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1

National Disaster Management Authority (Pakistan). Mansehra City's earthquake scenario. Islamabad: National Disaster Management Authority, 2009.

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2

Hassani, Bertrand K. Scenario Analysis in Risk Management. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-25056-4.

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3

C, Jager J., and Ruitenberg E. Joost, eds. AIDS impact assessment: Modelling and scenario analysis. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 1992.

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4

Choromanski, Kacper. Bloodstain Pattern Analysis in Crime Scenarios. Singapore: Springer Singapore, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-33-4428-0.

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5

von, Gadow Klaus, Nagel Jürgen 1942-, and Saborowski Joachim 1950-, eds. Continuous cover forestry: Assessment, analysis, scenarios. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2002.

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6

Group, WEFA, ed. World steel forecast: Multi-scenario analysis through 1994. Bala Cynwyd, Pa., USA (150 Monument Rd., Bala Cynwyd 19004-1780): WEFA Group, 1989.

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7

Teresa, Ribeiro, and European Environment Agency, eds. Scenarios as tools for international environmental assessments. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, 2001.

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8

Beken, T. vander. European organised crime scenarios for 2015. Antwerp, Belgium: Maklu, 2006.

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9

Kottemann Ph.D, Jeffrey E. Illuminating Statistical Analysis Using Scenarios and Simulations. Hoboken, NJ, USA: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781119296386.

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10

Glau, Gregory R. Scenarios for writing: Issues, analysis, and response. Mountain View, Calif: Mayfield Pub. Co., 2001.

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11

Karan, Harbison, ed. User-centered requirements: The scenario-based engineering process. Mahwah, N.J: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1997.

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12

Netherlands. Ministerie van Welzijn, Volksgezonheid en Cultuur. Stuurgroep Toekomstscenario's Gezondheidszorg. AIDS up to the year 2000: Epidemiological, sociocultural, and economic scenario analysis for the Netherlands : scenario report. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1992.

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13

M, DePolo Craig, and Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology., eds. Planning scenario for a major earthquake, Reno-Carson City Urban Corridor, western Nevada: Phase I, the scenario earthquake and associated hazards. Reno, Nev: Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology, Mackay School of Mines, University of Nevada, Reno, 1995.

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14

M, DePolo Craig, and Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology., eds. Planning scenario for a major earthquake in western Nevada. Reno, NV: Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology, 1996.

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15

Laxton, Douglas. Deflationary shocks and monetary rules: An open-economy scenario analysis. Cambridge, Mass: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2006.

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16

1957-, Meredith Pamela L., and National Legal Center for the Public Interest., eds. An analysis of treaties, legislation, regulation, and the political scenario. Washington, D.C: National Legal Center for the Public Interest, 1986.

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17

Laxton, Douglas. Deflationary shocks and monetary rules: An open-economy scenario analysis. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2006.

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18

O'Brien, F. A. Multiple scenario analysis: What has probability distribution theory to offer? Coventry: Warwick Business School, Research Bureau, 1995.

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19

1932-, Algermissen Sylvester Theodore, and Geological Survey (U.S.), eds. Probabilistic and scenario estimates of losses to dwellings in California. [Denver, CO]: Dept. of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, 1990.

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20

Jan, Chleboun, and Babuška Ivo, eds. Uncertain input data problems and the worst scenario method. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2004.

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21

Strategic interaction: Learning languages through scenarios. Cambridge [Cambridgeshire]: Oxford University Press, 1987.

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22

Balkema, Guus. High Risk Scenarios and Extremes: A geometric approach. Zuerich, Switzerland: European Mathematical Society Publishing House, 2007.

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23

Sambrani, Shreekant. The New Maharashtra horticulture policy: Opportunities, constraints, and consequences : scenario analysis. Bombay: The Chamber, 1991.

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24

Hannah, Kosow. Methods of future and scenario analysis: Overview, assessment. and selection criteria. Bonn: Dt. Inst. für Entwicklungspolitik, 2008.

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25

Chiesa, Aulo. L'editoria libraria in Veneto: Analisi dello scenario e ipotesi di sviluppo. [Venice, Italy]: Regione del Veneto, 2010.

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26

Designing strategy: Scenario analysis and the art of making business strategy. Westport, CT: Praeger, 2004.

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27

Hannah, Kosow. Methods of future and scenario analysis: Overview, assessment. and selection criteria. Bonn: Dt. Inst. für Entwicklungspolitik, 2008.

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28

Lacedelli, Octavio Ruiz. Essays in information relaxations and scenario analysis for partially observable settings. [New York, N.Y.?]: [publisher not identified], 2019.

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29

Ryder, J. H. Town centre shopping centres ten years hence: A scenario analysis approach. Manchester: UMIST, 1997.

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30

Mark, Stewart, Washington (State). Emergency Management Division., and Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, eds. Scenario for a magnitude 6.7 earthquake on the Seattle Fault. Oakland, CA: Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, 2005.

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31

Hanaoka, Tatsuya. Greenhouse gas emissions scenarios database and regional mitigation analysis. Tsukuba-shi, Japan: Center for Global Environmental Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 2006.

