Relevant bibliographies by topics / Scenario planning

Contents

  1. Journal articles
  2. Dissertations / Theses
  3. Books
  4. Book chapters
  5. Conference papers
  6. Reports

Academic literature on the topic 'Scenario planning'

Author: Grafiati
Published: 4 June 2021
Last updated: 24 January 2023

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Journal articles on the topic "Scenario planning"

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Xiao, Yang, Qinli Xiong, and Kaiwen Pan. "What Is Left for Our Next Generation? Integrating Ecosystem Services into Regional Policy Planning in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area of China." Sustainability 11, no. 1 (December 20, 2018): 3. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su11010003.

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Land use/Land cover (LULC) changes as a result of policy planning influence ecosystem structures, processes, and functions, which are the basis for providing a wide range of ecosystem services (ES). There is an increasing consensus about the importance of integrating ES into ecological policy but quantifying the potential impacts of different policy on ES has proven difficult. We designed a remote sensing, geographic information system and scenario analysis-based approach to estimate and analyze the relationship between ES (soil conservation and carbon sequestration) and ecological policy designed to improve human welfare in the Chongqing municipality in the upper reaches of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area, China; a densely populated, highly modified watershed with serious soil erosion and flood hazard. Three alternative scenarios in 2050 were modeled for the Three Gorges Reservoir Area watershed. The model GEOMOD was used to predict future LULC changes due to policy planning. The ES models (Universal Soil Loss Equation model and Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach model) were designed to inform decisions, with an aim to align economic forces with conservation. We examine policy effectiveness by comparing scenarios for 2050 (Scenario1: Maintain current policy with no considerations of ES; Scenario2: Integrate ES into policy planning; Scenario3: Integrate ES into policy planning in view of the need of local people). Scenario-based LULC change analysis revealed that if the current afforestation policy continues (scenario 1), total ES would be further increased in 2050 due to expansion of forest cover. However, by targeting policy to improve ES provision (scenarios 2 and 3), ecological risks of soil loss can be significantly reduced and carbon sequestration enhanced. Scenario 3, thus, provided the best future environmental development scenario considering the need of local people in each region for ES. This scenario will theoretically help the Three Gorges Dam to harvest more ecological benefits through improvements in soil conservation and carbon sequestration. This study highlights the observation that including ES in policy planning and has a great potential to generate opportunities to maximize ES. This study highlights that including ES in policy planning has a great potential to generate opportunities to maximize ES. Hence, there is a need to encourage proper implementation of ecological policy to maintain and improve ES.
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Freeman, Oliver, and Hugh M. Pattinson. "Exploring client scenarios associated with scenario planning." Futures 42, no. 4 (May 2010): 304–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.016.

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Coates, Joseph F. "Scenario planning." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 113 (December 2016): 99–102. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.10.043.

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Coates, Joseph F. "Scenario Planning." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65, no. 1 (September 2000): 115–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0040-1625(99)00084-0.

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Godet, Michel, Fabrice Roubelat, and Guest Editors. "Scenario Planning." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65, no. 1 (September 2000): 1–2. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0040-1625(99)00119-5.

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Enzmann, Dieter R., Norman J. Beauchamp, and Alexander Norbash. "Scenario Planning." Journal of the American College of Radiology 8, no. 3 (March 2011): 175–79. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jacr.2010.08.022.

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Erridge, S. "Scenario Planning." Clinical Oncology 19, no. 3 (April 2007): S11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clon.2007.01.306.

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Bloom, Michael J., and Mary K. Menefee. "Scenario Planning and Contingency Planning." Public Productivity & Management Review 17, no. 3 (1994): 223. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3380654.

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Miesing, Paul, and Raymond K. Van Ness. "Exercise: Scenario Planning." Organization Management Journal 4, no. 2 (September 2007): 148–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/omj.2007.16.

