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Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Epidemics'

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1

Chen, Jiunn-charn. "Prevention of epidemics /." The Ohio State University, 1986. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1487266691095848.

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2

Paterson, Ryan. "Modeling man-made epidemics." Thesis, Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2002. http://hdl.handle.net/10945/6037.

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Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.<br>This thesis develops a mathematical model to explore epidemic spread through the Ground Combat Element (GCE) of the Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU). The model will simulate an epidemic caused by a biological attack using an agent that has the ability to spread through person-to-person contact (small pox, hemorrhagic fever, etc.) A stochastic modeling process will be used along with widely accepted mathematical formulas for an SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed) epidemic model. A heterogeneous population composed of numerous h
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3

Sanatkar, Mohammad Reza. "Epidemics on complex networks." Thesis, Kansas State University, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/2097/14097.

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Master of Science<br>Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering<br>Karen Garrett<br>Bala Natarajan<br>Caterina Scoglio<br>In this thesis, we propose a statistical model to predict disease dispersal in dynamic networks. We model the process of disease spreading using discrete time Markov chain. In this case, the vector of probability of infection is the state vector and every element of the state vector is a continuous variable between zero and one. In discrete time Markov chains, state probability vectors in each time step depends on state probability vector in the previous time step an
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4

Strazzulla, Anthony Mark. "Diagnosis in Hippocrates' Epidemics." [Gainesville, Fla.] : University of Florida, 2006. http://purl.fcla.edu/fcla/etd/UFE0014441.

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5

Munday, Paul. "Importance Sampling in Spatial Epidemics." Thesis, University of Oxford, 2009. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.504438.

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6

Sarzynska, Marta. "Spatial community structure and epidemics." Thesis, University of Oxford, 2015. https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:fd841775-0fdb-4c95-a1a8-01065ada1838.

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Networks are a useful quantitative representation for complex systems of interacting entities arising in fields such as biological, physical and social sciences. A network representation provides a degree of simplification while capturing key connectivity patterns. This thesis focuses on two main themes: the study of community structure, an important mesoscopic feature of many networks, and its application to study spatiotemporal spread of infectious diseases. Community detection seeks to partition a network into dense sets of nodes that are connected sparsely to other dense sets. The notion o
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7

Blount, Steven Michael 1958. "Computational methods for stochastic epidemics." Diss., The University of Arizona, 1997. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/288714.

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Compartmental models constructed for stochastic epidemics are usually difficult to analyze mathematically or computationally. Researchers have mostly resorted to deterministic approximations or simulation to investigate these models. This dissertation describes three original computational methods for analyzing compartmental models of stochastic epidemics. The first method is the Markov Process Method which computes the probability law for the epidemic by solving the Chapman-Kolmogorov ordinary differential equations as an initial value problem using standard numerical analysis techniques. It
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8

Neal, Peter. "Epidemics with two levels of mixing." Thesis, University of Nottingham, 2001. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.394751.

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9

Livingston, Samantha 1980. "Stochastic models for epidemics on networks." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2004. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/28437.

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Thesis (M. Eng.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, 2004.<br>Includes bibliographical references (p. 37).<br>In this thesis, I looked at an extension of the Reed-Frost epidemic model which had two-sub-populations. By setting up a Markov chain to model the epidemic and finding the transition probabilities of that chain, MATLAB could be used to solve for the expected number of susceptibles and the expected duration. I simulated the model with more tan two sub-populations to find the average number of susceptibles and reviewed previously
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10

BARREIROS, Emanoel Francisco Spósito. "The epidemics of programming language adoption." Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, 2016. https://repositorio.ufpe.br/handle/123456789/18000.

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Submitted by Irene Nascimento (irene.kessia@ufpe.br) on 2016-10-17T18:29:55Z No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 1232 bytes, checksum: 66e71c371cc565284e70f40736c94386 (MD5) phd_efsb_FINAL_BIBLIOTECA.pdf: 7882904 bytes, checksum: df094c44eb4ce5be12596263047790ed (MD5)<br>Made available in DSpace on 2016-10-17T18:29:55Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license_rdf: 1232 bytes, checksum: 66e71c371cc565284e70f40736c94386 (MD5) phd_efsb_FINAL_BIBLIOTECA.pdf: 7882904 bytes, checksum: df094c44eb4ce5be12596263047790ed (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-08-29<br>FACEPE<br>Context: In Software Engineerin
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Wei, Yinghui. "Inference about epidemics in dynamic populations." Thesis, University of Manchester, 2008. https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.489015.

