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Journal articles on the topic 'Business Cycles'

To see the other types of publications on this topic, follow the link: Business Cycles.

Author: Grafiati

Published: 4 June 2021

Last updated: 1 August 2024

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1

Gregory, Allan W., and Gregor W. Smith. "Measuring business cycles with business-cycle models." Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 20, no. 6-7 (June 1996): 1007–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0165-1889(95)00887-x.

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2

Zhang, Wei-Bin. "Tourism, Growth and Business Cycles." International Journal of Trade, Economics and Finance 10, no. 4 (October 2019): 99–103. http://dx.doi.org/10.18178/ijtef.2019.10.4.644.

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3

SPYCHAŁA, Joanna. "Regional business cycles in Poland." Scientific Papers of Silesian University of Technology. Organization and Management Series 2020, no. 146 (2020): 441–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.29119/1641-3466.2020.146.31.

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Purpose: The main goal of the considerations presented hereinbelow is a presentation of the course of action as well as an analysis of crucial features of cyclical fluctuations differentiated as entities in the Polish economy as well as in all provinces in the period of the first quarter of 2005 until the second quarter of 2019 based on the rate of the sold production of industry. Design/methodology/approach: A share of the respective regions in the structure of the sold production of industry was assessed. Finally, an attempt of assessing the rate of convergence in terms of morphology of a national chain with time chains of the respective regions was undertaken. In the thesis, a hypothesis is being stated that the most synchronised with the cycle of Poland are regions having the biggest share in the sold production of industry. Methodological bases of the research process as well as an empirical assessment of the regional business cycles in Poland were preceded by theoretical analyses concerning the notion, the core as well as the morphological features of the regional business fluctuations. Findings: Making an assessment of the progression of business cycle fluctuations of the economy of Poland as a whole as well as business cycle fluctuations of Polish provinces in the period between the first quarter 2005 and the second quarter of 2019, one may conclude the progression is not uniform. The variation depends to a large extent on the specificity of development of each region. Provinces which have a lower share in the national structure of the sold production of industry demonstrate higher sensitivity to economic shocks. The highest degree of compliance with the national cycle has been demonstrated in provinces with the highest rate of share in the structure of the sold production of industry. Research limitations/implications: The conducted research, as well as the obtained results might thus be a basis for taking up more extensive analyses in that field, comprising a discussion on the remaining morphological features of business cycles. Originality/value: Determining the course of cyclical fluctuations in Poland as well as in its respective provinces has been made.

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4

Howson, S. "Business Cycles. Pt. 1 / Business Cycles. Pt. 2." History of Political Economy 46, no. 2 (May 12, 2014): 341–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1215/00182702-2647549.

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5

Azariadis, Costas. "Credit Cycles and Business Cycles." Review 100, no. 1 (2018): 45–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.20955/r.2018.45-71.

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6

Benhabib, Jess, Roberto Perli, and Plutarchos Sakellaris. "Persistence of business cycles in multisector real business cycle models." International Journal of Economic Theory 2, no. 3-4 (September 2006): 181–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1742-7363.2006.0032.x.

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7

Male, Rachel. "Developing Country Business Cycles: Characterizing the Cycle." Emerging Markets Finance and Trade 47, sup2 (May 2011): 20–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.2753/ree1540-496x4703s202.

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8

Iacoviello, Matteo. "Financial Business Cycles." International Finance Discussion Paper 2014, no. 1116 (2014): 1–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.17016/ifdp.2014.1116.

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9

Cashin, Paul. "Caribbean Business Cycles." IMF Working Papers 04, no. 136 (2004): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451855845.001.

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10

Ilut, Cosmin L., and Martin Schneider. "Ambiguous Business Cycles." American Economic Review 104, no. 8 (August 1, 2014): 2368–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.8.2368.

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This paper studies a New Keynesian business cycle model with agents who are averse to ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty). Shocks to confidence about future TFP are modeled as changes in ambiguity. To assess the size of those shocks, our estimation uses not only data on standard macro variables, but also incorporates the dispersion of survey forecasts about growth as a measure of confidence. Our main result is that TFP and confidence shocks together can explain roughly two thirds of business cycle frequency movements in the major macro aggregates. Confidence shocks account for about 70 percent of this variation. (JEL D81, D84, E12, E32)

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11

Angeletos, George-Marios, and Jennifer La’O. "Noisy Business Cycles." NBER Macroeconomics Annual 24, no. 1 (January 2010): 319–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/648301.

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12

Iacoviello, Matteo. "Financial business cycles." Review of Economic Dynamics 18, no. 1 (January 2015): 140–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2014.09.003.

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13

Azzimonti, Marina, and Matthew Talbert. "Polarized business cycles." Journal of Monetary Economics 67 (October 2014): 47–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2014.07.001.

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14

Romer, Christina D. "Remeasuring Business Cycles." Journal of Economic History 54, no. 3 (September 1994): 573–609. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0022050700015047.

