Log in

Relevant bibliographies by topics / Scenario planning / Journal articles

To see the other types of publications on this topic, follow the link: Scenario planning.

Journal articles on the topic 'Scenario planning'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 4 June 2021

Last updated: 24 January 2023

Create a spot-on reference in APA, MLA, Chicago, Harvard, and other styles

Select a source type:

Consult the top 50 journal articles for your research on the topic 'Scenario planning.'

Next to every source in the list of references, there is an 'Add to bibliography' button. Press on it, and we will generate automatically the bibliographic reference to the chosen work in the citation style you need: APA, MLA, Harvard, Chicago, Vancouver, etc.

You can also download the full text of the academic publication as pdf and read online its abstract whenever available in the metadata.

Browse journal articles on a wide variety of disciplines and organise your bibliography correctly.

1

Xiao, Yang, Qinli Xiong, and Kaiwen Pan. "What Is Left for Our Next Generation? Integrating Ecosystem Services into Regional Policy Planning in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area of China." Sustainability 11, no. 1 (December 20, 2018): 3. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su11010003.

Full text

Abstract:

Land use/Land cover (LULC) changes as a result of policy planning influence ecosystem structures, processes, and functions, which are the basis for providing a wide range of ecosystem services (ES). There is an increasing consensus about the importance of integrating ES into ecological policy but quantifying the potential impacts of different policy on ES has proven difficult. We designed a remote sensing, geographic information system and scenario analysis-based approach to estimate and analyze the relationship between ES (soil conservation and carbon sequestration) and ecological policy designed to improve human welfare in the Chongqing municipality in the upper reaches of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area, China; a densely populated, highly modified watershed with serious soil erosion and flood hazard. Three alternative scenarios in 2050 were modeled for the Three Gorges Reservoir Area watershed. The model GEOMOD was used to predict future LULC changes due to policy planning. The ES models (Universal Soil Loss Equation model and Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach model) were designed to inform decisions, with an aim to align economic forces with conservation. We examine policy effectiveness by comparing scenarios for 2050 (Scenario1: Maintain current policy with no considerations of ES; Scenario2: Integrate ES into policy planning; Scenario3: Integrate ES into policy planning in view of the need of local people). Scenario-based LULC change analysis revealed that if the current afforestation policy continues (scenario 1), total ES would be further increased in 2050 due to expansion of forest cover. However, by targeting policy to improve ES provision (scenarios 2 and 3), ecological risks of soil loss can be significantly reduced and carbon sequestration enhanced. Scenario 3, thus, provided the best future environmental development scenario considering the need of local people in each region for ES. This scenario will theoretically help the Three Gorges Dam to harvest more ecological benefits through improvements in soil conservation and carbon sequestration. This study highlights the observation that including ES in policy planning and has a great potential to generate opportunities to maximize ES. This study highlights that including ES in policy planning has a great potential to generate opportunities to maximize ES. Hence, there is a need to encourage proper implementation of ecological policy to maintain and improve ES.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

2

Freeman, Oliver, and Hugh M. Pattinson. "Exploring client scenarios associated with scenario planning." Futures 42, no. 4 (May 2010): 304–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.016.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

3

Coates, Joseph F. "Scenario planning." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 113 (December 2016): 99–102. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.10.043.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

4

Coates, Joseph F. "Scenario Planning." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65, no. 1 (September 2000): 115–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0040-1625(99)00084-0.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

5

Godet, Michel, Fabrice Roubelat, and Guest Editors. "Scenario Planning." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65, no. 1 (September 2000): 1–2. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0040-1625(99)00119-5.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

6

Enzmann, Dieter R., Norman J. Beauchamp, and Alexander Norbash. "Scenario Planning." Journal of the American College of Radiology 8, no. 3 (March 2011): 175–79. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jacr.2010.08.022.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

7

Erridge, S. "Scenario Planning." Clinical Oncology 19, no. 3 (April 2007): S11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clon.2007.01.306.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

8

Bloom, Michael J., and Mary K. Menefee. "Scenario Planning and Contingency Planning." Public Productivity & Management Review 17, no. 3 (1994): 223. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3380654.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

