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Shah, Tejas Jagdish. "Online parameter estimation applied to mixed conduction/radiation." Thesis, Texas A&M University, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/2361.
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The conventional method of thermal modeling of space payloads is expensive and cumbersome. Radiation plays an important part in the thermal modeling of space payloads because of the presence of vacuum and deep space viewing. This induces strong nonlinearities into the thermal modeling process. There is a need for extensive correlation between the model and test data. This thesis presents Online Parameter Estimation as an approach to automate the thermal modeling process. The extended
Kalman fillter (EKF) is the most widely used parameter estimation algorithm for
nonlinear models. The unscented Kalman filter (UKF) is a new and more accurate technique for parameter estimation. These parameter estimation techniques have been evaluated with respect to data from ground tests conducted on an experimental space payload.
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Anderson, Evelyn Carole. "Anumerical model for the estimation of solar radiation on rugged terrain /." The Ohio State University, 1985. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1487259125218402.
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CUNHA, RAQUEL D. S. da. "A comunicação dos riscos na preparação para emergências nucleares: um estudo de caso em Angra dos Reis, Rio de Janeiro." reponame:Repositório Institucional do IPEN, 2017. http://repositorio.ipen.br:8080/xmlui/handle/123456789/28029.
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O gerenciamento de riscos em uma instalação nuclear é necessário para a segurança de trabalhadores e de populações vizinhas. Parte desse processo é a comunicação dos riscos que propicia o diálogo entre gestores da empresa e moradores das áreas de risco. A população que conhece os riscos a que está exposta, como esses riscos são gerenciados e o que deve ser feito em uma situação de emergência tende a se sentir mais segura e a confiar nas instituições responsáveis pelo plano de emergência. Sem diálogo entre empresa e público, o conhecimento dos procedimentos a serem seguidos em caso de acidente não chega à população, ou quando chega, não há confiança dessas pessoas na sua eficácia. Em Angra dos Reis, no litoral sul do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, está a Central Nuclear Almirante Álvaro Alberto. No entorno dessa Central Nuclear existe uma população que, de acordo com o Plano de Emergência Externo (PEE/RJ), deverá ser evacuada ou ficar abrigada, caso ocorra um acidente na instalação. Um trabalho de comunicação de riscos entre esses moradores é necessário para que eles conheçam o plano de emergência e os procedimentos corretos para uma situação de emergência, além de buscar esclarecer dúvidas e mitos. Esse trabalho apresenta uma análise da comunicação dos riscos feita para a população local, a percepção que ela tem dos riscos e o grau de conhecimento do plano de emergência externo por parte dessas pessoas.
Tese (Doutorado em Tecnologia Nuclear)
IPEN/T
Instituto de Pesquisas Energéticas e Nucleares - IPEN-CNEN/SP
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Chow, Siu-choi, and 鄒小萃. "An evaluation of models for the estimation of hourly global solar irradiation in Hong Kong." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 1985. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31207224.
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Jin, Kyoung-Wook. "Global oceanic rainfall estimation from AMSR-E data based on a radiative transfer model." Diss., Texas A&M University, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/3266.
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An improved physically-based rainfall algorithm was developed using AMSR-E data based on a radiative transfer model. In addition, error models were designed and embedded in the algorithm to assess retrieval errors quantitatively and to reduce net retrieval uncertainties. The algorithm uses six channels (dual polarizations at 36.5, 18.7 and 10.65GHz) and retrieves rain rates on a pixel-by-pixel basis. Monthly rain totals are estimated by summing average rain rates computed by merging six rain rates based on proper weights that are estimated from error models. Error models were constructed based upon the principal error sources of rainfall retrieval such as beam filling error, drop size distribution uncertainty and instrument calibration errors. Several improved schemes that minimize uncertainties of the rainfall retrieval were developed in this study. In particular, improved offset correction that corrects the biases near zero rain plays a very important role for reducing uncertainties which are mainly driven by calibration uncertainty including the modeling errors. AMSR-E's larger calibration uncertainty was substantially absorbed by this offset correction as well as by the weighted average scheme to combine all six channels optimally. As a framework for inter-comparison with the experimental algorithm, the current operational algorithm (NASA, level 3 algorithm) was also updated with respect to AMSR-E data. The experimental algorithm was compared with the operational algorithm for both AMSR-E and TMI data and rainfall retrieval uncertainties were analyzed using error models. When the experimental algorithm was used, many limitations of the operational algorithm were overcome and uncertainties of rainfall retrieval were considerably eliminated.
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Holmgren, Johan. "Estimation of forest variables using airborne laser scanning /." Umeå : Dept. of Forest Resource Management and Geomatics, Swedish Univ. of Agricultural Sciences, 2003. http://epsilon.slu.se/s278.pdf.
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West, Rosalind Eleanor Lunzer. "Estimation of the indirect radiative effects of aerosol on climate using a general circulation model." Thesis, University of Oxford, 2012. http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:bc1cc003-cf96-4b27-aad9-75ef7045dfc3.
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The indirect effects of anthropogenic aerosols—through their interactions with clouds—are currently one of the most uncertain perturbations to the radiative energy balance at the top of the atmosphere. A crucial link between aerosol and cloud is that aerosols can act as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN). This microphysical process must be parameterised if the large-scale effects are to be represented in a general circulation model (GCM). Theoretical work presented in this thesis highlights the importance of incorporating the kinetic limitations on droplet formation in aerosol activation parameterisations. HadGEM-UKCA is a GCM, capable of representing the chemical and microphysical aerosol processes required to model CCN accurately. The author has incorporated a Köhler theory based parameterisation of aerosol activation into HadGEM-UKCA, to facilitate quantitative predictions of the indirect aerosol effects. This thesis presents an estimate of the range of uncertainty in such predictions attributable to the choice of parameterisation of the sub-grid-scale variability of vertical velocity. Results of simulations demonstrate that the use of a characteristic updraught velocity cannot replicate results derived with a distribution of vertical velocities, and is to be discouraged in GCMs. Consequently, work focuses on the effect of the variance (σw2) of a Gaussian pdf of vertical velocity. Fixed values of σw and a configuration in which σw depends on turbulent kinetic energy are tested. Results from the mid-range fixed σw and TKE-based configurations both compare well with vertical velocity distributions and cloud droplet number concentrations measured in situ. However, the sparse set of available measurements does not provide enough of a constraint to recommend one or the other as the best configuration globally. The radiative flux perturbation (RFP) due to the total effects of anthropogenic aerosol is estimated at −1.7Wm−2 for the TKE-based configuration. To the extent that it is valid to decouple the individual aerosol effects, the direct effect accounts for approximately −0.6Wm−2 of the total, the cloud albedo effect −0.8Wm−2 and the cloud lifetime effect −0.3Wm−2, indicating that these effects are additive within HadGEM-UKCA. Total aerosol RFP ranges from −1.4Wm−2 from simulations with σw=0.1ms−1, up to −2.0Wm−2 for σw=0.7ms−1. This range of 0.6Wm−2 corresponds to almost a third of the total estimate of −1.9Wm−2, obtained with the mid-range value of σw=0.4ms−1. Reducing the uncertainty in the parameterisation of σw is therefore an important step towards reducing the uncertainty in estimates of the indirect aerosol effects.
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Alfaro, Adriane Theodoro Santos. "MODELO DE ESTIMATIVA DA RADIAÇÃO LÍQUIDA E SUA APLICAÇÃO NA DETERMINAÇÃO DA EVAPOTRANSPIRAÇÃO POTENCIAL." UNIVERSIDADE ESTADUAL DE PONTA GROSSA, 2009. http://tede2.uepg.br/jspui/handle/prefix/2207.
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This study aimed to assess and develop a physical mathematical model to estimats the net radiation. For this we used weather data collected from the meteorological station of the Department of Physics and Meteorology of the Escola Superior de Agricultura "Luis de Queiroz" - ESALQ - University of São Paulo - USP, Piracicaba, Brazil, according to the global radiation (Qg) relative humidity (UR) and average daily temperature (T).The proposed methodology let us to determine the net radiation based on data more easily accessible and relevant to various daily human activities and therefore of great importance in engineering projects aimed at harnessing solar energy in its many forms. The performance of the model estimate of net radiation and its application in determining the potential evapotranspiration was verified by analyzing the coefficients of determination (R2) and agreement index of Willmott (d) applied to the observed and estimated data. The values estimated by the proposed method were compared with values measured by a net radiometer and the results showed that the proposed methodology was efficient for the estimation of net radiation with speed and simplicity. The data set was subjected to a simple linear regression analysis, obtaining a good adjustment between measured and estimated values. The use of estimated net radiation was efficient in the estimation of evapotranspiration by the methods of Penman Monteith, Priestley Taylor adjusted and Penman modified by the proposed model with a good adjustment when compared with the values measured for a period of 89 days, with determination coefficient (R2) ranging from 0.910 to 0.940. The proposed methodology is applicable when the meteorological variables needed to estimate potential evapotranspiration when not always are available, particularly those related to the solution of the aerodynamic term (wind velocity and vapor pressure deficit in the air), thus the methods are important to estimate the ETo based on climatic elements that can be obtained in a practice way. The satisfactory correlation found with the net radiometer makes the method of potential use in the region under study because the knowledge of evapotranspiration or latent heat flux contributes to a more rational use of water in crops in critical stages of growth and reproductive when water is a limited factors. Thus, for the climate of the town looked, it was possible to estimate with good precision the value of the net radiation, based on the theory proposed generating equivalent values those obtained by classical methodology for Piracicaba, SP.
O presente trabalho teve por objetivo propor e aferir um modelo físico matemático para estimar a radiação líquida e sua aplicação na determinação da evapotranspiração potencial. Para tanto foram utilizados dados climáticos coletados da Estação Meteorologia do Departamento de Engenharia Rural da Escola Superior de Agricultura “Luis de Queiroz”- ESALQ – da Universidade de São Paulo – USP, Piracicaba, SP, Brasil, em função da radiação global (Qg), da umidade relativa do ar (UR) e temperatura média diária (T). A metodologia proposta permite determinar a radiação líquida em função de dados mais facilmente disponíveis, sendo relevante nas diversas atividades humanas diárias e, portanto, de suma importância em projetos de engenharia que visam o aproveitamento da energia solar nas suas mais variadas formas. O desempenho do modelo proposto foi verificado através da análise dos coeficientes de determinação (R2) e dos índices de concordância de Willmott (d) aplicados aos dados estimados e observados. Os valores estimados pela metodologia proposta foram confrontados com os valores medidos por um saldo radiômetro e os resultados revelaram que a metodologia proposta mostrou-se eficiente para a estimativa da radiação líquida com rapidez e simplicidade. O conjunto de dados foi submetido a uma análise de regressão linear simples, obtendo-se bom ajuste entre os valores medidos e estimados. A utilização da radiação líquida estimada mostrou-se eficiente na estimativa da evapotranspiração pelos métodos de Penman-Monteith, Priestley-Taylor ajustado e Penman modificado, com bom ajustamento quando comparado com os valores medidos para um período de 89 dias, com coeficiente de determinação (R2) variando de 0, 910 a 0,940. A metodologia proposta tem aplicabilidade quando as variáveis meteorológicas necessárias para estimar evapotranspiração potencial nem sempre se encontram disponíveis, particularmente as relacionadas à solução do termo aerodinâmico (velocidade do vento e déficit de pressão do vapor d'água no ar); desta forma, tornam-se importantes os métodos para estimar a evapotranspiração potencial em função de elementos climáticos que podem ser obtidos de maneira mais prática. A correlação satisfatória verificada com o saldo radiômetro torna o método de uso potencial na região em estudo, pois o conhecimento da evapotranspiração ou do fluxo convectivo de calor latente contribui para uma utilização mais racional da água em uma determinada cultura em que as fases críticas de desenvolvimento vegetativo e reprodutivo são limitadas pelo fator hídrico. Assim, para as condições climáticas da localidade analisada, foi possível estimar com boa precisão o valor da radiação líquida, fundamentada na teoria proposta gerando valores equivalentes aqueles obtidos pela metodologia clássica para Piracicaba, SP.
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Zamora, Ortega Lisett Rocio. "Estimativa da radiação solar global pelos modelos de Hargreaves e aprendizado de máquina em 11 regiões de São Paulo /Brasil /." Botucatu, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/192237.
