.

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Nagimov, R. Development of a Low-Pressure Helium Compression Control System Strategy. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), September 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/1053634.

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Cihlar, J., D. McKenney, A. Barr, P. Bernier, J M Chen, W. Chen, R. Desjardins, et al. CCOS-Terre Development: Needs, Initial Observing System, and Implementation Strategy. Natural Resources Canada/ESS/Scientific and Technical Publishing Services, 2000. http://dx.doi.org/10.4095/219731.

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Reddick, G. W. Testing and development strategy for the tank waste remediation system. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), December 1994. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/10116917.

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Calmus, R. B. Tank Waste Remediation System High-Level Waste Melter Vitrification System Development and Testing Strategy. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), February 1995. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/65032.

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Goehring, Dwight J. An Automated System for the Analysis of Combat Training Center Information: Strategy and Development. Fort Belvoir, VA: Defense Technical Information Center, May 1995. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada297143.

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Runyon, Amber, Gregor Schuurman, Brian Miller, Amy Symstad, and Amanda Hardy. Climate change scenario planning for resource stewardship at Wind Cave National Park: Climate change scenario planning summary. National Park Service, July 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.36967/nrr-2286672.

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This report explains scenario planning as a climate change adaptation tool in general, then describes how it was applied to Wind Cave National Park as the second part of a pilot project to dovetail climate change scenario planning with National Park Service (NPS) Resource Stewardship Strategy development. In the orientation phase, Park and regional NPS staff, other subject-matter experts, natural and cultural resource planners, and the climate change core team who led the scenario planning project identified priority resource management topics and associated climate sensitivities. Next, the climate change core team used this information to create a set of four divergent climate futures—summaries of relevant climate data from individual climate projections—to encompass the range of ways climate could change in coming decades in the park. Participants in the scenario planning workshop then developed climate futures into robust climate-resource scenarios that considered expert-elicited resource impacts and identified potential management responses. Finally, the scenario-based resource responses identified by park staff and subject matter experts were used to integrate climate-informed adaptations into resource stewardship goals and activities for the park's Resource Stewardship Strategy. This process of engaging resource managers in climate change scenario planning ensures that their management and planning decisions are informed by assessments of critical future climate uncertainties.
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