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Academic literature on the topic 'DELPHI method approach'

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Published: 10 December 2022
Last updated: 28 January 2023

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Journal articles on the topic "DELPHI method approach"

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Sandrey, Michelle A., and Sean M. Bulger. "The Delphi Method: An Approach for Facilitating Evidence Based Practice in Athletic Training." Athletic Training Education Journal 3, no. 4 (October 1, 2008): 135–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.4085/1947-380x-3.4.135.

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Objective: The growing importance of evidence based practice in athletic training is necessitating academics and clinicians to be able to make judgments about the quality or lack of the body of research evidence and peer-reviewed standards pertaining to clinical questions. To assist in the judgment process, consensus methods, namely brainstorming, nominal group technique and the Delphi method can be used. The purpose of this paper is to review the literature related to the Delphi Method and its potential implications for evidence-based practice and peer-reviewed standards in athletic training. Data Sources: We searched PubMed and MEDLINE (1978–2007), CINAHL (1993–2006), Dissertation Abstracts (1979–2006) and Google Scholar (1983–2007) using the terms “Delphi method,” “modified Delphi technique,” “consensus methods,” “Delphi technique,” and combined search terms of “Delphi method AND allied health, AND medicine AND dentistry, AND nursing. Data Synthesis: Textual support for the use of the Delphi Method in athletic training and a brief review of the literature pertaining to the: objectives; advantages; limitations commonly associated with the use of the Delphi Method; and research protocol. Conclusions/Recommendations: The Delphi Method in athletic training has been used to fulfill two objectives; the need for evidence based practice and the need to establish policies and procedures when none are in existence or it is difficult for one individual to make a decision. The Delphi Method and other consensus development methods should not be viewed as a scientific method for creating new knowledge, but rather as processes for making the best use of available information, be that scientific data or the collective wisdom of participants.
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Ng, J. "Delphi Method: A Qualitative Approach For Quantitative Results." Value in Health 21 (May 2018): S54. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jval.2018.04.447.

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Fiander, M. T., and T. P. Burns. "A delphi method approach to describing mental health practice." European Psychiatry 11 (January 1996): 339s—340s. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0924-9338(96)89067-5.

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Flanagan, Tracy, Russell Ashmore, David Banks, and Doug MacInnes. "The Delphi method: methodological issues arising from a study examining factors influencing the publication or non-publication of mental health nursing research." Mental Health Review Journal 21, no. 2 (June 13, 2016): 85–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/mhrj-07-2015-0020.

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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to describe how the classic Delphi method can be adapted and structured to ensure that specific research questions are clearly addressed. Design/methodology/approach – As part of a larger mixed method project, a modified Delphi study was undertaken to explore factors influencing publication and non-publication of mental health nursing research. Findings – This paper reports brief findings from the Delphi study. However, its main focus is the methodological issues arising from the Delphi method. Research limitations/implications – The paper argues that the classic Delphi method can be adapted and structured to ensure that specific research questions are able to be clearly answered. The adaptations are pragmatic in approach and in keeping with the general principles underpinning the Delphi method, while successfully addressing the problems of attrition and previous criticism of homogenous panels. Originality/value – This paper offers some practical solutions to issue arising from undertaking research using the Delphi method.
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Ribeiro, Lauro Andre, and Patricia Pereira da Silva. "Qualitative Delphi approach of advanced algae biofuels." Management of Environmental Quality: An International Journal 26, no. 6 (September 14, 2015): 852–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/meq-03-2014-0046.

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Purpose – Currently, experimental and theoretical work is being performed to ensure that biofuels from microalgae become a reality. However, there is a considerable number of discussions concerning in which processes should be focussed efforts of research and development. The purpose of this paper is to provide decision support not only to help build guidelines of research to be undertaken, but also to contribute to the design of more adequate policy and funding instruments. The key objective of this study is to determine the prospects of employing microalgae into the production of biofuels within a time scale extending to 2030. Design/methodology/approach – The Delphi method is a qualitative research aiming to support strategic future-oriented action, such as policy making in the areas of science and technology. It is especially appropriate in judgment and long-range forecasting (20-30 years) situations, when expert opinions are often the only source of information available, due to a lack of appropriate historical, economic or technical data. Findings – The Delphi method proved to be a successful research method when expert opinions are the main source of information available, due to a lack of appropriate historical, economic or technical data and the outcomes provided a clear outline of the main issues of microalgae biofuels’ market at present and in the future. Research limitations/implications – The outcomes might not represent the majority of the microalgae experts’ opinion due to the sample size. Originality/value – The work presented in this paper is especially original. According to the authors’ knowledge, this is the first qualitative Delphi study related to algae biofuels.
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Lawnik, Marcin, and Arkadiusz Banasik. "Delphi Method Supported by Forecasting Software." Information 11, no. 2 (January 27, 2020): 65. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/info11020065.

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The Delphi method is one of the basic tools for forecasting values in various types of issues. It uses the knowledge of experts, which is properly aggregated (e.g., in the form of descriptive statistics measures) and returns to the previous group of experts again, thus starting the next round of forecasting. The multi-stage prediction under the Delphi method allows for better stabilization of the results, which is extremely important in the process of forecasting. Experts in the forecasting process often have access to time series forecasting software but do not necessarily use it. Therefore, it seems advisable to add to the aggregate the value obtained using forecasting software. The advantage of this approach is in saving the time and costs of obtaining a forecast. That should be understood as a smaller burden on data analysts and the value of their work. According to the above mentioned key factors, the main contribution of the article is the use of a virtual expert in the form of a computer-enhanced mathematical tool, i.e., a programming library for a forecasting time series. The chosen software tool is the Prophet library—a Facebook tool that can be used in Python or R programming languages.
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McClincy, Michael P., James D. Wylie, David N. Williams, and Eduardo N. Novais. "Standardizing the Diagnostic Evaluation of Nonarthritic Hip Pain Through the Delphi Method." Orthopaedic Journal of Sports Medicine 9, no. 4 (April 1, 2021): 232596712199121. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2325967121991213.

