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Journal articles on the topic 'Political risk'

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Published: 4 June 2021
Last updated: 11 March 2023

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1

Clark, Ephraim, and Radu Tunaru. "Emerging Markets: Investing with Political Risk." Multinational Finance Journal 5, no. 3 (September 1, 2001): 155–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.17578/5-3-1.

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2

Huang, Angela, Dimitri Margaritis, and David Mayes. "Emerging Markets: Investing with Political Risk." Multinational Finance Journal 5, no. 3 (September 1, 2001): 175–200. http://dx.doi.org/10.17578/5-3-2.

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3

Bordeianu, Sever. "Political risk services and political risk yearbook." Journal of Government Information 22, no. 2 (March 1995): 186–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/1352-0237(95)90235-x.

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4

Hanne, Daniel. "“Political Risk”." Journal of Business & Finance Librarianship 3, no. 2 (January 27, 1998): 19–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1300/j109v03n02_03.

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5

Jung, Seeun, and Luc Tucker. "Political Preference and Risk Attitudes in the UK." Korean Journal of EU Studies 23, no. 1 (June 13, 2018): 23–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.38158/kjeus.23.1.2.

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6

A. Obalade, Adefemi, Babatunde Lawrence, and Joseph Olorunfemi Akande. "Political risk and banking sector performance in Nigeria." Banks and Bank Systems 16, no. 3 (July 9, 2021): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.16(3).2021.01.

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Political risk is prevalent in Nigeria and tends to influence business outcomes and the stability of the banking system. As a result of this study, it was determined whether political risk matters to the performance of the banking sector in Nigeria. The effect of political risk on different banks’ performance measures, such as return on assets, return on invested capital, credit risk and stock price, were examined in a panel of 12 selected commercial banks for the period 2006–2018. Data was analyzed using a two-stage system of generalized method of moments. The results provided evidence that the effect of political risk on bank performance depends on the performance proxies. Specifically, political risk was found to be negatively related to banks’ returns on invested capital and positively related to deteriorating credit risk. Hence, it can be concluded that political risk induces poor banking system performance in Nigeria. The study provides a critical insight into the management of a country’s political systems in terms of their potential to create unfavorable conditions for banking systems to thrive.
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7

Erb, Claude B., Campbell R. Harvey, and Tadas E. Viskanta. "Political Risk, Economic Risk, and Financial Risk." Financial Analysts Journal 52, no. 6 (November 1996): 29–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.2469/faj.v52.n6.2038.

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8

Theodorou, Jerry. "Political risk reconsidered." International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 6, no. 2 (June 1993): 147–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08850609308435209.

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9

Valderrama, Laura. "Political Risk Aversion." IMF Working Papers 09, no. 194 (2009): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873412.001.

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10

Bekaert, Geert, Campbell R. Harvey, Christian T. Lundblad, and Stephan Siegel. "Political risk spreads." Journal of International Business Studies 45, no. 4 (May 2014): 471–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/jibs.2014.4.

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11

Galvao, Daniel. "Political Risk Insurance." Journal of Structured Finance 7, no. 2 (July 31, 2001): 35–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.3905/jsf.2001.320250.

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12

Inkster, Nigel. "Assessing Political Risk." Adelphi Papers 48, no. 400-401 (October 2008): 161–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/05679320802694373.

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13

Clark, Ephraim. "Valuing political risk." Journal of International Money and Finance 16, no. 3 (June 1997): 477–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0261-5606(97)00008-9.

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14

Chermak, J. M. "Political risk analysis." Resources Policy 18, no. 3 (September 1992): 167–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0301-4207(92)90002-q.

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15

Schmidt, David A. "Analyzing political risk." Business Horizons 29, no. 4 (July 1986): 43–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0007-6813(86)90023-6.

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16

Simon, Jeffrey D. "Political risk forecasting." Futures 17, no. 2 (April 1985): 132–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0016-3287(85)90003-5.

