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Journal articles on the topic "621.311.1.003 + 621.314"

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Anashkin, S., A. Bovkun, L. Bindi, V. Garanin, and Y. Litvin. "Kudryavtsevaite, Na3MgFe3+Ti4O12, a new kimberlitic mineral." Mineralogical Magazine 77, no. 3 (April 2013): 327–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.1180/minmag.2013.077.3.06.

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AbstractKudryavtsevaite, ideally Na3MgFe3+Ti4O12, is a new mineral from kimberlitic rocks of the Orapa area, Botswana. It occurs as rare prismatic crystals, up to 100 μm m across, associated with Mg-rich ilmenite, freudenbergite and ulvöspinel. Kudryavtsevaite is opaque with a vitreous lustre and shows a black streak. It is brittle; the Vickers hardness (VHN100) is 901 kg mm−2 (range: 876–925) (Mohs hardness ∼6). In reflected light, kudryavtsevaite is moderately bireflectant and very weakly pleochroic from dark grey to a slightly bluish grey. Under crossed polars, it is very weakly anisotropic with greyish-bluish rotation tints. Internal reflections are absent. Reflectance values (%), Rmin and Rmax, are: 21.3, 25.4 (471.1 nm), 20.6, 24.1 (548.3 nm), 20.0, 23.5 (586.6 nm) and 19.1, 22.4 (652.3 nm).Kudryavtsevaite is orthorhombic, space group Pnma, with a = 27.714(1), b = 2.9881(3), c = 11.3564(6) Å, V = 940.5(1) Å3, and Z = 4. The crystal structure [R1 = 0.0168 for 819 reflections with I > 2σ(I)] consists of edge-sharing and corner-sharing chains composed of Mg, Fe3+ and Ti atoms coordinated by six atoms of oxygen and running along the b axis, with Na filling the tunnels formed by the chains. The eight strongest powder-diffraction lines [d in Å (I/I0) (hkl)] are: 7.17 (100) (301), 4.84 (70) (302), 2.973 (35) (901), 2.841 (50) (004), 2.706 (50) (902), 2.541 (50) (312), 2.450 (70) (611), and 2.296 (45) (612). The average results of 12 electron microprobe analyses gave (wt.%): Na2O 16.46(15), CaO 1.01(3), MgO 5.31(5), Fe2O3 22.24(32), Cr2O3 1.05(6), Al2O3 0.03(2), TiO2 53.81(50), total 99.91, corresponding to the empirical formula (Na2.89Ca0.10)Σ2.99(Ti3.67Fe1.523+Mg0.72Cr0.08)Σ5.99O12, or ideally Na3MgFe3+Ti4O12.The new mineral has been approved by the IMA-CNMNC and named for Galina Kudryavtseva (1947–2006), a well known Russian mineralogist and founder of the Diamond Mineralogy Laboratory and scientific school for investigation of diamond mineralogy and geochemistry at the Lomonosov State University in Moscow, Russia.
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Nakamura, Masato, Tae Won Kim, Rui-hua Xu, Young Suk Park, Yong Sang Hong, Tao Zhang, Takeshi Kato, et al. "A multinational, randomized, phase III trial of XELIRI with or without bevacizumab versus FOLFIRI with or without bevacizumab as second-line therapy for metastatic colorectal cancer: Safety analysis of Asian XELIRI project (AXEPT)." Journal of Clinical Oncology 35, no. 4_suppl (February 1, 2017): 681. http://dx.doi.org/10.1200/jco.2017.35.4_suppl.681.

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681 Background: Several studies have shown that capecitabine plus irinotecan (XELIRI) has promising efficacy and safety in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. AXEPT is a non-inferiority, phase III comparison of XELIRI with or without bevacizumab vs 5-fluorouracil/folinic acid plus irinotecan (FOLFIRI) with or without bevacizumab as second-line therapy in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. Methods: We undertook an open-label, non-inferiority, randomized phase III trial in South Korea, China and Japan. Patients were randomized 1:1 to XELIRI (irinotecan 200 mg/m2 on day 1 plus capecitabine 800 mg/m2 twice daily for 2 weeks in a 3-week cycle) with or without bevacizumab 7.5 mg/kg or FOLFIRI with or without bevacizumab. The primary endpoint was overall survival. Results: From December 2013 to August 2015, 650 patients were enrolled and 625 (311 in FOLFIRI and 314 in XELIRI) were included to safety analysis at the cutoff dates on August 31, 2016. Patient baseline characteristics including KRAS status and UGT1A1 gene polymorphism were similar between the two treatment arms. Prior chemotherapy with oxaliplatin was given to 97.4% in both arms. The overall incidence of grade 3-4 toxicity was 73% in FOLFIRI arm and 53.2% in XELIRI arm. Whereas FOLFIRI was associated with more grade 3-4 neutropenia (43.7% vs 16.2%), leucopenia (13.5% vs 7.3%) and all grades anemia (80.4% vs 69.4%) than XELIRI, XELIRI was associated with more all grades hand-foot syndrome (34.1% vs 14.8%) and grade 3-4 diarrhea (7.0% vs 3.2%). There was no significant difference in febrile neutropenia (4.2% in FOLFIRI and 2.9% in XELIRI). The addition of bevacizumab did not alter safety profiles between XELIRI and FOLFIRI. There was a treatment-related death in FOLFIRI arm (0.3%). Conclusions: Both FOLFIRI and XELIRI were safe and well tolerated, though there were differences in the rates and toxicity profiles at which adverse events occur. Clinical trial information: NCT01996306. UMIN000012263.
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Sawattep, Jeeranut, Thad A. Howard, Noppawan P. Morales, Yupin Sanvarinda, Pranee Fucharoen, Suthat Fucharoen, and Russell E. Ware. "Single Nucleotide Polymorphism (SNP) Discovery within the UGT1A Gene Complex: Allelic Frequencies and Ethnic Differences." Blood 104, no. 11 (November 16, 2004): 3780. http://dx.doi.org/10.1182/blood.v104.11.3780.3780.

