Academic literature on the topic 'Cyclical economic development'
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Journal articles on the topic "Cyclical economic development"
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Квітка, С. А. "Public administration and cyclical mechanisms socio-economic development." PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION ASPECTS 4, no. 1-2 (February 4, 2016): 26–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.15421/1516003.
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The article discusses the cyclical mechanisms of socio-economic development as one of kinds of natural cycles. The author notes that in all cases the basis of the self-oscillations are cyclical. And they are only possible with the constant influx of three resources - en-ergy, matter and information. On this basis, it is noted that the self-organization of co-herent structures, regardless of their Genesis, is due to intrinsically contradictory unity of two interacting types of resource flows - energy, matter and information – And-stream forming system, and the In-flow that will disrupt her. The cycle of development of sys-tems consists of two components: one that describes the development of a system with positive saturation, according to a logistic law (A>B); and another describing the devel-opment of the system with negative saturation (<A), which also occurs according to the logistic law. In all cases, the process is directed to A=B. Any development of social sys-tems can be divided into several types, among which are the following: 1) the conformal cycle (self-similar) development is dynamic - equilibrium state; 2) the evolutionary cycle of revolutions; 3) the evolutionary cycle of disasters. The author also considers the peculiarities of external influence on state control of economies by the countries-leaders who have the ability to regulate access to resources - energy, matter and information.
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Baladayi Nazarov, Javidan. "Legal regulation of cycle economic development and phases of cycles." SCIENTIFIC WORK 61, no. 12 (December 25, 2020): 174–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.36719/2663-4619/61/174-178.
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The subject of the article covers issues that have been relevant since the last century. The study of economic fluctuations, the study of their causes allows us to make proposals to eliminate its negative consequences. Frequent crises since the early twentieth century necessitate the expansion of research in this area. The peculiarities of cyclic phases require different approaches and problem-oriented regulatory policies. For this reason, it is necessary to pursue an adequate state policy. Normative legal acts, laws and decisions are the main tools of legal regulation. Steps are also being taken to reduce the negative effects of the cyclical phases used by the Central Bank and other banking and financial institutions Key words: crisis, economic development, cyclical phases, government regulation, legal norms, financial crisis, fiscal and monetary policy, legal regulation
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Katanayev, N. T., N. A. Arkatova, and D. I. Kozlov. "Features of cyclical development of the automotive industry." Izvestiya MGTU MAMI 7, no. 1-5 (September 10, 2013): 166–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.17816/2074-0530-67862.
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The state of automotive industry of the Russian Federation is analyzed on the basis of the relative performance of the industrial output in terms of ever-changing macro-economic factors affecting the production activities of enterprises in the last half-century.
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Kitrar, L. A., and T. M. Lipkind. "Development of Composite Indicators of Cyclical Response in Business Surveys." Voprosy statistiki 28, no. 2 (May 3, 2021): 24–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2021-28-2-24-41.
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The article proposes a new set of composite indicators-predictors in business tendency surveys, which allow identifying early information signals of a cyclical nature in the economic behavior of business agents. The main criterion for the efficiency of such indicators is their sensitivity to a cyclical pattern and changes in the dynamics of statistical referents. Property such as a statistically significant lead in time series or earlier publication allows them to be combined into indicators of early response. The composite Business Activity Indicator (BAI) in the basic sectors of the Russian economy is calculated by the authors for the first time based on the results of regular (monthly and quarterly) business surveys of Rosstat for 1998–2020 with a large-scale coverage of sampling units. In 2020, the number of survey respondents averaged about 20,000 organizations of all sizes. The index reflects the «common» profile in the dynamics of short-term fluctuations of the key parameters of the economic environment, which consists of the «balances of opinions» of respondents to the questions unified for all sectoral surveys and connected with the reference quantitative statistics with cross-correlation coefficients that are statistically significantly different from zero, with a lead at least one quarter. This is its main difference from the well-known indices of economic sentiment and entrepreneurial confidence. The main components of the BAI are the new composite indices of real demand, current output, real employment, total profits and economic situation. They aggregate the relevant «order» statistics for the basic sectors of the national economy, including the main kinds of industrial activities, retail trade, construction, and services.The article provides a methodological substantiation and an extended procedure for identifying the BAI components; their composition is formed for the entire set of retrospective results of business tendency monitoring in Russia. A new Aggregate Economic Vulnerability Indicator with a counterdirectional profile and varying degrees of symmetry of its dynamics relative to the short-term movement of the BAI is being introduced as the main limitation of business activity. Proactive monitoring of emerging vulnerabilities in the business environment is necessary to warn their large-scale accumulation, prevent the risks of economic downturns and ensure the highest possible macroeconomic stability. This integrated approach makes it possible to determine the novelty of the proposed measurements of short-term cyclical fluctuations in economic development.
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Kostiana, O., O. Naydenko, V. Tyschenko, and V. Ostapenko. "CUSTOMS POLICY OF UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF CYCLICAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT." Financial and credit activity: problems of theory and practice 3, no. 34 (September 30, 2020): 351–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.18371/fcaptp.v3i34.215562.
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ZHANG, WEI-BIN. "Cyclical economic development with international non-instantaneous transfer of technical knowledge." International Journal of Systems Science 20, no. 2 (February 1989): 311–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00207728908910128.
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Matoušková, Eleonóra. "CYCLICAL FLUCTUATIONS IN THE ECONOMIES OF V4 COUNTRIES." EUrASEANs: journal on global socio-economic dynamics, no. 6(25) (November 30, 2020): 26–36. http://dx.doi.org/10.35678/2539-5645.6(25).2020.26-36.
