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1
Gregory, Andrew Robin. "Numerical simulations of winter stratosphere dynamics." Thesis, University of Reading, 1999. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.312414.
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Rae, Cameron Davies. "The downward influence of ozone depletion in the Arctic lower stratosphere." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2018. https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/271796.
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Severe ozone depletion in the polar lower stratosphere has been linked to significant changes in tropospheric circulation patterns in the both hemispheres. Observed Southern Hemisphere circulation changes are easily reproduced in climate models and may be achieved by either increasing ozone depleting substances in a chemistry-climate model(CCM) or by imposing observed ozone losses as a zonally-symmetric perturbation in a prescribed-ozone global circulation model (GCM). In the Northern Hemisphere however, only the CCM method produces a circulation response in agreement with analysis of observations, while the GCM method is unable to produce any significant tropospheric circulation changes from imposing observed zonal-mean Arctic ozone losses. Confidence in a mechanistic link between Arctic stratospheric ozone change and changes in tropospheric circulation is greatly increased if the change can be reproduced using a GCM in addition to being reproducible in a CCM. This thesis demonstrates that by allowing ozone to vary along longitude, and by imposing ozone depletion during a realistic timeframe, the GCM method can produce circulation changes compatible with both the CCM method and observations. An equivalent-latitude coordinate allows the prescribed ozone field, and imposed ozone losses, to follow the polar vortex as it is systematically disturbed or displaced off the pole throughout the winter, producing a realistic circulation response in the troposphere in contrast to when ozone and its imposed losses are zonally-symmetric. Timing the imposed ozone depletion with the breakup of the polar vortex reveals that the appearance of the circulation response is very sensitive to the relative timing of these events and to the pre-existing dynamical state of the polar vortex. These results demonstrate that prescribing ozone as a zonally symmetric climatology within a GCM, as has been recent practice in the literature, is only representative of the Southern Hemisphere and is inappropriate for accurately representing processes within the Arctic stratosphere. Moreover this work demonstrates that these dynamically-evolving zonal asymmetries in ozone, which are not present in zonally-symmetric ozone schemes, play a crucial role in allowing perturbations in the Arctic stratosphere to influence the troposphere and surface conditions.
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Moss, Andrew. "Wave dynamics of the stratosphere and mesosphere." Thesis, University of Bath, 2017. https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.707571.
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Gravity waves play a fundamental role in driving the large-scale circulation of the atmosphere. They are influenced both by the variation in their sources and the filtering effects of the winds they encounter as they ascend through the atmosphere. In this thesis we present new evidence that gravity waves play a key role in coupling the troposphere, stratosphere and mesosphere. In particular, we examine the connection of gravity waves to two important large-scale oscillations that occur in the atmosphere, namely the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) in the troposphere and the Mesospheric Semi-Annual Oscillation (MSAO). We present the first ever demonstration that the MJO acts to modulate the global field of gravity waves ascending into the tropical stratosphere. We discover a significant correlation with the MJO zonal-wind anomalies and so suggest that the MJO modulates the stratospheric gravity-wave field through a critical-level wave-filtering mechanism. Strong evidence for this mechanism is provided by consideration of the winds encountered by ascending waves. The Ascension Island meteor radar is used for the first time to measure momentum fluxes over the Island. These measurements are then used to investigate the role of gravity-wave in driving a dramatic and anomalous wind event that was observed to occur during the first westward phase of the MSAO in 2002. Gravity waves are shown to play an important role in driving this event, but the observations presented here also suggest that the current theory of the mechanism describing these anomalous mesospheric wind events is not valid. Both of these studies highlight the critical importance of gravity waves to the dynamics of the atmosphere and highlight the need for further work to truly understand these waves, their processes and their variability.
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Sandford, David J. "Dynamics of the stratosphere, mesosphere and thermosphere." Thesis, University of Bath, 2008. https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.512300.
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This thesis presents observations of the dynamical features of the stratosphere, mesosphere and lower thermosphere. These are made from various observational techniques and model comparisons. A focus of the work is the two-day wave at high latitudes in the MLT region. This has revealed significant wave amplitudes in both summer and winter. However, these waves are shown to have very different origins. Using satellite data, the summertime wave is found to be the classic quasi-two-day wave which maximises at mid-latitudes in the MLT region. The wintertime wave is found to be a mesospheric manifestation of an eastward-propagating wave originating in the stratosphere and likely generated by barotropic and baroclinic instabilities in the polar night jet. The horizontal winds from Meteor and MF radars have been used to measure and produce climatologies of the Lunar M2 tide at Esrange in the Arctic (68°N), Rothera and Davis in the Antarctic (68°S), Castle Eaton at mid-latitude (52°N) and Ascension Island at Equatorial latitudes (8°S). These observations present the longest period of lunar semi-diurnal tidal observations in the MLT region to date, with a 16-year dataset from the UK meteor radar. Comparisons with the Vial and Forbes (1994) lunar tidal model are also made which reveal generally good agreement. Non-migrating lunar tides have been investigated. This uses lunar tidal results from equatorial stations, including the Ascension Island (8°S) meteor radar. Also lunar tidal results from the Rothera meteor wind radar (68°S, 68°W) and the Davis MF radar (68°S, 78°E) are considered. Both of these stations are on the edge of the Antarctic continent. It is demonstrated that there are often consistent tidal phase offsets between similar latitude stations. This suggests that non-migrating modes are likely to be present in the lunar semi-diurnal tidal structure and have significant amplitudes.
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Tindall, Julia Claire. "Dynamics of the tropical tropopause and lower stratosphere." Thesis, University of Reading, 2004. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.401448.
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Sankey, David. "Dynamics of upwelling in the equatorial lower stratosphere." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 1998. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.625019.
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Thuburn, John. "Modelling of large-scale unstable waves in the middle atmosphere." Thesis, University of Oxford, 1988. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.330025.
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Iwi, Alan Michael. "Tropical dynamics and transport associated with stratospheric warmings." Thesis, University of Oxford, 1998. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.298646.
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Huck, Petra Ellen. "The Coupling of Dynamics and Chemistry in the Antarctic Stratosphere." Thesis, University of Canterbury. Physics and Astronomy, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/10092/1410.
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This thesis addresses the parameterisation of chemical and dynamical processes in the Antarctic stratosphere. Statistical models for the inter- and intra-annual variability in Antarctic stratospheric ozone depletion were developed based on theory and an understanding of the coupling of dynamics and chemistry in the atmosphere. It was confirmed that the primary driver of the long-term trend in the severity of the Antarctic ozone hole is halogen loading in the stratosphere. The year-to-year variability in ozone mass deficit, a measure of the severity of Antarctic ozone depletion, could be described by a linear combination of South Pole temperatures and midlatitude wave activity. A time lag of two weeks between wave activity effects and ozone depletion indicates the predictive capability of meteorological parameters for seasonal projections of the severity of the Antarctic ozone hole. The statistical model describing the inter-annual variability in ozone mass deficit was regressed against observations from 1979 to 2004. The resulting regression coefficients were applied to South Pole temperature and wave activity fields from 28 chemistry-climate models. This analysis indicates a slight increase in the year-to-year variability in the severity of Antarctic ozone depletion. As a prelude to analysing the seasonal evolution of Antarctic ozone depletion, an improved ozone mass deficit measure was derived by replacing the constant 220 DU threshold with a seasonal varying pre-ozone hole background which leads to better capturing the true extent of the depleted ozone. Furthermore, it was shown that the new measure represents the chemical ozone loss within the Antarctic vortex provided that no mixing occurs through the vortex boundary. This new measure has many advantages over previous stratospheric ozone depletion indices. The conventional ozone mass deficit omits large amounts of depleted mass of ozone, and the onset of ozone depletion does not coincide with the timing of when sunlight first reaches areas of polar stratospheric clouds as expected from theory. Chemical ozone loss derived with a tracer-tracer correlation technique depends on ozone and passive tracer profile measurements which are not as readily available as the total column ozone fields required for the new ozone mass deficit presented in this thesis. As such, the new ozone depletion measure combines the simplicity of the old ozone mass deficit index with higher accuracy of the actual amount of chemically depleted stratospheric ozone. Furthermore, when applying the new definition of ozone mass deficit to chemistry-climate model outputs, model intercomparisons should become easier to interpret because biases in the models can be avoided. Based on theory and understanding of the coupling of chemistry and dynamics in the Antarctic stratosphere, two semi-empirical models were developed to describe the intra-seasonal evolution of chlorine activation and ozone depletion. Regression of the models against chlorine monoxide and ozone mass deficit from observations results in coefficients that capture key sensitivities in the real atmosphere. The seasonal evolution of ozone mass deficit can be described with these coefficients and readily available meteorological fields (temperature and wind fields). The predictive capability of these models was demonstrated for 2005 and 2006. Given temperature and wind fields, which for example can be obtained from general circulation models, these models can predict the size and depth of the Antarctic ozone hole. Important applications of the semi-empirical models could be chemistry-climate model validation by comparing the sensitivities from observations and models which may provide new insights into potential sources of differences in chemistry-climate model projections of Antarctic ozone depletion. Furthermore, projection of the inter-annual and intra-seasonal evolution of the Antarctic ozone hole into the future can help to assess the potential recovery of the Antarctic ozone hole.
