Journal articles: 'Crisis Complexity'

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Siegel, Alan. "The Complexity Crisis." Design Management Review 23, no. 2 (May 22, 2012): 4–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1948-7169.2012.00179.x.

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Guntzburger, Yoann, and Thierry C. Pauchant. "Complexity and ethical crisis management." Journal of Organizational Effectiveness: People and Performance 1, no. 4 (November 25, 2014): 378–401. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/joepp-09-2014-0060.

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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyse the Fukushima nuclear disaster (FND) that occurred 11 March 2011 through the lens of the systemic and complexity theory. This analysis allows the proposition of some guidelines for the development of a more preventive and ethical approach in crisis management, including changes in human resource management and training. Design/methodology/approach – Thanks to a layered analysis of the complex system that represents the FND and an actor/stake approach, this paper sheds light on the many failures that occurred on the personal, organizational, institutional, political and cultural level. Findings – This analysis highlights that, beyond the apparent simplicity of the natural trigger events, a complex network of legal, cultural and technological paradigms, as well as the defense mechanisms of personal and organizational moral disengagement, have structured the context of this crisis, allowing for an event to turn into this disaster. Practical implications – This study shows the limit of classical approach towards crisis management such as probabilistic risk assessment in terms of systemic and complexity: the assessment could be easily overcome if the mindset of the organization leaders is not already oriented towards preventive management. Originality/value – The value of this study is participating to the effort of showing the need to develop more preventive mindsets and behaviours in the global economy, dealing with worldwide and complex issues.

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Minati, Gianfranco. "Knowledge to Manage the Knowledge Society: Complexity and the Systemic Concept of Crisis." Acta Europeana Systemica 8 (July 9, 2020): 3–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.14428/aes.v8i1.56183.

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We briefly propose a possibly more precise systemic understanding of the process of crisis with the purpose of allowing suitable, appropriate modifying interventions. Examples and types of crises are introduced. At a suitable level of representation we consider crisis as a non-autonomous parasitic process of the hosting one(s); processes acquiring characteristics autonomous with respect to those of the hosting process(es); processes converging to degeneration and malfunctioning; which are emergent and given by coherent, subsequent and related new degenerative properties or loss of coherence among emergent processes of the hosting one(s). Possible symptoms for diagnostics and prediction of processes of crisis are outlined. Types of crisis are considered and some generic exemplifying types of actions on crises are proposed. The main purpose of this article is to show that different types of processes of crisis having different natures are possible and that suitable, appropriate approaches should be adopted.

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Olalere, Anthony. "Complexity and leadership crisis in Africa." International Journal of Public Leadership 11, no. 3/4 (August 10, 2015): 180–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijpl-08-2015-0021.

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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to evaluate a leadership crisis in Africa with the view to suggested new model that help overcome the leadership gap. Design/methodology/approach – This paper adopt the complexity leadership approach to explicate the leadership crisis in Africa. Findings – This paper suggested that the use of complexity leadership model of enabling leadership to better understand the complex leadership crisis. Research limitations/implications – The application of the leadership enables an appreciation of contemporary leadership realities. Originality/value – This paper adopting complexity leadership is novel and helps to fill the gap in understanding of present leadership crisis.

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Gallagher, John. "American Leadership Amidst Complexity and Crisis." Review of Faith & International Affairs 14, no. 2 (April 2, 2016): 1–5. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15570274.2016.1184442.

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Cooper, Melinda. "COMPLEXITY THEORY AFTER THE FINANCIAL CRISIS." Journal of Cultural Economy 4, no. 4 (November 2011): 371–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17530350.2011.609692.

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Pöltner, P., and T. Grechenig. "Organic Finance Framework: Aligning Financing Complexity with Organisational Complexity (for Innovative Companies)." International Journal of Trade, Economics and Finance 11, no. 6 (December 2020): 156–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.18178/ijtef.2020.11.6.682.

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The organic finance framework is a new tool for managing the challenges of corporate financing. This framework is especially useful for small and medium-sized enterprises in the time of a crisis, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. At its core, the framework forces a rethink of the manner in which companies initiate their financing approach. In contrast to finding potential external sources of finance, the organic finance framework starts by looking at the relevant stakeholders of the company. Alternative financing methods, such as crowdfunding and crowdinvesting, have demonstrated that companies can work with potential future customers at an early stage in the company lifecycle to finance the development of an offering. Thus, the organic finance framework presents a global structural visualisation of the corporate financing domain that can help business owners to better align the lifecycle of a company with its funding sources.

