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Sandrey, Michelle A., and Sean M. Bulger. "The Delphi Method: An Approach for Facilitating Evidence Based Practice in Athletic Training." Athletic Training Education Journal 3, no. 4 (October 1, 2008): 135–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.4085/1947-380x-3.4.135.
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Objective: The growing importance of evidence based practice in athletic training is necessitating academics and clinicians to be able to make judgments about the quality or lack of the body of research evidence and peer-reviewed standards pertaining to clinical questions. To assist in the judgment process, consensus methods, namely brainstorming, nominal group technique and the Delphi method can be used. The purpose of this paper is to review the literature related to the Delphi Method and its potential implications for evidence-based practice and peer-reviewed standards in athletic training. Data Sources: We searched PubMed and MEDLINE (1978–2007), CINAHL (1993–2006), Dissertation Abstracts (1979–2006) and Google Scholar (1983–2007) using the terms “Delphi method,” “modified Delphi technique,” “consensus methods,” “Delphi technique,” and combined search terms of “Delphi method AND allied health, AND medicine AND dentistry, AND nursing. Data Synthesis: Textual support for the use of the Delphi Method in athletic training and a brief review of the literature pertaining to the: objectives; advantages; limitations commonly associated with the use of the Delphi Method; and research protocol. Conclusions/Recommendations: The Delphi Method in athletic training has been used to fulfill two objectives; the need for evidence based practice and the need to establish policies and procedures when none are in existence or it is difficult for one individual to make a decision. The Delphi Method and other consensus development methods should not be viewed as a scientific method for creating new knowledge, but rather as processes for making the best use of available information, be that scientific data or the collective wisdom of participants.
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Ng, J. "Delphi Method: A Qualitative Approach For Quantitative Results." Value in Health 21 (May 2018): S54. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2018.04.447.
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Fiander, M. T., and T. P. Burns. "A delphi method approach to describing mental health practice." European Psychiatry 11 (January 1996): 339s—340s. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0924-9338(96)89067-5.
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Flanagan, Tracy, Russell Ashmore, David Banks, and Doug MacInnes. "The Delphi method: methodological issues arising from a study examining factors influencing the publication or non-publication of mental health nursing research." Mental Health Review Journal 21, no. 2 (June 13, 2016): 85–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/mhrj-07-2015-0020.
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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to describe how the classic Delphi method can be adapted and structured to ensure that specific research questions are clearly addressed. Design/methodology/approach – As part of a larger mixed method project, a modified Delphi study was undertaken to explore factors influencing publication and non-publication of mental health nursing research. Findings – This paper reports brief findings from the Delphi study. However, its main focus is the methodological issues arising from the Delphi method. Research limitations/implications – The paper argues that the classic Delphi method can be adapted and structured to ensure that specific research questions are able to be clearly answered. The adaptations are pragmatic in approach and in keeping with the general principles underpinning the Delphi method, while successfully addressing the problems of attrition and previous criticism of homogenous panels. Originality/value – This paper offers some practical solutions to issue arising from undertaking research using the Delphi method.
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Ribeiro, Lauro Andre, and Patricia Pereira da Silva. "Qualitative Delphi approach of advanced algae biofuels." Management of Environmental Quality: An International Journal 26, no. 6 (September 14, 2015): 852–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/meq-03-2014-0046.
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Purpose – Currently, experimental and theoretical work is being performed to ensure that biofuels from microalgae become a reality. However, there is a considerable number of discussions concerning in which processes should be focussed efforts of research and development. The purpose of this paper is to provide decision support not only to help build guidelines of research to be undertaken, but also to contribute to the design of more adequate policy and funding instruments. The key objective of this study is to determine the prospects of employing microalgae into the production of biofuels within a time scale extending to 2030. Design/methodology/approach – The Delphi method is a qualitative research aiming to support strategic future-oriented action, such as policy making in the areas of science and technology. It is especially appropriate in judgment and long-range forecasting (20-30 years) situations, when expert opinions are often the only source of information available, due to a lack of appropriate historical, economic or technical data. Findings – The Delphi method proved to be a successful research method when expert opinions are the main source of information available, due to a lack of appropriate historical, economic or technical data and the outcomes provided a clear outline of the main issues of microalgae biofuels’ market at present and in the future. Research limitations/implications – The outcomes might not represent the majority of the microalgae experts’ opinion due to the sample size. Originality/value – The work presented in this paper is especially original. According to the authors’ knowledge, this is the first qualitative Delphi study related to algae biofuels.
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Lawnik, Marcin, and Arkadiusz Banasik. "Delphi Method Supported by Forecasting Software." Information 11, no. 2 (January 27, 2020): 65. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/info11020065.
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The Delphi method is one of the basic tools for forecasting values in various types of issues. It uses the knowledge of experts, which is properly aggregated (e.g., in the form of descriptive statistics measures) and returns to the previous group of experts again, thus starting the next round of forecasting. The multi-stage prediction under the Delphi method allows for better stabilization of the results, which is extremely important in the process of forecasting. Experts in the forecasting process often have access to time series forecasting software but do not necessarily use it. Therefore, it seems advisable to add to the aggregate the value obtained using forecasting software. The advantage of this approach is in saving the time and costs of obtaining a forecast. That should be understood as a smaller burden on data analysts and the value of their work. According to the above mentioned key factors, the main contribution of the article is the use of a virtual expert in the form of a computer-enhanced mathematical tool, i.e., a programming library for a forecasting time series. The chosen software tool is the Prophet library—a Facebook tool that can be used in Python or R programming languages.
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McClincy, Michael P., James D. Wylie, David N. Williams, and Eduardo N. Novais. "Standardizing the Diagnostic Evaluation of Nonarthritic Hip Pain Through the Delphi Method." Orthopaedic Journal of Sports Medicine 9, no. 4 (April 1, 2021): 232596712199121. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2325967121991213.
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Background: Femoroacetabular impingement and acetabular dysplasia have gained increased attention as nonarthritic sources of pain and dysfunction in young, active patients. To date, no standardized approach to the diagnostic evaluation of nonarthritic hip pain has been identified, as previous work has focused on the diagnostic evaluation and management of patients with femoroacetabular impingement undergoing hip arthroscopy. Purpose: To explore the standard diagnostic evaluation practice of experts in the field of hip preservation surgery and combine their expertise through the Delphi method to form a standardized approach to the diagnostic evaluation of patients with nonarthritic hip pain. Study Design: Consensus statement. Methods: An expert panel made up of 18 orthopaedic surgeons with extensive experience in the treatment of nonarthritic hip disorders participated in this Delphi study. The Delphi panelists were presented with 4 clinical vignettes representing a spectrum of patients with nonarthritic hip pain. Three iterative survey rounds were presented to the panelists based on these clinical vignettes, and a 3-step classic Delphi method was used to establish consensus techniques in the diagnostic evaluation of nonarthritic hip pain. Results: Total (100%) participation was gained, with all 18 experts completing all 3 Delphi survey rounds. Consensus (≥75% support) was achieved for some, if not all, vignettes for each of the following diagnostic domains: historical features, physical examination, radiographic sequences, radiographic interpretation, cross-sectional imaging, and ancillary diagnostics. Conclusion: In this Delphi study, we identified standardized diagnostic treatment approaches as derived from expert opinion for patients with nonarthritic hip pathomorphologies.
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Zartha Sossa, Jhon Wilder, William Halal, and Raul Hernandez Zarta. "Delphi method: analysis of rounds, stakeholder and statistical indicators." foresight 21, no. 5 (September 10, 2019): 525–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/fs-11-2018-0095.