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Abstract The UDP-glycosyltransferase (UGT1A) gene complex plays an important role in the hepatic metabolism of many chemicals, toxins, and drugs including bilirubin and acetaminophen. In this large gene complex that spans over 200kb, there are at least 13 different coding regions that can serve as exon 1, followed by a common sequence that contains exons 2–5. These variable exon 1 sequences confer different chemical specificities for binding compounds, while exons 2–5 provide glycosyltransferase function (glucuronidation) that enhances water solubility and excretion. Mutations and polymorphisms within the UGT1A complex may help explain the phenotypic variability that is observed in drug metabolism for patients with hematological diseases. To date, several important polymorphisms have been identified in the coding regions of the UGT1A1 and UGT1A6 exon 1 sequences, but formal single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) discovery has not been reported. Using genomic DNA obtained from a cohort of Thai patients with beta-thalassemia/HbE (n=37) and African-American patients with sickle cell anemia (n=12), flanking and coding sequences for UGT1A1 exon 1 (1.5kb), UGT1A6 exon 1 (1.5kb), and UGT1A common exons 2–5 (2.5kb) were fully sequenced in both directions. Polymorphisms that occurred more than once were compared to wildtype sequences obtained from NCBI, Accession Number AF297093. Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms in the UGT1A gene complex SNP NCBI nucleotide Location African-American Thai * indicates a SNP previously identified in NCBI g/c 109183 5′ 1A6 Exon 1 .875/.125 .676/.324 c/g 109301 5′ 1A6 Exon 1 .833/.167 1.000/.000 g/t 109628 1A6 Exon 1 .458/.542 .662/.338 c/t 109713 1A6 Exon 1 1.000/.000 .905/.095 a/g * 109924 1A6 Exon 1 .542/.458 .689/.311 a/g * 110150 1A6 Exon 1 .708/.292 .689/.311 a/c * 110161 1A6 Exon 1 .625/.375 .662/.338 t/g 110236 1A6 Exon 1 .750/.250 .973/.027 c/t 174679 5′ 1A1 Exon 1 .500/.500 .770/.230 g/c 174979 5′ 1A1 Exon 1 1.000/.000 .946/.054 g/a * 175253 1A1 Exon 1 1.000/.000 .932/.068 a/g 182226 Intron 2 .955/.045 .689/.311 t/c 182521 Intron 2 .850/.150 .905/.095 c/t 187524 3′ Exon 5 .417/.583 .865/.135 c/g * 187652 3′ Exon 5 .625/.375 .851/.149 c/g * 187753 3′ Exon 5 .587/.417 .838/.162 In addition to the well-described UGT1A1 (TA)n promoter polymorphism, a total of 16 SNPs were identified in these regions, including 10 that have not been previously reported. Four novel promoter SNPs were identified, along with three new UGT1A6 exon 1 coding SNPs and three non-coding SNPs within the common exon 2–5 region. The alellic frequencies for these SNPs can only be estimated from this small sample size, but indicate substantial differences between Thai and African-American patients. A larger sample size will be used to determine a more accurate allelic frequency for each SNP, and to identify haplotype associations. These novel SNPs within the UGT1A gene complex may have important effects on drug metabolism and may explain some of the phenotypic variability observed in these patient populations.
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Blasius, Jörg. "Nishisato, S. (2007). Multidimensional nonlinear descriptive analysis. Boca Raton, FL: Chapman & Hall/CRC. 312 + xiii pp. US$89.95. ISBN 1-58488-612-9." Psychometrika 72, no. 4 (July 3, 2007): 647–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11336-007-9017-0.

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Gehrcke, Martielo Ivan, Helena Mondardo Cardoso, Doughlas Regalin, Gizelli da Silva, Vanessa Sasso Padilha, Aury Nunes de Moraes, and Nilson Oleskovicz. "Cardiac index by thermodilution or transthoracic echocardiography in dogs at different hemodynamic states." Ciência Rural 46, no. 11 (August 15, 2016): 2049–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0103-8478cr20150352.

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ABSTRACT: Proper monitoring of cardiac index (CI) in critically ill patients requires accurate and minimally invasive methods. The aim of this study was to compare the CI values obtained by thermodilution or echocardiography using different methods in dogs in different hemodynamic states. Nine dogs weighing 19.6±1.3kg were anesthetized with isoflurane at 1.4V% (Baseline) and subjected to mechanical ventilation (MV),a hypodynamic state (Hypo) with isoflurane at 3.5V% and hyperdynamic state (hyper) with dobutamine infusion at 5μgkg-1min-1. CI analysis was performed by thermodilution (TD) and using the modified Simpson's method, aortic velocity-time integral (A-VTI) method and pulmonary VTI (P-VTI) method. We performed Pearson's correlation and Bland-Altman analysis. The CI values (Lm-2min-1) of the animals in the Baseline, MV, Hypo and Hyper states were 4.3±1, 3.6±0.7, 2.9±0.66 and 6.1±2, for TD; 2.8±0.7, 2.4±0.3, 1.7±0.7 and 4.4±1.2, for Simpson's method; 3.4±0.9, 3.1±0.7, 2.6±3.4, 6.1±1.8 for A-VTI; and 3.6±0.8, 3.6±0.8, 2.7±0.6 and 6.2±1.5, for P-VTI. The CI values using Simpson's method were lower than those obtained by TD in all states, and it was observed a significant correlation in the Hypo (r=0.89) and Hyper (r=0.76) groups. In addition,the percent error in the Hypo group using Simpson's method was 26% relative to TD, which allowed for the identification of the different hemodynamic states. With respect to the other methods and states, there was no agreement or correlation between the methods and TD. We concluded that none of the tested echocardiography methods exhibited acceptable agreement with thermodilution at different hemodynamic states.
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Van Dyk, S., L. M. Gerritsma- Van der Vijver, and D. G. Van der Nest. "Die toksisiteit van Gladiolus dalenii van Geel." Suid-Afrikaanse Tydskrif vir Natuurwetenskap en Tegnologie 13, no. 4 (July 10, 1994): 125–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.4102/satnt.v13i4.594.

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The biological activity of Gladiolus dalenii van Geel (Iridaceae) corms (used in ethnomedicine) and leaves were evaluated in a few systems. A profile of acute toxicity in rats was compiled and it was found that both corms and leaves contained cytotoxic substances affecting mitotic active tissue. Acute deaths resulted from congestive heart failure. The toxicity of a fraction (coded as GDI) isolated from corms was qualitatively similar to that of corms and leaves. Estimated minimum lethal doses, given in mg/kg body weight, lie in the range 10-31 (i.p.) and 3 160 - 5 620 (p.o.) for corms, 100-316 (i.p.) and > 1 780 (p.o.) for leaves and 1-3 (i.p.) and > 1 000 (p.o.) for fraction GDI. Intact plant material showed no activity against a series of microbes. Fraction GDI was active against Candida albicans. Phototoxicity was not detected.
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Mayorova, Yana, Viktor Glebov, Viktoriya Erofeeva, Sergey Yablochnikov, and Bogdan Laver. "Physiological Evaluation of the Cardiology System of Nonresident Students at Different Training Periods." E3S Web of Conferences 169 (2020): 04004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202016904004.