9

Miesing, Paul, and Raymond K. Van Ness. "Exercise: Scenario Planning." Organization Management Journal 4, no. 2 (September 2007): 148–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/omj.2007.16.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

10

Young, Jimmy B., and Scott E. Hall. "Individual Scenario Planning." Journal of Workplace Behavioral Health 21, no. 1 (January 11, 2006): 39–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.1300/j490v21n01_04.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

11

Freeth, Rebecca, and Scott Drimie. "Participatory Scenario Planning: From Scenario ‘Stakeholders’ to Scenario ‘Owners’." Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development 58, no. 4 (June 30, 2016): 32–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00139157.2016.1186441.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

12

Maslikhina, V. Yu. "Scenario planning for the development of spatial economic and social systems: Methodological approaches." Regional Economics: Theory and Practice 18, no. 10 (October 15, 2020): 1839–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/re.18.10.1839.

Full text

Abstract:

Subject. This article reviews and systematizes methodological approaches to generate scenarios and develop a scenario planning algorithm in relation to spatial socio-economic systems. Objectives. The article aims to analyze and classify scenarios and algorithms of scenario planning, as well as choose and justify an approach to scenario planning of the development of spatial socio-economic systems. Methods. For the study, I used the methods of analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, comparison, and classification. Results. The article clarifies the definitions of Scenario and Scenario Planning and categorizes scenarios according to different criteria. It reveals the gap between the theory and practice of scenario planning in Russian regions. The article also offers certain recommendations on the use of scenarios in regional planning. Conclusions. The article concludes that the hybrid approach in scenario planning of the development of spatial socio-economic systems (countries, regions, cities, municipalities) is more preferable than the exploratory or normative ones.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

13

Moats, Jason B., Thomas J. Chermack, and Larry M. Dooley. "Using Scenarios to Develop Crisis Managers: Applications of Scenario Planning and Scenario-Based Training." Advances in Developing Human Resources 10, no. 3 (June 2008): 397–424. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1523422308316456.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

14

Kwon, Soon Ho, Donghwi Jung, and Joong Hoon Kim. "Development of a Multiscenario Planning Approach for Urban Drainage Systems." Applied Sciences 10, no. 5 (March 6, 2020): 1834. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/app10051834.

Full text

Abstract:

A traditional urban drainage system (UDS) planning approach generally considers the most probable future rainfall scenario. However, this single scenario (i.e., scenario-optimal) planning approach is prone to failure under recent climatic conditions, which involve increasing levels of uncertainty. To overcome this limitation, an alternative is to consider multiple scenarios simultaneously. A two-phase multi-scenario-based UDS planning approach was developed. Scenario-optimal solutions were determined for a set of scenarios in Phase I, as the traditional planning approach, while common elements across the scenarios were identified and used to consider components-wise regret cost concept for Phase II optimization, from which a compromise solution was sought. The storm water management model was dynamically linked with the harmony search algorithm for each phase optimization model. The proposed approach was demonstrated in the planning of the grid-type drainage networks of S-city. The compromise solution was compared with the scenario-optimal solutions (Phase I) with respect to cost effectiveness and system performance under scenarios that were not considered in the planning phase.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

15

Konno, Noboru, Ikujiro Nonaka, and Jay Ogilvy. "Scenario Planning: The Basics." World Futures 70, no. 1 (January 2, 2014): 28–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2014.875720.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

16

Hannabuss, Stuart. "Scenario planning for libraries." Library Management 22, no. 4/5 (June 2001): 168–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/01435120110388724.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

17

Kippenberger, T. "Pitfalls in scenario planning." Antidote 4, no. 4 (October 1999): 32–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/eum0000000006712.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

18

Steil, Gilbert, and Michele Gibbons-Carr. "Large Group Scenario Planning." Journal of Applied Behavioral Science 41, no. 1 (March 2005): 15–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0021886304272888.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

19

Spaniol, Matthew J., and Nicholas J. Rowland. "The scenario planning paradox." Futures 95 (January 2018): 33–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2017.09.006.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

20

Finlay, P. N. "Steps towards scenario planning." Engineering Management Journal 8, no. 5 (1998): 243. http://dx.doi.org/10.1049/em:19980510.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

21

Jafari, Hamid, Ahmad Jonidi Jafari, Mahmoud Nekoei-Moghadam, and Salime Goharinezhad. "The use of uncertain scenarios in disaster risk reduction: a systematic review." foresight 21, no. 3 (May 30, 2019): 409–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/fs-11-2018-0099.