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Purpose The purpose of this study is to review the literature on the Delphi method, its characteristics and current applications through an analysis of recent most-cited scientific papers, with an emphasis on three axes, namely, the number of rounds used, stakeholder participation relevance or only academic experts’ participation and the possibility of using indicators or techniques different from those related to descriptive statistics. Design/methodology/approach In total, 57 papers were initially reviewed, 10 of them with a high citation rate. Then, an analysis was made of papers in Scopus for the period 2015-2018 published in the Technological Forecasting and Social Change Journal and in the Futures and Foresight Journal, which had the characteristic of displaying quartile Q1 or Q2 in Scimago in addition to being in Scopus. Findings Among the main results, the authors observe the tendency to use fewer rounds, a higher prevalence of stakeholder participation and not only academic experts but also the use of new types of modified Delphi such as real-time spatial Delphi, Delphi group, market Delphi, real-world Delphi and policy Delphi. Originality/value Among the conclusions, the possibility of using other indicators or complementary techniques to the descriptive statistics is highlighted such as number of justifications or comments between rounds, coefficients to quantify the competence or degree of expertise of the participants, measures of the perception of the expert on the usefulness of the presented feedback, graphs of the number of arguments according to the number of questions, the Wilcoxon Ranked Pairs Test, the k means, Kolmogorov–Simonov test and the Mann–Whitney U-test.
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Knippen, K., L. Kuntzman, and S. Freeworth. "Patient Centered Approach to Postpartum Care after Gestational Diabetes: Delphi Method." Journal of the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics 121, no. 9 (September 2021): A45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jand.2021.06.124.
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Créange, Alain, and Arnold Careyron. "The diagnosis of chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy: a Delphi-method approach." Journal of Neurology 260, no. 12 (September 20, 2013): 3015–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00415-013-7100-2.
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Singh, Amarjit, Zaida Mustafa, and Azrul Fazwan Kharuddin. "EMPLOYING THE FUZZY DELPHI METHOD TO VALIDATE COMMUNICATION SKILLS AMONG ENGINEERING GRADUATES." Journal of Science, Technology and Innovation Policy 7, no. 2 (December 29, 2021): 59–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.11113/jostip.v7n2.88.
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Delphi strategy may be a method and organized approach utilized to audit and collect suppositions of a gather of specialists, be that as it may, has it possess shortcomings. The Fuzzy Delphi Method (FDM), which is based on a variation of the Delphi method, has been demonstrated to be more successful in showing human phonetic knowledge in numerous tests (which is the signature of the Delphi Procedure). The Fuzzy Delphi Method was used to assess the content of communication abilities among engineering graduates in this article. This stage of development could be part of a larger project to develop a Malaysian employability aptitude system. This stage includes the view of 10 specialists who are experienced and have profound information in designing. It may be a thorough factual examination to approve the legitimacy of the theoretical concept of communication skills. The results of the experts' analysis were presented in the study, as well as the usefulness of the Fuzzy Delphi Method as a tool for gathering information about the validity of communication abilities content. Experts' recognitions have appeared disjointed about communication and get it more than one dialect among engineers. The specialists concurred with building graduates it can be donated by a clear heading, tune in and inquire address in their employability aptitudes capability.
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Tri Putri, Nilda, Sha’ri Mohd. Yusof, and Dradjad Irianto. "The Delphi hierarchy process-based study of quality engineering in Malaysia and Indonesia automotive companies." TQM Journal 26, no. 6 (October 7, 2014): 566–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/tqm-09-2012-0068.
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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to empirically evaluate the critical factors for successful quality engineering (QE) implementation in automotive-related companies in Malaysia and Indonesia. The existence of these critical factors for the successful application of QE would help the automotive industries, especially in Malaysia and Indonesia, to be able to investigate their current QE practices and how they could be improved. Design/methodology/approach – Delphic hierarchy process (DHP) methodology is used in this study. The DHP method is a combination of the Delphi method and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) approach for determining the ranking of the factors and sub factors needed for successful QE implementation. The Delphi method is employed to gather data from automotive experts in both countries and the AHP approach is used to rank the critical factors for success of QE practices. Findings – The findings of this study showed that the automotive industries in Malaysia and Indonesia stressed the importance of management responsibility and people management for the successful implementation of QE. Strategic quality planning, continuous improvement, and technology- and production-related resources are the most important sub factors for successful QE in both countries. Research limitations/implications – The series of rounds that took place during the Delphi method increased the length of time required for data collection and the follow-up process. On the basis of the consideration given, the limited resources included time, financial resources, and technical availability for this study, which resulted in the small sample sizes used. Practical implications – The ranking of the critical factors and sub factors for QE implementation could be useful for automotive-related companies in Malaysia and Indonesia to create action plans for improving their QE implementation. Originality/value – The instrument that was developed is a contribution toward characterizing critical factors for QE. Using DHP methodology, nine factors and 31 sub factors have been validated through a series of rounds of the Delphi method. It was developed based on industry experts’ inputs. Therefore, the critical factors represent actual situation for QE success.
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Nyström, Anna-Greta, and Valtteri Kaartemo. "Developing Delphi methodology for studying future market change." Journal of Business & Industrial Marketing 37, no. 13 (October 20, 2022): 124–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jbim-11-2021-0520.
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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to develop Delphi methodology toward a holistic method for forecasting market change. Delphi methodology experienced its culmination in marketing research during the 1970s–1980s, but still has much to offer to both marketing scholars and practitioners in contexts where future market changes are associated with ambiguity and uncertainty. Design/methodology/approach This study revives the Delphi methodology by exemplifying how a recently developed framework on market change can be combined with the Delphi technique for data collection to support forecasting activities and research. The authors demonstrate the benefits of the improved methodology in an empirical study on the impact of the fifth generation of wireless communications technologies (5G) on the Finnish media market. Findings The developed methodological approach aids marketing scholars in categorizing and analyzing the data collected for capturing market change; and better guiding experts/respondents to provide holistic projections of future market change. The authors show that using a predefined theoretical framework in combination with the Delphi method for data collection and analysis is beneficial for studying future market change. Originality/value This paper develops Delphi methodology and contributes with a novel methodological approach to assessing market change.
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Rajhans, Vidyut, Sumita Rege, Usman Memon, and Amit Shinde. "Adopting a modified Delphi technique for revisiting the curriculum: a useful approach during the COVID-19 pandemic." Qualitative Research Journal 20, no. 4 (July 14, 2020): 373–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/qrj-05-2020-0043.
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PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to describe a participatory qualitative research project using the Delphi consensus technique aided by Internet technology for successful transition of academic endeavors during and the post COVID era. The study aimed to derive a holistic competency matrix for an optometry program for transformation of the program to competency-based education.Design/methodology/approachThis study combined a scoping review of literature for developing a baseline competency framework, along with derivation of an E-Delphi consensus within a panel of diverse stakeholders to achieve the objective of plotting a detailed competency matrix.FindingsThe involvement of all stakeholders of educational system in Delphi study resulted in a valid and all-inclusive competency framework with 18 competency units and 97 competency elements. This framework provided a strong base for redesigning pedagogy and assessment methods during COVID-19 crisis.Practical implicationsThe paper highlights the feasibility and utility of adopting a participatory approach during COVID-19 outbreak. The Delphi technique aided by Internet technology was employed to develop a competency-based curriculum.Social implicationsThe paper narrates a suitable, feasible and scientific method for rapid transition in academia, following the restrictions and social distancing norms imposed during the COVID-19 outbreak.Originality/valueAlthough there is good evidence for use of the Delphi technique in curriculum development, this paper adds value by focusing on a participatory approach in using it. The suggested method here shows ways to gain optimum scientific output with minimum resources in constrained situations such as COVID-19 crisis.
