Journal articles on the topic 'Mutual funds. Extrapolation. Market-timing'
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Gupta-Mukherjee, Swasti. "Investing in the “New Economy”: Mutual Fund Performance and the Nature of the Firm." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 49, no. 1 (February 2014): 165–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0022109014000179.
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AbstractAlthough stock returns of intangibles-intensive firms tend to exceed physical assets-intensive firms, risk-adjusted returns of actively managed mutual funds significantly decrease (increase) with their portfolios’ exposure to intangibles-intensive (physical assets-intensive) firms. Fund managers tend to exhibit skill when they focus on difficult-to-value (e.g., small) firms, except when the firms are intangibles-intensive. In sum, the worst-performing funds are in areas of the market that seem to offer ample opportunities for professional investors due to exacerbated mispricing. The negative impact of investments in intangibles-intensive firms on fund performance appears to be driven by extrapolation bias and decreases with learning from experience.
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Sanaullah, Sanaullah, Amna Noor, Salleh Khan, and Muhammad Shahbaz Khan. "An Empirical Investigation of the Performance of Fund Managers in Pakistan." iRASD Journal of Management 3, no. 1 (June 30, 2021): 56–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.52131/jom.2021.0301.0026.
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This study aims to determine the stock selection ability and market timing ability of mutual fund managers, focusing on conventional funds and Islamic funds in Pakistan. Although there has been significant growth in the number and assets of mutual funds in recent years, few studies measure the performance of mutual funds managers. The scarcity of existing literature motivates this study. In this study, two models are used to measure the stock selection and market timing on a sample of conventional mutual funds and Islamic mutual funds over 2010 and 2019 using annual returns. Overall, the results indicate that the performance study of conventional mutual funds and Islamic mutual funds indicates that manager performance is not superior in all three portfolios, i.e., conventional funds, Islamic funds, and overall funds in over sample period. This also indicates that both Conventional and Islamic fund managers do not outperform the market (KSE 100 index). Thus, there is a lack of market timing ability. Using Tranoy and mazuy and Jansen models found a lack of stock selection and market timing ability of mutual fund managers in Pakistani mutual funds. In this study, I have applied only two models to examine both the timing and selection ability of conventional and Islamic Pakistani equity funds. For future possibilities, the study suggests adopting several methods and approaches like the TMFF3 model and HM-FF3 model, making the study more comprehensive and accurate than this research.
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Adelia, Meidiana Rizki, and Muhammad Nafik Hadi Ryandono. "DETERMINAN KINERJA REKSADANA SAHAM SYARIAH." Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Teori dan Terapan 7, no. 5 (July 3, 2020): 940. http://dx.doi.org/10.20473/vol7iss20205pp940-954.
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There are a lot of factors that determine the sharia equity mutual funds performance, included stock selection skill, market timing ability, and fund age. This study aims to understand the effect of stock selection skill, market timing ability, and fund age on the sharia equity mutual funds performance in Indonesia from 2012 to 2018. This research uses a quantitative approach using an explanatory research type. The sampling technique in this study was purposive sampling and 6 sharia equity mutual funds were selected as samples. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis. The result of the study displayed that stock selection skill and market timing ability have a significant effect on the performance of sharia equity mutual funds in Indonesia from 2012 to 2018. On the contrary, fund age have no effect on the performance of sharia equity mutual funds in Indonesia from 2012 to 2018. Keywords: stock selection skill, market timing ability, fund age, sharia equity mutual funds perfomance
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Matallin-S, Juan C. "Non-Simultaneous Market Timing in Mutual Funds." Journal of Applied Sciences 9, no. 9 (April 15, 2009): 1776–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.3923/jas.2009.1776.1780.
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Comer, George. "Hybrid Mutual Funds and Market Timing Performance*." Journal of Business 79, no. 2 (March 2006): 771–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/499137.
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Li, Jun-Hao, and Chun-Fan You. "An Analysis of Mutual Fund Managers’ Timing Abilities - Evidence From Chinese Equity Funds." International Journal of Financial Research 11, no. 4 (July 7, 2020): 214. http://dx.doi.org/10.5430/ijfr.v11n4p214.
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This paper examines Chinese mutual fund managers’ market, volatility, and liquidity abilities. Using a daily frequency sample of Chinese open-end equity funds from 2015 to 2019, we find evidence that mutual fund managers can time the market. Among the funds with different investment styles, the active funds have better market and liquidity timing ability, whereas the steady funds have better volatility timing ability. In different investment periods, there are more funds with timing ability in the fall period than in the rise period. We find the same results in the market (T-M), volatility, and liquidity timing models. It is especially for the active funds, nearly half of which have liquidity timing ability in the fall period. Among the funds with stock selection ability, the funds with market timing ability can outperform than the funds with other timing ability.
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Bu, Qiang. "Mutual fund alpha and daily market-timing ability." Studies in Economics and Finance 36, no. 4 (October 7, 2019): 662–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/sef-09-2018-0277.
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Purpose This study aims to examine whether mutual funds can earn daily alpha and time daily market return. Design/methodology/approach Based on the Treynor and Mazuy (1966) model and the Henriksson and Merton (1981) model, the author tests the daily market-timing ability of actual mutual funds and bootstrapped mutual funds. Findings The author finds that daily alpha and daily market-timing ability can come from pure luck. In addition, the relation between fund alpha and market-timing ability is at best minimal. Originality/value Using bootstrapped funds as the benchmark, this study shows that daily fund market is overall efficient.
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Rafika, Siti Zulva, and Nisful Laila. "Pengaruh Kinerja Manajer Investasi Terhadap Return Reksadana Saham Syariah di Indonesia (Periode 2011-2015)." Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Teori dan Terapan 4, no. 3 (December 14, 2017): 219. http://dx.doi.org/10.20473/vol4iss20173pp219-234.
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This research aims to find out the influence of stock selection and market timing toward the return of Islamic mutual funds of stock in Indonesia. This study used seven samples of Islamic mutual funds of stock in Indonesia were obtained using purposive sampling. The stock selection and market timing were counted using Treynor Mazuy Model. The approach used in this study is quantitative approach using double regressions. In analyzing the data, the technique used is panel data regression analysis by using Eviews 8 software. The result of this study shows that in the partially test, the stock selection is proven to have significant influence toward the return of Islamic Mutual Funds of Stock in Indonesia, and the market timing also has significant influence toward the return of Islamic Mutual Funds of Stock. The simultaneously test shows that stock selection and market timing significantly influence the return of Islamic Mutual Funds of Stock.