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The Visegrad Four (V4) countries, which include Slovak Republic, Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary, are trying to catch up with the economic development and living standards of their more developed neighbours. The brake on this are economic recessions that regularly occur within market economies. The objective of this article is to assess the economic development in the V4 countries, in particular on the basis of development in the main macroeconomic indicator, which is GDP. All these countries went through two recessions in the 2008-2020 period. The first was the recession caused by the spillover of the global financial and economic crisis from the USA to Europe and thus to the V4 countries. During this crisis, the largest decrease was recorded in Hungary and in Slovak Republic. The second, and even stronger, economic crisis affecting the entire world economy and hence the V4 countries too is the current crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic and the measures taken to prevent its further spread. The highest decrease in GDP is projected in Slovak Republic (at -10.3%) and the lowest in Poland (at -4.3%).
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Yakovleva, Elena A. "Cyclic Economy in a Globalized World." SHS Web of Conferences 74 (2020): 06032. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/20207406032.
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The article is devoted to solving the problems of the development of a cyclical economy in the conditions of globalization, since the further development of society while maintaining the current growth rates of production and consumption with increasing population can lead to a global catastrophe. The traditional development model is based on intensive industrial growth and resource-intensive infrastructure. In a global cyclical economy, it is necessary to separate economic growth from resource consumption, focusing on preserving value in order to protect ecosystems and natural capital. The aim of the work is to develop tools for the transition to a cyclical economy in the context of globalization. The research methodology is based on an analysis of international and national legislation, scientific publications and ongoing projects for building elements of a cyclical economy. To model the development of cyclical development in the context of globalization, economic opportunities are identified based on specific indicators and identified barriers for which solutions and policy options are developed. For the practical implementation of the ideas of a cyclical economy, government measures are needed to overcome institutional, economic and political barriers. The transition to a cyclical economy leads to an increase in transaction costs, uncertainty, opportunistic behavior. The concept of a cyclical economy is global in nature and represents a systemic shift that shapes long-term sustainability, creates economic opportunities and provides environmental and social benefits.
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Yaskova, Natalia Yur'ievna. "METHODOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF ECONOMIC EVENTS CYCLICITY METHOD CONSIDERATION." Vestnik MGSU, no. 6 (June 2017): 680–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.22227/1997-0935.2017.6.680-686.
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The cyclicity of economic phenomena is not only their immanent property but also the subject of economic analysis. The modern way of making managerial decisions requires analysis of a number of cycles that fill any kind of activity. Accounting and reconciliation of construction, design, investment, purchasing, reproduction, leasing and other cycles is important for the investment and construction sector, both from the point of view of the need for their synchronization and from the position of determining trends in sectoral development. The analysis has showed that three main types of development are characteristic for investment and construction activity. Increasing intensity is inherent in a high level of cyclic synchronization. The degradation trend arises as a result of mismatched cycles. The stabilization character is inherent in the regular modes of maintaining the established proportions and cyclical inter-conformity. The study of the cyclical nature of investment and building processes is impossible without understanding their co-ordination. The principles of synchronization and subordination of the cycles should be used not only for the construction of cost-effective systems but also for the development of management tools.
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LYAPINA, I. R., T. A. ZHURAVLEVA, and I. V. SKOBLIAKOVA. "SOCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND THEIR IMPACT ON THE CYCLICAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE ECONOMY." Central Russian Journal of Social Sciences 16, no. 4 (2021): 133–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.22394/2071-2367-2021-16-4-133-147.
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The purpose of the research is to study of the features of the influence of social institutions on the cyclicality and dynamics of economic development in the context of identifying the role of social institutions at individual phases of the cycle of economic development, as well as consideration of the functions and tools of social institutions by phases of economic development. The subject of the research is a set of roles, functions and tools of social institutions related to different phases of the cycle of economic development. The methodological base is formed for the implementation of scientific research tasks. Its tools are methods that allow reflecting the features of the influence of social institutions on the cyclical nature of the economy: the method of theoretical foundations, the method of grouping, the method of analysis, the method of comparison, the method of implication. As a result of the study, it is indicated that the functions of social institutions should be highlighted: the consolidation of emerging social relations, adaptation, regulatory processes, a communication basis and a translational basis. The instruments that influence economic fluctuations are formed in the context of social institutions. Thus, the institution of the family is characterized by the use of an optimization mechanism, the concept of sustainability of social relations, the concept of production and distribution of economic benefits in order to meet the needs of each of the subjects.
Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Cyclical economic development"
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Ogawa, Hikaru, Koji Kitaura, and Sayaka Yakita. "Multiple Equilibria arising from the Donor’s Aid Policy in Economic Development." 名古屋大学大学院経済学研究科附属国際経済政策研究センター, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/2237/14046.
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Ревякін, Г. В. "Закономірності циклічного розвитку глобальної економічної системи (автореферат)." Thesis, ХНУ імені В. Н. Каразіна, 2018. http://dspace.univer.kharkov.ua/handle/123456789/14175.