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17

Bussotti, Luca. "THE RISKS OF CURRENT POLITICAL RISK MANAGEMENT." Problems of Management in the 21st Century 9, no. 3 (December 20, 2014): 170–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.33225/pmc/14.09.170.

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Political risk is a concept traditionally related, on the one hand, to the rational calculation of risk in economic activities and, on the other, to a particular historical moment in which it has taken on the characteristics of an autonomous research field. Risk calculation and the management of lucrative activities have illustrious precedents. At the beginning of the 20th century, Max Weber pointed out the necessity to forecast all the possible risks that come from non-economic factors (such as bureaucracy, uncertainty of law and administrative procedures, and so on) before carrying out an economic investment leading to profit (Weber, 1968). However, the actual starting point of a science, related to the management of political risk, dates back to the 1960s (Sottilotta, 2013). The historical context in which this shift occurred can be found in the Cold War and the decolonization era.
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18

Dutta, Nabamita, Russell S. Sobel, and Sanjukta Roy. "Entrepreneurship and political risk." Journal of Entrepreneurship and Public Policy 2, no. 2 (October 7, 2013): 130–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jepp-03-2012-0018.

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19

West, Gerald T. "Political Risk Investment Insurance." Journal of Structured Finance 5, no. 2 (July 31, 1999): 27–36. http://dx.doi.org/10.3905/jsf.1999.320206.

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20

Gault, J. "Coping with political risk." Journal of World Energy Law & Business 5, no. 4 (October 9, 2012): 281–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/jwelb/jws026.

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21

D'Amato, Marcello, and Vincenzo Galasso. "Political intergenerational risk sharing." Journal of Public Economics 94, no. 9-10 (October 2010): 628–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2010.05.004.

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22

Harms, Philipp. "Poverty and Political Risk." Review of International Economics 10, no. 2 (May 2002): 250–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1467-9396.00330.

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23

Piasecki, Mary-Anne, and Piet Croucamp. "Contested confines: political risk and the media in South Africa." Problems and Perspectives in Management 14, no. 2 (June 6, 2016): 143–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/ppm.14(2-1).2016.03.

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The South African private news media industry represents a substantial portion of the overall media industry and the most successful in terms of profit acquired. It is critical however to assess the shareholders and private ownership of the news media industry in order to determine the likely success of investment in this industry. However, additional risk factors need to be considered along with the shareholders and ownership; macro factors such as, legislation and economic stability as well as micro factors such as the restructuring of ownership and transparency within the industry. It is also fundamental that the news media industry of South Africa is assessed through the lens of its historical landscape and transformation and its Fourth Estate responsibilities. Through this assessment it is possible to conclude three likely outcomes of investment in the news media industry. These outcomes are based on the measured growth and current stability of the industry and the South African economy. The most concerning risk for investment is the continued economic downturn of the South African economy and its effect on restructuring of media ownership and a declining profit. This can be coupled with the risk of legislative turnover and executive overreach within the news media industry
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24

Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, and Alastair Smith. "Political Succession." Journal of Conflict Resolution 61, no. 4 (July 10, 2016): 707–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002715603100.

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In addition to everyday political threats, leaders risk removal from office through coups and mass movements such as rebellion. Further, all leaders face threats from shocks such as downturns in their health, their country’s economy, or their government’s revenue. By integrating these risks into the selectorate theory, we characterize the conditions under which each threat is pertinent and the countermoves (purges, democratization, expansion of public goods, and expansion of private benefits) that best enable the leader to survive in office. The model identifies new insights into the nature of assassins; the relative risk of different types of leader removal as a function of the extant institutions of government; and the endogenous factors driving better or worse public policy and decisions to democratize or become more autocratic. Importantly, the results highlight how an increase in the risk of deposition via one means intensifies other removal risks.
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25

Salamanca, Elizabeth, Robyn Lynn Johnson, and Francois Bernard Duhamel. "Political Risk Traps In Latin America." European Scientific Journal, ESJ 12, no. 5 (February 28, 2016): 205. http://dx.doi.org/10.19044/esj.2016.v12n5p205.

