Academic literature on the topic 'Séismes – Prévision – Gestion du risque'
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Journal articles on the topic "Séismes – Prévision – Gestion du risque":
Pla, Guillaume, Julien Crippa, Abdelatif Djerboua, Octavian Dobricean, Frédéric Dongar, Allan Eugene, and Mireille Raymond. "ESPADA : un outil pour la gestion en temps réel des crues éclairs urbaines en pleine modernisation." La Houille Blanche, no. 3-4 (October 2019): 57–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/lhb/2019027.
Jacopin, Bertrand, Emilie Andries, Yohann Beureno, Fabienne Mercier, Pierre-Yves Valantin, and Yann Laborda. "Atlas dynamique des zones inondables : outil operationnel d'aide à la décision." La Houille Blanche, no. 1 (February 2019): 13–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/lhb/2019002.
Paranque, Bernard, Dorothée Rivaud-Danset, and Robert Salais. "Évaluation de la performance et maîtrise du risque des entreprises industrielles françaises." Revue internationale P.M.E. 10, no. 3-4 (February 16, 2012): 11–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.7202/1009028ar.
Marty, Renaud, Yoann Faucard, Pierre-Adrien Hans, Didier Reinbold, and Lionel Berthet. "Se préparer pour une meilleure anticipation des crues, premier bilan des actions entreprises par le service de prévision des crues Loire-Cher-Indre." La Houille Blanche, no. 1 (February 2019): 26–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/lhb/2019004.
Taïbi, Sabrina, Ayoub Zeroual, and Naziha Melhani. "Evaluation de deux méthodes de correction de biais des sorties de modèles climatiques régionaux Cordex-Africa pour la prévision des pluies : cas du bassin côtier oranais." Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences 384 (November 16, 2021): 213–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/piahs-384-213-2021.
DOREAU, M., R. BAUMONT, and J. M. PEREZ. "Avant-propos." INRAE Productions Animales 24, no. 5 (December 8, 2011): 411–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.20870/productions-animales.2011.24.5.3274.
FAVERDIN, P., and C. LEROUX. "Avant-propos." INRAE Productions Animales 26, no. 2 (April 16, 2013): 71–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.20870/productions-animales.2013.26.2.3137.
Vrins, Frédéric. "Focus 30 - mars 2023." Regards économiques, March 30, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.14428/regardseco2023.03.30.01.
Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Séismes – Prévision – Gestion du risque":
Mita, Mara. "Assessment of seismic displacements of existing landslides through numerical modelling and simplified methods." Electronic Thesis or Diss., Université Gustave Eiffel, 2023. http://www.theses.fr/2023UEFL2075.
Landslides are common secondary effects related to earthquakes which can be responsible for greater damages than the ground shaking alone. Predicting these phenomena is therefore essential for risk management in seismic regions. Nowadays, landslides permanent co-seismic displacements are assessed by the traditional « rigid-sliding block » method proposed by Newmark (1965). Despite its limitations, this method has two advantages: i) relatively short computation times, ii) compatibility with GIS software for regional-scale analyses. Alternatively, more complex numerical analyses can be performed to simulate seismic waves propagation into slopes and related effects. However, due to their longer computation times, their use is usually limited to slope-scale analyses. This study aims at better understanding in which conditions (i.e. combinations of introduced relevant parameters), analytical and numerical methods predict different landslides earthquake-induced displacements. At this regard, 216 2D landslide prototypes were designed by combining geometrical and geotechnical parameters inferred by statistical analysis on data collected by literature review. Landslide prototypes were forced by 17 signals with constant Arias Intensity (AI ~ 0.1 m/s) and variable mean period. Results allowed defining a preliminary Random Forest model to predict a priori, the expected difference between displacements by the two methods. Analysis of results allowed: i) identifying parameters affecting displacement variation according to the two methods, ii) concluding that in here considered AI level, computed displacements differences are negligible in most of the cases
Caillot, Véronique. "Quantification statistique et étude expérimentale de mouvements sismiques : application à l'évaluation du risque." Grenoble 1, 1992. http://www.theses.fr/1992GRE10033.