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Background: Femoroacetabular impingement and acetabular dysplasia have gained increased attention as nonarthritic sources of pain and dysfunction in young, active patients. To date, no standardized approach to the diagnostic evaluation of nonarthritic hip pain has been identified, as previous work has focused on the diagnostic evaluation and management of patients with femoroacetabular impingement undergoing hip arthroscopy. Purpose: To explore the standard diagnostic evaluation practice of experts in the field of hip preservation surgery and combine their expertise through the Delphi method to form a standardized approach to the diagnostic evaluation of patients with nonarthritic hip pain. Study Design: Consensus statement. Methods: An expert panel made up of 18 orthopaedic surgeons with extensive experience in the treatment of nonarthritic hip disorders participated in this Delphi study. The Delphi panelists were presented with 4 clinical vignettes representing a spectrum of patients with nonarthritic hip pain. Three iterative survey rounds were presented to the panelists based on these clinical vignettes, and a 3-step classic Delphi method was used to establish consensus techniques in the diagnostic evaluation of nonarthritic hip pain. Results: Total (100%) participation was gained, with all 18 experts completing all 3 Delphi survey rounds. Consensus (≥75% support) was achieved for some, if not all, vignettes for each of the following diagnostic domains: historical features, physical examination, radiographic sequences, radiographic interpretation, cross-sectional imaging, and ancillary diagnostics. Conclusion: In this Delphi study, we identified standardized diagnostic treatment approaches as derived from expert opinion for patients with nonarthritic hip pathomorphologies.
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Zartha Sossa, Jhon Wilder, William Halal, and Raul Hernandez Zarta. "Delphi method: analysis of rounds, stakeholder and statistical indicators." foresight 21, no. 5 (September 10, 2019): 525–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/fs-11-2018-0095.

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Purpose The purpose of this study is to review the literature on the Delphi method, its characteristics and current applications through an analysis of recent most-cited scientific papers, with an emphasis on three axes, namely, the number of rounds used, stakeholder participation relevance or only academic experts’ participation and the possibility of using indicators or techniques different from those related to descriptive statistics. Design/methodology/approach In total, 57 papers were initially reviewed, 10 of them with a high citation rate. Then, an analysis was made of papers in Scopus for the period 2015-2018 published in the Technological Forecasting and Social Change Journal and in the Futures and Foresight Journal, which had the characteristic of displaying quartile Q1 or Q2 in Scimago in addition to being in Scopus. Findings Among the main results, the authors observe the tendency to use fewer rounds, a higher prevalence of stakeholder participation and not only academic experts but also the use of new types of modified Delphi such as real-time spatial Delphi, Delphi group, market Delphi, real-world Delphi and policy Delphi. Originality/value Among the conclusions, the possibility of using other indicators or complementary techniques to the descriptive statistics is highlighted such as number of justifications or comments between rounds, coefficients to quantify the competence or degree of expertise of the participants, measures of the perception of the expert on the usefulness of the presented feedback, graphs of the number of arguments according to the number of questions, the Wilcoxon Ranked Pairs Test, the k means, Kolmogorov–Simonov test and the Mann–Whitney U-test.
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Knippen, K., L. Kuntzman, and S. Freeworth. "Patient Centered Approach to Postpartum Care after Gestational Diabetes: Delphi Method." Journal of the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics 121, no. 9 (September 2021): A45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jand.2021.06.124.

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Créange, Alain, and Arnold Careyron. "The diagnosis of chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy: a Delphi-method approach." Journal of Neurology 260, no. 12 (September 20, 2013): 3015–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00415-013-7100-2.

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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "DELPHI method approach"

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Yupa, Nanthachai Riegle Rodney P. Padavil George. "Desirable competencies for hospitality educators in Thailand a Delphi approach /." Normal, Ill. Illinois State University, 2002. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/ilstu/fullcit?p3064535.

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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Illinois State University, 2002.
Title from title page screen, viewed January 24, 2006. Dissertation Committee: Rodney P. Riegle, George Padavil (co-chairs), Barbara Heyl, Mohamed Nur-Awaleh, Somchai Hiranyakit. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 123-129) and abstract. Also available in print.
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Cwalina, Andrew Matthew. "Organizational Practices Leading to a Positive Safety Culture: A Delphi Approach." NSUWorks, 2013. http://nsuworks.nova.edu/hsbe_etd/24.