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Jörg, Ton. "The Crisis and the Complexity of Knowing." International Journal of Knowledge and Systems Science 3, no. 3 (July 2012): 1–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/jkss.2012070101.

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The crisis our society finds itself in is very much a crisis of knowledge; that is, a lack of knowledge about the complex world. Humanity ‘simply’ do not know what they do not know. This is true for the complexity of a nonlinear complex reality. Complexity is still taken for granted. Ignorance on complexity is still dominating our worldview. Complex organizations are trying to face the complexity of the world, but show at the same time their ignorance on the very complexity of complexity. Harnessing complexity is a hardy perennial for these complex organizations. They do not seem able to explore the very potential of complexity for their own organizations, in terms of fostering creativity and innovation. The only remedy for this is first to recognize their ignorance on the topic of complexity. To confront complexity you first need to become (more) knowledgeable about the very dynamics of complexity.

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Piqueira, José Roberto C., and Letícia Pelluci D. Mortoza. "Brazilian exchange rate complexity: Financial crisis effects." Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation 17, no. 4 (April 2012): 1690–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cnsns.2011.08.031.

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Cherkashina, Tatyana N. "Russia-US-EU Relations: Crisis of the International Security System." Herald of Omsk University. Series: Historical Studies 7, no. 1 (25) (July 7, 2020): 142–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.24147/2312-1300.2020.7(1).142-146.

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This article is about the crisis of the international security system associated with relations between Russia and the West. The complexity and multidimensionality of this crisis is shown. Its components are distinguished: the crisis of transatlantic relations, relations between Russia and Europe, Russia and the USA. The main aspects of each of the crises are highlighted. The author's vision of an attempt to resolve this crisis is outlined.

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SAKAKI, ALEXANDRA, and KERSTIN LUKNER. "Introduction to Special Issue: Japan's Crisis Management amid Growing Complexity: In Search of New Approaches." Japanese Journal of Political Science 14, no. 2 (May 10, 2013): 155–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1468109913000017.

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AbstractThe 3/11 triple disaster, comprising the powerful earthquake, devastating tsunami, and nuclear meltdowns at the Fukushima nuclear power complex, has drawn worldwide attention to Japan's crisis management capabilities. This article lays out key concepts used in analyzing crises and addresses major trends in contemporary crisis management endeavors. It then turns to the Japanese case, identifying six key themes in the debates about the country's crisis management capabilities. In tracing and exploring past reform efforts, the article assesses characteristics and highlights perceived deficiencies in Japan's approach. The final part provides a brief overview of the case studies presented in this special issue, pinpointing recurrent themes and enduring problems observed in recent crisis management efforts.

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Maj, M. "Psychiatry 2017: Acknowledging Complexity While Avoiding Defeatism." European Psychiatry 41, S1 (April 2017): S1. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eurpsy.2017.01.014.

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In the past few years, it has become a sort of cliché to state that psychiatry is in a crisis. In particular, it has been repeatedly argued that: (a) psychiatric diagnoses are invalid; (b) psychiatric research has not progressed significantly (in particular, it has not been able to identify “the cause” of schizophrenia, depression or bipolar disorder); (c) psychiatric treatments are of limited value, and their widespread use has not been able to reduce the incidence of mental disorders. This perception of crisis has been at least in part generated by an identification of mainstream psychiatry with the neo-kraepelinian paradigm, so that the crisis of confidence in that paradigm has expanded into a crisis of confidence in the psychiatric discipline. According to Kuhn, the crisis of confidence in a paradigm is accompanied by a period of “extraordinary science”, marked by a proliferation of competing methodologies, the proposition of a variety of divergent solutions for the problem defining the crisis, and the recourse to philosophy and to debate over fundamentals of the discipline. The crisis of confidence in the neo-kraepelinian paradigm has generated such a period, in which we are all now immersed. In this presentation, I will summarize the main components of the neo-kraepelinian paradigm; I will illustrate why that paradigm has failed, or at least has lost people's confidence; and will summarize the main elements which are emerging in the current period of “extraordinary science”.Disclosure of interestThe author has not supplied his declaration of competing interest.

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Adamova, Elena. "TO THE QUESTION ABOUT THE CRISIS OF RELATIONSHIPS OF THE MODERN BUSINESSMAN." Social Legal Studios 10, no. 4 (December 25, 2020): 130–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.32518/2617-4162-2020-4-130-134.