Cömert, Baechler Nazan. "La vulnérabilité de la Turquie au risque sismique : une analyse à partir des séismes de 1999." Paris 5, 2008. http://www.theses.fr/2008PA05H061.
The 1999 Marmara earthquakes revealed how much Turkey was still highly vulnerable to seismic hazards, from a physical, institutional and individual point of view. Analysing the whole process of disaster management, that includes the pre-disaster period, the emergency period and the reconstruction period, helps understand many of the malfunctions of the disaster management policies that can explain such a heavy toll. Vulnerability is eventually the result of the lack of institutional response capacity, that induces behaviors and explains the weakness of the individual response capacity. Given the failures of the Marmara disaster management, the vulnerability revealed in this case can be considered as a sign of what could be the vulnerability during forthcoming earthquakes
Fall, Malick. "Trois essais sur la modélisation de la liquidité de marché et de financement." Thesis, Rennes 1, 2016. http://www.theses.fr/2016REN1G031.
Market liquidity refers to the ease with which assets can be sold without loss with respect to their fundamental values. Liquidity is a source of risk but also compensation. In this thesis, we focus on these two aspects. We propose a new methodology to estimate the liquidity risk premium based on “unobserved components” models. In terms of risk, we propose to combine density forecasts to better predict intra-day liquidity. We also model funding liquidity. Funding liquidity refers to the ability to settle obligations with immediacy. We study this risk for banks, that is, the possibility that over a specific horizon the bank will become unable to settle obligations with immediacy. This risk is pivotal as shown by the major role it played in the financial crisis of 2008. We created several measures allowing to assess the risk exposure of banks. Our model can also be used to stress-test banking companies and to quantify contagion risk
Chabbar, El Miloudi. "La gestion du risque de change : la banque au service de l'entreprise." Rouen, 1987. http://www.theses.fr/1987ROUEL024.
Nowadays, in order to survive, to prosper and to be competitive, french natinal industries are obliged to engage them selves in commercial and financial transactions abroad. However, these transactions which are often conducted in foreign currencies requise the setting-up of a management structure to protect them against exchange risks. An efficient management of exchange risks depends in fact on the mastering of the prevision of exchange rates evolution. The study we carried out on ten big french banks revealed that, as a result of lack of necessary means and competent staff, the majority of firms rely on bank conselling services for currency management. However, the company treasurer must be able to define his own exchange strategy. At present, the best trade policy which seeks to contain exchange risks is that which chooses the ECU as invoicemoney. The ECU being the most stable currency, has the qualities of the currency of last ressort
Torny, Didier. "Un seul cas suffit : une étude sociologique de l'engagement du futur en biomédecine." Paris, EHESS, 2001. http://www.theses.fr/2001EHES0066.
Le, Blanc Antoine. "Les politiques de conservation du patrimoine urbain comme outils de gestion du risque sismique : trois exemples en Italie : Noto, Assise, Gémone." Phd thesis, Université de Provence - Aix-Marseille I, 2006. http://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-00130950.
Large, Aurore. "Une meilleure gestion patrimoniale des réseaux d'eau potable : le modèle de prévision du renouvellement à long terme OPTIMEAU." Thesis, Bordeaux, 2016. http://www.theses.fr/2016BORD0086/document.
In developed countries, drinking water is distributed to households. This comfort requires a long networkwith a high value. To optimize resources and performance, it is important to renew pipe sectionsat the best possible time. This thesis presents the short (1-3 years), medium and long term (> 30 years)models commonly employed. The short-term processes seem quite effective, but long term methods remainrough. The OPTIMEAU model proposes a long-term approach to get a prospective overview ofpipes and improve its management, while remaining connected to the technical practices at short-termlevel. This approach, based on survival statistical models, is tested using actual data of three Europeanwater services : SEDIF (Syndicat des Eaux d’Ile de France), Grand Lyon and eauservice Lausanne inSwitzerland. The originality of this model lies in the estimation of the past decommissioning age distribution,keystone in the construction of eleven indicators related to finance, achievements and futureperformance of water utilities
Heude, Jacques. "Les tremblements de terre dans la baie de San Francisco : perception, prévention et gestion du risque sismique : une étude géographique." Paris 1, 2000. http://www.theses.fr/2000PA010695.
