Academic literature on the topic 'Rainfall probabilities'
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Journal articles on the topic "Rainfall probabilities"
Zohrab A. Samani and George H. Hargreaves. "Estimating Rainfall Probabilities from Average Values." Applied Engineering in Agriculture 2, no. 2 (1986): 141–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.13031/2013.26729.
Full textSarkar, Raju, and Kelzang Dorji. "Determination of the Probabilities of Landslide Events—A Case Study of Bhutan." Hydrology 6, no. 2 (June 16, 2019): 52. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/hydrology6020052.
Full textV.D, SONDGE, SONTAKKE J.S, and SHELGE B.S. "Aberrations in monsoons in assured rainfall area of Parabhani - Meteorologic characterization." Madras Agricultural Journal 87, september (2000): 384–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.29321/maj.10.a00478.
Full textKRIPALANI, RH, and SV SINGH. "Rainfall probabilities and amounts associated with monsoon depressions over India." MAUSAM 37, no. 1 (January 1, 1986): 111–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.54302/mausam.v37i1.2189.
Full textLiao, Yifan, Bingzhang Lin, Xiaoyang Chen, and Hui Ding. "A New Look at Storm Separation Technique in Estimation of Probable Maximum Precipitation in Mountainous Areas." Water 12, no. 4 (April 20, 2020): 1177. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w12041177.
Full textBellerby, T. J. "Satellite Rainfall Uncertainty Estimation Using an Artificial Neural Network." Journal of Hydrometeorology 8, no. 6 (December 1, 2007): 1397–412. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2007jhm846.1.
Full textWinters, Karl E. "Floods in Central Texas, September 7–14, 2010." Texas Water Journal 3, no. 1 (July 11, 2012): 14–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.21423/twj.v3i1.3292.
Full textGORE, P. G., and V. THAPLIYAL. "Occurrence of dry and wet weeks over Maharashtra." MAUSAM 51, no. 1 (December 17, 2021): 25–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.54302/mausam.v51i1.1754.
Full textDeGaetano, Arthur T., and Harrison Tran. "Recent Changes in Average Recurrence Interval Precipitation Extremes in the Mid-Atlantic United States." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 61, no. 2 (February 2022): 143–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-21-0129.1.
Full textAdhikari, R. N., M. S. RAMA MOHAN RAO, and P. BHASKAR RAO. "Analysis of rainfall data for water management In dry land zone of Karnataka." MAUSAM 44, no. 2 (January 1, 2022): 147–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.54302/mausam.v44i2.3812.
Full textDissertations / Theses on the topic "Rainfall probabilities"
Cung, Annie. "Statistical modeling of extreme rainfall processes in consideration of climate change." Thesis, McGill University, 2007. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=100788.
Full textThe objective of the present research is therefore to find the best method for estimating accurately extreme rainfalls for the current time period and future periods in the context of climate change. The analysis of extreme rainfall data from the province of Quebec (Canada) revealed that, according to L-moment ratio diagrams, the data may be well described by the Generalized-Extreme-Value (GEV) distribution. Results also showed that a simple scaling relationship between non-central moments (NCM) and duration can be established and that a scaling method based on NCMs and scaling exponents can be used to generate accurate estimates of extreme rainfalls at Dorval station (Quebec, Canada). Other results demonstrated that the method of NCMs can accurately estimate distribution parameters and can be used to construct accurate Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves.
Furthermore, a regional analysis was performed and homogenous regions of weather stations within Quebec were identified. A method for the estimation of missing data at ungauged sites based on regional NCMs was found to yield good estimates.
In addition, the potential impacts of climate change on extreme rainfalls were assessed. Changes in the distribution of annual maximum (AM) precipitations were evaluated using simulations from two Global Climate Models (GCMs) under the A2 greenhouse gas emission scenario: the Coupled Global Climate Model version 2 (CGCM2A2) of the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, and the Hadley Centre's Model version 3 (HadCM3A2). Simulations from these two models were downscaled spatially using the Statistical DownScaling Model (SDSM). A bias-correction method to adjust the downscaled AM daily precipitations for Dorval station was tested and results showed that after adjustments, the values fit the observed AM daily precipitations well. The analysis of future AM precipitations revealed that, after adjustments, AM precipitations downscaled from CGCM2A2 increase from current to future periods, while AM precipitations downscaled from HadCM3A2 show a mild decrease from current to future periods, for daily and sub-daily scales.
