Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'CGE'
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Lechner, Julia. "Urban CGE Modeling: An Introduction." WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, 2011. http://epub.wu.ac.at/3247/1/sre%2Ddisc%2D2011_04.pdf.
Full textSeries: SRE - Discussion Papers
Hubic, Amela. "A financial CGE model for Luxembourg." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/209083.
Full textThe importance of the financial sector in Luxembourg implies that a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with explicit modeling of the financial sector is indispensable in order to properly take into account the interaction between the financial and the real sector in the economy and the interconnectedness between different financial institutional sectors (e.g. commercial banks and investment funds). Explicit modeling of the financial sector also allows for an analysis of how the economy might respond to financial shocks.
This dissertation contributes to the literature by developing two analytical tools:
1.\
Doctorat en Sciences économiques et de gestion
info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished
Bohlin, Lars. "Taxation of intermediate goods : a CGE analysis." Doctoral thesis, Örebro universitet, Handelshögskolan vid Örebro universitet, 2010. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-11902.
Full textOñate, Sofía. "Valoración de empresas CGE método de múltiplos." Tesis, Universidad de Chile, 2015. http://repositorio.uchile.cl/handle/2250/134543.
Full textAutor, no autoriza el acceso a texto completo de su documento
El siguiente proyecto de título conducente al grado de Magister de Finanzas, tiene por finalidad realizar la valoración económica y financiera de la empresa Compañía General de Electricidad S.A., CGE, a través del método de “valoración por múltiplos”. Inicialmente este trabajo describirá en forma breve las técnicas de este método y el de “flujo de caja descontado”. Posteriormente se realizará un análisis que va de lo general a lo más detallado iniciando con la descripción de la empresa y la industria, para luego estimar la estructura de capital de la empresa, costo patrimonial y el análisis operacional del negocio y la industria. En una segunda etapa y ya con la información base calculada se procederá a proyectar los EERR y flujos de caja libre con el objetivo de realizar la valoración económica de la empresa, determinando así el precio de acción. Posteriormente, se aplicará el método de valoración por múltiplos mediante la utilización de los principales ratios.
Vaittinen, Risto. "Trade policies and integration evaluations with CGE-models /." Helsinki : Helsinki School of Economics, 2004. http://helecon3.hkkk.fi/pdf/diss/a235.pdf.
Full textNúñez, Díaz Pablo. "Valoración de empresa CGE S.A. mediante método de múltiplos." Tesis, Universidad de Chile, 2015. http://repositorio.uchile.cl/handle/2250/134539.
Full textEl presente estudio se enfoca en la búsqueda del valor justo del Grupo CGE utilizando empresas comparables a través del método de valorización por múltiplos. A partir de este método se pretende cuantificar el valor de los activos operacionales de la compañía mediante el uso de ratios financieros de empresas reconocidas del sector energético a nivel mundial, así obtener un aproximado del valor de la empresa CGE como grupo se define como uno de los conglomerados energéticos más importantes del país, concentrando su actividad en el sector eléctrico y gasífero, desde Arica a Puerto Williams en Chile, en 5 importantes provincias en Argentina y en 26 departamentos en Colombia, a través de la distribución de gas licuado. A través de sus filiales, participa en los mercados de transmisión y distribución de energía eléctrica; de almacenamiento, transporte y distribución de gas; y en los servicios y productos asociados a todas esas actividades. En cuanto a los productos que maneja tanto en el sector eléctrico y gasífero son de baja diferenciación, el primero considerado prácticamente como un monopolio natural mientras que el sector gasífero presenta una alta competencia enfocada al costo y al servicio post venta dado el bajo nivel de diferenciación que prestan sus productos (GNL y GLP). En cuanto a la composición de los ingresos a Septiembre 2014 se componen de un 46% por sector eléctrico y 44% atribuibles al sector gasífero, el restante corresponde a prestación de servicios mayoritariamente relacionados al sector eléctrico. Se definieron las empresas comparables a través de una revisión de las empresas más importantes a nivel mundial en el sector energético para posteriormente definir los ratios a utilizar, escogiéndose los más significativos acorde a la naturaleza del negocio y a través de los comparables se obtiene un proxy del Valor Justo de la compañía. al 30 de Septiembre 2014.
Pingel, Karl. "Valoración de empresas CGE : método de flujo de caja." Tesis, Universidad de Chile, 2015. http://repositorio.uchile.cl/handle/2250/134628.
Full textAutor no autoriza acceso a texto completo de su documento.
El siguiente proyecto de título conducente al grado de Magister de Finanzas, tiene por finalidad realizar la valoración económica y financiera de la empresa Compañía General de Electricidad S.A., CGE, a través de los métodos de “flujo de caja descontado” y “valoración por múltiplos”. Inicialmente este trabajo describirá en forma breve las técnicas de ambos métodos. Posteriormente se realizará un análisis que va de lo general a lo más detallado iniciando con la descripción de la empresa y la industria, para luego estimar la estructura de capital de la empresa, costo patrimonial y el análisis operacional del negocio y la industria. En una segunda etapa y ya con la información base calculada se procederá a proyectar los EERR y flujos de caja libre con el objetivo de realizar la valoración económica de la empresa, determinando así el precio de acción. Posteriormente, se aplicará el método de valoración por múltiplos mediante la utilización de los principales ratios
Azdan, M. Donny. "Water policy reform in Jakarta, Indonesia : a CGE analysis /." The Ohio State University, 2001. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1373993667.
Full textAcharya, Sanjaya. "Pro-poor growth and liberalisation CGE policy modelling for Nepal /." Rotterdam : Rotterdam : Erasmus Universiteit ; Erasmus University [Host], 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/1765/8139.
Full textPunt, Cecilia. "Modelling multi-product industries in computable general equilibrium (CGE) models." Thesis, Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/79959.