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Whitesides, Benton W. "Interannual Zonal Variability of the Coupled Stratosphere-Troposphere Climate System." Thesis, Georgia Institute of Technology, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/11578.
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Understanding the dynamical relationships between low frequency forcings and the interannual variability of the Earths atmosphere is critical for accurate extended-range forecasts and climate prediction. This thesis investigates possible dynamical couplings between the stratosphere and troposphere by implementing lagged multivariate linear regressions. These regressions were chosen to untangle the separate responses of distinct atmospheric forcings upon zonal mean climate variability. The regressions incorporate monthly meteorological data with indices of four dominant forcings of low frequency atmospheric variability: the El Nino Southern Oscillation, the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, the 11-year solar cycle, and volcanic activity. The analysis uses data from both the NCAR/NCEP and ECMWF reanalyses for two distinct time periods to expose possible satellite measurement influences. One period consists of all data since 1958, while the other period includes only data since 1979, a period of extensive satellite observations. Diagnostic tools include piecewise potential vorticity inversions, an assessment of anomalous Eliassen-Palm fluxes, stream function analyses, and general circulation model diagnoses. The examination reveals robust patterns associated with each forcing, consistent with existing theories in climate dynamics of the coupling mechanisms between the stratosphere and the troposphere. To better predict climate variability, however, the next step is to investigate the nonlinearities known to play an important role in this system.
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Day, Kerry. "Planetary wave dynamics of the stratosphere, mesosphere and lower thermosphere." Thesis, University of Bath, 2011. https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.547637.
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Kew, Sarah Frances. "Structure and dynamics of distinctive flow anomalies in the lowermost stratosphere /." Zürich : ETH, 2007. http://e-collection.ethbib.ethz.ch/show?type=diss&nr=17231.
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Bleßmann, Daniela. "Der Einfluss der Dynamik auf die stratosphärische Ozonvariabilität über der Arktis im Frühwinter." Phd thesis, Universität Potsdam, 2010. http://opus.kobv.de/ubp/volltexte/2011/5139/.
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Der frühwinterliche Ozongehalt ist ein Indikator für den Ozongehalt im Spätwinter/Frühjahr. Jedoch weist dieser aufgrund von Absinkprozessen, chemisch bedingten Ozonabbau und Wellenaktivität von Jahr zu Jahr starke Schwankungen auf. Die vorliegende Arbeit zeigt, dass diese Variabilität weitestgehend auf dynamische Prozesse während der Wirbelbildungsphase des arktischen Polarwirbels zurückgeht. Ferner wird der bisher noch ausstehende Zusammenhang zwischen dem früh- und spätwinterlichen Ozongehalt bezüglich Dynamik und Chemie aufgezeigt.
Für die Untersuchung des Zusammenhangs zwischen der im Polarwirbel eingeschlossenen Luftmassenzusammensetzung und Ozonmenge wurden Beobachtungsdaten von Satellitenmessinstrumenten und Ozonsonden sowie Modellsimulationen des Lagrangschen Chemie/Transportmodells ATLAS verwandt.
Die über die Fläche (45–75°N) und Zeit (August-November) gemittelte Vertikalkomponente des Eliassen-Palm-Flussvektors durch die 100hPa-Fläche zeigt eine Verbindung zwischen der frühwinterlichen wirbelinneren Luftmassenzusammensetzung und der Wirbelbildungsphase auf. Diese ist jedoch nur für die untere Stratosphäre gültig, da die Vertikalkomponente die sich innerhalb der Stratosphäre ändernden Wellenausbreitungsbedingungen nicht erfasst. Für eine verbesserte Höhendarstellung des Signals wurde eine neue integrale auf der Wellenamplitude und dem Charney-Drazin-Kriterium basierende Größe definiert. Diese neue Größe verbindet die Wellenaktivität während der Wirbelbildungsphase sowohl mit der Luftmassenzusammensetzung im Polarwirbel als auch mit der Ozonverteilung über die Breite. Eine verstärkte Wellenaktivität führt zu mehr Luft aus niedrigeren ozonreichen Breiten im Polarwirbel.
Aber im Herbst und Frühwinter zerstören chemische Prozesse, die das Ozon ins Gleichgewicht bringen, die interannuale wirbelinnere Ozonvariablität, die durch dynamische Prozesse während der arktischen Polarwirbelbildungsphase hervorgerufen wird. Eine Analyse in Hinblick auf den Fortbestand einer dynamisch induzierten Ozonanomalie bis in den Mittwinter ermöglicht eine Abschätzung des Einflusses dieser dynamischen Prozesse auf den arktischen Ozongehalt. Zu diesem Zweck wurden für den Winter 1999–2000 Modellläufe mit dem Lagrangesche Chemie/Transportmodell ATLAS gerechnet, die detaillierte Informationen über den Erhalt der künstlichen Ozonvariabilität hinsichtlich Zeit, Höhe und Breite liefern. Zusammengefasst, besteht die dynamisch induzierte Ozonvariabilität während der Wirbelbildungsphase länger im Inneren als im Äußeren des Polarwirbels und verliert oberhalb von 750K potentieller Temperatur ihre signifikante Wirkung auf die mittwinterliche Ozonvariabilität. In darunterliegenden Höhenbereichen ist der Anteil an der ursprünglichen Störung groß, bis zu 90% auf der 450K. Innerhalb dieses Höhenbereiches üben die dynamischen Prozesse während der Wirbelbildungsphase einen entscheidenden Einfluss auf den Ozongehalt im Mittwinter aus.<br>The ozone amount in early winter provides an indication of the ozone amount in late winter/early spring. The early winter amount is highly variable from year to year due to modification by subsidence, chemical loss and wave activity. This thesis shows that this variability is mainly caused by the dynamics during the Arctic polar vortex formation. Furthermore, it explains the still missing link between early and late winter ozone amount due to dynamics and chemistry.
Observational ozone data from satellite based instruments, ozone probes and simulations are used for the investigation of the connection between the composition of the air and the ozone enclosed in the polar vortex. The simulations are calculated with the Lagrangian chemistry/transport model ATLAS.
The over area (45–75°N) and time (August-November) averaged vertical component of the Eliassen-Palm flux at 100hPa points to a link between the early winter composition of the air enclosed in the polar vortex and the vortex formation phase. This is only valid for the lower stratosphere, because the component does not satisfy changing conditions for wave propagation throughout the stratosphere by itself. Due to this deficit a new integral quantity based on wave amplitude and properties of the Charney-Drazin criterion is defined to achieve an improvement with height. This new quantity connects the wave activity during vortex formation to the composition of air inside the vortex as well as the distribution of ozone over latitude. An enhanced wave activity leads to a higher proportion of ozone rich air from lower latitudes inside the polar vortex.
But chemistry in autumn and early winter removes the interannual variability in the amount of ozone enclosed in the vortex induced by dynamical processes during the formation phase of the Artic polar vortex because ozone relaxes towards equilibrium. An estimation of how relevant these variable dynamical processes are for the Arctic winter ozone abundances is obtained by analysing which fraction of dynamically induced anomalies in ozone persists until mid winter. Model runs with the Lagrangian Chemistry-Transport-Model ATLAS for the winter 1999–2000 are used to assess the fate of ozone anomalies artificially introduced during the vortex formation phase. These runs provide detailed information about the persistence of the induced ozone variability over time, height and latitude. Overall, dynamically induced ozone variability from the vortex formation phase survives longer inside the polar vortex compared to outside and can not significantly contribute to mid-winter variability at levels above 750K potential temperature level. At lower levels increasingly larger fractions of the initial perturbation survive, reaching 90% at 450K potential temperature level. In this vertical range dynamical processes during the vortex formation phase are crucial for the ozone abundance in mid-winter.
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Pope, V. D. "The interaction between radiation and dynamics in the observed and simulated stratosphere." Thesis, University of Reading, 1989. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.255252.
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Omrani, Nour-Eddine [Verfasser]. "Dynamics of the coupled system troposhere, stratosphere in the extratopics / Nour-Eddine Omrani." Kiel : Universitätsbibliothek Kiel, 2010. http://d-nb.info/1019951540/34.
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Nikulin, Grigory. "Impact of Rossby waves on ozone distribution and dynamics of the stratosphere and troposphere." Doctoral thesis, Kiruna : Swedish institute of Space Physics, 2005. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-596.
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Krützmann, Nikolai Christian. "Application of Complexity Measures to Stratospheric Dynamics." Thesis, University of Canterbury. Physics and Astronomy, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10092/2020.