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Omran, Ahmed, and Motaz Khorshid. "Ontology Based RT-Delphi with Explanation Capabilities." IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) 3, no. 2 (June 1, 2014): 57. http://dx.doi.org/10.11591/ijai.v3.i2.pp57-63.
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<p>Real-Time (RT) Delphi approach is widely used method for knowledge acquisition process. The current RT-Delphi approach ignores considering the unifying domain concepts and their attributes. This limitation can provide the contradiction of the domain experts' judgments and increasing misunderstandings when talking about specific topics. In addition, the current RT-Delphi ignores the explanation capabilities for consensus results, which it is vital for policy/decision makers to be more confidence. The core of this research is to develop ontology-based RT-Delphi with explanation capabilities. We applied the developed approach in to two crucial important case studies in Egypt, which are food security and water security.</p>
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Gu, Dong Xiao, Chang Yong Liang, Wen En Chen, Wen Xing Lu, and Chun Rong Zuo. "Using Information Entropy as Weight Determination Approach in Breast Cancer Case Retrieval." Advanced Materials Research 268-270 (July 2011): 1619–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amr.268-270.1619.
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Currently, the earlier detection, diagnosis and treatment to breast cancer still mainly depend on physicians’ experience and knowledge. Case-Based Reasoning (CBR) mimics oncologists’ real thinking process and therefore is appropriate to the diagnosis decision making. In CBR, weight derivation as a key step is commonly conducted by expert score approaches using Delphi method. The accuracy of case matching largely changes with the selection and experience of experts. In this paper, information entropy for weight determination is introduced into the CBR. We conduct experimental studies to compare the performance of Delphi method and information entropy. The results suggest that: generally, information entropy is a better approach to weight derivation.
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Chen, Ti-An. "Business Performance Evaluation for Tourism Factory: Using DEA Approach and Delphi Method." Sustainability 14, no. 15 (July 27, 2022): 9209. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su14159209.
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The tourism industry contributes more than 10% of global GDP, and creates than 330 million jobs. Since the outbreak of COVID-19, tourism has been one of the hardest hit areas, and one of the most explosive growth sectors, in the post-COVID-19 era. This study analyses the operational efficiency of tourism factories, before and after the COVID-19 outbreak. This study develops a PADME (Product, Aesthetic, Digitalization, Management and Experience) efficiency evaluation model for the non-financial components of tourism factories. This study has also successfully developed the evaluation scale of the PADME model. In addition, with reference to studies on the operational efficiency of financial components, two output variables (turnover and net profit after tax), and three input variables (assets, R&D expenses, and employees) were set, and the efficiency of the PADME model was calculated. The data envelopment analysis (DEA) approach was used to measure the operational efficiency of tourism factories. The empirical research goals of this study are focused on 12 listed companies in Taiwan, with operational efficiency before and after COVID-19 analyzed in relation to their general and individual analyses. The conclusions of this study lead to both enlightening and practical management implications. Academically, this study fills a gap in the research on operational efficiency of tourism factories in the tourism industry.
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Rubio, Víctor J., Alessadro Quartiroli, Leslie W. Podlog, and Aurelio Olmedilla. "Understanding the dimensions of sport-injury related growth: A DELPHI method approach." PLOS ONE 15, no. 6 (June 23, 2020): e0235149. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235149.
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Alshehri, Saud Ali, Yacine Rezgui, and Haijiang Li. "Disaster community resilience assessment method: a consensus-based Delphi and AHP approach." Natural Hazards 78, no. 1 (March 28, 2015): 395–416. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-015-1719-5.
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Madaras-Kelly, Karl, Makoto Jones, Richard Remington, Nicole Hill, Benedikt Huttner, and Matthew Samore. "Development of an Antibiotic Spectrum Score Based on Veterans Affairs Culture and Susceptibility Data for the Purpose of Measuring Antibiotic De-Escalation: A Modified Delphi Approach." Infection Control & Hospital Epidemiology 35, no. 9 (September 1, 2014): 1103–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/677633.
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ObjectiveDevelopment of a numerical score to measure the microbial spectrum of antibiotic regimens (spectrum score) and method to identify antibiotic de-escalation events based on application of the score.DesignWeb-based modified Delphi method.Participants.Physician and pharmacist antimicrobial stewards practicing in the United States recruited through infectious diseases–focused listservs.MethodsThree Delphi rounds investigated: organisms and antibiotics to include in the spectrum score, operationalization of rules for the score, and de-escalation measurement. A 4-point ordinal scale was used to score antibiotic susceptibility for organism-antibiotic domain pairs. Antibiotic regimen scores, which represented combined activity of antibiotics in a regimen across all organism domains, were used to compare antibiotic spectrum administered early (day 2) and later (day 4) in therapy. Changes in spectrum score were calculated and compared with Delphi participants’ judgments on de-escalation with 20 antibiotic regimen vignettes and with non-Delphi steward judgments on de-escalation of 300 pneumonia regimen vignettes. Method sensitivity and specificity to predict expert de-escalation status were calculated.ResultsTwenty-four participants completed all Delphi rounds. Expert support for concepts utilized in metric development was identified. For vignettes presented in the Delphi, the sign of change in score correctly classified de-escalation in all vignettes except those involving substitution of oral antibiotics. The sensitivity and specificity of the method to identify de-escalation events as judged by non-Delphi stewards were 86.3% and 96.0%, respectively.ConclusionsIdentification of de-escalation events based on an algorithm that measures microbial spectrum of antibiotic regimens generally agreed with steward judgments of de-escalation status.Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 2014;35(9):1103-1113
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Chen, Shun-Hsing, and Ching-Chow Yang. "Applications of Web-QFD and E-Delphi method in the higher education system." Human Systems Management 23, no. 4 (December 19, 2004): 245–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/hsm-2004-23406.
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Quality function deployment (QFD) is an essential tool in implementing total quality management (TQM). This study applies a Web-QFD approach using group decision-making analysis in the Web environment to reduce the complicated data collection, aggregation and analysis processes. A Web-based questionnaire is designed by using an active service pages (ASP) involving the Internet relay chat (IRC) technique and the Delphi method with Internet (E-Delphi) to determine the importance degree of the customers' requirements. However, the traditional Delphi method is time-consuming mission. This study applies the proposed Web-QFD approach to efficiently gather the individual opinions of each team member, the requirements that are critical for customers, and then enables decision makers to accurately assess the priorities of these requirements. An empirical example of an education system in Taiwan is employed to demonstrate the practicability of the proposed Web-QFD model. This real world example involves team members communicating easily and quickly with other experts in the team through the Internet to accelerate the reaching of a consensus among multiple decision makers regardless of where their location. Customers' requirements can be rapidly prioritized based on the assessment results.
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Atwal, Anita, and Kay Caldwell. "Profiting from Consensus Methods in Occupational Therapy: Using a Delphi Study to Achieve Consensus on Multiprofessional Discharge Planning." British Journal of Occupational Therapy 66, no. 2 (February 2003): 65–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/030802260306600204.