Full textENGLISH ABSTRACT: It is common practice in computable general equilibrium (CGE) models that the output composition of multi-product industries remains constant despite changes in relative prices of products. The results of any scenario will show that products produced by a single industry will still be produced in the same ratio to each other as reflected by the base data. The objective of the study was to develop a CGE model for South Africa in which this assumption of fixed composition of output can be selectively relaxed. In order to allow industries to adjust their output composition in response to changes in relative prices of products a Constant Elasticity of Transformation (CET) function and the related first order condition were incorporated into an existing CGE model. This alternative specification of an output transformation function in the model enables the modeller to allow selected multi-product industries to increase production of products that show greater price increases relative to other products. The first order condition of the CET function determines the optimal combination of products for each industry. With the inclusion of the CET function there is a trade-off between theoretical rigour of the model and realism of the results, therefore an assumption of input-output separability was introduced as a way of recognising that the inclusion of a CET function violates the assumption that prices in the same row of a social accounting matrix (SAM) are equivalent. The model was calibrated with a SAM for South Africa for 2007 that was developed for purposes of this study. Set controls were included in the model to generalise the model in order that it can be calibrated with data from other countries as well. The SAM for South Africa contains provincial level information in the accounts for agriculture, labour and households. The agricultural industries are defined by geographical area, hence these industries are particularly good examples of multi-product industries that respond to relative price changes when determining production levels of individual products. The adjusted CGE model was used to analyse four scenarios focusing on selected issues mentioned in the National Development Plan for South Africa released by the National Planning Commission in 2011. The scenarios relate to increases in fruit exports as a result of global positioning, technical efficiency improvements for the agricultural sector through continued research and development, factor productivity growth in government and selected services sectors resulting from fighting corruption and curbing strikes, and augmenting the supply of skilled labour through an improvement in the quality of education. The results of the adjusted model show the desired effect: producers produce relatively more of the products for which they can get a relatively higher price and vice versa. This holds true regardless of whether the level of industry output increases or decreases. The impact of the model adjustment and the effects of changes in the levels of elasticities and choice of variables to close the model were analysed as part of the sensitivity analyses. The impact of changes in the functional form, elasticities and model closures on results, are different for each scenario.
AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Dit is erkende praktyk in berekenbare algemene ewewigsmodelle dat die verhoudings waarin produkte tot mekaar geproduseer word deur multi-produk industrieë konstant gehou word, ongeag veranderings in relatiewe pryse van produkte. Die resultate van enige senario sal dus aandui dat die produkte wat deur 'n enkele industrie geproduseer word steeds in dieselfde verhouding tot mekaar geproduseer sal word, soos weerspieël in die basis data. Die doel van die studie was om 'n berekenbare algemene ewewigsmodel vir Suid-Afrika te ontwikkel wat die aanname dat die samestelling van elke industrie se uitset onveranderbaar is, selektief kan verslap. Om toe te laat dat industrieë die samestelling van uitset kan aanpas namate die relatiewe pryse van produkte verander, is 'n Konstante Elastisiteit van Transformasie funksie en die gepaardgaande eerste orde voorwaarde in 'n bestaande berekenbare algemene ewewigsmodel ingesluit. Die eerste orde voorwaarde bepaal die optimale verhoudings waarin produkte geproduseer moet word. Met die insluiting van die Konstante Elastisiteit van Transformasie funksie word teoretiese korrektheid van die model ingeboet in ruil vir meer realistiese resultate, dus is die aanname van inset-uitset onafhanklikheid gemaak en daardeur word ook erken dat as gevolg van die insluiting van die Konstante Elastisiteit van Transformasie funksie word daar nie meer voldoen aan die aanname data alle pryse in dieselfde ry van die sosiale rekeninge matriks (SRM) aan mekaar gelyk is nie. Die model is gekalibreer met 'n SRM vir Suid-Afrika vir 2007 wat vir doeleindes van die studie ontwikkel is. Deur die insluiting van kontroles vir versamelings is die model veralgemeen sodat die model ook met data van ander lande gekalibreer kan word. Die SRM vir Suid-Afrika se rekeninge vir landbou, arbeid en huishoudings bevat inligting op provinsiale vlak. Die landbou industrieë is volgens geografiese gebiede afgebaken en is dus besonder goeie voorbeelde van multi-produk industrieë wat reageer op relatiewe prys veranderings wanneer die produksievlakke van afsonderlike produkte bepaal word. Die aangepaste algemene ewewigsmodel is gebruik om vier senarios te ondersoek wat fokus op geselekteerde onderwerpe vervat in die Nasionale Ontwikkelingsplan wat deur die Nasionale Beplanningskommissie van Suid Afrika in 2011 vrygestel is. Die senarios hou verband met 'n styging in vrugte uitvoere as gevolg van globale posisionering, tegniese produktiwiteitsverhogings vir die landbousektor deur volgehoue navorsing en ontwikkeling, verhoging in die produktiwiteit van produksiefaktore van die regering en geselekteerde dienste sektore deur die aanspreek van korrupsie en vermindering in stakings, en die toename in geskoolde arbeid deur 'n verbetering in die kwaliteit van onderwys. Resultate van die aangepaste model toon die gewenste uitwerking: produsente produseer relatief meer van die produkte waarvoor hulle 'n relatiewe hoër prys kan kry, en omgekeerd. Dit geld ongeag of daar 'n verhoging of 'n verlaging in die vlak van die industrie se uitset is. Die impak van die modelaanpassing, die effek van veranderings in die vlakke van elastisiteite en die keuse van veranderlikes om die model te sluit, is geanaliseer as deel van die sensitiwiteitsanalises. Die impak van veranderings in die funksionele vorm, elastisiteite en modelsluiting op resultate, is verskillend vir elke senario.
Bobadilla, Olivares Paulo. "Valoración de empresa CGE S.A. : mediante flujo de caja descontado." Tesis, Universidad de Chile, 2015. http://repositorio.uchile.cl/handle/2250/134544.