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Дисертація присвячена поглибленню теоретико-методичних засад дослідження особливостей циклічного розвитку глобальної економічної системи та стабілізації економічного розвитку України. Досліджено наукове підґрунтя та охарактеризовано закономірності існування економічних циклів. Удосконалено поняття економічного циклу, який запропоновано розуміти як особливий тип періодичних коливань економічної активності навколо довгострокового тренду, що були викликані особливостями функціонування власне економічної системи та низкою зовнішніх чинників, які виявляються у волатильній природі більшості макроекономічних показників. Розроблено й обґрунтовано товарно-орієнтований підхід до природи економічних циклів, що базується на життєвому циклі товарів, які обертаються на ринку. У межах цього підходу стадії життєвого циклу товару ототожнюються з фазами економічного циклу. Таким чином, нині відомі економічні цикли з різним періодом відповідають життєвому циклу товарів з аналогічним періодом їх обертання на ринку. Розроблено модель динаміки економічної системи, що складається з моделі економічного зростання Р. Солоу та циклічної складової, яка об’єднує економічні цикли різної періодичності. На базі моделі запропоновано алгоритм прогнозування економічної динаміки з урахуванням економічних циклів, методологічною основою якого є метод «сірого ящика», згідно з яким економічний тренд виступає як визначена (невідома) складова, а економічні цикли є предметом вивчення моделі. Практичне застосування алгоритму прогнозування побудовано на використанні фільтра Ходріка-Прескотта як методу детрендизації й швидкого перетворення Фур’є як методу спектрального аналізу циклічної складової. За допомогою запропонованої моделі циклічної динаміки економічних систем проаналізовано динаміку світового ВВП у період 1960-2016 рр., а також складено прогноз до 2021 р. Доведено, що динаміка розвитку світової економіки протягом періоду дослідження мала циклічний характер із явно вираженим 16річним циклом. Циклічність економічної активності простежується в таких макроекономічних показниках, як темпи зростання ВВП, темпи інфляції, рівень безробіття, а також рівень іноземних прямих інвестицій. Завдяки запропонованій моделі циклічної динаміки економічних систем виявлено 8-річні цикли в динаміці прямих іноземних інвестицій та динаміці угод зі злиття й поглинання, які активізуються в точках екстремуму економічного циклу. За результатами дослідження виявлено закономірності протікання економічних циклів у межах глобальної економічної системи: економічні цикли в розвинених країнах мають випереджальний характер стосовно країн, що розвиваються; амплітуда економічних коливань навколо довгострокового тренду в країнах, що розвиваються, в 1,9 раз більша, ніж у розвинених країнах; високі темпи економічного зростання відповідають більшому ступеню волатильності темпів економічного розвитку; міжнародна торгівля відіграє головну роль у синхронізації економічних процесів у масштабі глобальної економічної системи; динаміка чистого експорту й поточного рахунка платіжного балансу в розвинених країнах і країнах, що розвиваються, має зворотно пропорційний характер; динаміка прямих іноземних інвестицій тісно корелює з фазами економічних циклів. Визначено головну мету економічної політики держави, якою слід вважати забезпечення динамічної стійкості, що передбачає підтримання стабільних показників економічного зростання в заданих межах. Для досягнення стабільності економічного розвитку державне регулювання економіки має базуватися на основі дії вбудованих стабілізаторів, до яких ми відносимо автоматичну зміну податкових надходжень і платежів залежно від фази економічного циклу. Розроблено економетричну модель динаміки економічного зростання України на базі моделей класу ARIMA, що розкриває сутність особливостей протікання економічних циклів у національній економіці України на сучасному етапі, а також чинники, що визначають параметри економічних циклів у національному масштабі. Визначено організаційно-економічні засади підвищення рівня міжнародної конкурентоспроможності України в контексті її адаптації до нестабільного глобального економічного простору з метою мінімізації негативних чинників циклічності розвитку глобальної економічної системи та прискорення динаміки економічного зростання. Ключові слова: глобальна економічна система, світова економіка, економічний цикл, цикл ділової активності, циклічність економічного розвитку, економічна криза, канали синхронізації економічних процесів, модель динаміки економічної системи, антициклічна економічна політика. The dissertation for a Candidate Degree in Economics. Speciality 08.00.02 – World Economy and International Economic Relations. – V.N. Karazin Kharkiv National University, Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine, Kharkiv, 2018. The dissertation provides a deeper theoretical and methodological grounding for the studies of global economic system cyclical development and stability of Ukrainian economic development. The study examined scientific arguments and characterized the patterns of existing economic cycles. As a result of combination of the groups of theories, the definition of economic cycle was refined and put forward as a special type of periodic fluctuations in economic activity around the long-term trend, caused by internal features of the economic system and by a set of external factors that manifest themselves through volatility of most macroeconomic indicators. The dissertation proposes a new product based approach to the study of economic cycles, which considers life-cycle of goods circulating in the market. Within this approach, the product life-cycle stages are identified with the phases of economic cycle. On this ground, the well-known economic cycles of different periods correspond to the life-cycle of goods with a similar period of circulation in the market. The results of this study construct a model of economic system dynamics, which consists from R. Solow economic growth model and cyclical component that includes economic cycles with different periodicity. Based on this model, an algorithm for predicting economic performance that takes into account economic cycles was developed. This algorithm is based on the grey box method, according to which the economic trend is a predefined component, and economic cycles become the subject of the model study. Practical application of the prediction algorithm is based on the Hodrick-Prescott filter as a method of detrending and Fast Fourier Transform as a method of spectral analysis of the cyclic component. With the help of the proposed model of economic system cyclical performance, the dynamics of world GDP in the period between 1960-2016 was analysed, and a forecast was made up to 2021. It is argued then that the world economy development performance during the period viewed contains a prominent 16-year long cycle. The cyclic features of economic activity were traced in such macroeconomic indicators as GDP growth rate, inflation rate, unemployment rate, as well as the amount of foreign direct investment. On the basis of the proposed model of cyclical economic system dynamics, we can define 8-year long cycles in foreign direct investment dynamics and in mergers and acquisitions agreements, triggered at the extremes of the economic cycle. The results of the study revealed certain patterns of economic cycles that take place within the global economic system: economic cycles in developed countries are fast-paced compared to developing countries; the amplitude of economic fluctuations around the long-term trend in developing countries is 1.9 times more than in developed countries; high economic growth rates correspond to high volatility in economic development rates; international trade plays a major role in synchronization of economic processes in the global economic system; net exports and current account balance performance in developed and developing countries are indirectly proportional; foreign direct investment performance is closely related to economic cycle phases. The study also defines the main goal of government economic policy, which needs to ensure dynamic consistency that presupposes stable economic growth within the given frames. To achieve stable economic development, government regulation of the economy should be based on the built-in stabilizers, to which we include automatic change in tax revenues and payments, depending on the business cycle phase. The thesis develops an econometric model of Ukrainian economic growth dynamics based on ARIMA models, revealing the essence of economic cycles in Ukrainian national economy at its present stage, as well as the factors determining parameters of economic cycles on a national scale.