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Orientador: João Francisco EscobedoResumo: No presente trabalho é descrito o estudo comparativo de métodos de estimativas da irradiação solar global (HG) diária através do modelo de Hargreaves-Samani (H-S) HG/HO = a ΔT0,5 e duas técnicas de Aprendizado de Máquina (AM), Máquinas de Vetores de Suporte (MVS) e Redes Neurais Artificiais (RNA). A base de dados utilizada foi obtida em 11 cidades do estado de São Paulo de diferentes classificações climáticas no período de 2013-2017. Por meio de regressão entre a transmissividade atmosférica (HG/HO) e raiz quadrada da diferença de temperatura (ΔT0,5). O modelo estatístico H-S foi calibrado e determinado para os valores da constante (a) e equações que permitem estimar HG com baixos coeficientes de determinação para duas condições:11 cidades individualmente e total. Os modelos de H–S foram validados por meio de correlações entre os valores estimados e medidos através dos indicadores de correlação (r) e rRMSE cujos valores indicaram que os modelos podem estimar HG com razoável precisão e exatidão. As técnicas computacionais, MVS e RNA, foram treinadas com 70% dos dados nas mesmas variáveis usadas no modelo de H-S, e posteriormente foram treinadas com entradas de mais 4 variáveis meteorológicas totalizando 5 combinações. Os treinos foram validados usando uma base de dados independente de 30% da base. Os indicativos estatísticos (r) das correlações mostraram que o modelo H-S pode estimar HG com baixos coeficientes de determinação. Os indicativos estatísticos rMBE, MBE, rRMSE, RMSE... (Resumo completo, clicar acesso eletrônico abaixo)
Abstract: This work describes the comparative study of methods for estimating daily global solar irradiation (HG) using the Hargreaves-Samani (H-S) model HG / HO = a ΔT0.5 and two Machine Learning techniques (AM), Support Vectors Machines (MVS) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). The database used was obtained in 11 cities by the state of São Paulo from different climatic classifications between period 2013-2017. Through regression between differents atmospheric transmissivity (HG / HO) and square root of the temperature difference (ΔT0.5). The H-S statistical model was calibrated and determined for the values of constant (a) and equations that allow estimating HG with low determination coefficients for two conditions:11 cities individually and total. The H–S models were validated by correlations between the estimated and measured values using the correlation indicators (r) and rRMSE, whose values indicated that the models can estimate HG with reasonable precision and exactitude. The computational techniques, MVS and RNA, were trained with 70% of the data in the same variables used in the H-S model, later they were trained with inputs of 4 more meteorological totalling 5 combinations. The training was validated using an independent database of 30%. The statistical indications of the correlations showed that the H-S model can estimate HG with low determination coefficients. The statistical indications rMBE, MBE, rRMSE, RMSE indicate that the H-S model can be used to estimate HG with r... (Complete abstract click electronic access below)
Mestre
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Janoutová, Růžena. "Modelling 3D Forest Structure for Improved Retrieval of Forest Biophysical Properties." Doctoral thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta strojního inženýrství, 2017. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-263358.
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Hlavním cílem práce bylo zlepšení kvantitativních odhadů vegetačních parametrů smrkových porostů pomocí spektrálních simulací trojrozměrného modelu přenosu záření. Prvně bylo potřeba vytvořit přesný 3D model smrku. Implementace přesného 3D modelu smrku pro parametrizaci celých lesních porostů je v současné době výpočetně nemožné, bylo tedy nutné tento 3D model smrku zjednodušit. Přesný 3D model smrku společně s dostupnými leteckými daty sloužil pro nalezení optimálního zjednodušení. Optimální model vedl ke kompromisu mezi výpočetní náročností a přesností výsledné odrazivosti z modelu přenosu záření. Následně byl optimální model smrku využit pro odhady vegetačních parametrů ze satelitních snímků. Přesnost odhadů byla ověřena oproti pozemním měřením odhadovaných parametrů. Na závěr byly porovnány výsledky z odhadů vegetačních parametrů pomocí optimálního 3D modelu smrku s výsledky z tradičního přístupu pomocí modelů stromu s geometricky jednodušími tvary korun.
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Tang, Chao. "Model estimations of possible climate changes of surface solar radiation at regional scales over Southern Africa and the South West Indian Ocean." Thesis, La Réunion, 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017LARE0055/document.
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Les variations du rayonnement solaire en surface (SSR) peuvent avoir un impact significatif sur divers aspects du système climatique, et notamment sur le développement socio-économique d’un pays. Pour identifier les impacts possibles du changement climatique sur le rayonnement solaire en surface à l'échelle régionale (~ 50 km) en Afrique australe jusqu'à la fin du 21ème siècle, on a analysé les données mensuelles produites dans le cadre du projet CORDEX-Afrique sur la période 1979-2099. Ces données sont issues des sorties de 5 modèles régionaux de climat (RCM) forcés par 10 modèles globaux de climat (GCM) CMIP5, pour deux scénarios d’émissions, RCP4.5 et RCP8.5, en Afrique australe (SA) et sur une partie du SWIO (0-40°S ; 0- 60°E). Pour contribuer au projet futur proposé qui vise à approfondir l'étude des changements de SSR à l'échelle locale (~ 1 km de résolution horizontale) à l'île de la Réunion et à l'île Maurice, situées dans le Sud-ouest de l'océan Indien (SWIO), près du bord d’Est du domaine CORDEX-Afrique, des simulations climatiques ont été réalisées sur trois fenêtres temporelles de 10 ans : a) le passé 1996-2005 ; et b) le futur 2046-2055 et 2090-2099, en utilisant la version 4 du RCM RegCM (RegCM4), forcé par : 1) les réanalyses climatiques ERA-Interim (ERAINT) du centre européen pour les prévisions météorologiques à moyen terme (ECMWF) pour simuler un passé récent seulement ; et 2) deux GCMs (HadGEM2-ES et GFDL-ESM2M) de l’exercice CMIP5 de simulations du climat passé et futur pour le scénario d’émissions RCP8.5 à l’échelle régionale de 50km en Afrique australe et dans le sud-ouest de l’océan Indien (0-40°S ; 0- 100°E). L’analyse de l’impact du changement climatique sur le SSR sur la base de ces simulations reste cependant limitée, à cause de leur couverture temporelle (3 périodes de 10 ans) et du nombre de modèles (2 GCMs, 1 RCM) et de scénarios (1 RCP) utilisés. Il ressort de l’analyse des simulations de l’ensemble CORDEX-Afrique que : 1) sur la période passée récente, les GCMs forceurs surestiment généralement SSR d'environ 1 W/m2 en été austral (DJF : Décembre-Janvier-Février), et de 7,5 W/m2 en hiver austral (JJA : Juin-Juillet-Août), tandis que les RCMs, forcés par ces GCMs, sous-estiment SSR d'environ -32 W/m2 et de -14 W/m2 en été et en hiver, respectivement. 2) Les projections multi-modèles de changement de SSR simulées par les RCMs et leurs GCMs forceurs sont assez cohérentes. Les GCMs prévoient, en moyenne multi-modèles, une augmentation statistiquement significative de SSR d'environ 8 W/m2 en 2099 selon le scénario RCP4.5 et de 12 W/m2 en 2099 selon le scénario RCP8.5 sur le Centre de l’Afrique australe (SA-C), et une diminution de SSR, avec un degré de confiance élevé, d'environ -5 W/m2 en 2099 selon le scénario RCP4.5 et de -10 W/m2 en 2099 selon le scénario RCP8.5, pendant la saison DJF, en Afrique équatoriale (EA-E). Dans ces deux régions, les RCMs produisent, en moyenne multi-modèles, des tendances similaires (avec un degré de confiance élevé) à celles des GCMs, mais sur des zones d’extension spatiale plus faible que celle des GCMs. Cependant, pour la saison JJA, une augmentation de SSR, d'amplitude similaire dans les simulations GCMs et RCMs (~5 W/m2 en 2099 selon le scénario RCP4.5 et 10 W/m2 selon le scénario RCP8.5), est attendue dans la région EA-E. 3). Une diminution significative de la nébulosité (environ -6% en 2099) est attendue sur le continent sud-africain pour les GCMs comme pour les RCMs. 4) Le scénario RCP8.5 produit des changements d’amplitude supérieure de 2.5W/m2 pour les GCMs forceurs et de 5W/m2 pour les RCMs en 2099 à celle pour le scénario RCP4.5. 5). Comme pour les sorties du modèle RegCM4, les structures des biais ou des changements de SSR issu des RCMs du programme CORDEX-Afrique sont globalement corrélées avec celles de couverture nuageuse totale des RCMs. L’analyse des sorties du modèle RegCM4 indique que :Changes in Surface Solar Radiation (SSR) have the potential to significantly impact diverse aspects of the climate system, and notably the socio-economic development of any nation. To identify the possible impacts of climate change on SSR at regional scales (~50 km) over Southern Africa and the South West Indian Ocean (SA-SWIO; 0-40°S ; 0- 100°E) up to the end of the 21st century, a slice downscaling experiment consisting of simulations covering three temporal windows: a) the present 1996-2005; b) the future 2046-2055 and 2090-2099 conducted with the Regional Climate Model (RCM) RegCM version 4, driven by the European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) ERA-Interim reanalysis (ERAINT, only present) and 2 Global Climate Model (GCMs: HadGEM2-ES and GFDL-ESM2M) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) under RCP8.5 scenario, are performed and evaluated. Since the slice simulation is of limited temporal coverage, number of regional and driven global models and climate change forcings, mainly because of the limit of available computational resources, the study towards a comprehensive knowledge of SSR changes in context of climate change is thus extended: an ensemble consisting of outputs from 20 regional climate downscaling realisations based on 5 RCMs that participated in the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) program (CORDEX-Africa) along with their 10 driving GCMs from CMIP5 covering southern Africa (0-40°S; 0- 100°E) during the period of 1990-2099 is analyzed under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 up to 2099.The slice experiment indicates that 1) RegCM4 simulates present-day seasonal climatology, (surface air temperature, precipitation and SSR) quite well, but has a negative total cloud cover bias (about -20% in absolute percentage) when forced by the ERAINT and the two GCMs. 2) Internal variability of RegCM4-simulated annual means SSR (about 0.2 W/m2) is of one order smaller than the model bias compared with reference data. 3) RegCM4 simulates SSR changes in opposite signs when driven by the different GCMs under RCP8.5 scenario. 4) Electricity potential calculated using first-order estimation based on the RegCM simulations indicates a change less then 2% to 2099 with respect on present level.It is also found from the ensemble study that: 1) GCMs ensemble generally overestimates SSR by about 1 W/m2 in austral summer (December, January, and February, short as DJF) and 7.5 W/m2 in austral winter (June, July and August, short as JJA), while RCMs ensemble mean shows underestimations of SSR by about -32 W/m2 and -14 W/m2 in summer and winter seasons respectively when driven by GCMs. 2) Multi-model mean projections of SSR change patterns simulated by the GCMs and their embedded RCMs are fairly consistent. 3) GCMs project, in their multi-model means, a statistically significant increase of SSR of about 8 W/m2 in RCP4.5 and 12 W/m2 in RCP8.5 by 2099 over Centre Southern Africa (SA-C) and a highly confident decreasing SSR over Eastern Equatorial Africa (EA-E) of about -5 W/m2 in RCP4.5 and -10 W/m2 in RCP8.5 during the DJF season. RCMs simulate SSR change with statistical confidence over SA-C and EA-E area as well with a little spatial extension compared to GCMs. However, in the JJA season, an increase of SSR is found over EA-E of about 5 W/m2 by 2099 under RCP4.5 and 10 W/m2 under RCP8.5, of similar amplitudes in both the GCMs and RCMs simulations. 4) Significant cloudiness decrease (about -6 % to 2099) is found over continent of SA for GCMs and also shown in RCMs. 5) Larger SSR changes are found in the RCP8.5 scenario than in the RCP4.5 scenario in 2099, with about 2.5 W/m2 enhanced changes in GCMs and about 5 W/m2 in RCMs. 6) Either the biases or the changes pattern of SSR are overall correlated with the patterns of total cloud cover from RCMs in CORDEX-Africa program (for RegCM4 as well). The slice experiment indicates that
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Oliveira, Leuda da Silva [UNESP]. "Estimativa da radiação solar direta na incidência nas partições instantânea, horária e diária a partir da radiação solar global." Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP), 2001. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/90720.
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oliveira_ls_me_fca.pdf: 2019828 bytes, checksum: 8dc8d60acc70b25a1970be06df70ff80 (MD5)A partir de uma base de dados das radiações solar global e direta na incidência, desenvolveu-se no presente trabalho modelos de estimativas da radiação solar direta da incidência a partir da radiação solar global para as partições de tempo instantânea, horária e diária. Foi também equacionado o coeficiente de atenuação da radiação solar direta ela atmosfera (K) em função do índice de claridade (K). Os modelos foram gerados a partir da função logística modificada de Boltzmann, no período de março/96 a fevereiro/98, e a mensal e anual no período de março/98 a fevereiro/99, para as três partições de , obtendo-se as equações: o j 0, -0,85 2 para a partição mstantanea -* Kb = 1+eKt_O5SO95/OO7455 + 0,85, com R =0,804, II 0,00002-0,89999 2 para a partição horária -* Kb = 1 +eKt_O59228/OIO364 + 0,89999, com R =0,816 e para a partição diária -* K = 1 + et°,0°°8185 + 0,97, com R20,987.Na validação mensal dos modelos, obteve-se uma correlação de Kb em função de K de 95,1% a 98,8% para a partição instantânea; 85,5% a 96,7% para a partição horária, de 74,2% a 96,9% para a partição diária. Na validação anual do modelo obteve-se uma correlação de 97,4% para a partição instantânea, de 98,7% para a partição horária e de 96,9% para a partição diária, sendo que quando se defiuiiu o intervalo de O
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MOMESSO, ROBERTA G. R. A. P. "Desenvolvimento e validação de um referencial metodológico para avaliação da cultura de segurança de organizações nucleares." reponame:Repositório Institucional do IPEN, 2017. http://repositorio.ipen.br:8080/xmlui/handle/123456789/28035.
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A cultura de segurança na área nuclear é definida como o conjunto de características e atitudes da organização e dos indivíduos que fazem que, com uma prioridade insuperável, as questões relacionadas à proteção e segurança nuclear recebam a atenção assegurada pelo seu significado. Até o momento, não existem instrumentos validados que permitam avaliar a cultura de segurança na área nuclear. Em vista disso, os resultados da definição de estratégias para o seu fortalecimento e o acompanhamento do desempenho das ações de melhorias tornam-se difíceis de serem avaliados. Este trabalho teve como objetivo principal desenvolver e validar um instrumento para a avaliação da cultura de segurança de organizações nucleares, utilizando o Instituto de Pesquisas Energéticas e Nucleares como unidade de pesquisa e coleta de dados. Os indicadores e variáveis latentes do instrumento foram definidos utilizando como referência modelos de avaliação de cultura de segurança da área da saúde e área nuclear. O instrumento de coleta de dados proposto inicialmente foi submetido à avaliação por especialistas da área nuclear e, posteriormente, ao pré-teste com indivíduos que pertenciam à população pesquisada. A validação do modelo foi feita por meio da modelagem por equações estruturais utilizando o método de mínimos quadrados parciais (Partial Least Square - Structural Equation Modeling PLS-SEM), no software SmartPLS. A versão final do instrumento foi composta por quarenta indicadores distribuídos em nove variáveis latentes. O modelo de mensuração apresentou validade convergente, validade discriminante e confiabilidade e, o modelo estrutural apresentou significância estatística, demonstrando que o instrumento cumpriu adequadamente todas as etapas de validação.