Full text

Abstract:

Purpose In recent years, futures study methods, especially scenario analysis, are used to plan for disaster and emergency management. Scenario method is suitable for public level policy making. Scenarios generated alternative descriptive futures in all of the development field such as disaster studies. This paper aims to systematically review the articles that generated scenarios in disaster management to attain gaps, challenges and opportunities related to use of scenario analysis in disasters. Design/methodology/approach This is a systematic review that was conducted based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The keywords that searched included “disaster,” “emergency,” “crisis,” “disruptive event,” “futures study,” “foresight,” “scenario,” “community-based scenario planning,” “participatory scenario planning,” “scenario planning” and “scenario analysis.” The Google Scholar, ISI Web of Science, Science Direct, PubMed and Scopus databases were searched. Findings A total of 981 article gathered after initial search between electronic databases. At final step, only ten articles included in the study. The selected articles compared according to many aspects. Most of the scenarios that developed in disaster management and planning concentrated on climate change and flooding related hazards. Many of studies developed three or four scenarios that it seems the number is suitable for disaster planning. Originality/value The paper serves as an original guideline for disaster planning.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

22

Li, Wei, Chong Chen, Jing Du, and Ling Xu. "A System Dynamic (SD) Model for Logistics Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA)." Applied Mechanics and Materials 535 (February 2014): 217–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.535.217.

Full text

Abstract:

Strategic environmental assessment (SEA) plays a role before the logistics planning carrying out, which can effectively avoid environmental problems caused by strategic errors. This paper adopts system dynamic software to set up SD model, and takes Dalians logistics planning as a case. Six alternative scenarios based on the plannings goal and direction are simulated. It is found that the integrated scenario turns out to be the best scenario, and this work can provide scientific decision basis for governments.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

23

Zegras, Christopher, Joseph Sussman, and Christopher Conklin. "Scenario Planning for Strategic Regional Transportation Planning." Journal of Urban Planning and Development 130, no. 1 (March 2004): 2–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/(asce)0733-9488(2004)130:1(2).

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

24

Lacher, Iara, Thomas Akre, William J. McShea, Marissa McBride, Jonathan R. Thompson, and Craig Fergus. "Engaging Regional Stakeholders in Scenario Planning for the Long-Term Preservation of Ecosystem Services in Northwestern Virginia." Case Studies in the Environment 3, no. 1 (December 31, 2019): 1–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1525/cse.2018.001180.

Full text

Abstract:

This case study describes the application of a framework for developing stakeholder-driven scenarios of the future. The purpose of these scenarios is to inform land use planning toward the protection of ecosystems and derivable ecosystem services in Northwestern Virginia. We held two scenario development workshops with regional experts in conservation, agriculture, land use planning, policy, and economic development to create scenarios of land use in the northern Piedmont and northern Shenandoah Valley of Virginia. We structured the workshops around a framework that guided stakeholders through several steps eventually resulting in four unique scenarios describing the region in 50 years. Scenario narratives were defined by the intersection of highly influential and uncertain drivers of change relevant to land use planning and ecosystem services. Participants from the northern Shenandoah Valley region selected population growth and climate change adaptation as their scenario defining drivers, while participants from the northern Piedmont region selected planning strategy and climate change impact as their scenario defining drivers. Participants fleshed out scenarios into descriptive narratives that incorporated qualitative and quantitative measures of change. Details from the scenario narratives informed land use change models to further quantify tradeoffs between land use planning decisions and ecosystem services. Individuals interested in using scenario planning to guide research efforts, conservation, or land use planning, or even to broaden perspectives on how to view the future, will find value in this case study.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

25

Stojanovic, Milica, Petar Mitkovic, and Mihailo Mitkovic. "The scenario method in urban planning." Facta universitatis - series: Architecture and Civil Engineering 12, no. 1 (2014): 81–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.2298/fuace1401081s.