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A positive safety culture has been shown to contribute to a firm's ability to avoid or reduce the occurrence of occupational accidents and injuries. In American workplaces alone 3,582 people died and 5.1 million people were disabled in 2009 and the cost to corporate America was $169 billion and an additional productivity loss of 95 million work days. The economic cost to each American household is about $1,200. Firms that establish and maintain a positive safety culture are able to achieve a competitive advantage in the market. While much research exists showing the relationship between safety culture and accident reduction, less guidance is found on how companies might achieve such improvement through cultural change. Attempts have been made to determine the factor structure of safety culture, that is, the identification of the antecedents of a positive safety culture. However, to date no general consensus has emerged among researchers about the exact elements of the factor structure. Research methodologies have been blamed for biasing the research results and thereby causing the lack of consensus. This dissertation uses a different methodology, the Delphi method combined with Hofstede's well-known onion model of organizational culture, to determine those organizational practices that lead to a positive safety culture. Delphi is a mixed methodology that begins with an exploratory approach followed by the more traditional quantitative method. The exploratory front-end was deemed appropriate given that prior traditional survey instruments most likely introduced researcher bias through a myopic view of safety culture. Delphi also differs by utilizing purposeful sampling versus random sampling which provides a high level of expertise to inform the research. After four rounds of inquiry with a panel of experts, a consensus was reached on 18 organizational practices that lead to a positive safety culture. This research adds to the understanding of safety culture, provides useful information for both practitioners and academic researchers, and offers launch points for extensions of the research.
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Fu, Shai-man Augustine, and 傅世民. "A delphi approach to possible changes in Hong Kong aided secondary schools in the decade 1986-1996: theimplications for school administration." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 1985. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31955459.

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Earley, Nick. "A consensus approach towards identifying pertinent therapist characteristics in Good Lives Model treatment : a research portfolio." Thesis, University of Edinburgh, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/1842/21705.

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Background: The Good Lives Model (GLM) is a novel strengths-based rehabilitation framework, the principles of which are increasingly being integrated into sexual offender treatment programmes. Previous research has suggested that positive therapist characteristics are empirically associated with treatment change in sexual offender treatment. However, considering the theoretically informed shift from a deficits-based approach to a strengths-based approach in GLM-consistent treatment (GLM-CT), it is reasonable to suggest that therapist characteristics might be reflected differently. Objective: To explore and identify, by expert opinion, what therapist characteristics are important in GLM-consistent treatment and how they might be recognised in a treatment session. Methods: A systematic review of the literature was carried out to appraise the reporting quality of studies that used the Delphi method to develop knowledge on psychotherapeutic models. The empirical study used a three-round Delphi method, a structured consensus-gathering technique, with 28 GLM experts from five different countries. The data in the first round were analysed using content analysis, and data in subsequent round were analysed using descriptive statistics. Results: The systematic review found that the reporting quality in Delphi method studies was respectable in relation to the preparatory stages; however, the reporting quality of aspects of the Delphi methodology important for interpreting the results varied. In regards to the empirical paper, experts endorsed 71 items reflecting the GLM ethos and principles in treatment, listed between twelve categories. Conclusions: The results of the present study suggested that therapeutic characteristics previously identified in sexual offending treatment are indeed important in GLM-consistent treatment. However, additional characteristics were highlighted as important by experts, including emphasis on future-focused and strengths-based language, motivational interviewing skills, flexibility with session material and a good knowledge of clients’ good lives plans. Finally, the results indicated that use of self-disclosure and directiveness in GLM-CT might need to be elucidated in future research.
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Stennett, Andrea M. "Exercise and physical activity in people with multiple sclerosis : an exploration of priorities, meanings and implications for clinical practice." Thesis, Brunel University, 2016. http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/12766.

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Aims: Exercise and physical activity have been found to be beneficial in managing disabilities caused by multiple sclerosis (MS). Despite the known benefits, people with MS (pwMS) are inactive. Research has focused on structured exercise programmes, rarely considering a broader range of activities, which pwMS integrate into everyday life. The aims of this study were to gain in-depth understanding of the priorities and meanings of exercise and physical activity from the perspective of pwMS and to explore how these might inform clinical practice. Methods: a mixed methods approach using three interconnected studies was adopted: Study 1: A four-round Delphi questionnaire scoped and determined consensus of priorities for exercise and physical activity and the reasons why pwMS (n=101) engaged in these activities. Content and statistical analyses were utilised. Study 2: Sixteen face-to-face, semi-structured interviews were conducted with pwMS to explore the meanings ascribed to exercise and physical activity in relation to the Delphi study. Study 3: Three focus groups involving 14 physiotherapists explored perceptions about exercise and physical activity. Data were analysed for studies 2 and 3 using Framework Analysis and themes developed. Results: outcome from each phase 1. Study 1 revealed that the prioritised exercise and physical activity practices and the reasons why pwMS (n=70) undertook these activities were diverse. Consensus was found for the exercise and physical activity practices (W=0.744, p < 0.0001) and the reasons why pwMS engaged in these activities (W=0.723, p < 0.0001). 2. Study 2 demonstrated that the meanings pwMS ascribed to exercise and physical activity was beyond ‘movement’ reflecting how they lived with a variable and progressive condition. Contextual factors, specifically personal factors were dominant influences. 3. Study 3 highlighted that physiotherapists shared similar views in some aspects to pwMS, however physiotherapists perceptions of exercise and physical activity were predominately influenced by their theoretical knowledge. Conclusion: The priorities and meanings ascribed to exercise and physical activity were ‘a matter of perspective’ and context driven. Understanding the strategies used by pwMS for prioritisation might help clinicians support pwMS more effectively in their decision making about exercise and physical activity. Taking this approach creates the opportunity to deliver a more focused patient-centred approach in the management of MS. Recommendations for clinical practice and further research were identified.
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Silva, Thassia Conceição Almeida da. "Key success factor ranking for intrafirm knowledge sharing: a Delphi method approach in the oil and gas industry." reponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10438/20510.

