Journal articles on the topic 'Export demand assessment'
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1
Andreeva, Elena, and Alla Golovina. "Methodological Approach to the Assessment of Neo-Industrial Export Specialization." SHS Web of Conferences 93 (2021): 05021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/20219305021.
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The relevance of the article is due to the importance of the development of export of high-processing industries. Objective: to develop methodological support for assessing the neo-industrial export specialization of regions and its determining factors. The research methods included identifying potential assessment parameters and testing their applicability based on the analysis of economic development statistics of the region selected as an example. The proposed methodological support for the assessment of neo-industrial export specialization includes its integral assessment, assessment of goods and services, assessment of the contribution of the high-tech component to the change in exports, ranking of regions by absolute values of high-tech exports. The method of assessing the factors of neo-industrial export specialization involves the assessment of indicators that identify these factors of exo-and endogenous order – the development of manufacturing production, innovation potential, transport potential, the development of the export support system, and the international demand for the region's products. The practical significance of the proposed methodological support lies in the fact that it makes it possible to analyze the neo-industrial export specialization of Russian regions and the factors of its development, and to identify and analyze possible directions of development in this area.
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Bayramov, Shahin V., Gulsura Y. Mehdiyeva, Agil A. Eyvazov, and Elchin R. Mustafayev. "Diversification Rate of Energy Balance and Energy Export Demand Risk Impacts on Economic Growth: The Case of Azerbaijan." Cuestiones Políticas 39, no. 68 (March 7, 2021): 290–314. http://dx.doi.org/10.46398/cuestpol.3968.18.
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The objective of the article was to examine the level of diversification of the energy balance and energy export demand, as well as its impacts on economic growth to ensure energy security in Azerbaijan. Forthe research, the Risk Energy Export Demand Index and its four sub-indexes, i.e.,1) export dependence, were used; 2) risk of monopsonium; (3) the risk of transaction costs; 4) Comparative quantitative assessment of the economic importance of different types of energy in the country's energy exports. The Herfindahl-Hirschman index and the Shannon-Wiener index were used for the assessment of the diversification and concentration rate. The OLS method, the ADF test and cointegration were used to assess the relationship between indicators. It is concluded that the share ofenergy obtained from renewable sources in the country's energy balance is very low (about 3%), and the energy obtained from these sources is mainly used for electricity production. Since an essential part of the country's energy balance is in hydrocarbon reserves, the level of diversification is low.
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Mihci, Hakan, and Devrim Karaman. "An Assessment of Output Performance in Northern Cyprus." South East European Journal of Economics and Business 4, no. 1 (April 1, 2009): 21–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/v10033-009-0002-7.
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An Assessment of Output Performance in Northern CyprusThis paper mainly attempts to investigate empirically the Northern Cyprus output performance by using a panel data method for the period 1977-2005. A supplementary aim is to assess the impact of export orientation on the Northern Cyprus output level. Empirical results suggest that investment, employment and export variables significantly and positively affect the sectoral production increases in Northern Cyprus. Among other variables, exports of goods and services exert considerable affects on the sectoral production in the case of Northern Cyprus economy. Therefore, it can be suggested that a production structure mostly dependent on foreign demand makes it easier to overcome the restrictions originating from the insufficiency of the domestic market through creating new employment opportunities for highly qualified labor force and additional production capacity with productive investments. Moreover, exports have the potential to rise total factor productivities, and hence, to improve output expansion of the country further. In short, one may propose that outward orientation seems to be relevant in achieving higher levels of output in the case of the Northern Cyprus economy.
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Bykau, Aliaksei, Uladzimir Parkhimenka, and Sergey Tolkachev. "Влияние covid-19 на российскую экономику: методологические подходы к оценке на основе межотраслевого баланса." Belarusian Economic Journal 2/2020, no. 2 (91) - 2020 (June 26, 2020): 25–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.46782/1818-4510-2020-2-25-37.
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We made an attempt to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy of Russian Federation, based on estimates of domestic demand decrease for each of the 98 industries (products) identified in the system of input-output tables. The analysis was carried out in the context of identifying two key factors of demand changes: lockdown measures that directly limit domestic demand, as well as global oil prices, leading to a reduction in export income of the economy and a subsequent reduction in demand for goods and services in the domestic market. The obtained quantitative estimates are presented in the context of selected industries, sectors and the Russian economy as a whole. As a generalized conclusion, it justifies the assessment of the joint effect of lockdown and a decrease in oil exports at about 5% of GDP
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Wang, Di, and Ming Xin Wang. "Quantification of the Embodied Impacts of International Trade on Energy and Environment in China." Advanced Materials Research 524-527 (May 2012): 3428–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amr.524-527.3428.
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Based on the input-output life cycle assessment method, the embodied energy consumption, air and water emissions of China's international trade in 2007 were estimated. The results showed that the embodied energy consumption of China's international trade in 2007 is up to 229.04 Mt, accounting for 8.62% of total energy consumption. The embodied Chemical Oxygen Demand, Ammonia Nitrogen, Sulfur Dioxide and Dust emissions caused by net exports accounted for 9.85%, 9.11%, 6.71% and 0.78% of the overall emissions in China, respectively. China’s export promoted energy consumptions and pollutant emissions significantly. Therefore, China should adjust its export strategy and structure to reverse the adverse effects on energy and environment caused by exportation.
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Mamo, Gezahagn Dugassa. "Assessment on Impact of Live Animal Export on Meat Export Performance in Ethiopia; Policy Implications." Business and Management Studies 1, no. 2 (August 22, 2019): 21. http://dx.doi.org/10.11114/bms.v5i3.4467.
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Ethiopia has one of the largest livestock populations in Africa. Due to lack of livestock market structure, performances, prices are poor and inadequate for designing policies and marketing system, the sector has remained stagnant. Despite fluctuation over years, the exports of meat (16,877 tonnes) and live animals (472,041 head) have significantly increased in 2010 -2012 Ethiopian Fiscal Year (EFY), recording 69 % increment from the previous years (kefyalew,2011). In 2018/19 EFY live animal contributes 33% of the earning, while 67 % was obtained from meat export (ERCA, 201819). However, lack of export routes and ports, illegal live animal trade, shortage of live animal and lack of appropriate breeding programs are some of the main challenges faced to the sector (kefaylew,2011). The presence of large livestock population with diverse and adaptable genotypes, and diverse agro-ecologies for production of different types of livestock; expansion of agro-industries and the increase of by product feedstuffs allowing for enhanced productivity; proximity of the middle east countries, high demand for meat and live animals including the domestic market are some of the opportunities that the sectors have. Therefore, the country would have been benefited more from the sector if the aforementioned challenges have been overcome. (Ameha,2011)
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Stricevic, Ruzica, Zorica Srdjevic, Nevenka Djurovic, and Bojan Srdjevic. "The agricultural water footprint and assessment of virtual water trade. Does Serbia import or export water?" Journal of Agricultural Sciences, Belgrade 63, no. 2 (2018): 185–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.2298/jas1802185s.
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Limited water resources, an increase in water demand and a changing climate triggered the development of new concepts for assessment of water demand and water consumption locally and globally. The newest concepts that successfully tackle this issue are water footprint and virtual water trade. Aims of this study are: (1) to define specific water demand for the most important agricultural products in the international trade of the Republic of Serbia, (2) to assess possibilities of an increase in water productivity for those products, and (3) to assess sustainability of water resources in Serbia, based on the ratio of import/export during virtual water trade. Specific water demand for wheat, maize, sunflower, sugar beet and soya bean has been calculated and compared with specific water demand in other countries. Results prove that water productivity can be improved by, for example, using other varieties of crops or modifying cultivation technology. The ratio of imported/exported virtual water quantities for the periods 1995-1999 and 2010- 2013 in Serbia shows that more water was exported than imported. Sustainability of water resources in Serbia will not be endangered even if the export of agricultural products is increased.
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Kundius, V. A., I. V. Kovaleva, and T. V. Streltsova. "ASSESSMENT OF GRAIN MARKET CONDITIONS AND PROSPECTS FOR ITS DEVELOPMENT IN THE CONTEXT OF EXPORT POLICY IMPLEMENTATION." Economics Profession Business, no. 2 (June 10, 2020): 71–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.14258/epb201974.
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The article considers the state and prospects of the Russian grain market, taking into account export opportunities, since the cultivation of grain crops is a system-forming for the economy of the Altai territory, on the state and development of which depends both the efficiency of enterprises associated with this industry, and the level of development of rural areas in General. The Altai territory is one of the ten largest grain-producing regions in Russia and has the largest areas of grain and leguminous crops in Russia. The share of grain production reaches 4.5% of the Russian indicator. Traditionally, in the region, the largest part of the grain production structure is wheat, but the demand in the interregional and global markets makes increasing demands on the quality of grain, the range of cereals, including those with improved environmental characteristics. In this regard, the authors of the article justify the appropriate adjustment of production, stimulating mechanisms for the development of export activities of agricultural and processing enterprises. It is shown that the natural — climatic and resource potential of the region allows growing rye, barley, buckwheat, soy, and others in demand on the world markets to produce organic products with the brand “Product of Altai”, which has proven itself in the markets as organic, environmentally friendly, natural products with high taste and useful properties for human health.