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32

Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu (Netherlands) and United Nations Environment Programme, eds. Four scenarios for Europe: Based on UNEP's third Global environment outlook. Nairobi, Kenya: UNEP, 2003.

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33

Institute, Earthquake Engineering Research, ed. Scenario for a magnitude 7.0 earthquake on the Hayward fault. Oakland, Calif: The Institute, 1996.

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34

Stephen, Reichle Michael, ed. Planning scenario for a major earthquake, San Diego-Tijuana metropolitan area. Sacramento, Calif. (1416 Ninth St., Room 1341., Sacramento 95814): California Dept. of Conservation, Division of Mines and Geology, 1990.

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35

Hamid, Faruqee, and National Bureau of Economic Research., eds. Would protectionism defuse global imbalances and spur economic activity?: A scenario analysis. Cambridge, Mass: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2006.

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36

Alcamo, Joseph. Scenarios as tools for international environmental assessment. Copenhagen, Denmark: European Environment Agency, 2001.

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37

Council, Canada Economic. A computational analysis of alternative scenarios for multilateral trade liberalization. Ottawa: Economic Council of Canada, 1989.

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38

Canada, Economic Council of. A computational analysis of alternative scenarios for multilateral trade liberalization. Ottawa: Economic Council of Canada, 1989.

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39

U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research. Methods for Applying Risk Analysis to Fire Scenarios (MARIAFIRES)-2010. Washington, DC: U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research, 2013.

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40

L, Morrison Jeffery, and United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration., eds. Development and analysis of SCR requirements tables for system scenarios. [Morgantown, WV]: West Virginia University, 1995.

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41

Akashi, Osamu. Aligning climate change and sustainability: Scenarios, modeling and policy analysis. Tsukuba, Japan: Center for Global Environmental Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 2007.

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42

Samarinda), Diskusi Terbatas Forum SANKRI (2007? Menerawang pembangunan wilayah di masa depan dengan analisis skenario (scenario planning). [Samarinda]: PKP2A III LAN Samarinda, 2007.

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43

Chadha, I. S. Managing projects in Bangladesh: A scenario analysis of institutional environment for development projects. 2nd ed. Dhaka: University Press, 1989.

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44

Schrader, John Y. Understanding the evolving U.S. role in Pacific rim security: A scenario-based analysis. Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 1992.

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45

Rozenberg, Julie, and Stéphane Hallegatte. Poor People on the Front Line: The Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty in 2030. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198813248.003.0002.

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The impacts of climate change on poverty depend on the magnitude of climate change, but also on socio-economic trends. An analysis of hundreds of baseline scenarios for future economic development shows that the drivers of poverty eradication differ across countries. In this chapter, two representative scenarios are selected from these hundreds, one optimistic and one pessimistic regarding poverty. Results from sector analyses of climate change impacts—in agriculture, health, and natural disasters—are introduced in the two scenarios. By 2030, climate change is found to have a significant impact on poverty. But the magnitude of these impacts depends on development choices. In the optimistic scenario with rapid, inclusive, and climate-informed development, climate change increases poverty by between 3 million and 16 million in 2030. The increase in poverty reaches between 35 million and 122 million if development is delayed and less inclusive in the pessimistic scenario.
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46

Ruitenberg, E. J., Scenario Committee Scenario Committee on AIDS, F. M. L. G. van den Boom, J. C. de Jager, and D. P. Reinkind. AIDS up to the Year 2000: Epidemiological, Sociocultural and Economic Scenario Analysis, Scenario Report Commissioned by the Steering Committee on Future Health Scenarios. Springer London, Limited, 2012.

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47

AIDS up to the Year 2000: Epidemiological, Sociocultural and Economic Scenario Analysis, Scenario Report Commissioned by the Steering Committee on Future Health Scenarios. Springer, 2012.

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48

Saatçioğlu, Beken, and Funda Tekin, eds. Turkey and the European Union. Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft mbH & Co. KG, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.5771/9783748900696.

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This volume studies the enduring complexity of EU–Turkey relations in all their thematic dimensions and with a view to offering future scenarios. It accomplishes three important aims. First, following a narratives analysis, the chapters analysing identity, politics, the economy, security, migration and energy identify the key dynamics that impact the relationship in these areas. Second, they evaluate how these drivers influence the three ideal-type future scenarios of convergence, cooperation and conflict, subsequently offering a relationship scenario for each thematic area. Third, the volume synthesises the chapters’ individual findings and argues that conflictual cooperation is the most likely scenario in future EU–Turkey relations. With contributions by İbrahim Semih Akçomak, Senem Aydın-Düzgit, Lorenzo Colantoni, Angeliki Dimitriadi, Atila Eralp, Erkan Erdil, Doruk Ergun, Hanna Lisa Hauge, Ayhan Kaya, Ebru Ece Özbey, Bahar Rumelili, Beken Saatçioğlu, Eduard Soler i Lecha, Melike Sökmen, Funda Tekin, Sinan Ülgen and Wolfgang Wessels.
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49

WERNER, ROBERT R. Designing Strategy: The Art of Scenario Analysis. Windjammer Adventure Publishin, 2010.

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50

Jager, J. C. AIDS Impact Assessment: Modelling and Scenario Analysis. Elsevier Science Ltd, 1992.

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