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Submitted by Thassia da Silva (tdasilva22@gmail.com) on 2018-01-18T18:07:34Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Thassia da Silva--Key Success Factor Ranking for Intrafirm Knowledge Sharing A Delphi Method Approach in the Oil and Gas Industry.pdf: 2005716 bytes, checksum: 3357ec23f1c093750910850a6e7e9434 (MD5)
Approved for entry into archive by ÁUREA CORRÊA DA FONSECA CORRÊA DA FONSECA (aurea.fonseca@fgv.br) on 2018-03-02T19:31:43Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Thassia da Silva--Key Success Factor Ranking for Intrafirm Knowledge Sharing A Delphi Method Approach in the Oil and Gas Industry.pdf: 2005716 bytes, checksum: 3357ec23f1c093750910850a6e7e9434 (MD5)
Made available in DSpace on 2018-03-12T18:57:52Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Thassia da Silva--Key Success Factor Ranking for Intrafirm Knowledge Sharing A Delphi Method Approach in the Oil and Gas Industry.pdf: 2005716 bytes, checksum: 3357ec23f1c093750910850a6e7e9434 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-12-18
Knowledge and its propagation are unquestionably at the center of most, if not all, discussions on innovation, performance, as well as other elements related to firm success. Although the literature has proposed several key success factors for knowledge sharing, it has yet to explore how these factors rank in terms of importance from a firm nationality perspective. Through a Delphi Method approach, upstream professionals from four major multinational Oil & Gas firms (Brazilian, North American, Norwegian and French), with at least seven years of experience, ranked specific literature-based proposed factors for successful intrafirm knowledge sharing. There was a total of three rounds, where the first round had 41 participants, and the remaining two rounds (second and third) had 39 participants. On average, open door policy was the most relevant factors that lead to knowledge sharing among the four firms. In terms of the least relevant ones, acknowledgement and status were seen, on average, as factors less likely to lead to intrafirm knowledge sharing.
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Fu, Shai-man Augustine. "A delphi approach to possible changes in Hong Kong aided secondary schools in the decade 1986-1996 : the implications for school administration /." Hong Kong : University of Hong Kong, 1985. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record.jsp?B18494420.

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Datay, Mohammed Ishaaq. "Developing indicators for Monitoring and evaluation of the implementation of the Primary Health Care Approach in Health Sciences at the University of Cape Town using a DELPHI method." Master's thesis, Faculty of Health Sciences, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33690.

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Background The University of Cape Town Faculty of Health Sciences (UCT FHS) adopted the Primary Health Care (PHC) approach as its lead theme for teaching, research, and clinical service in1994 Aim To develop indicators to monitor and evaluate the implementation of the PHC approach in Health Sciences Education . Method A Delphi study, conducted over two rounds, presented indicators of Social Accountability from the Training for Health Equity Network (THEnet), as well as indicators derived from the principles of the PHC approach in the UCT FHS, to a national multidisciplinary panel. An electronic questionnaire was used to score each indicator according to relevance, feasibility/measurability, and its application to undergraduate and postgraduate curricula. Qualitative feedback on the proposed indicators was also elicited. Results Round 1: Of the 59 Social Accountability indicators presented to the panel, the 20 highest ranked indicators were selected for Round 2. Qualitative feedback challenged the link between social accountability and PHC, resulting in an additional 19 PHC-specific indicators being presented in Round 2. Round 2: The indicators which scored >85% and made the final list were: PHC: Continuity of care (94%); Holistic understanding of health care (88%); Respecting human rights (88%); Providing accessible care to all (88%); and Promoting health through health education (88%). THEnet: Safety of learners (88%); Education reflects communities' needs (86%); Teaching embodies social accountability (86%); Teaching is appropriate to learners' needs (86%) Conclusion These PHC and THEnet indicators can be used to assess the implementation of PHC in Health Sciences Education. The specific indicators identified reflect priorities relevant to the local context. One limitation is that some key priority indicators did not make the final list.
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Roper, Jerry L. "A Heuristic Approach to Creating Technological Fair Use Guidelines in Higher Education." NSUWorks, 2017. http://nsuworks.nova.edu/gscis_etd/1016.

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Higher education has experienced challenges defining and implementing copyright compliance. Confusion among faculty and staff appears to be common regarding copyright and fair use. The original copyright doctrine was drafted over 200 years ago, which predates practically all technological advances that have and will continue to occur. Change is slow and onerous with most legislation; there is not much possibility the small amendments made to the law will be able to keep pace with the continual technological evolution. Further, judges are citing precedents in court rulings of copyright disputes that were made using the best interpretation of the law, even though those earlier adjudicators had nothing concrete upon which to base decisions. The cycle of loose interpretations further exacerbates the copyright and fair use problem involving technology. Moreover, this concern has been magnified due to the digital nature of lesson delivery most learning institutions are adopting today. The rapid, widespread move toward online learning methods creates an entire set of copyright and fair use circumstances that extend beyond the traditional, face-to-face pedagogical issues. Invariably, schools will be left to attempt to decide what will be considered legal and safe, often by trial and error, until clearer, universally accepted guidelines can be created. A group consensus for best practice was achieved over three rounds of surveying with the help of a Delphi panel highly experienced in copyright laws. Opinions converged early during the process, where proper fair use assessment was one of the major themes appearing during the first round. Respondents also agreed future educators will undoubtedly continue to struggle with fully understanding the intricacies of fair use. An overall consensus reached for many questions was sufficient for answering the proposed research questions and drafting a list of recommendations for technological fair use. The outcome should add to the existing knowledge base, given the limited number of studies that have been conducted regarding the complexities of copyright topics in distance and online education. Recommendations for further investigations encourages researchers to continue where this effort ends to remain current and compliant with the ubiquitous changes in technologies.
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Juneja, Parminder K. "Auditory distractions in open office settings: a multi attribute utility approach to workspace decision making." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/34771.

