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Journal articles on the topic 'Demographic trends'

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Author: Grafiati

Published: 4 June 2021

Last updated: 18 February 2022

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1

Sardak, Sergii, Maxim Korneyev, Vladimir Dzhyndzhoian, Tatyana Fedotova, and Olha Tryfonova. "Current trends in global demographic processes." Problems and Perspectives in Management 16, no. 1 (January 29, 2018): 48–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/ppm.16(1).2018.05.

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Current local and national demographic trends have deepened the existing and formed new global demographic processes that have received a new historical reasoning that requires deep scientific research taking into account the influence of the multifactorial global dimension of the modern society development. The purpose of the article is to study the development of global demographic processes and to define the causes of their occurrence, manifestations, implications and prospects for implementation in the first half of the 21st century. The authors have identified and characterized four global demographic processes, namely population growth, migration, increase of tourism, and change in population structure. It is projected that in the 30’s of the 21st century, the number and growth rates of the world population will reach the objective growth and these dynamics over the next two decades will begin to change in the direction of reducing the growth rates, which will lead to gradual stabilization, and eventually reduce the size of the world population. By the middle of the 21st century, one can observe the preservation of the growth rates of international and domestic migration, the growth of international migration flows from the South to the North and from the East to the West, the strengthening of new economically developed centers of gravity (Canada, Australia and New Zealand), the increase in migration of rural population to cities, as well as urbanization and activation of the metropolises development. The share of international tourists in comparison with the world population will be constantly increasing, and the annual growth rate of the number of international tourists will significantly depend on the world economy and may vary at the several percent level. Permanent change will occur in the age, religious-cultural and socio-economic structure of the population.

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2

Østby, Lars. "Main Demographic Trends." International Journal of Sociology 23, no. 2-3 (June 1993): 73–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15579336.1993.11770060.

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3

Jaeger, Uwe ✝., Lutz Finke, and Konrad Zellner. "Secular Trends in demographic Parameters." Anthropologischer Anzeiger 62, no. 3 (September 4, 2004): 347–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/anthranz/62/2004/347.

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4

Aksoy, Yunus, Henrique S. Basso, Ron P. Smith, and Tobias Grasl. "Demographic Structure and Macroeconomic Trends." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 11, no. 1 (January 1, 2019): 193–222. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/mac.20170114.

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We estimate the effect of changes in demographic structure on long-term trends of key macroeconomic variables using a panel VAR for 21 OECD economies from 1970 –2014. The panel data variation assists the identification of demographic effects, while the dynamic structure, incorporating multiple channels of influence, uncovers long-term effects. We propose a theoretical model, relating demographics, innovation, and growth, whose simulations match our empirical findings. The current trend of population aging and low fertility is projected to reduce output growth, investment, and real interest rates across OECD countries. (JEL E22, E23, E32, E43, J11, J13)

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5

Ryazantsev, Sergey V., Alexey D. Bragin, Mehdi Afzali, and Vladimir N. Arkhangelskiy. "IRAN DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT TRENDS." SCIENTIFIC REVIEW. SERIES 1. ECONOMICS AND LAW, no. 1-2 (2020): 21–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.26653/2076-4650-2020-1-2-02.

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The relevance of this article is due to the increasing geopolitical role of Iran as a dominant player in the Middle East being under severe pressure from external sanctions. These conditions make Iran a good example for research on the performance of population policies. Taking into account sanctions, decisions of the country's leadership in the demographic sphere are made under a large burden of responsibility and are based on the idea, that population is the main resource for the further development of the state. This article presents an analysis of the trends in the demographic development of Iran after the Islamic Revolution for the period from 1979 to 2019, as well as considers the current demographic policy of the Government of Iran. There are analyzed a structure of the population by gender, age, ethnic, religious affiliation and features of population distribution in Iran. However, birth and death data testify to a natural population growth in the country, they reveal a tendency for irrational population growth, especially in the first decade after the Islamic revolution. The change in the components of natural growth in Iran is caused by the repeated change in the demographic policy from a sharp increase in the birth rate to its reduction and vice versa. Based on the data from the Statistical Center of Iran, we state that Iranian society is be-coming more and more similar in matters of marriage and divorce to the societies of economically devel-oped countries. The total number of divorces is increasing in the country and the average age of marriage is growing as well. Taking into account current plans of the Iranian leadership to increase the population, both with life expectancy, it is obvious that the problem of aging population will increase in the country and will require additional costs from the state in the nearest future.