Organizational and economic foundations for increasing Ukraine’s international competitiveness with the purpose of adapting to the volatile global economic space, were determined in order to reduce the negative effect of global economic system cyclical development and accelerate the economic growth. Keywords: global economic system, world economy, economic cycle, business cycle, cyclical economic development, economic crisis, economic processes synchronization channels, model of dynamics of the economic system, anti-cyclical economic policy.
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Карпенко, Інна Володимирівна, Инна Владимировна Карпенко, and Inna Volodymyrivna Karpenko. "Фінансове забезпечення екологоорієнтованого розвитку регіону." Thesis, Вид-во СумДУ, 2014. http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/36657.
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У дисертації досліджено особливості фінансування екологоорієнтованого розвитку, проведено теоретичний аналіз впливу екологічного фактору на рівень фінансового забезпечення регіону, узагальнено сучасні проблеми його фінансування. Проаналізовано існуючі науково-методичні підходи до визначення та еколого-економічної оцінки потенціалу екологоорієнтованого розвитку регіону (ПЕРР). Визначено сутність поняття «еколого-економічна адаптивність регіону» (ЕЕАР), запропоновано підхід до її розрахунку. Викладено науково-методичний підхід до коригування податкового навантаження залежно від рівнів потенціалу екологоорієнтованого розвитку та еколого-економічної адаптивності регіону. Розроблено структурно-логічну схему удосконалення процесу фінансового забезпечення екологічно сталого розвитку регіону. Запропоновано науково-методичний підхід до прогнозування рівня екологоорієнтованого розвитку регіону в умовах циклічних економічних змін. Надано рекомендації щодо відбору пріоритетних методів та інструментів фінансування екологоорієнтованого регіонального розвитку.
При цитуванні документа, використовуйте посилання http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/36657Диссертация посвящена развитию теоретических и методических подходов к управлению процессом финансового обеспечения экологоориентированного развития региона. В работе исследованы особенности влияния финансового обеспечения региона на уровень экологически устойчивого развития, обобщены современные проблемы его финансирования с учетом экологической составляющей. На основании исследования процесса финансирования экологически устойчивого развития регионов сделан вывод об наличии связи между финансовым обеспечением региона и уровнем его экологоориентированного развития. Исходя из понимания финансового обеспечения регионального развития как процесса формирования финансовых ресурсов органов государственной и местной власти, субъектов хозяйствования при помощи совокупности форм, методов и инструментов финансового обеспечения с целью создания благоприятных условий для экологоориентированного развития регионов и страны в целом, обоснованы принципы потенциальной способности и эколого-экономической адаптивности. Выделено понятие «потенциал экологоориентированного развития региона» как интегральной характеристики способности региона реализовать свои потенциальные возможности к воспроизводству валового регионального продукта за счет трансформации входящих ресурсных потоков в выходящие результаты при одновременном снижении воздействия на окружающую природную среду. Доказано, что возможность региона своевременно реагировать на ухудшение экологической ситуации характеризует показатель эколого-экономической адаптивности, под которым понимается способность региона к привлечению бюджетных средств, средств субъектов хозяйствования и домохозяйств на реализацию природоохранных мероприятий при условии превышения темпов их финансирования над темпами увеличения нагрузки на окружающую среду. Предложено учитывать циклический характер изменений в экономике, который отражается в показателях потенциала экологоориентированного развития и эколого-экономической адаптивности региона в процессе прогнозирования темпов его экологоориентированного развития. Основываясь на предложенных подходах к оценке потенциала экологоориентированного развития и эколого-экономической адаптивности, в работе обосновано целесообразность применения матричного подхода к отбору приоритетных инструментов финансового обеспечения региона. Предложена структурно-логическая схема совершенствования процесса финансового обеспечения экологически устойчивого развития региона, которая заключается в учете уровней потенциала экологоориентированного развития и эколого-экономической адаптивности региона в процессе принятия экономических решений. Наиболее эффективными способами финансирования регионального развития с учетом экологической составляющей (способными обеспечить максимальный эколого-экономический эффект на единицу природоохранных затрат) выделены бюджетное финансирование, финансирование на уровне государственно-частного партнерства и экологического предпринимательства. Определена приоритетность бюджетного финансирования регионального развития, в рамках которого обоснована целесообразность корректировки уровня налоговой нагрузки. В качестве корректирующего коэффициента в работе предложено использовать показатель уровня экологоориентированного развития региона (Р), который базируется на учете как потенциальных возможностей региона, так и уровня его эколого-экономической адаптивности. Доказана взаимосвязь между способностью региона адаптироваться к увеличивающейся нагрузке на окружающую среду и уровнем инвестиционного риска региона. Обоснована целесообразность учета уровня эколого-экономической адаптивности при расчете премии за риск для региона, в процессе реализации экологоориентированных проектов на условиях государственно-частного партнерства. При цитировании документа, используйте ссылку http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/36657
The features of financial providing of environmentally-oriented development are researched, the influence of ecological factors on level of financial provision of region, the type and importance of financial instruments in the system of environmentally-oriented regional development are theoretically analyzed. The scientific and methodological approach to ecological and economic evaluation of the potential of environmentally-oriented regional development are analyzed, role of rating in the process of determining of the level of environmentally-oriented development in the region is proved, logical essence the concept of "ecological and economic adaptability" is defined, approach to its calculation offered. The scientific and methodological approach to tax incentives environmentally-oriented development by adjusting an environmental tax, depending on the level of environmentally-oriented regional development is offered. The level of environmentally-oriented regional development is estimated, scientific and methodical approach to prediction the levels of potential of environmentally-oriented development, ecological and economic adaptability of the region in conditions of cyclical economic changes are proposed. The appropriateness of classification of financial instruments environmentally-oriented management of regional development. Advisability of the classification of financial instruments environmentally-oriented management of regional development is proved. When you are citing the document, use the following link http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/36657
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Дунська, А. Р. "Взаємодія циклічного та сталого розвитку підприємства." Thesis, Сумський державний університет, 2013. http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/30754.
