Academic literature on the topic 'Industry expectations'

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Journal articles on the topic "Industry expectations"

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Trauth, Eileen M., Douglas W. Farwell, and Denis Lee. "The IS Expectation Gap: Industry Expectations versus Academic Preparation." MIS Quarterly 17, no. 3 (September 1993): 293. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/249773.

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Clear, Tony. "IT industry employers expectations." ACM Inroads 6, no. 2 (May 29, 2015): 20–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/2767692.

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Czerwińska-Lubszczyk, Agnieszka, Michalene Grebski, and Dominika Jagoda-Sobalak. "Competencies of Graduates – An Industry Expectation." Management Systems in Production Engineering 30, no. 2 (May 19, 2022): 172–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/mspe-2022-0021.

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Abstract Changes in the environment of industry may affect the expectations related to the competencies of the employees. Changes to the education system and curricula may be required. The main purpose of this research paper was to analyze the expectations of the industries related to competencies of graduates of engineering programs. The paper presents preliminary research. The survey was conducted at twenty-eight companies within the area of technical university in Poland. Based on the survey, data was collected related to the level of preparation of engineering graduates as well as the industry expectations related to the preparation of engineering graduates. This was done for the purpose of determining the gap between industry expectations and the level of preparation of the engineering graduates. Enterprises expect a wide range of competences from engineering graduates. The most important areas of competence included soft competences and practical knowledge and skills. The biggest gap between industry expectation and graduate’s preparation are the soft skills. Recommendations were suggested which would be incorporated in the engineering curriculum for the purpose of continuous quality improvement.
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Olkkonen, Laura, and Vilma Luoma-aho. "Public relations as expectation management?" Journal of Communication Management 18, no. 3 (July 29, 2014): 222–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jcom-02-2013-0012.

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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to assess how expectation management can contribute strategically to communication management, and how understanding and managing expectations can increase organizations’ sensitivity toward stakeholder voices and concerns. Design/methodology/approach – An example of mapping and identifying expectations is presented as a result of a thematic analysis of qualitative interview data, collected from six stakeholder groups of the media industry. Findings – Expectation types and gaps can be identified through the use of systematic expectation mapping, conceptualized in this paper as “expectation management.” Expectation management analyzes expectation types and priorities, and it assists in crafting response strategies. Four types of expectations (must, will, should, and could) were identified in an empirical study of the media industry. Research limitations/implications – As the empirical study focussed on one industry in one country, the findings should be considered an introduction to expectation mapping and expectation management, to be further developed in other settings. Practical implications – Organizations can gain strategic advantages by using expectation management to deepen communication management. New skills and processes may be needed to enable communication professionals to analyze and understand the core level of expectations. Social implications – Expectation management can help organizations respond to current societal pressures and help publics voice their concerns toward organizations. Originality/value – A new concept with strategic value is presented. The reported study of mapping and identifying expectations helps to clarity and interpret factors that shape stakeholder relationships and satisfaction on a deeper level.
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Holcomb, E. Jay. "Flower Industry Expectations of Students." HortTechnology 5, no. 1 (January 1995): 81–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.21273/horttech.5.1.81.

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Robson, Paul. "Inflation Expectations in Manufacturing Industry." Economic Outlook 21, no. 3 (May 1997): 18–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1468-0319.00075.

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Thomas, D. G. "Output expectations within manufacturing industry." Applied Economics 27, no. 5 (May 1995): 403–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036849500000145.

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EDWARD BACK, W., and STEVE R. SANDERS. "Industry expectations for engineering graduates." Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 5, no. 2 (February 1998): 137–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/eb021068.

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Back, W. Edward, and Steve R. Sanders. "Industry expectations for engineering graduates." Engineering Construction and Architectural Management 5, no. 2 (June 1998): 137–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-232x.1998.00036.x.

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Rodrigues, Ronald J. "Industry Expectations of the New Engineer." Science & Technology Libraries 19, no. 3-4 (January 2001): 179–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.1300/j122v19n03_12.

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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Industry expectations"

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Cezard, Adélaïde. "Determinants of services expectations, an application to the airline industry." Thesis, National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada, 1999. http://www.collectionscanada.ca/obj/s4/f2/dsk2/ftp01/MQ39079.pdf.

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Jonsson, Fredrik, and Martin Tornkvist. "RSA authentication in Internet of Things : Technical limitations and industry expectations." Thesis, KTH, Skolan för datavetenskap och kommunikation (CSC), 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-209426.