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Young, Jimmy B., and Scott E. Hall. "Individual Scenario Planning." Journal of Workplace Behavioral Health 21, no. 1 (January 11, 2006): 39–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.1300/j490v21n01_04.

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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Scenario planning"

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Thomson, Nicolas Maxwell, and n/a. "Scenario planning in Australian government." University of Canberra. Busisness & Government, 2006. http://erl.canberra.edu.au./public/adt-AUC20061129.091600.

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Is scenario planning a process that can be used by agencies of the Australian Public Service to generate and develop information that is relevant to the future, and thereby make possible improved strategic planning? This is the core question of this dissertation. The first part of the thesis is devoted to the case for investigating the benefits of scenario planning. Literature defining and describing the benefits of scenario planning for both private and public sector organisations is examined, and factors that appear to be critical to effective implementation of the process are discussed. Against this theoretical background the empirical evidence of seven cases of the application of scenario planning in six agencies of the Australian Public Service is considered. Several conclusions are drawn on the basis of the data obtained from the seven cases studied. Scenario planning is more likely to make possible improved strategic planning of public sector agencies such as those that comprise the Australian Public Service (irrespective of their function or size) if it has the active involvement of senior management during the developmental phase of the process, and their ongoing support for any follow-up activity. In addition, a well resourced and in-depth research phase is integral to the success of the process. Even if these elements are not present to a high degree, a well managed scenario planning exercise will improve to some degree the ability of an agency�s senior executive to think more openly and proactively about its future business context. In addition, well resourced and properly supported scenario planning can also help a public sector agency to improve the quality of its information gathering, test the viability of its strategy options and develop appropriate contingency plans.
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Wright, Alexis Duncan. "Scenario planning and strategizing : an integrated approach." Thesis, University of Nottingham, 2007. http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/11630/.

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This thesis presents an analysis of how one UK Regional Development Agency (RDA) used scenario planning in its construction of the region’s Regional Economic Strategy (RES). Strategists are broadly defined to include those within the RDA charged with developing and enacting a consultative strategy making process, the consultants engaged to provide advice and expertise to ensure workshops were conducted effectively, and, individuals representing stakeholder organizations that attended these workshops and responded to written consultations. Four scenarios depicting the region in the year 2020 were produced, which were subsequently presented as an evidence-base for the strategy process. A draft RES was created and issued for consultation. Previous RES development processes had been criticized for their lack of consultation, in this iteration strategists skilfully utilized a recognized strategy making practice as a means of responding to this. The scenario planning approach they adopted bore little resemblance to to the sanitised and context-free recipes commonly presented in the strategy textbooks. The research is a reflective, longitudinal study with data drawn from forty-six semi-structured interviews producing an authentic rich description that illustrates how actors enacted a strategizing process in the complex environment of the UK public sector. The analysis highlights how the strategists were influenced by sometimes conflicting desires and aspirations, and that to reconcile these and ensure deadlines were met inductive, interpretive and subjective acts were required. This analysis presents strategists as bricoleurs, with the documents and draft strategies produced being socially situated co-constructions emerging from negotiated, temporally-bound, power-laden and politically-infused interactions.
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D'Acierno, Charlotte, Clarence Lee, and Jaehun Woo. "Ferrous futures : scenario planning for global steel." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2021. https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/132764.