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Kusumastiti, Febrita, and Muhammad Nafik Hadi Ryandono. "Pengaruh Risiko Sistematis, Market Timing, dan Ukuran Dana Terhadap Kinerja Reksa Dana Pendapatan Tetap Syariah di Indonesia (Periode 2014-2018)." Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Teori dan Terapan 6, no. 12 (January 21, 2020): 2409. http://dx.doi.org/10.20473/vol6iss201912pp2409-2421.
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The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of the systematic of risk, market timing, and fund size toward sharia fixed income mutual funds in Indonesia period 2014-2018 partially and simultaneously. This research uses a quantitative approach and uses multiple linear regression tests to determine the relationship between exogenous variables and endogenous variable. The result of this research shows that systematic risk and fund size are partially have significant influence to the sharia fixed income mutual funds performance. Meanwhile, market timing is partially have insignificant influence to the sharia fixed income mutual funds performance. While simultaneously, systematic risk, market timing and fund size have significant influence to the sharia fixed income mutual funds performance with the coefficient of determination is 31,9% while the remaining 68,1% is influenced by other variables not included in this research.Keywords: Sharia Mutual Fund Performance, Systematic Risk, Market Timing, Fund Size
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ANITA, ANITA. "KINERJA MANAJER INVESTASI REKSADANA SAHAM SYARIAH DI INDONESIA." Al-Masraf : Jurnal Lembaga Keuangan dan Perbankan 4, no. 1 (June 30, 2019): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.15548/al-masraf.v4i1.224.
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The purpose of this study is to test the ability of investment managers in Islamic mutual funds in their ability to conduct stock selection and market timing. The model developed in this study uses the Henriksson-Merton model. With purposive sampling technique obtained a sample of 31 mutual funds. After testing the results obtained, the performance of Islamic stock mutual funds in Indonesia underperformed compared to the ISSI market performance. The stock selection results contribute negatively to α = 5%, while the ability of market timing has a significant positive effect on mutual fund returns.
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Rao, Zia-ur-Rehman, Muhammad Zubair Tauni, Amjad Iqbal, and Muhammad Umar. "Emerging market mutual fund performance: evidence for China." Journal of Asia Business Studies 11, no. 2 (May 2, 2017): 167–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jabs-10-2015-0176.
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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to find whether Chinese equity funds outperform the market and do Chinese fund managers possess positive market timing ability. This study also aims to investigate whether well-performing (worst) funds of last year continue to perform well (worst) in the following year. Design/methodology/approach Capital Asset Pricing Model and Carhart four-factor model are used for performance analysis, whereas for analyzing market timing ability, the Treynor and Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson and Merton (1981) models are applied. To investigate persistence in the performance of Chinese equity funds, all equity funds are divided, on the basis of performance in the past 12 months, into three equally weighted groups (high, middle and low) and then observed for next 12 months. After that, groups are again rebalanced according to their performance. This study uses a panel regression model for analysis. Findings Chinese equity funds are successful in providing higher than market returns, and fund managers possess positive market timing ability. The authors find that Chinese equity funds do not show persistence in performance as witnessed in developed markets. Well-performing funds (worst funds) of last year do not continue to provide higher (lower) return in the following year. Moreover, the authors detect positive relationship of fund size, age and expense ratio with the fund’s performance. Overall results suggest that emerging market equity funds show better performance than that of developed markets. Practical implications Investors are better off if they invest in equity funds instead of index funds, as results illustrate that equity funds outperformed the market. Further, the strategy of buying well-performing funds of last year and selling poorly performing funds of last year does not look very attractive in China. This study helps investors to understand the Chinese managed funds industry, and such an understanding is also helpful for fund managers and asset management companies who use performance information in marketing strategies. Originality/value This is the first study to investigate the performance persistence in Chinese equity funds and also contributes to the literature about the performance and market timing ability of equity funds. The study takes the sample of 520 equity funds for the period from 2004 to 2014, which includes a period of financial crisis of 2008.
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Cuthbertson, Keith, Dirk Nitzsche, and Niall O'Sullivan. "The Market Timing Ability of UK Mutual Funds." Journal of Business Finance & Accounting 37, no. 1-2 (January 2010): 270–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5957.2009.02157.x.
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Li, Jun-Hao, Chun-Fan You, and Chin-Sheng Huang. "Do Mutual Fund Managers Time Market Sentiment?" International Journal of Financial Research 11, no. 5 (October 5, 2020): 527. http://dx.doi.org/10.5430/ijfr.v11n5p527.
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This paper examines whether fund managers can adjust the exposure of portfolio to time market sentiment, thus expanding the new dimension of the study of mutual fund managers’ timing ability. Using the data of Chinese open-end equity funds from January 2010 to December 2019, based on the CICSI sentiment index developed by Yi and Mao (2009), we find strong evidence that Chinese mutual fund managers have sentiment ability during the sample period. In addition, the funds with positive sentiment timing ability outperforms those without such by 2.20% per year, and the longer the fund survives, the more likely for it to have sentiment timing ability. Our findings remain robust even after controlling the impact of bull and bear market on China’s A-share market in 2015, market timing, volatility timing and liquidity timing, and after using three new sentiment indicators to verify the finding, three indicators being the net buying amount of northward capital, the net buying amount of financing, and the net ratio of limit up.
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Neto, Nuno Manuel Veloso, Júlio Fernando Seara Sequeira da Mota Lobão, and Elisabete Simões Vieira. "Do Portuguese mutual funds display forecasting skills?" Studies in Economics and Finance 34, no. 4 (October 2, 2017): 597–631. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/sef-09-2015-0233.
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Purpose This study aims to evaluate the performance of the Portuguese fund managers by examining the selectivity and market timing skills of 51 Portuguese mutual funds from June 2002 to March 2012. Design/methodology/approach The authors assess empirically the performance of a sample of funds by applying the unconditional and conditional models of Treynor and Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson and Merton (1981). Findings The results suggest that, overall, the Portuguese mutual funds do not possess selectivity or timing skills. However, regardless of the model used, the domestic equity funds exhibit a statistically significant market timing ability. Furthermore, the domestic and North American equity funds display positive selectivity during bull markets and timing skills during bear markets. Additionally, there is some evidence that older funds are better stock pickers than younger funds. Research limitations/implications To address some of the limitations of this study, the authors suggest for further research correcting the Treynor and Mazuy (1966) model for the convexity cost of replicating Merton’s (1981) option approach. Additionally, for further research, we suggest using a bigger sample, higher frequency data, as such data may lead to higher frequency of timing ability as proposed by Bollen and Busse (2001). To overcome some of the limitations of traditional models, future research may consider using Jiang’s (2003) nonparametric test, as it is not affected by manager’s risk aversion, or Ferson and Khang (2002) conditional performance evaluation using portfolios holdings. Originality/value The authors contribute to the current literature by extending the period of study to 10 years in comparison to previous studies; extending the sample of funds to 51; addressing, for the first time in this context, the importance of public information on funds’ performance, through the comparison of unconditional and conditional models of Treynor and Mazuy’s (1966) and Henriksson and Merton’s (1981); and, for the first time in the Portuguese context, analysing the relationship between funds’ size, age and market cycles and selectivity and market timing skills.
