Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Residual ratio'

Experimental cold modelling of hearth drainage was performed at Bluescope Steel Research Laboratories to understand the impact of variable drainage rate on slag removal. These drainage studies were designed to simulate real operational aspects such as: continuous casting, variable tapping rate and inflow liquid distribution. During the analysis of these drainage experiments it was demonstrated that the residual-flowout correlation in use since the 1970??s may possibly be incomplete or inaccurate. The removal of slag from the blast furnace hearth is the greater concern of the two liquids produced in the iron making process. In the 1970??s operational difficulties arose when large volumes of residual slag remained in the furnace after casting. This prompted research related to the flow of viscous liquids through uniformly packed beds providing fundamental insight on the most effective means of removal of slag from the blast furnace hearth. The core subject of this study, the residual-flowout correlation developed by Fukutake and Okabe that is used to predict cast duration and liquid accumulation in the blast furnace hearth is discussed in detail. The residual-flowout correlation is examined for four different sets of conditions based on constant or increasing slag drainage, with and without liquid dripping. The outcome of this study will improve our understanding of the residual-flowout relationship and develop it further, so that drainage conditions whether for constant or increasing drainage rates, with or without dripping, will hold using the one general Fl equation.

The mean residual life (MRL) function is an important function in survival analysis, actuarial science, economics and other social sciences and reliability for characterizing lifetime. Different methods have been proposed for doing inference on the MRL but their coverage probabilities for small sample sizes are not good enough. In this thesis we apply the empirical likelihood method and carry out a simulation study of the MRL function using different statistical distributions. The simulation study does a comparison of the empirical likelihood method and the normal approximation method. The comparisons are based on the average lengths of confidence intervals and coverage probabilities. We also did comparisons based on median lengths of confidence intervals for the MRL. We found that the empirical likelihood method gives better coverage probability and shorter confidence intervals than the normal approximation method for almost all the distributions that we considered. Applying the two methods to real data we also found that the empirical likelihood method gives thinner pointwise confidence bands.

Fundamental analysts use basic fundamentals, which generally based on available public information, to determine a firm’s intrinsic value. Forecasting future performance is one of the key elements for doing fundamental analysis, and historical results are the foundation for future forecast.

The analysis of this study is conducted into two sections with case studies in the airline business. Firstly, financial ratios are analyzed to examine whether low-cost or traditional airlines better perform their operations during a certain period. The other section is undertaking fundamental analysis of the case studies to evaluate current stock prices of representative airlines based on the potential future forecast. The model using for this valuation is the Residual Earnings Model. Key assumptions of future forecasts are mainly based on their historical ratios. Other related factor such as the gross domestic product (GDP) is included in forecasting sales growth rate because it is one of the key influences in the airline business.

For ratio analysis, the findings suggest that low-cost airlines perform better operations based on five years average. However, the traditional airlines improve their performances significantly in the latest fiscal year. For equity valuation, the findings show that estimates of equity values of the airlines yield inconsistent results comparing to their stock prices. Possible reasons of the difference might be the improvement in key financial ratios of the airlines.

Housing affordability is the relationship between households’ income and housing expenditure. The public are very concerned about the high price of residential housing in Beijing, which is considered go beyond the income of average citizens. In order to fully understand the China’s real estate market, the paper first analyses the land policy, housing reform and housing finance, etc. Then this paper examine to what the extent the high housing price had led to low levels of housing affordability from 2000 until 2009 among Beijing urban households. The ratio analysis has been conducted to measure housing affordability. Meanwhile, we compute the housing-induced poverty, find maximum affordable housing prices for all the income classes, and suggest the housing assistance that should be provided to urban households in Beijing. Approximately, only 20% Beijing urban residents have purchase affordability for a standardized new residential housing, no matter which approach is used, strong statistical evidences reveal that there is an incessant large gap between residential housing prices and urban residents’ incomes in Beijing.

In the past academic research have displayed strong evidence that stocks with the relatively low valuation earn higher future returns than stocks with relatively high valuation. This kind of value anomaly seems to exist for example between firms with high and low book-to-market ratio. In addition there is a lot of evidence that future stock returns can be predicted by analyzing past financial information. Especially the value relevant fundamentals which are usually the main components of equity valuation models seems to consist useful information about the future stock prices. In this thesis it is investigated if the investment strategy based on book-to-market valuation ratio and the main fundamental components of residual income valuation model can generate abnormal future stock returns. Strategy focuses on high book-to-market firms which past financial information indicates strong future residual incomes for these firms. These pieces of information are recognized by analyzing the return on equity and expected return on equity which are the main components of residual income model. The results shows that investment strategy based on book-to-market ratio and strength of future residual incomes generates higher mean returns than equally weighted market portfolio in the U.S markets during the years 1970–2010. Furthermore the strategy outperforms high book-to-market portfolio by mean return margin of 11.5%-points. Strategy seems to be quit robust across time as well when it is outperforming equally weighted market and high book-to-market portfolios almost 80% of the time. The returns appears to be highest among firms with the smallest market value and lowest among the large-sized firms. However the benefits of using fundamental based screening are stronger among medium-sized firms which indicates that superior return performance of the investment strategy is not driven by small firm effect. It seems also that the superior returns are not at least fully compensation for extra risk. Actually the strategy prefers the stocks with the low earnings variability and leverage together with high liquidity which are argued to be appropriate proxies for risk. Also the explanation of Fama and French (1992) which argues that abnormal returns of high book-to-market firms are due high distress of these firms is not supported by results presented in this thesis. In fact the strategy prefers firms with low distress and still generates higher mean returns than high book-to-market firms on average. This indicates that there could be undervalued stocks in the market which are successfully identified by investment strategy based on valuation ratio and analyzing past financial information.

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This paper investigates the role of consumption-wealth ratio on predicting future stock returns through a panel approach. We follow the theoretical framework proposed by Lettau and Ludvigson (2001), in which a model derived from a nonlinear consumer’s budget constraint is used to settle the link between consumption-wealth ratio and stock returns. Using G7’s quarterly aggregate and financial data ranging from the first quarter of 1981 to the first quarter of 2014, we set an unbalanced panel that we use for both estimating the parameters of the cointegrating residual from the shared trend among consumption, asset wealth and labor income, cay, and performing in and out-of-sample forecasting regressions. Due to the panel structure, we propose different methodologies of estimating cay and making forecasts from the one applied by Lettau and Ludvigson (2001). The results indicate that cay is in fact a strong and robust predictor of future stock return at intermediate and long horizons, but presents a poor performance on predicting one or two-quarter-ahead stock returns.

A abordagem do comportamento hidráulico associado ao comportamento mecânico de um material é de extrema importância. A técnica de tratamento de solos com cal vem sendo empregada com sucesso na engenharia geotécnica, melhorando as características do solo, que por ser um material complexo e variável nem sempre satisfaz as necessidades requeridas para um projeto. Nesse sentido, este estudo tem por objetivo quantificar a influência da quantidade de cal e da porosidade sobre o comportamento hidráulico e mecânico de um solo residual tratado com cal, verificando a adequação do uso da relação vazios/cal na estimativa da condutividade hidráulica, da resistência à compressão simples (qu) e da resistência à tração (qt). Para isso, foram realizados ensaios de condutividade hidráulica e de resistência para corpos de prova com 5%, 7% e 9% de cal, com peso específico aparente seco de 16,0 kN/m³, 17,2 kN/m³ e 18,5 kN/m³, curados por 28 dias. Foi observado que a porosidade da mistura é um parâmetro de influência sobre a condutividade hidráulica medida. Ambas as resistências, à compressão simples e à tração por compressão diametral, aumentaram potencialmente com a redução da porosidade. Verificou-se uma única relação qt/qu igual a 0,13, sendo independente da relação vazios/cal. A metodologia proposta por Consoli (2014), mostrou-se adequada para a determinação dos parâmetros de resistência (intercepto coesivo e ângulo de atrito) para uma relação [n/(Liv)0,12=35. A relação vazios/cal, definida pela razão entre a porosidade da mistura compactada e o teor volumétrico de cal, ajustado por uma potência, demonstrou ser um parâmetro eficaz na estimativa do comportamento hidráulico e mecânico do solo-cal estudado.
The approach of the hydraulic behavior associated with the mechanical behavior of a material is of utmost importance. The technique of treating soil with lime has been used successfully in geotechnical engineering, improving the characteristics of the soil, which is a highly variable and complex material, and does not always meet the required needs. In that sense, this study has for objective to quantify the influence of amounts of lime and of the porosity on the hydraulic and mechanical behavior a sandy silt soil stabilized with lime, checking the suitability of the use de voids/ lime ratio in estimating of the hydraulic conductivity, unconfined compression strength (qu) and tensile strength (qt). For that, number of hydraulic conductivity tests and strength tests were carried out for soil-hydrated lime blends, with lime contents of 5%, 7% e 9%, dry unit weight of 16,0 kN/m³, 17,2 kN/m³ and 18,5 kN/m³, 28 days as curing time. It was observed that the porosity of the mixture is a parameter influence on the hydraulic conductivity measured. The results show the unconfined compressive and the splitting tensile strength increasing potentially with the reduction of its porosity. It was found a single qt/qu relationship equal to 0,13, being independent of the porosity/lime ratio. The methodology suggested by Consoli (2014), was adequate for determining of Mohr-Coulomb failure parameters (effective cohesion intercept effective angle of shearing resistance) for a ratio [n/(Liv)0,12=35. The voids/lime ratio, defined as the ratio between the porosity of the compacted mixture and volumetric lime content, adjusted by a power, demonstrated to be the most appropriate parameter to assess the hydraulic and mechanical behavior of the soil-lime mixture studied.

Dissertação de Mestrado em Gestão e Políticas Públicas
Com o aumento dos preços da habitação, a questão da habitação acessível entrou recentemente na agenda pública e política em Portugal. O governo apresentou soluções no âmbito do arrendamento, mas o problema público não parece ter sido claramente definido. Este estudo tem três objetivos. Primeiro, analisam-se os conceitos de “acessibilidade económica à habitação” e “habitação a preços acessíveis” subjacentes às políticas públicas portuguesas propostas para enfrentar a questão, comparando-os com a literatura. O segundo objetivo avalia a situação atual da acessibilidade ao arrendamento em Portugal, identificando as características socioeconómicas dos agregados familiares considerados em risco de enfrentar este tipo de problema. Utilizando os microdados do Inquérito às Condições de Vida e Rendimento de 2016, aplicaram-se as duas abordagens principais para examinar a acessibilidade à habitação – o rendimento residual e o rácio despesas-rendimentos. Por último, analisam-se os pontos fortes e fracos de ambas as abordagens. Os resultados sugerem uma maior adequação da abordagem do rendimento residual para a identificação das famílias nessas condições. Por conseguinte, discute-se a importância da correta definição do problema público e as suas implicações para o desenho e a implementação de políticas de habitação acessível.
In times of rising house prices, the affordable housing issue has recently reached the public and political agenda in Portugal. The government presented solutions within the rental sector, yet the public problem does not seem to have been clearly defined. The aim of this study is threefold. First, it analyses the underlying concepts of “housing affordability” and “affordable housing” in the Portuguese public policies proposed to tackle the issue, by comparing them to the literature. The second objective assesses the recent state of rental affordability in Portugal, identifying the socioeconomic characteristics of the households considered to be at risk of having this kind of problem. Using microdata from the 2016 Living Conditions and Income Survey, the study applies the two main approaches to examine housing affordability – the residual income and the expenditure-to-income ratio. Lastly, it analyses the strengths and weaknesses of both approaches. The results suggest a better suitability of the residual income approach for the identification of families in such conditions. Therefore, the study discusses the importance of the correct public problem definition and its implications for the design and implementation of affordable housing policies.
N/A

Abstract Purpose: To compare the frequency specific Cortical Auditory Evoked Potential (CAEP) and the chirp-evoked 40 Hz Auditory Steady State Response (ASSR) with equivalent residual noise levels for behavioural threshold prediction in adults with normal hearing and with SNHL. Method: The study tested 23 adults with normal hearing and 20 adults with SNHL. The participants were aged between 18–65 years. A repeated measures within- participant descriptive design was used to collect the quantitative data. The participants underwent behavioural pure tone, CAEP and ASSR testing on the same day. Results: Similar CAEP difference scores across frequencies for the participants with normal hearing (mean=12.32-14.40 dB) and with SNHL (mean=10.00-16.47 dB) were measured. However, for the ASSR difference scores across frequencies slightly smaller difference scores were measured for the participants with SNHL (mean=10.17-17.30 dB) than for the participants with normal hearing (mean=11.74- 17.14 dB). CAEP thresholds were significantly closer to the behavioural pure tone thresholds at 500 (p=0.028; mean absolute difference 14.40 dB) and 2000 (p=0.016; mean absolute difference 12.56 dB) Hz for participants with normal hearing. In participants with sensorineural hearing loss, CAEP and ASSR thresholds were measured at similar sensation levels and were not statistically different (p>0.05). Conclusion: For the purpose of threshold estimation, representing the auditory function to the level of the auditory cortex the CAEP was closer to the behavioural hearing thresholds than the 40 Hz ASSR at all frequencies except at 4000 Hz, regardless of the hearing sensitivity. Keywords: Auditory steady state response (ASSR), Cortical auditory evoked potential (CAEP), Auditory evoked potential (AEP), Residual noise, Signal to noise ratio (SNR), objective threshold estimation, awake adults.
Dissertation (MA (Audiology))--University of Pretoria, 2019.
Speech-Language Pathology and Audiology
MA Audiology
Unrestricted