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In open office settings, auditory distractions coming from surrounding work environment are shown to be a considerable source of indirect costs to an organization, such as performance costs, behavioral costs, and healthcare costs, to name a few. These costs are substantial to affect the net productivity of an organization, where productivity is equal to revenue minus the costs. This research argues that the costs of auditory distractions should be estimated when evaluating the value of a workspace for an organization. However, since organizational decisions are generally guided by cost-benefit analysis and a precise dollar figure cannot be attached to the stated indirect costs because these are subjective in nature; therefore, these are generally ignored. Costs that are critical to sustainability and development of a business and the fact that cost-benefit approach is no longer appropriate for these decisions, a more robust decision-based approach to workspace selection is proposed. Decision-based approach is seen as an organized approach to select between workspace options under uncertainty and risk wherein the selected workspace is maximized in terms of some expected utility. Here utility is defined as the measurement of strength or intensity of a person's preferences. Decision-based approach include consideration of a multitude of environmental decision variables, objective or subjective, in a single equation and processing of the same in a limited amount of time with rationality and consistency. A multi-attribute workspace choice utility decision model is developed with the intent to facilitate systematic understanding and analysis of workspace alternatives for an organization. This research shows how the decision-making approach to workspace selection simplifies the problem by providing a structure that is easily comprehensible, and allows simultaneous processing of both, qualitative and quantitative conflicting objectives, through a single decision-making model. In doing so, this research firmly establishes the importance of workspace's adaptability to auditory distractions for office workers, particularly knowledge workers, who are constantly undertaking a range of complex tasks. The study holistically and systematically addresses the fundamental issue prevalent in state-of-the-art North American open plan office settings of substantiality of two extremely contrasting requirements, concentration and collaboration, in the same workspace and work environment at a given time.
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Books on the topic "DELPHI method approach"

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Establishing a basis for the development of an undergraduate curriculum in recreation and leisure studies in Brazil: A Delphi approach. 1989.

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Establishing a basis for the development of an undergraduate curriculum in recreation and leisure studies in Brazil: A Delphi approach. 1988.

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Comparative Analysis on the Cost of Oversight for the New National Security Space Acquisition Policy- A Delphi Method Approach. Storming Media, 2004.

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Book chapters on the topic "DELPHI method approach"

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Mazlan, Nurulhasanah, Sharifah Sakinah Syed Ahmad, and Massila Kamalrudin. "A Crowdsourcing Approach for Volunteering System Using Delphi Method." In Innovative Computing, Optimization and Its Applications, 237–53. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-66984-7_14.

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Kardaras, Dimitris K., Xenia J. Mamakou, Bill Karakostas, and George Gkourakoukis. "An Approach to Hotel Services Dynamic Pricing Based on the Delphi Method and Fuzzy Cognitive Maps." In IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology, 557–66. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-41142-7_56.

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Papanaoum, Dimitrios, Georgios Palantzas, Theodoros Chrysanidis, and Dimitrios Nalmpantis. "The Impact of Megatrends on the Transition from Car-Ownership to Carsharing: A Delphi Method Approach." In Advances in Mobility-as-a-Service Systems, 515–24. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61075-3_51.

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Wang, Lijing, Yanlong Wang, Wenjun Dong, Dayong Dong, and Xiuli Shu. "A Novel Approach for Comprehensive Evaluation of Flight Deck Ergonomic Design: Delphi-Order Relation Analysis (ORA) Method and Improved Radar Chart." In Engineering Psychology and Cognitive Ergonomics, 464–75. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-40030-3_45.

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Haynes, Christine A., and Kaye Shelton. "Delphi Method in a Digital Age." In Advances in Library and Information Science, 132–51. IGI Global, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/978-1-5225-5164-5.ch009.

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With the rapid advancement of online survey tools, research collaboration tools, communication platforms, and statistical analysis tools, the Delphi method is an increasingly popular research approach to gain insight from experts into complex problems or when future-oriented planning is required. This chapter focuses on practical considerations and implications for practice when conducting studies online using the Delphi method. Practical logistics for the management of online Delphi studies explored in this chapter include preparing for a successful study, designing communication strategies, addressing technological considerations, and handling of qualitative and quantitative data.
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Zahidy, Abd Hamid, Noor Azlinna Azizan, and Shahryar Sorooshian. "An Analytical Algorithm for Delphi Method for Consensus Building and Organizational Productivity." In Advances in Business Information Systems and Analytics, 62–79. IGI Global, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/978-1-5225-0654-6.ch004.

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The Delphi technique is being increasingly used in many complex areas where a consensus is to be reached. In such an environment, the Delphi technique allows researchers to acquire high quality, unbiased information from a panel of certified experts. Despite its vast uses, the Delphi method has seen a lack of consistent procedural guidance for its application. A review of literature revealed a significant variation in methodological approach of the method. The purpose of this paper is to develop a practical algorithm for the Delphi study application based on the literature review and the authors' practiced experiences. A few modifications are suggested to make the Delphi study more practical in research and decision making. Using the guidelines provided by this paper, it is expected that the reader may better understand the appropriate application and procedure of the modified Delphi process.
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Alexandri, Danae, and Maria Tsirintani. "Scientific Model Application “Smart Personalized Telecare Approach in Primary Healthcare”." In Studies in Health Technology and Informatics. IOS Press, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/shti210970.

