Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Stocks Rate of return Mathematical models'
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Luo, Yan, and 罗妍. "Three essays on noise and institutional trading." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2010. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B44549246.
Full textEmeny, Matthew. "The book-to-market effect and the behaviour of stock returns in the Australian equity market." Title page, contents and abstract only, 1998. http://web4.library.adelaide.edu.au/theses/09ECM/09ecme533.pdf.
Full textWong, Po-shing. "Some mixture models for the joint distribution of stock's return and trading volume /." [Hong Kong] : University of Hong Kong, 1991. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record.jsp?B13009485.
Full textVan, Wyk Tyrone. "The relationships between the price-earnings ratio and selected risk and return and valuation models." Thesis, Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2002. http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/53156.
Full textENGLISH ABSTRACT: The price-earnings ratio is one of a series of benchmarks developed after the Great Depression, to measure the fair value of shares on a relative basis. It originated from the idea that investors buy the earnings of a company and that the price-earnings ratio provides a consensus indication of the future growth potential of a company. Therefore, the price-earnings ratio is a rating of a company's future profitability. The price-earnings ratio developed, over the years, firstly, into an indicator of the relative risk associated with a company as the market anomalies associated with the ratio were investigated and clarified, and the theoretical background of the ratio integrated with the portfolio theory. It is now clear that the price-earnings ratio can be a useful indicator of the risk associated with an investment and the uncertainty associated with the duration of the growth phase of a company. Secondly, the price-earnings ratio is also a growth and valuation model with a theoretical background that can be linked to popular dividend discount models and the growth opportunities approach to investment valuation. With the use of the price-earnings ratio it is easy to visualise the relative profitability and the total investment required to raise a company's rating of future profitability. This simplicity allows one the opportunity to evaluate the reasonableness and likelihood of the investment reaching its projected potential profit targets. Lastly, as a result of accounting changes and the different accounting rules in force today, the price-earnings ratio also assists in the identification and elimination of the effects of accounting on investment decisions. It is apparent that the price-earnings ratio possesses the capabilities to assist investors significantly with the analysis of investment opportunities.
AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die prys-verdienste verhouding is een van 'n reeks relatiewe maatstawwe ontwikkel na die Groot Depressie om die redelike waarde van aandele te bepaal. Dit is gebaseer op die idee dat beleggers die winste van 'n maatskappy koop en dat die prys-verdienste verhouding 'n konsensus aanduiding verskaf van die toekomstige groeipotensiaal van 'n maatskappy. As gevolg hiervan is die prys-verdienste verhouding 'n aanduiding van die relatiewe toekomstige winsgewendheid van 'n maatskappy. Die prys-verdienste verhouding het oor die jare ontwikkel, eerstens as 'n aanwyser van die relatiewe risiko verbonde aan 'n maatskappy soos abnormaliteite wat daaraan verwant is ondersoek en verklaar is, en die teorieë onderliggend aan die verhouding ontwikkel het saam met die portefeulje teorie. Dit is nou duidelik dat die prys-verdienste verhouding 'n bruikbare aanduider is van die risiko wat geassosieer word met 'n belegging en die onsekerheid wat gepaard gaan met die duur van die groeifase van 'n maatskappy. Tweedens is die prys-verdienste verhouding ook 'n waardasie- en groeimodel met 'n teoretiese agtergrond wat verband hou met die populêre dividend verdiskonteringsmodelle en die groeigeleenthede-benadering tot waardasie. Met die gebruik van die prys-verdienste verhouding is dit maklik om die relatiewe winsgewendheid en die totale belegging wat benodig word om die waarde van die relatiewe winsgewendheid van 'n maatskappy te verhoog, tevisualiseer. Hierdie eenvoud verskaf die geleentheid om die redelikheid en die waarskynlikheid van 'n belegging om sy voorsiene winsgewendheidsdoelwitte te bereik, te evalueer. Laastens, as 'n resultaat van die rekeningkundige veranderinge, en die verskillende rekeningundige reëls huidiglik van toepassing in die wêreld, help die prys-verdienste verhouding ook met die identifikasie en die eliminasie van rekeningkundige komplikasies op beleggingsbesluite. Dit is duidelik dat die prys-verdienste verhouding die vermoë het om die belegger by te staan met die ontleding van beleggingsgeleenthede.
Xu, Jin, and 徐瑾. "Distress risk and value premium: evidence from Japan." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2008. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B40203682.
Full textLin, Gang. "Nesting regime-switching GARCH models and stock market volatility, returns and the business cycle /." Diss., Connect to a 24 p. preview or request complete full text in PDF format. Access restricted to UC campuses, 1998. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/ucsd/fullcit?p9906497.
Full textKing, Daniel Jonathan. "Modelling stock return volatility dynamics in selected African markets." Thesis, Rhodes University, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1006452.
Full textFratus, Brian J. "Rational asset pricing : book-to-market equity as a proxy for risk in utility stocks /." Thesis, This resource online, 1994. http://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-11242009-020322/.
Full textWong, Po-shing, and 黃寶誠. "Some mixture models for the joint distribution of stock's return and trading volume." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 1991. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31210065.
Full textWagenaar, Elmien. "A mathematical approach to financial allocation strategies." Thesis, Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2002. http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/52648.
