Academic literature on the topic 'Foreign currency loans'

The article is devoted to the features of receiving, accounting and auditing of a loan in foreign currency at the enterprise. The topicality of the topic is explained by the fact that ensuring the sustainable development of enterprises requires adequate financing at the expense of various components of equity capital, borrowed capital and loan capital, including lending in foreign currency. the share of balances for loans granted in foreign currency was 29% of the loan portfolio of commercial banks in 2021. This indicates the presence of lending in foreign currency and the need for research and scientific substantiation of the mechanism for obtaining, clearing and auditing loans in foreign currency. The object of the study is crediting, accounting and auditing in foreign currency at the enterprise. The purpose of the study is to substantiate the peculiarities of obtaining, accounting and auditing foreign currency loans at the enterprise to ensure complete and reliable information about the financial obligations of the enterprise. The methods of the study are analysis and synthesis, system analysis, statistical analysis to study the dynamics and structure of loans granted to enterprises by commercial banks in foreign currency, the dynamics of average annual interest rates on loans granted to enterprises. Conditional periods based on indicators of balances of funds for loans granted in foreign currency and the share of loans in foreign currency in the credit portfolio of commercial banks are determined. The first conditional period of development of lending in foreign currency lasted until 2008. It is characterized by a high and constantly growing demand for loans in foreign currency; the share of balances on loans granted in foreign currency was 59% in 2008, a decrease in the exchange rate and low interest rates for using loans in foreign currency against the national currency. The second conditional period of development of foreign currency lending began during the financial crisis of 2008. It is characterized by a 5 times decrease in the balances of loans granted in foreign currency due to the introduced institutional restrictions. Features of lending in foreign currency are determined. The sequence of audit stages of crediting in foreign currency at the enterprise has been developed. Conclusions – despite the institutional restrictions on lending in foreign currency introduced after the financial crisis of 2008, business entities form demand for loans in foreign currency from residents and non-residents. Accounting for loans in foreign currency has certain features and complexity compared to accounting for loans in national currency. Correspondence of accounting accounts for loans received in foreign currency according to typical operations: receiving a loan in foreign currency, accrual and payment of interest for using the loan, repayment or extension of the loan in foreign currency, revaluation of the loan in foreign currency and display of exchange rate differences.

The present study has attempted to discuss the association between corporate hedging theories and the usage of foreign currency loans by companies listed in India. A total of 349 non-financial companies were selected, and the data for the financial year ending 31st March, 2018 were considered for the analysis. The descriptive statistics indicate that 55% of the sample companies had borrowed funds in foreign currency. The companies were highly levered and maintained adequate short-term assets to honor short-term obligations. A logit model was employed for analyzing the cross-sectional data. The dependent variable being binary (‘0’ for non-user of foreign currency loans and ‘1’ for foreign currency loan user), the study found the variable ‘industry type’ to have a significant association with usage of foreign currency loans. Companies from the manufacturing sector were likely to use foreign currency loans than companies from the services sector. Debt to net worth, export to sales, revenue (log of revenue) were the variables that significantly influenced the likelihood of companies raising foreign currency loans. Interest coverage ratio had a negative influence on the likelihood of companies opting for foreign currency loans. Hosmer and Lemeshow test showed that the model is a good fit indicating 73% accuracy in predicting the users of foreign currency loans as ‘foreign currency loan users’. Theories such as financial distress, size, and extent of international operations explain why companies raise foreign currency loans.

Controversies in the perception of foreign currency loans in Poland as well as their verification from the economic and financial perspectiveThis article is devoted to the verification of the following seven popular opinions on the foreign currency loans in Poland: I banks create money out of nothing; II the banks that were granting foreign currency loans did not actually possess the foreign currencies; III the banks possessed foreign currencies, but only for the loans denominated in foreign currencies, and not for the ones indexed in them; IV the banks that were granting foreign currency loans made a profit on the appreciation of these currencies; V a conversion of foreign currency loans at the exchange rate from the day of granting the loan would not entail high costs for the banking sector; VI it was unjustified to use the foreign exchange spreads by the banks that were granting the foreign currency loans; VII the foreign exchange spreads used by the banks were excessive, which means that the banks obtained an undue profit on them. The author critically evaluates these opinions and on the basis of current economic and financial knowledge, concludes that they are wrong.

The institution of a bank mortgage denominated/indexed to foreign currency (referred to generally and not very precisely as “foreign currency loan” or “loan adjusted to foreign currency”) is an instrument commonly used by a broad group of citizens of European states for acquiring capital with a view to purchasing a housing unit. Until recently, such loans were popular not only in Poland and other countries belonging to the so-called “New Union” (those whose accession took place within the last decade or so: Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania, Hungary and Croatia), Austria, Spain, Italy, Portugal, but also outside of the borders of the Union: in Russia, Serbia and Ukraine (however, one difference was the currency in which obligations were evaluated – whilst loans in EU countries were dominated by the Swiss Franc, Ukrainian lendees more frequently relied upon loans “adjusted” to the U.S. dollar). Regardless of differences persisting in legislative regimes, peculiarities of national legal systems and local economic and social conditions, in all those countries doubts have arisen whether a drastic change in currency rate (which results in an obligation to pay off a loan on conditions much less attractive than beforehand) constitutes a legally relevant circumstance that could permit one to release oneself from having to perform one’s contractual duties or, at least, facilitate granting some relief in fulfilling increasingly more onerous obligations towards banks. To discuss the permissibility and legal aspects of foreign currency loan contracts is complicated not only from the juridical point of view, but is also of interest to society, politics and economics. Still, the problem attracts strong emotions, particularly among lendees who took out a foreign currency loan and now feel deceived due to a change of the currency rate. The lendees and their organizations often expect involvement, particularly from EU bodies, where, in their estimation, domestic authorities have failed or “succumbed to the banking lobby”. Unfortunately, having observed the course of events over the last several years, one may surmise that the low number of judgments in cases concerning denominated bank loans, and especially the sceptical approach of the Court of Justice, have generated a lot of disappointment.