Full text

Abstract:

Scenario planning techniques are increasingly gaining attention in the process of spatial and urban planning because of their usefulness in times of uncertainty and complexity. Scenario planning encourages strategic thinking and helps to overcome thinking limitations by creating multiple futures. In this way, it can help to shape the future according to the values and desires of society. Although scenario planning has been used a lot in the business world, there are scarce examples of its application in the field of urban planning. One of the reasons for this is the huge variety of methods and tools with no general guidelines for the implementation of the appropriate procedure and techniques for constructing scenarios in urban planning. Although each exercise of scenario planning must be unique in its context and actors, the methodological approach may be similar. For this reason, the main goal of this paper is to systematize the known methods for scenario construction, emphasize the featured techniques and tools, and consider the possibility of applying scenario methods in the contemporary city planning.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

26

Ramírez, Rafael, and Cynthia Selin. "Plausibility and probability in scenario planning." Foresight 16, no. 1 (March 4, 2014): 54–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/fs-08-2012-0061.

Full text

Abstract:

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to explore extant distinctions between plausibility and probability in scenario planning and re-frame the either/or stance in the literature within a broader set of methodological choice possibilities. Design/methodology/approach – The paper surveys the history of both terms in both the English language and more narrowly within scenario planning, critically assessing the confusions that have arisen. The paper questions the distinctions that have been made and offers a richer set of combinations to open up the methodological space available. Findings – The paper suggests that the either/or stances that have been dominant in the literature – and even shaped distinctions between different schools of scenario planning – must be surpassed by a richer set of combinations that open up new methodological approaches and possibilities. Research limitations/implications – This is a conceptual and exploratory paper. Therefore the findings are propositions and tentative. Practical implications – The paper opens up new ways of producing scenarios and may dissolve some of the infertile distinctions that have plagued the field to now. Originality/value – The paper dilutes distinctions that have been accepted for decades and opens up new possibilities in the scenarios field, which is growing and is now producing some 2,200 peer-reviewed articles/year in English alone as per the EBSCO database.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

27

Yusuf, Sri Malahayati. "MODEL OF SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION MEASURES APPLICATION BASED ON DISTRICT SPATIAL PLANNING IN MAMASA WATERSHED, SOUTH SULAWESI." Geoplanning: Journal of Geomatics and Planning 4, no. 2 (October 13, 2017): 263. http://dx.doi.org/10.14710/geoplanning.4.2.263-272.

Full text

Abstract:

Depletion of watershed carrying capacity cannot be omitted from mismanagement of the watershed. The integration between SWAT model and remote sensing data are able to identify, assess, and evaluate watershed problem as well as a tool to apply the mitigation of the problem. The aim of this study was to arrange the scenario of watershed management, and decide the best recommendation of sustainable watershed management of Mamasa Sub Watershed. The best recommendation was decided by hydrology parameters, e.i. surface runoff, sediment, and runoff coefficient. Hydrology characteristics of Mamasa Sub Watershed was analyzed based on land use data of year 2012 and climate data for period of 2010-2012. The scenarios were application of bunch and mulch in slope 1-15%; bunch terrace (scenario 1), mulch and strip grass in slope 15-25% (scenario 2), alley cropping in slope 25-40% (scenario 3), and combination scenario 1, 2, 3 with agroforestry in slope > 40% (scenario4). Surface runoff value of Mamasa Sub Watershed is 581.35 mm, while lateral flow, groundwater flow, runoff coefficient, and sediment yield of 640.72 mm, 228.17 mm, 0.29, and 187.213 ton/ha respectively. Based on the scenarios simulation, the fourth scenario was able to reduce surface runoff and sediment yield of 33.441% and of 51.213%, while the runoff coefficient declined to 0.194. Thereby, the fourth scenario is recommended to be applied in Mamasa Sub Watershed so that the sustainability in the watershed can be achieved.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

28

Yusuf, Sri Malahayati. "Model of Soil and Water Conservation Measures Application based on District Spatial Planning in Mamasa Watershed, South Sulawesi." Geoplanning: Journal of Geomatics and Planning 4, no. 2 (October 13, 2017): 263. http://dx.doi.org/10.14710/geoplanning.4.2.263-274.

