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Journal articles on the topic 'International macroeconomic'

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Published: 10 December 2022
Last updated: 28 January 2023

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1

Andresen and Everaert. "International Macroeconomic Interdependence." Annales d'Économie et de Statistique, no. 6/7 (1987): 161. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/20075652.

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2

Kim, Soyoung, and Jaewoo Lee. "INTERNATIONAL MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS." Macroeconomic Dynamics 19, no. 7 (May 16, 2014): 1509–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1365100513000916.

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This paper investigates the international dimension of economic fluctuations and transmission of structural shocks by estimating a structural VAR model for the United States, the euro area, and Japan—the three largest economies—over the post-Bretton Woods period. The main findings are as follows: (1) Supply-side shocks (technology and supply-level shocks) explain most of the fluctuations in cross-country output deviations. (2) Real-demand shocks are the most important source of real-exchange-rate fluctuations. (3) Current account is usually influenced by all types of shocks, with technology shocks playing a stronger role. In particular, technology shocks play a prominent role in the existing global imbalance (the large external deficit of the United States). (4) Technology and supply-level shocks generate opposite-signed correlations between output differential and current account, whereas real and nominal-demand shocks generate opposite-signed correlations between real exchange rate and current account.
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3

Casey, Eddie. "Do macroeconomic forecasters use macroeconomics to forecast?" International Journal of Forecasting 36, no. 4 (October 2020): 1439–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.02.006.

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4

Ainous, Redouan. "Macroeconomic, Income Inequality, and Poverty Relationship: A Review of Research Perspectives." Review of Black Political Economy 45, no. 2 (June 2018): 123–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0034644618794684.

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The purpose of this study is to review a major section of the literature on macroeconomics and poverty to achieve better perspectives on emerging macroeconomic research streams. The article examines the research on macroeconomics and poverty relationship and presents a conceptual framework. This article discusses the studies published on gross domestic product (GDP) growth, income distribution, inequality, inflation, unemployment, and poverty. An international journal and different articles related to the relatioship between macroeconomics and poverty are examined. The study contributes to the macroeconomic literature by identifying key areas of research on the relationship between macroeconomics and poverty. This survey article is special in that it examines the macroeconomics and poverty literature and summarizes the results to gain a proper understanding of macroeconomics and poverty and also provides perspectives for future research.
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5

Frenkel, Jacob A., Assaf Razin, and Steven Symansky. "International VAT Harmonization: Macroeconomic Effects." Staff Papers - International Monetary Fund 38, no. 4 (December 1991): 789. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3867125.

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6

Balsic, Smiljana. "Macroeconomic aspects of international trade." Ekonomija: teorija i praksa 7, no. 1 (2014): 53–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.5937/etp1401053b.

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7

Prachowny, Martin F. J. "International comparisons of macroeconomic performance." Applied Economics 22, no. 2 (February 1990): 261–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036849000000067.

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8

Arespa, Marta. "MACROECONOMIC VOLATILITY AND INTERNATIONAL INTEGRATION." Bulletin of Economic Research 67, no. 4 (April 21, 2014): 393–410. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/boer.12028.

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9

Agiomirgianakis, George M. "International Macroeconomic Interdependence and International Migration of Labour." International Journal of Finance & Economics 1, no. 2 (April 1996): 133–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-1158(199604)1:2<133::aid-ijfe11>3.0.co;2-s.

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10

BRESSER-PEREIRA, LUIZ CARLOS. "From classical developmentalism and post-Keynesian macroeconomics to new developmentalism." Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 39, no. 2 (June 2019): 187–210. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0101-31572019-2966.

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ABSTRACT New developmentalism was a response to the inability of classical developmentalism and post-Keynesian macroeconomics in leading middle-income countries to resume growth. New developmentalism was born in the 2000s to explain why Latin American countries stopped growing in the 1980s, while East Asian countries continued to catch up. This paper compares new developmentalism with classical developmentalism, which didn’t have a macroeconomics, and with post-Keynesian economics, whose macroeconomics is not devoted to developing countries. And shows that to follow the East Asian example is not enough industrial policy, it is also necessary a macroeconomic policy that sets the five macroeconomic prices right, rejects the growth with foreign savings policy, and keeps the macroeconomic accounts balanced.
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11

Tan, Xiaofen, and Yongjiao Ma. "The impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on international commodity prices." China Finance Review International 7, no. 2 (May 15, 2017): 163–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/cfri-06-2016-0066.