Full textAutor, no envía autorización para acceso a texto completo de su documento
El presente estudio se enfoca en la búsqueda del valor justo del Grupo CGE el método de flujos de caja descontados (FCD) A partir de este método se pretende cuantificar el valor de los activos operacionales de la compañía trayendo a valor presente los flujos que estos generan en un horizonte determinado de proyección para a través de ellos obtener un aproximado del valor de la empresa CGE como grupo se define como uno de los conglomerados energéticos más importantes del país, concentrando su actividad en el sector eléctrico y gasífero, desde Arica a Puerto Williams en Chile, en 5 importantes provincias en Argentina y en 26 departamentos en Colombia, a través de la distribución de gas licuado. A través de sus filiales, participa en los mercados de transmisión y distribución de energía eléctrica; de almacenamiento, transporte y distribución de gas; y en los servicios y productos asociados a todas esas actividades. En cuanto a los productos que maneja tanto en el sector eléctrico y gasífero son de baja diferenciación, el primero considerado prácticamente como un monopolio natural mientras que el sector gasífero presenta una alta competencia enfocada al costo y al servicio post venta dado el bajo nivel de diferenciación que prestan sus productos (GNL y GLP). En cuanto a la composición de los ingresos a Septiembre 2014 se componen de un 46% por sector eléctrico y 44% atribuibles al sector gasífero, el restante corresponde a prestación de servicios mayoritariamente relacionados al sector eléctrico. Una vez determinada la deuda financiera y el patrimonio económico de la empresa y para efectos de valorar la compañía, se supondrá como estructura de capital objetivo el promedio del ratio deuda a patrimonio entre los años 2010 y Septiembre del 2014 el cual es de 1.43 veces. Para la determinación del costo de capital se procede empleando instrumental tradicional. Posteriormente, se calcula el beta de la deuda, beta patrimonial con deuda y sin deuda empleando Rubinstein en los casos en que se requiere y ajustando a la estructura de capital objetivo. Respecto al crecimiento de la empresa e industria se han analizado tanto los crecimientos en términos monetarios reales así como el balance de unidades físicas, GWH para electricidad mientras que para GLP corresponden a Miles de Toneladas y a GNL a millones de m3. En relación a los costos operacionales, estos se mantienen en proporción a los ingresos por lo cual se definió una relación que se mantuvo en las proyecciones realizadas. Para finalizar y tomando como base el EERR Proyectado y efectuando los ajustes correspondientes, se llega a definir los flujos de caja libre que permitirán determinar el valor económico de la empresa y a partir de este el valor de la compañía. A su vez una vez definidos los comparables elegibles así como los ratios, significativos de acorde a la naturaleza del negocio, y los comparables se obtiene un proxy del Valor Justo de la compañía. A través de los dos métodos utilizados, se obtuvieron precios cercanos al del 30 de Septiembre 2014, a pesar de lo anterior, se concluye que existen limitantes a la valorización realizada.
Lima, Cicero Zanetti de. "Impacts of low carbon agriculture in Brazil: a CGE application." Universidade Federal de Viçosa, 2017. http://www.locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/19866.
Full textMade available in DSpace on 2018-05-29T12:21:20Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 texto completo.pdf: 3839421 bytes, checksum: ee73ea3cd4e758f2116138315029efe9 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-08-22
Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais
Além da relevância econômica, o setor agrícola fez com que o Brasil assumisse um papel ativo na discussão internacional das mudanças climáticas. O setor de agri- cultura, floresta e outros usos da terra (AFOLU) é a principal fonte de emissão de gases de efeito estufa no país, padrão peculiar entre os países em desenvolvimento. Durante a Conferência das Nações Unidas sobre as Mudanças Climáticas de 2009 (COP-15) o país assumiu o compromisso voluntário de reduzir suas emissões em 37 até 2025 e em 43% até 2030 em relação aos níveis de 2005. O setor agropecuario é responsável por contribuir com 22,5% do compromisso voluntario. Afim de atin- gir essa meta, foi criado em 2009 o Plano Setorial de Mitigação e de Adaptação as Mudanças Climáticas para a Consolidação de uma Economia de Baixa Emissão de Carbono na Agricultura (Plano ABC). O Plano ABC faz parte da Política Nacional de Mudanças Climáticas (PNMC). Entre as diversas ações do Plano ABC, estão a re- cuperação de 15 milhões de hectares (Mha) de pastagens degradadas e aumentar em 4 Mha as areas de integração lavoura-pecuaria (iLP) e / ou lavoura-pecuaria-floresta (iLPF). O objetivo da tese é avaliar os impactos econômicos e de mudança no uso da terra decorrentes dessas duas ações presentes no Plano ABC. Para tal, foi con- struído um modelo de equilíbrio geral computavel (EGC) (BREA versão 1.0) com representação detalhada de seis grandes regiões brasileiras divididas por relevância econômica e fronteira agrícola: Sul, Sudeste, Norte (bioma Amazônia), Centro-Oeste (sem o bioma Amazônia), Nordeste, e Nordeste Cerrado (Estados do Maranhão, To- cantins, Piauí e Bahia) que é considerada a nova fronteira agrícola brasileira. O modelo representa diversos usos da terra com desagregação setorial agropecuaria, e é o primeiro modelo de EGC a explicitamente representar a implementação das tecnologias do Plano ABC. Sob diferentes cenários simulados, os resultados indicam que a maior oferta de pastagens recuperadas e com alta produtividade, somadas as tecnologias iLP e iLPF, promovem o efeito poupador de terra como resultado agre- gado. Ha redução na pressão que a atividade de pecuária promove sobre as áreas naturais e florestas. Ao mesmo tempo, há queda das áreas destinadas às atividades de grãos, principalmente soja e milho, e aumento da area de florestas plantadas. Entretanto, os resultados regionais mostram que as regiões de fronteira agrícola respondem diferentemente as ações do Plano ABC. Nas regiões Centro-Oeste e Norte as pastagens crescem mais do que as areas recuperadas, sendo que parte das áreas de culturas são convertidas para pasto de boa qualidade. Nas regiões Sudeste e Sul essas pastagens aumentam menos do que a area de pastagens recuperadas, o que significa que parte das pastagens boas são convertidas em areas de culturas ou em florestas e áreas de vegetação secundária. Em termos macroeconômicos, percebe-se ganhos de bem-estar para as regiões brasileiras, com exceção das regiões do Nordeste e Nordeste Cerrado. Ademais, a variação do PIB regional indica queda expressiva nessas regiões. Esses resultados sugerem que o Plano ABC aumenta as disparidades regionais no Brasil evidenciando que o desenho de políticas públicas precisa levar em conta tais diferenças. A pesquisa sugere mecanismos modernos de compensação de perdas reestruturando as cadeias de valor regionais, para que no longo prazo aumente a capacidade de produção e absorção de tecnologias. Em termos de custo econômico, o modelo indica que para o atingimento das metas do Plano ABC refer- entes a recuperação de pastagens e sistemas integrados seriam necessários cerca de R$ 39 bilhões (valores nominais de 2009), valor inferior aos valores projetados no lançamento do Plano ABC (cerca de R$ 37 bilhões para recupeção de pastagens e R$ 57 bilhões para iLP e iLPF). O atual nível de adoção de recursos do Programa ABC é bem inferior ao montante necessario projetado no presente estudo. Até o fi- nal do ano safra 2015/2016 os desembolsos haviam alcançado quase R$ 13,8 bilhões, incluindo os gastos não apenas com recuperação de pastagens e iLPF, mas também com as demais linhas do programa, como o plantio direto e o tratamento de dejetos de animais. Essa constatação sugere que, a continuar o ritmo atual observado de adoção do crédito do Programa ABC, as metas do Plano ABC no ambito da Política Nacional de Mudança do Clima não serão atingidas.