Full text

Abstract:

Depletion of watershed carrying capacity cannot be omitted from mismanagement of the watershed. The integration between SWAT model and remote sensing data are able to identify, assess, and evaluate watershed problem as well as a tool to apply the mitigation of the problem. The aim of this study was to arrange the scenario of watershed management, and decide the best recommendation of sustainable watershed management of Mamasa Sub Watershed. The best recommendation was decided by hydrology parameters, e.i. surface runoff, sediment, and runoff coefficient. Hydrology characteristics of Mamasa Sub Watershed was analyzed based on land use data of year 2012 and climate data for period of 2010-2012. The scenarios were application of bunch and mulch in slope 1-15%; bunch terrace (scenario 1), mulch and strip grass in slope 15-25% (scenario 2), alley cropping in slope 25-40% (scenario 3), and combination scenario 1, 2, 3 with agroforestry in slope > 40% (scenario4). Surface runoff value of Mamasa Sub Watershed is 581.35 mm, while lateral flow, groundwater flow, runoff coefficient, and sediment yield of 640.72 mm, 228.17 mm, 0.29, and 187.213 ton/ha respectively. Based on the scenarios simulation, the fourth scenario was able to reduce surface runoff and sediment yield of 33.441% and of 51.213%, while the runoff coefficient declined to 0.194. Thereby, the fourth scenario is recommended to be applied in Mamasa Sub Watershed so that the sustainability in the watershed can be achieved.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

29

Bezrucav, Stefan-Octavian, and Burkhard Corves. "Modelling Automated Planning Problems for Teams of Mobile Manipulators in a Generic Industrial Scenario." Applied Sciences 12, no. 5 (February 23, 2022): 2319. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/app12052319.

Full text

Abstract:

Flexible control strategies are required in industrial scenarios to coordinate the actions of mobile manipulators (e.g., robots and humans). Temporal planning approaches can be used as such control strategies because they can generate those actions for the agents that must be executed to reach the goals, from any given state of the world. To deploy such approaches, planning models must be formulated. Although available in the literature, these models are not generic enough such that they can be easily transferred to new use cases. In this work, a generic industrial scenario is derived from real scenarios. For this scenario, a generic planning problem is developed. To demonstrate their generality, the two constructs are configured for a new scenario, where custom grippers are assembled. Lastly, a validation methodology is developed for the generic planning problem. The results show that the generic industrial scenario and the generic planning problem can be easily instantiated for new use cases, without any new modelling. Further, the proposed validation methodology guarantees that these planning problems are complete enough to be used in industrial use cases. The generic scenario, the planning problems, and the validation methodology are proposed as standards for use when deploying temporal planning in industrial scenarios with mobile manipulators.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

30

Chen, Tser-Yieth, and Chi-Jui Huang. "A Two-Tier Scenario Planning Model of Environmental Sustainability Policy in Taiwan." Sustainability 11, no. 8 (April 18, 2019): 2336. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su11082336.

Full text

Abstract:

This study proposes a two-tier scenario planning model, consisting of scenario development and policy portfolio planning, to demonstrate the environmental sustainability policy planning process. Scenario development embodies future scenarios that incorporate the uncertainties regarding the decision values and technological alternatives. Policy portfolio planning is used to assess the selected policy alternatives under each scenario and to develop a robust and responsive plan. We organized first- and second-tier committees of 10–12 experts from diverse professional fields to undertake environmental sustainability policy planning in Taiwan. The first-tier committee generated three scenarios: “live at the mercy of the elements”, “industry convergence”, and “technology pilot”. The second-tier committee ensured that, from cradle-to-cradle (C2C), green supply chain management (GSCM), and industry symbiosis (IS), life-cycle type policies enhance green willingness and capabilities in the businesses. This is the first study to consider the first-tier process with scenario development and the second-tier process with policy portfolio planning for environmental sustainability, and contributes by considering intuitive logics approach-based scenarios and robust policies for extant portfolio plans, providing life-cycle- type policy profiles in environmental sustainability.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

31

PSHENYCHNA, Iryna, Yuliia PRODIUS, and Serhii IZOTOV. "Scenario planning for the development of foreign economic activity of the hotel business enterprise in the conditions of the world pandemic." Economics. Finances. Law, no. 6 (June 18, 2021): 9–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.37634/efp.2021.6.2.

