Journal articles on the topic 'Stock Returns'
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1
Miasary, Seftina Diyah. "PENERAPAN VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE (VAR) DALAM MEMPREDIKSI RETURN SAHAM DI INDONESIA." Jurnal Edukasi dan Sains Matematika (JES-MAT) 8, no. 2 (September 30, 2022): 171–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.25134/jes-mat.v8i2.6225.
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The rate of return (return) and risk are inseparable in investing activities. One equilibrium model that describes the relationship between return and risk assumes that the expected return is influenced by more than one macroeconomic factor. Furthermore, the causal relationship between stock returns and macroeconomic factor returns was analyzed using VAR. The application of VAR in this study is to predict stock returns through the stages of checking data stationarity, determining the optimal lag length, testing Granger causality between variables, estimating VAR model parameters and Portmanteau diagnostic tests, and predicting stock returns. The results show that the VAR (1) model is the most appropriate model to describe the relationship between stock returns and macroeconomic factor returns with a significant model owned by BBCA, ICBP, INTP, KLBF, and SMGR stocks. Furthermore, the VAR (1) model is used to predict the five stock returns. The prediction results show that INTP's stock returns are negative while the returns of the other four stocks are positive. This shows that INTP shares experienced a capital loss, while the stock returns of BBCA, ICBP, KLBF, and SMGR experienced capital gains
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Zevallos, Mauricio, and Carlos del Carpio. "Metal Returns, Stock Returns and Stock Market Volatility." Economia 38, no. 75 (August 1, 2015): 101–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.18800/economia.201501.003.
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Given the extensive participation of mining stocks in the Peruvian stock market, the Lima Stock Exchange (BVL) provides an ideal setting for exploring both the impact of metal returns on mining stock returns and stock market volatility, and the comovements between mining stock returns and metal returns. This research is a first attempt to explore these issues using international metal prices and the prices of the most important mining stocks on the BVL and the IGBVL index. To achieve this, we use univariate GARCH models to model individual volatilities, and the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) method and multivariate GARCH models with time-varying correlations to model comovements in returns. We found that Peruvian mining stock volatilities mimic the behavior of metal volatilities and that there are important correlation levels between metals and mining stock returns. In addition, we found time-varying correlations with distinctive behavior in different periods, with rises potentially related to international and local historical events.
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Monita, Sonya Dwi. "Pengaruh Return On Equity dan Debt To Equity Ratio terhadap Return Saham dengan Price To Book Value sebagai Variabel Intervening." Journal of Business and Economics (JBE) UPI YPTK 7, no. 3 (September 26, 2022): 402–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.35134/jbeupiyptk.v7i3.191.
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This study aims to determine the effect of Return On Equity (ROE) and Debt Equity Ratio (DER) on stock returns with Price To Book Value (PBV) as an intervening variable in Manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange 2017-2021. The sample in this study was taken by purposive sampling method on manufacturing stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange 2017-2021. The number of samples used as many as 118 companies. The analytical method of this research is using multiple linear regression analysis method. The results of this study indicate that Return On Equity (ROE) has a significant effect on Price To Book Value (PBV), Debt Equity Ratio (DER) has a significant effect on Price To Book Value (PBV), Return On Equity (ROE) has a significant effect on Return Stocks, Debt Equity Ratio (DER) is not significant on Stock Returns, Price To Book Value (PBV) has a significant effect on Stock Returns, Return On Equity (ROE) does not mediate on stock returns through Price To Book Value (PBV) as an intervening variable, Debt Equity Ratio (DER) does not mediate stock returns through Price To Book Value (PBV) as an intervening variable in Manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange 2017-2021
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Vidović, Jelena. "Risk-return-volume causality on the Croatian stock market." Ekonomski vjesnik 37, no. 1 (2024): 79–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.51680/ev.37.1.6.
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Purpose: Causality between stock returns, volatility and traded volume for 10 most liquid stocks from Zagreb Stock Exchange (ZSE) is examined in this paper. Methodology: The paper relies on historical daily data regarding return, standard deviation and turnover for the period from 2015 to 2021. Vector Autoregressive Models (VARs) were estimated for each stock in-dividually. Based on estimated VAR models, Granger-causality tests were performed to estimate causality between trading volume, stock returns and volatility for most liquid stocks from the Croatian stock market. Results: Results strongly confirm that traded volume Granger causes volatility. Return remained irrelevant in terms of predicting traded volume and volatility of stock returns. Conclusion: Causality from return to volatility or causality from volatility to return can be confirmed only in shorter periods. Traded volume causes volatility for the majority of stocks regardless of how volatility was calculated. Causality from volatility to return and causality from volatility to volume are valid for half of the sample and need to be further investigated.
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WONG, HOCK TSEN. "REAL EXCHANGE RATE RETURNS AND REAL STOCK PRICE RETURNS IN THE STOCK MARKET OF MALAYSIA." Singapore Economic Review 64, no. 05 (December 12, 2016): 1319–49. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0217590816500387.
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This study examines the relationships between real exchange rate returns and real stock price returns in the stock market of Malaysia. The Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt and Shin (KPSS) and Dickey and Fuller (DF) unit root test statistics show that all the variables examined are found to be stationary in the first differences. The constant conditional correlation (CCC)-multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) model shows that real exchange rate return of Malaysian ringgit against the United States dollar (RM/USD) and real stock price return of Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) are found to be negative and significantly correlated. However, there is insignificant correlation between real exchange rate return of Malaysian ringgit against Japanese Yen (RM/¥) and real stock price return of KLCI. Moreover, the CCC-MGARCH models show that real exchange rate returns and real stock price returns of some stocks are found to be significantly correlated. The KPSS unit root test statistics show that the time invariant conditional variances of real exchange rate returns and real stock price returns are mostly found to be stationary in the levels. There is no evidence of Granger causality between the time invariant conditional variances of real exchange rate returns and real stock price return of KLCI but some evidence of Granger causality between the time invariant conditional variances of real exchange rate returns and real stock price returns. There is a link between the exchange rate market and the stock market in Malaysia but not every real stock price return is significantly linked with real exchange rate return.
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Kim, Dongnyoung, and Tih Koon Tan. "Ex-post stock return behaviour of corporate restructurings and corporate control." Review of Accounting and Finance 15, no. 4 (November 14, 2016): 484–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/raf-05-2015-0066.
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Purpose This paper aims to investigate the correlation between stock returns of the parent and newly created entity and the degree of return skewness in parents in the three different corporate restructurings. Design/methodology/approach Using a sample of spin-offs, equity carve-outs and tracking stocks, ordinary least squares regression is used to test the relationship between stock return correlation as well as stock return skewness and the type of corporate restructurings. Findings Tracking stock offering has the largest correlation in stock returns, whereas spin-off has the least correlation in stock returns. Also, the result from the skewness test is not consistent with the hypothesis that the stock returns skewness is positively related to the degree of ownership and control. Originality/value This is one of the few papers looking at the three corporate restructurings and their return skewness.
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Lumban Batu, Leon Franciscus, Rina Br Bukit, and Narumondang Bulan Siregar. "Return on Equity, Cash Ratio & Debt Equity Ratio Affect Stock Returns in the Banking Industry Listed on the IDX With Non-Performing Loans as a Moderating Variable." International Journal of Research and Review 10, no. 7 (July 28, 2023): 867–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.52403/ijrr.202307101.