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12

Chau, Pui-hing. "Statistical methods for surveillance and monitoring systems /." View the Table of Contents & Abstract, 2005. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record/B30575485.

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13

Oliveira, Érika Ramos de [UNESP]. "Identificação de padrões da dengue em municípios paulistas entre os anos de 2003 a 2011." Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP), 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/115717.

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Made available in DSpace on 2015-03-03T11:52:29Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 2014-07-30Bitstream added on 2015-03-03T12:06:38Z : No. of bitstreams: 1 000811185_20160630.pdf: 241917 bytes, checksum: 980a2b2d7ef326c13784a7051c0be59f (MD5) Bitstreams deleted on 2016-07-01T13:02:15Z: 000811185_20160630.pdf,. Added 1 bitstream(s) on 2016-07-01T13:03:14Z : No. of bitstreams: 1 000811185.pdf: 1318806 bytes, checksum: b28e0cb8cfb5c183cc9d4bb267805af1 (MD5)<br>This thesis aimed to identify patterns of Aedes (Stegomya) L. aegypti, vector of dengue disease in cities of São Paulo s
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Oliveira, Érika Ramos de. "Identificação de padrões da dengue em municípios paulistas entre os anos de 2003 a 2011 /." Assis, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/11449/115717.

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Orientador: Fernando Frei<br>Banca: Pitágoras da Conceição Bispo<br>Banca: Luciamare Perinetti Alves Martins<br>Resumo:Essa dissertação teve por objetivo principal a identificação de padrões do Aedes (Stegomya) aegypti L., vetor da doença dengue, em municípios do estado de São Paulo entre os anos de 2003 a 2011. Os municípios estudados foram Araçatuba, Bauru, Campinas, Marília, São José do Rio Preto, São Paulo, Santos, Sorocaba, Ribeirão Preto e Presidente Prudente. Foi utilizada a técnica estatística de Análise de Agrupamentos para classificação dos municípios, onde foram escolhidas as variáv
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15

Clodong, Sébastien. "Recurrent outbreaks in ecology : chaotic dynamics in complex networks." Phd thesis, Universität Potsdam, 2004. http://opus.kobv.de/ubp/volltexte/2005/171/.

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Gegenstand der Dissertation ist die Untersuchung von wiederkehrenden Ausbrüchen (wie z.B. Epidemien) in der Natur. Dies gelang anhand von Modellen, die die Dynamik von Phytoplankton und die Ausbreitung von Krankheiten zwischen Städten beschreiben. Diese beide Systeme bilden hervorragende Beispiele für solche Phänomene. Die Frage, ob die in der Zeit wiederkehrenden Ausbrüche ein Ausdruck chaotischer Dynamik sein können, ist aktuell in der Ökologie und fasziniert Wissenschaftler dieser Disziplin. Wir konnten zeigen, dass sich das Plankton-Modell im Falle von periodischem Antreiben über die Nährs
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16

Tabah, Albert N. "Information epidemics and the growth of physics." Thesis, National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada, 1996. http://www.collectionscanada.ca/obj/s4/f2/dsk3/ftp04/NQ56723.pdf.

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17

White, Simon Richard. "Stochastic epidemics conditioned on their final outcome." Thesis, University of Nottingham, 2010. http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/11274/.

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This thesis investigates the representation of a stochastic epidemic process as a directed random graph; we use this representation to impute the missing information in final size data to make Bayesian statistical inference about the model parameters using MCMC techniques. The directed random graph representation is analysed, in particular its behaviour under the condition that the epidemic has a given final size. This is used to construct efficient updates for MCMC algorithms. The MCMC method is extended to include two-level mixing models and two-type models, with a general framework given fo
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18

Cruickshank, Isla. "The dynamics of ecological invasions and epidemics." Thesis, University of Strathclyde, 1999. http://oleg.lib.strath.ac.uk:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=21436.

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The systems of interest in this study are the spread of epidemics and invasions from a small propagule introduced into an arena that was initially devoid of the given species or stage of illness. In reaction-diffusion models, populations are continuous. Populations at low densities have the same growth functions as populations at high densities. In nature, such low densities would signify extinction of a population or of a disease. This property can be removed from reaction-diffusion models by small changes in the formulation so that small populations become extinct. This can be achieved by th
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19

Shaw, Laurence M. "SIR epidemics in a population of households." Thesis, University of Nottingham, 2016. http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/38606/.