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Thesis: M. Arch., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Architecture, February, 2021
Cataloged from the official pdf of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 186-189).
2 trillion kilograms of steel are produced around the world on an annual basis, enough to construct 17,000 Birds Nest Stadiums, 31,000 Empire State Buildings, or 480,000 Guggenheim Bilbao skeletons. If all of this steel were to fill Central Park, this single ingot would be nearly 10 meters tall. If this steel were to wrap around the earth, it would circle the equator more than 3 times. As populations grow and urban centers densify, so too will our material dependence. This thesis combines methods from scientific research and scenario planning to develop a series of speculative futures as a response to this ever-changing and challenging environment. These scenarios provide plausible futures that operate within the confines of the current capitalist system; they highlight the absurdity of our current practice without becoming absurdly unrelatable. The goal of scenario design is not to produce an alternative material but to question the consequences of our current practice, while acknowledging that we as designers operate within a larger geopolitical context. While there are many disciplines involved in the global steel industry, architecture is still culpable. At 56%, the built environment is the single largest consumer of steel. In imagining these scenarios, we reconstruct our material culture and the effects that these speculations might have in the complex networks in which this material is embedded. "They allow us to prepare for the future...by providing a context for speaking about the unspeakable." While this thesis questions the pervasiveness of steel in the built environment, it is our hope that this reciprocal research-design methodology could be expanded or applied to other issues of global complexity.
by Charlotte D'Acierno, Clarence Lee and Jaehun Woo.
M. Arch.
M.Arch. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Architecture
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Nicol, Paul W. "Scenario planning as an organisational change agent /." Full text available, 2005. http://adt.curtin.edu.au/theses/available/adt-WCU20060327.164011.

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Nicol, Paul. "Scenario planning as an organisational change agent." Thesis, Curtin University, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/2127.

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The thesis was based on a unique opportunity to compare the perceptions of participants before and after a scenario planning project conducted in a water utility. The researcher was able to explore the perceptions of the participants of scenario planning as a change agent directly, and so address a concern in some of the literature that much of the body of knowledge on scenario planning has been filtered through the viewpoints of scenario planning practitioners. Through the use of an adapted grounded theory approach, the perceptions of the participants emerged independently of a pre-conceived theoretical framework and explanations of the outcomes of the process were developed from this data. As well, the assumptions behind the practice of scenario planning were explored and from this a theory for scenario planning was developed. This was effected while constant comparison of concepts emerging from the data was in progress and provided a theoretical framework for the discussion of the empirical research. In this case scenario planning was perceived more as an instrument than as an agent of change, with a role of setting a framework for the strategic conversation in the subsequent phases of the change initiative. The outcomes of the research illustrated that uncertainties internal to the organisation had affected the implementation of change. In particular the conceptual ecologies of people in the organisation were not explored in depth, and this perpetuated a driving force for the future of the organisation that was not merely uncertain but remained unknowable. It was concluded that whether a scenario planning project achieved its objectives was matter of perception, with evaluation differing depending on the viewpoint taken.Change of mind-set was not necessarily needed for a change of strategic direction, which could be explained using a political metaphor. However, for cultural change to be effected, there was a need for operatives to identify with it. It was concluded from this case that unless change and/or the change process were adapted to resonate with the world views of the operatives, it was unlikely it would become embedded in the organisation and may be resisted. Conceptual ecologies needed to be explored for this adaptation to occur.
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Nicol, Paul. "Scenario planning as an organisational change agent." Curtin University of Technology, Graduate School of Business, 2005. http://espace.library.curtin.edu.au:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=16321.

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The thesis was based on a unique opportunity to compare the perceptions of participants before and after a scenario planning project conducted in a water utility. The researcher was able to explore the perceptions of the participants of scenario planning as a change agent directly, and so address a concern in some of the literature that much of the body of knowledge on scenario planning has been filtered through the viewpoints of scenario planning practitioners. Through the use of an adapted grounded theory approach, the perceptions of the participants emerged independently of a pre-conceived theoretical framework and explanations of the outcomes of the process were developed from this data. As well, the assumptions behind the practice of scenario planning were explored and from this a theory for scenario planning was developed. This was effected while constant comparison of concepts emerging from the data was in progress and provided a theoretical framework for the discussion of the empirical research. In this case scenario planning was perceived more as an instrument than as an agent of change, with a role of setting a framework for the strategic conversation in the subsequent phases of the change initiative. The outcomes of the research illustrated that uncertainties internal to the organisation had affected the implementation of change. In particular the conceptual ecologies of people in the organisation were not explored in depth, and this perpetuated a driving force for the future of the organisation that was not merely uncertain but remained unknowable. It was concluded that whether a scenario planning project achieved its objectives was matter of perception, with evaluation differing depending on the viewpoint taken.
Change of mind-set was not necessarily needed for a change of strategic direction, which could be explained using a political metaphor. However, for cultural change to be effected, there was a need for operatives to identify with it. It was concluded from this case that unless change and/or the change process were adapted to resonate with the world views of the operatives, it was unlikely it would become embedded in the organisation and may be resisted. Conceptual ecologies needed to be explored for this adaptation to occur.
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Moayer, Sorousha. "Robust intelligent scenario planning for industrial systems." Thesis, Moayer, Sorousha (2009) Robust intelligent scenario planning for industrial systems. PhD thesis, Murdoch University, 2009. https://researchrepository.murdoch.edu.au/id/eprint/3493/.

