Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Economic Theory'
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Todorova, Zdravka K. Lee Frederic S. "Reconsidering households in economic theory." Diss., UMK access, 2007.
Find full text"A dissertation in economics and social science consortium." Advisor: Frederic S. Lee. Typescript. Vita. Title from "catalog record" of the print edition Description based on contents viewed Dec. 19, 2007. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 216-240). Online version of the print edition.
Muthoo, Abhinay. "Bargaining theory." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 1988. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.257214.
Full textRibó, Ausias. "Essays in Economic Theory." Doctoral thesis, Universitat de Barcelona, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/10803/404912.
Full textWeinstein, Jonathan. "Essays on economic theory." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/33830.
Full textIncludes bibliographical references.
These four essays concern the theory of games and its application to economic theory. The first two, closely linked, chapters are an investigation into the foundational question of the sensitivity of the predictions of game theory to higher-order beliefs. Impact of Higher-Order Uncertainty with Muhamet Yildiz In some games, the impact of higher-order uncertainty is very large, implying that present economic theories may be misleading as these theories assume common knowledge of the type structure after specifying the first or the second orders of beliefs. Focusing on normal-form games in which the players' strategy spaces are compact metric spaces, we show that our key condition, called "global stability under uncertainty," implies a variety of results to the effect that the impact of higher-order uncertainty is small. Our central result states that, under global stability, the maximum change in equilibrium strategies due to changes in players' beliefs at orders higher than k is exponentially decreasing in k. Therefore, given any need for precision, we can approximate equilibrium strategies by specifying only finitely many orders of beliefs. Finite-Order Implications of Any Equilibrium with Muhamet Yildiz Present economic theories make a common-knowledge assumption that implies that the first or second-order beliefs determine all higher-order beliefs.
(cont.) We analyze the role of such a closing assumption at any finite order by instead allowing higher orders to vary arbitrarily. Assuming that the space of underlying uncertainty is sufficiently rich, we show that, under an arbitrary fixed equilibrium, the resulting set of possible outcomes must include all outcomes that survive iterated elimination of strategies that are never a strict best reply. For many games, this implies that, unless the game is dominance-solvable, every equilibrium will be highly sensitive to higher-order beliefs, and thus economic theories based on such equilibria may be misleading. Moreover, every equilibrium is discontinuous at each type for which two or more actions survive our elimination process. Conversely, the resulting set of possible outcomes must be contained in rationalizable strategy profiles. This yields a precise characterization in generic instances. Price Dispersion and Loss Leaders Dispersion in retail prices of identical goods is inconsistent with the standard model of price competition among identical firms, which predicts that all prices will be driven down to cost. One common explanation for such dispersion is the use of a loss-leader strategy, in which a firm prices one good below cost in order to attract a higher customer volume for profitable goods.
(cont.) By assuming high transportation costs which indeed force each consumer to buy all desired goods at a single firm, we create the possibility of an effective loss-leader strategy. We find, however, that such a strategy cannot be effective in equilibrium, so that additional assumptions limiting price search or rationality must be introduced to explain price dispersion or loss leaders. Two Notes on the Blotto Game We exhibit a new equilibrium of the classic Blotto game in which players allocate one unit of resources among three coordinates and try to defeat their opponent in two out of three. It is well known that a mixed strategy will be an equilibrium strategy if the marginal distribution on each coordinate is U [0, 2]. All known examples of such distributions have two-dimensional support. Here we exhibit a distribution which has one-dimensional support and is simpler to describe than previous examples. The construction generalizes to give one-dimensional distributions with the same property in higher-dimensional simplexes as well. As our second note, we give some results on the equilibrium payoffs when the game is modified so that one player has greater available resources. Our results suggest a criterion for equilibrium selection in the original symmetric game, in terms of robustness with respect to a small asymmetry in resources.
by Jonathan Weinstein.
Ph.D.
Baetz, Oliver. "Essays in economic theory." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2013. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.648139.
Full textKuzmics, Christoph Alexander. "Essays on economic theory." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2004. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.615814.
Full textYi, Hyun Chang. "Essays in economic theory." Thesis, University of Exeter, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10871/15246.
Full textRashid, M. "Essays in economic theory." Thesis, University College London (University of London), 2015. http://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/1425119/.
Full textHe, Wei. "Essays in economic theory." Diss., University of Iowa, 2016. https://ir.uiowa.edu/etd/3098.
Full textDai, Tianjiao Ph D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. "Essays on economic theory." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2019. https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122240.
Full textCataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 165-168).
