Academic literature on the topic 'End stage kidney disease'

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Sydney, 2006.
Title from title screen (viewed 21 May 2007). Submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy to the School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine. Includes bibliographical references. Also available in print form.

Introduction Kidney transplantation confers both survival and quality of life advantages over dialysis for most people with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). The mortality rate on dialysis is 10-15% per year, compared with 2-4% per year post-transplantation. Short-term graft survival is related to control of the acute rejection process, requiring on-going immunosuppression. Most current immunosuppressive algorithms include one of the calcineurin inhibitors (CNI: cyclosporin or tacrolimus), an anti-metabolite (azathioprine or mycophenolate) and corticosteroids, with or without antibody induction agents (Ab) given briefly peri-transplantation. Despite this approach, between 15-35% of recipients undergo treatment for an episode of acute rejection (AR) within one year of transplantation. Transplantation is not without risk, and relative mortality rates for kidney recipients after the first post-transplant year remain 4-6 times that of the general population. Longer-term transplant and recipient survival are related to control of chronic allograft nephropathy (rooted in the interplay of AR, non-immunological factors, and the chronic nephrotoxicity of CNI) and limitation of the complications of chronic ESKD and long-term immunosuppression: cardiovascular disease, cancer and infection, which are responsible for 22%, 39% and 21% of deaths respectively. This thesis is presented as published works on the theme of immunosuppression and cancer after kidney transplantation. The work presented in the first chapters of this thesis has striven to identify, evaluate, synthesise and distil the entirety of evidence available of new and established immunosuppressive drug agents through systematic review of randomised trial data, with particular emphasis on quantifying harms of treatment. The final chapters use inception cohort data from the Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA), which is first validated then used to explore the risk of cancer in more detail than was possible from trial data alone. Interleukin 2 receptor antagonists Interleukin-2 receptor antagonists (IL2Ra, commercially available as basiliximab and daclizumab) are humanised or chimeric IgG monoclonal antibodies to the alpha subunit of the IL2 receptor present only on activated T lymphocytes, and the rationale for their use has been as induction agents peri-transplantation. Introduced in the mid-1990s, IL2Ra use has increased globally, and by 2003 38% of new kidney transplant recipients in the United States and 25% in Australasia received an IL2Ra. This study aimed to systematically identify and synthesise the evidence of effects of IL2Ra as an addition to standard therapy, or as an alternative to other induction agents. We identified 117 reports from 38 randomised trials involving 4893 participants. Where IL2Ra were compared with placebo (17 trials; 2786 patients), graft loss was not different at one (Relative Risk -RR 0.84; 0.64 to 1.10) or 3 years (RR 1.08; 0.71 to1.64). AR was reduced at 6 months (RR 0.66; 0.59 to 0.74) and at 1 year (RR 0.66; 0.59 to 0.74) but cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease (RR 0.82; CI 0.65 to 1.03) and malignancy (RR 0.67; 0.33 to1.36) were not different. Where IL2Ra were compared with other antibody therapy no significant differences in treatment effects were demonstrated, but IL2Ra had significantly fewer side effects. Given a 40% risk of rejection, 7 patients would need treatment with IL2Ra in addition to standard therapy, to prevent 1 patient having rejection, with no definite improvement in graft or patient survival. There was no apparent difference between basiliximab and daclizumab. Tacrolimus versus cyclosporin for primary immunosuppression There are pronounced global differences in CNI use; 63% of new kidney transplant recipients in the USA but only 22% in Australia receive tacrolimus as part of the initial immunosuppressive regimen. The side effects of CNI differ: tacrolimus is associated more with diabetes and neurotoxicity, but less with hypertension and dyslipidaemia than cyclosporin, with uncertainty about equivalence of nephrotoxicity or how these relate to patient and graft survival, or impact on patient compliance and quality of life. This study aimed to systematically review and synthesise the positive and negative effects of tacrolimus and cyclosporin as initial therapy for renal transplant recipients. We identified 123 reports from 30 randomised trials involving 4102 participants. At 6 months graft loss was reduced in tacrolimus-treated recipients (RR 0•56; 0•36 to 0•86), and this effect persisted for 3 years. The relative reduction in graft loss with tacrolimus diminished with higher levels of tacrolimus (P=0.04), but did not vary with cyclosporin formulation (P=0.97) or cyclosporin level (P=0.38). At 1 year, tacrolimus patients suffered less AR (RR 0•69; 0•60 to 0•79), and less steroid-resistant AR (RR 0•49; 0•37 to 0•64), but more insulin-requiring diabetes (RR 1•86; 1•11 to 3•09), tremor, headache, diarrhoea, dyspepsia and vomiting. The relative excess in diabetes increased with higher levels of tacrolimus (P=0.003). Cyclosporin-treated recipients experienced significantly more constipation and cosmetic side-effects. We demonstrated no differences in infection or malignancy. Treating 100 recipients with tacrolimus instead of cyclosporin for the 1st year post-transplantation avoids 12 suffering acute rejection and 2 losing their graft but causes an extra 5 to become insulin dependent diabetics, thus optimal drug choice may vary among patients. Target of rapamycin inhibitors for primary immunosuppression Target of rapamycin inhibitors (TOR-I) are among the newest immunosuppressive agents and have a novel mode of action but uncertain clinical role. Sirolimus is a macrocyclic lactone antibiotic and everolimus is a derivative of sirolimus. Both prevent DNA synthesis resulting in arrest of the cell cycle. Animal models suggested TOR-I would provide synergistic immunosuppression when combined with CNI, but early clinical studies demonstrated synergistic nephrotoxicity. Since then diverse trials have explored strategies that avoid this interaction and investigated other potential benefits. The aim of this study was to systematically identify and synthesise available evidence of sirolimus and everolimus when used in initial immunosuppressive regimens for kidney recipients. We identified 142 reports from 33 randomised trials involving 7114 participants, with TOR-I evaluated in four different primary immunosuppressive algorithms: as replacement for CNI, as replacement for antimetabolites, in combination with CNI at low and high dose, and with variable dose of CNI. When TOR-I replaced CNI (8 trials, 750 participants), there was no difference in AR (RR 1.03; 0.74 to 1.44), but creatinine was lower (WMD -18.31 umol/l; -30.96 to -5.67), and bone marrow more suppressed (leucopoenia RR 2.02; 1.12 to 3.66, thrombocytopenia