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This research endeavor is based on the theoretical model of smart personalized telecare approach. As a research hypothesis, the model has the potential to develop utility during the mass crisis effect of Covid-19 pandemic. It will be tested for its applicability in two parallel dimensions for the utilization of the properties of the Delphi research method by tele-monitoring mild cases of Covid-19, because during the pandemic the meaning of holistic health has been shown as a supplementary good to every human activity and the technology of information and communication converts the healthcare into a generally sufficient service with the appropriate cost-management.
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Polat, Erkan. "An Approach for Land-Use Suitability Assessment Using Decision Support Systems, AHP and GIS." In Data Mining, 2153–73. IGI Global, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/978-1-4666-2455-9.ch110.

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Nowadays, analysis of land-use suitability requires consideration of variety of criteria including not only natural/physical capacity of a land unit but also socio-economic and environmental impact implications. This chapter suggests an approach instead of typical synthesis and land-use suitability assessment methods that is used in the urban and regional planning. Using the decision support systems with AHP and GIS, a participative, GIS-supported, different, new, flexible, and soft approach is proposed for land-use suitability assessment of cities and regions in particular. The chapter presents a technique integrating SWOT-CATWOE analysis, the Delphi and Inquiry Technique, the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), and a Geographic Information System (GIS) to evaluate the land-use suitability for cities. By the help of this study, settlement suitability analyses have been achieved according to the socio-economic and infrastructure, environmental or physical thresholds of the settlement, and this integration could benefit urban planners and decision makers. The proposed method begins with the identification of settlement requirements, followed by the derivation of settlement evaluation criteria with SWOT-CATWOE analysis and the Delphi and Inquiry Technique. Then, pairwise comparisons (PC matrices) are formed between each pair of settlement criteria. The AHP is used to measure the relative importance or weight of each settlement criterion. This chapter has intended a theoretical and scientific base for an AHP and GIS combination with decision support systems. Thus, when land-use suitability assessment has taken as this combination of decision support systems, AHP and GIS, more realistic, more accurate, and applicable results emerge.
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Balan, Valerii. "FUZZY EVALUATION OF THE COMPETITIVENESS OF BUSINESS MODELS OF ENTERPRISES." In Economic development strategies: micro, macro and mesoeconomic levels. Publishing House “Baltija Publishing”, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.30525/978-9934-26-191-6-22.

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The study analyzes the factors that are determinants of competitiveness of business models of enterprises. The methodological approach to the comparative assessment of the competitiveness of business models of enterprises using the tools of fuzzy sets theory and fuzzy logic, which allows to take into account the fuzzy information received from specialists and experts, is developed. CANVAS business model criteria are considered as evaluation criteria. Two calculation schemes for analyzing the competitiveness of business models of enterprises have been implemented. The first was implemented using fuzzy multi-criteria evaluation methods, in particular, the Fuzzy TOPSIS method. The second scheme is based on Mamdani’s fuzzy inference algorithm. The fuzzy Delphi method is proposed to ensure the consistency of expert evaluations. The methodological approach is practically implemented as a framework in the Matlab computing system. The developed methodological approach can be useful in competitive analysis and strategic planning of the enterprise.
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Brady, Shane R. "The Delphi Method." In Handbook of Methodological Approaches to Community-Based Research, 61–68. Oxford University Press, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/med:psych/9780190243654.003.0007.

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Conference papers on the topic "DELPHI method approach"

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Jautelat, Verena, and Alexander Clauss. "A Delphi Method Approach to Develop Anchor Examples for the Self-evaluation of Corporate Community Managers." In 14th International Conference on Computer Supported Education. SCITEPRESS - Science and Technology Publications, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.5220/0011070800003182.

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Lu, Xin, and Hong-tao Fan. "Study on the risk assessment approach of port facility security based on a comprehensive model of Delphi method, analytic hierarchy process, grey theory and fuzzy evaluation method." In 2015 International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS). IEEE, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ictis.2015.7232095.

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Ivanovska, Nika, and Violeta Cvetkovska. "INVESTIGATING THE VOLUNTARY EMPLOYEE TURNOVER IN IT COMPANIES IN THE REPUBLIC OF NORTH MACEDONIA: A DELPHI APPROACH." In Economic and Business Trends Shaping the Future. Ss Cyril and Methodius University, Faculty of Economics-Skopje, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.47063/ebtsf.2020.0028.

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Globally, the voluntary turnover of labor is an inevitable reality which every organization must face. The voluntary mobilization means that a person leaves the organization as a result of a personal decision, whereas for the organization it is a loss of a specific knowledge, skills and abilities. Therefore, to keep the talents inside the organization, the human resources specialists have to be proactive instead of reactive. Bearing in mind the high level of turnover and deficit of labor in the IT sector in the Republic of North Macedonia, being able to keep the quality employees is a challenge for the domestic companies in this sector. The human resource management is requested to apply specific measures that will affect the process of keeping the talents in the organization and will keep the organizational performance on a long term. The purpose of this paper is to identify the key factors that lead to a voluntary turnover of the IT employees in the country and to show how in modern conditions the human resource management manages the labor turnover. An empirical research has been made with the qualitative method for forecasting - Delphi where the analysis sample is constructed by human resource managers of IT companies in the Republic of North Macedonia. The obtained results are presented and analyzed and they show valuable insights for the management of the IT companies in North Macedonia.
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Jabbari, Ebrahim, and Chokeanand Bussracumpakorn. "The Effects of Website Design Quality on the Success Rate of Online Web Design Agency." In 13th International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics (AHFE 2022). AHFE International, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.54941/ahfe1001703.