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The severity of the outbreak of an infectious disease is highly dependent upon the structure of the population through which it spreads. This thesis considers the stochastic SIR (susceptible → infective → removed) household epidemic model, in which individuals mix with other individuals in their household at a far higher rate than with any other member of the population. This model gives a more realistic view of dynamics for the transmission of many diseases than the traditional model, in which all individuals in a population mix homogeneously, but retains mathematical tractability, allowing u
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Janes, Denys Zachary Alexander. "Dynamics of simultaneous epidemics on complex graphs." Thesis, University of Edinburgh, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/1842/28854.

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The subject of this thesis is the study of a system of multiple simultaneously spreading diseases, or strains of diseases, in a structured host population. The disease spread is modelled using the well-studied SEIR compartmental model; host population structure is imposed through the use of random graphs, in which each host individual is explicitly connected to a predetermined set of other individuals. Two different graph structures are used: Zipf power-law distributed graphs, in which individuals vary greatly in their number of contacts; and Poisson distributed graphs, in which there is very
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21

Parish, Joseph MacLean. "An analysis of the 1875-1877 scarlett fever epidemic of Cape Breton Island, Nova Scotia." Diss., Columbia, Mo. : University of Missouri-Columbia, 2004. http://hdl.handle.net/10355/4093.

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Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Missouri-Columbia, 2004.<br>The entire dissertation/thesis text is included in the research.pdf file; the official abstract appears in the short.pdf file (which also appears in the research.pdf); a non-technical general description, or public abstract, appears in the public.pdf file. Title from title screen of research.pdf file viewed on (June 29, 2006) Vita. Includes bibliographical references.
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22

Piyawong, Wirawan. "Spatio-temporal numerical modelling of whooping cough dynamics." Thesis, Brunel University, 2001. http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/6626.

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The SIR (Susceptible/Infectious/Recovered) whooping cough model involving nonlinear ordinary differential equations is studied and extended to incorporate (i) diffusion (ii) convection and (iii) diffusion-convection in one-space dimension. Firstand second-order finite-difference methods are developed to obtained the numerical solutions of the ordinary differential equations. Though implicit in nature, with the resulting improvements in stability, the methods are applied explicitly. The proposed methods are economical and reliable in comparison to classical numerical methods. When extended to t
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23

Silva, Júlio Santos da. "Adoecendo na cidade da borracha: Manaus (1877-1920)." Universidade Federal do Amazonas, 2012. http://tede.ufam.edu.br/handle/tede/4762.

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Bolker, Benjamin Michael. "Population dynamics of measles epidemics in developed countries." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 1993. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.309353.

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Lim, Kim-Huat. "Modelling epidemics via empirical measures and random graphs." Thesis, University of Oxford, 2006. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.445786.

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26

Costa, M. "End-to-end containment of internet worm epidemics." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2007. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.598013.

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Worms – programs that self-replicate automatically over computer networks – are a serious threat to hosts connected to the Internet. They infect hosts by exploiting software vulnerabilities, and they can use their victims for many malicious activities. Past outbreaks show that worms can spread too fast for humans to respond, hence worm containment must be automatic. We propose Vigilante: a new end-to-end architecture to contain worms automatically. In Vigilante, hosts detect worms by instrumenting vulnerable programs to analyze infection attempts. We introduce <i>dynamic data-flow analysis:</i
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27

McKendrick, Iain James. "The spatial modelling of epidemics : velocity and pattern." Thesis, Heriot-Watt University, 1992. http://hdl.handle.net/10399/1436.

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28

Conlan, Andrew James Kerr. "Modelling measles epidemics in high birth rate countries." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2007. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.612714.

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29

Brand, Samuel P. C. "Spatial and stochastic epidemics : theory, simulation and control." Thesis, University of Warwick, 2012. http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/56738/.

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It is now widely acknowledged that spatial structure and hence the spatial position of host populations plays a vital role in the spread of infection. In this work I investigate an ensemble of techniques for understanding the stochastic dynamics of spatial and discrete epidemic processes, with especial consideration given to SIR disease dynamics for the Levins-type metapopulation. I present a toolbox of techniques for the modeller of spatial epidemics. The highlight results are a novel form of moment closure derived directly from a stochastic differential representation of the epidemic, a stoc
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Cairns, Andrew John George. "Epidemics in heterogeneous populations : spread, estimation and control." Thesis, Heriot-Watt University, 1990. http://hdl.handle.net/10399/893.