Full text"Modeling and forecasting Hong Kong stock market return." 1999. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5889916.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1999.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 74-79).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS --- p.iii
LIST OF TABLES --- p.iv
LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS --- p.v
CHAPTER
Chapter ONE --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1
Chapter TWO --- THE LITERATURE REVIEW --- p.5
ARCH/GARCH Models
Nonparametric Method
Chapter THREE --- METHODOLOGY --- p.14
ARCH Modeling
Semiparametric GARCH Modeling
Causality Test
Local Polynomial Model
Chapter FOUR --- DATA AND EMPIRICAL RESULTS --- p.37
Data
GARCH Modeling
Semiparametric GARCH Modeling
Causality Test
Local Polynomial Model
Chapter FIVE --- CONCLUSION --- p.52
TABLES --- p.56
ILLUSTRATIONS --- p.62
APPENDIX --- p.71
BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.74
"Market size, book-to-market equity and the cross-section of stock returns: an application of the multiple-variable threshold model." 2006. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5896519.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2006.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 50-52).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
ABSTRACT --- p.1
摘要 --- p.2
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS --- p.3
TABLE OF CONTENTS --- p.4
Chapter CHAPTER 1 --- INTRODUCTION & LITERATURE REVIEW --- p.6
Chapter CHAPTER 2 --- DATA DESCRIPTION --- p.12
Chapter 2.1 - --- Coverage and Sources --- p.12
Chapter 2.2 - --- Match Accounting Data with Stock Returns --- p.12
Chapter 2.3 - --- Selection Rule --- p.13
Chapter 2.4 - --- Choice of the Threshold Variables Z --- p.14
Chapter CHAPTER 3 --- THE MODEL --- p.15
Chapter 3.1 - --- Estimating excess returns & Betas --- p.15
Chapter 3.2- --- Estimating Threshold Effects --- p.17
Chapter 3.3 - --- Testing the Number of Threshold Variables --- p.19
Chapter 3.4 - --- Estimating Threshold values --- p.21
Chapter CHAPTER 4 --- PRELIMINARY OBSERVATIONS --- p.21
Chapter 4.1 - --- Excess Returns --- p.21
Chapter 4.2 - --- "Relationship between Beta, Market Size and Book-to-Market Equity" --- p.24
Chapter CHAPTER 5 --- ESTIMATION RESULTS OF THE THRESHOLD MODEL --- p.35
Chapter 5.1 - --- Number of Threshold Variables --- p.35
Chapter 5.2- --- Threshold Value Estimates --- p.39
Chapter 5.3- --- The “and´ح case and “or´حcase --- p.40
Chapter 5.4 - --- Comparison with OLS --- p.45
Chapter CHAPTER 6 --- CONCLUSION --- p.48
REFERENCES --- p.50
"Investigation of an error-correction model for trade and quote prices." 2010. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5894492.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2010.
Includes bibliographical references (p. 127-131).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
Abstract --- p.i
Thesis/Assessment Committee --- p.iii
Acknowledgement --- p.iv
Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1
Chapter 2 --- Background Studies --- p.5
Chapter 2.1 --- Ultra-high Frequency Data Handling with Database Server --- p.5
Chapter 2.1.1 --- Use of Database Server --- p.5
Chapter 2.2 --- Ultra-high Frequency Data Treatments --- p.7
Chapter 2.2.1 --- Cleaning of Data --- p.7
Chapter 2.2.2 --- Matching of a Trade and Its Standing Quote --- p.13
Chapter 2.3 --- Tick-by-tick Price Modeling --- p.15
Chapter 2.3.1 --- Multivariate Linear Models --- p.15
Chapter 2.3.2 --- Duration and Volume Handling --- p.16
Chapter 2.3.3 --- VAR Model Selection Techniques --- p.20
Chapter 2.3.4 --- Seasonality Handling --- p.24
Chapter 3 --- Problem Definition and Framework --- p.27
Chapter 3.1 --- Engle and Patton's Model --- p.27
Chapter 3.2 --- Preparation of data --- p.31
Chapter 3.3 --- Methods to Estimate Diurnal Adjustment Param- eters --- p.38
Chapter 3.4 --- Transformation of the Model to Fit in VARX soft- wares --- p.40
Chapter 3.5 --- Modification of the Model --- p.47
Chapter 3.6 --- Estimating and Forecasting the Exogenous Vari- ables --- p.52
Chapter 3.6.1 --- Modelling BUYt and SELLt --- p.52
Chapter 3.6.2 --- Modelling DURt and VOLt --- p.53
Chapter 3.6.3 --- Modelling k(t) --- p.56
Chapter 3.6.4 --- Forecasting the Cross Terms and the Sum of Buys and Sells --- p.62
Chapter 3.7 --- Forecasting with the Main Model --- p.64
Chapter 4 --- Experimental Evaluation --- p.67
Chapter 5 --- Conclusion --- p.73
Chapter A --- Source and Data Information --- p.76
Chapter B --- Model Estimation Results for (3.13) --- p.80
Chapter C --- Model Forecasting Results for (3.13) and (3.2) --- p.102
Bibliography --- p.127
"The impact of macroeconomic factors on stock returns in China: a factor-augmented regression approach." 2010. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5894386.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2010.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 28-30).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
Abstract --- p.i
摘要 --- p.ii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS --- p.iii
Tables and Figures --- p.v
Chapter 1. --- Introduction --- p.1
Chapter 2. --- Literature Review --- p.2
Chapter 3. --- Factor-Augmented Regression Framework --- p.6
Chapter 3.1 --- Estimation of latent factors --- p.8
Chapter 3.2 --- Number of factors --- p.9
Chapter 3.3 --- Interpretation of the factors --- p.11
Chapter 4. --- Data --- p.12
Chapter 5. --- Empirical Results --- p.13
Chapter 5.1 --- Common factors --- p.13
Chapter 5.2 --- Descriptive analysis --- p.16
Chapter 5.3 --- Macroeconomic factors and excess returns predictability --- p.18
Chapter 5.3.1 --- In-sample specifications --- p.18