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Lobzhanidze, Nino. "The impact assessment of competitiveness on export growth in Georgian mineral water sector (based on econometric model)." Economics. Ecology. Socium 5, no. 1 (March 30, 2021): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2021.5.1-1.
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Introduction. The paper analyzes the dynamics of exports of the Georgian mineral water product and identifies the reasons for the upward or downward trends. The paper assesses the methodological issues of measuring the level of competition in agri-food markets in general. The paper uses a theoretical-methodological study of the issue. Comparative statistical analysis is performed according to the foreign trade statistics. The Revealed Comparative Advantage Index (RCA) and the Relative Export Advantage Index (RXA) are calculated to assess the competitiveness of the Georgian mineral water sector using the “ex-post” method. In addition, an econometric model is constructed to substantiate the relationship between cause-effect variables. The model substantiates the impact of competitiveness weighed and estimated by “Doing Business”, „Index of Economic Freedom” rankings and the potential demand of partner countries weighted by trade shares, on the growth of Georgia's mineral water exports.
Aim and tasks. The main purpose of the article is to highlight the role of product competitiveness among the factors affecting export growth, to identify the main obstacles and suggest ways to overcome them. The article also analyzes the most acute problems caused by Covid 19 in the field. There are analyzed policy and forecasts in response to the complicated economic situation created by the pandemic of the main companies of the Georgian mineral water market.
Results. Based on the statistical trends, mathematical calculations and econometric model evaluations, a positive correlation between competitiveness and exports is substantiated. Also, the main points of the mineral water companies performance and state support economic policy are presented due to the pandemic situation. Taking into account the general and current problems in the sector the ways to maintain and increase the level of competitiveness of the product are identified.
Conclusions. The conducted research presents the importance of the competitiveness on the export growth. Accordingly, the article proposes ways to increase the level of competition and competitiveness. Conclusions have been made on the underlying problems in the field, including those caused by Covid 19 and beyond, and recommendations for addressing these problems have been proposed.
Keywords: competition, mineral water sector, export diversification, competitiveness indexes.
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Wiedemann, S. G., M. J. Yan, and C. M. Murphy. "Resource use and environmental impacts from Australian export lamb production: a life cycle assessment." Animal Production Science 56, no. 7 (2016): 1070. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/an14647.
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This study conducted a life cycle assessment (LCA) investigating energy, land occupation, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, fresh water consumption and stress-weighted water use from production of export lamb in the major production regions of New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia. The study used data from regional datasets and case study farms, and applied new methods for assessing water use using detailed farm water balances and water stress weighting. Land occupation was assessed with reference to the proportion of arable and non-arable land and allocation of liveweight (LW) and greasy wool was handled using a protein mass method. Fossil fuel energy demand ranged from 2.5 to 7.0 MJ/kg LW, fresh water consumption from 58.1 to 238.9 L/kg LW, stress-weighted water use from 2.9 to 137.8 L H2O-e/kg LW and crop land occupation from 0.2 to 2.0 m2/kg LW. Fossil fuel energy demand was dominated by on-farm energy demand, and differed between regions and datasets in response to production intensity and the use of purchased inputs such as fertiliser. Regional fresh water consumption was dominated by irrigation water use and losses from farm water supply, with smaller contributions from livestock drinking water. GHG emissions ranged from 6.1 to 7.3 kg CO2-e/kg LW and additional removals or emissions from land use (due to cultivation and fertilisation) and direct land-use change (due to deforestation over previous 20 years) were found to be modest, contributing between –1.6 and 0.3 kg CO2-e/kg LW for different scenarios assessing soil carbon flux. Excluding land use and direct land-use change, enteric CH4 contributed 83–89% of emissions, suggesting that emissions intensity can be reduced by focussing on flock production efficiency. Resource use and emissions were similar for export lamb production in the major production states of Australia, and GHG emissions were similar to other major global lamb producers. The results show impacts from lamb production on competitive resources to be low, as lamb production systems predominantly utilised non-arable land unsuited to alternative food production systems that rely on crop production, and water from regions with low water stress.
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Eltis, David. "THe Volume, Age/Sex Ratios, and African Impact of the Slave Trade: Some Refinements of Paul Lovejoy's Review of the Literature." Journal of African History 31, no. 3 (November 1990): 485–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0021853700031194.
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Continuing the discussion of issues relating to Africa that arise from research into the volume of the Atlantic slave trade, this comment pursues three points raised by Paul Lovejoy's recent update in the Journal of African History (December 1989). An independent count of the data in the Mettas-Daget catalogue of French slaving ships and a careful assessment of its possible incompleteness makes it unlikely that upward adjustment greater than 12 per cent can be justified, giving an overall total for French exports from Africa of 1,125,000 for the period 1700–1810. Analysis of other research reconfirms the conventional estimate of two males carried abroad for every female slave. Finally, formal supply-demand theory interprets lower export prices for slaves in the nineteenth century as implying that internal African demand for slave labor did not fully replace demand from the Atlantic, thus modifying Lovejoy's linkage of a ‘transformation’ toward increased use of slaves to economic changes outside Africa; the reasons for possible increased use of slaves in nineteenth-century Africa must therefore lie within the continent.
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Salamaga, Marcin. "Segmentation of markets in Central and Eastern Europe with the use of the CMS method." Wiadomości Statystyczne. The Polish Statistician 64, no. 2 (February 28, 2019): 5–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.5604/01.3001.0013.8525.
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The paper aims at making a comparative analysis of the Central and Eastern European countries in the scope of effects accompanying changes in their export. The Eurostat’s data for 2016 were used in the study. The effects of changes in export of individual countries were separated based on the Constant Market Share (CMS) model developed by Leamer and Stern. The calculated effectssuch as: demand effect, market distribution effect, commodity composition effect and competitiveness effect enabled a detailed assessment of the sources of changes occurring in export of individual countries. They allowed, in particular, for answeringthe following question: to what extent may changes in export be explained by the economic situation in the world commodity trade of individual clustersand to what extent do they result from the competitiveness of these countries? The application of the multivariate statistical analysis method for the selected effects allowed for the identification of clusters of countries with the most similar position in the spatial and commodity arrangement, including countries of similar trade competitiveness.
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Ma, Chi, Jian Huang, and Chen Xuanr Dong. "Analysis on the Effectiveness of Supportive Policies for Roof-PV-Scheme Dissemination in P.R. of China." Applied Mechanics and Materials 291-294 (February 2013): 1482–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.291-294.1482.
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The Chinese PV industry is of the highly export-dependant as high as 95% for exportation. Due to the sharp reduction of the demand from the international market due to various causes in Europe and America in recent years, the entire industry is copied with severe challenge for its survival. To increase the demand from the domestic market is an effective way in the short-term and relevant supportive policies should be put into practice. This paper focused on the assessment of the effectiveness the various supportive policies and measures might create and concluded the way to push the roof-PV-scheme dissemination.
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Ivanova, Svetlana V., and Artyom V. Latyshov. "Trade of the EAEU Countries in Agricultural Products: Trends, Conflicts, Factors." International Trade and Trade Policy, no. 4 (January 3, 2020): 120–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.21686/2410-7395-2019-4-120-134.
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The article is devoted to the analysis of domestic and foreign trade of the Eurasian economic Union (EAEU) of agri-food products; identification and assessment of current trends, growth factors and imbalances in the light of efforts to create a unified agricultural policy of the member States of the Union. It is determined that Russia's successful implementation of the priority project «Export of agricultural products» contributed to the increase in grain exports to third countries in spite of the limited effective demand within the EAEU. The largest contribution to exports within the five countries, especially in terms of livestock products, makes Belarus with a significant negative balance of its trade in agricultural products with countries outside the Union. The free trade agreement with Vietnam stimulates export from Russia with mainly wheat, which strengthens its position as a source of agricultural raw materials without shifting the focus to products of deep processing. The relevance of the article is due to the fact that agriculture is officially recognized as a strategic industry, and food security is an integral part of the national security of the country. It is of interest to study the formation of a single agricultural market within the EAEU and the realities of foreign trade with third countries.
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Zhang, Yumei, Xinshen Diao, Kevin Z. Chen, Sherman Robinson, and Shenggen Fan. "Impact of COVID-19 on China's macroeconomy and agri-food system – an economy-wide multiplier model analysis." China Agricultural Economic Review 12, no. 3 (July 2, 2020): 387–407. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/caer-04-2020-0063.