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The objective of this thesis is to evaluate if it is possible to run RSA authentication in a specified scenario. A Raspberry Pi with a limited CPU is used to simulate a low-performance device. A series of tests on this device shows that it is not possible to run RSA authentication in the provided scenario.A survey conducted on IT-professionals shows that there is a strong belief that this is possible. The results shows that there is a disparity between the tested RSA performance and the perception in the industry. However since ambiguity exists in the scenario it is hard to draw conclusions about the results.
Syftet med den här uppsatsen är att utvärdera om det är möjligt att använda RSA autentisering i ett specificerat scenario. En Raspberry Pi med begränsad CPU används för att simulera en enhet med låg prestanda. Ett antal tester med den här enheten visar att det inte är möjligt att använda RSA autentisering i det givna scenariot. En enkät utgiven till anställda inom IT-branschen visar att det finns en stark uppfattning om att detta är möjligt. Resultatet visar att det finns en avvikelse mellan den testade RSA prestandan och uppfattningen inom branschen. Det existerar dock otydligheter i scenariot vilket gör det svårt att dra slutsatser om resultatet.
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Defries, Robert J. "Minnesota hospitality industry expectations of graduates from the Hotel-Restaurant Management Program at the Alexandria Technical College." Online version, 2001. http://www.uwstout.edu/lib/thesis/2001/2001defriesr.pdf.

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Simmons, Jona Cary Hubbard Susan Sorrells. "Hospitality internships as a career development tool stakeholder perceptions and expectations /." Auburn, Ala., 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/10415/1303.

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Sorensen, Matthew J. "Industry expectations of tourism and hospitality management education at Mount Saint Vincent University." Thesis, National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada, 2000. http://www.collectionscanada.ca/obj/s4/f2/dsk1/tape3/PQDD_0017/MQ49234.pdf.

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Thomas, David Gareth. "Expectations and evolutionary change in a catastrophe investment model for British manufacturing industry." Thesis, University of Hertfordshire, 1997. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.363506.

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Başara, Meltem. "Cultural influences on service quality expectations evidence from the hotel sector in Germany and Spain /." View electronic thesis (PDF), 2009. http://dl.uncw.edu/etd/2009-3/rp/basaram/meltembasara.pdf.

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Apanasevic, Tatjana. "Challenges Related to the Introduction of Innovative Services in the Market : Mobile Payment Services in the Swedish Retail Industry." Licentiate thesis, KTH, Radio Systems Laboratory (RS Lab), 2015. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-172340.

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Mobile payment services are expected to be the next step of the electronic payment evolution. However, the level of penetration in European countries is lower than expected. The focus of most academic research has been in two main areas: (i) mobile payment adoption by consumers and (ii) technical aspects of the service. Consequently, a number of themes remain under-researched. In order to expand knowledge on reasons that affect the wider penetration of mobile payments, challenges related to the introduction of mobile payment services in the market have been explored in this thesis. More specifically, this research has addressed two problem areas: (i) why mobile payments have not been widely adopted by merchants; and (ii) what effects that the introduction of mobile payments has had on the business networks of the involved actors. As an example, we use the mobile payment services applied in the Swedish retail industry. The study is focused on the main groups of stakeholders – the mobile payment providers, the retailers, and the consumers. First, this study has helped to identify what different stakeholders expect of mobile payments and how these services correspond to their needs. In order to analyse the expectations of stakeholders, we have developed an analysis framework based on the theory of diffusion of innovations, the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM), and the theory of network externalities. The analysis highlights the expectations of stakeholders and helps to understand what kind of mobile payment service merchants expect and are willing to adopt. One key finding is that existing mobile payment services for retailing could be further improved in order to ensure an enhanced purchasing process for consumers. Second, the research has explored the impact of mobile payment services on the business networks. In order to analyse the relationships and cooperation between business actors, and changes in business strategy and network structure, we used the approach proposed by the Industrial Marketing and Purchasing (IMP) Group. The performed analysis illustrates the following changes in the structure of business networks for the traditional payment solutions (bank cards): (i) emergence of new business actors (i.e. independent mobile payment providers); (ii) new roles and activities of business actors; and (iii) exclusion of traditional business actors (i.e. banks) from the mobile payment systems. All these changes lead to increased complexity of relationships and increased level of interdependence between business actors within the networks. The following changes in the strategies of involved actors have been identified: (i) mobile payment providers seek to achieve a control over the business network; (ii) the retailers affect strategies of the mobile payment providers; (iii) the marketing strategies of business actors include cross-marketing in different sectors. All these changes result in additional value and enhanced quality of service for consumers. In order to analyse a complex and multidisciplinary area such as mobile payments, it is beneficial to use more than one analysis approach. A combination of different complementing methods helps to explore different aspects of the phenomenon and provides a more comprehensive overview of several research aspects. This work contributes to the academic research of mobile payment service adoption by merchants through proposing a theoretical analysis framework. More specifically, the research addresses a new area – expectations of retailers when new solutions are introduced. The framework consists of the following criteria and aspects: technological feasibility, economic benefits, lower service costs, added value of services, network externalities and the problem of critical mass, and finally, ease of use. This framework helps to identify what merchants can expect of mobile payment services. Another area of contribution is the analysis of the effect that mobile payments make on the actors and business networks of traditional payment services. The introduction of new services results in emergence of new business actors, a need to establish new relationships, and increased complexity of a business network. Moreover, in order to succeed, cooperation between all network actors is needed. As a result, business actors have to adjust their services and strategies according to needs of others.