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The purpose of this paper is to analyze salient political risks common in Latin America identifying the contexts in which they take place and the reasons for their recurrence, insofar as they affect international business investors in this region. Through a comparison of past and present political patterns in Latin America, this study assesses political risk traps, or combinations of repeatedly unforeseen political risks that international businesses may encounter in Latin American countries. The article identifies eight critical questions that investors must address looking at political risks in Latin America, as political situations faced by Latin American countries tend to be similar throughout time. It also shows the combination of political risks factors leading to a particular political risk configuration in the region. Political risks in Latin America appear over and over again because of enduring, vested interests of entrenched power groups in Latin America. Current techniques and methods to forecast country political risk are insufficient for international investors to grasp the full range of risks they may confront while investing in Latin America. Previous literature has not analyzed political risk combination and recurrence in an integrative approach. Therefore, the originality of our article is to present a framework of political risks, with a specific application to Latin America, highlighting the specific reasons for their recurrence there.
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26

Ahmad, Fawad, Michael Bradbury, and Ahsan Habib. "Political connections, political uncertainty and audit fees: evidence from Pakistan." Managerial Auditing Journal 37, no. 2 (December 28, 2021): 255–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/maj-06-2020-2715.

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Purpose This paper aims to examine the association between political connections, political uncertainty and audit fees. The authors use various measures of political connections and uncertainty: political connections (civil and military), political events (elections) and a general measure of political stability (i.e. a world bank index). Design/methodology/approach The authors measure the association between political connections, political uncertainty and audit fees. Audit fees reflect auditors’ perceptions of risk. The authors examine auditors’ business risk, clients’ audit and business risk after controlling for the variables used in prior audit fee research. Findings Results indicate that civil-connected firms pay significantly higher audit fees than non-connected firms owing to the instability of civil-political connections. Military-connected firms pay significantly lower audit fees than non-connected firms owing to the stable form of government. Furthermore, considering high leverage as a measure of clients’ high audit risk and high return-on-assets (ROA) as a measure of clients’ lower business risk, the authors interact leverage and ROA with civil and military connections. The results reveal that these risks moderate the relationship between political connection and audit fees. Election risk is independent of risk associated with political connections. General political stability reinforces the theme that a stable government results in lower risks. Originality/value The authors combine cross-sectional measures of political uncertainty (civil or military connections) with time-dependent measures (general measures of political instability and elections).
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27

Howell, Llewellyn D. "Political risk and political loss for foreign investment." International Executive 34, no. 6 (November 1992): 485–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/tie.5060340603.

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28

Yasuda, Naoki. "Political Risks and Investments by MNCs- From a political risk reference point perspective -." Academy of Management Proceedings 2016, no. 1 (January 2016): 12525. http://dx.doi.org/10.5465/ambpp.2016.12525abstract.

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29

Chapman, Terrence, and Eric Reinhardt. "Global Credit Markets, Political Violence, and Politically Sustainable Risk Premia." International Interactions 39, no. 3 (July 2013): 316–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2013.782302.

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30

Alesina, Alberto, and Roberto Perotti. "Economic Risk and Political Risk in Fiscal Unions." Economic Journal 108, no. 449 (July 1, 1998): 989–1008. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1468-0297.00326.

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31

Gao, Danxue, Tianzhen Tang, and Hong Zhang. "Political Risk and MNC Exit." Academy of Management Proceedings 2016, no. 1 (January 2016): 14967. http://dx.doi.org/10.5465/ambpp.2016.14967abstract.

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32

Ruud, Arild Engelsen, and Kenneth Bo Nielsen. "Political Dynasticism: Networks, Trust, Risk." Studies in Indian Politics 6, no. 2 (September 25, 2018): 157–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2321023018797407.