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The article provides a physiological assessment of the state of the cardiovascular system of students in different periods of the academic year. The study was conducted on a sample of 311 nonresident and Moscow students. An analysis of the spectral characteristics of HRV showed that during the examination session the total power of the spectrum decreased compared with the indicators during the training session. During the intercessional period, the total spectrum power in the studied group of students amounted to 4856.34 ± 645 ms2, and during the examination session this indicator decreased by 35.8% and amounted to 3119.41 ± 522 ms2. A comparative analysis of the HRV activity wave spectrum of the studied student sample showed significant changes (p <0.05) of students’ functional state indicators (SDNN, LF, HF, LF / HF; SI, ARS). According to the studied indicators, a growth trend was noted: (SDNN: from 43.89 ± 8.12 to 78.03 ± 3.86; LF: 27.78 ± 7.33 42.56 ± 4.51; LF / HF: 0.67 ± 0.03 1.72 ± 0.02; SI: 102.95 ± 11.3 467.77 ± 6.1; ARS: 1-2 ± 0.12 5-7 ± 0.01 ) and a decrease in HF (41.74 ± 5.3 to 24.67 ± 2.94).
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Politi, Mary C., Renata W. Yen, Glyn Elwyn, Natasha Kurien, Sophie G. Czerwinski, Danielle Schubbe, Catherine H. Saunders, and Marie-Anne Durand. "Encounter Decision Aids Can Prompt Breast Cancer Surgery Cost Discussions: Analysis of Recorded Consultations." Medical Decision Making 40, no. 1 (December 12, 2019): 62–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0272989x19893308.

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Background. Patients frequently worry about care costs, but clinicians seldom address the topic. Cost information is not typically included in patient decision aids (DAs). We examined whether including cost information in an encounter DA, with clinician training, influenced cost conversations. Method. As part of a larger trial, 14 surgeons from 4 cancer centers were randomized to 1 of 3 interventions: (1) Picture Option Grid DA that included a prompt to discuss relative treatment costs, hereafter called “cost prompt group”; (2) a text-only Option Grid DA that did not include cost information; (3) usual care. Groups 2 and 3 hereafter are referred to as “non-cost prompt groups.” Adult (18+) female patients, with stages I-IIIA breast cancer, eligible for both breast-conserving surgery and mastectomy were included. We gave surgeons feedback about adherence to the study protocol at 3, 6, and 12-months. We adapted a checklist to code the content of the audio-recorded clinical encounters. Results. 424/622 (68%) patients consented; 311 (73%) were eligible and successfully recorded (143 in the cost prompt group, 168 in the non-cost prompt groups). Costs were discussed in 132/311 (42.4%) encounters, and occurred more often in the cost prompt versus non-cost prompt groups (66.7% versus 33.3%; p<.001). Surgeons initiated the cost discussion in 86.4% of encounters in the cost prompt group vs. 34.1% in the non-cost prompt groups (p<0.001). In the non-cost prompt groups, insurance or employment questions led patients to ask about costs. Cost discussions lasted about 34 seconds when present and had sparse comparative details. Conclusions. Encounter DAs containing cost information trigger cost discussions. Additional support should help clinicians improve the quality of cost discussions and address financial distress.
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Lawson, Lovett, Mohammed A. Yassin, Alex N. Onuoha, Andrew Ramsay, Rachel R. M. Anderson de Cuevas, Sally Theobald, Peter D. O. Davies, and Luis E. Cuevas. "Yield of Smear Microscopy and Radiological Findings of Male and Female Patients with Tuberculosis in Abuja, Nigeria." Tuberculosis Research and Treatment 2010 (2010): 1–5. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2010/241659.

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Objective. To describe the yield of smear-microscopy and radiological findings by male and female patients with symptoms of tuberculosis in Abuja, Nigeria.Methods. Patients ≥15 years old with cough for >3 weeks submitted 3 sputum samples for smear microscopy. One specimen was cultured using MGIT-960. All patients had lung X-rays and screened for HIV.Results. were more likely to be smear-positive than females (262/774 [34%] and 137/547 [25%],P<.01), but similar proportions of males and females were culture-positive (437/691 [63%] and 294/495 [59%],P=.09). 317/626 (50.6%) males and 249/419 (59.4%) females were HIV-positive (P<.005). Among culture-positives patients, HIV-infected males were less likely to have positive smears than HIV-negative males (49.2% versus 66%,P=.001). Among females, smear positivity did not vary with HIV (46.4% for HIV-positive and 52.9% for HIV-negative,P=.38). Of 274 culture-confirmed TB cases, 226 (82.5%) had cavities, and 271 (99%) had ≥1 lung areas affected. HIV-positive males were more likely to have lung cavities than HIV-positive females (85% versus 69%,P<.04) and to have ≥3 lung areas affected (P=.03).Conclusion. Differences in the yield of smear-microscopy, culture and X-rays on presentation are due to several factors including HIV coinfection and gender.
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Powles, J., J. Wiseman, D. J. A. Cole, and B. Hardy. "Effect of chemical structure of fats upon their apparent digestible energy value when given to growing/finishing pigs." Animal Science 57, no. 1 (August 1993): 137–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s000335610000670x.

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AbstractFour metabolism trials were conducted. Trials 1 and 2 (Tl, T2) investigated degree of saturation of fats (ratio of unsaturated to saturated fatty acids, U/S) on digestible energy (DE) content. Fats evaluated were rape oil (RO) and tallow (T) for Tl (U/S 15·67 and 0·97 respectively) and RO and palm oil (PO) for T2 (U/S 15·33 and 0·85 respectively). Three fats of intermediary U/S for each trial were produced by blending the two fats in proportions to give U/S of 3·18,2·08 and 1·49 in both trials. Trials 3 and 4 (T3, T4) investigated the effect of free fatty acid (FFA) content of fats on DE value. Fats were soya-bean oil (SO) and soya-bean acid oil (SAO) for T3 (FFA 6·2 and 626·0 g/kg respectively) and T and tallow acid oil (TAO) for T4 (FFA 44·3 and 818·2 g/kg fat respectively). Three fats of intermediary FFA for each trial were formed by blending the two fats in the ratios of 72:25, 50: 50 and 25: 75 in both trials. The FFA content of the blends were 161·2, 316·1 and 471·1 g/kg fat for T3 and 237·8, 431·3 and 624·7 g/kg fat for T4. All trials evaluated five fats by substitution, at 40, 80 and 120 g/kg into a basal diet, in a cross-over design, with 16 gilts of 25 kg initial live weight evaluating 16 diets over four time periods. Diets were offered for 10 days followed by a 5-day collection period using the marker to marker technique. Fat content of food and faeces, with methodology based on acid hydrolysis, allowed calculation of apparent digestible fat (AFD) of experimental diets. Analysis of variance gave effects of fats (P < 0·001 for Tl, T3 and T4 and P = 0·014 for T2), rates of inclusion (P < 0·001 for all trials), and fats × rates (P > 0·05, P > 0·05, P < 0·001, P < 0·01 for T1, T2, T3 and T4 respectively). Extrapolation of the function obtained by regressing AFD of diets (y) on rate of inclusion of fat (x) to × = 1000 generated values for the fats. The product of the coefficient of apparent fat digestibility of fats and their respective gross energies gave DE values for fats which were MJ/kg: T1 RO = 35·8 and T = 31·2; T2 RO = 36·7 and PO = 33·1; T3 SO = 374 and SAO = 32·8 and T4 T = 33·8 and TAO = 28·9. Data for fat blends intermediary between the two fats showed that DE improved exponentially as a function of U/S and that DE declined linearly with increasing FFA content.
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Books on the topic "621.311.1.003 + 621.314"

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Salas, Sergio. Todo sobre sistemas embebidos. Editorial UPC, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.19083/978-612-318-033-1.