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This study aims to determine the effect of return on equity, cash ratio and debt to equity ratio on stock returns in the banking industry listed on the IDX with non-performing loans as a moderating variable. The research design used is the simple design method. The population used in this study are banking companies listed on the Indonesia stock exchange for the 2016-2021 period, with a total sample of 26 companies using 156 data samples. The data analysis technique used is panel data analysis using the e-views program. The results of the study show that Return on equity has a positive and insignificant effect on stock returns, Cash ratio has a negative and significant effect on stock returns, Debt to equity ratio has a positive and insignificant effect on Return, Non-performing loans cannot moderate the effect of return on equity on returns stocks, non-performing loans cannot moderate the effect of cash ratio on stock returns and non-performing loans cannot moderate the effect of debt to equity ratio on stock returns. Keywords: Return on Equity, Cash Ratio and Debt to Equity Ratio, Stock Return, Non-Performing Loan
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Heny Sidanti and Annisa Istikhomah. "The Effect Of Stock Price, Share Return, Share Trading Volume, And Return Variant On Bid-Ask Spread On Textile And Garment Companies Listed On The Indonesia Stock Exchange, 2019-2020." International Journal of Science, Technology & Management 2, no. 4 (July 23, 2021): 1357–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.46729/ijstm.v2i4.269.
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This study aims to obtain empirical evidence of the effect of Stock Price, Stock Return, Stock Trading Volume, and Return Variant on the Bid-Ask Spread of Stocks in Textile and Garment Companies Listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2019-2020. The stock price used is the stock price recorded at the end of each closing period (closing price), stock returns are measured using the difference between returns on the research day and before the study divided by returns on the day before the study, stock trading volume is measured by the number of shares traded at the time of the study. t is divided by the number of shares outstanding at the time of the study, the variance of stock returns is measured using the standard deviation, and the bid-ask spread is measured by the difference between the selling price and the purchase price divided by the difference between the selling price and the purchase price divided by two. The population in this study is 17 textile and garment companies listed on the IDX. Based on the purposive sampling method, a sample of 16 companies was obtained with 309 data. This research data is obtained from the company's monthly data from 2019 to 2020. The results of the analysis show that stock prices and stock trading volumes affect the bid-ask spread, while stock returns and return variances do not affect the bid-ask spread. Meanwhile, simultaneously, stock prices, stock returns, stock trading volume, and return variance affect the bid-ask spread. This research data is obtained from the company's monthly data from 2019 to 2020. The results of the analysis show that stock prices and stock trading volume affect the bid-ask spread, while stock returns and return variances do not affect the bid-ask spread. Meanwhile, simultaneously, stock prices, stock returns, stock trading volume, and return variance affect the bid-ask spread. This research data is obtained from the company's monthly data from 2019 to 2020. The results of the analysis show that stock prices and stock trading volumes affect the bid-ask spread, while stock returns and return variances do not affect the bid-ask spread. Meanwhile, simultaneously, stock prices, stock returns, stock trading volume, and return variance affect the bid-ask spread.
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Huang, Fangzhou. "The impact of downside risk on UK stock returns." Review of Accounting and Finance 18, no. 1 (February 11, 2019): 53–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/raf-07-2017-0139.
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PurposeThis paper aims to investigate patterns in UK stock returns related to downside risk, with particular focus on stock returns during financial crises.Design/methodology/approachFirst, stocks are sorted into five quintile portfolios based on the relevant beta values (classic beta, downside beta and upside beta, calculated by the moving window approach). Second, patterns of portfolio returns are examined during various sub-periods. Finally, predictive powers of beta and downside beta are examined.FindingsThe downside risk is observed to have a significant positive impact on contemporaneous stock returns and a negative impact on future returns in general. In contrast, an inverse relationship between risk and return is observed when stocks are sorted by beta, contrary to the classic literature. UK stock returns exhibit clear time sensitivity, especially during financial crises.Originality/valueThis paper focuses on the impact of the downside risk on UK stock returns, assessed via a comprehensive sub-period analysis. This paper fills the gap in the existing literature, in which very few studies examine the time sensitivity in relation to the downside risk and the risk-return anomaly in the UK stock market using a long sample period.
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Truong, Loc Dong, H. Swint Friday, and Tran My Ngo. "Market Reaction to Delisting Announcements in Frontier Markets: Evidence from the Vietnam Stock Market." Risks 11, no. 11 (November 16, 2023): 201. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/risks11110201.
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This paper aims to measure the effects of delisting on stock returns for the Vietnam stock market. This study employs a sample of 118 stocks that were compulsorily delisted from the market between January 2011 and December 2021. Using an event study methodology, the empirical findings confirm that the delisting has negative effects on stock returns in the Vietnam stock market. Specifically, results derived from tests show that the average abnormal return of delisted stocks continuously declines during three trading days following the announcement of delisting. Moreover, it is found that the differences in cumulative abnormal returns between post-delisting and pre-delisting periods are significantly negative for all tracking periods. Apart from the negative effect of delisting on stock abnormal returns, we also find that the impact of delisting on stock returns for smaller companies is greater than for bigger companies. These results imply that investors can earn abnormal returns by using delisting information in the Vietnam stock market.
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Lien, Donald, and Li Yang. "Return Autocorrelations on Individual Stocks and Corresponding Futures: Evidence from Australian, Hong Kong, and United Kingdom Markets." Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies 07, no. 03 (September 2004): 397–422. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0219091504000160.
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In this study, we investigate the daily relationships between returns on individual stocks and their corresponding futures contracts in Australian, Hong Kong, and United Kingdom markets. We find that, at the beginning of the life of a futures market, autocorrelation of futures returns is similar to that of individual stock returns. As the market becomes mature, the autocorrelation of futures returns behaves differently from the autocorrelation of stock returns. Through the linkage between return autocorrelations and trading volume, we find that a larger trading volume depresses the return autocorrelation and shrinks the differences of return autocorrelation between stock and its futures. In addition, futures trading volume has more significant impact on the patterns of return autocorrelations than the stock trading volume. The effect is non-linear in the sense that it is much more prominent during high futures trading periods. Summary of these findings suggests that the difference of return autocorrelations between an individual stock and its futures contract is due to low trading activities of futures.
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Peng, Qiyuan. "Research on the Relationship between Trade Volatility, Property Rights and New Energy Stock Returns under the Background of New Energy Industry Development." E3S Web of Conferences 292 (2021): 02017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202129202017.
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The research on the relationship between risk and return of new energy stocks is the focus of financial research. Related research focuses more on the relationship between idiosyncratic fluctuation risk and stock returns. In the Chinese stock market, some Chinese investors clearly prefer stocks with high risk characteristics, which leads to overvalued stocks. However, the short-selling restrictions in the Chinese stock market and the heterogeneity of investors have also led to a significant negative correlation between idiosyncratic volatility and cross-sectional yield. There are many studies on the relationship between idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns, but no consistent conclusions have been drawn, and there is a lack of relevant research on new energy stocks. Therefore. This paper collates the data of 70 listed companies in the new energy and new energy automobile industry from 2017 to 2019, tracks the stock returns of sample companies for 3 years (36 months), and conducts in-depth research on the relationship between idiosyncratic fluctuation risks and new energy stock returns. To further verify and supplement the risk-return relationship of China's new energy stock market and provide a certain basis for the company's decision-making behaviour.
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Amaroh, Siti, and Chanif Nasichah. "Risk-Return Analysis on Optimum Portfolio Selection of Islamic Stocks." Equilibrium: Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah 9, no. 1 (June 4, 2021): 65. http://dx.doi.org/10.21043/equilibrium.v9i1.9433.