QC 20150828

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Lawal, Labaran M. "Decommissioning accountability ' expectations gap': The perceptions of stakeholders in Nigerian oil and gas industry." Thesis, University of Dundee, 2008. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.493387.

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Kniatt, Nancy L. (Nancy Louise). "The Effect of Demographics on Customer Expectations for Service Quality in the Lodging Industry." Thesis, University of North Texas, 1995. https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc277825/.

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This study investigated demographic characteristics of 240 Chamber of Commerce members in terms of their expectations for customer service in hotels. Subjects reported their age, gender, marital status, race, educational level, income level and ethnicity, and completed a 26-item questionnaire which measured expectations for customer service. Principal components analysis was used to reduce the 26 items to five dimensions of service quality, and multivariate analysis of variance was used to evaluate the effect of the demographic variables on those dimensions. Gender of the customer was found to have a significant effect on the combined dimensions of service quality; other variables were not significant.
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Books on the topic "Industry expectations"

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Thomas, D. G. Output expectations within manufacturing industry. Hertford: Hatfield Polytechnic Business School, 1991.

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Hutchings, John B. Expectations and the Food Industry. Boston, MA: Springer US, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0707-9.

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Low expectations. London: Quercus, 2014.

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Rhodes, J. C. The Wyoming timber industry: Structure, conduct, expectations. Casper, Wyo. (P.O. Box 2760, Casper 82602): Wyoming Dept. of Employment, Research and Planning Division, 1992.

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Jim, Northcott. Robots in British industry: Expectations and experience. London: Policy Studies Institute, 1986.

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Chant, John F. Free trade in the financial sector: Expectations and experience. Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada: Fraser Institute, 1992.

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Expectations and the food industry: The impact of color and appearance. New York: Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers, 2003.

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Hutchings, John B. Expectations and the food industry: The impact of color and appearance. New York: Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers, 2003.

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Hotel and Catering Training Company. Employment in the catering & hospitality industry: Employee attitudes and career expectations. London: Hotel & Catering Training Company, 1994.

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Esser, Robert. Great expectations: The future of U.S. natural gas supply. Cambridge, Mass: Cambridge Energy Research Associates, 1991.

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Book chapters on the topic "Industry expectations"

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Hutchings, John B. "Expectations, Color and Appearance." In Expectations and the Food Industry, 1–8. Boston, MA: Springer US, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0707-9_1.

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Bode, Thilo. "Public Expectations Toward Private Industry." In Issues in Business Ethics, 33–40. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 1995. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-0399-2_4.

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Hutchings, John B. "Perception of Color and Appearance." In Expectations and the Food Industry, 9–28. Boston, MA: Springer US, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0707-9_2.

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Hutchings, John B. "Lighting and Illumination." In Expectations and the Food Industry, 29–40. Boston, MA: Springer US, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0707-9_3.

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Hutchings, John B. "Expectations and Appearance of the Stranger." In Expectations and the Food Industry, 41–55. Boston, MA: Springer US, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0707-9_4.

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Hutchings, John B. "Expectations, Color and Appearance in Advertising and Packaging." In Expectations and the Food Industry, 57–74. Boston, MA: Springer US, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0707-9_5.

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Hutchings, John B. "Expectations, Color and Appearance of Building Façades." In Expectations and the Food Industry, 77–82. Boston, MA: Springer US, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0707-9_6.

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Hutchings, John B. "Expectations, Color and Appearance in the Store." In Expectations and the Food Industry, 83–101. Boston, MA: Springer US, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0707-9_7.

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Hutchings, John B. "Expectations, Color and Appearance in the Food and Drink Consumption Environment." In Expectations and the Food Industry, 103–39. Boston, MA: Springer US, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0707-9_8.

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Hutchings, John B. "Expectations, Color and Appearance of Food." In Expectations and the Food Industry, 141–75. Boston, MA: Springer US, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0707-9_9.

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Conference papers on the topic "Industry expectations"

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Sanders, Charlie E. "Equipment User's Future Expectations." In Earthmoving Industry Conference & Exposition. 400 Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale, PA, United States: SAE International, 1992. http://dx.doi.org/10.4271/920900.

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Mendonça, Jorge, Carla Pinto, and Lurdes Babo. "INDUSTRY 5.0 EXPECTATIONS OF ENGINEERING CRITICAL THINKING." In 12th International Conference on Education and New Learning Technologies. IATED, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.21125/edulearn.2020.2096.