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Book chapters on the topic "621.311.1.003 + 621.314"

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Becker, Richard C., and Frederick A. Spencer. "Combination Pharmacotherapy." In Fibrinolytic and Antithrombotic Therapy. Oxford University Press, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780195155648.003.0017.

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The goal of improving coronary arterial patency, microcirculatory blood flow, and myocardial perfusion represents the essence of fibrinolytic–adjunctive therapy combinations. Because fibrinolytic resistance, patency without perfusion, and reocclusion are platelet-mediated phenomena, considerable emphasis has been placed on the development of platelet antagonists. Coronary arterial thrombi consist of platelets and fibrin bound in a tightly packed meshwork. Platelets modify the intrinsic properties of the fibrin network, causing changes in permeability and vasoelasticity, which decrease fibrinolysis rates. The addition of aspirin and the glycoprotein (GP) IIb/IIIa receptor antagonist abciximab modulates the interaction of platelets and fibrin, improving both accessibility to fibrinolytics and the overall rates of fibrinolysis (Collet et al., 2001). The Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) 14 trial (Antman et al., 1999) randomized 888 patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (MI) to receive (1) accelerated tissue plasminogen activator (tPA; ≤100 mg) plus standard dose of unfractionated heparin (UFH); (2) tPA (920 mg bolus) plus abciximab (0.25 mg/kg bolus, 7 μg/min); (3) streptokinase (800,000 to 1.5 million units) and low-dose UFH; or (4) abciximab plus low-dose UFH. TIMI 3 flow rates 90 minutes from treatment initiation were 52%, 53%, 42%, and 32%, respectively. In subsequent dose/strategy studies, a combination of tPA (35 mg) plus abciximab and tPA (15 mg bolus, 31 mg over 60 minutes) plus abciximab revealed 63% and 73% TIMI 3 flow rates, respectively. Rates of major hemorrhage were similar in all tPA treatment groups. The Strategies for Patency Enhancement in the Emergency Department (SPEED) trial (SPEED Group, 2000) included two phases. Phase A (n = 241) randomized patients to receive either abciximab (bolus plus infusion) alone or combined with 5 U, 7.5 U, 10 U, 5 U + 2.5 U, or 5U + 5 U of reteplase. Phase B tested the best strategy from phase A (abciximab plus 5 U + 5 U of reteplase) against 10 U + 10 U of reteplase. In phase A, 62% of the abciximab–reteplase 5 U + 5 U patient group had TIMI 3 flow rates at 60 to 90 minutes vs. 27% of those given abciximab alone (p = .001).
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Conference papers on the topic "621.311.1.003 + 621.314"

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Lecander, I., G. Martinsson, L. S. Nielsen, P. A. Andreasen, K. Danø, and B. Åstedt. "PLASMINOGEN ACTIVATOR INHIBITORS OF TYPE 1 (PAI-1) AND TYPE 2 (PAI-2) ARE PRESENT IN ASCITIC FLUID FROM PATIENTS WITH OVARIAN CARCINOMA." In XIth International Congress on Thrombosis and Haemostasis. Schattauer GmbH, 1987. http://dx.doi.org/10.1055/s-0038-1644462.

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The fast acting specific plasminogen activator inhibitor PAI-1 produced in endothelial cells and present in plasma and thrombocytes is known also to be released from certain tumour cell lines. The specific plasminogen activator inhibitor PAI-2 of placental type and present in pregnancy plasma is also released from a histocytoma cell line.We examined ascitic fluid for the presence of PAI-1 and PAI-2 in five patients with advanced ovarian carcinoma. The antigen levels of PAI-1 and PAI-2 were assayed with sandwich ELISAs using a combination of monoclonal and polyclonal antibodies and the activity of PAI-1 was in addition measured by an activity assay (BioPool). The antigen level of PAI-1 ranged between 110 and 800 ug/1 (mean 315 μg/1) and the activity between 5 and 16 U/ml (mean 12 U/ml). Antigen levels of PAI-2 ranged from 10 to 62 ug/1 (mean 30 μg/ml), i.e. approximately 35 (12-72) % of the concentration of PAI-2 in term plasma. In blood samples obtained from three of the patients during surgery from veins draining the tumors, the concentration of PAI-2 was 0, 7 and 12 μg/1, respectively. PAI-2 could not be detected in the peripheral blood.
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Conard, J., M. H. Horellou, P. Van Dreden, and M. Samama. "PREGNANCY AND CONGENITAL DEFICIENCY IN ANTITHROMBIN III OR PROTEIN C." In XIth International Congress on Thrombosis and Haemostasis. Schattauer GmbH, 1987. http://dx.doi.org/10.1055/s-0038-1642942.

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Pregnancy as well as congenital deficiency in coagulation inhibitors are recognized as predisposing conditions to thrombosis. Thus, in women with a congenital deficiency, the risk of thrombosis associated to pregnancy is expected to be higher than in normal women (incidence of approximately 1°/..). We have investigated this risk in 16 women with congenital Antithrombin III (AT III) deficiency and in 31 with Protein C (PC) deficiency.In the 16 women with AT III deficiency, 30 pregnancies occured 3 of them were interrupted by provoked abortions and a deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism were observed in 2 patients after abortion. Of the 27 other pregnancies, in the absence of any anticoagulant treatment, 17 were complicated by thrombosis (62 %), either during pregnancy (n = 8) or in the post-partun period (n = 9).In the group of 31 women with PC deficiency, 82 pregnancies occured : 16 ended with a provoked abortion, followed by a DVT in one case. Out of the 66 other pregnancies, 17 (25 %) were associated with thrombosis, during pregnancy (n = 5) or in the post-partum (n = 12).Thus, pregnancy is a situation at high risk of thrombosis in PC deficient women, and even higher in AT III deficient ones. No standardized anticoagulant prophylaxis being available, various anticoagulant treatments (mainly SC heparin) were given at various doses, started at different moments of pregnancy to 6 AT III and 3 PC deficient women : 3 and O thrombosis occured respectively.In the post-partum, a thrombosis was observed in 1 of 4 AT III and 2 of 4 PC deficient women who received a treatment. Consequently, an efficient treatment remains to be determined.If a pregnancy is unwanted, estroprogestogens are contra-indicated but progestogen only treatments with chlormadinone acetate, levonorgestrel or low dose of norethisterone were given to 4 AT III and 6 PC deficient women who were simultaneously receiving AVK : no recurrence of thrombosis was observed afer 1 to 3 years of treatment.
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Villemant, D., P. Barriot, and P. Bodenan. "THROMBOLYSIS AND ACUTE MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION (AMI)." In XIth International Congress on Thrombosis and Haemostasis. Schattauer GmbH, 1987. http://dx.doi.org/10.1055/s-0038-1642981.