Foreign currency denominated loans ( FCDLs) are an important part of corporate funding as well as an operational risk management tool. We show that domestic borrowers use FCDLs to hedge their foreign exchange risk exposure. FCDLs are found to carry an interest rate premium over domestic currency loans after controlling for borrower characteristics, loan characteristics, and macroeconomic conditions. We argue that borrowers are willing to pay this premium since the marginal benefit of FCDLs as a natural hedge outweighs the marginal cost. From a lender’s perspective, this premium reflects a compensation for additional foreign exchange risk exposure and intensified monitoring efforts. These results are robust to endogeneity-corrected estimations. JEL Classification: G21, G32

In order to reduce the exchange-rate risk, banks in emerging markets are typically denominating their loans in foreign currencies. However, in the event of a substantial depreciation of the local currency, the payment ability of a foreign-currency borrower may be reduced significantly, exposing the lender to additional default risk. This paper analyses how the exchange-rate risk of foreign currency loans spills over into default risk. We show that in an economy where foreign currency loans are a dominant source of financing economic activity, depreciation of the local currency establishes a negative feedback mechanism that leads to higher default probabilities, reduced credit supply, and reduced growth. This finding has some important implications that may be of special interest for regulators and market participants in emerging economies.

The effects of currency conversion in Swiss francs in HungarySubsequent legislative actions were taken in Hungary in 2010–2015 in order to successively eliminate denominated in foreign currency loans from the market and thus gradually contribute to a reduction in the indebtedness of Hungarians resulting from the mortgage loans in Swiss francs and other currencies drawn in masses during the recent years. The Hungarian legislators gradually, through prohibiting the banks to employ practices unfavorable for the customers currency spreads, unilateral increase in interest rates on loans arrived at the automatic conversion of denominated foreign currency loans to the domestic currency, i.e. the forint. The mechanism implemented in Hungary, consisting in automatic loan conversion at the current rate, was a compromise, as it encumbered not only the banks, but also the borrowers. The latter were held responsible for the increase in the exchange rate of the currency the Swiss franc, but they received compensation in the form of reimbursement of the amounts overpaid due to the unfavorable practices employed by the banks. Thus, the solution implemented in Hungary was to preserve the symmetry between the customers and the banks, since the mechanism of automatic conversion at the current rate as such resulted in the customers have been owning more forints after the conversion than on the date of entering into the loan agreement with the bank. As a result, the first effects of the conversion were fairly neutralized, however the subject has certainly not been exhausted.

The globalization leads to integration of the economies worldwide. As the firms'
businesses also get integrated with each other, the financing choices of the firms diversify. Among these choices, the popularity and the share of foreign currency borrowing in total borrowing by non-financial firms increase in Turkey similar to the global developments. The main purpose of this thesis is to price the risks of default and financial distress due to foreign currency denominated loans of non-financial firms in Turkey. The valuation model of foreign currency corporate loans is established by two state variable option pricing model based on the study of Cox, Ingersoll and Ross. In our model, the main risk factors are identified as the exchange rate and the interest rate, which are the state variables of the main partial differential equation whose solution gives the value of the asset. The numerical results are tested for different parameters and for different economic environments. The findings show that interest rate fluctuations are more important both for the default and financial distress option values than the fluctuations in exchange rate. However, the effect of upside movements of exchange rate on the financial distress and default values is sharper than the downside movement effect of interest rate. Furthermore, high loan-to-value (LTV) foreign currency loans result in significantly high financial distress values that cannot be disregarded and can lead to default of the firm. To the best of our knowledge, this thesis is the first study that develops a structural model to evaluate foreign currency denominated corporate loans in an option-pricing framework.

The work is devoted to selected accounting transactions in foreign currencies in services. The introductory part defines the term services and their accounting issues. Another section is focused on the Czech legislation in the foreign currency in accounting, followed by selected accounting transactions in foreign currency, related to receivables and liabilities in connection with provide services. In the second half of the work are described specific services, represented by franchising and its financial resources in foreign currency. The whole issue is accompanied by a withholding tax and value added tax in services segment.

The decision of the Swiss National Bank from January 2015 to drop the exchange rate profit of the Swiss franc caused a significant shock to the financial market. The Swiss franc boost strongly influenced Poland because many of a mortgage loan was granted precisely in this currency. The goal of the MA thesis is to analyze the impact of the Swiss franc boost on the Polish commercial banks and to describe individual measures taken and solutions found in Poland. The introductory part deals with the beginning of the expansion of foreign currency loans not only in Poland but also in the greater context of Poland´s neighbouring countries. Furthermore, the Recommendation S is described in more detail. The second chapter contains analysis of loans development in Poland. Here, the Bank Millennium is used as an example to demonstrate the loan portfolio composition. The final part of this work talks about the Polish reaction to the change of the Swiss monetary policy and to the specifics of these provisions.

The thesis examines foreign currency (FX) loans in Hungary and tries to compare them to leverage investment strategy known as carry trade. FX loans in Hungary after 2003 enjoyed great development, but only until the outbreak of the global financial crisis in 2008, which fully revealed the negatives associated with this type of financing, which resulted in a threat to the stability of the whole financial sector in the country. This thesis describes the situation in Hungary and examines the consequences connected with mass development of FX loans. There is an analysis of the currency crisis in 2008 as a part of the thesis. At the same time, the thesis aims to analyze the causes that were behind the unusually rapid growth of FX loans. The factors are divided on the demand and supply motivated factors.

This paper identifies the role of exchange rate movements as well as exchange rate volatility as determinants of non-performing loans (NPLs) using panel data across 62 countries from 2000 to 2014. Dynamic panel data estimations suggest that a depreciation of the domestic currency has a negative effect on NPLs: The results indicate that negative balance sheet effects generally outweigh gains in competitiveness in international markets. Exchange rate volatility, as a measure of uncertainty towards exchange rate movements, has a statistically significant and strong impact on default ratios. The estimation technique accounts for possible concerns of endogeneity, reverse causality and omitted variable bias. The results are robust to various specifications and a subsample of emerging markets only.

This thesis describes the history and present situation of dollarization process and analyzes the situation in three new EU member states. It describes the development of the official and unofficial dollarization of credits and deposits, and concludes the results of previous studies. Furthermore, it provides a detailed analysis of situation concerning borrowing denominated in foreign currencies in the Czech, Hungarian and Polish household sector, for the period of last eleven years. The empirical analysis investigates the determinants of foreign currency loans in a household sector. Using three different panel data regressions, we found that share of foreign currency denominated loans in examined countries are positively influenced by dollarization of deposits, banks' net foreign assets and loan to deposit ratio. Other tested variables, such as EU membership, interest rate differential or exchange rate volatility, changes their significance and impact according to the model or the method used. Their impact on a dependent variable is insignificant and not stable. JEL Classification E44, G21 Keywords Foreign currency borrowing, dollarization, household sector, Central Europe Author's e-mail Nikola.Buresova@seznam.cz Supervisor's e-mail Roman.Horvath@gmail.com Bibliographic Record Burešová, N (2013):...