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Uncertainty about the future significantly impacts on the planning capacities of organisations. Scenario planning provides such organisations with an opportunity to be aware of the consequences of their future plans. By developing plausible scenarios, scenario planning methodologies assist decision-makers to make systematic and effective decisions for the future. This research aims to review existing scenario planning methodologies and develop a new framework to overcome the shortcomings of previous methodologies. The new framework has two major phases: a „scenario generation phase‟ and an „intelligent robust optimisation phase‟. The scenario generation phase creates future scenarios by applying fuzzy logic and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) concepts. With these concepts, it is possible to deal with qualitative data and also learn from expert data. The intelligent robust optimisation phase identifies the best strategic option which is suitable for working with the most probable scenarios. This second phase includes fuzzy programming and robust optimisation methods to deal with uncertain and qualitative data which usually exists in generated scenarios. The case study for this thesis focuses on Western Australia‟s power capacity expansion needs and demonstrates the application of this new methodology in managing the uncertainties associated with future electricity demand. Scenarios which are generated based on different future population trends and industrial growth are used as the basis of determining the best strategic option for the expansion in WA‟s electricity industry. Furthermore, transition to renewable energy and technological constraints for WA‟s electricity industry are considered in the proposed framework. The result of this case study is an investment plan that satisfies WA‟s electricity demand growth and responds to technological and environmental constraints. The new intelligent robust scenario planning framework has the potential to deal with uncertainties in business environments and provides a strategic option that has the ability to work with plausible scenarios for the future.
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McMurray, Gerald. "Macroeconomic scenario building for Strategic National Defense Planning." Thesis, Monterey, Calif. : Springfield, Va. : Naval Postgraduate School ; Available from National Technical Information Service, 2001. http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA401550.

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Krishnan, Vinod. "Scenario Planning Process of Energy Companies in Sweden." Thesis, KTH, Industriell ekonomi och organisation (Avd.), 2011. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-35586.

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Scenario Planning as a tool for planning for the future has widespread use in the industry today and enjoys an envious status as the primary tool of futures thinking. However, the development in this field has been mired with confusion on its application and purpose. Since popularized by Shell in its use to anticipate the oil crisis in the 70s, scenario thinking has grown in use to aid public policy making, corporate strategic planning and even in the natural sciences. This paper attempts to study the scenario planning process design from a corporate perspective by studying its use in energy companies in Sweden. Energy companies present an ideal industry for this study as it is embroiled with obvious uncertainties in future power and carbon prices but also with subjective uncertainties tied to the political interest in the industry and the industry being in the centre of the climate change debate. Furthermore, the extremely long term nature of investment projects in this industry further exacerbates the need for deep insights into the future. This paper studies the nature of the scenario planning process based on two past papers; that have identified the key characteristics of scenarios. Firm specific internal factors are used to explain the differences in the process designs found in empirical data. Finally a framework to design a scenario planning process is proposed. This framework takes into account these internal factors to enable companies to leverage their internal resources and make full use of scenario planning as a tool.
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Гончаренко, Т. П. "Сценарне планування як сучасний інструмент стратегічного управління банком." Thesis, Українська академія банківської справи Національного банку України, 2011. http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/63141.