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6

Andersson, Gunnar, and Guiping Liu. "Demographic trends in Sweden." Demographic Research 5 (October 5, 2001): 65–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.4054/demres.2001.5.3.

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7

Andersson, Gunnar. "Demographic trends in Sweden." Demographic Research 11 (August 27, 2004): 95–110. http://dx.doi.org/10.4054/demres.2004.11.4.

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8

Tonn, Bruce, and Jean Peretz. "Demographic and Economic Trends." World Futures Review 1, no. 6 (December 2009): 5–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/194675670900100603.

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9

Tonn, Bruce, and Jean Peretz. "Demographic and Economic Trends." World Futures Review 2, no. 6 (December 2010): 5–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/194675671000200602.

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10

Dobyns, H. F. "Puebloan Historic Demographic Trends." Ethnohistory 49, no. 1 (January 1, 2002): 171–204. http://dx.doi.org/10.1215/00141801-49-1-171.

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11

Blacker, J. G. C. "Trends in demographic change." Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 87 (April 1993): 3–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0035-9203(93)90519-v.

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12

D, KATHIRVEL. "Demographic trends of elderly in tamilnadu." Journal of Management and Science 7, no. 1 (June 30, 2017): 159–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.26524/jms.2017.20.

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The Demography of World without the knowledge of Indian demography is unfounded as it presently constitutes the second populous country in the world and expected to reach first place within short span of time. With India‘s share of 17.8 % of world‘s population expected to hold the present share for further decades due to the effect of demographic transition. Across the world the demographic transition which results the ageing process.

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13

Teitelbaum, Michael S. "Political demography: Powerful trends under-attended by demographic science." Population Studies 69, sup1 (April 26, 2015): S87—S95. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2014.977638.

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14

Malnar, Dario, and Ana Malnar. "Demographic Security Trends in Southeastern Europe." Croatian International Relations Review 21, no. 73 (August 1, 2015): 57–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/cirr-2015-0011.

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Abstract Over the past three decades we have witnessed an evolution of the concept of security in general and of demographic security as a specific field of security studies. The approach to security has been changing both in regards to a widening of subjects and referent objects of security, and a widening of the security domain. Consideration of the demographic component in the security sphere has evolved in accordance with this development; the scope of perspectives through which demographic security is viewed and defined has expanded - the population composition, population dynamics and human capital paradigm. Aspects of demographics and security are in continuous interaction and interdependence which significantly determines demographic security and national security. The aim of this paper is to establish a specific link between demographic security and security in ten post-socialist countries of South Eastern Europe (SEE). In accordance with this aim, an analysis has been made of the compositional elements and population dynamics in order to determine demographic security of the observed states. The analysis indicates unfavourable demographic security, and negative demographic composition and dynamics in most of observed states, which suggests that demographic security will have a continuing negative impact on the security of the countries analysed and the region as a whole.

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15

Godínez–Álvarez, Héctor, Teresa Valverde, and Pablo Ortega–Baes. "Demographic Trends in the Cactaceae." Botanical Review 69, no. 2 (April 2003): 173–203. http://dx.doi.org/10.1663/0006-8101(2003)069[0173:dtitc]2.0.co;2.

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16

Chen, Wen-Hao, Ana Llena-Nozal, and Michael Förster. "Demographic or labour market trends." OECD Journal: Economic Studies 2013, no. 1 (February 5, 2014): 179–207. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/eco_studies-2013-5k43jt5vcdvl.

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17

Golini, Antonio. "Demographic trends and population policies." Futures 33, no. 1 (February 2001): 27–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0016-3287(00)00051-3.

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18

Taylor, Lee, and Barbara Bajuk. "13. Demographic trends 2002-2005." New South Wales Public Health Bulletin 18, no. 1 (2007): 126. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb07s15.

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19

Kuznetsova, L. "Demographic Trends in the Kyrgyz Republic." Sociological Research 40, no. 3 (May 2001): 27–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.2753/sor1061-0154400327.

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20

O'Hare, William P. "Black Demographic Trends in the 1980s." Milbank Quarterly 65 (1987): 35. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3349950.

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21

Neupert, Ricardo F. "Mongolia: Recent demographic trends and implications." Asia-Pacific Population Journal 7, no. 4 (December 31, 1992): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.18356/d999d8c7-en.

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22

Abdoolla, Aaliya, and Patsy Govender. "Workload issues and trends: Demographic influences." Corporate Ownership and Control 14, no. 1 (2016): 321–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.22495/cocv14i1c2p4.