У роботі розглядаються теоретичні аспекти обліку зовнішньоекономічних операцій, зокрема, експорту, довгострокових заборгованостей від нерезидентів, купівлі та продажу іноземної валюти, а також контролю зовнішньоекономічних операцій Проаналізовано нормативне забезпечення обліку операцій зовнішньоекономічної діяльності та діючу практику обліку таких операцій у ТОВ «Форнакс-Агро Україна» Запропоновано заходи щодо удосконалення методики обліку довгострокових безвідсоткових позик в іноземній валюті дозволять убезпечити підприємство від можливих податкових ризиків
Thesis consists of three chapters. Object of study: system of accounting and control of foreign economic activity of Fornax Agro LLC. Diploma thesis deals with theoretical aspects of accounting of foreign economic activity, such as export, long-term loans from non-residents, foreign currency purchase and selling along with control of foreign economic activity

The article is devoted to the ana lysis of the lega l nature of cr yptocurrenc y as an object of financial and legal regulation from the point of view of the Russian legislation. The analysis of the qualification of cryptocurrency is described as money, electronic money, foreign currency, other property, as well as the possibility of assigning crypto-loans to obligations rights. The conclusion is made about the possibility of treating cryptocurrency as private money on a par with national currencies.

Monetary transformation means the conceptual restoration of the functions of money in a former quasi-barter economy, in which the use of legal money and foreign currency was limited and financial markets were widely non-existent. Therefore, the chapter throws special light on the development of a market-based credit system, consisting of commercial banks, a central bank, and other financial institutions. As with any other range of the transformation process, monetary transformation is not free of frictions, crises, and challenges. The chapter discusses the typical challenges at the start of the transformation, such as the problem of non-performing loans, and the frequent banking and currency crises. The new central banks face specific challenges in the stabilization of the domestic and external value of their currencies, and in supervising and guiding monetary/financial intermediation in the transition period.

The Global Financial Crisis that took place in 2007–9 was the product of both long-term trends and a specific set of circumstances. In particular, the thirty years preceding that crisis had witnessed a refashioning of the global financial system, which was, itself, a reaction to that which had emerged after the Second World War. Over those thirty years competitive markets gradually replaced governments and central banks in determining the volume and direction of international financial flows. The interaction within and between economies took place on a daily basis through the markets for short-term credit, long-term loans, foreign exchange, securities, and a growing array of ever more complex financial instruments that allowed risks to be hedged whether in terms of interest rates, currencies, exposure to counterparties, or other variables. This was a period of great innovation as new financial instruments were created in order to match the needs of lenders for high returns, certainty, and stability and those of borrowers for low cost finance and flexibility in terms of the amount, currency, and timing of repayment. Nevertheless, governments remained heavily involved through the role played by regulators and central banks, generating confidence in the stability of the new financial system. That confidence was destroyed by the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and had not been rebuilt by 2020.

This chapter addresses West Nile virus, the cause of a formerly unknown disease whose path through America was a trail of dead birds and dead people. West Nile virus is currently the most common and severe form of mosquito-borne encephalitis in North America. At present, West Nile virus has been isolated from over 300 species of birds. The infected birds fall into two major groups: those that carry the virus and are asymptomatic and those that develop an often fatal neurologic disease. Crows, jays, magpies, and house finches, upon infection, develop high virus loads and rapidly infect the mosquitoes that prey on them. House sparrows are also reservoirs for high titers of West Nile virus and play a role in the virus’ transmission in city areas. Humans are incidental/accidental hosts in the natural mosquito–bird cycle of this viral infection. Most humans who become infected have received bites from mosquitoes carrying the West Nile virus. The viruses then replicate at the bite site and likely spread to specialized cells, dendritic cells, which act as processors of foreign antigens. Viruses may also travel directly from the bite site into and through the blood.

Railways is a transportation model that has been attracting increasing attention in recent years due to its environmental awareness, long-term fixed price guarantee unlike other modes of transportation, being the most suitable type of transportation for heavy tonnage and bulky loads in terms of physical and cost, being reliable, not being affected by bad weather conditions, etc. The global rail transport industry is growing, pushing the demand of the rolling stock industry to growth in recent years. An increasing momentum is expected to continue in the next few years, due to the increase in both passenger and rail freight transport. In Türkiye, TCDD Taşımacılık A.Ş. needs 233 high-speed train/high-speed train sets, 125 Electric Train Sets (EMU), 930 electric locomotives, 146 diesel locomotives, 24.000 freight wagons, 62 sets of urban vehicles (Başkentray and Marmaray) by 2050. The total cost of all these vehicles is estimated to be at least 17.4 billion Euros. Investments to be made in rail system vehicles in the medium and long term will contribute greatly to the development of the local and national rail system vehicle industry in our country. In order to develop the R&D, design and production capabilities of the domestic industry, to manufacture, maintain and repair all kinds of rail system vehicles and their sub-components, based on the domestic and national production and design of rail system vehicles and increasing the rate of domesticity in their critical components, TÜRASAŞ, which was established as the relevant institution of the Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure by merging of TÜLOMSAŞ, TÜVASAŞ and TÜDEMSAŞ, the three subsidiaries of TCDD, set out with the mission of ensuring stable growth by reaching a wider product range with technology-intensive productions that steer the sector with a new perspective and synergy consisting of the merger of three subsidiaries and it has become the biggest representative of the rail systems sector in our country with its experience of more than a hundred years, knowledge, approximately 4000 trained manpower, integrated facilities producing national and domestic technologies, 2 R&D Centers located in Eskişehir and Sakarya Regional Directorate in a total area of 400 thousand m². TÜRASAŞ, which has a wide product range, carries out domestic and national design and production studies of rail system vehicles such as various types of shunting locomotives (diesel electric, diesel hydraulic, electric, hybrid), mainline locomotives (diesel electric, diesel hydraulic, electric), train sets (diesel, electric), suburban trains, wagons (passenger, freight) and TÜRASAŞ is also working to localize many critical subcomponents of these vehicles, especially systems such as diesel engine, traction motor, traction converter, TCMS (Train Control and Management System) or to increase their localization rates. With the domestic and national production of these works, imports will be prevented and a large amount of foreign currency will be kept in our country. When the maintenance and spare parts costs are taken into consideration, the profit provided by domestic and national production increases even more.