The first chapter considers team incentive schemes that are robust to nonquantifiable uncertainty about the game played by the agents. A principal designs a contract for a team of agents, each taking an unobservable action that jointly determine a stochastic contractible outcome. The game is common knowledge among the agents, but the principal only knows some of the available action profiles. Realizing that the game may be bigger than he thinks, the principal evaluates contracts based on their guaranteed performance across all games consistent with his knowledge. All parties are risk neutral and the agents are protected by limited liability. A contract is said to align the agents' interests if each agent's compensation covaries positively and linearly with the other agents' compensation.
It is shown that contracts that fail to do so are dominated by those that do, both in terms of the surplus guarantee under budget balance, and in terms of the principal's profit guarantee when he is the residual claimant. It thus suffices to base compensation on a one-dimensional aggregate even if richer outcome measures are available. The best guarantee for either objective is achieved by a contract linear in the monetary value of the outcome. This provides a foundation for practices such as team-based pay and profit-sharing in partnership. The second chapter models a ride-sharing market in a traffic network with stochastic ride demands. A monopolistic ride-sharing platform in this traffic network faces a dynamic optimization problem to maximize its per period average payoff in the long run, by choosing policies of setting trip prices, matching ride requests and relocating idle drivers to meet future potential demands.
Directly solving the dynamic optimization problem for the ridesharing platform is computationally prohibitively expensive for a traffic network with reasonably large number of locations and vehicles due to its intrinsic complexity. I provide an theoretical upper bound on the performance of dynamic policies by analyzing a related deterministic problem. Based on the optimal solution to the deterministic problem, I propose implementable heuristic policies for the original stochastic problem that yield average payoffs converging to the theoretical upper bound asymptotically. I also discuss the relative value function iteration method to solve the optimization problem for small-scale markets numerically. The third chapter examines several discrete-time versions of a dynamic moral hazard in teams problem, a continuous-time model of which has been extensively studied in the previous literature.
The way to transform the continuous-time game into a discrete-time one is not unique, and different discrete-time assumptions with the same continuous-time technology limit lead to different discrete-time equilibria. Regardless of the technology assumption, I find that two-period models can give equilibrium results quite different from that in a continuous-time model: while the continuous-time model predicts existence and uniqueness of symmetric equilibrium, its two-period versions can either have multiple symmetric equilibria or none. Also, not all equilibria in the discrete-time models share features similar to the one predicted by the continuous-time model. The subsequent study of multiple-period models with no learning sheds some light on how the equilibria evolve as the discrete-time model better approximates the continuous-time one.
by Tianjiao Dai.
Ph. D.
Ph.D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Economics
MILASI, SANTO. "Economic theory and institutions." Doctoral thesis, Università degli Studi di Roma "Tor Vergata", 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/2108/207958.
Full textDodd, Nigel Bruce. "Money in social theory." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 1991. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.239150.
Full textIbrahimo, Muradali Valimamade. "The economics of credit markets : theory and evidence." Thesis, University of York, 1992. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.317856.
Full textRecent years have witnessed an increasing interest in credit markets for a number of reasons: first, credit markets perform important functions in any developed monetary economy, such as the sharing of risk between different individuals, the allocation of financial resources and the transmission of monetary policies; second. several influential theoretical studies have, by taking into consideration the idea of incomplete information, concluded that they operate in a very distinct way compared to most other markets, with equilibria in most cases exhibiting inefficiency; third, the new empirical research has provided support for the importance of the role played by the financial system in the determination of the real economic activity. This thesis examines the relevant works on credit, evaluates the explanatory power of the theories hitherto advanced and, more importantly, offers new theoretical and empirical studies which provide further insights into the subject. Part 1 is devoted to the microeconomic studies on credit with incomplete information. Assuming that borrowers are better informed than lenders about the quality of their investment projects, it derives several theoretical propositions which add to the understanding of credit market functioning. Moreover, it provides empirical evidence on the characteristics of random distributions of rates of return associated with industrial corporations. Part 2 is concerned with macroeconomic studies on credit in the context of the conventional ad-hoc approach with symmetric information. It shows how an explicit credit market may be incorporated in a standard macroeconomic model augmented with wealth effects and government budget constraint in order to allow the examination of issues, such as credit market shocks, that would not otherwise be possible. The thesis' mode of exposition is eclectic, using alternatively 'literary' reasoning, geometrical demonstrations and analytical proofs depending on the nature of the topics under consideration.
Bibow, Jörg. "Essays on liquidity preference theory." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 1995. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.388765.