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PurposeThe purpose of this study is to assess the potential economic cost of the COVID-19 pandemic on China's macroeconomy and agri-food system and provide policy recommendations to stimulate economic growth and agri-food system development.Design/methodology/approachAn economy-wide multisector multiplier model built on China's most recent social accounting matrix (SAM) for 2017 with 149 economic sectors is used to assess the impact of COVID-19 on China's macroeconomy and agri-food system. SAM multiplier analysis focuses on supply chain linkages and captures the complexity of an interconnected economy.FindingsThe paper finds that both the macroeconomy and agri-food systems are hit significantly by COVID-19. There are three main findings. First, affected by COVID-19, GDP decreased by 6.8% in the first quarter of 2020 compared with that in 2019, while the economic loss of the agri-food system is equivalent to 7% of its value added (about RMB 0.26 trillion). More than 46m agri-food system workers (about 27% of total employment) lost their jobs to COVID-19 in the lockdown phase. The COVID-19 affects the employment of unskilled labor more than that of skilled labor. Second, when the economy starts to recover during the second and third quarters, the growth rate in the value added of the agri-food system turns positive but still modest. Many jobs resume during the period, but the level of agri-food system employment continues to be lower than the base. The agri-food system employment recovery is slower than that of other sectors largely due to the sluggish recovery of restaurants. Agri-food system employment drops by 8.6m, which accounts for about 33% of the total jobs lost. Third, although the domestic economy is expected to be normal in the fourth quarter, external demand still faces uncertainties due to the global pandemic. The agri-food system is projected to grow by 1.1% annually in 2020 with resuming export demand, while only by 0.4% without resuming export demand. These rates are much lower than an annual growth rate of 4.3% for the agri-food system in 2019. The results also show that, without resuming export demand, China's total economy will grow less than 1% in 2020, while, with export demand resumed, the growth rate rises to 1.7%. These rates are much lower than an annual GDP growth rate of 6.1% in 2019.Practical implicationsThe results show that continuously reducing economic dependency on exports and stimulating domestic demand are key areas that require policy support. The agri-food system can play an important role in supporting broad economic growth and job creation as SMEs are major part of the AFS. Job creation requires policies to promote innovation by entrepreneurs who run numerous SMEs in China.Originality/valueThis paper represents the first systematic study assessing the impact of COVID-19 on China's agri-food system in terms of value added and employment. The assessment considers three phases of lockdown, recovery and normal phases in order to capture the full potential cost of COVID-19.
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Duan, Maoqing, Xia Du, Wenqi Peng, Shijie Zhang, and Liuqing Yan. "Necessity of Acknowledging Background Pollutants in Management and Assessment of Unique Basins." Water 11, no. 5 (May 27, 2019): 1103. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w11051103.
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The limitations of water quality management and assessment methods in China can be ascertained by comparison with other countries. However, it is unreasonable to use a uniform standard to evaluate water quality throughout China because one standard cannot fully account for the regional differences in background water quality. This study aimed to provide a basis for environmental water management decision-making. Areas seriously affected by background pollutants were identified by comparing several factors across 31 provinces in China. By coupling an improved export coefficient model (ECM) with a mechanistic model, a suitable pollutant yield coefficient was determined and its rationality was analysed. The export coefficient model was applied to estimate the pollutant (chemical oxygen demand and ammonia nitrogen) output of the basin in 2015. The spatial distribution characteristics of the pollutants were determined by simulating the pollutant outputs of 22 sub-basins and nine water function zones. For the year 2020, the simulation results of pollutant outputs far exceed the sewage discharge limit in water function zones and the pollutant concentration was much higher than the standard. Considering background pollutant outputs, more reasonable sewage discharge limit and water quality evaluation method are proposed.
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Anissah, Umi, Ajeng Kurniasari Putri, and Giri Rohmad Barokah. "An Estimation of Endogenous Formaldehyde Exposure due to Consumption of Indonesian Opah Fish (Lampris guttatus) in Three Major Export Destination Countries." Squalen Bulletin of Marine and Fisheries Postharvest and Biotechnology 14, no. 1 (May 31, 2019): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.15578/squalen.v14i1.369.
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The demand for Indonesian opah fish as an export product is increasing in the international market. Three countries (Malaysia, Mauritius, and Taiwan) recorded as the leading export destination of Indonesian opah fish. However, as the fish kept in a frozen state during export transportation, the endogenous formaldehyde may increase over time. This research presented the health risk assessment of population in the leading export destination countries that consumed opah fish from Indonesia. The study aimed to reveal the most potential export destination country that may accept an increasing volume of opah fish supply from Indonesia. The potency was determined from current export volume, the amount of endogenous formaldehyde content, and fish consumption at each country. The data were calculated with @Risk®7.0 software. The results showed opah fish consumed by Malaysian can be categorized as safe. Increasing the number of opah fish imported by Malaysian as much as six times, 12 times, 18 times, 27 and 36 times relatively does not cause health risks related to the presence of its endogenous formaldehyde. Moreover, opah fish consumed by Taiwanese is also safe, but with increasing the number of consumptions by more than 26 times is suspected to be potentially causing a health problem. However, opah fish consumed in Mauritius was categorized as unsafe and potentially caused health risks. Based on these results, Indonesia may consider to increase the opah fish export to Malaysia and Taiwan in the future.
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Ball, A. L., and K. M. Schneider. "THE ASIA PACIFIC LNG MARKET: ISSUES AND OUTLOOK." APPEA Journal 45, no. 1 (2005): 165. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/aj04014.
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With rising natural gas demand and limited reserves in many Asia Pacific countries, LNG imports have emerged as an important gas supply source in the region. Rapid uptake of LNG has occurred in Japan, Korea and Chinese Taipei, and new and potential LNG markets are emerging in India, China, the Philippines, New Zealand and the north American west coast, among others. Growth in Asia Pacific LNG demand has encouraged the development of LNG export projects in the region, which has become the world’s largest LNG supplier, and the Middle East.Asia Pacific LNG imports are projected to nearly double by 2015. This will provide opportunities and challenges for LNG suppliers to the Asia Pacific market, including Australia. Competition to retain markets among existing LNG suppliers will be strong, although there will be a key role for new projects. Potential regional LNG supply capacity in the next 10 years is significant: Australia’s LNG export capacity has the potential to more than quadruple with a number of new projects scheduled to become operational.This paper reviews existing LNG demand and supply in the Asia Pacific region and provides an assessment of likely future developments in the market over the period to 2015, including the opportunities for the Australian LNG industry. The analysis in the paper is based on ABARE’s Asia Pacific LNG market: issues and outlook, released in November 2004, and excludes later developments.
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Zhang, Richard, and John Roberts. "China’s Dairy Import Industry: An Economic Analysis of Influencing Trade Factors." Journal of Management and Sustainability 6, no. 1 (February 26, 2016): 182. http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/jms.v6n1p182.
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<p>One of the most dependable trends in a country’s transformation from an undeveloped, to developing, and to developed country is a growing demand for dairy products and milk. As China has undergone an unprecedented transformation over the last few decades since Deng Xiaoping’s Open Door Policy, China has followed this trend of an increasing demand for dairy products. As with other industries in mainland China, the domestic dairy industry is progressing at an incredibly fast rate. Yet at the same time when China is building its own industry to meet the growing demand, trade liberalization by joining the World Trade Organization has brought intense competition from foreign milk producers such as New Zealand, Australia, and the United States. This thesis examines the factors that influence various facets of the Chinese dairy industry, including import and export trade, consumer demand, and domestic and international competition. In addition to a deep background assessment of the Chinese dairy industry and market, a Constant Market Share econometric model is utilized to assess the varying levels of influence that different factors have on the industry by using three different time periods as a model of assessment for the whole industry.</p>
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Khomych, O. V., and I. M. Manaienko. "Development of Enterprise Export Potential in the European FMCG Market in Terms of Risks." Problems of Economy 3, no. 45 (2020): 133–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.32983/2222-0712-2020-3-133-138.
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The article analyzes the basic concepts and principles of enterprises functioning in the FMCG market. Given that this market suggests quick return goods and consumer goods, which are characterized by high demand and frequency of purchase, the article presents the basic patterns of the market dynamic development. The principles of food industry enterprises activity have been considered, taking them as an integral part of the FMCG market. The peculiarities of dairy products export have been studied, taking into account modern economic processes in Ukraine and the reorientation of its export flows from the CIS to EU states. The authors have come to conclusion that carrying out export activity directly depends on the export potential. The article also analyzes the risks associated with the difference between international and domestic norms and regulations stated in the export legislation and legislation on the quality of perishable dairy products, which may be faced by companies already exporting dairy products to the EU market or just planning to enter this promising foreign market. We have assessed the attempt to increase the competitiveness of Ukrainian products through raising their quality and bringing it in accordance with international standards. The determinants dominating in the export activity of the FMCG businesses in the EU market have been identified, taking into account the potential risks. It has been proved that in order to increase the export potential of enterprises working in the FMCG-market in the conditions of systemic risks caused by business environment, a promising area of research may consist in improving the institutional framework in such spheres as standardization, conformity assessment and market surveillance by integrating Ukrainian institutions into European and international structures.
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Lee, Huey-Lin, Yu-Pin Lin, and Joy Petway. "Global Agricultural Trade Pattern in A Warming World: Regional Realities." Sustainability 10, no. 8 (August 5, 2018): 2763. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su10082763.
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Global warming, coupled with disparate national population growth projections, could exert significant pressure on food prices, increasing the risk of food insecurity, particularly for net-importing countries. We investigated projected eventualities for a comprehensive set of 133 countries by the year 2030, and identified changes in the global agricultural crop trading pattern, with simulations from a multi-regional computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. We based our model on population growth and temperature scenarios, as per the IPCC fifth assessment report (AR5). Our simulations suggest an increase of 4.9% and 6.4% in global average prices and aggregate export crop volumes, respectively. This global exports expansion requires an increased 4.46% in current global aggregate crop output, since population growth raises demand, and thus, global average crop prices, further aggravating net importing countries’ financial burdens for food acquisition. Conversely, net exporting countries will fare better in the projected scenario due to increased agricultural income, as they are able to increase crop exports to meet the rising global demand and price. The gap in global income distribution widens, given that the majority of developing countries are coincidently located in tropical zones which are projected to experience negative crop yield shocks, while industrialized countries are located in cold and temperate zones projected to have favorable crop yield changes. National and international policy measures aimed at effectively alleviating net importing countries’ food security issues should also consider how global crop yields are geographically and diversely impacted by climate change.