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Introduction. The article is devoted to the study of theoretical aspects of understanding the category of �relationship crisis�, the definition of their types and features. It is determined that the crisis is an integral part of human existence, and the experience gained during the crisis, significantly affects the formation of the individual, his life path. At the level of everyday consciousness, the crisis is identified with difficulties, problems that do not find their solution. Purpose research is an analysis of the category �relationship crisis�, identifying their types and features. Purpose research is an analysis of the category �relationship crisis�, identifying their types and features. Methods research: theoretical methods of scientific knowledge (analysis, synthesis, generalization, induction, deduction, etc.); methods of collecting empirical information (psychosemantic analysis; T. Leary�s method of �Interpersonal Relations�; E. V. Zmanovska�s method of assessing significant personal relationships); statistical methods of processing results. Results. The crisis is identified with the undesirable phenomena that bring suffering. It is the ambiguity and complexity of the real processes behind the concept of �crisis� that causes the contradiction of this very concept. The crisis can be understood as the most complex mechanism of personal adaptation, which allows you to solve a particularly complex class of problems, sometimes called life challenges. Its main characteristics are the following provisions: the crisis is associated with the problems of meeting the most important, fundamental human needs; the crisis poses to the individual not every day, but especially complex problems; these problems cannot be solved in the usual ways, this is their special complexity, so they are often perceived as deadlocks; the crisis is often a strong demand for change. Conclusion. As a result, the study concluded that the crisis is a clear signal of the need for personal and behavioural change. Experiencing a crisis is more acute, the more a person resists the changes that occur in his life. If we consider the crisis not only as a situation of maladaptation but as a particularly complex mechanism of adaptation, it opens up additional opportunities for its understanding and study. In general, there are usually three groups of crises: the crisis in large groups (society, social systems); the crisis in small social groups (family crises, crises in teams); personality crisis: internal crises, or transformational, life crises (i.e. crises caused by the natural development of the personality) and external crises (in which external traumatic events act as stressors).

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Wallace, Michael D., and Peter Suedfeld. "Leadership Performance in Crisis: The Longevity-Complexity Link." International Studies Quarterly 32, no. 4 (December 1988): 439. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2600592.

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Simpson, Christopher, and Martha A. Simpson. "Complexity of the healthcare crisis in rural America." Journal of the American Osteopathic Association 94, no. 6 (June 1, 1994): 502. http://dx.doi.org/10.7556/jaoa.1994.94.6.502.

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IKEO, Kazuhito. "Conflicts and Complexity: The Financial Crisis 2007-09." TRENDS IN THE SCIENCES 14, no. 6 (2009): 68–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.5363/tits.14.6_68.

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Jacobs, Brian. "Urban Crisis: Complexity and Risk — An Editorial Statement." Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management 5, no. 3 (September 1997): 127–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1468-5973.00048.

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Krause, Thomas, Talina Sondershaus, and Lena Tonzer. "Complexity and bank risk during the financial crisis." Economics Letters 150 (January 2017): 118–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2016.11.026.

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Kusano, Masaki, and Masatsugu Sanada. "Crisis and organizational change: IASB’s response to the financial crisis." Journal of Accounting & Organizational Change 15, no. 2 (June 3, 2019): 278–301. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jaoc-02-2018-0019.

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Purpose The purpose of this study is to examine the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB)’s response to criticism and political pressure at the time of the global financial crisis through the lens of legitimacy theory. Design/methodology/approach This study constructs a thick description about a causal mechanism between social crisis and organizational change using a process-tracing approach that combines a historical narrative and a theoretical consideration. Findings The IASB faced criticism of its accounting standards for financial instruments and its governance structure during the financial crisis. This criticism represented the crises of pragmatic and cultural legitimacy. Facing these legitimacy crises, the IASB adopted such legitimation strategies as normalization and restructuring to repair its legitimacy. Additionally, in these repairing processes, the IASB, as a bonus, became institutionally embedded itself in the global political arena and succeeded to strengthen its legitimacy. Originality/value The study suggests that the financial crisis had a significant impact on the standardization of transnational accounting. Indeed, the crisis was an important turning point of the IASB’s work on revising its accounting standards to reduce complexity and altering its Constitution. Moreover, the authors bridge the gaps in the literature on accounting and legitimacy by examining how the IASB used particular legitimacy repair strategies when facing its legitimacy crises

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Schmied, Johannes, and Abbas Strømmen-Bakhtiar. "Situation Awareness Under Task Complexity." International Journal of Innovation in the Digital Economy 11, no. 4 (October 2020): 1–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/ijide.2020100101.