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Soussou, Karim, and Abdelwahed Omri. "Mutual Funds’ Performance Sensitivity to Funds’ Attributes. Case Study: Saudi Mutual Funds." Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks 6, no. 4 (2022): 32–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.21272/fmir.6(4).32-50.2022.
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This study contributes to the academic literature on faith-based mutual funds, by offering a comparative investigation of Islamic vs. conventional funds’ performance sensitivity to changes in a list of seventeen relevant funds’ attributes, all in the context of the Saudi market. The performance measures investigated are the excess return, selectivity and timing. The study took place from 2011 to 2015, with a sample of 200 Active Saudi funds, 137 Islamic and 63 conventional. Findings indicated that fund size, management fees, expense ratio cash and price-earnings ratio were irrelevant to both Islamic and conventional fund performances. In addition, we noticed similarities in both Islamic and conventional funds’ performances sensitivities towards turnover, unsystematic risk, investment target, past performance, age and management tenure. They however react differently towards a change in the price-to-book ratio. On the other hand, fund systematic risk, cashflow-to-book ratio and faith factors are exclusively relevant to Islamic funds, while fund growth and objective only affect conventional fund performance. Finally, selectivity and timing appear to be mutually exclusive, suggesting management specialization. This work appears to be the first comparative analysis of its kind. A larger, multi-regional sample, and a longer study period will provide better insights.
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Rachmawati, Rina, Sugeng Wahyudi, Irene Rini Demi Pangestuti, and Najmudin . "Funds Manager and Mutual Funds Characteristics on Mutual Funds Performance: Empirical Evidence of Equity Mutual Funds in Indonesia." International Journal of Financial Research 11, no. 2 (March 16, 2020): 77. http://dx.doi.org/10.5430/ijfr.v11n2p77.
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This study examines the effect of investment fund managers' characteristics in the form of tenure, and mutual fund characteristics with proxy turnover portfolios, market timing and stock selectivity on the performance of stock mutual funds. The research sample is 27 stock mutual funds in Indonesia that were active from 2013 to 2017. On the analysis of the relationships between the characteristics of investment managers and mutual funds characteristics on the performance of stock mutual funds, a series of OLS regressions were run. The panel data regression was included based on using the Eviews. All of the above were aimed at achieving portfolio optimization and realizing the maximization of the interests for fund management companies and investors. The main findings are as follows. Tenure does not affect the performance of stock mutual funds during the years 2013 to 2017, but if divided into 2 quadrants of tenure, namely tenure over 19 years and tenure under 19 years of work, the result is that tenure over 19 years has a positive effect on the performance of stock mutual funds, but tenure brought 19 years has no effect on the performance of equity funds, whereas mutual funds characteristics, which are proxied by portfolio turnover, market timing and stock selectivity, have a significant positive effect on the performance of equity funds in Indonesia. The primary limitation in the scope is the sample, because stock mutual funds that publish consistently Financial statements between 2013 and 2017 are few in number. These findings have important implications for fund management companies as input material that the investment strategy of the investment management team affects the performance of equity funds compared to the characteristics of investment managers with proxies for years of service. This paper proposes a new perspective to evaluate the relationship between the fund manager and mutual funds characteristicsanddivide 2 groups of working years, and calculate them with non-linear models.
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Koutsokostas, Drosos, Spyros Papathanasiou, and Nikolaos Eriotis. "Can mutual fund managers predict security prices to beat the market?The case of Greece during the debt crisis." Journal of Prediction Markets 12, no. 3 (February 13, 2019): 40–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.5750/jpm.v12i3.1644.
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The purpose of this paper is to examine the performance of Greek equity mutual funds, elaborating on stock selection in parallel with market timing measures, in comparison with the performance of ETFs and index funds for the period 01/24/2008-05/12/2017, and the short-term performance persistence of actively managed funds for the period 05/12/2015-05/12/2017. Using all domestic equity mutual funds at our disposal and daily data, the authors apply multi-factor models to estimate risk-adjusted returns and to evaluate the selectivity and market timing ability of fund managers. In order to investigate short-term performance persistence, the coexistence of stock selection and market timing strategy is allowed and a battery of parametric and nonparametric tests is implemented. Results show that actively managed mutual funds underperformed the market index, as well as passively managed ETFs and index funds, primarily due to the managers’ inability to time the market. Furthermore, a winner-picking strategy to outperform a-buy-the-market-and hold policy is questioned.
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Koutsokostas, Drosos, and Spyros Papathanasiou. "Mutual funds in Greece: case study of domestic equity mutual funds during a financial crisis." Managerial Finance 43, no. 7 (July 10, 2017): 812–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/mf-10-2016-0293.
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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the performance of Greek equity mutual funds for the period 2012-2016, analyzing further the selectivity and market timing ability, and short-term performance persistence for the period 2015-2016. Design/methodology/approach Utilizing a survivorship-bias-controlled sample of 25 funds and daily data, the authors use single-index (Jensen, 1968) and multi-factor (Carhart, 1997) models to evaluate risk-adjusted returns using the General Index of Athens Stock Exchange as a benchmark. The Treynor-Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson-Merton (1981) models are used to assess the stock selection and market timing abilities of fund managers. In order to investigate short-term performance persistence, the authors implement a variety of parametric (Bollen and Busse, 2005) and nonparametric tests (Malkiel, 1995; Brown and Goetzmann, 1995; Kahn and Rudd, 1995). Findings Results show that the funds underperformed the General Index, mainly due to the managers’ market timing inability. Furthermore, weak evidence for short-term performance persistence has been documented. Research limitations/implications Checking for performance persistence, it was impossible to rank funds and form deciles according to their estimated abnormal returns, as in Bollen and Busse (2005), due to the small number of mutual funds operating in Greece. Originality/value Empirical studies regarding the performance of Greek equity mutual funds are still limited. Therefore, this paper intends to fill this gap by providing further evidence of performance evaluation.
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Leković, Miljan, Milena Jakšić, and Dragana Gnjatović. "Portfolio performance evaluation of mutual funds in the Republic of Serbia." Serbian Journal of Management 15, no. 2 (2020): 295–318. http://dx.doi.org/10.5937/sjm15-21145.