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This study aims to investigate the effect of website design quality on the success rate of the online website design agency. This research studies the impact of the design quality of the websites on customer behavior and purchase intention of novice and experienced clients. A questionnaire was used to conduct the research. To develop a questionnaire, some variables or indicators were needed to evaluate hypotheses. Since there were no standard questionnaires with specific indicators to check the objectives, the Delphi (Fuzzy Delphi Method) method is being utilized to obtain enough information to decide on the indicators. The study population included a random sample of people from all walks of life. To collect the data, 120 questionnaires were distributed among the sample group. The results indicated that the customers' initial and sustained purchase intents are most likely influenced by the design quality of a web design agency’s website and overall design quality, presentation of their services, all-in-one service offering, the higher number of visitors, option for online payment, customer trust, and word-of-mouth has a positive impact on the success of the business. The findings show clear differences between how experienced and novice clients approach the web design agency’s website.
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Severin, Irina, Gabriela Nalbitoru, and Mihai Caramihai. "Health and occupational risks analysis in custom border offices." In Intelligent Human Systems Integration (IHSI 2022) Integrating People and Intelligent Systems. AHFE International, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.54941/ahfe1001040.

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In line with National and European regulations, containing recommendations on the application of legal safety and health requirements for work and for the use of work equipment, the risk analysis has been conducted for two different positions in custom border offices, such as: the custom officer, acting in the non-destructive control department and the customs laboratory (lab physician, biologist, chemical engineer, biochemist). This article aims to present the risk analysis performed using the national method for assessing the risks of accidents and occupational diseases of workers, in order to facilitate the fulfilment of obligations of employers in the prevention of risks at work. The results are compared with those obtained using questionnaires method, based on Delphi approach. Finally, recommendations are addressed to all interested parties, such as: employers and workers in operational processes. A brief action plan for custom border offices is drafted.
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Palihakkara, A. D., and B. A. K. S. Perera. "IDENTIFICATION OF SIGNIFICANT RISK FACTORS OF GUARANTEED MAXIMUM PRICE (GMP) CONTRACTS." In The 9th World Construction Symposium 2021. The Ceylon Institute of Builders - Sri Lanka, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.31705/wcs.2021.30.

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The construction industry is a risk-prone industry where projects are implemented in a dynamic environment with frequent exposure to various uncertainties. A construction contract is a document that allocates the risks associated with a construction project among the project stakeholders. Guaranteed Maximum Price (GMP) contracts have become popular as a project delivery method because they provide the client with a high degree of cost certainty through a fixed price cap that the contractor cannot exceed. However, most of the GMP projects are risky. Thus, the significant risk factors of GMP projects have to be identified to ensure their successful completion. This study, therefore, aimed to identify and rank the most significant risk factors present in GMP contracts. The study adopted a quantitative approach, which included a Delphi survey conducted in two rounds and a statistical analysis of the survey data. The most significant risk factors associated with GMP contracts were ranked according to their impact on the projects and their probability of occurrence (severity). Poorly defined scope of work and design changes were found to be the most significant risk factors associated with GMP contracts. The other significant risk factors of the projects are related to the scope of work, design, documentation, unfamiliarity with the GMP concept, agreed GMP value, and financial failures of the client and contractor.
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GOMBITOVÁ, Dagmar. "Integrating Delphi and AHP methods in long-term policy decisions." In Current Trends in Public Sector Research. Brno: Masaryk University Press, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.5817/cz.muni.p210-9646-2020-2.

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This paper presents the application of expert decision methods for the formulation and prioritisation of the long-term economic, social and environmental policies in the Slovak Republic. The Partnership Agreement for the Slovak Republic is an underlying strategy for investments from the European Structural and Investment Funds in the period 2021-2027. Policies implemented under the Partnership Agreement will allocate €13.4b on four policy objectives. This paper concentrates on the policy objective 4 ‘Social development’. The authors co-operated with the Deputy Prime Minister Office and assembled panels of top Slovak experts on social and economic issues. The Delphi and Analytical hierarchy process methods were combined for analysing major development challenges and eliciting policy priorities. The methods combined the bottom-up and top-down approaches to policy making. Consecutive rounds of the ‘classical Delphi’ generated consensus by experts on major development challenges of the Slovak Republic in period 2021-2027. The ‘policy Delphi’ encouraged structured public dialogue in order to generate policy alternatives for solving development challenges. The Analytical Hierarchy Process enabled the structuring of complex policy decision problems. A hierarchy of decision goals, decision alternatives and decision criteria was constructed. Some nine policy measures were drafted and prioritised.
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Poranki, Srikanth, Nagen Nagarur, and Krishnaswami Srihari. "Mapping Growth of an Emerging Technology: A Case Study of Flexible Electronics." In ASME 2009 InterPACK Conference collocated with the ASME 2009 Summer Heat Transfer Conference and the ASME 2009 3rd International Conference on Energy Sustainability. ASMEDC, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/interpack2009-89315.