Chapter 5.3.2 --- Out-of-sample prediction performance --- p.24
Chapter 6. --- Conclusion --- p.26
Reference --- p.28
Appendixes --- p.31
Appendix I: Tables and Figures --- p.31
Appendix II: Data --- p.52
Appendix III: Calculation of the Fama-French three factors --- p.59
"Volatility estimates of ARCH models." 2001. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5890793.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2001.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 80-84).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
ACKNOWOLEDGMENTS --- p.iii
LIST OF TABLES --- p.iv
LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS --- p.vi
CHAPTER
Chapter ONE --- INTORDUCTION --- p.1
Chapter TWO --- LITERATURE REVIEW --- p.5
Volatility
ARCH Models
The Accuracy of ARCH Volatility Estimates
Chapter THREE --- METHODOLOGY --- p.11
Testing and Estimation
Simulation
Chapter FOUR --- DATA DESCRIPTION AND EMPIRICAL RESULTS --- p.29
Data Description
Testing and Estimation Results
Simulation Results
Chapter FIVE --- CONCLUSION --- p.45
TABLES --- p.49
ILLUSTRATIONS --- p.58
APPENDICES --- p.77
BIBOGRAPHY --- p.80
"Extreme value analysis of Hong Kong's stock market." 2000. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5890390.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2000.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 81-83).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1
Chapter 2 --- Overview of Hong Kong Stock Market --- p.3
Chapter 2.1 --- Stock Exchange of Hong Kong --- p.3
Chapter 2.2 --- Hang Seng Index --- p.4
Chapter 2.3 --- Influences of the United States --- p.5
Chapter 2.4 --- Hong Kong Government's Intervention --- p.6
Chapter 3 --- Literature Review --- p.8
Chapter 3.1 --- Stable and Student t Distributions --- p.8
Chapter 3.2 --- Generalized Distribution --- p.10
Chapter 3.3 --- Socio-economic Model --- p.11
Chapter 3.4 --- Extreme Value Analysis --- p.11
Chapter 4 --- Methodology --- p.14
Chapter 4.1 --- Homogeneous Model --- p.15
Chapter 4.2 --- Inhomogeneous Model --- p.15
Chapter 4.3 --- Model Validity --- p.16
Chapter 4.3.1 --- Exceedance Rate --- p.17
Chapter 4.3.2 --- Distribution of Excesses --- p.17
Chapter 4.3.3 --- Independence --- p.18
Chapter 5 --- Data --- p.19
Chapter 5.1 --- Minute-by-minute Returns --- p.20
Chapter 5.2 --- Daily returns --- p.21
Chapter 5.3 --- Explanatory Variables for the Inhomogeneous Model --- p.21
Chapter 6 --- Empirical Results: Minute-by-minute Returns --- p.24
Chapter 6.1 --- Shape Parameter k --- p.24
Chapter 6.2 --- Location Parameter μ --- p.25
Chapter 6.3 --- Scale Parameter σ --- p.26
Chapter 6.4 --- Conditional Scale Parameter ψ --- p.27
Chapter 6.5 --- Specification Test --- p.29
Chapter 7 --- Empirical Results: Daily Returns --- p.29
Chapter 7.1 --- Homogeneous Model --- p.30
Chapter 7.2 --- Inhomogeneous Model --- p.31
Chapter 7.2.1 --- Constant Term --- p.32
Chapter 7.2.2 --- Dow Jones Industrial Average Returns --- p.33
Chapter 7.2.3 --- Volatility Indicators --- p.34
Chapter 7.2.4 --- Monday Dummy --- p.35
Chapter 7.2.5 --- Time Trend --- p.36
Chapter 7.2.6 --- Duration Dummy --- p.37
Chapter 7.2.7 --- Indicator for the Behavior of the Previous Trading Day --- p.38
Chapter 8 --- Conclusion --- p.39
"Fisher hypothesis, international stock return differentials and inflation differentials." 2000. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5890410.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2000.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 45-48).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
Abstract --- p.ii
Acknowledgement --- p.iv
Chapter Chapter 1. --- Introduction --- p.1
Chapter Chapter 2. --- Literature Review --- p.4
Chapter 2.1. --- The Fisher Hypothesis --- p.4
Chapter 2.2. --- International Fisher Equation --- p.11
Chapter Chapter 3. --- Theoretical Basis on The Link Between Stock Return Differential and Inflation Rate Differential --- p.15
Chapter Chapter 4. --- Data Description --- p.19
Chapter Chapter 5. --- Results --- p.23
Chapter 5.1. --- Does The Generalized Fisher Hypothesis Hold In The Long Horizons --- p.24
Chapter 5.2. --- Does International Fisher Equation Hold --- p.29
Chapter 5.3. --- Can International Elements Account For The Failure of Fisher Hypothesis --- p.36
Chapter Chapter 6. --- Conclusion --- p.43
Bibliography --- p.45
Appendix A --- p.49
Chapter A.1. --- The link between interest rate differential and inflation rate differential --- p.49
Chapter A.2. --- Instrumental Variable Estimation --- p.53
Appendix B --- p.59
Chapter B.1. --- Hong Kong CPI(A) Source --- p.59
Chapter B.2. --- Taiwan CPI Source --- p.61
LIST OF TABLES
Table 4.1: Data Description --- p.21
Table 4.2: Means and Standard Deviations of Inflation and Stock Returns --- p.22
Table 5.1: Short-term (One Year) Test on Fisher Hypothesis on Stock Returns --- p.26
Table 5.2: Long-term (Five Years) Test on Fisher Hypothesis on Stock Returns --- p.27
Table 5.3: Long-term (Ten Years) Test on Fisher Hypothesis on Stock Returns --- p.30
Table 5.4: Short-term (One Year) Test For International Fisher Equation on Stock Returns --- p.33
Table 5.5: Long-term (Five Years) Test For International Fisher Equation on Stock Returns --- p.34
Table 5.6: Long-term (Ten Years) Test For International Fisher Equation on Stock Returns --- p.35
Table 5.7: Testing Effects of International Elements on The Fisher Hypothesis --- p.39
Table 5.8: Regression Results For The Coefficients of Domestic Inflation With and Without International Elements --- p.40
Rahman, Md Arifur, University of Western Sydney, College of Business, and School of Economics and Finance. "On the information content of idiosyncratic equity return variation." 2007. http://handle.uws.edu.au:8081/1959.7/20115.