Japan's low-interest rates made the country's currency the primary funding currency in carry trade speculative strategies. Investors' activity in carry trade strategies has an enormous impact on the foreign exchange market volatility. A large inflow of capital to countries with higher interest rates contributes to their currency appreciation, and, in turn, a large outflow of capital from countries with a low-interest rate leads to a significant depreciation of their currency. However, in times of crisis and high uncertainty in the financial markets, investors massively withdraw from the carry trade. They sell financial assets purchased in a country with higher interest rates and then repay loans taken in a country with low-interest rates. A sudden increase in the supply of a country's currency with higher interest rates leads to its depreciation. On the other hand, the rise in demand for a country's currency with low-interest rates leads to its appreciation. The Japanese yen is one of the most popular funding currency in the carry trade and thus tends to appreciate during crisis periods. The paper aims to investigate the relationship between Japanese yen value and financial market uncertainty measured by the Volatility Index VIX and St. Louis FED Financial Stress Index. Based on the component generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model CGARCH with asymmetric threshold term, it has been shown that the increase in financial markets uncertainty contributes to significant appreciation of the Japanese yen against the US dollar. It implies that the Japanese currency is an example of a safe-haven currency and can be applied to hedge financial stress for global equity investors.

The paper presents the legal provisions, the views of jurisprudence, as the opinion of the legal science, about the validity of the currency clause in the loan agreements. It is explained that the foreign currency clause is a foreign currency obligation of the borrower. The paper analyzes the uneven practice of domestic courts. Particular attention was paid to the Legal Interpretation of the Civil Department of the Supreme Court of Cassation on the validity of a foreign currency clause in a loan agreement in Swiss francs and a conversion of debt into the euro. It was pointed out the legal consequences of the nullity of this contractual provision. The ineffectiveness of the essential provision of the contract leads to a violation of the principle in favorem contractus. The author considers that the conversion according to the exchange rate that was valid at the time of the conclusion of the contract is a measure with a retroactive effect, which is contrary to the principle of legal certainty.

Currently, the Republic of Moldova is in an economic crisis, which is a result of compounding the effects of the pandemic crisis triggered in 2020; the energy crisis manifested starting in 2021, and the regional impact of the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine. This crisis created a series of financial problems. First, it is about the high rates of inflation caused by different groups of factors of different natures. As a chain reaction, high inflation and the measures taken to combat it caused the interest rates on bank deposits and loans to rise, as well as on loan instruments in the securities market. Likewise, important movements have occurred in the foreign exchange market. The economic crisis affected the country's budget system, causing disproportions between budget revenues and expenditures. As a result, the Republic of Moldova faces a significant budget deficit, which requires financial coverage. This is ensured more and more through external loans, while internal ones are becoming more and more expensive in the form of exaggerated interest rates on state securities. In these conditions, a national anti-crisis strategy is necessary for the country. The lack of this can lead to the propagation of the consequences of the crisis in the coming years.

The forfeiture contract consists of the sale of long-term foreign trade receivables, in which the exporter sells its foreign trade claim to a bank or some other specialized financial institute, which is not encumbered by the possibility of recourse claims of third parties to the buyer of claims, which is secured by some of the contractual security means. In this paper, the authors analyzed both the legal nature and the economic functions of the forfeiture contract in business practice. The work is methodologically conceived on the teleological comparison of the forfeiting and other related contracts, such as factoring agreement and loan and securities contract and other receivables prior to maturity, both from the theoretical point of view and from the current legislation, domestic and at the international level, and the economic benefits of this legal transaction for the contracting parties.

Purpose – already for more than one hundred years there is an ongoing discussion about the role and function of banks, which subsequently has affected banking regulation. Three theories of banking were dominant in different periods of the 20th century: Credit creation theory (the oldest), Fractional reserve theory, Financial intermediation theory. Authors are contributing to the theoretical discussion with research showing that Credit creation theory and Financial intermediation theory reflect different insights on banks’ operations. Research methodology – literature review (regarding theories), financial ratio calculations (Loans-to-Deposits ratio); Findings – using Loans-to-Deposits ratio calculations for several banks researchers have found that banks’ lending process can be explained by Credit creation theory however banks’ Strategic Asset-Lability Management can be explained by Financial intermediation theory. Research limitations – (a) only domestic banks were selected as in this research it is important to get the needed relationship between deposits and lending. Subsidiaries of foreign banks could have not balanced balance sheet from Loansto-Deposits ratio perspective as their funding could come from abroad if the business model in Baltics is primarily lending oriented, (b) Baltic market was taken because of know-how of researchers about banks operations here and history of their transformation, (c) audited financial reports were used as they gave a sufficient picture of banks Loansto-Deposits ratio. Practical implications – theoretical discussion in this paper enlightens the role and function of the banks thereby improving understanding of better banking regulation. Authors propose to adjust the current banking regulatory framework which is focused on capital requirements. Originality/Value – current research provides some link between existing banking theories (Credit creation theory and Financial intermediation theory) shaping a new hybrid concept and proposing an adjusted regulatory framework based on this hybrid concept

In the modern market models state banking system plays the most significant role in the functioning of economic mechanism. It ensures control of total money supply, regulates movement of cash flows, and realizes accumulation and investment of financial resources, crediting different trades and people. In transition from socialist model of economics to market economy a precondition for the start of reformation of economic relations is multi-branch state banking system. In the beginning of 1990-s creation of such banking system began in Ukraine. However, crisis situation in economics that developed in 2008 has shown how imperfect and unadapted to the regularities of market economy was banking system in Ukraine. Now Ukrainian economics like world economy is recovering. However, the problem of growing treasury deficit and national debt becomes issue of the day for the Government as drastic, not predicted variations of foreign currency are able to make an impact on loan market. The article describes history of building Ukrainian banking system starting from market reforms. It gives analysis of the reasons that have caused collapse of the banking system under conditions of the global economic crisis of 2008. It also evaluates prospects for further development of banking sector in Ukraine.