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to empirically analyze the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on a large sample of 19 commodity markets. Design/methodology/approach The authors rely on Jurado et al.’s (2015) measure of macroeconomic uncertainty based on a wide range of monthly macroeconomic and financial indicators and estimate a threshold VAR model to assess whether the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on commodity prices differs under the high- or low-uncertainty state. Findings The findings show that positive macroeconomic uncertainty shocks affect commodity prices returns negatively on average and the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty is generally higher in high-uncertainty states compared with low-uncertainty states. Besides, although the safe-haven role of precious metals is confirmed, energy and industrial markets are more sensitive to short-run and long-run macroeconomic uncertainty, respectively. Research limitations/implications The findings in this study suggest that commodity prices reflect not only the level of economic fundamental but also the volatility of economic fundamental. Originality/value This study empirically analyzes and verifies the influence of macroeconomic uncertainty not only on oil prices but also on four groups of 19 raw materials. As for the methodological issues, the authors rely on a structural threshold vector autoregressive specification for modeling commodity price returns to account for potentially different effects depending on the macroeconomic uncertainty states.
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12

Clark, William Roberts, Usha Nair Reichert, Sandra Lynn Lomas, and Kevin L. Parker. "International and Domestic Constraints on Political Business Cycles in OECD Economies." International Organization 52, no. 1 (1998): 87–120. http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/002081898550563.

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The effect of increased capital mobility on the national control of macroeconomic policy continues to be a topic of debate. Empirical contributions to this debate share the assumption that domestic macroeconomic policy is driven by either partisan or countercyclical motivations, and that the effects of international financial flows have roughly similar effects in all countries. This article reevaluates the integration hypothesis in a framework in which manipulations of the macroeconomy derive from opportunistic motivations. The article emphasizes the ways in which prior institutional choices effect the way these motivations are translated into actions. Evidence from individual country and pooled time-series tests suggests that opportunistic cycles are less likely to occur when (1) a government maintains a fixed exchange rate in the presence of highly mobile capital or (2) when the central bank enjoys above-average independence.
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13

Garcia-Ferrer, A., R. A. Highfield, F. Palm, and A. Zellner. "Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Pooled International Data." Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 5, no. 1 (January 1987): 53. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1391215.

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14

Mittnik, Stefan. "Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Pooled International Data." Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 8, no. 2 (April 1990): 205. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1391982.

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15

Garcia-Ferrer, A., R. A. Highfield, F. Palm, and A. Zellner. "Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Pooled International Data." Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 5, no. 1 (January 1987): 53–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07350015.1987.10509560.

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16

Mittnik, Stefan. "Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Pooled International Data." Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 8, no. 2 (April 1990): 205–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07350015.1990.10509791.

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17

Adam, C., P. Subacchi, and D. Vines. "International macroeconomic policy coordination: an overview." Oxford Review of Economic Policy 28, no. 3 (September 1, 2012): 395–410. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grt001.

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18

HUGHES, BARRY. "MACROECONOMIC WAGE FLEXIBILITY: COMPARATIVE INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE." Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy 5, no. 3 (September 1986): 12–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1759-3441.1986.tb00517.x.

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19

Kavussanos, Manolis G., Stelios N. Marcoulis, and Angelos G. Arkoulis. "Macroeconomic factors and international industry returns." Applied Financial Economics 12, no. 12 (December 2002): 923–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09603100110069374.

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20

Edmond, Chris. "International Macroeconomic R&D Spillovers." Economic Analysis and Policy 28, no. 1 (March 1998): 17–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0313-5926(98)50002-1.

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21

Frankel, Jeffrey A. "Obstacles to International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination." Journal of Public Policy 8, no. 3-4 (July 1988): 353–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0143814x00008667.