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The paper evaluates the performance of open-end mutual funds in the Republic of Serbia in the period 2011-2015, using various modelling approaches based on different models. The aim of this paper is to examine the theoretical, methodological and empirical validity of active portfolio management of mutual funds and to assess the presence of selection and timing abilities of Serbian portfolio managers. The results of the empirical research show that the active portfolio management of mutual funds in the Republic of Serbia has not been successful in terms of outperforming the market. Portfolio managers of most Serbian mutual funds lack the ability to choose profitable securities and do not have market timing ability.
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Kalim Hyder Bukhari, Syed, and Mohammed Azam. "A Comparative Returns Performance Review of Islamic Equity Funds with Socially Responsible Equity Funds and the Broader Market Indices." LAHORE JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS 20, no. 2 (July 1, 2015): 53–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.35536/lje.2015.v20.i2.a3.
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Islamic mutual funds and socially responsible mutual funds are two similar asset classes that incorporate negative screens in their portfolio selection process to filter out stocks that fail to meet certain ethical, social, environmental, and/or religious standards. This study uses a single-factor capital asset pricing model and an adjusted sample consisting of 224 Islamic funds and 573 socially responsible funds to examine their excess risk-adjusted returns, market volatility, and systematic risk. It also gauges the market-timing abilities of the fund managers concerned in relation to both Islamic/socially responsible and conventional market indices. While there are some differences in the risk factors of Islamic funds and socially responsible funds, both are associated with lower risks and have the same market-timing ability.
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Ling, Pick-Soon, and Ruzita Abdul-Rahim. "MANAGERIAL ABILITIES AND FACTOR INVESTMENT STYLE PERFORMANCES OF MALAYSIAN MUTUAL FUND MANAGERS." Journal of Nusantara Studies (JONUS) 6, no. 1 (January 28, 2021): 118–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.24200/jonus.vol6iss1pp118-135.
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Background and Purpose: Studies focusing on mutual fund managerial abilities and investment style strategies are still scarce in the literature. Thus, this study aims to provide new evidence and insights into the managerial abilities and investment style performances of Malaysian fund managers.
Methodology: A total of 444 Malaysian equity mutual funds (EMFs) were evaluated using Carhart’s model incorporated with Treynor-Mazuy (T-M) and Henriksson-Merton (H-M) market timing models for the study period, from January 1995 to December 2017.
Findings: Fund managers displayed superior stock selection skills with 32 percent and 43 percent of funds for T-M and H-M respectively, with perverse market timing ability which accounted for 39 percent and 42 percent of funds for T-M and H-M respectively. Perverse timing ability had reduced the superior stock-picking skills of fund managers. This suggests that the EMFs performance could further improve if respective fund managers perform better in market timing ability. The finding also indicates that size effect (SMB) and value effect (HML) play significant roles in investment style strategies, while results of momentum factor (WML) propose that Malaysian fund managers have followed the contrarian strategy.
Contributions: This study contributes in several ways especially in the literature of portfolio management as the evidence is obtained from the largest mutual funds sample size and the longest study period. Moreover, this study also used the highest frequency data to study the effects of market timing which were overlooked in previous studies.
Keywords: Adjusted carhart, Malaysian market, market timing, mutual fund, stock selection.
Cite as: Ling, P-S., & Abdul-Rahim, R. (2021). Managerial abilities and factor investment style performances of Malaysian mutual funds. Journal of Nusantara Studies, 6(1), 118-135. http://dx.doi.org/10.24200/jonus.vol6iss1pp118-135
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Olbryś, Joanna. "Arch Effects in Multifactor Market-Timing Models of Polish Mutual Funds." Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia 10, no. 2 (January 1, 2012): 60–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/v10031-011-0022-1.
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Arch Effects in Multifactor Market-Timing Models of Polish Mutual FundsPerformance measurement of investment managers is a topic of interest to practitioners and academics alike. The traditional performance evaluation literature has attempted to distinguish stock-picking ability (selectivity) from the ability to predict overall market returns (market-timing). However, the literature finds that it is not easy to separate ability into two such dichotomous categories. To overcome these problems multifactor alternative market-timing models have been proposed. The author's recent research provides evidence of strong ARCH effects in the market-timing models of Polish equity open-end mutual funds. For this reason, the main goal of this paper is to present the regression results of the new GARCH(p, q) versions of market-timing models of these funds. We estimate multifactor extensions of classical market-timing models with Fama & French's spread variables SMB and HML, and Carhart's momentum factor WML. We also include lagged values of the market factor as an additional independent variable in the regressions of the models because of the pronounced "Fisher effect" in the case of the main Warsaw Stock Exchange indexes. The market-timing and selectivity abilities of fund managers are evaluated for the period January 2003-December 2010. Our findings suggest that the GARCH(p, q) model is suitable for such applications.
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Bodson, Laurent, Laurent Cavenaile, and Danielle Sougné. "A global approach to mutual funds market timing ability." Journal of Empirical Finance 20 (January 2013): 96–101. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2012.11.001.
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Pilbeam, Keith, and Hamish Preston. "An Empirical Investigation of the Performance of Japanese Mutual Funds: Skill or Luck?" International Journal of Financial Studies 7, no. 1 (January 17, 2019): 6. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijfs7010006.
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This paper assesses the performance of 355 actively managed Japanese Equity Mutual Funds between April 2011 and April 2016. The equal weight portfolio and Jensen’s alpha measures of active management provide strong evidence that Japanese Mutual Funds fail to outperform the benchmark four-factor capital asset pricing model. When it comes to market timing, the Treynor and Mazuy measure shows that 33 funds have significant positive market timing ability which is largely offset by 31 funds with significant negative timing ability. To ensure the statistical inference is robust to the non-normality found in 33 funds we employ Fama and French’s cross-sectional bootstrap. The results show that a large proportion of funds fail to outperform a hypothetical world with no skill. On the persistence of skill we find that there is stronger persistence for poor performing funds than for strong performing funds.
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Agus Astapa, I. Gede, Gede Suwardika, and I. Ketut Putu Suniantara. "ANALISIS DATA PANEL PADA KINERJA REKSADANA SAHAM." Jurnal VARIAN 1, no. 2 (April 24, 2018): 59–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.30812/varian.v1i2.72.
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Mutual funds is another investment opportunity with a more measurable risk as well as return high enough with enough capital is affordable for the community. Mutual fund performance can be measured by several indicators.. Modeling the performance of mutual funds modeled by regression of the data panel. The regression model estimation data panel will do with the three approaches, namely the approach of common effect, fixed effects and random effects. This research purpose to know the performance of mutual funds from stock selection skill variable influences, market timing ability and level of risk with the use of panel data analysis. The results shows that the Fund's performance is affected by the stock selection skill, market timing ability, and the level of risk. Model the right approach to model the performance of mutual funds by using a random effects model.