RR 6.97; 2.97 to 16.36, anaemia RR 1.67; 1.27 to 2.20). When TOR-I replaced antimetabolites (11 trials, 3966 participants), AR and CMV were reduced (RR 0.84; 0.71 to 0.99 and RR 0.49; 0.37 to 0.65) but hypercholesterolaemia was increased (RR 1.65; 1.32 to 2.06). When low was compared to high-dose TOR-I, with equal CNI dose (10 trials, 3175 participants), AR was increased (RR 1.23; 1.06 to 1.43) but GFR higher (WMD 4.27 ml/min; 1.12 to 7.41). When low-dose TOR-I and standard-dose CNI were compared to higher-dose TOR-I and reduced CNI AR was reduced (RR 0.67; 0.52 to 0.88), but GFR also reduced (WMD -9.46 ml/min; -12.16 to -6.76). There was no significant difference in mortality, graft loss or malignancy risk demonstrated for TOR-I in any comparison. Generally surrogate endpoints for graft survival favoured TOR-I (lower risk of acute rejection and higher GFR) and surrogate endpoints for patient outcomes were worsened by TOR-I (bone marrow suppression, lipid disturbance). Long-term hard-endpoint data from methodologically robust randomised trials are still needed. Monoclonal and polyclonal antibody therapy for treating acute rejection Strategies for treating AR include pulsed steroids, an antibody (Ab) preparation, the alteration of background immunosuppression, or combinations of these options. In 2002, in the USA 61.4% of patients with AR received steroids, 20.4% received Ab and 18.2% received both. The Ab available for AR are not new: horse and rabbit derived polyclonal antibodies (ATG and ALG) have been used for 35 years, and a mouse monoclonal antibody (muromonab-CD3) became available in the late 1980s. These preparations remove the functional T-cell population from circulation, producing powerful saturation immunosuppression which is useful for AR but which may be complicated by immediate toxicity and higher rates of infection and malignancy. The aim of this study was to systematically evaluate and synthesise all evidence available to clinicians for treating AR in kidney recipients. We identified 49 reports from 21 randomised trials involving 1394 participants. Outcome measures were inconsistent and incompletely defined across trials. Fourteen trials (965 patients) compared therapies for 1st AR episodes (8 Ab versus steroid, 2 Ab versus another Ab, 4 other comparisons). In treating first rejection, Ab was better than steroid in reversing AR (RR 0.57; CI 0.38 to 0.87) and preventing graft loss (RR 0.74; CI 0.58 to 0.95) but there was no difference in preventing subsequent rejection (RR 0.67; CI 0.43 to 1.04) or death (RR 1.16; CI 0.57 to 2.33) at 1 year. Seven trials (422 patients) investigated Ab treatment of steroid-resistant rejection (4 Ab vs another Ab, 1 different doses Ab, 1 different formulation Ab, 2 other comparisons). There was no benefit of muromonab-CD3 over ATG or ALG in reversing rejection (RR 1.32; CI 0.33 to 5.28), preventing subsequent rejection (RR 0.99; CI 0.61 to 1.59), graft loss (RR 1.80; CI 0.29 to 11.23) or death (RR 0.39; CI 0.09 to 1.65). Given the clinical problem caused by AR, comparable data are sparse, and clinically important differences in outcomes between widely used interventions have not been excluded. Standardised reproducible outcome criteria are needed. Validity of cancer data in an end stage kidney disease registry Registries vary in whether the data they collect are given voluntarily or as a requirement of law, the completeness of population coverage, the breadth of data collected and whether data are assembled directly or indirectly through linkage to other databases. Data quality is crucial but difficult to measure objectively. Formal audit of ANZDATA cancer records has not previously taken place. The aim of this study was to assess agreement of records of incident cancer diagnoses held in ANZDATA (voluntary reporting system) with those reported under statute to the New South Wales (NSW) state Central Cancer Registry (CCR), to explore the strengths and weaknesses of both reporting systems, and to measure the impact of any disagreement on results of cancer analyses. From 1980-2001, 9453 residents received dialysis or transplantation in NSW. Records from ANZDATA registrants were linked to CCR using probabilistic matching and agreement between registries for patients with 1 or more cancers, all cancers and site-specific cancer was estimated using the kappa-statistic (κ). ANZDATA recorded 867 cancers in 779 (8.2%) registrants; CCR 867 cancers in 788 (8.3%), with κ =0.76. ANZDATA had sensitivity 77.3% (CI 74.2 to 80.2), specificity 98.1% (CI 97.7 to 98.3) if CCR records were regarded as the reference standard. Agreement was similar for diagnoses whilst receiving dialysis (κ =0.78) or after transplantation (κ =0.79), but varied by cancer type. Melanoma (κ =0.61) and myeloma (κ =0.47) were less good; lymphoma (κ =0.80), leukaemia (κ =0.86) and breast cancer (κ =0.85) were very good. Artefact accounted for 20.8% non-concordance but error and misclassification did occur in both registries. Cancer risk did not differ in any important way whether estimated using ANZDATA or CCR records. Quality of cancer records in ANZDATA are high, differences largely explicable, and seem unlikely to alter results of analyses. Risk of cancer after kidney transplantation Existing data on the magnitude of excess risk of cancer across different kidney recipient groups are sparse. Quantifying an individual transplant candidate’s cancer risk informs both pre-transplant counselling, treatment decisions and has implications for monitoring, screening and follow-up after transplantation. The aims of this study were firstly to establish the risk of cancer in the post-transplant population compared to that experienced by the general population, and secondly to quantify how excess risk varied within the transplanted population, seeking to establish meaningful absolute risk estimates for post-transplant cancer based on unalterable recipient characteristics known a priori at the time of transplantation. 15,183 residents of Australia and New Zealand had a transplant between 1963 and 2004, and were followed for a median of 7.2 years (130,186 person-years), with 1642 (10.8%) developing cancer. Overall, kidney recipients had 3 times the cancer risk, with risk inversely related to age (Standardised Incidence Ratio of 15 to 30 in children reducing to 2 in people > 65 years). Female recipients aged 25 -29 had rates of cancer (779.2/100,000) equivalent to women aged 55 - 59 from the general population. The risk pattern of lymphoma, colorectal and breast cancer was similar to the overall age trend, melanoma showed less variability across ages and prostate cancer showed no risk increase. Within the transplanted population cancer risk was affected by age differently for each sex (P=0.007), and was elevated for recipients with prior non-skin malignancy (Hazard Ratio: HR 1.40; 1.03 to 1.89), of white race (HR 1.36; 1.12 to 1.89), but reduced for those with diabetic ESKD (HR 0.67; 0.50 to 0.89) Rates of cancer in kidney recipients were similar to non-transplanted people 20 -30 years older, but risk differed across patient groups. Men aged 45 - 54 at transplantation with graft function at 10 years had a risk of cancer that varied from 1 in 13 (non-white, diabetic ESKD, no prior cancer) to 1 in 5 (white, prior cancer, ESKD from other causes).