Brazil is considered one of the major players in World agriculture. Besides the economic relevance of agriculture and livestock productions in Brazil, the country has an active role in the international discussion about climate change. The agricul- ture, forestry and other land use (AFOLU) sector is the main source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. It is a peculiar pattern among developing countries. At COP-15 2009, Brazil made a voluntary commitment to reduce emissions by 37% until 2025 and by 43% until 2030 compared to 2005 levels. The agricultural and livestock sectors are responsible to contribute With 22.5% of this total. The Brazil- ian Government released in the same year the Low Carbon Agriculture Plan (ABC Plan) as part of National Policy for Climate Change (PNMC) to achieve the GHG emissions reduction in the AFOLU sector. The ABC Plan has several actions, e.g., recover 15 million hectares (Mha) of degraded pasture, and increase by 4 Mha the integrated systems (crop-livestock integration and/or crop-livestock-forestry inte- gration). The objective of this thesis is to evaluate the economic impacts and the land-use changes resulting from these actions present in the ABC Plan, such as pasture recovery (PR) and integrated systems (IS). I have built a new computable general equilibrium model (CGE) (BREA version 1.0) With detailed representation of six regions in Brazil representing the economic relevance and agricultural frontier. The regions are: South, Southeast, North (Amazon biome), Center-West (Without Amazon biome), Northeast, and Northeast Cerrado (Maranhão, Tocantins, Piauí, and Bahia States) Which is considered the neW agricultural frontier in Brazil. The model represents several land uses, agricultural sectors, and it is the first CGE model to explicitly represent these technologies. Under different simulated scenarios, the outcomes indicate that the higher supply of recovered areas With high productivity pastures, combined With the integrated systems, promotes the land sparing effect. There is a reduction in the pressure to clear natural and forest areas made by live- stock sector. Also, there is a decrease in the cropland use and an increase in the area of planted forest. However, regional results show that regions in the agricultural frontier respond differently to the ABC Plan. In the Center-West and North regions the pasture area increases more than recovered areas. At the same time, the crop land area is converted to high quality pasture. In the South and Southeast regions the pasture area increases less than the recovered areas. It means that part of this area is converted in cropland, forest or secondary vegetation. At macroeconomic level, there are welfare gains in all regions, except in the Northeast and Northeast Cerrado regions. Also, regional GDP changes indicate significant losses in these regions. Modern compensation mechanisms should be develop to avoid these losses increasing the production capacity and the technology absorption in these regions. Considering the economic costs of PR and IS the model projects R$ 39 billion (2009 values). This value is significantly lower compared to those projected in the origi- nal text of the ABC Plan (around R$ 37 billion for PR and R$ 57 billion for IS). The actual adoption level of resources present in the ABC Program is also lower compared to the value projected by the model. By the end of 2015/2016 crop-year the volume of credit taken by farmers reached R$ 13.8 billion, including all actions present in the ABC Plan and not only PR and IS. It suggests that if the adoption of the ABC credit continue in a low rate the goals of the ABC Plan Will not be met.
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Touzot, Audrey. "Migration et spécification des interneurones GABAergiques corticaux issus de la CGE au cours du développement chez la souris." Thesis, Nice, 2014. http://www.theses.fr/2014NICE4089/document.
Full textIn rodents, cortical interneurons (INs) originate from the medial (MGE) and caudal ganglionic eminence (CGE) according to precise temporal schedules, express a defined combination of factors, and reach their final laminar position through tangential and radial cell migration. The diversity and fate-specification of MGE-derived interneuron subtypes are well characterized however the molecular mechanisms controlling the migration and specification of CGE-derived INs are still vague. In this study, I have first investigated the migratory paths of cortical INs using a reporter line specific to the CGE, and then I have assessed the involvement of COUP-TFI and COUP-TFII, which are highly expressed in the embryonic CGE during development, in these paths. My data unravelled two major previously non-characterized migratory streams from the subpallium to the pallium: a dorsal stream (CLMS) in which CGE-derived cells migrate to the lateral GE (LGE), and a ventral one (CMMS) in which CGE-derived cells migrate to the MGE. I have characterized both streams and the already well-described caudal stream (CMS) during different stages of development and identified a series of genes expressed in the migrating cells. By inactivating COUP-TFI and/or COUP-TFII in the developing INs, these streams together with their molecular marker expression are perturbed. As a consequence, adult mutant mice have an altered distribution of interneuron subpopulations, particularly the ones derived from the CGE. Taken together, my study identified and characterized two novel CGE-derived interneuron migratory routes to the cortex and showed that COUP-TFs contribute in modulating these paths
Johnsson, Richard. "Transport Tax Policy Simulations and Satellite Accounting within a CGE Framework." Doctoral thesis, Uppsala : Univ., Department of Economics, 2003. http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/fy043/2003504674.html.