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Hewes, C. R., and P. K. Rajasekaran. "DSPS education: an industry leader's experiences and expectations." In 1999 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech, and Signal Processing. Proceedings. ICASSP99 (Cat. No.99CH36258). IEEE, 1999. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icassp.1999.758329.

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Stevens, Matt, and Richard Norman. "Industry expectations of soft skills in IT graduates." In ACSW '16: Australasian Computer Science Week. New York, NY, USA: ACM, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/2843043.2843068.

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King, Kevin F., Adriana Kanwischer, and Rob Peters. "Imaging industry expectations for compressed sensing in MRI." In SPIE Optical Engineering + Applications, edited by Manos Papadakis, Vivek K. Goyal, and Dimitri Van De Ville. SPIE, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1117/12.2186023.

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Stecklein, G. L. "Industrial Outsourcing of R & amp;D: Expectations and Actualizations." In Earthmoving Industry Conference & Exposition. 400 Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale, PA, United States: SAE International, 1990. http://dx.doi.org/10.4271/900884.

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Radermacher, Alex, and Gursimran Walia. "Gaps between industry expectations and the abilities of graduates." In Proceeding of the 44th ACM technical symposium. New York, New York, USA: ACM Press, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/2445196.2445351.

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Bosselmann, T. "Magneto- and Electrooptic Transformers meet expectations of power industry." In Optical Fiber Sensors. Washington, D.C.: OSA, 1997. http://dx.doi.org/10.1364/ofs.1997.owa6.

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Radermacher, Alex, Gursimran Walia, and Dean Knudson. "Investigating the skill gap between graduating students and industry expectations." In ICSE '14: 36th International Conference on Software Engineering. New York, NY, USA: ACM, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/2591062.2591159.

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Yazici, Ali, Alok Mishra, Ziya Karakaya, and Tolga Ustunkok. "Informatics Engineering Education in Turkey and Expectations of Software Industry." In 2018 3rd International Conference on Computer Science and Engineering (UBMK). IEEE, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ubmk.2018.8566669.

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Reports on the topic "Industry expectations"

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Andrade, Philippe, Olivier Coibion, Erwan Gautier, and Yuriy Gorodnichenko. No Firm is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms' Aggregate Expectations. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, June 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w27317.

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Greene, Anne, Kelly Waldron, and Nuala Calnan. Quality Risk Management: State of the Industry—Part 1. Has the Industry Realized the Full Value of ICH Q9? Institute of Validation Technology, January 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21507090.ar1152014agkwnc-qrmsoi.

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This paper summarizes research designed to characterize the current state of pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries with respect to the adoption of Quality Risk Management as per ICH Q9. The research supports the hypotheses that the full value of QRM with respect to product quality and patient safety has not yet been realized. In addition, industry appears to be lagging behind regulatory expectations with respect to QRM maturity, indicating that current approaches to QRM require significant improvement.
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Singh, Niranjan, Jone Tawaketini,, Roman Kudin, and Gerry Hamilton. Are We Building Agile Graduate Capabilities to Meet Automotive Service Industry Trends? Unitec ePress, February 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.34074/ocds.085.

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The inexorable use of electronic technology and rising user expectations of motorised transport are quickly moving the service industry towards a rapidly changing environment. To maintain the ability to deal with new and emerging technologies, industry leaders will need to rethink how they will address their staffing strategies. In this research, we found that the New Zealand automotive service industry is markedly different from what it was twenty years ago as technology in vehicles have been increased due to environmental legislation and customer demands. The service industry is going through a technological revolution as new more environmentally friendly vehicles are introduced into the fleet. Further technological complications are added as vehicle safety is improved through automation of vehicles and soon to become common, fully autonomous vehicles. Service technician training programmes must be modified to ensure that the industry is capable of dealing with high technology vehicles when they come up for service or repair.
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Unzeta, Bruno Bueno, Jan de Boer, Ruben Delvaeye, Nikodem Derengowski, Bertrand Deroisy, Marc Fontoynont, Daniel Neves Pimenta, Per Reinhold, Sophie Stoffer, and Robert Weitlaner. Review of new systems and trends. IEA SHC Task 61, October 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.18777/ieashc-task61-2021-0010.

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Innovative and integrative lighting solutions are a rapidly developing trend among BMS manufacturers. They are being implemented in various systems from industry-leading firms, however they are met with a challenge of finding the best possible compromise between occupant expectations and optimization of building operation.
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Marsden, Nick, and Niranjan Singh. Preparing Vocational Students for Future Workplaces: Towards a course evaluation of the Unitec Bachelor of Applied Engineering. Unitec ePress, September 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.34074/ocds.42017.