PhD
Introduction Kidney transplantation confers both survival and quality of life advantages over dialysis for most people with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). The mortality rate on dialysis is 10-15% per year, compared with 2-4% per year post-transplantation. Short-term graft survival is related to control of the acute rejection process, requiring on-going immunosuppression. Most current immunosuppressive algorithms include one of the calcineurin inhibitors (CNI: cyclosporin or tacrolimus), an anti-metabolite (azathioprine or mycophenolate) and corticosteroids, with or without antibody induction agents (Ab) given briefly peri-transplantation. Despite this approach, between 15-35% of recipients undergo treatment for an episode of acute rejection (AR) within one year of transplantation. Transplantation is not without risk, and relative mortality rates for kidney recipients after the first post-transplant year remain 4-6 times that of the general population. Longer-term transplant and recipient survival are related to control of chronic allograft nephropathy (rooted in the interplay of AR, non-immunological factors, and the chronic nephrotoxicity of CNI) and limitation of the complications of chronic ESKD and long-term immunosuppression: cardiovascular disease, cancer and infection, which are responsible for 22%, 39% and 21% of deaths respectively. This thesis is presented as published works on the theme of immunosuppression and cancer after kidney transplantation. The work presented in the first chapters of this thesis has striven to identify, evaluate, synthesise and distil the entirety of evidence available of new and established immunosuppressive drug agents through systematic review of randomised trial data, with particular emphasis on quantifying harms of treatment. The final chapters use inception cohort data from the Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA), which is first validated then used to explore the risk of cancer in more detail than was possible from trial data alone. Interleukin 2 receptor antagonists Interleukin-2 receptor antagonists (IL2Ra, commercially available as basiliximab and daclizumab) are humanised or chimeric IgG monoclonal antibodies to the alpha subunit of the IL2 receptor present only on activated T lymphocytes, and the rationale for their use has been as induction agents peri-transplantation. Introduced in the mid-1990s, IL2Ra use has increased globally, and by 2003 38% of new kidney transplant recipients in the United States and 25% in Australasia received an IL2Ra. This study aimed to systematically identify and synthesise the evidence of effects of IL2Ra as an addition to standard therapy, or as an alternative to other induction agents. We identified 117 reports from 38 randomised trials involving 4893 participants. Where IL2Ra were compared with placebo (17 trials; 2786 patients), graft loss was not different at one (Relative Risk -RR 0.84; 0.64 to 1.10) or 3 years (RR 1.08; 0.71 to1.64). AR was reduced at 6 months (RR 0.66; 0.59 to 0.74) and at 1 year (RR 0.66; 0.59 to 0.74) but cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease (RR 0.82; CI 0.65 to 1.03) and malignancy (RR 0.67; 0.33 to1.36) were not different. Where IL2Ra were compared with other antibody therapy no significant differences in treatment effects were demonstrated, but IL2Ra had significantly fewer side effects. Given a 40% risk of rejection, 7 patients would need treatment with IL2Ra in addition to standard therapy, to prevent 1 patient having rejection, with no definite improvement in graft or patient survival. There was no apparent difference between basiliximab and daclizumab. Tacrolimus versus cyclosporin for primary immunosuppression There are pronounced global differences in CNI use; 63% of new kidney transplant recipients in the USA but only 22% in Australia receive tacrolimus as part of the initial immunosuppressive regimen. The side effects of CNI differ: tacrolimus is associated more with diabetes and neurotoxicity, but less with hypertension and dyslipidaemia than cyclosporin, with uncertainty about equivalence of nephrotoxicity or how these relate to patient and graft survival, or impact on patient compliance and quality of life. This study aimed to systematically review and synthesise the positive and negative effects of tacrolimus and cyclosporin as initial therapy for renal transplant recipients. We identified 123 reports from 30 randomised trials involving 4102 participants. At 6 months graft loss was reduced in tacrolimus-treated recipients (RR 0•56; 0•36 to 0•86), and this effect persisted for 3 years. The relative reduction in graft loss with tacrolimus diminished with higher levels of tacrolimus (P=0.04), but did not vary with cyclosporin formulation (P=0.97) or cyclosporin level (P=0.38). At 1 year, tacrolimus patients suffered less AR (RR 0•69; 0•60 to 0•79), and less steroid-resistant AR (RR 0•49; 0•37 to 0•64), but more insulin-requiring diabetes (RR 1•86; 1•11 to 3•09), tremor, headache, diarrhoea, dyspepsia and vomiting. The relative excess in diabetes increased with higher levels of tacrolimus (P=0.003). Cyclosporin-treated recipients experienced significantly more constipation and cosmetic side-effects. We demonstrated no differences in infection or malignancy. Treating 100 recipients with tacrolimus instead of cyclosporin for the 1st year post-transplantation avoids 12 suffering acute rejection and 2 losing their graft but causes an extra 5 to become insulin dependent diabetics, thus optimal drug choice may vary among patients. Target of rapamycin inhibitors for primary immunosuppression Target of rapamycin inhibitors (TOR-I) are among the newest immunosuppressive agents and have a novel mode of action but uncertain clinical role. Sirolimus is a macrocyclic lactone antibiotic and everolimus is a derivative of sirolimus. Both prevent DNA synthesis resulting in arrest of the cell cycle. Animal models suggested TOR-I would provide synergistic immunosuppression when combined with CNI, but early clinical