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<p><em>This study aims to determine the optimum portfolio category and analyze the risk-return on a formed portfolio. Data was taken from eighteen listed companies indexed by Jakarta Islamic Index during 2015-2018. Stock returns are calculated based on the closing price at the end of each month in the period. Sharia Certificate of Bank Indonesia is a proxy of risk-free return, while the market return is measured by the value of the Jakarta Islamic Index. Stocks are sorted by the value of excess return to beta (ERB) from highest to lowest, and to obtain optimal stock portfolio candidates, and the ERB value must be compared with the cut-off rate value. Seven issuers qualify for forming the optimum portfolio of shares. The results show that the optimum portfolio return is greater than the expected return and the expected risk-free return. When compared between individual stock returns and portfolio stock returns, some individual stocks provide higher returns than portfolio returns. However, the risk of individual shares was also higher than the risk of the portfolio. This finding proves that risk can be reduced optimally in Islamic stocks selection by forming an optimum portfolio.</em></p>
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Cheon, Yong-Ho. "Overnight Returns, Idiosyncratic Volatility, and the Expected Stock Returns." Institute of Management and Economy Research 14, no. 3 (September 30, 2023): 45–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.32599/apjb.14.3.202309.45.
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Purpose - This paper examines whether overnight returns and idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) jointly affects the cross-section of expected stock returns in the Korean stock market.
Design/methodology/approach - Constructing 5x5 bivariate monthly portfolios independently sorted on overnight returns and IVOL, this paper tests whether overpricing of stocks with high overnight returns is more pronounced for the stocks that also have high IVOL. In addition, we also investigate whether time-variation in the degree of overpricing for those stocks can be explained by market volatility.
Findings - Our results show that stocks having both high overnight returns and high IVOL exhibit strong negative returns in the future. In contrast, we are unable to observe such negative returns for the stocks that have high overnight returns and low IVOL. This suggests that overpricing of stocks with high overnight returns is concentrated for the stocks having high IVOL. Moreover, we also find that the degree to which such stocks are overpriced is negatively related to market volatility.
Research implications or Originality - his paper is the first attempt to explore whether degree of overpricing of stocks having high overnight returns is related to IVOL. We also discover time-varying property of overpricing is jointly driven by overnight returns and IVOL. Our results indicate that IVOL might help explain other previously documented stock return anomalies, suggesting interesting topics for future research.
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Tariq, Muhammad. "INVESTIGATING THE NEXUS BETWEEN MUTUAL FUND RETURN AND STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE – EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN STOCK EXCHANGE." IBT Journal of Business Studies 14, no. 1 (2018): 23–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.46745/ilma.jbs.2018.14.01.03.
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This study is aimed to determine the nexus between mutual fund returns and stock market returns in Pakistan. This study adds contribution by testing the causa-effect relation of mutual fund returns and macroeconomic factors on the stock returns in Pakistan. This study is based on Panel data for 10 AMCs operating in Pakistan and macroeconomic factors for the period of 2007 to 2016. The hypothesis testing is based on panel data analysis, therefore the panel regression is applied via PLS, FEM and REM comparison. The study concludes that the there is significant effect of Equity Funds Returns on Stock Return. On the other hand, debt funds return and T-bills have the insignificant impact on Stocks Return. This study recommends influential findings for the policy makers such as equity funds have positive effect on the stock market.
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Chen, Ran. "An empirical study of COVID-19's stock returns to the whole industry in the US stock market." Advances in Economics and Management Research 1, no. 1 (May 18, 2022): 166. http://dx.doi.org/10.56028/aemr.1.1.166.
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Based on the daily stock data of 49 industry classification data in Kenneth R. French database, this paper adopts the Fama-French five-factor model and adopts multiple linear regression method to empirically study the changes of stock return impact factors of 49 us industries before and after COVID-19. The results show that the marginal effects of market risk factors and investment style factors on stock returns weaken, while the marginal effects of market value factors and value factors increase. The influence of profit factor on stock return is not significant. Post-pandemic, the market favors small-cap stocks, value stocks, and conservative portfolios. Specific to the industry level, the small market value and value stock portfolio of the hotel and catering industry bring greater excess returns; The rare metal industry of high market value, growth stock portfolio excess return is greater; Textile industry value stocks, investment style aggressive portfolio to get better returns. Based on this, when the "black Swan" event comes, we should pay attention to grasp the switch of investment style in order to achieve better returns. At the same time, specific to each industry investment strategy should be different.
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Agarwal, Mehul. "Does Investment in Defensive Stocks Act as a Buffer during Market Downturns?" INTERANTIONAL JOURNAL OF SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH IN ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT 08, no. 04 (April 10, 2024): 1–5. http://dx.doi.org/10.55041/ijsrem30553.
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The study examines the performance of defensive stocks during market downturns in the Indian stock market. The research focuses on the period from January 2000 to December 2023. In this study selected stocks from the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) sector (HUL, ITC, Britannia Industries) and Pharma sector (Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries, Dr Reddy Laboratories and Cipla) have been taken into consideration. Five key metrics are covered to assess the stock’s performance: Stock return, Correlation, Beta Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), and Dividend yield. For stock return a comparison is made between stock market return and selected stock return, also the average return of each stock is calculated and compared with the average market return during market downturns. Correlation has been used to understand if there is a relationship between stock returns and nifty returns. Beta has been used to understand the sensitivity of the stock in relation to the market and Compound Annual Growth Rate has been used to analyze the long-term stability of each stock. The average dividend yield is calculated to understand the extra return that an investor can get on his investments on top of capital gain. The study findings revealed that incorporating stocks from the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) and Pharmaceutical (Pharma) sectors protects investors against market downturns, Additionally, the research highlights the long-term stability of returns associated with defensive stocks, making them a valuable component for investors seeking portfolio diversification and a buffer against market fluctuations. Keywords: Defensive Stocks, Market Downturns, Stock Market Return, Beta, CAGR, FMCG, Pharma.
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Hatem, Ben Said. "How Can We Measure Stock Market Returns? An International Comparison." International Business Research 10, no. 5 (April 24, 2017): 121. http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/ibr.v10n5p121.
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The aim of our empirical work is to identify how we can measure stock returns. Stocks returns are approximated as the growth rate of market share price. We use two measures of stocks returns; return on assets, ROA, and return on equity, ROE. As a control variable, we use firm age. Our samples consists of 186 firms from United Kingdom and 186 firms from Ukraine studied over a period of 4 years from 2007 to 2010. To this end, we estimate three models. Using the data panels methodology, we conclude that return on equity approximates better socks returns for United kingdom and Ukraine. We could not however find evidence on a significant association between return on assets and stock returns.
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Eltahir, Yassin Ibrahim, Osama Azmi Sallam, Hussien Omer Osman, and Fethi Klabi. "Does Volatility Generate Major and Minor Stocks in Saudi Stocks Market?" Integrated Journal of Business and Economics 4, no. 1 (January 15, 2020): 14. http://dx.doi.org/10.33019/ijbe.v4i1.239.
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This study attempts to answer the main question: are there reciprocal effects between the variances of the stock returns in the Saudi market, also the answer to a sub-question. What are the leading stocks in the Saudi market?. Study selected a sample of five stocks representing the basic materials, banking, services, food and transport sectors (SABIC, Al Rajhi, Etisalat, Almarai and Al Bahri respectively). The data sample for the period from 2011 to 2016 is taken, which represents the lifespan of the five-year plan. Daily stock returns were calculated during this period. Study applies the M GARCH-VEC methodology to estimate stock return variances and then perform a multiple regression of five equations using the ARCH Heteroscedasticity estimator. Results of the analysis show a positive effect between stock return variances as well as a positive automatic variance of all stocks returns variances. Finally, the results of the regression analysis of the various equations show that the returns variances of SABIC and Al Rajhi stocks have a dominant impact on the rest of the stock's returns. So they are considered as leading stocks in the market. While the variances returns of Etisalat, Almarai and Al Bahri have a limited impact on the rest of the stocks variances returns, so they are considered as minor stocks
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Wildan, Rachmat, Noer Azam Achsani, and Bagus Sartono. "Evaluation of Optimal Stock Portfolio Performance by Grouping Issuers Based on Stock Price Movements." International Journal of Research and Review 9, no. 3 (March 16, 2022): 295–307. http://dx.doi.org/10.52403/ijrr.20220333.