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Rodríguez, Javier, and Herminio Romero. "Assessing foreign funds geographical focus timing skill." Studies in Economics and Finance 33, no. 2 (June 6, 2016): 209–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/sef-11-2013-0168.
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Purpose This paper aims to study the market timing skill of USA-based foreign open-end mutual funds in their geographical focus market. Design/methodology/approach The authors use daily fund data and two multi-factor extensions of the Treynor-Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson-Merton (1981) timing models to measure US-based foreign funds’ market timing skill during 1999 to 2010. In particular, the authors study fund managers’ skill to time their geographical focus market. Findings The authors report that, in general, foreign funds do not accurately time their geographical focus market. However, during January 2008 to December 2010, the sub period that includes the 2008 global financial crisis, most foreign funds in this sample not only focused on their domestic market, the USA, but also demonstrated statistically significant, good timing skill. Originality/value Although US-based foreign funds’ market-timing skill is not an unexplored topic, this study is the first to consider these funds’ skill to time their geographical focus market, a skill that has been studied in the context of hedge funds.
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Lailiyah, Elliv Hidayatul, and Rahmat Setiawan. "Stock Selectivity Skill, Market Timing Ability, Risiko, Size, and Comparison of Performance Islamic Share Mutual Funds." IQTISHODUNA: Jurnal Ekonomi Islam 9, no. 2 (October 1, 2020): 137. http://dx.doi.org/10.36835/iqtishoduna.v9i2.489.
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Indonesia is one of the countries with the largest Muslim population about 87%. The high population of the Muslim in Indonesia should be able to provide great potential in terms of Islamic finance as investment activity, which will certainly contribute positively to the Indonesian economy. Investors will always be interested in investment with high return and low risk. One of the alternative is mutual fund especially sharia equity mutual funds. The choice of the right mutual fund should pay attention to how the performance of the mutual fund. This study examine how performance of sharia equity mutual funds using Sharpe, Treynor and Jensen method are affected by stock selectivity skill, market timing ability, risk and size during 2012-2017. The finding of this research are stock selectivity skill,market timing ability, risk and size are significantly positive influence to the performance of sharia equity mutual fund. The influence of stock selectivity skill, market timing ability, risk and size are very strong if measured by treynor method.
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Tchamyou, Venessa S., Simplice A. Asongu, and Jacinta C. Nwachukwu. "Effects of asymmetric information on market timing in the mutual fund industry." International Journal of Managerial Finance 14, no. 5 (October 8, 2018): 542–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijmf-09-2017-0187.
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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of information asymmetry (between the realized return and the expected return) on market timing in the mutual fund industry. Design/methodology/approach For the purpose, the authors use a panel of 1,488 active open-end mutual funds for the period 2004-2013. The authors use fund-specific time-dynamic betas. The information asymmetry is measured as the standard deviation of idiosyncratic risk. The data set is decomposed into five market fundamentals in order to emphasis the policy implications of the findings with respect to: equity, fixed income, allocation, alternative, and tax-preferred mutual funds. The empirical evidence is based on endogeneity-robust difference and system generalized method of moments. Findings The following findings are established. First, the information asymmetry broadly follows the same trend as volatility, with a higher sensitivity to market risk exposure. Second, fund managers tend to raise (cutback) their risk exposure in time of high (low) market liquidity. Third, there is evidence of convergence in equity funds. The authors may, therefore, infer that equity funds with lower market risk exposure are catching-up with their counterparts with higher exposure to fluctuation in market conditions. Originality/value The paper complements the sparse literature on market timing in the mutual fund industry with time-dynamic betas, information asymmetry and an endogeneity-robust empirical approach.
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Martí-Ballester, Carmen-Pilar. "Financial Performance of SDG Mutual Funds Focused on Biotechnology and Healthcare Sectors." Sustainability 12, no. 5 (March 6, 2020): 2032. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12052032.
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Measures favoring healthy lives among populations around the world are essential to reduce social inequalities. Mutual funds could play an important role funding these measures if they are able to attract socially concerned investors by improving their wealth. This study analyzes the financial performance of mutual funds focused on the biotechnology and healthcare sectors related to UN sustainable development goal 3 (SDG 3), comparing their risk-adjusted return with that achieved by conventional mutual funds. This study implements Carhart’s multifactor model and Bollen and Busse’s timing multifactor model on a sample of 34 biotechnology and 178 healthcare mutual funds and 4352 conventional mutual funds. The results show that biotechnology and healthcare mutual funds perform similarly, while both of them outperform conventional mutual funds. This outperformance of biotechnology and healthcare funds is driven by the superior stock-picking skills of their managers with regards to those of conventional fund managers, while managers of biotechnology, healthcare, and conventional mutual funds present similar poor market timing ability. Mutual funds specialized in biotechnology and healthcare sectors related to sustainable development goal 3 (SDG 3) outperform conventional mutual funds.
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Hribernik, Tanja, and Uroš Vek. "Mutual Fund Performance in Slovenia: An Analysis of Mutual Funds with Investment Policies in Europe and the Energy Sector." South East European Journal of Economics and Business 6, no. 1 (April 1, 2011): 61–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/v10033-011-0006-y.
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Mutual Fund Performance in Slovenia: An Analysis of Mutual Funds with Investment Policies in Europe and the Energy Sector This paper examines the risk and return performance of mutual funds in Slovenia from 2005 until August 2009. The research is limited to the regional investment policies in Europe and the energy sector. Using monthly returns, we analyzed different risk-adjusted measures such as: the Treynor ratio, the Sortino ratio and the Information ratio. We also studied selections and timing ability using the Treynor-Mazuy model. The risk and return performance of mutual funds in the Slovenian market does not deviate from those in developed markets. We also found out that the selection ability of fund managers is better than market timing and that the findings of this paper are in accordance with other international studies.
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Guo, Jiequn. "Fair Value Adjusted Pricing of Mutual Funds Using Treasury Futures." Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy 09, no. 01n02 (February 2018): 1850006. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s1793993318500060.
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The U.S. Investment Company Act of 1940 requires mutual fund boards to determine fair value of their portfolios. With mutual fund investments on foreign securities, there is a potential market timing issue when markets evolve between foreign and domestic market close. However, there is little research to date relating to fair value pricing procedures for foreign fixed-income securities. In this paper, we discuss the market timing problems and present a statistical approach utilizing treasury futures to fair value pricing of foreign fixed income securities. Timely valuation adjustment of foreign fixed income securities is the best approach to fend off arbitrageurs than raising transaction fees or setting minimum holding period for mutual funds.