studies demonstrated synergistic nephrotoxicity. Since then diverse trials have explored strategies that avoid this interaction and investigated other potential benefits. The aim of this study was to systematically identify and synthesise available evidence of sirolimus and everolimus when used in initial immunosuppressive regimens for kidney recipients. We identified 142 reports from 33 randomised trials involving 7114 participants, with TOR-I evaluated in four different primary immunosuppressive algorithms: as replacement for CNI, as replacement for antimetabolites, in combination with CNI at low and high dose, and with variable dose of CNI. When TOR-I replaced CNI (8 trials, 750 participants), there was no difference in AR (RR 1.03; 0.74 to 1.44), but creatinine was lower (WMD -18.31 umol/l; -30.96 to -5.67), and bone marrow more suppressed (leucopoenia RR 2.02; 1.12 to 3.66, thrombocytopenia RR 6.97; 2.97 to 16.36, anaemia RR 1.67; 1.27 to 2.20). When TOR-I replaced antimetabolites (11 trials, 3966 participants), AR and CMV were reduced (RR 0.84; 0.71 to 0.99 and RR 0.49; 0.37 to 0.65) but hypercholesterolaemia was increased (RR 1.65; 1.32 to 2.06). When low was compared to high-dose TOR-I, with equal CNI dose (10 trials, 3175 participants), AR was increased (RR 1.23; 1.06 to 1.43) but GFR higher (WMD 4.27 ml/min; 1.12 to 7.41). When low-dose TOR-I and standard-dose CNI were compared to higher-dose TOR-I and reduced CNI AR was reduced (RR 0.67; 0.52 to 0.88), but GFR also reduced (WMD -9.46 ml/min; -12.16 to -6.76). There was no significant difference in mortality, graft loss or malignancy risk demonstrated for TOR-I in any comparison. Generally surrogate endpoints for graft survival favoured TOR-I (lower risk of acute rejection and higher GFR) and surrogate endpoints for patient outcomes were worsened by TOR-I (bone marrow suppression, lipid disturbance). Long-term hard-endpoint data from methodologically robust randomised trials are still needed. Monoclonal and polyclonal antibody therapy for treating acute rejection Strategies for treating AR include pulsed steroids, an antibody (Ab) preparation, the alteration of background immunosuppression, or combinations of these options. In 2002, in the USA 61.4% of patients with AR received steroids, 20.4% received Ab and 18.2% received both. The Ab available for AR are not new: horse and rabbit derived polyclonal antibodies (ATG and ALG) have been used for 35 years, and a mouse monoclonal antibody (muromonab-CD3) became available in the late 1980s. These preparations remove the functional T-cell population from circulation, producing powerful saturation immunosuppression which is useful for AR but which may be complicated by immediate toxicity and higher rates of infection and malignancy. The aim of this study was to systematically evaluate and synthesise all evidence available to clinicians for treating AR in kidney recipients. We identified 49 reports from 21 randomised trials involving 1394 participants. Outcome measures were inconsistent and incompletely defined across trials. Fourteen trials (965 patients) compared therapies for 1st AR episodes (8 Ab versus steroid, 2 Ab versus another Ab, 4 other comparisons). In treating first rejection, Ab was better than steroid in reversing AR (RR 0.57; CI 0.38 to 0.87) and preventing graft loss (RR 0.74; CI 0.58 to 0.95) but there was no difference in preventing subsequent rejection (RR 0.67; CI 0.43 to 1.04) or death (RR 1.16; CI 0.57 to 2.33) at 1 year. Seven trials (422 patients) investigated Ab treatment of steroid-resistant rejection (4 Ab vs another Ab, 1 different doses Ab, 1 different formulation Ab, 2 other comparisons). There was no benefit of muromonab-CD3 over ATG or ALG in reversing rejection (RR 1.32; CI 0.33 to 5.28), preventing subsequent rejection (RR 0.99; CI 0.61 to 1.59), graft loss (RR 1.80; CI 0.29 to 11.23) or death (RR 0.39; CI 0.09 to 1.65). Given the clinical problem caused by AR, comparable data are sparse, and clinically important differences in outcomes between widely used interventions have not been excluded. Standardised reproducible outcome criteria are needed. Validity of cancer data in an end stage kidney disease registry Registries vary in whether the data they collect are given voluntarily or as a requirement of law, the completeness of population coverage, the breadth of data collected and whether data are assembled directly or indirectly through linkage to other databases. Data quality is crucial but difficult to measure objectively. Formal audit of ANZDATA cancer records has not previously taken place. The aim of this study was to assess agreement of records of incident cancer diagnoses held in ANZDATA (voluntary reporting system) with those reported under statute to the New South Wales (NSW) state Central Cancer Registry (CCR), to explore the strengths and weaknesses of both reporting systems, and to measure the impact of any disagreement on results of cancer analyses. From 1980-2001, 9453 residents received dialysis or transplantation in NSW. Records from ANZDATA registrants were linked to CCR using probabilistic matching and agreement between registries for patients with 1 or more cancers, all cancers and site-specific cancer was estimated using the kappa-statistic (κ). ANZDATA recorded 867 cancers in 779 (8.2%) registrants; CCR 867 cancers in 788 (8.3%), with κ =0.76. ANZDATA had sensitivity 77.3% (CI 74.2 to 80.2), specificity 98.1% (CI 97.7 to 98.3) if CCR records were regarded as the reference standard. Agreement was similar for diagnoses whilst receiving dialysis (κ =0.78) or after transplantation (κ =0.79), but varied by cancer type. Melanoma (κ =0.61) and myeloma (κ =0.47) were less good; lymphoma (κ =0.80), leukaemia (κ =0.86) and breast cancer (κ =0.85) were very good. Artefact accounted for 20.8% non-concordance but error and misclassification did occur in both registries. Cancer risk did not differ in any important way whether estimated using ANZDATA or CCR records. Quality of cancer records in ANZDATA are high, differences largely explicable, and seem unlikely to alter results of analyses. Risk of cancer after kidney transplantation Existing data on the magnitude of excess risk of cancer across different kidney recipient groups are sparse. Quantifying an individual transplant candidate’s cancer risk informs both pre-transplant counselling, treatment decisions and has implications for monitoring, screening and follow-up after transplantation. The aims of this study were firstly to establish the risk of cancer in the post-transplant population compared to that experienced by the general population, and secondly to quantify how excess risk varied within the transplanted population, seeking to establish meaningful absolute risk estimates for post-transplant cancer based on unalterable recipient characteristics known a priori at the time of transplantation. 