Tese (Doutorado em Tecnologia Nuclear)
IPEN/T
Instituto de Pesquisas Energéticas e Nucleares - IPEN-CNEN/SP
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Gomes, Eduardo Nardini [UNESP]. "Medidas e modelos de estimativa da radiação direta na incidência: Eduardo Nardini Gomes. -." Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP), 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/103457.
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gomes_en_dr_botfca.pdf: 907077 bytes, checksum: 3c29174b451dbb5fab685a7ddfaf7aa2 (MD5)A radiação solar direta na incidência é uma fração da radiação solar global e possui aplicações na agronomia, biologia e na engenharia térmica. No trabalho, são descritas a evolução diurna das médias horárias e a evolução anual das médias mensais da radiação direta na incidência, no período de 1996 a 2003, em Botucatu/SP/Brasil. É apresentada ainda a proposta e a validação dos modelos estatísticos de estimativa de Liu & Jordan e Angström, e do modelo de estimativa paramétrico de Linke. A evolução diurna das médias horárias anuais gerou uma equação temporal, com elevado coeficiente de determinação (R2= 0,99867), que permite estimar a radiação direta horária anual, com precisão e exatidão (MBE=1,0%, RMSE=3,7% e d=0,9980). Em função da dependência sazonal, foi proposta a equação de estimativa diurna da média horária mensal com elevados coeficientes de determinação. A evolução anual da média mensal horária gerou uma equação temporal com coeficiente de determinação R2 =0,75, e a validação mostrou bom desempenho nos indicativos estatísticos, superestimando a medida em menos de 1%, causando espalhamento de 6,72% e índice de ajustamento de d=0,9232. Os resultados para o modelo Liu & Jordan mostram que: a equação de estimativa horária, polinomial de 2 quarta ordem, com R2= 0,99815, pode estimar ) ( h b K em função de h T K com MBE =- 4,25%, RMSE = 27,60%, e o índice de ajustamento d= 0,972; a equação de estimativa diária, polinomial de quarta ordem, com R2= 0,9060, pode estimar ) ( d b K em função de d T K com: MBE = - 3,42%, RMSE = 18,21%, e d= 0,97; a equação de estimativa mensal é linear, com elevado coeficiente de determinação R2=0,9660, e mostra que m b K pode ser estimada com MBE= 3,21%; RMSE=14,8% e d=0,9149. O modelo de Angström diário mostra que, a correlação d b K x N n / não é linear... .
The direct solar radiation is a fraction of the global solar radiation and it has applications in the agronomy, biology and in the thermal engineering. This work describes the diurnal evolution of the hourly-averaged and the annual evolution of the monthly-averaged of the direct radiation in the incidence carried out from 1996 to 2003, in Botucatu/SP/Brazil. It's presented the proposal and the validation of the statistical model of Liu & Jordan and Angström, and of the parametric model of Linke. The diurnal evolution of the hourly values of the direct radiation provided a temporary equation, with high coefficient of determination R2 = 0.99867, which allows to esteem with accuracy (MBE=1.0%, RMSE=3.7% and d=0.9980). Because of the seasonal dependence, equations to estimate diurnal evolution of the hourly monthly average values of the direct radiation were proposed, with high determination coefficients. The annual evolution of the daily monthly average values provided a temporal equation with R2=0.75, and the validation showed good agreement in the statistical indicators, overestimating the measure in less than 1%, scattering in 6.72% with index of agreement of d=0.9232. The Liu & Jordan's model to estimate the hourly values of the direct radiation is a polynomial equation of fourth order, with the following statistical results: R2 = 0.99815, MBE = -4.25%, RMSE = 27.60%, and d = 0.972; The Liu & Jordan's model to estimate the daily values is a polynomial equation of fourth order too, with the following statistical results: MBE = - 3.42%, RMSE = 18.21%, and d = 0.97; The Liu & Jordan's model to estimate the monthly values is the first order (R2=0.9660), with the following statistical results: MBE=3.21%; RMSE=14.8% and d=0.9149. The Angström's model to estimate daily values showed that the dependence is not linear between b K and N n /... (Complete abstract, click electronic address below).
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Zhou, Mi. "Advancing Assessments on Aerosol Radiative Effect by Measurement-based Direct Effect Estimation and through Developing an Explicit Climatological Convective Boundary Layer Model." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/14091.
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The first part of the thesis assesses the aerosol direct radiative effect (ADRE) with a focus on ground-based AERONET and satellite MODIS measurements. The AERONET aerosol climatology is used, in conjunction with surface albedo and cloud products from MODIS, to calculate the ADRE and its normalized form (NADRE) for distinct aerosol regimes. The NADRE is defined as the ADRE normalized by optical depth at 550 nm and is mainly determined by internal aerosol optical properties and geographical parameters. These terms are evaluated for cloud-free and cloudy conditions and for all-mode and fine-mode aerosols. We find that the NADRE of fine-mode aerosol is larger at the TOA but smaller at the surface in comparison to that of all-mode aerosol. Cloudy-sky TOA ADRE with clouds is sensitive to the relative location of aerosols and cloud layer. The high-resolution MODIS land surface albedo is also applied to study the clear-sky ADRE over North Africa and the Arabian Peninsula for summer 2001. TOA ADRE shows the high spatial variability with close similarity to that of surface albedo.
The second part of the thesis is to develop a 2-D conceptual model for a climatological convective boundary layer over land as a persistent and distinct component in climate models, where the convective-scale motion is explicitly described by fluid dynamics and thermodynamics while the smaller scale effect is parameterized for a neutral stratification. Our conceptual model reasonably reproduces essential statistics of a convective boundary layer in comparison to large eddy simulations. The major difference is that our model produces a better organized and more constrained spatial distribution with coherent convective cells. The simulations for a climatological convective boundary layer are conducted for a prescribed constant and homogenous surface heat flux and a specified cooling term representing the background large scale thermal balance. The results show the 2-D coherent structures of convective cells with characteristic scales comparable with PBL height; downward maximum velocities being 70-80% of the accompanying upward maxima; vertical profiles of a constant potential temperature and linear decreasing heat fluxes; a square-root increase in the velocity magnitude with increasing surface heat flux.
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Petit, Tristan. "Caractérisation des fonds marins et estimation bathymétrique par inversion de modèle de transfert radiatif : application à l'imagerie hyperspectrale en milieu coralien." Thesis, Brest, 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017BRES0023/document.
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L’imagerie hyperspectrale aéroportée constitue un candidat potentiel pour la cartographie et le suivi des récifs coralliens à large échelle et à forte résolution spatiale. Dans cette thèse, nous présentons tout d’abord les traitements à appliquer au signal hyperspectral afin d’en extraire des informations sur la nature du fond marin, la bathymétrie et les propriétés optiques de l’eau, et nous les mettons en perspectives devant deux principaux verrous : (i) le faible rapport signal sur bruit du signal mesuré, (ii) le nombre et la variabilité des interactions onde-matière ayant lieu entre l’entrée des rayons lumineux dans l’atmosphère et leur mesure par le capteur hyperspectral. En considérant ces limitations, nous examinons les performances d’une des méthodes existantes de traitement de la colonne d’eau : l’inversion de modèle semi-analytique par optimisation. Nous évaluons d’abord la robustesse des estimations des types de fond et de la bathymétrie pour six paramétrisations du schéma d’inversion. Les résultats sur des images hyperspectrales acquises à l’île de La Réunion en 2009 montrent que la paramétrisation de l’inversion joue un rôle crucial sur la qualité des estimations et que la paramétrisation la plus communément utilisée ne présente pas toujours les meilleures performances. Nous évaluons par la suite l’importance de la précision de la paramétrisation du modèle semi-analytique direct à travers une analyse de sensibilité réalisée sur des données hyperspectrales synthétiques puis sur des données réelles que nous avons acquises en 2015 à La Réunion. L’analyse est en outre effectuée pour toutes les paramétrisations de l’inversion précédemment étudiées. Cette étude montre qu’en milieu récifal l’importance de la précision de la paramétrisation du modèle direct est faible devant le choix de la paramétrisation de l’inversion. Nous montrons en outre qu’il n’est pas possible d’identifier le(s) paramètre(s) du modèle direct le(s) plus influent(s) car cela dépend des concentrations relatives de chacun des éléments optiquement actifs de l’eauAirborne hyperspectral imaging is a potential candidate for mapping and monitoring coral reefs at large scale and with high spatial resolution. In this thesis, we first present the processing steps to be applied to hyperspectral signals for extracting information about seabed types, bathymetry and water optical properties, and we discuss their efficiency with respect to two main confounding factors: (i) low signal to noise ratio of the measured signals, and (ii) large number and variability of physical interactions occurring between the entrance of sunlight into the atmosphere and its measurement by the hyperspectral sensor. Considering these limitations, we examine the performance of an already existing water column processing method: semi-analytical model inversion by optimization. We first evaluate the robustness of seabed type and bathymetry estimation for six different inversion setups. The results on hyperspectral images acquired over Réunion Island reefs in 2009 show that the choice of the inversion setup plays an important role on the quality of the estimations and that the most widely used inversion setup does not always produce the best results. We then evaluate the importance of the accuracy of the parameterization of the direct semi-analytical model. This is done through a sensitivity analysis performed on both simulated and real hyperspectral data acquired in Réunion Island in 2015. The analysis is performed for each inversion setup previously studied. This study shows that in coral reef context the accuracy of the parameterization of the direct model is less important than the choice of the inversion setup. We also demonstrate that it is not possible to identify the most influent parameters of the direct model because it depends on the relative concentration of each optically active constituent
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Wang, Wei-Min. "Estimation of component temperatures of vegetative canopy with Vis/NIR and TIR multiple-angular data through inversion of vegetative canopy radiative transfer model." Strasbourg, 2009. http://www.theses.fr/2009STRA6027.
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Les mesures de la température de brillance des couverts végétaux s’appliquent à de très nombreux domaines comme la climatologie, l’hydrologie, l’agronomie, écologie. Son intérêt principal est de permettre d’accéder à l’estimation du bilan énergétique de la surface. Les mauvaises performances des modèles actuels en terme de restitution de la température de surface sont attribuées, en grande partie, à l'hétérogénéité des surfaces continentales. Les modèles actuels sont inaptes à rendre compte correctement des flux dans ces conditions (même éventuellement avec une correction de type kB-1). Les espoirs portent sur les modèles à deux sources qui traitent de façon différente les flux surface/atmosphère pour les sols et pour la végétation. Ce travail a permis de montrer que les paramètres structurels de la végétation comprenant l'indice de superficie foliaire, la distribution d'angle foliaire et l’indice de groupement exercent de grands effets sur la simulation du transfert radiatif dans le couvert végétal, et également sur la séparation des températures composantes du couvert végétal à partir des données multidirectionnelles dans les domaines visible et infrarouge thermique. Ce travail a aussi montré qu’il était possible d’amélioration la séparation des températures composantes du couvert végétal en utilisant la distribution d'angle foliaire et l’indice de groupement obtenus de données satellitaires. Un modèle analytique en tenant compte de la structure de la végétation a été développé et l'architecture optimale du réseau neuronal a été étudiée et proposée pour extraire les températures composantes du couvert végétal à partir des données multidirectionnelles dans les domaines visible et infrarouge thermiqueThe separation of component temperature is the basic step for the application of two-source algorithm. Multi-angular thermal infrared measurements provide a chance for the estimation of component temperatures (namely, soil and vegetation temperatures) with remotely-sensed data. The objective of this study is to explore the factors that affect the estimation of component temperatures and propose new algorithm for inverting the canopy radiative transfer models to compute component temperatures. The objectives of this dissertation include: (1) finding an appropriate candidate leaf angle distribution functions for modeling and inversion, (2) evaluating the scaling behavior of Beer's law and its effect on the estimation of component temperatures, (3) proposing an analytical model for directional brightness temperature at top of canopy, (4) retrieving component temperatures with neural network and simplex algorithms. The effects of leaf angle distribution function on extinction coefficient, which is a key parameter for simulating the radiative transfer through vegetative canopy, is explored to improve the radiative transfer modeling. These contributions will enhance our understanding of the basic problems existing in thermal IR remote sensing and improve the simulation of land surface energy balance. Further work can be conducted to continue the enhancement and application of proposed algorithm to remote sensing images
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Wang, Wei-Min Li Zhao-Liang. "Estimation of component temperatures of vegetative canopy with Vis/NIR and TIR multiple-angular data through inversion of vegetative canopy radiative transfer model." Strasbourg : Université de Strasbourg, 2009. http://eprints-scd-ulp.u-strasbg.fr:8080/00001118.
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Souza, Glauber Kiss de. "Avaliação do emprego de RNAs para estimativa da irradiância difusa horizontal horária." Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos, 2018. http://www.repositorio.jesuita.org.br/handle/UNISINOS/7490.