Financial risks affect the basic economic indicators in a negative way and cause structural deformation of the countries’ economy. In this study, the most effected economic indicators due to financial risks in Turkey and Russia and to activate their economical future plans are determined. Thereby Turkey and Russia can execute economical collaboration due to their powerful economies. The basic reason for choosing Russia among the Eurasian countries is that Russia economic aspect is the most patronized among these countries. Linear regression analyze method is applied. Financial risks like exchange rates, interest rates and inflation are determined as independence variants and each economic indicator as dependent variant. Gross domestic product (GDP) is mostly affected by annual deposit interest rate (ADIR) and annual loan rate (ALR) in Turkey and by annual loan rate and inflation in Russia. GDP growth rate is not affected by financial risks in Turkey and Russia. Public gross import stock is affected by ADIR and ALR in Turkey and ALR in Russia. Public gross export stock is affected by US-dollar rate of exchange (RoE) in Turkey and Euro (RoE) in Russia. Import is affected by ADIR and ALR in Turkey and by ALR and Euro – Rouble rate (ERR) in Russia. Both countries export are affected by the same parameters. Current account balance is affected by ADIR and ALR in Turkey and ADIR and ERR in Russia. Composite index is not affected by financial risks in both countries. Same result is valid in foreign direct investment and GDP growth rate.

In developing ceramic gas turbines (CGT), impact test technique of ceramic elements at elevated temperature (sometime with tensile stress) is very important. For the purpose of establishing an impact simulation technique for small, foreign object damage (FOD) without contamination of testing environment, launch experiment of single particle of 1 mm diameter is made by using micro-sabot and electrothermal (ET) gun. Since the ET gun exhausts only small amount of gases, it is expected not to disturb temperature condition of testing environment. Particle velocity is measured by various methods based on 1) time difference between impact acoustic signals at muzzle and target, 2) high-speed photographs, and 3) induction current signal from coil-magnet flyer particle system. First particle is mounted on the micro-sabot and accelerated together. Then they are separated by sabot stopper placed at the ET gun muzzle. In the present experiments particle velocities up to about 2,000 m/s are obtained. However, complete separation of particle and sabot, where no sabot fragments appear from the muzzle, is possible up to about 1,000 m/s within the present separation system. This velocity range covers the required one (≦ 800 m/s). By using the launch system, impact tests of the actual turbine CGT-303 are carried out at room temperature without any loads. The tests at elevated temperature with tensile stresses are scheduled in the near future.

This paper describes plans for a series of quasi-static compression tests of rail passenger equipment. These tests are designed to evaluate the strength of the occupant volume under static loading conditions. The research plan includes a detailed examination of the behavior of conventional equipment during the 800,000-pound buff strength test. The research will also include a demonstration of an alternative static test that is designed to load and test the occupant volume at a location other than the buff lugs. The alternative test will demonstrate a testing and evaluation method for the occupant volume strength of passenger rail cars that accounts for the collision load path through the occupant volume. Per current Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) regulations, all passenger cars must support an 800,000-pound static load applied to the car’s line of draft without undergoing permanent deformation. However, more operators are looking to introduce equipment built to foreign standards. Many international manufacturers are implementing alternative designs that make use of crash energy management design features, articulated truck designs that span two cars, and low floor designs. These changes in the form and function of the designs require alternative means of applying a compressive load to assess occupant volume strength. FRA has reviewed several proposed alternatively designed equipment under requests for waivers for specific corridors of operation. Because the number of requests has increased significantly, FRA is trying to establish reasonable alternative means for assessing adequate and equivalent occupant volume strength to conventional equipment. This paper proposes an alternative static test procedure that will provide a means of evaluating a similar level of occupant volume integrity and passenger protection during a collision. The test will allow for greater design variation for newer rail cars and cars built to foreign standards. For the alternative test, the load may be introduced through the available structure at the floor level and at the roof level. These loading locations will enable the load to be applied directly into key longitudinal members in the load path of collision loads through the occupant volume. Finite element models are used before testing to determine appropriate alternative load levels and locations. The test article is a modified Budd Pioneer car. No significant modifications are planned for the longitudinal members of the car, or for the occupant volume.

This paper studies from an empirical and theoretical perspective the systemic and bank-level effects of imposing reserve requirements (RR) in foreign currency in an economy with a heavily dollarized financial system. The paper empirically characterizes banks responses to the RR carried out by the Peruvian Central Bank since 2008 with the objective of stabilizing the financial market and meeting its policy targets. The results suggest that the RR is effective in reducing the overall level of credit in the economy and that banks response in terms of credit and deposits is very heterogeneous depending on their ex ante preference for foreign funding ratio, i.e., the ratio of deposits in dollars to total loans. Motivated by the empirical insights, the paper builds a DSGE small-open-economy model with financial frictions à la Gertler-Karadi-Kiyotaki, where bank heterogeneity and financial dollarization are introduced to evaluate the effectiveness of the differential RR in reducing financial dollarization and improving financial resilience.