15,183 residents of Australia and New Zealand had a transplant between 1963 and 2004, and were followed for a median of 7.2 years (130,186 person-years), with 1642 (10.8%) developing cancer. Overall, kidney recipients had 3 times the cancer risk, with risk inversely related to age (Standardised Incidence Ratio of 15 to 30 in children reducing to 2 in people > 65 years). Female recipients aged 25 -29 had rates of cancer (779.2/100,000) equivalent to women aged 55 - 59 from the general population. The risk pattern of lymphoma, colorectal and breast cancer was similar to the overall age trend, melanoma showed less variability across ages and prostate cancer showed no risk increase. Within the transplanted population cancer risk was affected by age differently for each sex (P=0.007), and was elevated for recipients with prior non-skin malignancy (Hazard Ratio: HR 1.40; 1.03 to 1.89), of white race (HR 1.36; 1.12 to 1.89), but reduced for those with diabetic ESKD (HR 0.67; 0.50 to 0.89) Rates of cancer in kidney recipients were similar to non-transplanted people 20 -30 years older, but risk differed across patient groups. Men aged 45 - 54 at transplantation with graft function at 10 years had a risk of cancer that varied from 1 in 13 (non-white, diabetic ESKD, no prior cancer) to 1 in 5 (white, prior cancer, ESKD from other causes).

Introduction End stage kidney disease (ESKD) accounts for 5-10 million deaths annually worldwide. The current treatment modalities for ESKD include dialysis, transplant and supportive care. The leading cause of death for people with ESKD is cardiovascular disease (CVD). CVD is a collective term for disease affecting the heart and blood vessels including coronary, cerebral and peripheral blood vessels. CVD causes significant morbidity and has a substantial impact on quality of life for people with ESKD. Improving cardiovascular outcomes for people living with ESKD is a priority. The escalating incidence of chronic kidney disease, its progression to ESKD and the high burden of cardiovascular disease has generated an increasing amount of research in the ESKD population. The ESKD population have previously been under-represented in clinical trials and current trials in ESKD have infrequently and inconsistently reported CVD outcomes. It is important to standardise outcomes used in research. When outcome reporting is standardised it enables comparisons of findings across trials, populations and eras. It is important that the outcomes reflect patient priorities and are relevant to patients and clinicians for use in shared decision making. The Standardised Outcomes in Nephrology Group (SONG) is an international initiative to establish a set of core outcomes and outcome measures across the spectrum of kidney disease for trials and other forms of research. The SONG-Haemodialysis (SONG - HD) initiative is developing a core outcome set for use in haemodialysis. As part of SONG-HD, CVD (as well as fatigue, vascular access and mortality) has been identified as important to all stakeholders and included in the core outcome set for haemodialysis. This requires appropriate measures of CVD to be identified and used. The first aim of this thesis was to achieve consensus on a CVD outcome measure for use in haemodialysis trials. In approaching this goal I first needed to ascertain the current use of cardiovascular outcomes (Chapter 2) and then determine which ones were important to all stakeholders (Chapter 3). Consensus over which is the most appropriate measure of CVD for use in trials in people on haemodialysis (Chapter 4) will allow improved standardisation of cardiovascular outcome reporting, reducing research wastage and will propel forward cardiovascular research to improve morbidity and mortality in this high risk population. The second aim of this thesis was to further examine some of the prioritised outcomes and to review the patterns and risks of CVD in the ESKD population. The magnitude of risk for cardiac events and cardiac deaths in people with ESKD relative to the general population and the changes over time are not well described. I hypothesised that the magnitude of risk remained high in the ESKD population and that epidemiological improvements seen in CVD outcomes in the general population have not been mirrored in the ESKD population (Chapters 5 and 6). CVD and more specifically cerebrovascular disease can lead to significant cognitive impairment which has a substantial impact on the ability of ESKD patients to understand their disease, interpret education and be involved in shared decision making. The patterns of cognitive deficit in the ESKD population are not well understood and I hypothesised that cognitive deficits in the ESKD population may be different to those found in the general population and may differ by modality of renal replacement therapy. Standardising CVD outcomes, examining the epidemiology of CVD in ESKD and comparing the trends and patterns to the general population can drive hypotheses into potential causative mechanisms and new treatments. I present this thesis as a hybrid of published work, work currently under peer review for publication and work submitted for publication on the theme of priorities and outcomes in ESKD.