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Political dynasticism is a persuasive phenomenon in South Asia. Yet, while political dynasticism has received ample attention at the national level, it has been almost systematically overlooked at the regional and local levels. In this article, we argue that political dynasticism at the local level is driven by conditions that are in crucial ways different from those that animate national politics. We use case studies and insights from the available literature both within and beyond South Asia to argue that, in a comparative light, three main elements stand out: reciprocity, trust, and failure. By zooming in on these elements we seek to explain political dynasticism as a political phenomenon that is enabled by particular conditions in the polity, and especially the nature of the state. These, we argue, help foment a dynamic within which political dynasticism is an understandable outcome.
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33

Walker, C. "Political Violence and Commercial Risk." Current Legal Problems 56, no. 1 (January 1, 2003): 531–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/clp/56.1.531.

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34

Altug, S. G., F. S. Demers, and M. Demers. "Political Risk and Irreversible Investment." CESifo Economic Studies 53, no. 3 (November 2, 2007): 430–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cesifo/ifm014.

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35

Coplin, William D., and Michael K. O'Leary. "1986 World political risk forecast." Planning Review 14, no. 2 (February 1986): 28–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/eb054140.

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36

Coplin, William D., and Michael K. O'Leary. "1990 World political risk forecast." Planning Review 18, no. 2 (February 1990): 41–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/eb054286.

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37

Coplin, William D., and Michael K. O'Leary. "1991 World political risk forecast." Planning Review 19, no. 1 (January 1991): 16–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/eb054315.

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38

Phillips-Patrick, Frederick J. "Political Risk and Organizational Form." Journal of Law and Economics 34, no. 2, Part 2 (October 1991): 675–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/467239.

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39

Rivoli, Pietra, and Thomas L. Brewer. "Political instability and country risk." Global Finance Journal 8, no. 2 (September 1997): 309–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s1044-0283(97)90022-3.

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40

Giambona, Erasmo, John R. Graham, and Campbell R. Harvey. "The management of political risk." Journal of International Business Studies 48, no. 4 (February 13, 2017): 523–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s41267-016-0058-4.

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41

Snider, Lewis W. "Political Risk: The Institutional Dimension." International Interactions 31, no. 3 (July 2005): 203–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03050620500294176.

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42

Koessler, Frédéric, and Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky. "Extortion and political-risk insurance." Journal of Public Economics 120 (December 2014): 144–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2014.09.006.

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43

Poirier, Robert A. "Political risk analysis and tourism." Annals of Tourism Research 24, no. 3 (January 1997): 675–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0160-7383(97)00019-4.

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44

Lensink, Robert, Niels Hermes, and Victor Murinde. "Capital flight and political risk." Journal of International Money and Finance 19, no. 1 (February 2000): 73–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0261-5606(99)00034-0.

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45

Le, Quan Vu, and Paul J. Zak. "Political risk and capital flight." Journal of International Money and Finance 25, no. 2 (March 2006): 308–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2005.11.001.

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46

Smith, Patrick Taylor. "Political Revolution As Moral Risk." Monist 101, no. 2 (March 3, 2018): 199–215. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/monist/onx043.

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47

Pástor, Ľuboš, and Pietro Veronesi. "Political uncertainty and risk premia." Journal of Financial Economics 110, no. 3 (December 2013): 520–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.08.007.

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48

Gertz, Geoffrey. "Commercial Diplomacy and Political Risk." International Studies Quarterly 62, no. 1 (March 1, 2018): 94–107. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqx079.

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49

Kam, Cindy D. "Risk Attitudes and Political Participation." American Journal of Political Science 56, no. 4 (July 16, 2012): 817–36. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2012.00605.x.

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50

Citron, Joel-Tomas, and Gerald Nickelsburg. "Country risk and political instability." Journal of Development Economics 25, no. 2 (April 1987): 385–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-3878(87)90092-7.

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