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AMI is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in modern society Conventional treatment has no benefic effect on the size of infarct, alteration of left ventricular (LV) function and mortality. Intravenous (IV) thrombolysis reduces in hospital mortality by 23 % if infused within 3 hours of ischemia, 47 % if within 1 hour. It reduces the size of infarct by 51 % if reperfusion occurs within 1 hour of ischemia, 31 % if between 1 and 2 hours and 13 % if between 2 and 4 hours. The preservation of LV function is of 28 to 42%. These benefic effects, thanks to IV thrombolysis, can be obtained only if reperfusion occurs within 3 or 4 hours of ischemia. Unfortunately, a french prospective study “ENIM 84” estimates that the mean delay between onset of chest pain and arrival at hospital is 10,3 hours.Goals of the study were to show that “at home” thrombolysis: 1) is a feasible and a safe technique, 2) is responsible of a significant saving of time, 3) preserves LV function according to the precocity of treatment.Two groups of patients (pts) are compared : group A : 62 pts had “at home” thrombolysis by a trained medical staff aboard a mobile emergency care unit. Group B : 53 pts had thrombolysis at arrival at CCU. Protocol is simular in both groups : An IV infusion of 1 5 M iu of streptokinase over 45 to 60 min after an IV bolus of 100 mg Hydrocortisone. Criteriae and contra-indications are those usually used for thrombolysis. Radionuclide angiography was performed 4 days and 1 month after AMI to evaluate global and regional ejection fraction (EF). Only 1 hemorrhagic complication (a mild melaena) and 2 reversible ventricular fibrillations were reported. Reperfusion arrythmias were frequent (55 %) but do not need treatment. The number of candidates for thrombolysis is then increased. The saving of time is 73 min. Difference between the 4 days and 1 month EF is not significant in pts with conventional treatment or if reperfusion occurs after 4 hours of ischemia 48 ± 11 % vs 51 ± 13 %.But it is significant if before 4 hours 49 ± 11 % vs 56 ± 12 % and highly significant if before 2 hours 48 ± 12 % vs 59 ± 10 %.
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Zahavi, J., S. Zaltzman, E. Firsteter, and E. Avrahami. "SEMI-QUANTITATIVE RADIONUCLIDE PHLEBOGRAPHIC (RNP) ASSESSMENT OF DEEP VEIN THROMBOSIS (DVT) AND CHRONIC VENOUS INSUFFICIENCY (CVI)." In XIth International Congress on Thrombosis and Haemostasis. Schattauer GmbH, 1987. http://dx.doi.org/10.1055/s-0038-1642895.

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A semi-quantitative RNP using 99Technetium macroaggregated albumin for the evaluation and follow-up of DVT and CVI has been developed. Values were assigned to the deep veins of the calf, knee, tigh and pelvis based upon the localization and the characteristics of the images obtained: stasis, hot spots and collateral circulation. A maximum score of 18 reflected complete thrombosis of all 4 segments. 208 patients (mean age 53.7 years, range 18-92), 161 of whom had a proven risk factor for DVT were studied. 99Technetium was injected into the dorsal foot vein of 407 limbs with appropriate tourniquets and early and late imaging of the limbs, pelvis and lungs was performed. In 48 patients, 83 limbs, X-ray contrast phlebography (CP) was also done. The mean RNP score was 4.1 units (range 0.4-18) and higher in the left than the right lower limb. It was mostly high in patients with proximal recurrent DVT or in DVT superimposed on CVI. The score was easy to follow and helpful in the assessment of the extent of DVT. It was particularly helpful in 3 instances. 1) Assessment of venous patency following anticoagulant therapy. 2) Estimation of recurrent DVT. 3) Differentiation of recent DVT from venous insufficiency. Overall RNP method had a sensitivity of 87.6%, a specificity of 54% and an accuracy of 64.8%. The sensitivity was similar in above & below-knee thrombi. Yet the specificity was higher in above-knee thrombi. The highest accuracy (87.3%) was observed in pelvic and groin thrombi. The distribution of thrombi on CP was 19% below the knee, 31% above it and 50% both above and below the knee. Pulmonary embolism (PE) was initially observed in 54 patients (26%) with no clinical evidence of DVT and therefore untreated. This high level is most probably related to the high incidence of proximal DVT in the patients. 181 patients were treated with heparin & coumadin and the RNP score was decreased to 3.6 units (range 0.4-8.8). PE occurred during treatment in 11 (6.1%) and recurrent DVT in 16 (8.8%) patients. CVI was observed in 23 patients before treatment and in another 24 patients (13.2%) after treatment. These results indicate that the RNP method is a simple, semi-quantitative and useful technique for the evaluation and follow-up of DVT and CVI. It is most helpful in the assessment of the extent of DVT. It is also a rapid, noninvasive and cost effective techniaue.
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Reddy, Apoorva, Shalini Rajaram, Bindiya Gupta, Shipra Garg, Kiran Mishra, Neerja Goel, Gita Radhakrishnan, and N. B. Vaid. "Clinicopathological correlates and need for adjuvant radiotherapy in early stage carcinoma cervix." In 16th Annual International Conference RGCON. Thieme Medical and Scientific Publishers Private Ltd., 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1055/s-0039-1685407.