The sequential estimation of the states (filtering) and the corresponding simultaneous estimation of the states and fixed parameters of a dynamic state-space model, being linear or not, is an important probleminmany fields of research, such as in the area of finance. The main objective of this research is to estimate sequ entially and efficiently –from a Bayesian perspective via the particle filtering methodology– the states and/or the fixed parameters of a nonstandard dynamic state-spacemodel: one that is possibly nonlinear, non-stationary or non-Gaussian. The present thesis consists of seven chapters and is structured into two parts. Chapter 1 introduces basic concepts, themotivation, the purpose, and the outline of the thesis. Chapters 2-4, the first part of the thesis, focus on the estimation of the states. Chapter 2 provides a comprehensive review of themost classic algorithms (non-simulation based: KF, EKF, and UKF; and simulation based: SIS, SIR, ASIR, EPF, and UPF1) used for filtering solely the states of a dynamic statespacemodel. All these filters scattered in the literature are not only described in detail, but also placed in a unified notation for the sake of consistency, readability and comparability. Chapters 3 and 4 confirm the efficiency of the well-established particle filtering methodology, via extensive Monte Carlo (MC) studies, when estimating only the latent states for a dynamic state-space model, being linear or not. Also, complementary MC studies are conducted to analyze some relevant issues within the adopted approach, such as the degeneracy problem, the resampling strategy, or the possible impact on estimation of the number of particles used and the time series length. Chapter 3 specifically illustrates the performance of the particle filtering methodology in a linear and Gaussian context, using the exact Kalman filter as a benchmark. The performance of the four studied particle filter variants (SIR, SIRopt, ASIR, KPF, the latter being a special case of the EPF algorithm) is assessed using two apparently simple, but important time series processes: the so-called Local Level Model (LLM) and the AR(1) plus noise model, which are non-stationary and stationary, respectively. An exhaustive study on the effect of the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) over the quality of the estimation is additionally performed. ComplementaryMC studies are conducted to assess the degree of degeneracy and the possible effect of increasing the number of particles and the time series length. Chapter 4 assesses and illustrates the performance of the particle filtering methodology in a nonlinear context. Specifically, a synthetic nonlinear, non Gaussian and non-stationary state space model taken from literature is used to illustrate the performance of the four competing particle filters under study (SIR, ASIR, EPF, UPF) in contraposition to two well-known non-simulation based filters (EKF, UKF). In this chapter, the residual and stratified resampling schemes are compared and the effect of increasing the number of particles is addressed. In the second part (Chapters 5 and 6), extensive MC studies are carried out, but the main goal is the simultaneous estimation of states and fixed model parameters for chosen non-standard dynamic models. This area of research is still very active and it is within this area where this thesis contributes themost. Chapter 5 provides a partial survey of particle filter variants used to conduct the simultaneous estimation of states and fixed parameters. Such filters are an extension of those previously adopted for estimating solely the states. Additionally, a MC study is carried out to estimate the state (level) and the two fixed variance parameters of the non-stationary local level model; we use four particle filter variants (LW, SIRJ, SIRoptJ, KPFJ), six typical settings of the SNR and two settings for the discount factor needed in the jittering step. In this chapter, the SIRJ particle filter variant is proposed as an alternative to the well-established filter of Liu West (LW PF). The combined use of a Kalman-based proposal distribution and a jittering step is proposed and explored, which gives rise to the particle filter variant called: the Kalman Particle Filter plus Jittering (KPFJ). Chapter 6 focuses on estimating the states and three fixed parameters of the non-standard basic stochastic volatility model known as stochastic autoregressive volatility model of order one: SARV(1). After an introduction and detailed description of the stylized features of financial time series, the estimation ability of two competing particle filter variants (SIRJ vs LW(Liu andWest)) is shown empirically using simulated data. The chapter ends with an application to real data sets from the financial area: the Spanish IBEX 35 returns index and the Europe Brent Spot prices (in dollars). The contribution in chapters 5 and 6 is to propose new variants of particle filters, such as the KPFJ, the SIRJ, and the SIRoptJ (a special case of the SIRJ that uses an optimal proposal distribution) that have developed along this work. The thesis also suggests that the so-called EPFJ (Extended Particle Filter with Jittering) and the UPFJ (Unscented Particle Filter with Jittering) algorithms could be reasonable choices when dealingwith highly nonlinearmodels. In this part, also relevant issueswithin the particle filteringmethodology are discussed, such as the potential impact on estimation of the discount factor parameter, the time series length, and the number of particles used. Throughout this work, pseudo-codes are written for all filters studied and are implemented in RLanguage. The reported findings are obtained as the result of extensive MC studies, considering a variety of case-scenarios described in the thesis. The intrinsic characteristics of the model at hand guided -according to suitability– the choice of filters in each specific situation. The comparison of filters is based on the RMSE, the elapsed CPU-time and the degree of degeneracy. Finally, Chapter 7 includes the discussion, contributions, and future lines of research. Some complementary theoretical and practical aspects are presented in the appendix.
L’estimació seqüencial dels estats (filtratge) i la corresponent estimació simultània dels estats i els paràmetres fixos d’unmodel dinàmic formulat en forma d’espai d’estat –sigui lineal o no– constitueix un problema de rellevada importància enmolts camps, com ser a l’àrea de finances. L’objectiu principal d’aquesta tesi és el d’estimar seqüencialment i de manera eficient –des d’un punt de vista bayesià i usant lametodologia de filtratge de partícules– els estats i/o els paràmetres fixos d’unmodel d’espai d’estat dinàmic no estàndard: possiblement no lineal, no gaussià o no estacionari. El present treball consisteix de 7 capítols i s’organitza en dues parts. El Capítol 1 hi introdueix conceptes bàsics, lamotivació, el propòsit i l’estructura de la tesi. La primera part d’aquesta tesi (capítols 2 a 4) se centra únicament en l’estimació dels estats. El Capítol 2 presenta una revisió exhaustiva dels algorismes més clàssics no basats en simulacions (KF, EKF, UKF2) i els basats en simulacions (SIS, SIR, ASIR, EPF, UPF). Per a aquests filtres, tots esmentats en la literatura, amés de descriure’ls detalladament, s’ha unificat la notació amb l’objectiu que aquesta sigui consistent i comparable entre els diferents algorismes implementats al llarg d’aquest treball. Els capítols 3 i 4 se centren en la realització d’estudis Monte Carlo (MC) extensos que confirmen l’eficiència de la metodologia de filtratge de partícules per estimar els estats latents d’un procés dinàmic formulat en forma d’espai d’estat, sigui lineal o no. Alguns estudis MC complementaris es duen a terme per avaluar diferents aspectes de la metodologia de filtratge de partícules, com ser el problema de la degeneració, l’elecció de l’estratègia de remostreig, el nombre de partícules usades o la grandària de la sèrie temporal. Específicament, el Capítol 3 il·lustra el comportament de la metodologia de filtratge de partícules en un context lineal i gaussià en comparació de l’òptim i exacte filtre de Kalman. La capacitat de filtratge de les quatre variants de filtre de partícules estudiades (SIR, SIRopt, ASIR, KPF; l’últim sent un cas especial de l’algorisme EPF) es va avaluar sobre la base de dos processos de sèries temporals aparentment simples però importants: els anomenats Local Level Model (LLM) i el AR (1) plus noise, que són no estacionari i estacionari, respectivament. Aquest capítol estudia en profunditat temes rellevants dins de l’enfocament adoptat, coml’impacte en l’estimació de la relació entre el senyal i el soroll (SNR: signal-to-noise-ratio, en aquesta tesi), de la longitud de la sèrie temporal i del nombre de partícules. El Capítol 4 avalua i il·lustra el comportament de la metodologia de filtratge de partícules en un context no lineal. En concret, s’utilitza un model d’espai d’estat no lineal, no gaussià i no estacionari pres de la literatura per il·lustrar el comportament de quatre filtres de partícules (SIR, ASIR, EPF, UPF) en contraposició a dos filtres no basats en simulació ben coneguts (EKF, UKF). Aquí es comparen els esquemes de remostreig residual i estratificat i s’avalua l’efecte d’augmentar el nombre de partícules. A la segona part (capítols 5 i 6), es duen a terme també estudis MC extensos, però ara l’objectiu principal és l’estimació simultània dels estats i paràmetres fixos de certsmodels seleccionats. Aquesta àrea de recerca segueix sentmolt activa i és on aquesta tesi hi contribueixmés. El Capítol 5 proveeix una revisió parcial dels mètodes per dur a terme l’estimació simultània dels estats i paràmetres fixos a través de la metodologia de filtratge de partícules. Aquests filtres són una extensió d’aquells adoptats anteriorment només per estimar els estats. Aquí es realitza un estudi MC per estimar l’estat (nivell) i els dos paràmetres de variància del model LLM no estacionari; s’utilitzen quatre variants (LW, SIRJ, SIRoptJ, KPFJ) de filtre de partícules, sis escenaris típics del SNR i dos escenaris per a l’anomenat factor de descompte necessari en el pas de diversificació. En aquest capítol, es proposa la variant de filtre de partícules SIRJ (Sample Importance Resampling with Jittering) com a alternativa al filtre de referència de Liu iWest (LWPF). També es proposa i explora l’ús combinat d’una distribució d’importància basada en el filtre de Kalman i un pas de diversificació (jittering) que dóna lloc a la variant del filtre de partícules anomenada Kalman Particle Filteringwith Jittering (KPFJ). El Capítol 6 se centra en l’estimació dels estats i dels paràmetres fixos delmodel bàsic no estàndard de volatilitat estocàstica denominat Stochastic autoregressive model of order one: SARV (1). Després d’una introducció i descripció detallada de les característiques pròpies de sèries temporals financeres, es demostra mitjançant estudis MC la capacitat d’estimació de dues variants de filtre de partícules (SIRJ vs. LW(Liu iWest)) utilitzant dades simulades. El capítol acaba amb una aplicació a dos conjunts de dades reals dins de l’àrea financera: l’índex de rendiments espanyol IBEX 35 i els preus al comptat (en dòlars) del Brent europeu. La contribució en els capítols 5 i 6 consisteix en proposar noves variants de filtres de partícules, compoden ser el KPFJ, el SIRJ i el SIRoptJ (un cas especial de l’algorisme SIRJ utilitzant una distribució d’importància òptima) que s’han desenvolupat al llarg d’aquest treball. També se suggereix que els anomenats filtres de partícules EPFJ (Extended Particle Filter with Jittering) i UPFJ (Unscented Particle Filter with Jittering) podrien ser opcions raonables quan es tracta de models altament no lineals; el KPFJ sent un cas especial de l’algorisme EPFJ. En aquesta part, també es tracten aspectes rellevants dins de la metodologia de filtratge de partícules, com ser l’impacte potencial en l’estimació de la longitud de la sèrie temporal, el paràmetre de factor de descompte i el nombre de partícules. Al llarg d’aquest treball s’han escrit (i implementat en el llenguatge R) els pseudo-codis per a tots els filtres estudiats. Els resultats presentats s’obtenenmitjançant simulacionsMonte Carlo (MC) extenses, tenint en compte variats escenaris descrits en la tesi. Les característiques intrínseques del model baix estudi van guiar l’elecció dels filtres a comparar en cada situació específica. Amés, la comparació dels filtres es basa en el RMSE (RootMean Square Error), el temps de CPU i el grau de degeneració. Finalment, el Capítol 7 presenta la discussió, les contribucions i les línies futures de recerca. Alguns aspectes teòrics i pràctics complementaris es presenten en els apèndixs.
La estimación secuencial de los estados (filtrado) y la correspondiente estimación simultánea de los estados y los parámetros fijos de un modelo dinámico formulado en forma de espacio de estado –sea lineal o no– constituye un problema de relevada importancia enmuchos campos, como ser en el área de finanzas. El objetivo principal de esta tesis es el de estimar secuencialmente y de manera eficiente –desde un punto de vista bayesiano y usando la metodología de filtrado de partículas– los estados y/o los parámetros fijos de un modelo de espacio de estado dinámico no estándar: posiblemente no lineal, no gaussiano o no estacionario. El presente trabajo consta de 7 capítulos y se organiza en dos partes. El Capítulo 1 introduce conceptos básicos, la motivación, el propósito y la estructura de la tesis. La primera parte de esta tesis (capítulos 2 a 4) se centra únicamente en la estimación de los estados. El Capítulo 2 presenta una revisión exhaustiva de los algoritmos más clásicos no basados en simulaciones (KF, EKF,UKF3) y los basados en simulaciones (SIS, SIR, ASIR, EPF, UPF). Para todos estos filtros, mencionados en la literatura, además de describirlos en detalle, se ha unificado la notación con el objetivo de que ésta sea consistente y comparable entre los diferentes algoritmos implementados a lo largo de este trabajo. Los capítulos 3 y 4 se centran en la realización de estudios Monte Carlo (MC) extensos que confirman la eficiencia de la metodología de filtrado de partículas para estimar los estados latentes de un proceso dinámico formulado en forma de espacio de estado, sea lineal o no. Algunos estudios MC complementarios se llevan a cabo para evaluar varios aspectos de la metodología de filtrado de partículas, como ser el problema de la degeneración, la elección de la estrategia de remuestreo, el número de partículas usadas o el tamaño de la serie temporal. Específicamente, el Capítulo 3 ilustra el comportamiento de lametodología de filtrado de partículas en un contexto lineal y gaussiano en comparación con el óptimo y exacto filtro de Kalman. La capacidad de filtrado de las cuatro variantes de filtro de partículas estudiadas (SIR, SIRopt, ASIR, KPF; el último siendo un caso especial del algoritmo EPF) se evaluó en base a dos procesos de series temporales aparentemente simples pero importantes: los denominados Local Level Model (LLM) y el AR (1) plus noise, que son no estacionario y estacionario, respectivamente. Este capítulo estudia en profundidad temas relevantes dentro del enfoque adoptado, como el impacto en la estimación de la relación entre la señal y el ruido (SNR: signal-to-noise-ratio, en esta tesis), de la longitud de la serie temporal y del número de partículas. El Capítulo 4 evalúa e ilustra el comportamiento de la metodología de filtrado de partículas en un contexto no lineal. En concreto, se utiliza un modelo de espacio de estado no lineal, no gaussiano y no estacionario tomado de la literatura para ilustrar el comportamiento de cuatro filtros de partículas (SIR, ASIR, EPF, UPF) en contraposición a dos filtros no basados en simulación bien conocidos (EKF, UKF). Aquí se comparan los esquemas de remuestreo residual y estratificado y se evalúa el efecto de aumentar el número de partículas. En la segunda parte (capítulos 5 y 6), se llevan a cabo también estudios MC extensos, pero ahora el objetivo principal es la estimación simultánea de los estados y parámetros fijos de ciertos modelos seleccionados. Esta área de investigación sigue siendo muy activa y es donde esta tesis contribuye más. El Capítulo 5 provee una revisión parcial de losmétodos para llevar a cabo la estimación simultánea de los estados y parámetros fijos a través de lametodología de filtrado de partículas. Dichos filtros son una extensión de aquellos adoptados anteriormente sólo para estimar los estados. Aquí se realiza un estudio MC para estimar el estado (nivel) y los dos parámetros de varianza del modelo LLM no estacionario; se utilizan cuatro variantes (LW, SIRJ, SIRoptJ, KPFJ) de filtro de partículas, seis escenarios típicos del SNR y dos escenarios para el llamado factor de descuento necesario en el paso de diversificación. En este capítulo, se propone la variante de filtro de partículas SIRJ (Sample Importance resampling with Jittering) como alternativa al filtro de referencia de Liu y West (LW PF). También se propone y explora el uso combinado de una distribución de importancia basada en el filtro de Kalman y un paso de diversificación (jittering) que da lugar a la variante del filtro de partículas denominada Kalman Particle Filteringwith Jittering (KPFJ). El Capítulo 6 se centra en la estimación de los estados y de los parámetros fijos del modelo básico no estándar de volatilidad estocástica denominado Stochastic autoregressivemodel of order one: SARV (1). Después de una introducción y descripción detallada de las características propias de series temporales financieras, se demuestra mediante estudios MC la capacidad de estimación de dos variantes de filtro de partículas (SIRJ vs. LW (Liu y West)) utilizando datos simulados. El capítulo termina con una aplicación a dos conjuntos de datos reales dentro del área financiera: el índice de rendimientos español IBEX 35 y los precios al contado (en dólares) del Brent europeo. La contribución en los capítulos 5 y 6 consiste en proponer nuevas variantes de filtros de partículas, como pueden ser el KPFJ, el SIRJ y el SIRoptJ (Caso especial del algoritmo SIRJ utilizando una distribución de importancia óptima) que se han desarrollado a lo largo de este trabajo. También se sugiere que los llamados filtros de partículas EPFJ (Extended Particle Filter with Jittering) y UPFJ (Unscented Particle Filter with Jittering) podrían ser opciones razonables cuando se trata de modelos altamente no lineales; el KPFJ siendo un caso especial del algoritmo EPFJ. En esta parte, también se tratan aspectos relevantes dentro de lametodología de filtrado de partículas, como ser el impacto potencial en la estimación de la longitud de la serie temporal, el parámetro de factor de descuento y el número de partículas. A lo largo de este trabajo se han escrito (e implementado en el lenguaje R) los pseudo-códigos para todos los filtros estudiados. Los resultados presentados se obtienen mediante simulaciones Monte Carlo (MC) extensas, teniendo en cuenta variados escenarios descritos en la tesis. Las características intrínsecas del modelo bajo estudio guiaron la elección de los filtros a comparar en cada situación específica. Además, la comparación de los filtros se basa en el RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), el tiempo de CPU y el grado de degeneración. Finalmente, el Capítulo 7 presenta la discusión, las contribuciones y las líneas futuras de investigación. Algunos aspectos teóricos y prácticos complementarios se presentan en los apéndices.