Full textSahm, Marco. "Essays in Public Economic Theory." Diss., lmu, 2006. http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:19-56335.
Full textMoreno, de Barreda Ines. "Essays in applied economic theory." Thesis, London School of Economics and Political Science (University of London), 2011. http://etheses.lse.ac.uk/158/.
Full textLombardi, Michele. "Essays on behavioural economic theory." Thesis, Queen Mary, University of London, 2007. http://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/1537.
Full textPires, Cesaltina Maria Pacheco. "Three essays in economic theory." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1994. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/11936.
Full textVela, Ramón G. (Ramón Geraldo Vela Córdova) 1969. "A theory of economic democracy." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2000. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/8958.
Full text"June 2000."
Includes bibliographical references (p. 189-194).
What is economic democracy? What, if anything, justifies it? This thesis argues that liberal theories of justice are objectionable insofar as they emphasize the distribution of resources, having little to say about how production is governed. The commitments central to liberal democracy call for some degree of workplace democracy as well as distributive justice. Many liberals begin from a set of fundamental values, derive principles of distribution, and propose to organize economic institutions so as to realize these principles. I call this the 'Fabian logic of contemporary liberalism'. And I argue that it cannot be sustained. The values and ideas central to liberal democracy have implications for economic governance that are independent of distributive justice. They call for some degree of workplace democracy. The thesis defends this claim against three objections: that workplace democracy would be unnecessary in a just society; that there are non-employees -- e.g., community residents -- with a claim to govern the firm; and that workplace democracy is incompatible with liberal neutrality. The liberal conception of democracy underlying this argument has implications beyond the employment relationship. It suggests, most generally, that liberalism has a stronger connection to democratic institutions than its proponents, and many of its critics, have recognized.
by Ramón G. Vela.
Ph.D.
Komai, Mana. "An Economic Theory of Leadership." Diss., Virginia Tech, 2003. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/11194.
Full textPh. D.
Liang, Annie. "Economic Theory and Statistical Learning." Thesis, Harvard University, 2016. http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:33493561.
Full textEconomics
Mulberg, Jonathan David. "Social limits to economic theory." Thesis, University of Warwick, 1991. http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/109304/.
Full textTanner, Noam. "Essays in Economic Decision Making." Thesis, Yale University, 2015. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=3663658.
Full textMy dissertation studies multiple settings of economic decision making- decision making in a group, decision making by an uninformed principal, and the decision making properties of agents with differing degrees of cognitive reflection.
In the first essay, I study a problem of voting with information acquisition. I study information control in settings where such voters acquire information, but may lack control over whether it is revealed to other voters. Therefore, voters must balance their ability to inform themselves with their ability to reveal information and hence influence the actions of others. I examine and compare two different settings: private information acquisition and public information acquisition. Public acquisition improves upon private acquisition in two notable aspects. First, public acquisition eliminates low-payoff equilibria under private acquisition. Second, payoffs under public acquisition may provide all players with a higher payoff than any equilibrium payoff under private acquisition. Finally, I provide conditions when a unanimous voting rule outperforms majority rule.
In the second essay, I study a principal-agent relationship without monetary transfers. The principal is uncertain of the agent's preferences. Before observing the state of nature, agents much choose from a menu of delegation sets, where each delegation set is a set of actions. The defining property of a delegation set is that once an agent selects a delegation set he may only take actions within that set. I show that a pooling menu, a menu consisting of a single, interval (convex) delegation set, is optimal for any distribution over agent preferences. The proof used in this paper provides new intuition for the optimality of interval delegation: the payoff distributions generated by non-convex menus are mean-preserving spreads of those generated by convex menus I also provide comparative statics of the optimal contract.
In the final essay, I examine the relationship between cognitive reflection and time preferences. Using survey data, I find a positive relationship between cognitive reflection scores and consistency with different models of intertemporal choice.
Anwar, Ahmed Waqar. "Multiple equilibria in theory and practice." Thesis, University College London (University of London), 1998. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.297967.
Full textPatel, Mrudula A. "Intertemporal consumer theory with borrowing constraints." Thesis, University of Essex, 1990. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.238399.
Full textGeorgoutsos, D. "Essays in applied factor demand theory." Thesis, University of Essex, 1988. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.235460.
Full textVeleanu, Veronica. "Credit spreads and economic activity in eight European economies." Thesis, University of Nottingham, 2013. http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/29472/.
Full textModica, Salvatore. "Capital and inventory investment : essays in stochastic economic theory." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 1987. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.238430.
Full textParker, Simon C. "An intergenerational theory of the consumption function." Thesis, Durham University, 1991. http://etheses.dur.ac.uk/6034/.