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Динамічні зміни в зовнішньому середовищі сучасних підприємств, пов’язані із тенденціями глобалізації економічного простору, вимагають від суб’єктів господарювання сьогодні більшої уваги до вивчення характеру розвитку на основі дослідження принципових змін в парадигмальному підході до розвитку економічних систем.
При цитуванні документа, використовуйте посилання http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/30754
Books on the topic "Cyclical economic development"
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Macrodynamics: Income distribution, effective demand, and cyclical growth. Frankfurt am Main: P. Lang, 1993.
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Inc, NetLibrary. Global development finance: Harnessing cyclical gains for development : Analysis and summary tables. Washington, DC: World Bank, 2004.
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Economic growth and business cycles: Prices and the process of cyclical development. Aldershot, England: E. Elgar, 1993.
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Robert, Klein Lawrence, ed. A Quest for a more stable world economic system: Restructuring at a time of cyclical adjustment. Dordrecht [Netherlands]: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1993.
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Minh, Dinh Hien, ed. Growth cycle analysis and short-term forecast using cyclical indicators: International experiences and applicability for Vietnam. Hanoi: Finance Pub. House, 2007.
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Easterday, Jennifer, and Hana Ivanhoe. Conflict, Cash, and Controversy. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198784630.003.0013.
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Addressing environmental concerns in a post-conflict setting is a difficult undertaking; yet addressing these concerns, particularly their cyclical nature, is vital to ensuring that post-conflict countries develop sustainably. Fundamental human rights may also be implicated where there is systematic environmental degradation and those rights infringements in turn can threaten efforts at peace and stability. Given the inadequacy of existing post-conflict country domestic and international hard law governing environmental rights and protections, voluntary and soft law norms and the corporate social responsibility movement are critical to ensuring that multinational investment in post-conflict countries is in line with sustainable development principles and the long-term economic and environmental prosperity of those countries, and therefore should be included in a holistic jus post bellum framework. These norms provide a critical opportunity to harness the power of private corporations and investments to ensure sustainable development, resulting in a more durable transition to peace in post-conflict states.
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Green, Jeremy. The Political Economy of the Special Relationship. Princeton University Press, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.23943/princeton/9780691197326.001.0001.
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This book studies how America's global financial power was created and shaped through its special relationship with Britain. The rise of global finance in the latter half of the twentieth century has long been understood as one chapter in a larger story about the postwar growth of the United States. This book challenges this popular narrative. Revealing the Anglo-American origins of financial globalization, the book sheds new light on Britain's hugely significant, but often overlooked, role in remaking international capitalism alongside America. Drawing from new archival research, the book questions the conventional view of international economic history as a series of cyclical transitions among hegemonic powers. Instead, it explores the longstanding interactive role of private and public financial institutions in Britain and the United States—most notably the close links between their financial markets, central banks, and monetary and fiscal policies. The book shows that America's unparalleled post-WWII financial power was facilitated, and in important ways constrained, by British capitalism, as the United States often had to work with and through British politicians, officials, and bankers to achieve its vision of a liberal economic order. Transatlantic integration and competition spurred the rise of the financial sector, an increased reliance on debt, a global easing of regulation, the ascendance of monetarism, and the transition to neoliberalism. From the gold standard to the recent global financial crisis and beyond, this book recasts the history of global finance through the prism of Anglo-American development.
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Clift, Ben. The IMF and French Fiscal Rectitude amidst the Eurozone Crisis. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198813088.003.0007.
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This chapter provides the first account of IMF commentary on and interventions in the French economic policy debate following the crash to analyse how the Fund has sought to inflect French policy settings and approaches. It also situates French macroeconomic policy developments in the context of the European policy debate to demonstrate how the IMF has worked to influence reforms to the Eurozone’s architecture. Drawing on interviews with French policy elites and advisors, as well as members of Fund missions to France, it demonstrates how the French government, alongside the IMF, sought a less pro-cyclical approach and to open up ‘fiscal space’ for growth-oriented policies within European economic and monetary arrangements. However, key centres of power, notably the German government, the European Commission, and the European Central Bank prioritized ‘moral hazard’ and the ‘crisis of debt’ narratives, whose policy corollaries were ever-tighter fiscal discipline and ramped-up austerity.
Book chapters on the topic "Cyclical economic development"
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Bezrukova, Tatiana L., Larisa V. Bryantseva, Valery L. Pozdeev, Irina V. Orobinskaya, Anton G. Kazmin, and Boris A. Bezrukov. "Conceptual Aspects of Tax System Development in Cyclic Economy." In Integration and Clustering for Sustainable Economic Growth, 287–303. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-45462-7_31.
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Mao, Jiansu, Chunhui Li, Yuansheng Pei, and Linyu Xu. "Cyclic Flow of Material: Concepts and Classifications." In Circular Economy and Sustainable Development Enterprises, 49–63. Singapore: Springer Singapore, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-8524-6_4.