A previsão e entendimento da formação de tensões residuais oriundas da têmpera plena ou superficial nos aços tem sido objeto de estudo por um número considerável de pesquisadores, devido ao seu grande interesse tecnológico. Neste trabalho o objetivo principal consistiu no desenvolvimento de um modelo numérico para a previsão das tensões residuais em peças cilíndricas temperadas por indução. A têmpera por indução executada num componente previamente \"beneficiado\", isto é, temperado e revenido, é capaz de produzir uma camada superficial de alta dureza e tensões compressivas num núcleo resistente e tenaz. É esperado, entretanto, que o aumento da camada endurecida possa gerar tensões trativas indesejáveis abaixo da superfície, comprometendo a integridade estrutural do componente e levando as falhas prematuras. Portanto, neste trabalho ênfase foi dada no estudo da influência da profundidade de camada induzida no perfil e magnitude das tensões residuais em corpos de prova cilíndricos (c.ps.) de aço. O método de elementos finitos foi adotado para a solução do problema térmico (distribuição de temperatura) e estrutural (cálculo das tensões) com o emprego do programa ANSYS 5.3. Os efeitos metalúrgicos da mudança de fase Austenita - Martensita, responsável pelas altas tensões compressivas residuais na superfície, como resultado da expansão volumétrica inerente a esta transformação, foi modelado através de uma rotina FORTRAN especialmente desenvolvida neste trabalho e acoplada ao programa ANSYS 5.3. A criação da geometria do modelo e passos da solução foram automatizados através do uso da linguagem paramétrica APDL (ANSYS Parametric Design Language) do programa ANSYS 5.3. Trata-se de um problema termo-elasto-plástico onde as propriedades termo-físicas e mecânicas necessárias para o cálculo foram consideradas dependente da temperatura. Verificação e calibração do modelo computacional foi efetuada através da medição das ) tensões residuais em c.ps. cilíndricos de aço com o emprego da técnica de difração de raios X. Finalmente, são discutidos aspectos de precisão e principais fontes de erro, como também proposta de melhorias e futuras aplicações deste modelo.
Large efforts have been made to predict and understand the residual stresses formation in through hardening and case hardening of steel. In the present work the objective was to develop a model to predict the residual stresses in induction hardening of cylindrical steel bars. Induction hardening, i.e. electromagnetic heating and subsequent quenching, is a surface treatment of great use in industry because it is suitable to improve locally mechanical properties of the high stressed regions of the part. A hard surface layer with high compressive residual stress is normally obtained, while retaining ductility and toughness in the core. Applied to components that undergo severe duty cycles, such as gears, shafts axles and bearings, it is also clean, fast and suitable for on-line applications. It is expected however, that increasing the hardening depth leads to undesirable high subsurface tensile stress, which can cause premature failure of the component. Emphasis has been on investigating the influence of case depth on the residual stress distribution of the cylindrical steel specimens. A finite element model was developed to compute the temperature history, phase transformation and residual stress for the induction hardening process. The Austenite to Martensite phase transformation during quenching, responsible for the high surface compressive stress, as result of volume expansion, was evaluated by a custom FORTRAN routine linked to the ANSYS5.3 FEA code. The model geometry and solution process were automated by the use of ANSYS Parametric Design Language (APDL). The thermoelastoplastic behavior of the material was studied, considering material properties temperature dependent. The results of the calculations have been compared to experimental measurements of the residual stresses at the surface, using X Ray diffraction technique. Finally, accuracy and main source of erros are discussed. Future improvements and applications of this model are proposed.

After termination, cover crop residue can suppress weeds by reducing sunlight, decreasing soil temperature, and providing a physical barrier. Experiments were implemented to monitor horseweed suppression from different cover crops as well as two fall-applied residual herbicide treatments. Results suggest that cover crops, other than forage radish in monoculture, can suppress horseweed more consistently than flumioxazin + paraquat or metribuzin + chlorimuron-ethyl. Cover crop biomass is positively correlated to weed suppression. Subsequent experiments were designed to determine the amount of weed suppression from different cover crop treatments and if carbon to nitrogen (C:N) ratios or lignin content are also correlated to weed suppression or cover crop residue thickness. Results indicate that cereal rye alone and mixtures containing cereal rye produced the most biomass and suppressed weeds more than hairy vetch, crimson clover, and forage radish alone. Analyses indicate that lignin, as well as biomass, is an important indicator of weed suppression. While cover crops provide many benefits, integrating cover crops into production can be difficult. Hairy vetch, a legume cover crop, can become a weed in subsequent seasons. Multiple experiments were implemented to determine germination phenology and viability of two hairy vetch cultivars, Groff and Purple Bounty, and to determine when viable seed are produced. Almost all germination occurred in the initial cover crop growing season for both cultivars. Both cultivars had <1% of viable seed at the termination of the experiment. These results indicate that seed dormancy is not the primary cause of weediness.
Master of Science in Life Sciences

After termination, cover crop residue can suppress weeds by reducing sunlight, decreasing soil temperature, and providing a physical barrier. Experiments were implemented to monitor horseweed suppression from different cover crops as well as two fall-applied residual herbicide treatments. Results suggest that cover crops, other than forage radish in monoculture, can suppress horseweed more consistently than flumioxazin + paraquat or metribuzin + chlorimuron-ethyl. Cover crop biomass is positively correlated to weed suppression. Subsequent experiments were designed to determine the amount of weed suppression from different cover crop treatments and if carbon to nitrogen (C:N) ratios or lignin content are also correlated to weed suppression or cover crop residue thickness. Results indicate that cereal rye alone and mixtures containing cereal rye produced the most biomass and suppressed weeds more than hairy vetch, crimson clover, and forage radish alone. Analyses indicate that lignin, as well as biomass, is an important indicator of weed suppression. While cover crops provide many benefits, integrating cover crops into production can be difficult. Hairy vetch, a legume cover crop, can become a weed in subsequent seasons. Multiple experiments were implemented to determine germination phenology and viability of two hairy vetch cultivars, Groff and Purple Bounty, and to determine when viable seed are produced. Almost all germination occurred in the initial cover crop growing season for both cultivars. Both cultivars had <1% of viable seed at the termination of the experiment. These results indicate that seed dormancy is not the primary cause of weediness.
Master of Science in Life Sciences

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Young e Bakir (1987) propôs a classe de Modelos Lineares Log-Gama Generalizados (MLLGG) para analisar dados de sobrevivência. No nosso trabalho, estendemos a classe de modelos propostapor Young e Bakir (1987) permitindo uma estrutura não linear para os parâmetros de regressão. A nova classe de modelos é denominada como Modelos Não Lineares Log-Gama Generalizados (MNLLGG). Com o objetivo de obter a correção de viés de segunda ordem dos estimadores de máxima verossimilhança (EMV) na classe dos MNLLGG, desenvolvemos uma expressão matricial fechada para o estimador de viés de Cox e Snell (1968). Analisamos, via simulação de Monte Carlo, os desempenhos dos EMV e suas versões corrigidas via Cox e Snell (1968) e através da metodologia bootstrap (Efron, 1979). Propomos também resíduos e técnicas de diagnóstico para os MNLLGG, tais como: alavancagem generalizada, influência local e influência global. Obtivemos, em forma matricial, uma expressão para o fator de correção de Bartlett à estatística da razão de verossimilhanças nesta classe de modelos e desenvolvemos estudos de simulação para avaliar e comparar numericamente o desempenho dos testes da razão de verossimilhanças e suas versões corrigidas em relação ao tamanho e poder em amostras finitas. Além disso, derivamos expressões matriciais para os fatores de correção tipo-Bartlett às estatísticas escore e gradiente. Estudos de simulação foram feitos para avaliar o desempenho dos testes escore, gradiente e suas versões corrigidas no que tange ao tamanho e poder em amostras finitas.
Young e Bakir (1987) proposed the class of generalized log-gamma linear regression models (GLGLM) to analyze survival data. In our work, we extended the class of models proposed by Young e Bakir (1987) considering a nonlinear structure for the regression parameters. The new class of models is called generalized log-gamma nonlinear regression models (GLGNLM). We also propose matrix formula for the second-order bias of the maximum likelihood estimate of the regression parameter vector in the GLGNLM class. We use the results by Cox and Snell (1968) and bootstrap technique [Efron (1979)] to obtain the bias-corrected maximum likelihood estimate. Residuals and diagnostic techniques were proposed for the GLGNLM, such as generalized leverage, local and global influence. An general matrix notation was obtained for the Bartlett correction factor to the likelihood ratio statistic in this class of models. Simulation studies were developed to evaluate and compare numerically the performance of likelihood ratio tests and their corrected versions regarding size and power in finite samples. Furthermore, general matrix expressions were obtained for the Bartlett-type correction factor for the score and gradient statistics. Simulation studies were conducted to evaluate the performance of the score and gradient tests with their corrected versions regarding to the size and power in finite samples.