Full textDoctor of Philosophy (PhD)
"Asset price determination in the presence of noise traders: a reaction approach." 2000. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5890411.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2000.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 109-110).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
Abstract --- p.i
Acknowledgement --- p.iii
Table of Contents --- p.iv
List of Notations --- p.vi
List of Propositions --- p.vii
List of Figures --- p.viii
List of Appendices --- p.x
Chapter Chapter 1. --- Introduction - The Reaction Approach --- p.1
Chapter Chapter 2. --- Assumption for OLG Model --- p.7
Chapter 2.1 --- Assumption A --- p.7
Chapter Chapter 3. --- Equilibrium Conditions Without Fundamental Risk --- p.9
Chapter 3.1 --- Price as a Weighted Average --- p.9
Chapter 3.2 --- Determination of A and B --- p.11
Chapter 3.2.1 --- Assumption B --- p.12
Chapter 3.2.2 --- RE Line and NE Line --- p.13
Chapter 3.2.3 --- Equilibrium values of A and B --- p.14
Chapter 3.3 --- Rational Expectation on Price Variance (RV Line) --- p.16
Chapter 3.4 --- Noisy Expectation on Price Variance (NV Line) --- p.18
Chapter 3.4.1 --- DeLong's Model --- p.19
Chapter 3.4.2 --- Bhushan's Model --- p.21
Chapter 3.5 --- Change in Relative Perceived Variance --- p.23
Chapter 3.5.1 --- General Problem of OLG Model in Noisy Trading --- p.23
Chapter 3.5.2 --- Changes in Noise Traders' Beliefs --- p.24
Chapter 3.5.3 --- "Relative Perceived Price Variance of n, θ" --- p.25
Chapter 3.5.3.1 --- "Effect of Increasing θ on Price Variance, dC/dθ" --- p.26
Chapter 3.5.3.2 --- "Effect of Increasing θ on Expected Price Level, dp/dθ" --- p.27
Chapter Chapter 4. --- Equilibrium Conditions With Fundamental Risk --- p.31
Chapter 4.1 --- Price as a Weighted Average --- p.32
Chapter 4.2 --- Determination of A and B --- p.34
Chapter 4.2.1 --- Assumption C --- p.34
Chapter 4.2.2 --- RE Line and NE Line --- p.35
Chapter 4.2.3 --- Equilibrium values of A and B --- p.36
Chapter 4.3 --- Rational Expectation on return Variance (RV Line) --- p.37
Chapter 4.4 --- Noisy Expectation on Return Variance (NV Line) --- p.40
Chapter 4.4.1 --- De Long's Model --- p.41
Chapter 4.4.2 --- Bhushan's Model --- p.42
Chapter 4.5 --- Change in Relative Perceived Return Variance --- p.45
Chapter 4.5.1 --- Specification of Noisy Expectation --- p.46
Chapter 4.5.2 --- Relative Perceived Return Variance of n,Θ --- p.46
Chapter 4.5.2.1 --- "Effect of Increasing Θ on Price Variance, dC/dΘ" --- p.47
Chapter 4.5.2.2 --- "Effect of Increasing Θ on Expected Price Level, dp/dΘ" --- p.48
Chapter 4.6 --- Relative Perceived Price Risk versus Relative Perceived Dividend Risk --- p.52
Chapter Chapter 5. --- Conclusion and Discussion --- p.55
Figures --- p.58
Appendices --- p.86
References --- p.109
"Mispricing of earnings components: empirical evidence from China." Thesis, 2003. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b6073939.
Full textWu Donghui.
"July 2003."
Advisers: In-Mu Haw; James Xie.
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 64-07, Section: A, page: 2551.
Thesis (Ph.D.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2003.
Includes bibliographical references (p. 121-130).
Available also through the Internet via Current research @ Chinese University of Hong Kong under title: Mispricings of earnings components empirical evidence from China.
Electronic reproduction. Hong Kong : Chinese University of Hong Kong, [2012] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web.
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest dissertations and theses, [200-] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web.
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest Information and Learning Company, [200-] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web.
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
School code: 1307.