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ABSTRACTThis paper considers the effects of uncertainty on the magnitude of prospective welfare gains from international macroeconomic policy coordination. Three different sources of uncertainty are studied: the initial state of the economy; the correct welfare weights to be assigned to policy targets; and the impact on the economy that economic models attribute to policy changes. Simulation results show that uncertainty about any of the three reduces the likely gains from coordination and creates the possibility of negative effects. The gains from improved economic knowledge can be quite substantial in relation to the gains from coordination. This suggests that the development and exchange of economic information can be an important function of international cooperation.
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22

Beltratti, Andrea, and Claudio Morana. "International house prices and macroeconomic fluctuations." Journal of Banking & Finance 34, no. 3 (March 2010): 533–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.08.020.

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23

Popper, Helen, Alex Mandilaras, and Graham Bird. "Trilemma stability and international macroeconomic archetypes." European Economic Review 64 (November 2013): 181–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2013.08.006.

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24

Rose, Andrew K., and Mark M. Spiegel. "International financial remoteness and macroeconomic volatility." Journal of Development Economics 89, no. 2 (July 2009): 250–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2008.04.005.

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25

Edison, Hali J. "Obstacles to international macroeconomic policy coordination." Journal of International Economics 27, no. 3-4 (November 1989): 390–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0022-1996(89)90071-8.

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26

Adams, Zeno, and Roland Füss. "Macroeconomic determinants of international housing markets." Journal of Housing Economics 19, no. 1 (March 2010): 38–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhe.2009.10.005.

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27

Apergis, Nicholas. "International Real Estate Review." International Real Estate Review 6, no. 1 (June 30, 2003): 63–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.53383/100046.

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This study analyses the dynamic effects of specific macroeconomic variables (i.e. housing loan rates, inflation and employment) on the price of new houses sold in Greece. An error correction vector autoregressive (ECVAR) model is used to model the impact of the macroeconomic variables on real housing prices. Variance decompositions show that the housing loan rate is the variable with the highest explanatory power over the variation of real housing prices, followed by inflation and employment.
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28

Basorudin, Muhammad, Harwin Dwi, Hartini Sri, Gantjang Amannullah, and Hamid Rachmadani. "The vulnerable financial issue: Capital flight in Indonesia." European Journal of Applied Economics 18, no. 1 (2021): 89–105. http://dx.doi.org/10.5937/ejae18-26921.

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Indonesia is a developing country with a high demand for capital from both domestic and international sources. However, international capital flows are needed the most. For non-Western countries, especially Indonesia, capital flight is an unfavourable financial problem. This research aims to summarise capital flight from Indonesia and analyse the impact of macroeconomic and non-macroeconomic determinants through capital flight. Macroeconomic determinants include budget deficits, economic growth, inflation rates, and exchange rates. Nonmacroeconomic determinants are the degree of trade openness, interest rate differences, and dummy ratings. The data comes from the Bank of Indonesia, OECD, Moody's, and BPS-Statistics Indonesia. The coverage of this research is the Indonesian quarter from 2010 to 2018. This period complies with the latest procedures of the sixth edition of the Balance of Payments Manual (BPM 6). In this research, the measurement of the capital flight is the World Bank's residual method, trade misinvoicing method, and combined method. This research finds that, compared with other economics, non-macroeconomics is the most influential determinant of capital flight from Indonesia.
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29

Pudryk, Denys. "International Migration As A Driver Of Country Development." SocioEconomic Challenges 5, no. 1 (2021): 133–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.21272/sec.5(1).133-143.2021.