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Stock investment has a high risk, one of which is caused by changes in stock prices that occur in trading on the stock exchange every day, thus affecting the level of stock returns which also changes. Investors will face uncertainty in making choices and evaluating stock performance in the future because the returns obtained are uncertain and depend on the risks that affect it. Risk in investing can be reduced by investing in various types of stocks by forming an optimal stock portfolio. These problems are solved in this study by taking a calculation approach in selecting stocks and determining the optimal portfolio with the advantage of a single index model that can explain the relationship between the returns of each stock and the market index returns to calculate the variance of a stock. portfolio. There are 4 stocks with the largest excess return to beta, namely MEGA, JECC, UNIC, and KICI stocks. Performance measurement in this study was carried out using the Treynor Index, because this index used systematic risk as measured by Beta. Keywords: Single Index Model, Treynor, Dynamic Time Wraping.
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Fu, Jian. "ESG, Stock Returns and Stock Volatility: Evidence from Chinese Listed Companies." SHS Web of Conferences 181 (2024): 02002. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/202418102002.
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Corporate sustainability is the top concern of the whole society, and whether environmental, social, and governance (ESG), as a way to measure corporate sustainability, has an impact on company stock returns and volatility is widely discussed. This article investigates how ESG performance influences the return of stocks and volatility for all A-share companies during the period of 2019 to 2022. The research employs the composite ESG score and the separate E, S, and G scores to evaluate the ESG performance of corporations, and employs regression models to examine the association between ESG score, individual score, and stock returns. Additionally, the study examines how the volatility of the stocks is related to the ESG score and individual score. In the results, the combined ESG score is significantly and negatively related to stock returns. Returns on stocks are significantly negatively influenced by individual E, S, and G scores. Moreover, stock volatility is significantly negatively correlated with the combined ESG score and individual score.
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Larasati, Btari Gavrilla, C. Ambar Pujiharjanto, and Nilmawati Nilmawati. "Analysis Of Stock Return Anomaly On The Indonesia Stock Exchange Based On Market Capitalization." Journal of Business Innovation and Research 2, no. 2 (April 3, 2024): 195. http://dx.doi.org/10.31315/jubir.v2i2.12031.
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There has been a well-known market anomaly in the stock market called the firm size effect. This theory explains that small-cap stocks may provide greater stock returns than big-cap stocks. This research aimed to test the firm size effect theory on 827 stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during January 2 to June 27, 2023. The research sample was divided into big-cap and small-cap categories based on the calculation of average market capitalization, then the average value of stock returns from both categories were statistically compared. The result showed that the average values of stock return from both categories were significantly different, but this finding did not support the hypothesis related to market anomalies, because the result showed that big-cap stocks provide a greater stock return compared to small-cap stocks. However, the top 10 small-cap stocks with the highest return showed a much greater value than the return of big-cap stocks. Therefore, investors may still choose to invest in small-cap stocks, especially for short-term investments.
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Setianingsih, Ailia, Raden Irna Afriani, and Emil Dahlia Wiguna. "PENGARUH DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO, RETURN ON INVESTMENT DAN KEBIJAKAN DEVIDEN SEBAGAI VARIABEL MODERATING TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM." Jurnal Revenue : Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi 1, no. 2 (February 28, 2021): 243–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.46306/rev.v1i2.29.
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Financial ratios provide information about a company's financial performance and are used as a basis for valuing company stocks that are able to provide high rates of return. The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of debt to equy ratio on stock returns, the effect of return on investment on stock returns, whether dividend policy is able to moderate the relationship between debt to equity ratio on stock returns, and find out whether dividend policy is able to moderate the relationship between return on investment on stock returns This research uses quantitative methods. The research sample was taken from 8 property and real estate subsector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015-2019, using 8 purposive sampling techniques. Data collection techniques in this study using secondary data using literature study and documentation. The results of the study are the debt to equity ratio does not significantly influence the stock return with tcount of 0.638 and ttable of 2.026 (0.638 <2.026) with a significance level of 0.528> 0.05. Return on investment does not significantly influence stock returns with a tcount of 1.827 and a table of 2.026 (1.827 <2.026) with a significance level of 0.076> 0.05. Dividend policy is not able to significantly moderate the effect of debt to equity ratio on stock returns. This is indicated by the Rsquare value of the interaction between dividend policy and debt to equity ratio, the results obtained by 0.074 with a significance value of 0.454> 0.05. Dividend policy is not able to significantly moderate the effect of return on investment on stock returns. This is indicated by the Rsquare value of the interaction between dividend policy and return on investment obtained a result of 0.177 with a significance value of 0.355> 0.05. The conclusion in this study is the debt to equity ratio and return on investment does not significantly influence stock returns and dividend policy is not able to significantly moderate the effect of debt to equity ratio and return on investment on stock returns. Keywords: Debt to Equity Ratio, Return On Investment, Dividend Policy, Stock Return
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Rostagno, Luciano Martin, Gilberto De Oliveira Kloeckner, and João Luiz Becker. "Previsibilidade de Retorno das Ações na Bovespa: Um Teste Envolvendo o Modelo de Fator de Retorno Esperado." Brazilian Review of Finance 2, no. 2 (January 1, 2004): 183. http://dx.doi.org/10.12660/rbfin.v2n2.2004.1141.
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This paper examines the hypothesis of asst return predictability in the Brazilian Stock Market (Bovespa). Evidence suggests that seven factors explain most of the monthly differential returns of the stocks included in the sample. Within the factors that present statistically significant mean, two are liquidity factors (market capitalization and trading volume trend), three refer to price level of stocks (dividend to price, dividend to price trend, and cash flow to price), and two relate to price history of stocks (3 and 12 months excess return). Contradicting theoretical assumptions, risk factors present no explanatory power on cross-sectional returns. Using an expected return factor model, it is contended that stock returns are quite predictable. An investment simulation shows that the model is able to assemble portfolios with statistically significant higher returns. Additional tests indicate that the winner portfolios are not fundamentally riskier suggesting mispricing of assets in the Brazilian stock Market.
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Pohan, Hotman Tohir. "ANALISIS PENGARUH PENGETAHUAN, TANGGUNG JAWAB SOSIAL PERUSAHAAN TERHADAP IMBAL HASIL SAHAM SYARIAH DALAM PERSPEKTIP ISLAM DENGAN PENDEKATAN CIRCULAR CAUSATION DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA." JURNAL INFORMASI, PERPAJAKAN, AKUNTANSI, DAN KEUANGAN PUBLIK 9, no. 2 (May 9, 2019): 179. http://dx.doi.org/10.25105/jipak.v9i2.4532.
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<p class="Style1">This research aims to identifr and analyze the influence of knowledge, social responsibility towards sharia stock returns in Bursa Efek Indonesia, with the approach of circular causation, further research in the underlying by differences between conventional and Islamic corporate social responsibility, where circular causation is the approach taken by the interaction between Variabels, namely between knowledge, capital structure, and returns islamic stocks. Results of this research are Islamic stocks negatively affected by corporate social responsibility, and positively influenced by knowledge, while knowledge positively influence corporate social responsibility that serves as an intervening, there is a reciprocal relationship between corporate social responsibility with return of Islamic stocks are corporate social responsibility a negative impact on stock returns syariah, and vice versa sharia stock returns negatively impact on corporate social responsibility, corporate social responsibility does not have a significant influence on stock returns sharia.</p>
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Larasati, Vinny, Hesty JUni Tambuati Subing, and Amin Mansur. "Influence Of Company Performance On Stock Return." Journal of Accounting, Management, and Economics Research (JAMER) 2, no. 1 (July 27, 2023): 50–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.33476/jamer.v2i1.77.