A national study was devised to define, using prospective methods, the Scottish renal replacement therapy (RRT) population in terms of numbers, social circumstances, age, mode of presentation for RRT, aetiology of renal failure, comorbid illness, mode of RRT, hospitalisation, mortality and quality of life. The attainment of the recommended treatment standards (UK Renal Association) and their impact along with the factors listed above, upon patient outcomes was assessed. Care by a nephrologist prior to RRT increased the likelihood of a patient having definitive vascular access and attaining the haemoglobin standard, and decreased the time spent in hospital in the first year of RRT. The recommended percentage of patients did not attain haemoglobin, adequacy, albumin or other serum biochemistry standards throughout the first 18 months of RRT. The use of erythropoietin was fundamental to attaining recommended haemoglobin levels. Attaining the haemoglobin standard reduced the risk of death over two years and had beneficial influence upon the number of days spent in hospital. The presence of a fistula (or graft) was the most important factor positively influencing urea reduction ratio (URR). Increasing URR was shown to confer a survival benefit over 2 years in the group treated purely by haemodialysis and reduced time spent in hospital during the first year of treatment. A large demand upon in-patient services was demonstrated. Increased patient cormorbidity and age adversely affected frequency of hospitalisation and total time in hospital in the first year of treatment. Mortality is high amongst patients starting RRT. One year survival was 72.5% (84.2% excluding deaths in the first 90 days), two year survival was 58.5% (68% excluding 90 day deaths). 14% of the cohort died within the first 90 days of RRT. Comorbidity, age, serum albumin and attained haemoglobin significantly affected survival. This study expands the available evidence upon which to base future refinements to clinical practice and recommended standards of care. It provides vital data upon which to base future RRT service planning and research.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is common, with prevalence estimates of 10-16% globally. CKD is divided into five discreet stages, with Stage 1 the earliest stage and Stage 5 the most advanced. Research efforts have primarily focused on Stage 5 patients with end stage kidney disease (ESKD) treated with dialysis or transplantation. As a result, many important questions about the experience of those with early to moderate CKD remain incompletely understood. Understanding disease progression, quality-of-life and costs of early to moderate CKD are important to inform clinical treatment decisions as well as economic evaluations of prevention strategies and treatment options. Similarly, important questions remain in specific ESKD populations including what is the optimal treatment of atrial fibrillation in the haemodialysis population, and what are the pregnancy outcomes female transplant recipients of child bearing age. This thesis seeks to address these questions. This is a thesis by publication which contains six published, and one submitted, work. Chapter one is a general introduction. Chapter two used data from AusDiab, a national longitudinal cohort study of Australian adults, to investigate factors associated with disease progression and/or death in CKD. Chapter three used data from AusDiab to estimate the costs of early-to-moderate CKD in Australia. Chapter four explored longitudinal changes in quality-of-life in a community-based CKD cohort and assessed associations between baseline quality-of-life and CKD outcomes using AusDiab data. Chapter five used published literature to develop a Markov model decision analysis for the use of anti-coagulation (or not) in haemodialysis patients with non-valvular AF. Chapters 6 and 7 examined pregnancy outcomes for women with kidney transplants and compared these to the Australian general population. Chapter 8 reviewed the diagnosis and management of recurrent IgA nephropathy following kidney transplant. The final chapter is a discussion of the work.

This thesis assessed cognitive impairment in people with end stage kidney disease. It found that over a third were cognitively impaired. More than half of those who had not yet started kidney replacement treatment and those already receiving haemodialysis were more likely than other groups to be cognitively impaired. The implications from these findings will influence people being able to make informed decisions about their healthcare, and that changes for patient education ought to occur due to altered levels of understanding.

Background: The extent and the distribution of end stage kidney disease (ESKD) in Libya have not been reported despite provision of dialysis over 4 decades. The aim of this thesis is to develop the first comprehensive description of the epidemiology of dialysis-treated ESKD in adults in Libya as well as to assess the outcomes of this treatment. Methods: A structured interview regarding dialysis provision and infection control measures was conducted with the medical directors of all 40 dialysis centres and 28 centres were visited. In the same time demographic and clinical data were obtained regarding all adult patients treated at all maintenance dialysis facilities in Libya from May to August 2009. Additional information about the patterns of vascular access used for haemodialysis (HD) as well as prevalence and incidence of hepatitis Band/or C infection was collected and analysed. Subsequently data were collected prospectively from September 2009 to August 2010. Results: There were 40 functioning maintenance dialysis centres in Libya (one of them was serving children only). The total number of adult patients was 2417. The prevalence rate of ESKD treated by dialysis was 624 per million population. Most dialysis units were located in the northern part of the country and only 12.5% were free standing units. Only three centres offered peritoneal dialysis. There were 192 HD rooms. They hosted 713 functioning HD stations, giving a ratio of one machine to 3.4 patients. Nephrologist/internist to patient ratio was 1:40 and nurse to patient ratio was 1:3.7. There was wide variation in monitoring of dialysis patients with dialysis adequacy assessed only in a minority. 