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Objective: To analyse clinical-pathological findings in women undergoing surgery for early stage carcinoma cervix and to determine the need for adjuvant radiotherapy. Methods: The study was a retrospective one done to analyse data of women who had been operated for carcinoma cervix in the last 10 years at a tertiary hospital in Delhi. Type II/III radical hysterectomy with pelvic lymphadenectomy was done depending on stage. Histopathological findings and need for adjuvant therapy based on presence of clinical and pathological criteria were studied. Results: A total of 93 eligible patient records were included in the study. Mean age and parity was 48.09 ± 22.36 years and 4.29 ± 3.9 respectively. 47.31% (44) of the women had stage 1B1 carcinoma cervix; 31.18% (29) had stage 1B2 and 19.35% (18) had stage 2A disease. Average size of the tumour growth was 3.25 ± 2.46 cm with the largest being 7 cm. Keratinising squamous cell carcinoma was seen in 48.38% (45) of patients whereas the non-keratinising one was seen in 33.33% (31). Large cell variant was seen in 6.45% (6) whereas micro invasive cancer was seen in 4 women. Adenocarcinoma constituted only 3.2% (3) of the study group. Vaginal cuff involvement was present in 9.67% (9) of patients and an equal number had occult parametrial invasion. A significant number of these had stage 2A disease (16.66% and 22.22% respectively). Between 1B1 and 1B2 there was no significant difference in the incidence of vaginal cuff involvement and occult parametrial invasion (P equals to 0.206 and 1 respectively). Lymph nodes were positive in 24.73% with the obturator lymph node being the commonest involved (17). In stage 1b1 25% (11) had positive lymph nodes; in stage 1B2 34.48% (10) and in 2A only one woman had positive pelvic lymph nodes. This difference was also not significant (P = 0.434). About 50% (47) of patients were referred for adjuvant radiotherapy on the basis of the pathological findings. 61% (11) of patients with stage 2A disease, 51.7% (15) of patients with stage 1b2 and 45.45% (20) with stage 1B1 disease required adjuvant radiotherapy. Conclusion: There was no significant difference in the pathological findings in patients of 1B1 and 1B2. Also the need for radiotherapy in both the groups was similar. Hence similar surgical approach to women with both 1B1 and 1B2 disease appears appropriate.
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Teixeira, Marina Diogenes, Maria Isabela Bloise Alves Caldas Sawada, Anna Lya Menezes Martins, Andre Mattar, and Luiz Henrique Gebrim. "ANALYSIS OF MALIGNITY RATES OF PERCUTANEOUS BIOPSY IN LYMPH NODES OF BREAST CANCER PATIENTS." In Scientifc papers of XXIII Brazilian Breast Congress - 2021. Mastology, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.29289/259453942021v31s1002.

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Introduction: The evaluation of regional lymph nodes in patients with breast cancer is one of the main predictive and prognostic factors for treatment. The methods of percutaneous evaluation of suspicious lymph nodes frequently used are fine-needle aspiration (FNA) cytology and core-needle biopsy (CNB). According to the international literature, CNB and FNA are considered diagnostic methods with high specificity (98% vs. 99%). H, the FNA may present up to 21% of inconclusive results by insufficient material. Although CNB is well established as a percutaneous method for diagnostic evaluation of suspected breast lesions, the literature is scarce on the use of this technique for the evaluation of suspicious lymph nodes in breast cancer patients. Objectives: Analyze the positivity of FNA and CNB performed in suspicious lymph nodes for breast cancer metastasis according to the anatomical location of biopsies and the type of needle used, verifying which technique was preferred. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted by evaluating the database of patients treated in the non-palpable lesions sector of a public hospital in São Paulo. Women submitted to ultrasound-guided percutaneous biopsy of lymph nodes from May 2015 to November 2019 were included in the study. The data were analyzed using IBM-SPSS version 27 and Microsoft EXCEL version 2010. Results: A total of 499 biopsies were performed, and the mean age of the women was 54.2 years (SD±11.9) in the CNB group and 53.4 years (SD±11.8) in the FNA group (p=0.619). According to the anatomical location, 385 were axillary (77.2%), 62 supraclavicular (12.4%), 48 cervical (9.6%) and 4 infraclavicular (0.8%). Regarding the type of needle, 393 were CNBs (78.8%) and 106 were FNA (21.2%). When analyzing the results of the FNA, 38 (35.8%) did not present enough material, 31 (29.2%) were positive, 32 (30.2%) were negative and 5 (4.8%) showed atypical cells. Among the 393 CNBs performed, 255 (64.9%) were positive, 132 (33.6%) were negative, 1 (0.3%) showed atypical cells and 5 (1.3%) had no representative material. No complications were reported after the procedures. Conclusions: CNB was the preferred diagnostic technique in our service, being considered a feasible procedure to evaluate lymph nodes in different sites and with low rates of inconclusive results due to insufficient material. In the future, studies evaluating indirect costs may confirm the feasibility of CNB in patients with suspicious lymph nodes in terms of obtaining greater agility and resolutive conducts in the public healthcare system.
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Levine, P. H. "ACQUIRED IMMUNODEFICIENCY SYNDROME, HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS AND HEMOPHILIA." In XIth International Congress on Thrombosis and Haemostasis. Schattauer GmbH, 1987. http://dx.doi.org/10.1055/s-0038-1644752.

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Less than 15 years ago the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute surveyed physicians in the United States in order to characterize the demographics of hemophilia. The average age of persons with hemophilia in the United States was found to be 11.5 years old. By 10 years later, the life expectancy was predicted to be normal, and indeed the average age of persons with hemophilia in the U.S. is now in the early twenties. Early, intensive and predictably efficacious control of hemorrhage has made this result possible, and the therapeutic product which has allowed such control is commercial clotting factor concentrate.We now know that starting in 1978, and with great frquency during 1982 and 1983, the majority of U.S. hemophiliacs were infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). It is estimated that as of January, 1987, approximately two thirds of the 20,000' persons with hemophilia in the United States have been infected with HIV. Among those with severe factor VIII deficiency, more than 9056 are seropositive. As of 1/5/87, there were 288 cases of AIDS among U.S. hemophiliacs, for an AIDS rate of approximately 2.256 of those with HIV infection. This number included 185 with severe, 32 with moderate and 28 with mild hemophilia A; 12 with severe, 6 with moderate and 1 with mild hemophilia B; 9 with vWD, and 4 others. A disproportionate number were older patients: 55 were ages 1-19; 62 ages 20-29; 85 ages 30-39, and 86 age 40 or older. Although the AIDS attack rate is no longer climbing logarhythmically, new cases are certainly still occurring.A variety of other HIV-related syndromes have emerged. Of great concern is immune thrombocytopenia, which is now relatively common; among a group of 209 carefully followed HIV-positive patients at our center, 31 (1556) are or have been thrombocytopenic. Progressive failure to normally gain height and weight in children with hemophilia has recently been shown by our group to correlate with HIV antibody positivity, and also with decreased T4/T8 ratio, decreased T4 cell count, decreased skin test reactivity, and subsequent development of ARC or AIDS in some such children. Finally, a picture of progressive fall in T4 count associated with recurrent non-specific infections and increased likelihood of positive viral culture, may predict an increased risk of developing AIDS.We know that the immune dysfunction in hemophilia is complex, and not wholly explained by HIV infection. One important factor may be the many foreign proteins contained in commercial clotting factor concentrates, and their ability to stimulate T cells. It is known that latent HIV infection in cultured T4 lymphocytes can be induced to enter the proliferative, viral secretory phase by the addition of soluble foreign antigens to the cell culture. Recent data of Brettler and colleagues, to be presented at this meeting, suggest that the use of highly purified VI!I:C (specific activity >3000 u/mg) in place of the present extremely impure products, may improve the immune dysfunction in hemophilia. This observation offers a new hypothetical approach to the prevention of progressive T4 cell depletion in HIV infected hemophiliacs, and requires immediate and extensive further study.The psychosocial burden of HIV infection is immense. The need for extensive, formal education and support programs is largely unmet in most parts of the world. Such programs are best run out of hemophilia treatment centers in most cases, and must include an active program on prevention of sexual transmission, provision of HIV testing before and during pregnancies, provision for maintenance of confidentiality, etc. Education concerning HIV is like all other forms of education. It requires formal organization, a curriculum, active rather than passive learning in which there is interaction between the teacher and the pupil, time for planned repetition, reinforcement with written materials, and assessment of goals achieved. For all of these reasons it is inappropriate to assume that the physician at the hemophilia center will be able to provide an adequate education program. Adquate paramedical personnel will need to undertake this effort, under the directjon of the physician.
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Reports on the topic "621.311.1.003 + 621.314"

1

Vargas-Herrera, Hernando, Juan Jose Ospina-Tejeiro, Carlos Alfonso Huertas-Campos, Adolfo León Cobo-Serna, Edgar Caicedo-García, Juan Pablo Cote-Barón, Nicolás Martínez-Cortés, et al. Monetary Policy Report - April de 2021. Banco de la República de Colombia, July 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.32468/inf-pol-mont-eng.tr2-2021.