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In occupational therapy, there is much debate regarding many aspects of practice. In order to make effective decisions in situations where there is contradictory or insufficient information, it is important to reach a consensus decision. The Delphi technique is a survey method of research, which aims to gain consensus among a panel of experts using repeated rounds of a questionnaire. This article is based on the first author's experience of using a Delphi survey as part of an action research project, located in a large acute National Health Service trust. This project aimed to analyse and improve multidisciplinary teamwork in discharge planning. The aim of the article is to focus on the Delphi technique as a methodological approach and, to illustrate this, examples are used from the research study. However, before using the Delphi technique, occupational therapists must understand the strengths and weaknesses of this approach.
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Ershova, T. V., V. V. Zhokhova, and A. R. Blyudik. "Application of SERVQUAL and Delphi methods for making management decisions to improve logistics service in seaports." Economics and Management 28, no. 9 (October 2, 2022): 893–904. http://dx.doi.org/10.35854/1998-1627-2022-9-893-904.
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Aim. The presented study aims to assess the level of logistics service in a seaport using the SERVQUAL method and prediction of the effect of optimization measures using the Delphi method through the example of the Commercial Port of Vladivostok (hereinafter referred to as the CPV).Tasks. The authors update the SERVQUAL methodology for assessing the level of logistics service in seaports; assess the level and propose optimization measures through the example of the CPV; predict the effect of the adaptation of measures in production.Methods. This study uses a comprehensive approach, including comparative and content analysis of scientific papers and practical experience, SERVQUAL and Delphi methods.Results. The SERVQUAL methodology for assessing the level of logistics service in seaports is updated. Growth points are identified and optimization measures are proposed through the example of the CPV. The Delphi method is used to predict the effect of the adaptation of measures in production.Conclusion. The results of the study facilitate the development of theoretical knowledge about the assessment of logistics service for making management decisions and expanding the practical testing of SERVQUAL and Delphi methods.
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Widyarani, Destia, Tantut Susanto, Dwi Wahyuni, and Huong Thi Thu Pham. "Identifying Community/Public Health Nursing Competencies in Indonesia: A Modified Delphi Method." Nurse Media Journal of Nursing 10, no. 3 (August 26, 2020): 350–60. http://dx.doi.org/10.14710/nmjn.v10i3.29435.
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Background: Nurses in public health centers, or known as public health nurses (PHNs), have duties in implementing promotive, preventive, curative, and rehabilitative efforts. In Indonesia, there is no basic reference to the competencies that should be performed by PHNs. The provision of health services in the community should cover two areas, namely inside and outside the building (Minister of Health’s Regulation No. 279 Year 2006); it causes nurses in the community to further hone their skills while in the field.Purpose: This study aimed to identify the competencies of the Indonesian PHNs from experts using the C/PHN competencies of the Quad Council Coalition through a Delphi method.Methods: This study was quantitative research with a Delphi method. We employed a purposive sampling technique to recruit the experts of public health nurses. The experts did a Delphi method to identify, analyze, and modify the C/PHN Competencies of the Quad Council Coalition into the Indonesian version of C/PHN Competencies with local cultures.Results: Results showed that from eight domains of the Quad Council Coalition C/PHN competencies, there were changes for priority of the PHN competencies in Indonesia. All priorities were classified into eight groups, namely: (1) Leadership Skills and Thinking Systems; (2) Community Dimensions of Practice; (3) Assessment Analytic; (4) Policy Development and Program Planning; (5) Communication Skills; (6) Financial Planning and Management and Planning; (7) Public Health Sciences Skills; and (8) Cultural Competency.Conclusion: The Quad Council Coalition of C/PHN competencies are appropriate with the Indonesian PHN competencies, although the priority is changed related of local wisdom as stated in the Minister of Health’s Regulation No. 279 Year 2006. Therefore, the Indonesian P/HN competencies should be developed to support the Indonesian health people through family approach.
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Kazemi, Sajad, Seyed Mahdi Homayouni, and Jay Jahangiri. "A Fuzzy Delphi-Analytical Hierarchy Process Approach for Ranking of Effective Material Selection Criteria." Advances in Materials Science and Engineering 2015 (2015): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/845346.
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The ability to select the most appropriate materials for a given application is the fundamental challenge faced by a design engineer. The objective of any material selection procedure is to identify appropriate selection criteria and to obtain the most appropriate combination of criteria in conjunction with requirements. Hence, selection of material is a multicriteria decision making problem. This study investigates and evaluates critical material selection criteria in a priority framework using the fuzzy Delphi-analytical hierarchy process method to overcome all shortcomings from AHP and Delphi methods that are common in material selection problem. 75 of the most important criteria for material selection have been collected from the literature. These criteria have been questioned in automobile interior design firms in Iran for car dashboard design. This ranking method would help product designers to decide on appropriate materials in a consistent method. Results indicate that “general” criteria such as availability, quality, risk, and technology are the most important criteria from the viewpoint of Iranian car manufacturers. Other criteria such as financial, technical, social and environmental, and sensorial criteria are relatively important in subsequent ranks.
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Gossler, Timo, Ioanna Falagara Sigala, Tina Wakolbinger, and Renate Buber. "Applying the Delphi method to determine best practices for outsourcing logistics in disaster relief." Journal of Humanitarian Logistics and Supply Chain Management 9, no. 3 (December 10, 2019): 438–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jhlscm-06-2018-0044.
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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to determine best practices of aid agencies for outsourcing logistics to commercial logistics service providers (LSPs) in disaster relief. Moreover, it evaluates the application of the Delphi method for research in humanitarian logistics. Design/methodology/approach The paper is based on a two-round Delphi study with 31 experts from aid agencies and a complementary full-day focus group with 12 experts from aid agencies and LSPs. Findings The study revealed 12 best practices for outsourcing logistics in disaster relief and a compilation of more than 100 activities for putting these practices into action. Experts consider a proper balance between efficiency and compliance, a detailed contract and a detailed service request most important. Additionally, the Delphi method was found to be a promising technique for research on humanitarian logistics. Research limitations/implications By critically examining the Delphi method, this study establishes the basis for a wider application of the technique in the field of humanitarian logistics. Furthermore, it can help to prioritize future research as the ranking of practices reflects the priorities of practitioners. Practical implications The paper provides guidance to practitioners at aid agencies in charge of outsourcing logistics. Originality/value This research is one of the first in the field of humanitarian logistics to apply the Delphi method. Moreover, it addresses the lack of literature dealing with approaches for building successful cross-sectoral partnerships.
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Rejeb, Abderahman, Karim Rejeb, John G. Keogh, and Suhaiza Zailani. "Barriers to Blockchain Adoption in the Circular Economy: A Fuzzy Delphi and Best-Worst Approach." Sustainability 14, no. 6 (March 18, 2022): 3611. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su14063611.
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Blockchain can help to fundamentally alter aspects of circular economy (CE) activities and overcome pressing sustainability issues. Nevertheless, limited studies have investigated the barriers to blockchain adoption in the CE. This study aims to close the knowledge gap by providing a comprehensive review of the barriers hampering the adoption and integration of blockchain technology in the CE. An integrated approach based on fuzzy Delphi and best-worst methods has been applied to analyze and rank the barriers. Sixteen barriers to blockchain adoption in the CE were identified from the academic literature and validated by a panel of experts. The findings from the fuzzy Delphi technique identified ten significant barriers for further analysis. Then, using the best-worst method, the optimal weights were determined based on the experts’ judgment to recognize the importance of each barrier. The findings from this method showed that a lack of knowledge and management support, reluctance to change and technological immaturity are the most significant barriers. In contrast, the least significant barriers are investment costs, security risks, and scalability issues. Theoretically, this study is the first to apply an integrated approach combining fuzzy Delphi and best-worst techniques to prioritze the barriers to blockchain adoption in the CE. It also provides valuable insights for managers and decision-makers that can be used to optimize blockchain implementations in the CE.