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Performing tasks under task complexity (TC), for example, during the management of a crisis, can be challenging. One relevant research stream has so far dealt with modelling task complexity while another research stream has established the importance of situation awareness (SA) during crisis management. This study takes into consideration these two research streams and builds a model on how SA is achieved under task complexity. The research shows that information of high information quality (IQ) reduces the level of task complexity, and influences—as well as is influenced by—situation awareness. The practice of collecting and disseminating relevant and timely information as a critical resource in improving SA should be carried out continuously. This continuous process can be improved by using information technologies as automating tools. Moreover, the study shows how shared mental models can improve SA under task complexity. A case study approach, based on qualitative data focusing on theory building, is applied. Unit of analysis is a Norwegian hospital.

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Jörg, Ton. "A Theory of Learning for the Creation and Management of Knowledge in Learning Communities and Organizations." International Journal of Knowledge and Systems Science 1, no. 1 (January 2010): 27–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/jkss.2010010103.

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Social sciences have been in crisis for a long time, partly by being the captive of the Newtonian paradigm, and partly through the effects of this paradigm on practice. This crisis was recognized in the past by the Russian psychologist and philosopher Lev Vygotsky, and continues to this day. The educational crisis is just one instance. It is hard to imagine how to escape this crisis, and a real shift of paradigm is needed. In this article, such a shift toward the paradigm of complexity is advocated. The shift implies a reframing of complexity and a new kind of thinking in complexity. The new paradigm implies the development of a causally generative complexity theory of change and development. Ultimately, the fundamental challenge is to harness the complexity of complex, generative learning in the communities of learners in learning organizations.

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MIROWSKI, PHILIP. "Inherent Vice: Minsky, Markomata, and the tendency of markets to undermine themselves." Journal of Institutional Economics 6, no. 4 (July 16, 2010): 415–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1744137409990397.

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Abstract:Most current explanations of the crisis which began in 2007/8 tend to search for scapegoats, in the format of behavioral flaws. Their treatment of ‘risk’ is an important signpost to where such theories go awry. This paper suggests a structural theory of the crisis, informed by Institutionalist themes. We insist there is an alternative to a neoclassical macroeconomics, in the guise of possible alternative heterodox microfoundations for Minsky's account of economic crises, beyond the Kaleckian markup model. The sketch is based upon elevation of some formal notions of computational complexity to pride of place, and characterization of crises as a collapse of complexity. It is an attempt to portray a market system evolving to a point of ‘inherent vice’: an endogenous development which by its very nature, cannot be tamed through conventional insurance or risk models.

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Grigorescu, Adriana, Natalia Bob, Alexandru Ionescu, and (Harry) Hosney Zurub. "The Microeconomic Complexity Derivatives: Financial Crisis Paradigms in Romania." Procedia Economics and Finance 30 (2015): 245–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s2212-5671(15)01292-7.

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Bristow, G., and A. Healy. "Crisis response, choice and resilience: insights from complexity thinking." Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society 8, no. 2 (March 18, 2015): 241–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cjres/rsv002.

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Munck, Ronaldo. "Labour and globalisation: complexity and transformation." Tempo Social 33, no. 2 (August 16, 2021): 253–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.11606/0103-2070.ts.2021.185370.

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As a matter of balance of the contributions joined in the Dossier, this final word draws a comprehensive picture of the issues discussed by the authors and raises some questions pointing to a possible agenda for current labor studies. First, it sparks reflections going in the sense of discussing the actual meaning of what is to be considered either “normal” or “healthy” after Covid-19 crisis. Then it addresses such discussion to the world of work with interesting consequences, asking what is actually “normal” in labor relations. In the same vein, it reminds us the role of the so-called “essential workers” during the sanitary crisis: a lot of invisible realities which are now becoming visible. On the other side, the author call attention to imminent economic crisis, affecting jobs and companies. Similarly, he warns about the worsening of the working conditions under a post-Covid world: no “return to normal” is envisioned without shaking important structures of the already-known world. One of those pillars is the North-South divide: according to the author, that divide is loosing because the neat two-worlds mapping is blurred today – we find informality on both “worlds”, as well as either digital economy and inequalites are present North and South, so clear-cut differences may tend to disappear. The author finally proceeds to make a short comment about every of the contributions to the dossier, pointing out what is crucial and distinctive in each of them.

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O’Mahony, Patrick. "Democracy, Complexity and Participation." Volume 3 Issue 1 (2011) 3, no. 1 (January 1, 2011): 11–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.33178/ijpp.3.1.2.