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The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of company performance on stock returns in the consumer goods sector for the period (2016-2020) and its review from an Islamic point of view. Company performance as proxied by variables ROA, CR, DER, TATO and PER. The research method used is quantitative research methods and uses secondary data. The sample used as many as 16 companies through purposive sampling method. The analytical method used is panel data regression analysis technique with a significant level of 5%. The results of this study indicate that: (1) Return on Assets (ROA) has a significant effect on stock returns (2) Current Ratio (CR) has no significant effect on stock returns (3) Debt To Equity Ratio (DER) has no significant effect on return stocks (4) Total Assets Turnover (TATO) has a significant effect on stock returns (5) Price Earnings Ratio (PER) has a significant effect on stock returns (6) ROA, CR, DER, TATO and PER simultaneously have a significant effect on stock returns.
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Solekha, Yasmin Afnan, and Wahid Wachyu Adi Winarto. "Analisis Volatilitas Return Saham Terhadap Risiko Sistematis Dimasa Pandemik Covid-19 pada Saham LQ 45." Jurnal Akuntansi dan Audit Syariah (JAAiS) 1, no. 1 (December 31, 2020): 77–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.28918/jaais.v1i1.3485.
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The Covid-19 pandemic has had a very big impact. All parts of the world are making efforts to prevent the spread of this virus, decisions to lockdown, quarantine areas, or PSBB. Which resulted in delays in the economy and financial markets. Domestic and foreign investors dispose of their funds in order to prevent risks. JCI recorded that in February the price index fell to a level of 3938. Stock prices that tend to be unstable will affect the volatility of returns (fluctuations in the level of returns that will be obtained by investors) and systematic risk (deviations from the outcome of their expected returns). Therefore, a research was conducted to examine the stocks that had been randomly selected on LQ45, namely LPPF, ASII, ANTM, TLKM, and BBRI for the period November 2019-October 2020 through quantitative methods using e views 10, where all data was obtained by secondary literature study. From the stock price, there is a very sharp stock return volatility. The lowest average stock return volatility is in ASII shares valued at -0.006264. Meanwhile, the highest average volatility is ANTM stocks 0.053972. The sharp volatility shows that all five stocks have risks. LPPF, ASII, ANTM, and BBRI stocks have a beta value (risk)> 1 which means the stock is risky. The expected return is higher than the market return. This is also in line with the standard deviation of the LPPF which scores the highest. Meanwhile, TLKM shares have a beta value <1 or the volatility of stock returns is below the market return. This means that stocks have little risk, the expected return is lower than the market return.
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Setianingsih, Ailia. "PENGARUH DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO, RETURN ON INVESTMENT DAN KEBIJAKAN DEVIDEN SEBAGAI VARIABEL MODERATING TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM." Yudishtira Journal : Indonesian Journal of Finance and Strategy Inside 1, no. 1 (April 30, 2021): 1–11. http://dx.doi.org/10.53363/yud.v1i1.1.
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Financial ratios provide information about a company's financial performance and are used as a basis for valuing company stocks that are able to provide high rates of return.
The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of debt to equy ratio on stock returns, the effect of return on investment on stock returns, whether dividend policy is able to moderate the relationship between debt to equity ratio on stock returns, and find out whether dividend policy is able to moderate the relationship between return on investment on stock returns
This research uses quantitative methods. The research sample was taken from 8 property and real estate subsector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015-2019, using 8 purposive sampling techniques. Data collection techniques in this study using secondary data using literature study and documentation.
The results of the study are the debt to equity ratio does not significantly influence the stock return with tcount of 0.638 and ttable of 2.026 (0.638 <2.026) with a significance level of 0.528> 0.05. Return on investment does not significantly influence stock returns with a tcount of 1.827 and a table of 2.026 (1.827 <2.026) with a significance level of 0.076> 0.05. Dividend policy is not able to significantly moderate the effect of debt to equity ratio on stock returns. This is indicated by the Rsquare value of the interaction between dividend policy and debt to equity ratio, the results obtained by 0.074 with a significance value of 0.454> 0.05. Dividend policy is not able to significantly moderate the effect of return on investment on stock returns. This is indicated by the Rsquare value of the interaction between dividend policy and return on investment obtained a result of 0.177 with a significance value of 0.355> 0.05.The conclusion in this study is the debt to equity ratio and return on investment does not significantly influence stock returns and dividend policy is not able to significantly moderate the effect of debt to equity ratio and return on investment on stock returns
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Hanifah, Asri Rula, Betty Subartini, and Sukono Sukono. "Portfolio Analysis Using the Markowitz Model with Stock Lot Constraints and Target Returns or Without Target Returns." International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling 3, no. 4 (November 4, 2022): 161–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.46336/ijqrm.v3i4.358.
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Stock investment activities are inseparable from returns and risk, so an investor needs expertise to minimize investment risk. One way is by forming an optimal portfolio. The purpose of this research is to determine the number of stock lots in the optimal portfolio. This research analyzes the closing prices of stocks during the research period with the criteria of stocks being listed on the IDX30 index consecutively for 20 periods and belonging to the large cap group (the stock market capitalization exceeds $10 billion). Then the number of stock lots is calculated using the Markowitz model with stock lot constraints and target returns or without target returns. From the selected stocks, an optimal portfolio is formed using Microsoft Excel. Based on the research results, a combination of an optimal portfolio with a target return is ASII: 5, BBCA: 10, BBNI: 23, BBRI: 1, BMRI: 23, TLKM: 93, UNVR: 12, where the risk is 0,000149 and the target expected return is 0,00155. Meanwhile, the optimal portfolio without a target return is ASII: 8, BBCA: 7, BBNI: 32, BBRI: 40, BMRI: 9, TLKM: 62, UNVR: 17, where a risk is 0,000147 and the expected return is 0,00148. This research can be used as a consideration for investors in determining investment portfolios.
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BURLACU, RADU, PATRICE FONTAINE, and SONIA JIMENEZ-GARCÈS. "THE "FIRM-SPECIFIC RETURN VARIATION": A MEASURE OF PRICE INFORMATIVENESS OR INFORMATION ASYMMETRY?" Annals of Financial Economics 01, no. 01 (June 2005): 0550004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s2010495205500041.
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This paper investigates the relevancy of the "Firm-Specific Return Variation" (FSRV) as a measure of stock price informativeness. For this purpose, we study the link between FSRV and stock excess returns on the American market over the period 1986–2001. After controlling for size effects, we find a negative and highly significant impact of FSRV on stock returns. The link between FSRV and stock excess returns is robust to asset pricing models and does not capture systematic, size or "book-to-market" (BM) effects. Based on rational expectations equilibrium (REE) models considering asymmetrically informed investors, we suggest that FSRV is a good proxy for price informativeness. Common stocks with higher specific return variation have lower information-risk premium, thus lower expected returns.
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Novriyani, Novriyani. "INFLATION AND INTEREST RATE WITH EXCHANGE AS INTERVENING VARIABLES : ON STOCK RETURN." Jurnal Manajemen dan Bisnis 10, no. 2 (December 31, 2021): 68–79. http://dx.doi.org/10.34006/jmbi.v10i2.350.
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This research aims to find out Interest Rates and Inflation With Exchange Rates As Intervening Variables: Stock Returns. This type of research uses secondary data. The population of manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in 2014-2020. Sampling techniques used purposive sampling. The research population is a company registered with PT. IDX and sample of 8 companies. The data analysis method used is Path Analysis with SPSS. The results explained that inflation has a positive and insignificant effect on stock returns. Interest rates have a positive and insignificant effect on stock returns. Inflation has a positive and significant effect on the exchange rate. Interest rates have a positive and significant effect on the exchange rate. Inflation and return of stocks through exchange rates have a positive and significant effect on the exchange rate. Interest rates and stock returns through exchange rates have a negative and significant effect on the exchange rate. exchange rates have a positive and significant effect on stock returns.