Full textKeast, Sarah-Jane. "A bi-regional CGE model of the South West housing market." Thesis, University of Plymouth, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/10026.1/2127.
Full textSumaraharja, Salip Hasta. "EXTERNAL SHOCKS AND FISCAL ADJUSTMENTS IN INDNESIA : A CGE MODEL ANALYSIS." Kyoto University, 1999. http://hdl.handle.net/2433/181763.
Full textFurtenback, Örjan. "Fuel substitution in district heating plants : CGE modeling with a forest resource /." Umeå : Sveriges lantbruksuniv, 2009. http://epsilon.slu.se/11862745.pdf.
Full textCirpici, Yasemin Asu. "Economy-wide Analysis Of Water Resource Management: A Cge Model For Turkey." Phd thesis, METU, 2008. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/3/12609404/index.pdf.
Full textselective water tax&rdquo
will result in a decrease in production and consumption in water-intensive sectors, as well as in the private income. For the first simulation, productivity increase in agriculture leads to a further increase in both GDP level and incomes, and it compensates the trade distortions resulting from the tariff reduction. In water simulation, private income increases with productivity increase and depletion in production and consumption of agricultural products reversed. Moreover, the net exports in agriculture improve significantly.
Rojas, Suazo Patricio. ""Propuesta de un sistema de control de gestión para CGE distribución S.A." Tesis, Universidad de Chile, 2014. http://www.repositorio.uchile.cl/handle/2250/117423.
Full textEn Chile, la industria de energía eléctrica se subdivide en tres categorías, generación, transmisión y distribución. La generación corresponde a la producción de energía eléctrica desde sus fuentes primarias, conformada por centrales generadoras interconectadas al sistema eléctrico que operan en condiciones de libre competencia; la transmisión incluye sistemas de voltaje superiores a 23 kV (kilovolts), cobro de peajes por el servicio de transporte de energía, opera bajo condiciones de monopolio natural, por lo que se encuentra regulada por la autoridad; y la distribución, asociada al transporte de potencia y energía a niveles de voltaje inferiores a 23 kV, opera bajo condiciones de monopolio natural, debido a la ineficiencia de establecer dos o más sistemas de distribución en la misma zona de concesión, por lo que es una industria regulada en las condiciones de su explotación. En esta última categoría realiza sus actividades CGE Distribución. Para realizar sus actividades la empresa solicita concesiones a la autoridad, mediante las cuales se definen zonas geográficas en la que debe prestar sus servicios. La concesión determina tanto los derechos como obligaciones de la empresa distribuidora. El principal derecho es poder explotar en dicha zona la actividad de distribución de energía eléctrica. La principal obligación es entregar energía eléctrica a todas las personas o empresas que lo soliciten dentro del área de concesión. Las condiciones de su explotación están reguladas en términos de los precios a cobrar a clientes regulados y la calidad del servicio a prestar a los clientes. Las tarifas que son cobradas a éstos son establecidas por la autoridad cada cuatro años. Durante los años intermedios a dicho periodo existen fórmulas de indexación a las principales variables que determinan los precios de la electricidad. Por su parte, la calidad de servicio está regulada en términos de asegurar al cliente la entrega continua de suministro y calidad en el servicio comercial, asociada a una correcta facturación y atención al cliente en los distintos puntos de contacto (oficinas comerciales, centros de pago, call center, entre otros). Si las condiciones establecidas por la autoridad no son cumplidas las empresas de distribución son multadas e incluso se puede producir la pérdida de la concesión, por deficiencias significativas en la continuidad de suministro y/o gestión comercial. La industria de distribución se caracteriza además por que el crecimiento de la demanda eléctrica está correlacionado directamente con el crecimiento del producto interno bruto (PIB) del país, existiendo un crecimiento vertical y horizontal. El crecimiento vertical está asociado al aumento en el consumo por mayores ingresos de las personas y empresas, que implica mayor acceso y utilización de bienes que funcionan con energía eléctrica. El crecimiento horizontal se asocia al crecimiento geográfico tanto de viviendas como empresas. Las proyecciones de demanda eléctrica son positivas, las que van desde 40.000 GWH en el año 2014 a más de 90.000 GWH al año 2030. CGE Distribución mantiene concesiones desde el sur de la Región Metropolitana hasta la IX Región de La Araucanía, lo que la constituye en la empresa con mayor cobertura geográfica del país; posee más de 1.400.000 clientes, lo que representa el 24% del mercado nacional (segunda a nivel nacional); mantiene inversiones por más de MM$ 24.000 (año 2013) a través de la construcción de más de 5.000 proyectos anuales; y forma parte del Grupo CGE, uno de los grupos energéticos más importantes de Chile. En términos de sus debilidades, actualmente (año 2013) la empresa no presenta una buena calidad de servicio, ocupando la posición general n° 30 de un total de 34 empresas de distribución que operan en Chile, y si se considera el segmento de las principales ocho empresas de distribución (con más de 120.000 clientes) CGE Distribución mantiene el último lugar. En este escenario, surge la necesidad de contar con un sistema de control de gestión que permita comunicar e implementar la estrategia a todos los niveles de la organización, alineando el desempeño de los empleados con los objetivos de la empresa, lo que constituye el principal objetivo del presente trabajo.
Mohora, Maria Christina. "RoMod: a dynamic CGE model for Romania a tool for policy analysis /." Rotterdam : Rotterdam : Erasmus Universiteit ; Erasmus University [Host], 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/1765/7455.