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In Seong Chang, Yasuhiro Tsujimura, Mitsuo Gen, and Tatsumi Tozawa. "An efficient approach for large scale project planning based on fuzzy Delphi method." Fuzzy Sets and Systems 76, no. 3 (December 1995): 277–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0165-0114(94)00385-4.
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Rezaie, Leeba, Shima Heydari, Ethan Paschall, Habibolah Khazaie, Dena Sadeghi Bahmani, and Serge Brand. "A Mixed-Method Modified Delphi Study toward Identifying Key Elements of Psychotherapy in Iran." International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 17, no. 7 (April 7, 2020): 2514. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17072514.
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Purpose: In Iran, psychotherapy is regarded as an effective treatment for psychiatric disorders. However, no previous research has identified the key elements of psychotherapy that may be specific to Iranian society. The current study was conducted in an attempt to identify these elements. Methods: A mixed-method modified Delphi approach was used, taking place over several stages during 2017–2018. The first stage involved interviewing 12 experts in psychotherapy to identify key elements of psychotherapy in Iran by thematic analysis. Then, successive Delphi rounds were conducted to obtain consensus (75% agreement) from 70 psychotherapy experts on these key elements. Results: Key elements of psychotherapy were grouped into the following themes: (1) systematic education/training; (2) psychotherapist competency; (3) psychotherapy reflective of Iranian societal needs; and (4) the substrate (scientific/ethical principles) of psychotherapy. Consensus was reached during two Delphi rounds. In Delphi round 1, 52.8% of the statements reached consensus, and all remaining statements reached consensus in round 2. Conclusions: The key elements of psychotherapy in Iran are a set of conditions for the education and training of competent psychotherapists who can perform psychiatric interventions appropriate to Iranian society under supervised rules. These should serve as a framework for improving the current delivery of psychotherapy in Iran.
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Karbassi Yazdi, Amir, Peter Fernandes Wanke, Thomas Hanne, and Eleonora Bottani. "A decision-support approach under uncertainty for evaluating reverse logistics capabilities of healthcare providers in Iran." Journal of Enterprise Information Management 33, no. 5 (September 5, 2020): 991–1022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jeim-09-2019-0299.
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PurposeThis paper aims to assess and prioritize manufacturing companies in the healthcare industry based on critical success factors (CSFs) of their reverse logistics (RL). The research involves seven medical device companies located in the Tehran Province, Iran.Design/methodology/approachTo identify and prioritize companies based on CSFs of RL, the study proposes a three-phase decision-making framework that integrates the Delphi method, the best-worst method (BWM) and the Additive Ratio Assessment (ARAS) method with Z-numbers. The weights required for this method are obtained by a variant of the BWM based on Z-numbers, denoted as Z-numbers Best-Worst Method, or ZBWM. Since decision-makers face an uncertain environment, Z-numbers, which are a kind of fuzzy numbers, are applied.FindingsFirst, after customizing CSFs by the Delphi method and obtaining 15 CSFs of RL, these are ranked by the hybrid BWM-ARAS method with Z-numbers. Results reveal which company appears to perform best with respect to their RL implementations. Based on this result, healthcare device companies should choose the highest priority company based on the selected RL CSFs and results from using the BWM-ARAS method with Z-numbers.Originality/valueThe contribution of this paper is using a hybrid ARAS-BWM method based on Z-numbers. Each of these methods has some merits compared to other similar methods. The combination of these methods contributes a new approach for prioritizing companies based on RL CSFs with high accuracy and reliability.
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de Carvalho, Bruno Eustaquio, Rui Cunha Marques, and Oscar Cordeiro Netto. "Delphi technique as a consultation method in regulatory impact assessment (RIA) – the Portuguese water sector." Water Policy 19, no. 3 (January 6, 2017): 423–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wp.2017.131.
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This paper explores use of the Delphi technique on regulatory impact assessment (RIA) in order to select criteria as well as to analyze the non-neutrality of stakeholders in the Portuguese case study. Although the decision-making process has been supporting a different prescriptive approach, there is no neutral decision, which can reflect on the (in)efficiency of the government's action. To cope with imperfect knowledge, we have built the link between the objectives from Law no. 194/2009, which determines the regulatory framework in the Portuguese water sector and its potential criteria. Moreover, the elicitation weights for each criterion previously selected were framed in an innovative way, under a different perspective, either customers, municipalities or concessionaires. Evidence advises that there are relevant myopic, omission, splitting, and insensitivity biases for decision analysis, because of the distortion of input. Thus, the Delphi technique enables the decision makers to obtain reliable information before taking a decision. The results in terms of a different perspective for each criterion enable us not only to identify the non-neutrality of decision analysis, but also to (re)think the stakeholder's participation into the context of the Law referred to. Finally, this approach could consolidate our understanding concerning the potentialities of the Delphi technique in RIA, especially in policies with several objectives.
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Ghazali, Zulkipli, M. Ridhuan Tony Lim, and Abu Bakar Sedek A. Jamak. "Maintenance performance improvement analysis using Fuzzy Delphi method." Journal of Quality in Maintenance Engineering 25, no. 1 (March 11, 2019): 162–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jqme-11-2016-0058.
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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyze issues pertaining to maintenance performance and to develop a framework that addresses challenges of maintenance management of an international lube blending plant in Malaysia. This study capitalizes on the contribution of selected maintenance department stakeholders from within the plant to develop “tailor-made” intervention strategies for maintenance performance improvement. Design/methodology/approach The study employed two focus group workshops to ascertain issues facing the maintenance department and identify intervention strategies. The final phase of the study employed fuzzy Delphi method (FDM) to prioritize and rank the intervention strategies for performance improvement. Findings The first focus group workshop identified 106 issues which could be classified under aspects of spare parts (n=8), equipment (n=14), communication (n=12), non-technical resource (n=8), health, safety and environment (n=4), technical skills and recruitment (n=27), and handling and procedures (n=33). Based on these findings, the second focus group revealed 28 significant performance initiatives to improve the issues identified for maintenance performance improvement. Through the FDM, 18 performance initiatives were ranked and prioritized. Performance improvement through leadership category leads the overall initiatives followed by equipment maintenance management, talent management, work environment and vendor management. Research limitations/implications Interesting implications for maintenance management theory would be realized if future research were able to demonstrate that certain aspects or dimensions were related to high performing plant maintenance, and not with low performing ones. Apparently, the present study is not able to provide this clue because it is merely a case study of a single company. Practical implications As ILBP attempts to implement maintenance performance improvement, it is pertinent for the management to understand the relevant performance issues and concerns. The appropriate enablers have been identified and must be initiated to chart the strategic role of their maintenance organization. Social implications This study contributes toward further understanding of the maintenance performance management. It has demonstrated the need of organizations to make infrastructural investments such as quality leadership, employee training and empowerment, to name a few, to strategically enhance their maintenance capabilities. Originality/value This study uses the FDM for the decision-making process of improving plant maintenance performance. It adds value to the body of knowledge of plant operation management.