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В роботі авторами досліджено економічну сутність поняття «сценарне планування», здійснена дефініція поняття «сценарне планування», запропонований авторський погляд на процес сценарного планування в банку.
Іn this paper the authors investigated the economic substance of the concept of "scenario planning", made ​​definition of the concept of "scenario planning" proposed by the author's view on the process of scenario planning in the bank.
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Books on the topic "Scenario planning"

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Lindgren, Mats, and Hans Bandhold. Scenario Planning. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230511620.

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Reibnitz, Ute von. Scenario techniques. Hamburg: McGraw-Hill, 1988.

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Joan, Giesecke, Library and Information Technology Association (U.S.), Library Administration and Management Association., and Transforming Libraries: a National Conference and Exhibition on Leadership and Technology in the Information Age (1996 : Pittsburgh, Pa.), eds. Scenario planning for libraries. Chicago: American Library Association, 1998.

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Schwenker, Burkhard, and Torsten Wulf, eds. Scenario-based Strategic Planning. Wiesbaden: Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-02875-6.

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Haigh, Nardia. Scenario Planning for Climate Change. First Edition. | New York : Routledge, 2019.: Routledge, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781351016353.

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Chermack, Thomas J. Scenario planning in organizations: How to create, use, and assess scenarios. San Francisco: Berrett-Koehler, 2011.

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Martelli, Antonio. Models of Scenario Building and Planning. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9781137293503.

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Ringland, Gill. Scenario planning: Managing for the future. Chichester: Wiley, 1998.

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Ringland, Gill. Scenario planning: Managing for the future. 2nd ed. Hoboken, N.J: Wiley, 2006.

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Shinde, Pramod S. Imageability in Indian cities: Bombay scenario. Hyderabad: Jawaharlal Nehru Technological University, A.P., 1988.

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Book chapters on the topic "Scenario planning"

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Lindgren, Mats, and Hans Bandhold. "Introduction." In Scenario Planning, 1–3. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230511620_1.

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Lindgren, Mats, and Hans Bandhold. "Why Is Scenario Planning Needed? Some Reasons from the Field of Strategy Research." In Scenario Planning, 4–20. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230511620_2.

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Lindgren, Mats, and Hans Bandhold. "Scenario Planning: An Introductory Overview." In Scenario Planning, 21–46. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230511620_3.

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Lindgren, Mats, and Hans Bandhold. "Scenario Planning in Practice." In Scenario Planning, 47–101. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230511620_4.

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Lindgren, Mats, and Hans Bandhold. "The Principles of Scenario Thinking." In Scenario Planning, 102–21. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230511620_5.

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Lindgren, Mats, and Hans Bandhold. "The Principles of Strategic Thinking." In Scenario Planning, 122–29. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230511620_6.

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Grayson, Leslie E. "Scenario-Planning." In Who and How in Planning for Large Companies, 21–56. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1987. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-08412-8_2.

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Schoemaker, Paul J. H. "Scenario Planning." In The Palgrave Encyclopedia of Strategic Management, 1–9. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-94848-2_652-1.

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Schoemaker, Paul J. H. "Scenario Planning." In The Palgrave Encyclopedia of Strategic Management, 1513–21. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-00772-8_652.

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Martelli, Antonio. "Why Scenario Planning?" In Models of Scenario Building and Planning, 1–12. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9781137293503_1.

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Conference papers on the topic "Scenario planning"

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Katurić, Ivana, Mario Gregar, and Paola Marinović. "Postpandemic Dubrovnik – Degrowth Scenario." In 57th ISOCARP World Planning Congress. ISOCARP, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.47472/jm5orexb.

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Moore, Chris. "Major Mobilisation Scenario Planning." In SPE International Conference and Exhibition on Health, Safety, Security, Environment, and Social Responsibility. Society of Petroleum Engineers, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/179287-ms.