"Exchange rate variability and the riskiness of US multinational firms: evidence from the Asian turnmoil." 2001. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5890751.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2001.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 122-129).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
ABSTRACT --- p.ii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT --- p.iv
TABLE OF CONTENTS --- p.v
LIST OF FIGURES --- p.vii
LIST OF TABLES --- p.viii
Chapter
Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1
Chapter 1.1 --- Introduction --- p.1
Chapter 1.2 --- Objectives and Motivation --- p.5
Chapter 1.3 --- The Asian Crisis --- p.9
Chapter 1.4 --- Procedures and Findings --- p.18
Chapter 1.5 --- Summary --- p.20
Chapter II. --- LITERATURE REVIEW --- p.21
Chapter 2.1 --- Definition and Determinants --- p.21
Chapter 2.2 --- Measurement Model --- p.25
Chapter 2.3 --- Exchange Rate Fluctuation and Market Value of the Firm --- p.28
Chapter 2.3.1 --- Exchange Rate Fluctuation and Stock Return --- p.28
Chapter 2.3.2 --- Some Problems of the Measurement Model --- p.31
Chapter 2.4 --- Exchange Rate Fluctuation and Market Risk of the Firm --- p.42
Chapter 2.5 --- Summary --- p.45
Chapter III. --- HYPOTHESES,METHODOLOGY & DATA --- p.47
Chapter 3.1 --- Hypotheses --- p.47
Chapter 3.2 --- Research Design --- p.50
Chapter 3.3 --- Sample Selection --- p.56
Chapter 3.3.1 --- Selection of Sample Group --- p.56
Chapter 3.3.2 --- Selection of Control Group --- p.61
Chapter 3.3.3 --- Comparison of Two Groups --- p.62
Chapter 3.4 --- Data and the Measurement of the Variables --- p.64
Chapter 3.5 --- Summary --- p.67
Chapter IV. --- EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND DISCUSSION --- p.68
Chapter 4.1 --- Exchange Rate Variability and Stock Return Volatility --- p.68
Chapter 4.2 --- Exchange Rate Variability and Market Risk --- p.81
Chapter 4.3 --- Interpretations --- p.87
Chapter 4.3.1 --- Phenomenon 1: Cost of Equity and Net Cash Flows --- p.89
Chapter 4.3.2 --- Phenomenon 2: Increased Return Variability and the US Stock Market Return --- p.92
Chapter 4.4 --- Alternative Explanation --- p.96
Chapter 4.5 --- Summary --- p.99
Chapter V. --- CONCLUDING REMARKS --- p.100
APPENDICES
APPENDIX 1. Firm Lists --- p.105
APPENDIX 2. Estimates of CAPM Betas --- p.115
BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.122
"Correlation of returns and volatility among US, Japan, and Asian equity markets." 2001. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5890561.
Full textThesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2001.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 80-86).
ABSTRACT --- p.ii
TABLF OF CONTENTS --- p.iii
LIST OF TABLES --- p.iv
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS --- p.v
Chapter
Chapter I --- INTRODUCTION l --- p.1
Chapter II. --- REVIEW OF LITERATURE --- p.7
Chapter III. --- METHODOLOGY。 --- p.16
Summary Statistics --- p.16
Correlation --- p.21
GARCH Estimation --- p.22
Chapter IV. --- NATIONAL MARKET INDEX AND DATA --- p.31
National Stock Indices and Trading Mechanisms --- p.31
Stock Return Data and Data Transformation --- p.34
Chapter V. --- EMPIRICAL RESULTS --- p.37
Summary Statistics --- p.37
Cross-Correlation --- p.45
GARCH Estimation --- p.51
Chapter VI. --- SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION --- p.75
BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.80
"Real estate and stock returns are indeed correlated: evidence from Hong Kong micro data." 1999. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5890054.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1999.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 64-67).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
Abstract --- p.i
Acknowledgments --- p.iii
Table of Contents --- p.iv
List of Tables --- p.vi
List of Figures --- p.vii
List of Appendices --- p.viii
Chapter Chapter 1. --- Introduction --- p.1
Chapter Chapter 2. --- Background --- p.4
Chapter 2.1 --- The Importance of Real Estate Sector --- p.4
Chapter 2.1.1 --- Employment Sector --- p.5
Chapter 2.1.2 --- Investment Sector --- p.5
Chapter 2.1.3 --- Banking Sector --- p.6
Chapter 2.1.4 --- Government Sector --- p.6
Chapter 2.2 --- Characteristics of the Real Estate Market --- p.7
Chapter 2.3 --- Price Movement --- p.10
Chapter 2.4 --- Major Developer --- p.13
Chapter 2.4.1 --- Sun Hung Kai Properties --- p.15
Chapter 2.5 --- Contribution of Real Estate Sector on Stock Market --- p.16
Chapter 2.6 --- Connection between Real Estate and Stock Market --- p.17
Chapter Chapter 3. --- Literature Review --- p.19
Chapter Chapter 4. --- Methodology --- p.24
Chapter 4.1 --- The Model --- p.24
Chapter 4.2 --- Variables Used --- p.27
Chapter 4.3 --- Sources of Data --- p.29
Chapter Chapter 5. --- Empirical Findings --- p.30
Chapter Chapter 6. --- Implication --- p.33
Chapter Chapter 7. --- Limitation --- p.35
Chapter Chapter 8. --- Conclusion --- p.37
Tables --- p.39
Figures --- p.48
Appendices --- p.50
Bibliography --- p.64
"Stock return, trading volume, and volatility: an empirical study of Hong Kong." 1998. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5889603.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1998.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 69-75).