85% of prevalent patients were aged <65 years and 58% were male. The prevalence of ESKD varied considerably with age with a peak at 55-64 years (2475 pmp for males; 2197 pmp for females). The annual incidence rate was 282 pmp with some regional variation and a substantially higher rate in the South (617 pmp). The most common cause of ESKD among prevalent and incident patients was diabetes. Other important causes were glomerulonephritis, hypertensive nephropathy and congenital or hereditary diseases. During one year follow- up, 458 deaths occurred, (crude annual mortality rate of 21.2%). Of these, 3 1 % were due to ischaemic heart disease, 16% cerebrovascular accidents and 16% due to infection. Annual mortality rate was 0-70% in different dialysis centres. Best survival was in age group 25-34 years. Binary logistic regression analysis identified age at onset of dialysis, physical dependency, diabetes and predialysis urea as independent determinants of increased mortality. Of all dialysis- treated patients, 34.9% were sero-positive for HBV and/or HCV (anti-HCV positive 31.1%; HBsAg positive 2.6%; both positive \.2%). The prevalence of HBV±HCV infection varied widely between HD centres from 0% to 75.9%. Sero-positive patients were younger, had longer time on dialysis and more previous blood transfusions. Prospective follow-up revealed an incidence ofsero-conversion of7.7% during 1 year (7.1% HCV; 0.6% HBV). Wide variation in rates of newly acquired infections was observed between dialysis centres. Duration of dialysis, history of previous renal transplant and history of receiving HD in another centre in Libya were significantly associated with sero-conversion. The majority of HD- treated patients (91.9%; n=1573) were using permanent vascular access in the form of arteriovenous fistula or arteriovenous graft. Patients with permanent vascular access were more likely to be male and less likely to be diabetic. Most patients had commenced HD using a temporary central venous catheter (91.8%). Vascular access- related complications were: thrombosis (46.7%), aneurysm (22.6%), infection (11.5%) and haemorrhage (10.2%). Hospitalisation for VA related complications was reported by 31.4%. Conclusion: ESKD in Libya is a major health problem where the incidence rate is among the highest in the world. Despite rapid expansion of dialysis services throughout the country, this thesis has identified that many aspects of dialysis provision are suboptimal and that outcomes are relatively poor. We have identified several major challenges to improving the quality of dialysis provision including lack of dialysis practice guidelines, absence of auditing and quality control and limited access to kidney transplantation. As Libya reorganises its health services in the post-conflict period it is hoped that this study will be the first step in establishing a renal registry and that the areas of concern highlighted will prompt the implementation of national clinical practice guidelines for dialysis.

Faible masse musculaire a été peu étudiée chez les patients avant le stade terminal de la maladie rénale chronique (MRC). Nous avons évalué la masse musculaire à partir de la créatininurie des 24h pour étudier ses déterminants, son évolution avec le déclin de la fonction rénale ainsi que ses liens avec les risques de progression vers l’insuffisance rénale terminale traitée (IRTT) et de décès avant IRTT. Dans la cohorte NephroTest incluant 1429 patients avec une MRC stades 1 à 4, le débit de filtration glomérulaire a été mesuré par la clairance du 51Cr-EDTA (DFGm) et estimé par l’équation CKD EPI (DFGe). La créatininurie moyenne à l’inclusion diminuait de 15.3±3.1 à 12.1±3.3 mmol/24 chez les hommes et de 9.6±1.9 à 7.6±2.5 chez les femmes, pour une baisse du DFGm de ≥ 60 à < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2. Être plus âgé, avoir un diabète, un faible IMC ou un niveau faible de protéinurie et d’apports protidiques était associé à un niveau faible de créatininurie. Un déclin annuel du DFGm de 5 mL/min/1.73 m2 était lié à une baisse de créatininurie, indépendamment de ces déterminants. Au cours d’un suivi médian de 3.6 ans, 229 patients ont développé une IRTT, et 113 sont décédés avant IRTT. Après ajustement sur les facteurs de confusion, le hasard ratio (HR) était de 1.6 (0.88-2.9) pour le risque de décès et de 0.60 (0.39-0.91) pour le risque d’IRTT, dans le 1er vs 4ème quartile de créatininurie. La baisse de la créatininurie apparait précocement dans la MRC et est liée au décès avant dialyse. La diminution du risque d’IRTT pourrait s’expliquer par un démarrage plus tardif de la dialyse en raison d’une surestimation du DFGm par le DFGe chez les patients avec une faible créatininurie
Mainly described in patients on dialysis, muscle wasting has received little attention in early stage chronic kidney disease (CKD). We used 24-hour creatininuria to assess determinants of low muscle mass and its putative associations with CKD outcomes, using data from the NephroTest cohort, including 1429 non-dialysis patients with CKD stages 1 to 5. Kidney function was assessed with both measured (mGFR, by 51Cr-EDTA renal clearance) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, by CKD-EPI equation). End-stage renal disease (ESRD) and pre-ESRD death were the main studied outcomes. The mean baseline creatininuria decreased from 15.3±3.1 to 12.1±3.3 mmol/24 h in men and from 9.6±1.9 to 7.6±2.5 in women, when mGFR fell from ≥ 60 to < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2. Other determinants of low creatininuria were an older age, diabetes, a lower body mass index, a lower level of proteinuria or protein intake. A fast annual decline in mGFR of 5 mL/min/1.73 m2 was linked with a 2-fold decrease in creatininuria, independent of changes in protein intake and other determinants of muscle mass. Over a median follow-up of 3.6 years, 229 patients developed ESRD and 113 patients died before ESRD. After adjustment for confounders, patients with low muscle mass showed a significantly higher risk for pre-ESRD death (HR 1.6, 95% CI 0.88-2.9), but a lower risk for ESRD (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.39-0.91). The latter was reversed (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.01-2.4) when mGFR was replaced by eGFR. Decrease in 24-hour creatininuria may appear early in CKD patients, is related to pre-ESRD death. The lower risk for ESRD may reflect later dialysis start due to overestimation of true GFR by eGFR in patients with low muscle mass

Chronic kidney diseases cause over a million deaths worldwide every year. One of the techniques used to diagnose the diseases is renal scintigraphy. However, the way that is processed can vary depending on hospitals and doctors, compromising the reproducibility of the method. In this context, we propose an approach to process the exam using computer vision and machine learning to classify the stage of chronic kidney disease. An analysis of different features extraction methods, such as Gray-Level Co-occurrence Matrix, Structural Co-occurrence Matrix, Local Binary Patters (LBP), Hu's Moments and Zernike's Moments in combination with machine learning methods, such as Bayes, Multi-layer Perceptron, k-Nearest Neighbors, Random Forest and Support Vector Machines (SVM), was performed. The best result was obtained by combining LBP feature extractor with SVM classifier. This combination achieved accuracy of 92.00% and F1-score of 91.00%, indicating that the proposed method is adequate to classify chronic kidney disease in two stages, being a high risk of developing end-stage renal failure and other outcomes, and otherwise.