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This exploratory study set out to evaluate how well a particular course in automotive engineering is set up to enable students to develop skills necessary to enter the workplace. The research set out to identify trends in student expectations and in the needs of employers at a time when this field of work is characterised by disruptive technological developments such as computerisation and automation. The intended outcome of the research is that the findings will assist the critical thinking of course designers as they reflect on modifications that might be necessary for Unitec Bachelor of Applied Technology (BAT) graduate attributes to fully meet future workplace demands. It is also an aim that this exploratory evaluation of a small cohort of students can, despite its limitations, identify trends for future pedagogical research in the ITP (Institutes of Technology and Polytechnics) sector. Although not a full course evaluation, this study invited feedback from students and recent graduates in relevant employment regarding the alignment of the Unitec Bachelor of Applied Technology (BAT) course design with their perceptions of skills necessary in the workplace. Another intention was to highlight any misalignments between the realities of the automotive engineering sector and student expectations of the course: To what degree are work capability expectations in agreement between the student stakeholders and the institution? Are the course goals realistic and in line with actual industry needs? How is the definition of work readiness changing? The paper also samples current speculative thinking about skills that are becoming progressively more important in the workplace, namely the so-called ‘soft skills’ in communication, problem solving, management and collaboration, and in dialogic and creative attributes relevant to increasingly automated and globalised workplaces.
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BALYSH, A. N., and O. B. CHIRICOVA. SOME ASPECTS OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF ROCKET WEAPONS IN THE USSR IN THE 20-40S OF THE XX CENTURY. Science and Innovation Center Publishing House, April 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.12731/2077-1770-2021-14-1-2-91-102.

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The aim of the article. Establishment and development of the USSR rocket weapons for the period of the New Economic Policy and industrialization is one of the most interesting and poorly researched problem of the USSR military industry. The USSR first researches in the field of rocket weapons and ammunition creation, their features and results are poorly investigated by national historical science and just they are observed in the paper. Methodology. General principles of historism and objectivity are the theoretical-methodological base of this work. Author also use special historical methods: logic, systematic, chronological, actualisation and periodizing. Results. The paper is written by using the declassified documents for Official Use Only, by military technical documents, stored in the Russian National Library, little known memories of direct participants and some published researches. By considering these documents and materials it become clear that in the USSR before the Great Patriotic War a complex of problems on rocket weapon implementation were conditioned by objective and subjective reasons. The consequence of this was the adoption of some unfounded species of reactive weapons before the Great Patriotic War, who received an overestimated assessment and not justified all expectations and hopes assigned to them during the fighting. As a result, only by the end of the war these systems began to be used for their true purpose. Practical application. Practical significance of this work is as follows: facts shown in the article and conclusions drawn on them can be used for further research of USSR rocket weapon establishment and development in 20-40th years of XX century and also for Soviet history in general.
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Lazonick, William, Philip Moss, and Joshua Weitz. The Unmaking of the Black Blue-Collar Middle Class. Institute for New Economic Thinking Working Paper Series, May 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.36687/inetwp159.

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In the decade after the Civil Rights Act of 1964, African Americans made historic gains in accessing employment opportunities in racially integrated workplaces in U.S. business firms and government agencies. In the previous working papers in this series, we have shown that in the 1960s and 1970s, Blacks without college degrees were gaining access to the American middle class by moving into well-paid unionized jobs in capital-intensive mass production industries. At that time, major U.S. companies paid these blue-collar workers middle-class wages, offered stable employment, and provided employees with health and retirement benefits. Of particular importance to Blacks was the opening up to them of unionized semiskilled operative and skilled craft jobs, for which in a number of industries, and particularly those in the automobile and electronic manufacturing sectors, there was strong demand. In addition, by the end of the 1970s, buoyed by affirmative action and the growth of public-service employment, Blacks were experiencing upward mobility through employment in government agencies at local, state, and federal levels as well as in civil-society organizations, largely funded by government, to operate social and community development programs aimed at urban areas where Blacks lived. By the end of the 1970s, there was an emergent blue-collar Black middle class in the United States. Most of these workers had no more than high-school educations but had sufficient earnings and benefits to provide their families with economic security, including realistic expectations that their children would have the opportunity to move up the economic ladder to join the ranks of the college-educated white-collar middle class. That is what had happened for whites in the post-World War II decades, and given the momentum provided by the dominant position of the United States in global manufacturing and the nation’s equal employment opportunity legislation, there was every reason to believe that Blacks would experience intergenerational upward mobility along a similar education-and-employment career path. That did not happen. Overall, the 1980s and 1990s were decades of economic growth in the United States. For the emerging blue-collar Black middle class, however, the experience was of job loss, economic insecurity, and downward mobility. As the twentieth century ended and the twenty-first century began, moreover, it became apparent that this downward spiral was not confined to Blacks. Whites with only high-school educations also saw their blue-collar employment opportunities disappear, accompanied by lower wages, fewer benefits, and less security for those who continued to find employment in these jobs. The distress experienced by white Americans with the decline of the blue-collar middle class follows the downward trajectory that has adversely affected the socioeconomic positions of the much more vulnerable blue-collar Black middle class from the early 1980s. In this paper, we document when, how, and why the unmaking of the blue-collar Black middle class occurred and intergenerational upward mobility of Blacks to the college-educated middle class was stifled. We focus on blue-collar layoffs and manufacturing-plant closings in an important sector for Black employment, the automobile industry from the early 1980s. We then document the adverse impact on Blacks that has occurred in government-sector employment in a financialized economy in which the dominant ideology is that concentration of income among the richest households promotes productive investment, with government spending only impeding that objective. Reduction of taxes primarily on the wealthy and the corporate sector, the ascendancy of political and economic beliefs that celebrate the efficiency and dynamism of “free market” business enterprise, and the denigration of the idea that government can solve social problems all combined to shrink government budgets, diminish regulatory enforcement, and scuttle initiatives that previously provided greater opportunity for African Americans in the government and civil-society sectors.
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8