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Paepe, Roland. "Cyclic Evolution of Man and Permafrost: The Role of Permafrost on Societal Environment." In Permafrost Response on Economic Development, Environmental Security and Natural Resources, 3–13. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 2001. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-0684-2_1.
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De Meulder, Bruno, Julie Marin, and Kelly Shannon. "Evolving Relations of Landscape, Infrastructure and Urbanization Toward Circularity: Flanders and Vietnam." In Regenerative Territories, 107–21. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-78536-9_6.
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AbstractA great deal of the contemporary discourse around circularity revolves around waste—the elimination of waste (and wastelands) through recycling, renewing and reuse (3Rs). In line with industrial ecological thinking, the discourse often focuses on resource efficiency and the shift toward renewables. The reconstitution of numerous previous ecologies is at most a byproduct of the deliberate design of today’s cyclic systems. Individual projects are often heralded for their innovative aspects (both high- and low-tech) and the concept has become popularly embraced in much of the Western world. Nevertheless, contemporary spatial circularity practices appear often to be detached from their particular socio-cultural and landscape ecologies. There is an emphasis on performative aspects and far too often a series of normative tools create cookie-cutter solutions that disregard locational assets—spatial as well as socio-cultural. The re-prefix is evident for developed economies and geographies, but not as obvious in the context of rapidly transforming and newly urbanizing territories. At the same time, the notion of circularity has been deeply embedded in indigenous, pre-modern and non-Western worldviews and strongly mirrored in historic constellations of urban, rural and territorial development. This contribution focuses on two contexts, Flanders in Belgium and the rural highlands, the Mekong Delta and Ho Chi Minh City in Vietnam, which reveal that in spite of the near-universal prevalence of the Western development paradigm, there are fundamentally different notions of circularity in history and regarding present-day urbanization. Historically, in both contexts, the city and its larger territory formed a social, economic and ecological unity. There was a focus is on the interdependent development of notions of circularity in the ever-evolving relations of landscape, infrastructure and urbanization. In the development of contemporary circularity, there are clear insights that can be drawn from the deep understandings of historic interdependencies and the particular mechanisms and typologies utilized. The research questions addressed are in line with territorial ecology’s call to incorporate socio-cultural and spatial dimensions when trying to understand how territorial metabolisms function (Barles, Revue D’économie Régionale and Urbaine:819–836, 2017). They are as follows: how can case studies from two seemingly disparate regions in the world inform the present-day wave of homogenized research on circularity? How can specific socio-cultural contexts, through their historical trajectories, nuance the discourse and even give insights with regard to broadened and contextualized understandings of circularity? The case studies firstly focus on past site-specific cyclic interplays between landscape, infrastructure and urbanization and their gradual dissolution into linearity. Secondly, the case studies explicitly focus on multi-year design research projects by OSA (Research Urbanism and Architecture, KU Leuven), which underscore new relations of landscape, infrastructure and urbanization and emphasize the resourcefulness of the territory itself. The design research has been elaborated in collaboration with relevant stakeholders and experts and at the request of governmental agencies.
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"The Cyclical Pattern of Long-Term Lending." In The Theory and Experience of Economic Development, 312–24. Routledge, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9780203838518-26.
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Verkhoglyadova, N. I. "CYCLICAL NATURE OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE NATIONAL ECONOMY'S INNOVATIVE PROCESSES." In Scientific approaches to modernizing the economic system: vector of development. Publishing house “Liha-Pres”, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.36059/978-966-397-189-6/19-37.
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Khristolyubova, N. E. "Security as a Challenge to a New Stage in the Socio-Economic Development of Russis." In Theory and Practice of Institutional Reforms in Russia: Collection of Scientific Works. Issue 50, 87–100. CEMI Russian Academy of Sciences, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.33276/978-5-8211-0788-6-87-100.
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The article presents the results of current research on the problems of changing conditions in modern labor markets due to the spread of digitalization processes in all spheres of the life of the state, society and people. The next cyclical stage in the development of the socio-economic space presents new special requirements for the competence of labor resources, as well as the growth of the level of security for all business entities.
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Baporikar, Neeta. "Effect of National Culture on Development of International Business in the Sultanate of Oman." In Handbook of Research on Global Business Opportunities, 268–88. IGI Global, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/978-1-4666-6551-4.ch013.
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Today, no business can be local or national due to the effects of globalization. The world of business has become international. However, extant business literature ignores links between national culture and technology development and international business, although in reality all three are interdependent or least they are characterized by a cyclical co-dependence and co-influence. In the modern world, superior technologies enhance economic development, and technology transfer allows many emerging markets to grow significantly as seen in Asia or the Persian Gulf. Simultaneously, different cultures exhibit different levels of technological development in the Arab world commonly referred to as the Gulf. Among the Gulf, the Sultanate of Oman occupies a prime position in terms of the economic, social, and developmental strides made in the last three decades. How the Sultanate's national culture has played a significant role for development of international business is the core of this chapter.
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Baporikar, Neeta. "Effect of National Culture on Development of International Business in the Sultanate of Oman." In International Business, 397–417. IGI Global, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/978-1-4666-9814-7.ch019.
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Today, no business can be local or national due to the effects of globalization. The world of business has become international. However, extant business literature ignores links between national culture and technology development and international business, although in reality all three are interdependent or least they are characterized by a cyclical co-dependence and co-influence. In the modern world, superior technologies enhance economic development, and technology transfer allows many emerging markets to grow significantly as seen in Asia or the Persian Gulf. Simultaneously, different cultures exhibit different levels of technological development in the Arab world commonly referred to as the Gulf. Among the Gulf, the Sultanate of Oman occupies a prime position in terms of the economic, social, and developmental strides made in the last three decades. How the Sultanate's national culture has played a significant role for development of international business is the core of this chapter.