Keywords : Inflation, Interest Rate, Stock Return and Exchange Rate
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Suryani, Ani Wilujeng, and Karina Dian Pertiwi. "Lombok’s Tsunami and Stock Abnormal Returns." Accounting Analysis Journal 10, no. 1 (February 24, 2021): 1–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.15294/aaj.v10i1.42584.
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Natural disaster often brings damage to the economy, including the decrease of stock’s market value. For this reason, this study aims to determine the effect of the tsunami earthquakes in Lombok in 2018 on abnormal returns and cumulative abnormal returns of insurance companies. This study used the event study approach, with three days window period after the three tsunami earthquakes from July to August 2018. The sample of this study is the stock price of 14 insurance companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. To test whether abnormal return exists, a one-sample t-test was used on the average abnormal and cumulative returns. The results show that the tsunami earthquake disasters in Lombok in 2018 have a significant effect on cumulative abnormal returns of insurance companies stocks, and this effect even bigger on the third tsunami. This finding shows that the market reacts to continuous disaster by considering the earthquake as negative information and thus decrease the stock price. This study implies that investors may buy the stocks after the disaster to get a cheaper price or hold the stocks to avoid loss.
Keywords: abnormal return; event study; Lombok tsunami earthquake; signaling theory
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Rabbani, Muhammad Fadhil, and Harjum Muharam. "Value stock and growth stock on Indonesia stock exchange after global crisis." Diponegoro International Journal of Business 1, no. 1 (March 18, 2018): 8. http://dx.doi.org/10.14710/dijb.1.1.2018.8-13.
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This study was conducted to determine whether there are differences between the stock return of value stocks and growth stock in Indonesia before and after the world financial crisis that occurred in 2008. To investigate the difference, the stocks formed into a portfolio that is based on the 2002 calculated in 2002 and 2009 when the world financial crisis has ended. The formation of the portfolio based on stocks that have gone public before 2000 and have the complete data during the study period. For the determination of the categories of stocks used Price-to-Earnings ratio, price-to-book ratio and price-to-cash flow ratio. Shares of stock that has a very high ratio will be eliminate to avoid bias that may occur if the stocks are still included. Similarly, the stocks of which are negative because they do not meet the criteria as a value stock. Then ANOVA test conducted to determine differences in returns and Sharpe ratio on the portfolio which was formed in 2002 and in 2009. Results from this studies are not found differences in returns and Sharpe ratio on both the portfolio. This indicates that the formation of the portfolio by value stocks and growth stock can not be used as a guide to get a high return.
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Bulkley, George, and Vivekanand Nawosah. "Can the Cross-Sectional Variation in Expected Stock Returns Explain Momentum?" Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 44, no. 4 (August 2009): 777–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0022109009990111.
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AbstractIt has been hypothesized that momentum might be rationally explained as a consequence of the cross-sectional variation of unconditional expected returns. Stocks with relatively high unconditional expected returns will on average outperform in both the portfolio formation period and in the subsequent holding period. We evaluate this explanation by first removing unconditional expected returns for each stock from raw returns and then testing for momentum in the resulting series. We measure the unconditional expected return on each stock as its mean return in the whole sample period. We find momentum effects vanish in demeaned returns.
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Qin, Kaiyue. "ESG Rating, Investor Attention, and Stock Returns in China December 2022." Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences 22, no. 1 (September 13, 2023): 305–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/22/20230326.
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We study whether ESG ratings can predict stock returns in China. We find marginal evidence that stocks with higher ESG ratings have lower future returns. In addition, we explore the cross-sectional and timeseries heterogeneities of the relationship between ESG and stock returns. We find the predictability of ESG rating is stronger for stocks in the industries that are important to climate change, and the relationship is only significant after 2018 when climate change is evident to investors in China. Overall, our findings show that investors attention is crucial for the stock return predictability of ESG ratings in China.
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Su, Larry, Elmina Homapour, and Francisco Chiclana. "Short-Sale Constraints and Stock Prices: Evidence from Implementation of Securities Refinancing Mechanism in Chinese Stock Markets." Mathematics 10, no. 17 (September 1, 2022): 3141. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/math10173141.
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Qualified Securities for Short-sale Refinancing (QSSR) is a unique trading mechanism that has exogenously increased the supply of loanable securities in Chinese stock markets. Using difference-in-differences (DID) methodology, this paper is the first to investigate whether and to what extent additions to the QSSR eligibility list affect short selling activities and stock price behaviors. The paper finds that stocks added to the QSSR list exhibit better liquidity and less negative skewness in returns than non-QSSR stocks. However, QSSR stocks are more volatile and display a higher frequency of extreme negative returns. In addition, on average, QSSR stocks experience larger negative abnormal returns (ARs) and cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) relative to non-QSSR stocks, and the difference in CARs is positively related to investor heterogeneity. The results indicate that short selling has mixed effects on stock prices. Removing short-sale constraints can improve liquidity and reduce price bubbles, but can also increase return volatility and amplify market crashes.
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Muhammad Budi, Kiki Farida Ferine, and Suwarno. "Comparative of Stock Prices and Returns Before and After the Stock Split in Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the Period 2010 to 2015." Rowter Journal 1, no. 2 (July 2, 2022): 76–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.33258/rowter.v1i2.679.
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Corporate actions such as stock splits may have a mixed effect on stock price fluctuations and investors' projected returns. As such, this research aims to ascertain the difference in stock prices and returns in firms listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange before preceding and after the stock split. Purposive sampling was used to choose the sample for this study. The study sample was chosen based on firms that split their stocks between 2010 and 2015, and we received data on up to 35 companies. The descriptive statistics and hypothesis testing were studied in this research. The paired sample t-test findings indicate that there was no significant difference in stock returns between 2010 and 2015 for companies listed on Indonesian Stock Exchange. In other words, the lack of this difference is more likely attributable to the market anticipating a higher average return before to the news of the stock split than the average stock return after the announcement of the stock split.
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Latifah, Nadia Amalia, and Nisful Laila. "Pengaruh Return On Equity, Earning Per Share, dan Debt to Equity Ratio Terhadap Return Saham (Studi Pada Emiten Saham Syariah Sektor Properti dan Real Estate Yang Terdaftar di ISSI Tahun (2013-2015)." Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Teori dan Terapan 4, no. 12 (December 15, 2017): 1009. http://dx.doi.org/10.20473/vol4iss201712pp1009-1023.
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Islamic stocks is one of the most preffered investment type by Muslim investors. In the decision making process, the investors have to consider the financial reports and stock analysis. This research aim to investigate the effect of fundamental performance toward stock return property and real estate registered in ISSI in 2013 - 2015. Dependent variable is stock return and the independent variable are Return on Equity, Earning per Share, and Debt to Equity Ratio.The research used quantitative approach using secondary data. This research used panel data regression method.This research collecting data from the annual report from 2013 to 2015. This research used a significance level of 5%.Based on the regression analysis result, it indicate that ROE does not have significant effect to the stock returns. EPS and DER have significant effect to the stock returns. Simultaneously, ROE, EPS and DER have significant effect to the stock returns.
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Costa Jr., Newton Carneiro Affonso da, Roberto Meurer, and César Medeiros Cupertino. "Existe Alguma Relação entre Retornos Contábeis e Retornos do Mercado de Ações no Brasil?" Brazilian Review of Finance 5, no. 2 (January 1, 2007): 233. http://dx.doi.org/10.12660/rbfin.v5n2.2007.1170.