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The contemporary crisis of democratic governance, heralded in opposing political philosophies since the 1960s, carries on into the present. One response is simply to maintain the procedural core of a liberal-pluralist model of democracy. The essay, drawing inspiration from ideas of responsibility emerging from the civil societal periphery, instead follows more radical democratic models in proposing that the status and role of public participation, and with it deliberative democracy, should be rethought. The paper concludes with some reflections on the empirical-theoretical implications for social and political theory.

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Brunkhorst, Hauke. "Geschichtszeichen." Deutsche Zeitschrift für Philosophie 66, no. 3 (June 5, 2018): 267–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/dzph-2018-0022.

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Abstract The following paper tries to bring Marx’s crisis theory up to date from a sociological and social-philosophy point of view. Crisis, in line with Marx and Kant, is interpreted as a negative sign of history. Marx’s crisis scenario, while founded in an ever pertinent critique of the destruction of egalitarian individualism by the capitalist system must be considered lacking in complexity for today’s world. Marx underestimated the historical role of the state. A revision of his crisis theory leads to a re-evaluation of the latest two large-scale historical attempts to deal with the crises of modern capitalism; the mixed economy of the Keynesian welfare state, the crisis of which prepared the field for the succeeding crisis, the preventive counterrevolution of neoliberalism. This counterrevolution has plunged democracy into a crisis with slim prospects of escape.

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Waeber, Patrick O., Natasha Stoudmann, James D. Langston, Jaboury Ghazoul, Lucienne Wilmé, Jeffrey Sayer, Carlos Nobre, et al. "Choices We Make in Times of Crisis." Sustainability 13, no. 6 (March 23, 2021): 3578. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su13063578.

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We present a new framework that allows understanding those we deem irrational in the climate debate. Realizing if the issue is one of information, beliefs, values or means opens the door for more constructive dialogue. Decision-makers diverge in their responses to the urgent need for action on climate and biodiversity. Action gaps are fueled by the apparent inability of decision-makers to respond efficiently to the mounting threats described by scientists—and increasingly recognized by society. Surprisingly, with the growing evidence and the accumulation of firsthand experiences of the impacts of environment crises, the gap is not only a problem of conflicting values or beliefs but also a problem of inefficient strategies. Bridging the gap and tackling the growing polarization within society calls for decision-makers to engage with the full complexity of the issues the world is facing. We propose a framework characterizing five archetypes of decision-makers to help us out of the current impasse by better understanding the behavior of others. Dealing with the complexity of environmental threats requires decision-makers to question their understanding of who wins and who loses, and how others make decisions. This requires that decision-makers acknowledge complexity, embrace uncertainty, and avoid falling back on simplistic cognitive models. Understanding the complexity of the issue and how people make decisions is key to having a fighting chance of solving the climate crisis.

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McCandless, Erin. "Critical Evolutions in the Peacebuilding-Development Praxis Nexus: Crisis and Complexity, Synergy and Transformation." Journal of Peacebuilding & Development 16, no. 2 (June 15, 2021): 131–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/15423166211017832.

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Over the last 2 decades, the peacebuilding and development nexus has grown as a critical area of scholarship and practise. At the same time, the conflict landscape has evolved in complexity, incorporating fragility, violence, and humanitarian crisis, presenting ever greater challenges for analysis, framing, and effective policy and practise responses. This article reflects on the paradigmatic shifts in this nexus as introduced by scholar Peter Uvin in 2002. It explores the ways in which they are still in play, adaptations in response to contextual developments, and new paradigms that are rising as they more meaningfully diagnose and offer responses to our complex, inter-related crises. The article argues that the complexity facing our fields demands inter-paradigm learning, pluralism, and synergy, and the political will to adapt and act in accordance with the transformative measures required to tackle the structural and systemic nature of these crises.

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Henning, C. Randall. "Regime Complexity and the Institutions of Crisis and Development Finance." Development and Change 50, no. 1 (January 2019): 24–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/dech.12472.

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Aronson, Louise. "Age, Complexity, and Crisis — A Prescription for Progress in Pandemic." New England Journal of Medicine 383, no. 1 (July 2, 2020): 4–6. http://dx.doi.org/10.1056/nejmp2006115.

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Domingues, José Maurício. "Modernity, Complexity and Mixed Articulation." Social Science Information 41, no. 3 (September 2002): 385–406. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0539018402041003003.

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The debates about the organization of state-articulated modernity, which succeeded 19th-century liberal modernity and underwent a crisis in the 1970s and 1980s, were left without a conclusion. Instead of summing up the post-modernist ideas, this article argues that we are today in the midst of a third stage of modernity, which is characterized by greater evolutionary complexity and mixed articulation. This, together with the growth of other, more fluid and contingent forms of sociability, has recourse to three principles: market, hierarchy (within corporations and the state) and network. The example of contemporary procedural law is drawn upon to illustrate the discussion.