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Łaski, Kazimierz. "Stylized features of economic growth after World War II." In Lectures in Macroeconomics, edited by Jerzy Osiatyński and Jan Toporowski, translated by James West, 162–79. Oxford University Press, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198842118.003.0010.
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Following the World War II, the advanced capitalist world, in Europe and North America, has evolved through three stages of development. The 1950s and 1960s saw unprecedented economic growth rates that can only partially be explained by post-war recovery, but was principally the result of demand management and a redistributive approach to fiscal policy that kept employment high and tended to equalize incomes. However, in the second stage, economic development slowed down to varying degrees in different countries as policies of demand management and redistribution were abandoned in favor of the market liberalization especially in the labor market. This led to high unemployment, growing economic inequality, and economic stagnation, eventually giving rise to growing indebtedness, culminating in the financial crisis of 2008. The third stage began with the financial crisis in 2008. In Europe, governments were forced to abandon counter-cyclical policies in favor of fiscal and trade balance.
Conference papers on the topic "Cyclical economic development"
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Jiang, Chang, Chen Guo-tie, and Chang Jiang. "Research on the Cyclical Fluctuation of Urban Real Estate in China." In Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Contemporary Education and Economic Development (CEED 2018). Paris, France: Atlantis Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.2991/ceed-18.2018.93.
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Konovalova, M. E. "The Cyclical Fluctuation Transfer Mechanism By Means Of Production Factor Measurement." In Proceedings of the II International Scientific Conference GCPMED 2019 - "Global Challenges and Prospects of the Modern Economic Development". European Publisher, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.15405/epsbs.2020.03.11.
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Zoidov, Kobilzhon Kh, Alklych M. Alklychev, and Zafar K. Zoidov. "MODELING THE INFLUENCE OF CYCLICAL FACTOR ELASTICITY OF PRODUCTION DEPENDENCIES ON THE TRAJECTORY OF ECONOMIC GROWTH IN JAPAN." In Strategy of scientific and technological development in the conditions of instability of world markets. Federal State Budgetary Institution of Science Market Economy Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences (MEI RAS), 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.33051/978-5-6041040-6-4-2019-61-79.
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Messias Sodré Cunha, Arthur, Jully do Nascimento Germano, Gustavo Tavares Machado, and Frank Pavan de Souza. "Application of the circular economy in the industrial scrapmanagement process: a case study in the Açu Port Complex." In 7th International Congress on Scientific Knowledge. Perspectivas Online: Humanas e Sociais Aplicadas, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.25242/8876113220212363.
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The main proposal of the circular economy is to change the concept of "garbage" fromWaste that was structured in this project and replaced by a continuous and cyclical vision of the production, in which resources are no longer just explored and discarded and are now reused in a new Cycle. The Circular Economy encourages new management practices, creating opportunities and value for organizations in harmony with the environment. This article aims to analyze the feasibility of implementing Circular Economy methods, with an emphasis on controlling scrap disposal in the Açu Port Complex (São Joãoda Barra/RJ), bringing sustainable alternatives to Waste Management. In addition to evaluating its environmental and economic efficiency, it proposes to end the linear production process and reinsert waste into the production cycle to minimize environmental treatment and the extraction of raw materials. The investigation will start through specific exploratory research, bringing as a consequence, possible economic alternatives for the reuse of these materials. The research is also classified as descriptiveand case study since a survey of real information on waste management in the Açu Port Complex will be carried out. It is hoped through this research to demonstrate how the circular economy can contribute to economic, social, and environmental development when used in an interdisciplinary way by productive activities.
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Mutaeva, I. Sh, I. G. Gerasimova, A. S. Seliverstov, and A. H. Gizatullina. "THEORETICAL AND METHODOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF SPORTS TRAINING IN CYCLIC SPORTS." In Х Всероссийская научно-практическая конференция. Nizhnevartovsk State University, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.36906/fks-2020/37.
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The article presents the results of the theoretical analysis of the main aspects of sports training in cyclic sports. To effectively solve the problem of training in cyclical sports, it is necessary to study the laws of the reaction of the body of athletes, including the processes of fatigue and recovery in response to the physical exertion of various directions. It is very important to individualize the training process, taking into account the functional state and reserve adaptive capabilities of the body. The authors identify such reasons that influence the development of cyclical sports as socio-economic and political transformations that are constantly taking place in Russia; demographic changes caused by the decline in the population of Russia due to the collapse of the Soviet Union; structural and organizational reasons that suggest the existence of an outdated system for training highly qualified athletes, the lack of modern centers and bases for Olympic training, an effective management system for Olympic training in General, and a targeted policy for training coaches and sports and medical personnel. The technological reasons that arose as a result of a sharp reduction in targeted research in all branches of sports science and an archaic mechanism for the development and implementation of effective innovative technologies are revealed. There is a significant lag in the medical and biological provision of training for Olympic athletes, etc. The analysis showed that the lag in the structural, organizational, and technological blocks of Olympic training is caused by a decrease in the effectiveness of scientific research.
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Geddes, Ilaria, and Nadia Charalambous. "Building a timeline, developing a narrative: visualising fringe belt formation alongside street network development." In 24th ISUF 2017 - City and Territory in the Globalization Age. Valencia: Universitat Politècnica València, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.4995/isuf2017.2017.6042.