Vargas-Herrera, Hernando, Juan Jose Ospina-Tejeiro, Carlos Alfonso Huertas-Campos, Adolfo León Cobo-Serna, Edgar Caicedo-García, Juan Pablo Cote-Barón, Nicolás Martínez-Cortés, et al. Monetary Policy Report - April de 2021. Banco de la República de Colombia, July 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.32468/inf-pol-mont-eng.tr2-2021.

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1.1 Macroeconomic summary Economic recovery has consistently outperformed the technical staff’s expectations following a steep decline in activity in the second quarter of 2020. At the same time, total and core inflation rates have fallen and remain at low levels, suggesting that a significant element of the reactivation of Colombia’s economy has been related to recovery in potential GDP. This would support the technical staff’s diagnosis of weak aggregate demand and ample excess capacity. The most recently available data on 2020 growth suggests a contraction in economic activity of 6.8%, lower than estimates from January’s Monetary Policy Report (-7.2%). High-frequency indicators suggest that economic performance was significantly more dynamic than expected in January, despite mobility restrictions and quarantine measures. This has also come amid declines in total and core inflation, the latter of which was below January projections if controlling for certain relative price changes. This suggests that the unexpected strength of recent growth contains elements of demand, and that excess capacity, while significant, could be lower than previously estimated. Nevertheless, uncertainty over the measurement of excess capacity continues to be unusually high and marked both by variations in the way different economic sectors and spending components have been affected by the pandemic, and by uneven price behavior. The size of excess capacity, and in particular the evolution of the pandemic in forthcoming quarters, constitute substantial risks to the macroeconomic forecast presented in this report. Despite the unexpected strength of the recovery, the technical staff continues to project ample excess capacity that is expected to remain on the forecast horizon, alongside core inflation that will likely remain below the target. Domestic demand remains below 2019 levels amid unusually significant uncertainty over the size of excess capacity in the economy. High national unemployment (14.6% for February 2021) reflects a loose labor market, while observed total and core inflation continue to be below 2%. Inflationary pressures from the exchange rate are expected to continue to be low, with relatively little pass-through on inflation. This would be compatible with a negative output gap. Excess productive capacity and the expectation of core inflation below the 3% target on the forecast horizon provide a basis for an expansive monetary policy posture. The technical staff’s assessment of certain shocks and their expected effects on the economy, as well as the presence of several sources of uncertainty and related assumptions about their potential macroeconomic impacts, remain a feature of this report. The coronavirus pandemic, in particular, continues to affect the public health environment, and the reopening of Colombia’s economy remains incomplete. The technical staff’s assessment is that the COVID-19 shock has affected both aggregate demand and supply, but that the impact on demand has been deeper and more persistent. Given this persistence, the central forecast accounts for a gradual tightening of the output gap in the absence of new waves of contagion, and as vaccination campaigns progress. The central forecast continues to include an expected increase of total and core inflation rates in the second quarter of 2021, alongside the lapse of the temporary price relief measures put in place in 2020. Additional COVID-19 outbreaks (of uncertain duration and intensity) represent a significant risk factor that could affect these projections. Additionally, the forecast continues to include an upward trend in sovereign risk premiums, reflected by higher levels of public debt that in the wake of the pandemic are likely to persist on the forecast horizon, even in the context of a fiscal adjustment. At the same time, the projection accounts for the shortterm effects on private domestic demand from a fiscal adjustment along the lines of the one currently being proposed by the national government. This would be compatible with a gradual recovery of private domestic demand in 2022. The size and characteristics of the fiscal adjustment that is ultimately implemented, as well as the corresponding market response, represent another source of forecast uncertainty. Newly available information offers evidence of the potential for significant changes to the macroeconomic scenario, though without altering the general diagnosis described above. The most recent data on inflation, growth, fiscal policy, and international financial conditions suggests a more dynamic economy than previously expected. However, a third wave of the pandemic has delayed the re-opening of Colombia’s economy and brought with it a deceleration in economic activity. Detailed descriptions of these considerations and subsequent changes to the macroeconomic forecast are presented below. The expected annual decline in GDP (-0.3%) in the first quarter of 2021 appears to have been less pronounced than projected in January (-4.8%). Partial closures in January to address a second wave of COVID-19 appear to have had a less significant negative impact on the economy than previously estimated. This is reflected in figures related to mobility, energy demand, industry and retail sales, foreign trade, commercial transactions from selected banks, and the national statistics agency’s (DANE) economic tracking indicator (ISE). Output is now expected to have declined annually in the first quarter by 0.3%. Private consumption likely