Full textWang, Jiao. "The impact of WTO trade/investment liberalisation on China : a CGE analysis." Thesis, London South Bank University, 2005. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.434557.
Full textAdu, Abraham. "The role of financial sector reforms in Ghana : econometric and CGE analyses." Thesis, University of Hull, 2016. http://hydra.hull.ac.uk/resources/hull:14771.
Full textKitwiwattanachai, Anyarath. "Quantitative impacts of alternative East Asia free trade areas : a CGE assessment." Thesis, University of Nottingham, 2008. http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/10489/.
Full textCOLOMBO, GIULIA. "Come legare modelli CGE a modelli di microsimulazione: questioni metodologiche ed applicate." Doctoral thesis, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10280/227.
Full textThis thesis wants to give an assessment and a detailed description of how Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) and microsimulation models can be linked together, taking inspiration from the current literature, with a special focus concerning the literature on developing countries. The main reason why these models are linked together is that the modeller wants to be able to take into account full agents' heterogeneity and the complexity of income distribution, and at the same time to analyse the macroeconomic effects of the policy reforms. In the last chapter, we build a CGE-microsimulation model for the economy of Nicaragua. This model appears to be particularly suited to the policy reform we are willing to simulate with the model: the Free Trade Agreement of Central American countries with USA is mainly a macroeconomic reform, which on the other hand can have important effects on the distribution of income and on poverty. With such a model we will study the possible changes in the distribution of income in Nicaragua deriving from the Free Trade Agreement with USA. Our analysis finds only small changes both in the main macroeconomic variables and in the distribution of income and poverty indices.
COLOMBO, GIULIA. "Come legare modelli CGE a modelli di microsimulazione: questioni metodologiche ed applicate." Doctoral thesis, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10280/227.
Full textThis thesis wants to give an assessment and a detailed description of how Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) and microsimulation models can be linked together, taking inspiration from the current literature, with a special focus concerning the literature on developing countries. The main reason why these models are linked together is that the modeller wants to be able to take into account full agents' heterogeneity and the complexity of income distribution, and at the same time to analyse the macroeconomic effects of the policy reforms. In the last chapter, we build a CGE-microsimulation model for the economy of Nicaragua. This model appears to be particularly suited to the policy reform we are willing to simulate with the model: the Free Trade Agreement of Central American countries with USA is mainly a macroeconomic reform, which on the other hand can have important effects on the distribution of income and on poverty. With such a model we will study the possible changes in the distribution of income in Nicaragua deriving from the Free Trade Agreement with USA. Our analysis finds only small changes both in the main macroeconomic variables and in the distribution of income and poverty indices.
Baas, Timo. "Unter welchen Bedingungen ist ein Beitritt zu einer Währungsunion optimal? : Eine Analyse stabilitätspolitischer Konsequenzen, statischer Effekte und wachstumstheoretischer Implikationen einer Osterweiterung der Europäischen Währungsunion." Phd thesis, Universität Potsdam, 2010. http://opus.kobv.de/ubp/volltexte/2010/4344/.
Full textThe European Monetary Union consists of 16 member states, is inhabited by 321 million people and has a joint GDP of 22.9 trillion Euros. It is one of the largest economic areas in the world. In the next years the Eurozone will growth further, eight remaining new EU member states will join after their fulfillment of the Maastricht criteria. This makes accession rather sequential, Slovenia joined in 2007, Slovakia in 2009 and Estonia is about to join the Eurozone in 2010. However, these rules open the opportunity for a new EU-member state to postpone membership of EMU in violating the Maastricht criteria like Sweden. The contribution of my Ph.D. thesis is to derive channels of the impact of an EMU accession on the macro-economy. To this aim, I analyze the effects of accession on stability, growth and the geographical structure within theoretical models. The static effects of accession are quantified within a computable equilibrium model. In the conclusions I answer the question whether there are economic reasons for a new member state to avoid EMU membership. The thesis is organized in three parts reflecting three perspectives of accession. Within the first main chapter, the effects of accession on stability are analyzed within a dynamic general equilibrium framework (DSGE). After a short discussion of the effects of monetary arrangements on the stability of an economy, I analyze the well-known arguments of the theory of optimum currency areas. Thereafter the model is used to analyze the transmission of shocks within the monetary union. The second main chapter of the thesis is related to static effects of accession. I show that in five new member states gains from accession outpace costs. Nevertheless, the gain from accession varies among accession countries and economic activities. Overall, small open economies tend to benefit to a greater extent than medium-size, more closed economies. In the third main chapter of the thesis a multiregional growth model is developed. In this model further integration leads to more efficient financial markets which foster growth. Nevertheless, like in all new economic geography (NEG) models, there could be the outcome of a catastrophic agglomeration. Capital could move from poor accession countries to rich western Eurozone countries. To prevent such a catastrophic agglomeration, financial markets should show a minimum degree of development. The conclusion of the thesis supports the accession of new member states to the Eurozone. I argue that the consequences of EMU accession will be either neutral or positive for the accession countries. Since these countries tend to be more instable, they could gain from an equalization of shocks within the Eurozone. The static effects outpace the costs of accession. Within the last years we saw huge progress in the integration of new EU-member states into the international financial system. A catastrophic agglomeration should therefore be unlikely. However, market capitalization remains low and bank lending is less profitable than in western EU-countries so that a risk remains which could justify a postponement of accession.
Hasudungan, Herbert Wibert Victor. "The impact of implementing carbon tax and feed-in tariff : a CGE analysis of the Indonesian case." Thesis, University of Dundee, 2016. https://discovery.dundee.ac.uk/en/studentTheses/80c65877-1fca-460a-a58e-caabdc883683.
Full textBartsch, Ulrich. "Structural reforms and poverty : a CGE analysis of cotton policy options in Egypt." Thesis, University of Sussex, 1997. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.360549.