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1.1 Macroeconomic summary Economic recovery has consistently outperformed the technical staff’s expectations following a steep decline in activity in the second quarter of 2020. At the same time, total and core inflation rates have fallen and remain at low levels, suggesting that a significant element of the reactivation of Colombia’s economy has been related to recovery in potential GDP. This would support the technical staff’s diagnosis of weak aggregate demand and ample excess capacity. The most recently available data on 2020 growth suggests a contraction in economic activity of 6.8%, lower than estimates from January’s Monetary Policy Report (-7.2%). High-frequency indicators suggest that economic performance was significantly more dynamic than expected in January, despite mobility restrictions and quarantine measures. This has also come amid declines in total and core inflation, the latter of which was below January projections if controlling for certain relative price changes. This suggests that the unexpected strength of recent growth contains elements of demand, and that excess capacity, while significant, could be lower than previously estimated. Nevertheless, uncertainty over the measurement of excess capacity continues to be unusually high and marked both by variations in the way different economic sectors and spending components have been affected by the pandemic, and by uneven price behavior. The size of excess capacity, and in particular the evolution of the pandemic in forthcoming quarters, constitute substantial risks to the macroeconomic forecast presented in this report. Despite the unexpected strength of the recovery, the technical staff continues to project ample excess capacity that is expected to remain on the forecast horizon, alongside core inflation that will likely remain below the target. Domestic demand remains below 2019 levels amid unusually significant uncertainty over the size of excess capacity in the economy. High national unemployment (14.6% for February 2021) reflects a loose labor market, while observed total and core inflation continue to be below 2%. Inflationary pressures from the exchange rate are expected to continue to be low, with relatively little pass-through on inflation. This would be compatible with a negative output gap. Excess productive capacity and the expectation of core inflation below the 3% target on the forecast horizon provide a basis for an expansive monetary policy posture. The technical staff’s assessment of certain shocks and their expected effects on the economy, as well as the presence of several sources of uncertainty and related assumptions about their potential macroeconomic impacts, remain a feature of this report. The coronavirus pandemic, in particular, continues to affect the public health environment, and the reopening of Colombia’s economy remains incomplete. The technical staff’s assessment is that the COVID-19 shock has affected both aggregate demand and supply, but that the impact on demand has been deeper and more persistent. Given this persistence, the central forecast accounts for a gradual tightening of the output gap in the absence of new waves of contagion, and as vaccination campaigns progress. The central forecast continues to include an expected increase of total and core inflation rates in the second quarter of 2021, alongside the lapse of the temporary price relief measures put in place in 2020. Additional COVID-19 outbreaks (of uncertain duration and intensity) represent a significant risk factor that could affect these projections. Additionally, the forecast continues to include an upward trend in sovereign risk premiums, reflected by higher levels of public debt that in the wake of the pandemic are likely to persist on the forecast horizon, even in the context of a fiscal adjustment. At the same time, the projection accounts for the shortterm effects on private domestic demand from a fiscal adjustment along the lines of the one currently being proposed by the national government. This would be compatible with a gradual recovery of private domestic demand in 2022. The size and characteristics of the fiscal adjustment that is ultimately implemented, as well as the corresponding market response, represent another source of forecast uncertainty. Newly available information offers evidence of the potential for significant changes to the macroeconomic scenario, though without altering the general diagnosis described above. The most recent data on inflation, growth, fiscal policy, and international financial conditions suggests a more dynamic economy than previously expected. However, a third wave of the pandemic has delayed the re-opening of Colombia’s economy and brought with it a deceleration in economic activity. Detailed descriptions of these considerations and subsequent changes to the macroeconomic forecast are presented below. The expected annual decline in GDP (-0.3%) in the first quarter of 2021 appears to have been less pronounced than projected in January (-4.8%). Partial closures in January to address a second wave of COVID-19 appear to have had a less significant negative impact on the economy than previously estimated. This is reflected in figures related to mobility, energy demand, industry and retail sales, foreign trade, commercial transactions from selected banks, and the national statistics agency’s (DANE) economic tracking indicator (ISE). Output is now expected to have declined annually in the first quarter by 0.3%. Private consumption likely continued to recover, registering levels somewhat above those from the previous year, while public consumption likely increased significantly. While a recovery in investment in both housing and in other buildings and structures is expected, overall investment levels in this case likely continued to be low, and gross fixed capital formation is expected to continue to show significant annual declines. Imports likely recovered to again outpace exports, though both are expected to register significant annual declines. Economic activity that outpaced projections, an increase in oil prices and other export products, and an expected increase in public spending this year account for the upward revision to the 2021 growth forecast (from 4.6% with a range between 2% and 6% in January, to 6.0% with a range between 3% and 7% in April). As a result, the output gap is expected to be smaller and to tighten more rapidly than projected in the previous report, though it is still expected to remain in negative territory on the forecast horizon. Wide forecast intervals reflect the fact that the future evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic remains a significant source of uncertainty on these projections. The delay in the recovery of economic activity as a result of the resurgence of COVID-19 in the first quarter appears to have been less significant than projected in the January report. The central forecast scenario expects this improved performance to continue in 2021 alongside increased consumer and business confidence. Low real interest rates and an active credit supply would also support this dynamic, and the overall conditions would be expected to spur a recovery in consumption and investment. Increased growth in public spending and public works based on the national government’s spending plan (Plan Financiero del Gobierno) are other factors to consider. Additionally, an expected recovery in global demand and higher projected prices for oil and coffee would further contribute to improved external revenues and would favor investment, in particular in the oil sector. Given the above, the technical staff’s 2021 growth forecast has been revised upward from 4.6% in January (range from 2% to 6%) to 6.0% in April (range from 3% to 7%). These projections account for the potential for the third wave of COVID-19 to have a larger and more persistent effect on the economy than the previous wave, while also supposing that there will not be any additional significant waves of the pandemic and that mobility restrictions will be relaxed as a result. Economic growth in 2022 is expected to be 3%, with a range between 1% and 5%. This figure would be lower than projected in the January report (3.6% with a range between 2% and 6%), due to a higher base of comparison given the upward revision to expected GDP in 2021. This forecast also takes into account the likely effects on private demand of a fiscal adjustment of the size currently being proposed by the national government, and which would come into effect in 2022. Excess in productive capacity is now expected to be lower than estimated in January but continues to be