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Technological innovation is viewed as one of the main economic multipliers. In high-technology sectors, with intense competition and short product life cycles, failure to detect an emerging technology could be devastating to both incumbent technology pursuers and innovators. Firms typically employ methods such as a Delphi method, Technology growth curves or technology road-mapping methods to identify and forecast growth. Some of these methods are based on a life cycle approach where a technology is expected to follow an S-curve and then become obsolete in due time, which is analogous to market diffusion of products. In the case of emerging technologies, forecasting methods are not always reliable due to lack of historical data. Hence, both qualitative and quantitative methods are employed to forecast; however, there are risks associated with both of these methods. A general consensus in technology forecasting community is to apply multiple methods for forecasting. In the last few decades there has been explosion of new technologies, especially in the high-technology sector of electronics. Several new applications such as Large Area Displays (several square feet in area), low cost electronics (e.g. RFID tags being manufactured for pennies or cents per unit) and body conformable electronic applications are a few of a long and growing list. The aforementioned applications could broadly be categorized to form a new and emerging field of electronics called flexible electronics. These applications utilize the rugged lightweight plastics to potentially offer attractive characteristics such as low-cost processing, mechanical flexibility, large area coverage, etc. these characteristics are not easily implemented with established silicon technologies. This research analyzes flexible electronics technology by first identifying a few key innovations. Patent and publications data are collected and technology growth curves based on the indicators would be generated, and compared with those of incumbent technology innovations, to assess technology growth potential. Based on the study, technology adoption strategies would also be recommended by which business leaders could anticipate and plan for the effects of these innovations.
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Cao, Tao, Huabing Zhang, Honglong Zheng, Yufeng Yang, and Xin Wang. "Quantitative HAZOP Risk Analysis for Oil Tanks Using the Fuzzy Set Theory." In 2012 9th International Pipeline Conference. American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/ipc2012-90206.

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Oil storage tanks are identified as the major hazard installations because of the hazard of huge fire & explosion. Evaluating the risk and controlling the danger is the advancement of accident prevention and the compulsory requirement of laws. HAZOP (Hazard and Operability Analysis), is a simple but intensive, systematic, qualitative risk analytical method, is an important technique for the identification of hidden hazards in operation of tank facility. It can only qualitatively account for potential risks, but cannot quantify their possibility and severity. Thus, research involving HAZOP quantitative analysis has become an area of focus. Due to uncertainty of deviation probability in the traditional HAZOP analysis, this paper discusses a new approach of HAZOP quantitative analysis, combining HAZOP with fuzzy set theory to calculate the possibilities of deviation and consequence quantitatively. The evaluation process and technique route of risk analysis is also brought forward in this paper. Based on the traditional HAZOP analysis, the typical outputs of a HAZOP analysis can be achieved, including identification of possible deviation states, identification of the possible causes for deviations and probable worst case consequence. Next, according to fuzzy evaluation of some HAZOP experts on deviation by means of their knowledge, the triangular fuzzy-number is introduced in this paper to conduct quantitative calculation. Based on the fuzzy set theory, combining Delphi method and judging matrix method, the linguistic values are transformed into triangular fuzzy numbers. The probability of deviation is evaluated by fuzzy cut and raking method of fuzzy numbers. Finally, the probability of consequence caused by deviation is evaluated. A complete quantitative risk analysis example for oil tank is conducted, the probabilities of deviations and incident consequence are computed, the quantitative risk is determined and reasonable mitigations of the storage tanks are given. It is shown that the proposed approach is advanced and practicable to make a quantitative assessment on the risk of existing deviation, which is helpful for risk managers to bring forward the suggested measure and regulate the hidden hazards.
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Dangelmaier, Manfred, Wilhelm Bauer, and Zimu Chen. "Interdisciplinary Communication and Advice under Uncertainty in a Pandemic." In 13th International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics (AHFE 2022). AHFE International, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.54941/ahfe1001356.

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Communication in a pandemic is difficult and complex. It is characterized by volatile situations associated with a high degree of uncertainty and, in some cases, social divergence in groups and societies. Orientation is expected, by politicians and individuals, from science. However, sciences are only fulfilling the expectations to a limited extent. We demonstrate that there are severe weaknesses in holistic and interdisciplinary communication in the pandemic and show that established tools from management are neglected and overlooked.We then analyze the specific needs of scientific reasoning in pandemic situations such as •a rational approach integrating both estimates and explicit evidence;•expressing and quantifying uncertainty; •considering interdisciplinary aspects in advice and decision making;•the ability to deal with ethical aspects;•simple updates with new findings and evidence.In a third step we compare from literature and own experience existing methods from management science for their suitability against those needs. We find that many of the interdisciplinary tools are deterministic, like Multi Criteria Analyses, and do not support uncertainty. The frequently adopted linear computation of utility values leads to ethical issues. Foresight methods like Delphi or Scenario methods deal with uncertainty and subjectivity. But they are not designed to integrate strong evidence. Strategic planning tools like roadmaps are comprehensible but disappoint in volatile situations. Probabilistic decision making with expected utilities is too complex and suffers from missing data. Heuristics at the other hand are simple but do not allow for comprehensive reasoning. We then argue in a fourth step to use probability in communication and to apply it to decision making in the pandemic. We propose a simple one-step method with a calculus based on Bayes’ theorem and calculate the probabilities of alternative courses of action being the best un der given conditios. With examples we show how arguments from various scientific disciplines can be integrated in decision making and adjusted as new evidence appears. Furthermore, we provide a role model and show by examples how scientists, scientific consultants and decision makers can cooperate and communicate using the method.We conclude that the method fulfils the identified needs to a high degree and is worth to be further developed. We show its epistemic and scientific limitations and give an outlook how likelihood functions may be used to replace negotiated likelihoods by parametric and model based values.
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