Full textBaker, Jonathan (Jonathan Early). "The impact of including water constraints on food production within a CGE framework." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/68446.
Full textCataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (p. 73-76).
This research explores the long-term relationship between water resources, irrigated land use change and crop production within a computable general equilibrium modeling framework. The modeling approach is developed on a variant of the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model that describes three agriculture sectors-crops, livestock and managed forestry-five land types-cropland, pasture land, managed forest land, natural grass land and natural forest land-and conversion among these land types. I further develop this framework by describing crop production as the aggregate production of crops grown on irrigated and non-irrigated cropland. Water resources, through the parameterization of regional irrigable land supply curves, limit conversion to irrigated cropland and thus constrain regional crop production. Land use change, dynamics of irrigated land and regional water demand and crop production are investigated with the new model structure. Non-irrigated cropland is found be expanding faster than irrigated cropland. However, regionally, competition from biofuels for non-irrigated cropland may drive further expansion in irrigated cropland. Regarding water demand, most regions are withdrawing a very small share of their renewable water resource. Crop production levels are compared to results from a model that does not include water constraints. Global crop production declines a small amount with the most significant regional effect observed in the Middle East where regional water constraints have severely restricted the area by which irrigated cropland can expand. This result highlights the importance of considering water resource constraints in regions that experience, or might experience, shortages of water.
by Jonathan Early Baker.
S.M.in Technology and Policy
Naumov, Alexander. "An analysis of Kazakhstan and its energy sector using SAM and CGE modeling." Thesis, Heriot-Watt University, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/10399/2280.
Full textRutten, Martine. "The economic impact of health care provision : a CGE assessment for the UK." Thesis, University of Nottingham, 2004. http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/10318/.
Full textDe, Wet Theunis Jacobus. "The Effect of a tax on coal in South Africa a CGE analysis /." Thesis, Pretoria : [s.n.], 2003. http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-06302004-143319.
Full textSeverini, Francesca. "Politiche fiscali e ambientali: analisi degli impatti sull'economia italiana con un modello CGE." Doctoral thesis, Università Politecnica delle Marche, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/11566/242292.
Full textHOSSEINI, DELDOOST Seyed Mostafa. "IMPACTS OF CO2 TAX ON ITALIAN ECONOMY. A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH (CGE)." Doctoral thesis, Università degli studi di Ferrara, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/11392/2389100.
Full textJakfar, Fajri. "Impacts of timber trade policies on industrial activities in Indonesia using a CGE model." Kyoto University, 2002. http://hdl.handle.net/2433/149912.
Full text0048
新制・課程博士
博士(農学)
甲第9626号
農博第1254号
新制||農||843(附属図書館)
学位論文||H14||N3658(農学部図書室)
UT51-2002-G384
京都大学大学院農学研究科生物資源経済学専攻
(主査)教授 吉田 昌之, 教授 辻井 博, 教授 加賀 爪優
学位規則第4条第1項該当
Villagrán, Miranda Felipe Miguel. "Valoración Compañia General de Electricidad (Grupo CGE) : mediante método de flujo de caja descontado." Tesis, Universidad de Chile, 2016. http://repositorio.uchile.cl/handle/2250/140261.
Full textEl siguiente informe tiene como objetivo obtener una valorización económica tanto del grupo como una valorización por acción de la Compañía General de Electricidad al 30 de junio del 2015 a través del método de flujo de caja libre. Con el objetivo de efectuar la estimación del valor del grupo se analizó́ e investigó respecto a la descripción de la empresa, la industria en la cual opera y al financiamiento que presenta. Por otra parte, se determinó la estructura de capital y el costo patrimonial, además de considerar información relacionada a proyecciones de distintos analistas y políticas de inversión de la compañía para los próximos años, lo que permitió́ proyectar los Estados de Resultados desde Junio del 2015 a diciembre 2019. La metodología utilizada para la valoración económica del precio de la acción consistió en aplicar Flujos de Caja Descontados para los periodos Junio del año 2015 a diciembre del año 2019, a una tasa de costo de capital (WACC) estimada de 4,25%, proyectándose, además, un valor terminal de la empresa a partir del 2019, a través del método de “Valor de Perpetuidad sin Crecimiento”, que corresponde al valor de la compañía a partir del año siguiente de proyección (2020) sin considerar las oportunidades de crecimiento de la compañía1. Finalmente se llegó a un precio objetivo de la acción de $5.986, este precio de la acción obtenido se encuentra por sobre del precio observado por el mercado que es de $3.300, donde a lo largo del desarrollo de este proyecto y en base a los supuestos que serán descritos, se explicara en detalle cómo se obtuvo este precio y los supuestos del por qué el precio calculado es mayor al precio de mercado. La Compañía General de Electricidad es un grupo de aproximadamente 56 empresas que se dedican a la transmisión y distribución de electricidad (Siendo la segunda empresa más importante de electricidad a nivel nacional medida por número de clientes) además de la distribución de gas licuado y gas natural. Esta empresa es controlada actualmente por el grupo español la Caixa a través de Fenosa Chile. La compañía presenta operaciones en Argentina, Chile y Colombia, donde el grueso de sus ingresos corresponde por sus operaciones en Chile, principalmente del sector eléctrico e inversiones en el mercado del gas desde Arica a Punto Williams, siendo las empresas más representativas de este grupo METROGAS, GASCO, CONAFE, CGE Distribución, entre otras.
Karadag, Metin. "The effects of VAT harmonisation with the EU on the Turkish economy : a CGE approach." Thesis, Loughborough University, 1997. https://dspace.lboro.ac.uk/2134/27828.
Full textNaranpanawa, Athula Kithsiri Bandara, and n/a. "Trade Liberalisation and Poverty in a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model: The Sri Lankan Case." Griffith University. Griffith Business School, 2005. http://www4.gu.edu.au:8080/adt-root/public/adt-QGU20070130.165943.
Full textWu, Yinghong. "Economic impacts of different skilled levels of immigration labour : a CGE assessment for the UK." Thesis, Middlesex University, 2011. http://eprints.mdx.ac.uk/12380/.