Full textSun, Puyang. "Economic development with finance : studies of emerging economies." Thesis, University of Birmingham, 2009. http://etheses.bham.ac.uk//id/eprint/495/.
Full textPeysakhovich, Alexander. "Essays in Behavioral Economics." Thesis, Harvard University, 2012. http://dissertations.umi.com/gsas.harvard:10686.
Full textEconomics
Büttner, Bettina. "Five essays in public economic theory /." [S.l. : s.n.], 2005. http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&doc_number=014735840&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA.
Full textQizilbash, M. "Corruption, political systems and economic theory." Thesis, University of Oxford, 1992. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.358574.
Full textSchickner, Benjamin [Verfasser]. "Essays in Economic Theory / Benjamin Schickner." Bonn : Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Bonn, 2017. http://d-nb.info/112763951X/34.
Full textKleiner, Andreas [Verfasser]. "Essays in Economic Theory / Andreas Kleiner." Bonn : Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Bonn, 2016. http://d-nb.info/1109879717/34.
Full textSpeit, Andre [Verfasser]. "Essays in Economic Theory / Andre Speit." Bonn : Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Bonn, 2021. http://d-nb.info/1227990529/34.
Full textRampal, Jeevant. "Behavioral Economic Theory and Experimental Investigation." The Ohio State University, 2017. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1491972688590258.
Full textTheodoulou, Stella. "Construing economic behaviour." Thesis, London Metropolitan University, 1996. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.297586.
Full textHelbing, Joseph Ritchey. "Internationalization of the Renminbi Currency : Economic Factors Analysis, a Comparison with the Yen and German Mark and America’s Supporting Role." The Ohio State University, 2013. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1367461677.
Full textKim, D. H. "Rapid economic growth and national economic integration in Korea, 1963-78." Thesis, University of Oxford, 1985. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.371677.
Full textZachau, Ulrich. "Essays on cooperation and communication in microeconomic theory." Thesis, University of Oxford, 1987. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.385669.
Full textIbrahimo, Muradali Valimamade. "The economics of credit markets: theory and evidence." Doctoral thesis, University of York, 1992. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/12235.
Full textRecent years have witnessed an increasing interest in credit markets for a number of reasons: first, credit markets perform important functions in any developed monetary economy, such as the sharing of risk between different individuals, the allocation of financial resources and the transmission of monetary policies; second. several influential theoretical studies have, by taking into consideration the idea of incomplete information, concluded that they operate in a very distinct way compared to most other markets, with equilibria in most cases exhibiting inefficiency; third, the new empirical research has provided support for the importance of the role played by the financial system in the determination of the real economic activity. This thesis examines the relevant works on credit, evaluates the explanatory power of the theories hitherto advanced and, more importantly, offers new theoretical and empirical studies which provide further insights into the subject. Part 1 is devoted to the microeconomic studies on credit with incomplete information. Assuming that borrowers are better informed than lenders about the quality of their investment projects, it derives several theoretical propositions which add to the understanding of credit market functioning. Moreover, it provides empirical evidence on the characteristics of random distributions of rates of return associated with industrial corporations. Part 2 is concerned with macroeconomic studies on credit in the context of the conventional ad-hoc approach with symmetric information. It shows how an explicit credit market may be incorporated in a standard macroeconomic model augmented with wealth effects and government budget constraint in order to allow the examination of issues, such as credit market shocks, that would not otherwise be possible. The thesis' mode of exposition is eclectic, using alternatively 'literary' reasoning, geometrical demonstrations and analytical proofs depending on the nature of the topics under consideration.
Fanghella, Valeria. "Promoting energy conservation and environmental protection with behavioral economics: Theory and evidence." Doctoral thesis, Università degli studi di Trento, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/11572/294539.
Full textBerdell, John Farley. "Essays on the classical theory of economic growth and trade." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 1991. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.386356.
Full textKubota, So. "Essays on Macroeconomics and Family Economics." Thesis, Princeton University, 2017. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=10621822.
Full textMy dissertation contributes to quantitative macroeconomic approaches to family economics. Compared to dominant microeconometric methods, macroeconomic models have advantages in understanding economic mechanisms behind social phenomena, measuring general equilibrium effects, obtaining quantitative impacts of economic factors, making international comparisons and conducting policy experiments. This thesis applies macroeconomic methods and explores the determinants of family behaviors, particularly female labor supply.