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This article evaluates the consistency of the NBER business cycle reference dates. It finds that the early reference dates are derived from detrended data, whereas the dates after 1927 are derived from data in levels. To evaluate the importance of this and other changes in technique, I derive a simple algorithm that matches the postwar NBER peaks and troughs closely. When this algorithm is applied to data for 1884 to 1940, the new prewar dates differ systematically from the NBER dates and challenge the conventional view that recessions have gotten shorter over time.

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15

Gallegati, Mauro. "Irregular business cycles." Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 5, no. 1 (June 1994): 73–79. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0954-349x(05)80020-7.

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16

Arias, Maria A., Charles S. Gascon, and David E. Rapach. "Metro business cycles." Journal of Urban Economics 94 (July 2016): 90–108. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2016.05.005.

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17

Golosov, Mikhail, and Guido Menzio. "Agency business cycles." Theoretical Economics 15, no. 1 (2020): 123–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.3982/te3379.

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We develop a theory of endogenous and stochastic fluctuations in economic activity. Individual firms choose to randomize over firing or keeping workers who performed poorly in the past to give them an ex ante incentive to exert effort. Different firms choose to correlate the outcome of their randomization to reduce the probability with which they fire nonperforming workers. Correlated randomization leads to aggregate fluctuations. Aggregate fluctuations are endogenous—they emerge because firms choose to randomize and they choose to randomize in a correlated fashion—and they are stochastic—they are the manifestation of a randomization process. The hallmark of a theory of endogenous and stochastic fluctuations is that the stochastic process for aggregate “shocks” is an equilibrium object.

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18

King, RobertG, and CharlesI Plosser. "Real business cycles." Journal of Monetary Economics 21, no. 2-3 (March 1988): 191–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(88)90029-3.

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19

Ingram, Beth Fisher, Narayana R. Kocherlakota, and N. E. Savin. "Explaining business cycles." Journal of Monetary Economics 34, no. 3 (December 1994): 415–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(94)90026-4.

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20

Tepe, Markus, and Pieter Vanhuysse. "Educational business cycles." Public Choice 139, no. 1-2 (October 25, 2008): 61–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11127-008-9379-6.

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21

McCraw, Thomas K. "Schumpeter's Business Cycles as Business History." Business History Review 80, no. 2 (2006): 231–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0007680500035479.

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Business Cycles was Joseph Schumpeter's least successful book, measured by its professed aims and several other yardsticks. Yet the book has two vital aspects that have largely been overlooked. First, the prodigious research that went into its writing caused a significant change in Schumpeter's thinking about capitalism. It moved him to a more historical and empirical approach that shaped nearly all his subsequent work. And second, much of the book constitutes a preview of modern, rigorous business history. This article explores both of these elements—not in the spirit of rescuing a neglected classic, because the book is not a classic. Instead, Business Cycles is a noble failure that paid unexpected dividends both to the author and to scholarship.

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22

Croes, Robertico, Jorge Ridderstaat, and Manuel Rivera. "Asymmetric Business Cycle Effects and Tourism Demand Cycles." Journal of Travel Research 57, no. 4 (April 17, 2017): 419–36. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0047287517704086.

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This study examines the relationship between business and tourism demand cycles in Aruba and Barbados during 1970–2015. The study uses a 2SLS method and is grounded in the output gap approach. The results indicate that business cycles explain nearly 49% of tourism demand flows to Aruba and nearly 91% to Barbados. Thus, the study sheds light on the nature of the relationship between business and tourism demand cycles, which could help managers and policy makers refine their strategies to further tourism development. Procyclical and asymmetric movements characterized the long-term co-movements between the business cycles and tourism demand variables. However, individual variables were stationary, hence transitory in nature, and therefore mainly driven by demand motivations. The asymmetric fluctuations were defined by positive and negative gaps, with the former displaying stronger duration effects compared to the latter. The relationship between the two variables seems country specific in nature.

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23

Liu, Zheng. "Seasonal cycles, business cycles, and monetary policy." Journal of Monetary Economics 46, no. 2 (October 2000): 441–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0304-3932(00)00031-3.

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24

Wells, John M. "Business Cycles, Seasonal Cycles, and Common Trends." Journal of Macroeconomics 19, no. 3 (July 1997): 443–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0164-0704(97)00023-2.

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25

Al-Zoubi, Haitham A., Jennifer A. O’Sullivan, and Abdulaziz M. Alwathnani. "Business cycles, financial cycles and capital structure." Annals of Finance 14, no. 1 (August 20, 2017): 105–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10436-017-0306-z.

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26

Eichenbaum, Martin, and Kenneth J. Singleton. "Do Equilibrium Real Business Cycle Theories Explain Postwar U. S. Business Cycles?" NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1 (January 1986): 91–135. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/654017.

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27

Eichenbaum, Martin, and Kenneth J. Singleton. "Erratum: Do Equilibrium Real Business Cycle Theories Explain Postwar U.S. Business Cycles?" NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2 (January 1987): 317–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/ma.2.4623727.