Full text

Abstract:

Introduction. The hotel business is traditionally considered a highly profitable area of foreign economic activity. The most significant risk factors are considered to be economic, political and social instability in countries and regions. In 2020, almost all global tourism and hotel businesses faced a serious challenge in their development – a severe crisis caused by the rapid spread of a pandemic of a new species of coronavirus (COVID-19) around the world. In the context of a global pandemic, to support the activities of the hotel business, it is necessary to clearly define the content and sequence of certain actions to achieve the goals, which determines the process of planning and forecasting the activities of the enterprise. Scenario planning is a fairly flexible process of describing possible future scenarios. This is part of strategic planning, which refers to the tools and technologies that manage future uncertainty. The purpose of the paper is to consider the scenario planning of the development of foreign economic activity of the hotel-type enterprise in conditions of economic uncertainty. The paper considers scenario planning as one of the most effective tools of strategic planning at the enterprise, which allows to forecast the development of events in the shortest possible time and update the planned indicators for its effective management. Results. In the course of this research the method of strategic planning is used – scenario planning, with the help of which all possible forecasts of events at the enterprise in crisis conditions are built. An analysis of hotel activities during the pandemic. The methods of scenario planning at the hotel business enterprise in the conditions of economic uncertainty are investigated. The difference between traditional and scenario approaches to strategic planning is clarified. Scenarios of possible events of the hotel business enterprise in the future in the conditions of a pandemic on the example of a scenario cross are developed. Conclusion. Scenario planning proved its effectiveness during the global pandemic, when hotel enterprises that applied scenario planning were ready for change and simply applied a different scenario, continuing to go with the flow. Scenarios for further development of foreign economic activity of the enterprise are determined.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

32

NISHIMURA, Michinari. "The Overview of Scenario Planning." Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, Japan 10, no. 3 (2014): 230–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.3370/lca.10.230.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

33

Lyons, Glenn, Charlene Rohr, Annette Smith, Anna Rothnie, and Andrew Curry. "Scenario planning for transport practitioners." Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives 11 (September 2021): 100438. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2021.100438.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

34

Farber, Darryl, and Akhlesh Lakhtakia. "Scenario planning and nanotechnological futures." European Journal of Physics 30, no. 4 (July 1, 2009): S3—S15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/0143-0807/30/4/s02.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

35

KITAOKA, Hajime. "How to Practice Scenario Planning." INTELLIGENCE MANAGEMENT 1, no. 1 (2009): 13–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.9764/jsciim.1.13.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

36

Schumacher, Terry R. "Constructing Vision with Scenario Planning." Academy of Management Proceedings 2014, no. 1 (January 2014): 15270. http://dx.doi.org/10.5465/ambpp.2014.15270abstract.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

37

Giesecke, Joan. "Scenario Planning and Collection Development." Journal of Library Administration 28, no. 1 (June 1999): 81–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.1300/j111v28n01_07.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

38

Balarezo, Jose, and Bo Bernhard Nielsen. "Scenario planning as organizational intervention." Review of International Business and Strategy 27, no. 1 (March 6, 2017): 2–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ribs-09-2016-0049.

Full text

Abstract:

Purpose This paper aims to identify four areas in need of future research to enhance the theoretical understanding of scenario planning (SP), and sets the basis for future empirical examination of its effects on individual and organizational level outcomes. Design/methodology/approach This paper organizes existing contributions on SP within a new consolidating framework that includes antecedents, processes and outcomes. The proposed framework allows for integration of the extant literature on SP from a wide variety of fields, including strategic management, finance, human resource management, operations management and psychology. Findings This study contributes to research by offering a coherent and consistent framework for understanding SP as a dynamic process. As such, it offers future researchers with a systematic way to ascertain where a particular study may be located in the SP process and, importantly, how it may influence – or be influenced by – various factors in the process. Originality/value This study offers specific research questions and precise guidelines to future scholars pursuing research on SP.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

39

Foster, M. John. "Scenario planning for small businesses." Long Range Planning 26, no. 1 (February 1993): 123–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0024-6301(93)90240-g.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

40

Amer, Muhammad, Tugrul U. Daim, and Antonie Jetter. "A review of scenario planning." Futures 46 (February 2013): 23–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2012.10.003.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