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Hansen, Dana, Amy Petrinec, Mona Hebeshy, Denice Sheehan, and Barbara L. Drew. "Advancing the Science of Recruitment for Family Caregivers: Focus Group and Delphi Methods." JMIR Nursing 2, no. 1 (July 22, 2019): e13862. http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/13862.
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Background Successful recruitment of participants is imperative to a rigorous study, and recruitment challenges are not new to researchers. Many researchers have used social media successfully to recruit study participants. However, challenges remain for effective online social media recruitment for some populations. Objective Using a multistep approach that included a focus group and Delphi method, researchers performed this study to gain expert advice regarding material development for social media recruitment and to test the recruitment material with the target population. Methods In the first phase, we conducted a focus group with 5 social media experts to identify critical elements for effective social media recruitment material. Utilizing the Delphi method with 5 family caregivers, we conducted the second phase to reach consensus regarding effective recruitment videos. Results Phase I utilized a focus group that resulted in identification of three barriers related to social media recruitment, including lack of staff and resources, issues with restrictive algorithms, and not standing out in the crowd. Phase II used the Delphi method. At the completion of Delphi Round 1, 5 Delphi participants received a summary of the analysis for feedback and agreement with our summary. Using data and recommendations from Round 1, researchers created two new recruitment videos with additions to improve trustworthiness and transparency, such as the university’s logo. In Round 2 of the Delphi method, consensus regarding the quality and trustworthiness of the recruitment videos reached 100%. Conclusions One of the primary challenges for family caregiver research is recruitment. Despite the broad adoption of social media marketing approaches, the effectiveness of online recruitment strategies needs further investigation.
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Greason, Michelle. "Connecting Findings to Meaningful Change." International Journal of Qualitative Methods 17, no. 1 (October 4, 2018): 160940691880327. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1609406918803271.
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There is a symbiotic relationship between qualitative research and knowledge mobilization. However, there is often a significant lag between the conduct of research and the findings reaching the public (including those it impacts and those with the power to make change). In designing my study on ethics and policy in long-term care (LTC) with the aim of improving quality care, I sought a method that would not only generate broad data but data on which stakeholders would be able to more readily act and thus promote meaningful and timely change. With this goal in mind, I adopted an empirical ethics approach with the aim of consensus building and used an innovative qualitative Delphi method to explore ethics and ethical reasoning in LTC and the interaction between frontline practice and organizational and public policy. While the Delphi method is starting to gain more recognition alongside more well-known qualitative methods, it has yet to be used in the exploration of empirical ethics and policy in LTC. The rich findings from this study suggest it has the potential of expanding the breadth of qualitative inquiry, as it draws on real-world practice and decision-making to promote consensus in areas of organizational, policy, and practice change. There is a need for further research using a modified qualitative Delphi method in empirical ethics and policy research in LTC, as well as other areas. However, the results of this study suggest the suitability and benefits of the approach for qualitative inquiry and propose researchers seeking to expand research findings, knowledge mobilization, and to connect findings to meaningful and practical change should consider adopting the Delphi method.
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Abbasi, Sikander Ali, Khanji Harijan, Irfan Ahmed Abbasi, Ayaz Hussain, Zuhaibuddin Bhutto, and Syed Ali Raza Shah. "Evaluation of Oil-Based Power Generation of Pakistan. SWOT-Delphi Approach." Sukkur IBA Journal of Emerging Technologies 4, no. 1 (June 10, 2021): 45–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.30537/sjet.v4i1.837.
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Pakistan is heavily dependent on imported fuel for power generation. Depending on imported fuel has not only increased GHG emissions, but it has also put a burden on the national exchequer and raised apprehensions on energy security. This paper thus investigates the consequences of oil-based power generation on the economy, environment, and energy security of Pakistan. SWOT-Delphi approach has been adopted. The study discovered that the use of imported oil for power generation is detrimental to the economy, environment, and energy security of Pakistan. It further suggests that Pakistan should immediately abandon oil-based power generation and explore green energy alternatives for its sustainable economic growth. This study uses a hybrid model that combines strength, weakness, opportunity, and threat (SWOT) analysis with the Delphi method.
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Ali, Sameer, and Abraham George. "Community resilience for urban flood-prone areas: a methods paper on criteria selection using the Fuzzy Delphi method." Continuity & Resilience Review 3, no. 2 (August 6, 2021): 166–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/crr-05-2021-0021.
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PurposeCommunity resilience decides a lot on a city's ability to withstand an external shock. It has evolved naturally from a bounce-back approach to a more robust and meaningful bounce-forward process. The study explores gaps found in community resilience and finds that criteria specific to different disasters are absent.Design/methodology/approachThe study uses a multi-criteria decision analysis technique, fuzzy Delphi, to select criteria. Derivation of the initial list of criteria was from a pilot study, a focus group discussion and other literature studies which was followed by the fuzzy Delphi survey.FindingsAfter two rounds of fuzzy Delphi analysis, the consensus among 65 experts resulted in selecting 125 sub-sub-criteria within seven criteria. Findings show that many criteria previously not discussed in other pieces of literature project high fuzzy scores such as “availability of drinking water post-disaster” and “cracking down fake news spreaders by the police”. In addition, positive cooperation between political and religious institutions have proven to expedite disaster recovery.Research limitations/implicationsThe future scope also includes weighing the selected criteria using analytical hierarchy process (AHP).Practical implicationsPolicymakers in the disaster management domain can use the study findings in implementing effective disaster mitigation strategies.Originality/valueThe selection of criteria is based on the community resilience shown by the Kerala community during the floods of 2018 and 2019 (in Kerala). Measures demonstrated by the community need to be studied, which will help foster disaster mitigation better in future scenarios.
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Agumba, Justus N. "Validating and Identifying Health and Safety Performance Improvement Indicators: Experience of Using Delphi Technique." Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies 7, no. 3(J) (June 30, 2015): 14–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v7i3(j).578.
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The literature on health and safety (H&S) is bound with different elements and indicators of measuring H&S performance. The purpose of this paper is to discuss the success and challenges of using quantitative and qualitative approach of Delphi technique in validating and identifying H&S performance indicators that small and medium construction enterprises (SMEs) can use to measure and monitor their H&S performance improvement at project level. Furthermore, discuss the identification of experts in the field of H&S, ways of improving consensus analysis and minimizing experts’ non-response. This study is based on practical experience of the researchers pertaining to the Delphi technique method which is a constructivist or interpretive approach to knowledge. The study started with an extensive literature review to identify core elements and leading indicators characterizing H&S culture to develop a Delphi questionnaire that was used in the first round of Delphi. A four round Delphi technique was conducted to attain consensus of the identified H&S indicators. The experts were identified from published articles of H&S, practitioners’ website of H&S and word of mouth. The use of email was used as a mode of communication. This study set to warn but also encourage the use of Delphi technique as a method to unearth information in areas where consensus has not been reached such as H&S performance measurement indicators for construction SMEs in South Africa.
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Oliach, Daniel, Enrico Vidale, Anton Brenko, Olivia Marois, Nicola Andrighetto, Kalliopi Stara, Juan Martínez de Aragón, Carlos Colinas, and José Antonio Bonet. "Truffle Market Evolution: An Application of the Delphi Method." Forests 12, no. 9 (August 30, 2021): 1174. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/f12091174.