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Deb, Soumya Guha, Ashok Banerjee, and B. B. Chakrabarti. "Market Timing and Stock Selection Ability of Mutual Funds in India: An Empirical Investigation." Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers 32, no. 2 (April 2007): 39–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0256090920070204.
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Evaluation of performance of mutual funds and identification of successful fund managers are of great interest to both investors and academicians. Two possible methods that are presumed to be used by fund managers for generating superior performance are identified as: Market timing: Market timing skills imply assessing correctly the direction of the market, whether bull or bear, and positioning their portfolios accordingly. Stock selection: Stock selection skills involve micro forecasting, which generally forecasts price movements of individual stocks relative to stocks and identification of individual stocks that are under-or over-valued relative to equities in general. The two pioneering works in this field is by Treynor Mazuy( 1966) and Henriksson Merton ( 1981). They developed two different models for testing the market timing and stock selection abilities of the fund managers but found little evidence of timing by the fund managers in their samples. Most of the other works mentioned in the paper have used these two models (which we name as traditional/unconditional models) or slight variations of the same for testing market timing and stock selection abilities of the fund managers. Person and Scadt (1996) modified the classical performance measures (of timing and stock selection ability) to take account of well-known information variables like interest rate, market dividend yield, etc. They termed it as ‘conditional approach’ of measuring mutual fund performance and claimed that conditioning on public information controls for biases in traditional market timing and stock selection models. Traditional models have taken the view that ‘any information’ correlated with the future market returns is superior information; in other words, they are unconditional models. Person and Scadt's approach used basically the same simplifying assumptions as the traditional models but they assumed, in addition, semi-strong form of market efficiency. The idea was to distinguish between market timing based on public information from market timing information that is superior to the lagged publicly available information variables. Although the academic literature on stock selection and market timing ability of mutual fund managers is rich and spans several decades, not many studies exist on this issue using emerging market data. This paper attempts to find the stock selection and market timing abilities of the Indian mutual fund managers using unconditional as well as conditional approaches. With a sample of 96 Indian mutual fund schemes, a lack of market timing ability and presence of stock selection ability were observed among the Indian funds managers in both unconditional as well as conditional approaches. A pooled regression was carried out for various categories of funds as well as for the entire sample, which also showed a lack of market timing abilities and presence of stock selection abilities.
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Dellva, Wilfred L., Andrea L. DeMaskey, and Colleen A. Smith. "Selectivity and Market Timing Performance of Fidelity Sector Mutual Funds." Financial Review 36, no. 1 (February 2001): 39–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6288.2001.tb00003.x.
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Musah, Abubakar, Damankah Basil Senyo, and Eliasu Nuhu. "Market timing and selectivity performance of mutual funds in Ghana." Management Science Letters 4, no. 7 (2014): 1361–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.5267/j.msl.2014.6.036.
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Frijns, Bart, Aaron Gilbert, and Remco C. J. Zwinkels. "Market timing ability and mutual funds: a heterogeneous agent approach." Quantitative Finance 13, no. 10 (October 2013): 1613–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2013.791749.
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Shichor, David. "The late trading and market-timing scandal of mutual funds." Crime, Law and Social Change 57, no. 1 (November 22, 2011): 15–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10611-011-9344-z.
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Sari, Mega Mustika, Sri Mulyati, and Estu Widarwati. "PENGARUH STOCK SELESCTION SKIIL, MARKET TIMING ABILITY, TURNOVER RATIO DAN CASH FLOW TERHADAP KINERJA REKSA DANA SYARIAH." TSARWATICA (Islamic Economic, Accounting, and Management Journal) 1, no. 01 (July 12, 2019): 45–55. http://dx.doi.org/10.35310/tsarwatica.v1i01.80.
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Mutual funds syariah are other investment opportunities with measurable risk and return is high enough with enough capital affordable to the community. Mutual funds syariah have an Investment Manager with the ability and knowledge of the market it is or will happen. Therefore, mutual funds syariah selected by investors because it is cheap, easy and "managed by the experts".
This research analysted do stock selection skill, market timing ability, Turnover ratio and Cashflow can influence the performance of equity mutual funds syariah in Indonesia. The data used in this research are data on financial statements , Net Asset Value (NAV), SBI, IHSG, yearly data and prospectus of 10 equity mutual fund syariah that were sampled during this research report from 2011-2014.
As a research methodology, we used F test and t test to examine research’s hypothesis, also used assumption classic test there are normality test, autocorrelation test, heteroscedasticity test and multicolinearity test. These results can be viewed on multiple regression analysis and the coefficient of determination, the R value of 0.513 means the relation between the stock selection skill, market timing ability, Turnover ratio and Cashflow to profitability by 51.3%, meaning that the relationship between variables was most closely. Adjusted R Square value of 0.545 which means 54,5% achievement of profitability can be explained by the stock selection skill, market timing ability, Turnover ratio and Cashflow. The remaining 45,5% can be explained by other factors not examined in this research..
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Prasetyo Hutomo, Tri Kuncoro, and Sutrisno. "The Effect of Market Timing Ability and Inflation Rate on Asset Allocation and Performance of Islamic Mutual Funds in Indonesia." International Journal of Economics, Business and Management Research 06, no. 09 (2022): 253–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.51505/ijebmr.2022.6918.
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This study aims to determine and understand the effect of the two research models. The first model is the effect of the independent variables market timing ability and inflation rate on the dependent variable asset allocation. The second model is the effect of independent variables market timing ability, inflation rates, and asset allocation on the performance of Islamic mutual funds in Indonesia (July 2017-June 2022 Period). Mutual fund performance is measured by the Omega Ratio with a minimum expected return threshold of 10%. The sample selection technique uses purposive sampling and uses 5 samples of Islamic funds that have a barometer below 3 or are considered unfavorable. The research method is quantitative by testing t partial using SPSS 28 software. The results of the t test show that partially, market timing ability and inflation rate have no effect on asset allocation and mutual fund performance, while asset allocation has a negative effect on mutual fund performance.
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Das, Praveen K., and S. P. Uma Rao. "Market timing and selectivity performance of socially responsible funds." Social Responsibility Journal 11, no. 2 (June 1, 2015): 258–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/srj-07-2013-0088.