1.1 Macroeconomic summary Economic recovery has consistently outperformed the technical staff’s expectations following a steep decline in activity in the second quarter of 2020. At the same time, total and core inflation rates have fallen and remain at low levels, suggesting that a significant element of the reactivation of Colombia’s economy has been related to recovery in potential GDP. This would support the technical staff’s diagnosis of weak aggregate demand and ample excess capacity. The most recently available data on 2020 growth suggests a contraction in economic activity of 6.8%, lower than estimates from January’s Monetary Policy Report (-7.2%). High-frequency indicators suggest that economic performance was significantly more dynamic than expected in January, despite mobility restrictions and quarantine measures. This has also come amid declines in total and core inflation, the latter of which was below January projections if controlling for certain relative price changes. This suggests that the unexpected strength of recent growth contains elements of demand, and that excess capacity, while significant, could be lower than previously estimated. Nevertheless, uncertainty over the measurement of excess capacity continues to be unusually high and marked both by variations in the way different economic sectors and spending components have been affected by the pandemic, and by uneven price behavior. The size of excess capacity, and in particular the evolution of the pandemic in forthcoming quarters, constitute substantial risks to the macroeconomic forecast presented in this report. Despite the unexpected strength of the recovery, the technical staff continues to project ample excess capacity that is expected to remain on the forecast horizon, alongside core inflation that will likely remain below the target. Domestic demand remains below 2019 levels amid unusually significant uncertainty over the size of excess capacity in the economy. High national unemployment (14.6% for February 2021) reflects a loose labor market, while observed total and core inflation continue to be below 2%. Inflationary pressures from the exchange rate are expected to continue to be low, with relatively little pass-through on inflation. This would be compatible with a negative output gap. Excess productive capacity and the expectation of core inflation below the 3% target on the forecast horizon provide a basis for an expansive monetary policy posture. The technical staff’s assessment of certain shocks and their expected effects on the economy, as well as the presence of several sources of uncertainty and related assumptions about their potential macroeconomic impacts, remain a feature of this report. The coronavirus pandemic, in particular, continues to affect the public health environment, and the reopening of Colombia’s economy remains incomplete. The technical staff’s assessment is that the COVID-19 shock has affected both aggregate demand and supply, but that the impact on demand has been deeper and more persistent. Given this persistence, the central forecast accounts for a gradual tightening of the output gap in the absence of new waves of contagion, and as vaccination campaigns progress. The central forecast continues to include an expected increase of total and core inflation rates in the second quarter of 2021, alongside the lapse of the temporary price relief measures put in place in 2020. Additional COVID-19 outbreaks (of uncertain duration and intensity) represent a significant risk factor that could affect these projections. Additionally, the forecast continues to include an upward trend in sovereign risk premiums, reflected by higher levels of public debt that in the wake of the pandemic are likely to persist on the forecast horizon, even in the context of a fiscal adjustment. At the same time, the projection accounts for the shortterm effects on private domestic demand from a fiscal adjustment along the lines of the one currently being proposed by the national government. This would be compatible with a gradual recovery of private domestic demand in 2022. The size and characteristics of the fiscal adjustment that is ultimately implemented, as well as the corresponding market response, represent another source of forecast uncertainty. Newly available information offers evidence of the potential for significant changes to the macroeconomic scenario, though without altering the general diagnosis described above. The most recent data on inflation, growth, fiscal policy, and international financial conditions suggests a more dynamic economy than previously expected. However, a third wave of the pandemic has delayed the re-opening of Colombia’s economy and brought with it a deceleration in economic activity. Detailed descriptions of these considerations and subsequent changes to the macroeconomic forecast are presented below. The expected annual decline in GDP (-0.3%) in the first quarter of 2021 appears to have been less pronounced than projected in January (-4.8%). Partial closures in January to address a second wave of COVID-19 appear to have had a less significant negative impact on the economy than previously estimated. This is reflected in figures related to mobility, energy demand, industry and retail sales, foreign trade, commercial transactions from selected banks, and the national statistics agency’s (DANE) economic tracking indicator (ISE). Output is now expected to have declined annually in the first quarter by 0.3%. Private consumption likely continued to recover, registering levels somewhat above those from the previous year, while public consumption likely increased significantly. While a recovery in investment in both housing and in other buildings and structures is expected, overall investment levels in this case likely continued to be low, and gross fixed capital formation is expected to continue to show significant annual declines. Imports likely recovered to again outpace exports, though both are expected to register significant annual declines. Economic activity that outpaced projections, an increase in oil prices and other export products, and an expected increase in public spending this year account for the upward revision to the 2021 growth forecast (from 4.6% with a range between 2% and 6% in January, to 6.0% with a range between 3% and 7% in April). As a result, the output gap is expected to be smaller and to tighten more rapidly than projected in the previous report, though it is still expected to remain in negative territory on the forecast horizon. Wide forecast intervals reflect the fact that the future evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic remains a significant source of uncertainty on these projections. The delay in the recovery of economic activity as a result of the resurgence of COVID-19 in the first quarter appears to have been less significant than projected in the January report. The central forecast scenario expects this improved performance to continue in 2021 alongside increased consumer and business confidence. Low real interest rates and an active credit supply would also support this dynamic, and the overall conditions would be expected to spur a recovery in consumption and investment. Increased growth in public spending and public works based on the national government’s spending plan (Plan Financiero del Gobierno) are other factors to consider. Additionally, an expected recovery in global demand and higher projected prices for oil and coffee would further contribute to improved external revenues and would favor investment, in particular in the oil sector. Given the above, the technical staff’s 2021 growth forecast has been revised upward from 4.6% in January (range from 2% to 6%) to 6.0% in April (range from 3% to 7%). These projections account for the potential for the third wave of COVID-19 to have a larger and more persistent effect on the economy than the previous wave, while also supposing that there will not be any additional significant waves of the pandemic and that mobility restrictions will be relaxed as a result. Economic growth in 2022 is expected to be 3%, with a range between 1% and 5%. This figure would be lower than projected in the January report (3.6% with a range between 2% and 6%), due to a higher base of comparison given the upward revision to expected GDP in 2021. This forecast also takes into account the likely effects on private demand of a fiscal adjustment of the size currently being proposed by the national government, and which would come into effect in 2022. Excess in productive capacity is now expected to be lower than estimated in January but continues to be significant and affected by high levels of uncertainty, as reflected in the wide forecast intervals. The possibility of new waves of the virus (of uncertain intensity and duration) represents a significant downward risk to projected GDP growth, and is signaled by the lower limits of the ranges provided in this report. Inflation (1.51%) and inflation excluding food and regulated items (0.94%) declined in March compared to December, continuing below the 3% target. The decline in inflation in this period was below projections, explained in large part by unanticipated increases in the costs of certain foods (3.92%) and regulated items (1.52%). An increase in international food and shipping prices, increased foreign demand for beef, and specific upward pressures on perishable food supplies appear to explain a lower-than-expected deceleration in the consumer price index (CPI) for foods. An unexpected increase in regulated items prices came amid unanticipated increases in international fuel prices, on some utilities rates, and for regulated education prices. The decline in annual inflation excluding food and regulated items between December and March was in line with projections from January, though this included downward pressure from a significant reduction in telecommunications rates due to the imminent entry of a new operator. When controlling for the effects of this relative price change, inflation excluding food and regulated items exceeds levels forecast in the previous report. Within this indicator of core inflation, the CPI for goods (1.05%) accelerated due to a reversion of the effects of the VAT-free day in November, which was largely accounted for in February, and possibly by the transmission of a recent depreciation of the peso on domestic prices for certain items (electric and household appliances). For their part, services prices decelerated and showed the lowest rate of annual growth (0.89%) among the large consumer baskets in the CPI. Within the services basket, the annual change in rental prices continued to decline, while those services that continue to experience the most significant restrictions on returning to normal operations (tourism, cinemas, nightlife, etc.) continued to register significant price declines. As previously mentioned, telephone rates also fell significantly due to increased competition in the market. Total inflation is expected to continue to be affected by ample excesses in productive capacity for the remainder of 2021 and 2022, though less so than projected in January. As a result, convergence to the inflation target is now expected to be somewhat faster than estimated in the previous report, assuming the absence of significant additional outbreaks of COVID-19. The technical staff’s year-end inflation projections for 2021 and 2022 have increased, suggesting figures around 3% due largely to variation in food and regulated items prices. The projection for inflation excluding food and regulated items also increased, but remains below 3%. Price relief measures on indirect taxes implemented in 2020 are expected to lapse in the second quarter of 2021, generating a one-off effect on prices and temporarily affecting inflation excluding food and regulated items. However, indexation to low levels of past inflation, weak demand, and ample excess productive capacity are expected to keep core inflation below the target, near 2.3% at the end of 2021 (previously 2.1%). The reversion in 2021 of the effects of some price relief measures on utility rates from 2020 should lead to an increase in the CPI for regulated items in the second half of this year. Annual price changes are now expected to be higher than estimated in the January report due to an increased expected path for fuel prices and unanticipated increases in regulated education prices. The projection for the CPI for foods has increased compared to the previous report, taking into account certain factors that were not anticipated in January (a less favorable agricultural cycle, increased pressure from international prices, and transport costs). Given the above, year-end annual inflation for 2021 and 2022 is now expected to be 3% and 2.8%, respectively, which would be above projections from January (2.3% and 2,7%). For its part, expected inflation based on analyst surveys suggests year-end inflation in 2021 and 2022 of 2.8% and 3.1%, respectively. There remains significant uncertainty surrounding the inflation forecasts included in this report due to several factors: 1) the evolution of the pandemic; 2) the difficulty in evaluating the size and persistence of excess productive capacity; 3) the timing and manner in which price relief measures will lapse; and 4) the future behavior of food prices. Projected 2021 growth in foreign demand (4.4% to 5.2%) and the supposed average oil price (USD 53 to USD 61 per Brent benchmark barrel) were both revised upward. An increase in long-term international interest rates has been reflected in a depreciation of the peso and could result in relatively tighter external financial conditions for emerging market economies, including Colombia. Average growth among Colombia’s trade partners was greater than expected in the fourth quarter of 2020. This, together with a sizable fiscal stimulus approved in the United States and the onset of a massive global vaccination campaign, largely explains the projected increase in foreign demand growth in 2021. The resilience of the goods market in the face of global crisis and an expected normalization in international trade are additional factors. These considerations and the expected continuation of a gradual reduction of mobility restrictions abroad suggest that Colombia’s trade partners could grow on average by 5.2% in 2021 and around 3.4% in 2022. The improved prospects for global economic growth have led to an increase in current and expected oil prices. Production interruptions due to a heavy winter, reduced inventories, and increased supply restrictions instituted by producing countries have also contributed to the increase. Meanwhile, market forecasts and recent Federal Reserve pronouncements suggest that the benchmark interest rate in the U.S. will remain stable for the next two years. Nevertheless, a significant increase in public spending in the country has fostered expectations for greater growth and inflation, as well as increased uncertainty over the moment in which a normalization of monetary policy might begin. This has been reflected in an increase in long-term interest rates. In this context, emerging market economies in the region, including Colombia, have registered increases in sovereign risk premiums and long-term domestic interest rates, and a depreciation of local currencies against the dollar. Recent outbreaks of COVID-19 in several of these economies; limits on vaccine supply and the slow pace of immunization campaigns in some countries; a significant increase in public debt; and tensions between the United States and China, among other factors, all add to a high level of uncertainty surrounding interest rate spreads, external financing conditions, and the future performance of risk premiums. The impact that this environment could have on the exchange rate and on domestic financing conditions represent risks to the macroeconomic and monetary policy forecasts. Domestic financial conditions continue to favor recovery in economic activity. The transmission of reductions to the policy interest rate on credit rates has been significant. The banking portfolio continues to recover amid circumstances that have affected both the supply and demand for loans, and in which some credit risks have materialized. Preferential and ordinary commercial interest rates have fallen to a similar degree as the benchmark interest rate. As is generally the case, this transmission has come at a slower pace for consumer credit rates, and has been further delayed in the case of mortgage rates. Commercial credit levels stabilized above pre-pandemic levels in March, following an increase resulting from significant liquidity requirements for businesses in the second quarter of 2020. The consumer credit portfolio continued to recover and has now surpassed February 2020 levels, though overall growth in the portfolio remains low. At the same time, portfolio projections and default indicators have increased, and credit establishment earnings have come down. Despite this, credit disbursements continue to recover and solvency indicators remain well above regulatory minimums. 1.2 Monetary policy decision In its meetings in March and April the BDBR left the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 1.75%.