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31

Gamado, Kokouvi Mawuli. "Inference for epidemics and effect of reporting processes." Thesis, Heriot-Watt University, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10399/2560.

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The objective of this thesis is to study the e ect of under-reporting in epidemics. In particular, there are two broad questions we investigate: In the situation of under-reporting in epidemics, what would happen if the data were treated as if no under-reporting were occurring? Such assumption leads to an under-estimation of the contact rate, implying an under-estimation of the reproduction number. By allowing for the fact that under-reporting is occurring, how and how well can we estimate the reporting rate and other parameters of the model? We explore the above questions by considering the s
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Moore, Sandra. "Dynamics of cholera epidemics in Haiti and Africa." Thesis, Aix-Marseille, 2016. http://www.theses.fr/2016AIXM5505/document.

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Le cholera est une maladie diarrhéique aiguë due à la consommation d’eau ou d’aliments contaminés par des souches toxigéniques de Vibrio cholerae. Selon le “paradigme du choléra”, la maladie est provoquée par une exposition à un réservoir environnemental de V. cholerae avec des épidémies directement modulées par des facteurs environnementaux. Cependant, comme divers arguments plaident contre ce dogme, nous avons voulu élucider les mécanismes de la dynamique des épidémies de cholera dans trois foyers situés en Haïti, en République Démocratique du Congo (RDC) et en Afrique de l’Ouest. Nous avons
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Staples, Patrick Christian. "On the Statistical Properties of Epidemics on Networks." Thesis, Harvard University, 2016. http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:33493512.

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One major aim of statistics is to systematically study outcomes of interest in a population by observing the properties of a sample of that population. Some outcomes, such as the total number of people infected in an epidemic, can depend on properties of the whole population, such as the structure of contacts among the individuals, or contact network. A network is a collection of individuals as well as the pairwise connections between them. This dissertation explores how the effects of network structure on infectious outcomes yield challenges for statistical analysis, and suggests strategi
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Geraldine, Alaerson Maia. "Modelling propagule effects in bean white mould epidemics." reponame:Repositório Institucional da UnB, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.26512/2015.11.T.19456.

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Tese (doutorado)—Universidade de Brasília, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Departamento de Fitopatologia, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Fitopatologia, 2015.<br>Submitted by Patrícia Nunes da Silva (patricia@bce.unb.br) on 2016-02-05T13:05:53Z No. of bitstreams: 1 2015_AlaersonMaiaGeraldine_Parcial.pdf: 11895274 bytes, checksum: 0a59c54f104d2e95f8af0824dd15d853 (MD5)<br>Approved for entry into archive by Guimaraes Jacqueline(jacqueline.guimaraes@bce.unb.br) on 2016-02-05T13:52:50Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 2015_AlaersonMaiaGeraldine_Parcial.pdf: 11895274 bytes, checksum: 0a59c54f104d2e95f8
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Lentz, Hartmut. "Paths for epidemics in static and temporal networks." Doctoral thesis, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät I, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.18452/16846.

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Ziel dieser Arbeit ist es, die Rolle von Pfaden für die Ausbreitung von Infektionskrankheiten auf komplexen Netzwerken zu untersuchen. Wir zeigen die Relevanz von Pfaden im Kontext der Epidemiologie in statischen und zeitabhängigen Netzwerken. Ein zentrales Ergebnis ist hierbei die Erreichbarkeitsentwicklung, die eine Analyse der Pfadstruktur zeitabhängiger Netzwerke erlaubt. In dieser Dissertation wird der Einfluss zweier bestimmter Merkmale statischer Netzwerke auf die Eigenschaften ihrer Pfadstruktur untersucht. Als Fallbeispiel analysieren wir hierfür ein Viehhandelsnetzwerk in Deutschl
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Teissier, Yoann. "Metapopulation dynamics of dengue epidemics in French Polynesia." Thesis, Sorbonne Paris Cité, 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017USPCB008.

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La dengue circule en Polynésie française sur un mode épidémique depuis plus de 35 ans. Néanmoins, en dépit de la taille relativement faible de la population de Polynésie française, la circulation de la dengue peut persister à de faibles niveaux pendant de nombreuses années. L’objectif de ce travail de thèse est de déterminer si l'épidémiologie de la dengue dans le système insulaire de la Polynésie française répond aux critères d’un contexte de métapopulation. Après avoir constitué une base de données regroupant les cas de dengue répertoriés sur les 35 dernières années, nous avons réalisé des a
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BINDI, JACOPO. "Belief Propagation approach to epidemics prediction on networks." Doctoral thesis, Politecnico di Torino, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/11583/2679357.