continued to recover, registering levels somewhat above those from the previous year, while public consumption likely increased significantly. While a recovery in investment in both housing and in other buildings and structures is expected, overall investment levels in this case likely continued to be low, and gross fixed capital formation is expected to continue to show significant annual declines. Imports likely recovered to again outpace exports, though both are expected to register significant annual declines. Economic activity that outpaced projections, an increase in oil prices and other export products, and an expected increase in public spending this year account for the upward revision to the 2021 growth forecast (from 4.6% with a range between 2% and 6% in January, to 6.0% with a range between 3% and 7% in April). As a result, the output gap is expected to be smaller and to tighten more rapidly than projected in the previous report, though it is still expected to remain in negative territory on the forecast horizon. Wide forecast intervals reflect the fact that the future evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic remains a significant source of uncertainty on these projections. The delay in the recovery of economic activity as a result of the resurgence of COVID-19 in the first quarter appears to have been less significant than projected in the January report. The central forecast scenario expects this improved performance to continue in 2021 alongside increased consumer and business confidence. Low real interest rates and an active credit supply would also support this dynamic, and the overall conditions would be expected to spur a recovery in consumption and investment. Increased growth in public spending and public works based on the national government’s spending plan (Plan Financiero del Gobierno) are other factors to consider. Additionally, an expected recovery in global demand and higher projected prices for oil and coffee would further contribute to improved external revenues and would favor investment, in particular in the oil sector. Given the above, the technical staff’s 2021 growth forecast has been revised upward from 4.6% in January (range from 2% to 6%) to 6.0% in April (range from 3% to 7%). These projections account for the potential for the third wave of COVID-19 to have a larger and more persistent effect on the economy than the previous wave, while also supposing that there will not be any additional significant waves of the pandemic and that mobility restrictions will be relaxed as a result. Economic growth in 2022 is expected to be 3%, with a range between 1% and 5%. This figure would be lower than projected in the January report (3.6% with a range between 2% and 6%), due to a higher base of comparison given the upward revision to expected GDP in 2021. This forecast also takes into account the likely effects on private demand of a fiscal adjustment of the size currently being proposed by the national government, and which would come into effect in 2022. Excess in productive capacity is now expected to be lower than estimated in January but continues to be significant and affected by high levels of uncertainty, as reflected in the wide forecast intervals. The possibility of new waves of the virus (of uncertain intensity and duration) represents a significant downward risk to projected GDP growth, and is signaled by the lower limits of the ranges provided in this report. Inflation (1.51%) and inflation excluding food and regulated items (0.94%) declined in March compared to December, continuing below the 3% target. The decline in inflation in this period was below projections, explained in large part by unanticipated increases in the costs of certain foods (3.92%) and regulated items (1.52%). An increase in international food and shipping prices, increased foreign demand for beef, and specific upward pressures on perishable food supplies appear to explain a lower-than-expected deceleration in the consumer price index (CPI) for foods. An unexpected increase in regulated items prices came amid unanticipated increases in international fuel prices, on some utilities rates, and for regulated education prices. The decline in annual inflation excluding food and regulated items between December and March was in line with projections from January, though this included downward pressure from a significant reduction in telecommunications rates due to the imminent entry of a new operator. When controlling for the effects of this relative price change, inflation excluding food and regulated items exceeds levels forecast in the previous report. Within this indicator of core inflation, the CPI for goods (1.05%) accelerated due to a reversion of the effects of the VAT-free day in November, which was largely accounted for in February, and possibly by the transmission of a recent depreciation of the peso on domestic prices for certain items (electric and household appliances). For their part, services prices decelerated and showed the lowest rate of annual growth (0.89%) among the large consumer baskets in the CPI. Within the services basket, the annual change in rental prices continued to decline, while those services that continue to experience the most significant restrictions on returning to normal operations (tourism, cinemas, nightlife, etc.) continued to register significant price declines. As previously mentioned, telephone rates also fell significantly due to increased competition in the market. Total inflation is expected to continue to be affected by ample excesses in productive capacity for the remainder of 2021 and 2022, though less so than projected in January. As a result, convergence to the inflation target is now expected to be somewhat faster than estimated in the previous report, assuming the absence of significant additional outbreaks of COVID-19. The technical staff’s year-end inflation projections for 