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Assimakopoulos, Nikitas A., and Panagiotis Papaioannou. "Domain-Driven Design and Soft Systems Methodology as a Framework to Avoid Software Crises." Acta Europeana Systemica 8 (July 10, 2020): 191–204. http://dx.doi.org/10.14428/aes.v8i1.56353.

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Crisis is considered to be an issue concerning complex systems like societies, organizations or even families. It can be defined as the situation in which the system functions poorly, the causes of the dysfunction are not immediately identified and immediate decisions need to be made. The type and the duration of a crisis may require different kinds of decision making. In a long-term crisis, when system changes may be required, the active participation of the affected people may be more important than the power and dynamics of the leadership. Software crises, in their their contemporary form as oganizational maffunctions, can still affect the viability of any organization. In this contribution we highlight the systemic aspects of a crisis, the complexity behind that and the role of systemic methodologies to explore its root causes and to design effective interventions. Our focus is on modeling as a means to simplify the complexity of the regarded phenomena and to build a knowledge consensus among stakeholders. Domain-Driven Design comes from software as an approach to deal with complex projects. It is based on models exploration in a creative collaboration between domain practitioners and solution providers. SSM is an established methodology for dealing with wicked situations. It incorporates the use of models and, along with Domain-Driven Design and other systemic methodologies can be employed to develop a common perception of the situation and a common language between interested parties in a crisis situation.

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Anyanwu, Raymond Ndubisi. "Looking through the Lens of Complexity Theory: An Evaluation of Climate Change and Coronavirus 2019 Outbreak." Asian Journal of Interdisciplinary Research 3, no. 2 (May 29, 2020): 36–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.34256/ajir2034.

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When world leaders and delegates convened in Madrid, Spain in December 2019 for the 25th Congress of Parties (COP-25) to re-evaluate their obligations to the Paris Agreement on climate change, they could not prefigure coronavirus was about to overrun humanity. Virtually everyone describes climate change as the most complex ecological and social crisis confronting society in this century. When coronavirus outbreak struck humanity in December 2019, virtually everyone also describes it as the most complex crisis that had struck mankind since the end of Second World War. Both crises have also attracted significant response from policymakers; yet no research has weighed these two common challenges of our time side-by-side in a single study to establish whether they have equivalent level of complexity. This is crucial because confronting a problem without first understanding its complexity would culminate in a waste of resources and or failure to find a permanent solution to it. To address this concern, this paper evaluates global climate change and corona-virus 2019 outbreak using complexity theory as a conceptual framework, and makes recommendations for policy and research based on the outcomes.

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Bratianu, Constantin. "Toward understanding the complexity of the COVID-19 crisis: a grounded theory approach." Management & Marketing. Challenges for the Knowledge Society 15, s1 (October 1, 2020): 410–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/mmcks-2020-0024.

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AbstractThe purpose of this paper is to investigate the complexity of the COVID-19 crisis by using the grounded theory approach. It is a new approach based on a data set constituted from published papers, reports delivered by official organizations or research institutes, working papers, and public information in media. Each of these documents presents data, information, knowledge, and ideas, usually from a single perspective. The present research uses the method of grounded theory and constructs an integrated model of analysis that explores the complexity of the global crisis induced by COVID-19. For the present research, the data were extracted from published papers focused on different aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic induced economic crisis. That means a meta-analysis of the initial quantitative data but performed from a semantic perspective. The findings show that COVID-19 induced economic crisis is a complex phenomenon that is influenced directly and indirectly by the health system crisis, governmental policies, and behavior of people. The integrated model we got can be used as a tool in a further investigation for a deeper understanding of the complexity of COVID-19. The originality of this paper comes from creating a meta-analysis with the grounded theory of different aspects investigated in a series of papers and constructing a dynamic model capable of approaching the complexity of this Black Swan phenomenon.

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Hodge, Bob. "Knowledge, complexity, power: social semiotics as metadiscipline." Linguistic Frontiers 3, no. 2 (December 1, 2020): 21–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/lf-2020-0011.