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CAPES - Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior
A energia solar está, mundialmente, em uma crescente expansão. Apesar de pequena, se comparada a outros meios tradicionais de geração de energia, nunca houve indicadores tão otimistas acerca de sua utilização e popularização. No entanto, mesmo uma energia auto-sustentável como essa acaba tendo impacto ambiental, grande investimento econômico, dificuldade de medição de todas as parcelas da radiação solar e problemas na manutenção adequada das estações solares. Sabendo que a medição ou a estimativa das parcelas da radiação são cruciais para o dimensionamento e estimativa de geração de energia, tanto em grandes plantas de potência por concentração solar como em sistemas de geração fotovoltaica residenciais, o presente trabalho foi idealizado para assegurar que, mesmo em proporções continentais, a obtenção da componente difusa da irradiância, a partir da irradiância global, pode ser realizada de maneira confiável. A utilização de RNAs com generalização geográfica demonstrou melhores resultados em relação a modelos de correlação empíricos, além de serem mais abrangentes do que modelos que utilizam RNAs especializadas a partir de dados locais. Os resultados apresentaram erros RMSEr variando entre 16,00% a 29,57%, contra erros RMSEr de 15,94% a 36,98% em modelos tradicionais empíricos. O presente modelo também apresentou um aumento simultâneo de precisão local e generalização geográfica, algo que modelos anteriores não atingiam, visto que, ao aumentar a especialização e precisão em uma área menor, há um comprometimento ao aplicar o modelo em áreas geográficas distantes e/ou maiores (e vice-versa). Dessa maneira, o presente estudo assegura que pesquisadores poderão utilizar RNAs com precisão e generalização suficientes para realizar pesquisas e estudos diversos que necessitem da parcela difusa e/ou direta da radiação solar, com maior eco-eficiência e custo benefício possíveis, em localidades que não as meçam ou não possuam dados meteorológicos confiáveis.
Worldwide, the solar energy is on a growing expansion. Although small, if compared to other traditional ways of generating useful energy, there have never been such optimistic indicators about its use and popularization. However, even a self-sustainable energy like this have environmental impact, great economic investment, difficulty in the measurement of all types of solar radiation and problems in the proper maintenance of solar monitoring stations. Knowing that the measurement or estimative of all solar radiation types are crucial for the design and estimative of energy generation in both large concentrating solar power plants or in residential photovoltaic power generation systems, the present work was developed to ensure that, even in continental proportions, the horizontal diffuse fraction can be obtained from the total irradiance with great reliability. The use of Artificial Neural Nertorks (ANNs) with geographical generalization showed better results in relation to empirical models, as well as being more comprehensive than models that use specialized ANNs based on local data. The results showed RMSEr errors ranging from 16,00% to 29,57%, against RMSEr errors from 15,94% to 36,98% in traditional empirical models. The present model also showed a improvement in both local precision and geographic generalization, something that previous models didn’t reach, since when increasing the specialization and precision in a smaller area, there’s a significant loss when using the model in distant and/or larger geographic areas (and vice versa). In this way, the present study ensures that researchers can use ANNs with enough precision and generalization to perform different researches and studies that require the diffuse and/or direct types of solar radiation with greater eco-efficiency and cost-effectiveness in locations that don't measure them or don't have reliable meteorological data.
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Dal, Pai Alexandre [UNESP]. "Anisotropia da irradiância solar difusa medida pelo método de sombreamento Melo-Escobedo: fatores de correção anisotrópicos e modelos de estimativa." Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP), 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/101722.
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Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
No presente trabalho é apresentado um modelo de correção anisotrópico para radiação difusa medida com anel de sombreamento Melo-Escobedo (ME) em função do índice de claridade (razão da radiação global pela extraterrestre). São propostos ainda dois modelos estatísticos da fração difusa isotrópica ( ) e anisotrópica ( ) em função do índice de claridade na estimativa das irradiações horária, diária e mensal. A base de dados das radiações global, direta na incidência e difusa medida pelo anel de sombreamento ME utilizada compreende o período de 1996 a 2002 monitorada pelo Laboratório de Radiometria Solar da UNESP/Botucatu/SP. O modelo de correção anisotrópico, obtido a partir das irradiâncias difusa medida pelo anel de sombreamento Melo-Escobedo (raio 40cm e largura 10cm) e medida pelo método da diferença (referência), considerou três intervalos discretos de por meio de três equações: (0 < < 0,30 - nublado); (0,30 < < 0,65 - parcialmente nublado); e (0,65 < < 1 - aberto). O modelo anisotrópico foi validado comparando-se a irradiância difusa anisotrópica estimada com a irradiância difusa de referência numa base de dados independente, mostrando bons resultados conforme os indicativos estatísticos MBE(%) = 0,25%, 0,51% e -0,38% e RMSE(%)= 5,78%, 9,83% e 12,93% para as coberturas de céu nublado, parcialmente nublado e aberto, respectivamente....
The present work presents an anisotropic correction model as a function of the clearness index (global/extraterrestrian radiation) for the diffuse radiation measurements with the Melo-Escobedo (ME) shadowring. Two statistical estimate models for the isotropic ( ) and anisotropic ( ) diffuse fraction as a function of clearness index are also proposed to estimate the hourly, daily and monthly diffuse irradiations. The global, diffuse measured by the shadowring ME and the direct radiations measurements were provided by the Laboratory of Solar Radiometry of UNESP/Botucatu/SP in the period from 1996 to 2002. The anisotropic correction model, obtained from the comparison between the diffuse irradiance measured by the Melo-Escobedo shadowring (radius of 40cm and width of 10cm) and the diffuse irradiance measured by the difference method (reference), considered three discreet intervals, with three equations: (0 < <0,30 - cloudy); (0,30 < <0,65 - partially cloudy); and (0,65 < <1 - clear). The anisotropic correction model was validated through the comparison of the anisotropic diffuse irradiance and the reference diffuse irradiance with an independent database, showing good results according to the statistical indicators MBE (%) = 0,25%, 0,51% and -0,38% and RMSE (%) = 5,78%, 9,83% and 12,93% for cloudy, partially cloudy and clear skies, respectively. The anisotropic correction model showed to be dependent of the shadowring dimensions, and for a same radius-width relationship, the smaller radius (20cm) and width (5cm) shadowring needed smaller numeric correction than the larger ray (40cm) and width (10cm) one. The anisotropic correction model was applied in the diffuse irradiance measurements obtained with a 5 minutes frequency automated operating system. The algorithm calculated hourly, daily and monthly anisotropic diffuse irradiations and compared to the ones from the reference diffuse ...(Complete abstract, access undermentioned eletronic address).
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Gomes, Eduardo Nardini 1975. "Medidas e modelos de estimativa da radiação direta na incidência / Eduardo Nardini Gomes. -." Botucatu : [s.n.], 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/103457.
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Orientador: João Francisco EscobedoBanca: João Carlos Cury Saad
Banca: Flávio Ferrari Aragon
Banca: Amauri Pereira de Oliveira
Banca: Emerson Galvani
Resumo: A radiação solar direta na incidência é uma fração da radiação solar global e possui aplicações na agronomia, biologia e na engenharia térmica. No trabalho, são descritas a evolução diurna das médias horárias e a evolução anual das médias mensais da radiação direta na incidência, no período de 1996 a 2003, em Botucatu/SP/Brasil. É apresentada ainda a proposta e a validação dos modelos estatísticos de estimativa de Liu & Jordan e Angström, e do modelo de estimativa paramétrico de Linke. A evolução diurna das médias horárias anuais gerou uma equação temporal, com elevado coeficiente de determinação (R2= 0,99867), que permite estimar a radiação direta horária anual, com precisão e exatidão (MBE=1,0%, RMSE=3,7% e d=0,9980). Em função da dependência sazonal, foi proposta a equação de estimativa diurna da média horária mensal com elevados coeficientes de determinação. A evolução anual da média mensal horária gerou uma equação temporal com coeficiente de determinação R2 =0,75, e a validação mostrou bom desempenho nos indicativos estatísticos, superestimando a medida em menos de 1%, causando espalhamento de 6,72% e índice de ajustamento de d=0,9232. Os resultados para o modelo Liu & Jordan mostram que: a equação de estimativa horária, polinomial de 2 quarta ordem, com R2= 0,99815, pode estimar ) ( h b K em função de h T K com MBE =- 4,25%, RMSE = 27,60%, e o índice de ajustamento d= 0,972; a equação de estimativa diária, polinomial de quarta ordem, com R2= 0,9060, pode estimar ) ( d b K em função de d T K com: MBE = - 3,42%, RMSE = 18,21%, e d= 0,97; a equação de estimativa mensal é linear, com elevado coeficiente de determinação R2=0,9660, e mostra que m b K pode ser estimada com MBE= 3,21%; RMSE=14,8% e d=0,9149. O modelo de Angström diário mostra que, a correlação d b K x N n / não é linear... (Resumo completo, clicar acesso eletrônico abaixo).
Abstract: The direct solar radiation is a fraction of the global solar radiation and it has applications in the agronomy, biology and in the thermal engineering. This work describes the diurnal evolution of the hourly-averaged and the annual evolution of the monthly-averaged of the direct radiation in the incidence carried out from 1996 to 2003, in Botucatu/SP/Brazil. It's presented the proposal and the validation of the statistical model of Liu & Jordan and Angström, and of the parametric model of Linke. The diurnal evolution of the hourly values of the direct radiation provided a temporary equation, with high coefficient of determination R2 = 0.99867, which allows to esteem with accuracy (MBE=1.0%, RMSE=3.7% and d=0.9980). Because of the seasonal dependence, equations to estimate diurnal evolution of the hourly monthly average values of the direct radiation were proposed, with high determination coefficients. The annual evolution of the daily monthly average values provided a temporal equation with R2=0.75, and the validation showed good agreement in the statistical indicators, overestimating the measure in less than 1%, scattering in 6.72% with index of agreement of d=0.9232. The Liu & Jordan's model to estimate the hourly values of the direct radiation is a polynomial equation of fourth order, with the following statistical results: R2 = 0.99815, MBE = -4.25%, RMSE = 27.60%, and d = 0.972; The Liu & Jordan's model to estimate the daily values is a polynomial equation of fourth order too, with the following statistical results: MBE = - 3.42%, RMSE = 18.21%, and d = 0.97; The Liu & Jordan's model to estimate the monthly values is the first order (R2=0.9660), with the following statistical results: MBE=3.21%; RMSE=14.8% and d=0.9149. The Angström's model to estimate daily values showed that the dependence is not linear between b K and N n /... (Complete abstract, click electronic address below).
Doutor
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Oliveira, Leuda da Silva. "Estimativa da radiação solar direta na incidência nas partições instantânea, horária e diária a partir da radiação solar global /." Botucatu : [s.n.], 2001. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/90720.
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Orientador: João Francisco EscobedoBanca: Dinival Martins
Banca: Roberto Naves Domingues
Resumo : A partir de uma base de dados das radiações solar global e direta na incidência, desenvolveu-se no presente trabalho modelos de estimativas da radiação solar direta da incidência a partir da radiação solar global para as partições de tempo instantânea, horária e diária. Foi também equacionado o coeficiente de atenuação da radiação solar direta ela atmosfera (K) em função do índice de claridade (K). Os modelos foram gerados a partir da função logística modificada de Boltzmann, no período de março/96 a fevereiro/98, e a mensal e anual no período de março/98 a fevereiro/99, para as três partições de , obtendo-se as equações: o j 0, -0,85 2 para a partição mstantanea -* Kb = 1+eKt_O5SO95/OO7455 + 0,85, com R =0,804, II 0,00002-0,89999 2 para a partição horária -* Kb = 1 +eKt_O59228/OIO364 + 0,89999, com R =0,816 e para a partição diária -* K = 1 + et°,0"°°8185 + 0,97, com R20,987.Na validação mensal dos modelos, obteve-se uma correlação de Kb em função de K de 95,1% a 98,8% para a partição instantânea; 85,5% a 96,7% para a partição horária, de 74,2% a 96,9% para a partição diária. Na validação anual do modelo obteve-se uma correlação de 97,4% para a partição instantânea, de 98,7% para a partição horária e de 96,9% para a partição diária, sendo que quando se defiuiiu o intervalo de O
Mestre
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Kandasamy, Sivasathivel. "Leaf Area Index (LAI) monitoring at global scale : improved definition, continuity and consistency of LAI estimates from kilometric satellite observations." Phd thesis, Université d'Avignon, 2013. http://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-00967319.
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Monitoring biophysical variables at a global scale over long time periods is vital to address the climatechange and food security challenges. Leaf Area Index (LAI) is a structure variable giving a measure of the canopysurface for radiation interception and canopy-atmosphere interactions. LAI is an important variable in manyecosystem models and it has been recognized as an Essential Climate Variable. This thesis aims to provide globaland continuous estimates of LAI from satellite observations in near-real time according to user requirements to beused for diagnostic and prognostic evaluations of vegetation state and functioning. There are already someavailable LAI products which show however some important discrepancies in terms of magnitude and somelimitations in terms of continuity and consistency. This thesis addresses these important issues. First, the nature ofthe LAI estimated from these satellite observations was investigated to address the existing differences in thedefinition of products. Then, different temporal smoothing and gap filling methods were analyzed to reduce noiseand discontinuities in the time series mainly due to cloud cover. Finally, different methods for near real timeestimation of LAI were evaluated. Such comparison assessment as a function of the level of noise and gaps werelacking for LAI.Results achieved within the first part of the thesis show that the effective LAI is more accurately retrievedfrom satellite data than the actual LAI due to leaf clumping in the canopies. Further, the study has demonstratedthat multi-view observations provide only marginal improvements on LAI retrieval. The study also found that foroptimal retrievals the size of the uncertainty envelope over a set of possible solutions to be approximately equal tothat in the reflectance measurements. The results achieved in the second part of the thesis found the method withlocally adaptive temporal window, depending on amount of available observations and Climatology as backgroundestimation to be more robust to noise and missing data for smoothing, gap-filling and near real time estimationswith satellite time series.