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This thesis examines the utility of mathematical complexity measures for the analysis of stratospheric dynamics. Through theoretical considerations and tests with artificial data sets, e.g., the iteration of the logistic map, suitable parameters are determined for the application of the statistical entropy measures sample entropy (SE) and Rényi entropy (RE) to methane (a long-lived stratospheric tracer) data from simulations of the SOCOL chemistry-climate model. The SE is shown to be useful for quantifying the variability of recurring patterns in a time series and is able to identify tropical patterns similar to those reported by previous studies of the ``tropical pipe'' region. However, the SE is found to be unsuitable for use in polar regions, due to the non-stationarity of the methane data at extra-tropical latitudes. It is concluded that the SE cannot be used to analyse climate complexity on a global scale. The focus is turned to the RE, which is a complexity measure of probability distribution functions (PDFs). Using the second order RE and a normalisation factor, zonal PDFs of ten consecutive days of methane data are created with a Bayesian optimal binning technique. From these, the RE is calculated for every day (moving 10-day window). The results indicate that the RE is a promising tool for identifying stratospheric mixing barriers. In Southern Hemisphere winter and early spring, RE produces patterns similar to those found in other studies of stratospheric mixing. High values of RE are found to be indicative of the strong fluctuations in tracer distributions associated with relatively unmixed air in general, and with gradients in the vicinity of mixing barriers, in particular. Lower values suggest more thoroughly mixed air masses. The analysis is extended to eleven years of model data. Realistic inter-annual variability of some of the RE structures is observed, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere. By calculating a climatological mean of the RE for this period, additional mixing patterns are identified in the Northern Hemisphere. The validity of the RE analysis and its interpretation is underlined by showing that qualitatively similar patterns can be seen when using observational satellite data of a different tracer. Compared to previous techniques, the RE has the advantage that it requires significantly less computational effort, as it can be used to derive dynamical information from model or measurement tracer data without relying on any additional input such as wind fields. The results presented in this thesis strongly suggest that the RE is a useful new metric for analysing stratospheric mixing and its variability from climate model data. Furthermore, it is shown that the RE measure is very robust with respect to data gaps, which makes it ideal for application to observations. Hence, using the RE for comparing observations of tracer distributions with those from model simulations potentially presents a novel approach for analysing mixing in the stratosphere.
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Lossow, Stefan. "Observations of water vapour in the middle atmosphere." Doctoral thesis, Stockholm : Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, 2008. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-8167.
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Watson, Peter Alan Gazzi. "The influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation on the stratospheric polar vortices." Thesis, University of Oxford, 2013. http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:e35d4833-8368-4101-b1fb-17b68c716ae0.
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The mean strengths of the wintertime stratospheric polar vortices are known to be related to the phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in the tropical stratosphere from circulation statistics - the "Holton-Tan relationship". The principal topic of this thesis is improving understanding of the mechanism behind the QBO's influence. Following the example of previous studies, the QBO influence on the Northern Hemisphere (NH) extratropics on monthly time scales in an observational reanalysis is examined, and is shown to closely resemble the stratospheric Northern annular mode (NAM). It is argued that this may not be informative about the mechanism, as the response could be NAM-like for many different mechanisms. It is suggested that examining the transient response of the NH extratropics to forcing by the QBO would be much more informative, particularly on time scales of a few days. In a primitive equation model of the middle atmosphere, the long-term stratospheric NH response to imposed zonal torques is often found to be NAM-like under perpetual January conditions, with wave feedbacks making a very important contribution. However, the response in runs with a seasonal cycle is not NAM-like. Investigation of the transient responses indicates the wave feedbacks are qualitatively similar in each case but only strong enough under perpetual January conditions to make the long-term response NAM-like. This supports the hypothesis that feedbacks from large-scale dynamics tend to make the stratospheric response to arbitrary forcings NAM-like, and therefore indicates that the long-term response is not generally useful for understanding forcing mechanisms. Examining the short-term transient response to known torques is found to be more successful at inferring information about the torques than several other previously proposed methods. Finally, the short-term transient response of the NH extratropics to forcing by the easterly QBO phase in a general circulation model is found to be consistent with the proposed mechanism of Holton and Tan (1980), indicating that this mechanism plays a role in the Holton-Tan relationship.
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Bednarz, Ewa Monika. "Chemistry-climate modelling studies of decadal and interdecadal variability in stratospheric ozone and climate : the 11-year solar cycle and future ozone recovery." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2018. https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/274359.
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The Earth’s atmosphere constitutes a complex system subject to a large number of forcings of both natural and anthropogenic origin; these influence its evolution on a range of timescales. This thesis makes use of the UMUKCA global chemistry-climate model to explore several aspects relating to the atmospheric response to the 11-year solar cycle forcing and future stratospheric ozone recovery. Firstly, following recent improvements in the model, the atmospheric response to the solar cycle forcing simulated in UMUKCA is discussed. It is shown that while some features show a broad resemblance to observations/reanalysis, there are clear differences with regard to other features; the latter could result from model deficiencies and/or uncertainties in the observed response. The role of analysis method and of interannual variability is also addressed. Secondly, the solar cycle response is separated into the individual contributions from direct radiative heating and from ozone production using a set of sensitivity experiments. It is shown that while the tropical yearly mean responses to the two components are generally linearly additive, this is not necessarily the case in the high latitudes. It is suggested that solar-induced ozone changes could be important for modulating the Southern Hemisphere dynamical response. Thirdly, the role of the representation of the solar ozone response is studied. It is shown that the choice of the solar ozone response prescribed in the radiation scheme in non-interactive ozone experiments has a substantial impact on the simulated temperature response to the solar cycle forcing. The Northern Hemisphere dynamical responses are found to be generally similar within the uncertainty. A comparison with an interactive ozone case is also discussed. Lastly, future ozone recovery is investigated using a seven-member ensemble of 1960- 2099/1980-2080 integrations. The long-term evolution of ozone in different regions is found to be generally consistent with previous modelling studies. The long-term trends and variability in springtime Arctic ozone and its chemical, radiative and dynamical drivers are assessed. It is shown that Arctic ozone increases in the future, consistent with future reduction in stratospheric chlorine, stratospheric cooling and strengthening large-scale circulation. Yet, the large interannual variability is found to continue and to facilitate episodic ozone reductions, with halogen chemistry becoming a smaller but non-negligible driver of future springtime Arctic ozone variability for many decades.
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Hardiman, S. C. "Stratosphere-troposphere dynamical coupling." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2007. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.603685.
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This thesis is concerned with dynamical coupling between the stratosphere and troposphere. The first part of the thesis examines mechanisms whereby dynamical perturbations to the upper stratosphere can lead to a significant response in the lower stratosphere, looking particularly at how this response is determined by the extra-tropical dynamics. A one dimensional model is used to show that the response is much greater when the external parameters are such that the flow has multiple stable states. The same principle is shown to apply to a fully three dimensional flow and does not depend qualitatively on the representation of the troposphere and tropospheric wave forcing. The dependence of the response on the height of the applied dynamical perturbation, the amplitude of planetary wave forcing, and the relaxation to radiative equilibrium temperatures is considered. In the second part of the thesis we consider the interhemispheric differences in the extratropical seasonal cycle and suggest that resonance of topographically forced waves with free travelling planetary waves could be in part responsible for these differences. The seasonal cycle in mass upwelling in the tropical lower stratosphere is also considered. In particular we look at the differences in this upwelling caused by the strength and location of tropospheric wave driving, the thermal relaxation timescale of the atmosphere, baroclinic instability, and the seasonal cycle in the tropospheric radiative equilibrium temperature field. Finally we consider the interannual variability seen in the tropical mass upwelling. We quantify the different parts of this variability – the part that can be considered forced variability and the part that arises due to internal variability. We suggest that the high forced variability seen in the mass upwelling may be due to it being linked, via extratropical wave driving, to sea surface temperatures.
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Juckes, Martin Nicolas. "Studies of stratospheric dynamics." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 1987. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.328702.
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Simpson, Isla Ruth. "Solar influence on stratosphere-troposphere dynamical coupling." Thesis, Imperial College London, 2009. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.504929.
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Matthewman, N. J. "A vortex dynamics perspective on stratospheric sudden warmings." Thesis, University College London (University of London), 2009. http://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/18711/.
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A vortex dynamics approach is used to study the underlying mechanisms leading to polar vortex breakdown during stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs). Observational data are used in chapter 2 to construct climatologies of the Arctic polar vortex structure during vortex-splitting and vortex-displacement SSWs occurring between 1958 and 2002. During vortex-splitting SSWs, polar vortex breakdown is shown to be typically independent of height (barotropic), whereas breakdown during vortex-displacement SSWs is shown to be strongly height dependent (baroclinic). In the remainder of the thesis (chapters 3-7), a hierarchy of models approach is used to investigate a possible resonant excitation mechanism which is responsible for the vortex breakdown seen in our observational study. A single layer topographically forced vortex model is shown to exhibit vortex-splitting behaviour similar to that observed during SSWs. Two analytical reductions, the first a fully nonlinear analytical model of an elliptical vortex in strain and rotation velocity fields, the second a weakly nonlinear asymptotic theory applied to a topographically forced vortex, show that vortex-splitting in the model occurs due to a self-tuning resonance of the vortex with the underlying topography. Resonant excitation of an idealized polar vortex by topographic forcing is then investigated in a three-dimensional quasi-geostrophic model, with emphasis on the vertical structure of the vortex during breakdown. It is shown that vortex breakdown similar to that observed during displacement SSWs occurs due to a linear resonance of a baroclinic mode of the vortex, whereas breakdown similar to that observed during splitting SSWs occurs due to a resonance of the barotropic mode. The role of self-tuning in these resonant behaviours is then discussed in relation to the analytic reductions of the single layer model.