AgÃncia Nacional do PetrÃleo
CoordenaÃÃo de AperfeiÃoamento de Pessoal de NÃvel Superior
Este trabalho teve como objetivo avaliar o comportamento das tensÃes residuais em tubulaÃÃes de aÃo ASTM A106 Gr. B com pequeno diÃmetro, soldada pelos processos TIG manual e automÃtico. Buscou-se tambÃm avaliar o efeito do aporte tÃrmico sobre o perfil de tensÃes, bem como correlacionar os resultados com a microestrutura e dureza. A mediÃÃo das tensÃes foi realizada atravÃs de difraÃÃo de raio-X, utilizando um minidifratÃmetro empregado para mediÃÃo em campo. AnÃlises metalogrÃficas foram realizadas na seÃÃo transversal da junta, atravÃs de microscopia Ãtica e microscopia eletrÃnica de varredura. Foram levantados os perfis de microdureza nas superfÃcies externa e interna. Os resultados mostraram que a mediÃÃo de tensÃes residuais por difraÃÃo de raio-X, usando o minidifratÃmetro para aplicaÃÃes em campo, à eficaz na determinaÃÃo do perfil de tensÃes, contudo, à necessÃria a realizaÃÃo de ajustes dos difratogramas por funÃÃes analÃticas, para determinar a correta localizaÃÃo do pico de difraÃÃo de raio-X, reduzindo o erro das medidas. As mediÃÃes das tensÃes residuais axiais realizadas na superfÃcie externa dos tubos mostraram que o perfil à formado por tensÃes compressivas na regiÃo da solda (zona fundida e zona afetada pelo calor) e por tensÃes trativas nas regiÃes mais afastadas. Foram observados elevados nÃveis de tensÃes residuais axiais compressivas na superfÃcie externa de tubos de parede fina, na regiÃo da solda, os quais podem representar uma situaÃÃo crÃtica, visto que o comportamento linear das tensÃes ao longo da espessura devido ao efeito torniquete à consensual e, portanto, isso indica a presenÃa de elevados nÃveis de tensÃes residuais de traÃÃo no metal de solda e na zona afetada pelo calor. O ciclo tÃrmico do passe de acabamento ocasionou um intenso refino de grÃo e uma significativa reduÃÃo de dureza, especialmente no metal de solda e na superfÃcie interna dos tubos, a exceÃÃo das amostras de 2â de diÃmetro soldadas com elevado aporte tÃrmico. Nenhuma das amostras soldadas apresentou valores de dureza acima do mÃximo estabelecido por norma, que à de 248 HV, mostrando que o fato da junta apresentar dureza baixa, nÃo necessariamente representa que esta nÃo esteja sujeita a um elevado nÃvel de tensÃes residuais.
The aim of this work was to evaluate the behavior of welding residual stress in small size pipes of ASTM A106 Gr. B steel, welded by manual and automatic GTAW processes. It was also evaluated the effect of the welding heat input on residual stress profile, as well as to correlate the results with microstructure and hardness. The residual stress measurement was accomplished through X-ray diffraction, using a minidiffractometer for measurement in field. Metallographics analysis were accomplished in the traverse section of the welded joint, using optic microscopy and scanning electron microscopy. The microhardness profiles in the outer and inner surfaces of pipe were determined. The results showed that the measures of residual stress by X-ray diffraction with minidiffractometer for applications in field was shown quite effective in the residual stress profile determination, however, it is necessary the accomplishment of diffractograms fittings by analytic functions, to determine the correct peak localization, reducing the measures error. The measurements of the axial residual stress accomplished in the outer surface pipes showed that the profile is formed by compressive stresses in the welds region (fusion zone and heat affected zone - HAZ) and for tension stresses in the areas more distant of weld bead. High levels of compressive axial residual stress were observed in the outer surface of small size pipes, located in the welds region, which can represent a critical situation, because the linear behavior of the through-thickness residual stress due to âtourniquetâ effect is consensual and, therefore, indicates the presence of high levels of tension residual stress in the inner surface, especially in the root weld metal and HAZ. The welding heat input of the finish pass caused an intense grain refining and a significant reduction of hardness of the weld metal in the inner surface, exception of 2" diameter sample welded with high heat input. None of the welded samples presented values of hardness above the maximum established for standard, which is 248 HV, showing that the fact of the welded joint to present low hardness, it does not necessarily represent that this is not subject to a high level of residual stress.

SILVA, Cleiton Carvalho. Avaliação das tensões residuais de soldagem em tubulações de pequeno diâmetro usadas em refinaria de Petróleo. 2007. 173 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Engenharia e Ciência de Materiais) - Centro de Tecnologia, Universidade Federal do Ceará, Fortaleza, 2007.
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The aim of this work was to evaluate the behavior of welding residual stress in small size pipes of ASTM A106 Gr. B steel, welded by manual and automatic GTAW processes. It was also evaluated the effect of the welding heat input on residual stress profile, as well as to correlate the results with microstructure and hardness. The residual stress measurement was accomplished through X-ray diffraction, using a minidiffractometer for measurement in field. Metallographics analysis were accomplished in the traverse section of the welded joint, using optic microscopy and scanning electron microscopy. The microhardness profiles in the outer and inner surfaces of pipe were determined. The results showed that the measures of residual stress by X-ray diffraction with minidiffractometer for applications in field was shown quite effective in the residual stress profile determination, however, it is necessary the accomplishment of diffractograms fittings by analytic functions, to determine the correct peak localization, reducing the measures error. The measurements of the axial residual stress accomplished in the outer surface pipes showed that the profile is formed by compressive stresses in the welds region (fusion zone and heat affected zone - HAZ) and for tension stresses in the areas more distant of weld bead. High levels of compressive axial residual stress were observed in the outer surface of small size pipes, located in the welds region, which can represent a critical situation, because the linear behavior of the through-thickness residual stress due to “tourniquet” effect is consensual and, therefore, indicates the presence of high levels of tension residual stress in the inner surface, especially in the root weld metal and HAZ. The welding heat input of the finish pass caused an intense grain refining and a significant reduction of hardness of the weld metal in the inner surface, exception of 2" diameter sample welded with high heat input. None of the welded samples presented values of hardness above the maximum established for standard, which is 248 HV, showing that the fact of the welded joint to present low hardness, it does not necessarily represent that this is not subject to a high level of residual stress.
Este trabalho teve como objetivo, avaliar o comportamento das tensões residuais em tubulações de aço ASTM A106 Gr. B com pequeno diâmetro, soldada pelos processos TIG manual e automático. Buscou-se também avaliar o efeito do aporte térmico sobre o perfil de tensões, bem como correlacionar os resultados com a microestrutura e dureza. A medição das tensões foi realizada através de difração de raio-X, utilizando um minidifratômetro empregado para medição em campo. Análises metalográficas foram realizadas na seção transversal da junta, através de microscopia ótica e microscopia eletrônica de varredura. Foram levantados os perfis de microdureza nas superfícies externa e interna. Os resultados mostraram que a medição de tensões residuais por difração de raio-X, usando o minidifratômetro para aplicações em campo, é eficaz na determinação do perfil de tensões, contudo, é necessária a realização de ajustes dos difratogramas por funções analíticas, para determinar a correta localização do pico de difração de raio-X, reduzindo o erro das medidas. As medições das tensões residuais axiais realizadas na superfície externa dos tubos mostraram que o perfil é formado por tensões compressivas na região da solda (zona fundida e zona afetada pelo calor) e por tensões trativas nas regiões mais afastadas. Foram observados elevados níveis de tensões residuais axiais compressivas na superfície externa de tubos de parede fina, na região da solda, os quais podem representar uma situação crítica, visto que o comportamento linear das tensões ao longo da espessura devido ao efeito torniquete é consensual e, portanto, isso indica a presença de elevados níveis de tensões residuais de tração no metal de solda e na zona afetada pelo calor. O ciclo térmico do passe de acabamento ocasionou um intenso refino de grão e uma significativa redução de dureza, especialmente no metal de solda e na superfície interna dos tubos, a exceção das amostras de 2” de diâmetro soldadas com elevado aporte térmico. Nenhuma das amostras soldadas apresentou valores de dureza acima do máximo estabelecido por norma, que é de 248 HV, mostrando que o fato da junta apresentar dureza baixa, não necessariamente representa que esta não esteja sujeita a um elevado nível de tensões residuais.

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Mechanical Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, 2005.
Ashok Saxena, Committee Member ; Carlos Santamarina, Committee Member ; Thomas Kurfess, Committee Member ; Hugo Ernst, Committee Member ; Steven Danyluk, Committee Chair ; David McDowell, Committee Member. Vita. Includes bibliographical references.

Dans le cadre des législations européennes relatives au traitement des déchets et aux énergies renouvelables, la méthanisation apparaît comme une alternative prometteuse pour la stabilisation et la valorisation des Ordures Ménagères Résiduelles (OMR). D'un point de vue opérationnel l'hétérogénéité et les difficultés de mise en mouvement d'une matrice aussi complexe que les OMR sont à l'origine de pertes de rendement voire de l'arrêt d'installations de méthanisation. Les performances de méthanisation sont en particulier limitées par l'étape d'hydrolyse des fractions lignocellulosiques qui représentent la majorité du potentiel méthanogène des OMR. Dans ce contexte, l'objectif principal du travail de thèse, était l'étude d'un procédé de percolation dans lequel le déchet n'est pas mis en mouvement. Au travers de ce travail nous avions également pour ambition de produire des connaissances à caractère plus générique sur l'hydrolyse afin d'en améliorer les performances. Des expériences préliminaires ont d'abord permis la définition d'un système expérimental adéquat pour l'étude à l'échelle laboratoire de l'hydrolyse des OMR. La représentativité d'un déchet reconstitué, reproductible et d'utilisation aisée, a notamment été vérifiée en termes de potentiel méthanogène, de profil hydrolytique et de flore microbienne. Suite à la définition de ce système expérimental, son comportement hydrolytique a été comparé à celui d'un test de lixiviation de référence (NF EN 12457-4) afin de valider l'intérêt opérationnel de la percolation pour l'hydrolyse des OMR. De façon inattendue, l'extraction de 38,90% de la matière carbonée initiale du déchet a ainsi été mise en évidence lors de l'hydrolyse par percolation contre 17,84% lors de l'hydrolyse par lixiviation, renforçant l'intérêt suscité par la percolation pour l'hydrolyse des OMR. L'optimisation des performances d'hydrolyse par percolation a ensuite été réalisée par le criblage de huit paramètres opérationnels afin de déterminer leur influence sur les performances d'hydrolyse des OMR, au travers de deux plans d'expérience. L'ajout d'alcalinité (12 gHCO3-.L-1) et la recirculation du percolat pendant 6 h par jour ont ainsi permis d'augmenter significativement les performances d'hydrolyse, passant de 17 à 43% d'extraction de la matière organique (DCO) initiale du déchet (autrement dit de 26 à 69% de la matière biodégradable initiale). L'étude des communautés microbiennes et de leur activité a également été réalisée. Le séquençage des pyrotags d'ADNr 16S a ainsi permis de mettre en évidence le caractère dominant des Classes Clostridia et Bacteroidia au sein des communautés hydrolytiques. Le couplage de cette démarche qualitative à une approche quantitative par qPCR sur une série de biomarqueurs taxonomiques et fonctionnels a permis de montrer qu'il existe une corrélation positive entre l'ajout de carbonates, la neutralisation du pH, la quantité de matière hydrolysée à 14 jours et soit l'abondance de la Classe Bacteroidia soit celle des gènes de la famille hydA, impliqués dans la fermentation. Finalement, l'analyse microbiologique a été approfondie au jour 4, c'est-à-dire durant la phase d'hydrolyse intense, grâce à une approche de métatranscriptomique. L'analyse des transcrits fonctionnels indique que l'alcalinité influence l'activité des microorganismes de la Classe Clostridia dès le jour 4 des essais d'hydrolyse. Plus spécifiquement, l'ajout de carbonates semble corrélé à une modification du métabolisme des sucres chez des microorganismes non cultivables apparentés à Clostridium cellulolyticum et à l'augmentation de l'expression de l'opéron nif, impliqué dans la fixation de l'azote, chez différents groupes de microorganismes
In the framework of the European green policy, anaerobic digestion appears as a promising technology for stabilization and valorization of Municipal Solid Waste (MSW). In practice, mechanical mixing of a complex and heterogeneous matrix such as MSW induces major operational constraints. Anaerobic digestion performances are especially limited by hydrolysis of lignocellulosic fractions which represent the main part of MSW methanogenic potential. In this context, this PhD project was aiming to characterize and optimize of a percolation process in which MSW stands still. Preliminary experiments were conducted in order to define an experimental system suitable for lab-scale study of MSW hydrolysis. Therefore, the representativeness of an easy-to-use and reproducible reconstituted waste was verified in terms of methanogenic potential, hydrolytic profiles and associated microbial communities. Following system definition, hydrolysis behavior by percolation was compared to a reference lixiviation test (NF EN 12457-4). Surprisingly, hydrolysis by percolation permitted the extraction of 39% of carbonated matter initially contained in waste whereas 18% were extracted during hydrolysis by lixiviation, thus validating operational benefit of percolation for MSW hydrolysis. Optimization of hydrolysis performance was then conducted through the screening of eight operational parameters for their influence on MSW hydrolysis performances thanks to two Designs Of Experiment (DOE). Cumulative effect of alkalinity addition (12 gHCO3-.L-1) and percolate recirculation (6 hour.day-1) significantly improved hydrolysis yield, from 17 to 43% of extracted organic matter compared to the initial content of waste (corresponding to an extraction of 26 and 69% of biodegradable matter). Structure and activity of hydrolytic microbial communities were also studied. 16S rDNA-pyrotags sequencing brought out the dominance of classes Clostridia and Bacteroidia. Additionally, a quantitative approach led by qPCR revealed a correlation between carbonates addition, pH neutralization, amounts of hydrolyzed matter at day 14 and either class Bacteroidia or genes from hydA family, involved in fermentation. Finally, metatranscriptomic approach was conducted at day 4 in order to further study microbial activity during the intense hydrolysis phase. According to functional analysis, alkalinity seems have positive influence on class Clostridia activity. More specifically, carbonates addition seems correlated to a modification of carbohydrates metabolism of organisms affiliated to Clostridium cellulolyticum and to transcriptional up-regulation of nif operon, involved in nitrogen fixation, among various types of microorganisms