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V, Malarvizhi, and Geetha K T. "Economic cost & profit assessment of poultry farming in namakkal district." Journal of Management and Science 1, no. 2 (June 30, 2015): 153–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.26524/jms.2015.14.
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Poultry farming in India has transformed from a mere tool of supplementary income and nutritious food for the family to the major commercial activity generating the required revenue.Changing food habits, rising income of the middle class Indian, presence of private players, rising market demand of the Indian poultry produce in the export market are some of the contributing factors to the growth of the industry. Therefore, the study intends to examine the socio-economic background of the poultry farmers; to analyze the investment, cost and profit of the farmers and to identify the problems faced by the farmers. The study based on primary and secondary data collected from 120 poultry farmers by adopting purposive sampling during November 2013 to January 2014.Cost of feeding constitutes a major problem to most of the poultry farmers as it accounts for a larger percentage of total cost of production, since poultry birds cannot do without food.
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Indrasti, Rita, and Jefny B. Markus Rawung. "The Assessment of Production System and Marketing of Siam Citrus in Jember Regency." E3S Web of Conferences 232 (2021): 02025. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202123202025.
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Siam citrus is a potential horticultural commodity for export and has high economic value. This research was conducted in Umbulsari District, Jember Regency, one of the productions and marketing centres for Siam citrus in East Java Province. The research results on the production and marketing system for the Siam citrus commodity in Jember Regency show that economically the Siam citrus agribusiness provides direct economic benefits to local farmers and has a multiplier effect for a household. The marketing system has been running, involving many actors known as the perfect competition market. However, it is necessary to increase farmers' bargaining value by strengthening farmer institutions, capital institutions, and market and technology information systems. The SWOT analysis results show that the opportunity for the development of Siam citrus is still facing technical problems in cultivation and marketing institutions. However, Siam citrus cultivation is the strength component to meet domestic demand in the country.
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MacDonald, Scott B., and F. Joseph Demetrius. "The Caribbean Sugar Crisis: Consequences and Challenges." Journal of Interamerican Studies and World Affairs 28, no. 1 (1986): 35–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/165735.
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“Being in Sugar is like collecting Confederate currency”. This assessment, offered by anthropologist Sidney Mintz (1985), is shared by many sugar industry observers, insiders, and, increasingly, by many Caribbean officials. King sugar, instrumental in shaping the diverse political, economic, and social histories of the Caribbean since colonial times, confronts a seemingly intractable crisis: a severe, and sustained, disequilibrium between global demand and supply which makes export of sugar very unattractive. Except in those cases where preferential arrangements exist between producers and consumers-the Lomé Convention, the US sugar quota system, and the Soviet guaranteed purchase of Cuban sugar-world prices for sugar are at a record low, well below production costs.
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Tkalenko, Svitlana, Tetyana Melnyk, and Kudyrko Liudmyla. "EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF EXPORTS OF ORGANIC AGRICULTURAL FOOD PRODUCTS OF UKRAINE." Baltic Journal of Economic Studies 7, no. 3 (June 25, 2021): 177–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.30525/2256-0742/2021-7-3-177-185.
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The main goal of the study is to identify endogenous and exogenous factors that determine the scale and dynamics of Ukraine’s exports of organic agricultural food products (OAP). The formulated goal caused assessment of a number of potential factors influencing the development of the export potential of the Ukrainian agro-industrial complex in terms of production and sales of organic agricultural products on foreign markets. The authors conducted economic and mathematical modeling based on the software product E-Views. The observation interval covers 2008-2019. Multifactorial regression model has been constructed and tested for heteroscedasticity, as well as causal relationships have been identified between the main indicators of supply and demand and the exports volumes of related organic products. This makes it possible for further forecast on Ukraine’s exports in the short and medium term. Methodology. The study has been based on statistics from international and Ukrainian institutions specializing in organic farming and trade, including FiBL (Research Institute of Organic Agriculture), the Federation of Organic Movement of Ukraine. Databases of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UNCTAD for the period 2008-2019 were also involved, which made it possible to conduct a full cycle of research procedures in order to identify the most significant factors influencing Ukraine’s export activity within related segment of the global market. The results of the conducted modeling show the following: achievement and increase of Ukraine’s relative advantage in international trade of organic agro-food products for the outlined years; the existence of strong connection between the volume of exports of organic agro-food products and the level of comparative country’s advantages in international trade; identifying a significant impact on exports of endogenous factors, namely the level of wholesale and retail sales on the domestic market of Ukraine as a factor that creates additional demand from the population and business of Ukraine (B2B and B2C markets) for organic products and enhances the attention of agricultural manufacturers to activities that combine the criteria of high profitability and public demand. Another endogenous factor is the volume of areas allocated for organic farming has shown insignificant impact, however, it allows to create resource conditions for increasing production and export activity of national business in a particular sphere on various directions, from meat and dairy products to production of organic fruit, vegetables, etc. Practical implications. Conceptual provisions, conclusions formulated by the authors based on the conducted econometric modeling, allow to optimize the measures of regulatory policy in terms of institutional support of conditions and factors contributing to promising activities of the national agro-industrial complex. This will ensure the implementation of the national strategy on sustainable development with its emphasis achieving environmental criteria of production and consumption, reduce the level of import dependence upon a number of strategically important food groups and, at the same time, increase economic efficiency of Ukrainian agricultural business. Value/originality. Prospects for further research in this area may assess the potential of international production and marketing cooperation between Ukrainian agricultural companies and non-resident companies in terms of limiting the latter’s access to the land market in Ukraine while finding flexible mechanisms to stimulate joint production and sale of organic agricultural products on international markets according to quality and safety standards.
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Butakova, M. M., O. N. Sokolova, and O. A. Goryaninskaya. "FOOD QUALITY AS A FACTOR OF ENSURING THE COMPETITIVENESS OF AIC PRODUCTS ON THE NATIONAL AND WORLD MARKETS." Economics Profession Business, no. 2 (June 10, 2021): 5–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.14258/epb202116.
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The research problem is related to the necessity and complexity of achieving the UN sustainable development goal in the context of ensuring food security and improving nutrition; the goals of increasing the volume of exports of products of the agro-industrial complex, set by the Decree of the President of the Russian Federation dated 07.05.2018 No. 204 “On national goals and strategic objectives of the development of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2024”.
In the work, the authors investigated the category of “quality” of food and analyzed the impact of the transformation of the category of “quality of food” on the prospects for growth in the volume of supplies to the national and world markets of agricultural products, reflects the problems of ensuring the competitiveness of food raw materials and products of plant origin in the world market. Based on the methods of quantitative analysis, an assessment is made of the possibilities of increasing the competitiveness of foodstuffs, improving the quality characteristics of food products in accordance with the requirements of the national market and the largest importers as a factor in increasing demand for products of the agro-industrial complex of Russia. The authors identified the problems of increasing the export potential by improving the quality characteristics and considered the economic conditions for their implementation. The research results will expand the boundaries of scientific knowledge regarding the impact of food quality on the competitiveness and export opportunities of producers.
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Senderov, Sergey, and Viktor Rabchuk. "The character of transformation of the threats to Russia’s energy security as the basis for evaluating the possibilities to meet the prospective demand for primary energy resources." E3S Web of Conferences 209 (2020): 06019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202020906019.
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The paper analyses the situation with ensuring energy security in Russia over the past five years and provides an assessment of the nature of the transformation of the most significant threats to Russia’s energy security until 2030. It is shown that by 2030 the annual potential of fuel and fuel in the country Energy complex for the production of primary fuel and energy resources together with the import of fuel and energy to Russia will significantly exceed its domestic needs. At the same time, the ability to export Russian natural gas could be significantly reduced. The paper shows that the situation with the decline in opportunities for the production and export of natural gas in Russia is not very encouraging. There are no prerequisites for a significant increase in world prices for hydrocarbons until 2030. And at the same time, there is a constant increase in the cost of oil and gas production and transportation on average across Russia. The paper concludes that the possibilities for the development of the Russian economy through the sale of only natural resources are practically exhausted by now.
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SUGIMOTO, Tadashi. "AN ASSESSMENT OF THE BALANCE BETWEEN SUPPLY OF AND DEMAND FOR ENERGY RESOURCES IN THE SOVIET UNION AND SOVIET ENERGY RESOURCE EXPORT CAPACITY." Japanese Slavic and East European Studies 12 (1991): 27–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.5823/jsees.12.0_27.
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Shirov, A. A., N. N. Sapova, E. S. Uzyakova, and R. M. Uzyakov. "Comprehensive Forecast of Demand for Inter-regional Rail Freight Transport." Economy of Region 17, no. 1 (March 2021): 1–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2021-1-1.