Full textFerrarini, Angel dos Santos Fachinelli. "Avaliação setorial do uso da água no Brasil: uma análise de equilíbrio geral computável (CGE)." Universidade de São Paulo, 2017. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/11/11132/tde-14032018-123416/.
Full textThis dissertation aimed to verify how expansions of irrigated area in the country would increase the regional water use. For this, the scenarios described in the National Water Resources Plan (PNRH in Portuguese) were used as policy for expansion of irrigation in the country. The scenarios related are scenario 1 (water for all), scenario 2 (water for some) and scenario 3 (water for few), and are hypothetical situations reported by the plan. These scenarios were adapted with the information about irrigable areas described by Ministry of National Integration (MI) on the Territorial Analysis for the Development of Irrigated Agriculture. A computable general equilibrium model namely TERM-BR was used in the simulation, this is dynamic, bottom-up, interregional model for simulations of scenarios for water. The Thornthwaite and Mather method was employed to estimate the Climatic Water Balance (CWB) for Northeastern states and to assess the water availability situation under specific conditions in that region. Several studies were compiled to elaborate the database; some with municipal information (agriculture and human consumption) and others with state information (livestock and industry). Crop productivity, and planted and harvested areas were also used. The results suggest that the expansions in the national irrigated areas would provide positive changes in macroeconomic variables such as household consumption, investment, government spending, exports, and national GDP. Mato Grosso state would stand out in all the scenarios regarding regional macroeconomic variables, and change in regional GDP and investment would be greater in scenario 1. Expansions in the Center-West and North regions are feasible in all scenarios, especially in Mato Grosso, Goiás, Tocantins, Pará and Minas Gerais state. The highest percentage change in water use would occur in soybeans and cotton crops and the largest volume of water use (millions of cubic meters) would occur in sugar cane and rice crop. The results for the interaction between the TERM-BR model and CWB method for the Northeastern states indicate that, Alagoas and Pernambuco state would be the most likely to have problems with water availability. The increase in water use by hydrographic region is consistent with that proposed in the PNRH, and this increase should be higher in the Tocantins-Araguaia hydrographic regions (Tocantins, Pará, Mato Grosso and Goiás) and in the Western Northeast Atlantic in Maranhão and Pará state.
Kyalimpa, Francis Drake. "Prospects for economic growth and poverty reduction in Uganda : a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) analysis." Thesis, University of Dundee, 2014. https://discovery.dundee.ac.uk/en/studentTheses/bffe7268-93dc-434c-a138-07af2843a51f.
Full textNaranpanawa, Athula. "Trade Liberalisation and Poverty in a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model: The Sri Lankan Case." Thesis, Griffith University, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/10072/366815.
Full textThesis (PhD Doctorate)
Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)
Griffith Business School
Griffith Business School
Full Text
Bussolo, Maurizio. "A Mediterranean region FTA : some economic and environmental effects studied within a dynamic CGE framework." Thesis, University of Warwick, 1997. http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/109738/.
Full textPeeni, Bridget Ann. "Microfabrication and Evaluation of Planar Thin-Film Microfluidic Devices." BYU ScholarsArchive, 2006. https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/etd/797.
Full textYalew, Amsalu W., Georg Hirte, Hermann Lotze-Campen, and Stefan Tscharaktschiew. "Economic Effects of Climate Change in Developing Countries: Economy-wide and Regional Analysis for Ethiopia." Saechsische Landesbibliothek- Staats- und Universitaetsbibliothek Dresden, 2017. http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:14-qucosa-227554.
Full textMobley, Michael. "The expansion of NAFTA membership a CGE analysis of tariff removal between Japan and North America /." Diss., Online access via UMI:, 2005.
Find full textKinyondo, Godbertha K. "The implications of globalisation on South African gender and economy a computable general equilibrium (CGE) analysis /." Pretoria : [s.n.], 2007. http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-11222007-170024.
Full textLochindaratn, Pachara. "Essays on preferential trade liberalisation and domestic tax policy : CGE evaluations for Thailand and for India." Thesis, University of Nottingham, 2009. http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/10707/.
Full textErtac, Dizem. "Investigating the effects of environmental and energy policies in Turkey using an energy-disaggregated CGE model." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/315740.
Full textDoctorat en Sciences économiques et de gestion
info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished
SPINELLI, ADRIANO. "Modeling Water Reallocation Policies in a CGE Framework: The Impact of Drought on the Kenyan Economy." Doctoral thesis, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/10280/781.
Full textClimate change and human pressure on water resources make water management policies primordial in the agenda of policy makers. I first propose a literature review of the works on Water Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Models suggesting the following classification: (i) competition between sectors; (ii) water pricing policies and tariffs; (iii) water and trade issues; (iv) CGE and other models. Secondly, the effects of droughts on the Kenyan economy are studied by means of a static CGE model, calibrated on the 2003 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) of Kenya. As a water scarce Sub-Saharan country, Kenya is among those countries considered particularly exposed to drought problems. This has been witnessed in recent years by several recurring droughts (1994, 1998-2000, 2001, and 2003) which have harshly hit the most vulnerable part of the country, namely the Arid and Semi Arid Lands (ASAL). Besides, I propose the introduction of several taxation schemes in order to produce an extra revenue to be either reinvested in increasing the efficiency of the water sector in Kenya, or redistributed to the poorest rural households. Finally we simulate the implementation of the UN-FAO and World Bank “Arid Land and Resource Management Project” (ALRMP). The results show that, firstly, the effects of reducing water endowment are stronger than when increasing water endowment. Secondly, simulating a drought scenario – where not just water endowment but also availability of land and the productivity of selected activities are reduced - gives a more coherent picture of the outcomes. Thirdly, taxing raw water (the water factor) may negatively affect rural dwellers as they are owners of water resources. Finally, I found that the ALRMP has a positive impact on mitigating the negative effects of droughts in Kenyan ASAL.