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Residual stresses are those which remain in the part when all the external mechanical stress applied previously are removed. These residual stresses often appear in parts subjected to different thermal or mechanical processing along its thickness, among then may be cited the welding process. The objective of this work is the analysis of residual stresses generated by the recovery process for shielded metal arc welding” (SMAW) of sugarcane milling gear in Low Alloy Mild Steel ASTM C-148 for the identification of conditions with lower levels of residual stresses, aiming materials less susceptible to failure and longer service life. A comparative assessment of the levels of residual stresses in the aforementioned samples was performed by opting for performance or nonperformance of pre-heating and heat treatment of stress relieving after the completion of the welds in the field. It will be characterized by metallography and hardness profile. In order to determine the way the macro and microscopic residual stresses non-destructive, it was decided in this work by the diffraction of X-ray method. The characterization was carried out by optical microscopy, scanning electron microscopy and Vickers microhardness. The microstructure present in the base metal was characterized as microconstituent bainite, when there is a stress relieving treatment. When there isn`t such treatment, the microstructure is ferrite / pearlite. Although in the weld metal, due to the electrode composition, the microstructure is acicular ferrite. The Vickers microhardness analysis for the sample without pre-heating gave higher microhardness values along line profile (range of 250 – 325 HV) than the other conditions (range of 150 – 275 HV). Regarding the residual stresses, it can be concluded that the pre-heating and the combination of it with a subsequent heat treatment reduces the levels of both longitudinal and transverse residual stress along the weld bead.
Tensões residuais são aquelas que permanecem na peça a temperatura ambiente quando todas as suas solicitações externas são removidas. Essas tensões aparecem frequentemente em peças submetidas a diferentes processamentos térmicos e/ou mecânicos, dentre os quais pode ser citada a soldagem. O principal objetivo desta dissertação é a análise da microestrutura e das tensões residuais geradas por diferentes estratégias de recuperação por soldagem a arco com eletrodo revestido (SAER) em engrenagens de moenda de cana fabricada em aço carbono ASTM A-148, para identificação das condições com menores níveis de tensões residuais e microestrutura adequada, visando materiais menos susceptíveis a falhas e com vida útil estendida. Foi realizada uma avaliação comparativa dos níveis de tensões residuais nas amostras mencionadas, optando pela realização ou não de pré-aquecimento e tratamento térmico de alívio de tensões após a realização das soldas em campo. As mesmas serão caracterizadas por metalografia e perfil de microdureza. Com o intuito de determinar de maneira não-destrutiva as tensões residuais macro e microscópicas, optou-se neste trabalho pelo método da Difração de Raios-X. A caracterização foi feita por: microscopia ótica, eletrônica de varredura, além de microdureza Vickers. A microestrutura presente no metal base é caracterizada por agulhas que correspondem ao microconstituinte bainita quando há o tratamento de alívio de tensões. Quando não há este tratamento, a microestrutura é ferrítica/perlítica. Já no metal de solda, devido à composição do eletrodo, a microestrutura presente é de ferrita acicular. Na análise de microdureza Vickers, para a amostra sem pré aquecimento, obteve-se maior microdureza em todo o perfil da linha (faixa de 250 a 325 HV) do que as demais (faixa de 150 a 275 HV). Quanto às tensões residuais, pode-se concluir que, o pré-aquecimento e a combinação dele com um tratamento térmico posterior reduzem os níveis de tensão residual longitudinal e transversal nos cordões.

Orientador: Silvana Moreira
Tese (doutorado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Faculdade de Engenharia Civil, Arquitetura e Urbanismo
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Resumo: O uso de efluente secundário de esgoto doméstico na agricultura tem evoluído significativamente nas últimas décadas. Sob as condições do nosso país, é promissor a utilização de efluentes de esgotos domésticos, visando à reutilização dos nutrientes originários da ecomposição da matéria orgânica. A aplicação do método de irrigação que utiliza a técnica de infiltração por sulcos rasos como pós-tratamento dos efluentes de filtros anaeróbios pode ser utilizada em diferentes culturas, aliando os critérios da Engenharia Sanitária aos da Engenharia de Irrigação. Para tanto, o monitoramento e o controle ambiental exigem técnicas analíticas capazes de determinar vários elementos, entre eles os metais são de particular nteresse, visto que estes têm efeitos tóxicos nos seres vivos. Desta forma, o objetivo principal deste trabalho foi avaliar a absorção de metais rovenientes do esgoto doméstico aplicado através de um sistema de irrigação por sulcos. Para isto a cultura de milho (AG 405-AGROCERES) foi submetida a dois diferentes tratamentos: irrigação com efluente de esgoto doméstico e com água. Após o crescimento vegetativo as plantas coletadas foram divididas em duas partes: grãos e folhas. Estas diferentes partes foram submetidas a procedimento de digestão em sistema aberto e a seguir analisadas por Fluorescência de Raios X por Reflexão Total com Radiação Síncrotron (SR-TXRF). Foi observado que a concentração de metais nas plantas submetidas à aplicação com efluente foi mais elevada do que nas plantas irrigadas com água. Os resultados indicaram que a absorção de metais, nas folhas e na espiga, está diretamente relacionada com a taxa de aplicação no caso da irrigação com água. Mas no caso da irrigação com efluente foi observada uma maior absorção de metais quando a planta foi irrigada com a taxa de aplicação de 180 L, tanto para as folhas como para a espiga
Doutorado
Recursos Hidricos
Mestre em Engenharia Civil

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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
Levantamento feito pelo Programa de Análise de Resíduos de Agrotóxicos em Alimentos (PARA) apontaram resíduos de agrotóxicos em alimentos frescos à disposição da população brasileira. Esses resíduos apresentaram-se acima do permitido, ou representavam ingredientes ativos não autorizados para determinadas culturas. Situações como estas têm aumentado a preocupação quanto a exposição prolongada de consumidores a múltiplos agentes potencialmente nocivos. Há pouca informação experimental sobre se, e como, exposições múltiplas ou a misturas podem afetar a saúde. O presente estudo objetivou avaliar os efeitos de uma mistura de cinco praguicidas sobre o sistema reprodutor do rato macho. Para compor a mistura que foi adicionada à ração em níveis de NOEL/NOAEL ou LOEL/ LEL/LOAELs, foram selecionados cinco praguicidas cujos resíduos foram detectados em tomates pela ANVISA em 2004. Foram constituídos oito grupos de acordo com o tipo de ração: Grupo 1- ração basal, sem praguicidas; Grupo 2 (“Baixas doses” ou praguicidas de acordo com seus respectivos NOEL/NOAELs) - diclorvós 0,23 mg/kg, dicofol 0,22 mg/kg, endosulfan 0,6 mg/kg, dieldrin 0,025 mg/kg, permetrina 5,0 mg/kg; Grupo 3 (“Doses efetivas”, de acordo com respectivos LOEL/LEL/LOAEL) - diclorvós 2,3 mg/kg, dicofol 2,5 mg/kg, endosulfan 2,9 mg/kg, dieldrin 0,05 mg/kg, permetrina 25,0 mg/kg e Grupos 4 a 8 - rações contendo cada praguicida em separado, em concentrações de acordo com os respectivos LOEL, LEL ou LOAEL. Os animais foram sacrificados no final da 8ª. semana de tratamento. O modelo utilizado permitiu verificar que a mistura em “baixas doses” aumentou o peso relativo dos testículos, mas não causou alterações morfológicas nesse órgão, nem alterou a dinâmica da espermatogênese e função testicular. Níveis séricos de FSH e testosterona...
Not available

Orientador: João Lauro Viana de Camargo
Banca: Luis Antonio Justulin Junior
Banca: Patrícia Fernanda Felipe Pereira
Banca: Carla Adriane da Silva Franchi
Banca: Silvia Berlanga De Moraes Barros
Resumo: Levantamento feito pelo Programa de Análise de Resíduos de Agrotóxicos em Alimentos (PARA) apontaram resíduos de agrotóxicos em alimentos frescos à disposição da população brasileira. Esses resíduos apresentaram-se acima do permitido, ou representavam ingredientes ativos não autorizados para determinadas culturas. Situações como estas têm aumentado a preocupação quanto a exposição prolongada de consumidores a múltiplos agentes potencialmente nocivos. Há pouca informação experimental sobre se, e como, exposições múltiplas ou a misturas podem afetar a saúde. O presente estudo objetivou avaliar os efeitos de uma mistura de cinco praguicidas sobre o sistema reprodutor do rato macho. Para compor a mistura que foi adicionada à ração em níveis de NOEL/NOAEL ou LOEL/ LEL/LOAELs, foram selecionados cinco praguicidas cujos resíduos foram detectados em tomates pela ANVISA em 2004. Foram constituídos oito grupos de acordo com o tipo de ração: Grupo 1- ração basal, sem praguicidas; Grupo 2 ("Baixas doses" ou praguicidas de acordo com seus respectivos NOEL/NOAELs) - diclorvós 0,23 mg/kg, dicofol 0,22 mg/kg, endosulfan 0,6 mg/kg, dieldrin 0,025 mg/kg, permetrina 5,0 mg/kg; Grupo 3 ("Doses efetivas", de acordo com respectivos LOEL/LEL/LOAEL) - diclorvós 2,3 mg/kg, dicofol 2,5 mg/kg, endosulfan 2,9 mg/kg, dieldrin 0,05 mg/kg, permetrina 25,0 mg/kg e Grupos 4 a 8 - rações contendo cada praguicida em separado, em concentrações de acordo com os respectivos LOEL, LEL ou LOAEL. Os animais foram sacrificados no final da 8ª. semana de tratamento. O modelo utilizado permitiu verificar que a mistura em "baixas doses" aumentou o peso relativo dos testículos, mas não causou alterações morfológicas nesse órgão, nem alterou a dinâmica da espermatogênese e função testicular. Níveis séricos de FSH e testosterona... (Resumo completo, clicar acesso eletrônico abaixo)
Abstract: Not available
Doutor

The thesis deals with the biological data averaging applied to a periodical and repetitive signal, specifically to an ECG signals. There were used signals from MIT-BIH Arrhythmia database and ÚBMI database. Averaging was realized with constant, floating and exponential Windows, where was used the method of addition of the filtered residue. This method is intended to capture the slow variations from the input to the output signal. The outcomes of these methods can be used as a basis for further work, or function as an example of principled methods. Methods and its outcomes were created in Matlab.