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Charlton, Andrew James. "The dynamical impact of the Stratosphere on the Troposphere." Thesis, University of Reading, 2003. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.654487.
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Villarin, Jose Tizon. "The dynamical influence of the stratospheric polar vortex on the atmospheric global circulation." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 1997. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/25748.
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Milewski, Thomas. "Stratospheric chemical-dynamical ensemble data assimilation." Thesis, McGill University, 2012. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=110352.
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Ensemble data assimilation uses Monte-Carlo methods to estimate flow-dependent error covariances which allow the transfer of information from observed variables to correlated ones. As the winds are largely unobserved in the stratosphere and models have biases there, the possibility to constrain the dynamical analysis from temperature or ozone observations is attempted using ensemble data assimilation.The applicability of coupled chemical/dynamical ensemble data assimilation in the stratosphere is tested in idealized perfect model observation system simulation experiments with the IGCM-FASTOC chemistry-climate model. Covariance localization is found to be necessary for stability of the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) data assimilation system and optimal localization parameters yield a strong constraint on the global dynamical state of the model when assimilating synthetic limb-sounding stratospheric temperature or ozone observations only. The multivariate coupling between ozone, temperature and winds is investigated in the optimized EnKF system. Stratospheric temperature and ozone observations induce valuable dynamical analysis increments during the analysis step. There is additional feedback during the forecast steps in the ensemble data assimilation system, further constraining the global dynamical and ozone states. The potential impact of assimilating observations posterior to analysis time in multivariate mode was estimated with an Ensemble Kalman Smoother (EnKS). Assimilation of additional asynchronous observations up to 48 hours posterior toanalysis time provided improvements on the EnKF analysis nearly similar to the ones obtained from the assimilation of a same amount of additional synchronous observations. The EnKS assimilation showed beneficial impacts on the unobserved variables analysis state but mixed impacts on the observed variable analysis state.The capacity to constrain the unobserved stratospheric winds by assimilating ozone observations is demonstrated in the ensemble data assimilation system with the EnKF and EnKS. The chemical-dynamical error covariances are critical to reduce the wind error in the model analysis state particularly through the ozone-wind covariances effective in the upper-troposphere lower-stratosphere region. Additional tests with strongly-biased initial forecasts, within a stratospheric sudden warming experiment, confirm the ability of the EnKF to efficiently propagate information from ozone observations to the dynamical model state.<br>L'assimilation d'ensemble utilise une méthode de Monte-Carlo pour estimer les covariances d'erreur du moment qui permettent le transfert d'information des variables observées aux variables corrélées à celles-ci. Puisque les vents sont très peu observés dans la stratosphère et que les modèles y présentent des biais, la possibilité de contraindre l'état dynamique du modèle par l'assimilation d'observations de température et d'ozone par la technique d'ensemble est tentée. L'applicabilité de l'assimilation d'ensemble dans un système chimique/dynamique couplé est testé lors d'une expérience idéalisé (modèle parfait) de simulation de système d'observation avec le modèle de chimie-climat IGCM-FASTOC. La localisation des covariances est indispensable à la stabilité du système d'assimilation avec filtre de Kalman d'ensemble (EnKF) et les paramètres optimaux offrent une forte contrainte sur l'état dynamique global du modèle lorsque l'on assimile des observations satellites synthétiques de température et d'ozone stratosphériques uniquement. Le couplage entre l'ozone, la température et les vents est étudié dans le système EnKF optimisé. Les observations de température et d'ozone stratosphériques créent des incréments dynamiques bénéfiques lors des phases d'analyses. Il y a également une rétroaction lors de la phase de prédiction du système d'assimilation de données, qui aide à contraindre davantage les états chimiques et dynamiques globaux. L'impact potentiel de l'assimilation de données postérieures au temps d'analyse en mode multivarié est estimé avec un lisseur d'ensemble de Kalman (EnKS). L'assimilation d'observations additionnelles asynchrones, ayant jusqu'à 48 heures d'écart avec le temps d'analyse, offre des améliorations aux analyses de l'EnKF presque équivalentes à celles obtenues par assimilation d'une quantité égale d'observations additionnelles synchrones. L'EnKS présente des impacts bénéfiques sur l'état d'analyse des variables non observées mais des impacts mitigés sur l'état analysé des variables observées. La capacité de contraindre les vents stratosphériques non-observés grâce à l'assimilation d'observations d'ozone est démontrée dans le système d'assimilation d'ensemble avec l'EnKF et l'EnKS. Les covariances d'erreurs chimiques- dynamiques sont essentielles à la réduction de l'erreur de vents dans l'état analysé du modèle, en particulier les covariances ozone-vent qui font effet dans la haute troposphère et basse stratosphère. Des expériences additionelles avec un état initial fortement biaisé, en l'occurence un réchauffement stratosphérique soudain, confirment l'abilité de l'EnKF à transférer de façon efficace l'information depuis les observations d'ozone vers l'état dynamique du modèle.
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Kleppek, Sabine. "Untersuchungen zur dynamischen Kopplung der Troposphäre und der Stratosphäre." Phd thesis, Universität Potsdam, 2005. http://opus.kobv.de/ubp/volltexte/2006/642/.
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Im Rahmen dieser Arbeit wurde ein besseres Verständnis der Kopplung der Troposphäre und der Stratosphäre in den mittleren und polaren Breiten der Nordhemisphäre (NH) auf Monatszeitskalen erzielt, die auf die Ausbreitung von quasi-stationären Wellen zurückzuführen ist. Der Schwerpunkt lag dabei auf den dynamisch aktiven Wintermonaten, welche die grösste Variabilität aufweisen.
Die troposphärische Variabilität wird zum Grossteil durch bevorzugte Zirkulationsstrukturen, den Telekonnexionsmustern, bestimmt. Mittels einer rotierten EOF-Analyse der geopotenziellen Höhe in 500 hPa wurden die wichtigsten regionalen troposphärischen Telekonnexionsmuster der Nordhemisphäre berechnet. Diese lassen sich drei grossen geografischen Regionen zuordnen; dem nordatlantisch-europäischen Raum, Eurasien und dem pazifisch-nordamerikanischen Raum.
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Da es sich um die stärksten troposphärischen Variabilitätsmuster handelt, wurden sie als grundlegende troposphärische Grössen herangezogen, um dynamische Zusammenhänge zwischen der troposphärischen und der stratosphärischen Zirkulation zu untersuchen.
Dabei wurde anhand von instantanen und zeitverzögerten Korrelationsanalysen der troposphärischen Muster mit stratosphärischen Variablen erstmalig gezeigt, dass unterschiedliche regionale troposphärische Telekonnexionsmuster unterschiedliche Auswirkungen auf die stratosphärische Zirkulation haben. Es ergaben sich für die pazifisch-nordamerikanischen Muster signifikante instantane Korrelationen mit quasi-barotropen Musterstrukturen und für die nordatlantisch-europäischen Muster zonalsymmetrische Ringstrukturen ab 1978 mit signifikanten Korrelationswerten über tropischen und subtropischen Breiten und inversen Korrelationswerten über polaren Gebieten.
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Bei einer Untersuchung des Einflusses der stratosphärischen Variabilität wurde gezeigt, dass sich die stärkste Kopplung von nordatlantisch-europäischen Telekonnexionsmustern mit der stratosphärischen Zirkulation bei einem in Richtung Europa verschobenen Polarwirbel ergibt, wodurch die signifikanten Korrelationen ab 1978 erklärt werden können.
Eine zonal gemittelte und vor allem lokale Untersuchung der Wellenausbreitungsbedingungen während dieser stratosphärischen Situation zeigt, dass es zu schwächeren Windgeschwindigkeiten in der Stratosphäre im Bereich von Nordamerika und des westlichen Nordatlantiks kommt und sich dadurch die Wellenausbreitungsbedingungen in diesem geografischen Bereich für planetare Wellen verbessern. Durch die stärkere Wellenausbreitung kommt es zu einer stärkeren Wechselwirkung mit dem Polarjet, wobei dieser abgebremst wird. Diese Abbremsung führt zu einer Verstärkung der meridionalen Residualzirkulation. D. h., wenn es zu einer verstärkten Wellenanregung im Nordatlantik und über Europa kommt, ist die Reaktion der Residualzirkulation bei einem nach Europa verschobenem Polarwirbel besonders stark.
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Die quasi-barotropen Korrelationsstrukturen, die sich bei den pazifisch-nordamerikanischen Mustern zeigen, weisen aufgrund von abnehmenden Störungsamplituden mit zunehmender Höhe, keiner Westwärtsneigung und einem negativen Brechungsindex im Pazifik auf verschwindende Wellen hin, die als Lösung der Wellengleichung bei negativem Brechungsindex auftreten. Dies wird durch den Polarjet, der im Bereich des Pazifiks stets sehr weit in Richtung Norden verlagert ist, verursacht.