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In my thesis I study the problem of predicting the evolution of the epidemic spreading on networks when incomplete information, in form of a partial observation, is available. I focus on the irreversible process described by the discrete time version of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model on networks. Because of its intrinsic stochasticity, forecasting the SIR process is very difficult, even if the structure of individuals contact pattern is known. In today's interconnected and interdependent society, infectious diseases pose the threat of a worldwide epidemic spreading, hence gover
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Choque, Frank Moshé Cotacallapa. "Modelos de propagação de epidemias em redes complexas." Universidade de São Paulo, 2015. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/100/100132/tde-04052015-091411/.

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A pesquisa na area de redes complexas tem evoluido bastante, e e nesta linha que o presente trabalho visa aportar, dando enfase especial no processo epidemico sobre redes. Desse modo, foi feito uma analise geral das redes complexas em conjunto com suas propriedades. Apos isso, desenvolveu-se o processo de contagio da epidemia do tipo suscetivel-infectado sobre uma rede aleatoria uniforme e sobre uma rede aleatoria com ligacoes preferenciais. Ambas abordagens foram desenvolvidas usando equacoes mestras para finalmente fazer sua analise com metodos analiticos e computacionais.<br>Research in the
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Britton, Tom. "Epidemics with heterogeneous mixing stochastic models and statistical tests /." Stockholm : Dept. of Mathematics, Stockholm University, 1996. http://catalog.hathitrust.org/api/volumes/oclc/40258820.html.

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Andersson, Håkan. "Limit theorems for some stochastic epidemic models." Stockholm : Stockholm University, 1994. http://catalog.hathitrust.org/api/volumes/oclc/40258819.html.

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41

Mak, Ka-ki Peter. "The potential trade-offs between treatment and prophylaxis with antivirals in households during a pandemic." View the Table of Contents & Abstract, 2007. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record/B38479631.

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Ma, Sau-mui Rhoda. "Self-evaluation on emergency preparedness for influenza pandemic by public health nurses in Hong Kong /." View the Table of Contents & Abstract, 2007. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record/B38296299.

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Yi, Hye Yon. "Turing instabilities in a S-I-R model /." Online version of thesis, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/1850/5901.

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Lloyd, Alun Lewis. "Mathematical models for spatial heterogeneity in population dynamics and epidemiology." Thesis, University of Oxford, 1996. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.337603.

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Mak, Ka-ki Peter, and 麥家麒. "The potential trade-offs between treatment and prophylaxis with antivirals in households during a pandemic." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2007. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B39724517.

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Bataki, Efthalia Leah. "Inflammatory responses to respiratory syncytial virus." Thesis, University of Sheffield, 2002. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.251348.

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Rumbou, Artemis. "Genetic dissection of Plasmopara viticola epidemics in Greek vineyards /." [S.l.] : [s.n.], 2004. http://e-collection.ethbib.ethz.ch/show?type=diss&nr=15391.

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48

Chowdhury, Sohini Roy. "Mathematical models for prediction and optimal mitigation of epidemics." Thesis, Manhattan, Kan. : Kansas State University, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/2097/3874.

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Leonard, Marie-Louise. "Plague epidemics and public health in Mantua, 1463-1577." Thesis, University of Glasgow, 2014. http://theses.gla.ac.uk/5704/.

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This thesis investigates how health officials sought to preserve or recover good health during plague epidemics in Mantua, from 1463-1577. Scholarship on health boards in Italy has focused primarily on larger cities such as Milan, Florence and Venice, while many smaller cities and states which formed part of the wider network of interdependent health offices have yet to receive significant attention. This study attempts to address this imbalance by focussing on Mantua, a hitherto neglected area in the heart of northern Italy. Historians have shown by the sixteenth century health offices had wi
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Simon, Matthieu. "Markov-modulated processes: Brownian motions, option pricing and epidemics." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/250010.

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Abstract:
This thesis is devoted to the study of different stochastic processes which have a common feature: they are Markov-modulated, which means that their evolution rules depend on the state occupied by an underlying Markov process. In the first part of this thesis, we analyse the stationary distribution and various first passage problems for Markov-modulated Brownian motions (MMBMs) as well as for two extensions: MMBMs with jumps and MMBMs modified by a temporary change of regime upon visits to level zero. The second part of this thesis is devoted to the use of Markov-modulated processes in mathema
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