Abstract also in Chinese.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS --- p.iii
LIST OF TABLES --- p.iv
LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS --- p.v
CHAPTER
Chapter ONE --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1
Chapter TWO --- REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE --- p.7
Stock Returns and Trading Volume
Volatility
Chapter THREE --- ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS --- p.16
Unit Root Tests
Lag Length Tests
Causality Detection between Two Series
ARCH Modelling
Chapter FOUR --- DATA AND ESTIMATION RESULTS --- p.34
Data
Unit Root Test
Optimal Lag Length
Causality Detection
GARCH Modelling
Chapter FIVE --- CONCLUSION --- p.62
APPENDIX --- p.67
BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.69
ILLUSTRATIONS --- p.76
"On the profitability of momentum strategies and relative strength indexes in the international equity markets." 2003. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5891653.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2003.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 70-71).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
Chapter 1. --- Introduction and Literature Review --- p.1
Chapter 2. --- Methodology --- p.4
Chapter A. --- Momentum Strategies
Chapter B. --- Relative Strength Indexes
Chapter 3. --- Data --- p.13
Chapter 4. --- Emirical Findings --- p.15
Chapter A. --- Momentum Strategies
Chapter B. --- Relative Strength Indexes
Chapter 5. --- Conclusion --- p.37
Chapter 6. --- Tables --- p.39
Chapter 7. --- Bibliograhy --- p.70
Kola, Katlego Violet. "Macroeconomic risks and REITs : a comparative analysis." Thesis, 2016. https://hdl.handle.net/10539/23850.
Full textPurpose - The paper provides an investigation of the relationship of macroeconomic risk factors and REITs. The study considers the conditional volatilities of macroeconomic variables on the excess returns and conditional variance of excess returns in developing and developed markets and provides a comparison thereof. Methodology approach - The study employs three-step approach estimation in the methodology (Principal Component Analysis, GARCH (1,1) and GMM) to estimate the asset pricing model. The preliminary study indicated that there are only two developing economies (Bulgaria and South Africa), as defined by National Association of Real Estate Investment Trust (NAREIT), with REIT indices. We additionally included the United States as the developed economy. Findings – Our results indicate that the real economy and business cycles (proxied by GDP growth rate and industrial production index), price stability (proxied by the GDP deflator), exchange rates and interest rates do not explain developing country REIT returns represented by Bulgaria and South Africa, as well as in developed markets, represented by the US. However unlike the developing markets, changes in industrial production and inflation are important variables that affect the conditional variance of REIT returns in the US.
GR2018
Tsai, Shine-Yi, and 蔡憲毅. "Newly listed stocks,forecasting models of breakdown of IPO price and diverse type rate-of-return." Thesis, 1997. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/80386736802441590990.
Full text淡江大學
國際貿易學系
85
In Taiwan stock market,the newly listed stocks are the investors'''' favorite targets owing to exist the"honey moon" effect.However in the recent years,there were many newly listed stocks broken down its initial public offering(IPO)prices .So ,the main objective of this paper is tring to find some investing guideline through empirical study in order to handle the behavior of investing in the newly listed stocks. The reaserching period of this paper is divided into two periods.The establishment period of forecasting model is from 1987 to 1995,and the testing preiod is the whole year of 1996.In this study ,first we adopt "stepwise regression" to establish forecasting models of the breakdown of IPO prices of the newly listed stocks accroding to different attributions.Second, we test the performance of seven forecasting models over the newly listed stocks of 1996.Finally,we choice the best model to analyze the relations between the rate of premium(discount) of IPO prices and the different kinds of duration return.The main resurts of this paper include:1.The newly listed stocks IPO prices become more easy to breakdown duringthe bearish period of 1996.After the middle of march , the"honey moon"effect restarted under the stimulus of bullish market.2. We have contemplate four different attributions in the establishment of forecasting models.Those attributions can effectively capture the behavior of the breakdown of IPO prices in our testing period.3.Accroding to the testing results of seven forecasting models,the best modles are the modle 1 and modle 7.So, when investors want to invest in the newly listed stocks,we recommend that the key points should be the following two factors:a.If investors try to establish forecasting models of the breakdown of IPO prices with different duration,to extend the duration will increse the predictive power of the econometric model.b.Investors must to perceive the finacial statement about the formula in establishing IPO prices in public issue communigue .Investors can pierce the powerful stockholders attitude to IPO price which will affect the supportability of price of the newly listed stocks.4. Accroding to the result of correlation coefficient analysis,we recommendinvestors should invest in those newly listed stocks with higher degree of premium of IPO prices .
"Value-at-risk analysis of portfolio return model using independent component analysis and Gaussian mixture model." 2004. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5892248.
Full textThesis submitted in: August 2003.
Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2004.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 88-92).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
Abstract --- p.ii
Acknowledgement --- p.iv
Dedication --- p.v
Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1
Chapter 1.1 --- Motivation and Objective --- p.1
Chapter 1.2 --- Contributions --- p.4
Chapter 1.3 --- Thesis Organization --- p.5
Chapter 2 --- Background of Risk Management --- p.7
Chapter 2.1 --- Measuring Return --- p.8
Chapter 2.2 --- Objectives of Risk Measurement --- p.11
Chapter 2.3 --- Simple Statistics for Measurement of Risk --- p.15
Chapter 2.4 --- Methods for Value-at-Risk Measurement --- p.16
Chapter 2.5 --- Conditional VaR --- p.18
Chapter 2.6 --- Portfolio VaR Methods --- p.18
Chapter 2.7 --- Coherent Risk Measure --- p.20
Chapter 2.8 --- Summary --- p.22
Chapter 3 --- Selection of Independent Factors for VaR Computation --- p.23
Chapter 3.1 --- Mixture Convolution Approach Restated --- p.24
Chapter 3.2 --- Procedure for Selection and Evaluation --- p.26
Chapter 3.2.1 --- Data Preparation --- p.26
Chapter 3.2.2 --- ICA Using JADE --- p.27
Chapter 3.2.3 --- Factor Statistics --- p.28
Chapter 3.2.4 --- Factor Selection --- p.29
Chapter 3.2.5 --- Reconstruction and VaR Computation --- p.30
Chapter 3.3 --- Result and Comparison --- p.30
Chapter 3.4 --- Problem of Using Kurtosis and Skewness --- p.40
Chapter 3.5 --- Summary --- p.43
Chapter 4 --- Mixture of Gaussians and Value-at-Risk Computation --- p.45
Chapter 4.1 --- Complexity of VaR Computation --- p.45
Chapter 4.1.1 --- Factor Selection Criteria and Convolution Complexity --- p.46
Chapter 4.1.2 --- Sensitivity of VaR Estimation to Gaussian Components --- p.47
Chapter 4.2 --- Gaussian Mixture Model --- p.52
Chapter 4.2.1 --- Concept and Justification --- p.52
Chapter 4.2.2 --- Formulation and Method --- p.53
Chapter 4.2.3 --- Result and Evaluation of Fitness --- p.55
Chapter 4.2.4 --- Evaluation of Fitness using Z-Transform --- p.56
Chapter 4.2.5 --- Evaluation of Fitness using VaR --- p.58
Chapter 4.3 --- VaR Estimation using Convoluted Mixtures --- p.60
Chapter 4.3.1 --- Portfolio Returns by Convolution --- p.61
Chapter 4.3.2 --- VaR Estimation of Portfolio Returns --- p.64
Chapter 4.3.3 --- Result and Analysis --- p.64
Chapter 4.4 --- Summary --- p.68
Chapter 5 --- VaR for Portfolio Optimization and Management --- p.69
Chapter 5.1 --- Review of Concepts and Methods --- p.69
Chapter 5.2 --- Portfolio Optimization Using VaR --- p.72
Chapter 5.3 --- Contribution of the VaR by ICA/GMM --- p.76
Chapter 5.4 --- Summary --- p.79
Chapter 6 --- Conclusion --- p.80
Chapter 6.1 --- Future Work --- p.82
Chapter A --- Independent Component Analysis --- p.83
Chapter B --- Gaussian Mixture Model --- p.85
Bibliography --- p.88
Ogotseng, Onthatile Tiny. "Stock returns behaviour and the pricing of volatility in Africa's equity markets." Thesis, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10539/23050.
Full textMT2017
"Improved estimation of Markowitz efficient portfolios." 2008. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5893758.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2008.
Includes bibliographical references (p. 79-83).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1
Chapter 2 --- Basic Concepts in Portfolio Theory --- p.8
Chapter 2.1 --- Statistical Model --- p.8
Chapter 2.2 --- Mean-Variance Optimization --- p.9
Chapter 2.3 --- The Efficient Frontier --- p.11
Chapter 2.4 --- The Tangency Portfolio and The Capital Market Line --- p.13
Chapter 2.5 --- Mathematical Formulation of Portfolio Optimization --- p.17
Chapter 3 --- Derivation of The Improved Estimator --- p.29
Chapter 4 --- Simulation Study --- p.40
Chapter 4.1 --- Procedure of Simulation --- p.40
Chapter 4.2 --- Simulation Results --- p.46
Chapter 4.2.1 --- Zero Correlation --- p.47
Chapter 4.2.2 --- Positive Correlations --- p.50
Chapter 4.2.3 --- Negative Correlations --- p.52
Chapter 5 --- Conclusion and Future Direction --- p.56
Chapter A --- Simulation results for p = 200 --- p.58
Chapter B --- Simulation results for p = 400 --- p.61
Chapter C --- Simulation results for p = 500 --- p.64
Chapter D --- Simulation results for p = 200 with negative correlations --- p.67
Chapter E --- Simulation results for p = 400 with negative correlations --- p.71
Chapter F --- Simulation results for p = 500 with negative correlations --- p.75
Bibliography --- p.79
"Stock return volatility of emerging markets." 1998. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5896256.
Full textThesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1998.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 54-55).