Este trabalho objetivou relacionar a produtividade agroindustrial da cana-de-açúcar com o aproveitamento do nitrogênio (N) das adubações sucessivas em cana-planta e soqueiras, em sistema de cultivo mínimo sem o revolvimento do solo ou escarificações das entrelinhas na reforma do canavial ou após os cortes, respectivamente - e quantificar a contribuição da palhada proveniente da colheita mecanizada na nutrição da cultura. O experimento foi instalado em março de 2005, em um Latossolo Vermelho Eutrófico muito argiloso da Fazenda Santa Terezinha, Jaboticabal, SP e foi conduzido durante quatro ciclos agrícolas consecutivos até julho de 2009. O delineamento experimental na cana-planta foi blocos casualizados, com quatro tratamentos (doses de N-uréia 0, 40, 80 e 120 kg ha-1 no sulco de plantio, juntamente com 120 kg ha-1 de P2O5 e K2O) e quatro repetições (parcelas de 48 sulcos x 15 m). Nos ciclos de 1ª a 3ª soqueiras, as parcelas de cana-planta foram subdivididas em outros quatro tratamentos (0, 50, 100 e 150 kg ha-1 de N) e quatro repetições (subparcelas de 12 linhas x 15 m). Na 3ª soqueira a adubação com N foi de 100 kg ha-1 em todas as parcelas, visando detectar efeitos residuais das fertilizações anteriores na produtividade da cana no 4º ciclo. Em todas as parcelas dos ciclos de soqueiras também aplicou-se 150 kg ha-1 de K2O como KCl. Na dose 80 kg ha-1 de N em cana-planta, foram instaladas microparcelas contendo uréia e/ou material vegetal marcado com 15N, simulando os resíduos anteriores à reforma (palhada, PAR ou rizomas, RAR da variedade RB855536) remanescentes no solo após o cultivo mínimo. O objetivo foi avaliar a contribuição do fertilizante-15N e dos resíduos vegetais-15N na nutrição nitrogenada da cultura em ciclos consecutivos. Após o corte da cana-planta, novas microparcelas contendo palhada pós colheita (PPC-15N, variedade SP81-3250) foram dispostas nos tratamentos 800 e 80150 kg ha-1 de N em cana-planta e soqueiras, respectivamente, para avaliar a contribuição do N-PPC na nutrição da cultura e a influência do N aplicado em soqueiras na disponibilização do N-PPC. Um estudo complementar foi desenvolvido em sacos telados contendo PAR-15N em cana-planta (dose 80 kg ha-1 de N) e PPC- 15N em soqueiras (doses 80-0 e 80-150 kg ha-1 de N), visando quantificar a decomposição dos resíduos durante os ciclos agrícolas e possíveis diferenças na intensidade da decomposição devido às aplicações de N em cana-planta e em soqueiras respectivamente. Nos quatro ciclos consecutivos avaliou-se a: i) produtividade agroindustrial (TCH, Mg de cana ha-1 de colmos e TPH, Mg ha-1 de pol) e características tecnológicas da matéria-prima (pol % cana e fibra %) em função dos tratamentos de N em cana-planta e soqueiras; ii) recuperação do 15Nuréia, 15N-PAR, 15N-RAR e 15N-PPC pela parte aérea da cultura (colmos, folhas secas e ponteiro) e o balanço de carbono (C) e N no sistema solo-planta e iii) decomposição da PAR e PPC pela redução da matéria seca (MS), do C, 10 macronutrientes (N, P, K, Ca, Mg e S) e carboidratos estruturais (lignina, celulose e hemicelulose). A TCH e TPH foram influenciadas pelas doses de N no plantio e nas soqueiras subseqüentes. Houve resposta linear na produtividade agroindustrial da cana-planta às doses de N do plantio e na média dos quatro ciclos agrícolas. Porém, não houve interação entre as doses de N em cana-planta e soqueiras. O tratamento 120100 kg ha-1 de N em cana-planta e soqueiras proporcionou a maior TCH acumulada nos quatro ciclos consecutivos, porém o tratamento 12050 kg ha-1 de N foi o mais viável economicamente. A recuperação do N-uréia de plantio foi mais alta no primeiro ciclo (24, 7 kg ha-1 ou 31% da dose aplicada) decrescendo ao longo ciclos agrícolas subsequentes (5%; 4% e 3%, respectivamente). O balanço de N após os quatro ciclos (2006 a 2009) indicou 43% (34,4 kg ha-1) de recuperação do Nuréia pela parte aérea da cultura, 0,2% permaneceu nos rizomas, 20% no solo e 37% foram contabilizados como perdas. Para os resíduos vegetais PAR e RAR as recuperações na parte aérea foram de 28% e 23% da quantidade inicial (14,2 e 7,4 kg ha-1, respectivamente). Em média, 0,2% do N-resíduos vegetais permaneceu nos rizomas, 52% no solo e 22% foram perdas. A soma da recuperação do N-PAR e NRAR de foi de 24,4 kg, ou seja, 39% da contribuição total de N destes resíduos, indicando serem fontes de N a longo prazo para a cana-de-açúcar. Houve correlação entre a recuperação acumulada do N-uréia e N-resíduos vegetais com a evapotranspiração acumulada dos quatro ciclos agrícolas. A recuperação do N-PPC pela parte aérea da cultura praticamente dobrou após três ciclos, devido à aplicação de N em soqueiras, 17% vs. 31% (6,9 e 12,6 kg ha-1 de N, respectivamente). O restante do N-PPC permaneceu nos rizomas (0,3% e 0,4%), no solo (69% e 61%) ou resultaram em perdas (13,4% e 7,6%). Não houve alterações nos estoques de C e N do solo com a adição de N-uréia ou N-resíduos vegetais. A decomposição da PAR e PPC foi influenciada pelas aplicações de N em cana-planta e soqueiras e pela ação biológica ao longo dos ciclos agrícolas avaliados. Essa degradação ocorreu devido à redução da relação C:N, do crescimento de raízes sob a palhada, perdas de MS, C, N, macronutrientes e carboidratos estruturais da palhada ao longo dos ciclos agrícolas. Para a PAR e PPC, a degradação da MS foi de 96% e 73% após quatro e três anos, respectivamente. Os macronutrientes que apresentaram maiores liberações foram o K 98% e 92%; Mg 97% e 70% e o Ca 95% e 55%, da quantidade inicial dos nutrientes (kg ha-1) aplicadas via PAR e PPC, respectivamente. Após quatro ciclos agrícolas os teores (g kg-1) de lignina, celulose e hemicelulose da PAR decresceram 60%, 29% e 70%. Para a PPC a redução foi de 47%, 35% e 70% em três ciclos. A degradação dos carboidratos estruturais foi influenciada pelas condições climáticas ocorridas durante os ciclos agrícolas e pela composição bioquímica inicial dos resíduos (carboidratos e nutrientes totais). Não houve diferença na degradação da MS da PPC devido à aplicação de N em soqueiras, porém houve diferença na degradação do C, na liberação de Ca, na concentração de raízes e na decomposição da lignina quando se realizou a adubação com N sobre a palhada em soqueiras
This work aimed to relate the agroindustrial yield of sugarcane with nitrogen (N) fertilization in successive cropping cycles in plant-cane and ratoons under minimum tillage system - without soil plowing or interows scarification in crop renewal and after the harvesting seasons, respectively - and to quantify the contribution of straw from mechanical harvesting on crop N nutrition. The field trial was planted in March 2005 in a very clayey Rhodic Eutrustox at Santa Terezinha Farm, Jaboticabal, Sao Paulo State and was conducted during four consecutive cropping cycles until July 2009. The plant-cane trial was designed as randomized blocks with four treatments (N-urea in increasing rates 0, 40, 80 and 120 kg ha-1 at planting added to 120 kg ha-1 P2O5 and K2O) and four replicates (48 furrows of 15 m length). For the ratoon-cane trial, (1st to 3rd ratoons) the plant-cane plots were subdivided into other four treatments (0, 50, 100 and 150 kg ha-1 N) and four replicates (12 rows x 15 m). The N fertilization of the 3rd ratoon was leveled to 100 kg ha-1 in all plots in order to detect residual effects of previous N fertilizations on sugarcane yield in this cycle. All ratoon cycles also received 150 kg ha-1 K2O as KCl. It has been installed microplots containing 15N-urea and/or 15N-labeled plant material at the 80 kg ha-1 N dose in plant-cane, simulating the crop residues prior to renewal (trash PAR or rhizomes, RAR of RB855536 variety) and which remained in soil after minimum tillage. The objective was to assess the contribution of N-fertilizer and N-residues in sugarcane N nutrition in consecutive cycles. After the plant-cane harvesting, new microplots containing post harvest trash (PPC-15N, variety SP81-3250) were placed in treatments 80-0 and 80- 150 kg N ha-1 in plant-cane and ratoons, respectively, aiming to assess the contribution of N-PPC in crop nutrition and the influence of N applied to ratoons in the N-PPC availability for sugarcane uptake. An additional study was conducted in litter bags containing PAR-15N in plant-cane (dose 80 kg ha-1 N) and PPC-15N in ratoons (doses 80-0 and 80-150 kg N ha-1) in order quantify the decomposition of trash during the crop cycles and possible differences in the decomposition rates due to N applications in plant-cane (PAR) and ratoons (PPC), respectively. In the four consecutive cycles were evaluated: i) Agroindustrial yields (TCH, Mg cane ha-1 stalks and TPH, Mg ha-1 of sugar) and raw material quality (pol% cane and fiber%) in plantcane and ratoon treatments; ii) Recovery of urea-15N, PAR-15N, 15N- RAR and 15NPPC by crop above ground parts (stalks, dry leaves and tips) and carbon (C) and N balances in the soil-plant system and iii) decomposition of PAR and PPC as reduction of dry matter (DM), C, nutrients (N, P, K, Ca, Mg and S) and structural carbohydrates (lignin cellulose and hemicellulose). The agroindustrial yields (TCH and TPH) were influenced by N rates at planting and subsequent ratoons. It hás been found linear response in crop yield due to N rates at planting and in the average of four crop cycles. However, no responses were detected in the interaction between 12 N doses in plant or ratoon cane. The highest accumulated yield (TCH) in four consecutive cycles was obtained in treatment 120-100 kg ha-1 N in plant-cane and ratoons, but treatment 120-50 kg ha-1 N has been found as the more economically viable. The recovery of N-urea applied in plant-cane was higher in the first cycle (24, 7 kg ha-1 or 31% of the applied dose) and decreased over subsequent crop cycles (5%, 4% and 3% respectively). The N balance after four cycles (2006-2009) showed 43% (34.4 kg ha-1) of total N-urea recovery by the crop above ground parts, 0.2% was found in the rhizomes, 20% in soil and 37% were counted as losses. Cane trash N-PAR and N-RAR recoveries in the above ground parts were 28% and 23% of the initial amount of N applied as crop residues (14.2 and 7.4 kg ha-1, respectively). On average, 0.2% of N-plant residues remained in the rhizomes, 52% in the soil and 22% were accounted as losses. The total recovery of N-PAR N-and RAR was 24.4 kg, or 39% of the total N of these residues, indicating that they are long term N sources for the sugarcane crop. There had been found a close correlation between the cumulative recovery of N-urea and N-residues with the accumulated evapotranspiration of the four crop cycles. The N-PPC recovery by sugarcane above ground parts almost doubled after three cycles due to N application in ratoons, 17% vs. 31% (6.9 and 12.6 kg ha-1 N, respectively). In other compartments, 0.3% and 0.4% of N-PPC remained in the rhizomes, 69% and 61%) in the soil and 13.4% and 7.6%) resulted in losses. There was detected no major changes in soil C and N stocks C due to the addition of N-urea and N-residues. The decomposition of PAR and PPC was influenced by N fertilizations in plant-cane and ratoons cane and by biological action over the cropping cycles. The major effects detected as trash decomposed over the agricultural cycles were the reduction in residues C:N ratio, sugarcane root growth under the trash blanket, and losses of DM, C, N, macronutrients and structural carbohydrates. The DM degradation of PAR and PPC was 96% and 73% after four and three years respectively. The nutrients that showed higher release rates were K 98% to 92%, Mg 97% to 70% Ca and 95% to 55% of the initial amount of nutrients (kg ha-1) sourced by PAR and PPC residues, respectively. After four agricultural cycles, the levels (g kg-1) of lignin, cellulose and hemicellulose from PAR decreased 60%, 29% and 70%, and for PPC the reduction was 47%, 35% and 70% in three cycles. The degradation of structural carbohydrates was influenced by climatic conditions that occurred during the agricultural cycles and the initial biochemical composition those residues (total carbohydrates and nutrients content). There was no difference in DM degradation of PPC due to N application in ratoons, however there were differences in C degradation, in the release of Ca, concentration of roots and in the decomposition of lignin when N- fertilizer has been applied over the trash blanket