41

Escudero, Laureano F., Pasumarti V. Kamesam, Alan J. King, and Roger J.-B. Wets. "Production planning via scenario modelling." Annals of Operations Research 43, no. 6 (June 1993): 309–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf02025089.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

42

Soontornrangson, W., D. G. Evans, R. J. Fuller, and D. F. Stewart. "Scenario planning for electricity supply." Energy Policy 31, no. 15 (December 2003): 1647–59. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0301-4215(02)00231-8.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

43

Pearman, A. D. "Scenario construction for transport planning." Transportation Planning and Technology 12, no. 1 (July 1988): 73–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03081068808717361.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

44

Rowland, Nicholas J., and Matthew J. Spaniol. "Social foundation of scenario planning." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 124 (November 2017): 6–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.02.013.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

45

BOWMAN, MALCOLM J. "Introduction to Scenario Planning Results." Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 790, no. 1 The Baked App (June 1996): 163–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-6632.1996.tb32478.x.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

46

Hervé, Beverley. "Scenario planning: managing uncertain futures." British Journal of Healthcare Management 17, no. 11 (November 2011): 516–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.12968/bjhc.2011.17.11.516.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

47

Khakee, A. "Scenario construction for urban planning." Omega 19, no. 5 (January 1991): 459–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0305-0483(91)90062-x.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

48

Van Lente, Harro, Jasper Willemse, Claartje Vorstman, and Johan F. Modder. "Scenario planning as policy instrument: Four scenarios for biotechnology in Europe." Innovation 5, no. 1 (September 2003): 4–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.5172/impp.2003.5.1.4.

Full text

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

49

Chaushevski, Anton, and Sofija Nikolova-Poceva. "Long Term Planning of Macedonian Electricity Supply." Energija, ekonomija, ekologija XXIV, no. 4 (December 2022): 85–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.46793/eee22-4.85c.

Full text

Abstract:

In the paper alternatives for expansion of the Macedonian electricity supply system are presented. MESSAGE tool is used for modelling the system, for developing the scenarios, to analyse cost optimal energy pathways and to determine the optimal electricity generation technology mix. The calculations for the period 2020-2050 are made in a 5-year interval. Two scenarios are developed: Scenario 1 – BAU (Business as Usual) scenario, where the current energy structure prevailed, with trends like the current development. The electricity demand is satisfied by coal-fired thermal power plants, gas-fired thermal power plants, hydro power plants and renewable power plants. Scenario 2 – Green scenario, where gas-fired thermal power plants and nuclear power representative with small modular reactors are base load technologies, and also intensive construction of production capacities on renewable energy sources is forced. By making further analysis, the possibility of flexibility in the construction of new facilities within the interval, economic indicators, and appropriate impact on the environment are obtained. In order to make an economic analysis for a particular technology, calculations are made for parameters that are standard for projects, such as: net present value, benefit – cost ratio, payback period and internal rate of return. The environmental impact is analysed of aspect of CO2 emissions.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

50

Zhong, Jia Qing, Xiao Hui Zhang, Ke Ke Yan, Li Ye Ma, and Hua Wei Hu. "Comprehensive Decision-Making of Power Planning Including Clean Energy and Low-Carbon Electricity Technology." Applied Mechanics and Materials 347-350 (August 2013): 1383–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.347-350.1383.

Full text

Abstract:

According to the characteristics of power planning, select four key planning scenarios, calculate the initial probability and simulation probability in sequence, and thus calculate the scenario probability. Define the screening considering the scenario probability and incidence of evaluation factor index for the typical scenario. In the decision-making process, the fuzzy decision method of interval numbers based on trapezoidal membership function is used to calculate the scheme membership, which overcomes the difficulty of precise calculation problem for planning index. And according to maximum membership degree for sorting, finally obtaining quality comparison results of the scenarios. As an example of a "twelfth five-year" planning of one city, an integrated decision making of power planning is developed, the simulation results show the scientificity and rationality of the method.

APA, Harvard, Vancouver, ISO, and other styles

We offer discounts on all premium plans for authors whose works are included in thematic literature selections. Contact us to get a unique promo code!