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Abschliessend wurde in dieser Arbeit untersucht, ob die gefundenen Zusammenhänge von nordatlantisch-europäischen Telekonnexionsmustern mit der stratosphärischen Zirkulation auch von einem Atmosphärenmodell wiedergegeben werden können. Dazu wurde ein transienter 40-Jahre-Klimalauf des ECHAM4.L39(DLR)/CHEM Modells mit möglichst realistischen Antrieben erstmalig auf die Kopplung der Troposphäre und der Stratosphäre analysiert. Dabei konnten sowohl die troposphärischen, als auch die stratosphärischen Variabilitätsmuster vom Modell simuliert werden. Allerdings zeigen sich in den stratosphärischen Mustern Phasenverschiebungen in den Wellenzahl-1-Strukturen und ihre Zeitreihen weisen keinen signifikanten Trend ab 1978 auf. Die Kopplung der nordatlantisch-europäischen Telekonnexionsmuster mit der stratosphärischen Zirkulation zeigt eine wesentlich schwächere Reaktion der meridionalen Residualzirkulation. Somit stellte sich heraus, dass insbesondere die stratosphärische Zirkulation im Modell starke Diskrepanzen zu den Beobachtungen zeigt, die wiederum Einfluss auf die Wellenausbreitungsbedingungen haben. Es wird damit deutlich, dass für eine richtige Wiedergabe der Wellenausbreitung und somit der Kopplung der Troposphäre und Stratosphäre die stratosphärische Zirkulation eine wichtige Rolle spielt.<br>Within the scope of this study a better understanding of the coupling of the troposphere and the stratosphere in the middle and polar latitudes (NH) on monthly timescales, caused by the propagation of quasi-stationary waves is improved. The approach was focused on the dynamical active winter months, including the largest variablity.
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The tropospheric variability is strongly affected by preferred circulation patterns, the so called teleconnection patterns. The most important, regional, tropospheric teleconnection patterns in the Northern Hemisphere are determined by means of a rotated EOF-Analyses of the geopotential height at the 500 hPa level. They can be attributed to three geographical regions; North Atlantic/Europe, Eurasia and Pacific/North America.
These strongest tropospheric variability patterns are taken as the basic tropospheric quantities to analyse the connections between the tropospheric and stratospheric circulation.
By means of instantaneous and time-lagged correlation analyses, it has been shown for the first time that different regional, tropospheric teleconnection patterns have different effects on the stratospheric circulation. The Pacific/North American patterns reveal significant correlation values with quasi-barotropic structures and the North Atlantic/European patterns show significant correlations over tropical and subtropical latitudes and invers correlation values over the polar region.
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The investigation of the stratospheric variability influence reveals that the strongest coupling of the North Atlantic/European teleconnection patterns with the stratospheric circulation appears during periods with a shift of the polar vortex towards Europe. The zonal averaged and particularly the local analyses of the wave propagation conditions show that weaker wind speed in the stratosphere over North America and the western part of the North Atlantic leads to improved wave propagation conditions in this geographical region. The stronger wave propagation produces a stronger interaction of the waves with the polar jet which results in enhanced wave breaking and an amplification of the residual circulation. In the case of a stronger wave forcing in the North Atlantic and over Europe these will be a stronger reaction of the residual circulation.
The quasi-barotropic correlation structures, induced by the Pacific/North American patterns, are an indicator for evanescent waves because of the decreasing perturbations with increasing height, none westward declination and a negative refractive index in the Pacific. This is generated by the polar jet in the Pacific which is always shifted very far to the north.
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Concluding, it was studied, whether Atmospheric General Circulation Models (AGCMs) can reproduce the detected connections of the North Atlantic/European teleconnection patterns with the stratospheric circulation. Therefore the transient model run of the interactively coupled chemistry-climate model ECHAM4.L39(DLR)/ CHEM is used for analysing the troposphere-stratosphere coupling, covering the period from 1960 to 1999. Both, the tropospheric and the stratospheric variability patterns have been simulated by the model. However the stratospheric patterns show a phase shift in the wave number 1 patterns and the time series of the wave number 1 structures do not offer a significant trend since 1978. The coupling of the North Atlantic/European teleconnection patterns with the stratospheric circulation shows a significantly weaker annular-like correlation structure. It turned out, that the stratospheric circulation particularly shows strong discrepancies to the observations which can influence the wave propagation conditions again. Therefore, the stratospheric circulation plays an important role for an accurate reproduction of the wave propagation and consequently for the coupling of the troposphere and the stratosphere.
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Ming, Alison Donna. "Dynamical and radiative processes in the Upper Troposphere/Lower Stratosphere." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2016. https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/260803.
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The overall aim of this thesis is to gain a better understanding of certain key attributes and processes in the Upper Troposphere/Lower Stratosphere (UTLS). This work involves exploring the interactions between radiation and dynamics which ultimately affect the destination of chemical constituents. A recently identified feature of the extratropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere is a region of stable air located just above the tropopause known as the tropopause inversion layer (TIL) which appears as a peak in the stratification. The first main chapter of the thesis focuses on elucidating the large scale dynamical mechanisms which lead to the formation of the TIL by exploring the downward influence of the stratosphere on the UTLS region. Model experiments illustrate that the TIL can arise as a result of the dynamics and the wave driving leads to an upwelling structure that results in a TIL. The maximum value and the shape of the TIL peak vary considerable depending on how the observational data is processed. A common method involves averaging with respect to the tropopause. The details of this averaging are found to affect the shape and strength of the TIL. There exist a double peak in the radiative heating (and correspondingly in the upwelling) in the tropical lower stratosphere and radiative calculations reveal that part of it can be considered as imposed. Radiative process are usually thought of as relaxational with waves being regarded as driving the circulation. Idealised model experiments show that imposing a heating leads to an upwelling and the structure of the latter depends on the aspect ratio of the imposed heating. In such experiments, the waves form part of the response. The last core chapter looks at the relatively large annual cycle in temperatures at around 70 hPa in the UTLS. The annual cycle has peak to peak amplitude of about 7 K in observational data. Using radiative experiments that take into account the time evolution of trace gases, the effect of ozone and water vapour on temperatures is quantified. Water vapour is found to play a significant role in this region, especially lower down in the region of the cold point, with important non local influences on temperature. A further set of experiments reveals how the temperatures are affected by the interactions between the dynamics and radiation.
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Deckert, Rudolf. "Climate Dependencies and Deterministic Variability in Stratospheric Dynamics and Ozone." Diss., lmu, 2008. http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:19-86557.
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Hindley, Neil. "Satellite observations and spectral analysis of stratospheric gravity wave dynamics." Thesis, University of Bath, 2016. https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.699001.
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Gravity waves play a crucial role in the dynamics of the middle atmosphere through the vertical transport of tropospheric energy and momentum. Despite the importance of gravity wave effects, nearly all general circulation models significantly underestimate gravity wave drag around the southern wintertime polar vortex, leading to large discrepancies from observed behaviour and a strong impediment to model progress. Here we use GPS radio occultation data from the COSMIC satellite constellation to investigate key properties of gravity waves in and around the southern polar vortex and over the gravity wave hot spot of the southern Andes/Drake Passage/Antarctic Peninsula. We also develop spectral analysis tools in order to further the capabilities of our data for this purpose. By analysing vertical profiles of atmospheric temperature from COSMIC, we find evidence of the meridional propagation of waves into the polar vortex from sources far to the north. We develop a new wavelet-based analysis technique for the quantitative identification of gravity waves in COSMIC profiles, and use it to investigate gravity wave intermittency over the hot spot region and around the edge of the polar vortex. We then estimate gravity wave momentum flux over the hot spot from closely-spaced pairs of COSMIC profiles. Finally, we develop a new two-dimensional spectral analysis method for the measurement of gravity wave amplitudes, horizontal wavelengths and directions of propagation from AIRS measurements, based upon the two-dimensional Stockwell transform. We show that, by using an alternative elliptical spectral window, we can dramatically improve the measurement of wave amplitude. We apply our two-dimensional Stockwell transform to AIRS measurements over the known gravity wave hot spots of South Georgia and the Antarctic Peninsula, measuring gravity properties and momentum fluxes with improved confidence, accuracy and rigour over current methods.
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Beaumont, Robin Nicholas. "Dynamics of stratospheric sudden warming events : data analysis and modelling." Thesis, University of Exeter, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10871/15956.