Orientador: Silvana Moreira
Tese (doutorado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Faculdade de Engenharia Civil, Arquitetura e Urbanismo
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Resumo: O presente trabalho teve como objetivo avaliar a operação e o desempenho de seis Leitos Cultivados de Fluxo Subsuperficial que operaram como pós-tratamento de um Tanque Séptico Modificado, instalados na Faculdade de Engenharia Agrícola da Universidade Estadual de Campinas. O sistema em estudo é composto por três leitos retangulares e três quadrados, dispostos em paralelo. Como meio suporte utilizou-se brita e foram cultivadas duas espécies de macrófitas emergentes (Typha sp. e Eleocharis sp.). Foi estudado o desempenho do leito cultivado para diferentes tempos de detenção hidráulicos e para isto foram coletadas amostras das folhas das macrófitas, do perfil do meio suporte em diferentes profundidades, da água residuária no afluente e no efluente de cada leito cultivado. Para a análise quantitativa foi empregada a técnica de Fluorescência de Raios X por Reflexão Total com Radiação Síncrotron. Para a avaliação do desempenho dos leitos estudados as concentrações de Cr, Mn, Fe, Cu, Zn e Pb foram avaliadas nas folhas das macrófitas, no meio suporte, no afluente e no efluente. Foi verificado que o desempenho do leito quadrado cultivado com Eleocharis foi superior ao retangular para os seguintes elementos: Mn, Fe, Cu e Zn. Para os elementos Cr e Pb o leito retangular cultivado com Eleocharis teve um melhor desempenho. Verificou-se que tanto no leito quadrado quanto no retangular as folhas de Eleocharis e Typha apresentaram eficiência de remoção superior a do meio suporte. Assim como no leito cultivado com Eleocharis, foi observado um melhor desempenho do leito cultivado com Typha quadrado para Mn, Fe, Cu e Zn, enquanto que para Cr e Pb o leito cultivado com Typha retangular apresentou melhor desempenho. No sistema de leito cultivado de geometria quadrada com Typha e Eleocharis e Controle removeram os metais Fe, Cu e Zn a limites permitidos pela legislação em qualquer dos tempos de detenção hidráulico empregado. No entanto para a remoção de Cr a níveis estabelecidos pela legislação é recomendado a operação do sistema com tempo de detenção hidráulico de 4 dias, e para Pb os tempos de detenção hidráulico recomendados são os de 4 e 6 dias. Para o leito retangular cultivado com Eleocharis e Typha, assim como no leito controle podemos observar que para os elementos Fe, Cu e Zn, as concentrações estão abaixo dos valores máximos permitidos pela legislação de lançamento de efluentes, para todos os tempos de detenção hidráulico. Entretanto para uma remoção eficiente de Cr, Mn e Pb os tempos de detenção de 4 e 6 dias são os mais recomendados para a operação do sistema. Os leitos controles quadrado e retangular tiveram eficiência de remoção inferior ao dos leitos cultivados com as macrófitas. O meio suporte nas profundidades de 10, 30 e 50 cm do leito cultivado de geometria quadrado e retangular cultivados com as macrófitas Typha sp. e Eleocharis sp., removeu os metais Cr, Mn, Fe, Cu, Zn e Pb de forma semelhante, ou seja, não houve uma profundidade que tivesse eficiência de remoção superior as demais
Abstract: The purpose of this work was evaluated the operation and performance of six constructed wetland of subsuperface flow, operating as post-treatment of a septic tank, installed on Agricultural Engineering College at University of Campinas. The system in study containing three square units, disposed in parallel. The substrate used was gravel and two emergent macrophytes species were cultivated (Typha sp. and Eleocharis sp.). The performance of the units were studied for different hydraulic residence times (2, 3, 4 and 6 days) and for this leaf of the macrophytes, substrate in different depths, wastewater in all units were collected. For quantitative analysis Synchrotron Radiation Total Reflection X-ray Fluorescence technique was employed. For evaluation of the performance in the constructed wetlands concentrations of Cr, Mn, Fe, Cu, Zn e Pb in leaf macrophytes, substrate, entrance and exit of the system were determined. The performance of the square unit with Eleocharis was higher than rectangular shape for Mn, Fe, Cu and Zn elements. For Cr and Pb the rectangular unit with Eleocharis presented better performance. Leaf of Eleocharis and Typha showed removal efficiency higher than substrate for square and rectangular units. As in the unit with Eleocharis a better perfomance was observed in a square unit cultivated with Typha for Mn, Fe, Cu and Zn, while for Cr and Pb the rectangular shape with Typha presented better performance. In the square system cultivated with Typha, Eleocharis and the control removed Fe, Cu and Zn to levels permitted by the legislation for all hydraulic residence times. Moreover for Cr removal to levels established by the legislation the operation with 4 days of hydraulic residence time was indicated and for Pb the recommended times were 4 and 6 days. For rectangular systems cultivated with Eleocharis and Typha, as the control unit, Fe, Cu and Zn, concentrations were smaller than the permissive values established by the legislation for all hydraulic residence times. By the order hand for a efficient removal of Cr, Mn and Pb the residence times of 4 and 6 days were most recommended for the system operation. Square and rectangular control units showed efficiency removal smaller than units containing the macrophytes. The removal of Cr, Mn, Fe, Cu, Zn and Pb metals by the substrate in 10, 30 and 50 cm depths of square and rectangular shapes cultivated with the two macrophytes showed no significative difference
Doutorado
Recursos Hidricos
Doutor em Engenharia Civil

Orientador: Silvana Moreira
Tese (doutorado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Faculdade de Engenharia Civil, Arquitetura e Urbanismo
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Resumo: O rápido crescimento urbano e industrial nas ultimas décadas provocou alterações no meio ambiente, dentre eles a poluição dos corpos d'água, principalmente por metais que podem causar danos a saúde humana. Os municípios de Campinas e Jaguariúna estão inseridos na Região Metropolitana de Campinas (RMC), uma das regiões mais dinâmicas no cenário econômico brasileiro. Portanto, visando estudar a influencia antropogenica das cidades, foi avaliada a qualidade do efluente bruto e tratado e, do lodo gerado na estação de tratamento de esgoto de Anhumas, no município de Campinas e na estação de tratamento Camanducaia no município de Jaguariúna, ambas no estado de São Paulo, principalmente no que se refere à contaminação por metais. As analises foram realizadas pela técnica de Fluorescência de Raios X por Reflexão Total com Radiação Sincrotron (SR-TXRF) e os resultados comparados com as legislações vigentes. Para o efluente tratado os dados foram comparados as legislações CONAMA 357 e 430 que estabelecem limites para o descarte de efluentes nos corpos d'água e todos os elementos Cr, Mn, Fe, Ni, Cu, Zn, Ba e Pb apresentaram concentrações em conformidade com a legislação. Para o reuso na agricultura, cujos limites são definidos pela Instrução Técnica CETESB alguns dos elementos apresentaram concentrações acima do permitido e desta forma o efluente tratado não pode ser empregado para reuso. No caso do lodo os teores de Cr, Ni, Cu, Zn, Ba e Pb foram comparados aos valores máximos permitidos das legislações CONAMA 357 e 430 e os teores de todos os elementos ficaram abaixo do valor Maximo permitido, e desta forma existe a possibilidade de aplicação do lodo no solo agrícola, para as duas estações de tratamento de esgoto estudadas, Anhumas (Campinas) e Camanducaia (Jaguariúna)
Abstract: The rapid urban and industrial growth in recent decades caused changes in the environment, including pollution of water bodies, mainly of metals that can cause harm to human health. The cities of Campinas and Jaguariuna are inserted in the Metropolitan Region of Campinas (MRC), one of the most dynamic regions in the Brazilian economy. Therefore, to study the influence of anthropogenic citiesit was evaluated the quality of raw and treated wastewater and sludge generated in the wastewater treatment plant of Anhumas, in Campinas and the treatment plant in the municipality of Camanducaia Jaguariuna, both in state of Sao Paulo, particularly with regard to metal contamination. Analyses were performed by the technique of X-ray Fluorescence by Total Reflection with Synchrotron Radiation (SR-TXRF) and the results compared with existing laws. For the treated effluent data were compared laws CONAMA 357 and 430 that set limits for the discharge of effluents into water bodies and all the elements Cr, Mn, Fe, Ni, Cu, Zn, Pb and Ba concentrations presented in accordance with legislation. To reuse in agriculture, whose limits are defined by the Technical Instruction CETESB some elements had concentrations above the permitted and thus the treated effluent can't be used for reuse. In the case of sludge contents of Cr, Ni, Cu, Zn, Ba and Pb were compared with maximum permissible values of the laws CONAMA 357 and 430 and the contents of all elements were below the maximum allowable value, and thus it is possible application of sludge to agricultural soil, for the two sewage treatment stations studied, Anhumas (Campinas) and Camanducaia (Jaguariuna)
Doutorado
Saneamento e Ambiente
Doutora em Engenharia Civil

The main aim of this thesis is to introduce issue of averaging of biological signals. The first part of the thesis deals with the principles of individual averaging methods (constant, floating and exponential window) and describes their basic features. Moreover, the principle of filtered residue, detection of QRS complex, and stretching/shrinking the length of RR-interval to the standardized length are explicated. In the second part of the thesis the outcomes of practically realized (Matlab and GUI) methods of averaging (by final signal-to-noise ratio) are evaluated. Signals from MIT-BIH database are used.

Dreiaxiale Druckprüfungen können als Einstufenversuche, als Mehrstufenversuche oder als Versuche mit kontinuierlichen Bruchzuständen ausgeführt werden. Bei der Anwendung der Mehrstufentechnik ergeben sich insbesondere Fragestellungen hinsichtlich der richtigen Wahl des Umschaltpunktes und des optimalen Verlaufs des Spannungspfades zwischen den einzelnen Versuchsstufen. Fraglich beim Versuch mit kontinuierlichen Bruchzuständen bleibt, ob im Versuchsverlauf tatsächlich Spannungszustände erfasst werden, welche die Höchstfestigkeit des untersuchten Materials repräsentieren. Die Dissertation greift diese Fragestellungen auf, ermöglicht den Einstieg in die beschriebene Thematik und schafft die Voraussetzungen, die zur Lösung der aufgeführten Problemstellungen notwendig sind. Auf der Grundlage einer umfangreichen Datenbasis gesteinsmechanischer und petrophysikalischer Kennwerte wurde ein numerisches Modell entwickelt, welches das Spannungs-Verformungs-, Festigkeits- und Bruchverhalten eines Sandsteins im direkten Zug- und im einaxialen Druckversuch sowie in dreiaxialen Druckprüfungen zufriedenstellend wiedergibt. Das Festigkeitsverhalten des entwickelten Modells wurde in Mehrstufentests mit unterschiedlichen Spannungspfaden analysiert und mit den entsprechenden Laborbefunden verglichen.

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In the present work has been studied the electro-flocculation efficiency on the reduction of organic and inorganic material concentrations such as Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD), turbidity, total solids and metal, mainly chromium, on an untreated tannery effluent using a pair of electrodes. For this purpose, a lab scale Electro-Flocculation (EF) reactor was constructed using an 8-L plastic cylindrical container, containing a valve in its lower part for sludge evacuation and a horizontal support in its upper part for fixing a pair of electrolytic cell in upright position into a 5-L available reactor volume. The electrodes plates, made of iron or aluminum, were connected to terminals of direct current power supply. All the physical-chemistry parameters were measured following the Standard Methods for water analysis, while metal concentrations were determined using the Synchrotron X-Ray Fluorescence technique, available in the Brazilian Synchrotron Light Laboratory. In order to determine optimal operating conditions, the effects of current intensity, electrodes distance, effluent initial pH, and EF time have been experimentally examined, according to a statistic planning and correlation analysis. For each electrode, a total of 11 EF experiments were carried out for maximum and minimum values of EF reactor operating parameters. Applying a 95% confidence level into the correlation analysis between EF parameters, the physical-chemistry parameters and metal concentrations were reduced in all of them when the effluent initial pH was increased, while the EF time and the applied voltage were reduced for small electrodes distances. Moreover, the EF treatment efficiencies tend towards higher values with an increasing on the current intensity. In order to determine the best reactor operating values, other EF experiments were performed varying the effluent initial pH from 6.5 to 9.0 and from 6.0 to 8.5 for iron and aluminum electrodes, respectively, fixing the distance between the electrodes in 4.0 cm, the current intensity in 5.5 A and the EF time in 30 minutes. Nevertheless, these EF experiments have shown that the reduction factor on parameter concentrations due to an increasing of effluent initial pH was not significant compared to prior experiments. Henceforth, the effluent pH value was maintained near to the original one for the next EF treatments, avoiding introducing other substances into the effluent. Keeping effluent pH value in 7.5, other EF experiments were performed changing the EF time from 15 to 120 min., fixing current intensities and electrode distances in 5.5 A and 4.0 cm, respectively. For these reactor conditions, the EF time setting up in 30 min. was enough to get a good efficiency according the reduction factor in the most of parameters examined, without increasing a lot the reactor electrical power, for both kinds of electrodes. The EF reactor purpose and examined has shown a high efficiency on turbidity and chromium concentration reduction factor (98%). Furthermore, this system can be also used to reduce other elementary concentrations such as calcium, potassium and zinc, for both kinds of electrodes (Fe/Al). In comparison with iron electrodes, aluminum one has reported a better reduction factor (80%) on COD values and a good reduction factor (50%) on iron concentration. On the other hand, the EF method for tanneries effluent treatment system was also compared with conventional method using coagulating and flocculating agents, showing a great similarity between them in the reduction factor. In the EF method is not necessary to introduce substances to start the coagulation and flocculation process in effluent treatment.
Este trabalho tem por objetivo o estudo da eficiência da eletro-floculação na redução das concentrações de substâncias orgânicas e inorgânicas expressas através dos parâmetros: Demanda Química de Oxigênio (DQO), turbidez, sólidos totais e metais, principalmente o cromo, em efluente de curtume não tratado, utilizando um par de eletrodos. Para esse propósito foi construído, em escala laboratorial, um reator confeccionado a partir de um recipiente plástico de 8 litros, contendo uma válvula na parte inferior, para a retirada dos sedimentos, e um suporte horizontal na parte superior para a fixação do par de células eletrolíticas, em posição perpendicular dentro do reator com volume útil de 5 litros. As placas de eletrodos, de ferro e alumínio, foram conectadas a uma fonte de alimentação de energia.Todos os parâmetros físico-químicos foram determinados seguindo o Método Padrão para análise de água, enquanto que as concentrações de metal foram determinadas através da técnica de Fluorescência de Raios X por Reflexão Total, (SR-TXRF), disponível no Laboratório Nacional de Luz Síncroton. A fim de determinar as condições ótimas de operação, os efeitos da intensidade da corrente, distância entre eletrodos, pH inicial do efluente e tempo de eletrólise foram avaliados experimentalmente, de acordo com um planejamento estatístico e análise de correlação. Para cada eletrodo, foram realizados 11 experimentos de EF com valores máximos e mínimos para os parâmetros de operação do reator. Empregando um nível de 95% de confiança na correlação de análises dos parâmetros a análise de correlação entre os parâmetros de EF, os modelos mostraram tendência de redução nas concentrações dos parâmetros físico-químicos e de metais, quando o pH inicial do efluente foi elevado, enquanto o tempo de EF e a voltagem aplicada apresentaram tendência de redução nos valores para uma menor distância entre os eletrodos.. Além disso, a eficiência do tratamento de EF tende a valores mais elevados com o aumento na intensidade de corrente. A fim de determinar as melhores condições de operação do reator, outros experimentos EF foram feitos variando o pH inicial de 6.5 a 9.0 e de 6.0 a 8.5 para eletrodos de ferro e alumínio, respectivamente, fixando a distância entre os eletrodos em 4.0 cm, a intensidade da corrente em 5.5 A e o tempo de EF em 30 minutos. Entretanto, esses experimentos mostraram que o fator de redução percentual na concentração dos parâmetros, causada pelo aumento no pH inicial do efluente, não foi significativo comparado aos experimentos anteriores. Nos tratamentos posteriores de EF, o pH do efluente foi mantido próximo ao original, evitando a introdução de outras substâncias no efluente. Mantendo o valor do pH do efluente em 7.5, outros experimentos de EF foram realizados variando o tempo de eletrólise de 15 a 120 min., e fixando a intensidade da corrente e distância entre os eletrodos em 5.5 A e 4.0 cm., respectivamente. Nessas condições, o tempo de EF fixado em 30 min. foi suficiente para alcançar uma boa eficiência, de acordo com o fator de redução, para maioria dos parâmetros analisados, sem aumentar muito a potência elétrica do reator, para os dois tipos de eletrodos. Os experimentos realizados com reator de EF mostraram uma alta eficiência na redução da turbidez e concentração de cromo (98%). Ademais, esse sistema também pode ser utilizado na redução de outras concentrações elementares como cálcio, potássio e zinco, para ambos os tipos de eletrodos (Fe/Al). Em comparação com os eletrodos de ferro, o eletrodo de alumínio apresentou um melhor fator de redução nos valores de DQO (80%) e um bom fator de redução de ferro (50%). Por outro lado, o método de EF para o tratamento de sistema de efluentes de curtumes foi também comparado ao método convencional utilizando agentes coagulantes e floculantes, mostrando uma grande semelhança entre eles no fator de redução. No método EF não é necessário introduzir substâncias para iniciar o processo de coagulação e floculação no tratamento de efluente.