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A forecasting system for calculating the demand for inter-regional rail freight transport is necessary for assessing the growth and development opportunities of transport infrastructure, connectivity of regions and spatial development. We examine the regional economy and interregional relations based on the existing system of rail freight transport. The statistics of the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat), international statistical agencies and the data of JSC Russian Railways served as raw data. The research methodology includes input-output methods and models, in particular, a static input-output model, as well as methods of correlation and regression analysis. We calculated projected rail freight traffic for two macroeconomic development scenarios. A better alternative (target scenario) of economic development, demonstrating an average annual economic growth rate of 102.2 % for the period 2015–2035, would lead to a 16.2 % increase in the rail freight traffic by 2035 compared to the baseline scenario. The second scenario is based on the hypothesis of economic stagnation at the level of 1%. Such an increase is achieved by domestic transport, in which the share of construction freight for approximately 30.9 % of total traffic by 2035, and export transport, where the share of energy freight is 44.1 % of the total. An increase in shipment in total rail freight transport will be provided by enterprises of the Central, Northwestern, Volga and Siberian Federal Districts. The proposed tools allow sub- stantiating the strategic development of the railway system, assessing the cooperation between the economy and rail transport. The results can be used for analytical and predictive support of the strategic development of the railway system in the Russian Federation. The future research will focus on expanding the set of factors for considering the regional characteristics of economic development, a more meaningful assessment of the connectivity of regions, not only in the system of rail freight transport.
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FEDOROVA, N. Ye, and I. O. TARAN. "DETERMINATION OF THE FOREIGN ECONOMIC POTENTIAL OF UKRAINIAN WINE INDUSTRY IN THE WORLD MARKET." Economic innovations 21, no. 3(72) (September 20, 2019): 150–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.31520/ei.2019.21.3(72).150-158.
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Topicality. Ukrainian export strategy for 2017-2021 determines food industry as one of the key elements of the country's foreign economic potential. Despite the secondary importance of wine in meeting the basic human needs, wine industry plays an important role in filling the budget of the country, ensuring the socio-economic development of regions. The wine sector is a perspective direction for the development of Ukrainian economy, an integral part of its foreign economic potential because of favourable natural and climatic conditions and existence of labour and other resources of high quality.Aim and tasks. The purpose of the article is to determine the foreign economic potential of Ukrainian wine industry in the world market. To achieve the goal, following tasks have been set and solved: definition of production potential of Ukrainian wine industry; assessment of consumer potential of Ukrainian wine market; study of trends of export-import activity of market operators (volumes of export, import, foreign trade turnover, balance of export and import operations, geographic structure of export and import).Research results. According to the research results of Ukrainian wine industry in 2014-2018, it is established that the production potential of Ukrainian wine market is decreasing. This can be explained by the decrease in the area of grape plantations in the fructiferous age, the declining dynamics of the index of industrial products, the growth of depreciation, the decrease in the average number of staff members, as well as the decline in consumer market potential (due to a decrease in the number of target consumer segment, in the share of spending on alcoholic beverages and tobacco products, the growth of average consumer prices, the prohibition of the promotion of wine etc.).According to the export-import activity in monetary terms Ukraine is a net importer of grape wines. However, in terms of volume, the volumes of wine exports are dominated by imports. Such contradictions in data in both physical and monetary terms can be explained by the low cost of Ukrainian exports. The average price of 1 litre of exported Ukrainian wine in 2018 is 3.5 times lower than the cost of 1 litre of imported one. The geographic structure of demand for Ukrainian wines varies: the share of CIS countries and Europe is decreasing and the share of Asian countries is increasing. The largest buyers of Ukrainian wine are: Russian Federation, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and China. The geography of the import of grape wines has the opposite structure: a significant proportion is being taken by the European countries, the smallest – by the “new wine regions”: America, Africa and Australia and Oceania.Conclusion. The analysis of the indicators of functioning of Ukrainian wine industry shows that at present, it can not claim the position of an influential player in the market. There is a significant natural and climatic potential, but there is a number of problems that hinder the development of foreign economic potential. These problems are: problems related to the political and legal environment; problems of production potential; problems of consumer potential; foreign trade problems; retail problems.
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Ilinskiy, Aleksander A., Pavel S. Bukharin, Julia V. Soloveva, and Irina M. Zaychenko. "DIRECTIONS OF DEVELOPMENT OF EXPORT SUPPLIES OF NATURAL GAS USING UGS." Север и рынок: формирование экономического порядка 71, no. 1/2021 (March 16, 2021): 69–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.37614/2220-802x.1.2021.71.006.
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The relevance of the topic of the article is determined by the trends that have emerged in recent years, the diversification of primary energy sources and their suppliers in the EU countries, which, with increased competition in the energy markets, requires Gazprom to optimize the export of natural gas. Underground storage facilities for natural gas (UGS) are an important element of the company's export logistics. The purpose of the study was a systematic analysis of the problems, prospects and strategic directions of the development of underground gas storage facilities in the export of Russian gas to Europe. The role of UGS in the system of ensuring the sustainability and efficiency of contractual supplies of natural gas to consumers of the European Union (EU) is determined. The dynamics and forecast of the development of gas storage facilities of the Gazprom Group of Companies in European countries are determined. The dynamics and forecast of the development of gas storage facilities of the Gazprom Group of Companies in Russia and European countries are determined. The main UGS used by the Gazprom Group of Companies abroad are considered. The optimal solution for gas storage facilities with active use of natural gas in the energy balance of the countries is shown. The concept and directions of reconstruction of existing UGS based on digitalization of business processes of storage and selection of natural gas to consumers are justified. The prospects for the development of a system of intelligent underground natural gas storage facilities are determined. The seasonal balance of gas storage capacity in the EU countries is analyzed, including the assessment of gas filling and UGS productivity in the EU countries. On this basis, the necessary capacities of gas storage facilities to cover the peak demand for natural gas importing countries are justified. The article also traces the dynamics of changes in the gas storage capacities of the main natural gas importing countries of the Gazprom Group and the Central European countries for the period 2016–2020 and provides recommendations for their strategic development.
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Silvia, Stephen J. "A Silver Age? The German Economy since Reunification." German Politics and Society 37, no. 4 (December 1, 2019): 74–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.3167/gps.2019.370407.
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Since German unification, assessments of the German economy have swung from “sick man of the euro” in the early years to dominant hegemon of late. I argue that the German economy appears strong because of its recent positive performance in two politically salient areas: unemployment and the current account. A deeper assessment reveals, however, that German economic performance cannot be considered a second economic miracle, but is at best a mini miracle. The reduction in unemployment is an important achievement. That said, it was not the product of faster growth, but of sharing the same volume of work among more individuals. Germany’s current account surpluses are as much the result of weak domestic demand as of export prowess. Germany has also logged middling performances in recent years regarding growth, investment, productivity, and compensation. The article also reviews seven challenges Germany has faced since unification: financial transfers from west to east, the global financial crisis, the euro crisis, internal and external migration, demographics, climate change, and upheavals in the automobile industry. German policy-makers managed the first four challenges largely successfully. The latter three will be more difficult to tackle in the future.
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Wiedemann, Stephen, Rod Davis, Eugene McGahan, Caoilinn Murphy, and Matthew Redding. "Resource use and greenhouse gas emissions from grain-finishing beef cattle in seven Australian feedlots: a life cycle assessment." Animal Production Science 57, no. 6 (2017): 1149. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/an15454.
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Grain finishing of cattle has become increasingly common in Australia over the past 30 years. However, interest in the associated environmental impacts and resource use is increasing and requires detailed analysis. In this study we conducted a life cycle assessment (LCA) to investigate impacts of the grain-finishing stage for cattle in seven feedlots in eastern Australia, with a particular focus on the feedlot stage, including the impacts from producing the ration, feedlot operations, transport, and livestock emissions while cattle are in the feedlot (gate-to-gate). The functional unit was 1 kg of liveweight gain (LWG) for the feedlot stage and results are included for the full supply chain (cradle-to-gate), reported per kilogram of liveweight (LW) at the point of slaughter. Three classes of cattle produced for different markets were studied: short-fed domestic market (55–80 days on feed), mid-fed export (108–164 days on feed) and long-fed export (>300 days on feed). In the feedlot stage, mean fresh water consumption was found to vary from 171.9 to 672.6 L/kg LWG and mean stress-weighted water use ranged from 100.9 to 193.2 water stress index eq. L/kg LWG. Irrigation contributed 57–91% of total fresh water consumption with differences mainly related to the availability of irrigation water near the feedlot and the use of irrigated feed inputs in rations. Mean fossil energy demand ranged from 16.5 to 34.2 MJ lower heating values/kg LWG and arable land occupation from 18.7 to 40.5 m2/kg LWG in the feedlot stage. Mean greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the feedlot stage ranged from 4.6 to 9.5 kg CO2-e/kg LWG (excluding land use and direct land-use change emissions). Emissions were dominated by enteric methane and contributions from the production, transport and milling of feed inputs. Linear regression analysis showed that the feed conversion ratio was able to explain >86% of the variation in GHG intensity and energy demand. The feedlot stage contributed between 26% and 44% of total slaughter weight for the classes of cattle fed, whereas the contribution of this phase to resource use varied from 4% to 96% showing impacts from the finishing phase varied considerably, compared with the breeding and backgrounding. GHG emissions and total land occupation per kilogram of LWG during the grain finishing phase were lower than emissions from breeding and backgrounding, resulting in lower life-time emissions for grain-finished cattle compared with grass finishing.