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Hee, Sonke. "Computational Bayesian techniques applied to cosmology." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2018. https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/273346.
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This thesis presents work around 3 themes: dark energy, gravitational waves and Bayesian inference. Both dark energy and gravitational wave physics are not yet well constrained. They present interesting challenges for Bayesian inference, which attempts to quantify our knowledge of the universe given our astrophysical data. A dark energy equation of state reconstruction analysis finds that the data favours the vacuum dark energy equation of state $w {=} -1$ model. Deviations from vacuum dark energy are shown to favour the super-negative ‘phantom’ dark energy regime of $w {< } -1$, but at low statistical significance. The constraining power of various datasets is quantified, finding that data constraints peak around redshift $z = 0.2$ due to baryonic acoustic oscillation and supernovae data constraints, whilst cosmic microwave background radiation and Lyman-$\alpha$ forest constraints are less significant. Specific models with a conformal time symmetry in the Friedmann equation and with an additional dark energy component are tested and shown to be competitive to the vacuum dark energy model by Bayesian model selection analysis: that they are not ruled out is believed to be largely due to poor data quality for deciding between existing models. Recent detections of gravitational waves by the LIGO collaboration enable the first gravitational wave tests of general relativity. An existing test in the literature is used and sped up significantly by a novel method developed in this thesis. The test computes posterior odds ratios, and the new method is shown to compute these accurately and efficiently. Compared to computing evidences, the method presented provides an approximate 100 times reduction in the number of likelihood calculations required to compute evidences at a given accuracy. Further testing may identify a significant advance in Bayesian model selection using nested sampling, as the method is completely general and straightforward to implement. We note that efficiency gains are not guaranteed and may be problem specific: further research is needed.
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Dal, Pai Alexandre 1974. "Anisotropia da irradiância solar difusa medida pelo método de sombreamento Melo-Escobedo : fatores de correção anisotrópicos e modelos de estimativa /." Botucatu : [s.n.], 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/101722.
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Orientador: João Franscisco EscobedoBanca: Luiz Roberto Angelocci
Banca: Paulo Ademar Martins Leal
Banca: Roberto Vicente Calheiros
Banca: Augusto José Pereira Filho
Resumo: No presente trabalho é apresentado um modelo de correção anisotrópico para radiação difusa medida com anel de sombreamento Melo-Escobedo (ME) em função do índice de claridade (razão da radiação global pela extraterrestre). São propostos ainda dois modelos estatísticos da fração difusa isotrópica ( ) e anisotrópica ( ) em função do índice de claridade na estimativa das irradiações horária, diária e mensal. A base de dados das radiações global, direta na incidência e difusa medida pelo anel de sombreamento ME utilizada compreende o período de 1996 a 2002 monitorada pelo Laboratório de Radiometria Solar da UNESP/Botucatu/SP. O modelo de correção anisotrópico, obtido a partir das irradiâncias difusa medida pelo anel de sombreamento Melo-Escobedo (raio 40cm e largura 10cm) e medida pelo método da diferença (referência), considerou três intervalos discretos de por meio de três equações: (0 < < 0,30 - nublado); (0,30 < < 0,65 - parcialmente nublado); e (0,65 < < 1 - aberto). O modelo anisotrópico foi validado comparando-se a irradiância difusa anisotrópica estimada com a irradiância difusa de referência numa base de dados independente, mostrando bons resultados conforme os indicativos estatísticos MBE(%) = 0,25%, 0,51% e -0,38% e RMSE(%)= 5,78%, 9,83% e 12,93% para as coberturas de céu nublado, parcialmente nublado e aberto, respectivamente...(Resumo completo, clicar acesso eletrônico abaixo).
Abstract: The present work presents an anisotropic correction model as a function of the clearness index (global/extraterrestrian radiation) for the diffuse radiation measurements with the Melo-Escobedo (ME) shadowring. Two statistical estimate models for the isotropic ( ) and anisotropic ( ) diffuse fraction as a function of clearness index are also proposed to estimate the hourly, daily and monthly diffuse irradiations. The global, diffuse measured by the shadowring ME and the direct radiations measurements were provided by the Laboratory of Solar Radiometry of UNESP/Botucatu/SP in the period from 1996 to 2002. The anisotropic correction model, obtained from the comparison between the diffuse irradiance measured by the Melo-Escobedo shadowring (radius of 40cm and width of 10cm) and the diffuse irradiance measured by the difference method (reference), considered three discreet intervals, with three equations: (0 < <0,30 - cloudy); (0,30 < <0,65 - partially cloudy); and (0,65 < <1 - clear). The anisotropic correction model was validated through the comparison of the anisotropic diffuse irradiance and the reference diffuse irradiance with an independent database, showing good results according to the statistical indicators MBE (%) = 0,25%, 0,51% and -0,38% and RMSE (%) = 5,78%, 9,83% and 12,93% for cloudy, partially cloudy and clear skies, respectively. The anisotropic correction model showed to be dependent of the shadowring dimensions, and for a same radius-width relationship, the smaller radius (20cm) and width (5cm) shadowring needed smaller numeric correction than the larger ray (40cm) and width (10cm) one. The anisotropic correction model was applied in the diffuse irradiance measurements obtained with a 5 minutes frequency automated operating system. The algorithm calculated hourly, daily and monthly anisotropic diffuse irradiations and compared to the ones from the reference diffuse ...(Complete abstract, access undermentioned eletronic address).
Doutor
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Bosi, Cristiam. "Parameterization and evaluation of mechanistic crop models for estimating Urochloa brizantha cv. BRS Piatã productivity under full sun and in silvopastoral system." Universidade de São Paulo, 2018. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/11/11152/tde-15052018-142008/.
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Silvopastoral systems are a kind of agroforestry system in which trees or shrubs are combined with animals and pastures. Silvopastoral systems are important to intensify pasture production and mitigate climate change effects. However, very few studies have been performed to adapt crop models to simulate these systems. The aim of this study was to parameterize and test the mechanistic crop models APSIM and CROPGRO for estimating Urochloa brizantha cv. BRS Piatã productivity under full sun and in a silvopastoral system, to evaluate the models\' performance to simulate tree-crop interactions, and to develop tools to improve these simulations. For this purpose, four field experiments were conducted under full sun to investigate cutting management under irrigated and rainfed conditions and grazing management under rainfed conditions with high and low N supply. Another experiment was carried out in a silvopastoral system with the trees arranged in simple rows, in East-West orientation, with 15 m between rows and 2 m between plants in the rows. This experiment was conducted under grazing management and rainfed conditions with the pasture variables, microclimate and soil water content being assessed at four distances from the North row (0.00 m, 3.75 m, 7.50 m and 11.25 m). The forage mass simulations for the pasture at full sun, performed using the APSIM-Tropical Pasture model, showed good agreement between observed and estimated data (R2 between 0.82 and 0.97, d between 0.92 and 0.98, and NSE ranging from 0.72 to 0.92), while the simulations with the CROPGRO-Perennial Forage model achieved good precision (R2 between 0.65 and 0.93) and good accuracy (d from 0.86 to 0.97, and NSE from 0.60 to 0.90), for the various managements and environmental conditions. Even considering the promising performance of both models for pastures under full sun, they already needs to be tested in other locations, climate conditions, soils, and grazing or cutting intensities, to prove its accuracy and reach enough confidence. The pasture growth simulations at the silvopastoral system indicated that the APSIM-Tropical Pasture was efficient when only competition by solar radiation was considered (R2 from 0.69 to 0.88, d from 0.90 to 0.96, and NSE between 0.51 and 0.85), but inefficient when considering only competition by soil water (R2 between 0.58 and 0.85, d between 0.58 and 0.82, and NSE from -4.07 to -0.14). The CROPGRO-Perennial Forage achieved good performance on pasture growth simulation at the distances 0.00 m, 3.75 m, and 7.50 m from the trees (R2 from 0.75 to 0.90, d from 0.93 to 0.96, NSE between 0.74 and 0.85). Despite the good results, improvements should be performed in both models for simulating all factors that affect forage growth in silvopastoral systems.Os sistemas silvipastoris são um tipo de sistema agroflorestal em que árvores ou arbustos são combinados com animais e pastagens. Os sistemas silvipastoris são importantes para a intensificação de pastagens e para a mitigação dos efeitos das mudanças climáticas. Entretanto, poucos estudos vêm sendo realizados visando à adaptação de modelos para a simulação desses sistemas. O objetivo desse estudo foi parametrizar e testar os modelos mecanísticos APSIM e CROPGRO para estimar a produtividade de Urochloa brizantha cv. BRS Piatã a pleno sol e em um sistema silvipastoril, avaliar o desempenho dos modelos para simular as interações árvore-pastagem e desenvolver ferramentas para aprimorar tais simulações. Para isso, foram conduzidos quatro experimentos de campo, a pleno sol, para avaliar diferentes manejos da pastagem: corte, em irrigado e sequeiro; e pastejo, em sequeiro e com alto ou baixo suprimento de nitrogênio. Outro experimento foi conduzido em um sistema silvipastoril com as árvores arranjadas em renques simples, com orientação Leste-Oeste, com espaçamento de 15 m entre renques e 2 m entre plantas nos renques. Esse experimento foi conduzido sob pastejo e em sequeiro, com avaliações das variáveis da pastagem, microclima e água no solo em quatro distâncias em relação ao renque Norte (0,00 m; 3,75 m; 7,50 m and 11,25 m). As estimativas de massa de forragem a pleno sol, realizadas com o modelo APSIM-Tropical Pasture, apresentaram boa concordância entre os dados observados e os estimados (R2 entre 0,82 e 0,97, d entre 0,92 e 0,98 e NSE de 0,72 a 0,92), enquanto que, as estimativas geradas pelo modelo CROPGRO-Perennial Forage alcançaram boa precisão (R2 entre 0,65 e 0,93) e boa exatidão (d entre 0,86 e 0,97 e NSE de 0,60 a 0,90), para os diferentes manejos e condições ambientais. Mesmo considerando o desempenho promissor de ambos os modelos para simular pastagens a pleno sol, para confirmar a acurácia e a eficiência destes, são necessários testes em outros locais, condições climáticas, tipos de solo e intensidades de corte ou pastejo. As simulações do crescimento da pastagem no sistema silvipastoril indicaram que o modelo APSIM-Tropical Pasture, foi eficiente quando somente a competição por radiação solar foi considerada (R2 de 0,69 a 0,88, d entre 0,90 e 0,96 e NSE de 0,51 a 0,85), mas ineficiente quando somente a competição por água no solo foi considerada (R2 entre 0,58 e 0,85, d entre 0,58 e 0,82 e NSE de -4,07 a -0,14). O modelo CROPGRO-Perennial Forage atingiu bom desempenho na simulação do crescimento da pastagem para as distâncias 0,00 m, 3,75 m e 7,50 m em relação às árvores (R2 de 0,75 a 0,90, d entre 0,93 e 0,96, NSE de 0,74 a 0,85). Apesar dos bons resultados, ambos os modelos devem ser melhorados para simular todos os fatores que afetam o crescimento de pastagens em sistemas silvipastoris.
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Silva, Romilson Ferreira da. "Mapeamento da estimativa do saldo de radiação instantânea no médio são francisco com base em sensores remotos e o modelo de elevação digital." Universidade Federal de Alagoas, 2010. http://repositorio.ufal.br/handle/riufal/880.