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28

Artis, M. J., and W. Zhang. "International Business Cycles and the ERM: Is There a European Business Cycle?" International Journal of Finance & Economics 2, no. 1 (January 1997): 1–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-1158(199701)2:1<1::aid-ijfe31>3.0.co;2-7.

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29

McDermott, C. John, and Alasdair Scott. "Concordance in Business Cycles." IMF Working Papers 00, no. 37 (2000): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451845563.001.

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30

Siegel, Jeremy J., and Fischer Black. "Business Cycles and Equilibrium." Journal of Finance 43, no. 2 (June 1988): 531. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2328475.

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31

Christiano, Lawrence J., Martin S. Eichenbaum, and Mathias Trabandt. "Unemployment and Business Cycles." International Finance Discussion Paper 2013, no. 1089 (2013): 1–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.17016/ifdp.2013.1089.

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32

Seymen, Atilim. "Euro area business cycles." OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 2012, no. 1 (November 21, 2012): 1–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2012-5k98xgf7dnwk.

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33

Hahn, F. H., and Robert E. Lucas. "Models of Business Cycles." Economica 55, no. 218 (May 1988): 283. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2554478.

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34

Hegerty, Scott W. "Central European Business Cycles." Eastern European Economics 48, no. 2 (March 2010): 56–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.2753/eee0012-8775480204.

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35

Gregory, Allan W., Allen C. Head, and Jacques Raynauld. "Measuring World Business Cycles." International Economic Review 38, no. 3 (August 1997): 677. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2527287.

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36

Servetnyk, N. "STUDYING BUSINESS CYCLES SYNCHRONIZATION." Bulletin of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv Economics, no. 159 (2014): 48–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.17721/1728-2667.2014/159-6/9.

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37

Bloom, Nicholas, Max Floetotto, Nir Jaimovich, Itay Saporta-Eksten, and Stephen J. Terry. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles." Econometrica 86, no. 3 (2018): 1031–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.3982/ecta10927.

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38

Christiano, Lawrence J., Martin S. Eichenbaum, and Mathias Trabandt. "Unemployment and Business Cycles." Econometrica 84, no. 4 (2016): 1523–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.3982/ecta11776.

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39

Kim, Kunhong, and Yong‐Yil Choi. "Business cycles in Korea." Journal of Economic Studies 24, no. 5 (October 1997): 275–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/01443589710175807.

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40

Muellbauer, J. "The assessment: business cycles." Oxford Review of Economic Policy 13, no. 3 (September 1, 1997): 1–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/13.3.1.

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41

WEL, CLAIRE. "RECENT AUSTRALIAN BUSINESS CYCLES." Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy 17, no. 2 (June 1998): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1759-3441.1998.tb00177.x.

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42

Getz, Malcolm. "LIBRARIES AND BUSINESS CYCLES." Bottom Line 2, no. 1 (January 1989): 4–5. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/eb025149.

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43

Comin, Diego, and Mark Gertler. "Medium-Term Business Cycles." American Economic Review 96, no. 3 (May 1, 2006): 523–51. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.96.3.523.

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Over the postwar period, many industrialized countries have experienced significant medium-frequency oscillations between periods of robust growth versus relative stagnation. Conventional business cycle filters, however, tend to sweep these oscillations into the trend. In this paper we explore whether they may, instead, reflect a persistent response of economic activity to the high-frequency fluctuations normally associated with the cycle. We define as the medium-term cycle the sum of the high- and medium-frequency variation in the data, and then show that these kinds of fluctuations are substantially more volatile and persistent than are the conventional measures. These fluctuations, further, feature significant procyclical movements in both embodied and disembodied technological change, and research and development (R&D), as well as the efficiency and intensity of resource utilization. We then develop a model of medium-term business cycles. A virtue of the framework is that, in addition to offering a unified approach to explaining the high- and medium-frequency variation in the data, it fully endogenizes the movements in productivity that appear central to the persistence of these fluctuations. For comparison, we also explore how well an exogenous productivity model can explain the facts.

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44

Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro. "Credit and Business Cycles." Japanese Economic Review 49, no. 1 (March 1998): 18–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1468-5876.00069.

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45

Alyousha, Ahmed. "Investigating Bahrain business cycles." Applied Economics 29, no. 1 (January 1997): 43–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/000368497327380.

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46

Dua, Pami, and Anirvan Banerji. "Predicting Indian Business Cycles." Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research 1, no. 3 (July 2007): 249–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/097380100700100301.

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47

Cuñat, Alejandro, and Marco Maffezzoli. "Heckscher–Ohlin business cycles." Review of Economic Dynamics 7, no. 3 (July 2004): 555–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2004.04.001.

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48

Allen, David N. "Business Incubator Life Cycles." Economic Development Quarterly 2, no. 1 (February 1988): 19–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/089124248800200103.

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49

Clark, Todd E., and Eric van Wincoop. "Borders and business cycles." Journal of International Economics 55, no. 1 (October 2001): 59–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0022-1996(01)00095-2.

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50

Ginsburgh, Victor, and Philippe Michel. "Optimal policy business cycles." Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 22, no. 4 (April 1998): 503–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0165-1889(97)00074-2.

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