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Lovkis, Z. V., A. M. Marhunova, S. E. Tamashevich, S. A. Kandratsenka, and A. N. Marhunov. "Methodology for assessment of competitive potential of functional purpose confectionery in the context of global market trends." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus. Agrarian Series 58, no. 3 (August 4, 2020): 283–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.29235/1817-7204-2020-58-3-283-297.
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The confectionery industry in the world belongs to dynamically developing sectors of the economy and fast-growing segments of the consumer market, due to the accelerated transformation of demand under influence of healthy nutrition and safety trends, as well as ability of the industry to adapt and develop considering consumer preferences through innovations and development of sustainable competitive strategies. New products with original consumer properties of functional purpose with a low sugar content and healthy fats are constantly appearing in the confectionery market. In this regard, assessment of products competitiveness should take into account the new qualities and availability to the consumer, which will allow commodity producers to form an efficient competitive strategy based on the analysis, plan innovative initiatives, and achieve success in promoting in the domestic and foreign markets. The paper presents the results of studying the trends in the world confectionery market, as well as marketing analysis of quality price parameters of products of domestic and foreign producers in the domestic market. An efficient methodology for assessing competitiveness of functional purpose confectionery products in terms of chocolate has been substantiated, and its testing results made it possible to identify the competitive advantages of domestic products in the field of organoleptic properties, nutritional value, functional efficiency and information content of packaging for the consumer. Use of the development in practice will make it possible to successfully position Belarusian chocolate as an original product of high quality, increase the added value of products for export, as well as form a stable consumer demand for healthy foods in the domestic market. Acknowledgments. The research was carried out as part of the Branch Scientific and Technical Program “Child Nutrition. Quality and safety” for 2016-2020, as well as the state program of scientific research “Quality and Efficiency of Agroindustrial Production” for 2016-2020, subprogram 1 “AIC Economy”.
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Hinkley, James T. "A New Zealand Perspective on Hydrogen as an Export Commodity: Timing of Market Development and an Energy Assessment of Hydrogen Carriers." Energies 14, no. 16 (August 10, 2021): 4876. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en14164876.
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Hydrogen is currently receiving significant attention and investment as a key enabler of defossilised global energy systems. Many believe this will eventually result in the international trade of hydrogen as a commodity from countries with significant renewable energy resources, for example New Zealand and Australia, to net energy importing countries including Japan and Korea. Japan has, since 2014, been actively exploring the components of the necessary supply chains, including the assessment of different hydrogen carriers. Public/private partnerships have invested in demonstration projects to assess the comparative merits of liquid hydrogen, ammonia, and organic carriers. On the supply side, significant projects have been proposed in Australia while the impending closure of New Zealand’s Tiwai Point aluminium smelter at the end of 2024 may provide an opportunity for green hydrogen production. However, it is also evident that the transition to a hydrogen economy will take some years and confidence around the timing of supply and demand capacity is essential for new energy infrastructure investment. This paper reviews the expected development of an export market to Japan and concludes that large scale imports are unlikely before the late 2020s. Comparative evaluation of the energy efficiency of various hydrogen carriers concludes that it is too early to call a winner, but that ammonia has key advantages as a fungible commodity today, while liquid hydrogen has the potential to be a more efficient energy carrier. Ultimately it will be the delivered cost of hydrogen that will determine which carriers are used, and while energy efficiency is a key metric, there are other considerations such as infrastructure availability, and capital and operating costs.
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Ushachev, I. G., V. V. Maslova, and V. S. Chekalin. "IMPORT SUBSTITUTION AND ENSURING FOOD SECURITY OF RUSSIA." Vegetable crops of Russia, no. 2 (April 22, 2019): 3–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.18619/2072-9146-2019-2-3-8.
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The article discusses the issues of import substitution in the market of agricultural products and resources for their production in Russian Federation, ensuring the country's food security. Research results show that since 2014, when the active import substitution policy began, there have been significant changes in the agri-food trade, characterized by a decline in imports and an increase in exports. However, in different product segments of the market the speed of these changes varies. Despite ensuring the country's food independence for most types of agricultural products, the dependence on the import of resources for its production remains significant. At the same time, the demand for agricultural products remains under pressure from declining household income, as well as a significant income differentiation. In this regard, suggestions were made for making adjustments to the doctrine of food security, primarily in terms of assessing the economic affordability of food. Also, an assessment was made of the changes made to the state program for the development of agriculture in conjunction with the strategic objectives of the development of the Russian Federation defined for the period up to 2024. The need to ensure consistency between the tasks assigned to the agro-industrial complex to achieve the country's food security, increasing the export potential of the domestic agri-food products and resources allocated for development, was noted.
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SAMYGIN, Denis Yu. "Strategic tools for resolving food security issues: Foreign practices." National Interests: Priorities and Security 17 (June 15, 2021): 1126–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/ni.17.6.1126.
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Subject. The article examines the conformity of strategic planning tools and measures for agriculture with the current situation in the sector and national food security goals. Objectives. I determine agricultural planning tools, which appear most effective for food issues, referring to foreign countries’ practices. Methods. The study involves methods of expert assessment, generalization and sorting of leading scholars’ proceedings. I conducted the comparative analysis of advanced economies’ data, referring to the statistical database on the official website of the OECD. Results. I performed a scientific overview of strategic planning tools and measures for agriculture, which are widely used by advanced economies. The development of agriculture and food security are viewed as a comprehensive matter. Pursuing the high food independence and the development of the export potential, countries, like Russia, apply a variety of planning tools and measures, such as quotas, direct subsidies, guarantees, State aid, food aid. Using the above mechanisms, advanced economies try to address all aspects of the food security, thus ensuring the equilibrium of food demand and supply in terms of regional consumption rates and further. Conclusions. The use of such mechanisms in Russia may prove even more useful than abroad. If put on scientific grounds and approaches, planning mechanisms for agriculture will become even more result-oriented to address food security issues.
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Zhao, H. Y., Q. Zhang, S. J. Davis, D. Guan, Z. Liu, H. Huo, J. T. Lin, W. D. Liu, and K. B. He. "Assessment of China's virtual air pollution transport embodied in trade by a consumption-based emission inventory." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 14, no. 18 (October 9, 2014): 25617–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acpd-14-25617-2014.
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Abstract. High anthropogenic emissions from China have resulted in serious air pollution, and it has attracted considerable academic and public concern. The physical transport of air pollutants in the atmosphere has been extensively investigated, however, understanding the mechanisms how the pollutants were transferred through economic and trade activities remains challenge. In this work, we assessed China's virtual air pollutant transport embodied in trade, by using consumption-based accounting approach. We first constructed a consumption-based emission inventory for China's four key air pollutants (primary PM2.5, sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx) and non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOC)) in 2007, based on the bottom-up sectoral emission inventory concerning their production activities – a production-based inventory. We used a multiregional input-output (MRIO) model to integrate the sectoral production-based emissions and the associated economic and trade activities, and finally obtained consumption-based inventory. Unlike the production-based inventory, the consumption-based inventory tracked emissions throughout the supply chain related to the consumption of goods and services and hereby identified the emission flows followed the supply chains. From consumption-based perspective, emissions were significantly redistributed among provinces due to interprovincial trade. Large amount of emissions were embodied in the net imports of east regions from northern and central regions; these were determined by differences in the regional economic status and environmental policies. We also calculated the emissions embodied in exported and imported goods and services. It is found that 15–23% of China's pollutant emissions were related to exports for foreign consumption; that proportion was much higher for central and export-oriented coastal regions. It is suggested that measures should be introduced to reduce air pollution by integrating cross-regional consumers and producers in national agreements to encourage efficiency improvement in the supply chain and optimizing consumption structure internationally. The consumption-based air pollutants emission inventory developed in this work can be further used to attribute pollution to different economic activities and final demand types with the aid of air quality models.
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Tanina, M. A., V. V. Bondarenko, V. A. Yudina, and O. N. Leskina. "Domestic practices of increasing the international competitiveness of the Russian higher education institutions in the context of global challenges and threats." Vestnik Universiteta, no. 6 (August 7, 2021): 61–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.26425/1816-4277-2021-6-61-69.
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The Russian universities have to be demand among potential foreign applicants in the context of tightening competition in the global higher education market for resources, personnel and students. The possibility of attraction talented young people from other countries appears through the implementation of the education export in the context of the knowledge economy and global competition. In addition, interaction with foreign students contributes to the academic development of universities, knowledge diplomacy and international cooperation. The experience of the National Research University of Information Technologies, Mechanics and Optics and the Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia in the field of increasing and applying indicators for assessing international competitiveness has been analysed. The correlation and regression analysis of the dependence of the number of foreign students studying in Russia on the number of Russian universities in the world university rankings has been carried out. The assessment of changes in the work of universities to attract foreign students during the COVID-19 pandemic has been performed.
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Hansson, Anders, Mathias Fridahl, Simon Haikola, Pius Yanda, Noah Pauline, and Edmund Mabhuye. "Preconditions for bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) in sub-Saharan Africa: the case of Tanzania." Environment, Development and Sustainability 22, no. 7 (November 21, 2019): 6851–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10668-019-00517-y.