Patron, Glenda G. "Joint probability distribution of rainfall intensity and duration." Thesis, This resource online, 1993. http://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-06232009-063226/.
Full textSuyanto, Adhi. "Estimating the exceedance probabilities of extreme floods using stochastic storm transportation and rainfall - runoff modelling." Thesis, University of Newcastle Upon Tyne, 1994. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.386794.
Full textVavae, Hilia. "A simple forecasting scheme for predicting low rainfalls in Funafuti, Tuvalu." The University of Waikato, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10289/2435.
Full textMarx, Hester Gerbrecht. "The use of artificial neural networks to enhance numerical weather prediction model forecasts of temperature and rainfall." Diss., Pretoria : [s.n.], 2008. http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-02102009-161401/.
Full textMoatshe, Peggy Seanokeng. "Verification of South African Weather Service operational seasonal forecasts." Pretoria: [S.n.], 2009. http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-08112009-131703.
Full textChen, Chia-Jeng. "Hydro-climatic forecasting using sea surface temperatures." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/48974.
Full textRoulin, Emmannuel. "Medium-range probabilistic river streamflow predictions." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/209270.
Full textThe research began by analyzing the meteorological predictions at the medium-range (up to 10-15 days) and their use in hydrological forecasting. Precipitation from the ensemble prediction system of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) were used. A semi-distributed hydrological model was used to transform these precipitation forecasts into ensemble streamflow predictions. The performance of these forecasts was analyzed in probabilistic terms. A simple decision model also allowed to compare the relative economic value of hydrological ensemble predictions and some deterministic alternatives.
Numerical weather prediction models are imperfect. The ensemble forecasts are therefore affected by errors implying the presence of biases and the unreliability of probabilities derived from the ensembles. By comparing the results of these predictions to the corresponding observed data, a statistical model for the correction of forecasts, known as post-processing, has been adapted and shown to improve the performance of probabilistic forecasts of precipitation. This approach is based on retrospective forecasts made by the ECMWF for the past twenty years, providing a sufficient statistical sample.
Besides the errors related to meteorological forcing, hydrological forecasts also display errors related to initial conditions and to modeling errors (errors in the structure of the hydrological model and in the parameter values). The last stage of the research was therefore to investigate, using simple models, the impact of these different sources of error on the quality of hydrological predictions and to explore the possibility of using hydrological reforecasts for post-processing, themselves based on retrospective precipitation forecasts.
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La prévision des débits des rivières se fait traditionnellement sur la base de mesures en temps réel des précipitations sur les bassins-versant et des débits à l'exutoire et en amont. Ces données sont traitées dans des modèles mathématiques de complexité variée et permettent d'obtenir des prévisions précises pour des temps courts. Pour prolonger l'horizon de prévision à quelques jours – afin d'être en mesure d'émettre des alertes précoces – il est nécessaire de prendre en compte les prévisions météorologiques. Cependant celles-ci présentent par nature une dynamique sensible aux erreurs sur les conditions initiales et, par conséquent, pour une gestion appropriée des risques, il faut considérer les prévisions en termes probabilistes. Actuellement, les prévisions d'ensemble sont effectuées à l'aide d'un modèle numérique de prévision du temps avec des conditions initiales perturbées et permettent d'évaluer l'incertitude.
La recherche a commencé par l'analyse des prévisions météorologiques à moyen-terme (10-15 jours) et leur utilisation pour des prévisions hydrologiques. Les précipitations issues du système de prévisions d'ensemble du Centre Européen pour les Prévisions Météorologiques à Moyen-Terme ont été utilisées. Un modèle hydrologique semi-distribué a permis de traduire ces prévisions de précipitations en prévisions d'ensemble de débits. Les performances de ces prévisions ont été analysées en termes probabilistes. Un modèle de décision simple a également permis de comparer la valeur économique relative des prévisions hydrologiques d'ensemble et d'alternatives déterministes.