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Sohrabi, Shirin, Michael Katz, Oktie Hassanzadeh, Octavian Udrea, and Mark D. Feblowitz. "IBM Scenario Planning Advisor: Plan Recognition as AI Planning in Practice." In Twenty-Seventh International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence {IJCAI-18}. California: International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence Organization, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2018/864.

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We present the IBM Research Scenario Planning Advisor (SPA), a decision support system that allows users to generate diverse alternate scenarios of the future and enhance their ability to imagine the different possible outcomes, including unlikely but potentially impactful futures. The system includes tooling for experts to intuitively encode their domain knowledge, and uses AI Planning to reason about this knowledge and the current state of the world, including news and social media, when generating scenarios.
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Abbass, Hussein A., Axel Bender, Hai Huong Dam, Stephen Baker, James Whitacre, and Ruhul Sarker. "Computational scenario-based capability planning." In the 10th annual conference. New York, New York, USA: ACM Press, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/1389095.1389378.

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A. Hobbs, B., M. Kemper, M. Westwood, and J. Rutter. "Scenario Planning for Electromagnetic Surveying." In 70th EAGE Conference and Exhibition - Workshops and Fieldtrips. European Association of Geoscientists & Engineers, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.3997/2214-4609.20147964.

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Knudsen, T. P., J. M. Pedersen, and O. B. Madsen. "Scenario based network infrastructure planning." In The 7th International Conference on Advanced Communication Technology. IEEE, 2005. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icact.2005.246161.

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Bencik, Marek, and Lubomir Dedera. "A method for planning military scenarios in military scenario definition language." In 2017 Communication and Information Technologies (KIT). IEEE, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.23919/kit.2017.8109439.

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Park, Jeong-Seok. "Developing MVNO market scenarios and strategies through a scenario planning approach." In The 7th International Conference on Advanced Communication Technology. IEEE, 2005. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icact.2005.246026.

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Zhang, Hua, Xiaohong Chen, and Yang Wang. "New City Strategic Transport Planning Based on Scenario Planning." In Second International Conference on Transportation Engineering. Reston, VA: American Society of Civil Engineers, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/41039(345)478.

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Whitacre, James M., Hussein A. Abbass, Ruhul Sarker, Axel Bender, and Stephen Baker. "Strategic positioning in tactical scenario planning." In the 10th annual conference. New York, New York, USA: ACM Press, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/1389095.1389293.

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Reports on the topic "Scenario planning"

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Runyon, Amber, Gregor Schuurman, Brian Miller, Amy Symstad, and Amanda Hardy. Climate change scenario planning for resource stewardship at Wind Cave National Park: Climate change scenario planning summary. National Park Service, July 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.36967/nrr-2286672.

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This report explains scenario planning as a climate change adaptation tool in general, then describes how it was applied to Wind Cave National Park as the second part of a pilot project to dovetail climate change scenario planning with National Park Service (NPS) Resource Stewardship Strategy development. In the orientation phase, Park and regional NPS staff, other subject-matter experts, natural and cultural resource planners, and the climate change core team who led the scenario planning project identified priority resource management topics and associated climate sensitivities. Next, the climate change core team used this information to create a set of four divergent climate futures—summaries of relevant climate data from individual climate projections—to encompass the range of ways climate could change in coming decades in the park. Participants in the scenario planning workshop then developed climate futures into robust climate-resource scenarios that considered expert-elicited resource impacts and identified potential management responses. Finally, the scenario-based resource responses identified by park staff and subject matter experts were used to integrate climate-informed adaptations into resource stewardship goals and activities for the park's Resource Stewardship Strategy. This process of engaging resource managers in climate change scenario planning ensures that their management and planning decisions are informed by assessments of critical future climate uncertainties.
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Lindquist, Joachim, and Henning de Haas. Creating Supply Chain Resilience Through Scenario Planning: How a Digital Twin Can Be Used To Enhance Supply Chain Resilience Through Scenario Planning. Aarhus University Library, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.7146/aul.435.