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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the market timing and stock selection abilities of socially responsible (SR) mutual funds. Some high-profile SR fund managers try to embrace market timing and security selection plans to add value to the performance. Market timing relies on forecasting the equity market and shifting assets into or out of the market in anticipation of market movements. The selectivity measure assesses fund managers ability to select undervalued securities. Furthermore, the authors examine whether fund characteristics play any role in market timing and security selection ability. Design/methodology/approach – The authors use Treynor and Mazuy's’ (1966) and Henriksson and Mertons’ (1981) model to examine the market timing and security selection ability. The study uses a decade of monthly returns to examine the skills of fund managers in the SR industry for the period from July 2002 to June 2012. Findings – The main findings are that the managers – though not very successful – do indulge in stock selection and market timing activities. It was found that 48 funds have positive statistically significant stock selectivity coefficients and only a very small number of five funds with positive statistically significant market timing coefficients. Results suggest that there is a trade-off between the two activities. It was found that aggressive funds, funds with higher growth rate and riskier funds are more likely to engage in market timing rather than stock selection. Practical implications – The implication is that SR managers cannot achieve superior stock selection and market timing ability simultaneously. Risk-averting investors in SR funds expect SR behavior from the managers. This means that managers of SR funds, with very little evidence of market timing ability, may have to refrain from market timing of SR funds. Originality/value – Using a Morningstar dataset comprising almost all SR funds in existence as of June 2012, this is probably the most exhaustive long-term study to date on market timing and stock selection abilities of SR fund managers.
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Budiono, Mochammad Arif, and Musdalifah Azis. "The Effect of Market Timing Ability and Fund Size on Mutual Fund Performance of Mutual Fund Companies in Indonesia." AFEBI Economic and Finance Review 5, no. 1 (June 29, 2020): 45. http://dx.doi.org/10.47312/aefr.v5i01.452.
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<p align="justify"><em>This study aims to analyze the effect of market timing ability and fund size of mutual funds on the performance of equity funds. This research was conducted at a mutual fund company registered in the Financial Services Authority (OJK) 2018-2019 period. This study uses purposive sampling with a total sample of 65 mutual fund shares. The type of data used is quantitative data and data sources in the form of company annual financial statements. Data analysis tools used are descriptive statistics and panel data regression. The results of this study indicate that the market timing ability has a significant positive effect on the mutual fund performance and the fund size has a significant negative effect on the mutual fund performance.</em></p>
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Tan, Ömer Faruk. "Mutual Fund Performance: Evidence From South Africa." EMAJ: Emerging Markets Journal 5, no. 2 (November 12, 2015): 49–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.5195/emaj.2015.83.
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This paper aims to evaluate the performance of South African equity funds between January 2009 and November 2014. This study period overlaps with the study period of quantitative easing during which developing economies in financial markets have been influenced severely. Thanks to the increase in the money supply directed towards the capital markets, a relief was experienced in related markets following the crisis period. During this 5-year 10-month period, in which the relevant quantitative easing continued, Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) yielded approximately %16 compounded on average, per year. In this study, South African equity funds are examined in order to compare these funds' performance within this period.Within this scope- 10 South African equity funds are selected. In order to measure these funds' performances, the Sharpe ratio (1966), Treynor ratio (1965), Jensen's alpha (1968) methods are used. Jensen's alpha is also used in identifying selectivity skills of fund managers. Furthermore, the Treynor & Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson & Merton (1981) regression analysis methods are applied to ascertain the market timing ability of fund managers. Furthermore, Treynor & Mazuy (1966) regression analysis method is applied for market timing ability of fund managers.
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Stotz, Olaf. "Selection, market timing and style timing of equity mutual funds — evidence from Germany." Journal of Business Economics 77, no. 1 (January 2007): 51–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11573-007-0004-9.
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Totgi, Suchita B. "Significant Insights, Value Orientation and Differences Between the Mutual Fund Investment Flow and Indian Stock Market Returns – A Theoretical Assimilation." International Journal of Research Publication and Reviews 03, no. 12 (2022): 2352–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.55248/gengpi.2022.31274.
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Researchers and academicians from all over the world have become interested in the study of the causal relationship between mutual fund investment flow and stock market returns in recent years. But there is currently a contradictory body of empirical data on this matter. Additionally, there are a few studies that take the case of India into account. In order to better understand the dynamics of the relationship between mutual fund investment flow and stock market returns in India from January 2000 to May 2010, the following article will do just that. The Granger causality tests are applied using the Toda and Yamamoto approach, which yields evidence of a one-way causal relationship between stock market returns and mutual fund investment flow. This suggests that the expansion of stock market activity in India draws mutual funds to the stock market. Therefore, the government and monetary authorities should take the necessary actions to reduce the volatility and increase the efficiency of the capital market. By gathering money from households and investing it in the stock and debt markets, mutual funds enable portfolio diversification and relative risk aversion. In India, a specific type of mutual fund called fixed-income funds invests in debt securities that have been issued by businesses, banks, or the government. In India, fixed-income funds are also referred to as debt funds and income funds. The goal of the current study is to assess the performance of a few selected debt or income mutual fund schemes in India based on their daily NAV using various statistical measures. In the past ten years, income schemes have become more and more popular. The securities that were purchased are referred to as the fund's portfolio. There may have been restrictions on rival products, which led to the emergence of money market and (short-term) bond funds. In this study, the performance of several mutual fund types in India was compared and studied. The results showed that equities funds outperformed income funds. The study also found that institutional fund managers can time their investments and that equity fund managers have significant market timing ability, but broker operated funds did not demonstrate this ability. Additionally, empirical research has shown that fund managers possess significant timing ability and can time their investments to match market conditions.
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Zouaoui. "Selectivity and Market Timing Ability of Fund Managers: Comparative Analysis of Islamic and Conventional HSBC Saudi Mutual Funds." International Journal of Financial Studies 7, no. 3 (September 3, 2019): 48. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijfs7030048.
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This paper empirically compares the market timing, the stock selection and the performance persistence of Islamic and conventional HSBC Saudi mutual funds by using monthly returns from April 2011 to December 2018. The data was grouped into five portfolios based on geographical investment basis (locally, Arab, internationally) and Sharia compliance (Islamic and conventional). The empirical results indicate that Islamic funds underperformed conventional funds internationally but not locally. Findings suggest that the market selectivity skills of managers in the Islamic funds are better than the conventional funds. In addition, only the managers of Saudi conventional funds investing internationally have a good market timing skills, thus, they are able to beat the market index by predicting its movements and buying and selling accordingly. Furthermore, this study gives a brief idea about the performance persistence of HSBC Saudi funds. The results confirm existence of the persistence performance when the funds do not apply Sharia law and when they are instead focused internationally.
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Djaddang, Syahril, and Susilawati Susilawati. "KINERJA REKSA DANA SYARIAH DAN KONVENSIONAL: APLIKASI MODEL JENSEN." Jurnal Organisasi dan Manajemen 12, no. 2 (September 27, 2016): 149–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.33830/jom.v12i2.59.2016.