Les modèles numériques de prévision du temps sont imparfaits. Les prévisions d'ensemble sont donc entachées d'erreurs impliquant la présence de biais et un manque de fiabilité des probabilités déduites des ensembles. En comparant les résultats de ces prévisions aux données observées correspondantes, un modèle statistique pour la correction des prévisions, connue sous le nom de post-processing, a été adapté et a permis d'améliorer les performances des prévisions probabilistes des précipitations. Cette approche se base sur des prévisions rétrospectives effectuées par le Centre Européen sur les vingt dernières années, fournissant un échantillon statistique suffisant.
A côté des erreurs liées au forçage météorologique, les prévisions hydrologiques sont également entachées d'erreurs liées aux conditions initiales et aux erreurs de modélisation (structure du modèle hydrologique et valeur des paramètres). La dernière étape de la recherche a donc consisté à étudier, à l'aide de modèles simples, l'impact de ces différentes sources d'erreur sur la qualité des prévisions hydrologiques et à explorer la possibilité d'utiliser des prévisions hydrologiques rétrospectives pour le post-processing, elles-même basées sur les prévisions rétrospectives des précipitations.
Doctorat en Sciences
info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished
Tirivarombo, Sithabile. "Climate variability and climate change in water resources management of the Zambezi River basin." Thesis, Rhodes University, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1002955.
Full textAkil, Nicolas. "Etude des incertitudes des modèles neuronaux sur la prévision hydrogéologique. Application à des bassins versants de typologies différentes." Electronic Thesis or Diss., IMT Mines Alès, 2021. http://www.theses.fr/2021EMAL0005.
Full textFloods and droughts are the two main risks in France and require a special attention. In these conditions, where climate change generates increasingly frequent extreme phenomena, modeling these risks is an essential element for water resource management.Currently, discharges and water heights are mainly predicted from physical or conceptual based models. Although efficient and necessary, the calibration and implementation of these models require long and costly studies.Hydrogeological forecasting models often use data from incomplete or poorly dimensioned measurement networks. Moreover, the behavior of the study basins is in most cases difficult to understand. This difficulty is thus noted to estimate the uncertainties associated with hydrogeological modeling.In this context, this thesis, supported by IMT Mines Alès and financed by the company aQuasys and ANRT, aims at developing models based on the systemic paradigm. These models require only basic knowledge on the physical characterization of the studied basin, and can be calibrated from only input and output information (rainfall and discharge/height).The most widely used models in the environmental world are neural networks, which are used in this project. This thesis seeks to address three main goals:1. Development of a model design method adapted to different variables (surface water flows/height) and to very different types of basins: watersheds or hydrogeological basins (groundwater height)2. Evaluation of the uncertainties associated with these models in relation to the types of targeted basins3. Reducing of these uncertaintiesSeveral basins are used to address these issues: the Blavet basin in Brittany and the basin of the Southern and Central Champagne Chalk groundwater table
Books on the topic "Rainfall probabilities"
Robertson, George W. Rainfall probabilities in [name of area]. Islamabad: Barani Agricultural Research and Development Project, National Agricultural Research Centre, 1985.
Find full textGore, P. G. Study of dry and wet spells for meteorological subdivisions of India. Pune: Drought Research Unit, Office of the Additional Director General of Meteorology (Research), 2001.
Find full textHuygen, J. Estimation of rainfall in Zambia using METEOSAT-TIR data. Wageningen (Netherlands): Winand Staring Centre, 1989.
Find full textR, Kulkarni J., and Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology., eds. Multimodel scheme for prediction of monthly rainfall over India. Pune: Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, 2003.
Find full textHunter, John P. Rainfall and temperature probability statistics for Lesotho agriculture: Selected stations. Maseru, Lesotho: Farming Systems Research Project, Research Division, Ministry of Agriculture, 1986.
Find full textKumar, Avadhesh. Overland flow in mountainous areas. Roorkee: National Institute of Hydrology, 1987.
Find full textCalifornia Weather Symposium (1994 Sierra College). Predicting heavy rainfall events in California: A symposium to share weather pattern knowledge : Sierra College, Rocklin, California, June 25, 1994. Rocklin, Calif: Sierra College Science Center, 1994.