In the first chapter, I study the decline in the female labor force participation rate in the United States in the 1990s and 2000s. This chapter shows that structural changes in the child care market play a substantial role in influencing the evolution of female labor force participation. I provide new estimates of long-term trends in the child care market that hourly expenditures rose by 32% and hours of daycare used declined by 27%. I propose a life-cycle model of married couples and predict that the rise in child care costs leads to a 5% decline in total employment of females, holding all else constant.
In the second chapter, I further study the causes of the increase in child care costs in the United States. I propose a hypothesis that expansion of child care subsidies to lower income households distorted the incentives for home-based child care providers. I provide a simple and tractable model of the child care market to analytically and numerically explain the hypothesis. I also propose the empirical evidence in the period of expanding child care subsidies to support the hypothesis.
In the third chapter, I study the world’s largest decline in the female labor force participation rate in Turkey: it has fallen from 72% in 1955 to 29% in 2011. This chapter argues that, (i) the main industry has shifted from agriculture to non-agriculture, (ii) because of the social stigma against non-family market work for Turkish women, they have failed to move from agriculture to other sectors. I propose a simple general equilibrium model and conduct a cross-country comparison. The model captures the Turkish decline well with the stigma effect. This chapter suggests a quantitative importance of cultural factors.
Chen, Zhihong. "Three essays in applied econometrics." Thesis, Boston College, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/2345/0.
Full textThis dissertation consists of three self-contained papers in applied econometrics. The frrst chapter, Testing Multivariate Distributions (joint with Jushan Bai), proposes a new method to test multivariate distributions with a focus on multivariate normality and multivariate t distribution, motivated in part by examination of financial market data. Using Khmaladze's martingale transformation to purge the effect of parameter estimation, our test generates a distribution-free statistic and can be easily applied to cases with complicated parameters. Simulation shows our test has good size and power. Finally, we apply our test procedure to a real multivariate financial time series. The result is consistent with the well-known fat tail property of financial data. The second chapter, Measuring the Poverty Line in China - An Equivalence Scale Method, is motivated by the current urban poverty issue in China. The fundamental question is: given the poverty threshold for an individual, how should that threshold vary across households with different demographic characteristics? This paper uses urban Household survey (uHS) data of China to estimate the equivalence scales for Chinese urban households. The results provide a quantitative reference to calculate the comparable poverty lines for households with different demographic compositions. It also can be used to determine appropriate subsidy levels for demographically different households. A useful byproduct of this exercise is the specification of a demand system for China. The third chapter, Dynamics of City Growth: Random or Deterministic? Evidence From China (joint with Shihe Fu), tests the random growth theory and the endogenous growth theory in urban economics using Chinese city size data from 1984-2002. We implement unit root and cointegration tests on pooled heterogeneous cities in the country. Since China is still in the period of rapid urbanization, we can only tentatively conclude that the overall Chinese city growth does not follow either random growth or parallel growth. However, we find that a small number of cities with certain common characteristics do grow parallel
Thesis (PhD) — Boston College, 2005
Submitted to: Boston College. Graduate School of Arts and Sciences
Discipline: Economics
Li, Xue. "The cyclical behavior of prices and inflation." Thesis, University of Missouri - Columbia, 2016. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=10178996.
Full textThis paper documents business cycle facts of prices and the inflation rate for the United States from 1959:Q1 to 2013:Q3. Prices are countercyclical and the inflation rate is procyclical. In addition, prices lead the overall cycle by two quarters and the inflation rate lags the overall cycle by three quarters. To account for the observed cyclical behavior, two models are applied and extended including a business cycle model with endogenous money supply (Freeman and Huffman 1991) and a DSGE model with sticky prices (Ireland 2003). The former model only generates countercyclical prices but not procyclical inflation or the phase shift of prices relative to the overall cycle. For the latter model, its sticky-price version captures all the observed cyclical facts; whereas its flexible-price version fails to capture the procyclical behavior of inflation and the phase shift of prices relative to output. Better performance of the sticky-price model indicates that nominal rigidity can account for the cyclical behavior of prices and inflation. Thus, a powerful empirical business cycle model should incorporate a reasonable degree of price stickiness.
Shen, Jian. "Essays on Nonlinear Pricing, Quality Investment, and Consumer Search." The Ohio State University, 2014. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1397250097.
Full textLeung, Jennifer. "Essays on Bilateral Vertical Specialization,Reversed Fragmentation, Reshoring, and R&D Productivity." The Ohio State University, 2015. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1429567575.
Full textPark, Jongwook. "Essays on Monetary Policy and Time Series Analysis." The Ohio State University, 2016. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1480584221946903.
Full text