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The polar vortex is a large scale cyclone located in the middle atmosphere near to the planet’s geographic poles. These vortices form during the hemispheric winter and break down in the spring of the following year. They may also break down in mid winter, causing a sudden stratospheric warming event (SSW). The vortex is thought to be preconditioned leading up to these warming events, resulting in the breakdown of the vortex. Integral diagnostics are used to investigate the stripping of air from the vortex as part of this preconditioning. Contour diagnostics of mass and circulation are calculated using ERA-40 reanalysis data for the stratosphere. The edge of the vortex is easily identifiable in these diagnostics as a high gradient of Ertel’s potential vorticity (PV), and the warming events are also clearly visible. From these the amount of air removed from the vortex is determined from the balance equation of the mass integral. These terms show that there are significant amounts of air removed from the vortex, with several stripping events identifiable in them through the winter, especially in those during which a major sudden warming event occurred. These stripping events can be seen in corresponding PV maps, where tongues of PV can be seen to be stripped from the vortex and mixed into the surrounding surf zone of turbulent air. From the integral diagnostics a Lagrangian measure of the meridional circulation in the stratosphere is also calculated. In the final part of the thesis a shallow water model is used to investigate a quantitative link between forcing and the amount of stripping of the vortex. It is found that when the forcing is large enough there is significant stripping of mass from the vortex. This does not lead to SSWs in all cases, and the total amount of stripping is not found to be proportional to the maximum amplitude of the forcing.
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Limpasuvan, Varavut. "Tropical dynamics near the stratospause : the two-day wave and its relatives /." Thesis, Connect to this title online; UW restricted, 1998. http://hdl.handle.net/1773/10088.
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Peres, Lucas Vaz. "Monitoramento da coluna total de ozônio e a ocorrência de eventos de influência do buraco de ozônio antártico sobre o sul do Brasil." Universidade Federal de Santa Maria, 2016. http://repositorio.ufsm.br/handle/1/12621.
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES<br>The present PhD thesis analyzes the results obtained from the Total Ozone Column (TOC) monitoring conducted in the Southern Space Observatory - SSO (29.26 ° S, 53.48 °W and 488 m altitude) between 1992 and 2014 by three successive Brewer spectrophotometers (# 081, # 056 and # 167). First, the Brewer measurements were compared with TOMS (Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer) and OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument) satellites obtaining excellent agreement. In addition, was determined that the seasonal TOC variability is dominated by the annual cycle, with a minimum of ~ 260 DU in April and a maximum of ~ 295 DU in September. The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) is the main mode of interannual variability being approximately in antiphase with the QBO index. Next, 58 events of the influence of the Antarctic Ozone Hole on the SSO station was identificate in the period between 2005 and 2014. This events occurred on average 5.8 ± 3.51 times per year, with a mean reduction of TOC by Brewer' of -7.04 ± 2.97% and by OMI of -7.66 ± 3.11 respectively. Analyzing the ozone profiles from AURA/MLS (Microwave Limb Sounder) satellite, the average isentropic level for maximum reduction is 644.68 ± 158.59 K, with a mean reduction of 15.39 ± 6.47%, being October the month of greatest occurrence (18 events). The events were separated into three categories: TOC intensity reduction, height of the ozone reduction lamina in AURA/MLS satellite and the dynamic characteristic of Polar Filament or Polar Tongue through the application of Dybal (Dynamical Barrier Localization) code in the potential vorticity (PV) fields from MIMOSA (Modélisation Isentrope du transport Mésoéchelle de l'Ozone Stratosphérique par Advection) model. The events with a dynamic feature of Polar Tongue (20,68%) occurred more frequently in October, with medium intensity and in the medium stratosphere, while events of dynamic characteristic of Polar Filament (79,31%) occurred more frequently in September, also with medium intensity and in the medium stratosphere.<br>A presente Tese de Doutorado analisa os resultados obtidos a partir do monitoramento da Coluna Total de Ozônio (CTO) realizado no Observatório Espacial do Sul – OES (29,26 ° S, 53,48 ° e 488 m de altitude) entre 1992 e 2014 através de três sucessivos espectrofotômetros Brewer (# 081, # 056 e # 167). Primeiramente, as medidas dos Brewers foram comparadas com observações dos instrumentos de satélite TOMS (Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer) e OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument), obtendo elevados valores de R2 (0,88 e 0,93, respectivamente). Além disso, foi determinado que a variabilidade sazonal da CTO é dominada pelo ciclo anual, com um mínimo de ~260 DU em abril e um máximo de ~295 DU em setembro. A Oscilação Quasi-Bienal (QBO) é o principal modo de variabilidade interanual estando aproximadamente em antifase com o índice QBO. Em seguida é apresentada a identificação da ocorrência de 58 eventos de Influência do Buraco de Ozônio Antártico sobre a estação do OES no período entre 2005 e 2014, os quais ocorreram em média 5,8 ± 3,5 vezes por ano, com redução média da CTO de Brewer e OMI de -7,04±2,9% e 7,66±3,1 respectivamente. Analisando os perfis de ozônio do satélite AURA/MLS (Microwave Limb Sounder), observa-se que o nível isentrópico médio para a máxima redução é de 644,6±158,5 K com redução média de 15,3±6,4%, sendo outubro o mês de maior ocorrência (18 eventos). Os eventos foram separados em categorias: Intensidade da redução da CTO, altura da camada de redução no perfil do ozônio do satélite AURA/MLS e a característica dinâmica de Filamento Polar ou Língua Polar através da aplicação do código Dybal (Dynamical Barrier Localisation) nos campos de vorticidade potencial (PV) do modelo MIMOSA (Modélisation Isentrope du transport Mésoéchelle de l'Ozone Stratosphérique par Advection). Os eventos com característica dinâmica de Lingua Polar (20,68%) ocorreram com mais frequência no mês de outubro, com intensidade média e na média estratosfera, enquanto que eventos de característica dinâmica de Filamento Polar (79,31%) ocorreram com mais frequência no mês de setembro, também com media intensidade e na média estratosfera.
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Hue, Vincent. "Modélisations photochimiques saisonnières des stratosphères de Jupiter et Saturne." Thesis, Bordeaux, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015BORD0155/document.
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L’un des objectifs de cette thèse est d’interpréter les observations des principaux hydrocarbures(C2H2 et C2H6) effectuées par Cassini (NASA/ESA) sur Jupiter et Saturne. Les modèles photochimiques à une dimension sont insuffisants pour interpréter ces observations spatialement résolues. J’ai développé le premier modèle photochimique saisonnier à deux dimensions (altitude-latitude) des planètes géantes qui calcule leur composition chimique.En l’absence de transport méridional, la composition chimique de Saturne suit les variations d’ensoleillement. Les abondances de C2H2 et C2H6 mesurées par Cassini (Guerletet al., 2009) sont reproduites jusqu’aux latitudes moyennes, à des pressions supérieures à0,1mbar. Les écarts notés dans l’hémisphère sud suggèrent la présence de dynamique ou d’une chimie entre les ions et les espèces neutres. J’ai couplé, pour la première fois, mon modèle photochimique avec le modèle radiatif de Greathouse et al. (2008). Nous prédisons un décalage du pic saisonnier de température, par rapport aux précédents modèles, d’une demi-saison à haute altitude et aux hautes latitudes.Jupiter présente de faibles variations saisonnières de composition chimique, uniquement contrôlées par son excentricité. Les distributions méridionales observées de C2H2 etC2H6 présentent des tendances opposées (Nixon et al., 2010). Mon modèle est en accord avec les observations de C2H6 lorsque j’invoque une combinaison de diffusion méridionale et de circulation stratosphérique, tout en provoquant un plus grand désaccord avec les observations de C2H2. La chimie ionique pourrait principalement affecter C2H2 et jouer un rôle important dans l’atmosphère de Jupiter<br>One of the goals of this thesis is to interpret the observations of the main hydrocarbons(C2H2 and C2H6) from Cassini (NASA/ESA) on Jupiter and Saturn. The one-dimensional photochemical models are insufficient to explain these spatially resolved observations. I have developed the first two-dimensional (altitude-latitude) seasonal photochemical model for the giant planets, which predicts their chemical composition.Without meridional transport, Saturn’s chemical composition follows the insolation variations. The C2H2 and C2H6 abundances measured by Cassini (Guerlet et al., 2009)are reproduced from the equator up to mid-latitudes, at pressures higher than 0.1mbar.At higher latitudes, the disagreements suggest either a stratospheric circulation cell orthe signature of ion-neutral chemistry. For the first time, I have coupled our seasonal photochemical model with the seasonal radiative model of Greathouse et al. (2008). I predict that the seasonal temperature peak is shifted half a season earlier, with respect to previous models, at high latitudes in the higher stratosphere.Jupiter shows weak seasonal variations of chemical composition, only controlled by its orbital eccentricity. The observed meridional distributions of C2H2 and C2H6 show opposition trends (Nixon et al., 2010). C2H6 observed distribution is reproduced when Isuppose a combination of meridional diffusion and stratospheric circulation, while causingat the same time a stronger agreement with the C2H2 observations. Accounting for theion-neutral chemistry might preferentially affect C2H2 and potentially play a key role on hydrocarbon abundances in Jupiter’s stratosphere
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McDaniel, Brent. "Intraseasonal Dynamical Evolution of the Northern Annular Mode." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/6965.