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AbstractMost mitigation scenarios compatible with a likely change of holding global warming well below 2 °C rely on negative emissions technologies (NETs). According to the integrated assessment models (IAMs) used to produce mitigation scenarios for the IPCC reports, the NET with the greatest potential to achieve negative emissions is bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS). Crucial questions arise about where the enormous quantities of biomass needed according to the IAM scenarios could feasibly be produced in a sustainable manner. Africa is attractive in the context of BECCS because of large areas that could contribute biomass energy and indications of substantial underground CO2 storage capacities. However, estimates of large biomass availability in Africa are usually based on highly aggregated datasets, and only a few studies explore future challenges or barriers for BECCS in any detail. Based on previous research and literature, this paper analyses the pre-conditions for BECCS in Tanzania by studying what we argue are the applications of BECCS, or the components of the BECCS chain, that are most feasible in the country, namely (1) as applied to domestic sugarcane-based energy production (bioethanol), and (2) with Tanzania in a producer and re-growth role in an international BECCS chain, supplying biomass or biofuels for export to developed countries. The review reveals that a prerequisite for both options is either the existence of a functional market for emissions trading and selling, making negative emissions a viable commercial investment, or sustained investment through aid programmes. Also, historically, an important barrier to the development of production capacity of liquid biofuels for export purposes has been given by ethical dilemmas following in the wake of demand for land to facilitate production of biomass, such as sugarcane and jatropha. In these cases, conflicts over access to land and mismanagement have been more of a rule than an exception. Increased production volumes of solid biomass for export to operations that demand bioenergy, be it with or without a CCS component, is likely to give rise to similar conflicts. While BECCS may well play an important role in reducing emissions in countries with high capacity to act combined with existing large point sources of biogenic CO2 emissions, it seems prudent to proceed with utmost caution when implicating BECCS deployment in least developed countries, like Tanzania.The paper argues that negative BECCS-related emissions from Tanzania should not be assumed in global climate mitigation scenarios.
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Andersen, Daniel Steven, and Laura M. Pepple. "A County-Level Assessment of Manure Nutrient Availability Relative to Crop Nutrient Capacity in Iowa: Spatial and Temporal Trends." Transactions of the ASABE 60, no. 5 (2017): 1669–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.13031/trans.12417.
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Abstract. During the twentieth century, U.S. agriculture strived to achieve increased food production in order to satisfy both local and export demands. In many cases, this led to increased farm sizes and an operational separation of crop and livestock production. The trend of increasing centralization and industrialization of agriculture, specifically animal agriculture, has resulted in the concentration of waste products associated with animal production (manures and wash-down water) over relatively small geographic areas that are spatially segregated from crop production areas. Because the distance that manure can be economically hauled for land application has practical limits, the public is concerned that this spatial separation of crop and animal production areas could lead to over-application of manures near animal feeding facilities, and thus potentially increase the transport of nutrients to ground and surface waters. An aggregated analysis (statewide) of crop and animal production in Iowa suggests that about 30% to 40% of current nitrogen and phosphorus requirements for crop production could be supplied from manures and litters generated from livestock production, while about 50% of potassium requirements could be supplied. However, neither livestock nor crop production in Iowa is uniformly distributed across all counties. This unequal distribution suggests that a more disaggregated analysis of crop nutrient requirements and manure nutrient supply is necessary to estimate the risks of excess nutrient loss to the environment. Thus, we evaluated crop nutrient demand and manure and litter production at the county level to determine if excess manure generation is of concern and to locate areas where additional manures could be used. Results showed that several counties are becoming manure rich, but most locations maintain sufficient capacity to use manure nutrients effectively. Keywords: Crop nutrient capacity, Manure management, Manure production, Nutrient balance, Nutrient management.
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Angello, Zelalem Abera, Beshah M. Behailu, and Jens Tränckner. "Integral Application of Chemical Mass Balance and Watershed Model to Estimate Point and Nonpoint Source Pollutant Loads in Data-Scarce Little Akaki River, Ethiopia." Sustainability 12, no. 17 (August 31, 2020): 7084. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12177084.
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The quality of Little Akaki River in Addis Ababa (Ethiopia) is deteriorating significantly due to uncontrolled waste released from point and diffuse sources. In this study, pollution load from these sources was quantified by integrating chemical mass balance analysis (CMB) and the watershed model of pollution load (PLOAD) for chemical oxygen demand, biochemical oxygen demand, total dissolved solid, total nitrogen, nitrate, and phosphate. Water samples monitored bimonthly at 15 main channel monitoring stations and 11-point sources were used for estimation of pollutant load using FLUX32 software in which the flow from the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model calibration, measured instantaneous flow, and constituent concentration were used as input. The SWAT simulated the flow quite well with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.78 and 0.82 and Nash-Sutcliff (NSE) of 0.76 and 0.80 during calibration and validation, respectively. The uncharacterized nonpoint source load calculated by integrating CMB and PLOAD showed that the contribution of nonpoint source prevails at the middle and downstream segments of the river. Maximum chemical oxygen demand (COD) load from uncharacterized nonpoint sources was calculated at the monitoring station located below the confluence of two rivers (near German Square). On the other hand, high organic pollution load, biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) load, was calculated at a station upstream of Aba Samuel Lake, whereas annual maximum total dissolved solid (TDS), total nitrogen (TN), and phosphate load (PO4-P) from the nonpoint source in Little Akaki River (LAR) were found at a river section near Kality Bridge and maximum NOX load was calculated at station near German Square. The integration of the CMB and PLOAD model in this study revealed that the use of area-specific pollutant export coefficients would give relatively accurate results than the use of mean and median ECf values of each land use.
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Arsyad, Muhammad, Achmad Amiruddin, Suharno Suharno, and Siti Jahroh. "Competitiveness of Palm Oil Products in International Trade: An Analysis between Indonesia and Malaysia." Caraka Tani: Journal of Sustainable Agriculture 35, no. 2 (April 24, 2020): 157. http://dx.doi.org/10.20961/carakatani.v35i2.41091.
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The supply of palm oil products is still a central issue in international trade. Indonesia and Malaysia are major suppliers, contributing around 85% of world palm oil. Hence, both countries have an important role, as well as competing with each other in international trade. The palm oil products usually in high demand worldwide include Crude Palm Oil (CPO), which is the main and its derivative products such as Refined Bleached Deodorized (RBD) palm olein and Palm Fatty Acid Distillate (PFAD). Therefore, the research aims at assessing the competitiveness of palm oil products between Indonesia and Malaysia in international trade. The Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) and products mapping methods were used in this assessment. The results show that, the value of RCA of Indonesian CPO showed a negative trend, although, still higher than Malaysia, though with positive trend. However, Indonesian RBD palm olein and PFAD have a positive trend compared with Malaysia. Upon using the method of products mapping, it was found that, the palm oil products of both countries were in group A. This is an indication that the products have comparative advantage and export specialization. Therefore, there is need for strategic policies, in both countries, for supporting oil palm activities at the downstream. This will enhance the production of derivative products with the capacity of also meeting demands in the international trade.
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Dzian, Michal, Hubert Paluš, and Ján Parobek. "The Impact of Globalisation on Value-added Wood Products Trade." SHS Web of Conferences 92 (2021): 02016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/20219202016.
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Research background: The development of the Slovak economy depends on the demand in foreign markets. The Slovak economy is open and responds very sensitively to global changes. Globalisation brings positive as well as negative impacts on national economies. These impacts are also noticeable in the case of value added wood products. Globally, the furniture trade has grown more quickly than furniture production in the last ten years. The value of the world furniture trade has grown by 65%. On the other hand, domestic sales of furniture are low due to the orientation of the Slovak furniture producers on export, even if at the present time the positive development is reflected in an increasing total sales volume. Purpose of the article: This paper is focused on the assessment of globalisation impact on value added wood products trade. The aim of the paper is to determine the relationship between the trends of globalisation and furniture trade in Slovakia. Methods: The development of foreign furniture trade in Slovakia was analysed. In addition, the development of the KOF globalisation index was examined in the period from 2001 to 2017 by applying the linear regression and correlation analysis. Findings & Value added: Based on the analysed results, a positive linear relationship between the development of furniture trade in Slovakia and globalisation was observed. The results further show that the impact of globalisation is more significant in the case of export of furniture rather than its import.
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Laghari, A. N., D. Vanham, and W. Rauch. "The Indus basin in the framework of current and future water resources management." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 16, no. 4 (April 2, 2012): 1063–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-1063-2012.
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Abstract. The Indus basin is one of the regions in the world that is faced with major challenges for its water sector, due to population growth, rapid urbanisation and industrialisation, environmental degradation, unregulated utilization of the resources, inefficient water use and poverty, all aggravated by climate change. The Indus Basin is shared by 4 countries – Pakistan, India, Afghanistan and China. With a current population of 237 million people which is projected to increase to 319 million in 2025 and 383 million in 2050, already today water resources are abstracted almost entirely (more than 95% for irrigation). Climate change will result in increased water availability in the short term. However in the long term water availability will decrease. Some current aspects in the basin need to be re-evaluated. During the past decades water abstractions – and especially groundwater extractions – have augmented continuously to support a rice-wheat system where rice is grown during the kharif (wet, summer) season (as well as sugar cane, cotton, maize and other crops) and wheat during the rabi (dry, winter) season. However, the sustainability of this system in its current form is questionable. Additional water for domestic and industrial purposes is required for the future and should be made available by a reduction in irrigation requirements. This paper gives a comprehensive listing and description of available options for current and future sustainable water resources management (WRM) within the basin. Sustainable WRM practices include both water supply management and water demand management options. Water supply management options include: (1) reservoir management as the basin is characterised by a strong seasonal behaviour in water availability (monsoon and meltwater) and water demands; (2) water quality conservation and investment in wastewater infrastructure; (3) the use of alternative water resources like the recycling of wastewater and desalination; (4) land use planning and soil conservation as well as flood management, with a focus on the reduction of erosion and resulting sedimentation as well as the restoration of ecosystem services like wetlands and natural floodplains. Water demand management options include: (1) the management of conjunctive use of surface and groundwater; as well as (2) the rehabilitation and modernization of existing infrastructure. Other demand management options are: (3) the increase of water productivity for agriculture; (4) crop planning and diversification including the critical assessment of agricultural export, especially (basmati) rice; (5) economic instruments and (6) changing food demand patterns and limiting post-harvest losses.