Baillard, Marie-Denise. "Analyse comparée des politiques publiques de gestion du risque volcanique dans les caraïbes insulaires : le cas de la Guadeloupe en 1976 et de Monserrat en 1997." Thesis, Antilles, 2018. http://www.theses.fr/2018ANTI0218/document.
The islands of the Caribbean basin are among the territories in the world having the distinction of being exposed to all types of natural hazard except avalanche risk. However, the overall assessment of their effective consideration remains unsatisfactory: Indeed, there are gaps in both the information of the population and the level of "administrative and technical" means of response to risk. Volcanic risk in particular, although affecting eleven territories in the Lesser Antilles, is relatively "overshadowed" by other risks in government agendas. However, the "powder keg" of the Caribbean are mostly active. Moreover, because of their small size and the concentration of populations and infrastructures around volcanoes; island territories have increased vulnerability. Violent demonstrations can lead, as has been shown in the cases of Mount Pelee in Martinique (1902) and more recently that of the Soufrière Hills in Montserrat (1995 to the present day), a particularly heavy human toll. Above all, even with the risk of loss of life due to the forecast, a major volcanic crisis is synonymous with economic disaster.Is the exceptional character of volcanic events enough to explain this assessment? This first interrogation leads us to question the mechanisms characterizing the volcanic risk management in the insular Caribbean.Our study thus focuses on the two crises that have been the most debated in terms of feedback: that of Soufrière Guadeloupe in 1976 and that of Soufrière Hills Montserrat, which peaked in 1997. The comparison of public crisis management policies studied allows us to identify the factors guiding the strategy of the competent authorities upstream and downstream of crises
Books on the topic "Séismes – Prévision – Gestion du risque":
Moureau, Nathalie. L' incertitude dans les théories économiques. Paris: La Découverte, 2004.
Altman, Edward I. Bankruptcy, credit risk, and high yield junk bonds. Malden, Mass: Blackwell Publishers, 2002.
Allsop, William, Paul Samuels, Jackie Harrop, and Stephen Huntington. Flood Risk Management : Research and Practice: Extended Abstracts Volume + full paper CD-ROM. Taylor & Francis Group, 2008.
Allsop, William, Paul Samuels, Jackie Harrop, and Stephen Huntington. Flood Risk Management : Research and Practice: Extended Abstracts Volume + Full Paper CD-ROM. Taylor & Francis Group, 2008.
Allsop, William, Paul Samuels, Jackie Harrop, and Stephen Huntington. Flood Risk Management : Research and Practice: Extended Abstracts Volume + Full Paper CD-ROM. Taylor & Francis Group, 2008.
Allsop, William, Paul Samuels, Jackie Harrop, and Stephen Huntington. Flood Risk Management : Research and Practice: Extended Abstracts Volume + Full Paper CD-ROM. Taylor & Francis Group, 2008.
Priest, Sally, Dennis Parker, Joe Morris, Sylvia Tunstall, and Edmund Penning-Rowsell. Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management: A Manual for Economic Appraisal. Taylor & Francis Group, 2014.
Parker, Dennis, Joe Morris, Edmund Penning-Rowsell, John Chatterton, and Damon Owen. Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management: A Manual for Economic Appraisal. Taylor & Francis Group, 2013.
Priest, Sally, Dennis Parker, Joe Morris, Edmund Penning-Rowsell, and John Chatterton. Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management: A Manual for Economic Appraisal. Taylor & Francis Group, 2014.
Priest, Sally, Dennis Parker, Joe Morris, Sylvia Tunstall, and Edmund Penning-Rowsell. Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management: A Manual for Economic Appraisal. Taylor & Francis Group, 2014.
Book chapters on the topic "Séismes – Prévision – Gestion du risque":
NOBERT, Sébastien, Kristian KRIEGER, and Florian PAPPENBERGER. "Dimensions politiques de la prévision d’ensemble dans la gestion des inondations en Europe." In Les risques et l’anthropocène, 177–200. ISTE Group, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.51926/iste.9041.ch7.