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This paper examines the relationship between accounting and stock market returns of Brazilian companies on a quarterly basis. The sample consisted of 97 companies with stocks traded in the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange from January of 1995 to March of 2007. A Granger causality test was applied to the two return series for each of the sampled companies. The results of the causality tests suggested that there is weak evidence that accounting returns lead stock market returns rather than the reverse.
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Nor Suhaira Jamil, Hamizah Hassan, and Imbarine Bujang. "The Effect of Shari’ah Compliance Announcements on Stock Returns in Malaysia." International Journal of Business and Society 21, no. 1 (April 25, 2021): 217–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.33736/ijbs.3248.2020.
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There are increasing demands and interests in Shari’ah compliant stocks in Malaysia. The identification of Shari’ah compliant stocks is known as Shari’ah screening, which is announced to the public twice a year. Hence, the objective of this study is to investigate whether the announcements provide valuable information and the impact of such announcements on stock returns. This study applies market model to estimate the stock returns. Alternative hypotheses that are being tested are the inclusion (removal) of stocks in (from) the Shari’ah Compliant List give a significant effect on the stock Cumulative Average Abnormal Return (CAAR). Employing the event study methodology in years 2007 –2015, this study provides unambiguous evidence that the inclusion of a stock in the Shari’ah Compliant List has increased the price that lead positive stocks returns 1 day within the announcement date. Meanwhile, the removal from the list results a negative stock returns due to the declined of the stock price. As such, the announcements of Shari’ah Compliant List do carry informational value and have significant effect on the stock returns in Malaysian capital market. Shari’ah compliance announcement is significant especially to the Muslim investors to assist them avoiding prohibited investment activities. The present study has significantly contributed to the Malaysian Efficient Market Hypothesis as well as to the practical implication for the companies in avoiding with haram activities.
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Zhang, Xiao-Jun. "Book-to-Market Ratio and Skewness of Stock Returns." Accounting Review 88, no. 6 (June 1, 2013): 2213–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.2308/accr-50524.
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ABSTRACT: This study demonstrates that stocks with low book-to-market ratios, also known as glamour stocks, have significantly more positive skewness in their return distributions compared to the return distributions of value stocks with high book-to-market ratios. The premium (discount) investors apply to these glamour (value) stocks also correlates significantly with the difference in return skewness. These findings suggest that the value/glamour-stock puzzle is partially explained by investor preference for positive skewness in stock returns. Such preference for skewness, which is consistent with investors having inverse S-shaped utility functions, is observed in such consumer behaviors as lottery purchases and gambling. This paper further documents significant predictive power of accounting-based measures, such as the book rate of return, with respect to the skewness of stock returns. Data Availability: Data are available from sources identified in the paper.
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Maulenov, A. O. "Application of descriptive statistics methods to Kazakhstan stock market." Bulletin of "Turan" University, no. 3 (October 4, 2023): 141–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.46914/1562-2959-2023-1-3-141-152.
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The article discusses the methods of descriptive statistics and its application for the most liquid shares of the Kazakhstan stock market KASE (trading codes: HSBK, KZTK, CCBN, KZTO, KCEL, KEGC, KZKAK) from 2007 to 2022. Descriptive statistics are calculated for each stock, such as average return, variance, sample range, standard deviation, coefficient of variation, kurtosis, and skewness. The coefficients of the regression equation and the coefficient of determination R2 are estimated, which show the relationship between the market return and the return on an individual stock. The comparative analysis of index growth of stocks was carried out from 2013 to 2022. The histogram of the frequency distribution of KASE market returns based on annual and monthly periods and its empirical distribution function have been constructed. The hypothesis about the normal distribution of returns according to the Pearson criterion was tested. The distributions of returns for many stocks do not fully correspond to the normal distribution and have a positive skewness, i.e. have a long tail on the right side. The market curve has been constructed that characterizes the dependence of stock returns on the level of risk. According to this curve, it is established that HSBK stocks are the most risky of all the considered stocks, undervalued and attractive investments for investors using an aggressive investment strategy. KEGC stocks are less risky and very attractive investments for investors who use a more conservative investment strategy in the Kazakhstani stock market.
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Mwidege, Asheri Mandesu. "Annualized Stock Market Returns Volatility: An Evidence of Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange." African Journal of Accounting and Social Science Studies 4, no. 2 (February 3, 2023): 148–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.4314/ajasss.v4i2.8.
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inancial market players raise a concern about returns volatility anomalies. Yet, the day effects of stock market return instability in the Dar es Salaam financial market are not known. The present study, investigated the day effects on returns using time series data for the years 1998 through 2020. The return of market stocks was analysed using Win Rat and E-views. The results showed that the day of and the month of the year outcome existed in the return equation only with a constant decay rate (α + β= 0.75) meaning that the unpredictability forecast reverts to its unrestricted mean at the proportion of 0.75 per transaction period. Moreover, it was found that the lowest monthly returns spread were observed for TCC and the highest for the whole market while the maximum and nethermost daily returns occurred on Wednesdays and Tuesdays, respectively. Furthermore, it was found that the positive January effect was observed in the market and monthly mean returns were positive with the lowest returns in December. The study concludes that that day’s effects impacted the market stock return caused by the volatility effect on returns. It is therefore recommended that rational investors should invest in the market for their future gains.
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Wang, Honglin. "Empirical Analysis of Stock Patterns in the Hong Kong Stock Market Based on Asset Pricing Models and Prospect Theory." Highlights in Business, Economics and Management 30 (April 10, 2024): 1–11. http://dx.doi.org/10.54097/zy722188.
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COVID-19 impacts hundreds and thousands of people globally while increasing volatility in the Hong Kong stock market, Asia’s financial hub. This paper aims to investigate whether prospect theory and COVID-19 can help illustrate variations in stock returns on the market based on asset pricing models. The empirical findings demonstrate that the pandemic triggers volatility in the Hong Kong stock market. The return of Portfolios is highly correlated to Hong Kong’s broad stock market. Five factors of Fama French models help improve the model’s performance by capturing cross-sectional anomalies such as firms’ size, profitability, etc. Prospect theory reinforces the accuracy of the model’s prediction, although explanatory power is minimal. Stocks with the highest previous monthly returns have higher returns in the current month. Momentum exists in the Hong Kong stock market, particularly stocks with large market capitalization. Value-weighted portfolios perform better than equal-weighted. Asset pricing models reach precise results because of R-square and are applicable to reflect stock returns’ patterns in the Chinese stock market.
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Dudesy, Ready Prima. "Causality Test Inflation and Stock Return in Indonesia Stock Exchange." Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik 9, no. 1 (June 30, 2018): 29–51. http://dx.doi.org/10.22212/jekp.v9i1.961.
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Investors can see the inflation rate as one of the basic investment decisions. The inflation rate has affected stock returns in overseas studies with diverse directions. Further research is important to provide an overview of the effect of Indonesia's inflation rate and stock returns that are useful for analyst to predict macroeconomic conditions as well as investment decisions. This study aims to identify the relationships between inflation and stock return in Indonesia’s Stock Exchange and identify the effect of inflationary shock to stock returns in Indonesia’s Stock Exchange. The research method used in this study are Vector Autoregression and Granger causality/Wald exogeneity block test. The result showed that Indonesia's inflation rate did not significantly affect stock returns, but when the analysis proceeded more specifically into sectoral stock returns, it was seen that Indonesia's inflation rate has significantly affected the stock returns of Basic Industry sector and Infrastructure sector. Inflation rate shocks was responded negatively by the sectors. Further findings were the causality relationship between the inflation rate of Indonesia and the stock return of Basic sector. The return of Jakarta Composite Index affected the inflation rate of Indonesia. Specific sectors that have influenced inflation rate were Agriculture sector, Basic Industry sector and Financial sector.