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This study aims to assess the demographic influences on work intensification (work-family conflict, work flexibility, managerial/supervisory support, child/elderly care and employee wellness) of office-based employees in a public sector organization. A survey method was adopted for this quantitative study, and a sample of 100 employees was drawn utilizing the simple random sampling technique. The differing responses and findings reveal significant differences with each demographic factor (age, marital status, race, education qualifications, position in organization, length of service and number of children) and at least one construct of work intensification. The study utilizes a self-developed questionnaire which was pilot-tested; and the validity and reliability was determined. An interesting finding in the study is that the volume of workload emerged with significant differences with five of the demographic variables. Based on the results of the study, the recommendations provide practical implications and a useful guide for managers who work with a diverse workforce with the goal of enhancing productivity and performance on an ongoing basis. The article culminates with a discussion of recommendations and conclusion.

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23

Kilin, Yuri. "Some demographic trends of modern Finland." Studia Humanitatis 12, no. 1 (June 2019): 47–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.15393/j12.art.2019.3381.

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Since the late 1960s Finland finally switched to a narrowed model of population reproduction, characterized by a constantly decreasing total birth rate, which decreased to 1.45 in 2018. This model is characterized by a decrease in the absolute number and relative share of young age cohorts, especially under 19 years, a rapid increase in average age, which in 2018 was 41.6 years (an increase of 0.3 years compared to 2017), an increase in the number and proportion of people older than 64 years. In 2016, Finland experienced a demographic transition when, for the first time in the country's history, peacetime mortality exceeded the birth rate, which is a long-term negative demographic trend while maintaining a modern demographic policy. In 2060, an excess of mortality over birth rates of up to 23 thousand per year is predicted (40 thousand births and 63 thousand deaths). Beginning in 2035, without mass incoming migration, the country's population will decrease at an increasing rate, and starting in 2060, the decline may amount to 100 thousand people for every four years. The Finnish authorities in their demographic policy operate within the framework of the paradigm implemented by most EU countries, with its characteristic disregard for active pronatalistic measures, the introduction of socio-cultural models that contribute to reducing the birth rate and relying on the compensation of population loss due to immigrants. Since about 2005, the population growth in Finland has been achieved only due to incoming migration, which is facilitated by the liberalization of legislative norms, in particular, the facilitation of naturalization. Given the unique identity of Finnish society, which is threatened by the high rate of replacement of the indigenous population by foreign-ethnic and foreign-cultural immigrants, the difficulty of assimilating them, such a demographic strategy seems to be a dead end.

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24

Hugo, Graeme. "Demographic Trends in Australia's Academic Workforce." Journal of Higher Education Policy and Management 27, no. 3 (November 2005): 327–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13600800500283627.

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25

Atul, Kumar, Tewari Hem Kumar, Goyal Mallika, and Mitra Sandip. "Socio-demographic trends in ocular cysticercosis." Acta Ophthalmologica Scandinavica 73, no. 5 (May 27, 2009): 438–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0420.1995.tb00304.x.

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26

Wu, Ying, Simone A. Glynn, George B. Schreiber, David J. Wright, Annie Lo, Edward L. Murphy, Steven H. Kleinman, and George Garratty. "First-time blood donors: demographic trends." Transfusion 41, no. 3 (March 2001): 360–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1537-2995.2001.41030360.x.

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27

Mann, Thomas. "Modern demographic trends in the EU." European View 7, no. 2 (December 2008): 187–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12290-008-0049-3.

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28

Roy, S. Guha. "Demographic Trends in China and India." China Report 30, no. 1 (February 1994): 1–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/000944559403000101.

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29

Not Available, Not Available. "Russia: Demographic Trends Pose Economic Problems." Economic Bulletin 37, no. 8 (August 17, 2000): 255–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s101600000040.

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30

Ibbott, Peter, Don Kerr, and Roderic Beaujot. "Probing the Future of Mandatory Retirement in Canada." Canadian Journal on Aging / La Revue canadienne du vieillissement 25, no. 2 (2006): 161–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.1353/cja.2006.0036.

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ABSTRACTThe future of mandatory retirement is at least partly driven by changing demographics. In Canada, these demographics include slowing population growth, rapid aging, declining rates of labour force participation, and slowing labour force growth. After reviewing the demographic trends and considering alternate scenarios in labour force participation, we consider the determinants of early departures from the labour force and suggest scenarios that might reverse these trends. With a decline in labour force entrants, delays in early life transitions, and possible reductions in retirement benefits, a trend to retire later would bring mandatory retirement into question.