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KIS MADRID, CLAUDIA, GORDON M. HICKEY, and MICHEL A. BOUCHARD. "STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT EFFECTIVENESS AND THE INITIATIVE FOR THE INTEGRATION OF REGIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE IN SOUTH AMERICA (IIRSA): A MULTIPLE CASE REVIEW." Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management 13, no. 04 (December 2011): 515–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s1464333211003997.
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Over the last decade, South American countries have been promoting physical integration of the territory in response to regional export-driven industrialisation policies and the global demand for agriculture products, livestock, and energy sources. A prominent example of this is the Initiative for the Integration of Regional Infrastructure in South America (IIRSA), which was launched at the Meeting of South American Presidents in 2000. At the time of writing, 514 infrastructure projects (including roads, pipelines, waterways, dams and telecommunications systems), with an estimated investment of US$69 billion, had been initiated. Importantly, previous similar development processes in the region have caused serious negative environmental and social impacts. Therefore, Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) has been mandated to ensure that the social and environmental issues are adequately addressed in the project planning process. This paper identifies the conditions under which: (a) the SEAs of the IIRSA projects have been undertaken, and (b) the Action Plans have been (or will be) implemented. Using case studies, it analyses whether the SEAs that have been carried out for the IIRSA's projects can be considered effective under these conditions. Finally, drawing on the case study findings, potential ways for improving SEA performance and maximising effectiveness in South America are discussed.
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Wiedemann, Stephen, Eugene McGahan, Caoilinn Murphy, and Mingjia Yan. "Resource use and environmental impacts from beef production in eastern Australia investigated using life cycle assessment." Animal Production Science 56, no. 5 (2016): 882. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/an14687.
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Resource use and environmental impacts are important factors relating to the sustainability of beef production in Australia. This study used life cycle assessment to investigate impacts from grass-finished beef production in eastern Australia to the farm gate, reporting impacts per kilogram of liveweight (LW) produced. Mean fossil fuel energy demand was found to vary from 5.6 to 8.4 MJ/kg LW, mean estimated fresh water consumption from 117.9 to 332.4 L/kg LW and crop land occupation from 0.3 to 6.4 m2/kg LW. Mean greenhouse gas emissions ranged from 10.6 to 12.4 kg CO2-e/kg LW (excluding land use and direct land-use change emissions) and were not significantly different (P > 0.05) for export or domestic market classes. Enteric methane was the largest contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, and multiple linear regression analysis revealed that weaning rate and average daily gain explained 80% of the variability in supply chain greenhouse gas emissions. Fresh water consumption was found to vary significantly among individual farms depending on climate, farm water supply efficiency and the use of irrigation. The impact of water use was measured using the stress-weighted water use indicator, and ranged from 8.4 to 104.2 L H2O-e/kg LW. The stress-weighted water use was influenced more by regional water stress than the volume of fresh water consumption. Land occupation was assessed with disaggregation of crop land, arable pasture land and non-arable land, which revealed that the majority of beef production utilised non-arable land that is unsuitable for most alternative food production systems.
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Marchenko, Tetyana, and Andrii Tymchuk. "Cross-industry analysis of Ukraine’s competitiveness in the world high-tech goods market." INNOVATIVE ECONOMY, no. 1-2 (2021): 61–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.37332/2309-1533.2021.1-2.8.
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Purpose. The aim of the article is to study of Ukraine's trade competitiveness in high-tech goods based on data on the value of Ukrainian exports by separate product groups. Methodology of research. The study was based on Ukraine’s international trade data, obtained through queries in the World Integrated Trade Solution web portal, which is a World Bank database. The classification method is used to identify high-tech industries that are relevant to the analysis. The statistical method is used to calculate the relative values of the structure and dynamics of Ukraine's exports. The method of comparative advantages is used to assess the level of competitiveness in different industries. Graphic and tabular methods are used to present the results of the study. Findings. Ukraine's specialization in the production of chemical products, in particular inorganic chemicals, is revealed. Several product groups in the industry of mechanical engineering also possess an advantage, while the results of other, more knowledge-intensive sectors of Ukraine are very far from world standards. The need for state support of knowledge-intensive industries that have the greatest prospects for expanding demand for their products in the future, such as the production of computer equipment and medical instruments and the pharmaceutical industry, is justified. Originality. A quantitative assessment of the level of competitiveness of each industry of Ukraine’s high-tech exports is given. It is demonstrated that among the domestic industries only the production of inorganic chemicals has comparative advantages in the international commodity market, and the degree of lag of all other industries from the world average indicators is calculated. Practical value. The methodology of the analysis, conducted within the framework of this article, can be used by public authorities to monitor the state of competitiveness of Ukrainian industries. Based on the obtained results, operational changes to the state policy of stimulating high-tech industries can be made. Key words: high technologies, high-tech industries, export competitiveness, international trade, comparative advantages, trade in high-tech goods.
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Bykova-Fedorchuk, Nataliya, Olena Goncharenko, Oleksandr Generalov, Olena Donchenko, and Kateryna Kravets. "Metallurgical complex of Ukraine: dynamics and development prospects." Problems and Perspectives in Management 16, no. 2 (June 15, 2018): 364–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/ppm.16(2).2018.33.
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The conducted research reveals the role of the metallurgical complex of Ukraine in world production and export of steel. Its development indicates inertia and is in a pre-crisis condition. But, at the same time, there are prospects for the development of the enterprises of the metallurgical complex of Ukraine, which appears to be the purpose of the study along with an assessment of the dynamics of the development of the metallurgical complex of Ukraine regarding the internal and external factors of influence on it. Therefore, the object of the research is the current state of development of the metallurgical complex of Ukraine. For this purpose, the main methods of steel processing and fuel consumption for their melting are determined, which, thus, emphasizes the extraordinary energy intensity and cost structure of steel production in Ukraine due to 21.4% of processing in open-hearth furnaces. As a result, on the basis of the comparative analysis, the structure of production was characterized by the degree of steel processing, which indicated the inertia of the development of the industry on the principle of total exploitation of available resources. Through systematic structural analysis, the types of economic activity, the results of the enterprises, which were taken into account in the research of the development of the metallurgical complex of Ukraine and identified their implementation under the imperative incremental destructive factors of the internal and external environment, were identified. With the help of empirical research, in the institutional environment instability of normative legal provision, regulatory restrictions on FDI inflow and investment protectionism in metallurgy were revealed. The critical dependence of the industry on demand in foreign markets based on the export orientation of raw materials is established. For example, it has been determined that at the expense of products below the average technological capacity, almost a quarter of the export basket of Ukraine was formed. It was found that metallurgical production is a zone of interests of powerful industrial and banking private business groups of residents and non-residents. The absence of a state-owned joint-stock company or a holding company in Ukraine with a main type of activity in the investigated industries is emphasized.
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Shrestha, Surendra, Puneet Dwivedi, S. McKay, and David Radcliffe. "Assessing the Potential Impact of Rising Production of Industrial Wood Pellets on Streamflow in the Presence of Projected Changes in Land Use and Climate: A Case Study from the Oconee River Basin in Georgia, United States." Water 11, no. 1 (January 15, 2019): 142. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w11010142.
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This study examines the impact of projected land use changes in the context of growing production of industrial wood pellets coupled with expected changes in precipitation and temperature due to the changing climate on streamflow in a watershed located in the northeastern corner of the Oconee River Basin. We used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) for ascertaining any changes in streamflow over time. The developed model was calibrated over a seven-year period (2001–2007) and validated over another seven-year period (2008–2014). Any changes in streamflow were simulated for a combination of 10 land use and climate change cases, from 2015 to 2028, under the two scenarios of High and Low Demand for industrial wood pellets. Our results suggest that streamflow is relatively stable (<1% change) for land use and temperature-related cases relative to the base case of no change in land use and climate. However, changes in precipitation by ±10% lead to considerable changes (±25%) in streamflow relative to the base case. Based on our results, expected changes in precipitation due to the changing climate will determine any changes in the streamflow, rather than projected land use changes in the context of rising demand for industrial wood pellets for export purposes in the selected watershed, keeping land under urban areas as constant. This study contributes to our broader understanding of the sustainability of the transatlantic industrial wood pellet trade; however, we suggest undertaking similar research at a larger spatial scale over a longer time horizon for understanding trade-offs across carbon, biodiversity, and water impacts of the transatlantic industrial wood pellet trade.