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The objective of this research is to evaluate the balanced shariah mutual fund performance compared with the balanced conventional mutual fund performance during the bull market of 2010-2012. Mutual fund performance can be measured by using Jensen Index, Sharpe Index, Treynor Index, MM Index, and TT Index. The information about security selection and market timing ability can be measured by using Henriksson-Merton Model and Treynor-Mazuy Model. The statistic methods used are Mixed Method to test hypothesis are one sample t-test, independent sample t-test, simple regression analysis, and multiple regression analysis. Finally, the results show that the conventional mutual funds have been able to outperform the shariah mutual funds. This underperform of shariah mutual fund performance can be happened because portofolio managers do not have superiority skills in security selection and market timing and also the differences of each mutual fund attributes. Based on the investigation of the data that is ot significant it indicates implication that investors and potential investors have the option to switch between these shariah mutual funds and conventional mutual funds depending on the market conditions and their personal preferences.
Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengevaluasi syariah kinerja reksa dana dibandingkan dengan kinerja reksa dana konvensional yang seimbang dari 2010-2012. Kinerja reksa dana dapat diukur dengan menggunakan Jensen Index, Sharpe Index, Treynor Index, MM Index, dan TT Index. Informasi tentang pilihan keamanan dan kemampuan market timing dapat diukur dengan menggunakan Henriksson-Merton Model dan Treynor-Mazuy Model. Metode statistik yang digunakan adalah mix model untuk menguji hipotesis adalah salah satu sample t-test, sample t-test independent, analisis regresi sederhana, dan analisis regresi berganda. Akhirnya, hasil menunjukkan bahwa reksa dana konvensional telah mampu mengungguli syariah reksa dana. underperform ini kinerja reksa dana syariah dapat terjadi karena manajer portofolio tidak memiliki keterampilan keunggulan dalam seleksi keamanan dan timing pasar dan juga perbedaan atribut masing-masing reksa dana. Berdasarkan penyelidikan data yang ot signifikan ini menunjukkan implikasi bahwa investor dan calon investor memiliki pilihan untuk beralih antara reksa dana syariah ini dan reksa dana konvensional tergantung pada kondisi pasar dan preferensi pribadi mereka.
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Sabila, Fadiyah Hani. "Stock Selection dan Market Timing Ability Reksa Dana Syariah Saham di Indonesia." Journal of Economic, Public, and Accounting (JEPA) 1, no. 2 (April 26, 2019): 68–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.31605/jepa.v1i2.275.
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The purpose of this research is to know investment manager’s ability on stock selection and market timing of Indonesia sharia equity mutual funds on 2015-2017. Number of sample that use in this research is 15 sample with purposive sampling method. Data analysis technique used is Treynor-Mazuy condition regression model using panel data. This research method using panel data analysis test that is test Chow, Hausman, and Lagrange Multiplier. The result showed that the model chosen is a random effect models. F test and T test results indicate that investment manager’s of Indonesia sharia equity mutual funds have stock selection and market timing ability.
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Żebrowska-Suchodolska, Dorota, and Andrzej Karpio. "Study of the Skills of Balanced Fund Managers in Poland." Contemporary Economics 16, no. 2 (June 2022): 151–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.5709/ce.1897-9254.474.
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The market timing is one of the active methods used by portfolio managers to do their investments more effective. It allows to separate management skills on a micro and macro scale. The market timing applies to the appropriate selection of assets for the portfolio and the right moment to change its structure. The aim of the presented research was to check whether the managers of balanced open-end mutual funds operating on the Polish market apply market timing skills. Nine balanced funds have been accepted for the research, which have existed since at least 2003 year. The research period covered the years 2003-2019. WIBOR 1M was used as the risk-free rate, and the market factors were the main WSE indexes. The research was first conducted based on basic market timing research models, i.e. the Henriksson-Merton and Treynor-Mazuy. Then, these models were expanded to include factors related to the bond market. The Henriksson-Merton and Treynor-Mazuy models and their extensions with additional factors were compared among themselves. Studies show that models with additional factors have proven to be more appropriate for balanced open-end mutual funds. It has occurred that regardless of the model used, market timing skills were similar. In most cases the fund managers did not achieve higher results than the results of the relevant benchmark. Managers tried to follow the trend rather than anticipate it. In most cases, there was also no ability to select assets or market-timing. Most of the parameters standing by these variables were not statistically significant.
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Abdul-Rahim, Ruzita, Aisyah Abdul-Rahman, and Pick-Soon Ling. "PERFORMANCE OF SHARIAH VERSUS CONVENTIONAL FUNDS: LESSONS FROM EMERGING MARKETS." Journal of Nusantara Studies (JONUS) 4, no. 2 (December 18, 2019): 193–218. http://dx.doi.org/10.24200/jonus.vol4iss2pp193-218.
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This study compares the performance of Shariah and conventional mutual funds in emerging markets. The performance of 833 Shariah and conventional funds in 6 emerging markets from 2000 to 2015 was analyzed. We analyzed the Sharpe index, Treynor index, and Jensen’s alpha to compare the performance of Shariah and conventional funds. Jensen's alpha results conform to those of Sharpe’s in indicating that Shariah funds slightly outperform their conventional counterparts particularly in the case of Malaysia, Pakistan, and South Africa. Conventional funds perform exceptionally well in Egypt. Further investigation using the Henriksson–Merton model shows that fund managers’ performance relies nearly completely on their stock selection skills because they have either inferior or ineffective ability in timing the market. This study is the first cross-country attempt to compare the performance of Shariah and conventional funds in emerging markets in terms of risk-adjusted returns, security selectivity, and market timing capability.
Keywords: Emerging markets, Jensen’s alpha, mutual funds, risk-adjusted performances, Shariah mutual funds
Cite as: Abdul-Rahim, R. Abdul-Rahman, A., & Ling, P-S. (2019). Performance of Shariah versus conventional funds: Lessons from emerging markets. Journal of Nusantara Studies, 4(2), 193-218. http://dx.doi.org/10.24200/jonus.vol4iss2pp193-218
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Kaushik, Abhay, and Anita Pennathur. "On the Timing of Real Estate Mutual Funds across Market Cycles." Journal of Real Estate Practice and Education 16, no. 2 (January 1, 2013): 93–106. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10835547.2013.12091723.
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Matallin-Saez, J. C. "Asymmetric relation in omitted benchmarks and market timing in mutual funds." Applied Economics Letters 10, no. 12 (October 2003): 775–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1350485032000126695.
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