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The expression of the country’s sustainable socio-political development is its achievement of macroeconomic stability, which, first of all, depends on the ability of the national economy to ensure the growth of macroeconomic indicators. It raises many questions about identifying and evaluating factors that directly and indirectly impact growth. In recent decades, more and more attention is paid to the problems of developed countries’ human capital security and their importance for macroeconomic processes. Human resources can be interpreted as explicit (labor resources) and implicit (ethnic, age, language, qualification distribution, etc.) factor influencing macroeconomic indicators. Since most economically advanced states belong to the category of old nations, they have faced another global problem in the last half-century – the population’s rapid ageing. Their gradual degeneration leads to the inhibition of positive macroeconomic processes. Therefore there is a need to attract new human resources, and migration is one of the most effective levers to solve this problem. However, migration can pose several threats to both the destination country and the donor country. In the economic context for the destination country, the most serious of these is the lack of the desired improvement in human potential due to the influx of low-skilled workers. In contrast, for the country of origin, there is a brain drain. It creates the problem of determining the factors that affect population migration between the donor country and the destination country, and their correlation with macroeconomic indicators. The purpose of this work is to conduct a generalized analysis of methodologies for assessing the interconnectedness of macroeconomic and migration determinants and identifying commonalities. According to the work results, it was found that most of the analyzed scientists use simple estimation models, filling them with related indirect migration factors and macroeconomic indicators, which are formed depending on the primary goal of the work. Thus, this study allows us to create a list of migration determinants commonly used in typical results, to form an updated methodological framework.
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30

Coeurdacier, Nicolas, and Hélène Rey. "Home Bias in Open Economy Financial Macroeconomics." Journal of Economic Literature 51, no. 1 (March 1, 2013): 63–115. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jel.51.1.63.

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Home bias is a perennial feature of international capital markets. We review various explanations of this puzzling phenomenon highlighting recent developments in macroeconomic modeling that incorporate international portfolio choices in standard two-country general equilibrium models. We refer to this new literature as Open Economy Financial Macroeconomics. We focus on three broad classes of explanations: (i) hedging motives in frictionless financial markets (real exchange rate and nontradable income risk), (ii) asset trade costs in international financial markets (such as transaction costs or differences in tax treatments between national and foreign assets), and (iii) informational frictions and behavioral biases. Recent theories call for new portfolio facts beyond equity home bias. We present new evidence on cross-border asset holdings across different types of assets: equities, bonds and bank lending and new micro data on institutional holdings of equity at the fund level. These data should inform macroeconomic modeling of the open economy and a growing literature of models of delegated investment. (JEL E13, F41, G11, G12, G15)
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31

Willett, Thomas D. "National Macroeconomic Policy Preferences and International Coordination Issues." Journal of Public Policy 8, no. 3-4 (July 1988): 235–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0143814x00008618.

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ABSTRACTThis paper stresses the importance of taking domestic economic structures and political pressures into account when considering issues of international macroeconomic policy coordination. The existence of domestic biases can cause policy coordination to increase rather than reduce macroeconomic instability. The paper offers a survey of the literature on national macroeconomic policy preferences and inflation unemployment tradeoffs. While this research is still in its infancy, it is clear that there are important differences across countries which must be taken into account in designing coordination strategies.
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32

Karim, Zulkefly Abdul, and Bakri Abdul Karim. "Interest Rates Targeting of Monetary Policy: An Open Economy SVAR Study of Malaysia." Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business 16, no. 1 (February 28, 2014): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.22146/gamaijb.5464.

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This paper examines the implementation of monetary policy during the interest rates targeting in a small-open economy (i.e. Malaysia) by using an open-economy structural VAR (SVAR) study. It tests the effect of foreign shocks upon domestic macroeconomic fluctuations and monetary policy, and examines how effective monetary policy is in influencing macroeconomic variables. The results show that during interest rates targeting, monetary policy plays a significant role in affecting macroeconomics variables. This finding suggests that monetary policy has an important role as a stabilization policy in a small-open economy.
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33

Vaubel, Roland. "International Collusion or Competition for Macroeconomic Policy Coordination? A Restatement." Recherches économiques de Louvain 51, no. 3-4 (December 1985): 223–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0770451800082609.