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Background: The objective of this study was to analyze the current situation of the truffle sector in the main producing countries of the Mediterranean area. Additionally, we identified the challenges for the future and the priority actions to develop the truffle sector in the region. Methods: We used a Delphi process approach, and we selected a total of 17 expert panelists in different positions within the supply chain of the target countries (Spain, France, Italy, Croatia, and Greece). Results: The results obtained allowed us to have a complete description of the current truffle supply chain. We confirmed an evolution of the sector due to the cultivation success of several Tuber species. The maturity of the sector has produced shifts in the roles that form the traditional truffle supply chain operators. We confirmed the trend of a decrease of collectors that hunt truffles in the wild and sell to small travelling buyers, whilst truffle hunters that collect for farmers and specialty wholesalers are emerging. However, a trend of truffle price decrease in the last few years has alerted the sector. Conclusions: As production increases due to truffle cultivation, it will be necessary to promote truffle consumption. We identified actions to develop the truffle sector: (a) strengthen the link between truffles, tourism, and gastronomy; (b) increase the effort at European level for the recognition of truffle production, helping to develop truffle culture and marketing; (c) increase the awareness and consumption of truffles among consumers; and (d) develop tourism workshops for truffle farmers.
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Revez, Alexandra, Niall Dunphy, Clodagh Harris, Gerard Mullally, Breffní Lennon, and Christine Gaffney. "Beyond Forecasting: Using a Modified Delphi Method to Build Upon Participatory Action Research in Developing Principles for a Just and Inclusive Energy Transition." International Journal of Qualitative Methods 19 (January 1, 2020): 160940692090321. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1609406920903218.
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Energy transition debates have been characterized by a strong emphasis on the technical implications of shifting away from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources, with little consideration of social contexts. This is now changing, with a growing emphasis on reconfiguring the social aspects of energy, particularly in terms of introducing more democratic processes into behavior change and energy practice engagements. This article situates itself within these debates and demonstrates the transformative potential of combining participatory action research (PAR) approaches with a modified Delphi method for understanding energy transition issues, particularly beyond forecasting instruments. There remains a dearth in literature combining the Delphi method with PAR; its application in the field of energy transitions is very innovative. PAR draws from grassroots and local-based knowledge, Delphi panels typically focus on the insights from a panel of professional experts. In combining these two approaches, to develop principles for an inclusive and just energy transition, a reflexive form of dialogue emerges that gives voice to what are often considered dissonant or mismatched perspectives. Furthermore, the experimental use of a modified Delphi panel, combined with PAR, offers a strategy to promote knowledge sharing between different groups and to counter potential communication barriers among different actors in society. This article shows how a modified Delphi panel approach is considerably enhanced by combining elements of PAR, raising the potential of Delphi panels beyond forecasting instruments, which often seek to determine the way the future “will be,” toward an envisioning tool that collaboratively seeks to explore the way a low-carbon system “could be,” or perhaps “should be.” The development of energy transition principles, endorsed through the modified Delphi panel, offers a concrete way to enact practices of energy justice within a more democratized energy system.
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Estrela, Marta, Fátima Roque, Tânia Magalhães Silva, Maruxa Zapata-Cachafeiro, Adolfo Figueiras, and Maria Teresa Herdeiro. "Validation of the eHealthResp online course for pharmacists and physicians: A Delphi method approach." Biomedicine & Pharmacotherapy 140 (August 2021): 111739. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biopha.2021.111739.
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Zeeman, Heidi, Courtney J. Wright, and Tim Hellyer. "Developing design guidelines for inclusive housing: a multi-stakeholder approach using a Delphi method." Journal of Housing and the Built Environment 31, no. 4 (January 27, 2016): 761–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10901-016-9499-0.
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Schnyer, Rosa N., Lisa A. Conboy, Eric Jacobson, Patrick McKnight, Thomas Goddard, Francesca Moscatelli, Anna T. R. Legedza, Catherine Kerr, Ted J. Kaptchuk, and Peter M. Wayne. "Development of a Chinese Medicine Assessment Measure: An Interdisciplinary Approach Using the Delphi Method." Journal of Alternative and Complementary Medicine 11, no. 6 (December 2005): 1005–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1089/acm.2005.11.1005.
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Zhang, Lei. "A Safety Assessment Method of Power Enterprises Based on Historical Case Knowledge." Advanced Materials Research 403-408 (November 2011): 1918–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amr.403-408.1918.
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This paper provides a case-based approach for the management system security assessment decision making of power generation enterprises. A case matching method named CBR-Grey is introduced in which Delphi approach and Grey System theory are integrated. Based on this method, we implement a prototype of enterprise assessment information system for the panel of experts. The experimental results based on a real-world power generation enterprises safety assessment data set show that CBRSYS-TPP has high accuracy and systematically performance.
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Pike, I., RJ McDonald, S. Piedt, and AK Macpherson. "Developing injury indicators for First Nations and Inuit children and youth in Canada: a modified Delphi approach." Chronic Diseases and Injuries in Canada 34, no. 4 (November 2014): 203–9. http://dx.doi.org/10.24095/hpcdp.34.4.03.
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Introduction The purpose of this research was to take the initial step in developing valid indicators that reflect the injury issues facing First Nations and Inuit children and youth in Canada. Methods Using a modified-Delphi process, relevant expert and community stakeholders rated each indicator on its perceived usefulness and ability to prompt action to reduce injury among children and youth in indigenous communities. The Delphi process included 5 phases and resulted in a refined set of 27 indicators. Results Indicators related to motorized vehicle collisions, mortality and hospitalization rates were rated the most useful and most likely to prompt action. These were followed by indicators for community injury prevention training and response systems, violent and inflicted injury, burns and falls, and suicide. Conclusion The results suggest that a broad-based modified-Delphi process is a practical and appropriate method, within the OCAP™ (Ownership, Control, Access and Possession) principles, for developing a proposed set of indicators for injury prevention activity focused on First Nations and Inuit children and youth. Following additional work to validate and populate the indicators, it is anticipated that communities will utilize them to monitor injury and prompt decisions and action to reduce injuries among children and youth.
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Afful-Dadzie, Anthony, Eric Afful-Dadzie, Stephen Nabareseh, and Zuzana Komínková Oplatková. "Tracking progress of African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method." Kybernetes 43, no. 8 (August 26, 2014): 1193–208. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/k-03-2014-0049.
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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to propose a new assessment methodology for the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method (FCEM) and the Delphi technique. The proposed approach by its design simplifies the review processes and also quantifies the outcome of the assessment result for easier interpretation and benchmarking among member countries. The proposed hybrid method demonstrates how the subjective APRM thematic areas and their objectives can be efficiently tracked country by country while addressing the key identified challenges. Design/methodology/approach – Using a numerical example, a demonstration of how the APRM assessment could be carried is shown using the FCEM and the Delphi method. The APRM's own thematic areas are used as the evaluation factors and the weights are assigned using Delphi technique. A novel remark set is constructed to linguistically describe the performance of a country against each or all of the thematic areas. Then in line with the maximum membership degree principle, the position of the maximum number would correspond to its respective remark element to indicate the level of performance. Findings – The result shows a hybrid method of FCEM and Delphi used to determine whether a member country has “achieved”, “on track”, “very likely to be achieved”, “possible if some changes are made” or “off-track” on the four focus areas of the APRM. The method provides a well-organized way of tracking progress of member countries. It is also an ideal method of tracking progress of individual thematic areas and objectives. Moreover, the simplicity of the proposed method, the preciseness of the final result it generates and the clear interpretation of the result makes it a stronger alternative to the current approach for assessing member countries. Practical implications – The APRM is a respected body with the backing of the heads of state in Africa. As most African countries become conscious of the pressure to meet international standards as far as governance performance is concerned, this proposed assessment methodology if adopted would go a long way in improving performance evaluation on the continent. Originality/value – The proposed methodology is unique in its simplicity and its ability to evaluate any of the APRM thematic areas independent of the others. This means an overall performance can be tracked as well as that of individual evaluation factors.