The Colombian financial system has not suffered major structural disruptions during these months of deep economic contraction and has continued to carry out its basic functions as usual, thus facilitating the economy's response to extreme conditions. This is the result of the soundness of financial institutions at the beginning of the crisis, which was reflected in high liquidity and capital adequacy indicators as well as in the timely response of various authorities. Banco de la República lowered its policy interest rates 250 points to 1.75%, the lowest level since the creation of the new independent bank in 1991, and provided ample temporary and permanent liquidity in both pesos and foreign currency. The Office of the Financial Superintendent of Colombia, in turn, adopted prudential measures to facilitate changes in the conditions for loans in effect and temporary rules for rating and loan-loss provisions. Finally, the national government expanded the transfers as well as the guaranteed credit programs for the economy. The supply of real credit (i.e. discounting inflation) in the economy is 4% higher today than it was 12 months ago with especially marked growth in the housing (5.6%) and commercial (4.7%) loan portfolios (2.3% in consumer and -0.1% in microloans), but there have been significant changes over time. During the first few months of the quarantine, firms increased their demands for liquidity sharply while consumers reduced theirs. Since then, the growth of credit to firms has tended to slow down, while consumer and housing credit has grown. The financial system has responded satisfactorily to the changes in the respective demands of each group or sector and loans may grow at high rates in 2021 if GDP grows at rates close to 4.6% as the technical staff at the Bank expects; but the forecasts are highly uncertain. After the strict quarantine implemented by authorities in Colombia, the turmoil seen in March and early April, which was evident in the sudden reddening of macroeconomic variables on the risk heatmap in Graph A,[1] and the drop in crude oil and coal prices (note the high volatility registered in market risk for the region on Graph A) the local financial markets stabilized relatively quickly. Banco de la República’s credible and sustained policy response played a decisive role in this stabilization in terms of liquidity provision through a sharp expansion of repo operations (and changes in amounts, terms, counterparties, and eligible instruments), the purchases of public and private debt, and the reduction in bank reserve requirements. In this respect, there is now abundant aggregate liquidity and significant improvements in the liquidity position of investment funds. In this context, the main vulnerability factor for financial stability in the short term is still the high degree of uncertainty surrounding loan quality. First, the future trajectory of the number of people infected and deceased by the virus and the possible need for additional health measures is uncertain. For that reason, there is also uncertainty about the path for economic recovery in the short and medium term. Second, the degree to which the current shock will be reflected in loan quality once the risk materializes in banks’ financial statements is uncertain. For the time being, the credit risk heatmap (Graph B) indicates that non-performing and risky loans have not shown major deterioration, but past experience indicates that periods of sharp economic slowdown eventually tend to coincide with rises in non-performing loans: the calculations included in this report suggest that the impact of the recession on credit quality could be significant in the short term. This is particularly worrying since the profitability of credit establishments has been declining in recent months, and this could affect their ability to provide credit to the real sector of the economy. In order to adopt a forward-looking approach to this vulnerability, this Report presents several stress tests that evaluate the resilience of the liquidity and capital adequacy of credit institutions and investment funds in the event of a hypothetical scenario that seeks to simulate an extreme version of current macroeconomic conditions. The results suggest that even though there could be strong impacts on the credit institutions’ volume of credit and profitability under such scenarios, aggregate indicators of total and core capital adequacy will probably remain at levels that are above the regulatory limits over the horizon of a year. At the same time, the exercises highlight the high capacity of the system's liquidity to face adverse scenarios. In compliance with its constitutional objectives and in coordination with the financial system's security network, Banco de la República will continue to closely monitor the outlook for financial stability at this juncture and will make the decisions that are necessary to ensure the proper functioning of the economy, facilitate the flow of sufficient credit and liquidity resources, and further the smooth operation of the payment systems. Juan José Echavarría Governor