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31

Sardon, Jean-Paul. "Recent Demographic Trends in the Developed Countries." Population (english edition) 57, no. 1 (2002): 111. http://dx.doi.org/10.3917/pope.201.0111.

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32

Sardon, Jean-Paul. "Recent Demographic Trends in the Developed Countries." Population (english edition) 59, no. 2 (2004): 263. http://dx.doi.org/10.3917/pope.402.0263.

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33

Sardon, Jean-Paul. "Recent Demographic Trends in the Developed Countries." Population (english edition) 61, no. 3 (2006): 197. http://dx.doi.org/10.3917/pope.603.0197.

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34

Nagy, Károly. "Hungarian Demographic Trends in the United States." Teaching Anthropology: Society for Anthropology in Community Colleges Notes 10, no. 1 (September 2003): 34–36. http://dx.doi.org/10.1525/tea.2003.10.1.34.

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35

Gisser, Richard. "Recent Demographic Trends in Austria until 2004." Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 1, no. 2005 (2007): 237–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2005s237.

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36

Bak, Iwona, and Beata Szczecinska. "Global Demographic Trends and Effects on Tourism." EUROPEAN RESEARCH STUDIES JOURNAL XXIII, Issue 4 (November 1, 2020): 571–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.35808/ersj/1701.

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37

Visaria, Pravin. "Demographic Trends and Population Policy in China." Social Scientist 15, no. 11/12 (November 1987): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3520231.

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38

Gogół, Agata. "Demographic Trends vs. Population Policy in Poland." Gospodarka Narodowa 283, no. 3 (June 30, 2016): 145–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.33119/gn/100795.

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39

Noller, Kenneth L. "Incident and demographic trends in cervical neoplasia." American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 175, no. 4 (October 1996): 1088–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0002-9378(96)70009-1.

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40

Attanasio, Orazio, Sagiri Kitao, and Giovanni L. Violante. "Global demographic trends and social security reform." Journal of Monetary Economics 54, no. 1 (January 2007): 144–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2006.12.010.

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41

Li, Guoqi, Daxuan Zhao, Yi Xu, Shyh-Hao Kuo, Hai-Yan Xu, Nan Hu, Guangshe Zhao, and Christopher Monterola. "Entropy Based Modelling for Estimating Demographic Trends." PLOS ONE 10, no. 9 (September 18, 2015): e0137324. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0137324.

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42

Bagirova, Anna, and Oksana Shubat. "Socially Responsible Management Amid Negative Demographic Trends." Advanced Science Letters 21, no. 5 (May 1, 2015): 1274–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.1166/asl.2015.5998.

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43

Tadhunter, Clive N. "Activities and demographic trends in UK astronomy." Astronomy & Geophysics 41, no. 2 (April 2000): 2.19–2.22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1468-4004.2000.00219.x.

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44

Hoover, Sally L., and Jacob S. Siegel. "International demographic trends and perspectives on aging." Journal of Cross-Cultural Gerontology 1, no. 1 (1986): 5–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf00116016.

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45

Zúñiga, Robin Etter. "Demographic Trends and Projections Affecting Higher Education." New Directions for Institutional Research 1997, no. 93 (March 1997): 3–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ir.9301.

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46

O'Neill, Brian C., Michael Dalton, Regina Fuchs, Leiwen Jiang, Shonali Pachauri, and Katarina Zigova. "Global demographic trends and future carbon emissions." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107, no. 41 (October 12, 2010): 17521–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1004581107.

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47

Gaalema, Diann E., Patrick D. Savage, Kevin Leadholm, Jason Rengo, Shelly Naud, Jeffrey S. Priest, and Philip A. Ades. "Clinical and Demographic Trends in Cardiac Rehabilitation." Journal of Cardiopulmonary Rehabilitation and Prevention 39, no. 4 (July 2019): 266–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/hcr.0000000000000390.

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48

Mersel, Alex, Richard Call, and Jonathan Mann. "Demographic Trends of Aging — Application to Gerodontology1." Gerodontology 6, no. 1 (April 1987): 9–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1741-2358.1987.tb00276.x.

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49

England, Kathleen, and Natasha Azzopardi-Muscat. "Demographic trends and public health in Europe." European Journal of Public Health 27, suppl_4 (October 1, 2017): 9–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckx159.

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50

Orazio P., Attanasio, and Gianluca Violante. "Global Demographic Trends and Social Security Reform." Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, no. 44 (September 1999): 3–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.13043/dys.44.2.

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