2021 and 2022 have increased, suggesting figures around 3% due largely to variation in food and regulated items prices. The projection for inflation excluding food and regulated items also increased, but remains below 3%. Price relief measures on indirect taxes implemented in 2020 are expected to lapse in the second quarter of 2021, generating a one-off effect on prices and temporarily affecting inflation excluding food and regulated items. However, indexation to low levels of past inflation, weak demand, and ample excess productive capacity are expected to keep core inflation below the target, near 2.3% at the end of 2021 (previously 2.1%). The reversion in 2021 of the effects of some price relief measures on utility rates from 2020 should lead to an increase in the CPI for regulated items in the second half of this year. Annual price changes are now expected to be higher than estimated in the January report due to an increased expected path for fuel prices and unanticipated increases in regulated education prices. The projection for the CPI for foods has increased compared to the previous report, taking into account certain factors that were not anticipated in January (a less favorable agricultural cycle, increased pressure from international prices, and transport costs). Given the above, year-end annual inflation for 2021 and 2022 is now expected to be 3% and 2.8%, respectively, which would be above projections from January (2.3% and 2,7%). For its part, expected inflation based on analyst surveys suggests year-end inflation in 2021 and 2022 of 2.8% and 3.1%, respectively. There remains significant uncertainty surrounding the inflation forecasts included in this report due to several factors: 1) the evolution of the pandemic; 2) the difficulty in evaluating the size and persistence of excess productive capacity; 3) the timing and manner in which price relief measures will lapse; and 4) the future behavior of food prices. Projected 2021 growth in foreign demand (4.4% to 5.2%) and the supposed average oil price (USD 53 to USD 61 per Brent benchmark barrel) were both revised upward. An increase in long-term international interest rates has been reflected in a depreciation of the peso and could result in relatively tighter external financial conditions for emerging market economies, including Colombia. Average growth among Colombia’s trade partners was greater than expected in the fourth quarter of 2020. This, together with a sizable fiscal stimulus approved in the United States and the onset of a massive global vaccination campaign, largely explains the projected increase in foreign demand growth in 2021. The resilience of the goods market in the face of global crisis and an expected normalization in international trade are additional factors. These considerations and the expected continuation of a gradual reduction of mobility restrictions abroad suggest that Colombia’s trade partners could grow on average by 5.2% in 2021 and around 3.4% in 2022. The improved prospects for global economic growth have led to an increase in current and expected oil prices. Production interruptions due to a heavy winter, reduced inventories, and increased supply restrictions instituted by producing countries have also contributed to the increase. Meanwhile, market forecasts and recent Federal Reserve pronouncements suggest that the benchmark interest rate in the U.S. will remain stable for the next two years. Nevertheless, a significant increase in public spending in the country has fostered expectations for greater growth and inflation, as well as increased uncertainty over the moment in which a normalization of monetary policy might begin. This has been reflected in an increase in long-term interest rates. In this context, emerging market economies in the region, including Colombia, have registered increases in sovereign risk premiums and long-term domestic interest rates, and a depreciation of local currencies against the dollar. Recent outbreaks of COVID-19 in several of these economies; limits on vaccine supply and the slow pace of immunization campaigns in some countries; a significant increase in public debt; and tensions between the United States and China, among other factors, all add to a high level of uncertainty surrounding interest rate spreads, external financing conditions, and the future performance of risk premiums. The impact that this environment could have on the exchange rate and on domestic financing conditions represent risks to the macroeconomic and monetary policy forecasts. Domestic financial conditions continue to favor recovery in economic activity. The transmission of reductions to the policy interest rate on credit rates has been significant. The banking portfolio continues to recover amid circumstances that have affected both the supply and demand for loans, and in which some credit risks have materialized. Preferential and ordinary commercial interest rates have fallen to a similar degree as the benchmark interest rate. As is generally the case, this transmission has come at a slower pace for consumer credit rates, and has been further delayed in the case of mortgage rates. Commercial credit levels stabilized above pre-pandemic levels in March, following an increase resulting from significant liquidity requirements for businesses in the second quarter of 2020. The consumer credit portfolio continued to recover and has now surpassed February 2020 levels, though overall growth in the portfolio remains low. At the same time, portfolio projections and default indicators have increased, and credit establishment earnings have come down. Despite this, credit disbursements continue to recover and solvency indicators remain well above regulatory minimums. 1.2 Monetary policy decision In its meetings in March and April the BDBR left the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 1.75%.
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