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Recent observational and modeling studies indicate a robust dynamical coupling between the stratosphere and troposphere during boreal winter. This coupling occurs in association with the Northern Annular Mode (NAM), which itself accounts for a significant fraction of the variability of the extratropical circulation. While monthly NAM dynamics have been studied previously, the mechanisms that give rise to NAM variability on short intraseasonal timescale are still unclear.
We perform regression analyses, case studies, and composites based on periods of dynamical growth/decay to investigate the roles of the different proposed mechanisms in driving the atmospheric variability observed in association with the NAM on short intraseasonal timescales. More specifically, lag-regression analyses are used to identify the mean canonical structures present during the evolution of a typical NAM event. Illustrative case studies of robust stratospheric NAM events but with different tropospheric signals are contrasted in order to identify the underlying dynamical reasons for the observed differences. Finally, composite analyses of NAM tendencies are performed to isolate the structural and dynamical evolution of NAM events. Zonal-mean and three-dimensional eddy-flux diagnoses are used to examine the role of eddy-mean flow interaction in driving the wind tendencies characteristic of the NAM. In particular, Plumb flux analyses are employed to quantify the contribution of regional stationary wave anomalies toward the zonal mean wind tendency field. Potential vorticity inversions are also used to determine the role of stratospheric anomalies in inducing tropospheric circulations.
The case study analyses indicate that preexisting tropospheric PV anomalies can mask the downward penetration of an initial stratospheric NAM signal into the troposphere. PV inversions further suggest that a minimum requirement for a direct downward stratospheric influence is that the stratospheric NAM signal be robust in the lower stratosphere.
The dynamical composites show a remarkable degree of reverse symmetry between the zonal-mean dynamical evolution of positive and negative NAM events. Anomalous Eliassen-Palm fluxes are observed in the troposphere and stratosphere, consistent with index of refraction considerations and an indirect downward influence of the stratosphere on the troposphere. The patterns of anomalous wave driving, primarily due to low-frequency planetary scale waves, provide the main forcing of the zonal mean wind tendency field. Regional wave activity fluxes indicate that the wave driving pattern represents the manifestation of planetary scale anomalies over the North Atlantic.
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Hampson, J. "Interannual variability in stratospheric dynamics : interaction between the QBO and the extratropics." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2000. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.603634.
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This thesis is concerned with interannual variability in the stratosphere, in particular the tropical oscillation called the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and its interaction with the extratropical circulation. A three dimensional mechanistic model is used to investigate interannual variability, with a tropical QBO being forced in the model by either a relaxation scheme or a simple gravity wave parameterisation scheme. The tropospheric forcing of large-scale planetary waves is represented by imposing a geopotential perturbation at the artificial lower boundary of the model. The influence of the QBO on the extratropics is examined to see if there is a preferred mode of variability in the extratropics, and how the extratropical response to the QBO is affected by the strength of extratropical wave forcing in the model. The influence of other details of the QBO, specifically its phase relationships with the annual cycle, its height structure and its time structure are investigated. The correlation between the QBO and the extratropical circulation is seen to be consistent with the Holton-Tan mechanism for the extratropical QBO; this correlation is modulated by the amplitude of extratropical geopotential wave forcing. The extratropical dynamics are seen to affect phase preference relative to the annual cycle, irregularity in period and asymmetry between different phases of the QBO simulated in the three dimensional model. It is hypothesised that this effect comes about through the extratropical wave driving of a seasonally varying equatorial upwelling. This is investigated further in a one dimensional (equatorial) model and a simple zero dimensional model, by imposing the equatorial upwelling as a function of time. The one dimensional model exhibits phase preference, irregularity and asymmetry, consistent with the hypothesis, though cannot explain all equatorial features of the three dimensional model model. The occurrence of "stalled" descents in the parameterised QBO in the three dimensional model is noted and examined.
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Dhomse, Sandip. "Dynamical influence on the stratospheric ozone and water vapor." kostenfrei, 2006. http://deposit.d-nb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?idn=985864249.
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O'Callaghan, Amee. "Dynamical influences of sudden stratospheric warmings on surface climate." Thesis, University of East Anglia, 2016. https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/59357/.
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The stratospheric winter polar vortex consists of strong westerly winds; this winter flow regime can undergo a complete breakdown during sudden stratospheric warming events. In the Northern Hemisphere these events are often accompanied by the descent of anomalous flow regimes which can result in extreme surface weather. The focus of this thesis is to assess sudden stratospheric warmings and their place in the coupled climate system. Portions of this work are dedicated to algorithm development with the aim of quickly and accurately isolating and subcategorising events. A method is successfully created that is computationally cheap, easy to implement, based on dynamically relevant criteria and has error rates clearly outlined. Impacts on the surface and ocean are assessed with focus on specific subclasses of sudden stratospheric warmings. It is found that there is, on average, stronger surface and oceanic impacts following events that split the polar vortex. The ocean system is impacted via modifications to the implied Ekman heat transport and the net atmosphere-surface heat flux. Furthermore, there is a relationship between the initial location of the disturbed polar vortex and the strength of anomalous flow regime at the surface. Analysis is conducted predominantly using general circulation model output, with direct comparison between an atmosphere-only model and a coupled atmosphere-ocean model. For the coupled model there is a reduction in the number of simulated sudden stratospheric warmings, a result of altered atmospheric wave dynamics. This is partially attributed to a cold bias over the equatorial Pacific. The frequency of sudden stratospheric warmings is found to be insensitive to North Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies.
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Hood, L. L. "The solar cycle variation of total ozone: Dynamical forcing in the lower stratosphere." AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 1997. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/624010.
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Multiple regression methods are applied to estimate the solar cycle variation of (1) zonal mean ozone as a function of altitude and latitude using a combination of Nimbus 7 solar backscattered ultraviolet (SBUV) and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 11 SBUV/2 ozone profile data for a 15-year period; (2) total ozone as a function of latitude, longitude, and season using Nimbus 7 total ozone mapping spectrometer (TOMS) data for a 13.3-year period; (3) lower stratospheric temperature as a function of latitude, longitude, and season using microwave sounding unit (MSU) Channel 4 data for a 16-year period; and (4) lower stratospheric geopotential height as a function of latitude, longitude, and season in the northern hemisphere using Berlin height data for a 30-year period. According to the SBUV-SBUV/2 data, most (about 85%) of the 1.5–2% solar cycle variation of global mean total column ozone occurs in the lower stratosphere (altitudes < 28 km). Evidence is obtained for a related solar cycle variation of lower stratospheric temperature (50–150 mbar) and geopotential height (30, 50, and 100 mbar) with geographic dependences similar to that of the solar cycle variation of total ozone. Specifically, total ozone, lower stratospheric temperature, and lower stratospheric geopotential height have annual mean solar regression coefficients in the northern hemisphere that reach a maximum near 30°N latitude within a longitude sector extending from approximately 160°E to 250°E. Maximum variations from solar minimum to maximum in this sector are approximately 11 Dobson units, 0.8 K near 100 mbar, and 60 m at 50 mbar, respectively. Seasonal solar regression coefficients tend to be statistically significant over larger areas in summer but have larger amplitudes within limited regions in winter. These geographic similarities between total ozone, lower stratospheric temperature, and geopotential height solar coefficients suggest that changes in lower stratospheric dynamics between solar minimum and maximum may play an important role in driving the observed total ozone solar cycle variation. To test this hypothesis, a simplified perturbation ozone transport model is applied to calculate the expected total ozone variation owing to dynamical forcing for the calculated geopotential height solar coefficients, climatological ozone mixing ratios, and zonal winds. For the summer season during which the solar regression coefficients are significant over the largest area, both the amplitude and latitude dependence of the observed solar cycle ozone variation are approximately consistent with the model estimates.
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Clemo, Thomas Daniel. "A new way to quantify stratosphere-troposphere coupling in observations and climate models." Thesis, University of Exeter, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10871/33399.
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Atmospheric mass is transported in and out of the stratospheric polar cap region by a wave-driven meridional circulation. Using composites of polar cap pressure anomalies, defined as deviations from the average annual cycle, it is shown that this stratospheric mass flux is accompanied by a similar mass flux near the surface. This 'tropospheric amplification' of the stratospheric signal is introduced as a new way to quantify stratosphere-troposphere coupling. Regression analysis is used to create a vertical profile of atmospheric pressure during a tropospheric amplification event, and the regression slope profile is used as a tool to quantify the amplification. Using data from 5 reanalysis datasets and 11 climate models, it is shown that high-top models, with a model lid of above 1 hPa, are significantly better at reproducing tropospheric amplification than low-top models, due to having more detailed parameterisations of stratospheric processes. However, the regression slope profiles of all models, bar one, are significantly different to the profile of reanalysis data at a 95% confidence level. Tropospheric amplification is also investigated in historical and future simulations from these models, and it is concluded that there is not expected to be a large change in the phenomenon over the next 100 years. The processes needed to reproduce tropospheric amplification can be identified by comparing idealised models of different complexity. A simple dry-core model is not able to reproduce tropospheric amplification, while a model with a comprehensive radiation scheme does produce the basic regression slope profile under certain configurations. The associations between pressure change and mass flux are further investigated using primitive equations. It is found that vertical and horizontal contributions to mass flux act to mostly cancel each other out, leaving a poorly-conditioned residual, and that the horizontal mass flux across the polar cap boundary has both geostrophic and ageostrophic components.