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This book focusses on the concept of supply chain disruptions and how supply chain resilience can contribute to both preparing for and reacting to the event causing disruption. For building a digital twin of a supply chain, a software named Supply Chain Guru has been used. The software is a supply chain design tool which can be used for different kinds of supply chain network optimisation. The book outlines four scenarios: Covid-19 lockdown, Brexit without deal, Conflagration at a dairy and Political regulations on transport. The scenarios all contain a problem that needs to be solved. This problem is considered as the main disruption for the supply chain. Running the scenario in Supply Chain Guru, constraints are added to the AS-IS model. The constraints are identified as implications of the event in the scenarios. By adding the constraints and running the model, Supply Chain Guru identifies suggestions to solve the problems which were described. The solutions within the scenarios are held up against the theory of supply chain resilience, to describe how the scenario planning can be used to enhance supply chain resilience. Finally, the book discuss how scenario planning can be related to supply chain resilience as well as how scenario planning can be used to increase supply chain resilience.
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Hansen, R. A., and R. A. Combellick. Planning scenario earthquakes for southeast Alaska. Alaska Division of Geological & Geophysical Surveys, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.14509/743.

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Burns, Carla. Scenario Technology for Planning C2 Exercises. Fort Belvoir, VA: Defense Technical Information Center, January 1999. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada458036.

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Dobson, Michael, Elizabeth Christie, Tom Spencer, Richard Eyres, Steven Downie, and Angela Hibbert. Prototype sea level planning and scenario visualization tool. EuroSea, April 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.3289/eurosea_d5.1.

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Development of a prototype data-driven modelling and visualisation tool to be tested with selected stakeholders. The prototype will be used to create a roadmap for visualising data leading to better coastal resilience decisions in the management of future sea level rise. The deliverable will include a brief report.
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Gehler, Christopher P. Organization for Planning: The Corps-To-JTF Contingency Operation Scenario. Fort Belvoir, VA: Defense Technical Information Center, May 2000. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada393370.

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Hawkes, Sarah, and K. G. Santhya. Changing family planning scenario in India: An overview of recent evidence. Population Council, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.31899/rh5.1037.

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Mai, Trieu, Clayton Barrows, Anthony Lopez, Elaine Hale, Mark Dyson, and Kelly Eurek. Implications of Model Structure and Detail for Utility Planning. Scenario Case Studies using the Resource Planning Model. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), April 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/1215187.

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Mai, Trieu, Clayton Barrows, Anthony Lopez, Elaine Hale, Mark Dyson, and Kelly Eurek. Implications of Model Structure and Detail for Utility Planning: Scenario Case Studies Using the Resource Planning Model. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), April 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/1334388.

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Iyer, Ananth V., Konstantina Gkritza, Steven R. Dunlop, Dutt J. Thakkar, Raul Candanedo, Srinath Jayan, Pooja Gupta, et al. Last Mile Delivery and Route Planning for Freight. Purdue University, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.5703/1288284317315.

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This report analyzes anticipated list mile challenges in Indiana by using a scenario-based approach to develop forecasts of GDP growth and thus freight growth across industry clusters in Indiana counties; potential congestion implied by this growth; and a proactive plan to add capacity to alleviate the congestion. We use a quantitative approach to aggregate ramp level flows, industry cluster locations, county layout, and economic activity to develop our recommendations. We develop forecasts through the year 2050 based on long-term planning approaches used by other states (California, Ohio, and Utah). We use data from global databases that consider different possible geo-political scenarios and regulatory choices to scale it down to county-level impact. At the same time, we track industry cluster locations within each county, ramps from interstates, and distances to travel within the counties to reach freight destinations. The result is a report that combines macro trends with micro detail to develop potential capacity bottlenecks.
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