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Al-Taweel, Dalal, Samuel Koshy, Sara Al-Ansari, Asmaa Al-Haqan, and Bedoor Qabazard. "Expert consensus for a national essential antidote list: E-Delphi method." PLOS ONE 17, no. 6 (June 16, 2022): e0269456. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0269456.
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Antidote stocking represents a major challenge to hospitals all over the world, including Kuwait. In order to assist hospitals to reduce costs and improve patient care, an essential antidote list can be used as an initial foundation for securing sufficient antidote availability at healthcare institutions. The aim of our study is to generate a nationally relevant essential antidote list for emergency care hospitals in Kuwait using the e-Delphi method by establishing consensus through a multidisciplinary expert group of healthcare providers. An electronic survey with 47 essential antidotes was developed. The e-Delphi method was used, with three rounds of voting, to determine expert consensus on an essential antidote list for hospitals in Kuwait. A purposive sample of healthcare professionals from governmental and private hospitals were selected for this study (n = 30). Consensus was gained if ≥75% of the expert panel agreed on the inclusion of the antidote, without any strong disagreements. Round 1 of the e-Delphi resulted in 41 antidotes reaching consensus and seven new antidotes suggested by the expert panel. Round 2 had two antidotes (out of seven newly suggested ones) reaching consensus. Round 3 was a confirmatory round, where the expert group agreed on their previous rounds’ opinions. This resulted in the development of an essential antidote list with 43 antidotes. The optimal approach for ensuring adequate availability of antidotes is continuous monitoring of local poisoning incidence and antidote requirements through collaborations between academic researchers and emergency care clinicians. The development of an essential antidote list, with expert consensus, is one of the initial steps in securing a foundation for appropriate provision of antidotes at all healthcare institutions. This is the first study that the authors are aware of that demonstrates that the e-Delphi technique can consolidate recommendations of experts in emergency medicine to provide a list of essential antidotes.
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Tanjung, Hendri, Tjetjep Suhandi, and Widdy Tanzila. "Analisis Strategi Pengelolaan Wakaf Uang di Indonesia (Pendekatan Metode Delphi)." Al Maal: Journal of Islamic Economics and Banking 2, no. 1 (July 10, 2020): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.31000/almaal.v2i1.2592.
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Potential cash waqf in Indonesia is enormous. However, the fact that management of waqf money is still encountering many obstacles. This study tried to identify priority constraints become a bottleneck in the management of cash waqf in Indonesia, following the priority solution that can be offered in support of the management of cash waqf in Indonesia with the approach of the Delphi method. Delphi method is a systematic method of collecting opinions from a group of expert withdrawal through a series of questionnaires based linkert scale. Based on the analysis of Delphi that rank highest priority constraint is the lack of public understanding of the waqf money followed by lack of public awareness to be charitable. The results of the analysis of Delphi that ranked highest strategic priorities with the acquisition of the average value of the same magnitude, there are three criteria, namely to provide effective education and outreach to the community about cash waqf, an innovative marketing strategy of waqf institutions, as well as the transparency and accountability of waqf institutions. It is expected that the joint commitment of various parties, academics, practitioners and policymakers in boosting cash waqf management efforts in Indonesia
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Chong, Heap-Yih, and Chee Kheng Oon. "A practical approach in clarifying legal drafting: Delphi and case study in Malaysia." Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 23, no. 5 (September 19, 2016): 610–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ecam-04-2015-0059.
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Purpose Legal drafting is one of the root causes for interpretation errors and misunderstandings in construction contracts. Moreover, most construction personnel do not have legally trained background. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to determine the feasible use and practicality of Plain English in clarifying legal drafting in Malaysian construction contracts. Design/methodology/approach Two research approaches were adopted, namely, Delphi research and case study. The Delphi method was to elicit local experts’ knowledge and consensus view on the given examples of restructured contract provisions. Next, an actual case study was conducted to examine and substantiate the research findings by critically reviewing the latest and revised standard form of contract for its Plain English usage. Findings The Delphi research shows that all the restructured contract provisions were agreed by the local experts; whereas the case study reveals that significant changes and the acceptance of Plain English in most of the contract provisions. Originality/value The research renders insightful references in clarifying legal drafting in construction contracts based on the empirical evidence and the use of Plain English from the Malaysian scenario. It also contributes into the resolution of contractual differences and conflicts caused by the misunderstandings or interpretation problems.
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Ahmadsaraei, Mohammad Safary, Amir Abedini Koshksaray, Marzieh Soleimani, and Zeinabalsadat Kazemi. "Sustainable Supply Chain Risk in Food Packaging Industry: Integrated Delphi-CRITIC-COPRAS Method Using Fuzzy Set Theory." International Journal of Business Studies and Innovation 2, no. 1 (March 30, 2022): 61–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.35745/ijbsi2022v02.01.0006.
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The present study aims to develop a framework for sustainable supply chain risk management evaluation in the food packaging industry based on multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods in the fuzzy environment. An integrated MCDM approach is proposed based on Delphi, CRiteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC), and COmplex PRoportional ASsessment (COPRAS) methods. Through reviewing the research literature, related criteria were identified and selected based on experts' opinions and the fuzzy Delphi method. The fuzzy CRITIC method was used to determine the weights of the criteria. Finally, based on weighted indices and the fuzzy COPRAS method, food packaging suppliers were ranked according to their ability to manage the risks of sustainable supply chain activities. The results show that operational risks are essential in evaluating suppliers' risks in sustainable supply chain activities in the food packaging industry. Also, the three sub-criteria with the highest weights are defined as product quality risk, machines and equipment risks, and restrictions on green processes.
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Davies, Emma, Jilly Martin, and David Foxcroft. "Development of an adolescent alcohol misuse intervention based on the Prototype Willingness Model." Health Education 116, no. 3 (April 4, 2016): 275–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/he-01-2015-0006.
Full textAbstract:
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to report on the use of the Delphi method to gain expert feedback on the identification of behaviour change techniques (BCTs) and development of a novel intervention to reduce adolescent alcohol misuse, based on the Prototype Willingness Model (PWM) of health risk behaviour. Design/methodology/approach – Four BCTs based on the PWM were identified and incorporated into a draft intervention that aimed to change alcohol prototypes and enable adolescents to deal with social pressure. Using the Delphi process, successive questionnaires were distributed to 20 international experts to build consensus on the theoretical validity of the intervention. Findings – In total, 15 experts completed round 1 and 11 completed round 2 of the Delphi study. A high level of consensus was achieved. Four priority areas were identified to improve the intervention: incorporating extra techniques to address social pressure; increasing intensity; providing incentives; and addressing credibility. Research limitations/implications – The sample of experts was self-selected and four participants were lost between the first and second round of the study. Practical implications – The effectiveness of the identified BCTs will be evaluated within an intervention to reduce alcohol misuse in adolescents. Further work should build towards a more unified approach to developing interventions based on the PWM. The Delphi method is likely to be particularly useful when there is no existing consensus about which BCTs to use that reflect certain theoretical constructs or that best target a specific population or behaviour. Originality/value – This paper is the first to address the identification of specific BCTs based on the PWM and thus makes an important contribution to the application of this model to interventions. This novel application of the Delphi method also makes a useful addition to the growing field of intervention development and design.