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Ever since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System, there has been a chorus of economists calling for internationally negotiated coordination of macroeconomic policies. Most of them work for international organisations or have developed a special interest in discretionary macro-policy or optimal-control theory.At the same time, very little centralised coordination has actually taken place. Exchange rate surveillance by the International Monetary Fund does not seem to have played a major role. The economic summit meetings are not used to coordinate macro-policy any longer. Even the first Bonn Summit (1978), the apparent showpiece of centralised coordination, does not seem to have yielded internationally negotiated macroeconomic policy concessions from national governments, but rather enabled their leaders to pursue their domestic objectives against strong internal opposition.
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34

Hu, Yuqing, and Piyush Tiwari. "International Real Estate Review." International Real Estate Review 24, no. 2 (June 30, 2021): 293–322. http://dx.doi.org/10.53383/100323.

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This paper identifies the impact of macroeconomic determinants of commercial property investment and development markets in Australia. A Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter is used to filter the cyclical components of commercial property investment and development time series. In order to identify the long-run relationships and short-run dynamics, coupled with causality between these factors and property cycles, the investment and development property cycles are analyed with respect to the movement of nine macroeconomic factors by using time series data from 1987 to 2016. The empirical results suggest that the Australian commercial property market is often in an overdemand situation rather than oversupply, which can be explained by the different patterns of the property cycles on the demand and supply sides. Property investment cycles are shorter and more volatile than development cycles at around 8-10 years and more than 20 years, respectively, since there is a larger elasticity of the macroeconomic factors that underlie the investment market with short-term dynamics, while the development cycle is mainly affected by such factors moderately in the long run. Both the investment and development markets are intensively affected by financing related variables rather than market-sentiment and economic-cycle related variables.
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35

Londono, Juan M., and Nancy R. Xu. "The Global Determinants of International Equity Risk Premiums." International Finance Discussion Paper 2021, no. 1318 (May 18, 2021): 1–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.17016/ifdp.2021.1318.

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We examine the commonality in international equity risk premiums by linking empirical evidence for the international stock return predictability of US downside and upside variance risk premiums (DVP and UVP, respectively) with implications from an international asset pricing framework, which takes the perspective of a US/global investor and features asymmetric global macroeconomic, financial market, and risk aversion shocks. We find that DVP and UVP predict international stock returns through different global equity risk premium determinants: bad and good macroeconomic uncertainties, respectively. Across countries, US investors demand lower macroeconomic risk compensation but higher financial market risk compensation for more-integrated countries.
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36

Patel, Chirag B. "Equity Prices and Macroeconomic Fundamentals: International Evidence." CFA Digest 41, no. 3 (August 2011): 42–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.2469/dig.v41.n3.5.

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37

Hoffmann, Mathias. "International macroeconomic fluctuations and the current account." Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue Canadienne d`Economique 36, no. 2 (May 2003): 401–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1540-5982.t01-1-00006.

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38

Grammenos, Costas TH, and Angelos G. Arkoulis. "Macroeconomic Factors and International Shipping Stock Returns." International journal of maritime economics 4, no. 1 (March 2002): 81–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.ijme.9100033.

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39

HIGGINS, C. I. "MACROECONOMIC POLICY ADVISING AT THE INTERNATIONAL LEVEL." Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy 5, no. 1 (March 1986): 1–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1759-3441.1986.tb00500.x.

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40

Mandelman, Federico S. "Labor market polarization and international macroeconomic dynamics." Journal of Monetary Economics 79 (May 2016): 1–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2016.01.004.

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41

Max Corden, W. "Macroeconomic Policy: Some International Lessors for Australia." Economic Analysis and Policy 25, no. 1 (March 1995): 3–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0313-5926(95)50001-3.

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42

Clinton, Kevin, Roberto Garcia-Saltos, Marianne Johnson, Ondrej Kamenik, and Douglas Laxton. "International deflation risks under alternative macroeconomic policies." Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 24, no. 2 (June 2010): 140–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jjie.2009.12.007.

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43

Laopodis, Nikiforos T. "Equity prices and macroeconomic fundamentals: International evidence." Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 21, no. 2 (April 2011): 247–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2010.10.006.

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44

Corsetti, Giancarlo, and Luca Dedola. "A macroeconomic model of international price discrimination." Journal of International Economics 67, no. 1 (September 2005): 129–55. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2004.09.009.