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Abstract This article contributes to this special journal issue by developing concepts and methods from social semiotics to analyse, interpret and comment on text and ideas from the issue plus an RFS-project on interdisciplinarity, knowledge transfer and methodology convergence within and across STEM and HASS disciplines. It follows and extends this project’s focus on three disciplines, politics, biology and linguistics, and connects them with emerging features of contemporary knowledge production, especially complex, problematic relations between scientific and non-scientific knowledges, and new forms of operations of power on knowledge. The article develops a modified Kuhnian framework to argue that this project can be understood as a significant intervention into a currently unfolding crisis and opportunity in knowledge. It diagnoses crises of knowledge that stem from inadequacies in traditional disciplinary organisations when confronted by challenges and “wicked problems” arising from the scale and complexity of a hyper-connected world. It sees new opportunities arising from new forms of disciplinary organization, constituted by metadisciplinary structures and functions, within a Kuhnian framework of paradigms and metaparadigms. It uses social semiotics as tool and case study, to show how disciplines can evolve into metadisciplines, and demonstrate the productivity of metadisciplines within meta- paradigm processes.

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de Araujo, Fernando Henrique Antunes, Lucian Bejan, Osvaldo A. Rosso, and Tatijana Stosic. "Permutation Entropy and Statistical Complexity Analysis of Brazilian Agricultural Commodities." Entropy 21, no. 12 (December 14, 2019): 1220. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e21121220.

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Agricultural commodities are considered perhaps the most important commodities, as any abrupt increase in food prices has serious consequences on food security and welfare, especially in developing countries. In this work, we analyze predictability of Brazilian agricultural commodity prices during the period after 2007/2008 food crisis. We use information theory based method Complexity/Entropy causality plane (CECP) that was shown to be successful in the analysis of market efficiency and predictability. By estimating information quantifiers permutation entropy and statistical complexity, we associate to each commodity the position in CECP and compare their efficiency (lack of predictability) using the deviation from a random process. Coffee market shows highest efficiency (lowest predictability) while pork market shows lowest efficiency (highest predictability). By analyzing temporal evolution of commodities in the complexity–entropy causality plane, we observe that during the analyzed period (after 2007/2008 crisis) the efficiency of cotton, rice, and cattle markets increases, the soybeans market shows the decrease in efficiency until 2012, followed by the lower predictability and the increase of efficiency, while most commodities (8 out of total 12) exhibit relatively stable efficiency, indicating increased market integration in post-crisis period.

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Rzevski, G. "Using tools of complexity science to diagnose the current financial crisis." Optoelectronics, Instrumentation and Data Processing 46, no. 2 (April 2010): 125–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.3103/s8756699010020032.

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Zhong, Ying, and Sui Pheng Low. "Managing crisis response communication in construction projects – from a complexity perspective." Disaster Prevention and Management: An International Journal 18, no. 3 (June 19, 2009): 270–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/09653560910965637.

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Décobert, Anne, and Tamas Wells. "Interpretive Complexity and Crisis: the History of International Aid to Myanmar." European Journal of Development Research 32, no. 2 (October 15, 2019): 294–315. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s41287-019-00238-y.

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Friedman, Jeffrey. "A CRISIS OF POLITICS, NOT ECONOMICS: COMPLEXITY, IGNORANCE, AND POLICY FAILURE." Critical Review 21, no. 2-3 (January 2009): 127–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08913810903030980.

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Shore, Barry, and Sharm Manwani. "The Financial Crisis on Wall Street: Complexity, Stability, and Information Technology." Journal of Global Information Technology Management 12, no. 1 (January 2009): 1–5. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1097198x.2009.10856482.

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Mikhailova, N. V. "Philosophical and methodological crisis of excessive complexity of contemporary mathematical theories." Rossiiskii Gumanitarnyi Zhurnal 5, no. 2 (2016): 122. http://dx.doi.org/10.15643/libartrus-2016.2.3.

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Legnani, Walter, Francisco Traversaro, Francisco O. Redelico, Leandro J. Cymberknop, Ricardo L. Armentano, and Osvaldo A. Rosso. "Analysis of ischaemic crisis using the informational causal entropy-complexity plane." Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science 28, no. 7 (July 2018): 075518. http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.5026422.

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Thies, Cameron G. "The Conceptual Complexity of Central Bankers and the Asian Financial Crisis." Political Psychology 30, no. 3 (May 8, 2009): 445–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9221.2009.00707.x.

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Delli Gatti, Domenico. "The Crisis of Economic Theory and the Complexity View: A Note." Italian Economic Journal 3, no. 3 (November 2017): 419–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40797-017-0064-0.

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Friend, Richard, and Pakamas Thinphanga. "Urban Water Crises under Future Uncertainties: The Case of Institutional and Infrastructure Complexity in Khon Kaen, Thailand." Sustainability 10, no. 11 (October 28, 2018): 3921. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su10113921.