The Nigeria economy is wholly dependent on revenue from oil. However, bitumen has been discovered in the country since 1903 and has remained untapped over the years. The need for the country to complement oil exploration with the huge bitumen deposit cannot be overemphasized. This will help to improve the country's gross domestic product (GDP) and revenue available to government. Bitumen is classifled as heavy crude with API (American petroleum Institute) number ranging between 50 and 110 and occurs in Nigeria, Canada, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela etc from which petroleum products could be derived. This dissertation looked at the Canadian experience by comparing the oil and tar sand deposit found in Canada with particular reference to Athabasca (Grosmont, Wabiskaw McMurray and Nsiku) with that in Nigeria with a view of transferring process technology from Canada to Nigeria. The Nigeria and Athabasca tar sands occur in the same type of environment. These are the deltaic, fluvial marine deposit in an incised valley with similar reservoir, chemical and physical properties. However, the Nigeria tar sand is more asphaltenic and also contains more resin and as such will yield more product volume during hydro cracking albeit more acidic. The differences in the components (viscosity, resin and asphaltenes contents, sulphur and heavy metal contents) of the tar sands is within the limit of technology adaptation. Any of the technologies used in Athabasca, Canada is adaptable to Nigeria according to the findings of this research. The techno-economics of some of the process technologies are. x-rayed using the PTAC (petroleum technology alliance Canada) technology recovery model in order to obtain their unit cost for Nigeria bitumen. The unit cost of processed bitumen adopting steam assisted gravity drainage (SAGD), in situ combustion (ISC) and cyclic steam stimulation (CSS) process technology is 40.59, 25.00 and 44.14 Canadian dollars respectively. The unit cost in Canada using the same process technology is 57.27, 25.00 and 61.33 Canadian dollars respectively. The unit cost in Nigeria is substantively lesser than in Canada. A trade off is thereafter done using life cycle costing so as to select the best process technology for the Nigeria oil/tar sands. The net present value/internal rate of return is found to be B$3,062/36.35% for steam assisted gravity drainage, B$I,570124.51 % for cyclic steam stimulation and B$3,503/39.64% for in situ combustion. Though in situ combustion returned the highest net present value and internal rate of return, it proved not to be the best option for Nigeria due to environmental concern and response time to production. The best viable option for the Nigeria tar sand was then deemed to be steam assisted gravity drainage. An integrated oil strategy coupled with cogeneration using MSAR was also seen to considerably amplify the benefits accruable from bitumen exploration; therefore, an investment in bitumen exploration in Nigeria is a wise economic decision.
Thesis (M.Ing. (Development and Management))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2010.

碩士
國立交通大學
管理學院財務金融學程
99
Based on residual earnings model, those companies could create higher residual earnings, their intrinsic value would be higher, and this study primarily investigates the relationship between residual earnings and company value in Taiwan stock market to proof that our result is consistent with residual earnings model. That is, the market would give companies higher valuation if they have higher residual earnings. Our research use rank-order correlation coefficient to test whether price book ratio and residual earnings are positively correlated, we use two statistics methods: Spearman and Kendall rank-order correlation coefficient to test. The results show us that price book ratio and residual earnings have significant positive correlation in Taiwan stock market. In order to ensure that our research on the relationship between price book ratio and residual earnings would not lose explanatory power by sample selection, our paper also investigate whether the relationship between price book ratio and residual earnings would be influenced by growth or value industry and let the original positive relation change. We find that the positive relation between price book ratio and residual earnings cannot be affected by belonging to growth or value industry. In other words, residual earnings model have reliability and is suitable for Taiwan capital market because its explanatory power would not be affected by different stock characteristics.

Thesis (M.S.)--University of Wisconsin--Madison, 1994.
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碩士
中原大學
應用物理研究所
97
Voltage holding ratio (VHR) and residual direct current (RDC) of stratified polymerliquid-crystal films are investigated in this thesis. The auto-measurement system developed in this laboratory is used to monitor the VHR and RDC in standard cells of either liquid crystal or polymer alone and in asymmetric ones of polymerliquid-crystal layer hybrid with various polymer contents, clarifying the contributions of the liquid-crystal and polymer layers separately to the VHR and RDC of the stratified films. The thesis demonstrates: (1) the VHR of stratified polymerliquid- crystal films is dominated by the polymer concentration—the more the polymer content is, the higher the bulk resistance becomes, leading to the higher VHR; (2) the RDC of stratified samples depends on the polymeric structure—as the precursor concentration increases, the solidification process mitigates during photopolymerization and the polymeric surface becomes smoother, resulting in suppressed ion-adsorptive capability on the interface and, in turn, reducing the RDC; (3) the currentvoltage behavior of a stratified cell, again dictated by the polymer layer, is distinctive from that of a typical liquid-crystal cell.

碩士
國立交通大學
光電系統研究所
102
According to the requirement on the detection of display performance in thin film transistor liquid crystal display (TFTLCD), a multi-functional instrument for the measurement of voltage holding ratio (VHR), residual direct current (RDC), and electro-optical characteristics of liquid crystal cells have been developed by our research group. In order to expand the application field and measurement range for abovementioned parameters, in this study, a simple temperature-control system consisting of heating chips and cooling systems is designed and combined into our proposed instrument. We also integrate various types of circuits and whole framework for the instrument to obtain highly automatic measurement and numerical analysis through the data acquisition and interface of virtual instrument control. Furthermore, electrical properties such as the VHR and RDC, of twisted nematic and planar-aligned liquid crystal cells under specific measuring conditions are presented.

It is generally accepted that the fatigue crack growth depends on the stress intensity factor range (ΔK) and the maximum stress intensity factor (K_max). Numerous driving forces were introduced to analyze fatigue crack growth for a wide range of stress ratios. However, it appears that the effect of the crack tip stresses and strains need to be included into the fatigue crack growth analysis as well. Such an approach can be successful as long as the stress intensity factors are correlated with the actual elastic-plastic crack tip stress-strain field. Unfortunately, the correlation between the stress intensity factors and the crack tip stress-strain field is often altered by residual stresses induced by reversed plastic deformations. A two-parameter model (ΔK_tot, K_max,tot) based on the elastic-plastic crack tip stress-strain history has been proposed. The applied stress intensity factors (ΔK_appl, K_max,appl) were modified and converted into the total stress intensity factors (ΔK_tot, K_max,tot) in order to account for the effect of local crack tip stresses and strains on the fatigue crack growth. The fatigue crack growth was regarded as a process of successive crack re-initiations in the crack tip region and predicted by simulating the stress-strain response in the material volume adjacent to the crack tip and estimating the accumulated fatigue damage. The model was developed to predict the mean stress effect for steady-state fatigue crack growth and to determine the fatigue crack growth under simple variable amplitude loading histories. Moreover, the influence of the applied compressive stress on fatigue crack growth can be explained with the proposed two-parameter model. A two-parameter driving force in the form of: Δκ = K_max,tot^p ΔK_tot^(1-p) was derived based on the local stresses and strains at the crack tip using the Smith-Watson-Topper (SWT) fatigue damage parameter: D = σ_maxΔε/2. The parameter p is a function of material cyclic stress-strain properties and varies from 0 to 0.5 depending on the fatigue crack growth rate. The effects of the internal (residual) stress induced by the reversed cyclic plasticity manifested themselves in the change of the resultant (total) stress intensity factors driving the crack. Experimental fatigue crack growth data sets for two aluminum alloys (7075-T6 and 2024-T351), two steel alloys (4340 and 4140), and one titanium alloy (Ti-6Al-4V) were used for the verification of the model under constant amplitude loading. This model was also capable of predicting variable-amplitude fatigue crack growth. Experimental fatigue crack growth data sets after single overloads for the aluminum alloy 7075-T6, steel alloy 4140, and titanium alloy Ti-6Al-4V were also used for the verification of the model. The results indicate that the driving force Δκ can successfully predict the stress ratio R effect and also the load-interaction effect on fatigue crack growth.

碩士
東海大學
統計學系
104
The estimation of mean residual lifetime or quantile residual lifetime is becoming more critical in cancer research, since it provides patients and physicians with information about the efficacy of the treatment therapies in a more straightforward way using the hazard function or probability of survival. In medical study, the multiple comparison procedures are the commonly used multiple decisions that assess the differences of the effects for several treatment groups, simultaneously. Because the simultaneous confidence regions maybe used for hypotheses testing, as well as providing the information about magnitudes of the differences between the survival indices of each treatment group. In this project for censored survival data, we consider the construction of the simultaneous confidence regions for the ratios of quantile residual lifetimes between the treatment group and the control group based on the nonparametric method and the empirical likelihood ratio tests. The performance of the associated coverage probability and the average coverage area will be investigated via a simulation study. The use of the proposed procedure will be illustrated using real data sets. Keywords : censored survival data; confidence region; minimum dispersion statistic; multiple comparison; quantile residual lifetime

碩士
朝陽科技大學
工業工程與管理系
105
Principal Component Analysis (PCA) has been widely used for multivariate process fault detection. PCA can effectively detect process faults under the premise of independent observations. However, the acquired data from a real process usually exhibits autocorrelation characteristics. Therefore, Ku, Storer and Georgakis (1995) suggested to introduce lagged variables into original data matrix and then apply the traditional PCA algorithm to the augmented matrix, they called this method as Dynamic PCA (DPCA). Moreover, Rato and Reis (2013) discovered the T^2 and Q monitoring statistics calculated from DPCA still present autocorrelation. To tackle this issue, Rato and Reis (2013) developed a Dynamic PCA based on Decorrelated Residuals (DPCA-DR) method in an attempt to reduce the autocorrelation of T^2 and Q. Even though the implementation of DPCA-DR can lower the autocorrelation of monitoring metrics, the autocorrelation cannot be exterminated. Furthermore, T^2 and Q are essentially calculated from Mahalanobis distance in which only recent observation was taken into consideration, leading to an ineffective detection of a small process change. According to abovementioned, this study will develop a DPCA-DR-GLR in an effort to detect a wide range of process changes. The DPCA-DR-DR was used to reduce data dimensionality and reduce the autocorrelation of T^2 and Q. The Generalized Likelihood Ratio (GLR) is adopted as the monitoring statistic due to the simultaneous consideration of recent observation and past observations. The advantages of the proposed method includes : 1) can detect a wide range of process changes; 2) can estimate the process change point that will provide practitioner the fault diagnosed information; 3) no further parameters to be given during monitoring. The efficiency of the proposed method will be verified via three examples : a simulated multivariate autocorrelated process, Tennessee Eastman process and White-wine inspection. Result demonstrated that the proposed method can effectively detect multivariate autorrelated process faults.