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Suyatno, Maulana Ihsan Yusufi, Rahmania Mustahidda, and Astohar Astohar. "ANALISIS ROA DAN ROE TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM DENGAN HARGA SAHAM SEBAGAI VARIABEL INTERVENING." Jurnal Riset Rumpun Ilmu Ekonomi 2, no. 1 (April 30, 2023): 274–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.55606/jurrie.v2i1.1446.
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This study aims to reveal the effect of the variable Return On Assets, Return On Equity on stock levels with stock prices as an intervening variable in cement sector companies listed on the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index. This study is a quantitative observational type. Researchers use secondary data sources, which are in the form of variables ROA, ROE, stock returns and stock prices in a collection of cement sector stocks registered at ISSI in 2019-2022. The purposive sampling technique was used in sampling, which obtained a number of four issuers as the object of study. Based on the analysis, the results show that ROA and ROE simultaneously do not have a direct and significant effect on stock returns with a significance ROA of 0.36 and ROE of 0.46. The results obtained have an indirect effect or through stock prices obtained ROA and ROE have a significant effect on stock returns with ROE (0.03<0.05) and ROA (0.001<0.05)
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Kumar, Rakesh, and Raj S. Dhankar. "Asymmetric Volatility and Cross Correlations in Stock Returns under Risk and Uncertainty." Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers 34, no. 4 (October 2009): 25–36. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0256090920090403.
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Capital market efficiency is a matter of great interest for policy makers and investors in designing investment strategy. If efficient market hypothesis (EMH) holds true, it will prevent the investors to realize extra return by utilizing the inherent information of stocks. They will realize extra returns only by incorporating the extra risky stocks in their portfolios. While empirical tests of EMH and risk-return relationship are plentiful for developed stock markets, the focus on emerging stock markets like India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, etc., began with the liberalization of financial systems in these markets. With globalization and deregulation, the enormous opportunities of investment in South Asian stock markets have attracted the domestic and foreign institutional investors in general, and to reduce their portfolio risk by diversifying their funds across the markets in particular. The efforts are made in this study to examine the cross-correlation in stock returns of South Asian stock markets, their regional integration, and interdependence on global stock market. The study also examines the important aspects of investment strategy when investment decisions are made under risk and uncertainty. The study uses Bombay stock exchange listed index BSE 100 for India, Colombo stock exchange listed Milanka Price Index for Sri Lanka, Karachi stock exchange listed KSE 100 for Pakistan, Dhaka stock exchange listed DSE-General Index for Bangladesh, and S & P Global 1200 to represent the global market. It carries out a comprehensive analysis, tracing the autocorrelation in stock returns, cross correlations in stock returns under risk and uncertainty, interdependency among the South Asian stock markets, and that with the global stock market. The research methodology applied in the study includes application of Ljung-Box to examine the cross-correlation in stock returns, ARCH and its generalized models for the estimation of conditional and asymmetric volatilities, and Ljung-Box as a diagnostic testing of fitted models, and finally correlation to examine the interdependency of these markets in terms of stock returns and expected volatility. The results bring out the following: L-B statistics suggests the presence of autocorrelation in stock returns in all Asian stock markets; however, for the global market, autocorrelations are significant at 15 lags, and thereafter they are insignificant. The significant autocorrelations in stock returns report volatility clustering in stock returns, reject the EMH, and hold that current stock returns are significantly affected by returns being offered in the past. ARCH and its generalized models significantly explain the conditional volatility in all stock markets in question. The study rejects the relationship between stock returns and expected volatility; however, the relationship is significant with unexpected volatility. It brings out that investors adjust their risk premium for expected variations in stock prices, but they expect extra risk premium for unexpected variations. With their entry into the liberalization phase, South Asian stock markets have reported regional interdependence, and also interdependence with the global stock market.
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Chabachib, Mochammad. "In Search of Stock Market Proxy to Calculate Systematic Risk (Beta) of Stocks in Indonesia Stock Exchange." JURNAL BISNIS STRATEGI 29, no. 2 (December 29, 2020): 80–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.14710/jbs.29.2.80-88.
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The calculation of beta stock in Indonesia is still debatable to this day. Though many researchers who have used sophisticated methods mathematically, the assumptions applied in developing the methods are impossible to happen in the real world, such as the ability of stock market return the day after (lead) affects the market return today. This study was conducted to assess the stock price index in Indonesia Stock Exchange that can be used as a proxy of stock market in Indonesia. The results of this study showed that there was a gap between beta stocks counted with JCI return as a market proxy with beta stocks counted with index returns of LQ-45, SRI-KEHATI, PEFINDO-25, BISNIS-27, IDX-30 and KOMPAS-100. This study has also found that the beta counted by using KOMPAS-100 return produced the smallest standard error of the estimate (SEE) that it was more applicable compared to the other stock index returns.
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Rahmasuciana, D. Y., A. Alwahidin, A. S. Utomo, and Muhammad Rofi'i. "Stock Returns and Liquidity Changes Around the Screening Announcement: An Empirical Study in Indonesia." Global Review of Islamic Economics and Business 3, no. 2 (December 31, 2016): 099. http://dx.doi.org/10.14421/grieb.2015.032-02.
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This paper aims to identify and analyze the volatility of stock returns and the changes of liquidity around the announcement of Shari’ah stock screening published by Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK) and Dewan Syariah Nasional (DSN-MUI). The announcement is consist of stocks that become the constituent of ISSI (Indonesia Shari’ah Stock Index) and the stocks out from ISSI in each period. The number of data are 341 emitens, divided into two categories. The first category was 196 stocks that out from the composition of ISSI, and the second was shari’ah stock from 145 emitens which categorized as part of ISSI from 2011 to 2016. The statistical method (t-test) is used to analyze the change of stock returns and the change of liquidity in 14 days around the announcement (6 days pre- and post announcement). The result shows that Shari’ah compliant stocks over 6 years around the announcement have no difference in return and have negative sign for both the Shari’ah stocks and the stocks out from ISS. It may caused by the intention of Islamic investor which invest their capital based on the compliance of Shari’ah, so the returns do not become the most important one. Interestingly, on the other hand, the liquidity change of stocks which out of ISSI has negative significant difference on the days after the announcement of screening. It indicates that the non-compliant stocks have negative in change of liquidity or have significant liquidity declining after the announcement. Also, in fact Islamic invetors are more concern in the list of stocks that out from ISSI and the stock returns become less important to them than the compliance of investment. Thess findings confirm the issue that the screening is not effecting the expected return of investors. Besides, this study tells that the screening is perceived as important information by the investors in making decisions. Thus, the next studies are needed to investigate the effect of long-term investment on shari’a stock and the factors that influence the shari’a stock return during the period of announcement.
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Nugraha, Gede Made Ananda Cipta, and Dewa Gede Wirama. "Nilai Tukar, Inflasi dan Return Saham dengan Jenis Industri sebagai Variabel Pemoderasi." E-Jurnal Akuntansi 33, no. 4 (April 30, 2023): 919. http://dx.doi.org/10.24843/eja.2023.v33.i04.p04.
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Stock returns are the results obtained by investors from investment activities and rewards for their courage in taking the risk of investing in stocks in the capital market. The research objective is to determine the effect of exchange rates and inflation on stock returns with the type of industry as a moderating variable. The research was conducted in all companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the 2016-2020 period. The number of samples taken was 226 companies using proportionate stratified random sampling technique. The analysis technique used is moderation regression analysis. The results showed that the exchange rate and inflation had a negative effect on stock returns. The impact of the weakening exchange rate and rising inflation on stock returns is stronger in the financial industry.
Keywords: Exchange Rate; Inflation; Stock Return; Industry Type