significant and affected by high levels of uncertainty, as reflected in the wide forecast intervals. The possibility of new waves of the virus (of uncertain intensity and duration) represents a significant downward risk to projected GDP growth, and is signaled by the lower limits of the ranges provided in this report. Inflation (1.51%) and inflation excluding food and regulated items (0.94%) declined in March compared to December, continuing below the 3% target. The decline in inflation in this period was below projections, explained in large part by unanticipated increases in the costs of certain foods (3.92%) and regulated items (1.52%). An increase in international food and shipping prices, increased foreign demand for beef, and specific upward pressures on perishable food supplies appear to explain a lower-than-expected deceleration in the consumer price index (CPI) for foods. An unexpected increase in regulated items prices came amid unanticipated increases in international fuel prices, on some utilities rates, and for regulated education prices. The decline in annual inflation excluding food and regulated items between December and March was in line with projections from January, though this included downward pressure from a significant reduction in telecommunications rates due to the imminent entry of a new operator. When controlling for the effects of this relative price change, inflation excluding food and regulated items exceeds levels forecast in the previous report. Within this indicator of core inflation, the CPI for goods (1.05%) accelerated due to a reversion of the effects of the VAT-free day in November, which was largely accounted for in February, and possibly by the transmission of a recent depreciation of the peso on domestic prices for certain items (electric and household appliances). For their part, services prices decelerated and showed the lowest rate of annual growth (0.89%) among the large consumer baskets in the CPI. Within the services basket, the annual change in rental prices continued to decline, while those services that continue to experience the most significant restrictions on returning to normal operations (tourism, cinemas, nightlife, etc.) continued to register significant price declines. As previously mentioned, telephone rates also fell significantly due to increased competition in the market. Total inflation is expected to continue to be affected by ample excesses in productive capacity for the remainder of 2021 and 2022, though less so than projected in January. As a result, convergence to the inflation target is now expected to be somewhat faster than estimated in the previous report, assuming the absence of significant additional outbreaks of COVID-19. The technical staff’s year-end inflation projections for 2021 and 2022 have increased, suggesting figures around 3% due largely to variation in food and regulated items prices. The projection for inflation excluding food and regulated items also increased, but remains below 3%. Price relief measures on indirect taxes implemented in 2020 are expected to lapse in the second quarter of 2021, generating a one-off effect on prices and temporarily affecting inflation excluding food and regulated items. However, indexation to low levels of past inflation, weak demand, and ample excess productive capacity are expected to keep core inflation below the target, near 2.3% at the end of 2021 (previously 2.1%). The reversion in 2021 of the effects of some price relief measures on utility rates from 2020 should lead to an increase in the CPI for regulated items in the second half of this year. Annual price changes are now expected to be higher than estimated in the January report due to an increased expected path for fuel prices and unanticipated increases in regulated education prices. The projection for the CPI for foods has increased compared to the previous report, taking into account certain factors that were not anticipated in January (a less favorable agricultural cycle, increased pressure from international prices, and transport costs). Given the above, year-end annual inflation for 2021 and 2022 is now expected to be 3% and 2.8%, respectively, which would be above projections from January (2.3% and 2,7%). For its part, expected inflation based on analyst surveys suggests year-end inflation in 2021 and 2022 of 2.8% and 3.1%, respectively. There remains significant uncertainty surrounding the inflation forecasts included in this report due to several factors: 1) the evolution of the pandemic; 2) the difficulty in evaluating the size and persistence of excess productive capacity; 3) the timing and manner in which price relief measures will lapse; and 4) the future behavior of food prices. Projected 2021 growth in foreign demand (4.4% to 5.2%) and the supposed average oil price (USD 53 to USD 61 per Brent benchmark barrel) were both revised upward. An increase in long-term international interest rates has been reflected in a depreciation of the peso and could result in relatively tighter external financial conditions for emerging market economies, including Colombia. Average growth among Colombia’s trade partners was greater than expected in the fourth quarter of 2020. This, together with a sizable fiscal stimulus approved in the United States and the onset of a massive global vaccination campaign, largely explains the projected increase in foreign demand growth in 2021. The resilience of the goods market in the face of global crisis and an expected normalization in international trade are additional factors. These considerations and the expected continuation of a gradual reduction of mobility restrictions abroad suggest that Colombia’s trade partners could grow on average by 5.2% in 2021 and around 3.4% in 2022. The improved prospects for global economic growth have led to an increase in current and expected oil prices. Production interruptions due to a heavy winter, reduced inventories, and increased supply restrictions instituted by producing countries have also contributed to the increase. Meanwhile, market forecasts and recent Federal Reserve pronouncements suggest that the benchmark interest rate in the U.S. will remain stable for the next two years. Nevertheless, a significant increase in public spending in the country has fostered expectations for greater growth and inflation, as well as increased uncertainty over the moment in which a normalization of monetary policy might begin. This has been reflected in an increase in long-term interest rates. In this context, emerging market economies in the region, including Colombia, have registered increases in sovereign risk premiums and long-term domestic interest rates, and a depreciation of local currencies against the dollar. Recent outbreaks of COVID-19 in several of these economies; limits on vaccine supply and the slow pace of immunization campaigns in some countries; a significant increase in public debt; and tensions between the United States and China, among other factors, all add to a high level of uncertainty surrounding interest rate spreads, external financing conditions, and the future performance of risk premiums. The impact that this environment could have on the exchange rate and on domestic financing conditions represent risks to the macroeconomic and monetary policy forecasts. Domestic financial conditions continue to favor recovery in economic activity. The transmission of reductions to the policy interest rate on credit rates has been significant. The banking portfolio continues to recover amid circumstances that have affected both the supply and demand for loans, and in which some credit risks have materialized. Preferential and ordinary commercial interest rates have fallen to a similar degree as the benchmark interest rate. As is generally the case, this transmission has come at a slower pace for consumer credit rates, and has been further delayed in the case of mortgage rates. Commercial credit levels stabilized above pre-pandemic levels in March, following an increase resulting from significant liquidity requirements for businesses in the second quarter of 2020. The consumer credit portfolio continued to recover and has now surpassed February 2020 levels, though overall growth in the portfolio remains low. At the same time, portfolio projections and default indicators have increased, and credit establishment earnings have come down. Despite this, credit disbursements continue to recover and solvency indicators remain well above regulatory minimums. 1.2 Monetary policy decision In its meetings in March and April the BDBR left the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 1.75%.
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