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The presented work aimed to estimate the balance of instantaneous radiation to Earth surface, through TM Landsat 5 images, making use of SEBAL algorithm in two situation: a) considering the Digital Elevation Model (DEM) and b) not considering the Digital Elevation Model (DEM). The studied area is located in the Brazil s northeast semi arid, between the states of Alagoas and Sergipe, region where São Francisco River borders both states. The used images are composed by seven spectral bands, concerning January 17, 1987; October 17, 1999 and December 07, 2006, at orbit 215 and point 67. It was verified that the estimated values of surface albedo were higher when estimated with the Digital Elevation Method. Presenting values between 3,94 % and 31,50% in 01/17/1987; 4,87 % and 44,81 % in 10/17/1999; and 3,62 % and 41,42 % in 12/07/2006, values estimated with DEM. Without DEM the values estimated for albedo were between 3,90 % and 30,47 % in 01/17/1987; 4,80 % and 41,00 % in 10/17/1999; and 2,95 % and 39,60 % in 12/07/2006. The Normalized Difference Vegetaion Index (NDVI) didn t presented significant difference between the presented methods. Also, the estimated surface temperature didn t presented considerable variation. It was verified that the estimated values of Leaf Area Index (LAI) were higher when estimated with the Digital Elevation Method. Presenting values between for maximum values 1,37; 1,73 and 1,45 in 01/17/1987, 17/10/1999 e 12/07/2006, respectively, Without DEM the values estimated for LAI were between 0,94; 1,55 and 1,38 in 01/17/1987; 10/17/1999 and 12/07/2006, respectively. For the surface radiation balance instantaneous values, big differences were observed: values between 435,73 W/m² and 822,08 W/m2 for 01/17/1987; 384,19 W/m2 to 890,11 W/m2 for 10/17/1999 and 387,20 to 899,59 W/m² for 12/07/2006, obtained with DEM. The surface radiation balance values without DEM were: 424,98 W/m2 to 711,88 W/m2 for 01/17/1987; 402,10 W/m2 to 795,58 W/m2 for 10/17/1999 and 398,54 to 842,86 W/m2 for 12/07/2006. The estimated results for the instantaneous radiation balance, obtained with the SEBAL algorithm, considering the Digital Elevation Method, where higher than the values obtained without DEM. This show the importance of comparatives studies with DEM. Key-words: Radiation Balance, Digital Elevation Model, SEBAL.Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
Este trabalho teve por objetivo estimar o saldo de radiação instantânea à superfície terrestre, através de imagens do TM-Landsat 5, fazendo uso do algoritmo SEBAL em duas situações: a) com o Modelo de Elevação Digital (MED) e b) sem o MED. A área estudada está localizada no semi-árido nordestino brasileiro, entre os Estados de Alagoas e Sergipe, região onde o Rio São Francisco faz a divisa entre os dois estados. As imagens são compostas por sete bandas espectrais e referem-se aos dias 17 de janeiro de 1987, 17 de outubro de 1999 e 07 de dezembro de 2006, na órbita 215 e ponto 67. Verificou-se que os valores estimados do albedo da superfície foram maiores quando estimados com o MED, apresentando valores entre 3,94 % a 31,5 % para 17/01/1987; 4,87 % a 44,81 % para 17/10/1999 e 3,62 % a 41,42 % para 07/12/2006. Os valores estimados sem o MED foram: 3,90 % a 30,47 % para 17/01/1987; 4,80 % a 41,00% para 17/10/1999 e 2,95 % a 39,60 para 07/12/2006. O Índice de Vegetação da Diferença Normalizada (IVDN) não apresentou diferenças significativas entre os métodos apresentados. Também os valores estimados para a temperatura da superfície não apresentaram variações para as duas situações propostas. Foram obtidos maiores valores de Índice de Área Foliar (IAF) quando considerado o Modelo de Elevação Digital, os valores máximos foram: 1,37; 1,73 e 1,45 para 17/01/1987, 17/10/1999 e 07/12/2006, respectivamente, valores estes obtidos com ouso do MED, quando não utilizado o MED os máximos estimados foram: 0,94; 1,55 e 1,38, para 17/01/1987, 17/10/1999 e 07/12/2006, respectivamente. Os valores médios também apresentaram desvios: 0,30; 0,22 e 0,18 com o MED para 17/01/1987, 17/10/1999 e 07/12/2006, respectivamente, enquanto as médias sem o MED foram: 0,29; 0,20 e 0,17. Constataram-se grandes diferenças nos valores instantâneos do saldo de radiação à superfície: 435,73 W/m2 e 822,08 W/m2 para o dia 17/01/1987; 384,19 W/m2 e 890,11 W/m2 para o dia 17/10/1999; 387,20 W/m2 e 899,59 W/m2 para o dia 07/12/2006, valores estes obtidos aplicando o MED. As estimativas sem o MED foram: 424,98 W/m2 e 711,88 W/m2 para o dia 17/01/1987; 402,10 W/m2 e 795,58 W/m2 para o dia 17/10/1999; 398,54 W/m2 e 842,86 W/m2 para 07/12/2006. Isto mostra a importância de estudos comparativos realizados com o MED.
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Jiang, Jingyi. "Retrieving leaf and canopy characteristics from their radiative properties using physically based models : from laboratory to satellite observations Estimation of leaf traits from reflectance measurements: comparison between methods based on vegetation indices and several versions of the PROSPECT model a model of leaf optical properties accounting for the differences between upper and lower faces Speeding up 3D radiative transfer simulations: a physically based approximation of canopy reflectance dependency on wavelength, leaf biochemical composition and soil reflectance Effective GAI for crops is best estimated from reflectance observations as compared to GAI and LAI Optimal learning for GAI and chlorophyll estimation from 1D and 3D radiative transfer model inversion: the case of wheat and maize crops observed by Sentinel2." Thesis, Avignon, 2019. http://www.theses.fr/2019AVIG0708.
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La mesure des caractéristiques des feuilles et du couvert végétal par télédétection est un moyen efficace et non destructif d’effectuer un suivi des cultures, que ce soit pour la prise de décision dans la gestion d’itinéraires techniques an agriculture de précision ou pour le phénotypage au champ pour améliorer l'efficacité de la sélection variétale. Grâce à l’augmentation de la puissance de calcul des machines et à la disponibilité croissante d'images à haute résolution spatiale, les méthodes d’estimation peuvent maintenant bénéficier de simulations plus précises des modèles de transfert radiatif (RT) dans la végétation. L'objectif de ce travail est de proposer et d'évaluer des moyens efficaces pour estimer les caractéristiques des feuilles et du couvert végétal à partir d'observations rapprochées ou de télédétection en utilisant des modèles RT basés sur une description réaliste de la structure des feuilles et du couvert. Au niveau des feuilles, nous avons d'abord évalué la capacité des différentes versions du modèle PROSPECT à estimer des variables biochimiques comme la chlorophylle (Cab), la teneur en eau et en matière sèche. Nous avons ensuite proposé le modèle FASPECT pour décrire les différences de propriétés optiques entre les faces supérieure et inférieure des feuilles en considérant un système à quatre couches. Après avoir étalonné les coefficients d'absorption spécifiques des principaux constituants de la feuille, nous avons validé FASPECT sur 8 jeux de données. Nous avons montré que les spectres de réflectance et de transmittance des deux faces sont simulés avec une très bonne précision, et même meilleure que PROSPECT pour la face supérieure. De même, en mode inverse, les performances d'estimation de la teneur en matière sèche sont considérablement améliorées avec FASPECT par rapport à PROSPECT, et restent du même ordre de grandeur pour la chlorophylle et l’eau. Au niveau du couvert végétal, nous avons utilisé le simulateur de rendu physique réaliste LuxCoreRender pour calculer le transfert radiatif à partir d'une description 3D de l’architecture de la culture. Nous avons d’abord vérifié ses bonnes performances par comparaison aux modèles 3D les plus récents en utilisant ROMC (RAMI On Line Model Checker). Afin d’accélérer les simulations, nous avons développé une méthode qui repose sur l’utilisation d’un nombre limité de propriétés optiques du sol et des feuilles. Pour estimer les variables d'état du couvert végétal (indice de surface verte, GAI, contenu en chlorophylle du couvert (CCC) ou des feuilles (Cab), nous avons ensuite entrainé des algorithmes d’apprentissage automatique à partir de bases de données « culture spécifique » simulées avec LuxCoreRender pour le blé et le maïs et d’une base de données générique simulée avec le modèle 1D PROSAIL de transfert radiatif. Les résultats sur des simulations et sur des données in situ combinés aux images SENTINEL2 ont montré que les algorithmes spécifiques aux cultures surpassent les algorithmes génériques pour les trois variables, en particulier lorsque la structure du couvert s’éloigne de l'hypothèse 1D du milieu turbide, comme dans le cas du maïs où la structure en rang domine pendant toute une partie de la saison de croissanceMeasuring leaf and canopy characteristics from remote sensing acquisitions is an effective and non destructive way to monitor crops both for decision making within the smart agriculture practices or for phenotyping under field conditions to improve the selection efficiency. With the advancement of computer computing power and the increasing availability of high spatial resolution images, retrieval methods can now benefit from more accurate simulations of the Radiative Transfer (RT) models within the vegetation. The objective of this work is to propose and evaluate efficient ways to retrieve leaf and canopy characteristics from close and remote sensing observations by using RT models based on a realistic description of the leaf and canopy structures. At the leaf level, we first evaluated the ability of the different versions of the PROSPECT model to estimate biochemical variables like chlorophyll (Cab), water and dry matter content. We then proposed the FASPECT model to describe the optical properties differences between the upper and lower leaf faces by considering a four-layer system. After calibrating the specific absorption coefficients of the main absorbing material, we validated FASPECT against eight measured ground datasets. We showed that FASPECT simulates accurately the reflectance and transmittance spectra of the two faces and overperforms PROSPECT for the upper face measurements. Moreover, in the inverse mode, the dry matter content estimation is significantly improved with FASPECT as compared to PROSPECT. At the canopy level, we used the physically based and unbiased rendering engine, LuxCoreRender to compute the radiative transfer from a realistic 3D description of the crop structure. We checked its good performances by comparison with the state of the art 3D RT models using the RAMI online model checker. Then, we designed a speed-up method to simulate canopy reflectance from a limited number of soil and leaf optical properties. Based on crop specific databases simulated from LuxCoreRender for wheat and maize and crop generic databases simulated from a 1D RT model, we trained some machine learning inversion algorithms to retrieve canopy state variables like Green Area Index GAI, Cab and Canopy Chlorophyll Content (CCC). Results on both simulations and in situ data combined with SENTINEL2 images showed that crop specific algorithms outperform the generic one for the three variables, especially when the canopy structure breaks the 1D turbid medium assumption such as in maize where rows are dominant during a significant part of the growing season
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Hay, Timothy Deane. "MAX-DOAS measurements of bromine explosion events in McMurdo Sound, Antarctica." Thesis, University of Canterbury. Physics and Astronomy, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/10092/5394.
Full textAbstract:
Reactive halogen species (RHS) are responsible for ozone depletion and oxidation of gaseous elemental mercury and dimethyl sulphide in the polar boundary layer, but the sources and mechanisms controlling their catalytic reaction cycles are still not completely understood. To further investigate these processes, ground– based Multi–Axis Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy (MAX-DOAS)
observations of boundary layer BrO and IO were made from a portable instrument platform in McMurdo Sound during the Antarctic spring of 2006 and 2007. Measurements of surface ozone, temperature, pressure, humidity, and wind speed and direction were also made, along with fourteen tethersonde soundings and the collection of snow samples for mercury analysis.
A spherical multiple scattering Monte Carlo radiative transfer model (RTM) was developed for the simulation of box-air-mass-factors (box-AMFs), which are used to determine the weighting functions and forward model differential slant column densities (DSCDs) required for optimal estimation. The RTM employed the backward adjoint simulation technique for the fast calculation of box-AMFs
for specific solar zenith angles (SZA) and MAX-DOAS measurement geometries. Rayleigh and Henyey-Greenstein scattering, ground topography and reflection, refraction, and molecular absorption by multiple species were included. Radiance and box-AMF simulations for MAX-DOAS measurements were compared with nine other RTMs and showed good agreement.
A maximum a posteriori (MAP) optimal estimation algorithm was developed to retrieve trace gas concentration profiles from the DSCDs derived from the DOAS analysis of the measured absorption spectra. The retrieval algorithm was validated by performing an inversion of artificial DSCDs, simulated from known NO2 profiles. Profiles with a maximum concentration near the ground were generally well reproduced, but the retrieval of elevated layers was less accurate. Retrieved partial vertical column densities (VCDs) were similar to the known values, and investigation of the averaging kernels indicated that these were the most reliable retrieval product. NO₂ profiles were also retrieved from measurements made at an NO₂ measurement and profiling intercomparison campaign in Cabauw, Netherlands in July 2009.
Boundary layer BrO was observed on several days throughout both measurement periods in McMurdo Sound, with a maximum retrieved surface mixing ratio of 14.4±0.3 ppt. The median partial VCDs up to 3km were 9.7±0.07 x 10¹² molec cm ⁻ in 2007, with a maximum of 2.3±0.07 x 10¹³ molec cm⁻², and 7.4±0.06 x 10¹² molec cm⁻² in 2006, with a maximum of 1.05 ± 0.07 x 1013 molec cm⁻². The median mixing ratio of 7.5±0.5 ppt for 2007 was significantly higher than
the median of 5.2±0.5 ppt observed in 2006, which may be related to the more extensive first year sea ice in 2007. These values are consistent with, though lower than estimated boundary layer BrO concentrations at other polar coastal sites. Four out of five observed partial ozone depletion events (ODEs) occurred during strong winds and blowing snow, while BrO was present in the boundary layer in
both stormy and calm conditions, consistent with the activation of RHS in these two weather extremes. Air mass back trajectories, modelled using the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model, indicated that the events were locally produced rather than transported from other sea ice zones. Boundary layer IO mixing ratios of 0.5–2.5±0.2 ppt were observed on several days. These values are low compared to measurements at Halley and Neumayer Stations, as well as mid-latitudes. Significantly higher total mercury concentrations observed in 2007 may be related to the higher boundary layer BrO
concentrations, but further measurements are required to verify this.
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Sron, Seng thail. "Algorithmes intelligents de pilotages d'antennes reconfigurables à partir de données en bande de base pour la norme LTE." Thesis, Limoges, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015LIMO0138.