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45

Allegret, Jean-Pierre, Cécile Couharde, and Valérie Mignon. "Introduction: Recent international macroeconomic and financial issues." International Economics 133 (May 2013): 1–7. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2013.04.006.

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46

Guoguang, Liu. "Economic Reform and Macroeconomic Management: Commentaries on the International Conference on Macroeconomic Management." Chinese Economic Studies 20, no. 3 (April 1987): 3–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.2753/ces1097-147520033.

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47

Adams, Patrick A., Tobias Adrian, Nina Boyarchenko, and Domenico Giannone. "Forecasting macroeconomic risks." International Journal of Forecasting 37, no. 3 (July 2021): 1173–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.01.003.

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48

Al Mustofa, Muhammad Ubaidillah, Imron Mawardi, Tika Widiastuti, and Dewie Saktia Ardiantono. "MACROECONOMY IMPACTS ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE BETWEEN INDONESIA AND ISLAMIC COUNTRIES." Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam (Journal of Islamic Economics and Business) 6, no. 1 (June 30, 2020): 134. http://dx.doi.org/10.20473/jebis.v6i1.14138.

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As one of the members of the Organisation of Islamic Corporation (OIC), Indonesia has excellent trade prospects. Therefore, this study has a purpose to examine the impact of macroeconomics factors on trade between Indonesia and intra-OIC countries. The variables of macroeconomics in this study consist of country risks, inflation, exchange rate, oil price, and economic growth. Quantitative is the right method for this study, applying Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression with the help of EViews. The data used for the analysis is a time horizon with annual frequency from 1986 to 2016. Furthermore, finding shows that almost all variables of macroeconomics play an insignificant role in determining the trade between Indonesia and Islamic countries. However, the oil price is the only variable to show its contribution towards trade between Indonesia and intra-OIC countries. The results indicate that macroeconomic variables do not contribute to the key decisions for conducting trade internationally. Political factors and bilateral treaties become better variables to explain Indonesia's trade with other Islamic countries.
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49

Costabile, Lilia. "Istitutions for Social Well-Being: alcune risposte." QA Rivista dell'Associazione Rossi-Doria, no. 3 (August 2009): 103–11. http://dx.doi.org/10.3280/qu2009-003005.

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- Answering the round table participants, the author illustrates the project of this book and its main findings. While the book implies a focus on social policy, the contributors have brought to it their expertise not only in welfare economics but also in macroeconomic and monetary policy. This article outlines how social policy relates to these economic issues, and adopts an international political economy approach both in explaining hierarchies among countries, and in calling into question the "efficiency/equality trade off" as a useful instrument in comparing the economic performance of Europe and the US. Finally, the article discusses the issue of a possible convergence between the social models of Europe towards those of the best performing countries.EconLit Classification: D600, E120, F300, F400, F500Keywords: Welfare Economic, Growth, Globalization, Open Economy Macroeconomics, European Monetary UnionParole chiave: Welfare state, Crescita, Globalizzazione, Macroeconomia delle economie aperte, Unione monetaria europea
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50

Katusiime, Lorna. "International monetary spillovers and macroeconomic stability in developing countries." National Accounting Review 3, no. 3 (2021): 310–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.3934/nar.2021016.

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<abstract> <p>This paper analyses the impact of international spillovers on macroeconomic stability in developing countries. Specifically, the study investigates the impact of United States (US) monetary policy spillovers in the form of US inflation and Federal funds interest rate on Uganda and Kenya's inflation rates, interest rates and the exchange rates, key macroeconomic indicators of importance to macroeconomic stability. The focus on international spillovers from the USA is due to the dominant role it plays in determining global economic conditions. The study applies the Generalized Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach to quantify spillovers across these economies. The results shows that despite recent efforts towards East African regional integration, international spillovers from global economies like the US are more significant in determining macroeconomic stability in developing countries, underscoring the importance of global policy coordination. Specifically, we find an amplification of return and volatility spillovers after the onset of the Global financial crisis.</p> </abstract>
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