Acknowledgements --- p.i
Abstract --- p.iii
Table of Contents --- p.iv
List of Tables --- p.vi
List of Appendix --- p.vii
Chapter Chapter1 --- Introduction --- p.1
Chapter 1.1 --- Project Objective --- p.1
Chapter 1.2 --- Project Structure --- p.2
Chapter 1.3 --- Data --- p.3
Chapter Chapter 2 --- Emerging Markets´ؤ-An Overview --- p.5
Chapter 2.1 --- Latin America --- p.5
Argentina --- p.5
Brazil --- p.7
Chile --- p.7
Colombia --- p.8
Mexico --- p.8
Peru --- p.9
Venezuela --- p.9
Chapter 2.2 --- Eastern Europe --- p.10
Czech Republic --- p.10
Poland --- p.10
Slovakia --- p.11
Hungary --- p.11
Russia --- p.11
Chapter 2.3 --- Middle East --- p.12
Israel --- p.12
Jordan --- p.12
Chapter 2.4 --- Implication For Further Analysis --- p.13
Chapter Chapter 3 --- Analysis and Findings I: Descriptive Statistics Analysis --- p.14
Chapter 3.1 --- Objective of Descriptive Statistic Analysis --- p.14
Chapter 3.2 --- Findings --- p.16
Eastern Europe --- p.16
Latin America --- p.16
Middle East --- p.17
Chapter 3.3 --- Conclusion --- p.18
Chapter Chapter 4 --- Analysis and Findings II: Day-of-the- Week (Monday effect) Test --- p.19
Chapter 4.1 --- Objective --- p.19
Chapter 4.2 --- Literature Review --- p.19
Chapter 4.3 --- Methodology --- p.21
Chapter 4.4 --- Data --- p.23
Chapter 4.5 --- Analysis --- p.24
Chapter 4.6 --- Empirical findings --- p.25
Chapter I. --- The equality of return test --- p.25
Eastern Europe --- p.26
Latin America --- p.26
Middle East --- p.26
Overall --- p.27
Local currency versus US currency --- p.27
Chapter II. --- Comparison of Monday return with returns of other days within the week --- p.27
Chapter l. --- Without exchange rate effect --- p.28
Chapter 4.7 --- Monday effect一-an overview --- p.31
Comparison by region --- p.31
Eastern Europe --- p.31
Latin America --- p.31
Middle East --- p.32
The effect of exchange rate --- p.32
Chapter Chapter 5 --- Analysis And Findings III: Correlation Analysis --- p.33
Chapter 5.1 --- Literature Review --- p.33
Chapter 5.2 --- Objective --- p.35
Chapter 5.3 --- Methodology --- p.35
Chapter 5.4 --- Findings --- p.38
Chapter I --- Correlations Within Regions --- p.38
Eastern Europe --- p.33
Latin America --- p.40
Middle East --- p.42
Chapter II. --- Correlation Among Regions --- p.43
Eastern Europe vs. Latin America --- p.43
Latin America vs. Middle East --- p.44
Eastern Europe vs. Middle East --- p.45
Chapter III. --- Correlations with the United States --- p.46
US vs. Eastern Europe --- p.46
US vs. Latin America --- p.46
US vs. Middle East --- p.47
Chapter 5.5 --- Conclusion --- p.43
Chapter Chapter 6 --- Conclusions and Implications --- p.49
Implications on market integration --- p.52
BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.54
APPENDIX --- p.56
Chandrashekar, Satyajit. "Three new perspectives for testing stock market efficiency." Thesis, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/2152/3757.
Full text"Hong Kong property market: the correlation between the trading volume and the rate of return." 2000. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5890478.
Full textThesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2000.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 187-188).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
Abstract --- p.i
Acknowledgements --- p.iii
Table of Contents --- p.iv
List of Chosen Samples Results --- p.v
List of Tables --- p.vi
List of Figures --- p.vii
Chapter Chapter 1. --- Introduction --- p.1
Chapter Chapter 2. --- Literature Review --- p.4
Chapter 2.1 --- Real Estate Literature --- p.4
Chapter 2.2 --- Financial Literature --- p.8
Chapter Chapter 3. --- Methodology --- p.15
Chapter 3.1 --- Augmented Dickey Fuller Test --- p.15
Chapter 3.2 --- Band-Pass Filter --- p.18
Chapter Chapter 4. --- Data Description --- p.20
Chapter Chapter 5. --- Empirical Results --- p.23
Chapter 5.1 --- Contemporaneous Correlation --- p.24
Chapter 5.2 --- Results after Band-Pass Filtering --- p.26
Chapter 5.3 --- Lead-lag Relationship Analysis --- p.30
Chapter Chapter 6. --- Conclusion --- p.35
Appendix 1. Variable Definition --- p.38
Appendix 2. Limitation --- p.41
Appendix 3. Results of Chosen Samples --- p.45
Appendix 4. Tables --- p.54
Appendix 5. Figures --- p.109
Bibliography --- p.187
Mabuzane, Belinda K. "Modelling return on marketing in the South African banking sector." Thesis, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10539/22159.
Full textIn today‟s increasingly dynamic and competitive markets, organizations are continuously pressurized to meet financial targets in order to realise company goals in an efficient and effective manner. The banking sector in South Africa has, for a very long time, operated in a predominantly oligopoly market, however, due to increasing pressure from new entrants like Capitec Bank, there has been a shift of focus to ensuring long term profitability and competitiveness as the new entrants are constantly implementing strategies that cause customer switching. The literature reveals that long-term profitability requires that a firm implements sustainable development projects to ensure long-term profitability. However, many of the profitability models in use today do not have a variable for sustainable development and yet it is a key factor in drawing returns on investment. This study adopts the South African banking sector and investigates the applicability of Rust, Lemon and Zeithaml‟s (2004) return on investment model for the various initiatives that the banks have implemented. From qualitative research with the banks, it was found that sustainable development forms a large part of the annual budget with the aim of improving the brand perceptions and increasing the likelihood of customer retention and attraction. However, the results from the bank‟s customers reveal that the initiatives being sponsored by the banks have very little effect on their decision to switch or remain banking with a specified bank. Basic customer satisfaction techniques like clear communication and customer care still outweigh any corporate initiative like sponsoring the local soccer league thus although these initiatives do benefit to keep the brand name in customer‟s minds, they do less in realising returns. The model reveals a technique to quantify return on investment taking into account factors like sustainable development and it was found that the model is applicable and useful in a South African setting. Recommendations include applying the model to gauge not only the possibility of returns but also how much a company can expect to receive after investing a specified amount of money on any initiative. This model will be very useful for planning especially for capital intensive projects as the current economic environment cannot accommodate for misappropriation of funds.
MT2017