Full textAbstract:
Le développement des antennes modales, qui sont des antennes actives reconfigurables en diagramme de rayonnement mais pas en réseaux, a commencé pour pouvoir implémenter le dépointage électronique dans les téléphones portables. Cette solution est généralement réalisée par un réseau d’antennes, ce qui est très difficile, voire impossible, dans un téléphone portable. Le dépointage permettrait d’améliorer le bilan de liaison et d’augmenter le débit des données.Le premier objectif de cette thèse est donc de développer des antennes modales pour la norme LTE. Trois concepts d’antennes modales ont été présentés. Le premier est une antenne de type « folded loop » active reconfigurable par permutation des points d’alimentation et de retour à la masse. Le deuxième propose une architecture pour rassembler l’antenne principale et l’antenne diversité en bas du téléphone, tout en supportant le MIMO et l’agrégation de porteuses, deux des spécificités de la LTE. Le dernier optimise l’utilisation de la seconde antenne des systèmes LTE MIMO pour procéder au dépointage électronique.Ces antennes modales ne peuvent délivrer leur réel potentiel qu’en étant utilisées avec un algorithme de pilotage, qui choisira la configuration ou le mode approprié(e) à la situation. Le second objectif de cette thèse est donc le développement d’algorithmes intelligents de pilotage d’antennes modales. Le premier algorithme développé et breveté par la société Ethertronics a la particularité de prédire à chaque instant quel sera le meilleur mode à l’instant suivant, à l’aide de données en bande de base pour la LTE. Le second algorithme est déterministe et permet d’estimer et de suivre la direction d’arrivée du signal. Il sélectionne ensuite le mode qui possède le meilleur gain dans cette direction, dans le but d’améliorer le bilan de liaisonThe development of modal antennas which are radiation pattern reconfigurable active antennas, but not arrays, started in order to implement beam forming in cellphones. This solution is generally made with an antenna array, which is very difficult, even impossible, in a mobile phone. Beam forming could improve the link budget and increase the data rate. The first aim of this thesis is the development of modal antennas for LTE standard. Three modal antennas concepts were presented. The first one is a reconfigurable “folded loop” active antenna by permutation of feed and ground points. The second one is a solution to gather the main and the diversity antenna in the bottom part of the phone, and to support MIMO and carrier aggregation, which are two features of LTE. The last one optimizes the use of the second antenna in LTE MIMO systems in order to perform beam forming. These modal antennas will provide their real potential only by being used by a driving algorithm which will choose the best mode or configuration according to the situation. So, the second aim of this thesis is the development of smart modal antenna driving algorithms. The first algorithm, developed and patented by Ethertronics, has the specificity to predict, at each moment, which mode will be the best for the next moment, by using baseband data for LTE. The second algorithm is deterministic and can estimate and track the direction of arrival of the signal. Then, it selects the mode which has the best gain in this direction in order to improve the link budget
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Duthoit, Sylvie. "Prise en compte de l'agrégation des cultures dans la simulation du transfert radiatif : importance pour l'estimation de l'indice foliaire (LAI), de la parcelle au paysage." Toulouse 3, 2006. http://www.theses.fr/2006TOU30230.
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L'indice foliaire (LAI) est une variable clé pour l'étude du fonctionnement des surfaces végétales car elle conditionne les échanges de carbone et d'eau avec l'atmosphère. Les méthodes de mesures indirectes fournissent des estimations de LAI à partir de mesures de la fraction de trou in situ. Les méthodes d'estimation du LAI par inversion de modèle de réflectance à partir de données satellitaires utilisent généralement des modèles unidimensionnels car ils nécessitent peu de paramètres d'entrée. Dans les deux cas, les modèles reposent sur l'hypothèse que les éléments sont distribués de façon aléatoire au sein du couvert, ce qui est rarement le cas en réalité. Dans ce contexte, le travail réalisé a pour objectif principal d'évaluer l'apport de l'utilisation d'un coefficient d'agrégation dans la simulation du transfert radiatif de couverts végétaux hétérogènes, en vue d'améliorer les estimations de LAI par inversion de modèles turbides. Dans la première partie du travail, nous avons évalué les estimations de LAI fournies par le logiciel de traitement de photographies hémisphériques CAN_EYE, dont l'intérêt principal est d'estimer le LAI avec ou sans prise en compte de l'agrégation des feuilles. L'évaluation a été réalisée par comparaison avec des mesures destructives effectuées sur des cultures de blé, maïs et tournesol. Les résultats montrent que l'utilisation d'un coefficient d‘agrégation permet d'améliorer sensiblement les estimations de LAI. Toutefois, l'analyse suggère que le calcul du coefficient d'agrégation dans CAN_EYE avec la méthode de Lang et Xiang (1986) doit être amélioré. Dans la deuxième partie du travail, nous avons analysé si l'introduction d'un coefficient d'agrégation dans un modèle de réflectance unidimensionnel permettait d'améliorer les simulations de la réflectance bidirectionnelle (FDRB), à l'échelle de la parcelle et du paysage. Pour cela, nous avons pris comme référence des simulations de FDRB issues d'un modèle 3D, le modèle DART (Gastellu et al. , 1996). A l'échelle de la parcelle, nous avons montré l'intérêt du coefficient d'agrégation pour simuler la FDRB d'une parcelle de maïs dans la bande spectrale du rouge. Dans le PIR, l'utilisation d'un modèle unidimensionnel donne de meilleurs résultats. A l'échelle d'un paysage agricole, l'hétérogénéité sub-parcellaire semble être le facteur primordial et sa prise en compte avec un coefficient d'agrégation dans le rouge permet d'améliorer les simulations de la FDRB avec un modèle unidimensionnel. Une étude préliminaire a permis de mettre en évidence que les estimations de LAI par inversion pourraient être sensiblement améliorées si ce coefficient est introduit pour simuler la FDRB dans le visibleThe leaf area index (LAI) is a key variable involved in many biophysical processes. Indirect measurements methods provide LAI estimations from in situ gap fraction measurements. Inversion of reflectance models provides LAI estimations from satellite data with high repetitivity on large areas; the models usually used are one-dimensional because few entry parameters are needed. In both cases, these models assume that the foliage elements are randomly distributed, that is not the case in most of the canopies. The main objective of this work is to evaluate if the use of a clumping index in radiative transfer models could improve the simulations for heterogeneous canopies, in order to provide better LAI estimations. In the first part of the work, we evaluate LAI estimations provided by the analysis of hemispherical photographs with the CAN_EYE software; it provides LAI estimations assuming leaves randomly distributed or taking into account the canopy heterogeneity with a clumping index. The evaluation is done by comparison with destructive measurements carried out over wheat, maize and sunflower crops. The main results show that the LAI estimations are improved when using the clumping index, but its calculation with the Lang and Xiang method (1986) must be done with great care according to the species. Possible improvements for its calculation are discussed. The second part of the work concerns the analysis of BRDF simulations at field and landscape scales. Taking BRDF simulations with a 3D model as references (the DART model, Gastellu et al. , 1996), we show first that the use of a clumping index in a one dimensional reflectance model generally improves field BRDF simulations for a maize canopy in the red spectral band. In the near infra red, we have best results when the canopy is considered as homogeneous. At the landscape scale, the changes in agricultural land use seem to be the main factor of heterogeneity and this heterogeneity could be partially taken into account with a clumping factor used to simulate BRDF in the visible spectral band. A preliminary study allows us to conclude that LAI estimations from reflectance models could be improved
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Paiva, Yhasmin Gabriel. "Estimativa do índice de área foliar por métodos óticos e sensoriamento remoto para calibrar modelo ecofisiológico em plantios de eucalipto em áreas de relevo ondulado." Universidade Federal de Viçosa, 2009. http://locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/5282.
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Previous issue date: 2009-07-24Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
The purpose of this study was to estimate the leaf area index (LAI) in eucalyptus forest plantations, using optical instruments and satellite imagery to evaluate the response to the physical and climatic conditions of the study area, and based on these data, calibrate and simulate yields with an ecophysiological growth model. The study was conducted in four eucalyptus stands of two ages in the following two regions: Cocais, at a higher altitude and Rio Doce, at a lower altitude, in the Rio Doce basin, in eastern Minas Gerais. Nine plots were marked in each stand, according to the exposure of the relief surface. The experimental data were collected in August 2008 (dry season) and January 2009 (rainy season). The LAI was estimated by measures of the plant area index (PAI) by the equipment LAI-2000 (LI-COR) and hemispherical photographs. The expression PAI was adopted since these sensors do not measure only the leaf element. The method of destructive analysis was used to check the accuracy of the LAI estimates. Meteorological data were collected at two monitoring stations installed near the stands in each region of the study. The model 3PG (Physiological Principles in Predicting Growth) was run using the parameterization established in previous studies for the same regions. The 3PG was calibrated with vegetation indices (VIs) of the sensor Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). The model simulation was performed based on the corrected global radiation according to the slope and exposure of the relief surface. It was found that the PAI derived from LAI2000 was the indirect method that correlated best with the observed LAI. Eucalyptus responded to climatic seasonality, with lower LAI values in the dry than in the rainy season. The LAI,in the stands at higher altitudes (Cocais) exceeded that of the lower plots (Rio Doce), probably due to the higher evapotranspiration demand in the Rio Doce basin. The incidence of solar radiation on the northern slope surfaces was higher, in agreement with the correction performed for inclined surfaces. On this face, again, higher LAI values were measured in the field and estimated by the model 3PG well as for other estimated variables that express the crop productivity. The results for the inclined areas were not conclusive. Studies should investigate whether the response pattern is repeated in analyses of the influence of the latitude of the site. The estimates of the model 3PG calibrated by the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) agreed well with the observed data and temporal data verified by MODIS-VI.
Este trabalho teve por objetivo estimar o índice de área foliar (IAF) em plantios florestais de eucalipto, utilizando instrumentos óticos e imagens de satélite para se avaliar a resposta frente às condições físico-climáticas presentes na área de estudo e, a partir destes dados, calibrar e simular a produtividade por meio de um modelo ecofisiológico de crescimento. O estudo foi realizado em quatro talhões de plantios de eucalipto em duas diferentes idades presentes em duas regiões: Cocais, de maior altitude e Rio Doce, mais baixa, localizadas na bacia do Rio Doce, leste de Minas Gerais. Foram alocadas nove parcelas em cada talhão, considerando as faces de exposição do relevo. Os dados experimentais foram coletados em agosto de 2008 (período seco) e janeiro de 2009 (período chuvoso). Realizaram-se as estimativas do IAF por meio de medidas de índice de área de planta (IAP) pelos equipamentos LAI- 2000 (LI-COR) e câmera com lentes hemisféricas. Adotou-se a expressão IAP visto que esses sensores não discernem unicamente o elemento foliar em suas medidas. Para verificar a exatidão das estimativas do IAF foi utilizado o método da análise destrutiva. Os dados meteorológicos foram adquiridos por meio de duas estações automáticas instaladas próximas às áreas dos talhões em cada região do estudo. Executou-se o modelo 3PG (Physiological Principles in Predicting Growth) com parametrização realizada em trabalhos anteriores para as mesmas regiões. Foi realizada a calibração do 3PG com índices de vegetação (IV s) do sensor Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). A simulação do modelo foi realizada a partir da radiação global corrigida segundo a inclinação e a face de exposição do terreno. Verificou-se que o IAP obtido com LAI2000 foi o método indireto melhor correlacionado com o IAF observado. O eucalipto respondeu à sazonalidade climática, apresentando menores valores de IAF na época seca em relação à estação chuvosa. O rendimento dos talhões localizados nas maiores altitudes (Cocais) superou os talhões das altitudes mais baixas (Rio Doce) em IAF, provavelmente devido à maior demanda evapotranspirativa presente em Rio Doce. As faces de exposição norte apresentaram maior incidência de radiação solar de acordo com a correção realizada para superfícies inclinadas. Nesta face, também, foram verificados maiores valores de IAF medidos a campo e estimados pelo modelo 3PG bem como para outras variáveis estimadas que expressam a produtividade do plantio. Os resultados para as áreas de relevo inclinado não são conclusivos, devendo ser realizados estudos para verificar se o padrão de resposta obtido se repete analisando a influência da latitude do local. O modelo 3PG calibrado pelo NDVI apresentou boas estimativas pontuais com os dados observados e temporais verificada pelos dados IV s-MODIS.
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Sanghai, Bishnu. "Techno-Economic Evaluation of Rooftop Photovoltaic Systems in the Indian Context." Thesis, 2016. https://etd.iisc.ac.in/handle/2005/4372.
Full textAbstract:
Problems of greenhouse effect and depletion of conventional resources in the last two decades have resulted in a worldwide exponentially growing photovoltaic market for renewable power generation. The Indian government has recently announced a goal of achieving 100 GWe photovoltaic installations by 2022, out of which 40% is to be generated in the rooftop segment, thus making the power generation distributed in nature. This work identifies the different technological configurations for rooftop photovoltaic (RPV) and conducts their techno-economic feasibility analysis from the customer point of view for the development of a sustainable PV market in India.
A comprehensive model is developed for analysing various types of RPV systems taking into account the availability of solar resources, technological options and economic feasibility across the different states of India. Solar resource assessment is made using a clear-sky model brought in line with the recent satellite data using a correction factor. The systems are designed for different capacities ranging from 1 to 2 kWe with different storage capacities. The various PV configurations analysed in this work include a) fixed tilt, b) 2-tilt, c) 3-tilt, d) single-axis tracked, and e) dual-axis tracked, panels. Analysed RPV systems are grid-tied which do bi-directional transactions of energy with the grid to balance excess or shortage of energy as per user’s need. In the economic analysis, it has been assumed that total initial cost of the system installation is obtained through a loan with 100% debt fraction and repaid through equated monthly instalment in 25 years.
Two sets of inputs are introduced in the model, one consisting of geographical variables and another related to economics. The results show that cities lying below the latitudes of Panjim and Raipur also need wall azimuth angle adjustment for a certain period in a year for 2-tilt and 3-tilt system respectively. The percentage of energy gain through single-axis and dual-axis tracker system as compared to fixed tilt system lies in a range of 10% to 29% depending on the location. Through economic analysis, considering 15% of Indian government subsidy over the system cost, comparison of levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for each RPV configuration is made, which articulates that fixed tilt with no storage as the pre-eminent configuration among all studied configurations. Mumbai in Maharashtra resulted in minimum LCOE, i.e. Rs. 5.5/kWhe from the fixed tilt RPV system without storage, which is due to the availability of maximum solar radiation. However, as LCOE does not consider inflation over the grid electricity tariff, to know the economic competitiveness of the system from the long-term perspective, further analysis is conducted with net present value (NPV). To determine the profitability of an RPV installation, the NPV of saving and the Pay-Back Period are found. Through this profitability analysis, majority of the states turned out to be demotivating for the RPV system due to very low electricity tariff; for example, the NPV of Savings is minimal (negative) in Srinagar due to the very low tariff of grid electricity, i.e., Rs. 1.8/kWhe, whereas Kolkata starts showing savings just after 1st year of installation due to grid parity of electricity from the RPV system even with storage capacity up to 1 kWhe. With increase in the battery capacity, the NPV of savings decreases drastically due to higher battery replacement cost and short battery life.