Kidney failure is a major issue in the United States. The numbers of kidney failure patients are rapidly increasing with the simultaneous rise in diabetes, obesity and hypertension1. Kidney transplantation has shown excellent results, but insufficiency of donors has been a limiting factor. Most end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients depend on hemodialysis (HD) for survival which is highly expensive. On an average ESRD patients receive 3 dialysis treatment a week and 4 hours per treatment, i.e., approximately 12 hours a week. Technology has not yet reached to a state where all the kidney functions can be mimicked. The only major kidney function being performed in HD is toxin removal. Even the toxins are not being continuously removed from the patients. To compensate the toxin and fluid removal of a whole week within 12 hours, high volumes of fluid are removed in HD treatments. Patients suffer due to the high fluid removal in a short period of time. Also the patients are restricted from taking fluids between the HD treatments. More frequent HD can improve both survival rate and life quality of patients with chronic kidney disease since normal people has his kidneys functioning continuously. It is a well known fact that daily dialysis offers many benefits over regular intermittent HD1. But providing daily dialysis is not affordable currently. Therefore, new modes of delivering continuous renal support are required.

Background:End Stage Kidney disease (ESKD) patients must follow unique dietary restrictions. The most onerous of these is the need to restrict fluid intake. The ramifications of poor fluid control include increased mortality and morbidities, frequent hospitalizations with diagnoses of heart failure and pulmonary edema, increased hospital length of stay, and increased total cost of care. Fluid intake control is a bedrock component of treatment for ESKD Patients, but continues to be a major challenge for patients, healthcare providers, and organizations. The ramifications of poor fluid control include increased mortality and morbidities, frequent hospitalizations and increased total cost of care. The goal of this work is to investigate the feasibility of leveraging smartwatch technology to monitor fluid consumption of ESKD patients outside of the clinic. Adequate assessment of fluid intake of patients with ESKD on HD and offering timely feedback to patients and clinicians has the potential of curbing the extra fluid intake, hence reduce mortality and morbidity, and hopefully cut the costs of the need of frequent hospitalizations and/or extra dialysis treatments.Methods:We have designed a smartwatch app called Fluisense (available on Android play store,, https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mob.fluisense) to help ESKD patients monitor their fluid intake. Fluisense helps patients record Fluid intake logs in an intuitive manner. Fluisense also collects sensor data such as mobility, acceleration, and heart rate to investigate biomarkers indicative of fluid overload. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work leveraging smartwatches to monitor fluid accumulation of ESKD patients.N=15 ESKD patients were given an Android smartwatch with Fluisense pre-installed and were asked to log their fluid intake through the app by choosing from a list of predefined volumes each time they consume any liquid. The app computed and displayed the self-reported daily volume intake to help patients monitor their own fluid consumption. Patients received text messages twice a day (9am and 8pm) to remind them to use the watch. We also recorded patients’ weights before and after each of the thrice weekly dialysis sessions. The sum of self-reported interdialytic fluid intake was computed and compared against the interdialytic weight gain recorded in the clinic.Results: Patients recorded Fluids in 214 days out of 259 total days (i.e., 83% compliance rate). The average self-reported interdyalitic fluid consumption is 51 oz +/-64, and the average interdialytic weight gain is 2.67 kg +/- 1.56. We found a moderate but significant correlation between the self-reported fluid volumes and the interdialytic weight gain (r=0.363, P<0.001, r2=0.06). A deep learning method has also been designed to predict the interdialyctic weight gain from sensor data. Results validated through leave one subject out cross validation show an F1 score of 91 at predicting the level of weight change.Conclusion: Leveraging smartwatch-based sensing technology is a promising solution for fluid monitoring of ESKD patients. This can be related to the ease of utilization of this technology and the ecological validity of its measurements given they are collected close to when they happen, reducing recall biases.

Review question / Objective: The objective of this study is to evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety as well as to summarize the current knowledge of difelikefalin in treatment of patients with CKD-aP based on the available clinical trials. Condition being studied: Chronic kidney disease-associated pruritus (CKD-aP), also known as uremic pruritus, is a condition that significantly reduces the quality of life of patients with end-stage renal disease. There were unmet needs in the treatment of this condition. Difelikefalin is a novel opioid agonist with high selectivity for kappa opioid re-ceptors (KOR) that has been shown to be effective in the treatment of this type of chronic pruritus.

Review question / Objective: This systematic review aims to define and evaluate the treatments available for two different stages of the Molar Incisor Hypomineralization (MIH) defect. On stage I, the lesion is classified as Mild and is characterized by demarcated opacities without posteruptive breakdown. On stage II, the lesion is classified as Severe and is characterized by posteruptive breakdown of enamel. To this end, the proposed study will answer the following question: What are the treatments available and their results for the two different stages of MIH on permanent teeth? Condition being studied: Mild and Severe Molar Incisor Hypomineralization (MIH). MIH is an enamel defect that occurs during the mineralization on the second stage of the formation of the enamel called maturation phase. This disease affects the outer layer of enamel, making the structure soft and undercalcified. The appearance of the lesion can be white opaque to yellow brown depending on the stage ( mild or severe).