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This project was developed as an attempt to assess the relationship between different morphogenetic processes, in particular, those of fringe belt formation as described by M.R.G. Conzen (1960) and Whitehand (2001), and of centrality and compactness as described by Hillier (1999; 2002). Different approaches’ focus on different elements of the city has made it difficult to establish exactly how these processes interact or whether they are simply different facets of development reflecting wider socio-economic factors. To address this issue, a visual, chronological timeline of Limassol’s development was constructed along with a narrative of the socio-economic context of its development. The complexity of cities, however, makes static visualisations across time difficult to read and assess alongside textual narratives. We therefore took the step of developing an animation of land use and configurational analyses of Limassol, in order bring to life the diachronic analysis of the city and shed light on its generative mechanisms. The video presented here shows that the relationship between the processes mentioned above is much stronger and more complex than previously thought. The related paper explores in more detail the links between fringe belt formation as a cyclical process of peripheral development and centrality as a recurring process of minimisation of gains in distance. The project’s outcomes clearly show that composite methods of visualisations are an analytical opportunity still little exploited within urban morphology. References Conzen, M.R.G., 1960. Alnwick, Northumberland: A Study in Town-Plan Analysis, London: Institute of British Geographers. Hillier, B., 2002. A Theory of the City as Object: or how spatial laws mediate the social construction of urban space. Urban Des Int, 7(3–4), pp.153–179. Hillier, B., 1999. Centrality as a process: accounting for attraction inequalities in deformed grids. Urban Des Int, 4(3–4), pp.107–127. Whitehand, J.W.R., 2001. British urban morphology: the Conzenian tradition. Urban Morphology, 5(2), pp.103–109.
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Orozco Cera, Eusebio Jose, Maria Angelica Legarda Zuñiga, and Juan Diego Medina Rueda. "Diagnosis of the Concentration of the Colombian Upstream Market Sector and Proposals for Increased Competitiveness." In International Petroleum Technology Conference. IPTC, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.2523/iptc-21227-ms.
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Abstract Given the importance of the O&G sector (exports, national budget, royalties, etc.) in the economy of countries that possess this natural resources and the increased exposure of the economy of these to the cyclical dynamics of the O&G industry, it becomes necessary unequivocally an analysis and comparison of the most used market concentration measures applicable to the upstream framework that affect the distribution of oil production and reserves to determine proposals for an increase in competitiveness, in this case analyzing the metrics in the range 2004-2016 in Colombia. The process starts from collecting the most reliable information from different associations, regulators and sources, calculating the most used market concentration measures, considering assumptions for the statistical analysis of the data as tests of normality (Shapiro-WilK Test) and then analysis and comparison of the HHI as measure of concentration of the E&P upstream market in Colombia obtained conclusions and recommendations. Ideal values were determined and recommended according to better HHI references that would imply a less concentrated upstream sector and competitive advantage to the country regionally to attract foreign direct investment (FDI). An alienation and division of National oil company- NOC from the Colombian state is proposed, divide upstream into 3 E&P companies plus 1 Midstream Transporting Company + 1 Downstream Refining Company, it is recommended given the opportunity of a possible development of unconventional resources in the country, and the economic uncertainty at the beginning of these developments, that the opportunities for pilots and initial projects be by law and in principle distributed among various private E&P operators or in associations of the state company with experienced operators, this would distribute the exploratory risk of the projects, improve the sector's competitiveness and avoid unnecessary investment exposure to the state in these ventures. The objectives, methods, processes and results obtained can be homologated to other countries with NOC, showing a direct roadmap to follow so that the economic associated with natural hydrocarbon resources allow us to further leverage the development of societies in general, but mainly developing countries rich in these resources in an environment of low prices and increasing competitiveness.
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Stepanovskaya, I. A. "Digital Economics Cyclic Development on Socio-cyber-physical Self-organization Platform." In 2020 13th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD). IEEE, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/mlsd49919.2020.9247778.
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Gong, Xu, Hossein Shahandeh, Gordon Maclsaac, Hamed Motahhari, Mark Beckman, and Lu Dong. "Cyclic Solvent Process Commercial Optimization." In SPE Canadian Energy Technology Conference. SPE, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/208965-ms.
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Abstract Cyclic Solvent Process (CSP) is a non-thermal solvent-based heavy oil recovery technology that was invented and developed by Imperial Oil Resources Limited through a multi-year integrated research program. The commercial viability of potential development concepts and their associated uncertainties are also an active area of investigation. A key input to an economic model is the global (or development level) flow stream. The conventional approach of developing the global flow stream involves the determination of well schedule through a well prioritization algorithm that adheres to a set of flow stream capacity constraints. The resulting flow streams can then be passed to an economic tool to evaluate a set of KPIs (Key Performance Indicators) in an uncoupled manner. One of the main challenges encountered in this approach is that it is difficult to optimize the overall economic performance due to (1) the absence of well-defined objective function, (2) the decoupling of the flow stream generation and the economic calculations, (3) the pre-defined characteristics of the well prioritization algorithm. The main objective of this study is to develop a mathematical optimization model for CSP commercial projects. A two-stage optimization framework, which integrates Genetic Algorithm (GA) as master optimizer and Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) as sub-optimizer, is described. A conceptual commercial scenario is simulated as a case study and economic uplift is demonstrated.
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Wang, Hongmei. "Notice of Retraction: The analysis of cyclic economy development based on enterprises in China." In 2010 IEEE International Conference on Advanced Management Science (ICAMS). IEEE, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icams.2010.5552861.
Full textReports on the topic "Cyclical economic development"
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Semerikov, Serhiy, Hanna Kucherova, and Dmytro Ocheretin. Neural Network Analytics and Forecasting the Country's Business Climate in Conditions of the Coronavirus Disease (Covid-19). Stylos, December 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.31812/123456789/4133.
Full textAbstract:
The paper proposes an approach to modeling the business climate of the country, which is based on the principles of information transparency, and makes it possible to assess the development trends of the studied indicator in conditions of the COVID-19. This approach has been tested on the example of Ukraine. The results obtained make it possible to analyze the cyclical development of the country's economy with high accuracy and reliability even under quarantine restrictions.