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Adebayo, Sunday Adeniyi. "Empiral Models for Estimation of Clearness Index in Nigeria." Master's thesis, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/10316/97900.
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Documentos apresentados no âmbito do reconhecimento de graus e diplomas estrangeirosKnowledge of clearness index is essential in the design and assessment of solar application systems. Clearness index is the ratio of global solar radiation and extraterrestial solar radiation. However, actual measurements of global solar radiation are generally made only at a few places because of the cost of the equipment required as well as the care, skill and cost needed for its maintenance and re-calibration. Therefore this study is aimed at development of Angstrom-Prescott based empirical regression models for estimation of clearness index values for Nigerian locations based on sunshine duration hour. Ten empirical regression equations (Linear, Quadratic, Compound, Growth, Logarithm, Cubic, S'Exponent, Inverse and Power) were investigated using daily sunshine duration hour data values of 24 ground stations obtained from Nigeria meteorological agency (NIMEF) Oshodi, and averaged monthly values extraterrestial solar radiation Ho obtained from NASA surface meteorology and Solar Energy SSE Satellites dataset from the same period 1983-1993.
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Lockart, Natalie A. "The development of a stochastic solar radiation model and its application in estimating evaporation." Thesis, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/1959.13/1039337.
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Research Doctorate - Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)Global radiation is an important input for evaporation calculations; however, limited measurements exist. Current models for estimating global radiation are deterministic and do not give an estimate of the errors associated with the predicted radiation amounts. In this thesis, five stochastic models are developed to estimate the mean amount and associated uncertainty of global, direct and diffuse radiation from sunshine duration data. The modelled global radiation is used to estimate evaporation amounts using a variety of models, including the Penman-Monteith model, radiation-based models, and temperature-based models. Evaporation estimates are compared to determine the influence of uncertainty in the global radiation estimate on evaporation amounts. The second part of this thesis deals with the relationship between temperature and evaporation, with implications for anthropogenic climate change studies. The influence of temperature on evaporation amounts is analysed using a combination of empirical evaporation models and a more physically-based planetary boundary layer model. The results indicate that global radiation can be accurately estimated using all of the developed radiation models (average error = 9%), when compared with measured data. The variance of the errors is greater for cloudy days compared with clear days. The diffuse radiation component is best modelled using a quadratic model (average error = 22%). The direct radiation component is best modelled using a linear model (average error = 23%). Two types of regional models are also developed to calculate radiation amounts at any location. These models have only a small loss of accuracy compared to the locally calibrated models. While the variance of the errors for the locally calibrated models is shown to be location dependent, these regional models allow for the model parameters and the error variance to be estimated at any location, as there is a statistically significant relationship between the model and error parameters and latitude. The regional models are also comparable in accuracy to satellite estimates of global radiation. It is also found that the uncertainty in global radiation leads to considerable uncertainty in evaporation rates, up to ±31% for the radiation-based models. The locations with greater uncertainty in the radiation estimate have an associated greater uncertainty in the evaporation estimate. Temperature increases are shown to have minor influences on evaporation rates. Soil moisture is the most dominant influence. Consequently, temperature-based models are shown to lead to unreasonable estimates of evaporation when temperatures are increased.
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Hsieh, Ju-Han, and 謝如涵. "On Estimating the Common Mode Radiation from a Cable Attached to a Metallic Enclosure by Using a Dipole Model." Thesis, 2015. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/76802895989321601877.
Full textAbstract:
碩士國立臺灣海洋大學
電機工程學系
103
This thesis proposes a method of predicting the far-field radiation from cables attached to a conducting enclosure at the early stage of the design and development phase without using an EMI chamber. The method combines an equivalent dipole model approximating with sinusoidal current distribution and Common-mode current measurement at some specified locations on the cable. First, we use CST Microwave Studio to simulate the whole setup mentioned above to obtain the far-field radiation as the measurement data and to extract the current distribution on the cable for further analysis. By using the image method, we approximate the conducting enclosure with a cable attached to by a dipole model, and introduce current images to take the ground into account. The proposed model is examined by comparing the field data by CST and that from the far-field integral with the current distribution by CST. In practice, the current distribution along the cable cannot be obtained everywhere, but CM current can be measured at a couple of points by the current probe, and the measured current acts as the amplitude of an assumed sinusoidal distribution. This approach results in simple analytical formulas to evaluate far field components, which greatly reduces time and cost by a full-wave solver or by real measurement in the anechoic chamber.
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Abraha, Michael Ghebrekristos. "Estimating solar radiation for water-use and yield simulations under present and projected future climate using Cropsyst." 2003. http://hdl.handle.net/10413/4136.
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Agricultural scientists are faced with the challenge of producing enough food for the
increasing world population. Hence the need to develop tools for managing soil and plant
systems to increase food production in order to meet the world food demand in the future.
Crop simulation models have become promising tools in predicting yield and related
components fi'om a set of weather, soil, plant and management data inputs. This study
describes the estimation of solar radiant density, a crucial input in crop simulation models;
calibration and validation of a soil-plant growth simulator, CropSyst, for management
purposes; and generation of weather data for assessment of crop production under possible
climate changes in the future.
Daily solar radiant density, an input required by most crop simulation models, is
infiequently observed in many stations. This may prevent application of crop simulation
models for specific locations. Long-term data records of daily minimum and maximum air
temperatures, precipitation, sunshine hours and/or solar radiant density were obtained for
Cedara, Durban, Seven Oaks and Ukulinga in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Solar radiant
density was estimated fi'om sunshine hours using the Angstrom equation and ten other models
that involved daily minimum and maximum air temperatures and/or precipitation along with extratelTestrial radiant density. Coefficients for the Angstrom equation and one of the other ten
models were specifically developed for South African conditions; the remaining models
required fitting coefficients using the available data for all locations. The models were
evaluated using (i) conventional statistics that involved, root mean square elTor (RMSE) along
with its systematic and unsystematic components, slope, intercept, index of agreement (d), and
coefficient of determination (R\ and (ii) a fuzzy expert system that involved a single modular
indicator (Ira d) aggregated from the modules of accuracy (aggregation of the indices relative
RMSE, model efficiency and I-student probability), con'elation (Pearson's correlation
coefficient) and pattem (aggregation of pattem index vs day of year and pattem index vs
minimum air temperature). For each index, two functions describing membership to the fuzzy
subsets Favourable (F) and Unfavourable (V) were defined. The expelt system calculates the
modules according to both the degree of membership and a set of decision rules. Solar radiant
density estimated from sunshine hours for the Durban station resulted in R2
, RMSE (MJ m,2)
and d index of 0.90, 2.32 and 0.97 respectively. In the absence of observed solar radiant
density data, estimations from sunshine hours were used for derivation of coefficients as well
as evaluation of the models. For Durban, the performance of the models was generally poor.
For Cedara, Seven Oakes and Ukulinga two of the models resulted in a high d index and
smallest systematic RMSE. The solar radiant density estimated from each model was also used
as an input to simulate maize grain yields using the soil-plant growth simulator, CropSyst. The
models were ranked according to their ability to simulate grain yields that match those
obtained from using the observed solar radiant density. The rankings according to crop
simulation, conventional statistics and expert system were compared.
The CropSyst model was also evaluated for its ability to simulate crop water-use of fallow
and cropped (oats, Italian ryegrass, rye and maize) plots at Cedara, KwaZulu-Natal, South
Africa. Soil characteristics, initial soil water conditions, irrigation and weather data were
inputted to CropSyst. Crop input parameters for oats, Italian ryegrass and rye were used, with
little modifications, as determined from field experiments conducted at Kromdraai open cast
mine, Mpumalanga province, South Africa. Crop input parameters for maIze were either
determined fi'om field experiments or taken from CropSyst crop input parameters
documentation and adjusted within a narrow specification range of values as dictated by
CropSyst. The findings indicated that CropSyst was generally able to simulate reasonably well the water-use of fallow and cropped (oats, Italian ryegI°ass, rye and maize) plots; leaf area
index and crop evapotranspiration of rye; and grain yield and developmental stages of maize.
The validated CropSyst model was also used to simulate timing and amount of irrigation
water, and investigate incipient water stress in oats, Italian ryegrass and rye.
The CropSyst model was used to investigate potential effects of future climate changes on
the productivity of maize grain yields at Cedara, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. The effect of
planting date (local planting date, a fortnight earlier and a fortnight later) was also included in
the study. A 30-year baseline weather data input series were generated by a stochastic weather
generator, ClimGen, using 30 years of observed weather data (l971 to 2000). The generated
weather data series was compared with the observed for its distributions of daily rainfall and
wet and dry series, monthly total rainfall and its variances, daily and monthly mean and
variance of precipitation, minimum and maximum air temperature, and solar radiant density.
Four months of the year failed to reproduce distributions of wet and dry series, daily
precipitation, and monthly variances of precipitation of the observed weather data series. In
addition, Penman-Monteith reference evaporation (ETa) was calculated using the observed and
generated data series. Cumulative probability function of ETa calculated using the generated
weather data series followed the observed distribution well. Moreover, maize grain yields
were simulated using the generated and observed weather data series with local, a fortnight
earlier and a fortnight later planting dates. The mean simulated grain yields for the respective
planting dates were not statistically different from each other; the grain yields simulated using
the generated weather data had significantly smaller variance than the grain yields simulated
using the observed weather data series. When the generated weather data series was used an
input, the early planting date as compared to the locally practiced and late planting dates
resulted in significantly greater simulated grain yields. The grain yields simulated using the
observed weather data for the early and local planting dates were not statistically different
from each other.
The baseline period was modified by synthesized climate projections to create future
climatic scenarios. The climate changes considered corresponded to doubling of [C02] from
350 to 700 ~t1 ,-I without air temperature and water regime changes, and doubling of [C02]
accompanied by increases in mean air temperature and precipitation changes of 2 (lC and 10%,
2 (le and 20%>, 4 °c and 10%, and 4 (lC and 20% respectively. Solar radiant density was also estimated from daily air temperature range for all scenarios that involved change in mean air
temperature. In addition, input crop parameters of radiation-use and biomass transpiration
efficiencies were modified for maize, in CropSyst, to accommodate changes in elevated levels
of [C02]. Equivalent doubling of [C02], without air temperature or water regime changes,
resulted in increased simulated grain yields as compared to the baseline period. Adding 2 QC to
the mean daily temperature and 10% to the daily precipitation of a [C02] elevated atmosphere
reduced the grain yield but still kept it above the level of the baseline period grain yield.
Adding 4 QC to the mean daily temperature and 10% to the daily precipitation fLllther
decreased the yield. Increasing the daily precipitation by 20% instead of 10% did not change
the simulated grain yield as compared to the 10% increments. Early planting date, for all
scenarios, also resulted in higher yields, but the relative increment in grain yield was higher
for the late planting dates with scenarios that involved increment in mean air temperature. In
general, this study confi1l11ed that doubling of [C02] increases yield but the accompanied
increase in mean air temperature reduces yield.Thesis (M.Sc.)-University of Natal, Pietermaritzburg, 2003.
38
Yang, Ting-Sung, and 楊廷崧. "A Study of Estimating the Common-Mode Radiation from a Cable Attached to a Metallic Box by Using the Simple Dipole Antenna Model." Thesis, 2018. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/c86778.
Full textAbstract:
碩士國立臺灣海洋大學
電機工程學系
106
This thesis proposes a method of predicting the far-field radiation from cables attached to a conducting enclosure at the early stage of the design and development phase without using an EMI chamber. The method combines an equivalent dipole model approximating with sinusoidal current distribution and Common-mode current measurement at some specified locations on the cable. First, we use CST Microwave Studio to simulate the whole setup mentioned above to obtain the far-field radiation as the measurement data and to extract the current distribution on the cable for further analysis. By using the image method, we approximate the conducting enclosure with a cable attached to by a dipole model, and introduce current images to take the ground into account. The proposed model is examined by comparing the field data by CST and that from the far-field integral with the current distribution by CST. At the same time, we also observe the change of CST electric field and far field formula by changing the observation height. In practice, the current distribution along the cable cannot be obtained everywhere, but CM current can be measured at a couple of points by the current probe, and the measured current acts as the amplitude of an assumed sinusoidal distribution. This approach results in simple analytical formulas to evaluate far field components, which greatly reduces time and cost by a semi-anechoic solver or by real measurement in the anechoic chamber. In the model of cable attached to a metallic box to the ground, the resonant-mode electric field value is very close to the CST electric field value. Even if the observation height is changed, the two are also very similar. Detailed formulas will be proposed in this paper.
39
Gerstenmaier, Jan Frank. "Public health implications of medical diagnostic radiation exposure." Diss., 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10500/6085.
Full textAbstract:
Radiation from Computed Tomography (CT) is now the major contributor to population
radiation dose. Despite controversy around the dose-effect relationship of radiation from
CT, the linear non-threshold (LNT) theory is endorsed by many authorities, and
constitutes the basis of cancer risk estimates. The purpose of this study was (1) a
literature review of radiobiological theories, and methods of dose saving stategies in
CT; (2) to highlight the importance of dose saving in CT, and to demonstrate how dose
can be saved in a radiology department: Following a 40% reduction in reference X-ray
tube current for a CT of the urinary tract, the effecitve dose and estimated lifetime
attributable risk of incident cancer due to this CT in a group (n=103) were reduced by
37% and 38% in an age and sex-matched group respectively. The literature review
showed that the public health implications of CT radiation exposure remain uncertain.Health Studies
M.A. (Public Health)