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Rea, Gloria. "Role of the stratospheric dynamics in the southern hemisphere long-term climate change." Master's thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2013. http://amslaurea.unibo.it/5946/.
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Il raffreddamento stratosferico associato alla riduzione dell’ozono nelle regioni polari induce un rafforzamento dei venti occidentali nella bassa stratosfera, uno spostamento verso il polo e un’intensificazione del jet troposferico delle medie latitudini. Si riscontra una proiezione di questi cambiamenti a lungo termine sulla polarità ad alto indice di un modo di variabilità climatica, il Southern Annular Mode, alla superficie, dove i venti occidentali alle medie latitudini guidano la Corrente Circumpolare Antartica influenzando la circolazione oceanica meridionale e probabilmente l’estensione del ghiaccio marino ed i flussi di carbonio aria-mare nell’Oceano Meridionale. Una limitata rappresentazione dei processi stratosferici nei modelli climatici per la simulazione del passato e la previsione dei cambiamenti climatici futuri, sembrerebbe portare ad un errore nella rappresentazione dei cambiamenti troposferici a lungo termine nelle rispettive simulazioni. In questa tesi viene condotta un’analisi multi-model mettendo insieme i dati di output derivati da diverse simulazioni di modelli climatici accoppiati oceano-atmosfera, che partecipano al progetto CMIP5, con l'obiettivo di comprendere come le diverse rappresentazioni della dinamica stratosferica possano portare ad una differente rappresentazione dei cambiamenti climatici alla superficie. Vengono utilizzati modelli “High Top” (HT), che hanno una buona rappresentazione della dinamica stratosferica, e modelli “Low Top” (LT), che invece non ne hanno. I risultati vengono confrontati con le reanalisi meteorologiche globali disponibili (ERA-40). Viene mostrato come la rappresentazione e l’intensità del raffreddamento radiativo iniziale e di quello dinamico nella bassa stratosfera, nei modelli, siano i fattori chiave che controllano la successiva risposta troposferica, e come il raffreddamento stesso dipenda dalla rappresentazione della dinamica stratosferica. Si cerca inoltre di differenziare i modelli in base alla loro rappresentazione del raffreddamento radiativo e dinamico nella bassa stratosfera e alla risposta del jet troposferico. Nei modelli, si riscontra che il trend del jet nell'intera troposfera è significativamente correlato linearmente al raffreddamento stesso della bassa stratosfera.
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Cao, Jing. "An investigation of transport during minor stratospheric warmings in the Southern Hemisphere." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 1995. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/25964.
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Rosier, Suzanne Mary. "Dynamical evolution of the northern stratosphere in early winter, 1991/92 : observational and modelling studies." Thesis, University of Oxford, 1996. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.320716.
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Smy, Louise Ann. "Atmospheric transport and critical layer mixing in the troposphere and stratosphere." Thesis, University of St Andrews, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10023/2538.
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This thesis aims to improve the understanding of transport and critical layer mixing in the troposphere and stratosphere. A dynamical approach is taken based on potential vorticity which has long been recognised as the essential field inducing the flow and thermodynamic structure of the atmosphere. Within the dynamical framework of critical layer mixing of potential vorticity, three main topics are addressed. First, an idealised model of critical layer mixing in the stratospheric surf zone is examined. The effect of the shear across the critical layer on the critical layer evolution itself is investigated. In particular it is found that at small shear barotropic instability occurs and the mixing efficiency of the critical layer increases due to the instability. The effect of finite deformation length is also considered which extends previous work. Secondly, the dynamical coupling between the stratosphere and troposphere is examined by considering the effect of direct perturbations to stratospheric potential vorticity on the evolution of midlatitude baroclinic instability. Both zonally symmetric and asymmetric perturbations to the stratospheric potential vorticity are considered, the former representative of a strong polar vortex, the latter representative of the stratospheric state following a major sudden warming. A comparison of these perturbations gives some insight into the possible influence of pre or post-sudden warming conditions on the tropospheric evolution. Finally, the influence of the stratospheric potential vorticity distribution on lateral mixing and transport into and out of the tropical pipe, the low latitude ascending branch of the Brewer-Dobson circulation, is investigated. The stratospheric potential vorticity distribution in the tropical stratosphere is found to have a clear pattern according to the phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO). The extent of the QBO influence is quantified, by analysing trajectories of Lagrangian particles using an online trajectory code recently implemented in the Met Office's Unified Model.
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Choi, Gi-Hyuk. "A study of the variability of dynamics and temperatures near the mesopause from observations of the hydroxyl (OH) Meinel band emissions." Thesis, University College London (University of London), 1996. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.244222.
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Müller, Marion. "Polare Stratosphärenwolken und mesoskalige Dynamik am Polarwirbelrand = Polar stratospheric clouds and mesoscale dynamics at the polar vortex edge /." Bremerhaven : Alfred-Wegener-Inst. für Polar- und Meeresforschung, 2001. http://www.gbv.de/dms/bs/toc/334030064.pdf.
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Wang, Shaoyin [Verfasser], and P. [Akademischer Betreuer] Braesicke. "Modelling of the dynamical and ozone interactions in the polar stratosphere with ICON-ART / Shaoyin Wang ; Betreuer: P. Braesicke." Karlsruhe : KIT-Bibliothek, 2019. http://d-nb.info/120047094X/34.
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Rodrigues, Chayenny Edna da Silva. "Efeitos na dinâmica da mesosfera no setor brasileiro durante eventos de aquecimento da estratosfera polar." Universidade Estadual da Paraíba, 2017. http://tede.bc.uepb.edu.br/tede/jspui/handle/tede/2794.
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Previous issue date: 2017-02-23<br>Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES<br>In this study, the winds obtained by meteor radar at São João do Cariri (7.4 S, 35 W) during 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008 years, and at Cachoeira Paulista (22.7 S, 45.0 W) during 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006 and 2008, have been used to characterize the dynamics of the mesosphere region over the two sites during the sudden stratospheric warming events on polar stratosphere in the Northern Hemisphere. The wind measurements were subjected to a wavelet spectrum analysis to identify a presence of periodic oscillations. Wave amplitudes were obtained through harmonic analysis by least squares fitting and the 2-day wave momentum fluxes have been estimated from the wind perturbations. The values of the 2-day wave amplitudes and the respective zonal momentum fluxes observed over C. Paulista were higher in the 2003, 2004 and 2006 summers, and over S. J. do Cariri in 2006 summer, when events of SSW Major have occurred. The mean wind behavior it is indicative that the MLT region, during the summer, have been affected by 2-day wave, however, it was not possible to identify pattern associated with the effects of the SSW events on dynamic behavior of the MLT region over two sites. From analyzes, the 2-day wave intensification and their momentum fluxes during years in which SSWs were major, provide additional evidence to stratospheric jet instabilities, which is the main 2-day wave source mechanism in the summer hemisphere.<br>Nesta pesquisa, estimativas do campo de velocidade dos ventos obtidas por radar meteórico em São João do Cariri (7,4 S, 35 O), durante os anos de 2005, 2006, 2007 e 2008, e em Cachoeira Paulista (22,7 S, 45,0 O), durante os anos de 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006 e 2008, foram usadas para caracterizar a dinâmica da região da mesosfera sobre ambas as localidades durante eventos de aquecimento abrupto da estratosfera polar do hemisfério norte. As medidas de vento foram submetidas a análise de espectro de ondaletas para identificar a presença de oscilações periódicas. As amplitudes da s ondas foram obtidas através análise harmônica por ajuste de mínimos quadrados e os fluxos de momentum da onda de 2 dias foram estimados a partir das perturbações. Os valores das amplitudes da onda de 2 dias e dos respectivos fluxos de momentum zonais observados em C. Paulista foram maiores nos verões de 2003, 2004 e 2006, e em S. J. do Cariri em 2006, quando ocorreram eventos de SSW fortes. O comportamento do vento médio demostra que a dinâmica da região MLT durante o verão é impactada pela onda de 2 dias, contudo, não foi possível identificar padrão associado a efeitos dos eventos de SSW com o comportamento dinâmico da região MLT sobre as duas localidades, a partir dessas análises. A intensificação da onda de 2 dias e dos fluxos de momentum durante os anos em que ocorreram SSW fortes fornecem indícios de forçamento adicional para instabilidade do jato estratosférico, que é o principal mecanismo de excitação da onda no hemisfério de verão.
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Haase, Sabine [Verfasser], Prof Dr Katja [Akademischer Betreuer] Matthes, and Prof Dr Richard [Gutachter] Greatbatch. "The importance of the representation of stratospheric dynamics and chemistry for surface climate variability / Sabine Haase ; Gutachter: Prof. Dr. Richard Greatbatch ; Betreuer: Prof. Dr. Katja Matthes." Kiel : Universitätsbibliothek Kiel, 2019. http://d-nb.info/1201346118/34.
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