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This paper uses the emerging crises in water management in North East Thailand as a case study to examine the effectiveness of existing institutional structures and processes to adapt to an uncertain future climate. We argue that it is through an analysis of the interface of actors, institutions and physical infrastructure that climate vulnerability can be better understood, and conversely, that climate resilience might be strengthened. This research has global significance as case studies of emerging water crises provide valuable insights into future vulnerabilities and the Thailand experience speaks to similar challenges across the global South. Our findings illustrate that water managers on the front line of dealing with climate variability are constrained by the interaction of infrastructure that was designed for different times and needs, and of institutional structures and processes that have emerged through the interplay of often competing organisational remits and agendas. Water management is further constrained by the ways in which information and knowledge are generated, shared, and then applied. Critically the research finds that there is no explicit consideration of climate change, but rather universally-held assumptions that patterns of water availability will continue as they have in the past. As a result, there is no long-term planning that could be termed adaptive, but rather, a responsive approach that moves from crisis to crisis between seasons and across years.

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Therrien, Marie-Christine, Julie-Maude Normandin, and Jean-Louis Denis. "Bridging complexity theory and resilience to develop surge capacity in health systems." Journal of Health Organization and Management 31, no. 1 (March 20, 2017): 96–109. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jhom-04-2016-0067.

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Purpose Health systems are periodically confronted by crises – think of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, H1N1, and Ebola – during which they are called upon to manage exceptional situations without interrupting essential services to the population. The ability to accomplish this dual mandate is at the heart of resilience strategies, which in healthcare systems involve developing surge capacity to manage a sudden influx of patients. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach This paper relates insights from resilience research to the four “S” of surge capacity (staff, stuff, structures and systems) and proposes a framework based on complexity theory to better understand and assess resilience factors that enable the development of surge capacity in complex health systems. Findings Detailed and dynamic complexities manifest in different challenges during a crisis. Resilience factors are classified according to these types of complexity and along their temporal dimensions: proactive factors that improve preparedness to confront both usual and exceptional requirements, and passive factors that enable response to unexpected demands as they arise during a crisis. The framework is completed by further categorizing resilience factors according to their stabilizing or destabilizing impact, drawing on feedback processes described in complexity theory. Favorable order resilience factors create consistency and act as stabilizing forces in systems, while favorable disorder factors such as diversity and complementarity act as destabilizing forces. Originality/value The framework suggests a balanced and innovative process to integrate these factors in a pragmatic approach built around the fours “S” of surge capacity to increase health system resilience.

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Kim, Kyungwon, and Minhyuk Lee. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Unpredictable Dynamics of the Cryptocurrency Market." Entropy 23, no. 9 (September 20, 2021): 1234. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e23091234.

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The global economy is under great shock again in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic; it has not been long since the global financial crisis in 2008. Therefore, we investigate the evolution of the complexity of the cryptocurrency market and analyze the characteristics from the past bull market in 2017 to the present the COVID-19 pandemic. To confirm the evolutionary complexity of the cryptocurrency market, three general complexity analyses based on nonlinear measures were used: approximate entropy (ApEn), sample entropy (SampEn), and Lempel-Ziv complexity (LZ). We analyzed the market complexity/unpredictability for 43 cryptocurrency prices that have been trading until recently. In addition, three non-parametric tests suitable for non-normal distribution comparison were used to cross-check quantitatively. Finally, using the sliding time window analysis, we observed the change in the complexity of the cryptocurrency market according to events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and vaccination. This study is the first to confirm the complexity/unpredictability of the cryptocurrency market from the bull market to the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak. We find that ApEn, SampEn, and LZ complexity metrics of all markets could not generalize the COVID-19 effect of the complexity due to different patterns. However, market unpredictability is increasing by the ongoing health crisis.

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Johansson, Catrin, and Lars Nord. "The Simple Truth: Ambiguity Works. Discursive Strategies by Swedish Public Authorities During the 2008 Financial Crisis." International Journal of Business Communication 55, no. 2 (May 19, 2017): 220–36. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2329488417710439.

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The global financial crisis that broke out in 2008 affected a large number of governmental, public, and private organizations. This article explores communication of public authorities in Sweden during the crisis, and highlights their discursive strategies between 2008 and 2010, analyzing press releases. As an analytical point of departure, complexity theory is combined with theory on strategic ambiguity in order to analyze which communication strategies were employed by the authorities. Results show that the public authorities embraced complexity and ambiguity differently in their communication, and consequences of their different approaches are discussed. The study also confirms that the different roles of significant actors during a crisis influence the selection of possible message strategies.

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Journal articles on the topic 'Crisis Complexity'

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