From this edition, the Financial Stability Report will have fewer pages with some changes in its structure. The purpose of this change is to present the most relevant facts of the financial system and their implications on the financial stability. This allows displaying the analysis more concisely and clearly, as it will focus on describing the evolution of the variables that have the greatest impact on the performance of the financial system, for estimating then the effect of a possible materialization of these risks on the financial health of the institutions. The changing dynamics of the risks faced by the financial system implies that the content of the Report adopts this new structure; therefore, some analyses and series that were regularly included will not necessarily be in each issue. However, the statistical annex that accompanies the publication of the Report will continue to present the series that were traditionally included, regardless of whether or not they are part of the content of the Report. In this way we expect to contribute in a more comprehensive way to the study and analysis of the stability of the Colombian financial system. Executive Summary During the first half of 2015, the main advanced economies showed a slow recovery on their growth, while emerging economies continued with their slowdown trend. Domestic demand in the United States allowed for stabilization on its average growth for the first half of the year, while other developed economies such as the United Kingdom, the euro zone, and Japan showed a more gradual recovery. On the other hand, the Chinese economy exhibited the lowest growth rate in five years, which has resulted in lower global dynamism. This has led to a fall in prices of the main export goods of some Latin American economies, especially oil, whose price has also responded to a larger global supply. The decrease in the terms of trade of the Latin American economies has had an impact on national income, domestic demand, and growth. This scenario has been reflected in increases in sovereign risk spreads, devaluations of stock indices, and depreciation of the exchange rates of most countries in the region. For Colombia, the fall in oil prices has also led to a decline in the terms of trade, resulting in pressure on the dynamics of national income. Additionally, the lower demand for exports helped to widen the current account deficit. This affected the prospects and economic growth of the country during the first half of 2015. This economic context could have an impact on the payment capacity of debtors and on the valuation of investments, affecting the soundness of the financial system. However, the results of the analysis featured in this edition of the Report show that, facing an adverse scenario, the vulnerability of the financial system in terms of solvency and liquidity is low. The analysis of the current situation of credit institutions (CI) shows that growth of the gross loan portfolio remained relatively stable, as well as the loan portfolio quality indicators, except for microcredit, which showed a decrease in these indicators. Regarding liabilities, traditional sources of funding have lost market share versus non-traditional ones (bonds, money market operations and in the interbank market), but still represent more than 70%. Moreover, the solvency indicator remained relatively stable. As for non-banking financial institutions (NBFI), the slowdown observed during the first six months of 2015 in the real annual growth of the assets total, both in the proprietary and third party position, stands out. The analysis of the main debtors of the financial system shows that indebtedness of the private corporate sector has increased in the last year, mostly driven by an increase in the debt balance with domestic and foreign financial institutions. However, the increase in this latter source of funding has been influenced by the depreciation of the Colombian peso vis-à-vis the US dollar since mid-2014. The financial indicators reflected a favorable behavior with respect to the historical average, except for the profitability indicators; although they were below the average, they have shown improvement in the last year. By economic sector, it is noted that the firms focused on farming, mining and transportation activities recorded the highest levels of risk perception by credit institutions, and the largest increases in default levels with respect to those observed in December 2014. Meanwhile, households have shown an increase in the financial burden, mainly due to growth in the consumer loan portfolio, in which the modalities of credit card, payroll deductible loan, revolving and vehicle loan are those that have reported greater increases in risk indicators. On the side of investments that could be affected by the devaluation in the portfolio of credit institutions and non-banking financial institutions (NBFI), the largest share of public debt securities, variable-yield securities and domestic private debt securities is highlighted. The value of these portfolios fell between February and August 2015, driven by the devaluation in the market of these investments throughout the year. Furthermore, the analysis of the liquidity risk indicator (LRI) shows that all intermediaries showed adequate levels and exhibit a stable behavior. Likewise, the fragility analysis of the financial system associated with the increase in the use of non-traditional funding sources does not evidence a greater exposure to liquidity risk. Stress tests assess the impact of the possible joint materialization of credit and market risks, and reveal that neither the aggregate solvency indicator, nor the liquidity risk indicator (LRI) of the system would be below the established legal limits. The entities that result more individually affected have a low share in the total assets of the credit institutions; therefore, a risk to the financial system as a whole is not observed. José Darío Uribe Governor