Find full textBernard, Guillot, African Center for Meteorology Applied to Development., and France. Ministère de la coopération., eds. Problèmes de validation des méthodes d'estimation des précipitations par satellite en Afrique intertropical: Actes de l'atelier de Niamey du 1er au 3 décembre 1994. Paris: Orstom, 1996.
Find full textJohnson, Michelle L. Estimating precipitation over the Amazon Basin from satellite and in-situ measurements. Middleton, Del: Legates Consulting, 2003.
Find full textKhaladkar, R. M. Performance of NCMRWF models in predicting high rainfall spells during SW monsoon season: A study for some cases in July 2004. Pune: Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, 2007.
Find full textBook chapters on the topic "Rainfall probabilities"
Gariano, Stefano Luigi, Massimo Melillo, Maria Teresa Brunetti, Sumit Kumar, Rajkumar Mathiyalagan, and Silvia Peruccacci. "Challenges in Defining Frequentist Rainfall Thresholds to Be Implemented in a Landslide Early Warning System in India." In Progress in Landslide Research and Technology, Volume 1 Issue 1, 2022, 409–16. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-16898-7_27.
Full textEngelbrecht, Francois A., Jessica Steinkopf, Jonathan Padavatan, and Guy F. Midgley. "Projections of Future Climate Change in Southern Africa and the Potential for Regional Tipping Points." In Sustainability of Southern African Ecosystems under Global Change, 169–90. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-10948-5_7.
Full textPabreja, Kavita. "Artificial Neural Network for Markov Chaining of Rainfall Over India." In Research Anthology on Artificial Neural Network Applications, 1130–45. IGI Global, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/978-1-6684-2408-7.ch053.
Full textKhakzad, Nima. "Vulnerability Assessment of Process Vessels in the Event of Hurricanes." In Natural Hazards - New Insights [Working Title]. IntechOpen, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.5772/intechopen.109430.
Full textConference papers on the topic "Rainfall probabilities"
Yamano, Hidemasa, Hiroyuki Nishino, and Kenichi Kurisaka. "Development of Probabilistic Risk Assessment Methodology of Decay Heat Removal Function Against Combination Hazards of Strong Wind and Rainfall for Sodium-Cooled Fast Reactors." In 2017 25th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering. American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/icone25-66059.
Full textBălăuță MINDA, Codruța. "Gumbel’s Extreme Value Distribution for Flood Frequency Analyses of Timis River." In Air and Water – Components of the Environment 2024 Conference Proceedings. Casa Cărţii de Ştiinţă, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.24193/awc2024_02.
Full textHommadi, Ali, Ali Al-Fawzy, and Fadhil Al-Mohammed. "Flood Forecasting for the Greater Zabb Tributary of Tigris River Using the Probability Techniques." In 4th International Conference on Architectural & Civil Engineering Sciences. Cihan University-Erbil, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.24086/icace2022/paper.875.
Full textCheung, R. W. M., Cheung, H. W. M. Li, and E. K. H. Chu. "Exploratory Study of using Artificial Intelligence for Landslide Predictions." In The HKIE Geotechnical Division 43rd Annual Seminar. AIJR Publisher, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.21467/proceedings.159.17.
Full textParalska, Katia, Petko Tsarev, Rositsa Stefanova, and Georgy Koshinchanov. "ANALYSIS OF HIGH WAVE DURING HYDROLOGICAL EXTREME EVENT ON 10-15 DECEMBER 2021 WITH SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN SOUTHERN BULGARIA." In 22nd SGEM International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference 2022. STEF92 Technology, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.5593/sgem2022/3.1/s12.04.
Full textLi, H. W. M., R. H. L. Li, C. C. J. Wong, and F. L. C. Lo. "Machine Learning-based Natural Terrain Landslide Susceptibility Analysis – A Pilot Study." In The HKIE Geotechnical Division 42nd Annual Seminar. AIJR Publisher, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.21467/proceedings.133.8.
Full textKaratvuo, Helena, Michael Linde, Azam Dolatshah, and Simon Mortensen. "Improved Climate Change Adaptation in Port of Brisbane Using a Digital Twin Cloud-Based Modelling Approach." In ASME 2022 41st International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering. American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/omae2022-79613.
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